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Speaker 1: listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Fantasy Best Friends Forever.
Speaker 1: M Do to Do Do Do Do Do Do Do
Speaker 1: Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do doo
Speaker 1: yeoh is as the Fantasy best Friends Forever. Here are
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Sports Radio Network alongside Frankie Stamfele and I
Speaker 1: am so excited to say alongside my buddy Maddie mo
Speaker 1: Ma moca the first time and way too long. I
Speaker 1: am Greg sug It's a Modica Monday here, very excited
Speaker 1: to have him on. I I do you understand like
Speaker 1: how far behind I am in baseball because I don't
Speaker 1: talk to that every day now. He talked very often
Speaker 1: lost and I need to be found today, Malodeca, how
Speaker 1: are you, sir I'm doing good. Great to be talking.
Speaker 1: And are you surprised that Mexico is not paid for
Speaker 1: our wall yet? Oh? Man? Uh, Maddie writing for the
Speaker 1: Athletic of course, and uh, totally awesome. He wrote the
Speaker 1: third base pretty you for thirdays, fresks and whatnot for
Speaker 1: the Athletic and we're talking at our basement today. So
Speaker 1: it really worked out well Automodica Monday to have madiemo
Speaker 1: um in studio where he guess on Skype with us,
Speaker 1: and uh, to really break it down, Um, Frank, how's
Speaker 1: your reeking money? My weekend was was very fun, Greg,
Speaker 1: A lot of a lot of wedding venue searching. I
Speaker 1: went to I went to one Saturday and Sunday, So
Speaker 1: I mean that's obviously not a lot of fun, um,
Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean that was it. Baseball, man. The
Speaker 1: fact that we have baseball every single day now again
Speaker 1: is uh, it's pretty awesome. So I spent a lot
Speaker 1: of time yesterday basically from you know, one until I
Speaker 1: had to leave the house like four o'clock, just watching
Speaker 1: a ton of baseball. So that that's great, that's great,
Speaker 1: and it's yeah, that's fantastic. I did not I also
Speaker 1: did wedding stuff. Yesterday we were I was in um
Speaker 1: Hoboken at a restaurant trying to book a rehearsal to
Speaker 1: her place. That was a free food so wasn't enjoyable.
Speaker 1: That's good. Modiquez like, yeah, I'm already married. Like he's
Speaker 1: just so far because like, I'm just gonna take pictures
Speaker 1: of my food and tweet it out, and you know,
Speaker 1: that's that's pretty much where I'm at. There's nothing wrong
Speaker 1: with that. Yeah, he's nothing wrong with that. That's what
Speaker 1: I hear. Man, you gotta eat. We I ate so
Speaker 1: much food off right, and I came it was disgusting
Speaker 1: how much I'm gonna like. But even my friends who
Speaker 1: were like fat, we're just like like Jeff, who was like, dude,
Speaker 1: that's disgusting. Wow, Jeff, it's because you're the Jeff fan.
Speaker 1: It's not fair, Jeff. And Jeff like, he's never gonna
Speaker 1: say that. He's like a felt guy. I don't mean
Speaker 1: that he's fat. He's like a humongous dude. But he
Speaker 1: loves to eat. We all do. And Jeff was like,
Speaker 1: you ate too much, dude. I'm like, oh god, this
Speaker 1: is bad. Picking out it was we we both were
Speaker 1: all right, let's start a third base guys, and it's
Speaker 1: really perfect person to start with, and that's Jose Ramirez.
Speaker 1: He's number one guy, number one third basement off the
Speaker 1: board according the NFBC in them of February, going around
Speaker 1: pick three or four. And it's really good to start
Speaker 1: here because Frank h the Great Fans Baseball Invitational started
Speaker 1: over the weekend and you grab Tosie Ramirez. And the
Speaker 1: crazy thing was you didn't grab him in the first
Speaker 1: three or four picks. You grabbed him in eight and
Speaker 1: had to look all around the internet to make sure
Speaker 1: he wasn't dead. He's not dead. He's very much alive.
Speaker 1: And he's the first third baseman off the board in
Speaker 1: most leagues. Why the drop? Why are people scared of
Speaker 1: this guy who you looked at his numbers is really
Speaker 1: breaking awesome. I think people are scared about the second half.
Speaker 1: I think that's really what it comes down to. I mean,
Speaker 1: the past couple of years, Look, Jose Ramirez, Uh, you know,
Speaker 1: he's kind of sacrificed some of his batting average and
Speaker 1: in order to try and hit for more power. Um,
Speaker 1: he's done so quite successfully. Look, you know, he's one
Speaker 1: of these guys in the first round that you know,
Speaker 1: even if he doesn't get back to his days of
Speaker 1: hitting three hundred, he could still give you thirty home
Speaker 1: runs and you know, twenty five stolen bases. You know,
Speaker 1: there's a few select guys that can do that. It's
Speaker 1: you know, Christian Yellots can do that, Mike Trout, Mookie
Speaker 1: Betts and you know, Rondal Lacuna. After that, it's like
Speaker 1: all right, like you know, you're gonna try and find
Speaker 1: that as best as you could. But you know, he's
Speaker 1: actually one of these guys that still does have that upside.
Speaker 1: I do have some concerns about the Cleveland Indians lineup
Speaker 1: and the fact that Lindore is dealing with this injury.
Speaker 1: So you know, I'm expecting the counting stats to come
Speaker 1: back a little bit last year a hundred and ten runs,
Speaker 1: a hundred and five RBIs. But look, he's still a super,
Speaker 1: super talented player, and you know, I was pleased to
Speaker 1: get him at at pick eight yesterday, especially in Rodo.
Speaker 1: Like I told you, Greg, I want to start, you know,
Speaker 1: I want to get my outfield. I want to get
Speaker 1: my starting pitching early. I took outfield and round two
Speaker 1: I took starting pitching rounds three and four. It's not
Speaker 1: my ideal starting pitching, you know, you know what I
Speaker 1: would have expected coming into the draft. But again, this
Speaker 1: is what I told you, Like, if there are players
Speaker 1: on the board that you can't pass up on in
Speaker 1: the first or second round, and their hitters, and that's
Speaker 1: kind of like where you have to adjust. So I
Speaker 1: end up with Jose Ramirez and Bryce Harper as my
Speaker 1: first two picks, and from pick eight in the fifteen
Speaker 1: team league, I'll do that every single time that you're
Speaker 1: really good at this way. I asked you here, like
Speaker 1: what happened and when you were real to figuring it out,
Speaker 1: and what happened in between the first and second half
Speaker 1: that Josie Ramier. Josie Ramirez struggled so mightily, had three
Speaker 1: and first half had thirty twenty basically homers and still amazes.
Speaker 1: And then in the second half of the year he
Speaker 1: only bad to eight team down from twenty nine homers
Speaker 1: to ten. Uh the steels twenty to fourteen. And that's
Speaker 1: not a huge job, but half the amount of r
Speaker 1: b i s, not even close to the amount of
Speaker 1: run scored. What happened through the first half of the
Speaker 1: second half. That changed for Josie Ramirez, Well, yeah, I
Speaker 1: mean the obvious is the bad, but I think it
Speaker 1: was like two oh eight net second half. The plate
Speaker 1: skills actually improved, So you know, That's why I'm not worried.
Speaker 1: The only thing I can think of was maybe there
Speaker 1: was an undisclosed injury. Was the only negative I saw
Speaker 1: in that second half as far as when you do
Speaker 1: a deep dive, was the hard hit percentage came down
Speaker 1: from you know, the other The counter argument would be, h,
Speaker 1: maybe he got you know, he faced a gay huge
Speaker 1: of breaking balls and couldn't square them up and stuff.
Speaker 1: But look, the guy's got Joey Vado's plate skills. He
Speaker 1: trade Turner's Ackerman on the base pads. I mean, and
Speaker 1: even if you're gonna go Wolf of last year, which
Speaker 1: being a career year, and you regress him like I
Speaker 1: will do it Yellow as well, they're both gonna be
Speaker 1: really good. I mean, I'm gonna put Ramirez at at
Speaker 1: least two eighty for the batting average. You could do
Speaker 1: better than that, but at least that. And even if
Speaker 1: he's twenty seven homers and uh stolen bases, Look, he's
Speaker 1: gonna score runs, he's gonna drive an abist even if
Speaker 1: this lineup is an ideal, which I agree with on that,
Speaker 1: And I think the best part about Lindor's injury is
Speaker 1: that it happened so early and hopefully he's not rushed,
Speaker 1: and even if he misses a week or two, you
Speaker 1: know he's going to produce good is just producing bad
Speaker 1: lineups all the time? I mean, I've heard that argument
Speaker 1: in the past, and I think that's kind of a
Speaker 1: foolish one. How about you know, Freddie Freeman, it was
Speaker 1: like three or four years ago in any way, every
Speaker 1: part in the Braids lineup was brutal. They can out here,
Speaker 1: you know, just firing away. You know, everyone wanted to,
Speaker 1: you know, write him off because the Braids line up
Speaker 1: look terrible. But you know, the best players can you know,
Speaker 1: This is what we kind of say about fantasy football,
Speaker 1: right is like you draft the best players because they're
Speaker 1: gonna perform even in bad match. It's kind of similar here,
Speaker 1: where even the best players in baseball are going to
Speaker 1: perform because they're the best players in baseball. So I
Speaker 1: think that that, you know, is in line with Jose Ramirez.
Speaker 1: You know, since the start of p S over the
Speaker 1: past few years fourth best in baseball. That would make
Speaker 1: you one of the best hitters in baseball w r
Speaker 1: C plus sixth best in baseball. Uh, the ops dropped
Speaker 1: off huge in the second half last year. Modica mentioned
Speaker 1: the hard hit ray dropped the home run the flyball
Speaker 1: ratio dropped ten too in the second half, So you
Speaker 1: know that those things kind of coinside you're not hitting.
Speaker 1: He's still hitting a lot of flyballs, but you know,
Speaker 1: if you're not hitting them at as hard, you know,
Speaker 1: maybe those are just lazy flyballs or you know, balls
Speaker 1: that are dying on the warning track rather than going out.
Speaker 1: So he's not really a big do you don't like
Speaker 1: he doesn't have the stature. He's not some one that
Speaker 1: you would expect to hit thirty five home runs. But
Speaker 1: I agree with that man, Like, even if he comes
Speaker 1: back to you know, I have its projection for two
Speaker 1: eighty thirty home runs, ninety five runs r BIS, twenty
Speaker 1: two stone bases, that's still a top five six player
Speaker 1: in fantasy baseball. Absolutely, Absolutely, he's fantastic. What separates him
Speaker 1: from the second, second, third basement off the board, Nolan
Speaker 1: Aranado is that speed, right, he just has more speed
Speaker 1: than Eronado, who will give you the forty home runs
Speaker 1: it plays in cours like I get it could lead
Speaker 1: the league in RBI watch every year. He just doesn't
Speaker 1: have the speed. And that's one of the reasons that
Speaker 1: Ramirez goes before Nolan Arronado, who right now, according to
Speaker 1: the NFBC in the month February is going pretty much
Speaker 1: about pick eight. Still see him in the middle of
Speaker 1: the first round. But Break, I do say this to you,
Speaker 1: whenever Nolan Aronado seems to be the top guy on
Speaker 1: the board, you're always kind of hesitant, like I know
Speaker 1: you've gone like Jacob deGrom Chris Sell direction when it
Speaker 1: seemed like Eronado was the best hitter off the board.
Speaker 1: Is that a roster construction thing or do you have
Speaker 1: something gets the Seronado? It's something that pulls you away
Speaker 1: from him. Now, you know, I think there's a clear
Speaker 1: top eight players right now that I'm looking at, and
Speaker 1: you know, I got Joser mirrors at eight. But I
Speaker 1: think between Trout Bets Trey Turner. Now with this stolen
Speaker 1: base upside, a lot of people are getting excited about,
Speaker 1: you know this, this possibility of seventy eighties stolen base attempts.
Speaker 1: He went third in my great fantasy based momentation, So
Speaker 1: people are buying into it. A Kuna yell at j
Speaker 1: D Martinez, Erzer and then Jose are mirrors and then
Speaker 1: the next man up. I mean I would say it
Speaker 1: is Eronado. I would take him over those starting pitchers.
Speaker 1: I know, you know, third base overall this year, I
Speaker 1: think it's a little bit deeper than it normally, as
Speaker 1: I think it's one of the deepest positions this year
Speaker 1: in fantasy baseball. But again, it's like being able to
Speaker 1: set your watch to two eighty five thirty five home runs,
Speaker 1: a hundred runs, a hundred RBIs. Even if he doesn't
Speaker 1: give you stolen bases, that's great. That's something great to
Speaker 1: get there. And you know, Matt, I'll kind of get
Speaker 1: your take on this. We did the we did the
Speaker 1: second base in shortstop previews last week, and I said,
Speaker 1: I think there are two players that if you've taken
Speaker 1: the first round, they make sense as the players that
Speaker 1: you can pair with. Adalberto Mondescy. Adelberto Mondessey one of
Speaker 1: the most polarizing players this year for fantasy baseball. He's
Speaker 1: going to like the third fourth round of fifteen team drafts,
Speaker 1: And I said j D. Martinez and Eronado because those
Speaker 1: guys are four category contributors who are gonna give you
Speaker 1: the safe batting average where you can kind of afford
Speaker 1: to take that risk with Adalberto Mondacy because you know
Speaker 1: he has that big stolen base upside and won't necessarily
Speaker 1: kill you in the power department. So Eronado and me
Speaker 1: Eronado and j. D. Martinez to me, are the two
Speaker 1: guys that you can kind of pair Adalberto Mondescy with.
Speaker 1: What do you think about Ernado? Would would you take
Speaker 1: him if you had like the ninth pick and those
Speaker 1: top eight players are gone? Uh? You know, I can't
Speaker 1: say it's it's a bad move. Like you said, he's automatic.
Speaker 1: He's a fantastic four player him and j D. Martini,
Speaker 1: as you made the as you laid it out, they
Speaker 1: are gonna leave you without stolen bases. But what they
Speaker 1: give you in your other four categories is you know,
Speaker 1: such stout numbers that you can go that. I mean,
Speaker 1: I'm not going to but a guy like Trade Turner
Speaker 1: to me is somebody that's up there too. So it's
Speaker 1: all about how you go into your draft. Whenever if
Speaker 1: you know your selection prior, you should be able to
Speaker 1: set up aboard. So if you're gonna go to the
Speaker 1: Arnado route, okay, where am I gonna get my first picture?
Speaker 1: Where am I gonna get speed? At what point do
Speaker 1: I invest in a closure? I mean, these are things
Speaker 1: that should be prerequisites before you walk in the draft room,
Speaker 1: not when you're in the draft room. So you can
Speaker 1: set it up anyway you like. I mean, Arronado to
Speaker 1: me can be as high as you know, in the
Speaker 1: top five if that's how you want to go, and
Speaker 1: I wouldn't have a problem with that. It's basically, how
Speaker 1: do you feel comfortable and where are you getting these
Speaker 1: guys and how how is your team gonna be constructed
Speaker 1: at most imperative the first five and if you can
Speaker 1: even go to the first ten rounds, it makes a
Speaker 1: lot of I think it makes a lot of sense.
Speaker 1: You can't, yeah, see it's wrong because it's not wrong,
Speaker 1: but there's you know, you have to worry about getting
Speaker 1: getting that speed, and it's hard. Um, it is hard
Speaker 1: when everyone's kind of chasing after that same thing. Go
Speaker 1: to the next guy's Frank inside the top five NFBC
Speaker 1: d P we talked about the employment other spots, right,
Speaker 1: have your bias? And Alex Bregman, two guys that I
Speaker 1: do want to get Matt's opinion on what we have
Speaker 1: them here we did in second base and shortstop previous
Speaker 1: shows last week Modica where are you this year? And
Speaker 1: Alex Bregman and have your bias? Look, I think Bregman
Speaker 1: is you know, everything we saw in college and we've
Speaker 1: seen in his early MLB career this kid can hit. Uh,
Speaker 1: the promise is there. I'm not thinking he steals twenty basis.
Speaker 1: I know some people get really excited about that. I
Speaker 1: would ever more towards ten we saw last season. I
Speaker 1: think from my June on he only stole like five.
Speaker 1: I don't think this is a team that really runs.
Speaker 1: I don't think they need him to run. Uh. With
Speaker 1: the injury, he's kind of slid down a little. I've
Speaker 1: think he's maybe a little high where he's going. But
Speaker 1: like I said, I think he's gonna give you a
Speaker 1: very solid base. I can't argue it. My problem with
Speaker 1: hobby biases. And he's a guy that returned a huge
Speaker 1: prophet for me last year, and if you look where
Speaker 1: he was going in that seventh eighth round, and you
Speaker 1: know the season that he delivered on. I mean, the
Speaker 1: obviously is the batting average. Even if the batting average
Speaker 1: regresses to say to seventy, I'm more worried about the
Speaker 1: stolen basis. I think last year was an outlier. I
Speaker 1: think you should be looking more towards twelve. If you
Speaker 1: look at the second half of the season, his base
Speaker 1: running skills was horrid. I mean he got thrown out
Speaker 1: like almost like ten times or something. So I don't
Speaker 1: think he's a lock to steal twenty or the high teams.
Speaker 1: This something we were talking about last year. He looked
Speaker 1: at the second half, I think I think in the
Speaker 1: second half, so still three got caught stealing seven times.
Speaker 1: Uh yeah. Look, you know when it comes down to Modica.
Speaker 1: For me with Xavier Bias is the plate discipline obviously
Speaker 1: scares me a ton, But I think we have enough
Speaker 1: of a sample size here where we trust it. Like,
Speaker 1: I know, his swinging strike rate is up there with
Speaker 1: guys like Joey gallow and like he's gonna chase them,
Speaker 1: like he's gonna chase pitches. He's gonna strike out a
Speaker 1: decent amount. But in his four year career, like, we
Speaker 1: have a big enough sample size now where his lowest
Speaker 1: batting average every to seventy three. So I don't know
Speaker 1: that he's like, I don't know that he's a legitimate
Speaker 1: like hit or like last season, but I think, like,
Speaker 1: you know what his floor is, I think he's gonna
Speaker 1: live in that. You know, you're seventy to eighty range.
Speaker 1: You know what I'm saying. If you put to seventy
Speaker 1: and say twelve stolen bases as opposed to you know,
Speaker 1: above two eighties closer to two nine bases, I think,
Speaker 1: you know, he would be further down draft boards. You
Speaker 1: don't think that he could still return second round value
Speaker 1: because I have his projection here he could he could
Speaker 1: return it. Here's my biggest grade. He could do it.
Speaker 1: I'm not paying for it this year, you know. You
Speaker 1: know that's what you got. Look at where was the
Speaker 1: last year? Can he do it? Absolutely? You know he
Speaker 1: can hit, He's got the power and stuff. But I
Speaker 1: have to pay for him to do it, and he
Speaker 1: has to deliver those numbers. Yeah, it's true. You know,
Speaker 1: I think it's to me, it's somewhat similar to you know,
Speaker 1: some of these other guys where even if yellow and
Speaker 1: Jose Miraz take a step back a little bit, they
Speaker 1: regress a little bit, They're still gonna be worth their
Speaker 1: first round value. I kind of feel the same way
Speaker 1: about Bias, where even if he comes back and you know,
Speaker 1: I had his projection at like two seventy homers, fifteen
Speaker 1: stolen bases, Uh, you know, counting stats are solid, like
Speaker 1: eight ninety runs scored, Uh, you know, nine y r
Speaker 1: bis in that range, I STI still think that he
Speaker 1: could be a second round player. But I don't disagree
Speaker 1: with Matt where. You know, last week I told you
Speaker 1: I have tremp for Story ranked ahead of him, Greg,
Speaker 1: I have Manny Machado still ranked ahead of him. I
Speaker 1: have to you know, I would take Stanton over him.
Speaker 1: I would take Aaron Judge like, because that's more of
Speaker 1: like position scarcity. I like that Bias has the multi
Speaker 1: position eligibility, but I do like, you know, getting one
Speaker 1: of those outfielders there earlier in the second rounds too
Speaker 1: real a pick I mean, probab I think is one
Speaker 1: of the most exciting players to watch an m O
Speaker 1: big So I don't I don't like poking negative in
Speaker 1: that range. I'm gonna be a little Bitterer. Okay, let's
Speaker 1: take a break here. When we come back, I'm really
Speaker 1: excited to talk about the next player off board with
Speaker 1: the NFBC, and that's Chris Bryant. That's a first rounder
Speaker 1: last year. Is that draft to the second or third
Speaker 1: one of these guys think about Chris Bryant. We'll let
Speaker 1: you know when we come back. Fantasy best Friends Forever,
Speaker 1: the Fantasy sports radio network from the NFL to the NBA.
Speaker 1: Daily Rohodo dot Com is the place to win millions
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Speaker 1: s Y, and you'll be on your way to becoming
Speaker 1: the next Daily Rhodo millionaire. Back with you, Fantasy best
Speaker 1: Friends Forever. Fantasy Sports Radio Network, Frank Stafile, Map Modica
Speaker 1: and Greg Sussman with you, breaking down the third base
Speaker 1: position you heard from Maddie mo On, Alex Bregman, and
Speaker 1: Javier air Bias. If you wanted to hear our thoughts
Speaker 1: on that, check out last week's show when we went
Speaker 1: into shortstops and second basement. Those are the Thursday and
Speaker 1: Friday programs and just go back two hours each. Chris
Speaker 1: Venture of course joined us for the second hour in
Speaker 1: each edition. He'll also do the same today, so check
Speaker 1: those shows out as well. Speaking of things you need
Speaker 1: to check out, Frank's got a Patreon available right now.
Speaker 1: It's and it's not gonna be free after today. Today
Speaker 1: is the last position that Frank Staffeld is giving away
Speaker 1: for free all around the infield captcher, first base, second base,
Speaker 1: third base, and shortstop. When you get the outfield and
Speaker 1: we get the starting pictures, he has put so much
Speaker 1: work and so much time into that, I'll charge you
Speaker 1: for it. So if you want to get those outfield
Speaker 1: ranks and those starting pitcher ranks, please subscribe to Frank's Patreon.
Speaker 1: He's not asking for a lot. A dollar here, five
Speaker 1: dollars there, it's twenty five if you want exclusive access
Speaker 1: to him, So please take a look at Frank's Patreon.
Speaker 1: When do you can and subscribe, and he's one of
Speaker 1: the best of the business, so we strongly recommend doing that.
Speaker 1: Also when it comes to recommendations, I'll just keep, you know,
Speaker 1: keep plugging away here Mattimo at the Athletic They do
Speaker 1: fantastic stuff over there, So check out what matt has
Speaker 1: uh done and will do all season long. Okay, guys.
Speaker 1: Third basement, as I said when we headed headed into
Speaker 1: the break was Chris Bryant's a really interesting name to
Speaker 1: me this year because I feel like he's a bit
Speaker 1: of a forgototten mad. Everybody loves the top four guys
Speaker 1: that we mentioned. Everybody loves those guys, But last year
Speaker 1: Chris probably was one of those guys that everyone who's
Speaker 1: in love with it so much so that he was
Speaker 1: pretty universally a first or a second round pick. Now,
Speaker 1: after a down year, he's going off the board in
Speaker 1: the NFBC over the last month out a round pick
Speaker 1: number thirty three or thirty four. That puts him in
Speaker 1: a fifteen team league right in the early part of
Speaker 1: the second third round, and in the twelfth team league
Speaker 1: you're looking at closure to the end of the third round. Frank,
Speaker 1: why have people fallen out of love with Chris Bryant,
Speaker 1: and was last year kind of injury related and do
Speaker 1: you expect him about his back? Yeah, it was definitely
Speaker 1: injury related last year. Uh. I read it awesome article
Speaker 1: about you know how his stat cast bad ball data
Speaker 1: completely just tanked like pre injury verse pro injury, uh
Speaker 1: verse post injury, and it was. Look, his average eg
Speaker 1: velocity dipped to eighty four point five miles per hour
Speaker 1: in June, down from eighty eight point four miles per
Speaker 1: hour in April, eighty eight point six miles per hour
Speaker 1: in May, so pretty consistent, like he was hitting the
Speaker 1: ball hard in in April and May month and then
Speaker 1: it just completely tanked in June. Once you know, he
Speaker 1: suffered from that that shoulder injury in July, two weeks
Speaker 1: after he was returned from the injured list no longer
Speaker 1: the disabled list, which I mean, we could probably do
Speaker 1: a whole segment just talking about that. His exit velocity
Speaker 1: went down to seventy eight point five miles per hour greg.
Speaker 1: So there's no doubt in my mind that, you know,
Speaker 1: like his launch angle fell like he was hitting a
Speaker 1: lot of groundballs, He wasn't hitting the ball hard, like
Speaker 1: he was completely tanked by this shoulder injury last year. Uh,
Speaker 1: you know, on from the beginning of the season to
Speaker 1: MA he was batting three oh three with an ops
Speaker 1: over one thousand, and then from fromente on he was
Speaker 1: two fifty two. You know, he was slucking three eighty
Speaker 1: after that in two d and sixty seven plate appearances.
Speaker 1: So there's no doubt, there's no doubt that he was
Speaker 1: completely hampered by this injury. But I think I'm kind
Speaker 1: of similar to Carlos Correa. I'm kind of airing on
Speaker 1: the side of caution here. And look, you know a
Speaker 1: lot of people are where can I find that that
Speaker 1: third fourth round player that can return first round value? Like, okay,
Speaker 1: if you trust that Chris Bryant is going to be healthy,
Speaker 1: like he's probably one of the main culprits like Chris
Speaker 1: Bryant there and in Carlos Correa in the fourth round.
Speaker 1: But you know, as I've continuously said, the first really
Speaker 1: four rounds, I want to build my foundation, So I
Speaker 1: don't really know how much risk I can take on.
Speaker 1: It's like it's roster construction. If you trust your first
Speaker 1: round pick enough, someone that's been healthy, someone who's done it,
Speaker 1: maybe like no one Arronado. Uh, you know, maybe you
Speaker 1: can't afford to take this risk me personally. You know,
Speaker 1: these are the rounds, you know, the third round. Yeah,
Speaker 1: a lot of times I'm taking starting pitching. So I
Speaker 1: don't think I'm gonna end up with any shares with
Speaker 1: Chris Bryant. Like I was worried about the injury. You know,
Speaker 1: I wasn't even worried about Hi last year. It didn't
Speaker 1: get end up with any shares last year. I think
Speaker 1: over the past couple of seasons he's kind of been
Speaker 1: sacrificing some of the power in order to hit for
Speaker 1: more contact and hit from more batting average, which is
Speaker 1: great from like a real life perspective, but you know,
Speaker 1: I'd rather the Chris Bryant that used to strike out
Speaker 1: more and you know whatever still hit two seventy with
Speaker 1: thirty thirty five home runs. Like that's the Chris Bryan
Speaker 1: I won. So, you know, I didn't get any shares
Speaker 1: last year. I was kind of out, and I think
Speaker 1: it's kind of just carrying over this year. I'm worried
Speaker 1: about the injuries, I was worried about the performance already
Speaker 1: home in spring training over the weekend. So I mean, yeah,
Speaker 1: He's one of those names to follow during spring training
Speaker 1: where if he performs, then I would be more likely
Speaker 1: to go in on him to just making sure he's
Speaker 1: healthy during the spring. But as of right now, I
Speaker 1: don't think I can pull the trigger in the third round.
Speaker 1: That harder percentage going down two years in a row,
Speaker 1: as Frank mentioned, because he changed his approach at the
Speaker 1: plate from in It was a left shoulder injury that
Speaker 1: bothered Chris Bryant all throughout the year last year, so
Speaker 1: much so that he changed his approach at the plate
Speaker 1: to a two handed swing because he he was in
Speaker 1: so much pain. Frank talked about how he did hit
Speaker 1: that home run in spring training over the weekend he
Speaker 1: was back to his momental approach. Matt Chris Bryan is
Speaker 1: one of these guys. As Frank he said that you
Speaker 1: could draft in the third round and give you back
Speaker 1: first round of value. Are you interested? And I'm definitely interested.
Speaker 1: I think how played a major role last year. I
Speaker 1: don't have any bright shares right now, and it's pretty
Speaker 1: much gonna come down to the fact where if I
Speaker 1: haven't taken a picture, I really have to hone on
Speaker 1: hone in on uh. The aces that are left on
Speaker 1: the board in the third round. There's also the other
Speaker 1: third baseman that going that round or so with him,
Speaker 1: uh with for me even and even all over you,
Speaker 1: even all over one of him. Yeah, hey, d ndone
Speaker 1: is that is the guy for me. He's going more
Speaker 1: later in the third, early fourth, dependent upon league size
Speaker 1: and stuff like that. Everybody loves Vlad. I'd rather just
Speaker 1: take Rendone. I think you know you're hoping Lad season
Speaker 1: is what Anthony Rendone can do, and uh so, I
Speaker 1: think you have to see it. How you started your
Speaker 1: first two rounds makes really an impact here be which
Speaker 1: for me, Brian is a thirty home run guy and
Speaker 1: in a perfect world and in a perfect season for him,
Speaker 1: you can hit forty, but I would shoot it more
Speaker 1: towards that to seventy five average, and I don't trust
Speaker 1: the base running skills in it. I think you're gonna
Speaker 1: see him go double this again. I think it's more
Speaker 1: in that final the seven range being the hut. So
Speaker 1: we're gonna get into Vlad and Anthony Rendone in just
Speaker 1: a moment, frank Um, But what does Brian have to
Speaker 1: do this spring to get more on your radar? Because
Speaker 1: you look at the numbers, like he's obviously really really good.
Speaker 1: I know that's right. Oh about roster construction, that's like
Speaker 1: where he's drafting, Like yeah, sure he's interested, but he
Speaker 1: always winds up with his first picture potentially an outfielder.
Speaker 1: Way you need five of them. I know you're kind
Speaker 1: of in the same boat as well. But what does
Speaker 1: he have to show you in the spring? Because you
Speaker 1: said he wants of the guys you're gonna watch, What
Speaker 1: does he have to show you in the spring to
Speaker 1: make you pull the trigger? Ultimately? Health, that's what it
Speaker 1: comes down to. Health. Yeah, he's got he's gotta stay
Speaker 1: healthy throughout spring, and you don't want to see him
Speaker 1: can like go back to lifting the ball a little bit?
Speaker 1: Like again, you know he played over the weekend. He
Speaker 1: hit a home run already, so I mean, yeah, that's
Speaker 1: already an encouraging sign. But you know, I want to
Speaker 1: see him, you know as spring goes on, play deep,
Speaker 1: prefented games and you know see that he's you know,
Speaker 1: he's throwing the ball fine and you know there's no
Speaker 1: solder issues and you know, lifting the ball a little bit,
Speaker 1: you know, pop a couple of home runs out here
Speaker 1: in the spring, like those are things that I'm paying
Speaker 1: attention to, paying attention to, and I want to see
Speaker 1: because like again, I've already had my concerns with Chris Bryant.
Speaker 1: Uh you know, he went in the middle of the
Speaker 1: third round in the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. But I
Speaker 1: think the way that he went in the third round
Speaker 1: here is kind of a template as to how I
Speaker 1: would do it. Like if you take Max Scherzer in
Speaker 1: the first round and like you already have that that
Speaker 1: sp anchor, you come back in the second round and
Speaker 1: get like a Freddy Freeman and then couple that with
Speaker 1: Chris Bryant in the third round. I think that's kind
Speaker 1: of like the template, like to me, that would yeah,
Speaker 1: like that would be I could see that being away
Speaker 1: that that it would work out where I can maybe
Speaker 1: get it on Chris Bryant. But you know, as of now,
Speaker 1: I mean again, like I started two hitters, so I
Speaker 1: was looking at starting pitching in the third round, and
Speaker 1: I don't know that was something that Modica was talking about.
Speaker 1: I ended up taking Walker, butle little Chris Bryan wouldn't
Speaker 1: have even been on my radar, Like he's just not
Speaker 1: someone I was targeting Chris Bryant is third base and
Speaker 1: outfield eligible as well, which which certainly helps in leaves.
Speaker 1: Where do you need those five our fielders? Franky Matt
Speaker 1: also mentioned that a couple of picks later, it depending
Speaker 1: on where he picked around, Like Anthony round doings his
Speaker 1: guy this year. And I'm really excited to talk about
Speaker 1: a second about why Anthony rend dolins this guy. But
Speaker 1: Rendon and vlad are going a little bit later on
Speaker 1: in the third and fifteen team leagues, uh, closer to
Speaker 1: the middle of the fourth in twelve teen leagues. Which
Speaker 1: of these guys do you prefer? And why? Yeah, I
Speaker 1: have Anthony Rendona ranked higher than Vladimir Gero Junior. I
Speaker 1: can't really argue with what with what Modiquez said in
Speaker 1: terms of you know what what Vladimir garera, what people
Speaker 1: want Vladimir Guerrero Junior to do is basically what uh
Speaker 1: is basically what Anthony Rendon has done. Like the past
Speaker 1: few years, He's been at least at three oh one
Speaker 1: hitter in each of the past two seasons. Uh, you
Speaker 1: know the power, he's gonna be right around twenty five runs,
Speaker 1: you know, even with Bryce Harper potentially leaving the Nationals lineup.
Speaker 1: At this point, I don't expect them to be back
Speaker 1: with the Nationals. I don't think that their lineup is
Speaker 1: all is bad, right, Like they're gonna have Toredy Turner,
Speaker 1: like Juan Soto is gonna be at the top of
Speaker 1: that lineup. If those are the first two hitters, you know,
Speaker 1: I think there's gonna be a lot of uh, you know,
Speaker 1: RBI opportunities here for Anthony Rendon't. So you know the
Speaker 1: past few years, ninety two rbs last year, hundred RBIs
Speaker 1: the year before. I don't know that he has huge
Speaker 1: power upside, but you know he did play a hundred
Speaker 1: and thirty six games last year, So if he plays
Speaker 1: a hundred fifties, he closer to the thirty home runs,
Speaker 1: he's home run hitter. You know me, just projecting, I
Speaker 1: would say he's gonna be around three hundred hitter. He's
Speaker 1: gonna give you runs. He's gonna give you, you know,
Speaker 1: eighty five runs scored, and he's gonna give you bis.
Speaker 1: What more do you want at of Vladimir Guerrero junor
Speaker 1: there that Anthony Rendon't isn't giving you. You know what
Speaker 1: I'm saying well, right, Like, what can you expect as
Speaker 1: much fun as it will be? I think can hit
Speaker 1: like three twenty with like thirty home runs. Like, he's
Speaker 1: not gonna be up till the middle of April the
Speaker 1: earliest anyway, So he's gonna you know, he's gonna miss
Speaker 1: some time. And it's possible, like Ronald Lacuna definitely is
Speaker 1: going in the first round this year. Definitely. Is it impossible? No,
Speaker 1: But again it's you know, it's the safety of Anthony
Speaker 1: Rendon versus you know, really, what is the upside of
Speaker 1: Vladimir Guaro Junior. Like if you think he can hit
Speaker 1: three thirty with thirty home runs, then yeah, you're probably
Speaker 1: one of the people that's taking him. I mean you
Speaker 1: gotta kind of temper expectations a little bit here when
Speaker 1: it comes to lad Yeah, I mean real quick though,
Speaker 1: like a lad He's ninety percentile projection would be three
Speaker 1: twenty thirty plus home runs and that's great. Could that happen? Yes,
Speaker 1: there's to me, it's a small percentage of that happening. Uh.
Speaker 1: As far as Rendon goes, I do think there is
Speaker 1: some more power upside. As you said, he played a
Speaker 1: hundred thirty six he's been healthy for the most parties
Speaker 1: last three seasons. If he gets too closer to that
Speaker 1: one fifty range, I think he could hit thirty. He's
Speaker 1: got the battotball profile to do that. The flyballs are
Speaker 1: the hard hits getting better and better. He's you know,
Speaker 1: he's in that prime stage. I hate to use the
Speaker 1: twenty seven age, but he's right there. So, you know,
Speaker 1: I think there's just a lot, like there's a lot
Speaker 1: to like about both of these guys. Obviously, like vladis
Speaker 1: tantalizing thing, and I think that's a perfect word for
Speaker 1: him and what he could give Anthony Anthony Rizzo in
Speaker 1: that any Rendon in the age twenty nine season has
Speaker 1: finally found that consistency, which I think is really cool.
Speaker 1: I think early in the early in his career, he
Speaker 1: saw him put up the twenty old runs and they
Speaker 1: followed that up with five and he was hurt for
Speaker 1: the entire year, came back with twenty and now it's
Speaker 1: pretty consistently been around twenty five. He also, for the
Speaker 1: most part, he's a little banged up every year, which
Speaker 1: I think is kind of a concern, Like, yeah, he
Speaker 1: paid one with the six pack. It's twenty sixteen and
Speaker 1: twenty four He's missed an average of about sixteen games
Speaker 1: per season over the last three years. So so I
Speaker 1: do you're in a factor in like one de Elston,
Speaker 1: But if you do it, but if you take that
Speaker 1: in him and Ladder probably close to the same amount
Speaker 1: of games, then theoretically right Yeah, yeah, and uh, you know,
Speaker 1: shout out to uh, shout out to Alex Fast on
Speaker 1: Twitter Alex Fast eight D. You know, he's part of
Speaker 1: the pitcher List and he tweets out some of some
Speaker 1: great stats. He actually tweeted out earlier in the All
Speaker 1: season that expected home runs from last year Anthony Rendon's
Speaker 1: expected home runs were actually was supposed to be twenty nine.
Speaker 1: So I mean these are probably like ones like home
Speaker 1: runs that hit like all the top of the wall
Speaker 1: that ended up being doubles or whatever. So he's expected
Speaker 1: home runs for twenty nine and only a hundred and
Speaker 1: thirty six games. So yeah, I understand what Mordiq is
Speaker 1: saying about. Okay, maybe there's a little bit more power
Speaker 1: upside here than we're actually kind of uh, we're actually
Speaker 1: kind of believing. You know, he's always always placed his
Speaker 1: top fifty in average exit velocity. So the battle ball
Speaker 1: data is there, Maddie mom with Like, since the start
Speaker 1: of twenty seventeen, Andy Rondoon has ps that's thirteen best
Speaker 1: in baseball. He's one of theteen best hitters in baseball.
Speaker 1: And if you look at shares, you're like, over the
Speaker 1: four of the last five years, you're throwing five nineties seven.
Speaker 1: As far as playing appearance, and we will make that
Speaker 1: six hundred. I mean, he's pretty much you know, had
Speaker 1: six hundred plate appearances and five hundred playing appearances. You know, uh,
Speaker 1: he can get didn't for that, but look at the
Speaker 1: games the last three years. Six you know, that's that's
Speaker 1: pretty good. That's pretty solid. And he's great regardless of
Speaker 1: format too. Right, Look, look he's a four category contributor.
Speaker 1: He's not gonna run whatever. But you know he's kind
Speaker 1: of like in that center he's like a Nolan Arronado
Speaker 1: light that you're getting in the third round. But you know,
Speaker 1: even for points leads, he hits a lot of doubles.
Speaker 1: He makes a lot of contact, so you're not getting
Speaker 1: penalized for strikeouts. He has a five point five percent
Speaker 1: swinging strike rate in his career near contact rate, so
Speaker 1: if you get you get dinged for for strikeouts. He
Speaker 1: doesn't strike out. He's gonna make a lot of contact.
Speaker 1: I mentioned the bad ball data. You know, each of
Speaker 1: the past three seasons he's been top fifty and average
Speaker 1: eggs velocity, so you know he's he's making contact, he's
Speaker 1: making optimal contact. And you know even if he's not
Speaker 1: heating home runs, he's hitting double So helps you out
Speaker 1: in points lease. I think he's a fine player regardless
Speaker 1: of format. He's not one of the sexy picks, but
Speaker 1: he gets it done. Would you weird? Would you rather
Speaker 1: have Chris Bryan r anthony're Endon? I think grand don't
Speaker 1: has I think Brian has more upside. I would I
Speaker 1: would take Grandon. You would say him you gonna that
Speaker 1: your rankings currently pulling them up. I might ever known
Speaker 1: even ranked higher than already because I wasn't a christ
Speaker 1: I wasn't in a big Chris Bryan fan. I actually
Speaker 1: don't have them up, so I don't know I was
Speaker 1: making that up. Have them back to back? You doing
Speaker 1: them back to back every day We've done this, by
Speaker 1: the way, that changes rankings every single time. We've done
Speaker 1: this show every day. How do you really test the
Speaker 1: rankings just by doing you know, drafts right now, absolutely stuff.
Speaker 1: And when you see that guy that you just kind
Speaker 1: of have your next and you're picking the other guy instead,
Speaker 1: you know you're gonna pull that up. And that's just
Speaker 1: why that's why I believe in drafting early, and I
Speaker 1: think it can be a useful thing. There is risk
Speaker 1: when you walk out the door. Well, I mean, and
Speaker 1: then that's the fact. Like to be able to do
Speaker 1: drafts from January or early February through draft season in
Speaker 1: the middle to end of March, it only made it
Speaker 1: totally makes sense because you just learn more, You learn
Speaker 1: more about players values, where you're going, like you're doing
Speaker 1: this is great Fantasy Baseball invitational in a champions league
Speaker 1: because you're one year last year and you're you're very
Speaker 1: surprised by what you're seeing here, and I think that
Speaker 1: could be what is new piece certain guys being pulled
Speaker 1: up the board and it's a bit of a surprise. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean, look, you see this a lot in industry,
Speaker 1: right industry expert drafts, and you know, people want their players,
Speaker 1: like the value of everyone is being sucked out in
Speaker 1: this draft right now, Like y'all Ceque went with the
Speaker 1: second pick right fourth round, Like there's just no value.
Speaker 1: Like people who want their players right now are taking
Speaker 1: their place. Like Rohnas just took Jose Pros in the
Speaker 1: fifth round. You want to stolen basis. If Jose Pros
Speaker 1: is one of his guys, you gotta get your guys
Speaker 1: to Jonathan R went in the fifth round as well.
Speaker 1: I mean, well that's because you know, you see these
Speaker 1: two guys go in the fifth round, people are freaking
Speaker 1: out about stolen basis. That's what it comes down to.
Speaker 1: Two is still on the board, ozzielb is still on
Speaker 1: the board. How can you justify taking you know, Jonathan
Speaker 1: VR and Jose Pros over Ozzie Albi's the only way
Speaker 1: is you want stolen basis. That's the only way you
Speaker 1: can justify Greg. Yeah, I'm not gonna make that seed. Uh.
Speaker 1: One of the reasons w I've been saying this for
Speaker 1: a while. I've been in the belief well before the
Speaker 1: stole base attempts, which I'm not buying that. But like
Speaker 1: a guy like Trade Territor is just so safe. All
Speaker 1: you have to do is stay healthy. He'll still forty bases,
Speaker 1: score a hundred runs and then you have that speed
Speaker 1: there and you're getting you know, possibly fifty home runs
Speaker 1: chipped in with with a good average. But I'm not
Speaker 1: going to you know, pull guys up where there's better
Speaker 1: guys based on speed, for like a Paraza or Jonathan Valar.
Speaker 1: Jonathan Vallar should play every day, but there's also we've
Speaker 1: seen Jonathan Vollar fail as well, and that has to
Speaker 1: be a counter absolutely, and that's why I'm not exactly
Speaker 1: the big John n v R fan this year. All Right,
Speaker 1: we come back. We'll get into uh the second half
Speaker 1: of the top twelve third basements with Maddie Moe here
Speaker 1: on the Fantasy Sports Radio network, that Carpenter, and we're
Speaker 1: nine the NFC, despite the alsome year, we're back or
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Speaker 1: Welcome back to the Fantasy Best Friends Forever, Frank Stanford,
Speaker 1: joined by Greg Susman and our good buddy Mett Modica.
Speaker 1: Followm on Twitter at CTM Baseball Maddimo. One of the
Speaker 1: first things I gotta ask you here. I know we're
Speaker 1: doing the third base ranks, but I was talking to
Speaker 1: Greg about this during the break, right and you know,
Speaker 1: obviously everyone's kind of freaking out about the Clayton Kershaw
Speaker 1: thing right now. He's being shut down. No definitive timetable
Speaker 1: as of right now, but I mean this has superted people,
Speaker 1: and I think we're already kind of seeing it right
Speaker 1: A lot of these great Fantasy Baseball Invitational drafts are
Speaker 1: going on right now. Clayton Kershaw is a DP in
Speaker 1: the NFBC. Before all this was thirty seven. We are
Speaker 1: at pick seventy three. He has not been drafted yet.
Speaker 1: Is the end of the fifth round, the beginning of
Speaker 1: the sixth round in a fifteen team draft. I mean,
Speaker 1: at what point do you just kind of say screw it?
Speaker 1: I gotta take the risk with Clayton Kershaw because I'm
Speaker 1: trying to figure it out myself. Like I'm trying to
Speaker 1: figure it out on the fly, right, Like, at what
Speaker 1: point do you just say, like he's Clayton Kershaw. Yes,
Speaker 1: I'm worried about the shoulder injuries already He's been dealing
Speaker 1: with the back injuries. But like at some point the
Speaker 1: risks kind of, you know, it out, the value outweighs
Speaker 1: the risk is what I'm trying to stay here, Matt. So,
Speaker 1: I mean, at what point does that become apparent for
Speaker 1: you with Clayton Kershall right now? I mean he's pretty
Speaker 1: much been off my board from where he's been going,
Speaker 1: But as you stated, the free fall here, I think
Speaker 1: it's somewhere. Suit. Look, my biggest gripe about curse your
Speaker 1: entering the season wasn't the back. I didn't know there's
Speaker 1: gonna be a I I guess I should say now
Speaker 1: for that back injury, it's the decreased velocity and the
Speaker 1: plummeating strikeout rate, you know, creating kersher If even throwse
Speaker 1: dred and sixty eting with you know, a strikeout rate,
Speaker 1: that's not the picture I thought I was getting. But
Speaker 1: when you start getting into the sixth round or the
Speaker 1: seventh round, I think then you say, what the hell,
Speaker 1: and you know, you you let it right and maybe
Speaker 1: if you get a hundred and fifty hundred sixty and
Speaker 1: the velocity does stick up a little bit, you're gonna
Speaker 1: get a hell of a picture for that many innings. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I look, the velocity is concerning, Like the skills have
Speaker 1: conclined over the past couple of years for Kershaw, So
Speaker 1: you worry about those things. A strikeout rate obviously, you know. Look,
Speaker 1: he's just he's pitched a lot. He's pitched a lot
Speaker 1: of endings, right, Like I think it's you know that,
Speaker 1: and injuries are kind of catching up to him. So
Speaker 1: like it sucks, but like you know, other time has
Speaker 1: never lost here Greggy, So uh yeah, I just wanted
Speaker 1: to shock the Dodgers gave him an extra thirty million dollars,
Speaker 1: so I thought that was a little nuts. But I
Speaker 1: understand you're paying him for for his past achievements. I guess. Yeah.
Speaker 1: You know, someone laid that out to me too, like
Speaker 1: somebody in in college that I went that I went
Speaker 1: school with, said, you know, when you kind of think
Speaker 1: about it when you get players that kind of perform
Speaker 1: as awesome as they do on like their rookie deals
Speaker 1: or like during their arbitration eligible years, and then you
Speaker 1: end up like paying them this church like some of money.
Speaker 1: It's like you're kind of paying for the production that
Speaker 1: they gave you in the past, which is a weird
Speaker 1: way to think about it, but like you're ultimately you're
Speaker 1: looking out for your players. It doesn't happen as often
Speaker 1: as you know, maybe we would like it to happen
Speaker 1: or what it should be, because you know, and that's
Speaker 1: why the Patriots whatever you mean, absolutely, that's exactly right.
Speaker 1: You're absolutely right. Speaking of contracts, I think it's some
Speaker 1: time to ask you get third basement for a second
Speaker 1: about our Hicks's contracts seven years, seventy million dollars extension
Speaker 1: with the Yankees, which clapp get clapping. Yeah, look, I'm
Speaker 1: the guy deserves that. The Yankees were smart to do it.
Speaker 1: And you know, he's a hell of a defender, he's
Speaker 1: a better he's a very good hitter that doesn't get
Speaker 1: the claim that he should. And you know, if he
Speaker 1: can stay you know, relatively healthy all season long this year,
Speaker 1: I think he can be even better than lationship. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's that's absolutely right, And you're getting in, you know
Speaker 1: right now is what sometimes your outfield four. I mean,
Speaker 1: you know, I don't know if I want him as
Speaker 1: one of my top three outfielders. You could probably live
Speaker 1: with it based on like the way that your rest
Speaker 1: of the rest of your roster is constructed. But you're
Speaker 1: getting this guy's your outfield four. He has you know,
Speaker 1: twenty five home run upside and you steal a couple
Speaker 1: of bases, you know, ten to twelve bases. Like, he
Speaker 1: has a good O b P, a good eye at
Speaker 1: the plate. He's a good fielder as not even a
Speaker 1: good great fielder of an arm too, like you've seen
Speaker 1: some of the stat cast data in terms of like
Speaker 1: him throwing the ball, like throwing people out at the plate,
Speaker 1: throwing the ball like a hundred miles per hour. So
Speaker 1: he has a rocket for an arm. Uh, you know,
Speaker 1: seven years, it's a long deal. He's in the prime
Speaker 1: of his career. Well, I think we looked this up.
Speaker 1: He's twenty nine, turning thirty at the end of the
Speaker 1: season this year, so you basically lock him up for
Speaker 1: the prime years of his career. This hope he stays healthy.
Speaker 1: That's always kind of be in the bugaboo with Aaron Hicks.
Speaker 1: I think what's cool is um seven years, seventy million dollars,
Speaker 1: so he gets obviously gets paid, which is cool. Uh,
Speaker 1: And the Yankees have a very affordable contract on their hands.
Speaker 1: I think that ten million or so. It's about ten
Speaker 1: and a half million every year. The way it structure
Speaker 1: is this Serason only getting like six and a half.
Speaker 1: It's was ten and a half million almost every year
Speaker 1: the nine and a half of the end of the contract.
Speaker 1: It's very reasonable. It's like a very reasonable amount for
Speaker 1: a starting out fielder, especially a center fielder that projected
Speaker 1: one of the best center fielder defensively in all baseball.
Speaker 1: So I think of that perspective, it's good. I think
Speaker 1: seven years a long time. It commnce Aaron Hicks, who
Speaker 1: seems to be always not always injured, but like always
Speaker 1: kind of banged up when he's out there. He's got
Speaker 1: a great eye. I think of the press release they
Speaker 1: talked about that, I and his ability to not to
Speaker 1: strike out. And you know, the Yankees got killed a
Speaker 1: lot after the playoffs for just being a team of
Speaker 1: strikeout guys and home run guys. Aaron Nix does not
Speaker 1: strike out, and I think having more guys like that
Speaker 1: it was very interesting to them. And they clearly want
Speaker 1: to keep this cord together. I'm sure they're they've already,
Speaker 1: um it made a couple of signings, no doubt. They've
Speaker 1: extended Sevorino, and you have to imagine Aaron Judge and
Speaker 1: Did Gregorius or two the next guys that they'll probably
Speaker 1: want to extend. We'll see if and when that happens.
Speaker 1: Let's get back to third baseman, and I think the
Speaker 1: natural transition here is a guy that is it the
Speaker 1: next tier of guys. I'd say that's Miguel and you Are.
Speaker 1: I know, NFBC, he's in the top ten. Um A
Speaker 1: handing a Sparez carpenter company for him. But we're talking
Speaker 1: about the A, so I think it's a good time
Speaker 1: to bring up Miguel and you Are, who had over
Speaker 1: forty doubles last year as a rookie. The biggest concerns
Speaker 1: with him as a baseball player is his fielding. We
Speaker 1: do not care about his fielding when it comes to
Speaker 1: fantasy baseball, not necessarily. I mean it could it could
Speaker 1: impact his playing time. You know if he if he's
Speaker 1: a dreadful fielder. I mean, you know, they signed d
Speaker 1: Jail and make Hugh because he has the ability to
Speaker 1: be a utility, utility kind of player. You know, they
Speaker 1: say he could play second and can play third, he
Speaker 1: could play first base a little bit. So you know,
Speaker 1: if if Andrew Hart is really that bad at third base,
Speaker 1: and I mean he could lose some playing time, is
Speaker 1: it a huge concern of mine. No, But I you know,
Speaker 1: I will say I don't think that there's necessarily no
Speaker 1: effect that his defense has on his fantasy value, because
Speaker 1: I do at least think that there's there's some effects here. Um,
Speaker 1: look twenty seven home runs. I think the power really
Speaker 1: kind of jumped off the page last year, more so
Speaker 1: than we thought he would. If you look at his
Speaker 1: minor league profile, he really hit a lot of doubles.
Speaker 1: He hit for a high batting average, pretty solid contact raids.
Speaker 1: Doesn't strike out all that much either, you know, just
Speaker 1: sixteen percent strikeout rate last season in major league. So
Speaker 1: makes a lot of contact, a lot of line drive contact.
Speaker 1: But you know, playing Yankee Stadium and some of those
Speaker 1: other ballparks in the A L East, you know, the
Speaker 1: doubles are turning into home runs even sooner than we thought.
Speaker 1: You know, he's kind of he's a bigger stature dude.
Speaker 1: So seven home runs, all right, I don't know. I'm
Speaker 1: not sure that he gets back there, but I think
Speaker 1: he's safe for at least in that range. He's one
Speaker 1: of these interesting cases, Greg, where he paces a lot
Speaker 1: of pitches. He's very aggressive, but he makes a lot
Speaker 1: of contact on those pitches. You know, shout out to
Speaker 1: uh to Garry and Thrown. I heard him talking about this.
Speaker 1: He kind of likened it to UH to VLADIMC. Guerrero senior,
Speaker 1: where you know this that was one of like the
Speaker 1: last players that we saw chase a lot of pitches
Speaker 1: but still make a lot of contact and pretty good
Speaker 1: contact on those pitches outside the strike zone. So, you know,
Speaker 1: I thought that was a pretty cool comp But you know,
Speaker 1: I think to eight home runs, you know he's gonna
Speaker 1: be in the Yankees lineup, so the county stats will
Speaker 1: be there too. Is another guy where you know, he's
Speaker 1: a four category player, doesn't really doesn't give you anything
Speaker 1: in the speed department, but you know, if he does
Speaker 1: play every single day, you might have the upside for
Speaker 1: even more I mean he had nine d RBIs last year.
Speaker 1: He plays every single day in the middle of this lineup.
Speaker 1: It's not outside the remo possibility that he drives in
Speaker 1: a hundred runs. That's still just twenty three years old.
Speaker 1: He'll he'll turn it'll turn to my four next week,
Speaker 1: So it's a twenty four year old player. I think
Speaker 1: he does have room to grill, like I don't know that.
Speaker 1: We saw the ceiling last year Miguel and har which
Speaker 1: is kind of scintillating. Saything bad about in Hard. It
Speaker 1: was very good to be last year. And I think
Speaker 1: French right, we're about that batting average, not the three
Speaker 1: to think that will come down. I think you could
Speaker 1: go either way here. He's either really gonna, you know,
Speaker 1: turn it on and break that thirty Harmer and Barrier
Speaker 1: or hanging around. I think he's a solid player. I
Speaker 1: just think the position is so deep that I don't
Speaker 1: need to grab Andrew Hard where he's going. Uh, you know,
Speaker 1: there's just other guys there that can give me similar
Speaker 1: skills or different skills at that position if I so choose. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and and no doubt that's fair. There's two guys go
Speaker 1: ahead of the NFEC that will mention and do Horr
Speaker 1: is going around pick in the NFBC, which puts him
Speaker 1: where frank than four him in the sixth round of
Speaker 1: fifteen team draft, early six team going so early early six,
Speaker 1: and he was going harder, so he's actually he's dropped
Speaker 1: a little bit. He's dropped a little bit. So it's
Speaker 1: really him and like a hand O squarre Suarez going
Speaker 1: a little bit higher, like very firmly, you know, in
Speaker 1: that early early fifth round range. He's going a little
Speaker 1: bit higher than Andrew Harror. But when I look when
Speaker 1: I look at Miguel and Harror, as I mentioned, like,
Speaker 1: I see a player that I believes looking girl like,
Speaker 1: I think he gets over third and maybe a little
Speaker 1: ni even and Yankee bias or whatever, but I think
Speaker 1: definitely a Yankee bias for sure. I think he gets
Speaker 1: over thirty home runs. I think that, Like the strike
Speaker 1: rate is the crazy thing to me, because he he
Speaker 1: has such great context that you look at his entire
Speaker 1: minor leage profile. He doesn't strike out because he swings
Speaker 1: in everything. This is a guy everything. Yeah, he doesn't
Speaker 1: walk at all, he never had. He's another one of these.
Speaker 1: You know, there are a lot of hitters like that
Speaker 1: in the game. They're specific really don't walk a lot,
Speaker 1: but aggressive swingers they swing had a lot of pitches
Speaker 1: outside the strike zone, you know, like Starling Marte comes
Speaker 1: to mind as well, another guy who makes a lot
Speaker 1: of contact, doesn't really walk all that much. But that
Speaker 1: doesn't mean that they can't be valuable for fantasy purposes,
Speaker 1: like it could definitely work. And they will say this
Speaker 1: the second half for Andrew Hard, he did make a
Speaker 1: conscious effort to try and lift the ball a little
Speaker 1: bit more. Uh. You know, first half he was you
Speaker 1: know to seventy nine eighteen percent line drive rate, uh,
Speaker 1: thirty three percent flyball rate. In the second half, you know,
Speaker 1: three nineteen batting average, five seventy five slugging. You know,
Speaker 1: he had fifteen on runs in the second half to
Speaker 1: fifty six isolated power line drive right, so that goes
Speaker 1: up four percent. His fly ball rate goes up six percent,
Speaker 1: up to thirty nine percent in the second half year. Uh,
Speaker 1: and you know, the hard hit percentage right around the
Speaker 1: same the home run flyball ratio goes up a little bit.
Speaker 1: So based on that second half, if those kind of
Speaker 1: battle ball numbers carry over, this year. It's not necessarily
Speaker 1: gonna happen. A lot of people like to use second
Speaker 1: half as indicators. It doesn't necessarily mean it's gonna happen,
Speaker 1: but if it does, then that's where you kind of
Speaker 1: see like the thirty maybe even thirty plus home run
Speaker 1: upside come into play. If he carries over that second
Speaker 1: half bad in ball data, it's just as long as
Speaker 1: you continue to make contact at the obviously the rate
Speaker 1: that he was in that second half, he's gonna be
Speaker 1: really good. I think he could be Like I know, Matts,
Speaker 1: it's a little rich for his blood. And there's a
Speaker 1: lot of guys. Yeah, here's war though at the end
Speaker 1: of that six the early seventh you do have other
Speaker 1: guys too, like saying you needed to feel something else,
Speaker 1: you needed to get that closer. There's a Josh Donaldson,
Speaker 1: There's a Will Myers. There's Justin Turner, who's one of
Speaker 1: the best hitters in all the baseball We know he's
Speaker 1: getting up there and getting older. Or even if I wait,
Speaker 1: one guy who this is a bad help, like Frank said,
Speaker 1: you got gotta watch in preseason, is Matt Chapman. You
Speaker 1: look at Matt Chapman's road numbers, and you put Nolan
Speaker 1: Arronado's home numbers and Matt Chapman's away numbers side by side,
Speaker 1: you're looking at it pretty much the same player. Chapman
Speaker 1: was ridiculous last year. He was, so I was looking
Speaker 1: at his numbers, and you know what I really found
Speaker 1: surprising if you won't even realize this, but Matt Chapmans
Speaker 1: scored a hundred runs last year. Scored a hundred runs,
Speaker 1: Like I wouldn't have even guessed that, But you know,
Speaker 1: he was the Oakland A's lineup like the first half
Speaker 1: of it last year, like was was very potent, like
Speaker 1: Chris Davis. Davis obviously one on that tear. I expect
Speaker 1: Matt Olsen to take another step as well. The one
Speaker 1: the big his issue right now with Chapman is the injuries.
Speaker 1: So Matt, right, you gotta pay attention during spring, like
Speaker 1: if you're drafting right now, I don't know if I
Speaker 1: could pull the trigger like I think he's falling down
Speaker 1: draft boards a little bit because of it. But it
Speaker 1: is what they're like, they got worry some injuries. You know,
Speaker 1: it's the thumb, so that's ability to hold the bat
Speaker 1: and grip the bat and then it's shoulder to which
Speaker 1: could affect his power. So as great as match Happman was,
Speaker 1: I thought he made huge tries last season. If he
Speaker 1: was healthy, you know, I think he might even be
Speaker 1: going around this and her range, to be honest with
Speaker 1: which is crazy to say, but he made that many
Speaker 1: improvements last year throughout the course of the season. But
Speaker 1: I'm I'm really worried about these injuries, I mean, shoulder
Speaker 1: and thumbs together, especially now that like you know, he's
Speaker 1: still dealing with him like he's getting a later start
Speaker 1: in spring training than everyone else. It's it's not a little,
Speaker 1: it's a lot annoying, fair enough, because this is a
Speaker 1: guy that you know, we could have been all over
Speaker 1: like he would have been an active target of mine.
Speaker 1: We talked about um meal and horror, and you said,
Speaker 1: Frank that the person that you see him closely compared
Speaker 1: to that, compared to you, but it's similar, but he's
Speaker 1: pretty much higher than him is Hauarez, who's going off
Speaker 1: the board like picks ahead of him in the early
Speaker 1: fifth round in those fifteen team leagues. What's up? Man?
Speaker 1: This is not gonna be a popular take, and some people, uh,
Speaker 1: some people might want to attack me for it. But
Speaker 1: I'm a little worried about au Henningo Suarez just because
Speaker 1: the price that you have to pay right now. Look,
Speaker 1: I love the Reds lineup, you know, I want exposure
Speaker 1: to ya c l P League, And you know, Joey
Speaker 1: Vado should bounce back as well, and Scooter Jeanette and
Speaker 1: all these guys, and I think I think it could
Speaker 1: be a great lineup. It's a great ballpark. And he
Speaker 1: was otherworldly in the first half last season. You know,
Speaker 1: he three o ps. You know, he was one of
Speaker 1: the ten best hitters in baseball. Like he missed time
Speaker 1: last year and he's still drop runs. He was awesome. Uh,
Speaker 1: you know, fifty one percent hard hit rate in the
Speaker 1: first half last season. Second half last year, I mean
Speaker 1: he took a step back. I mean he you know,
Speaker 1: the strikeout percentage goes up by nine percent. It went
Speaker 1: from nineteen and a half percent in the first half
Speaker 1: to eight percent. He was a seven eight five ops,
Speaker 1: so nearly lowers by two hundred points. Uh. You hit
Speaker 1: rates still at the ball extremely hard. So oh, I
Speaker 1: just worry. You know, people are kind of paying the
Speaker 1: premium right now, like based on what he did last
Speaker 1: year and he had an awesome first half, and you know,
Speaker 1: maybe this is just his natural progression as a player
Speaker 1: and a hitter at the major league level. So you know,
Speaker 1: maybe you can kind of take what he did in
Speaker 1: the first half and do that over the course of
Speaker 1: a full season. Maybe that's like his next step in progression.
Speaker 1: I'm a little bit more worried. I'm a little bit
Speaker 1: more worried about the second half. I think you're kind
Speaker 1: of paying up in that fifth round range for what
Speaker 1: might be close to his ceiling this season. Um, and
Speaker 1: I know a lot of people might not like to
Speaker 1: hear that. Yeah, I'm I'm always frank here. I think, Look,
Speaker 1: I think the power is real. I'm not doubting that.
Speaker 1: I think the average is more than that two fifty
Speaker 1: to sixty range for Matt I'd probably be more comfortable
Speaker 1: with Andrew Hard now and just saying Suarez is actually
Speaker 1: dropping down. He was going in certain spots third, fourth
Speaker 1: round a couple of months back. So I think his
Speaker 1: price is at least coming back to uh something that's
Speaker 1: more I don't know, more agreeable, though I'm not paying
Speaker 1: that right now. The one takeaway I think you should
Speaker 1: get from third base is that the quarter at the
Speaker 1: quarter position. In most cases not at all, but in
Speaker 1: most cases this season, you're gonna be filling that corner
Speaker 1: with a third basement over a first basement. I think
Speaker 1: that's pretty obvious. Yeah, I think it's a really good takeaway, Matt.
Speaker 1: That third base is just is really plentiful. Like, we've
Speaker 1: gone through, um, what eight or n nine guys now
Speaker 1: with you, Matt, I'll do the rest of the venture
Speaker 1: coming in in the next hour. I'm having like all
Speaker 1: of them. If there's none of these guys that stand
Speaker 1: out like I don't want this guy. And we've done
Speaker 1: a lot of these previews. Now, Frank, we got Suarez
Speaker 1: in a Best Ball draft, like I think I got
Speaker 1: him in the fifth, sixth round where you know, to
Speaker 1: me he was the best player left on the whole time.
Speaker 1: I'm not necessarily opposed to taking him, but it kind
Speaker 1: of feels a little b high if he continues to
Speaker 1: drop a little bit, like if you start to get
Speaker 1: him in the sixth round, like I'd be more I'd
Speaker 1: be more apt to do something like I have no
Speaker 1: issue with any of these guys, Matt, before we let
Speaker 1: you go, because I know you gotta you gotta run um.
Speaker 1: We talked about Matt Carpenter during our First Base show.
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on Matt Carpenter? We got under
Speaker 1: a minute. I think it's more of the same. I
Speaker 1: love the Goldsmith a dish you that really helps him
Speaker 1: out in the tot On was drafted hold, which is
Speaker 1: o b P. I took him in the fourth round
Speaker 1: in a regular average league. I'm gonna wait longer. I
Speaker 1: do like the dual eligibility for the corners, but he's
Speaker 1: not a guy that I have to have. It sounds
Speaker 1: like it sounds like there's a lot of those guys
Speaker 1: like other than Anthony Rendon, But like, like I think
Speaker 1: the way to phrase it is, I'm not enamored with it.
Speaker 1: Like you know, I don't love Matt Carpenter. If I
Speaker 1: end up with him, like, it's fine, Maddie, real quick
Speaker 1: before we let you go. Who has been your most
Speaker 1: uh I guess outside of Anthony Rendon because that's been
Speaker 1: I think like one of your most avid targets this
Speaker 1: season outside of him. Who who's the next third basement
Speaker 1: up that you're targeting most? Bits between Justin Turner and
Speaker 1: Will Mariles depending upon what I need you know that's
Speaker 1: one of these guys that will never quit. Anybody is
Speaker 1: one of those guys. I mean, especially with the ad
Speaker 1: as well. Just called Wilmers, Sammy Watkins from Atladka. That's what.
Speaker 1: That's a good coming, alright, Mattie. Well we'll tell him
Speaker 1: next Monday on this very show follow us CCN Baseball.
Speaker 1: We're back with venta Ray after this very m