WEBVTT - Feb. 25th,  Hour 1:Third Base preview with Matt Modica

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<v Speaker 1>us there. Enjoy the show and thanks for listening. You're

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<v Speaker 1>listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Fantasy Best Friends Forever.

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<v Speaker 1>M Do to Do Do Do Do Do Do Do

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<v Speaker 1>Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do doo

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<v Speaker 1>yeoh is as the Fantasy best Friends Forever. Here are

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<v Speaker 1>the Fantasy Sports Radio Network alongside Frankie Stamfele and I

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<v Speaker 1>am so excited to say alongside my buddy Maddie mo

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<v Speaker 1>Ma moca the first time and way too long. I

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<v Speaker 1>am Greg sug It's a Modica Monday here, very excited

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<v Speaker 1>to have him on. I I do you understand like

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<v Speaker 1>how far behind I am in baseball because I don't

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<v Speaker 1>talk to that every day now. He talked very often

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<v Speaker 1>lost and I need to be found today, Malodeca, how

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<v Speaker 1>are you, sir I'm doing good. Great to be talking.

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<v Speaker 1>And are you surprised that Mexico is not paid for

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<v Speaker 1>our wall yet? Oh? Man? Uh, Maddie writing for the

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<v Speaker 1>Athletic of course, and uh, totally awesome. He wrote the

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<v Speaker 1>third base pretty you for thirdays, fresks and whatnot for

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<v Speaker 1>the Athletic and we're talking at our basement today. So

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<v Speaker 1>it really worked out well Automodica Monday to have madiemo

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<v Speaker 1>um in studio where he guess on Skype with us,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh, to really break it down, Um, Frank, how's

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<v Speaker 1>your reeking money? My weekend was was very fun, Greg,

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of a lot of wedding venue searching. I

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<v Speaker 1>went to I went to one Saturday and Sunday, So

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<v Speaker 1>I mean that's obviously not a lot of fun, um,

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<v Speaker 1>but yeah, I mean that was it. Baseball, man. The

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<v Speaker 1>fact that we have baseball every single day now again

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<v Speaker 1>is uh, it's pretty awesome. So I spent a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of time yesterday basically from you know, one until I

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<v Speaker 1>had to leave the house like four o'clock, just watching

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<v Speaker 1>a ton of baseball. So that that's great, that's great,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's yeah, that's fantastic. I did not I also

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<v Speaker 1>did wedding stuff. Yesterday we were I was in um

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<v Speaker 1>Hoboken at a restaurant trying to book a rehearsal to

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<v Speaker 1>her place. That was a free food so wasn't enjoyable.

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<v Speaker 1>That's good. Modiquez like, yeah, I'm already married. Like he's

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<v Speaker 1>just so far because like, I'm just gonna take pictures

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<v Speaker 1>of my food and tweet it out, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>that's that's pretty much where I'm at. There's nothing wrong

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<v Speaker 1>with that. Yeah, he's nothing wrong with that. That's what

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<v Speaker 1>I hear. Man, you gotta eat. We I ate so

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<v Speaker 1>much food off right, and I came it was disgusting

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<v Speaker 1>how much I'm gonna like. But even my friends who

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<v Speaker 1>were like fat, we're just like like Jeff, who was like, dude,

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<v Speaker 1>that's disgusting. Wow, Jeff, it's because you're the Jeff fan.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not fair, Jeff. And Jeff like, he's never gonna

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<v Speaker 1>say that. He's like a felt guy. I don't mean

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<v Speaker 1>that he's fat. He's like a humongous dude. But he

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<v Speaker 1>loves to eat. We all do. And Jeff was like,

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<v Speaker 1>you ate too much, dude. I'm like, oh god, this

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<v Speaker 1>is bad. Picking out it was we we both were

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<v Speaker 1>all right, let's start a third base guys, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>really perfect person to start with, and that's Jose Ramirez.

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<v Speaker 1>He's number one guy, number one third basement off the

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<v Speaker 1>board according the NFBC in them of February, going around

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<v Speaker 1>pick three or four. And it's really good to start

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<v Speaker 1>here because Frank h the Great Fans Baseball Invitational started

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<v Speaker 1>over the weekend and you grab Tosie Ramirez. And the

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<v Speaker 1>crazy thing was you didn't grab him in the first

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<v Speaker 1>three or four picks. You grabbed him in eight and

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<v Speaker 1>had to look all around the internet to make sure

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<v Speaker 1>he wasn't dead. He's not dead. He's very much alive.

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<v Speaker 1>And he's the first third baseman off the board in

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<v Speaker 1>most leagues. Why the drop? Why are people scared of

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<v Speaker 1>this guy who you looked at his numbers is really

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<v Speaker 1>breaking awesome. I think people are scared about the second half.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's really what it comes down to. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>the past couple of years, Look, Jose Ramirez, Uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>he's kind of sacrificed some of his batting average and

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<v Speaker 1>in order to try and hit for more power. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>he's done so quite successfully. Look, you know, he's one

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<v Speaker 1>of these guys in the first round that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>even if he doesn't get back to his days of

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<v Speaker 1>hitting three hundred, he could still give you thirty home

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<v Speaker 1>runs and you know, twenty five stolen bases. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a few select guys that can do that. It's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Christian Yellots can do that, Mike Trout, Mookie

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<v Speaker 1>Betts and you know, Rondal Lacuna. After that, it's like

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<v Speaker 1>all right, like you know, you're gonna try and find

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<v Speaker 1>that as best as you could. But you know, he's

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<v Speaker 1>actually one of these guys that still does have that upside.

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<v Speaker 1>I do have some concerns about the Cleveland Indians lineup

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<v Speaker 1>and the fact that Lindore is dealing with this injury.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, I'm expecting the counting stats to come

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<v Speaker 1>back a little bit last year a hundred and ten runs,

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred and five RBIs. But look, he's still a super,

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<v Speaker 1>super talented player, and you know, I was pleased to

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<v Speaker 1>get him at at pick eight yesterday, especially in Rodo.

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<v Speaker 1>Like I told you, Greg, I want to start, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to get my outfield. I want to get

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<v Speaker 1>my starting pitching early. I took outfield and round two

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<v Speaker 1>I took starting pitching rounds three and four. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>my ideal starting pitching, you know, you know what I

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<v Speaker 1>would have expected coming into the draft. But again, this

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<v Speaker 1>is what I told you, Like, if there are players

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<v Speaker 1>on the board that you can't pass up on in

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<v Speaker 1>the first or second round, and their hitters, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>kind of like where you have to adjust. So I

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<v Speaker 1>end up with Jose Ramirez and Bryce Harper as my

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<v Speaker 1>first two picks, and from pick eight in the fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>team league, I'll do that every single time that you're

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<v Speaker 1>really good at this way. I asked you here, like

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<v Speaker 1>what happened and when you were real to figuring it out,

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<v Speaker 1>and what happened in between the first and second half

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<v Speaker 1>that Josie Ramier. Josie Ramirez struggled so mightily, had three

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<v Speaker 1>and first half had thirty twenty basically homers and still amazes.

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<v Speaker 1>And then in the second half of the year he

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<v Speaker 1>only bad to eight team down from twenty nine homers

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<v Speaker 1>to ten. Uh the steels twenty to fourteen. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>not a huge job, but half the amount of r

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<v Speaker 1>b i s, not even close to the amount of

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<v Speaker 1>run scored. What happened through the first half of the

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<v Speaker 1>second half. That changed for Josie Ramirez, Well, yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean the obvious is the bad, but I think it

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<v Speaker 1>was like two oh eight net second half. The plate

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<v Speaker 1>skills actually improved, So you know, That's why I'm not worried.

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<v Speaker 1>The only thing I can think of was maybe there

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<v Speaker 1>was an undisclosed injury. Was the only negative I saw

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<v Speaker 1>in that second half as far as when you do

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<v Speaker 1>a deep dive, was the hard hit percentage came down

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<v Speaker 1>from you know, the other The counter argument would be, h,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe he got you know, he faced a gay huge

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<v Speaker 1>of breaking balls and couldn't square them up and stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>But look, the guy's got Joey Vado's plate skills. He

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<v Speaker 1>trade Turner's Ackerman on the base pads. I mean, and

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<v Speaker 1>even if you're gonna go Wolf of last year, which

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<v Speaker 1>being a career year, and you regress him like I

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<v Speaker 1>will do it Yellow as well, they're both gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>really good. I mean, I'm gonna put Ramirez at at

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<v Speaker 1>least two eighty for the batting average. You could do

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<v Speaker 1>better than that, but at least that. And even if

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<v Speaker 1>he's twenty seven homers and uh stolen bases, Look, he's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna score runs, he's gonna drive an abist even if

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<v Speaker 1>this lineup is an ideal, which I agree with on that,

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<v Speaker 1>And I think the best part about Lindor's injury is

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<v Speaker 1>that it happened so early and hopefully he's not rushed,

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<v Speaker 1>and even if he misses a week or two, you

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<v Speaker 1>know he's going to produce good is just producing bad

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<v Speaker 1>lineups all the time? I mean, I've heard that argument

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<v Speaker 1>in the past, and I think that's kind of a

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<v Speaker 1>foolish one. How about you know, Freddie Freeman, it was

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<v Speaker 1>like three or four years ago in any way, every

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<v Speaker 1>part in the Braids lineup was brutal. They can out here,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, just firing away. You know, everyone wanted to,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, write him off because the Braids line up

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<v Speaker 1>look terrible. But you know, the best players can you know,

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<v Speaker 1>This is what we kind of say about fantasy football,

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<v Speaker 1>right is like you draft the best players because they're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna perform even in bad match. It's kind of similar here,

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<v Speaker 1>where even the best players in baseball are going to

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<v Speaker 1>perform because they're the best players in baseball. So I

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<v Speaker 1>think that that, you know, is in line with Jose Ramirez.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, since the start of p S over the

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<v Speaker 1>past few years fourth best in baseball. That would make

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<v Speaker 1>you one of the best hitters in baseball w r

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<v Speaker 1>C plus sixth best in baseball. Uh, the ops dropped

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<v Speaker 1>off huge in the second half last year. Modica mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>the hard hit ray dropped the home run the flyball

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<v Speaker 1>ratio dropped ten too in the second half, So you

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<v Speaker 1>know that those things kind of coinside you're not hitting.

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<v Speaker 1>He's still hitting a lot of flyballs, but you know,

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<v Speaker 1>if you're not hitting them at as hard, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe those are just lazy flyballs or you know, balls

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<v Speaker 1>that are dying on the warning track rather than going out.

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<v Speaker 1>So he's not really a big do you don't like

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<v Speaker 1>he doesn't have the stature. He's not some one that

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<v Speaker 1>you would expect to hit thirty five home runs. But

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<v Speaker 1>I agree with that man, Like, even if he comes

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<v Speaker 1>back to you know, I have its projection for two

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<v Speaker 1>eighty thirty home runs, ninety five runs r BIS, twenty

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<v Speaker 1>two stone bases, that's still a top five six player

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<v Speaker 1>in fantasy baseball. Absolutely, Absolutely, he's fantastic. What separates him

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<v Speaker 1>from the second, second, third basement off the board, Nolan

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<v Speaker 1>Aranado is that speed, right, he just has more speed

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<v Speaker 1>than Eronado, who will give you the forty home runs

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<v Speaker 1>it plays in cours like I get it could lead

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<v Speaker 1>the league in RBI watch every year. He just doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>have the speed. And that's one of the reasons that

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<v Speaker 1>Ramirez goes before Nolan Arronado, who right now, according to

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<v Speaker 1>the NFBC in the month February is going pretty much

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<v Speaker 1>about pick eight. Still see him in the middle of

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<v Speaker 1>the first round. But Break, I do say this to you,

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<v Speaker 1>whenever Nolan Aronado seems to be the top guy on

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<v Speaker 1>the board, you're always kind of hesitant, like I know

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<v Speaker 1>you've gone like Jacob deGrom Chris Sell direction when it

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<v Speaker 1>seemed like Eronado was the best hitter off the board.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that a roster construction thing or do you have

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<v Speaker 1>something gets the Seronado? It's something that pulls you away

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<v Speaker 1>from him. Now, you know, I think there's a clear

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<v Speaker 1>top eight players right now that I'm looking at, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I got Joser mirrors at eight. But I

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<v Speaker 1>think between Trout Bets Trey Turner. Now with this stolen

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<v Speaker 1>base upside, a lot of people are getting excited about,

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<v Speaker 1>you know this, this possibility of seventy eighties stolen base attempts.

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<v Speaker 1>He went third in my great fantasy based momentation, So

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<v Speaker 1>people are buying into it. A Kuna yell at j

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<v Speaker 1>D Martinez, Erzer and then Jose are mirrors and then

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<v Speaker 1>the next man up. I mean I would say it

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<v Speaker 1>is Eronado. I would take him over those starting pitchers.

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<v Speaker 1>I know, you know, third base overall this year, I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's a little bit deeper than it normally, as

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's one of the deepest positions this year

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<v Speaker 1>in fantasy baseball. But again, it's like being able to

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<v Speaker 1>set your watch to two eighty five thirty five home runs,

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred runs, a hundred RBIs. Even if he doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>give you stolen bases, that's great. That's something great to

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<v Speaker 1>get there. And you know, Matt, I'll kind of get

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<v Speaker 1>your take on this. We did the we did the

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<v Speaker 1>second base in shortstop previews last week, and I said,

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<v Speaker 1>I think there are two players that if you've taken

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<v Speaker 1>the first round, they make sense as the players that

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<v Speaker 1>you can pair with. Adalberto Mondescy. Adelberto Mondessey one of

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<v Speaker 1>the most polarizing players this year for fantasy baseball. He's

0:11:07.760 --> 0:11:10.439
<v Speaker 1>going to like the third fourth round of fifteen team drafts,

0:11:10.800 --> 0:11:14.040
<v Speaker 1>And I said j D. Martinez and Eronado because those

0:11:14.080 --> 0:11:17.120
<v Speaker 1>guys are four category contributors who are gonna give you

0:11:17.280 --> 0:11:19.680
<v Speaker 1>the safe batting average where you can kind of afford

0:11:19.720 --> 0:11:22.240
<v Speaker 1>to take that risk with Adalberto Mondacy because you know

0:11:22.320 --> 0:11:24.640
<v Speaker 1>he has that big stolen base upside and won't necessarily

0:11:24.720 --> 0:11:26.959
<v Speaker 1>kill you in the power department. So Eronado and me

0:11:27.440 --> 0:11:29.880
<v Speaker 1>Eronado and j. D. Martinez to me, are the two

0:11:29.880 --> 0:11:32.560
<v Speaker 1>guys that you can kind of pair Adalberto Mondescy with.

0:11:32.720 --> 0:11:34.880
<v Speaker 1>What do you think about Ernado? Would would you take

0:11:34.960 --> 0:11:36.600
<v Speaker 1>him if you had like the ninth pick and those

0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:41.640
<v Speaker 1>top eight players are gone? Uh? You know, I can't

0:11:41.679 --> 0:11:45.439
<v Speaker 1>say it's it's a bad move. Like you said, he's automatic.

0:11:45.480 --> 0:11:48.760
<v Speaker 1>He's a fantastic four player him and j D. Martini,

0:11:48.920 --> 0:11:52.760
<v Speaker 1>as you made the as you laid it out, they

0:11:52.760 --> 0:11:55.040
<v Speaker 1>are gonna leave you without stolen bases. But what they

0:11:55.080 --> 0:11:57.679
<v Speaker 1>give you in your other four categories is you know,

0:11:57.960 --> 0:12:00.640
<v Speaker 1>such stout numbers that you can go that. I mean,

0:12:00.679 --> 0:12:03.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to but a guy like Trade Turner

0:12:03.240 --> 0:12:06.160
<v Speaker 1>to me is somebody that's up there too. So it's

0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:10.480
<v Speaker 1>all about how you go into your draft. Whenever if

0:12:10.559 --> 0:12:14.080
<v Speaker 1>you know your selection prior, you should be able to

0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:16.200
<v Speaker 1>set up aboard. So if you're gonna go to the

0:12:16.400 --> 0:12:19.640
<v Speaker 1>Arnado route, okay, where am I gonna get my first picture?

0:12:20.160 --> 0:12:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Where am I gonna get speed? At what point do

0:12:22.600 --> 0:12:25.600
<v Speaker 1>I invest in a closure? I mean, these are things

0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:29.240
<v Speaker 1>that should be prerequisites before you walk in the draft room,

0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:31.439
<v Speaker 1>not when you're in the draft room. So you can

0:12:31.480 --> 0:12:33.760
<v Speaker 1>set it up anyway you like. I mean, Arronado to

0:12:33.840 --> 0:12:36.360
<v Speaker 1>me can be as high as you know, in the

0:12:36.400 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 1>top five if that's how you want to go, and

0:12:38.640 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't have a problem with that. It's basically, how

0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:45.160
<v Speaker 1>do you feel comfortable and where are you getting these

0:12:45.200 --> 0:12:47.960
<v Speaker 1>guys and how how is your team gonna be constructed

0:12:49.000 --> 0:12:51.760
<v Speaker 1>at most imperative the first five and if you can

0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:54.400
<v Speaker 1>even go to the first ten rounds, it makes a

0:12:54.400 --> 0:12:56.079
<v Speaker 1>lot of I think it makes a lot of sense.

0:12:56.400 --> 0:12:59.600
<v Speaker 1>You can't, yeah, see it's wrong because it's not wrong,

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:02.120
<v Speaker 1>but there's you know, you have to worry about getting

0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:05.959
<v Speaker 1>getting that speed, and it's hard. Um, it is hard

0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:09.240
<v Speaker 1>when everyone's kind of chasing after that same thing. Go

0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:13.400
<v Speaker 1>to the next guy's Frank inside the top five NFBC

0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:15.320
<v Speaker 1>d P we talked about the employment other spots, right,

0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:18.160
<v Speaker 1>have your bias? And Alex Bregman, two guys that I

0:13:18.320 --> 0:13:20.360
<v Speaker 1>do want to get Matt's opinion on what we have

0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:22.640
<v Speaker 1>them here we did in second base and shortstop previous

0:13:22.679 --> 0:13:25.040
<v Speaker 1>shows last week Modica where are you this year? And

0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Alex Bregman and have your bias? Look, I think Bregman

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:31.520
<v Speaker 1>is you know, everything we saw in college and we've

0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:36.679
<v Speaker 1>seen in his early MLB career this kid can hit. Uh,

0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:41.560
<v Speaker 1>the promise is there. I'm not thinking he steals twenty basis.

0:13:41.559 --> 0:13:44.040
<v Speaker 1>I know some people get really excited about that. I

0:13:44.040 --> 0:13:47.920
<v Speaker 1>would ever more towards ten we saw last season. I

0:13:47.960 --> 0:13:50.760
<v Speaker 1>think from my June on he only stole like five.

0:13:51.440 --> 0:13:53.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't think this is a team that really runs.

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't think they need him to run. Uh. With

0:13:56.960 --> 0:13:59.920
<v Speaker 1>the injury, he's kind of slid down a little. I've

0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:03.200
<v Speaker 1>think he's maybe a little high where he's going. But

0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:05.720
<v Speaker 1>like I said, I think he's gonna give you a

0:14:05.800 --> 0:14:08.719
<v Speaker 1>very solid base. I can't argue it. My problem with

0:14:08.840 --> 0:14:11.800
<v Speaker 1>hobby biases. And he's a guy that returned a huge

0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:13.960
<v Speaker 1>prophet for me last year, and if you look where

0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:18.320
<v Speaker 1>he was going in that seventh eighth round, and you

0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:21.720
<v Speaker 1>know the season that he delivered on. I mean, the

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:24.120
<v Speaker 1>obviously is the batting average. Even if the batting average

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:27.960
<v Speaker 1>regresses to say to seventy, I'm more worried about the

0:14:27.960 --> 0:14:32.280
<v Speaker 1>stolen basis. I think last year was an outlier. I

0:14:32.320 --> 0:14:34.640
<v Speaker 1>think you should be looking more towards twelve. If you

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 1>look at the second half of the season, his base

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:41.400
<v Speaker 1>running skills was horrid. I mean he got thrown out

0:14:41.440 --> 0:14:44.520
<v Speaker 1>like almost like ten times or something. So I don't

0:14:44.560 --> 0:14:48.440
<v Speaker 1>think he's a lock to steal twenty or the high teams.

0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:52.240
<v Speaker 1>This something we were talking about last year. He looked

0:14:52.240 --> 0:14:56.120
<v Speaker 1>at the second half, I think I think in the

0:14:56.160 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 1>second half, so still three got caught stealing seven times.

0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Uh yeah. Look, you know when it comes down to Modica.

0:15:02.720 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 1>For me with Xavier Bias is the plate discipline obviously

0:15:06.320 --> 0:15:08.760
<v Speaker 1>scares me a ton, But I think we have enough

0:15:08.800 --> 0:15:11.360
<v Speaker 1>of a sample size here where we trust it. Like,

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:13.120
<v Speaker 1>I know, his swinging strike rate is up there with

0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:15.480
<v Speaker 1>guys like Joey gallow and like he's gonna chase them,

0:15:15.600 --> 0:15:17.440
<v Speaker 1>like he's gonna chase pitches. He's gonna strike out a

0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 1>decent amount. But in his four year career, like, we

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:22.360
<v Speaker 1>have a big enough sample size now where his lowest

0:15:22.360 --> 0:15:24.840
<v Speaker 1>batting average every to seventy three. So I don't know

0:15:24.920 --> 0:15:26.840
<v Speaker 1>that he's like, I don't know that he's a legitimate

0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:30.000
<v Speaker 1>like hit or like last season, but I think, like,

0:15:30.040 --> 0:15:31.840
<v Speaker 1>you know what his floor is, I think he's gonna

0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:34.440
<v Speaker 1>live in that. You know, you're seventy to eighty range.

0:15:34.440 --> 0:15:37.600
<v Speaker 1>You know what I'm saying. If you put to seventy

0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 1>and say twelve stolen bases as opposed to you know,

0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:47.120
<v Speaker 1>above two eighties closer to two nine bases, I think,

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, he would be further down draft boards. You

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:52.840
<v Speaker 1>don't think that he could still return second round value

0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 1>because I have his projection here he could he could

0:15:55.560 --> 0:15:58.640
<v Speaker 1>return it. Here's my biggest grade. He could do it.

0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:02.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm not paying for it this year, you know. You

0:16:02.080 --> 0:16:04.000
<v Speaker 1>know that's what you got. Look at where was the

0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:06.880
<v Speaker 1>last year? Can he do it? Absolutely? You know he

0:16:06.920 --> 0:16:09.160
<v Speaker 1>can hit, He's got the power and stuff. But I

0:16:09.200 --> 0:16:11.240
<v Speaker 1>have to pay for him to do it, and he

0:16:11.320 --> 0:16:14.360
<v Speaker 1>has to deliver those numbers. Yeah, it's true. You know,

0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:17.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it's to me, it's somewhat similar to you know,

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:19.320
<v Speaker 1>some of these other guys where even if yellow and

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:21.680
<v Speaker 1>Jose Miraz take a step back a little bit, they

0:16:21.720 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 1>regress a little bit, They're still gonna be worth their

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 1>first round value. I kind of feel the same way

0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:27.680
<v Speaker 1>about Bias, where even if he comes back and you know,

0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:31.240
<v Speaker 1>I had his projection at like two seventy homers, fifteen

0:16:31.280 --> 0:16:34.080
<v Speaker 1>stolen bases, Uh, you know, counting stats are solid, like

0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:36.920
<v Speaker 1>eight ninety runs scored, Uh, you know, nine y r

0:16:36.960 --> 0:16:38.440
<v Speaker 1>bis in that range, I STI still think that he

0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:40.800
<v Speaker 1>could be a second round player. But I don't disagree

0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:42.560
<v Speaker 1>with Matt where. You know, last week I told you

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 1>I have tremp for Story ranked ahead of him, Greg,

0:16:44.920 --> 0:16:46.840
<v Speaker 1>I have Manny Machado still ranked ahead of him. I

0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:48.920
<v Speaker 1>have to you know, I would take Stanton over him.

0:16:48.920 --> 0:16:51.520
<v Speaker 1>I would take Aaron Judge like, because that's more of

0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:54.280
<v Speaker 1>like position scarcity. I like that Bias has the multi

0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:56.880
<v Speaker 1>position eligibility, but I do like, you know, getting one

0:16:56.920 --> 0:16:59.200
<v Speaker 1>of those outfielders there earlier in the second rounds too

0:16:59.520 --> 0:17:02.600
<v Speaker 1>real a pick I mean, probab I think is one

0:17:02.600 --> 0:17:04.920
<v Speaker 1>of the most exciting players to watch an m O

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:08.040
<v Speaker 1>big So I don't I don't like poking negative in

0:17:08.160 --> 0:17:10.800
<v Speaker 1>that range. I'm gonna be a little Bitterer. Okay, let's

0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 1>take a break here. When we come back, I'm really

0:17:13.040 --> 0:17:14.840
<v Speaker 1>excited to talk about the next player off board with

0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:17.960
<v Speaker 1>the NFBC, and that's Chris Bryant. That's a first rounder

0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:20.320
<v Speaker 1>last year. Is that draft to the second or third

0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:22.439
<v Speaker 1>one of these guys think about Chris Bryant. We'll let

0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:24.520
<v Speaker 1>you know when we come back. Fantasy best Friends Forever,

0:17:24.800 --> 0:17:30.800
<v Speaker 1>the Fantasy sports radio network from the NFL to the NBA.

0:17:31.000 --> 0:17:33.240
<v Speaker 1>Daily Rohodo dot Com is the place to win millions

0:17:33.320 --> 0:17:35.840
<v Speaker 1>in daily Fantasy. You can get the best DFS NFL

0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:39.480
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0:17:39.560 --> 0:17:42.440
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0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:45.800
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0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:51.040
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0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:53.879
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0:17:54.119 --> 0:17:56.119
<v Speaker 1>s Y, and you'll be on your way to becoming

0:17:56.160 --> 0:18:14.680
<v Speaker 1>the next Daily Rhodo millionaire. Back with you, Fantasy best

0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:18.200
<v Speaker 1>Friends Forever. Fantasy Sports Radio Network, Frank Stafile, Map Modica

0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:21.480
<v Speaker 1>and Greg Sussman with you, breaking down the third base

0:18:21.560 --> 0:18:23.920
<v Speaker 1>position you heard from Maddie mo On, Alex Bregman, and

0:18:24.000 --> 0:18:25.960
<v Speaker 1>Javier air Bias. If you wanted to hear our thoughts

0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:27.840
<v Speaker 1>on that, check out last week's show when we went

0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:31.359
<v Speaker 1>into shortstops and second basement. Those are the Thursday and

0:18:31.440 --> 0:18:33.719
<v Speaker 1>Friday programs and just go back two hours each. Chris

0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:36.000
<v Speaker 1>Venture of course joined us for the second hour in

0:18:36.160 --> 0:18:39.320
<v Speaker 1>each edition. He'll also do the same today, so check

0:18:39.359 --> 0:18:41.679
<v Speaker 1>those shows out as well. Speaking of things you need

0:18:41.720 --> 0:18:44.600
<v Speaker 1>to check out, Frank's got a Patreon available right now.

0:18:44.720 --> 0:18:48.400
<v Speaker 1>It's and it's not gonna be free after today. Today

0:18:48.480 --> 0:18:50.720
<v Speaker 1>is the last position that Frank Staffeld is giving away

0:18:50.760 --> 0:18:53.600
<v Speaker 1>for free all around the infield captcher, first base, second base,

0:18:53.640 --> 0:18:56.560
<v Speaker 1>third base, and shortstop. When you get the outfield and

0:18:56.640 --> 0:18:58.359
<v Speaker 1>we get the starting pictures, he has put so much

0:18:58.400 --> 0:19:00.520
<v Speaker 1>work and so much time into that, I'll charge you

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:02.080
<v Speaker 1>for it. So if you want to get those outfield

0:19:02.119 --> 0:19:04.760
<v Speaker 1>ranks and those starting pitcher ranks, please subscribe to Frank's Patreon.

0:19:04.840 --> 0:19:06.960
<v Speaker 1>He's not asking for a lot. A dollar here, five

0:19:07.040 --> 0:19:09.399
<v Speaker 1>dollars there, it's twenty five if you want exclusive access

0:19:09.440 --> 0:19:11.840
<v Speaker 1>to him, So please take a look at Frank's Patreon.

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:13.840
<v Speaker 1>When do you can and subscribe, and he's one of

0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 1>the best of the business, so we strongly recommend doing that.

0:19:16.960 --> 0:19:19.280
<v Speaker 1>Also when it comes to recommendations, I'll just keep, you know,

0:19:19.520 --> 0:19:23.399
<v Speaker 1>keep plugging away here Mattimo at the Athletic They do

0:19:23.520 --> 0:19:26.200
<v Speaker 1>fantastic stuff over there, So check out what matt has

0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:30.960
<v Speaker 1>uh done and will do all season long. Okay, guys.

0:19:31.119 --> 0:19:33.200
<v Speaker 1>Third basement, as I said when we headed headed into

0:19:33.240 --> 0:19:36.680
<v Speaker 1>the break was Chris Bryant's a really interesting name to

0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 1>me this year because I feel like he's a bit

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:43.800
<v Speaker 1>of a forgototten mad. Everybody loves the top four guys

0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:46.840
<v Speaker 1>that we mentioned. Everybody loves those guys, But last year

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:48.960
<v Speaker 1>Chris probably was one of those guys that everyone who's

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:50.200
<v Speaker 1>in love with it so much so that he was

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:53.360
<v Speaker 1>pretty universally a first or a second round pick. Now,

0:19:53.440 --> 0:19:55.159
<v Speaker 1>after a down year, he's going off the board in

0:19:55.160 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>the NFBC over the last month out a round pick

0:19:57.760 --> 0:20:00.639
<v Speaker 1>number thirty three or thirty four. That puts him in

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:03.440
<v Speaker 1>a fifteen team league right in the early part of

0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:05.880
<v Speaker 1>the second third round, and in the twelfth team league

0:20:05.960 --> 0:20:09.160
<v Speaker 1>you're looking at closure to the end of the third round. Frank,

0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:11.520
<v Speaker 1>why have people fallen out of love with Chris Bryant,

0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:13.680
<v Speaker 1>and was last year kind of injury related and do

0:20:13.720 --> 0:20:16.200
<v Speaker 1>you expect him about his back? Yeah, it was definitely

0:20:16.240 --> 0:20:20.920
<v Speaker 1>injury related last year. Uh. I read it awesome article

0:20:21.040 --> 0:20:23.640
<v Speaker 1>about you know how his stat cast bad ball data

0:20:23.720 --> 0:20:28.359
<v Speaker 1>completely just tanked like pre injury verse pro injury, uh

0:20:28.640 --> 0:20:31.359
<v Speaker 1>verse post injury, and it was. Look, his average eg

0:20:31.520 --> 0:20:34.359
<v Speaker 1>velocity dipped to eighty four point five miles per hour

0:20:34.520 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 1>in June, down from eighty eight point four miles per

0:20:36.600 --> 0:20:38.959
<v Speaker 1>hour in April, eighty eight point six miles per hour

0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:40.639
<v Speaker 1>in May, so pretty consistent, like he was hitting the

0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:42.919
<v Speaker 1>ball hard in in April and May month and then

0:20:42.960 --> 0:20:45.480
<v Speaker 1>it just completely tanked in June. Once you know, he

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:49.240
<v Speaker 1>suffered from that that shoulder injury in July, two weeks

0:20:49.480 --> 0:20:52.240
<v Speaker 1>after he was returned from the injured list no longer

0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:54.879
<v Speaker 1>the disabled list, which I mean, we could probably do

0:20:54.920 --> 0:20:58.399
<v Speaker 1>a whole segment just talking about that. His exit velocity

0:20:58.440 --> 0:21:01.040
<v Speaker 1>went down to seventy eight point five miles per hour greg.

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:03.399
<v Speaker 1>So there's no doubt in my mind that, you know,

0:21:03.640 --> 0:21:05.960
<v Speaker 1>like his launch angle fell like he was hitting a

0:21:06.000 --> 0:21:07.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of groundballs, He wasn't hitting the ball hard, like

0:21:07.960 --> 0:21:12.119
<v Speaker 1>he was completely tanked by this shoulder injury last year. Uh,

0:21:12.200 --> 0:21:14.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, on from the beginning of the season to

0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:17.880
<v Speaker 1>MA he was batting three oh three with an ops

0:21:18.000 --> 0:21:21.560
<v Speaker 1>over one thousand, and then from fromente on he was

0:21:21.600 --> 0:21:24.480
<v Speaker 1>two fifty two. You know, he was slucking three eighty

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:27.240
<v Speaker 1>after that in two d and sixty seven plate appearances.

0:21:27.320 --> 0:21:30.159
<v Speaker 1>So there's no doubt, there's no doubt that he was

0:21:30.240 --> 0:21:32.879
<v Speaker 1>completely hampered by this injury. But I think I'm kind

0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:35.760
<v Speaker 1>of similar to Carlos Correa. I'm kind of airing on

0:21:35.760 --> 0:21:37.760
<v Speaker 1>the side of caution here. And look, you know a

0:21:37.840 --> 0:21:40.480
<v Speaker 1>lot of people are where can I find that that

0:21:40.640 --> 0:21:43.879
<v Speaker 1>third fourth round player that can return first round value? Like, okay,

0:21:44.000 --> 0:21:46.000
<v Speaker 1>if you trust that Chris Bryant is going to be healthy,

0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:48.680
<v Speaker 1>like he's probably one of the main culprits like Chris

0:21:48.800 --> 0:21:51.080
<v Speaker 1>Bryant there and in Carlos Correa in the fourth round.

0:21:51.160 --> 0:21:54.440
<v Speaker 1>But you know, as I've continuously said, the first really

0:21:54.600 --> 0:21:57.680
<v Speaker 1>four rounds, I want to build my foundation, So I

0:21:57.760 --> 0:21:59.879
<v Speaker 1>don't really know how much risk I can take on.

0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:02.440
<v Speaker 1>It's like it's roster construction. If you trust your first

0:22:02.520 --> 0:22:05.040
<v Speaker 1>round pick enough, someone that's been healthy, someone who's done it,

0:22:05.080 --> 0:22:07.359
<v Speaker 1>maybe like no one Arronado. Uh, you know, maybe you

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:09.840
<v Speaker 1>can't afford to take this risk me personally. You know,

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 1>these are the rounds, you know, the third round. Yeah,

0:22:12.119 --> 0:22:14.720
<v Speaker 1>a lot of times I'm taking starting pitching. So I

0:22:14.760 --> 0:22:16.240
<v Speaker 1>don't think I'm gonna end up with any shares with

0:22:16.320 --> 0:22:18.800
<v Speaker 1>Chris Bryant. Like I was worried about the injury. You know,

0:22:18.960 --> 0:22:20.600
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't even worried about Hi last year. It didn't

0:22:20.600 --> 0:22:22.639
<v Speaker 1>get end up with any shares last year. I think

0:22:22.680 --> 0:22:24.240
<v Speaker 1>over the past couple of seasons he's kind of been

0:22:24.280 --> 0:22:26.680
<v Speaker 1>sacrificing some of the power in order to hit for

0:22:26.800 --> 0:22:29.080
<v Speaker 1>more contact and hit from more batting average, which is

0:22:29.400 --> 0:22:31.800
<v Speaker 1>great from like a real life perspective, but you know,

0:22:32.000 --> 0:22:34.199
<v Speaker 1>I'd rather the Chris Bryant that used to strike out

0:22:34.280 --> 0:22:36.760
<v Speaker 1>more and you know whatever still hit two seventy with

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:39.080
<v Speaker 1>thirty thirty five home runs. Like that's the Chris Bryan

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:41.120
<v Speaker 1>I won. So, you know, I didn't get any shares

0:22:41.200 --> 0:22:43.239
<v Speaker 1>last year. I was kind of out, and I think

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:45.160
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of just carrying over this year. I'm worried

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:47.439
<v Speaker 1>about the injuries, I was worried about the performance already

0:22:47.480 --> 0:22:50.200
<v Speaker 1>home in spring training over the weekend. So I mean, yeah,

0:22:50.280 --> 0:22:52.160
<v Speaker 1>He's one of those names to follow during spring training

0:22:52.160 --> 0:22:55.639
<v Speaker 1>where if he performs, then I would be more likely

0:22:55.720 --> 0:22:57.840
<v Speaker 1>to go in on him to just making sure he's

0:22:57.880 --> 0:23:00.159
<v Speaker 1>healthy during the spring. But as of right now, I

0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:01.800
<v Speaker 1>don't think I can pull the trigger in the third round.

0:23:02.000 --> 0:23:03.840
<v Speaker 1>That harder percentage going down two years in a row,

0:23:03.840 --> 0:23:06.840
<v Speaker 1>as Frank mentioned, because he changed his approach at the

0:23:06.880 --> 0:23:12.600
<v Speaker 1>plate from in It was a left shoulder injury that

0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:15.040
<v Speaker 1>bothered Chris Bryant all throughout the year last year, so

0:23:15.160 --> 0:23:17.040
<v Speaker 1>much so that he changed his approach at the plate

0:23:17.320 --> 0:23:19.560
<v Speaker 1>to a two handed swing because he he was in

0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:21.760
<v Speaker 1>so much pain. Frank talked about how he did hit

0:23:21.800 --> 0:23:24.480
<v Speaker 1>that home run in spring training over the weekend he

0:23:24.600 --> 0:23:27.480
<v Speaker 1>was back to his momental approach. Matt Chris Bryan is

0:23:27.480 --> 0:23:29.200
<v Speaker 1>one of these guys. As Frank he said that you

0:23:29.280 --> 0:23:31.640
<v Speaker 1>could draft in the third round and give you back

0:23:31.680 --> 0:23:35.719
<v Speaker 1>first round of value. Are you interested? And I'm definitely interested.

0:23:35.760 --> 0:23:38.320
<v Speaker 1>I think how played a major role last year. I

0:23:38.359 --> 0:23:41.480
<v Speaker 1>don't have any bright shares right now, and it's pretty

0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:43.280
<v Speaker 1>much gonna come down to the fact where if I

0:23:43.400 --> 0:23:45.960
<v Speaker 1>haven't taken a picture, I really have to hone on

0:23:46.240 --> 0:23:49.879
<v Speaker 1>hone in on uh. The aces that are left on

0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:52.920
<v Speaker 1>the board in the third round. There's also the other

0:23:53.040 --> 0:23:55.880
<v Speaker 1>third baseman that going that round or so with him,

0:23:56.680 --> 0:23:59.240
<v Speaker 1>uh with for me even and even all over you,

0:23:59.240 --> 0:24:02.199
<v Speaker 1>even all over one of him. Yeah, hey, d ndone

0:24:02.359 --> 0:24:05.240
<v Speaker 1>is that is the guy for me. He's going more

0:24:05.440 --> 0:24:08.840
<v Speaker 1>later in the third, early fourth, dependent upon league size

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:13.280
<v Speaker 1>and stuff like that. Everybody loves Vlad. I'd rather just

0:24:13.359 --> 0:24:16.639
<v Speaker 1>take Rendone. I think you know you're hoping Lad season

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:20.680
<v Speaker 1>is what Anthony Rendone can do, and uh so, I

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 1>think you have to see it. How you started your

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:27.359
<v Speaker 1>first two rounds makes really an impact here be which

0:24:27.440 --> 0:24:30.399
<v Speaker 1>for me, Brian is a thirty home run guy and

0:24:30.600 --> 0:24:32.919
<v Speaker 1>in a perfect world and in a perfect season for him,

0:24:33.000 --> 0:24:36.200
<v Speaker 1>you can hit forty, but I would shoot it more

0:24:36.280 --> 0:24:39.920
<v Speaker 1>towards that to seventy five average, and I don't trust

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:42.640
<v Speaker 1>the base running skills in it. I think you're gonna

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:45.520
<v Speaker 1>see him go double this again. I think it's more

0:24:45.560 --> 0:24:49.399
<v Speaker 1>in that final the seven range being the hut. So

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:53.399
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna get into Vlad and Anthony Rendone in just

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:57.000
<v Speaker 1>a moment, frank Um, But what does Brian have to

0:24:57.080 --> 0:24:59.920
<v Speaker 1>do this spring to get more on your radar? Because

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:03.080
<v Speaker 1>you look at the numbers, like he's obviously really really good.

0:25:03.200 --> 0:25:05.760
<v Speaker 1>I know that's right. Oh about roster construction, that's like

0:25:06.760 --> 0:25:09.200
<v Speaker 1>where he's drafting, Like yeah, sure he's interested, but he

0:25:09.280 --> 0:25:12.120
<v Speaker 1>always winds up with his first picture potentially an outfielder.

0:25:12.160 --> 0:25:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Way you need five of them. I know you're kind

0:25:13.840 --> 0:25:16.440
<v Speaker 1>of in the same boat as well. But what does

0:25:16.520 --> 0:25:17.840
<v Speaker 1>he have to show you in the spring? Because you

0:25:17.840 --> 0:25:19.720
<v Speaker 1>said he wants of the guys you're gonna watch, What

0:25:19.800 --> 0:25:21.480
<v Speaker 1>does he have to show you in the spring to

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:24.320
<v Speaker 1>make you pull the trigger? Ultimately? Health, that's what it

0:25:24.359 --> 0:25:27.160
<v Speaker 1>comes down to. Health. Yeah, he's got he's gotta stay

0:25:27.160 --> 0:25:30.040
<v Speaker 1>healthy throughout spring, and you don't want to see him

0:25:30.080 --> 0:25:32.280
<v Speaker 1>can like go back to lifting the ball a little bit?

0:25:32.359 --> 0:25:34.879
<v Speaker 1>Like again, you know he played over the weekend. He

0:25:34.960 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 1>hit a home run already, so I mean, yeah, that's

0:25:36.560 --> 0:25:38.480
<v Speaker 1>already an encouraging sign. But you know, I want to

0:25:38.520 --> 0:25:40.880
<v Speaker 1>see him, you know as spring goes on, play deep,

0:25:40.880 --> 0:25:42.800
<v Speaker 1>prefented games and you know see that he's you know,

0:25:42.840 --> 0:25:44.720
<v Speaker 1>he's throwing the ball fine and you know there's no

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:48.080
<v Speaker 1>solder issues and you know, lifting the ball a little bit,

0:25:48.160 --> 0:25:49.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, pop a couple of home runs out here

0:25:49.680 --> 0:25:51.080
<v Speaker 1>in the spring, like those are things that I'm paying

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:53.800
<v Speaker 1>attention to, paying attention to, and I want to see

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:56.760
<v Speaker 1>because like again, I've already had my concerns with Chris Bryant.

0:25:57.000 --> 0:25:58.119
<v Speaker 1>Uh you know, he went in the middle of the

0:25:58.200 --> 0:26:01.760
<v Speaker 1>third round in the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. But I

0:26:01.840 --> 0:26:03.560
<v Speaker 1>think the way that he went in the third round

0:26:03.600 --> 0:26:07.200
<v Speaker 1>here is kind of a template as to how I

0:26:07.240 --> 0:26:09.000
<v Speaker 1>would do it. Like if you take Max Scherzer in

0:26:09.080 --> 0:26:11.280
<v Speaker 1>the first round and like you already have that that

0:26:11.560 --> 0:26:13.840
<v Speaker 1>sp anchor, you come back in the second round and

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:16.040
<v Speaker 1>get like a Freddy Freeman and then couple that with

0:26:16.160 --> 0:26:19.000
<v Speaker 1>Chris Bryant in the third round. I think that's kind

0:26:19.000 --> 0:26:21.560
<v Speaker 1>of like the template, like to me, that would yeah,

0:26:21.680 --> 0:26:24.240
<v Speaker 1>like that would be I could see that being away

0:26:24.320 --> 0:26:27.320
<v Speaker 1>that that it would work out where I can maybe

0:26:27.359 --> 0:26:29.040
<v Speaker 1>get it on Chris Bryant. But you know, as of now,

0:26:29.080 --> 0:26:31.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean again, like I started two hitters, so I

0:26:31.359 --> 0:26:32.920
<v Speaker 1>was looking at starting pitching in the third round, and

0:26:32.920 --> 0:26:35.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't know that was something that Modica was talking about.

0:26:35.280 --> 0:26:38.679
<v Speaker 1>I ended up taking Walker, butle little Chris Bryan wouldn't

0:26:38.680 --> 0:26:40.440
<v Speaker 1>have even been on my radar, Like he's just not

0:26:40.600 --> 0:26:42.639
<v Speaker 1>someone I was targeting Chris Bryant is third base and

0:26:42.800 --> 0:26:45.920
<v Speaker 1>outfield eligible as well, which which certainly helps in leaves.

0:26:45.960 --> 0:26:48.120
<v Speaker 1>Where do you need those five our fielders? Franky Matt

0:26:48.200 --> 0:26:51.080
<v Speaker 1>also mentioned that a couple of picks later, it depending

0:26:51.080 --> 0:26:53.600
<v Speaker 1>on where he picked around, Like Anthony round doings his

0:26:53.640 --> 0:26:55.639
<v Speaker 1>guy this year. And I'm really excited to talk about

0:26:55.640 --> 0:26:58.320
<v Speaker 1>a second about why Anthony rend dolins this guy. But

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:04.159
<v Speaker 1>Rendon and vlad are going a little bit later on

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:06.480
<v Speaker 1>in the third and fifteen team leagues, uh, closer to

0:27:06.560 --> 0:27:09.680
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the fourth in twelve teen leagues. Which

0:27:09.720 --> 0:27:13.840
<v Speaker 1>of these guys do you prefer? And why? Yeah, I

0:27:13.880 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 1>have Anthony Rendona ranked higher than Vladimir Gero Junior. I

0:27:16.800 --> 0:27:19.000
<v Speaker 1>can't really argue with what with what Modiquez said in

0:27:19.119 --> 0:27:21.880
<v Speaker 1>terms of you know what what Vladimir garera, what people

0:27:21.880 --> 0:27:25.520
<v Speaker 1>want Vladimir Guerrero Junior to do is basically what uh

0:27:26.600 --> 0:27:28.760
<v Speaker 1>is basically what Anthony Rendon has done. Like the past

0:27:28.760 --> 0:27:30.480
<v Speaker 1>few years, He's been at least at three oh one

0:27:30.560 --> 0:27:33.440
<v Speaker 1>hitter in each of the past two seasons. Uh, you

0:27:33.480 --> 0:27:35.720
<v Speaker 1>know the power, he's gonna be right around twenty five runs,

0:27:35.760 --> 0:27:38.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, even with Bryce Harper potentially leaving the Nationals lineup.

0:27:38.840 --> 0:27:40.360
<v Speaker 1>At this point, I don't expect them to be back

0:27:40.400 --> 0:27:42.440
<v Speaker 1>with the Nationals. I don't think that their lineup is

0:27:42.480 --> 0:27:45.040
<v Speaker 1>all is bad, right, Like they're gonna have Toredy Turner,

0:27:45.160 --> 0:27:46.600
<v Speaker 1>like Juan Soto is gonna be at the top of

0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:49.000
<v Speaker 1>that lineup. If those are the first two hitters, you know,

0:27:49.400 --> 0:27:52.680
<v Speaker 1>I think there's gonna be a lot of uh, you know,

0:27:53.560 --> 0:27:57.560
<v Speaker 1>RBI opportunities here for Anthony Rendon't. So you know the

0:27:58.160 --> 0:28:00.719
<v Speaker 1>past few years, ninety two rbs last year, hundred RBIs

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 1>the year before. I don't know that he has huge

0:28:03.080 --> 0:28:06.359
<v Speaker 1>power upside, but you know he did play a hundred

0:28:06.359 --> 0:28:08.920
<v Speaker 1>and thirty six games last year, So if he plays

0:28:08.920 --> 0:28:10.960
<v Speaker 1>a hundred fifties, he closer to the thirty home runs,

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:14.320
<v Speaker 1>he's home run hitter. You know me, just projecting, I

0:28:14.359 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 1>would say he's gonna be around three hundred hitter. He's

0:28:16.600 --> 0:28:18.920
<v Speaker 1>gonna give you runs. He's gonna give you, you know,

0:28:18.960 --> 0:28:22.280
<v Speaker 1>eighty five runs scored, and he's gonna give you bis.

0:28:23.160 --> 0:28:25.600
<v Speaker 1>What more do you want at of Vladimir Guerrero junor

0:28:25.720 --> 0:28:28.320
<v Speaker 1>there that Anthony Rendon't isn't giving you. You know what

0:28:28.359 --> 0:28:31.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm saying well, right, Like, what can you expect as

0:28:32.040 --> 0:28:35.119
<v Speaker 1>much fun as it will be? I think can hit

0:28:35.200 --> 0:28:37.840
<v Speaker 1>like three twenty with like thirty home runs. Like, he's

0:28:37.840 --> 0:28:39.600
<v Speaker 1>not gonna be up till the middle of April the

0:28:39.680 --> 0:28:41.680
<v Speaker 1>earliest anyway, So he's gonna you know, he's gonna miss

0:28:41.680 --> 0:28:44.440
<v Speaker 1>some time. And it's possible, like Ronald Lacuna definitely is

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>going in the first round this year. Definitely. Is it impossible? No,

0:28:47.440 --> 0:28:50.760
<v Speaker 1>But again it's you know, it's the safety of Anthony

0:28:50.840 --> 0:28:53.120
<v Speaker 1>Rendon versus you know, really, what is the upside of

0:28:53.200 --> 0:28:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Vladimir Guaro Junior. Like if you think he can hit

0:28:55.640 --> 0:28:58.280
<v Speaker 1>three thirty with thirty home runs, then yeah, you're probably

0:28:58.320 --> 0:28:59.600
<v Speaker 1>one of the people that's taking him. I mean you

0:28:59.680 --> 0:29:02.120
<v Speaker 1>gotta kind of temper expectations a little bit here when

0:29:02.120 --> 0:29:04.200
<v Speaker 1>it comes to lad Yeah, I mean real quick though,

0:29:04.280 --> 0:29:09.440
<v Speaker 1>like a lad He's ninety percentile projection would be three

0:29:09.520 --> 0:29:14.560
<v Speaker 1>twenty thirty plus home runs and that's great. Could that happen? Yes,

0:29:14.680 --> 0:29:18.239
<v Speaker 1>there's to me, it's a small percentage of that happening. Uh.

0:29:18.520 --> 0:29:20.840
<v Speaker 1>As far as Rendon goes, I do think there is

0:29:20.960 --> 0:29:23.720
<v Speaker 1>some more power upside. As you said, he played a

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:27.400
<v Speaker 1>hundred thirty six he's been healthy for the most parties

0:29:27.480 --> 0:29:29.800
<v Speaker 1>last three seasons. If he gets too closer to that

0:29:29.960 --> 0:29:32.960
<v Speaker 1>one fifty range, I think he could hit thirty. He's

0:29:32.960 --> 0:29:36.840
<v Speaker 1>got the battotball profile to do that. The flyballs are

0:29:36.880 --> 0:29:39.560
<v Speaker 1>the hard hits getting better and better. He's you know,

0:29:39.760 --> 0:29:41.720
<v Speaker 1>he's in that prime stage. I hate to use the

0:29:41.760 --> 0:29:44.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty seven age, but he's right there. So, you know,

0:29:45.120 --> 0:29:47.480
<v Speaker 1>I think there's just a lot, like there's a lot

0:29:47.560 --> 0:29:50.080
<v Speaker 1>to like about both of these guys. Obviously, like vladis

0:29:50.160 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 1>tantalizing thing, and I think that's a perfect word for

0:29:52.600 --> 0:29:55.920
<v Speaker 1>him and what he could give Anthony Anthony Rizzo in

0:29:56.040 --> 0:30:02.280
<v Speaker 1>that any Rendon in the age twenty nine season has

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:05.680
<v Speaker 1>finally found that consistency, which I think is really cool.

0:30:05.680 --> 0:30:07.480
<v Speaker 1>I think early in the early in his career, he

0:30:07.480 --> 0:30:09.040
<v Speaker 1>saw him put up the twenty old runs and they

0:30:09.080 --> 0:30:10.680
<v Speaker 1>followed that up with five and he was hurt for

0:30:10.720 --> 0:30:12.920
<v Speaker 1>the entire year, came back with twenty and now it's

0:30:12.920 --> 0:30:15.880
<v Speaker 1>pretty consistently been around twenty five. He also, for the

0:30:16.000 --> 0:30:18.760
<v Speaker 1>most part, he's a little banged up every year, which

0:30:18.760 --> 0:30:20.000
<v Speaker 1>I think is kind of a concern, Like, yeah, he

0:30:20.040 --> 0:30:21.640
<v Speaker 1>paid one with the six pack. It's twenty sixteen and

0:30:22.200 --> 0:30:24.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty four He's missed an average of about sixteen games

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:26.840
<v Speaker 1>per season over the last three years. So so I

0:30:26.880 --> 0:30:28.640
<v Speaker 1>do you're in a factor in like one de Elston,

0:30:28.760 --> 0:30:32.040
<v Speaker 1>But if you do it, but if you take that

0:30:32.200 --> 0:30:35.000
<v Speaker 1>in him and Ladder probably close to the same amount

0:30:35.000 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 1>of games, then theoretically right Yeah, yeah, and uh, you know,

0:30:39.240 --> 0:30:42.080
<v Speaker 1>shout out to uh, shout out to Alex Fast on

0:30:42.160 --> 0:30:44.520
<v Speaker 1>Twitter Alex Fast eight D. You know, he's part of

0:30:44.640 --> 0:30:46.640
<v Speaker 1>the pitcher List and he tweets out some of some

0:30:46.760 --> 0:30:49.280
<v Speaker 1>great stats. He actually tweeted out earlier in the All

0:30:49.360 --> 0:30:53.840
<v Speaker 1>season that expected home runs from last year Anthony Rendon's

0:30:53.840 --> 0:30:56.520
<v Speaker 1>expected home runs were actually was supposed to be twenty nine.

0:30:56.720 --> 0:30:59.160
<v Speaker 1>So I mean these are probably like ones like home

0:30:59.280 --> 0:31:00.640
<v Speaker 1>runs that hit like all the top of the wall

0:31:00.720 --> 0:31:02.760
<v Speaker 1>that ended up being doubles or whatever. So he's expected

0:31:02.800 --> 0:31:04.400
<v Speaker 1>home runs for twenty nine and only a hundred and

0:31:04.440 --> 0:31:06.880
<v Speaker 1>thirty six games. So yeah, I understand what Mordiq is

0:31:06.880 --> 0:31:08.640
<v Speaker 1>saying about. Okay, maybe there's a little bit more power

0:31:08.760 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 1>upside here than we're actually kind of uh, we're actually

0:31:11.840 --> 0:31:14.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of believing. You know, he's always always placed his

0:31:14.520 --> 0:31:17.280
<v Speaker 1>top fifty in average exit velocity. So the battle ball

0:31:17.400 --> 0:31:20.040
<v Speaker 1>data is there, Maddie mom with Like, since the start

0:31:20.080 --> 0:31:23.800
<v Speaker 1>of twenty seventeen, Andy Rondoon has ps that's thirteen best

0:31:23.840 --> 0:31:26.720
<v Speaker 1>in baseball. He's one of theteen best hitters in baseball.

0:31:27.200 --> 0:31:28.920
<v Speaker 1>And if you look at shares, you're like, over the

0:31:28.960 --> 0:31:32.400
<v Speaker 1>four of the last five years, you're throwing five nineties seven.

0:31:32.440 --> 0:31:34.280
<v Speaker 1>As far as playing appearance, and we will make that

0:31:34.360 --> 0:31:36.920
<v Speaker 1>six hundred. I mean, he's pretty much you know, had

0:31:37.000 --> 0:31:41.720
<v Speaker 1>six hundred plate appearances and five hundred playing appearances. You know, uh,

0:31:42.040 --> 0:31:45.200
<v Speaker 1>he can get didn't for that, but look at the

0:31:45.240 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 1>games the last three years. Six you know, that's that's

0:31:50.560 --> 0:31:53.400
<v Speaker 1>pretty good. That's pretty solid. And he's great regardless of

0:31:53.480 --> 0:31:56.120
<v Speaker 1>format too. Right, Look, look he's a four category contributor.

0:31:56.120 --> 0:31:59.120
<v Speaker 1>He's not gonna run whatever. But you know he's kind

0:31:59.120 --> 0:32:01.400
<v Speaker 1>of like in that center he's like a Nolan Arronado

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:03.280
<v Speaker 1>light that you're getting in the third round. But you know,

0:32:03.400 --> 0:32:05.400
<v Speaker 1>even for points leads, he hits a lot of doubles.

0:32:05.680 --> 0:32:07.200
<v Speaker 1>He makes a lot of contact, so you're not getting

0:32:07.240 --> 0:32:09.720
<v Speaker 1>penalized for strikeouts. He has a five point five percent

0:32:09.760 --> 0:32:13.440
<v Speaker 1>swinging strike rate in his career near contact rate, so

0:32:13.840 --> 0:32:16.840
<v Speaker 1>if you get you get dinged for for strikeouts. He

0:32:16.960 --> 0:32:18.959
<v Speaker 1>doesn't strike out. He's gonna make a lot of contact.

0:32:19.040 --> 0:32:21.280
<v Speaker 1>I mentioned the bad ball data. You know, each of

0:32:21.320 --> 0:32:23.680
<v Speaker 1>the past three seasons he's been top fifty and average

0:32:23.680 --> 0:32:27.520
<v Speaker 1>eggs velocity, so you know he's he's making contact, he's

0:32:27.520 --> 0:32:30.320
<v Speaker 1>making optimal contact. And you know even if he's not

0:32:30.400 --> 0:32:32.040
<v Speaker 1>heating home runs, he's hitting double So helps you out

0:32:32.080 --> 0:32:35.120
<v Speaker 1>in points lease. I think he's a fine player regardless

0:32:35.120 --> 0:32:37.400
<v Speaker 1>of format. He's not one of the sexy picks, but

0:32:37.520 --> 0:32:43.040
<v Speaker 1>he gets it done. Would you weird? Would you rather

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:52.400
<v Speaker 1>have Chris Bryan r anthony're Endon? I think grand don't

0:32:52.440 --> 0:32:57.560
<v Speaker 1>has I think Brian has more upside. I would I

0:32:57.600 --> 0:33:00.040
<v Speaker 1>would take Grandon. You would say him you gonna that

0:33:00.200 --> 0:33:03.840
<v Speaker 1>your rankings currently pulling them up. I might ever known

0:33:03.960 --> 0:33:05.880
<v Speaker 1>even ranked higher than already because I wasn't a christ

0:33:05.920 --> 0:33:07.520
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't in a big Chris Bryan fan. I actually

0:33:07.520 --> 0:33:08.720
<v Speaker 1>don't have them up, so I don't know I was

0:33:08.800 --> 0:33:11.480
<v Speaker 1>making that up. Have them back to back? You doing

0:33:11.520 --> 0:33:15.400
<v Speaker 1>them back to back every day We've done this, by

0:33:15.400 --> 0:33:18.800
<v Speaker 1>the way, that changes rankings every single time. We've done

0:33:18.800 --> 0:33:22.280
<v Speaker 1>this show every day. How do you really test the

0:33:22.400 --> 0:33:26.800
<v Speaker 1>rankings just by doing you know, drafts right now, absolutely stuff.

0:33:27.120 --> 0:33:29.160
<v Speaker 1>And when you see that guy that you just kind

0:33:29.200 --> 0:33:32.200
<v Speaker 1>of have your next and you're picking the other guy instead,

0:33:32.600 --> 0:33:34.480
<v Speaker 1>you know you're gonna pull that up. And that's just

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:37.440
<v Speaker 1>why that's why I believe in drafting early, and I

0:33:37.560 --> 0:33:39.680
<v Speaker 1>think it can be a useful thing. There is risk

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:43.280
<v Speaker 1>when you walk out the door. Well, I mean, and

0:33:43.320 --> 0:33:45.160
<v Speaker 1>then that's the fact. Like to be able to do

0:33:45.320 --> 0:33:49.400
<v Speaker 1>drafts from January or early February through draft season in

0:33:49.440 --> 0:33:51.680
<v Speaker 1>the middle to end of March, it only made it

0:33:51.800 --> 0:33:53.959
<v Speaker 1>totally makes sense because you just learn more, You learn

0:33:54.000 --> 0:33:56.200
<v Speaker 1>more about players values, where you're going, like you're doing

0:33:56.240 --> 0:33:59.360
<v Speaker 1>this is great Fantasy Baseball invitational in a champions league

0:33:59.360 --> 0:34:02.120
<v Speaker 1>because you're one year last year and you're you're very

0:34:02.160 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 1>surprised by what you're seeing here, and I think that

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:07.120
<v Speaker 1>could be what is new piece certain guys being pulled

0:34:07.200 --> 0:34:09.440
<v Speaker 1>up the board and it's a bit of a surprise. Yeah,

0:34:09.480 --> 0:34:11.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, look, you see this a lot in industry,

0:34:12.080 --> 0:34:16.240
<v Speaker 1>right industry expert drafts, and you know, people want their players,

0:34:16.360 --> 0:34:19.520
<v Speaker 1>like the value of everyone is being sucked out in

0:34:19.600 --> 0:34:21.640
<v Speaker 1>this draft right now, Like y'all Ceque went with the

0:34:21.719 --> 0:34:24.239
<v Speaker 1>second pick right fourth round, Like there's just no value.

0:34:24.280 --> 0:34:26.879
<v Speaker 1>Like people who want their players right now are taking

0:34:26.880 --> 0:34:29.480
<v Speaker 1>their place. Like Rohnas just took Jose Pros in the

0:34:29.520 --> 0:34:31.960
<v Speaker 1>fifth round. You want to stolen basis. If Jose Pros

0:34:32.120 --> 0:34:33.759
<v Speaker 1>is one of his guys, you gotta get your guys

0:34:35.600 --> 0:34:37.600
<v Speaker 1>to Jonathan R went in the fifth round as well.

0:34:37.600 --> 0:34:39.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, well that's because you know, you see these

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:41.160
<v Speaker 1>two guys go in the fifth round, people are freaking

0:34:41.160 --> 0:34:43.040
<v Speaker 1>out about stolen basis. That's what it comes down to.

0:34:43.120 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 1>Two is still on the board, ozzielb is still on

0:34:46.120 --> 0:34:48.640
<v Speaker 1>the board. How can you justify taking you know, Jonathan

0:34:48.719 --> 0:34:51.399
<v Speaker 1>VR and Jose Pros over Ozzie Albi's the only way

0:34:51.560 --> 0:34:53.279
<v Speaker 1>is you want stolen basis. That's the only way you

0:34:53.320 --> 0:34:58.719
<v Speaker 1>can justify Greg. Yeah, I'm not gonna make that seed. Uh.

0:34:59.200 --> 0:35:01.640
<v Speaker 1>One of the reasons w I've been saying this for

0:35:01.680 --> 0:35:03.759
<v Speaker 1>a while. I've been in the belief well before the

0:35:04.800 --> 0:35:08.000
<v Speaker 1>stole base attempts, which I'm not buying that. But like

0:35:08.080 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 1>a guy like Trade Territor is just so safe. All

0:35:11.040 --> 0:35:13.360
<v Speaker 1>you have to do is stay healthy. He'll still forty bases,

0:35:13.640 --> 0:35:16.320
<v Speaker 1>score a hundred runs and then you have that speed

0:35:16.440 --> 0:35:20.000
<v Speaker 1>there and you're getting you know, possibly fifty home runs

0:35:20.320 --> 0:35:22.759
<v Speaker 1>chipped in with with a good average. But I'm not

0:35:22.920 --> 0:35:26.919
<v Speaker 1>going to you know, pull guys up where there's better

0:35:27.080 --> 0:35:31.880
<v Speaker 1>guys based on speed, for like a Paraza or Jonathan Valar.

0:35:32.200 --> 0:35:35.759
<v Speaker 1>Jonathan Vallar should play every day, but there's also we've

0:35:35.800 --> 0:35:38.560
<v Speaker 1>seen Jonathan Vollar fail as well, and that has to

0:35:38.640 --> 0:35:42.440
<v Speaker 1>be a counter absolutely, and that's why I'm not exactly

0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:44.920
<v Speaker 1>the big John n v R fan this year. All Right,

0:35:44.960 --> 0:35:47.879
<v Speaker 1>we come back. We'll get into uh the second half

0:35:47.960 --> 0:35:51.480
<v Speaker 1>of the top twelve third basements with Maddie Moe here

0:35:51.520 --> 0:35:55.399
<v Speaker 1>on the Fantasy Sports Radio network, that Carpenter, and we're

0:35:55.520 --> 0:35:58.120
<v Speaker 1>nine the NFC, despite the alsome year, we're back or

0:35:58.120 --> 0:36:01.120
<v Speaker 1>after this from the NFL to the NBA. Daily Rohdo

0:36:01.200 --> 0:36:03.840
<v Speaker 1>dot Com is the place to win millions in daily fantasy.

0:36:03.960 --> 0:36:06.520
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0:36:06.600 --> 0:36:10.040
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0:36:10.239 --> 0:36:14.000
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0:36:14.080 --> 0:36:16.239
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0:36:16.480 --> 0:36:19.160
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0:36:19.280 --> 0:36:22.040
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0:36:22.280 --> 0:36:24.600
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0:36:24.640 --> 0:36:27.880
<v Speaker 1>be on your way to becoming the next Daily Rhodo millionaire.

0:36:35.040 --> 0:36:37.760
<v Speaker 1>Welcome back to the Fantasy Best Friends Forever, Frank Stanford,

0:36:37.840 --> 0:36:41.640
<v Speaker 1>joined by Greg Susman and our good buddy Mett Modica.

0:36:41.719 --> 0:36:45.400
<v Speaker 1>Followm on Twitter at CTM Baseball Maddimo. One of the

0:36:45.440 --> 0:36:47.319
<v Speaker 1>first things I gotta ask you here. I know we're

0:36:47.360 --> 0:36:49.239
<v Speaker 1>doing the third base ranks, but I was talking to

0:36:49.280 --> 0:36:51.160
<v Speaker 1>Greg about this during the break, right and you know,

0:36:51.200 --> 0:36:53.720
<v Speaker 1>obviously everyone's kind of freaking out about the Clayton Kershaw

0:36:53.800 --> 0:36:57.680
<v Speaker 1>thing right now. He's being shut down. No definitive timetable

0:36:57.760 --> 0:37:00.920
<v Speaker 1>as of right now, but I mean this has superted people,

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:02.799
<v Speaker 1>and I think we're already kind of seeing it right

0:37:03.080 --> 0:37:05.480
<v Speaker 1>A lot of these great Fantasy Baseball Invitational drafts are

0:37:05.520 --> 0:37:08.279
<v Speaker 1>going on right now. Clayton Kershaw is a DP in

0:37:08.360 --> 0:37:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the NFBC. Before all this was thirty seven. We are

0:37:11.680 --> 0:37:14.520
<v Speaker 1>at pick seventy three. He has not been drafted yet.

0:37:14.800 --> 0:37:16.719
<v Speaker 1>Is the end of the fifth round, the beginning of

0:37:16.800 --> 0:37:20.160
<v Speaker 1>the sixth round in a fifteen team draft. I mean,

0:37:20.360 --> 0:37:22.880
<v Speaker 1>at what point do you just kind of say screw it?

0:37:23.360 --> 0:37:25.920
<v Speaker 1>I gotta take the risk with Clayton Kershaw because I'm

0:37:25.960 --> 0:37:27.520
<v Speaker 1>trying to figure it out myself. Like I'm trying to

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:29.000
<v Speaker 1>figure it out on the fly, right, Like, at what

0:37:29.120 --> 0:37:32.000
<v Speaker 1>point do you just say, like he's Clayton Kershaw. Yes,

0:37:32.040 --> 0:37:34.879
<v Speaker 1>I'm worried about the shoulder injuries already He's been dealing

0:37:34.880 --> 0:37:38.279
<v Speaker 1>with the back injuries. But like at some point the

0:37:38.480 --> 0:37:42.600
<v Speaker 1>risks kind of, you know, it out, the value outweighs

0:37:42.640 --> 0:37:44.560
<v Speaker 1>the risk is what I'm trying to stay here, Matt. So,

0:37:44.640 --> 0:37:47.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean, at what point does that become apparent for

0:37:47.480 --> 0:37:49.920
<v Speaker 1>you with Clayton Kershall right now? I mean he's pretty

0:37:50.000 --> 0:37:52.640
<v Speaker 1>much been off my board from where he's been going,

0:37:52.920 --> 0:37:56.520
<v Speaker 1>But as you stated, the free fall here, I think

0:37:56.560 --> 0:38:00.680
<v Speaker 1>it's somewhere. Suit. Look, my biggest gripe about curse your

0:38:00.960 --> 0:38:03.319
<v Speaker 1>entering the season wasn't the back. I didn't know there's

0:38:03.320 --> 0:38:06.319
<v Speaker 1>gonna be a I I guess I should say now

0:38:06.840 --> 0:38:11.200
<v Speaker 1>for that back injury, it's the decreased velocity and the

0:38:11.280 --> 0:38:15.720
<v Speaker 1>plummeating strikeout rate, you know, creating kersher If even throwse

0:38:16.440 --> 0:38:20.680
<v Speaker 1>dred and sixty eting with you know, a strikeout rate,

0:38:21.040 --> 0:38:24.080
<v Speaker 1>that's not the picture I thought I was getting. But

0:38:24.280 --> 0:38:26.239
<v Speaker 1>when you start getting into the sixth round or the

0:38:26.400 --> 0:38:30.040
<v Speaker 1>seventh round, I think then you say, what the hell,

0:38:30.200 --> 0:38:32.640
<v Speaker 1>and you know, you you let it right and maybe

0:38:32.640 --> 0:38:35.279
<v Speaker 1>if you get a hundred and fifty hundred sixty and

0:38:35.360 --> 0:38:37.799
<v Speaker 1>the velocity does stick up a little bit, you're gonna

0:38:37.840 --> 0:38:42.359
<v Speaker 1>get a hell of a picture for that many innings. Yeah,

0:38:42.480 --> 0:38:44.640
<v Speaker 1>I look, the velocity is concerning, Like the skills have

0:38:44.719 --> 0:38:47.400
<v Speaker 1>conclined over the past couple of years for Kershaw, So

0:38:47.440 --> 0:38:50.719
<v Speaker 1>you worry about those things. A strikeout rate obviously, you know. Look,

0:38:50.760 --> 0:38:53.160
<v Speaker 1>he's just he's pitched a lot. He's pitched a lot

0:38:53.160 --> 0:38:54.680
<v Speaker 1>of endings, right, Like I think it's you know that,

0:38:54.840 --> 0:38:56.680
<v Speaker 1>and injuries are kind of catching up to him. So

0:38:57.239 --> 0:38:59.799
<v Speaker 1>like it sucks, but like you know, other time has

0:39:00.040 --> 0:39:03.160
<v Speaker 1>never lost here Greggy, So uh yeah, I just wanted

0:39:03.200 --> 0:39:05.920
<v Speaker 1>to shock the Dodgers gave him an extra thirty million dollars,

0:39:05.920 --> 0:39:08.040
<v Speaker 1>so I thought that was a little nuts. But I

0:39:08.200 --> 0:39:13.279
<v Speaker 1>understand you're paying him for for his past achievements. I guess. Yeah.

0:39:13.320 --> 0:39:14.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, someone laid that out to me too, like

0:39:15.920 --> 0:39:18.799
<v Speaker 1>somebody in in college that I went that I went

0:39:18.880 --> 0:39:21.640
<v Speaker 1>school with, said, you know, when you kind of think

0:39:21.680 --> 0:39:23.880
<v Speaker 1>about it when you get players that kind of perform

0:39:24.040 --> 0:39:26.080
<v Speaker 1>as awesome as they do on like their rookie deals

0:39:26.239 --> 0:39:28.840
<v Speaker 1>or like during their arbitration eligible years, and then you

0:39:28.960 --> 0:39:31.520
<v Speaker 1>end up like paying them this church like some of money.

0:39:31.680 --> 0:39:33.600
<v Speaker 1>It's like you're kind of paying for the production that

0:39:33.640 --> 0:39:35.200
<v Speaker 1>they gave you in the past, which is a weird

0:39:35.280 --> 0:39:37.080
<v Speaker 1>way to think about it, but like you're ultimately you're

0:39:37.120 --> 0:39:39.400
<v Speaker 1>looking out for your players. It doesn't happen as often

0:39:39.480 --> 0:39:42.000
<v Speaker 1>as you know, maybe we would like it to happen

0:39:42.160 --> 0:39:44.719
<v Speaker 1>or what it should be, because you know, and that's

0:39:44.760 --> 0:39:48.840
<v Speaker 1>why the Patriots whatever you mean, absolutely, that's exactly right.

0:39:48.880 --> 0:39:50.920
<v Speaker 1>You're absolutely right. Speaking of contracts, I think it's some

0:39:51.040 --> 0:39:53.280
<v Speaker 1>time to ask you get third basement for a second

0:39:53.520 --> 0:39:57.240
<v Speaker 1>about our Hicks's contracts seven years, seventy million dollars extension

0:39:57.360 --> 0:40:03.560
<v Speaker 1>with the Yankees, which clapp get clapping. Yeah, look, I'm

0:40:04.320 --> 0:40:07.120
<v Speaker 1>the guy deserves that. The Yankees were smart to do it.

0:40:07.840 --> 0:40:09.680
<v Speaker 1>And you know, he's a hell of a defender, he's

0:40:09.719 --> 0:40:12.520
<v Speaker 1>a better he's a very good hitter that doesn't get

0:40:12.640 --> 0:40:15.759
<v Speaker 1>the claim that he should. And you know, if he

0:40:15.840 --> 0:40:19.920
<v Speaker 1>can stay you know, relatively healthy all season long this year,

0:40:19.960 --> 0:40:22.640
<v Speaker 1>I think he can be even better than lationship. Yeah,

0:40:22.680 --> 0:40:24.759
<v Speaker 1>that's that's absolutely right, And you're getting in, you know

0:40:25.200 --> 0:40:27.799
<v Speaker 1>right now is what sometimes your outfield four. I mean,

0:40:28.160 --> 0:40:29.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't know if I want him as

0:40:29.280 --> 0:40:31.239
<v Speaker 1>one of my top three outfielders. You could probably live

0:40:31.280 --> 0:40:33.000
<v Speaker 1>with it based on like the way that your rest

0:40:33.040 --> 0:40:35.160
<v Speaker 1>of the rest of your roster is constructed. But you're

0:40:35.160 --> 0:40:37.040
<v Speaker 1>getting this guy's your outfield four. He has you know,

0:40:37.160 --> 0:40:39.279
<v Speaker 1>twenty five home run upside and you steal a couple

0:40:39.280 --> 0:40:41.800
<v Speaker 1>of bases, you know, ten to twelve bases. Like, he

0:40:41.840 --> 0:40:43.600
<v Speaker 1>has a good O b P, a good eye at

0:40:43.640 --> 0:40:46.800
<v Speaker 1>the plate. He's a good fielder as not even a

0:40:46.800 --> 0:40:50.120
<v Speaker 1>good great fielder of an arm too, like you've seen

0:40:50.160 --> 0:40:51.680
<v Speaker 1>some of the stat cast data in terms of like

0:40:51.920 --> 0:40:54.000
<v Speaker 1>him throwing the ball, like throwing people out at the plate,

0:40:54.040 --> 0:40:55.719
<v Speaker 1>throwing the ball like a hundred miles per hour. So

0:40:56.040 --> 0:40:57.840
<v Speaker 1>he has a rocket for an arm. Uh, you know,

0:40:58.080 --> 0:41:01.239
<v Speaker 1>seven years, it's a long deal. He's in the prime

0:41:01.280 --> 0:41:02.719
<v Speaker 1>of his career. Well, I think we looked this up.

0:41:02.719 --> 0:41:05.040
<v Speaker 1>He's twenty nine, turning thirty at the end of the

0:41:05.080 --> 0:41:07.600
<v Speaker 1>season this year, so you basically lock him up for

0:41:08.120 --> 0:41:11.239
<v Speaker 1>the prime years of his career. This hope he stays healthy.

0:41:11.320 --> 0:41:13.759
<v Speaker 1>That's always kind of be in the bugaboo with Aaron Hicks.

0:41:13.800 --> 0:41:16.560
<v Speaker 1>I think what's cool is um seven years, seventy million dollars,

0:41:16.600 --> 0:41:18.799
<v Speaker 1>so he gets obviously gets paid, which is cool. Uh,

0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:21.359
<v Speaker 1>And the Yankees have a very affordable contract on their hands.

0:41:21.560 --> 0:41:24.319
<v Speaker 1>I think that ten million or so. It's about ten

0:41:24.320 --> 0:41:26.120
<v Speaker 1>and a half million every year. The way it structure

0:41:26.239 --> 0:41:27.440
<v Speaker 1>is this Serason only getting like six and a half.

0:41:27.480 --> 0:41:29.120
<v Speaker 1>It's was ten and a half million almost every year

0:41:29.320 --> 0:41:30.800
<v Speaker 1>the nine and a half of the end of the contract.

0:41:31.400 --> 0:41:33.640
<v Speaker 1>It's very reasonable. It's like a very reasonable amount for

0:41:33.640 --> 0:41:36.400
<v Speaker 1>a starting out fielder, especially a center fielder that projected

0:41:36.480 --> 0:41:39.440
<v Speaker 1>one of the best center fielder defensively in all baseball.

0:41:39.480 --> 0:41:41.040
<v Speaker 1>So I think of that perspective, it's good. I think

0:41:41.080 --> 0:41:43.280
<v Speaker 1>seven years a long time. It commnce Aaron Hicks, who

0:41:43.360 --> 0:41:45.920
<v Speaker 1>seems to be always not always injured, but like always

0:41:46.000 --> 0:41:47.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of banged up when he's out there. He's got

0:41:47.640 --> 0:41:49.319
<v Speaker 1>a great eye. I think of the press release they

0:41:49.320 --> 0:41:51.040
<v Speaker 1>talked about that, I and his ability to not to

0:41:51.080 --> 0:41:55.040
<v Speaker 1>strike out. And you know, the Yankees got killed a

0:41:55.080 --> 0:41:57.719
<v Speaker 1>lot after the playoffs for just being a team of

0:41:58.000 --> 0:42:00.680
<v Speaker 1>strikeout guys and home run guys. Aaron Nix does not

0:42:00.719 --> 0:42:03.400
<v Speaker 1>strike out, and I think having more guys like that

0:42:03.560 --> 0:42:06.239
<v Speaker 1>it was very interesting to them. And they clearly want

0:42:06.239 --> 0:42:08.440
<v Speaker 1>to keep this cord together. I'm sure they're they've already,

0:42:08.960 --> 0:42:12.360
<v Speaker 1>um it made a couple of signings, no doubt. They've

0:42:12.400 --> 0:42:14.880
<v Speaker 1>extended Sevorino, and you have to imagine Aaron Judge and

0:42:14.920 --> 0:42:17.280
<v Speaker 1>Did Gregorius or two the next guys that they'll probably

0:42:17.840 --> 0:42:21.400
<v Speaker 1>want to extend. We'll see if and when that happens.

0:42:21.800 --> 0:42:23.400
<v Speaker 1>Let's get back to third baseman, and I think the

0:42:23.480 --> 0:42:26.160
<v Speaker 1>natural transition here is a guy that is it the

0:42:26.280 --> 0:42:29.359
<v Speaker 1>next tier of guys. I'd say that's Miguel and you Are.

0:42:29.440 --> 0:42:32.600
<v Speaker 1>I know, NFBC, he's in the top ten. Um A

0:42:32.840 --> 0:42:35.520
<v Speaker 1>handing a Sparez carpenter company for him. But we're talking

0:42:35.520 --> 0:42:37.000
<v Speaker 1>about the A, so I think it's a good time

0:42:37.040 --> 0:42:39.279
<v Speaker 1>to bring up Miguel and you Are, who had over

0:42:39.360 --> 0:42:42.360
<v Speaker 1>forty doubles last year as a rookie. The biggest concerns

0:42:42.400 --> 0:42:44.360
<v Speaker 1>with him as a baseball player is his fielding. We

0:42:44.480 --> 0:42:46.640
<v Speaker 1>do not care about his fielding when it comes to

0:42:46.719 --> 0:42:49.560
<v Speaker 1>fantasy baseball, not necessarily. I mean it could it could

0:42:49.600 --> 0:42:51.239
<v Speaker 1>impact his playing time. You know if he if he's

0:42:51.280 --> 0:42:53.480
<v Speaker 1>a dreadful fielder. I mean, you know, they signed d

0:42:53.600 --> 0:42:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Jail and make Hugh because he has the ability to

0:42:55.560 --> 0:42:58.759
<v Speaker 1>be a utility, utility kind of player. You know, they

0:42:58.800 --> 0:43:00.239
<v Speaker 1>say he could play second and can play third, he

0:43:00.280 --> 0:43:02.320
<v Speaker 1>could play first base a little bit. So you know,

0:43:02.480 --> 0:43:06.279
<v Speaker 1>if if Andrew Hart is really that bad at third base,

0:43:06.360 --> 0:43:07.920
<v Speaker 1>and I mean he could lose some playing time, is

0:43:07.920 --> 0:43:10.640
<v Speaker 1>it a huge concern of mine. No, But I you know,

0:43:10.800 --> 0:43:13.360
<v Speaker 1>I will say I don't think that there's necessarily no

0:43:13.920 --> 0:43:16.160
<v Speaker 1>effect that his defense has on his fantasy value, because

0:43:16.160 --> 0:43:19.279
<v Speaker 1>I do at least think that there's there's some effects here. Um,

0:43:19.719 --> 0:43:22.279
<v Speaker 1>look twenty seven home runs. I think the power really

0:43:22.360 --> 0:43:24.360
<v Speaker 1>kind of jumped off the page last year, more so

0:43:24.480 --> 0:43:25.800
<v Speaker 1>than we thought he would. If you look at his

0:43:25.840 --> 0:43:28.000
<v Speaker 1>minor league profile, he really hit a lot of doubles.

0:43:28.520 --> 0:43:31.919
<v Speaker 1>He hit for a high batting average, pretty solid contact raids.

0:43:31.960 --> 0:43:34.360
<v Speaker 1>Doesn't strike out all that much either, you know, just

0:43:34.440 --> 0:43:37.200
<v Speaker 1>sixteen percent strikeout rate last season in major league. So

0:43:37.440 --> 0:43:39.920
<v Speaker 1>makes a lot of contact, a lot of line drive contact.

0:43:39.960 --> 0:43:41.920
<v Speaker 1>But you know, playing Yankee Stadium and some of those

0:43:41.960 --> 0:43:44.080
<v Speaker 1>other ballparks in the A L East, you know, the

0:43:44.160 --> 0:43:46.919
<v Speaker 1>doubles are turning into home runs even sooner than we thought.

0:43:47.000 --> 0:43:49.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, he's kind of he's a bigger stature dude.

0:43:49.200 --> 0:43:51.680
<v Speaker 1>So seven home runs, all right, I don't know. I'm

0:43:51.680 --> 0:43:53.400
<v Speaker 1>not sure that he gets back there, but I think

0:43:53.440 --> 0:43:57.400
<v Speaker 1>he's safe for at least in that range. He's one

0:43:57.400 --> 0:44:00.520
<v Speaker 1>of these interesting cases, Greg, where he paces a lot

0:44:00.560 --> 0:44:03.400
<v Speaker 1>of pitches. He's very aggressive, but he makes a lot

0:44:03.480 --> 0:44:06.239
<v Speaker 1>of contact on those pitches. You know, shout out to

0:44:06.400 --> 0:44:08.400
<v Speaker 1>uh to Garry and Thrown. I heard him talking about this.

0:44:08.719 --> 0:44:11.680
<v Speaker 1>He kind of likened it to UH to VLADIMC. Guerrero senior,

0:44:11.840 --> 0:44:13.800
<v Speaker 1>where you know this that was one of like the

0:44:13.920 --> 0:44:16.120
<v Speaker 1>last players that we saw chase a lot of pitches

0:44:16.280 --> 0:44:18.319
<v Speaker 1>but still make a lot of contact and pretty good

0:44:18.400 --> 0:44:21.719
<v Speaker 1>contact on those pitches outside the strike zone. So, you know,

0:44:21.760 --> 0:44:23.880
<v Speaker 1>I thought that was a pretty cool comp But you know,

0:44:24.000 --> 0:44:26.839
<v Speaker 1>I think to eight home runs, you know he's gonna

0:44:26.840 --> 0:44:28.520
<v Speaker 1>be in the Yankees lineup, so the county stats will

0:44:28.560 --> 0:44:30.560
<v Speaker 1>be there too. Is another guy where you know, he's

0:44:30.560 --> 0:44:33.680
<v Speaker 1>a four category player, doesn't really doesn't give you anything

0:44:33.719 --> 0:44:36.480
<v Speaker 1>in the speed department, but you know, if he does

0:44:36.560 --> 0:44:39.160
<v Speaker 1>play every single day, you might have the upside for

0:44:39.200 --> 0:44:41.000
<v Speaker 1>even more I mean he had nine d RBIs last year.

0:44:41.000 --> 0:44:42.720
<v Speaker 1>He plays every single day in the middle of this lineup.

0:44:42.840 --> 0:44:44.759
<v Speaker 1>It's not outside the remo possibility that he drives in

0:44:44.800 --> 0:44:47.879
<v Speaker 1>a hundred runs. That's still just twenty three years old.

0:44:48.000 --> 0:44:50.200
<v Speaker 1>He'll he'll turn it'll turn to my four next week,

0:44:50.239 --> 0:44:51.799
<v Speaker 1>So it's a twenty four year old player. I think

0:44:51.840 --> 0:44:53.800
<v Speaker 1>he does have room to grill, like I don't know that.

0:44:53.880 --> 0:44:56.680
<v Speaker 1>We saw the ceiling last year Miguel and har which

0:44:56.719 --> 0:45:00.360
<v Speaker 1>is kind of scintillating. Saything bad about in Hard. It

0:45:00.480 --> 0:45:02.480
<v Speaker 1>was very good to be last year. And I think

0:45:02.520 --> 0:45:06.960
<v Speaker 1>French right, we're about that batting average, not the three

0:45:07.560 --> 0:45:10.000
<v Speaker 1>to think that will come down. I think you could

0:45:10.000 --> 0:45:13.200
<v Speaker 1>go either way here. He's either really gonna, you know,

0:45:13.680 --> 0:45:16.960
<v Speaker 1>turn it on and break that thirty Harmer and Barrier

0:45:17.160 --> 0:45:22.160
<v Speaker 1>or hanging around. I think he's a solid player. I

0:45:22.280 --> 0:45:25.520
<v Speaker 1>just think the position is so deep that I don't

0:45:25.600 --> 0:45:29.120
<v Speaker 1>need to grab Andrew Hard where he's going. Uh, you know,

0:45:29.239 --> 0:45:32.080
<v Speaker 1>there's just other guys there that can give me similar

0:45:32.160 --> 0:45:36.879
<v Speaker 1>skills or different skills at that position if I so choose. Yeah,

0:45:37.040 --> 0:45:39.200
<v Speaker 1>and and no doubt that's fair. There's two guys go

0:45:39.239 --> 0:45:41.239
<v Speaker 1>ahead of the NFEC that will mention and do Horr

0:45:41.280 --> 0:45:45.040
<v Speaker 1>is going around pick in the NFBC, which puts him

0:45:45.080 --> 0:45:49.239
<v Speaker 1>where frank than four him in the sixth round of

0:45:49.320 --> 0:45:53.680
<v Speaker 1>fifteen team draft, early six team going so early early six,

0:45:54.120 --> 0:45:56.439
<v Speaker 1>and he was going harder, so he's actually he's dropped

0:45:56.440 --> 0:45:58.560
<v Speaker 1>a little bit. He's dropped a little bit. So it's

0:45:58.600 --> 0:46:00.520
<v Speaker 1>really him and like a hand O squarre Suarez going

0:46:00.520 --> 0:46:03.160
<v Speaker 1>a little bit higher, like very firmly, you know, in

0:46:03.320 --> 0:46:06.439
<v Speaker 1>that early early fifth round range. He's going a little

0:46:06.440 --> 0:46:08.520
<v Speaker 1>bit higher than Andrew Harror. But when I look when

0:46:08.560 --> 0:46:10.480
<v Speaker 1>I look at Miguel and Harror, as I mentioned, like,

0:46:10.520 --> 0:46:12.360
<v Speaker 1>I see a player that I believes looking girl like,

0:46:12.400 --> 0:46:14.799
<v Speaker 1>I think he gets over third and maybe a little

0:46:14.840 --> 0:46:17.359
<v Speaker 1>ni even and Yankee bias or whatever, but I think

0:46:17.440 --> 0:46:20.000
<v Speaker 1>definitely a Yankee bias for sure. I think he gets

0:46:20.000 --> 0:46:22.919
<v Speaker 1>over thirty home runs. I think that, Like the strike

0:46:23.040 --> 0:46:26.400
<v Speaker 1>rate is the crazy thing to me, because he he

0:46:26.640 --> 0:46:28.480
<v Speaker 1>has such great context that you look at his entire

0:46:28.520 --> 0:46:30.800
<v Speaker 1>minor leage profile. He doesn't strike out because he swings

0:46:30.840 --> 0:46:34.320
<v Speaker 1>in everything. This is a guy everything. Yeah, he doesn't

0:46:34.320 --> 0:46:37.440
<v Speaker 1>walk at all, he never had. He's another one of these.

0:46:37.560 --> 0:46:39.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, there are a lot of hitters like that

0:46:39.120 --> 0:46:41.640
<v Speaker 1>in the game. They're specific really don't walk a lot,

0:46:41.680 --> 0:46:43.919
<v Speaker 1>but aggressive swingers they swing had a lot of pitches

0:46:43.960 --> 0:46:46.640
<v Speaker 1>outside the strike zone, you know, like Starling Marte comes

0:46:46.680 --> 0:46:48.319
<v Speaker 1>to mind as well, another guy who makes a lot

0:46:48.360 --> 0:46:50.640
<v Speaker 1>of contact, doesn't really walk all that much. But that

0:46:50.680 --> 0:46:53.000
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mean that they can't be valuable for fantasy purposes,

0:46:53.040 --> 0:46:55.000
<v Speaker 1>like it could definitely work. And they will say this

0:46:55.320 --> 0:46:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the second half for Andrew Hard, he did make a

0:46:57.600 --> 0:46:59.600
<v Speaker 1>conscious effort to try and lift the ball a little

0:46:59.640 --> 0:47:01.560
<v Speaker 1>bit more. Uh. You know, first half he was you

0:47:01.600 --> 0:47:04.759
<v Speaker 1>know to seventy nine eighteen percent line drive rate, uh,

0:47:04.920 --> 0:47:07.320
<v Speaker 1>thirty three percent flyball rate. In the second half, you know,

0:47:07.560 --> 0:47:10.920
<v Speaker 1>three nineteen batting average, five seventy five slugging. You know,

0:47:10.960 --> 0:47:12.560
<v Speaker 1>he had fifteen on runs in the second half to

0:47:12.719 --> 0:47:16.040
<v Speaker 1>fifty six isolated power line drive right, so that goes

0:47:16.120 --> 0:47:18.840
<v Speaker 1>up four percent. His fly ball rate goes up six percent,

0:47:18.960 --> 0:47:22.160
<v Speaker 1>up to thirty nine percent in the second half year. Uh,

0:47:22.320 --> 0:47:24.320
<v Speaker 1>and you know, the hard hit percentage right around the

0:47:24.360 --> 0:47:27.040
<v Speaker 1>same the home run flyball ratio goes up a little bit.

0:47:27.120 --> 0:47:30.000
<v Speaker 1>So based on that second half, if those kind of

0:47:30.040 --> 0:47:33.360
<v Speaker 1>battle ball numbers carry over, this year. It's not necessarily

0:47:33.400 --> 0:47:35.359
<v Speaker 1>gonna happen. A lot of people like to use second

0:47:35.400 --> 0:47:38.239
<v Speaker 1>half as indicators. It doesn't necessarily mean it's gonna happen,

0:47:38.560 --> 0:47:40.520
<v Speaker 1>but if it does, then that's where you kind of

0:47:40.520 --> 0:47:42.640
<v Speaker 1>see like the thirty maybe even thirty plus home run

0:47:42.760 --> 0:47:44.879
<v Speaker 1>upside come into play. If he carries over that second

0:47:44.920 --> 0:47:46.600
<v Speaker 1>half bad in ball data, it's just as long as

0:47:46.600 --> 0:47:48.799
<v Speaker 1>you continue to make contact at the obviously the rate

0:47:48.840 --> 0:47:51.560
<v Speaker 1>that he was in that second half, he's gonna be

0:47:51.560 --> 0:47:53.480
<v Speaker 1>really good. I think he could be Like I know, Matts,

0:47:53.520 --> 0:47:55.279
<v Speaker 1>it's a little rich for his blood. And there's a

0:47:55.320 --> 0:47:59.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of guys. Yeah, here's war though at the end

0:47:59.120 --> 0:48:02.759
<v Speaker 1>of that six the early seventh you do have other

0:48:02.840 --> 0:48:05.000
<v Speaker 1>guys too, like saying you needed to feel something else,

0:48:05.040 --> 0:48:08.120
<v Speaker 1>you needed to get that closer. There's a Josh Donaldson,

0:48:08.520 --> 0:48:11.840
<v Speaker 1>There's a Will Myers. There's Justin Turner, who's one of

0:48:11.920 --> 0:48:14.440
<v Speaker 1>the best hitters in all the baseball We know he's

0:48:14.800 --> 0:48:17.600
<v Speaker 1>getting up there and getting older. Or even if I wait,

0:48:18.280 --> 0:48:20.960
<v Speaker 1>one guy who this is a bad help, like Frank said,

0:48:21.080 --> 0:48:24.200
<v Speaker 1>you got gotta watch in preseason, is Matt Chapman. You

0:48:24.280 --> 0:48:28.200
<v Speaker 1>look at Matt Chapman's road numbers, and you put Nolan

0:48:28.320 --> 0:48:32.680
<v Speaker 1>Arronado's home numbers and Matt Chapman's away numbers side by side,

0:48:33.080 --> 0:48:36.280
<v Speaker 1>you're looking at it pretty much the same player. Chapman

0:48:36.360 --> 0:48:40.239
<v Speaker 1>was ridiculous last year. He was, so I was looking

0:48:40.280 --> 0:48:41.600
<v Speaker 1>at his numbers, and you know what I really found

0:48:41.640 --> 0:48:44.240
<v Speaker 1>surprising if you won't even realize this, but Matt Chapmans

0:48:44.239 --> 0:48:46.799
<v Speaker 1>scored a hundred runs last year. Scored a hundred runs,

0:48:47.280 --> 0:48:49.840
<v Speaker 1>Like I wouldn't have even guessed that, But you know,

0:48:49.920 --> 0:48:51.879
<v Speaker 1>he was the Oakland A's lineup like the first half

0:48:51.880 --> 0:48:54.160
<v Speaker 1>of it last year, like was was very potent, like

0:48:54.440 --> 0:48:57.200
<v Speaker 1>Chris Davis. Davis obviously one on that tear. I expect

0:48:57.239 --> 0:48:59.480
<v Speaker 1>Matt Olsen to take another step as well. The one

0:48:59.640 --> 0:49:02.040
<v Speaker 1>the big his issue right now with Chapman is the injuries.

0:49:02.160 --> 0:49:04.239
<v Speaker 1>So Matt, right, you gotta pay attention during spring, like

0:49:04.520 --> 0:49:06.200
<v Speaker 1>if you're drafting right now, I don't know if I

0:49:06.239 --> 0:49:08.080
<v Speaker 1>could pull the trigger like I think he's falling down

0:49:08.160 --> 0:49:09.960
<v Speaker 1>draft boards a little bit because of it. But it

0:49:10.160 --> 0:49:12.520
<v Speaker 1>is what they're like, they got worry some injuries. You know,

0:49:12.640 --> 0:49:15.040
<v Speaker 1>it's the thumb, so that's ability to hold the bat

0:49:15.120 --> 0:49:17.239
<v Speaker 1>and grip the bat and then it's shoulder to which

0:49:17.239 --> 0:49:19.800
<v Speaker 1>could affect his power. So as great as match Happman was,

0:49:19.920 --> 0:49:22.239
<v Speaker 1>I thought he made huge tries last season. If he

0:49:22.320 --> 0:49:24.640
<v Speaker 1>was healthy, you know, I think he might even be

0:49:24.719 --> 0:49:26.800
<v Speaker 1>going around this and her range, to be honest with

0:49:27.040 --> 0:49:29.480
<v Speaker 1>which is crazy to say, but he made that many

0:49:29.560 --> 0:49:32.640
<v Speaker 1>improvements last year throughout the course of the season. But

0:49:32.760 --> 0:49:35.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm really worried about these injuries, I mean, shoulder

0:49:35.160 --> 0:49:38.560
<v Speaker 1>and thumbs together, especially now that like you know, he's

0:49:38.560 --> 0:49:41.360
<v Speaker 1>still dealing with him like he's getting a later start

0:49:41.440 --> 0:49:44.160
<v Speaker 1>in spring training than everyone else. It's it's not a little,

0:49:44.200 --> 0:49:45.719
<v Speaker 1>it's a lot annoying, fair enough, because this is a

0:49:45.760 --> 0:49:47.080
<v Speaker 1>guy that you know, we could have been all over

0:49:47.200 --> 0:49:48.960
<v Speaker 1>like he would have been an active target of mine.

0:49:49.040 --> 0:49:52.279
<v Speaker 1>We talked about um meal and horror, and you said,

0:49:52.360 --> 0:49:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Frank that the person that you see him closely compared

0:49:55.440 --> 0:49:57.279
<v Speaker 1>to that, compared to you, but it's similar, but he's

0:49:57.280 --> 0:50:00.160
<v Speaker 1>pretty much higher than him is Hauarez, who's going off

0:50:00.200 --> 0:50:02.839
<v Speaker 1>the board like picks ahead of him in the early

0:50:02.960 --> 0:50:10.239
<v Speaker 1>fifth round in those fifteen team leagues. What's up? Man?

0:50:10.360 --> 0:50:13.600
<v Speaker 1>This is not gonna be a popular take, and some people, uh,

0:50:13.840 --> 0:50:15.759
<v Speaker 1>some people might want to attack me for it. But

0:50:16.800 --> 0:50:19.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm a little worried about au Henningo Suarez just because

0:50:19.280 --> 0:50:20.759
<v Speaker 1>the price that you have to pay right now. Look,

0:50:20.800 --> 0:50:23.200
<v Speaker 1>I love the Reds lineup, you know, I want exposure

0:50:23.239 --> 0:50:24.960
<v Speaker 1>to ya c l P League, And you know, Joey

0:50:25.040 --> 0:50:27.279
<v Speaker 1>Vado should bounce back as well, and Scooter Jeanette and

0:50:27.280 --> 0:50:28.960
<v Speaker 1>all these guys, and I think I think it could

0:50:28.960 --> 0:50:30.800
<v Speaker 1>be a great lineup. It's a great ballpark. And he

0:50:30.960 --> 0:50:33.120
<v Speaker 1>was otherworldly in the first half last season. You know,

0:50:33.239 --> 0:50:35.719
<v Speaker 1>he three o ps. You know, he was one of

0:50:35.800 --> 0:50:38.040
<v Speaker 1>the ten best hitters in baseball. Like he missed time

0:50:38.080 --> 0:50:40.719
<v Speaker 1>last year and he's still drop runs. He was awesome. Uh,

0:50:40.800 --> 0:50:42.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, fifty one percent hard hit rate in the

0:50:42.640 --> 0:50:45.279
<v Speaker 1>first half last season. Second half last year, I mean

0:50:45.320 --> 0:50:46.719
<v Speaker 1>he took a step back. I mean he you know,

0:50:46.880 --> 0:50:49.480
<v Speaker 1>the strikeout percentage goes up by nine percent. It went

0:50:49.520 --> 0:50:51.640
<v Speaker 1>from nineteen and a half percent in the first half

0:50:51.680 --> 0:50:54.680
<v Speaker 1>to eight percent. He was a seven eight five ops,

0:50:54.760 --> 0:50:58.400
<v Speaker 1>so nearly lowers by two hundred points. Uh. You hit

0:50:58.440 --> 0:51:00.960
<v Speaker 1>rates still at the ball extremely hard. So oh, I

0:51:01.280 --> 0:51:04.120
<v Speaker 1>just worry. You know, people are kind of paying the

0:51:04.200 --> 0:51:06.239
<v Speaker 1>premium right now, like based on what he did last

0:51:06.280 --> 0:51:08.160
<v Speaker 1>year and he had an awesome first half, and you know,

0:51:08.280 --> 0:51:10.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe this is just his natural progression as a player

0:51:10.520 --> 0:51:12.640
<v Speaker 1>and a hitter at the major league level. So you know,

0:51:12.760 --> 0:51:14.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe you can kind of take what he did in

0:51:14.480 --> 0:51:15.840
<v Speaker 1>the first half and do that over the course of

0:51:15.880 --> 0:51:18.560
<v Speaker 1>a full season. Maybe that's like his next step in progression.

0:51:19.239 --> 0:51:20.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm a little bit more worried. I'm a little bit

0:51:20.920 --> 0:51:22.680
<v Speaker 1>more worried about the second half. I think you're kind

0:51:22.680 --> 0:51:25.600
<v Speaker 1>of paying up in that fifth round range for what

0:51:25.920 --> 0:51:28.560
<v Speaker 1>might be close to his ceiling this season. Um, and

0:51:28.640 --> 0:51:30.120
<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of people might not like to

0:51:30.160 --> 0:51:33.480
<v Speaker 1>hear that. Yeah, I'm I'm always frank here. I think, Look,

0:51:33.520 --> 0:51:35.960
<v Speaker 1>I think the power is real. I'm not doubting that.

0:51:36.600 --> 0:51:38.640
<v Speaker 1>I think the average is more than that two fifty

0:51:38.680 --> 0:51:43.600
<v Speaker 1>to sixty range for Matt I'd probably be more comfortable

0:51:43.680 --> 0:51:47.680
<v Speaker 1>with Andrew Hard now and just saying Suarez is actually

0:51:47.880 --> 0:51:51.439
<v Speaker 1>dropping down. He was going in certain spots third, fourth

0:51:51.600 --> 0:51:53.640
<v Speaker 1>round a couple of months back. So I think his

0:51:54.200 --> 0:51:59.480
<v Speaker 1>price is at least coming back to uh something that's

0:51:59.600 --> 0:52:03.279
<v Speaker 1>more I don't know, more agreeable, though I'm not paying

0:52:03.360 --> 0:52:05.920
<v Speaker 1>that right now. The one takeaway I think you should

0:52:05.960 --> 0:52:08.920
<v Speaker 1>get from third base is that the quarter at the

0:52:09.000 --> 0:52:12.400
<v Speaker 1>quarter position. In most cases not at all, but in

0:52:12.480 --> 0:52:15.560
<v Speaker 1>most cases this season, you're gonna be filling that corner

0:52:15.680 --> 0:52:18.040
<v Speaker 1>with a third basement over a first basement. I think

0:52:18.120 --> 0:52:20.640
<v Speaker 1>that's pretty obvious. Yeah, I think it's a really good takeaway, Matt.

0:52:20.840 --> 0:52:23.319
<v Speaker 1>That third base is just is really plentiful. Like, we've

0:52:23.400 --> 0:52:26.239
<v Speaker 1>gone through, um, what eight or n nine guys now

0:52:26.320 --> 0:52:27.880
<v Speaker 1>with you, Matt, I'll do the rest of the venture

0:52:27.960 --> 0:52:30.600
<v Speaker 1>coming in in the next hour. I'm having like all

0:52:30.640 --> 0:52:32.160
<v Speaker 1>of them. If there's none of these guys that stand

0:52:32.200 --> 0:52:34.000
<v Speaker 1>out like I don't want this guy. And we've done

0:52:34.040 --> 0:52:36.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of these previews. Now, Frank, we got Suarez

0:52:36.200 --> 0:52:37.520
<v Speaker 1>in a Best Ball draft, like I think I got

0:52:37.600 --> 0:52:39.440
<v Speaker 1>him in the fifth, sixth round where you know, to

0:52:39.560 --> 0:52:41.239
<v Speaker 1>me he was the best player left on the whole time.

0:52:41.239 --> 0:52:44.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm not necessarily opposed to taking him, but it kind

0:52:44.160 --> 0:52:45.560
<v Speaker 1>of feels a little b high if he continues to

0:52:45.640 --> 0:52:46.960
<v Speaker 1>drop a little bit, like if you start to get

0:52:47.000 --> 0:52:48.680
<v Speaker 1>him in the sixth round, like I'd be more I'd

0:52:48.719 --> 0:52:50.120
<v Speaker 1>be more apt to do something like I have no

0:52:50.239 --> 0:52:52.239
<v Speaker 1>issue with any of these guys, Matt, before we let

0:52:52.280 --> 0:52:54.480
<v Speaker 1>you go, because I know you gotta you gotta run um.

0:52:54.560 --> 0:52:56.600
<v Speaker 1>We talked about Matt Carpenter during our First Base show.

0:52:57.000 --> 0:52:58.759
<v Speaker 1>What are your thoughts on Matt Carpenter? We got under

0:52:58.760 --> 0:53:02.080
<v Speaker 1>a minute. I think it's more of the same. I

0:53:02.239 --> 0:53:05.279
<v Speaker 1>love the Goldsmith a dish you that really helps him

0:53:05.320 --> 0:53:07.560
<v Speaker 1>out in the tot On was drafted hold, which is

0:53:07.640 --> 0:53:10.160
<v Speaker 1>o b P. I took him in the fourth round

0:53:10.480 --> 0:53:13.719
<v Speaker 1>in a regular average league. I'm gonna wait longer. I

0:53:13.800 --> 0:53:17.279
<v Speaker 1>do like the dual eligibility for the corners, but he's

0:53:17.320 --> 0:53:19.640
<v Speaker 1>not a guy that I have to have. It sounds

0:53:19.680 --> 0:53:21.120
<v Speaker 1>like it sounds like there's a lot of those guys

0:53:21.200 --> 0:53:23.560
<v Speaker 1>like other than Anthony Rendon, But like, like I think

0:53:23.600 --> 0:53:25.440
<v Speaker 1>the way to phrase it is, I'm not enamored with it.

0:53:25.560 --> 0:53:27.560
<v Speaker 1>Like you know, I don't love Matt Carpenter. If I

0:53:27.640 --> 0:53:29.879
<v Speaker 1>end up with him, like, it's fine, Maddie, real quick

0:53:29.920 --> 0:53:32.200
<v Speaker 1>before we let you go. Who has been your most

0:53:32.360 --> 0:53:34.600
<v Speaker 1>uh I guess outside of Anthony Rendon because that's been

0:53:34.680 --> 0:53:36.640
<v Speaker 1>I think like one of your most avid targets this

0:53:36.719 --> 0:53:39.480
<v Speaker 1>season outside of him. Who who's the next third basement

0:53:39.520 --> 0:53:43.120
<v Speaker 1>up that you're targeting most? Bits between Justin Turner and

0:53:43.280 --> 0:53:45.879
<v Speaker 1>Will Mariles depending upon what I need you know that's

0:53:45.920 --> 0:53:48.320
<v Speaker 1>one of these guys that will never quit. Anybody is

0:53:48.360 --> 0:53:51.719
<v Speaker 1>one of those guys. I mean, especially with the ad

0:53:51.800 --> 0:53:55.520
<v Speaker 1>as well. Just called Wilmers, Sammy Watkins from Atladka. That's what.

0:53:55.880 --> 0:53:59.000
<v Speaker 1>That's a good coming, alright, Mattie. Well we'll tell him

0:53:59.080 --> 0:54:02.320
<v Speaker 1>next Monday on this very show follow us CCN Baseball.

0:54:02.400 --> 0:54:07.440
<v Speaker 1>We're back with venta Ray after this very m