1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:06,640 Speaker 1: The volume. Just a reminder you can catch me recording 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,879 Speaker 1: this podcast live on amp. Amp is a new live 3 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:12,320 Speaker 1: radio app. They'll let you call in and chat with 4 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: me in person while recording. Get the app on Apple's 5 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: app store and make sure you follow me at John 6 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: Middlecoff to get notified when I go live. What is 7 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:33,519 Speaker 1: going on? Everybody, John Middlecoff three and our podcast, Happy 8 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 1: NFL Season. It's back game tonight. Let's roll Chiefs Lions. 9 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 1: I phone told you a couple of years ago the 10 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 1: Lions would have opened up. You wouldn't have believed me. 11 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: But then Dan Campbell happened and the Lions are playing 12 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 1: the defending champs at Arrowhead. So here's the plan. We 13 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:49,559 Speaker 1: will dive into some of the news of the day, 14 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: Nick Bosa signed, I will pick some of the division 15 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: winners and my Super Bowl pick, and we will also 16 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: do a mailbag at John Middlecoff is the Instagram. Fire 17 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 1: in those dms and get your question answered here on 18 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 1: the show. Very very easy to do at John Middlecoff. 19 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:07,200 Speaker 1: Fire in those dms and the game plan will be 20 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: We did a podcast Monday with Colin. We did a 21 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 1: podcast Tuesday and Wednesday with me. This podcast Thursday. We 22 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:16,639 Speaker 1: will have another podcast Friday, so a lot of NFL content. 23 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 1: We are working, got bills to pay here, baby podcasts 24 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 1: to do, so this will be We'll have another podcast 25 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 1: on Friday with Stucky from the Action Network. We'll be back. 26 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: We'll be picking some games, give some takes, react to 27 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:32,959 Speaker 1: the Thursday night game. So a lot of content out there. 28 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 1: Check the feed, a lot of podcasts up. Yeah, let's 29 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 1: get excited. We got Deon Sanders Saturday, we got the 30 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 1: NFL Sunday Alabama Texas Football's back. It doesn't get any 31 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: better than this. You could literally not move off the couch, 32 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 1: order food from Saturday morning through Sunday night, and if 33 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 1: you work from home right until Monday night football, which 34 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: is Bill's Jets. Doesn't get much better than that. Sneaky 35 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 1: like the Jets a lot this year. Let's not have 36 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,559 Speaker 1: any the pod. But before we die into any football talk, 37 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 1: do you want to go to a football game? Cause 38 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 1: if you do, I got you cover. If you go 39 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: to your smartphone, you go to your iPad and you 40 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 1: download the game Time app. They just happen to be 41 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 1: the official ticketing app of this podcast and the fastest 42 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 1: screwing ticketing app in America. You want to go to 43 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 1: a college game, you live in the West, You want 44 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: to go watch Prime, You want to go watch Shador 45 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 1: and Travis Hunter play football. I do I know that. Well, 46 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: here's what you do. You download the game Time app 47 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 1: and you find the pair of tickets you want. They 48 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 1: got interactive ticketing map and use the promo code John. 49 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:36,359 Speaker 1: That's j o HN and that gets twenty dollars off. 50 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,080 Speaker 1: So use the promo code John when you sign up 51 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 1: for a pair of tickets. My girlfriend's friend last night 52 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 1: went to Drake he was in Phoenix, got like front 53 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: row seats. How they get him game time? They download 54 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: the game Time app. They typed in the promo code John. 55 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,080 Speaker 1: Twenty dollars off. No big deal. I don't even need 56 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: to thank you. Just use that promo code. Go to 57 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:55,519 Speaker 1: a concert, go to a game and enjoy yourself, have 58 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 1: fun and do it on me, do it on game 59 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: time and yeah, have a good time. Okay, let's start 60 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 1: with the news of the day. Nick Bosa officially signs 61 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: a historic contract. I think there are a lot of 62 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:12,079 Speaker 1: different elements to this, first and foremost, as a head coach, 63 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 1: as a GM, as a franchise. All you're looking to 64 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:19,120 Speaker 1: do is find Nick Bosas. Now, for the forty nine Ers, 65 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 1: it was relatively easy. They drafted them at number two, right. 66 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: The Cowboys a little more complicated. They got Micah Parsons 67 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 1: at twelve. The Steelers got TJ. Watt in the twenties. 68 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: But however, you have to typically gotta draft these guys. 69 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 1: They're not available in the free agent market. You get 70 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: these guys, you keep them, you extend them, and currently 71 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three, they are very, very expensive, and 72 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: that's just the cost of doing business, because you never 73 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 1: feel bad paying a premium for a premium. And when 74 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: it comes to Nick Bosa, when it came to Aaron 75 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: Donald's forever, when it comes to TJ. Watt and Micah Parsons, 76 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: you don't have a choice. You treat them like quarterbacks. 77 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: They ask for a lot, and you get a lot. 78 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 1: And as long as they stay healthy, which it's football, 79 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 1: it's out of all of our control, right, as long 80 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: as they are on the field, they're going to dominate. 81 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: And you want as many guys like Nick Bosa on 82 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 1: your team as humanly possible. So the forty nine Ers 83 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:21,479 Speaker 1: got very, very lucky that Josh Rosen was a royal 84 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:25,120 Speaker 1: bust and was terrible and the Cardinals were in shambles, 85 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: and that they drafted Kyler Murray number one overall and 86 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:29,920 Speaker 1: it led them to Nick Bosa, which is the easiest 87 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: draft pick they'll ever make, because not in a million 88 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,640 Speaker 1: years would they trade Nick Bosa straight up now for 89 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray. And the Cardinals would make that trade so 90 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: fast your head would spin. But that's the reality of drafts. 91 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,479 Speaker 1: Like sometimes great players go at two or one, and 92 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: sometimes they go at fifteen. But once you get that 93 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:48,800 Speaker 1: great player, you don't have a choice. You pay them. 94 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 1: And because of the gap between the previous guys that signed, 95 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,040 Speaker 1: you know, Aaron Donald, he just got He didn't get 96 00:04:57,080 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: an extension, He got a raise on a contract that 97 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:04,839 Speaker 1: was ongoing, right, and he got guaranteed money. Chris Jones, 98 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 1: same thing he wants, added guaranteed money to a contract 99 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: that already exists. Joey Bosa, TJ Watt, they got big 100 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: contract extensions and their numbers were right around one hundred 101 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 1: giver take. TJ's was a little less, but Joey's was 102 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 1: a little over one hundred in guaranteed dollars and these players, 103 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: like we've talked so much about some of these players 104 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: holding out, mainly the running backs being mad they were underpaid. 105 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:31,799 Speaker 1: They don't have any leverage because every single team agrees. 106 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 1: Even when you're an awesome player, I can replace you 107 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 1: with several people for maybe eighty percent of your production 108 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 1: for an eighth of the price, and that constantly happens. 109 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:47,840 Speaker 1: But when you play left tackle, right tackle, pass rusher, 110 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:51,160 Speaker 1: defensive tackle, once you become an all pro level guy, 111 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,160 Speaker 1: you got the leverage. You're not gonna make as much 112 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:56,720 Speaker 1: as quarterbacks, but you got the leverage in the sense 113 00:05:56,800 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 1: of that team needs you. It's why when col Leil 114 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 1: Mack was traded years ago, it was so shocking. No 115 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,919 Speaker 1: one trades all pro pass rushers in their mid to 116 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:10,599 Speaker 1: early twenties. That doesn't happen. And you extend these guys, 117 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:12,919 Speaker 1: you build around them, and the cost of doing business, 118 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:16,040 Speaker 1: as it was with Aaron Donald and Khalil Mack years ago, 119 00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:19,600 Speaker 1: were approaching that hundred million dollar number. Now Nick Bosa 120 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 1: gets to that one hundred and twenty two million dollar number, 121 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,359 Speaker 1: and next year micro Parsons will eclipse that. But the 122 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 1: key to these contracts to me, because I think They're 123 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: often spoken about on social media and through reporters and 124 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: just through the agents on the yearly value. And I'll 125 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,479 Speaker 1: never forget a buddy of mine, Bobby Wiggington, who I 126 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:40,920 Speaker 1: lived with in San Francisco when I moved back from 127 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:45,480 Speaker 1: Philly to San Francisco. He went to an IVY League school. 128 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:48,839 Speaker 1: He played baseball there. He's a very very successful finance guy. 129 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 1: And when I moved back and I was scouting the 130 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: West Coast, I lived with Bobby, and Bobby had just 131 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 1: bought a sweet pad in the city. This back when 132 00:06:56,040 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: San Francisco was thriving in twenty twelve, and he he 133 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 1: just took a brand new job in the finance industry, 134 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 1: and he fought for this title. He wanted to be 135 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 1: a vice president so bad. And he got there and 136 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: he realized a couple of months in his bonus structure 137 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 1: sucked because all he cared about was on the front 138 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: of his office. He wanted the VP title. He's like, 139 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: you could have called me in looking back, I should 140 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:20,240 Speaker 1: have just you could have called me an intern. Give 141 00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 1: me the sweet bonus structure. I could sign you to 142 00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: a five year, two hundred million dollar contract if I 143 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 1: only guarantee forty of it. Who actually cares? Everyone is 144 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: obsessed with, well he made thirty thirty one, thirty five, 145 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 1: all the quarterbacks he's making forty five. How much guaranteed 146 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 1: dollars did you make? That's all that matters. That's the 147 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:42,239 Speaker 1: substance behind this all. So when I hear one hundred 148 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 1: and seventy million dollars is what he got. The one 149 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty two number is what matters. Because this 150 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 1: is not Major League Baseball. You are not paid on 151 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 1: a yearly basis forty million, then forty two million and 152 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: then forty three million, or the NBA NFL contracts are 153 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 1: not structured that way. Nick Bosa got a fifty million 154 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: dollars signing bonus. You are paid in bonuses, in roster bonuses, 155 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:10,720 Speaker 1: and the cash flow in NFL contracts is dramatically different 156 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 1: than the other team sports. It's why all these guys 157 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 1: go to war over the guaranteed money because at every position, 158 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: really beside quarterback, injury is such a risk and at 159 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 1: any moment your career can end or definitely be derailed. 160 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:28,360 Speaker 1: And the moment a team has the out with guaranteed money, 161 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 1: slash the contract, they will pivot off you when you diminish, 162 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: So fighting for that guaranteed money basically puts you on 163 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:39,439 Speaker 1: scholarship as a roster spot even when shit goes sour. 164 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: But if you're playing well, which ideally you signed Nick Bosa, 165 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:45,679 Speaker 1: TJ Watt, all these guys, you hope they're gonna play 166 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 1: to the third contract like Aaron Donald's right. But I 167 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 1: think in this situation, Bosa had unique leverage. His team 168 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 1: is trying to win a Super Bowl. He's their team's 169 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: best player, definitely the best combination of talent and youth. 170 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 1: You could argue Trent Williams their best player, but he's 171 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: thirty five years old. I mean, Nick Bosa ideally has 172 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 1: five to eight really good years left. Like he has 173 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 1: a long runway of kicking ass and taking names, so 174 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 1: he could be treat like he's already made a lot 175 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 1: of money because he was drafted the number two overall, 176 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 1: the threat of missing games was real. He pushed this 177 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 1: to you know, four days before their opening game, and 178 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: that rattled them because the forty nine ers have never 179 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 1: signed a big contract relative to the recent big contracts. 180 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:31,200 Speaker 1: The most guaranteed money they'd ever given out was in 181 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen when they signed Jimmy Garoppolo and they gave 182 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 1: him seventy million dollars. They have dramatically benefited from George 183 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 1: Kittle plays tight end. They're not that expensive. Fred Warner 184 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 1: plays linebacker. Doesn't cost you that much. These guys are 185 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: elite players, all pro guys. Fred Warner is the best 186 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 1: linebacker in the league. They guaranteed him under thirty million dollars, 187 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: which I think is kind of bullshit, but that's the 188 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:56,360 Speaker 1: going rate for that position, because you know, in theory, 189 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: like I found you in the third round, I found 190 00:09:57,720 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: another starting linebacker in the fourth round. I disagree. I 191 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:04,800 Speaker 1: always think middle linebackers, Fred Warner, Luke Keigley, the elite 192 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:07,400 Speaker 1: guys are undervalued. I'd have no problem paying that guy 193 00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five million dollars. But pass rushers are not. 194 00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: They get paid boatloads of money. And Nick knew it 195 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:18,120 Speaker 1: and his it's based on precedent. That's the way contracts work, 196 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:21,079 Speaker 1: and we've talked about that forever. Sometimes it's not, though, 197 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: Sometimes when you're at a different level, like you go 198 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,400 Speaker 1: to some of these real estate markets, you go to Malibu, 199 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 1: you go to Manhattan. I see it here in Paradise 200 00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 1: Valley in Scottsdale, like the recent home that sold six 201 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:35,360 Speaker 1: months ago is like, I don't care. This is one's 202 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 1: selling for ten, that one sold for seven. If you 203 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:39,720 Speaker 1: want this, bad boy, it's ten and you get it. 204 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 1: And that's how quarterbacks have always operated. I don't really 205 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:44,679 Speaker 1: give a shit what happened in the past. This is 206 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 1: what I want now. And that's where I think pass 207 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 1: rushers have some juice. And the next version of a 208 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: Trent Williams level player who's a left tackle or right tackle. 209 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: I guess if you're Lane Johnson, who's in his mid twenties, 210 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 1: should do the same thing because every bit is worth 211 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 1: thirty a year and one hundred and twenty one hundred 212 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: and thirty guaranteed it's hard to get to that quarterback number, 213 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 1: but you should be right behind him and in a 214 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 1: different stratosphere than every other position. And I think Nick 215 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 1: Bosa clearly there were a lot of factors net income. 216 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 1: Like he plays in California, it's very expensive to not 217 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 1: only live there, but the tax structure, so I would 218 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 1: imagine a huge part of their negotiation was about net money, 219 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 1: net income, how much are we actually taking home right 220 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 1: and They're like, let's face it, we just saw historic 221 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 1: amount of inflation in America the last couple of years, 222 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 1: anu factor in the salary CAP's gone up. Like, I 223 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 1: think they held strong because in a perfect world, the 224 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 1: Diners would be like, hey, last contract, highest contract ever 225 00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 1: is like one hundred and five, here's one hundred and twelve. Yeah, 226 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 1: that's not happening here. Most powerful thing you can ever 227 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:49,719 Speaker 1: say in any business is no, And I think Nick 228 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,200 Speaker 1: Bosa did a great job of just consistently saying no. 229 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 1: And even though he quote unquote won this, as long 230 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 1: as on the field, the Niners went too. When you 231 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:03,080 Speaker 1: signed Greatness, everyone wins. You can't overpay Steph Curry. You 232 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: can't overpay Aaron Donald that they're on the field kick 233 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: an ass. You can't overpay Patrick Mahomes. You can't overpay 234 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: great So the only question mark I have moving forward 235 00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 1: with this contract, with this player and with this franchise, 236 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 1: as long as he's healthy and the family Nick two, 237 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: Nick Joey. They battled some injuries over the years, but 238 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 1: beside that, you don't worry about his conditioning, you don't 239 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:25,319 Speaker 1: worry about the way his game is aged. Obviously he 240 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 1: should only get better. You don't worry about his focus 241 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:30,280 Speaker 1: and his love of football and how hard he plays. 242 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: He's everything you want and a great player, so it's 243 00:12:33,360 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 1: it's just gonna be about health and if he plays, 244 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:38,920 Speaker 1: if he averages sixteen games for the next four years, 245 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:41,840 Speaker 1: I'd argue this is a discount. I mean, you won't 246 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:43,600 Speaker 1: think twice how much you're paying him, and he'll see 247 00:12:43,600 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 1: every penny of that enormous contract. And like I said, 248 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:49,840 Speaker 1: I don't think the Niners had a choice because I 249 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 1: think fans once you start winning, and you saw this 250 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 1: with Belichick forever. I think you see this now with 251 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 1: the Eagles, and I definitely see this with the forty 252 00:12:57,679 --> 00:13:00,240 Speaker 1: nine ers, Like you're allowed to completely screw up. They 253 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:03,400 Speaker 1: drafted Trey Lance. That's a terrible decision. That trade was 254 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 1: an utter disaster. But it's like they keep rattling off 255 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: playoff wins, so everyone's like, whatever, move on, brock Purty, 256 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:13,199 Speaker 1: buckle up, let's roll. And that's the way the NFL works. 257 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 1: You lean with the team when you're having success the moment, 258 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:20,560 Speaker 1: Like no one questions any NFL team not having money. 259 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 1: So it's one thing in baseball, like the Oakland A's 260 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 1: they're just they're not gonna spend. They don't make any money. 261 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 1: And a lot of teams are like that, Like there 262 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 1: are a lot of franchises they just will not spend. 263 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 1: So you're like, that guy's gonna end up on the Cardinals, 264 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 1: that guy's gonna end up on the Phillies or the Yankees. 265 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: It's just you kind of acknowledge that once you get 266 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:41,080 Speaker 1: a great player in the NFL, the Bengals, it's like 267 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, Jamar Chase, They're going nowhere. We're paying them 268 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 1: every penny. So there's never an argument over you have 269 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:49,960 Speaker 1: the money, because we know you have the money. We 270 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 1: see how much money every franchise on a yearly basis 271 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 1: makes from the media deal on top of the money 272 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,559 Speaker 1: a franchise like the forty nine Ers makes from sweets, 273 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:02,959 Speaker 1: makes from everything separate from the television and the games, right, 274 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 1: they make a ton from the games that they control. 275 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:08,719 Speaker 1: So it's no one's gonna be like Jed could have 276 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 1: saved five million, that goes out the window on this. 277 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:13,600 Speaker 1: Pay the guy his money and let's move on. And 278 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 1: they did it. And now I think, like most people, 279 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 1: this team, if perty is just solid, they aren't just 280 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 1: a Super Bowl contender, They're clearly one of the top 281 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 1: two or three team in the NFL. Another story that 282 00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:28,240 Speaker 1: kind of boggles my mind. And speaking of Nick Bosa, 283 00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 1: this guy's not worth this level. But last year when 284 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:34,480 Speaker 1: the Bears traded with the Panthers, I forget who he 285 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:37,640 Speaker 1: told this to, but oh no, Ryan Poles, I think 286 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,000 Speaker 1: might have told Peter King. One of our big things 287 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 1: was beside draft picks, we were getting one of your 288 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 1: top three players, and it was Derek Brown, Brian Burns 289 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:49,320 Speaker 1: and DJ Moore. We wanted one of those three players, 290 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 1: and the Panthers decided, like, we'll give you the wide 291 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: receiver because it's harder to get defensive linemen. And that's true. 292 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 1: But with that mindset and part of it, DJ was 293 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:02,360 Speaker 1: already under contract. Excellent player, helps out justin fields, easy 294 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 1: trade right from the Bear sign, I'd want DJ Moore too, 295 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 1: But looking back, shouldn't the Panthers have just traded them 296 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 1: Brian Burns. Clearly they're going to extend when they can. 297 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:15,400 Speaker 1: Derek Brown, he's a really, really good player, and obviously 298 00:15:15,480 --> 00:15:18,000 Speaker 1: DJ Moore was a really good player for them under 299 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: a very cost control, team friendly deal. Well, Brian Burns 300 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 1: in theory are like edge rusher. You never let that 301 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 1: guy go. They won't pay him. They're clearly not on 302 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: the same page. Like this should be a no brainer 303 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: this deal. The moment you made that trade, you should 304 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 1: have been able to extend him. So this notion, and 305 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 1: I've seen this, all these stories coming out of practice 306 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 1: that like, you know, he's holding in, he's not showing up, Like, 307 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:44,200 Speaker 1: isn't this kind of on the panthers. Don't they feel 308 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 1: a little herky jerky right now? The owner is one 309 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:50,680 Speaker 1: of the greatest stock traders in the history of America. 310 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: David Tepper is one of the truly great financial minds 311 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 1: America has ever seen. It's been a little weird since 312 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 1: he's on the team, though, it really has. And they 313 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 1: had the option, like if you knew that, you think 314 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: he's a little overvalued, you're never gonna pay him a premium. 315 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 1: Why didn't you trade Brian Burns, roll with DJ, get 316 00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:10,720 Speaker 1: him with your rookie quarterback. You have a D lineman, 317 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 1: and then find a way to get other D linemen, 318 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:16,320 Speaker 1: you know, as years go. But if you're gonna keep 319 00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 1: the two guys, they should be no brainer players that 320 00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 1: you're extending, and clearly they're not a Brian Burns is 321 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 1: not a no brainer extension for you because you can't 322 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 1: come to terms. So that situation is a little bizarre 323 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 1: to me, and I do think it kind of reflects 324 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 1: just in general, the Panthers and David Tepper just they 325 00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 1: don't feel like a very fluid, consistent organization. Like I said, 326 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 1: very hirky jerky where if you've ever read about him 327 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 1: the way he's operated, he's not a hirky jerky guy. 328 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: So this shows you, I don't care if you're worth 329 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:52,080 Speaker 1: billions of dollars and your warn Buffett. Owning these sports 330 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 1: franchises are not easy. You can't fix all these problems. 331 00:16:56,680 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 1: Your greatest asset in most of these people's lives are 332 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 1: their companies, are the widgets that they're creating on top 333 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:05,600 Speaker 1: of the you know, the people in those walls. But 334 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:08,479 Speaker 1: for the most part, it's especially these financial guys, are 335 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:12,240 Speaker 1: these tech guys. You start dealing with pro sports teams, 336 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 1: especially NFL teams, your most valuable assets are the players 337 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:19,639 Speaker 1: and your coaches aka people, and they're all wired a 338 00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:23,520 Speaker 1: little differently, And it feels like this temper situation is 339 00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:25,240 Speaker 1: just weird. I mean, I think they're going to be 340 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: terrible this year. And I just going back, if they 341 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:30,600 Speaker 1: had to redo on that one, would they have just 342 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 1: traded Brian Burns and kept DJ and the de tackle 343 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,359 Speaker 1: a couple other stories I wanted to bang out really quick. 344 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:42,880 Speaker 1: Just the two wide receivers for the Packers, Dobbs and 345 00:17:42,920 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 1: Watson both have hamstring issues. Not ideal going into a 346 00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:50,120 Speaker 1: game that, let's face it, very fascinating game Packers Bears, 347 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 1: it really is, because everyone's just gonna want to watch 348 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:56,400 Speaker 1: Fields and Jordan Love. What does the Jordan Love era 349 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:58,919 Speaker 1: look like? And as Justin Fields turned into a real player. 350 00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:01,679 Speaker 1: But it's gonna be hard to just Jordan Love if 351 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 1: his two freaking best wide receivers are on the sideline 352 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 1: with hamstring issues. So that's that's something to monitor. Been 353 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 1: saying this forever. And we'll get into the Rams here 354 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,760 Speaker 1: in a second. The Rams situation. I'm out, I am 355 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 1: Cooper Cups officially out. I think Sean McVay said earlier today, 356 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 1: and already seeing specialists. Anytime that you have to admit 357 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,280 Speaker 1: you're seeing a specialist in any walk of life, that's 358 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:26,080 Speaker 1: a red flag. Usually someone's sick. Something's like going well. 359 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 1: Marriage is in trouble, so that's not good. Joe Burrow 360 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:34,040 Speaker 1: said he's back. It's big. You know. This is a 361 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:35,359 Speaker 1: guy that I would imagine a lot of people are 362 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 1: gonna pick to win the MVP. And if Joe Burrow 363 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:41,200 Speaker 1: is healthy, they're every bit as good as anybody. And last, 364 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,760 Speaker 1: but not least, the bizarre situation going on. Listen, I've 365 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: been around the Raiders for a long time. Weird stuff 366 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 1: just happens. It is just inevitable, even when it feels 367 00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,439 Speaker 1: like God, They've had a really good preseason though, I 368 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: was tempted, could I pick the Raiders to be like 369 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:57,920 Speaker 1: the seventh seed? Could they get to ten and seven? 370 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo and the Raiders and then you Yesterday Chandler Jones, 371 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 1: who one time on synthetic weed, went and naked to 372 00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: a police precinct and Belichick traded him like a week 373 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:12,359 Speaker 1: later to the Cardinals, went on this bizarre Instagram ramp, 374 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:15,159 Speaker 1: and then today Josh McDaniel says he has not been 375 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,240 Speaker 1: around in the last two days, but he refusing to 376 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,480 Speaker 1: talk about it. It's just it's always something with the Raiders, man, 377 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 1: It's always something with them, and part of it, you know, 378 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,439 Speaker 1: you get in business with certain players, there are risks 379 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 1: that you bring into your building. But when it finally 380 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,399 Speaker 1: felt like God, it's like the Raiders are kind of 381 00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 1: am I a believer? It's like, I don't know, he 382 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:40,840 Speaker 1: can never trust him. Let's go through the NFC and AFC. 383 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,879 Speaker 1: I'll pick divisions and then I'll pick my wild cards. 384 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:47,480 Speaker 1: I was tempted, Like I said, the Raiders, the Broncos. 385 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: Could I go like the Packers? This might be pretty boring. 386 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 1: I went a lot of chalk. Let's start with the AFC. 387 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 1: The Kancie Chiefs have won the division every single year 388 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:02,480 Speaker 1: since Peyton Manning left the NFL. That is, to Alex 389 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:06,440 Speaker 1: Smith's seasons. They have been winning the AFC West since 390 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 1: the middle of the twenty tens. Right, so sixteen seventeen, 391 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:15,439 Speaker 1: eighteen nineteen, twenty twenty one, twenty two. I'm obviously recording this, 392 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 1: probably less than forty eight hours away from their first game. 393 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:22,040 Speaker 1: A little weird. Travis Kelsey gets injured, their best defensive 394 00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,600 Speaker 1: players holding out. You would have to be insane to 395 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: not pick the Chiefs to win this division until they 396 00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 1: don't win the division I'm picking them. I just am, 397 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:33,240 Speaker 1: So I'm going Kansas City, Andy Mahomes. I trust the 398 00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 1: AFC South. People thought I was being too hard on 399 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:38,440 Speaker 1: the Titans, and I over the course of the month, 400 00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 1: I would agree they are much feistier than I've probably 401 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,680 Speaker 1: given them credit for. They are more likely to win 402 00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,160 Speaker 1: eight nine games probably than three or four. I will 403 00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:49,560 Speaker 1: admit that. And Vrabel anytime you have a fantastic coach, 404 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 1: you are a threat. But the Jacks have a coach 405 00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:57,840 Speaker 1: who out dueled Belichick in the Super Bowl. So the 406 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,080 Speaker 1: Jacks coach is real and their corequa I think is 407 00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:04,000 Speaker 1: going to be like in the MVP consideration, I'm taking 408 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 1: the Jacks. So I'm going Chiefs Jags. This is my 409 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 1: favorite pick. I think this team and I'm not alone. 410 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,639 Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of love for this team. I 411 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 1: think definitely has a chance to compete for the number 412 00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:16,399 Speaker 1: one seed. I think is a twelve plus win team. 413 00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 1: I think defensively they are going to be elite, and 414 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,120 Speaker 1: I think offensively they are gonna build off the way 415 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:23,919 Speaker 1: they finished last year. And I'm not even the biggest 416 00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:25,919 Speaker 1: Kenny pick a guy coming out of the draft, but 417 00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 1: talk to Cam Hayward this offseason. He believes in him. 418 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: He just has to be solid. Like, once your team 419 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 1: is really good, you don't obviously would love Mahomes or 420 00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:37,400 Speaker 1: Josh Allen, but like you can win with Jimmy Garoppolo, 421 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,240 Speaker 1: you can win with Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins. You 422 00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 1: can win with a quarterback that's somewhere between ten and fifteen. 423 00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 1: And if he's able to function in that world. Because 424 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 1: they got talent everywhere, their offensive line should be vastly improved. 425 00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 1: Even if Najee Harris is not the player that I 426 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,280 Speaker 1: once thought he would be. They have the other guy, 427 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,639 Speaker 1: Warren who's going ninety five miles an hour. We know 428 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 1: they got wide receivers and again defense, defense, So I'm 429 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:02,280 Speaker 1: taking and the Steelers in the North and the East. 430 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 1: You know, I went all in on them in the 431 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 1: offseason and in the summer, and then I started watching 432 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 1: hard knocks and I'm like, well, they can't block a soul. 433 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:12,320 Speaker 1: And then I realized, like, what if they just have 434 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:14,480 Speaker 1: the best defense in the league. They are a top 435 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 1: five rushing team, and oh yeah, they don't have one 436 00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 1: of the best quarterbacks all of all time. They have 437 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,120 Speaker 1: one of the smartest quarterbacks of all time, who, let's 438 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,240 Speaker 1: face it, has a lot of credit he can earn. 439 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:25,200 Speaker 1: We saw it with Tom Brady, and I know the 440 00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:28,040 Speaker 1: argument is the Bucks offensive line when Tom got there 441 00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 1: was much better. I agree, and definitely much more reliable. 442 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:34,000 Speaker 1: But what Tom had that year, and remember it was 443 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:36,240 Speaker 1: rock early because him and Arians weren't on the same page. 444 00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:38,680 Speaker 1: They had to figure out their offense. When you're great 445 00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: and you got a chip on your shoulder, I'm picking 446 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:44,960 Speaker 1: the Jets, I am, and I think their defense. I 447 00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 1: think they're gonna have the best pass rush in the league. 448 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 1: Obviously saw Us I think is easily a top I mean, 449 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 1: either the best or top two corner in the league. 450 00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,320 Speaker 1: So you can rush the passer and you have a 451 00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 1: corner who can take away the entire side of the field. 452 00:22:58,280 --> 00:22:59,879 Speaker 1: And you got Aaron Rodgers with a chip on his 453 00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:02,520 Speaker 1: sh with a lot of talent around him, plus really 454 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:06,159 Speaker 1: good running backs. Robert Sala has to prove it. Totally 455 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:10,520 Speaker 1: agree and betting on Robert Sala over Sean McDermott, who 456 00:23:10,600 --> 00:23:13,160 Speaker 1: has proven it. Even Mike McDaniels last year was able 457 00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 1: to get to the playoff game. It's risky, but I'm 458 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,240 Speaker 1: sick with the Jets. That was my gut instinct a 459 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 1: month ago. Start pivoting. I'm gonna stick with the Jets, 460 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:23,720 Speaker 1: my wild cards. Like like, I don't think there's a 461 00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 1: huge separation between the Bills and the Jets anytime. Josh 462 00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: Allen Obviously they could easily win the division. They've been 463 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:32,360 Speaker 1: winning it the last three years. The question with them 464 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 1: is just gonna be the playoffs. They're gonna make the playoffs. 465 00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,159 Speaker 1: If you got Josh Allen healthy, you're making the playoffs. 466 00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 1: Same with Joe Burrow. And again like the Bills in 467 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,159 Speaker 1: the Bengals, like they're right there with the Steelers in 468 00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:44,000 Speaker 1: the Jets. So Bill's Bengals. It's not like I'm diminishing. 469 00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 1: I think they're both good and I think both of 470 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,960 Speaker 1: them could win the AFC and last but not least, 471 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,679 Speaker 1: don't love the coach, but I'm picking Herbert to win 472 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,679 Speaker 1: the MVP. Like, I think they could win eleven games. 473 00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,440 Speaker 1: With twelve games, Chiefs, you know, probably just get them 474 00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 1: on a on a tiebreaker, sweep them or whatever. So 475 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:01,720 Speaker 1: go with the Chiefs to win the division just because 476 00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 1: you have to. But I'm picking Herbert to win the MVP. 477 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,680 Speaker 1: So I got the Bills, the Bengals, and the Chargers 478 00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 1: as my wild card teams. And until someone knocks out KC, 479 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 1: I'm just taking a case. I'm prefair to be wrong. 480 00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:18,159 Speaker 1: I do. I do like Pittsburgh, but how do I 481 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 1: pull the trigger? Can he picket over Mahomes? And I know, 482 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:22,880 Speaker 1: you know, Kelsey could be limping around out there, Chris 483 00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: Jones could be at home eating ice cream until someone 484 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,120 Speaker 1: kao's the Chiefs. I'm just I'm just rolling with them. 485 00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:32,119 Speaker 1: The Nfcuh, this one's pretty easy with me. On the West, 486 00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 1: the Niners, I mean they proved it last year. They 487 00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:38,919 Speaker 1: swept Seattle, they swept the division. Obviously, Arizona's gonna be terrible. 488 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,399 Speaker 1: I think the Rams could even be worse when the 489 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,320 Speaker 1: injuries really start kicking in here. And the Niners swept 490 00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,919 Speaker 1: Seattle three times because they played him in a playoff 491 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 1: game as well. So I like Seattle, but I can't. 492 00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,119 Speaker 1: I know Colin picked them the way to the division. 493 00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:53,680 Speaker 1: I know some other people who went picked him to 494 00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,480 Speaker 1: win the division. This is not like a Homer bias pick. 495 00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 1: I just I think the Niners are better the NFC South. 496 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,200 Speaker 1: Mike Fresno State bulldog Jay Hayn got spending six games 497 00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 1: for Pedes. Luckily he's the third string quarterback. I think 498 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,600 Speaker 1: the Saints have absolutely no excuse not to win this division. 499 00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:12,240 Speaker 1: There's no way I can pick Atlanta. I don't like 500 00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:15,600 Speaker 1: their quarterback at all. There's no way I can pick Carolina. 501 00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:19,439 Speaker 1: They just got weird stuff going on. And in Tampa, 502 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:21,879 Speaker 1: obviously he's gonna stink as well. So this one, I 503 00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:23,760 Speaker 1: don't even see how you go outside the box on 504 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:27,119 Speaker 1: this one. I guess maybe Atlanta if somehow Ritter proves 505 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 1: to be like some Kenny Pickett mac Jones level player, 506 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 1: I don't see that. I'm going with the Saints. I 507 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,439 Speaker 1: think Derek Carr, I think he's gonna have a good 508 00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:38,120 Speaker 1: season the NFC North. To me, this one's pretty easy. 509 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,520 Speaker 1: Like I don't understand the people that don't like the Lions. 510 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 1: Their offense is excellent, like elite. Their offense is fantastic. 511 00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 1: Their offense is going to dominate. And then defensively, yeah, 512 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 1: they got some question marks obviously the second there are 513 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:54,359 Speaker 1: some question marks. Their defensive line could kick some serious ass. 514 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 1: I expect Aiden Hutchinson to have that classic second year 515 00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:00,359 Speaker 1: like fifteen plus sacks. I think Aiden Hutchs when the 516 00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,360 Speaker 1: dust settles this year, feels like a fringe all pro 517 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 1: level guy. Right, there's that top group, right Bosa, TJ. 518 00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 1: Watt if you want an Parsons linebacker, but he's in 519 00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:14,639 Speaker 1: that group, the elite edge rushers. I think Aiden Miles 520 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 1: Garrett his name's gonna be talked about at least entering 521 00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 1: kind of where those guys sit at the table, you know, like, hey, 522 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:22,480 Speaker 1: you guys, got an extra seat for me? I think 523 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 1: that conversation is gonna start. I don't like the Lions. 524 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 1: I love the Lions. I think they win that division 525 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,919 Speaker 1: pretty easily. Who else are gonna pick? One of my 526 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 1: bold takes is I don't think Jordan loves the quarterback 527 00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:35,679 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four for the Packers, the Bears, Like, 528 00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:38,440 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, even if Fields is better than he was 529 00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,360 Speaker 1: last year, their defense could be hitty, it could be terrible. 530 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 1: I think their defense is gonna be awful to me. 531 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 1: The Bears, even if things go well, are much closer 532 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:48,120 Speaker 1: to an eight win team than they are like ten. 533 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,280 Speaker 1: And yeah, the Vikings. The Vikings would make me a 534 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 1: little nervous for sure. Cousins is the most proven quarterback 535 00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 1: in the division. I know Goff has gotten farther in 536 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:00,880 Speaker 1: the playoffs, but Cousins numbers relative to Golf, even though 537 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:04,280 Speaker 1: last year they were basically very similar, I'm not. I 538 00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 1: actually kind of like the Vikings more this year than 539 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,320 Speaker 1: I did last year. You get Brian Flores a little 540 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:11,160 Speaker 1: better on defense, but that one score game. Think they 541 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,080 Speaker 1: come back to earth. I think you can win this 542 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:14,800 Speaker 1: division at ten and seven, and that's why I think 543 00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:17,400 Speaker 1: the Lions do. But they're just a very solid team 544 00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:19,200 Speaker 1: on a weekly basis. And then I think on the East, 545 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,080 Speaker 1: I'm going outside the box a little bit. I think 546 00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,199 Speaker 1: everyone's picking the Eagles. I love the Eagles too, Like 547 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:24,960 Speaker 1: I'm not acting like the Eagles aren't going to be 548 00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 1: sweet this year. I'm just going with Dallas. I think 549 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:30,199 Speaker 1: Dallas a lot, like I said with the Jets, like 550 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,000 Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers, and the Steelers are going to 551 00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 1: have an elite defense. They are awesome at every level. Offensively, obviously, 552 00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 1: McCarthy's some question marks right he's calling the plays. He 553 00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,280 Speaker 1: gets rid of Kellen Moore, But how would the Eagles 554 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:43,879 Speaker 1: not have the same that they have a brand new 555 00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:47,359 Speaker 1: coordinator on offense and defense. So what the Cowboys have 556 00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:51,280 Speaker 1: is consistency on defense, all the same players back, same 557 00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:55,320 Speaker 1: coordinator back. I think we all acknowledge now Fangio and 558 00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 1: some of the top defensive coordinator. I'm trying to think 559 00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:01,199 Speaker 1: Brian Flores Demiko was that he moved on. He's a 560 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:04,160 Speaker 1: head coach. Now, Isn't Dan Quinn viewed in that level 561 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,960 Speaker 1: like he's an elite defensive coordinator? So I'm going Dallas now. 562 00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:10,320 Speaker 1: I love that division. Part of it is I think 563 00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 1: the Eagles and the winner of this division could be 564 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,080 Speaker 1: like twelve eleven ten. That's why I like the Eagles 565 00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:17,680 Speaker 1: and the Giants both to make wildcard spots. I actually 566 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:20,399 Speaker 1: don't think there's that much crazy turnover in the NFC, 567 00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:23,199 Speaker 1: and typically every year, right you got new teams in, 568 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 1: new teams out. Most of these teams, like in the NFC, 569 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,359 Speaker 1: the Niners were in it, the Cowboys were in it, 570 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:30,959 Speaker 1: the Eagles were in it, the Giants were in it, 571 00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 1: Seattle was in it. Like those are the teams I'm taking. Obviously, 572 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:38,080 Speaker 1: the Saints flip flop with Tampa and Detroit flip flops 573 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:41,080 Speaker 1: with Minnesota. But I really don't have that much crazy 574 00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,520 Speaker 1: turnover in my playoff teams, because like, how am I 575 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,320 Speaker 1: betting against all these sweet quarterbacks? You know, I guess 576 00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 1: you could be like, well, Sean Payton. Sean Payton told 577 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:52,320 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson stopped being a politician. You're not running for office. 578 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:55,840 Speaker 1: You don't change who you are at thirty four of 579 00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 1: one hundred million dollars in the bank. So it's like, 580 00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 1: I'm out on that. The Raiders I kind of wanted 581 00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,320 Speaker 1: to believe. I kind of wanted to pick them over 582 00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,960 Speaker 1: the Chargers, and then one of their starting pass rushers 583 00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:09,960 Speaker 1: has just gone a wall. So that's and they're the Raiders. 584 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 1: So how am I supposed to pick Listen? I don't 585 00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 1: like Brandon Saley either, but they got Justin Herbert and 586 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 1: I like him a lot more in Jimmy Garoppolo. So 587 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:23,480 Speaker 1: Philly Giant Seattle, I think there's playoffs. I mean, I'm 588 00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:26,640 Speaker 1: going Chiefs Niners. Obviously. The Kansas City has some question 589 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:28,720 Speaker 1: marks right now. We gotta get Travis Kelsey healthy, we 590 00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 1: gotta get Chris Jones eventually in But as long as 591 00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:35,600 Speaker 1: Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are with Kansas City, I 592 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,480 Speaker 1: I just can't bet against them, right so until they 593 00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 1: lose the Super Bowl. Like I'm picking them again. I 594 00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,800 Speaker 1: just have Niners chief Super Bowl little part new I'm 595 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 1: taking Kansas City. The best Thursday of the year is 596 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,480 Speaker 1: coming up, and it's all about NFL Opening Night football 597 00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:53,520 Speaker 1: is back. 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Please play responsibly on behalf of Boothill, Casino 616 00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:50,480 Speaker 1: and Resort, Kansas twenty one plus age varies by jurisdiction. 617 00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:55,160 Speaker 1: Void in Ontario ce dk MG dot co slash football 618 00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:59,640 Speaker 1: for eligibility terms and responsible gaming resources. Bonus bets expire 619 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:05,680 Speaker 1: seven after issue. Ince Eligibility and deposit restrictions apply. Okay, 620 00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:08,040 Speaker 1: let's go mailback. Very easy to get in this bad 621 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,920 Speaker 1: boy at John middlecoff as the Instagram fire in the DMS. 622 00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 1: What's up? Probably no, but the solo pod posted yesterday 623 00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:16,440 Speaker 1: doesn't look like it's saved on Apple. It got taken 624 00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:18,560 Speaker 1: down and put back up, so we should if you're 625 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,520 Speaker 1: listening to this on Thursday, we have a podcast on Tuesday, 626 00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 1: we have a podcast on Wednesday, and we have today. 627 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:28,840 Speaker 1: So they're all up. Just some logistical stuff we are 628 00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:31,280 Speaker 1: that we had to work through, but it's all up 629 00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:35,720 Speaker 1: there now. Real question, did Kelsey hit the age cliff 630 00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,920 Speaker 1: injury not great right before the season totally agree there. 631 00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,080 Speaker 1: We all think about the Patriots to compare them to 632 00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 1: the Chiefs, but the Patriots had arguably three separate dynasty runs. 633 00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 1: Time for the Chiefs to start thinking about what life 634 00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,920 Speaker 1: will be without Kelsey, and I hope this includes some 635 00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:56,320 Speaker 1: real receiving options besides sky Moore and MVS. I'm honestly 636 00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:58,120 Speaker 1: going to chalk up the Kelsey thing do a little 637 00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 1: freak injury because I ran into him at the golf 638 00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:05,280 Speaker 1: course probably six months ago. I thought he looked fantastic. 639 00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 1: Just seeing clips in practice, sure looks good to me. 640 00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,160 Speaker 1: I think hyper extending a knee, I would chock it 641 00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,920 Speaker 1: up to a freak deal. Now if the season goes 642 00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:17,200 Speaker 1: and he doesn't look like the same guy once he 643 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:19,920 Speaker 1: gets healthy, And as I'm recording this, I think it's 644 00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:22,200 Speaker 1: more than up in the air that he's gonna play 645 00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:25,360 Speaker 1: on Thursday. Yeah, then I think it's okay to ask 646 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:28,080 Speaker 1: that question when the season ends. But I don't think 647 00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 1: he's ever shown any signs of slowing down, not even close. 648 00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:35,000 Speaker 1: To be honest with you, i'd push back there in 649 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:38,240 Speaker 1: terms of worrying about him. Is it just me or 650 00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:40,240 Speaker 1: is there a ton of NFL quarterback talent in college 651 00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:42,560 Speaker 1: football this year like more than usual. I feel like 652 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 1: the next two quarterback classes could be insane. Would love 653 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:49,840 Speaker 1: to hear your perspective as a former scout. Nix Sanders, McCarthy, 654 00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 1: Pennix Williams may Rattler question. Yeah, I think i'd make 655 00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 1: him a question. The penn State guy. Haven't watched Milton 656 00:32:57,560 --> 00:33:00,640 Speaker 1: and Tennessee. I haven't watched yours. I'm still up in 657 00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,680 Speaker 1: the air on Hartman looks sweet. I was talking to 658 00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:07,320 Speaker 1: someone the other day, I'm like, how did Florida end 659 00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:10,720 Speaker 1: up with Graham Mertz? And this person in college football 660 00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:12,720 Speaker 1: was like, because they went all in on Sam Hartman 661 00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:15,360 Speaker 1: and they didn't really have a backup plan, and then 662 00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,120 Speaker 1: he went to Notre Dame. That's what I love about 663 00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,920 Speaker 1: the transfer portal with quarterbacks. It's like free agency. You 664 00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:22,400 Speaker 1: put all your chips in the middle of the table, 665 00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 1: and then the guy pivoted Dart cam Rising, Jayden Daniels. Yeah. 666 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,080 Speaker 1: I think you listed a decent amount of first rounders 667 00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:32,880 Speaker 1: and then a lot of mid round picks. So anytime 668 00:33:33,000 --> 00:33:36,200 Speaker 1: you get that many that much talent, I'm with you. 669 00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:39,720 Speaker 1: Just a ton of guys. I have two college quarterback 670 00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:44,160 Speaker 1: mailbag questions for you, Is DJ ngoule a a legit 671 00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:47,680 Speaker 1: NFL prospect? These announcers act like he's a love child 672 00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:50,960 Speaker 1: of Lway and Tom Brady, but he couldn't hack it 673 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:54,240 Speaker 1: at Clemson. Also, I know Notre Dame hasn't played anybody, 674 00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:58,320 Speaker 1: but Sam Hartman is a legit NFL prospect. Question. I 675 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,200 Speaker 1: would say the thing with DJ, Oregon State's gonna be 676 00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:05,280 Speaker 1: really good. Their coach, Jonathan Smith is a stud. We 677 00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:07,959 Speaker 1: just got to watch him play real teams, and that 678 00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:11,960 Speaker 1: to me is Oregon Washington. Does Oregon State play Utah 679 00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:15,520 Speaker 1: this year? Obviously? USC once I see him play top 680 00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:20,600 Speaker 1: notch competition. Jonathan Smith is a real offensive mind, so 681 00:34:20,840 --> 00:34:23,640 Speaker 1: he's gonna make DJ look better. Now. The knock on 682 00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,760 Speaker 1: DJ is he kind of played like Trey Lance plays, 683 00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:30,320 Speaker 1: very robotic, no feel. I watched a little bit of 684 00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:33,480 Speaker 1: the game against San Jose State. Clearly through three touchdowns 685 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,799 Speaker 1: ran for two as well. He looked I would say 686 00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 1: a little better, but like you said, the competition to 687 00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:41,160 Speaker 1: me hard to judge. Could he be drafted in the 688 00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,680 Speaker 1: late rounds for sure, but right now it'd be hard 689 00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:46,719 Speaker 1: to call him, quote unquote a legit NFL prospect. The 690 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,600 Speaker 1: only knock on Hartman that anyone ever says is his age. 691 00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:53,799 Speaker 1: I think he's twenty four years old. I mean, look 692 00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 1: this up. So Sam Hartman is twenty four years old? 693 00:34:57,120 --> 00:35:00,880 Speaker 1: Does wiki have his actual birthday? Jill? So he just 694 00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:04,319 Speaker 1: turned twenty four. So if you draft Hartman next year, 695 00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:07,560 Speaker 1: he will be twenty five. So he's older, right, I 696 00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:11,000 Speaker 1: mean I think Lamar Jackson's twenty five years old. Nick 697 00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:13,600 Speaker 1: Bose is twenty five years Obviously he's a little old. 698 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 1: But if he is really good and like DJ at 699 00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:20,440 Speaker 1: a higher level, Notre Dame's gonna play a ton of 700 00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:23,680 Speaker 1: big time teams, and how he looks in those games, 701 00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:26,040 Speaker 1: if he dominates, what if he goes toe to toe 702 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:29,759 Speaker 1: with Caleb Williams. I mean that could easily happen, and 703 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,359 Speaker 1: if he does, people are gonna like him, And yeah, 704 00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 1: is it ideal? Like Chris Wink what was a guy's name, 705 00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:38,200 Speaker 1: Brandon Whedon, I don't want to draft twenty seven to 706 00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:40,879 Speaker 1: twenty eight year old quarterbacks. But if he's really good 707 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:42,800 Speaker 1: and he's gonna be twenty five, is it crazy to 708 00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:45,399 Speaker 1: take him in the second round. I definitely think that's 709 00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:48,920 Speaker 1: on the table right now, that he is someone is 710 00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,759 Speaker 1: just very intriguing to a lot of people here. You 711 00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:56,000 Speaker 1: speak about finance a lot. Do you invest in reality income? 712 00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:58,720 Speaker 1: The stock has really been crashing, and I was wondering 713 00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:01,839 Speaker 1: if this is the time to buy. I don't I 714 00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,239 Speaker 1: have it. I honestly don't really know much about it. 715 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:06,600 Speaker 1: Not against real estate stock. Is that? Is that a 716 00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:10,040 Speaker 1: commercial real estate stock or like a rate or like 717 00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,879 Speaker 1: a like a home builder stock. I don't. I honestly don't. 718 00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:15,279 Speaker 1: I don't know the answer because I don't know much 719 00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:18,359 Speaker 1: about it. Okay, longtime listener, I personally think we made 720 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,879 Speaker 1: a big mistake by signing Derek Carr. I think he's good, 721 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:25,600 Speaker 1: but good isn't good enough, especially with a coach that 722 00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:27,960 Speaker 1: is nothing more than a good DC. I think we 723 00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 1: should have signed someone more mediocre, like a Mayfield or 724 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:34,080 Speaker 1: Darnold and end up with a good quarterback in next 725 00:36:34,120 --> 00:36:36,960 Speaker 1: year's draft and hire a new offensive coach. I just 726 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:38,920 Speaker 1: think Carr will win enough games to keep us out 727 00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:41,440 Speaker 1: of the top quarterback picks. Would love to hear your opinion. 728 00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:44,239 Speaker 1: I see what you're saying, But you guys were going 729 00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,520 Speaker 1: to operate like that. You've invested too much money into players. 730 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,360 Speaker 1: You made the crazy draft pick last year that cost 731 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:54,280 Speaker 1: you a high pick. Mickey Loomis is not trying to lose, 732 00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:58,600 Speaker 1: and listen, I have more than enough questions on Dennis Allen, 733 00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:01,520 Speaker 1: but you have no excuse not to win this division. 734 00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,279 Speaker 1: And anytime you win a division, you host a playoff game. 735 00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:07,319 Speaker 1: So to me, if you win the division, and there's 736 00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:09,359 Speaker 1: obviously if you win the division it's seven to ten, 737 00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:11,480 Speaker 1: that's an embarrassment. But if you are a double digit 738 00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:14,799 Speaker 1: win team ten to eleven wins, host a playoff game. 739 00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:18,920 Speaker 1: If you host a playoff game, now even if that's Cowboys, Eagles, Giants, 740 00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:21,080 Speaker 1: you might even be the underdog in that game, but 741 00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,839 Speaker 1: you can win at home. That place is bananas. It's 742 00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:25,960 Speaker 1: a very tough place to play. I would say, if 743 00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:28,400 Speaker 1: you win the division and host a playoff game and 744 00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:32,440 Speaker 1: definitely win it, that's a very very successful season and 745 00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 1: that's that way better for the fan base than doing 746 00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:40,759 Speaker 1: what you want to do, which they were just not 747 00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:43,839 Speaker 1: gonna do. I'm a ups driver in El Pasa. I've 748 00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:46,399 Speaker 1: been there, and your podcast is might go to any 749 00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:49,360 Speaker 1: chance you put one out. I like this guy excited 750 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:51,960 Speaker 1: for all the content coming from the NFL season is 751 00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:54,920 Speaker 1: upon us. Now that Bosa got paid, what do you 752 00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:58,680 Speaker 1: think parsons landscape looks like. Well, now that Nick Blew 753 00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,719 Speaker 1: so far by all the other guys that are like 754 00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,200 Speaker 1: one hundred and one hundred and five million dollars and 755 00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:06,400 Speaker 1: he's at that one hundred and twenty two guaranteed spot. 756 00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:08,719 Speaker 1: I think Parsons, you know, if he has another really 757 00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:10,640 Speaker 1: good year, somewhere between one hundred and twenty five and 758 00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:13,680 Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty million dollars. So that's what makes 759 00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:17,719 Speaker 1: this season very interesting for the Cowboys. We have a 760 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,160 Speaker 1: ballpark of what Micah Parsons is gonna get paid. One 761 00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty five hundred and thirty guaranteed one hundred 762 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:24,759 Speaker 1: and seventy one hundred and seventy five one hundred and 763 00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:29,319 Speaker 1: eighty million dollar contract. Well, Jerry is openly discussed. We're 764 00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,799 Speaker 1: extending Dak. We're extending Dak. We're gonna pay Dak. That 765 00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 1: is gonna happen. So next off season or this offseason 766 00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:39,120 Speaker 1: and next offseason. I meant like during the season and 767 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:43,719 Speaker 1: then in March April they're gonna give three hundred and 768 00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:45,960 Speaker 1: twenty million dollars or whatever. You know, I don't know 769 00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:50,239 Speaker 1: exact guarantee, but what's DAK guarantee? At minimum one point 770 00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:53,640 Speaker 1: eighty Parsons getting one thirty, that's a lot of guaranteed 771 00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:55,680 Speaker 1: money to be given out, especially when you factor in 772 00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:59,759 Speaker 1: how much money they've just given out this training camp gave. 773 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:04,280 Speaker 1: Aren't a boost paid Diggs, paid hooker. Jerry's been cutting 774 00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:07,560 Speaker 1: a lot of checks as a diehard Raider fan. Why 775 00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:11,680 Speaker 1: does this organization always have drama? Going back to Marcus 776 00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:15,040 Speaker 1: Allen and more recently ab and now it seems like 777 00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:18,680 Speaker 1: Chandler Jones. I would think him being a piece of 778 00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:21,759 Speaker 1: the McDaniels Ziegler players, that he would be the last 779 00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:24,680 Speaker 1: dude to be drama. Anyways, not sure what you think 780 00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,840 Speaker 1: this year. It always seems like my Raiders are unstable. 781 00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:31,240 Speaker 1: Oh well, I'm not gonna jump ship like that, silly 782 00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:34,319 Speaker 1: New England fan. You can't make this up. I will 783 00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:36,960 Speaker 1: say this, and I remember a couple of years ago 784 00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:39,400 Speaker 1: I wanted the Niners to side Chandler Jones because he 785 00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:43,160 Speaker 1: is a freaked own. He's really really good, but he's 786 00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:45,400 Speaker 1: kind of a question mark. And we don't have the 787 00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:49,440 Speaker 1: details on this situation, but when you sign question marks, 788 00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:53,280 Speaker 1: you can't be totally stunned. Now. The Marcus Allen situation 789 00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:56,960 Speaker 1: was before my time. I've heard some rumors over the years, 790 00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,440 Speaker 1: but I don't know. You'd have to ask, like Howie 791 00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:01,200 Speaker 1: Long or people they were actually there, what the hell 792 00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:05,920 Speaker 1: was going on? The ab situation like shocking. Antonio Brown 793 00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:09,840 Speaker 1: went nutjob. You know. So when you sign crazy people, 794 00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:13,880 Speaker 1: or when you sign character flags or draft character flags 795 00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:17,239 Speaker 1: and then you get issues, you cannot be shocked. When 796 00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:20,799 Speaker 1: you sign high level, high character guys, you usually don't 797 00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:24,400 Speaker 1: have problems right now. Anyone at any moment can have 798 00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:27,799 Speaker 1: a situation. But I think the Raiders are a good 799 00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:31,480 Speaker 1: example of They signed guys with some baggage, and when 800 00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:34,399 Speaker 1: you sign guys with some baggage, sometimes that baggage comes 801 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:37,680 Speaker 1: to fruition. And then that baggage is Week one and 802 00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:41,560 Speaker 1: you're preparing for the Denver Broncos, and then before even 803 00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:44,920 Speaker 1: practice shit starts hitting the fan usually comes back to 804 00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:48,120 Speaker 1: ownership and leadership. Been a listener since the beginning. God, 805 00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:50,200 Speaker 1: I like you guys. I'm in the league and I'm 806 00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:54,080 Speaker 1: wondering which to start wide receiver Jordan Addison versus the 807 00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:58,439 Speaker 1: Bucks or Jackson Smith versus the Rams love the pod. 808 00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,440 Speaker 1: That's a pretty good question. See this is why I'm 809 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:03,520 Speaker 1: not a good fantasy guy. I think i'd go Jackson 810 00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:05,440 Speaker 1: Smith against the Ramps. I think the Rams defense is 811 00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:09,319 Speaker 1: not gonna be good. This guy clearly dominated in practice. Yeah, 812 00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:13,160 Speaker 1: I'd go I'd go in Jigbo. Curious to hear your 813 00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:19,560 Speaker 1: opinion on this nil situation. Former Florida football defensive lineman 814 00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,719 Speaker 1: Gervin Dexter Senior, I think he was drafted by the 815 00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 1: Bears is suing as filed a lawsuit in Gainesville contending 816 00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:31,360 Speaker 1: that his future earnings clause in a four hundred and 817 00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:35,880 Speaker 1: thirty six thousand dollars NIL deal he signed violated loss. 818 00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:39,800 Speaker 1: Per the terms of the deal Dexter signed with Big 819 00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:44,640 Speaker 1: League Advance Fund LLC got that one red Flag, a 820 00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:49,799 Speaker 1: company based in Delaware, Dexter would forfeit fifteen percent of 821 00:41:49,840 --> 00:41:53,320 Speaker 1: his future NFL earnings for the next twenty five years. 822 00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:57,879 Speaker 1: Dexter signed the deal in March twenty two. I think 823 00:41:57,880 --> 00:42:01,520 Speaker 1: that these deals are probably so per throughout college football. 824 00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:07,480 Speaker 1: I actually stumbled upon Shiloh Sanders page, his Instagram page 825 00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:10,759 Speaker 1: and one of his NIL deals. Clearly they had set 826 00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:12,560 Speaker 1: it up. This guy was like interviewing him, but he 827 00:42:12,640 --> 00:42:16,640 Speaker 1: was in on the on the video basically asking Shiloh 828 00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:18,839 Speaker 1: does he know that he has to pay taxes on 829 00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:21,520 Speaker 1: all his nil deals? And it was an ad for 830 00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:24,440 Speaker 1: turbo tax. And I've always thought, like, I wonder if 831 00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:27,040 Speaker 1: a lot of these kids realize that when you get 832 00:42:27,040 --> 00:42:28,759 Speaker 1: a ten ninety nine of one hundred grand, of three 833 00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:31,520 Speaker 1: hundred grand, of six hundred grand, like you get tax 834 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:33,239 Speaker 1: on some of that, depending on where you live, a 835 00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:35,239 Speaker 1: quarter of that half of it, who knows. And I 836 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:37,160 Speaker 1: wonder if some of these guys are gonna get murky water, 837 00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:40,400 Speaker 1: because if you gave me two hundred grand at nineteen 838 00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:43,320 Speaker 1: years old, I'd probably blow it all. I wouldn't know 839 00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:47,560 Speaker 1: that I have to pay taxes. And then clearly you 840 00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:52,400 Speaker 1: have these shady operations that are fronting money, which I 841 00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:54,719 Speaker 1: thought was a loan shark, but I guess the way 842 00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:58,839 Speaker 1: they're doing this, it's not illegal. These kids don't even 843 00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:01,680 Speaker 1: realize what they don't even realize. No one does. Most 844 00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:06,200 Speaker 1: guys at seventeen to twenty two aren't exactly warn buffet 845 00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:09,799 Speaker 1: with an Excel spreadsheet mapping out their life. We kind 846 00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:12,640 Speaker 1: of live day to day. Most I don't care if 847 00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:16,560 Speaker 1: you play football at Florida or you're a student at 848 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,799 Speaker 1: you know, Chico State, Shout out Mark Davis, he's an 849 00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:24,960 Speaker 1: alumni there. You would do dumb deals. So when I say, hey, 850 00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:27,960 Speaker 1: i'll give you four hundred grand, you just sign all 851 00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,560 Speaker 1: this paperwork, and in that paperwork it has shit like that. 852 00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:32,920 Speaker 1: I think that is happening probably all over the place. 853 00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:36,799 Speaker 1: It happened to some baseball players. One thing I read 854 00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:39,400 Speaker 1: is it was based on net income in the NFL, 855 00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:42,560 Speaker 1: So if you signed for twenty million dollars, you owe 856 00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:45,839 Speaker 1: me fifteen percent of that twenty million dollars, even though 857 00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:49,440 Speaker 1: anyone knows that you don't actually get the twenty million dollars, 858 00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:52,600 Speaker 1: You only get twelve or whatever right after taxes. So 859 00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:58,280 Speaker 1: anytime moneyes is involved, right in any industry, that's big money, 860 00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:02,440 Speaker 1: millions of dollars, and then you factor in young people. 861 00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:06,640 Speaker 1: It could be music, it could be athletics, it could 862 00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:11,440 Speaker 1: be anything. Crypto, you get shady shit happening, and you 863 00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:16,480 Speaker 1: get shady operators involved because they can pray on people. 864 00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:19,160 Speaker 1: So I think we're gonna see more and more of 865 00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:23,360 Speaker 1: these type stories where a guy got screwed or a 866 00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:27,239 Speaker 1: guy got taken advantage of. And you know, this is 867 00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:29,719 Speaker 1: the hard part. And I don't know the details on 868 00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:33,080 Speaker 1: this besides what I just read. What if someone came 869 00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:34,640 Speaker 1: to you, if you were twenty years old, you're the 870 00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:38,919 Speaker 1: starting linebacker at let's say Michigan or LSU I'm gonna 871 00:44:38,920 --> 00:44:41,480 Speaker 1: offer you a million dollars and it's pretty clear like 872 00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,080 Speaker 1: you're gonna be you know, Micah Parsons or Nick Bosa. 873 00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:46,399 Speaker 1: But maybe not even that, maybe because I think those 874 00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:48,520 Speaker 1: guys would have enough people around them to maybe help, 875 00:44:48,520 --> 00:44:51,120 Speaker 1: but maybe they don't and go, hey, I'll give you 876 00:44:51,160 --> 00:44:54,400 Speaker 1: a million dollars cash right now. Sign this stuff. And 877 00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:56,319 Speaker 1: you go, shit, you're give me a million dollars cash 878 00:44:56,360 --> 00:44:59,440 Speaker 1: right now? You sign it, and it's one of those deals. Well, 879 00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:01,960 Speaker 1: what if you actually signed it? You know, you'd have 880 00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:04,399 Speaker 1: to get some really good lawyers to fight. And at 881 00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,600 Speaker 1: the end of the day, maybe they know that best 882 00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:08,600 Speaker 1: case that they're gonna get payouts. You're gonna get some 883 00:45:09,160 --> 00:45:11,320 Speaker 1: you know, buyouts, like hey, you just cut me a 884 00:45:11,320 --> 00:45:14,880 Speaker 1: couple million dollars and we'll go away. Sucks. You know, 885 00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:19,240 Speaker 1: this this nil deal where there's no rules or regulations involved. 886 00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,600 Speaker 1: I know, technically they have some, but no one's following 887 00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:25,800 Speaker 1: any of it is just ripe for craziness. Quick question, 888 00:45:26,520 --> 00:45:29,200 Speaker 1: is Cincinnati and Seattle a good dark horse pick for 889 00:45:29,239 --> 00:45:32,920 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl? Might be worth future bets here? To me, 890 00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:35,160 Speaker 1: would be fantastic. You know, if you're not gonna go 891 00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:38,000 Speaker 1: Niners or Eagles, people are gonna think I'm crazy. But 892 00:45:38,120 --> 00:45:40,600 Speaker 1: I don't think Dallas is a crazy bet. I don't 893 00:45:40,600 --> 00:45:43,320 Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh's a crazy bet. And as long as you 894 00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:46,680 Speaker 1: got Burrow and Josh Allen, I mean the Bills in 895 00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:49,880 Speaker 1: the Bengals, you get start quarterbacks. Like, look at the 896 00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:52,279 Speaker 1: history of the guys that make the Super Bowl, it's 897 00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:55,440 Speaker 1: usually stuts. I mean, Brady and Manning made it forever. 898 00:45:55,840 --> 00:45:57,960 Speaker 1: And I'm not saying Josh Allen and Joe Burrow are 899 00:45:57,960 --> 00:46:00,319 Speaker 1: Brady and Manning yet, but it feels like they're on 900 00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:03,359 Speaker 1: that trajectory. I mean, we're just the reason I'm taking 901 00:46:03,400 --> 00:46:05,800 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. Why they got Mahomes. What am I supposed 902 00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:09,920 Speaker 1: to do bet against Mahomes? So yeah, not bad value 903 00:46:09,920 --> 00:46:13,520 Speaker 1: at all. Okay, A couple more questions started listening to 904 00:46:13,560 --> 00:46:16,240 Speaker 1: the Go Lo podcast and now three and out Golfer, 905 00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:18,960 Speaker 1: which team do you feel has the best value to 906 00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:22,800 Speaker 1: win ten games and have a chance at the Super Bowl. Thanks, 907 00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:26,400 Speaker 1: and let's win some money this season. I mean, I 908 00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:30,480 Speaker 1: think the Steelers. I really like the Steelers. I think 909 00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:32,920 Speaker 1: they're going to be really, really good. You know, I 910 00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:38,000 Speaker 1: bet imagine the Jets. Odds aren't great. It's hard to 911 00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:40,680 Speaker 1: pick Detroit, but it's not like Jared Goff's ever been there. Now, 912 00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:43,360 Speaker 1: the Rams defense was a lot better, at least in 913 00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:47,680 Speaker 1: the secondary than this Detroit team, so I'd probably say Steelers. 914 00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:52,759 Speaker 1: I'm an Australian who over the last few years has 915 00:46:52,800 --> 00:46:55,279 Speaker 1: really got into the NFL. Happy to have you, mate, 916 00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:58,800 Speaker 1: but I don't have a team. I followed whoever Brady 917 00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,919 Speaker 1: was playing for, but now need to choose someone. I'm 918 00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:04,840 Speaker 1: tossing between the Lions as I'm a fan of the 919 00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:09,440 Speaker 1: coach Chicago as I followed Justin Fields since watching QB 920 00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:12,759 Speaker 1: one and still feel like it's plenty of upside and 921 00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:16,560 Speaker 1: the Broncos mainly because of Shannon Sharp and Manning being 922 00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:19,319 Speaker 1: great listen to now, do you have any advice on 923 00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:22,759 Speaker 1: how to pick? This has to be a pretty fun exercise. 924 00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:25,720 Speaker 1: You know, most of us that live here in the States, 925 00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:28,879 Speaker 1: like I'm sure you in Australia, when you root for 926 00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:32,360 Speaker 1: your hometown teams, it just comes natural. Usually root for 927 00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:34,960 Speaker 1: a team that where you grow up, or a parent 928 00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:38,239 Speaker 1: or a brother or someone likes right, you gravitate to it. 929 00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:40,920 Speaker 1: I can't imagine being older not having a team, just 930 00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:43,840 Speaker 1: being like I want a team. I kind of honestly 931 00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:45,799 Speaker 1: did that in college football with Alabama. It's like, I 932 00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:48,640 Speaker 1: just like Nick Saban, so I've just watched their games 933 00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:51,320 Speaker 1: for the last decade just because I enjoy kicking. I 934 00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:53,600 Speaker 1: didn't really have a college football team. I'm kind of 935 00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:55,600 Speaker 1: a college football no mad like that. I think my 936 00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:57,840 Speaker 1: team this year is Washington. I'm just not going to 937 00:47:57,880 --> 00:48:00,320 Speaker 1: miss their games because I love Pennix. But that's a 938 00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:04,719 Speaker 1: good question. I think I'd probably go with Detroit or Chicago, 939 00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:09,600 Speaker 1: because if that team ever wins a Super Bowl, let's 940 00:48:09,600 --> 00:48:11,480 Speaker 1: just say in the next five to ten years somehow, 941 00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:16,200 Speaker 1: especially in Detroit, it would be the most incredible accomplishment 942 00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:19,640 Speaker 1: we've ever seen. If the Detroit Lions win the Super 943 00:48:19,680 --> 00:48:22,560 Speaker 1: Bowl one day, especially with Dan Campbell, it'd be an 944 00:48:22,560 --> 00:48:26,240 Speaker 1: All Times Sports story. Now I would say they're better 945 00:48:26,280 --> 00:48:28,520 Speaker 1: than the Bears. So your chances of just being good 946 00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:31,239 Speaker 1: right away are better, But I don't think you can 947 00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:34,160 Speaker 1: go wrong with Detroit or Chicago. The Broncos. You know, 948 00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:37,879 Speaker 1: I'd go Detroit Chicago. Would you think the Niners would 949 00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:41,279 Speaker 1: ever consider a Nick Bosa trade for the Raiders with 950 00:48:41,440 --> 00:48:44,479 Speaker 1: Max Crosby and a first Raiders get the best pass 951 00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:46,960 Speaker 1: rusher in the game and the Niners get an elite 952 00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:51,160 Speaker 1: pass rusher on a much cheaper deal, top fifteen pick potentially, 953 00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:54,640 Speaker 1: I don't think the Raiders would do that. Hear me out. 954 00:48:55,080 --> 00:48:56,960 Speaker 1: I think Nick Bosa is a better player than Max, 955 00:48:57,000 --> 00:49:00,440 Speaker 1: but Max is pretty freaking good in Max is on 956 00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:04,160 Speaker 1: easily one of the best contracts in the NFL, and 957 00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:05,960 Speaker 1: the Raiders still need a lot of talent. So that 958 00:49:06,000 --> 00:49:09,160 Speaker 1: first round pick is very valuable. So you have Max Crosby. 959 00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:12,360 Speaker 1: This is if we just factor in before he signed 960 00:49:12,760 --> 00:49:16,200 Speaker 1: on a much much cheaper deal than Nick Bosa. So 961 00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:18,320 Speaker 1: even though if if Max is a eight and a 962 00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:20,880 Speaker 1: half and Nick Bosa is a ten, it's like, well, 963 00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,320 Speaker 1: when you factor in the money, he's ten million dollars cheaper, 964 00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:25,880 Speaker 1: and that first round pick is very, very valuable to you. 965 00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:29,160 Speaker 1: So I think both sides would say no. I think 966 00:49:29,160 --> 00:49:31,160 Speaker 1: the forty nine ers Boas. Is their guy cool with 967 00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:34,400 Speaker 1: paying him? Obviously they did, and I think the Raiders 968 00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:38,279 Speaker 1: go listen, the gap isn't that wide. We love our 969 00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:41,200 Speaker 1: guy and he's way cheaper, and we need first round 970 00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:43,040 Speaker 1: Have you seen some of the guys we play on defense? 971 00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:45,439 Speaker 1: So we need to get Max some help. We can't 972 00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:47,480 Speaker 1: afford to give a round way first round picks. But 973 00:49:47,520 --> 00:49:50,880 Speaker 1: I like what you're thinking there. I really do Max 974 00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:55,080 Speaker 1: Crosby right now, go Google. His contract is easily one 975 00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:57,479 Speaker 1: of the best deals in all of the NFL. Okay, 976 00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:01,640 Speaker 1: last question, As a fellow Arizonian, I really enjoy your podcast, 977 00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:05,239 Speaker 1: listen to it every day. Do you think Caleb Williams 978 00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:08,520 Speaker 1: might stay at USC for one more year to avoid 979 00:50:08,600 --> 00:50:14,440 Speaker 1: getting drafted by the Cardinals? Well, obviously, Kay. Caleb his 980 00:50:14,680 --> 00:50:18,160 Speaker 1: father did an interview I think with GQ gave a 981 00:50:18,160 --> 00:50:23,400 Speaker 1: bunch of quotes about like, you know how the NFL, Like, Yeah, Caleb, 982 00:50:23,560 --> 00:50:26,799 Speaker 1: Caleb's dad in the NFL, you go to the worst team. 983 00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:29,480 Speaker 1: We've all been following the draft our entire lives. In 984 00:50:29,520 --> 00:50:31,800 Speaker 1: college football, the best players usually go to the best teams. 985 00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:35,160 Speaker 1: It's the opposite. Now. I didn't read that much into 986 00:50:35,200 --> 00:50:37,760 Speaker 1: it because I think he was specifically talking about the Cardinals. 987 00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:41,480 Speaker 1: It's like he watched that Jonathan Gannon video, right, he 988 00:50:41,560 --> 00:50:44,480 Speaker 1: wants no part of that. But part of it is 989 00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:48,040 Speaker 1: Caleb's never gonna go to a sweet team because all 990 00:50:48,080 --> 00:50:50,759 Speaker 1: the sweet teams they all have quarterbacks and they all 991 00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:54,319 Speaker 1: draft in the twenties, so they can try to go 992 00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:57,560 Speaker 1: Eli Manning and I would expect them to do that 993 00:50:57,640 --> 00:50:59,239 Speaker 1: if they did not want to go to the place 994 00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:02,000 Speaker 1: as drafting one one. But even if you don't go one, 995 00:51:02,040 --> 00:51:04,960 Speaker 1: you still go two or three, right, or you get 996 00:51:05,080 --> 00:51:07,759 Speaker 1: do the trade thing. So it's it's not like you 997 00:51:07,840 --> 00:51:11,239 Speaker 1: end up with the You're on the Chiefs or the 998 00:51:11,280 --> 00:51:15,279 Speaker 1: forty nine ers. That's just not gonna happen. So I 999 00:51:15,320 --> 00:51:17,239 Speaker 1: think that was specifically they want no part of the 1000 00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:19,920 Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. That that would be my guess. But what 1001 00:51:19,960 --> 00:51:21,960 Speaker 1: if I told you the LA Ram said the worst record? 1002 00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:23,600 Speaker 1: Is he cool with going to Sean McVay? Could? I 1003 00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:25,880 Speaker 1: bet he would be. The other thing is if you 1004 00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:28,240 Speaker 1: go one, you do get more money. And I understand 1005 00:51:28,280 --> 00:51:30,880 Speaker 1: Caleb is making five million dollars. Google how much the 1006 00:51:30,960 --> 00:51:32,680 Speaker 1: number one overall pick in the NFL makes. It's like 1007 00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:36,320 Speaker 1: forty million dollars guaranteed and then if you're good, you immediately. 1008 00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:38,440 Speaker 1: The other thing is you start your clock. Why do 1009 00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,960 Speaker 1: NBA guys always join the go to the draft right 1010 00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:42,920 Speaker 1: because they like they want to start their clock for 1011 00:51:42,960 --> 00:51:45,239 Speaker 1: their second contract. So it's like, yeah, you can go 1012 00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:47,759 Speaker 1: back to USC for another five million dollars, or you 1013 00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:50,160 Speaker 1: can just go into the NFL draft. Kick Assen in 1014 00:51:50,200 --> 00:51:54,000 Speaker 1: three years signed for two hundred million dollars guaranteed, and 1015 00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:56,560 Speaker 1: then with the two contracts have already made two hundred 1016 00:51:56,600 --> 00:51:59,759 Speaker 1: and fifty million dollars. So I think it's easy to 1017 00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:03,640 Speaker 1: say that now. I think they're under no circumstances that 1018 00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:06,760 Speaker 1: Kayleb Williams ever plays another year at USC. I'd be stunned. 1019 00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:10,480 Speaker 1: I really would risk getting injured. You're going to the 1020 00:52:10,800 --> 00:52:12,520 Speaker 1: I almost at the SEC. They're going to the Big 1021 00:52:12,520 --> 00:52:15,600 Speaker 1: ten next year. USC is not in the SEC. They're 1022 00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:18,880 Speaker 1: going to the Big ten. But it's listen, I know everyone, 1023 00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:21,800 Speaker 1: especially a guy like him, are making a lot of money. 1024 00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:25,360 Speaker 1: You make way more money in the NFL, way more money. 1025 00:52:25,920 --> 00:52:28,040 Speaker 1: In news flash, you do not have to go to class. 1026 00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:29,719 Speaker 1: Now you could argue he ain't going to class. Now, 1027 00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:31,839 Speaker 1: I don't know some guys go to class, some guys don't. 1028 00:52:32,280 --> 00:52:35,440 Speaker 1: But listen, Caleb, What's what's he gonna learn in class? 1029 00:52:35,480 --> 00:52:38,440 Speaker 1: It's about football. He's gonna be a pro football player, 1030 00:52:39,440 --> 00:52:42,759 Speaker 1: as he should be. But I think it's easy. You know, 1031 00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:45,120 Speaker 1: I heard in the recruiting circles. I think Caleb's dad 1032 00:52:45,960 --> 00:52:47,960 Speaker 1: is pretty active in this whole thing. And you know, 1033 00:52:48,000 --> 00:52:49,879 Speaker 1: sometimes you want to feel important. And I'm not even 1034 00:52:49,880 --> 00:52:53,400 Speaker 1: saying he's wrong. I'm sure they've had discussions. Caleb Williams 1035 00:52:53,440 --> 00:52:56,319 Speaker 1: will be in this draft. Now, does he refuse to 1036 00:52:56,360 --> 00:52:58,719 Speaker 1: go to a certain team. I'm all for that. I'd 1037 00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:00,879 Speaker 1: find that very interesting. It'd be a great story. I'd 1038 00:53:00,880 --> 00:53:03,560 Speaker 1: love to talk about it, but I'll believe it when 1039 00:53:03,560 --> 00:53:06,239 Speaker 1: I see it. Have a great day, enjoy the game 1040 00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:10,480 Speaker 1: to night. Let's roll Baby. The volume