WEBVTT - The Effective Altruism Scam

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<v Speaker 1>Uh, it could happen. Here is the podcast that you're

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<v Speaker 1>listening to. I'm Robert Evans, the person that you're listening to,

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<v Speaker 1>and one of the people who does this podcast. Boy,

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<v Speaker 1>what a what a glorious introduction that was. Let me

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<v Speaker 1>also introduce some human beings who you might know. First,

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<v Speaker 1>we have Chris and and we have James. Are are

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<v Speaker 1>our correspondence in the field joining us today. Also is

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<v Speaker 1>James's Spanish Civil War era mosen degauant Yep, that's right. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm very happy it's joining us. It's going to make

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<v Speaker 1>contribution throughout the episode, just gonna it's it's an antique

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<v Speaker 1>bolt action rifle served in three World wars, the current one.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right. Yeah, and it's about too. It's about to

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<v Speaker 1>kick off this one now, which it might be. It

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<v Speaker 1>might be two in the alcolumn for the most in

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<v Speaker 1>the gun. Yeah, it's it's it's it's had a it's

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<v Speaker 1>served a mixed bag. Um. Yeah. Anyway, we're recording this

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<v Speaker 1>the day of the elections, so everybody's having a horrible one. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm having a firearm Yeah, yeah, I did. I'm still

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<v Speaker 1>hoping my my Tech nine comes in before Oregon votes

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<v Speaker 1>on its next ballot measure. Anyway, Um, today, I wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to talk a little bit about something that I've been

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about kind of constantly, which is, um, it's called

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<v Speaker 1>effective altruism. And it's the short end of this is

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<v Speaker 1>that like it is a style of thinking about charitable

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<v Speaker 1>giving that Elon Musk in particular has recently highlighted as

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<v Speaker 1>like how he thinks about things. It's very popular with

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<v Speaker 1>the billionaire set, who are who are deeply invested in

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<v Speaker 1>getting people to think that they're saving the world, right, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>the folks who want to be seen as like looking

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<v Speaker 1>ahead and and and set protecting the future of mankind

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<v Speaker 1>and saving the world, um, but not doing it through

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<v Speaker 1>things like paying you know, more taxes and supporting you

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<v Speaker 1>know less money, being in politics and and all that

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<v Speaker 1>kind of jazz. Like not not anything that would would

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<v Speaker 1>actually harm their their personal ability to exercise power. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's gotten kind of attacked recently because it's associated with

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<v Speaker 1>guys like Muskin, because he is markedly less popular now

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<v Speaker 1>than he was let's say, ten years ago. Um, but

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<v Speaker 1>I want, Yeah, I wanted to talk because effective altruism,

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<v Speaker 1>which is an actual movement. There's like organizations that espouse this.

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<v Speaker 1>There's hundreds of millions of dollars in charitable giving that

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<v Speaker 1>gets handed out under the addresses of effective altruism, and

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<v Speaker 1>as it heads up, like most of it, it's fine,

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<v Speaker 1>like most of its charities to like get let out

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<v Speaker 1>of water and stuff like. It's not like effective altruism

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<v Speaker 1>is not comprehensively some sort of like scam by the wealthy.

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<v Speaker 1>It's more of a an honest theory about how charitable

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<v Speaker 1>giving ought to work that has been adopted by the

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<v Speaker 1>hyper wealthiest justification for fucked up ship and married to

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<v Speaker 1>something called long term is um, which we will be

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<v Speaker 1>talking about in a little bit. But I want to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about where the concept of effective altruism comes from.

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<v Speaker 1>If you read articles about this thing, most people who

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<v Speaker 1>study it will say that it kind of This got

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<v Speaker 1>started as a modern movement in nineteen seventy one with

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<v Speaker 1>an Australian philosopher named Peter Singer, and Singer wrote an

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<v Speaker 1>article titled Famine, Affluence and Morality UM. I think it

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<v Speaker 1>was actually published in nineteen seventy two. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>one of the two seventy one or seventy two, and

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<v Speaker 1>and the essay basically argued that there's no difference morally

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<v Speaker 1>between your obligation to help a person dying on the

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<v Speaker 1>street in front of your house. Like dude gets hit

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<v Speaker 1>by a car in front of your house, you are

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<v Speaker 1>not more morally obligated to help him than you are

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<v Speaker 1>morally obligated to help people who are dying in Syria,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, um, And obviously, like there's a a version

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<v Speaker 1>of truth to that, which is that we're all responsible

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<v Speaker 1>for each other and internationalism is the only actual path

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<v Speaker 1>away from the nightmare. And when we do things like

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<v Speaker 1>ignore authoritarians massacring their people, it inevitably comes back to

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<v Speaker 1>affect us and like fuel the growth of an authoritarian

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<v Speaker 1>nightmare domestically. That is very true, um, But also there's

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<v Speaker 1>a fundamental silliness in it, because one reason why there

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<v Speaker 1>is a moral difference between helping a person dying in

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<v Speaker 1>the street in front of you and somebody who's in

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<v Speaker 1>danger in I don't know, southern China is that, like,

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<v Speaker 1>you can immediately help the person in front of your house, right,

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<v Speaker 1>Like if somebody gets hit, but you have the ability

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<v Speaker 1>to immediately render life saving eight, it's actually quite difficult

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<v Speaker 1>to help somebody who is for example, getting shot at

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<v Speaker 1>by the government uh in Tibet. Right, Like not that

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<v Speaker 1>you don't don't have a moral responsibility to that person,

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<v Speaker 1>but your moral responsibility to actually immediately take action when

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<v Speaker 1>somebody is bleeding out is higher than your responsibility to

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<v Speaker 1>try to figure out how to help people in distant

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<v Speaker 1>parts of the globe. Um, this is more nuanced than

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of especially like rich assholes like

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<v Speaker 1>to It's more nuanced than like the the I shouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>say rich assholes. What what's the problem with this is

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<v Speaker 1>that it's the this is the kind of revelation like

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<v Speaker 1>when you start talking this way that that feeds really

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<v Speaker 1>well into a fucking ted talk it it's a perfect

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<v Speaker 1>fix for that morality, whereas the reality is like a

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<v Speaker 1>lot more nuanced where and number one, it's also like,

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<v Speaker 1>well that the kind of help that you would render

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<v Speaker 1>to somebody who's been hit by a car in front

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<v Speaker 1>of your house is very different and requires really different

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<v Speaker 1>resources than the kind of help you would give people

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<v Speaker 1>in say, again like Syria, who are being murdered by

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<v Speaker 1>their government. Right, if somebody gets hit by a car

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<v Speaker 1>in front of your house, you run out with a

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<v Speaker 1>fucking tourniquet and a kit and you call nine one

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<v Speaker 1>one right, those are the resources that you can immediately

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<v Speaker 1>use if butshar Al Assad is firing poison gas at

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<v Speaker 1>protesters in you know, Aleppo, well your your stop the

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<v Speaker 1>bleed kit is not going to help with that, one

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<v Speaker 1>way or the other. Right, A very different set of

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<v Speaker 1>resources are necessary. UM. So it's it's foolish to compare

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<v Speaker 1>them anyway. Singer did UM and his essay was a

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<v Speaker 1>big hit. It's often called like a sleeper hit for

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<v Speaker 1>for young people who were kind of getting into the

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the charity industrial complex UM, or at least

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<v Speaker 1>we're considering it now. I found an interview with one

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<v Speaker 1>named Julia Wise who currently works at the Center for

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<v Speaker 1>Effective Altruism UM, and she was a started out as

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<v Speaker 1>a social work, like to give you an idea of

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<v Speaker 1>the kind of people who got into this. When she

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<v Speaker 1>read Weiss's article UM, she was a social worker, she

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<v Speaker 1>kind of fell in love with the concept and when

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<v Speaker 1>it started becoming a thing, and like the monies and eighties,

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<v Speaker 1>it was, as she described, quote, a bunch of philosophers

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<v Speaker 1>and their friends and nobody had a bunch of money.

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<v Speaker 1>So it was also more when Singer put it out

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<v Speaker 1>kind of a a wave, like a way of people

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<v Speaker 1>kind of debating how to think about charity, which is

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<v Speaker 1>is fine, people should always be like exploring stuff like that.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's not I don't want to be like going

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<v Speaker 1>after Singer too well, I do a little bit um

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<v Speaker 1>because Singer after kind of his movement has a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of decades to grow, winds up doing a Ted talk um,

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<v Speaker 1>and the Ted talk winds up kind of electrifying a

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<v Speaker 1>very specific chunk of the American techno set um. And

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<v Speaker 1>you can see kind of in in some of the

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<v Speaker 1>writing on this, like the way in which his talking

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<v Speaker 1>about sort of the morality of charity has gotten flattened

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<v Speaker 1>over the years. Quote which is the better thing to

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<v Speaker 1>do to provide a guide dog to one blind American

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<v Speaker 1>or cure two thousand people of blindness and developing countries? Um?

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<v Speaker 1>Which is like, I don't know both. There's resources to

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<v Speaker 1>do both. Um. We again, if you, for an example,

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<v Speaker 1>in the United States, were to attacks the billionaire class

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<v Speaker 1>and corporations a lot more, you could provide that blind

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<v Speaker 1>person in the United States, uh with with free healthcare

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<v Speaker 1>in a way that many countries do. Um. And we

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<v Speaker 1>could also continue or even expand charitable giving, maybe if

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<v Speaker 1>we were to do stuff like spend less money on

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<v Speaker 1>our military. Again, it's like a false choice, like it's

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<v Speaker 1>worth but but of course it's it's because the reason

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<v Speaker 1>this choice is there is because they're thinking about they're

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about helping people purely in the form of like

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<v Speaker 1>nobless obliged charity, right, They're they're thinking about periods like

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<v Speaker 1>rich like things that get improved when rich people put

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<v Speaker 1>money into them. Um. Yeah, so obviously we should help

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<v Speaker 1>you know, one of these groups before the other because

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<v Speaker 1>it's more effective and yeada, YadA YadA. Yeah. Yeah, well,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think I think that was one of the

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<v Speaker 1>things that like the there there's there's a second way

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<v Speaker 1>you can look at the original sort of problem of

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<v Speaker 1>we have this same methical responsibility. Someone who could sit

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<v Speaker 1>by a car or somebody's on the other side of

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<v Speaker 1>the world. Is that like the other way you can

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<v Speaker 1>look at that is like I don't care about what's

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<v Speaker 1>happening is some one of the other side of the world,

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<v Speaker 1>so they don't have to care about this person. You

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<v Speaker 1>get hit by a car, and that seems like people

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<v Speaker 1>are doing it's like, well, I really have to care

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<v Speaker 1>about this person here because there's someone over there. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I did, Like I can see like how this lines

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<v Speaker 1>up with some of these like like bigger like meta

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<v Speaker 1>ethical kind of perspectives on what equality is and what

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<v Speaker 1>like your ethical obligations are. But then yeah, it seems

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<v Speaker 1>to just kind of be like a very clear, like

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<v Speaker 1>very clear slippery slope to making kind of mouth usy

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<v Speaker 1>and excuses for doing funk. All right, that's that's where

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<v Speaker 1>the story is heading. So oh good. Early two thousands,

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<v Speaker 1>he does like a Ted talk. You know, the momentum

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<v Speaker 1>around this idea starts to build and it really gets

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<v Speaker 1>a shot in the arm in two thousand thirteen with

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<v Speaker 1>the work of an author named Eric Friedman. Friedman's new

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<v Speaker 1>book or Friedland's book at the time that was new

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<v Speaker 1>was called Reinventing Philanthropy A Framework for More Effective giving

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<v Speaker 1>um and he kind of he kind of extends the

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<v Speaker 1>arguments that Singers making. One of the things that he

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<v Speaker 1>does is he he contrasts what St. Jude's Children's Reach

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<v Speaker 1>their hospitals are doing to like research children's medical or

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<v Speaker 1>like like illnesses that that kids supper and treatments for

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<v Speaker 1>them um with the Malagi Provincial Hospital in Angola um

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<v Speaker 1>and he kind of contrasts to patients who are being

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<v Speaker 1>served at the different hospitals for life threatening conditions and concludes, quote,

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<v Speaker 1>I'd probably also be very angry at the donors who

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<v Speaker 1>are continually funding St. Jude and leaving Melangi Provincial woefully

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<v Speaker 1>under resource. Why are the patients of St. Jude's so

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<v Speaker 1>much more worthy of life? And like, yeah, what are

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<v Speaker 1>the ridiculous way to think about it? Children's fucking asinine

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<v Speaker 1>And the fact that many of the people who are

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<v Speaker 1>doing these fucking TED talks and contributing to this like

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<v Speaker 1>a global tech class at the same people who are

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<v Speaker 1>making fucking millions of dollars off the pharmaceutical industry, which

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<v Speaker 1>continues to neglect the diseases that people like in the

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<v Speaker 1>colonial periphery suffer from because there's no profit in selling

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<v Speaker 1>them drugs, and instead you're selling boldness cures to people

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<v Speaker 1>in America, right, Like, yes, we can, I mean, like

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<v Speaker 1>you you could if we just if if every single

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<v Speaker 1>person who had a who's gotten a TED talk had

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<v Speaker 1>all of their wealth appropriated tomorrow, we could fund both

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<v Speaker 1>of these hospitals exactly yes, yeah, would will be better.

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<v Speaker 1>It's fundamentally a kind of obscenity to look at pharmaceutical

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<v Speaker 1>company CEO is making hundreds of millions and billions of

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<v Speaker 1>dollars selling people often literal poison and jacking up the

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<v Speaker 1>price of things like insulin. To look at these tech

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<v Speaker 1>CEOs accumulating tens of billions of dollars, and to say,

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<v Speaker 1>donations to this children's hospital are robbing an angolid hospital. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>so I won't be paying my tax? Yeah, why don't

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<v Speaker 1>you go funk yourself? Yeah? And anyway, like but this

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<v Speaker 1>is like you can see who this appeals to, right

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<v Speaker 1>if you like the kind of people who love the

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<v Speaker 1>freakonomics books, which are bullshit regressive statistics. Can economic story please? Yeah? Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So one of my professors at Chicago was a political

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<v Speaker 1>science guy, um or I guess the public policy and

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<v Speaker 1>there's there's a thing, there's a thing the freakonomics guy

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<v Speaker 1>wrote where he was trying to prove that money doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>actually influence, like doesn't actually influence left. Yeah, and you

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<v Speaker 1>know what my my, my, my professor wrote wrote a

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<v Speaker 1>paper about that, which is that you know and again

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<v Speaker 1>this is this is a perfect example of how done

0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:49.360
<v Speaker 1>this guy is that he doesn't This is how condis think, right,

0:12:49.400 --> 0:12:51.280
<v Speaker 1>Like they when they when they go into a field,

0:12:51.320 --> 0:12:53.120
<v Speaker 1>they go in thinking they already know everything and they

0:12:53.120 --> 0:12:56.360
<v Speaker 1>can prove whatever they want because okay, but the thing

0:12:56.360 --> 0:12:58.760
<v Speaker 1>this guy doesn't understand, right, is that, like and this

0:12:58.840 --> 0:13:00.480
<v Speaker 1>is the thing most people in the US do not

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:03.120
<v Speaker 1>understand about how Congress works. Is that like all of

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:05.439
<v Speaker 1>the ship that's happening on the floor of Congress, all

0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:08.120
<v Speaker 1>of those votes that is not that is not real congress, right,

0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 1>that that is fate congress. Nothing nothing important to actually

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:13.720
<v Speaker 1>happens there. All of the important stuff in Congress happens

0:13:13.760 --> 0:13:16.840
<v Speaker 1>in committees. And so you can't figure out whether money

0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:19.360
<v Speaker 1>is doing anything by measuring its effects on like votes

0:13:19.440 --> 0:13:22.160
<v Speaker 1>on the floor, because floor votes are bullshit. All of

0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:23.760
<v Speaker 1>the important stuff has already by the top, by the

0:13:23.760 --> 0:13:25.880
<v Speaker 1>tip of floor vote happens, all the important policing stuff

0:13:25.880 --> 0:13:28.319
<v Speaker 1>has already happened. And so he did this heard this

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:29.560
<v Speaker 1>whole thing where he was you know, he had this

0:13:29.640 --> 0:13:33.440
<v Speaker 1>great I I. He had this great metric called like

0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:36.439
<v Speaker 1>uh oh God, and it was it's called like the

0:13:37.400 --> 0:13:40.960
<v Speaker 1>the dairy cow coefficients, which is like measuring like how

0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:44.120
<v Speaker 1>how someone should vote versus like how the dairy cows running.

0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 1>It turns out, you know, if you look at what

0:13:45.679 --> 0:13:48.160
<v Speaker 1>these people do in committee. No, yeah, hey, look, it

0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:51.760
<v Speaker 1>turns out a lobby money is unbelievably effective. But because

0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:54.680
<v Speaker 1>this fucking guy had like and this is something that

0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:57.240
<v Speaker 1>like like this sort of distinction between between Congress like

0:13:57.400 --> 0:13:59.719
<v Speaker 1>on the floor and Congress and committee. Like there's a

0:13:59.760 --> 0:14:01.319
<v Speaker 1>press in it whose name of forgetting who has this

0:14:01.480 --> 0:14:04.480
<v Speaker 1>famous line that like Congress and Committee is Congress at work,

0:14:04.520 --> 0:14:06.679
<v Speaker 1>Congress on the floors, Corgress at play or something like that.

0:14:07.080 --> 0:14:09.720
<v Speaker 1>Like it's it's like this is just like basic ship

0:14:09.960 --> 0:14:13.400
<v Speaker 1>that if you know literally anything about how a field works,

0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 1>you cannot do if you wanna, if you wanna, if

0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:20.520
<v Speaker 1>you want to a good breakdown of why the freakonomics

0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 1>guy is full of shit. Michael Hobbs and Peter sham

0:14:25.120 --> 0:14:27.040
<v Speaker 1>Shary I think is his last name, have a new

0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:29.680
<v Speaker 1>podcast called If Books Could Kill and they break down

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:33.880
<v Speaker 1>with like citations and everything like why everything in that

0:14:33.880 --> 0:14:36.520
<v Speaker 1>book is horseship but like the reason why it's the

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:38.240
<v Speaker 1>only thing I'll disagree with you one, Chris is I

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:41.000
<v Speaker 1>don't think he's an idiot. I think he's very intelligent,

0:14:41.120 --> 0:14:42.640
<v Speaker 1>and I think the thing that he's smart to do

0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:45.800
<v Speaker 1>is he recognizes that there's a specific type of person

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:48.920
<v Speaker 1>and engineers and programmers are very likely to be this

0:14:49.000 --> 0:14:53.680
<v Speaker 1>type of person who kind of fundamentally like their oppositional defiant.

0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 1>If somebody if something, if people say like well this

0:14:56.680 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 1>is good or this is bad, um, they're going to

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:01.880
<v Speaker 1>take They want to take the opposite stance. And if

0:15:01.880 --> 0:15:03.880
<v Speaker 1>you can provide them way to like feel like they're

0:15:04.000 --> 0:15:06.360
<v Speaker 1>enlightened and smart and actually looking at the data by

0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:09.160
<v Speaker 1>doing it, then they'll take the opposite stance on stuff

0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:13.040
<v Speaker 1>like it's bad to let people by elections or it's

0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:16.840
<v Speaker 1>good to fund children's hospitals just because somebody has made

0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 1>them feel smart for being an asshole. Um, that's what

0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:23.480
<v Speaker 1>the freakonomics guy does. Malcolm Gladwell does a subtler version

0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 1>of it as a general rule. Um, and that's what

0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:30.080
<v Speaker 1>that's what the fucking freedman is doing in this this book.

0:15:30.080 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 1>In two thousand thirteen, I found a good review of

0:15:33.560 --> 0:15:37.760
<v Speaker 1>it in the Stanford Social Innovation Review. Um. That is uh,

0:15:38.120 --> 0:15:42.720
<v Speaker 1>pretty scathing, like surprisingly scathing considering it's it's written by

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of like Stanford nerds. This approach amounts to

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:49.880
<v Speaker 1>a little more than charitable imperialism, whereby my just causes

0:15:49.920 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 1>just in yours to one degree or another, is a

0:15:51.960 --> 0:15:55.760
<v Speaker 1>waste of precious resources. This approach is not informed giving

0:15:56.640 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 1>UM and I think that that does a pretty good

0:15:59.560 --> 0:16:03.880
<v Speaker 1>job of summarizing what I think is fucked up about it.

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:05.840
<v Speaker 1>There's another thing that's really messed up, which is that

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:10.280
<v Speaker 1>one of the conclusions that they gets come that they

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 1>come to here is that um, they don't recommend or

0:16:13.160 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 1>there's an organization called Guild well that kind of gets

0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:18.840
<v Speaker 1>gets formed as a result of the book Freedman Rights,

0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:22.400
<v Speaker 1>and they recommend not to deliver, like not to donate

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 1>money to disaster assistance in the wake of the Japanese tsunami.

0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:29.760
<v Speaker 1>Um And opposed disaster relief donations in general. Um because

0:16:29.880 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 1>quote and this is from Freedman, most of those killed

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:36.000
<v Speaker 1>by disasters could not have been saved by donations, um,

0:16:36.080 --> 0:16:39.440
<v Speaker 1>which is number one, Like, that's the donations are about

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:43.160
<v Speaker 1>like rebuilding communities generally, it's not like about the saving lives.

0:16:43.240 --> 0:16:46.000
<v Speaker 1>Usually it's about like, well, all of the infrastructure was

0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:50.320
<v Speaker 1>destroyed and it must be rebuilt. Um but okay, guy,

0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:52.400
<v Speaker 1>Well it's annoying to you because it's like it's it's

0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 1>not like there's not good critiques of like pricipically always

0:16:55.000 --> 0:16:57.720
<v Speaker 1>like the Red Cross. Oh, it's all fucked up. Every

0:16:57.800 --> 0:17:01.920
<v Speaker 1>single yes, yeah, I critique is like the worst possible,

0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:07.639
<v Speaker 1>like the critiques. Yeah, every single large charitable organization is

0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:09.600
<v Speaker 1>fucked up. And if you go and talk to people

0:17:09.600 --> 0:17:11.760
<v Speaker 1>on the ground, they will bitch, Like if you go

0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:14.439
<v Speaker 1>to fucking war zones, people bitch more about NGOs than

0:17:14.480 --> 0:17:18.880
<v Speaker 1>the folks shooting at them half the time. Like, yeah,

0:17:18.920 --> 0:17:21.960
<v Speaker 1>they bitch about it being inefficient, about the stuff they're

0:17:21.960 --> 0:17:26.200
<v Speaker 1>given being like bad quality or like um like nonsense

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:28.760
<v Speaker 1>like just being handed out to be handed out, which

0:17:28.760 --> 0:17:30.879
<v Speaker 1>is a thing that happens sometimes, and a bitch about

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:34.000
<v Speaker 1>well paid aid workers staying in hotels and showing up

0:17:34.040 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 1>for a couple of hours to like do a photo op. Um.

0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:41.240
<v Speaker 1>There's also more incisive like you know, that's not to

0:17:41.280 --> 0:17:43.920
<v Speaker 1>say none of it's useful, Like, for example, as many

0:17:43.960 --> 0:17:47.440
<v Speaker 1>complaints as people have, everyone I've known who has been

0:17:47.480 --> 0:17:50.440
<v Speaker 1>in a place where medicine sans frontier slash doctors without

0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:54.240
<v Speaker 1>borders has operated while they have complaints about doctors without borders,

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:56.439
<v Speaker 1>are like, it's good that there's more doctors here. We

0:17:56.560 --> 0:18:00.040
<v Speaker 1>fucking need them. Um. And you know, it's like you

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:02.840
<v Speaker 1>and h c R. Plenty of things to complain about

0:18:02.880 --> 0:18:05.879
<v Speaker 1>you and h c R. Every refugee camp I go to, Also,

0:18:05.960 --> 0:18:08.439
<v Speaker 1>people have fucking water filters, intins and ship because of

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:10.520
<v Speaker 1>U N h c R, which isn't nothing. It's a

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:12.680
<v Speaker 1>damn site more than nothing, and it's a damn site

0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:15.800
<v Speaker 1>more than any of these long term motherfucker's are doing

0:18:15.840 --> 0:18:19.400
<v Speaker 1>for people who are I don't know, displaced by war. Yeah,

0:18:19.480 --> 0:18:23.080
<v Speaker 1>And it's like some of the things that they're doing

0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:25.320
<v Speaker 1>is like, this is very strange kind of attempts to

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:29.000
<v Speaker 1>calculate and create markets for human life and human suffering, right,

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:31.480
<v Speaker 1>which you see a lot if you were like, I've

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:35.360
<v Speaker 1>worked in nonprofit, I've worked in in disaster response. I've

0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:37.520
<v Speaker 1>seen some of these things on the ground and it

0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:41.640
<v Speaker 1>it you see these bizarre fucking decisions being made by

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:44.040
<v Speaker 1>by someone in an office who is likely never been

0:18:44.119 --> 0:18:47.959
<v Speaker 1>on the ground of these situations, and it inevitably results

0:18:48.240 --> 0:18:52.000
<v Speaker 1>in it's within these big organizations at the Red Cross

0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:55.639
<v Speaker 1>and MSF but also on a governmental level, right with

0:18:55.680 --> 0:18:58.520
<v Speaker 1>people not having the autonomy to respond in a situation

0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:01.200
<v Speaker 1>to reduce human suffering. And it's dead to be told

0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:03.560
<v Speaker 1>to do something which is supposedly evidence based based on

0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:05.800
<v Speaker 1>someone who's looked at the wrong criteria and come to

0:19:05.840 --> 0:19:09.800
<v Speaker 1>the wrong conclusion hundreds of miles away. And it's us.

0:19:10.359 --> 0:19:12.560
<v Speaker 1>It's bureaucrats, right, And it's like we we've we've, we've

0:19:12.560 --> 0:19:15.080
<v Speaker 1>we've we've somehow managed to create like the absolute worst

0:19:15.080 --> 0:19:17.800
<v Speaker 1>possible night mirror system of you have a bunch of

0:19:17.800 --> 0:19:20.399
<v Speaker 1>government bureaucrats and then you also have a bunch of

0:19:20.440 --> 0:19:22.959
<v Speaker 1>sort of privates that we have. We have like different

0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:26.320
<v Speaker 1>we're watching a collision of different kinds of private sector

0:19:26.359 --> 0:19:28.959
<v Speaker 1>bureaucrats like you have, you have your sort of engeo

0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:30.680
<v Speaker 1>bureaucrats you have, and then you know, and then you

0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:33.640
<v Speaker 1>have these billionaires who are also just fucking bureaucrats, and

0:19:33.760 --> 0:19:35.960
<v Speaker 1>all of them are just doing box ticking, and we

0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:41.280
<v Speaker 1>get like just the absolute worst nightmare fusion of horrible

0:19:41.280 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 1>bureaucracy and capitalism, which is a great way to run

0:19:44.920 --> 0:19:48.720
<v Speaker 1>programs to have people not die, And like so much

0:19:48.760 --> 0:19:51.399
<v Speaker 1>of this comes from what that the whole like free economics.

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:53.000
<v Speaker 1>Thing to me strikes me as like we didn't, like

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:55.399
<v Speaker 1>you said, reading the Wikipedia active about subject and then

0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:57.119
<v Speaker 1>applying trying to find out why you can apply a

0:19:57.119 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 1>market to it, and then posting that as a solution.

0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 1>Stuff we have. The episodes were dropping on bastards well

0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:05.320
<v Speaker 1>the week before this episode will air, are about like

0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:06.919
<v Speaker 1>why the rent is so damn high? And one of

0:20:06.920 --> 0:20:09.639
<v Speaker 1>the complaints I have is that there's a specific class

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:12.120
<v Speaker 1>of media people who the only answer they will accept

0:20:12.240 --> 0:20:16.160
<v Speaker 1>is because, uh, there's not enough multi family zoning, which

0:20:16.240 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 1>is just a part of why the rent is so

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:22.159
<v Speaker 1>damn high. And reducing it to just that ignores um,

0:20:22.200 --> 0:20:26.200
<v Speaker 1>the price fixing software that tens of millions of Americans, Uh,

0:20:26.359 --> 0:20:30.520
<v Speaker 1>like landlords use um. It ignores shit like Airbnb. It

0:20:30.600 --> 0:20:33.879
<v Speaker 1>ignores like the fucking problems in the construction industry, the

0:20:33.960 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 1>lingering effects of the two thousand eight crash. It's very frustrating,

0:20:37.600 --> 0:20:40.159
<v Speaker 1>and it's the these kind of like freakonomics guys like

0:20:40.200 --> 0:20:43.160
<v Speaker 1>to do the same thing, like the fucking freakonomics student.

0:20:43.119 --> 0:20:45.640
<v Speaker 1>In particular, one of the things he got famous for

0:20:45.800 --> 0:20:48.879
<v Speaker 1>is being like, uh, you know, the dropping crime in

0:20:48.920 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 1>the nineties, this unprecedented fallen crime was due to abortion,

0:20:51.760 --> 0:20:55.320
<v Speaker 1>which zero I will say again zero people who are

0:20:55.359 --> 0:20:57.960
<v Speaker 1>experts on the topic of crime in America agree with.

0:20:58.200 --> 0:21:00.119
<v Speaker 1>What they will say is actually there's a ship out

0:21:00.160 --> 0:21:02.399
<v Speaker 1>of different things that contributed to the declining crime, and

0:21:02.440 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 1>there's a good chance that abortion had an impact. A

0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 1>bigger impact was probably getting the lead out of like

0:21:08.320 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 1>reducing environmental let although that gets overstated too. There's all

0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 1>sorts of different ship including like air conditioning, just the

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:17.160
<v Speaker 1>fact that like, yeah, now more people have air conditioning.

0:21:17.160 --> 0:21:19.280
<v Speaker 1>And guess when violence is highest in the summer, when

0:21:19.280 --> 0:21:22.320
<v Speaker 1>people are stuck around each other outside and like all

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:26.159
<v Speaker 1>sorts of computer games. People because something else to do.

0:21:26.359 --> 0:21:28.080
<v Speaker 1>But it's it you want to if you're gonna be

0:21:28.119 --> 0:21:29.800
<v Speaker 1>doing the kind of like if you're gonna be doing

0:21:30.080 --> 0:21:36.200
<v Speaker 1>ted talk fucking uh public works philosophy, then it helps

0:21:36.240 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 1>to just be able to like make one big Malcolm

0:21:38.800 --> 0:21:41.960
<v Speaker 1>Gladwell style fucking reveal. Anyway, that's how all these people

0:21:42.000 --> 0:21:45.040
<v Speaker 1>exist and how all of their morality is informed. After

0:21:45.119 --> 0:21:49.280
<v Speaker 1>two thousand thirteen, Friedman is kind of like followed up

0:21:49.280 --> 0:21:52.240
<v Speaker 1>by this guy named William mccaskell, who was currently the

0:21:52.400 --> 0:21:56.399
<v Speaker 1>he's a Scottish philosopher um, which god, it's easy to

0:21:56.440 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 1>get called a philosopher these days. Um. And he is

0:22:00.840 --> 0:22:03.920
<v Speaker 1>he is a personal friend of Elon Musk. When must

0:22:04.119 --> 0:22:06.679
<v Speaker 1>text messages got released as part of that court filing,

0:22:06.920 --> 0:22:10.000
<v Speaker 1>some of them were with McCaskill um, who was considering

0:22:10.040 --> 0:22:12.480
<v Speaker 1>like putting a bunch of money into buying Twitter. They

0:22:13.119 --> 0:22:16.399
<v Speaker 1>ultimately decided not to, I think, because they just like

0:22:16.440 --> 0:22:18.600
<v Speaker 1>it seems like McCaskill just didn't trust that Musk had

0:22:18.600 --> 0:22:20.719
<v Speaker 1>any sort of planned So he is, I will say this,

0:22:21.160 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 1>not an idiot, um, but he's wrong in ways that

0:22:25.359 --> 0:22:27.440
<v Speaker 1>are are deeply fucked up. And he wrote a book

0:22:27.440 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 1>that is currently a bestseller. It was published in August,

0:22:30.320 --> 0:22:34.040
<v Speaker 1>called What We Owe the Future. And the gist of

0:22:34.080 --> 0:22:36.840
<v Speaker 1>this is that like it's merging this kind of effective

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:40.080
<v Speaker 1>altruism with what's called long termism, which is this argument

0:22:40.119 --> 0:22:44.880
<v Speaker 1>that morally we have to consider the impact of our

0:22:44.920 --> 0:22:47.800
<v Speaker 1>actions as not just on people alive today but in

0:22:47.880 --> 0:22:51.600
<v Speaker 1>future people, which is fine. There's actually a lot to

0:22:51.800 --> 0:22:54.199
<v Speaker 1>that idea, but the way it always works out is

0:22:54.320 --> 0:22:57.480
<v Speaker 1>we can't pay attention to problems that people are suffering now.

0:22:57.520 --> 0:23:00.359
<v Speaker 1>We have to we have to work on giving the

0:23:00.359 --> 0:23:03.560
<v Speaker 1>world from these bigger problems. Um. And again it's almost

0:23:03.800 --> 0:23:06.199
<v Speaker 1>it's almost exclusively used as an argument for guys like

0:23:06.280 --> 0:23:09.720
<v Speaker 1>Musk to like, well, we shouldn't tax billionaires out of

0:23:09.760 --> 0:23:12.719
<v Speaker 1>existence because I you know, I see this that with

0:23:12.800 --> 0:23:15.280
<v Speaker 1>clarity the problems that we face, and the long term

0:23:15.320 --> 0:23:17.679
<v Speaker 1>solution is for me to be able to push for

0:23:17.720 --> 0:23:19.600
<v Speaker 1>these specific things that I think are the only way

0:23:19.640 --> 0:23:22.240
<v Speaker 1>to save humanity. Right. I'm getting ahead of myself a

0:23:22.240 --> 0:23:25.920
<v Speaker 1>little bit here. Let's talk about mccaskell again. Um, when

0:23:25.960 --> 0:23:28.919
<v Speaker 1>he was at Oxford. He's an Oxford boy, James h.

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:33.400
<v Speaker 1>Look at we've had in Banngus. Yeah. Uh. He started

0:23:33.400 --> 0:23:36.640
<v Speaker 1>a group called Giving what we Can in two thousand nine. Uh,

0:23:36.640 --> 0:23:38.720
<v Speaker 1>and members were supposed to give away ten percent of

0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:41.960
<v Speaker 1>what they earned to the most cost effective charities possible,

0:23:42.240 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 1>which is fine, there's nothing wrong with that idea basically,

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:47.639
<v Speaker 1>and it was like a supposed to be basically a

0:23:47.680 --> 0:23:50.000
<v Speaker 1>lifelong promise that like, you know, we're all because you

0:23:50.040 --> 0:23:51.960
<v Speaker 1>assume Oxford people, a lot of them are gonna wind

0:23:52.000 --> 0:23:54.880
<v Speaker 1>up making very good money. You know, as we move

0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:57.000
<v Speaker 1>into our careers, this will be a more and more

0:23:57.040 --> 0:24:03.360
<v Speaker 1>influential kind of giving um, but yeah, dropped the board.

0:24:03.359 --> 0:24:07.439
<v Speaker 1>If they'd had me there, Yeah, those meetings might have

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:13.440
<v Speaker 1>gone a little bit different. Yeah. Over time, though, he's

0:24:13.520 --> 0:24:16.359
<v Speaker 1>kind of moved into he's merged this and and again

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:19.240
<v Speaker 1>the whole effective altruism movement. A lot of it does

0:24:19.359 --> 0:24:23.040
<v Speaker 1>start reasonably with people being like, are these charities were

0:24:23.040 --> 0:24:26.160
<v Speaker 1>donating to working? How can we make sure they're effective?

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:29.680
<v Speaker 1>Like what can we do to make giving um work better?

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Which is again perfectly fine, but very quickly gets married

0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:36.359
<v Speaker 1>to this kind of long termist thinking um and they

0:24:36.480 --> 0:24:40.200
<v Speaker 1>focus instead of stuff like, for example, funding hospitals, stuff

0:24:40.240 --> 0:24:43.879
<v Speaker 1>like preventing an artificial intelligence from killing everybody, or like

0:24:44.240 --> 0:24:47.639
<v Speaker 1>sending people to distant planets, which are like cool and

0:24:47.720 --> 0:24:50.840
<v Speaker 1>sci fi and everything, but also deeply unrealistic. I'll say

0:24:50.840 --> 0:24:53.199
<v Speaker 1>it right now. Our our threat is not that an

0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:55.760
<v Speaker 1>AI kills us all. There's certainly a threat that different

0:24:55.840 --> 0:24:59.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of artificial intelligences are used by authoritarians to make

0:24:59.160 --> 0:25:01.840
<v Speaker 1>life worse for every But by the way, Peter Teal

0:25:01.960 --> 0:25:05.160
<v Speaker 1>is a big back or of effective altruism. He's one

0:25:05.160 --> 0:25:08.600
<v Speaker 1>of the people building that fucking AI. This is the

0:25:08.680 --> 0:25:11.240
<v Speaker 1>guy who wrote that thing about earning to give right

0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:13.439
<v Speaker 1>like that. He was like, this is the guy who

0:25:13.520 --> 0:25:17.120
<v Speaker 1>did that. Yeah, okay, I'm familiar promise to never take

0:25:17.200 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>more than thirty one dollars or something and then come

0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:22.840
<v Speaker 1>over the course of a year in his life and

0:25:23.480 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 1>give charity. He gives all his book profits to charity,

0:25:27.080 --> 0:25:30.120
<v Speaker 1>but he also runs an organization that is spending more

0:25:30.160 --> 0:25:32.680
<v Speaker 1>and more on keeping its people comfortable because I guess

0:25:32.680 --> 0:25:35.159
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't have the money personally to spend anyway. I

0:25:35.240 --> 0:25:38.399
<v Speaker 1>think there's some sketchy ship there. Yeah, this whole idea,

0:25:38.520 --> 0:25:40.720
<v Speaker 1>and I'm sure we're gonna get today, right like, it

0:25:41.720 --> 0:25:46.399
<v Speaker 1>completely overlooks our obligation morally to agitate for structural change,

0:25:46.640 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 1>right like. It says like, if you can become a

0:25:49.760 --> 0:25:53.880
<v Speaker 1>billionaire through whatever bullshit, evil, fucking exploitative grift you can

0:25:54.080 --> 0:25:57.600
<v Speaker 1>and then give nine of that away, you're still perpetuating

0:25:57.600 --> 0:26:00.800
<v Speaker 1>a system in which one grift gets rich and thousands

0:26:00.800 --> 0:26:04.200
<v Speaker 1>of people die without fucking clean water. But that's okay

0:26:04.240 --> 0:26:06.840
<v Speaker 1>because you also donated some water filters or whatever like,

0:26:06.880 --> 0:26:11.440
<v Speaker 1>And it's not okay, And it makes me very angry. Actually, yeah, yeah,

0:26:11.480 --> 0:26:13.160
<v Speaker 1>it makes me angry too. And it's one of those

0:26:13.200 --> 0:26:15.440
<v Speaker 1>things if you look at like, here's all the charities

0:26:15.480 --> 0:26:18.119
<v Speaker 1>that mccaskell and his organization are putting hundreds of millions

0:26:18.119 --> 0:26:20.680
<v Speaker 1>dollars of dollars into. They're not all bad. A lot

0:26:20.720 --> 0:26:22.679
<v Speaker 1>of them are good, and I'm glad that money is

0:26:22.680 --> 0:26:26.320
<v Speaker 1>going there, But there's always this strain of deeply unsettling

0:26:26.359 --> 0:26:28.080
<v Speaker 1>logic running through it. Now, I want to quote from

0:26:28.080 --> 0:26:30.879
<v Speaker 1>a Time article that I think kind of gets in

0:26:30.920 --> 0:26:34.000
<v Speaker 1>a very subtle way, has this guy's number When I

0:26:34.040 --> 0:26:36.480
<v Speaker 1>start thinking in practice, if you've got if you've got

0:26:36.520 --> 0:26:38.480
<v Speaker 1>some things that look robustly good in both the short

0:26:38.520 --> 0:26:40.359
<v Speaker 1>and the long term, that definitely makes you feel a

0:26:40.359 --> 0:26:42.240
<v Speaker 1>lot better about something that is only good from a

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:45.120
<v Speaker 1>very long term perspective, he says. This year, for example,

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:48.200
<v Speaker 1>he personally donated to the Let Exposure Elimination Project, which

0:26:48.240 --> 0:26:51.080
<v Speaker 1>aims to in childhood let exposure, and the Atlas Fellowship,

0:26:51.240 --> 0:26:53.760
<v Speaker 1>which supports talented high school students around the world to

0:26:53.760 --> 0:26:56.880
<v Speaker 1>work on pressing problems. Not all issues are equally tractable,

0:26:56.880 --> 0:26:59.000
<v Speaker 1>but mccaskell still cares about a range. When we met

0:26:59.040 --> 0:27:01.960
<v Speaker 1>An Oxford, he expressed concerned for the ongoing political crisis

0:27:01.960 --> 0:27:05.040
<v Speaker 1>in Sri Lanka, though admitted he probably wouldn't tweet about it.

0:27:05.400 --> 0:27:07.840
<v Speaker 1>The answer, he believes, is to be honest about it.

0:27:07.960 --> 0:27:11.040
<v Speaker 1>In philanthropy, big donors typically choose causes based on their

0:27:11.040 --> 0:27:15.280
<v Speaker 1>personal passions and ultra subjectivist approach. Mccaskell says, where everything

0:27:15.320 --> 0:27:18.000
<v Speaker 1>is seemingly justifiable on the basis of doing some good,

0:27:18.240 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't think that's tenable. If you can save someone

0:27:20.520 --> 0:27:23.000
<v Speaker 1>from drowning or ten people from dying in a burning building,

0:27:23.240 --> 0:27:25.399
<v Speaker 1>what should you do, he proposes, it is not a

0:27:25.440 --> 0:27:29.240
<v Speaker 1>morally appropriate response to say, well, I'm particularly passionate about drowning,

0:27:29.240 --> 0:27:31.520
<v Speaker 1>so I'm going to save one person from drowning rather

0:27:31.560 --> 0:27:33.720
<v Speaker 1>than the ten people from burning. And that's exactly the

0:27:33.760 --> 0:27:36.880
<v Speaker 1>situation we find ourselves in. And like, no, it is not.

0:27:37.240 --> 0:27:39.639
<v Speaker 1>That is nonsense because, among other things, if you're a

0:27:39.720 --> 0:27:43.280
<v Speaker 1>random person, uh, and you have a choice between saving

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:45.720
<v Speaker 1>someone from drowning or ten people from dying in a

0:27:45.760 --> 0:27:49.600
<v Speaker 1>burning building, well you actually probably don't because saving people

0:27:49.600 --> 0:27:52.600
<v Speaker 1>from drowning is a really difficult technical skill, which is

0:27:52.600 --> 0:27:55.400
<v Speaker 1>why people usually die when they try to rescue whether

0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:58.679
<v Speaker 1>folks who were drowning. Yeah, the guy, the creator of

0:27:58.800 --> 0:28:03.359
<v Speaker 1>Hugio die from drowning it's really hard and dangerous, and

0:28:03.400 --> 0:28:06.480
<v Speaker 1>also so is rescuing people from a burning building, which

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:09.040
<v Speaker 1>is why we have firefighters. And guess what, a lot

0:28:09.080 --> 0:28:11.560
<v Speaker 1>of firefighters may not be very good at saving people

0:28:11.560 --> 0:28:13.840
<v Speaker 1>from drowning because they have not trained for that. There

0:28:13.880 --> 0:28:17.400
<v Speaker 1>are different skills, and these are both problems, but they're

0:28:17.440 --> 0:28:20.840
<v Speaker 1>different skills. But what have you instead spend that time

0:28:21.119 --> 0:28:24.120
<v Speaker 1>buying some testlas dogs and then sold them and instead

0:28:24.160 --> 0:28:26.159
<v Speaker 1>invested in h I don't know, I find something that

0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:29.600
<v Speaker 1>stops water from from drowning people. Like none of the

0:28:29.680 --> 0:28:32.880
<v Speaker 1>problems we have are are none of the problems I'm

0:28:32.920 --> 0:28:35.560
<v Speaker 1>going to say right now, zero percent of the problems

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:37.560
<v Speaker 1>we have are the result of some sort of like

0:28:38.360 --> 0:28:42.200
<v Speaker 1>lifeguard firefighter standing in between a burning building and like

0:28:42.240 --> 0:28:46.520
<v Speaker 1>a yacht race gone wrong and going oh god, noah.

0:28:46.520 --> 0:28:48.400
<v Speaker 1>It's like the trade he's doing the trolley problem, like

0:28:48.640 --> 0:29:01.960
<v Speaker 1>he's he's just he's trying to do the Troy problem.

0:29:02.000 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 1>It's funny that you talked about Sri Lanka too, because

0:29:03.880 --> 0:29:05.840
<v Speaker 1>it's like this is the perfect example. This is the

0:29:05.840 --> 0:29:09.080
<v Speaker 1>perfect example of a political crisis that is like completely

0:29:09.120 --> 0:29:12.480
<v Speaker 1>intractable to all of these like no, no, no, no,

0:29:12.520 --> 0:29:15.160
<v Speaker 1>one of these people donating the charities can like do

0:29:15.280 --> 0:29:18.080
<v Speaker 1>literally anything about that, because that's actually you know, like this,

0:29:18.520 --> 0:29:20.920
<v Speaker 1>like the crisis of Sri Lanka is a is a

0:29:21.080 --> 0:29:23.600
<v Speaker 1>is a both both is it like it is, but

0:29:23.680 --> 0:29:26.360
<v Speaker 1>it is both a sort of short term crisis of

0:29:26.440 --> 0:29:30.480
<v Speaker 1>this like you know, like utterly horrific genocidal political elites,

0:29:30.520 --> 0:29:32.440
<v Speaker 1>and then also a sort of long term crisis about

0:29:32.480 --> 0:29:35.800
<v Speaker 1>like the sort of structural position of like specimcific countries

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 1>and sort of the global colonial system. This is not

0:29:38.880 --> 0:29:40.600
<v Speaker 1>something any of these people can solve. The only the

0:29:40.640 --> 0:29:42.400
<v Speaker 1>only thing, the only way any of these people could

0:29:42.400 --> 0:29:44.440
<v Speaker 1>solve this is if people of Sri Lanka like just

0:29:44.520 --> 0:29:48.640
<v Speaker 1>expropriated them. But you know, but he but because because

0:29:48.680 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 1>because because these people like because Sri Lankas do not

0:29:51.520 --> 0:29:54.720
<v Speaker 1>have access to this guy and like six guns, right,

0:29:54.960 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 1>there's no there's no way, you know, he can just

0:29:57.440 --> 0:29:59.440
<v Speaker 1>sort of sit there in his chair going, well, it's

0:29:59.440 --> 0:30:01.840
<v Speaker 1>a crisis, us, I'm gonna tweet about it. I'm not

0:30:01.880 --> 0:30:05.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna tweet about it. Yeah, I was. I was simply

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:08.480
<v Speaker 1>talked to newspapers about in tweeting. What what I would

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:11.640
<v Speaker 1>say is that like here's the actual solution to the

0:30:11.720 --> 0:30:14.560
<v Speaker 1>stupid problem this guy came up with, Well, if we

0:30:14.560 --> 0:30:16.720
<v Speaker 1>were to tax all of the billionaires to the point

0:30:16.760 --> 0:30:19.280
<v Speaker 1>that they weren't billionaires and then put that into a

0:30:19.320 --> 0:30:23.120
<v Speaker 1>massive new like works progress fund that, instead of like

0:30:23.280 --> 0:30:27.840
<v Speaker 1>just building national parks, provided like rental assistance to millions

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:30.000
<v Speaker 1>of Americans in exchange for them learning how to fight

0:30:30.080 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 1>fires and getting basic life gave it saving care and

0:30:32.680 --> 0:30:35.760
<v Speaker 1>getting trained in things, um like that, so that they

0:30:35.800 --> 0:30:38.520
<v Speaker 1>could deal with the consequences of climate change and be

0:30:38.560 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 1>able to protect their communities effectively, and be incentivized to

0:30:42.080 --> 0:30:44.280
<v Speaker 1>gain the actual technical skills that would allow them to

0:30:44.280 --> 0:30:47.400
<v Speaker 1>protect people. Well, then you would have more people capable

0:30:47.400 --> 0:30:49.760
<v Speaker 1>of saving someone from a burning building or from drowning.

0:30:50.040 --> 0:30:54.720
<v Speaker 1>Um but anyway, whatever, that's that's that's my that's my

0:30:54.880 --> 0:30:58.640
<v Speaker 1>pie in the sky. Leftist solution to that is use

0:30:58.920 --> 0:31:02.800
<v Speaker 1>funds taken from rich in order to incentivize people to

0:31:03.160 --> 0:31:05.560
<v Speaker 1>gain the skills that will allow them to protect their

0:31:05.560 --> 0:31:10.520
<v Speaker 1>communities in the event of disasters. Um anyway, whatever. Uh So,

0:31:10.720 --> 0:31:13.480
<v Speaker 1>Over the last decade, all of this thinking has increasingly

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:16.720
<v Speaker 1>given way from a wonky theory on charitable giving by bighearted,

0:31:16.720 --> 0:31:19.160
<v Speaker 1>guilt ridden millennial kids and that's that's how this guy

0:31:19.360 --> 0:31:22.080
<v Speaker 1>has always framed in articles, McCaskill as he's like, in fact,

0:31:22.080 --> 0:31:24.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna fucking I'm gonna scroll down here to my

0:31:24.320 --> 0:31:26.160
<v Speaker 1>notes and I'm gonna find the section of the article

0:31:26.160 --> 0:31:28.560
<v Speaker 1>to like show you the way he gets fucking talked

0:31:28.560 --> 0:31:31.280
<v Speaker 1>about in all of these quote. Thirteen years ago, William

0:31:31.320 --> 0:31:34.320
<v Speaker 1>McCaskill found himself standing in the aisle of a grocery store,

0:31:34.560 --> 0:31:37.640
<v Speaker 1>agonizing over which breakfast cereal to buy. If he switched

0:31:37.640 --> 0:31:39.520
<v Speaker 1>to a cheaper brand for a year, could he put

0:31:39.560 --> 0:31:45.400
<v Speaker 1>aside enough money to save someone's life? Like that's the yeah,

0:31:45.400 --> 0:31:47.200
<v Speaker 1>that's sort of like that you have where your engagement

0:31:47.200 --> 0:31:51.160
<v Speaker 1>with global poverty is in the fucking cheerios aisle exactly exactly.

0:31:53.520 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 1>And then yeah, of weight Rose in Oxford, I'm sure like, no, funk, sorry,

0:31:58.160 --> 0:32:01.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm so fucking angry at this, and it's it's clearly,

0:32:01.720 --> 0:32:03.800
<v Speaker 1>very clearly I can see that this is going towards

0:32:03.800 --> 0:32:06.520
<v Speaker 1>an excuse for incredibly wealthy people paying funk all in

0:32:06.600 --> 0:32:08.960
<v Speaker 1>taxes because they claim that it's not an efficient way

0:32:09.000 --> 0:32:12.760
<v Speaker 1>to do things, and they completely ignore all these structural

0:32:12.880 --> 0:32:15.840
<v Speaker 1>things which have to exist for their effective altruism to

0:32:15.880 --> 0:32:20.520
<v Speaker 1>occur in the first place, right, Yeah, it's um. Anyway,

0:32:20.600 --> 0:32:23.520
<v Speaker 1>this is effectively like over the years given away from

0:32:23.560 --> 0:32:26.560
<v Speaker 1>this again kind of this wonky theory by guilty millennial

0:32:26.600 --> 0:32:29.560
<v Speaker 1>kids to this pop philosophy for the fintech set, because

0:32:29.840 --> 0:32:32.320
<v Speaker 1>that's how these guilt written millennial kids wound up making

0:32:32.360 --> 0:32:35.640
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of money. Um. And yeah, that time article

0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:38.880
<v Speaker 1>gives like, I just want to read another quote from

0:32:38.880 --> 0:32:41.320
<v Speaker 1>it about one of the other guys who's involved in

0:32:41.320 --> 0:32:45.880
<v Speaker 1>putting a lot of money into McCaskill's organization. Quote. Mr

0:32:46.120 --> 0:32:49.280
<v Speaker 1>Mr Bankman Freed makes his donations through the ft X Foundation,

0:32:49.280 --> 0:32:51.120
<v Speaker 1>which is given away a hundred and forty million, of

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:53.360
<v Speaker 1>which ninety million has gone through the group's future fund

0:32:53.440 --> 0:32:56.760
<v Speaker 1>towards long term causes. Mr McCaskill and Mr Bankman Fried's

0:32:56.800 --> 0:32:59.600
<v Speaker 1>relationship is an important piece and understanding the community's evolution

0:32:59.640 --> 0:33:01.520
<v Speaker 1>in the reason years. The two men first met in

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:03.560
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and twelve when Mr Bankman Freed was a

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:07.080
<v Speaker 1>student at m I T with an interest in utilitarian philosophy.

0:33:07.160 --> 0:33:09.480
<v Speaker 1>Over lunch, Mr Bankman Freed said that he was interested

0:33:09.520 --> 0:33:13.320
<v Speaker 1>in working she related to animal welfare. Mr McCaskill suggested

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:15.520
<v Speaker 1>he might do more good by entering a high earning

0:33:15.560 --> 0:33:18.320
<v Speaker 1>field and donating money to the cause and by working

0:33:18.320 --> 0:33:21.560
<v Speaker 1>for it directly. Mr Bankman Freed contacted the Humane League

0:33:21.560 --> 0:33:23.640
<v Speaker 1>and other charities, asking if they would prefer his time

0:33:23.760 --> 0:33:26.239
<v Speaker 1>or donations based on his expected earnings if he went

0:33:26.280 --> 0:33:28.640
<v Speaker 1>to work in tech our finance. They opted for the money,

0:33:28.640 --> 0:33:31.640
<v Speaker 1>and he embarked on a remunerative career, eventually founding the

0:33:31.680 --> 0:33:40.600
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency exchange. First off, that guy absolutely did not call

0:33:40.640 --> 0:33:43.160
<v Speaker 1>any charities. Um. Sorry, this was a four. This was

0:33:43.200 --> 0:33:46.320
<v Speaker 1>from the Forbes article I used, not the Time article. Um.

0:33:46.360 --> 0:33:49.560
<v Speaker 1>First off, I don't believe that he but if he did,

0:33:49.560 --> 0:33:52.400
<v Speaker 1>it was something like, Hey, I don't have any skills

0:33:52.600 --> 0:33:54.640
<v Speaker 1>or training. Do you want money or do you want

0:33:54.680 --> 0:33:56.960
<v Speaker 1>me to volunteer? And they were like who then is this? Kids? Like,

0:33:57.000 --> 0:33:59.560
<v Speaker 1>we don't. We don't need another asshole wandering around here

0:33:59.600 --> 0:34:04.040
<v Speaker 1>trying to touch the cats. Um, send us to a check. Yeah.

0:34:04.160 --> 0:34:06.840
<v Speaker 1>And so instead of I don't know, getting trained as

0:34:06.880 --> 0:34:09.040
<v Speaker 1>a vet tech or something where he would actually be

0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:12.319
<v Speaker 1>able to help animals, he founded a cryptocurrency exchange and

0:34:12.360 --> 0:34:14.840
<v Speaker 1>contributed to the burning of massive amounts of carbon that

0:34:14.840 --> 0:34:18.120
<v Speaker 1>will contribute to mass deforestation and the deaths of animals

0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:20.760
<v Speaker 1>around the world. That's good. I think that there's another

0:34:20.800 --> 0:34:22.960
<v Speaker 1>aspect of this which I think is sort of under explored,

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:26.080
<v Speaker 1>which is that utilitarianism is genuinely one of the greatest

0:34:26.080 --> 0:34:29.600
<v Speaker 1>evils humanity has ever created, every every bad decision anyone

0:34:29.600 --> 0:34:31.440
<v Speaker 1>has ever made. If you look behind it, you can

0:34:31.480 --> 0:34:33.680
<v Speaker 1>find your guilitarian is like, it's the basis of the

0:34:33.680 --> 0:34:39.080
<v Speaker 1>basis of all economics. It's horrible everything in the world.

0:34:41.120 --> 0:34:43.440
<v Speaker 1>It is an engine that allows rich people to feel

0:34:43.480 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 1>good about hurting poor people. That's that's what it is.

0:34:46.239 --> 0:34:48.240
<v Speaker 1>But and that's what I think this all makes clear.

0:34:48.600 --> 0:34:51.759
<v Speaker 1>So the actual rhetoric from these people is always likes,

0:34:51.960 --> 0:34:53.640
<v Speaker 1>especially if you're just kind of encountering it out in

0:34:53.640 --> 0:34:55.400
<v Speaker 1>the wild. It's hard to argue with a lot of

0:34:55.440 --> 0:34:57.160
<v Speaker 1>the time because they'll be like, well, look, we need

0:34:57.200 --> 0:34:58.880
<v Speaker 1>to look at what's going to help the most people,

0:34:58.920 --> 0:35:01.000
<v Speaker 1>and that's why we're you know, setting up None of

0:35:01.000 --> 0:35:03.000
<v Speaker 1>this matters if we don't deal with this problem or

0:35:03.040 --> 0:35:07.239
<v Speaker 1>that problem. And it's it's Taylor made to sound profound

0:35:07.280 --> 0:35:09.240
<v Speaker 1>and again and like a Ted talk or the website

0:35:09.239 --> 0:35:11.759
<v Speaker 1>for some charitable giving organization aimed at getting you to

0:35:11.840 --> 0:35:14.239
<v Speaker 1>like put ten percent of your income to long term

0:35:14.239 --> 0:35:17.520
<v Speaker 1>mist causes. But again, the funked up ship crusts kind

0:35:17.560 --> 0:35:19.880
<v Speaker 1>of around the edges for the most part, in lines

0:35:19.960 --> 0:35:22.960
<v Speaker 1>like these from a time profile on the Castle. The

0:35:23.000 --> 0:35:26.160
<v Speaker 1>first public protest against African American slavery was the six

0:35:26.440 --> 0:35:30.160
<v Speaker 1>eighty eight Germantown Quaker petition Slavery or was only Yeah,

0:35:30.239 --> 0:35:33.240
<v Speaker 1>slavery was only abolished in the British Empire in eighteen thirty,

0:35:33.280 --> 0:35:35.920
<v Speaker 1>three decades later in the US, and not until nineteen

0:35:36.000 --> 0:35:39.560
<v Speaker 1>sixty two in Saudi Arabia. History encourages mccaskell to favor

0:35:39.560 --> 0:35:43.120
<v Speaker 1>gradual progress, So for revolution abolition, he says, is maybe

0:35:43.120 --> 0:35:45.400
<v Speaker 1>the single best moral change ever. It's certainly up there

0:35:45.440 --> 0:35:48.560
<v Speaker 1>with feminism, and they're extremely incremental. They don't seem that

0:35:48.600 --> 0:35:50.840
<v Speaker 1>way because we enormously shrink the past. But it's almost

0:35:50.840 --> 0:35:54.239
<v Speaker 1>three hundred years we're talking about. Um. That wasn't the

0:35:54.239 --> 0:35:56.640
<v Speaker 1>result of incremental change. It was the result against the

0:35:56.640 --> 0:36:01.439
<v Speaker 1>people who owned slaves, fighting viciously against any attempts to slavery, Like, yeah,

0:36:01.840 --> 0:36:04.239
<v Speaker 1>it was a it was a battle. It was a

0:36:04.280 --> 0:36:07.000
<v Speaker 1>series of in fact, a series of revolutions in a

0:36:07.040 --> 0:36:10.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of cases, including like the Haitian Revolution and guys

0:36:10.280 --> 0:36:13.440
<v Speaker 1>like John Brown. There were a ship bleeding Kansas. There

0:36:13.440 --> 0:36:15.840
<v Speaker 1>were a shipload of people died fighting in order to

0:36:15.960 --> 0:36:19.480
<v Speaker 1>end slavery. Like, yeah, it's a civil war, dude, what

0:36:19.520 --> 0:36:23.280
<v Speaker 1>do you call that? That's not incremental? A million people

0:36:23.400 --> 0:36:25.719
<v Speaker 1>shot each other to death, you know, and it's it's

0:36:25.719 --> 0:36:27.200
<v Speaker 1>as far as we can talk about sort of income

0:36:27.239 --> 0:36:29.839
<v Speaker 1>with the progress. It's stuff like Okay, So the like

0:36:29.960 --> 0:36:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the slaves in Haiti freed themselves by means of revolution

0:36:32.680 --> 0:36:34.600
<v Speaker 1>and then sent a bunch of guns and weapons to

0:36:34.800 --> 0:36:37.399
<v Speaker 1>people in Latin America so that their armies could march

0:36:37.440 --> 0:36:42.160
<v Speaker 1>through Latin America and slavery. Like many revolutions had to

0:36:42.239 --> 0:36:45.560
<v Speaker 1>occur to end slavery because it was a powerful system

0:36:45.640 --> 0:36:48.200
<v Speaker 1>at the center of global capital that a lot of

0:36:48.360 --> 0:36:51.640
<v Speaker 1>entrenched and heavily arm interests were willing to die to maintain.

0:36:52.000 --> 0:36:56.000
<v Speaker 1>Which also is fun because I I I bet, I

0:36:56.080 --> 0:36:58.000
<v Speaker 1>bet if you look Throse, people supply chains, and this

0:36:58.040 --> 0:37:00.719
<v Speaker 1>is almost certainly true of Elon must supply Jay, like

0:37:01.239 --> 0:37:05.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, Okay, must supply chains. In China. You can

0:37:06.000 --> 0:37:08.600
<v Speaker 1>have some kind of debate as to whether the kinds

0:37:08.600 --> 0:37:10.920
<v Speaker 1>of forced labor you're going to be encountering our slavery

0:37:11.080 --> 0:37:13.920
<v Speaker 1>Like I I bet if you look to present the

0:37:13.960 --> 0:37:15.960
<v Speaker 1>people who are affective alters, you can find slavery in

0:37:15.960 --> 0:37:19.040
<v Speaker 1>their supply chains, and their arguments will be like, well,

0:37:19.160 --> 0:37:22.200
<v Speaker 1>I can't end slavery and must supply chain because I

0:37:22.280 --> 0:37:25.920
<v Speaker 1>guarantee it. They're in the tech industry and like, nobody

0:37:25.960 --> 0:37:28.920
<v Speaker 1>has a laptop or a smartphone without the use of

0:37:29.000 --> 0:37:32.600
<v Speaker 1>rare earth minerals that are like acquired via slavery. It's

0:37:32.640 --> 0:37:34.799
<v Speaker 1>it's the same thing if you're wearing clothes, you have

0:37:34.920 --> 0:37:37.920
<v Speaker 1>something that slavery was involved in. Because the garment industry,

0:37:38.160 --> 0:37:42.000
<v Speaker 1>slavery is literally inextricable from it. Like the company that

0:37:42.040 --> 0:37:45.120
<v Speaker 1>has tried the hardest to remove slavery from their from

0:37:45.160 --> 0:37:49.400
<v Speaker 1>their production line, Patagonia, UM still continually finds like, oh, no,

0:37:49.520 --> 0:37:54.239
<v Speaker 1>they're smart. Yeah they're pretty good. I'm going out, but yeah,

0:37:53.800 --> 0:37:56.120
<v Speaker 1>they put a load of money into that ship and

0:37:56.120 --> 0:38:01.160
<v Speaker 1>they still it is hard. Um. Anyway, um, I'm going

0:38:01.200 --> 0:38:04.080
<v Speaker 1>to read another fun quote from the Forbes article. Mr

0:38:04.120 --> 0:38:06.160
<v Speaker 1>Bankman Freed said he expected to give away the bulk

0:38:06.160 --> 0:38:08.319
<v Speaker 1>of his fortune in the next tender twenty years. If

0:38:08.320 --> 0:38:10.880
<v Speaker 1>you're worried about existential risks of a really bad pandemic,

0:38:10.920 --> 0:38:13.080
<v Speaker 1>you sort of can't stall on that. Mr Bankman Freed

0:38:13.120 --> 0:38:15.600
<v Speaker 1>said in an interview. That is how his text messages

0:38:15.600 --> 0:38:17.880
<v Speaker 1>popped up among hundreds of others sent to Mr Musk.

0:38:18.400 --> 0:38:21.279
<v Speaker 1>Mr Bankman Freed ultimately did not join Mr Musk's bid.

0:38:21.360 --> 0:38:23.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't know exactly what Elon's goals are going to

0:38:23.440 --> 0:38:25.720
<v Speaker 1>be with Twitter. Mr Bankman Freed said in an interview

0:38:25.880 --> 0:38:28.359
<v Speaker 1>there was a little bit of ambiguity there. He had

0:38:28.360 --> 0:38:30.719
<v Speaker 1>his hands full in the month that followed his cryptocurrency

0:38:30.760 --> 0:38:33.080
<v Speaker 1>prices crashed. The Twitter deal has been volatile in its

0:38:33.080 --> 0:38:35.200
<v Speaker 1>own way, with Mr Musk trying to back out before

0:38:35.239 --> 0:38:37.759
<v Speaker 1>recently announcing his intention to follow through that after all.

0:38:38.000 --> 0:38:41.200
<v Speaker 1>In August, Mr Musk retweeted Mr mccaskell's book announcement to

0:38:41.239 --> 0:38:44.080
<v Speaker 1>his hundred and eight million followers with the observation worth

0:38:44.120 --> 0:38:48.160
<v Speaker 1>reading this is a close match to my philosophy. So

0:38:50.120 --> 0:38:54.319
<v Speaker 1>that's that's kind of the surface of where we are now.

0:38:54.600 --> 0:38:57.960
<v Speaker 1>Um it is not. It doesn't quite get at all

0:38:58.000 --> 0:38:59.880
<v Speaker 1>of the things that are deeply fucked up. And for

0:39:00.040 --> 0:39:03.319
<v Speaker 1>that I wanted to quote from another article. UM, I

0:39:03.400 --> 0:39:06.960
<v Speaker 1>found an a on a e O N. It's an

0:39:07.040 --> 0:39:09.880
<v Speaker 1>essay by uh God, let make it the author here

0:39:09.880 --> 0:39:11.960
<v Speaker 1>because it's it's quite good about long term ASM. It's

0:39:11.960 --> 0:39:15.240
<v Speaker 1>an essay called against long termism by Emil P. Torres,

0:39:15.280 --> 0:39:19.960
<v Speaker 1>a phb candidate at a university in Hanover in Germany

0:39:20.200 --> 0:39:23.359
<v Speaker 1>uh Leibnitz Universitat. I don't know. I feel silly every

0:39:23.400 --> 0:39:25.400
<v Speaker 1>time I tried to say Germans, so I'm not going

0:39:25.440 --> 0:39:27.919
<v Speaker 1>to try that hard. But the article is very good

0:39:28.160 --> 0:39:31.800
<v Speaker 1>UM and it kind of gets at how this effective

0:39:31.840 --> 0:39:35.920
<v Speaker 1>altruism movement has merged with long term is um in

0:39:35.960 --> 0:39:40.719
<v Speaker 1>a way that specifically exists to buoy the interests of

0:39:40.840 --> 0:39:44.719
<v Speaker 1>wealthy authoritarians around the world. Quote. This has roots in

0:39:44.760 --> 0:39:47.359
<v Speaker 1>the work of Nick Bostrom, who founded the grandiosely named

0:39:47.400 --> 0:39:50.439
<v Speaker 1>Future of Humanity Institute f HI in two thousand five,

0:39:50.560 --> 0:39:53.640
<v Speaker 1>and Nick Bestead, a research associated FHI and a program

0:39:53.680 --> 0:39:56.840
<v Speaker 1>officer at Open Philanthropy. It has been defended most publicly

0:39:56.880 --> 0:39:59.400
<v Speaker 1>by the FHI philosopher Toby or, the author of the

0:39:59.400 --> 0:40:03.000
<v Speaker 1>precipice Existential Risk in the Future of Humanity. Long termism

0:40:03.080 --> 0:40:06.000
<v Speaker 1>is the primary research focus of both the Global Priorities

0:40:06.040 --> 0:40:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Institute and an f HI in linked organization directed by

0:40:09.239 --> 0:40:12.960
<v Speaker 1>Hillary Greeves, and the Forethought Foundation run by William mccaskell,

0:40:13.120 --> 0:40:15.759
<v Speaker 1>who also holds positions at f HI and g p I.

0:40:16.160 --> 0:40:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Adding to the tangle of titles, names, institutes and acronyms.

0:40:18.960 --> 0:40:21.120
<v Speaker 1>Long termism is one of the main cause areas of

0:40:21.160 --> 0:40:24.239
<v Speaker 1>the so called effective altruism movement, which was introduced by

0:40:24.360 --> 0:40:26.600
<v Speaker 1>ord In around two thousand even eleven and now boast

0:40:26.600 --> 0:40:29.319
<v Speaker 1>of having a mind boggling forty six billion dollars in

0:40:29.360 --> 0:40:32.560
<v Speaker 1>committed funding. It is difficult to overstate how influential long

0:40:32.640 --> 0:40:35.680
<v Speaker 1>termism has become. Karl Marx in eighteen forty five decluded

0:40:35.680 --> 0:40:38.160
<v Speaker 1>that the point of philosophy isn't merely to interpret the world,

0:40:38.200 --> 0:40:40.640
<v Speaker 1>but change it, and this is exactly what long termists

0:40:40.640 --> 0:40:43.839
<v Speaker 1>have been doing with extraordinary success. Consider that Elon Musk,

0:40:43.880 --> 0:40:46.759
<v Speaker 1>who is cited and endorsed Bostrom's work, has donated one

0:40:46.760 --> 0:40:49.799
<v Speaker 1>point five million dollars to FHI through its sister organization,

0:40:49.920 --> 0:40:53.120
<v Speaker 1>even more grandiosely named Future of Life Institute. This was

0:40:53.160 --> 0:40:56.600
<v Speaker 1>co founded by the multimillionaire tech entrepreneur Jean Tallinn, who

0:40:56.640 --> 0:40:59.200
<v Speaker 1>has i recently noted doesn't believe that climate change poses

0:40:59.200 --> 0:41:02.239
<v Speaker 1>an existential threat to humanity because of his adherence to

0:41:02.280 --> 0:41:06.320
<v Speaker 1>the long termist ideology. Meanwhile, the billionaire libertarian and Donald

0:41:06.320 --> 0:41:08.800
<v Speaker 1>Trump supporter Peter Teal, who once gave the keynote address

0:41:08.800 --> 0:41:11.719
<v Speaker 1>at an Effective Altruism conference, has donated large sums of

0:41:11.719 --> 0:41:15.040
<v Speaker 1>money to the Machine Intelligence Research Institute, whose mission is

0:41:15.080 --> 0:41:18.000
<v Speaker 1>to save in humanity from super intelligent machines and is

0:41:18.040 --> 0:41:21.600
<v Speaker 1>deeply intertwined with long termist values. Other organizations, such as

0:41:21.640 --> 0:41:24.040
<v Speaker 1>g p I and the Foe Thought Foundation are funding

0:41:24.120 --> 0:41:26.640
<v Speaker 1>essay contests and scholarships and an effort to draw young

0:41:26.680 --> 0:41:29.080
<v Speaker 1>people into the community. Well, it's an open secret of

0:41:29.120 --> 0:41:31.760
<v Speaker 1>the Washington d C Base Center for Security and Emergence

0:41:31.840 --> 0:41:34.880
<v Speaker 1>and Emerging Technologies c SET aims to place long term

0:41:34.880 --> 0:41:38.120
<v Speaker 1>mists within high level US government positions to shape national apology.

0:41:38.400 --> 0:41:41.279
<v Speaker 1>In fact, c SET was established by Jason Mathani, a

0:41:41.320 --> 0:41:43.400
<v Speaker 1>former research assistant and f HI who is now the

0:41:43.400 --> 0:41:46.239
<v Speaker 1>Deputy Assistant to US President Joe Biden for Technology and

0:41:46.320 --> 0:41:50.400
<v Speaker 1>National Security. Or himself has, astonishingly for a philosopher, advised

0:41:50.440 --> 0:41:53.359
<v Speaker 1>the World Health Organization, the World Bank, the World Economic Forum,

0:41:53.400 --> 0:41:56.720
<v Speaker 1>the U s National Intelligence Council, the UK Prime Minister's Office,

0:41:56.760 --> 0:41:59.240
<v Speaker 1>Cabinet Office, and Government Office for Science, and he recently

0:41:59.239 --> 0:42:02.000
<v Speaker 1>contributed to report from the Secretary General of the United

0:42:02.080 --> 0:42:05.520
<v Speaker 1>Nations that specifically mentions long term is um. The short

0:42:05.560 --> 0:42:08.800
<v Speaker 1>answer is that elevating the fulfillment of humanities supposed potential

0:42:08.800 --> 0:42:11.440
<v Speaker 1>above all else could not trivially increase the probability that

0:42:11.480 --> 0:42:14.680
<v Speaker 1>actual people those alive today in the near future suffer

0:42:14.719 --> 0:42:17.680
<v Speaker 1>extreme harms even death. Consider As I noted elsewhere, the

0:42:17.719 --> 0:42:20.640
<v Speaker 1>long termist ideology inclines its adherence to take an insusian

0:42:20.680 --> 0:42:24.239
<v Speaker 1>attitude towards climate change. Why because even if climate change

0:42:24.239 --> 0:42:27.200
<v Speaker 1>causes island nations to disappear, triggers mass migrations, and kills

0:42:27.239 --> 0:42:29.759
<v Speaker 1>millions of people, it probably isn't going to compromise our

0:42:29.800 --> 0:42:32.480
<v Speaker 1>long term potential over the coming trillions of years. If

0:42:32.480 --> 0:42:34.799
<v Speaker 1>one takes a cosmic view of the situation, even a

0:42:34.840 --> 0:42:38.000
<v Speaker 1>climate catastrophe that cuts the human population by se for

0:42:38.000 --> 0:42:40.279
<v Speaker 1>the next two millennia will, in the grand scheme of things,

0:42:40.440 --> 0:42:42.799
<v Speaker 1>be nothing more than a small blip, the equivalent of

0:42:42.800 --> 0:42:44.719
<v Speaker 1>a nine year old man having stubbed his toe when

0:42:44.760 --> 0:42:49.160
<v Speaker 1>he was two. So this is evil, right, Like this

0:42:49.239 --> 0:42:52.239
<v Speaker 1>is like this is vicious and vile and cruel, and

0:42:52.280 --> 0:42:54.200
<v Speaker 1>it's one of those things. There's a book that I've

0:42:54.200 --> 0:42:56.399
<v Speaker 1>talked about on the show a couple of times UM

0:42:56.440 --> 0:42:59.640
<v Speaker 1>that is quite popular called Ministry of the Future UM

0:42:59.719 --> 0:43:01.319
<v Speaker 1>and I. It's a very good book, and one of

0:43:01.360 --> 0:43:03.640
<v Speaker 1>the attitude, like the basic premise of it is that

0:43:04.080 --> 0:43:08.600
<v Speaker 1>climate change is addressed finally and the worst aspects of

0:43:08.600 --> 0:43:10.719
<v Speaker 1>it are are dealt with and like begin to be

0:43:10.760 --> 0:43:14.600
<v Speaker 1>repaired because of the establishment of an organization called the

0:43:14.600 --> 0:43:17.719
<v Speaker 1>Ministry of the Futures. It's international organization that exists to

0:43:17.880 --> 0:43:21.279
<v Speaker 1>like look out for the interests of unborn people and

0:43:21.520 --> 0:43:24.239
<v Speaker 1>animals and plant species. And part of how they do

0:43:24.280 --> 0:43:27.160
<v Speaker 1>this is by murdering billionaires in their beds uh and

0:43:27.360 --> 0:43:30.480
<v Speaker 1>blowing up planes to in international air travel, which is

0:43:30.520 --> 0:43:32.880
<v Speaker 1>so there's a verse. Like again, the idea that like

0:43:33.719 --> 0:43:37.680
<v Speaker 1>we should be thinking about people and and living creatures

0:43:37.680 --> 0:43:40.400
<v Speaker 1>who have not yet been born is reasonable and the

0:43:40.440 --> 0:43:43.640
<v Speaker 1>reasonable conclusion of that is and so we should deal

0:43:43.719 --> 0:43:47.520
<v Speaker 1>with things like climate change and stop like thoughtlessly degrading

0:43:47.520 --> 0:43:50.560
<v Speaker 1>our environment so that people in the future will be

0:43:50.640 --> 0:43:54.279
<v Speaker 1>able to live a quality life. UM. The argument that

0:43:54.360 --> 0:43:56.839
<v Speaker 1>these long terms are making is No, that's foolish because

0:43:56.880 --> 0:43:58.799
<v Speaker 1>in a trillion years, none of it will matter. And

0:43:58.840 --> 0:44:00.920
<v Speaker 1>I intend to be alive and trillion years because I

0:44:00.960 --> 0:44:04.680
<v Speaker 1>will be an immortal machine man billionaire forever. You know,

0:44:04.840 --> 0:44:08.560
<v Speaker 1>It's about these people, These people like you think about this.

0:44:08.920 --> 0:44:11.799
<v Speaker 1>If you believe this, the only, literally the only thing

0:44:12.239 --> 0:44:14.120
<v Speaker 1>that you should spend your time doing is trying to

0:44:14.120 --> 0:44:16.879
<v Speaker 1>dismantle every single nuclear weapon on the planet. Like you,

0:44:16.880 --> 0:44:19.239
<v Speaker 1>you you should be forming your own private armies to

0:44:19.400 --> 0:44:22.440
<v Speaker 1>like storm military basis to destroy nukes. And none of

0:44:22.480 --> 0:44:24.279
<v Speaker 1>them will ever fucking do this. All these people will

0:44:24.280 --> 0:44:26.480
<v Speaker 1>back candidates who like want to have one nuclear weapons.

0:44:26.480 --> 0:44:29.359
<v Speaker 1>All these people who will back candidates who like like

0:44:29.560 --> 0:44:32.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, I wonder how many these people personally supported

0:44:32.200 --> 0:44:33.600
<v Speaker 1>dropping a nuke in the middle of a rock in

0:44:33.640 --> 0:44:41.000
<v Speaker 1>two thousand four, Like god, Yeah, anyway, this is probably

0:44:41.880 --> 0:44:45.000
<v Speaker 1>that's probably enough. I wanted to At some point, I

0:44:45.040 --> 0:44:47.879
<v Speaker 1>think we will be doing a more detailed look into

0:44:47.920 --> 0:44:50.160
<v Speaker 1>some of these people, and a more detailed look into

0:44:50.200 --> 0:44:53.520
<v Speaker 1>some Maybe maybe it's a Bastards episode, but this is

0:44:53.560 --> 0:44:56.160
<v Speaker 1>just getting more relevant. And I wanted to give people

0:44:56.280 --> 0:44:58.680
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to connect them with some like some some

0:44:58.800 --> 0:45:02.840
<v Speaker 1>resources per particularly that article on a on about the

0:45:03.320 --> 0:45:09.000
<v Speaker 1>dangers of long termism and uh yeah, anyway, be be advised.

0:45:09.120 --> 0:45:12.799
<v Speaker 1>This is what the fucking assholes who have spent like

0:45:12.880 --> 0:45:15.400
<v Speaker 1>think about how many cool things the tech industry is

0:45:15.400 --> 0:45:19.239
<v Speaker 1>actually made in the last decade. It's it's not many, right, Like,

0:45:19.280 --> 0:45:22.239
<v Speaker 1>it's mostly been vaporware. Like most of the different big

0:45:22.280 --> 0:45:24.480
<v Speaker 1>apps and stuff have all are in the process of

0:45:24.480 --> 0:45:27.160
<v Speaker 1>collapsing right now. That's why the industry is falling apart

0:45:28.080 --> 0:45:31.160
<v Speaker 1>as we record this in the metaverse. Yeah, that's right,

0:45:31.239 --> 0:45:34.680
<v Speaker 1>that's right. The legs. It's like you're sitting right next

0:45:34.680 --> 0:45:37.520
<v Speaker 1>to me, James, except for you have no laying legs in.

0:45:37.520 --> 0:45:44.880
<v Speaker 1>Your mouth is open in an endless wordless scream. Um. Finally, anyway,

0:45:44.920 --> 0:45:47.040
<v Speaker 1>that's what these assholes want to do, what they've done

0:45:47.040 --> 0:45:50.359
<v Speaker 1>to the Internet, sucking the vibrancy and the life and

0:45:50.440 --> 0:45:54.680
<v Speaker 1>like the freedom out of this this incredible creation, and

0:45:54.760 --> 0:45:58.600
<v Speaker 1>turning it into uh an engine for sucking your personal

0:45:58.719 --> 0:46:01.520
<v Speaker 1>data out and marketing things to you and making you

0:46:01.600 --> 0:46:04.600
<v Speaker 1>angry all the time as much as possible, and convincing

0:46:04.640 --> 0:46:07.920
<v Speaker 1>your parents and grandparents that fucking Joe Biden has been

0:46:07.920 --> 0:46:11.600
<v Speaker 1>replaced by a lizard man. Um like the people who

0:46:11.640 --> 0:46:15.160
<v Speaker 1>did that, uh now think that we can't take care

0:46:15.200 --> 0:46:17.720
<v Speaker 1>of people today because that would distract from our mission

0:46:17.760 --> 0:46:19.680
<v Speaker 1>to take care of people who have never been born

0:46:19.719 --> 0:46:28.279
<v Speaker 1>a trillion years from now. Um anyway, fuck them. It

0:46:28.360 --> 0:46:30.600
<v Speaker 1>could happen here as a production of cool Zone Media.

0:46:30.840 --> 0:46:33.520
<v Speaker 1>Well more podcasts from cool Zone Media, visit our website

0:46:33.560 --> 0:46:35.680
<v Speaker 1>cool zone media dot com, or check us out on

0:46:35.719 --> 0:46:38.239
<v Speaker 1>the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you

0:46:38.320 --> 0:46:41.080
<v Speaker 1>listen to podcasts. You can find sources for It could

0:46:41.080 --> 0:46:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Happen Here, updated monthly at cool zone Media dot com

0:46:44.160 --> 0:46:46.040
<v Speaker 1>slash sources. Thanks for listening.