1 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday 2 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parolt. 3 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: You guys are following me on social hopefully at sports 4 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 1: doock Matt all socials to jump on in. This podcast 5 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: is being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com. 6 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: Now we went two in one yesterday picked up a unit. 7 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: These are cool times. If you're still with us over 8 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: this long baseball stretch that we're going to be in 9 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: for a bit. 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With the code Juice in 20 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 1: the search bar at Omaha Steaks dot Com. All right, 21 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: so at two and one night last night, I'm very 22 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:19,040 Speaker 1: happy we avoided the Summer League game because Houston was 23 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: plus three and a half. The pro money came in 24 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: on the Rockets number one off at two, twenty point 25 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 1: win for the Cavs. They destroyed the Rockets in the 26 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: Summer League final, so glad we missed that two and 27 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: one day up one unit on a Monday. Good start 28 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:35,919 Speaker 1: to the week. As we head into a Tuesday, now 29 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: the Red Sox in the A's are playing in the 30 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 1: same situation that we just had yesterday. Now it worked 31 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:44,039 Speaker 1: out Red Sox won on the first five easily. Let's 32 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,039 Speaker 1: see what happens today. The Red Sox still have not 33 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: announced the starting pitcher at the time of taping this podcast. 34 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: I will be back on the Red Sox fading the 35 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 1: A's in this series. Fading the A's until the all start, sorry, 36 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: until the trade deadline is something I'm gonna look to do, Okay, 37 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 1: either money line or taking them on the run line 38 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: first five, We'll do something with the Red Sox and 39 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: the A's coming up later today. But in order to 40 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: get the official play Discord channel, bettingpros dot Com slash chat. 41 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 1: I'll tell you what I'm gonna play for the Ray 42 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: of the Red Sox and the Aids coming up tonight 43 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:20,080 Speaker 1: in Oakland. So what am I playing? Okay, first bet 44 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 1: the Padres are facing against Manoa. Now, let's talk about 45 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: Manoa a little bit here as to what he has 46 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 1: looked like when he has come back. Alex Manoa two 47 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 1: and seven, five point one nine ERA after he got 48 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: sent down to the minors after just being absolutely horrific. 49 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 1: Now since coming back in July, has it been horrible? Okay, 50 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 1: hasn't been horrible. Last start one earned run, six innings 51 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: worth of work against the Tigers. Pitched before that, well, 52 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: it wasn't great. He came in and got racked six 53 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 1: earn runs in a third of an inning against the 54 00:02:58,080 --> 00:03:02,639 Speaker 1: Houston Astros. Before that, four innings, two earned runs against 55 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 1: the Brewers. Before that, three innings, five runs given up 56 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:11,400 Speaker 1: against the Timpa Bay Race San Diego. I think is 57 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:14,680 Speaker 1: going to win this game. I like the Padres to 58 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 1: win this game here today because I'm not buying that 59 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 1: one start from Manoa. I'm also not buying the Blue 60 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: Jays bullpen either. In what may happen in this baseball game. 61 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: I think the Padres could win this on the run line, 62 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 1: but Joe Muskove has an eight and two record with 63 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 1: a three point twenty nine ERA. Joe Muskarove on this 64 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: season at home three point four zero ERA on the 65 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: road three point one zero ERA. Posting batting adet of 66 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 1: two thirty at home, which is nineteen earned runs given 67 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: up in fifty and one third innings worth of work 68 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 1: now on the road from Muskarove, like most pitchers, Okay, 69 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 1: he's better at home than he is on the road, 70 00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: but he's not horrible. Three point one zero, actually zero 71 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 1: is better on the three point one zero, three to 72 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: one record two seventy nine batting average has a bit 73 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 1: elevated from the home record, but just tenor and runs 74 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 1: given up in twenty nine innings worth of work for 75 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: Joe Musgrove. I like the first five here, okay, And 76 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 1: you can look at the Padres first five money line 77 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: is minus one thirty at DraftKings money line, Okay, So 78 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 1: if they tie after five, it's a push, it's a wash. 79 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: You can bet plus one twenty at FanDuel if you 80 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 1: want to bring in the three way, so a tie 81 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 1: you lose. I'm not gonna play that. I'm gonna play. 82 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 1: A tie is a push, and we're gonna go. Padres 83 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: one point three units down. Musgrove to be leading after 84 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 1: five innings against Alex Manoa. I don't buy the Manoa 85 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 1: start from the last one. I think we might see 86 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 1: some opportunities for some runs to be scored here for 87 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,600 Speaker 1: the Padres. Obviously it's a first five, so both teams 88 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: are gonna bet, are gonna bet at all five innings, 89 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna bet the money line first five minus 90 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 1: one thirty on the Padres against the Blue Jays. Fading 91 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 1: Alex Manoa well, not buying his first start back because 92 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 1: it was the Tigers that he faced off against. Let's 93 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 1: see him do it against the Padres. Now, second bet. 94 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: Let's talk a little bit about the offense of the 95 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 1: Braves and the Diamondbacks. FanDuel has the first five total 96 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 1: at six. Okay. Bryce Elder going for the Braves. Bryce 97 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:24,039 Speaker 1: Elder in his last start give up seven earned runs 98 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 1: on the road up against Tampa, two earned runs on 99 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: the road against Cleveland. His last home start, give up 100 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 1: two earned runs and six innings against the Minnesota Twins. 101 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: Now he's at home where Bruce Elder on the year 102 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 1: is a three point zero nine ERA slightly elevated from 103 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 1: the road ERA three to one record. However, two forty 104 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 1: eight batting average against Bryce Elder for opposing teams. In 105 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:50,800 Speaker 1: this pitching matchup, he's going with Zach Davies one in 106 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 1: five six point three seven ERA. Zach Davies on the 107 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 1: road has the ray of five point one seven, posing 108 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:01,840 Speaker 1: bating everage of two forty nine earned runs and just 109 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: fifteen and two thirds innings worth of work. He's worse 110 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:08,279 Speaker 1: at home. He's oh to four at home here. But 111 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:12,240 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna take anything. But you can bet heavy 112 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:15,119 Speaker 1: juice over five and a half runs in the first 113 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:19,039 Speaker 1: five if you want to. The Braves are the number 114 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: one scoring offense in baseball in the first five, the 115 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 1: scoring three point five to nine runs per game. Now 116 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 1: the Arizona Diamondbacks two point seven seven runs per game 117 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:32,599 Speaker 1: and on the road averaging two point eight two runs 118 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 1: per game. At home, Atlanta is averaging three point five 119 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 1: to five runs per game. You add those two numbers together, 120 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: what do we get? Six over six? Actually, math tells 121 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 1: us to bet the over minus one point fifteen at 122 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 1: DraftKings over six. You can bet over five and a 123 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 1: half and win if it goes three to three. But 124 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:54,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet the over six. I'm gonna jump in 125 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:58,359 Speaker 1: on the over for the first five for the Atlanta 126 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: Braves at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. You can bet 127 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:03,719 Speaker 1: the full game if you want, and I don't hate 128 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:07,120 Speaker 1: m I'm betting on the full game here. It's and 129 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:09,039 Speaker 1: the full game is ten and a half. Juice to 130 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 1: the under. I don't want to get involved with the 131 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 1: bullpens here. And the Braves score a lot of runs 132 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 1: very quickly out of the gates, and Zach Davies hasn't 133 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 1: been good, so I mean you want to lay the 134 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 1: Braves money line minus two hundred Braves on the run line, 135 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: it's minus one p fifteen. Don't hate that bet, but 136 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 1: Diamondbacks offense has been pretty good. Overs not a bad 137 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 1: bet either. Ten and a half. I'm just gonna bet 138 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:31,840 Speaker 1: the first five because of the pitchers that are going 139 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 1: with elder In Davies first five over six minus one 140 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 1: fifteen officially okay, so one point one to five units 141 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 1: down on that, one point three units down on the 142 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 1: Padres and the Blue Jays first five money line for 143 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 1: the Padres. If you want extra the Rays and the 144 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 1: Rangers under nine, I don't mind that bet if you 145 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:53,320 Speaker 1: don't want to wait for the Red Sox play, if 146 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 1: you want to come in and do that. That was 147 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: the last bet that kind of fell off the card, 148 00:07:56,320 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: if you will. For being official Bradley against a Valdi. 149 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 1: Number is nine at most books. It's been coming down. 150 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: It's probably would close to eight and a half. But 151 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 1: you can find a nine out there. It's a decent 152 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 1: bet to make. I think to hop on in with nine. 153 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 1: Nine is available. Well, actually it just changed eight and 154 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 1: a half. How about that as we're taping this thing, 155 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:21,080 Speaker 1: it just got the move, So eight and a half. 156 00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:24,720 Speaker 1: I don't mind it. I'd rather nine, but books are moving. 157 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:26,920 Speaker 1: You can find a nine. I'll take the under nine, 158 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: but eight and a half right now is the move. 159 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 1: So it's juice to the over minus one twenty to 160 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: the over eight and a half. But I like the 161 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: under nine if you can find it. But officially Red 162 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 1: Sox bet coming later in the Discord channel, Betting pros 163 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 1: dot Com slash chet I'll post it once I play 164 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 1: it against the A's Padres money line first five minus 165 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:47,840 Speaker 1: one thirty over six runs, the Dbacks and the Braves 166 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 1: at minus one fifteen over six in the first five minus. 167 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 1: Matt Paroltz followed me on all socials at Sports Talk Matt. 168 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,439 Speaker 1: Each and every morning, it is the Diligence Podcast, being 169 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: brought to you by omastakes dot com