WEBVTT - AFC South overview for 2021. Even Houston. 0:00:00.640 --> 0:00:04.360 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.440 --> 0:00:09.840 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.080 --> 0:00:14.480 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.640 --> 0:00:18.240 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.280 --> 0:00:24.240 here's your host, Paul. Welcome to another edition of Fantasy 0:00:24.360 --> 0:00:27.120 Football Weekly. I'm Paul Charchy and my co host is 0:00:27.160 --> 0:00:32.280 Brian Johnson. It is I how it be you? Uh, 0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:35.640 it's going great, Thank you very much. It's another opportunity 0:00:35.640 --> 0:00:38.760 to go through the various divisions of the NFL and 0:00:39.200 --> 0:00:43.360 really project what we expect to happen this year. We're 0:00:43.360 --> 0:00:46.360 not replaying last year. You already know what happened last year. 0:00:46.360 --> 0:00:48.000 We're gonna tell you what we think is going to 0:00:48.080 --> 0:00:51.839 happen this season, what's different, and specifically, at the end 0:00:51.880 --> 0:00:55.760 of each each team by team breakdown, we will talk 0:00:55.800 --> 0:01:00.840 about the riskiest player at his current eight P and 0:01:00.920 --> 0:01:05.120 the player with the most upside compared to ADP. So 0:01:05.160 --> 0:01:09.480 that's coming up. Let's do it. Yeah, but first, hey, 0:01:09.520 --> 0:01:11.200 you might want to play in a Guilloteam League. We 0:01:11.200 --> 0:01:13.800 think it's a fantastic format. Eighteen teams start the season. 0:01:13.840 --> 0:01:16.160 No had to head every week, the lowest scoring team 0:01:16.160 --> 0:01:19.320 goes to the waiver wire, and that team's entire roster 0:01:19.560 --> 0:01:24.760 goes to free agency, where pandemonium ensues. It's a Week 0:01:24.800 --> 0:01:27.720 one and a whole roster of players hits the waiver wire. 0:01:27.760 --> 0:01:30.840 Do you spend a bunch of money on Aaron Jones 0:01:30.880 --> 0:01:33.440 has a bad Week one? For example? Do you spend 0:01:33.480 --> 0:01:35.240 a bunch of money on Aaron Jones knowing you could 0:01:35.280 --> 0:01:36.840 start him the rest of the year, or do you 0:01:36.840 --> 0:01:39.600 wait and hope you don't get chopped and save that 0:01:39.640 --> 0:01:42.039 money for later. On a scale from one to ten, 0:01:42.800 --> 0:01:45.520 let's put it this way, how much weight do you 0:01:45.520 --> 0:01:49.360 put into the Week one matchup in your early round picks, 0:01:50.400 --> 0:01:54.200 primarily first, second, third round me, I'm like a seven 0:01:54.200 --> 0:01:57.680 out of ten put right on that um. On the 0:01:57.760 --> 0:02:02.640 premium Guillot League cheat sheet that we offer on the site, 0:02:02.680 --> 0:02:08.200 we show you the the Vegas implied total points for 0:02:08.240 --> 0:02:10.960 each team through the first three weeks of the season. 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:13.760 So if you want to make sure that your players 0:02:13.760 --> 0:02:16.040 do well, uh, we encourage you to check that out. 0:02:16.080 --> 0:02:19.200 I believe I will have that posted. I'm almost got 0:02:19.200 --> 0:02:21.120 that sheet ready. It's so filled with data. It just 0:02:21.160 --> 0:02:24.080 takes time and and tip of the hat to our 0:02:24.320 --> 0:02:26.800 our our super intern Tyler, who has done a very 0:02:26.840 --> 0:02:30.920 good job helping me fill data on this. Um. Yeah, 0:02:31.000 --> 0:02:34.480 so that's coming early next week, I believe, sweet guillote 0:02:34.600 --> 0:02:36.320 leagues dot com. And also check out super Chop, our 0:02:36.360 --> 0:02:39.000 new high stakes format for guillotine leagues as well super 0:02:39.120 --> 0:02:44.040 Chop yet guillote leagues dot com. Let's start with Houston, Brian, 0:02:44.720 --> 0:02:46.920 if we must. Yeah, let's just get out of the way. 0:02:47.000 --> 0:02:50.400 That was my thinking of us. You know, there's not 0:02:50.480 --> 0:02:52.480 a lot of fantasy relevance on this team that could 0:02:52.560 --> 0:02:56.360 easily have the worst record in the NFL. And you know, 0:02:56.440 --> 0:03:00.079 we're all operating under the assumption that the way to 0:03:00.280 --> 0:03:06.160 twenty two class action lawsuits against uh um Deshaun Watson 0:03:06.240 --> 0:03:10.160 is going to be enough to torpedo his season. That's 0:03:10.200 --> 0:03:14.079 the way it seems. But he's I'm not gonna say 0:03:14.120 --> 0:03:16.680 out of the woods. He's not in the either way 0:03:16.720 --> 0:03:21.239 he might play this year. He might right now. There's 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:24.240 no criminal charges against him. Now the NFL doesn't have 0:03:24.320 --> 0:03:27.239 to care about that, but I certainly think that that 0:03:27.240 --> 0:03:29.560 that works in his favor. Yeah, well, we'll get to 0:03:29.639 --> 0:03:32.240 Deshaun Watson and then the passing game with or without him. 0:03:32.320 --> 0:03:34.320 In a second, just real quick. The Texans do have 0:03:34.360 --> 0:03:37.280 a new head coach and David Culley. He was the 0:03:37.360 --> 0:03:40.520 passing coordinator from the Baltimore Ravens. We had another passing 0:03:40.520 --> 0:03:43.400 coordinator head coach who were new head coach or at 0:03:43.440 --> 0:03:46.080 least new o see who we talked about last week. 0:03:46.080 --> 0:03:47.840 I think he was on. It doesn't matter. I've seen 0:03:47.840 --> 0:03:51.280 a lot of passing coordinators getting promoted. Passing out a 0:03:51.320 --> 0:03:53.240 passing coordinator was a thing, and it's thought that would 0:03:53.240 --> 0:03:55.720 fall into the offensive coordinator. But uh, new head coach 0:03:56.000 --> 0:03:59.760 in David Culley. Last year, the Texans were very pass heavy. 0:04:00.040 --> 0:04:02.560 They passed the ball more than of the time at 0:04:02.600 --> 0:04:05.720 the third highest clip in the league, meaning they ran 0:04:05.760 --> 0:04:08.640 the ball up the third fewest amount of times. They 0:04:08.640 --> 0:04:12.000 were thirty in the league. So pass heavy offense probably 0:04:12.000 --> 0:04:14.880 gonna lean that way this year. But who's gonna be 0:04:14.920 --> 0:04:20.039 a quarterback? Probably not DeShawn Watson, probably not, but could be. 0:04:20.440 --> 0:04:23.760 Then there's Tarrod Taylor. Yep, of course, that's my guess, 0:04:23.800 --> 0:04:26.160 is your week one starter. He'll be the Week one starter. 0:04:26.240 --> 0:04:28.560 But they like Davis Mills, and we like Davis Mills. 0:04:28.560 --> 0:04:31.880 Here rookie rookie at a Stanford a third round pick um, 0:04:31.960 --> 0:04:35.039 but with just the eleven college starts, the presumption was 0:04:35.080 --> 0:04:37.400 that Mills would spend his first year on the bench. 0:04:37.920 --> 0:04:40.480 I like him, I like his prospects long term. But 0:04:40.520 --> 0:04:44.080 I think the best thing for Davis Mills, assuming unless 0:04:44.080 --> 0:04:45.760 it turns out he's even better than I think he 0:04:45.800 --> 0:04:47.960 can be UH, is for him to spend as much 0:04:48.000 --> 0:04:49.560 time as possible on the bench. I don't I don't 0:04:49.560 --> 0:04:52.400 want to see him until November. Maybe, well, Tarad deserves 0:04:52.440 --> 0:04:56.159 this week one started if Watson is disciplined, suspended or whatever. 0:04:56.240 --> 0:04:58.200 So we'll go into the assumption to Rod is the 0:04:58.279 --> 0:05:03.320 quarterback um. Looking at the wide receivers, Brandon Cooks is 0:05:03.360 --> 0:05:05.919 the only wide receiver I want any part of on 0:05:06.000 --> 0:05:08.159 this team. The other ones you're looking at our rookie 0:05:08.240 --> 0:05:11.039 Nico Collins. Then he got Randall Cobb and Kick Qt 0:05:11.560 --> 0:05:15.880 sharing slot duties. Not interested there, but Cooks I don't 0:05:15.920 --> 0:05:18.200 mind him at wide receiver thirty eight right now, that's 0:05:18.360 --> 0:05:20.600 that's a pretty good price for Cooks. And they're gonna 0:05:20.880 --> 0:05:23.960 behind a lot. They're gonna throw a ton of Cooks. 0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:25.960 Didn't scored a ton of touchdowns last year. I believe 0:05:26.000 --> 0:05:27.400 he had at least five or six. But he was 0:05:27.440 --> 0:05:30.560 top twenty in catches, top ten in yards among wide receivers, 0:05:30.560 --> 0:05:34.040 So no reason he can't repeat those numbers and a quarterback. 0:05:34.360 --> 0:05:37.520 The quarterback significant or injury, of course, but I think 0:05:37.520 --> 0:05:40.359 he'll see the volume to certainly be a viable wide 0:05:40.360 --> 0:05:43.720 receiver at three with potential wide receiver too upside. He's 0:05:43.720 --> 0:05:47.800 still a very good player, just on a very bad team. 0:05:47.839 --> 0:05:50.520 And now to the running backs, real quick, I mean, 0:05:50.560 --> 0:05:53.440 do we even want to it's a mess. Houston is 0:05:53.560 --> 0:05:58.839 hoarding fading stars. David Johnson, Philip Lindsay marketing room. And 0:05:58.839 --> 0:06:00.680 if that wasn't enough, and they went on signed Rex 0:06:00.760 --> 0:06:05.080 Birkhead a few weeks ago, a major head scratcher, major 0:06:05.160 --> 0:06:09.080 bald head scratcher. Um The line is decent in Houston. 0:06:09.120 --> 0:06:13.320 There ranked by Pro Football Focus uh ranks twenty going 0:06:13.360 --> 0:06:15.880 into this season. Laramy Counsel a big name left tackle. 0:06:15.960 --> 0:06:18.640 He's a far better pass protector than run blocker. Though 0:06:19.520 --> 0:06:21.599 you basically don't want to touch this backfield with a 0:06:21.640 --> 0:06:23.760 ten foot at all, not at all, And for that reason, 0:06:24.240 --> 0:06:27.159 I think over the course of the season there will 0:06:27.200 --> 0:06:34.200 be eight to ten rushing touchdowns to be had, and 0:06:34.440 --> 0:06:36.280 you know the problem is you're gonna be divvying up 0:06:36.400 --> 0:06:40.120 let's call it nine rushing touchdowns three different ways, and 0:06:40.160 --> 0:06:43.440 then they're each good for like three touchdowns. You're good 0:06:43.480 --> 0:06:46.400 luck guessing in any given game if this is a 0:06:46.560 --> 0:06:50.480 David Johnson touchdown game or a Philip Lindsay or a 0:06:50.560 --> 0:06:52.680 mark Ingram And I just don't think you're gonna know. 0:06:52.960 --> 0:06:54.599 You're not gonna know most of the most of the 0:06:54.600 --> 0:06:56.719 time what's coming, not at all. And for that reason, 0:06:56.800 --> 0:06:59.800 David Johnson my riskiest player based on a DPS, not 0:07:00.080 --> 0:07:03.479 expensive by any means. He's RB thirty seven right now, 0:07:03.520 --> 0:07:06.120 And if I had to have, if I had to 0:07:06.160 --> 0:07:08.720 have a Houston running back on my roster, it would 0:07:08.720 --> 0:07:10.680 be David Johnson. But the beauty is you don't have 0:07:10.720 --> 0:07:13.200 to have. You gonna make you by your roster and 0:07:13.280 --> 0:07:15.960 looking at RB thirty seven right now and guys going 0:07:16.000 --> 0:07:18.520 after him. So I'm on the clock and I'm contemplating 0:07:18.560 --> 0:07:22.880 David Johnson, I'm taking I'll put him in order. My 0:07:22.920 --> 0:07:26.840 preference is Zack Moss, Tony Pollard, Gus Edwards, Kenyan, Drake 0:07:26.880 --> 0:07:29.680 All going after David Johnson all day, every day. So 0:07:29.760 --> 0:07:33.480 David Johnson biggest risk with very minimal upside. Uh, with 0:07:33.520 --> 0:07:39.400 that crowded running back room and upside try to find 0:07:39.760 --> 0:07:42.400 right now? This is not easy. It's DeShawn Watson. You 0:07:42.440 --> 0:07:46.640 get him at quarterback nineteen right now. Honestly nine team 0:07:46.720 --> 0:07:51.680 feels high quarterback. You're very deep, but it is at nineteen. 0:07:51.720 --> 0:07:54.080 I can still get a good starting quarterback. But if 0:07:54.080 --> 0:07:56.280 I told you right now, you give you Carson Wentz 0:07:56.400 --> 0:08:00.640 or Deshaun Watson Wentz and I I'm not gonna fault 0:08:00.640 --> 0:08:04.240 anyone who doesn't want the toxic toxicity of Deshaun Watson 0:08:04.280 --> 0:08:06.560 on their fantasy team. I'm not gonna even more just 0:08:06.680 --> 0:08:11.760 moral ground aside. Even if Watson, say starts the season, man, 0:08:11.840 --> 0:08:13.760 I'd be on pins and needles every week, like is 0:08:13.880 --> 0:08:16.760 this the week the NFL suspends him? Is this the 0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:19.920 week the NFL suspends him? But you get him QB nineteen. 0:08:20.240 --> 0:08:23.000 That's the tail end of your draft. You you can 0:08:23.040 --> 0:08:27.000 always drop him and add another as you know, you know, 0:08:27.120 --> 0:08:28.880 you know what. You've kind of convinced me you're right 0:08:28.880 --> 0:08:32.600 at QB nineteen. It's fourteenth round. Yeah, I mean it's 0:08:32.840 --> 0:08:35.079 to ah is going right after him and then to 0:08:35.280 --> 0:08:37.080 his I can pick up to him. He's not a 0:08:37.120 --> 0:08:39.360 dead cat or anything like that. Then it's justin fields, 0:08:39.480 --> 0:08:42.040 David Jones, I mean, Deshaun Watson plays. We're not going 0:08:42.120 --> 0:08:44.920 to talk about is off the field stuff, but there's 0:08:44.960 --> 0:08:48.560 certainly upside there because he had the most one yard 0:08:48.559 --> 0:08:53.240 completions among all quarterbacks last year. He's the top five quarterback. Okay, okay, 0:08:53.240 --> 0:08:55.960 but let's factor this in as well. He won't play 0:08:55.960 --> 0:08:58.000 for the Texas. He doesn't want to play. This whole 0:08:58.000 --> 0:09:01.400 thing before all of the criminal charges, I'll started, remember, 0:09:01.880 --> 0:09:05.040 he wanted to leave the team. So you know, not 0:09:05.240 --> 0:09:07.480 only do I need him to not be suspended, I 0:09:07.600 --> 0:09:11.360 have to I have to have him decide he's willing 0:09:11.400 --> 0:09:14.920 to play for the Texans, and that might not happen either. 0:09:15.320 --> 0:09:17.680 So you know that's the double lammy on him that 0:09:17.679 --> 0:09:20.680 that worries me. Now that's not to say that Watson 0:09:21.320 --> 0:09:24.680 somehow doesn't find himself on another team. I mean, it 0:09:24.840 --> 0:09:28.760 takes balls of steel to have some other team. Let's 0:09:28.760 --> 0:09:33.240 say Denver, where everybody wants Aaron Rodgers to go. General 0:09:33.280 --> 0:09:37.080 manager George Peyton would have to say, I'm willing to 0:09:37.160 --> 0:09:40.680 take the heat on bringing in a guy with twenty 0:09:40.720 --> 0:09:45.120 two sexual assault charges against him, well, accusations against him, 0:09:45.160 --> 0:09:48.480 not charges. Um, I'm willing to take the heat that 0:09:48.480 --> 0:09:50.640 I'm going to get because I want Watson and I 0:09:50.920 --> 0:09:52.719 don't think there's a GM who will do that. But 0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:56.880 it's not Why doesn't Bay in a clean swap? Because 0:09:58.640 --> 0:10:00.800 but there Rogers is want to play for them. He's 0:10:00.880 --> 0:10:04.400 thirty six years old. Like, Okay, look if it were, 0:10:04.440 --> 0:10:06.120 they're not in the same conference, so they're not going 0:10:06.160 --> 0:10:08.600 to be uh sure, crossing each other's lines. I just 0:10:08.640 --> 0:10:13.199 think I just think Bryan Goudkuts got enough problems. Adding 0:10:13.240 --> 0:10:17.120 in twenty two sexual assault accusations is probably not something 0:10:17.120 --> 0:10:20.040 that he wants to bring on himself. Let's turn our 0:10:20.080 --> 0:10:23.760 attention to a more, much more interesting team, the Indianapolis Colts. 0:10:25.080 --> 0:10:28.480 There was a change of offensive coordinator quarterbacks coach. Last 0:10:28.520 --> 0:10:32.960 year's quarterbacks coach Marcus eber Flos is now taking over 0:10:33.000 --> 0:10:36.520 for Nick Serrani, who got the Eagles job. But Frank 0:10:36.559 --> 0:10:39.079 Wright is the mastermind of this offense and likely very 0:10:39.080 --> 0:10:43.400 little changes schematically. Last year, the Colts were a slightly 0:10:43.520 --> 0:10:46.640 run heavy team, finishing ninth and run percentage, and why 0:10:46.640 --> 0:10:50.960 not their best Their best skilled position player is Jonathan Taylor, 0:10:51.760 --> 0:10:54.079 so let's start with him. After a quiet first ten 0:10:54.120 --> 0:10:57.040 games last year, Taylor went on an epic league winning 0:10:57.160 --> 0:11:01.880 run from weeks UH eleven four award. His average line 0:11:02.000 --> 0:11:05.600 in those games from week eleven forward twenty carries, one 0:11:06.200 --> 0:11:11.880 seventeen yards, five point nine yards per carry, and one 0:11:11.960 --> 0:11:15.920 point one touchdowns per game. About yeah, that is That 0:11:16.120 --> 0:11:20.160 is rock star territory for Jonathan Taylor. They also won 0:11:20.200 --> 0:11:22.360 five of those seven games, which I mentioned because I 0:11:22.400 --> 0:11:25.000 think it's really important because when you win five of 0:11:25.120 --> 0:11:27.720 seven by and you gave the ball to Jonathan Taylor 0:11:27.760 --> 0:11:30.040 twenty times, that creates a mandate for this year to 0:11:30.120 --> 0:11:34.920 keep giving the ball to Jonathan Taylor. Um Frank Reich, however, 0:11:36.040 --> 0:11:40.800 has a long history of running back by committee, and 0:11:40.840 --> 0:11:44.800 I'm not totally sold that Taylor is gonna be twenty 0:11:44.840 --> 0:11:47.520 carries every game, or even just the work horse back 0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:50.400 every game, because Reich's got that long history of not 0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:53.680 not going that way. And we still got Nahim Hines, 0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:59.920 Marlon Mack, Jordan Wilkins, and everybody listening knows those guys 0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:04.440 hop up for big games with disturbing regularity and you 0:12:04.440 --> 0:12:08.400 can't see them coming. So I still think there's just 0:12:08.840 --> 0:12:12.200 a little bit of danger with Jonathan Taylor that people 0:12:12.400 --> 0:12:15.920 aren't really thinking about at his current ADP, which is 0:12:15.920 --> 0:12:18.680 the middle of the first round, so people are taking 0:12:18.679 --> 0:12:23.280 the leap taking him over and uh and certainly zeke 0:12:23.360 --> 0:12:25.760 and uh um and I would do actually I think 0:12:25.800 --> 0:12:28.360 I would as well. But there is inherent risk, like 0:12:28.400 --> 0:12:30.959 you're saying, because of this Frank Rake situation. His current 0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:34.280 ADP is running back eight, going mid to late round one, 0:12:34.480 --> 0:12:36.439 and you know, it does make sense. I don't have 0:12:36.480 --> 0:12:40.080 a problem with him going there, but man, I just 0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:46.680 did again. You know, if you're if it's picked, I 0:12:46.720 --> 0:12:48.960 still want I want to work course back there. I 0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:51.760 don't want to. I'm just I'm nervous about the possible 0:12:51.800 --> 0:12:53.840 time share, because that's who Frank Reik span. All right, 0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:56.160 let's go to the passing game. Carson Wentz prime for 0:12:56.160 --> 0:12:58.280 a bounce back season. I think he's an excellent candidate 0:12:58.280 --> 0:13:00.600 to win Comeback Player of the Year. He will play 0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:05.480 behind a better offensive line than Philly's always injured version. 0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:09.559 Wentz handled pressure badly last year and made a lot 0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:14.400 of bad decisions under pressure where he looked terrible. His 0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:19.120 swagger was completely shot. He you know, everything unraveled badly. 0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:26.520 The offensive line is better, although Anthony Costanzo retired and 0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:28.320 they brought in Eric Fisher to fill in for him. 0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:30.880 That should be okay. But Profitball Focus ranks the Colts 0:13:30.920 --> 0:13:34.040 offensive line is number two in the NFL. So Wentz 0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:37.760 is going to have time to set up and that 0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:40.600 part is encouraging and also encouraging the fact that he's 0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:43.880 reunited with Frank Reich, who was in Philadelphia for once 0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:47.160 his best years. He's got good receivers, he's got capable 0:13:47.240 --> 0:13:50.960 tight ends, he's got past catching backs. He's an ideal 0:13:51.080 --> 0:13:54.439 second quarterback for your roster with quarterback one upside. His 0:13:54.520 --> 0:14:04.800 ADP right now is quarterback twenty in the round. UM 0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:08.800 this year. Quarterback is so deep and I think has 0:14:08.880 --> 0:14:11.240 ever been. I think it is the deepest it's ever been. 0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:13.840 Let's talk about the wide receivers. I'm just done on 0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:16.880 t Y Hilton and apparently you are too, because his 0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:19.800 his his ADP has slumped down to a wide receiver 0:14:19.960 --> 0:14:25.880 fifty one Brian, that's round eleven UM. Last year he 0:14:26.120 --> 0:14:29.120 led the team in targets, receptions, receiving yards and receiving 0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:32.600 touchdowns and nobody wants to touch him. I'm still all 0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:36.000 those numbers I mentioned your targets, receptions, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns. 0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:38.640 He led the team, but he only had fifty six 0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:42.840 catches for seven hundred fifty yards and five touchdowns because 0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:46.920 he was so cheap weekend in week out, draft kings, draftings, 0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:49.840 and he burned me weekend and week I could not 0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:52.040 help myself. I'm like, okay, I gotta keep going back 0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:53.680 to the well because if I don't, I know he's 0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:56.400 but he never did. He had one good game that 0:14:56.440 --> 0:14:59.040 I can recall. He finished his wide receiver forty one 0:14:59.320 --> 0:15:02.000 last year, and so is adp s wide receiver fifty one. 0:15:02.160 --> 0:15:06.400 That's actually probably makes sense for where t Y Hilton 0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:08.800 is in his career arc right now because of the 0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:14.480 return of uh Paris Campbell. Yeah, alright, let's talk about 0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:17.360 Paris Cambel who made you jump ahead? And okay, that's fine. 0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:19.440 I love Paris Campbell, and I'm like the only guy 0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:22.080 that I'm with you, Me, you, Sigmund Bloom, I think 0:15:22.080 --> 0:15:23.960 are the only three that like him. Uh, he's a 0:15:24.000 --> 0:15:26.040 wild card, and you think he'll open the season as 0:15:26.080 --> 0:15:28.400 the slot receiver. He was a second round draft pick 0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:30.840 three years ago, and it's been hobbled by a crazy 0:15:30.960 --> 0:15:33.680 series of injuries, none of which I think are really 0:15:33.720 --> 0:15:35.440 that reflective of who he is, and a lot of 0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:38.880 them are just odd ball injuries, and I just I 0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:42.480 want to believe that he's He's ultimately going to make 0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:46.440 good on the remarkable athleticism he showed that led him 0:15:46.480 --> 0:15:48.440 to being his second round pick. He's at the Byron 0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.480 Buckston in the NFL. Yeah, that might be well. Buckston 0:15:51.520 --> 0:15:54.200 has proven more then Paris Campbell has barely been on 0:15:54.240 --> 0:15:56.920 the field long enough to prove anything. But man, the 0:15:57.000 --> 0:16:00.240 upside is there. And last pick your draft can sitter 0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:02.960 Paris Campbell. I like it. Michael Pittman is the future, though, 0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:05.080 and he's going to lead the team in all categories. 0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:09.040 I believe this year. From Week eight forward. Last year, 0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:12.320 he got targeted at least five times in six of 0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:14.480 the final nine games. He caught at least two balls 0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:17.160 in every game, was on the field for of the snaps, 0:16:17.160 --> 0:16:20.040 which I loved. His current ADP for Michael Pittman is 0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:24.960 the ninth round as wide receiver, thirty nine. That's whatever 0:16:25.040 --> 0:16:28.440 twelve spots ahead of t Y Hilton. I think that's right, Yeah, definitely, 0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:30.800 I'm really intrigued by what he can do in year two. 0:16:30.840 --> 0:16:33.400 T Y Hilton clearly the third receiver you'd want on 0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:37.560 this team, and like a distant thirds Campbell as well. 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:39.920 You think, okay, all right, well you're not like camb 0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:42.480 a lot more than everybody else. People listening right now 0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:44.920 are based on airp if we're baking in a DP 0:16:45.080 --> 0:16:48.080 without a doubt, But don't touch t Y wild Also, 0:16:48.160 --> 0:16:50.400 I'm not touching the tight ends um, even though Carson 0:16:50.440 --> 0:16:53.040 Wentz grew up feeding Philadelphia's tight ends. You've got Jack 0:16:53.080 --> 0:16:55.480 Doyle and mo Ali Cox and they're gonna split time 0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:59.520 just like last year. And no, it's not exactly a 0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:04.639 Zack Lee Um. Neither one put up even remotely startable 0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:08.199 fantasy numbers and we're utterly unpredictable last year, so we're 0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:10.560 not gonna even We're not gonna go there. The riskiest 0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:15.240 player at his current a DP. It's it's hard to 0:17:15.240 --> 0:17:17.439 find risk because there's only one player. Get this, and 0:17:17.480 --> 0:17:21.480 the entire Cults roster. One player is going before round nine, 0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:24.600 Jonathan t So, I mean that's you know, it's the 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:27.560 only guy I can even list for riskiest at current 0:17:27.600 --> 0:17:31.040 ADP and as I said earlier, his dangers are entirely 0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:34.080 volume related, not talent related. The player with the most 0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:37.280 upside compared to current ADP here tons of options because 0:17:37.280 --> 0:17:40.320 everybody's going every else is going round nine or later. Um, 0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:42.160 I think it's Michael Pittman, who I said it's gonna 0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:46.200 lead the team and all the receiving categories and going 0:17:46.280 --> 0:17:49.800 off the board at receiver thirty nine gives you ninth round. 0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:53.400 You know you've got a lot of upside. I love 0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:56.840 the the idea of targeting Pittman and Campbell and best 0:17:56.880 --> 0:17:58.600 Ball how cheap can get them and ozz are you're 0:17:58.600 --> 0:18:01.159 gonna get the number one receiver for the cold in 0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:03.480 any given game, in any given I like that angle. 0:18:03.600 --> 0:18:05.359 That's a that's a nice one now and and you know, 0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:07.080 when you actually got to set your lineup, that's a 0:18:07.119 --> 0:18:09.760 little more of a headaches. But best Ball, don't worry 0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:12.520 about it. When we come back, we will talk through 0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:16.320 the Tennessee Titans, the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Titans influx with 0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:20.439 a sudden injection of Julio Jones into their lineup, Jacksonville 0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:24.359 influx across the entire offense. So we'll tell you about 0:18:24.400 --> 0:18:27.359 those two teams when we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly, 0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:31.960 Segment number two. Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Chiarchi and Brian 0:18:32.200 --> 0:18:37.440 Johnson with you. We already broke down Houston and Indianapolis. 0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:40.320 As we continue going through the a f C South, 0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:44.600 let's turn our attention to the Tennessee Titans. Brian, and 0:18:45.119 --> 0:18:48.240 you know, the lead story is Julio Jones, but you 0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:52.720 know the lead player is still going to be Derrick Henry. 0:18:52.960 --> 0:18:56.000 It's certainly gonna be Derrick Henry. Tennessee ran the ball 0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:58.119 more than fifty percent of the time last year. It 0:18:58.200 --> 0:19:00.640 was the third highest clip in the NFL. All means 0:19:00.720 --> 0:19:04.640 they ran the ball the most among all teams under 0:19:04.720 --> 0:19:07.040 fifty percent of the time. And that that's not that's 0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:10.760 but that's not a necessarily a balanced offense, not in 0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:14.720 today's NFL. That's not, in today's NFL a very effective offense. Though. 0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:17.439 They were fourth in yards per game, fourth and points 0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:20.520 per game. But uh, like you said, it all revolved 0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:23.560 around Derrick Henry. We're all too familiar with Derrick Henry 0:19:23.560 --> 0:19:26.800 in the run game. Uh, Henry still a beast pretty 0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:29.679 much in the prime of his career. Titans are returning 0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:33.439 what is a pretty good offensive line, ranked fourteenth by 0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:36.879 Pro Football Focus going into this season. UH finished sixth 0:19:37.000 --> 0:19:40.040 in their run blocking grading system last year, but in 0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:44.440 past blocking UM that's probably because left tackle Taylor lu 0:19:44.480 --> 0:19:49.200 Ann Louanne or Loui lu Luwan only played nine snaps. 0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:52.240 He missed a good chunk of the season, so Tannehill 0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:56.600 was missing his blindside protection. UM. The only really but 0:19:56.680 --> 0:19:59.360 back to King Henry, the only real concern is will 0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:02.720 they lightened his load after totaling six hundred and eighty 0:20:02.800 --> 0:20:05.960 one carries over the last two years. I know that's 0:20:06.080 --> 0:20:08.680 that part. That is a that's a real concern, and honestly, 0:20:09.160 --> 0:20:13.240 they probably should. New offensive coordinator Todd Downing would be wise, 0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:15.680 in my opinion, to dial it back at least a 0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:19.159 little bit. But when they dial that back, what do 0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:22.119 they die in link up? The assumption is Julio Jones. 0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:25.320 One would think now that Julio Jones isn't toe UM, 0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:29.000 so that Ryan Tannehill's stock has gone way up since that. 0:20:29.160 --> 0:20:33.320 And by the way, Tannehill the six the most passing 0:20:33.359 --> 0:20:36.760 touchdowns last year with thirty three. Uh, he finished eighteen 0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:40.520 in past attempts and that's good efficiency, right, very efficient. 0:20:40.560 --> 0:20:43.160 He also had seven rushing touchdowns too. I didn't realize 0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:45.000 he had that many rushing touchdowns that I knew you'd 0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:47.080 have like three, four, maybe five, But he had seven, 0:20:47.200 --> 0:20:51.320 so forty total touchdowns last year. And his price tag 0:20:51.400 --> 0:20:55.120 reflects it right now currently QB twelve, which is quite 0:20:55.160 --> 0:20:57.879 the honor in these days. Is he said quarterback is 0:20:58.080 --> 0:21:00.760 ridiculously deep, so it to be a top soll have quarterback. 0:21:01.280 --> 0:21:03.240 That's really saying something. And again it's it's all about 0:21:03.280 --> 0:21:06.359 the wide receiver room now with A J. Brown, Julio 0:21:06.480 --> 0:21:09.119 Jones of course, and uh, Josh Reynolds. I guess who 0:21:09.200 --> 0:21:12.919 was who was something before the h the Julio acquisition, 0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:16.600 But um, sticking with the wide receivers, A J. Brown 0:21:17.160 --> 0:21:20.760 is my riskiest guy based on ADP for the Titans 0:21:21.160 --> 0:21:24.439 um eleven touchdowns last year over a thousand yards, only 0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:27.400 a hundred and two targets. Of course, Corey Davis was there, 0:21:27.760 --> 0:21:30.600 but he's gone replaced by Julio Jones. Johnny Smith was there, 0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:34.320 he's gone. Really only one tight end Anthony Firkster and 0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:38.800 very popular sleeper for for sir, no tea oh firk, sir, 0:21:39.000 --> 0:21:43.520 thank you sir. But um, everyone before Julio was acquired 0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:45.879 was like a J. Brown a lock for a hundred 0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:49.800 and fifty tarrogets plus easily after only getting barely over 0:21:49.800 --> 0:21:53.679 a hundred last year. That changed drastically when Julio came 0:21:53.720 --> 0:21:56.600 to town. So what if a J. Brown doesn't see 0:21:56.640 --> 0:21:59.600 a huge upticking targets? What if Tennessee continues to be 0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:02.720 run heavy, which there's the reason they really shouldn't improved 0:22:02.760 --> 0:22:05.800 defense and uh even you know, more weapons to take 0:22:05.840 --> 0:22:08.320