1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:02,800 Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. 2 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 2: Do us prow read a lot? 3 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 3: They're running again? 4 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 2: So smoothe so sweet. 5 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:17,440 Speaker 1: Sid sisting just glory affect pcution. 6 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 4: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four 7 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 4: thousand percent of the time. How shot with that shop 8 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 4: of mind? 9 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: Good buddy, and that's why you see your beautiful tiers. 10 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 2: Look at his movements, the. 11 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 4: Most dangerous amount of the planet. 12 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 2: Nobody pict them. 13 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 3: Got up. 14 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 5: I'm trying. 15 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 2: The one. 16 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:47,840 Speaker 1: It's left to one, the wide eyed drill pibus how 17 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: old earth pick that happens? 18 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 3: Hello everybody, and welcome to Wonderful, the Soccer Betting podcast 19 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 3: from the Action Network. My name is Michael Lee buff 20 00:00:56,440 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 3: and joining me for this hour season finale, our first 21 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 3: season finale episode are my good friends and colleagues BJ 22 00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 3: Cunningham and Anthony D. 23 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 6: Bundo. 24 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,759 Speaker 3: We just had a wild, wild weekend to close out 25 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 3: to the Premier League season, but now we'll shift our 26 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 3: focus ahead. 27 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 6: Two Saturdays. 28 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 3: Champions League final between Liverpool and Real Madrid is taking 29 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 3: place in Paris. Liverpool there plus one ten on the 30 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 3: three way money line, Madrid plus two fifty the draw 31 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:26,040 Speaker 3: plus two sixty five to lift the Trophy Liverpool minus 32 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 3: one seventy five, Real Madrid plus one. 33 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 6: Forty Anthony and BJ Like. 34 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:32,960 Speaker 3: We've talked a lot about both of these teams in 35 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:34,959 Speaker 3: similar fashions but also differently. 36 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:36,480 Speaker 6: Right, Like, we've known Liverpool. 37 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 3: The price on Liverpool has been inflated all season long, 38 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 3: but they kept winning, and we talked about how Real 39 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:44,320 Speaker 3: Madrid kept over performing their metrics, so the price was 40 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 3: always a little inflated on them, but they kept winning 41 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 3: and they won from you could call non sustainable or 42 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 3: unsustainable styles. Right, they came back to be PSG, they 43 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 3: had a last gas winning effort against Chelsea in a comeback, 44 00:01:58,040 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 3: and then of course the Man City game, which will 45 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 3: go down as one of the craziest Champions League comebacks ever. 46 00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 3: And then you look at the other side, you got Liverpool. 47 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 3: It couldn't have been more straightforward for them in the 48 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:09,919 Speaker 3: knockout round ter Benfica and via Real. So you think 49 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 3: what ends up happening with these games, these champions like 50 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 3: these finals, cup finals. I mean even when you think 51 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:18,800 Speaker 3: about like the super Bowl or championship games, one off games, 52 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 3: they're outliers. 53 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 6: We talked about this a little. 54 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 3: Bit before the Premier League final weekend where it doesn't 55 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 3: really matter what these two teams expected goals numbers are 56 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:31,359 Speaker 3: coming into the season or into this game, right does 57 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 3: It just doesn't matter. This is a ninety minute or 58 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 3: maybe a little bit more if it goes to extra 59 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 3: time game of soccer. So you can really just throw 60 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:40,919 Speaker 3: that all out the window and you're raw handicapping kind 61 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 3: of has to take over. You can look at the 62 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 3: numbers and the metrics and what they tell you, but 63 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 3: you're not handicapping Real Madrid long term. You're not candycapping 64 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 3: Liverpool for long term thinking oh, I'm going to beat 65 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 3: the market to a Liverpool fatigue thing, or I'm going 66 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 3: to beat the market to Real Madrid. 67 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:56,240 Speaker 6: Overperforming, which you're beating. 68 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 3: What you're doing here is just looking at one game 69 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 3: ninety minutes at a new vendue, and you're saying, all right, 70 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 3: how do these two teams match up? 71 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 6: And where's the value? 72 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 3: Lie? 73 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 6: So BJ let's start with you. 74 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 3: Are you tempted by either price here on the three 75 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 3: way money line or the price to lift the trophy? 76 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 3: How are you playing this year's final? 77 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 1: I think there's a ton of value on Liverpool to 78 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 1: win this in regular time there's a couple of things 79 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 1: that are a little concerning, and yes we can talk 80 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,519 Speaker 1: about the numbers, but the path that you mentioned for 81 00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:27,359 Speaker 1: Real Madrid it is quite insane. I mean, the first 82 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: leg against PSG, they get completely dominated. It was like 83 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,959 Speaker 1: two point nine expected goals too point four. PSG scores 84 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 1: in the ninety fourth minute to go up one nothing. 85 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: Then they go up one nothing in the second leg, 86 00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: and then Benzima goes berserk and scores through and I 87 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: believe he scored two and somebody else scored one and 88 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: they beat PSG. 89 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 2: Then they go, like you mentioned against Chelsea, go up 90 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 2: three one in the first leg. 91 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 1: Then they go down three to nothing and then get 92 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: a goal, get an extra time, and then win an 93 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 1: extra time. 94 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:53,839 Speaker 2: Then obviously we know what happened with Manchester City. 95 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 1: Throughout all of that, Real Madrid has created ten point 96 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 1: nine expected goals and given up four teen against Non 97 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 1: Shaktar and FC Sheriff matches. So including the two inter 98 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: matches from the group stage, they've scored seventeen and allowed eleven. 99 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 1: So we're talking close to a ten goal differential between 100 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 1: what was expected. That's crazy, It's just insane. 101 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:19,040 Speaker 2: They are the Kings of Europe. I wouldn't call there. 102 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:21,800 Speaker 1: I mean, obviously there's been some luck involved through their run, 103 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: but their style of play really can set up for 104 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 1: them for success in this match, which what they've tried 105 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: to do essentially against both Chelsea and PSG and even 106 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 1: Manchester City is sit deep and just look to hit 107 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: them on the counter, which did work against Manchester City, 108 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 1: it did work against Chelsea, and essentially once the match 109 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 1: kind of gets chaotic or somebody scores first and kind 110 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: of opens up, Real Madrid seems to play a little 111 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: bit better. Now can they do that again against Liverpool? 112 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: I'm not so sure, But right now we don't know 113 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:00,799 Speaker 1: the status of Famino, we don't know the statf of Thiago, 114 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,160 Speaker 1: which is massively important for Liverpool if they want to 115 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 1: do what PSG did to Real Madrid in the first leg, 116 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:08,719 Speaker 1: which is not allow them to get out in transition 117 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:09,520 Speaker 1: at all or. 118 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:10,920 Speaker 2: Create anything going forward. 119 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 1: If those two are playing, I'm very confident that Liverpool 120 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:15,840 Speaker 1: can thwart off any type of counter attack that Real 121 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:17,720 Speaker 1: Madrid is going to throw at them, much better than 122 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,159 Speaker 1: Manchester City did in that first leg when they were 123 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 1: obviously down a couple of defenders. Kyle Walker was out, 124 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 1: John Stones got hurt and if you remember, we had 125 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:29,039 Speaker 1: Fernandinho playing right back and getting cooked by Venetius Junior. 126 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: I don't think that's going to happen here against Liverpool 127 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:34,799 Speaker 1: Real Madrid. What's interesting is that Real Madrid actually played 128 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 1: through pressure very well against both City and Chelsea. Only 129 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: one of the four matches did City or Chelsea post 130 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: over thirty percent pressure success rate, which is really really 131 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 1: good because those two are heard two of the three 132 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: best pressing teams in the Premier League. But with that 133 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:54,559 Speaker 1: being said purely, if we look at numbers, Liverpool plus 134 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 1: one point four to five expect to go differential per 135 00:05:57,080 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: ninety minutes in the Premier League, the mostficult league in 136 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,839 Speaker 1: the world. Real Madrid plus point seven to two expect 137 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: to go difernial in La Lego, which is a step 138 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:07,600 Speaker 1: a little bit of a step below the Premier League. 139 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: Liverpool's basically doubled their output. So I have Liverpool projected 140 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 1: at minus one fifty to win this in regular time, 141 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,160 Speaker 1: minus two thirty four to lift the trophy. So I'm 142 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 1: taking the price in Liverpool at plus one ten. I 143 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:20,280 Speaker 1: am gonna wait until match time, though, I'm gonna wait 144 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:23,159 Speaker 1: for the statuses of the Binho and Theago. I'll probably 145 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: still end up playing Liverpool, but if those two are out, 146 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 1: I think I will get a better price on three 147 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: way money line. The price to lift the trophies a 148 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 1: little too juicy for me, So I'm gonna take a 149 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:36,040 Speaker 1: shot on them winning it in regular time because the 150 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 1: run has to end. 151 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 2: For Real Madrid at some point. It's playing this type 152 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:40,479 Speaker 2: of defense. 153 00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: You know. 154 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the final, but I mean those matches. 155 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 1: If they get pinned in with Cruse and Motor back there, 156 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 1: try and defend, it just doesn't work. It's happened through 157 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:53,720 Speaker 1: every single stage of the Champions League those two back there, 158 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: and Casimiro is obviously one of the best defensive midfielders 159 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 1: in the world, but it just hasn't worked. So going 160 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:01,279 Speaker 1: against the attack, a team like the attack and prowess 161 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 1: like Liverpool. Then I said the same thing about Master City. 162 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 1: Who knows, maybe Real Madrid will luck box their way 163 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:07,600 Speaker 1: to the final and win this whole thing. I know 164 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 1: Michael would love that, but again I said, you know, 165 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 1: we have a saying on the show. At some point 166 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:14,800 Speaker 1: we got to play numbers. I understand it's a final, 167 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: but I gotta play Liverpool plus one ten in regular 168 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 1: time to win because I think there's just tremendous value 169 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:20,240 Speaker 1: on it. 170 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think you know, if you look at the numbers, 171 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 3: if you look at all the signals that the metrics 172 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 3: are going to tell you, it's going to say you're 173 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 3: probably going to bet Liverpool. But this isn't the Round 174 00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 3: of sixteen. It's not like a group stage match. These 175 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 3: aren't two teams playing in the league and you're trying 176 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 3: to like figure out where they're going trending up, trending down. 177 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:37,119 Speaker 3: This is a final, like you said, and I actually 178 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 3: think there are some matchup things that work out for 179 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 3: Real Madrid. The injuries are one, right, like if if 180 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 3: Fabinho's out, if Thiago's out, that's big trouble. Then the 181 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 3: fatigue issues that we've seen from Liverpool, I mean, eye 182 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 3: test wise, you could see in that Wolves match, you 183 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 3: could see against aston Villa, you could see against Southampton 184 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 3: that they they're at the end of their rope and 185 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:00,080 Speaker 3: you can't blame them. They've played sixty something matches this 186 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 3: season across a ton of different competitions, so you're going 187 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 3: to get at the very least, you know Fabinho and 188 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 3: Thiago Virgil Van Dyke, Sala if they play, which we 189 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 3: know that Van Dyke and solid will, you're not getting 190 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 3: them at a hundred percent. And then if the other 191 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 3: two guys play, you're definitely not getting them even close 192 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 3: to one hundred percent. And then you look at I 193 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 3: think you talked about Venetius Junior. I think he can 194 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 3: have his way with Trent. Alexander Arnold's right, like Trent. 195 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 3: We know what we know how good Trent is going forward. 196 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,120 Speaker 3: We know that he's a little suspect going the other 197 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 3: way right, and we saw. 198 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 2: What had flash to some people. Some people think that 199 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 2: he's this amazing you know that type of right back. 200 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:39,880 Speaker 1: He's great, he's one of the best ball progressers and 201 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: creators from right back position, but he's not that good 202 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 1: of a. 203 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:45,440 Speaker 3: Defender without without Fabinho there to kind of put out 204 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 3: the fire. If Trent is caught forward like that's an issue, 205 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,199 Speaker 3: and without Van Dyke or if with a you know, 206 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 3: compromise Van Dyke, that's an issue. So I do think, like, 207 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 3: if you're just breaking this down, because once again this 208 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 3: is an in a vacuum game, you get you get 209 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 3: a couple of these outliers every season in every sport. 210 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 3: I'm just gonna take the price. I'm almost always going 211 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 3: to take the price. And I'm going to probably bet 212 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 3: Real Madrid here because they they've kind of also shown 213 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 3: in like moments like these kind of games come down 214 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 3: to game management and winning in the in the weird moments, 215 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:19,199 Speaker 3: limiting mistakes and stuff like that, and Angelotti is so 216 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 3: he's such. 217 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 6: A pragmatic manager in that regard. 218 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:23,839 Speaker 3: I mean, I watch it with Everden like he's he 219 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 3: like just knows how to, you know, get his team 220 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:28,199 Speaker 3: to do the right thing at the right time and 221 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:31,599 Speaker 3: to put out fires whenever it looks like they have 222 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 3: their backs against the wall. So I actually really don't 223 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 3: hate just completely throwing everything out the window and going 224 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 3: with Madrid, because I mean, it's a Cup final like 225 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 3: this is it's a cliche to say, but when you're betting, 226 00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:45,440 Speaker 3: if you're betting a thirty eight game season, it's very 227 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 3: very different from betting a one game outlier at the 228 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 3: end of that thirty eight game season as well, And 229 00:09:51,160 --> 00:09:53,680 Speaker 3: plus like, is there going to be like some sort 230 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:56,320 Speaker 3: of weird hangover effect from what Liverpool just went through 231 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 3: in the Premier League too, where they just gave everything 232 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:00,559 Speaker 3: to and then d up losing. 233 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:03,079 Speaker 1: One thing I'll say to that, though, is this is 234 00:10:03,120 --> 00:10:06,480 Speaker 1: a huge revenge spot. You know, with Liverpool losing to 235 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 1: Real Madrid three to one back in twenty eighteen, the 236 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:12,160 Speaker 1: famous Sergio Ramos did he and Dremsala. You know, I know, 237 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:14,200 Speaker 1: there's a bunch of conspiracy theorists out there that said 238 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 1: he actually didn't hurt him. But I mean Mosalid wanted 239 00:10:18,800 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 1: Real Madrid. He said that right before the final. He 240 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: did not want to play Man City. 241 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 2: He wanted Real Madrid to get of course they wanted. 242 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:26,679 Speaker 4: To play this. Yeah, so you talk about the lot 243 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 4: right now, that's not the case. 244 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:31,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, fatigue if they were playing you know, PSG, Yeah, 245 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 1: I could say, you know, we can talk about the fatigue. 246 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: But they're playing the team that just beat them, you know, 247 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 1: a few years ago and injured one of their best 248 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 1: players in the process. So I think that they will 249 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: be hungry and come out firing because this is their 250 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 1: last match. I mean, you give everything you have for 251 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:49,319 Speaker 1: the final, So I kind of throw the fatigue out 252 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 1: the window with the revenge. 253 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 2: In fact, it could yeah, no, it could. 254 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 6: I mean it could be. 255 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 3: But that's that's the thing, like you, there's so much, 256 00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 3: there's so much here to kind of just jump into 257 00:10:57,120 --> 00:11:00,559 Speaker 3: and to like sink your teeth into and at the 258 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 3: end of the day, none of it's gonna matter. There 259 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 3: could be a red card in the eight minute, right, 260 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 3: Like we could see a crazy goal like we saw 261 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 3: in that right, think about it. I have I have 262 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 3: referee staff the process. What was the Liverpool's goalie? Right, 263 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:16,120 Speaker 3: you could see a mistake like like those things will 264 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 3: happen like that, that happens in a in a in 265 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 3: a one game sample of soccer. Like, so it's gonna 266 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,599 Speaker 3: be chaos. It's it's a cup final, it's gonna be 267 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:25,959 Speaker 3: in Paris. Crowds are gonna be nuts and you're getting 268 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 3: both teams at the end of their ropes. So I 269 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:31,760 Speaker 3: just I trust Madrid and in these kinds of situations, Uh, 270 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 3: not to mention they've got the most clinical striker in 271 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:38,439 Speaker 3: the world going up against what could be like I said, 272 00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 3: compromise fan Like, Uh, Anthony, you've been sitting quietly. You 273 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:42,840 Speaker 3: want to talk about your reds though. 274 00:11:42,880 --> 00:11:45,559 Speaker 5: Yeah, my reds, you know, apparently they're my reds. Now, 275 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:48,400 Speaker 5: we didn't quite get the Premier League title. 276 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:49,480 Speaker 4: Uh damn. 277 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,200 Speaker 5: Great come back from City, but no, I think when 278 00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 5: we get into this match, you know, I do have 279 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:57,599 Speaker 5: an England ticket, so I have exposure on Liverpool and 280 00:11:57,640 --> 00:11:59,400 Speaker 5: I don't want to bet them. I when when the 281 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,559 Speaker 5: final came out that Wednesday come back by City and 282 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:04,079 Speaker 5: I was mad in the moment and I was like, 283 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 5: we're hitting Liverpool in the final, Like if they opened 284 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:09,559 Speaker 5: plus money, I'm betting them. Well, a lot's changed for 285 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:13,600 Speaker 5: me in the last three weeks last month because I think, 286 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 5: first of all, when you look at the number man 287 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 5: City was plus one hundred roughly plus one oh five 288 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 5: at Real Madrid. Now Liverpool's plus one hundred on our 289 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:23,200 Speaker 5: neutral So clearly there's been some market respect for Real 290 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 5: Madrid given that we think that, you know, roughly Liverpool 291 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:27,199 Speaker 5: and City are pretty even teams. 292 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 4: I think the biggest thing here is the fatigue. 293 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:31,520 Speaker 5: And I understand that it's one match and you can 294 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 5: get up for one match, but in theory they should 295 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 5: have been up for Sunday against Wolves and they were 296 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 5: flat and I understand that they ended up creating almost 297 00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 5: three expected goals. A lot of it came very very late, 298 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 5: but they conceded over one expected goal, and really there 299 00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:49,240 Speaker 5: was a lot of chances that a good, better counter 300 00:12:49,320 --> 00:12:51,559 Speaker 5: attacking team would have taken advantage of than Wolves. I 301 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 5: mean they were multiple three on two kind of runs 302 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 5: where the last ball was poor, the cross to the 303 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 5: back post was bad. They had a lot of chances 304 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:00,719 Speaker 5: to rip this team to shreds and transition, and I 305 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:03,199 Speaker 5: think a lot of it was just one Fabino was 306 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:06,599 Speaker 5: out and two they're tired. Rhyan O'Hanlon, a friend of 307 00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 5: the Pod, had Liverpool in the ninety fifth percentile of 308 00:13:09,920 --> 00:13:13,680 Speaker 5: pressing across Europe this year, Real Madrid fortieth percentiles. Chartie 309 00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 5: tweeted out on Wednesday, Real Madrid just don't run as much, 310 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:19,080 Speaker 5: so they're not as tired. And they won their league 311 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:22,680 Speaker 5: three weeks ago, so they've been rotating, relaxing. They played 312 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:24,680 Speaker 5: a couple, they played a nil nil draw, they played 313 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:27,319 Speaker 5: a one to one draw. They were rotating players in 314 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 5: and out of their lineup, making sure everybody's ready to go. 315 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 4: Liverpool has been going. 316 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,160 Speaker 5: Yes, they rotated for Southampton, but otherwise they played a 317 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:35,280 Speaker 5: cup final they won one hundred and twenty minutes. Then 318 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 5: they had to play two highly contested prem matches with 319 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 5: Villain Spurs. Then they had the weekend against Wolves two 320 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:42,959 Speaker 5: which they went all the way to the final minutes. 321 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:46,079 Speaker 5: So I'm concerned and I think if they're pressing, it's 322 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 5: just a little bit off and Marguston Krows have a 323 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 5: little bit of time on the ball. Alexander Arnold, I 324 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:52,679 Speaker 5: don't know how much of it is him not being 325 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,679 Speaker 5: a great defender versus he's just asked to get forward 326 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:57,839 Speaker 5: a lot and he's not superhuman. I mean, obviously he's 327 00:13:57,880 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 5: not Kyle Walker of a defender where he can get back, 328 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:03,960 Speaker 5: get in a position and always be there. He does 329 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:05,840 Speaker 5: fall asleep on the back post sometimes, but I think 330 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:09,120 Speaker 5: Venetius is extremely live here and we saw last year 331 00:14:09,160 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 5: in the Champions League that Venetius ripped apart Liverpool and 332 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:15,840 Speaker 5: that was really what decided their matchup. Now Vandyke didn't play, 333 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 5: so that's a big difference. But Venetius is also much better. 334 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 5: If you look at Venetia's last season three point two 335 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 5: shot creating actions per ninety. 336 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,000 Speaker 4: This year he's up to six. His crosses into the 337 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:28,080 Speaker 4: penaltary is up to three and a half, his passes 338 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 4: is up to two and a half. Both are a 339 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:31,720 Speaker 4: full one and a half better. 340 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 5: In each metric, So he's getting the ball into the 341 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 5: penaltaria more, he's doing more production. He's I think a 342 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:39,800 Speaker 5: big reason why bensimon has had a career year at 343 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:42,840 Speaker 5: what age, thirty five, thirty four. Of course, bensimon Is 344 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 5: finishing has been insane. Two fifteen goals from eight expected 345 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 5: in the Champions League is insane, so overall, you know, 346 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:51,040 Speaker 5: I think a month ago I would have happily bet 347 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:52,800 Speaker 5: Liverpool and said they're going to do what bj said. 348 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 4: They're gonna smother them, They're gonna press them off the pitch. 349 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 5: It's going to be like the Chelsea second leg where 350 00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 5: Real can't do anything and Chelsea or Liverpool would just domin, 351 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 5: create way more chances and probably win because they're going 352 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 5: to take more of those than you know, on average generally. 353 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 5: Of course, you know, variants canna happen, but now I 354 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 5: just don't know. Because if the press is a little off, 355 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:13,640 Speaker 5: Venietius gets up in the channel and Benzima does his 356 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 5: Benzima things, there's a very clear path here for Real 357 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 5: Madrid to sit back. Wait, let Liverpool have it, Let 358 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 5: Liverpool control it. Wait till Liverpool runs out of gas 359 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 5: and then create one, two, three attacking opportunities and then 360 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 5: win this match, or even just get it into extra time, 361 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,440 Speaker 5: which you know, if we get into extra time, we 362 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 5: saw Liverpool was extremely dead and the extra time against Chelsea. 363 00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 5: I think it's a very real possibility. I think the 364 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 5: longer this match goes, the more I like Real Madrid. 365 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 5: I think I like Liverpool early because they come out firing, pressing, running. 366 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 5: You know, maybe there is that revenge jangle and I 367 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 5: understand Liverpool have conceded early, but there's been some kind 368 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:51,840 Speaker 5: of fluky goals in there. But as the game gets longer, 369 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 5: it goes deeper. I think Real Madrid looks fresher and 370 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:58,440 Speaker 5: has a chance to take advantage. So yeah, I have 371 00:15:58,560 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 5: not placed a wager on this match sides the prop 372 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 5: which I put, which I will get into in a second, 373 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 5: but I'm really excited for it tactically. I think it 374 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 5: given the state of Manchester City right now with all 375 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:11,120 Speaker 5: their injuries, it almost sets up for a better final 376 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 5: with it being in Madrid. 377 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:13,200 Speaker 4: I would not have said that three weeks ago. 378 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I think it's also refreshing to have 379 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:18,800 Speaker 3: it teams from two different countries and so we'll get 380 00:16:18,800 --> 00:16:21,360 Speaker 3: that atmosphere going. You touch on something I want to 381 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 3: bring up, which is the Liverpool's given up the first 382 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 3: goal in four matches in a row in the Premier League. 383 00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 6: And we're not talking you know. 384 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 3: And the Wolves one, sure it was fluky, but they 385 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 3: just turned off for a second, right a long while 386 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 3: from Jose Sa. They turned off for a second back 387 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 3: of the net. 388 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 4: Southampton was a wee paction. 389 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 6: Yeah, and then Villa Villa was fine. 390 00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:41,160 Speaker 3: It was a seventies and its spurs right like so 391 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 3: so formerly but yeah, but still, but four matches in 392 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 3: a row where they've given up the first goal. Real 393 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 3: Madrid plus one fifteen to score first. I was hoping 394 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 3: that number is gonna be a little bit, a little 395 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:52,080 Speaker 3: bit higher than that. I'm not going near it, but 396 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 3: I just was like, God damn, because I've been talking 397 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 3: about those those Liverpool you know, we saw it with 398 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,640 Speaker 3: the ort City a couple months ago Towo where they 399 00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 3: they gave the first one. 400 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 6: It's almost like. 401 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:03,680 Speaker 3: They need that to get like dragged into the game 402 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:06,639 Speaker 3: because they they've just been so accustomed to rolling teams. 403 00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 3: That's a dangerous dangers game to play against. Team like 404 00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 3: Real Madrid, and I think going back to just like 405 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 3: the tactics in the matchup there, like you touched on 406 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:19,199 Speaker 3: an anthony, how how many opportunities did you know, Huang 407 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:22,560 Speaker 3: and Rabul, him and z have if they they were 408 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:24,359 Speaker 3: just a little bit better, if they were if they were. 409 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 4: Korea bad, they're not very good. 410 00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:28,199 Speaker 5: Play like they're not good, right, so like it's they 411 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 5: I mean Wolves had there were two opportunities in the 412 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 5: second half, and then there was the Kanate barge when 413 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:34,000 Speaker 5: you kind of like elbowed him over and I was like, 414 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 5: that's kind of about. 415 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:37,639 Speaker 2: Any other day any other team that's a penalty. 416 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 5: Yes, oh most of the time exact Liverpool will still 417 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 5: haven't conceded a penalt a year. 418 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:44,160 Speaker 4: By the way, they made it a whole season, which 419 00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:45,119 Speaker 4: is crazy to think about it. 420 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:47,399 Speaker 1: And I don't think I want to mention Real Madrid 421 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:49,920 Speaker 1: went the entire league season without getting a red card. 422 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,760 Speaker 2: To the minute that Sergio Ramas leaves the red card 423 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 2: and she stops. 424 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 5: I mean, that's surprising that Casamira didn't get one the 425 00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:58,639 Speaker 5: whole I know, I saw that. I was like, oh, 426 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,239 Speaker 5: you go back to the I mean the second leg 427 00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 5: against City Casimira should have had multiple yellows, and the 428 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 5: reason he you know, they kind of kept putting it off, 429 00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 5: giving him the first one, and then he had multiple 430 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:12,520 Speaker 5: yellow card challenges that were not given yellow cards, and 431 00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:14,439 Speaker 5: so I think, you know, that plays a huge role 432 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,320 Speaker 5: into this because if Kasimir gets an early yellow, that 433 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 5: dramatically affects the ability of. 434 00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:22,879 Speaker 4: Real Madrid to defend and to. 435 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 5: Take transition away transit opportunity away from Liverpool, because they're 436 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 5: going to get some of those two and they're just 437 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,320 Speaker 5: as good, if they're not better than Real Madrid and 438 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:32,639 Speaker 5: those opportunities when they get the break into space, especially 439 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:36,200 Speaker 5: somebody like Luis Diaz, who I think it's pretty clear 440 00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 5: is benefiting from the fact that he has the fresher 441 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:42,959 Speaker 5: legs compared to his teammates like Salah, who has cooled off. 442 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:44,360 Speaker 4: I mean, he almost lost the Golden Boot. 443 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 5: He got a fortunate goal late, but he almost blew 444 00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 5: the Golden Boot race and fell off considerably if you 445 00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:50,600 Speaker 5: look at his production numbers in like the last twelve 446 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:51,679 Speaker 5: to fifteen matches. 447 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:51,840 Speaker 2: Of the season. 448 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,560 Speaker 6: All right, So, I mean it sounds like we'll. 449 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:57,359 Speaker 3: Wrap up this neatly at the very very end of 450 00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 3: the show. But for right now, it looks like, you know, 451 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:02,440 Speaker 3: BJ is standing over there with his man Jurgen clop 452 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:04,760 Speaker 3: Antony and I are probably looking the other way. 453 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:06,120 Speaker 2: Let's get into normal one. 454 00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:08,920 Speaker 6: Let's get up into some prop markets. I'll just throw 455 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 6: throwing out there. 456 00:19:09,840 --> 00:19:12,440 Speaker 3: You guys could tell me yes or no, just to 457 00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:14,879 Speaker 3: start here, and then maybe we'll talk about some anytime 458 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 3: goal scorers, and then I know you two both have 459 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:18,960 Speaker 3: some you want to talk about both teams to score. 460 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:22,880 Speaker 3: This is a pretty popular market that people like to play. 461 00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:25,400 Speaker 3: Yes minus one sixty five no plus one thirty five. 462 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,040 Speaker 3: I don't think there's much value in either way. 463 00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:29,120 Speaker 2: I would I would lean. 464 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:32,000 Speaker 3: Towards the no, because, like Be just said, like, there 465 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,600 Speaker 3: is a chance here that if Liverpool does show up 466 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:37,200 Speaker 3: and they are their best version, we could see just 467 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:39,960 Speaker 3: a completely swarming you know, Liverpool clean sheet. 468 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:41,879 Speaker 6: So rather than if you're going to say both teams to. 469 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:44,400 Speaker 3: Score, no, I would just bet Liverpool to win via 470 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:47,440 Speaker 3: clean sheet. If you're looking that way, anything for you 471 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 3: there with both teams to score, BJA or any other 472 00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 3: props you want to discuss before. 473 00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm passing on the both teams to score, especially 474 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:57,440 Speaker 1: in a final like this real Madrid. I mean, there's 475 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 1: there's a couple exact score props that I kind of like. 476 00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:02,720 Speaker 1: The one I like the most that I'm showing a 477 00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:06,440 Speaker 1: little value on in terms of my projections is Liverpool 478 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 1: to win three to one is fifteen to one. I 479 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 1: have that projected round a little over eleven to one, 480 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,119 Speaker 1: so I think there's some value there. And another one 481 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:16,920 Speaker 1: I really like, there's actually two in terms of anytime 482 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:17,640 Speaker 1: goal scorers. 483 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 2: If the Weast Yes starts, I love him plus two 484 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:21,240 Speaker 2: thirty to actually score. 485 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 1: I mean he had a point four xtug per ninety 486 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 1: minute scoring rate in the Premier League, scored twice in 487 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:29,680 Speaker 1: the Champions League obviously has been a huge bright spot 488 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 1: for Liverpool. Basically tit has taken for me out of 489 00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 1: the lineup. I don't know if you'll actually start though. 490 00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:38,119 Speaker 1: I mean they might go with the Panda, Jota Mane 491 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,399 Speaker 1: and Sala, and if they do that then you know, 492 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:42,280 Speaker 1: we obviously don't play a sub to come off the 493 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:42,960 Speaker 1: bench at score. 494 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 5: But if that's the case, the I think it's I 495 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:49,120 Speaker 5: think you have to start for those prompts anyway, Yeah, okay, yeah, 496 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 5: and then last year I bet Fernandinho to get a 497 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:54,160 Speaker 5: yellow card. Yeah, he didn't start, so the bet was voided. 498 00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:55,600 Speaker 5: And then he came on and got a yellow card 499 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:57,119 Speaker 5: and I was like, I should get paid out. 500 00:20:57,880 --> 00:20:59,240 Speaker 2: Yeah they didn't. 501 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:02,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, and then if the latter is true, if they 502 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: do start Jota in the middle him, I believe he's 503 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,760 Speaker 1: around plus two hundred to score at any time. 504 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:10,400 Speaker 2: I love that price on him. His I mean, he's 505 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:11,520 Speaker 2: one of you. 506 00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:12,919 Speaker 1: I think he was the big, one of the biggest 507 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 1: underperformers in the Premier League in terms of KSHI and 508 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,240 Speaker 1: actual goal scored. I think there was about a three 509 00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,359 Speaker 1: or four goal differential between his expected and as actual. 510 00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:22,920 Speaker 1: So obviously if he starts up top, I love him. 511 00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 1: There's a couple defenders and this is like I'm going 512 00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:28,000 Speaker 1: right down Lebov's alley here. 513 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 2: But I don't hate Eder. 514 00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 1: Miltau or Virgil van Dyke at eight to one konate 515 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,120 Speaker 1: if he starts, or Matip at twelve. 516 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:37,639 Speaker 2: To one to score. 517 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 1: If you look at Liverpool and Real Madrid's numbers off 518 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:43,520 Speaker 1: of set pieces, I mean they're pretty average. 519 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:44,560 Speaker 2: They're not that great. 520 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 1: They're on point one actually per set piece, which is 521 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 1: pretty much average right down the line. So and obviously 522 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:55,120 Speaker 1: we've seen real Madrid score how many times off the crosses. 523 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,119 Speaker 1: I understand that most Benz has been on the end 524 00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,640 Speaker 1: of most of them, but again I don't hate taking 525 00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:02,080 Speaker 1: a shot on one of those guys as anytime goal scorer. 526 00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: But yeah, other than that exact score three to one, 527 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 1: at fifteen to one, Luis diasa score anytime plus do thirty. 528 00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,080 Speaker 1: If they start Jote, then I'll take him at two 529 00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,879 Speaker 1: to one, and then yeah, they'row on some small darts 530 00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:19,359 Speaker 1: on Van Dyke kanate Mati you know, Militao to score 531 00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 1: at high prices. 532 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:22,960 Speaker 6: My tips and on a goal scoring run right now, 533 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:23,639 Speaker 6: I'm always with you. 534 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 1: Nat scored twice in the Champions League too, against Benefica 535 00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:28,159 Speaker 1: and Vral, so like I. 536 00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 3: Mean, you're looking at first goal scorers too, like Joel 537 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,040 Speaker 3: mattip Is thirty five to one, Van Dyke twenty three 538 00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:35,639 Speaker 3: to one, which is short, but like you get when 539 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,399 Speaker 3: you I like for first goal scorers especially, I like 540 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 3: to target those those big center backs who will be 541 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:42,960 Speaker 3: coming up on corner kicks or someone who will take 542 00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:45,600 Speaker 3: some sort of some some set pieces, like Andrew robertson 543 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 3: thirty five to one is interesting. Trent Alexander Arnold thirty 544 00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:50,959 Speaker 3: five to one for first goal scorer. Those I think 545 00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,160 Speaker 3: those are good numbers because off of a direct free kick. 546 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:58,280 Speaker 3: I mean, you don't hate their chances. I do also 547 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,760 Speaker 3: want to talk Aboutinga. I don't think he's going to start, 548 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:03,879 Speaker 3: but if you can get like a live prop on him, 549 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:05,639 Speaker 3: is it any time goal scorer or the next goal 550 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:07,920 Speaker 3: scorer when he does come on, like because kind of 551 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:09,760 Speaker 3: what Anthony was saying right like, if you look at 552 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:12,280 Speaker 3: this Liverpool team and we're getting to like the seventieth minute, 553 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,359 Speaker 3: it's a tight game in Anchilatti switches, you know, subs 554 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:16,600 Speaker 3: out off cruise. 555 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:20,080 Speaker 6: For Kama Vinga. I mean that guy you can just 556 00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:20,840 Speaker 6: fly and. 557 00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,160 Speaker 3: He should be able to at least create a chance 558 00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 3: or too, just through his pace alone. And if he 559 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:28,680 Speaker 3: does start, I like him obviously for any time goal 560 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 3: scorer or first goal scorer as well. 561 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:32,640 Speaker 6: Anthony, what props are you targeting? 562 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,440 Speaker 5: Yeah, So if Thiago plays, I'm going to be betting 563 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 5: him to get a yellow card or to get a 564 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:40,240 Speaker 5: card at plus three hundred for sure. Thiago just his 565 00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 5: style of play and generally how he likes to get 566 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,119 Speaker 5: stuck in in these types of matches. He likes to 567 00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:48,119 Speaker 5: kind of impose himself early. It's a noticeable thing when 568 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:51,880 Speaker 5: you watch Liverpool. Their press is very dependent on him 569 00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,119 Speaker 5: being willing to take a tactical foul too. Same thing 570 00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:56,040 Speaker 5: for Fabinho, but the price isn't there on him. So 571 00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 5: if Thiago starts, I'm going to betting him a plus 572 00:23:58,000 --> 00:23:59,800 Speaker 5: three hundred to get a card. And I think it's 573 00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:01,640 Speaker 5: just a matter of Moggian croats. You're gonna be trying 574 00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:03,240 Speaker 5: to turn him and get him in right in bad 575 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:04,399 Speaker 5: situations and then he. 576 00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,320 Speaker 4: Will take the foul, put the hard tackle in. So 577 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 4: that's where I look. 578 00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 5: But my favorite prop and one that I already bet, 579 00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:14,800 Speaker 5: is Venetius Junior over shots on goal one half, so 580 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,600 Speaker 5: he just needs one shot on goal at minus one twenty. 581 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 5: And the reason I'm playing it is I think that 582 00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:22,239 Speaker 5: this sets up in a situation where the clock might 583 00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 5: even be okay with the trade off of the fact that, look, 584 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,119 Speaker 5: we're gonna press high, We're going to create more chances 585 00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 5: than you. We're going to win the match that way, 586 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:33,399 Speaker 5: you know, unless variance gets us and we yes, we're 587 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 5: gonna leave space in behind. Vinetius is going to have 588 00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,119 Speaker 5: a chance to run at Van Dyke all day, and 589 00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:40,239 Speaker 5: Van Dyke's very good. I expect Van Dyke to win 590 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:41,920 Speaker 5: a lot of those battles, similar to what Kyle Walker 591 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 5: was doing in the semifinal before he went off. Remember 592 00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 5: it was after he went off that City kind of 593 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 5: fumbled the bag a little bit defensively. So overall, I 594 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:52,399 Speaker 5: think when you when you look at it, Venetius at 595 00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,159 Speaker 5: minus one twenty to get a shot on target is 596 00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:57,440 Speaker 5: pretty good value for me. You figure Reamdrid, I'll get 597 00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:00,360 Speaker 5: about a eight to ten shots in this game on average. 598 00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 4: And so I like the over there. I like to 599 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:03,439 Speaker 4: think he'll get one of them. 600 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:06,359 Speaker 1: One thing I want to mention, just from terms of props, 601 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 1: the referee for this. It's Clement Sirpinn, who is a 602 00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 1: referee in France. He has refereed six matches in the 603 00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:15,800 Speaker 1: Champions Well, I guess in France he averages about three 604 00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 1: point eight yellow cards per match, which is right right 605 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 1: and basically in the middle the Champions League, he's given 606 00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:23,199 Speaker 1: out three red cards. 607 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,440 Speaker 2: They came all in the same match, if you remember, 608 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 2: it was the Porto. 609 00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 1: And second leg where every just chaos and soon in 610 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:32,800 Speaker 1: the final, you know, a few minutes whatever. But he 611 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: did referee the seven to one Bayern beat down of 612 00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:40,399 Speaker 1: Salzburg and then the first leg of Chelsea and Real Madrid. 613 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 2: He gave out two cards. 614 00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:44,400 Speaker 1: In that match, so I'm not sure. I haven't seen 615 00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:46,600 Speaker 1: any props in terms of over under for yellow cards 616 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,080 Speaker 1: right now, but I'm depending on what the line is. 617 00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:50,680 Speaker 1: I don't really think there's much value because I don't 618 00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:53,359 Speaker 1: think we have a Mike Dean type situation here with 619 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:55,160 Speaker 1: the referee, so I don't think we're getting much value 620 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:56,440 Speaker 1: based on who the referee is. 621 00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 6: And a very happy retirement to me. 622 00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,160 Speaker 2: Yeah happy, he's gonna be v a R now exactly. Yeah, 623 00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:03,040 Speaker 2: even better. 624 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,080 Speaker 5: So uh, you know, we do wish him, but he 625 00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,480 Speaker 5: gets an even better chance to inject himself into the 626 00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:09,199 Speaker 5: match and. 627 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:15,320 Speaker 1: Give and give Tottenham every break possible. Noted Mike Dean, 628 00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 1: It's true. 629 00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 4: Can we get an official statement on Spurs getting top four? 630 00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:20,840 Speaker 2: It sucks. 631 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:24,560 Speaker 1: I'm sad. I mean it was at the Newcastle match, 632 00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,240 Speaker 1: sunk us. It was there was no chance that Norwich 633 00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:30,200 Speaker 1: was winning. Whoever said that they would rather play Real 634 00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:33,880 Speaker 1: Madrid than Norwich in the final should be I don't 635 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:34,639 Speaker 1: want to be mean, but. 636 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:36,680 Speaker 6: They told me it was a huge, huge upset for 637 00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,959 Speaker 6: Tottenham Road Norwich plus two. 638 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:41,360 Speaker 4: I think I gave that on our podcast. 639 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, whoever says I'd rather play Real Madrid than Norwich, 640 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:45,680 Speaker 1: I kind of want to punch them in the face. 641 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,920 Speaker 6: Right, it might happen. It might happen. 642 00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 3: We could probably set that up. All right, let's let's 643 00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:53,359 Speaker 3: wrap this up the Champions League Final. I'm going to 644 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:55,239 Speaker 3: ask each of us to take a stand on our 645 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:58,040 Speaker 3: favorite bet for the match. BJ Let's start with you. 646 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,240 Speaker 2: Liverpool plus one ten to win in regular time. 647 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:05,399 Speaker 1: I have this projected at Liverpool minus one fifty purely 648 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,560 Speaker 1: based on the numbers. Everything points to Liverpool plus one 649 00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 1: point four to five expected goal differential per ninety minutes 650 00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 1: in the Premier League, which is the best league in 651 00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,879 Speaker 1: the world, Real Madrid plus point seven to two in 652 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:19,240 Speaker 1: La Lega, so Liverpool is basically doubled Real Madrid's expected 653 00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:23,200 Speaker 1: goal output. I if Theago and Fabini are both playing, 654 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 1: I really really like Liverpool. If they're both not, I'll 655 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,640 Speaker 1: probably end up still playing Liverpool, but I'll probably wait. 656 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 2: A poser to match time. 657 00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:32,480 Speaker 1: But again, this all points to Liverpool for me so 658 00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 1: love the Reds, love Jurgen klop and I think that 659 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,040 Speaker 1: they're going to get revenge from the twenty eighteen final. 660 00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:41,679 Speaker 6: I'm gonna go the other way. I like Real Madrid. 661 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,160 Speaker 3: I would play them, you know, if you either way 662 00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:46,720 Speaker 3: the ninety minute line plus two fifty or to trophy 663 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 3: plus one forty. 664 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 6: In situations like this, the numbers, the singals, they're all 665 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:51,440 Speaker 6: get a point one way. 666 00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:54,520 Speaker 3: But there are some under the radar things or under 667 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:56,159 Speaker 3: the hood things that you need to keep an eye on. 668 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,200 Speaker 3: For Liverpool, we've talked about the fatigue, We've talked about 669 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:03,400 Speaker 3: the banged up important pieces, especially in the spine right Thiago, Fabinho, 670 00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:05,440 Speaker 3: virgil Van Dyke. They're not gonna be one hundred percent. 671 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,320 Speaker 3: They all played down the middle, and I do like 672 00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:11,080 Speaker 3: the matchup for Vinnie Junior going up against Trent Alexander Arnold. 673 00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 3: I think that this game could have some chaos and 674 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,600 Speaker 3: that helps the underdock in most situations. So plus two 675 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:18,760 Speaker 3: fifty on Real Madrid. A team that has shown that 676 00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:21,400 Speaker 3: they can handle big moments, they know how to navigate 677 00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 3: their way through turbulent parts of matches and ties, and 678 00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:29,120 Speaker 3: a great manager at Carlo Ancelotti Everden legend, Carlo Ancelotti. 679 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:31,919 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go Los Blancos, the Kings of Europe, 680 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 3: Real Madrid, Anthony, what about you. 681 00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:38,960 Speaker 5: I'm taking Veneties Junior over a half shots on goal 682 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 5: minus one twenty DraftKings. I think Venetias is in the 683 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:45,400 Speaker 5: midst of a leap year. He's taken a huge leap 684 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,840 Speaker 5: at age twenty one to produce five point nine shot 685 00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,240 Speaker 5: creating actions per ninety three point three carriages of the 686 00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:53,880 Speaker 5: penalty area, two point four pass into the penalty area, 687 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 5: all almost double and about sixty percent better than what 688 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 5: he was doing last season a Madrid. So you've seen 689 00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 5: a clear increase from him. You also have a Liverpool 690 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 5: press that has not quite been as effective since they've 691 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 5: had a lot of fatigue issues. They also have midfield 692 00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,600 Speaker 5: concerns like bj mentioned, and so I'm gonna go with 693 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:14,680 Speaker 5: Venetias to get a shot on goal at minus one twenty. 694 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:16,240 Speaker 5: I do think he has a good matchup with Alex 695 00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:18,000 Speaker 5: inner Arnold, and I do think he will be the 696 00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:19,920 Speaker 5: focal point of this attack, trying to get the ball 697 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,440 Speaker 5: into Benzima and then getting shots off himself when given 698 00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,360 Speaker 5: the opportunity Venetius Is finishing has always been a red 699 00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:27,560 Speaker 5: flag with him in the past, but he's improved in 700 00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,960 Speaker 5: that department as well this season. So I'm going with 701 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,640 Speaker 5: the over a half shots and that. 702 00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:36,120 Speaker 3: Will do it for another episode of Wonder Goal. It's 703 00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:39,080 Speaker 3: been a wonderful season with the two of you, BJ Anthony, 704 00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:42,360 Speaker 3: I thank you both for joining me on this journey. 705 00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:44,880 Speaker 3: We'll probably be back here and there over the summer, 706 00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,160 Speaker 3: maybe we have another Fabrizio Romano interview or something crazy 707 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 3: like that, but barring that, we'll see you guys later 708 00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 3: in the summer, probably sometime in late July, to preview 709 00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:57,800 Speaker 3: the upcoming Premier League season and talk about, you know, 710 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:01,760 Speaker 3: maybe Frank Lampard's everted kate crashing the top four. But 711 00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 3: until then, best of luck with your bets in the 712 00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 3: Champions League Final.