WEBVTT - Dimensional Fund CEO David Booth: Masters in Business (Audio)

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<v Speaker 1>This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the podcast. This is Barry Ridholts. And again

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<v Speaker 1>I know I say this every week. We have a

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<v Speaker 1>very special guest this week, but this week we really

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<v Speaker 1>have a very special guest. His name is David Booth.

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<v Speaker 1>He is the founder and chairman of Dimensional Funds. They

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<v Speaker 1>run a couple of shekels over four hundred billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>You may recognize the name Booth courtesy of the Chicago

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<v Speaker 1>Graduate School of Business also known as the David S.

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<v Speaker 1>Booth School of Business, David Booth the Booth School at Chicago. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>David made a fairly tremendous gift to the Booth School

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<v Speaker 1>of At the time, it was valued at three hundred

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<v Speaker 1>million dollars, but considering it was a mix of cash

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<v Speaker 1>and stock spread out over a number of years, it

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<v Speaker 1>might even be worth closer to half a billion, is

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<v Speaker 1>my back of the envelope guess, based on the assets

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<v Speaker 1>under management in Chicago. I mean at Dimensional what that

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<v Speaker 1>means to the Chicago school and um, it's it's really

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<v Speaker 1>worked out tremendously well. David really credits Chicago for all

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<v Speaker 1>of the success he's had in his career. Dimensional is

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<v Speaker 1>just a monster uh fund. They've done really well, starting

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<v Speaker 1>out with literally zero dollars in there, now coming up

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<v Speaker 1>on half a trillion dollars. They don't sell directly to

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<v Speaker 1>the public. About a little less than half of what

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<v Speaker 1>they do is institutional. The other half is sold through

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<v Speaker 1>financial advisors. In full disclosure, my office is the Dimensional shop.

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<v Speaker 1>We've we've been using them as part of our core

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<v Speaker 1>portfolios and and we've been really happy with them both

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<v Speaker 1>as a service provider and the performance of the funds.

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<v Speaker 1>I think you'll find David is really a fascinating guy.

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<v Speaker 1>He doesn't usually do these sorts of interviews. He's more

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<v Speaker 1>of a print guy. So it was really interesting to

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<v Speaker 1>hear him unedited, unvarnished in his own words, very very

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<v Speaker 1>savvy and individual and when you look at at the success,

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<v Speaker 1>when you look at what he's built over the years,

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<v Speaker 1>it's really quite amazing. So rather than have me babbyl

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<v Speaker 1>on and on with no further ado, here is my

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<v Speaker 1>conversation with David Booth. This is Masters in Business with

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<v Speaker 1>Barry Ridholds on Bloomberg Radio Today. My special guest is

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<v Speaker 1>David Booth. David is the founder, chairman and co CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of Dimensional Funds and asset management firm running over four

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<v Speaker 1>hundred billion dollars. Little background about David. He got his

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<v Speaker 1>degree in economics in n at Kansas, where he also

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<v Speaker 1>got a master was in business the following year, and

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<v Speaker 1>then ended up going to the University of Chicago for

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<v Speaker 1>his m b a. In nineteen seventy one. As of now,

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<v Speaker 1>the University of Chicago is known as the David Booth

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<v Speaker 1>Graduate School of Business, following a major endowment made. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>I should really call you doctor Booth, but I know

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<v Speaker 1>that I don't have the the official Well, David, welcome

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<v Speaker 1>to the show. Well, thank you very much, glad to

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<v Speaker 1>be here. Um, so let's talk a little bit about

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<v Speaker 1>your your background. In your your from Kansas, did you

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<v Speaker 1>have and you and you obviously focused on business and

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<v Speaker 1>got your masters in business. Did you ever have any

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<v Speaker 1>plans on going into the world of investment before your

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<v Speaker 1>m b A. Uh No, Actually I went to I

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<v Speaker 1>went to Chicago, I went into the PhD program. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>I went there with the idea of becoming a professor

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<v Speaker 1>eventually going back to Kansas, went back to Kansas and teaching.

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<v Speaker 1>So how on Earth. Did you make that pivot from

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<v Speaker 1>being a professor to running a very large and successful

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<v Speaker 1>investment firm. Well, my um, Um, how it came about

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<v Speaker 1>was in my second year in the program, I was

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<v Speaker 1>working for Jane Fama, the Nobel laureate famous for developing

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<v Speaker 1>the efficient market hypothesis, and it was a phenomenally great experience.

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<v Speaker 1>But I I realized I didn't, Um, yeah, I no

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<v Speaker 1>longer want to be a professor. And as he tells

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<v Speaker 1>the story, UM, I walked into his office one day

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<v Speaker 1>and said, I know what you do, and I don't

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<v Speaker 1>want to do it. Now. Why is that? I've read

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<v Speaker 1>you said that he's the smartest, most intuitive, most competitive

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<v Speaker 1>person you met at the time, Right, and you didn't

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<v Speaker 1>want to enter field where you're up against the hundreds

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<v Speaker 1>of guys like that. Well, I think it's not more

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<v Speaker 1>than that. It's Um, I love the competition because you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we chose to go into money meagument business, which is

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<v Speaker 1>highly competitive. So it's not so much about the competition

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<v Speaker 1>is as it is that, Uh, I'm not very good

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<v Speaker 1>at studying something for years in order to really come

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<v Speaker 1>out with these great research um projects. Uh, you know

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<v Speaker 1>that it requires and an ability to sit there and

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<v Speaker 1>study for years on end the same subject. And I

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<v Speaker 1>realized I didn't have that, So you didn't want to

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<v Speaker 1>just focus on that one niche and and do that

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<v Speaker 1>deep dive. Let's talk a little bit about UM. You

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<v Speaker 1>mentioned the course you took with Fama was life changing.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that that's not an exaggeration, is it? No, it's

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<v Speaker 1>not an exaggeration at all. I mean, I'm was twenty

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<v Speaker 1>two year old, never grew up in a very modest

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<v Speaker 1>household like most people of the time, and um, the

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<v Speaker 1>my first course in investing was was taught by Jeane Fama,

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<v Speaker 1>and it all made sense to me. It Uh, it

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<v Speaker 1>wasn't until later I found out almost nobody else believed that, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know what he was teaching. But so I really was.

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<v Speaker 1>It was transformative to me, and it was a period

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<v Speaker 1>of time that was really transformative for the field of finance.

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<v Speaker 1>The field of finance really I went through with their

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<v Speaker 1>score of years from the mid fifties of the mid

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<v Speaker 1>seventies were it kind of really went from a nothing

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<v Speaker 1>field to a true academic discipline with models and theories

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<v Speaker 1>and good research. So let's talk about UM. Some time

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<v Speaker 1>after you left, uh, I was gonna call it booth,

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<v Speaker 1>but I guess I really can't. Um mc McCowen hired

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<v Speaker 1>you at Will's Fargo, where pretty much he created what

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<v Speaker 1>was the first practical index fund. Tell us about your

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<v Speaker 1>experience working with McAllen. Okay, Well, I'll start with a

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<v Speaker 1>connection first. So when I talked to FOM and said

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<v Speaker 1>I wanted to leave the program, he called up Mac

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<v Speaker 1>and UH said, because Mac could, I always wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>hire one of his students, and so uh Uh and

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<v Speaker 1>Mac wanted to come out with a what was seemingly

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<v Speaker 1>crazy idea at the time, of an index fund, and

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<v Speaker 1>UH and he and I hit it off, and we

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<v Speaker 1>went out and UH and UH started the first index

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<v Speaker 1>funded in nine mostly for institutions that it was only

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<v Speaker 1>institutional in And we really didn't funny enough. We weren't

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<v Speaker 1>successful enough or quickly enough. So eventually the Wells Fargo

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<v Speaker 1>shut down our group and UH not a great decision.

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<v Speaker 1>They're not a great decision. Well, it continued on. It

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<v Speaker 1>turned out to be good for them because the Trust

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<v Speaker 1>Department then picked it up then to try. After a

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<v Speaker 1>number of years, Wells Fargo UH sold half the business

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<v Speaker 1>to Nico and then the whole business to Nico, and

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<v Speaker 1>then Nico sold it to Barclays and then Solid Black Rocks. Yeah. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>So what was the I recall reading Samsonite Luggage was

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<v Speaker 1>somehow involved in the original index fund. What what was

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<v Speaker 1>their relationship there? Well, they called the University of Chicago

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<v Speaker 1>and a professor there, Jim Laurian, said, who's it trying

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<v Speaker 1>to apply these ideas? And Laurie said, well, well, as

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<v Speaker 1>Fargo this group out there. So so Samson I called

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<v Speaker 1>us up and said if this makes a lot of sense, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>why don't we go with it? So that was for

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<v Speaker 1>their pension pension. Really the first a practical index one

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<v Speaker 1>was it just the SMB or what was the index

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<v Speaker 1>based on? It was an equally equally waited index Fonte, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it was kind of That's interesting. Well, you have to

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<v Speaker 1>it's a product of the times, you know, and the

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<v Speaker 1>early seventies. Uh, the people promised all kinds of wild

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<v Speaker 1>performance objectives and and so you're always trying to figure

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<v Speaker 1>out how can you we're using come from the passive

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<v Speaker 1>side of things, how can you create something that has

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<v Speaker 1>a chance of beating the market and by holding equally

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<v Speaker 1>weighted securities instead of the SMP five hundred, which is

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<v Speaker 1>market that that got more the smaller companies and greater

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<v Speaker 1>emphasis to hire beta stock. So and the old joke

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<v Speaker 1>is that the mad desk for alpha often leaves not

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<v Speaker 1>only no alpha, but no beta. Yeah, there you go.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry rid Hult. You're listening to Masters in Business

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today is David Booth.

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<v Speaker 1>He is the co CEO and chairman of Dimensional Fund Advisors,

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<v Speaker 1>a four hundred billion asset management business. And and before

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<v Speaker 1>the break we were talking about, UM, how you founded

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<v Speaker 1>the company, and the company legend is this was begun

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<v Speaker 1>in a brown stone in Brooklyn. Well, that's right, it was.

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<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't say that the idea was destined for success,

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<v Speaker 1>and necessarily it wasn't pretty determined that it will be successful.

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<v Speaker 1>The act the idea we started with was a small company. UH,

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<v Speaker 1>index linked type portfolio. UM. I say index linked type

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<v Speaker 1>because there were no small cap indices, so it's hard

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<v Speaker 1>to was index fund if there's no indices. This was

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<v Speaker 1>pre Russell two thousands around all right, And what's the

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<v Speaker 1>story with the phone company not giving you phone lines?

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<v Speaker 1>They thought you were running a bookie joiners. Well, the

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<v Speaker 1>world wasn't quite ready for a money management firm in

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<v Speaker 1>Brooklyn at the time, back before it became fashionable. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>And so we started with the idea that, uh, there's

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<v Speaker 1>a simple proposition that we went in and talked to

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<v Speaker 1>big institutions about. It was that informing an equity portfolio,

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<v Speaker 1>you ought to have stocks of large companies and small companies.

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<v Speaker 1>He should invest all your money just in large I

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<v Speaker 1>mean makes sense, and it makes sense. Uh. So that

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<v Speaker 1>was the proposition. I'll observe. We didn't have a track record.

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<v Speaker 1>Actually nobody did, because institutions weren't holding the stocks of

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<v Speaker 1>smaller companies in any great proportion. About the only small

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<v Speaker 1>companies stocks they were holding, or stocks of companies that

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<v Speaker 1>once have been big companies. Uh and so so they

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<v Speaker 1>had the odds and the small company exposure. But this

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<v Speaker 1>was the first systematic way of accessing a small cap universe.

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<v Speaker 1>And these were really relative to what the typical pension

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<v Speaker 1>funds or mutual fund was holding. These were really microcaps.

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<v Speaker 1>These were my Yeah, these were um, very small companies.

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<v Speaker 1>But it would you know, it's roughly about uh six

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<v Speaker 1>of the total stocks and that are publicly traded but

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<v Speaker 1>inaggregate they only represent about, you know, five percent of

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<v Speaker 1>the market. Did you run into any special challenges trying

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<v Speaker 1>to either trade these things, find coverage on these companies,

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<v Speaker 1>or the whole idea of microcaps the big pension funds.

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<v Speaker 1>How was it received well? It was received well, but

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<v Speaker 1>there was a lot of opticism. Uh, first off, we

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<v Speaker 1>didn't have a track record, even though nobody did. Ours

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<v Speaker 1>our first portfolio manager and actually I've never managed money before,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh so there were uh the reason but the

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<v Speaker 1>big skepticism was about the trading, the execution that you're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about big wide spreads, big spreads, and we are

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<v Speaker 1>going to the marketplace because we come from the efficient

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<v Speaker 1>market side of things, we come to the marketplace knowing

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<v Speaker 1>we don't have any special information about the company who

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<v Speaker 1>were trading with, largely with institutional investors that think they

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<v Speaker 1>do have special information. So the question and leading academics,

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<v Speaker 1>uh were you know, brought this up. You know, why

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<v Speaker 1>won't you just get skinned going in and trading with

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<v Speaker 1>people that are much more knowledgeable about the companies that

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<v Speaker 1>you're investing in. So so what's the answer to that question? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we turned what was the problem into kind of an advantage. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>people that think they have the discounted information realized that

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<v Speaker 1>whatever chill insights they have will not be lasting for long,

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<v Speaker 1>and so there's an anxiety to trade, and that's what

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<v Speaker 1>we worked on. We approached the marketplace basically waiting for

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<v Speaker 1>sellers wanting to come to us. So so you're saying

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<v Speaker 1>patients is actually a virtue for investors. Absolutely, patients and flexibility,

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<v Speaker 1>so uh, and coming to the marketplace, if you can

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<v Speaker 1>get the other person to move first, then uh you

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<v Speaker 1>can Uh you win that particular trade and win that trade.

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<v Speaker 1>We're speaking with David Booth, Coco and chairman of Dimensional Funds.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a little bit about your explosive growth since

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<v Speaker 1>I know in hindsight it looks like a long, gradual process,

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<v Speaker 1>but when you look at some of these numbers. So

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<v Speaker 1>so when you launched the firm in one you essentially

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<v Speaker 1>launched with zero assets, zero assets, right, I began with nothing.

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<v Speaker 1>How long did it take before you were at a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred million dollars? Oh, it was about Well, it took

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<v Speaker 1>us about nine months to get registered with all the

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<v Speaker 1>and come out with it. And the first year I

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:09.880
<v Speaker 1>think we had something like eighty millions. So it was

0:14:10.200 --> 0:14:11.880
<v Speaker 1>it was about a year and a half, right, I

0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:14.240
<v Speaker 1>go to get und millions. So so here's the numbers

0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:16.720
<v Speaker 1>I came up with, and I tried to look at

0:14:16.760 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>it by decade. So by the time you finished your

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:24.160
<v Speaker 1>first decade, were up to four billion. By right in

0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:27.960
<v Speaker 1>the peak of the boom, you're thirty billion. Two thousand

0:14:27.960 --> 0:14:30.320
<v Speaker 1>and nine, you're at a hundred and twenty four billion,

0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:34.880
<v Speaker 1>and then around was a little over two hundred billion

0:14:35.240 --> 0:14:38.320
<v Speaker 1>and four hundred billion. Today when you look back at

0:14:38.360 --> 0:14:41.640
<v Speaker 1>the past, you know, forty years, that's the thirty years.

0:14:42.000 --> 0:14:46.680
<v Speaker 1>That's an amazing run of of acid accumulation. Well, it's

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:51.880
<v Speaker 1>obviously been very fortunate. I think, um, a lot of

0:14:51.880 --> 0:14:54.760
<v Speaker 1>the reason for it is this notion of indexing, and

0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:57.040
<v Speaker 1>and I'm a fan of index and we don't exactly

0:14:57.280 --> 0:15:01.480
<v Speaker 1>do indexing, but indexing is worked very well, and the

0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:06.200
<v Speaker 1>principles of indexing are such that people can stay with it.

0:15:06.720 --> 0:15:10.240
<v Speaker 1>Uh So the idea is that we attract new clients

0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 1>coming in, and um, a few clients leave. So let's

0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:17.320
<v Speaker 1>let's describe what you mean by indexing. So there's not

0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:21.240
<v Speaker 1>individual stock picking. I like this management. I like that product.

0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:25.000
<v Speaker 1>It's We're gonna buy a group of stocks with these characteristics,

0:15:25.600 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 1>and there's no market timing. You're long and fully invested.

0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:31.440
<v Speaker 1>There's no I feel that a ten percent correction is coming,

0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 1>so I'm gonna move to the side and pay some

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 1>big taxes. Is none of that. So so you're you're

0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:42.280
<v Speaker 1>essentially about long term broad ownership of equities. Right. The

0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:45.640
<v Speaker 1>key to investing, uh, Well, the first key to investing

0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:48.680
<v Speaker 1>is find a philosophy that you can stick with through

0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:52.360
<v Speaker 1>thick and thin. The reason are const One of the

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:55.680
<v Speaker 1>reasons they've been so successful, in addition to the we've

0:15:55.680 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 1>been able to have a performance advantage over index funds.

0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 1>But the other main reason they've been they've had a

0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:04.880
<v Speaker 1>good experiences. They were able to stick with the UH

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:09.400
<v Speaker 1>investment philosophy through that very difficult two thousand seven two

0:16:09.400 --> 0:16:14.640
<v Speaker 1>thousand nine period. We we notice just watching the world

0:16:14.640 --> 0:16:19.040
<v Speaker 1>of investing that the retail investor has a tendency too.

0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:21.560
<v Speaker 1>We call it the flavor of the month. Oh this

0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:23.600
<v Speaker 1>fund manager is doing well this month. Oh look at

0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:26.960
<v Speaker 1>this sector. You clearly you have no interest in that,

0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:28.640
<v Speaker 1>So no innest and that sort of thing. You know.

0:16:28.720 --> 0:16:31.600
<v Speaker 1>There there's been something like seven or billion dollars of

0:16:31.640 --> 0:16:36.200
<v Speaker 1>outflows from US equity mutual funds over the last uh

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:38.000
<v Speaker 1>since the peak of the market in two thousand and seven.

0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:42.040
<v Speaker 1>That's that's a huge outflow. Yeah, we're every year we've

0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:47.520
<v Speaker 1>had positive flows because people can understand the process. They

0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:51.000
<v Speaker 1>realize basically we're we go up and down with the markets,

0:16:51.360 --> 0:16:53.160
<v Speaker 1>and it shouldn't come as a surprise at every now

0:16:53.160 --> 0:16:55.920
<v Speaker 1>and then there's a down market in the last thirty

0:16:55.960 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 1>seconds we have. How is the firm managing this phenomenal growth?

0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:04.320
<v Speaker 1>What's your secret to staying true to your your principles

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:07.120
<v Speaker 1>when money is just flowing in the doors like that, Well,

0:17:07.200 --> 0:17:12.000
<v Speaker 1>it's it's operating extremely efficiently efficiently. I'm Barry Ritult. You're

0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:15.040
<v Speaker 1>listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:18.840
<v Speaker 1>guest today is David Booth. He is the chairman and

0:17:19.000 --> 0:17:23.359
<v Speaker 1>co CEO of Dimensional Funds Advisors. And let's talk a

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:26.560
<v Speaker 1>little bit about this quote from mc McGowan, who you

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:29.480
<v Speaker 1>worked with earlier in your career. We were talking about

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:33.639
<v Speaker 1>that before at Wells Fargo. McGowan said, it's all thanks

0:17:33.680 --> 0:17:37.800
<v Speaker 1>to Jim Laurie, Gene Farma and Martin Miller. What does

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 1>that mean, well, these are the key people and and

0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:45.640
<v Speaker 1>and developing the finance department of the University of Chicago.

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:50.479
<v Speaker 1>Going back to the mid fifties, Jim Laurie was an

0:17:50.520 --> 0:17:53.720
<v Speaker 1>associate dean or assistant team of the Business School, and

0:17:53.760 --> 0:17:58.000
<v Speaker 1>he realized that the field of finance was changing rapidly

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:00.680
<v Speaker 1>and they needed to bring in some of these new

0:18:00.760 --> 0:18:06.879
<v Speaker 1>young hot turks two h power up the school and

0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:12.280
<v Speaker 1>the first personally brought in was Merton Miller. UM. Merton

0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:15.679
<v Speaker 1>Miller eventually got his Nobel Prize for his work on

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:21.119
<v Speaker 1>capital structure cost capital H and one of Merton Miller's

0:18:21.080 --> 0:18:25.600
<v Speaker 1>students was Gene Fama. And Gene's he mentioned they got

0:18:25.640 --> 0:18:30.359
<v Speaker 1>his Nobel Prize for his work and market efficiency. Ah.

0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:35.640
<v Speaker 1>So they were the uh. They really not only helped

0:18:35.680 --> 0:18:41.280
<v Speaker 1>determine the um the path that Chicago took, but they

0:18:41.320 --> 0:18:46.199
<v Speaker 1>also Miller and Fama really set the established the culture

0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:51.320
<v Speaker 1>of the place, UH, which is been an amazing, amazingly

0:18:51.400 --> 0:18:56.639
<v Speaker 1>productive school for economics and finance over the last you know,

0:18:56.720 --> 0:19:01.800
<v Speaker 1>forty years. Who else were your early mentors, Well, I

0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:06.000
<v Speaker 1>mean the UH may you have to go back to

0:19:06.080 --> 0:19:09.040
<v Speaker 1>before business school, I guess for mentors, big mentors are

0:19:09.160 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 1>are Fama and McQuown. You know they Fama, um, you know,

0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:19.639
<v Speaker 1>taught me all the basics of investing, and they and

0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:24.320
<v Speaker 1>gave me the capability of reading, you know, uh, academic

0:19:24.560 --> 0:19:27.600
<v Speaker 1>research even today. And do you still read a lot

0:19:27.600 --> 0:19:30.359
<v Speaker 1>of academic research today? I wouldn't say a lot. I

0:19:30.600 --> 0:19:34.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of cheat a bit. I wait for Fama or

0:19:34.160 --> 0:19:37.840
<v Speaker 1>Ken French or Bob Marton to pass along what they

0:19:37.840 --> 0:19:41.159
<v Speaker 1>think is good research, and then I cherry pick. You

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:45.160
<v Speaker 1>could do worse with those three as curators. Yeah. So,

0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 1>so you were also Eugene Farmer's assistant research assistant. What

0:19:51.000 --> 0:19:53.120
<v Speaker 1>was it like working with him? Well, it was amazing.

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:58.120
<v Speaker 1>First off, he's uh uh still you know, just works

0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:02.040
<v Speaker 1>incredibly hard seven days really. Yeah. In fact, there's a

0:20:02.440 --> 0:20:06.359
<v Speaker 1>one of my favorite stories is uh uh about Fama

0:20:06.400 --> 0:20:10.440
<v Speaker 1>and his colleague Ken French. Over the last thirty years

0:20:10.480 --> 0:20:15.160
<v Speaker 1>or so, uh, Fama and French have collaborated on numerous

0:20:15.240 --> 0:20:18.480
<v Speaker 1>landmark papers, and they're worked together all the time. Ken's

0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:23.200
<v Speaker 1>and at Dartmouth Tough School Business and and uh Jeans

0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:27.359
<v Speaker 1>at Chicago. So one day they're they're they're having a

0:20:27.440 --> 0:20:31.760
<v Speaker 1>conversation and Jean notices that Ken is not being too responsive.

0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:35.800
<v Speaker 1>So he says, well, Ken, what's going on today? And

0:20:35.880 --> 0:20:40.840
<v Speaker 1>Ken says, Jean, it's Christmas. I mean he's Uh, it's

0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:43.760
<v Speaker 1>a work like that that, uh, you know as as

0:20:44.000 --> 0:20:47.359
<v Speaker 1>enabled those guys to succeed. So so as long as

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:50.040
<v Speaker 1>you bring up Ken French, let's talk about the French

0:20:50.119 --> 0:20:54.479
<v Speaker 1>FAMA or the Fama French three factor model. Why was

0:20:54.520 --> 0:20:57.440
<v Speaker 1>that such a breakthrough? And and for listeners who may

0:20:57.480 --> 0:21:00.320
<v Speaker 1>not be familiar with it, it's essentially the kind sept

0:21:00.359 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 1>of looking at market beta plus the small cap premium

0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:09.440
<v Speaker 1>plus the advantage one gets by valuing value stocks over other,

0:21:09.800 --> 0:21:13.400
<v Speaker 1>let's say, more expensive stocks. Um, why was that such

0:21:13.440 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 1>a huge breakthrough? Well, um, you know investing inequities. Um,

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, there involves many different types of risks that

0:21:22.520 --> 0:21:24.840
<v Speaker 1>most of which will ever be able to identify exactly.

0:21:24.880 --> 0:21:28.760
<v Speaker 1>But uh, a lot of many different kinds of risk. Well. Uh,

0:21:28.800 --> 0:21:31.600
<v Speaker 1>the model until Farmer French came along, the model that

0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:35.320
<v Speaker 1>all eating academics used to do research was just a

0:21:35.359 --> 0:21:41.160
<v Speaker 1>single factor model beta. And it was a great model,

0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 1>elegant theory. It had one drawback and that it never

0:21:44.520 --> 0:21:49.160
<v Speaker 1>described reality. So they could and we have a saying

0:21:49.200 --> 0:21:51.520
<v Speaker 1>that you know, if you torture the data enough, you

0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:54.560
<v Speaker 1>can get it confess to anything. But as much as

0:21:54.760 --> 0:21:59.040
<v Speaker 1>uh they tortured the data they could could they could

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:02.879
<v Speaker 1>never get I beta stocks that have systematically have higher

0:22:03.280 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 1>average returns than low beta stocks. So this what Foman

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:09.919
<v Speaker 1>French did was actually pull together a lot of research

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.480
<v Speaker 1>have been going on over about a twenty year period,

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:16.479
<v Speaker 1>and UM concluded that they have a simple three factor

0:22:16.520 --> 0:22:19.000
<v Speaker 1>model instead of one that seemed and that did a

0:22:19.080 --> 0:22:23.920
<v Speaker 1>much better job of of describing, you know, why one

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:26.879
<v Speaker 1>portfolio as a higher average returned than another. So in

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:30.680
<v Speaker 1>the last thirty seconds we have in this segment, everybody

0:22:30.720 --> 0:22:33.960
<v Speaker 1>now understands the small capt premium, the value premium. Why

0:22:34.080 --> 0:22:38.000
<v Speaker 1>haven't these been arbitraged away? Why do they still persist? Well,

0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:40.120
<v Speaker 1>we think of these as being risk premium, and we've

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:42.399
<v Speaker 1>known for years that stocks have higher average returns than

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:45.879
<v Speaker 1>the money market funds on average, but that and that

0:22:45.960 --> 0:22:49.680
<v Speaker 1>hasn't caused the premium to disappear. I'm Barry, which helps

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:52.359
<v Speaker 1>you listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My

0:22:52.440 --> 0:22:54.760
<v Speaker 1>special guest today and I know I say that every week,

0:22:54.760 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 1>but I really mean it. My special guest this week

0:22:57.640 --> 0:23:00.639
<v Speaker 1>is David Booth. He is the founder, chair in and

0:23:00.840 --> 0:23:05.680
<v Speaker 1>co CEO of Dimensional Fund Advisors with about four billion

0:23:05.720 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 1>in asset under management. Let's talk a little bit about

0:23:09.119 --> 0:23:11.960
<v Speaker 1>the rise of indexing. You you hinted at that in

0:23:12.000 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 1>the last segment, but this is really very very significant. UM,

0:23:17.160 --> 0:23:19.080
<v Speaker 1>let's begin with what you guys do it. I know

0:23:19.119 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 1>you don't love d f A, but I always hear

0:23:20.960 --> 0:23:24.159
<v Speaker 1>d f A as opposed to dimensional people. That's the

0:23:24.440 --> 0:23:29.960
<v Speaker 1>shorthand people use. What does dimensional funds do with their

0:23:30.000 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 1>indexing that's so significantly different from the typical plane vanilla

0:23:35.400 --> 0:23:38.879
<v Speaker 1>market cap weighted index. Well, the underlying premise of of

0:23:38.960 --> 0:23:43.359
<v Speaker 1>the firm around around which we started is that indexing

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:46.720
<v Speaker 1>is UH is terrific and I think people benefit a

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:52.760
<v Speaker 1>lot buy it. It's also a relatively mechanical strategy. If

0:23:53.200 --> 0:23:54.840
<v Speaker 1>if a stock goes out of an index, you have

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:58.399
<v Speaker 1>to sell it. If if a stock comes into an index,

0:23:58.480 --> 0:24:00.400
<v Speaker 1>you have to buy it, and you have to buy

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:04.119
<v Speaker 1>it on the days it comes and goes. So that's UH.

0:24:04.840 --> 0:24:07.800
<v Speaker 1>That never appealed to us because we thought that mechanical

0:24:07.840 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 1>approaches UH in terms of generating trading costs, it makes

0:24:13.080 --> 0:24:15.919
<v Speaker 1>them very expensive to trade. You know when you have

0:24:15.960 --> 0:24:20.120
<v Speaker 1>to trade relatively mechanically. And so what about the dimensions

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:22.800
<v Speaker 1>When we talk about demend dimensional, we're really talking about

0:24:22.800 --> 0:24:28.399
<v Speaker 1>dimensions which began with small small cap then added value.

0:24:28.520 --> 0:24:30.919
<v Speaker 1>What does the dimensions due to the return of of

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:34.119
<v Speaker 1>the index? Well there there. The notion of dimensionality is

0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:39.400
<v Speaker 1>that there are some factors that can uh uh lead

0:24:39.440 --> 0:24:41.920
<v Speaker 1>to higher average returns in the market than just buying

0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:45.879
<v Speaker 1>the overall market. If you start with an index fund

0:24:46.680 --> 0:24:49.800
<v Speaker 1>and you decide, well, why don't I give a little

0:24:49.840 --> 0:24:53.080
<v Speaker 1>great greater weight to the smaller companies, and why don't

0:24:53.119 --> 0:24:56.040
<v Speaker 1>I give a little bit of greater weight to the

0:24:56.080 --> 0:25:01.119
<v Speaker 1>lower price stocks, uh with correspondingly, us wait to higher

0:25:01.160 --> 0:25:04.320
<v Speaker 1>price stocks and bigger companies. That's a really that's the

0:25:04.359 --> 0:25:08.200
<v Speaker 1>notion of dimensionality. It's just it's not if you think

0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:11.600
<v Speaker 1>of portfolio management as being a function of of two things,

0:25:11.880 --> 0:25:15.960
<v Speaker 1>stock selection and then uh, how much you wait each

0:25:16.160 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 1>stock in a portfolio. Stock selection, we really don't spend

0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:23.720
<v Speaker 1>much time on. That's we hold nearly all the stocks

0:25:24.119 --> 0:25:27.119
<v Speaker 1>in an index, but we hold the stocks in different

0:25:27.119 --> 0:25:30.520
<v Speaker 1>proportions than they represent in an index fund. And And

0:25:30.600 --> 0:25:32.840
<v Speaker 1>to put that into a little context, as to what

0:25:33.000 --> 0:25:35.600
<v Speaker 1>that does to the performance. I'm going to quote an

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:40.240
<v Speaker 1>article from not too long ago in barrens of d

0:25:40.320 --> 0:25:43.040
<v Speaker 1>f A funds have beaten their category benchmarks over the

0:25:43.080 --> 0:25:47.440
<v Speaker 1>past fifteen years. Of dimensional funds have been in over

0:25:47.440 --> 0:25:49.960
<v Speaker 1>the past five years. That's a heck of a great

0:25:49.960 --> 0:25:52.440
<v Speaker 1>track record, isn't it. Yeah, it's really kind of startling

0:25:52.480 --> 0:25:56.399
<v Speaker 1>it When we first, uh we started you know with

0:25:56.640 --> 0:25:59.640
<v Speaker 1>so primitively I guess so, you know, with a out

0:25:59.680 --> 0:26:02.639
<v Speaker 1>of the ms Stone in Brooklyn that and it never

0:26:02.640 --> 0:26:06.160
<v Speaker 1>occurred to us that we could actually outperform an index.

0:26:06.520 --> 0:26:09.199
<v Speaker 1>We thought, because of trading costs, that would always have

0:26:09.240 --> 0:26:12.760
<v Speaker 1>a certain lag and so we we worked really hard

0:26:12.840 --> 0:26:16.200
<v Speaker 1>to try to do what we thought was minimizing that

0:26:16.200 --> 0:26:20.240
<v Speaker 1>that that that dragon performance. It turns out we exceeded

0:26:20.280 --> 0:26:23.959
<v Speaker 1>expectations and we actually uh started adding value over index one.

0:26:24.080 --> 0:26:26.320
<v Speaker 1>So actually, let's talk about that a little bit. Because

0:26:26.400 --> 0:26:32.160
<v Speaker 1>you guys have a very sophisticated way of trading. Um,

0:26:32.200 --> 0:26:35.760
<v Speaker 1>you're very methodical, you're very opportunistic. We talked earlier and

0:26:35.800 --> 0:26:40.200
<v Speaker 1>said you're especially patient. Uh, there's an emphasis towards taff

0:26:40.200 --> 0:26:44.119
<v Speaker 1>sufficiency and an emphasis towards low expenses. How did you

0:26:44.200 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 1>create that trading methodology and what impact does it have. Well,

0:26:49.800 --> 0:26:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the way we traded it was we just recognized, look

0:26:52.880 --> 0:26:56.520
<v Speaker 1>a marketplaces where buyers and sellers come together and they

0:26:56.560 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>both have to feel like they got a good deal

0:26:58.160 --> 0:27:02.160
<v Speaker 1>or they don't trade well. Um on the other side

0:27:02.160 --> 0:27:06.960
<v Speaker 1>of our trades typically are institutional investors that are they

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:10.920
<v Speaker 1>have an idea for change. You know, it's either buy

0:27:10.960 --> 0:27:13.399
<v Speaker 1>this or sell that, whatever it is that they've decided

0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:16.720
<v Speaker 1>to do, and whatever their decision is, they realize the

0:27:16.760 --> 0:27:20.960
<v Speaker 1>benefit of that is really really short lived. So as

0:27:20.960 --> 0:27:23.040
<v Speaker 1>we go to the marketplace and we look at you know,

0:27:23.080 --> 0:27:27.480
<v Speaker 1>the bid ask spread, you know the that's really kind

0:27:27.480 --> 0:27:30.399
<v Speaker 1>of a lot of people's measure of trading costs, the

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:34.040
<v Speaker 1>bid ask spread. Uh, what we realize is if we

0:27:34.080 --> 0:27:36.720
<v Speaker 1>could get the other side to act first, we could

0:27:36.720 --> 0:27:40.560
<v Speaker 1>trade closer to the bid in today's terms and stock

0:27:40.600 --> 0:27:44.000
<v Speaker 1>maybe trading ten dollars to ten dollars and two cents

0:27:44.080 --> 0:27:46.639
<v Speaker 1>or whatever. It makes a It makes a difference if

0:27:46.680 --> 0:27:48.800
<v Speaker 1>you can buy it at ten dollars or versus ten

0:27:48.840 --> 0:27:51.720
<v Speaker 1>dollars and two cents. So that was that was the

0:27:51.800 --> 0:27:53.879
<v Speaker 1>thing that went into it. And since you guys are

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:57.840
<v Speaker 1>such long term holders and their short term traders. You

0:27:57.840 --> 0:28:00.280
<v Speaker 1>could afford to be patient. They can't. They right to

0:28:00.400 --> 0:28:02.520
<v Speaker 1>hit the bid while you can wait. And it's a

0:28:02.560 --> 0:28:04.880
<v Speaker 1>win win deal. It's not like we're ripping their eyes out.

0:28:04.960 --> 0:28:09.320
<v Speaker 1>It's they they they want They want immediacy in trading

0:28:09.359 --> 0:28:11.960
<v Speaker 1>and are willing to pay for it, and we, in essence,

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:14.640
<v Speaker 1>are providing a service to them by if they're wanting

0:28:14.680 --> 0:28:17.240
<v Speaker 1>to sell something, we take it off their hands, you know,

0:28:17.600 --> 0:28:19.640
<v Speaker 1>we take it down a couple of cents. They think

0:28:19.640 --> 0:28:22.200
<v Speaker 1>it's it's well worth it, and it makes over the

0:28:22.400 --> 0:28:24.600
<v Speaker 1>for a long term investor like us, it makes a

0:28:25.160 --> 0:28:28.080
<v Speaker 1>huge difference over the long haul. We're speaking with David

0:28:28.119 --> 0:28:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Booth of Dimensional Fund Advisors, So let's talk a little

0:28:31.520 --> 0:28:37.280
<v Speaker 1>bit about how successful indexing has become. Why is this

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:45.200
<v Speaker 1>something that seemingly has taken the public so long to discover? Well, Uh,

0:28:45.480 --> 0:28:48.960
<v Speaker 1>I think that the idea behind indexing is not intuitively

0:28:49.000 --> 0:28:54.640
<v Speaker 1>obvious to people at first. UH. Most people approach investing

0:28:55.040 --> 0:28:58.360
<v Speaker 1>the way they approach business in general. The idea that

0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:02.480
<v Speaker 1>if you're smarter and harder, and you know, you ought

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:05.560
<v Speaker 1>to be able to do better than than somebody else. Uh,

0:29:05.600 --> 0:29:10.640
<v Speaker 1>And that's just not true of of investing in public markets.

0:29:11.440 --> 0:29:14.320
<v Speaker 1>When you buy a publicly traded stock, you're buying a

0:29:14.320 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 1>piece of paper, and and the investing in the public

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:24.440
<v Speaker 1>markets is a zero sum game about whatever the around uh,

0:29:24.480 --> 0:29:27.320
<v Speaker 1>whatever the market does. So if one investor has a

0:29:27.400 --> 0:29:30.600
<v Speaker 1>higher average return than the market, another investor has to

0:29:30.640 --> 0:29:33.840
<v Speaker 1>have a return less than the market. It's just simple arithmetic.

0:29:34.280 --> 0:29:37.240
<v Speaker 1>Then you work in a little friction from trading costs

0:29:37.080 --> 0:29:40.840
<v Speaker 1>and from fees and commissions, and you probably end up

0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:44.600
<v Speaker 1>with a significantly lower a number of people on the

0:29:44.640 --> 0:29:48.680
<v Speaker 1>below beta side, greater number of people making less. So

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:50.840
<v Speaker 1>it's worse than a zero sum it's worse than zero

0:29:50.880 --> 0:29:53.840
<v Speaker 1>sum game. Yeah, but it's really hard. When you see

0:29:53.920 --> 0:29:58.360
<v Speaker 1>somebody with a great track record, it's tempting to say, look,

0:29:58.440 --> 0:30:01.280
<v Speaker 1>I think this manager you know, as a chance of

0:30:01.560 --> 0:30:04.520
<v Speaker 1>consistently beating the market. I mean, or stated differently, if

0:30:04.520 --> 0:30:08.000
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna invest with something you know, you probably won't

0:30:08.000 --> 0:30:10.680
<v Speaker 1>pick somebody has a poor track record. You're likely to

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:15.280
<v Speaker 1>pick somebody with a good track record. Unfortunately, as his

0:30:15.720 --> 0:30:18.880
<v Speaker 1>research has shown, the number of people with good track

0:30:18.960 --> 0:30:23.160
<v Speaker 1>records are fewer than you'd expect by chance, just randomly

0:30:23.200 --> 0:30:26.240
<v Speaker 1>we would expect more investors to have a good track

0:30:26.280 --> 0:30:30.959
<v Speaker 1>record than than than there are, and so as a result,

0:30:31.000 --> 0:30:34.560
<v Speaker 1>you can't there's no way of telling that personally good tracker,

0:30:35.160 --> 0:30:38.160
<v Speaker 1>good track record, got it by luck or by skill.

0:30:38.840 --> 0:30:41.880
<v Speaker 1>And then there's the issue of what happens when suddenly

0:30:42.040 --> 0:30:46.160
<v Speaker 1>everybody piles into that one segment because this person is

0:30:46.160 --> 0:30:49.160
<v Speaker 1>on the cover of some magazine. And then what we

0:30:49.280 --> 0:30:52.520
<v Speaker 1>invariably see this in four oh one case where people

0:30:52.520 --> 0:30:55.320
<v Speaker 1>are just flavor of the month whoever's not at that quarter,

0:30:55.920 --> 0:30:59.560
<v Speaker 1>and usually it's because some segment has done really well

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:03.200
<v Speaker 1>and it's about to stop doing really well well. People

0:31:03.240 --> 0:31:05.120
<v Speaker 1>have a tendency to, as we say, skate to where

0:31:05.120 --> 0:31:09.000
<v Speaker 1>the puck was. That's right, not to The famous quote

0:31:09.040 --> 0:31:10.680
<v Speaker 1>is skates where the puck is going to be, not

0:31:10.800 --> 0:31:13.360
<v Speaker 1>to where where it is. Now, let let me mix

0:31:13.360 --> 0:31:15.959
<v Speaker 1>this up a little bit with you and talk about

0:31:16.080 --> 0:31:20.080
<v Speaker 1>something in general about mutual funds that I've always complained

0:31:20.120 --> 0:31:24.800
<v Speaker 1>about the lack of involvement in in corporate governance on

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:28.880
<v Speaker 1>behalf of their shareholders. You guys recently started doing something

0:31:28.960 --> 0:31:31.960
<v Speaker 1>or I don't know how recently. This is sending warning

0:31:32.040 --> 0:31:36.200
<v Speaker 1>letters to companies who's um stock you own and whose

0:31:36.240 --> 0:31:40.760
<v Speaker 1>management is debating, uh putting in a poison pill into place.

0:31:41.280 --> 0:31:43.440
<v Speaker 1>Tell us about that, Well, we think it's very important

0:31:43.480 --> 0:31:47.040
<v Speaker 1>to uh work hard for shareholder rights. UM. You know,

0:31:47.280 --> 0:31:51.200
<v Speaker 1>our capitalist system requires monitoring, you know, it's uh and

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:56.560
<v Speaker 1>being an investor and part owner of a of a

0:31:56.600 --> 0:32:00.040
<v Speaker 1>company through our clients, UH, we think it's important to

0:32:00.120 --> 0:32:04.320
<v Speaker 1>do that monitoring and stand up for shareholder rights. Professor's

0:32:04.320 --> 0:32:06.520
<v Speaker 1>fam and French are very active and this this part

0:32:06.520 --> 0:32:10.320
<v Speaker 1>of the business. We take it very seriously. UM, you

0:32:10.320 --> 0:32:12.520
<v Speaker 1>know we have and what we did recently was we

0:32:12.520 --> 0:32:16.320
<v Speaker 1>sent a letter two the companies we invest in, which

0:32:16.320 --> 0:32:20.760
<v Speaker 1>is basically every public stait company, and said, these are

0:32:20.760 --> 0:32:26.360
<v Speaker 1>the principles that we along which we vote and you're

0:32:26.400 --> 0:32:29.400
<v Speaker 1>actually voting your proxies because you know, you look back

0:32:29.400 --> 0:32:32.920
<v Speaker 1>over the past few decades, mutual funds were notorious for

0:32:33.520 --> 0:32:37.600
<v Speaker 1>hands off relationship and they really are the ones who

0:32:37.600 --> 0:32:41.200
<v Speaker 1>own most of the shares on behalf of their their shareholders. Yeah,

0:32:41.240 --> 0:32:43.719
<v Speaker 1>we just had one a case where a company was

0:32:44.560 --> 0:32:48.480
<v Speaker 1>UM had a hostile bid another company was going to

0:32:48.520 --> 0:32:51.680
<v Speaker 1>take it over, so they decided that they were going

0:32:51.720 --> 0:32:54.360
<v Speaker 1>to put in a poison pill and uh, and a

0:32:54.440 --> 0:32:57.720
<v Speaker 1>staggered board. And this was about the time that their

0:32:57.840 --> 0:33:01.160
<v Speaker 1>annual shareholder meeting was coming up, and we told them

0:33:01.280 --> 0:33:05.480
<v Speaker 1>we would vote against them. Well, our policy is we

0:33:05.880 --> 0:33:09.240
<v Speaker 1>would vote against the directors in that case, and we

0:33:09.320 --> 0:33:12.040
<v Speaker 1>look to see where those directors are directors and other companies,

0:33:12.040 --> 0:33:14.400
<v Speaker 1>and we vote against against them. There crust the board,

0:33:14.560 --> 0:33:17.640
<v Speaker 1>the whole wherever they So, how do you guys have

0:33:17.720 --> 0:33:22.000
<v Speaker 1>any view on executive compensation? We keep seeing stories about

0:33:22.000 --> 0:33:28.600
<v Speaker 1>these CEOs and CFOs for public companies, tremendous, tremendous compensation packages. Yeah,

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:31.280
<v Speaker 1>it's it's a really complex area. We know we don't

0:33:31.280 --> 0:33:35.000
<v Speaker 1>have uh. We like to make our decisions based on

0:33:35.080 --> 0:33:38.960
<v Speaker 1>good and perical research. There's abundant evidence that poison pills

0:33:39.000 --> 0:33:43.080
<v Speaker 1>are bad. Um in general, there are some net operating

0:33:43.080 --> 0:33:46.480
<v Speaker 1>a lost poison pills, but the typical poison pill is

0:33:46.560 --> 0:33:49.440
<v Speaker 1>bad for shareholders, so that's why we vote against it.

0:33:50.320 --> 0:33:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much, David for being so generous with

0:33:52.600 --> 0:33:56.160
<v Speaker 1>your time. If you've enjoyed this conversation, please check out

0:33:56.280 --> 0:34:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the rest of our discussion. You can find that on Apple, iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:34:00.800 --> 0:34:04.320
<v Speaker 1>and of course Bloomberg dot com. Check out my daily

0:34:04.440 --> 0:34:08.480
<v Speaker 1>column on Bloomberg view dot com. Follow me on Twitter

0:34:08.760 --> 0:34:11.520
<v Speaker 1>at rid Halts. I'm Barry rid Haults. You're listening to

0:34:11.600 --> 0:34:15.560
<v Speaker 1>Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. Welcome back to the

0:34:15.640 --> 0:34:18.359
<v Speaker 1>podcast portion of the show. This is where I take

0:34:18.400 --> 0:34:23.319
<v Speaker 1>off the headphones and not worry about I love this

0:34:23.400 --> 0:34:26.760
<v Speaker 1>like cinema verite. You can hear the headphones come off,

0:34:26.800 --> 0:34:29.879
<v Speaker 1>you can hear the papers rattling. Um. But this part

0:34:29.920 --> 0:34:33.680
<v Speaker 1>is where we kinda get a little less formal. Don't

0:34:33.719 --> 0:34:37.560
<v Speaker 1>worry about the radio length segments, which are always an

0:34:37.600 --> 0:34:41.000
<v Speaker 1>annoying interruption, and just let the tape recorder role and

0:34:41.040 --> 0:34:44.120
<v Speaker 1>have a little fun. Um. I have so many questions

0:34:44.160 --> 0:34:46.920
<v Speaker 1>to ask you. You're not gonna get back to Austin

0:34:47.000 --> 0:34:49.440
<v Speaker 1>for for days if I go through everything. So I'm

0:34:49.480 --> 0:34:52.800
<v Speaker 1>really going to focus on on really the most important

0:34:52.840 --> 0:34:56.719
<v Speaker 1>ones because I've been looking forward to chatting with you

0:34:57.280 --> 0:35:00.960
<v Speaker 1>for so long. Let's let's start with one about Dimensional

0:35:01.000 --> 0:35:06.719
<v Speaker 1>When when you began, um, it was purely an institutional business,

0:35:06.800 --> 0:35:11.200
<v Speaker 1>wasn't it. That's how did your relationship with financial advisors

0:35:11.239 --> 0:35:14.320
<v Speaker 1>come about? Hunt tells me there's actually a good story

0:35:14.360 --> 0:35:19.160
<v Speaker 1>behind this. Well, it's um. Sometimes when people achieve a

0:35:19.200 --> 0:35:23.480
<v Speaker 1>bit of success. Uh. People assumed that it was it

0:35:23.600 --> 0:35:28.720
<v Speaker 1>was planned. This was one of these uh fortunate pieces

0:35:28.719 --> 0:35:31.120
<v Speaker 1>of good luck that happened to us. Nothing wrong with

0:35:31.120 --> 0:35:38.000
<v Speaker 1>a little sendipity again, right. What happened was by nine, Uh,

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:40.880
<v Speaker 1>we've gotten up to about four or five day dollars

0:35:40.880 --> 0:35:45.760
<v Speaker 1>in our management and we thought we were smoking and

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:48.120
<v Speaker 1>and so you were one percent of the shot size

0:35:48.120 --> 0:35:51.120
<v Speaker 1>of the company today and you thought, we've made it.

0:35:51.320 --> 0:35:55.759
<v Speaker 1>We've made it. So we had an advisor, there was

0:35:55.760 --> 0:35:59.279
<v Speaker 1>an advisor in Sacramento approached us and said, what's his name,

0:35:59.440 --> 0:36:01.680
<v Speaker 1>Dan Wheeler, Dan Weel because people love to hear the

0:36:01.800 --> 0:36:04.239
<v Speaker 1>name on the race. Dan, if you're listening, this is

0:36:04.280 --> 0:36:07.440
<v Speaker 1>about you. Yeah, no, it was. So Dan approaches with

0:36:07.480 --> 0:36:10.720
<v Speaker 1>the idea getting of getting access to our funds because

0:36:10.719 --> 0:36:16.120
<v Speaker 1>they're low cost and there their price for institutions. And

0:36:16.160 --> 0:36:18.640
<v Speaker 1>we said, well, you know, we don't know about that

0:36:19.719 --> 0:36:22.319
<v Speaker 1>because we've heard about individuals and how they get in

0:36:22.320 --> 0:36:24.200
<v Speaker 1>and out of the market and flavor of the month,

0:36:24.239 --> 0:36:28.440
<v Speaker 1>flavor of the month and all of that and that really, um,

0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:30.120
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't the kind of our thing. And he said,

0:36:30.120 --> 0:36:33.360
<v Speaker 1>oh no, no, no, no no he he he didn't he

0:36:33.400 --> 0:36:35.640
<v Speaker 1>didn't do that. Sort of thing. So he said, okay,

0:36:35.640 --> 0:36:38.560
<v Speaker 1>well we'll give you, we'll try it, and uh but

0:36:38.600 --> 0:36:41.080
<v Speaker 1>if we find that you're trading a lot of of

0:36:41.080 --> 0:36:43.799
<v Speaker 1>our funds, then we're gonna get rid of you. Done

0:36:44.040 --> 0:36:48.000
<v Speaker 1>so he said, okay, Well a year went by. Next

0:36:48.120 --> 0:36:50.520
<v Speaker 1>year he comes back, he goes, hey, look, I think,

0:36:50.680 --> 0:36:53.440
<v Speaker 1>uh there's a business in this. There's a number of

0:36:53.440 --> 0:36:56.120
<v Speaker 1>advive talked to a lot of advisors. They're very interested

0:36:56.520 --> 0:36:59.359
<v Speaker 1>in getting access to your funds. And once again we said,

0:36:59.400 --> 0:37:02.080
<v Speaker 1>well that's ok, but we we need to talk to

0:37:02.160 --> 0:37:05.200
<v Speaker 1>him first. We need to be convinced that they're like you,

0:37:05.440 --> 0:37:10.000
<v Speaker 1>that they won't be just trading willy nilly. And and

0:37:10.080 --> 0:37:13.560
<v Speaker 1>so year two, how many people does he bring in,

0:37:13.719 --> 0:37:17.680
<v Speaker 1>as you know, the next group of financial advisors. Well

0:37:17.719 --> 0:37:20.000
<v Speaker 1>it was enough. It was a small enough group. We

0:37:20.000 --> 0:37:21.680
<v Speaker 1>can all sit around the table. Let me put it

0:37:21.719 --> 0:37:24.319
<v Speaker 1>that way. I think they're ten or twelve advisors. And

0:37:24.640 --> 0:37:28.800
<v Speaker 1>so when did this um take off as an actual

0:37:28.880 --> 0:37:32.799
<v Speaker 1>business within dimensional funds? Well, it, uh, it picked up.

0:37:32.960 --> 0:37:35.680
<v Speaker 1>It picked up his team pretty quickly. Uh it wasn't

0:37:35.800 --> 0:37:38.080
<v Speaker 1>you overnight by any means, but you know, it's been

0:37:38.120 --> 0:37:43.239
<v Speaker 1>twenty five years and uh, twenty six years and it's uh,

0:37:43.520 --> 0:37:47.080
<v Speaker 1>it's um, yeah, just kind of taking a life on

0:37:47.120 --> 0:37:51.000
<v Speaker 1>his own. It's uh. Gentleman's name was Dan, Dan Wheeler,

0:37:51.080 --> 0:37:54.320
<v Speaker 1>Dan Wheeler. And what's your relationship with with Dan? Now?

0:37:54.320 --> 0:37:57.799
<v Speaker 1>Well Dan retired a couple of years ago. We you know,

0:37:57.880 --> 0:37:59.880
<v Speaker 1>what's one of the problems we're facing now is that

0:38:00.200 --> 0:38:02.360
<v Speaker 1>all these people have been good friends over the years.

0:38:02.840 --> 0:38:07.600
<v Speaker 1>We're all getting a little older. You know, Um, he

0:38:07.719 --> 0:38:09.960
<v Speaker 1>did he work directly with with you guys that he

0:38:10.000 --> 0:38:14.680
<v Speaker 1>worked for you or was he just he uh worked

0:38:14.719 --> 0:38:19.000
<v Speaker 1>with us and built the business up? And you know it?

0:38:19.400 --> 0:38:22.200
<v Speaker 1>What it is is that the difference in approach between

0:38:22.280 --> 0:38:25.960
<v Speaker 1>us and then most firms is, Um, we built a

0:38:25.960 --> 0:38:28.719
<v Speaker 1>firm around a set of ideas there's notion market efficiency

0:38:28.760 --> 0:38:32.880
<v Speaker 1>and uh, and developed our investment philosophy has has the

0:38:32.920 --> 0:38:41.120
<v Speaker 1>empirical research and entero dimensions evolved. So um what Uh

0:38:41.400 --> 0:38:45.680
<v Speaker 1>we kind of wait for advisors to that share that

0:38:45.719 --> 0:38:48.919
<v Speaker 1>opinion and then those those ideas we wait for them

0:38:48.920 --> 0:38:52.239
<v Speaker 1>to contact us. Really because it's very difficult if you

0:38:52.400 --> 0:38:55.000
<v Speaker 1>go out to all the advisors out there, it's you know,

0:38:55.040 --> 0:38:57.800
<v Speaker 1>it's a difficult to find out which ones in advance

0:38:57.840 --> 0:39:00.239
<v Speaker 1>would be interested in hearing this kind of story, so

0:39:00.760 --> 0:39:02.480
<v Speaker 1>we kind of wait until they're ready to hear the

0:39:02.520 --> 0:39:05.840
<v Speaker 1>story before we talk to him. How many advisors do

0:39:05.880 --> 0:39:11.879
<v Speaker 1>you work with? Now? They're about um three thousand advisory

0:39:11.920 --> 0:39:16.120
<v Speaker 1>firms and now some firms have a lot of advisors,

0:39:16.120 --> 0:39:20.120
<v Speaker 1>some just a one person advisory shop. What percentage of

0:39:20.120 --> 0:39:23.920
<v Speaker 1>of the four billion are the advisors actually working with?

0:39:24.040 --> 0:39:27.799
<v Speaker 1>They're about our business now? Really? Yeah, talk about so

0:39:27.960 --> 0:39:32.120
<v Speaker 1>really you guys tacked to a different direction and became

0:39:32.480 --> 0:39:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the majority of your A. U. M. Well, part of

0:39:35.640 --> 0:39:38.760
<v Speaker 1>it is um that the institutional business when we started

0:39:38.920 --> 0:39:44.279
<v Speaker 1>was our our clients were the large defined benefit plan. Uh.

0:39:44.440 --> 0:39:47.279
<v Speaker 1>Well those have been systematically shut down over the years.

0:39:47.760 --> 0:39:51.640
<v Speaker 1>That isn't make a business as it once was, and

0:39:52.120 --> 0:39:54.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, more of it's coming into the individual market.

0:39:55.440 --> 0:39:58.520
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk a little bit about UM. Let's look

0:39:58.520 --> 0:40:00.560
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about you. You run a four hundred

0:40:00.760 --> 0:40:04.320
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar farm. You're the chairman and the co CEO.

0:40:05.200 --> 0:40:08.280
<v Speaker 1>What's a day in the life of David Booth Like, Well,

0:40:08.360 --> 0:40:10.640
<v Speaker 1>it's uh, it's a it's a really a lot of fun.

0:40:10.960 --> 0:40:14.239
<v Speaker 1>I think the culture of the firm is that, you know,

0:40:14.320 --> 0:40:17.520
<v Speaker 1>people have a spirit that we can we can change things,

0:40:19.000 --> 0:40:22.839
<v Speaker 1>and so it's a lot of client work. It can

0:40:22.880 --> 0:40:25.440
<v Speaker 1>be there can be any one of the beauties is

0:40:25.480 --> 0:40:28.359
<v Speaker 1>every day is different than there can be problems like, uh,

0:40:30.320 --> 0:40:34.200
<v Speaker 1>you know Argentina shuts down, you know, Capital Control shuts

0:40:34.880 --> 0:40:38.160
<v Speaker 1>closes the market, or it could be uh some sort

0:40:38.200 --> 0:40:41.080
<v Speaker 1>of trade error or something. There's always some kind of concerns.

0:40:41.719 --> 0:40:43.920
<v Speaker 1>But the fund is really working with the clients and

0:40:44.920 --> 0:40:50.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, ultimately we're working with individuals. And the enthusiasm

0:40:50.600 --> 0:40:52.919
<v Speaker 1>comes from taking these new ideas around which we built

0:40:52.920 --> 0:40:57.160
<v Speaker 1>a firm and seeing the light go on for people

0:40:57.160 --> 0:41:01.000
<v Speaker 1>as they come in and say that aha moment, that's uh,

0:41:01.120 --> 0:41:04.080
<v Speaker 1>that's the excitement in the business. Uh, people go, I

0:41:04.120 --> 0:41:07.400
<v Speaker 1>get it now. So so let's talk about a decidedly

0:41:07.520 --> 0:41:12.080
<v Speaker 1>not a moment. You guys did fairly well throughout the

0:41:12.080 --> 0:41:16.080
<v Speaker 1>financial crisis. What was it like running an asset management

0:41:16.120 --> 0:41:20.480
<v Speaker 1>firm when you know, the markets get she lacked and

0:41:20.880 --> 0:41:24.720
<v Speaker 1>people are panicking. Well, it's it's very stressful. Obviously, Um,

0:41:25.280 --> 0:41:28.080
<v Speaker 1>we're not immune distress. Sometimes people say, well you're because

0:41:28.080 --> 0:41:29.839
<v Speaker 1>you're not trying to time the markets. You don't care.

0:41:30.040 --> 0:41:32.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we care just that there's not and we

0:41:32.960 --> 0:41:35.359
<v Speaker 1>don't We're not a control the markets. Did you see

0:41:35.360 --> 0:41:36.880
<v Speaker 1>a lot of outflows? Did you get a lot of

0:41:36.880 --> 0:41:39.839
<v Speaker 1>panicked calls? How? How did that? What was the day

0:41:39.840 --> 0:41:41.920
<v Speaker 1>to day like when you were in the midst of

0:41:41.920 --> 0:41:45.200
<v Speaker 1>oh eight oh nine. Well, the distinct, distinguishing characteristic is

0:41:45.239 --> 0:41:49.800
<v Speaker 1>that our clients stayed the course when there were massive

0:41:50.120 --> 0:41:54.400
<v Speaker 1>flows out of equity funds across the industry. We were

0:41:54.440 --> 0:41:57.600
<v Speaker 1>one of the few firms that actually had positive flows

0:41:57.640 --> 0:42:00.600
<v Speaker 1>every year, positive flows through oh seven, no eight or not.

0:42:01.800 --> 0:42:04.560
<v Speaker 1>And that explains why over the past five years you've

0:42:04.800 --> 0:42:08.640
<v Speaker 1>doubled in uh in size in terms of so this

0:42:09.200 --> 0:42:12.840
<v Speaker 1>in hindsight, I don't mean this as a positive because

0:42:12.840 --> 0:42:16.400
<v Speaker 1>everybody wishes it never happened, But net net you guys

0:42:16.520 --> 0:42:20.239
<v Speaker 1>came out fairly well after the crisis. Yeah, well you

0:42:20.280 --> 0:42:22.880
<v Speaker 1>could see the benefit of having a story about equilibrium,

0:42:22.920 --> 0:42:26.239
<v Speaker 1>which is what we believe. You know, sometimes people would

0:42:26.280 --> 0:42:28.840
<v Speaker 1>panic and go, gosh, you have markets are efficient? You know,

0:42:29.280 --> 0:42:33.000
<v Speaker 1>why are they down? And and the answer is that

0:42:33.440 --> 0:42:36.279
<v Speaker 1>markets are efficient. They're not perfect. You know, markets have

0:42:36.400 --> 0:42:38.880
<v Speaker 1>always gone up and down, and they'll continue to go

0:42:38.960 --> 0:42:41.759
<v Speaker 1>up and down. That's why you have a positive expected

0:42:42.280 --> 0:42:45.160
<v Speaker 1>outcome from investing in stocks people. You know, you have

0:42:45.200 --> 0:42:47.840
<v Speaker 1>to have a positive expected outcome where people wouldn't invest

0:42:47.840 --> 0:42:52.120
<v Speaker 1>in stocks. So it was we had great traction just

0:42:52.160 --> 0:42:54.920
<v Speaker 1>going to reviewing the basics with people when they come

0:42:54.960 --> 0:42:58.120
<v Speaker 1>in totally stressed out. Would say, hey, look, markets are

0:42:58.120 --> 0:43:01.080
<v Speaker 1>where buyers and sellers come together. They both have to

0:43:01.360 --> 0:43:04.920
<v Speaker 1>in a voluntary transaction. They both have to have I

0:43:04.920 --> 0:43:07.880
<v Speaker 1>feel like they got a good deal or they don't trade. Now,

0:43:07.920 --> 0:43:09.720
<v Speaker 1>if you look at the market, what's going on now,

0:43:10.520 --> 0:43:13.640
<v Speaker 1>they're trading. Volumes are huge, So a lot of buyers

0:43:13.680 --> 0:43:16.880
<v Speaker 1>coming into the market. Now, as to whether it's voluntary

0:43:17.000 --> 0:43:20.920
<v Speaker 1>or not, I think there are a lot of voluntary uh,

0:43:21.560 --> 0:43:24.320
<v Speaker 1>the buyers, but there are a lot of forced sellers,

0:43:24.360 --> 0:43:28.399
<v Speaker 1>people who have margin calls and whatnot. So, without being

0:43:28.440 --> 0:43:30.920
<v Speaker 1>a market forecaster, I did this video in late two

0:43:30.960 --> 0:43:33.680
<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight, beginning of two thousand nine. It turns

0:43:33.719 --> 0:43:36.000
<v Speaker 1>out it it was right pretty close to the bottom

0:43:36.000 --> 0:43:39.480
<v Speaker 1>of the market. Um. But it wasn't about timing at all.

0:43:39.560 --> 0:43:42.640
<v Speaker 1>It was about explaining how markets work and just reviewing that.

0:43:43.080 --> 0:43:45.960
<v Speaker 1>And you say, look, Warren Buffett's out there buying after

0:43:46.000 --> 0:43:50.000
<v Speaker 1>he had a number of transactions he reported at this time.

0:43:50.040 --> 0:43:53.120
<v Speaker 1>So and isn't too bad. This tracker is not too bad.

0:43:53.400 --> 0:43:55.120
<v Speaker 1>So he said, if we had to make a guess,

0:43:55.120 --> 0:43:57.239
<v Speaker 1>if anything, probably the buyers are getting too good a

0:43:57.280 --> 0:44:02.920
<v Speaker 1>deal now. And you know, I've watched my mouth out

0:44:02.920 --> 0:44:05.960
<v Speaker 1>with soap. I really said that they got it was

0:44:05.960 --> 0:44:08.560
<v Speaker 1>inefficiently priced, but they got a good deal of buyers.

0:44:08.960 --> 0:44:13.640
<v Speaker 1>Because you look at the tepid recovery since the recession

0:44:13.680 --> 0:44:16.840
<v Speaker 1>over six years ago, stock market has done great and

0:44:16.880 --> 0:44:21.040
<v Speaker 1>their recovery has been relatively modest. So you might ask

0:44:21.080 --> 0:44:23.960
<v Speaker 1>yourself why how would that happen? Well, I think prices

0:44:24.719 --> 0:44:28.279
<v Speaker 1>got to really attractive levels so it didn't take much

0:44:28.280 --> 0:44:31.160
<v Speaker 1>of a recovery to have them pop back up. So so,

0:44:31.200 --> 0:44:33.799
<v Speaker 1>in other words, markets are efficient, but people may not

0:44:33.880 --> 0:44:37.839
<v Speaker 1>be the most efficient, the most rational sellers when emotions

0:44:37.960 --> 0:44:42.000
<v Speaker 1>reared head. Absolutely. We have an advisor who says, I

0:44:42.080 --> 0:44:46.040
<v Speaker 1>don't have people with investment problems. I've got investments with

0:44:46.080 --> 0:44:49.759
<v Speaker 1>people problems. That's perfect. That really that really makes UM

0:44:49.920 --> 0:44:52.160
<v Speaker 1>sums it up perfectly. You know who I've been meaning

0:44:52.200 --> 0:44:56.200
<v Speaker 1>to ask you about, and I actually skipped over it earlier.

0:44:57.120 --> 0:45:00.680
<v Speaker 1>Is UM one of the earliest people you were working with?

0:45:01.360 --> 0:45:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Um when you begin how did you meet. I want

0:45:04.960 --> 0:45:11.279
<v Speaker 1>to pronounce his name correctly, Rex Sinquifield Um. He and

0:45:11.280 --> 0:45:14.319
<v Speaker 1>I were classmates of business school. Actually my second year

0:45:14.360 --> 0:45:17.880
<v Speaker 1>in the program at Chicago, I was a teaching assistant

0:45:17.880 --> 0:45:23.680
<v Speaker 1>for FAMA and Rex took Fauma's course and so um

0:45:24.880 --> 0:45:28.000
<v Speaker 1>I can great at his papers. But on Fridays we

0:45:28.040 --> 0:45:32.600
<v Speaker 1>would have a Q and A with a teaching assistance

0:45:33.440 --> 0:45:37.080
<v Speaker 1>and Rex always showed up. He was a zealot over

0:45:37.520 --> 0:45:42.839
<v Speaker 1>you know, really a scholar, and so he after he

0:45:42.880 --> 0:45:46.800
<v Speaker 1>graduated from from Chicago with his NBA, he went to

0:45:46.840 --> 0:45:50.040
<v Speaker 1>work for American National in Chicago and there he developed

0:45:50.040 --> 0:45:54.880
<v Speaker 1>the first SMP five index Farmah, so so you launch

0:45:55.120 --> 0:45:58.279
<v Speaker 1>d f A in Brooklyn. You reach out to Rex

0:45:58.520 --> 0:46:00.759
<v Speaker 1>at a certain point. Yeah, he had got wind of

0:46:00.800 --> 0:46:05.120
<v Speaker 1>what we were doing and we just started. We were

0:46:06.239 --> 0:46:08.319
<v Speaker 1>very far along at all, and he said he had

0:46:08.360 --> 0:46:12.000
<v Speaker 1>been thinking about doing something similar on his own. So

0:46:12.080 --> 0:46:15.080
<v Speaker 1>we said, well, look, uh, why don't we do this together?

0:46:15.680 --> 0:46:20.200
<v Speaker 1>So it was yourself Rex, who else was one of

0:46:20.239 --> 0:46:23.759
<v Speaker 1>the early co founders. Well, we had a number of

0:46:24.440 --> 0:46:28.280
<v Speaker 1>several colleagues I'd worked with in my assistant from before.

0:46:29.360 --> 0:46:31.840
<v Speaker 1>There's a couple of key people as well. And actually

0:46:31.840 --> 0:46:33.919
<v Speaker 1>a part of the story of the firm is really

0:46:34.320 --> 0:46:40.439
<v Speaker 1>all the outside directors we had, which are academics, well,

0:46:40.480 --> 0:46:42.440
<v Speaker 1>not all of them are academics, because I have a

0:46:42.440 --> 0:46:45.200
<v Speaker 1>little further down my list to ask you about your

0:46:45.200 --> 0:46:53.160
<v Speaker 1>relationship with one of my favorite nicks, former Senator Bill Bradley. Okay, well, um,

0:46:53.200 --> 0:46:57.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, we've been working with Senator Bradley about five years. Um,

0:46:57.719 --> 0:47:02.719
<v Speaker 1>he's uh, uh, you have been a terrific you know. Addition, uh,

0:47:02.800 --> 0:47:06.480
<v Speaker 1>he's works on a consoling basis, he's not uh is

0:47:06.520 --> 0:47:08.840
<v Speaker 1>he a director or just well, he's a you know,

0:47:08.840 --> 0:47:14.680
<v Speaker 1>an outside advisor, and he's yeah, deeply concerned about retirement

0:47:14.680 --> 0:47:18.239
<v Speaker 1>income for people. And we've been doing a lot of

0:47:18.280 --> 0:47:24.200
<v Speaker 1>work head headed by Bob Martin on helping people think

0:47:24.239 --> 0:47:28.440
<v Speaker 1>through and prepare for retirement. And uh, there's a budding,

0:47:28.760 --> 0:47:32.640
<v Speaker 1>a bit of a budding retirement crisis. The the average

0:47:32.640 --> 0:47:37.839
<v Speaker 1>baby boomer does not have enough money saved for their retirement. Now,

0:47:37.840 --> 0:47:40.719
<v Speaker 1>they don't end there and there's not there. They're not

0:47:40.760 --> 0:47:43.160
<v Speaker 1>short by a little, they're short by a lot. So

0:47:43.480 --> 0:47:47.279
<v Speaker 1>what's gonna end up happening twenty years? Hence, when I

0:47:47.280 --> 0:47:49.800
<v Speaker 1>think the number is something like forty or sixty thousand

0:47:49.800 --> 0:47:53.520
<v Speaker 1>boomers a day are retiring over the next ten years.

0:47:53.640 --> 0:47:56.640
<v Speaker 1>Is that about right? And that sounds that sounds right,

0:47:56.719 --> 0:48:00.200
<v Speaker 1>and it's um It's just, you know, it's a huge crisis.

0:48:00.000 --> 0:48:05.480
<v Speaker 1>It's hard to make up if somebody's close to retirement

0:48:05.560 --> 0:48:08.160
<v Speaker 1>and and hasn't saved enough, it's it's hard to save

0:48:08.200 --> 0:48:10.759
<v Speaker 1>a lot in just a few years. The important thing

0:48:10.840 --> 0:48:13.920
<v Speaker 1>is to train people and think about retirement over there

0:48:14.239 --> 0:48:17.799
<v Speaker 1>over their lifetime. We have a friend Patrick O'Shaughnessy who

0:48:17.800 --> 0:48:20.880
<v Speaker 1>wrote a book called Millennial Money and basically says, the

0:48:20.960 --> 0:48:25.319
<v Speaker 1>advantage that twentysomethings have is they have a fifty year

0:48:25.400 --> 0:48:28.480
<v Speaker 1>runway to save and the advantage of compounding is enormous.

0:48:28.760 --> 0:48:30.959
<v Speaker 1>You will never again in your life have that much

0:48:30.960 --> 0:48:35.319
<v Speaker 1>of a runway. And most people look, I think I'm

0:48:35.360 --> 0:48:39.120
<v Speaker 1>pretty typical. I was interested investing for many years, but

0:48:39.160 --> 0:48:42.200
<v Speaker 1>I never really got serious until my late thirties. It

0:48:42.280 --> 0:48:46.239
<v Speaker 1>didn't hurt to be earning a little more, but you know,

0:48:46.320 --> 0:48:49.680
<v Speaker 1>you think about what that twenty years of compounding could

0:48:49.680 --> 0:48:51.880
<v Speaker 1>have done. Even a little bit would have made a

0:48:51.960 --> 0:48:55.120
<v Speaker 1>huge difference totally. It's so the magic of compounding is

0:48:55.480 --> 0:49:00.120
<v Speaker 1>one of the most important aspects of investing. So we

0:49:00.200 --> 0:49:04.960
<v Speaker 1>talked about your trading strategy, and we talked about, um,

0:49:05.040 --> 0:49:09.160
<v Speaker 1>what was like running running the firm. Someone said to

0:49:09.200 --> 0:49:12.279
<v Speaker 1>me that, and I want you to clarify this. You

0:49:12.280 --> 0:49:16.480
<v Speaker 1>guys are effectively market makers for fourteen thousand stocks. I

0:49:16.520 --> 0:49:20.560
<v Speaker 1>think that's somewhat of an overstatement. You're not truly market makers.

0:49:20.600 --> 0:49:24.799
<v Speaker 1>You're you're just providing liquidly by by offering slightly better

0:49:24.840 --> 0:49:27.200
<v Speaker 1>prices than the bid. Is that is that a fair

0:49:27.200 --> 0:49:29.000
<v Speaker 1>way to describe it. Yeah, we tried to trade as

0:49:29.000 --> 0:49:31.480
<v Speaker 1>close to the bid as we can. Um, if we

0:49:31.520 --> 0:49:34.360
<v Speaker 1>were a market maker, we would be actively trading every day.

0:49:34.400 --> 0:49:36.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, one of the one of the principles we

0:49:36.640 --> 0:49:38.680
<v Speaker 1>have is we don't want to see much turnover in

0:49:38.719 --> 0:49:42.360
<v Speaker 1>the portfolios. Uh. The best way to save on trading

0:49:42.400 --> 0:49:45.720
<v Speaker 1>costs is not trade very often. Uh. And then uh,

0:49:45.920 --> 0:49:49.200
<v Speaker 1>my colleague says, the solution to high frequency trading is

0:49:49.239 --> 0:49:52.640
<v Speaker 1>low frequency trade. There, Well, you know these high frequency

0:49:52.640 --> 0:49:55.040
<v Speaker 1>traders are out there, and that you know. I'm we

0:49:55.080 --> 0:50:00.839
<v Speaker 1>don't do high frequency trading. I uh, Uh. As long

0:50:00.920 --> 0:50:03.640
<v Speaker 1>as everybody has access to the same information, I don't

0:50:03.640 --> 0:50:07.919
<v Speaker 1>have a problem with high frequency trading. So let's talk

0:50:07.920 --> 0:50:11.880
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about your co CEO, Eduardo Rappetto. What's

0:50:11.920 --> 0:50:15.799
<v Speaker 1>his role? How has he influenced the growth at Dimensional Funds. Well,

0:50:15.800 --> 0:50:20.799
<v Speaker 1>he's been he's been spectacular. Edwardo's background was he got

0:50:20.800 --> 0:50:24.680
<v Speaker 1>his pH d and uh some form of aeronautical engineering

0:50:24.680 --> 0:50:27.480
<v Speaker 1>at Caltech. Uh. He's explained it to me, but I

0:50:27.480 --> 0:50:31.960
<v Speaker 1>don't uh it goes beyond. I can make paper airplanes

0:50:31.960 --> 0:50:35.080
<v Speaker 1>and that's about it. But anyway, he got tired of

0:50:36.400 --> 0:50:40.600
<v Speaker 1>um uh of that area, and I thought about doing

0:50:40.840 --> 0:50:45.960
<v Speaker 1>uh finance, and he approached us. He joined our research team.

0:50:46.080 --> 0:50:49.640
<v Speaker 1>It turns out academic research and finance is very similar

0:50:49.680 --> 0:50:54.000
<v Speaker 1>to the academic We do academic research and and there

0:50:54.000 --> 0:50:56.920
<v Speaker 1>a nautical engineering. It's uh, you know research, there's some

0:50:57.120 --> 0:50:59.920
<v Speaker 1>general principles you following a lot of the same man

0:51:00.160 --> 0:51:04.279
<v Speaker 1>and so forth. So he uh and being as bright,

0:51:04.320 --> 0:51:07.000
<v Speaker 1>he'sn't phenomenally bright, and he picked up what he needed

0:51:07.000 --> 0:51:09.680
<v Speaker 1>to learn about finance, uh in a very short period

0:51:09.680 --> 0:51:12.480
<v Speaker 1>of time. And so what's so you guys are co

0:51:12.640 --> 0:51:15.600
<v Speaker 1>C E O S which is somewhat of a unusual

0:51:15.680 --> 0:51:20.520
<v Speaker 1>arrangement in finance. How do you guys divide the responsibilities? Well,

0:51:20.600 --> 0:51:22.640
<v Speaker 1>he he does the work and I take the credit.

0:51:22.840 --> 0:51:25.160
<v Speaker 1>That's basically the way it works. I have to I

0:51:25.200 --> 0:51:26.920
<v Speaker 1>have to see if I can get that done in

0:51:27.280 --> 0:51:30.160
<v Speaker 1>my own my own office. So you would you say

0:51:30.200 --> 0:51:33.960
<v Speaker 1>he's more operations and you're really more strategic or well,

0:51:34.000 --> 0:51:37.279
<v Speaker 1>I would say he's more hands on. I've tried to

0:51:37.320 --> 0:51:41.360
<v Speaker 1>get out of day to day management. Um and uh.

0:51:41.440 --> 0:51:43.840
<v Speaker 1>And we have a you know, a huge bench, a

0:51:43.880 --> 0:51:46.799
<v Speaker 1>lot of depth in the firm and uh, it's you

0:51:46.840 --> 0:51:49.480
<v Speaker 1>need to make that generational transfer. It's really important in

0:51:49.560 --> 0:51:53.440
<v Speaker 1>running a business that that you, you know, hand off

0:51:53.719 --> 0:51:57.640
<v Speaker 1>and so ed Ward O had you know, heads up

0:51:57.680 --> 0:52:02.680
<v Speaker 1>the next generation and you know of brilliant, hard working

0:52:02.719 --> 0:52:06.439
<v Speaker 1>people that that's nice to have that sort of deep

0:52:06.480 --> 0:52:08.799
<v Speaker 1>bench behind you. Let's let's talk a little bit about

0:52:08.800 --> 0:52:12.920
<v Speaker 1>the research paper you did with gene Farma Diversification, Returns

0:52:12.960 --> 0:52:16.040
<v Speaker 1>and Asset Management. I want a Graham and Dot award.

0:52:16.040 --> 0:52:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Didn't it back in r not too bad? So what

0:52:21.160 --> 0:52:24.319
<v Speaker 1>motivated you to say to your OPE professor, Hey, let's

0:52:24.360 --> 0:52:28.160
<v Speaker 1>do a paper. Well it Uh, you know what you know,

0:52:28.239 --> 0:52:33.560
<v Speaker 1>basically one of the biggest principles we have at the

0:52:33.560 --> 0:52:38.560
<v Speaker 1>firm is diversification. As your buddy, you know, and it's

0:52:38.600 --> 0:52:42.400
<v Speaker 1>difficult for people to see the benefit diversification, you know

0:52:42.480 --> 0:52:45.960
<v Speaker 1>what you know? Uh? On TV sometimes they say if

0:52:45.960 --> 0:52:49.480
<v Speaker 1>you have five stocks, you know you're diversified. You know. Uh, yes,

0:52:49.520 --> 0:52:52.600
<v Speaker 1>you have five large cap tech stocks perfectly, that's it.

0:52:52.680 --> 0:52:54.960
<v Speaker 1>You don't need anything else. And so people need to

0:52:55.000 --> 0:52:58.439
<v Speaker 1>help thinking through uh, you know the importance of diversification.

0:52:58.520 --> 0:53:02.560
<v Speaker 1>That's really what that paper was about, is measuring, uh,

0:53:02.600 --> 0:53:05.920
<v Speaker 1>how much your compound return. We we've talked about compounding.

0:53:06.280 --> 0:53:10.960
<v Speaker 1>How much your compound return has improved over time through diversification.

0:53:11.600 --> 0:53:15.759
<v Speaker 1>So there's diversification and there's rebalancing. Pretty close to a

0:53:15.760 --> 0:53:18.480
<v Speaker 1>free lunch. If I would say that anything is a

0:53:18.480 --> 0:53:21.840
<v Speaker 1>free lunch on on Wall Street, that's that's the closest

0:53:21.880 --> 0:53:25.759
<v Speaker 1>that that would be the first that would be the candidate, right,

0:53:25.840 --> 0:53:28.399
<v Speaker 1>doesn't caution anything, You're not taking additional risk or whatever

0:53:28.480 --> 0:53:32.160
<v Speaker 1>cost is tiny, and you basically over a period of

0:53:32.200 --> 0:53:35.840
<v Speaker 1>decades compound and extra let's call it hundred basis points.

0:53:35.880 --> 0:53:37.680
<v Speaker 1>Is that is that a fair assessment? Yeah, that'd be

0:53:37.880 --> 0:53:39.839
<v Speaker 1>that probably a little high, but it's pretty close to that.

0:53:39.920 --> 0:53:42.919
<v Speaker 1>And a hundred basis points, uh, over the long haul

0:53:43.239 --> 0:53:45.840
<v Speaker 1>can make a huge difference, right, especially with no additional

0:53:45.920 --> 0:53:50.640
<v Speaker 1>risk and the minimus costs. Um. So let's let's continue

0:53:50.640 --> 0:53:57.280
<v Speaker 1>along along those same lines. Um. You guys first started

0:53:57.280 --> 0:53:59.800
<v Speaker 1>with dimensions we mentioned earlier, it was there was beta

0:54:00.000 --> 0:54:03.360
<v Speaker 1>plus small cap, and then after small cap was value.

0:54:03.880 --> 0:54:07.439
<v Speaker 1>What other dimensions might potentially be coming down the pike. Well,

0:54:07.480 --> 0:54:12.080
<v Speaker 1>we've been doing a lot of work with UH, a

0:54:12.120 --> 0:54:16.520
<v Speaker 1>couple of measures on profitability, and it turns out that

0:54:16.600 --> 0:54:22.000
<v Speaker 1>adds UH quite a bit. UH and and reinvestment or

0:54:22.040 --> 0:54:25.240
<v Speaker 1>investment company investment. So there's always a lot of research

0:54:25.320 --> 0:54:27.919
<v Speaker 1>coming along. It takes it seems like it takes about

0:54:27.920 --> 0:54:31.520
<v Speaker 1>every ten years for a new idea to come along.

0:54:31.840 --> 0:54:33.600
<v Speaker 1>So so let's look at each of those. So we'll

0:54:33.600 --> 0:54:39.440
<v Speaker 1>start with profitability. Pretty intuitive. The more profitable company is

0:54:39.440 --> 0:54:41.759
<v Speaker 1>is it straight up profits or is it change? Is

0:54:41.840 --> 0:54:44.560
<v Speaker 1>a growth of profits? It's it's a it's a it's

0:54:44.560 --> 0:54:48.640
<v Speaker 1>a measure of profitability. The what And you're right, people,

0:54:48.800 --> 0:54:51.359
<v Speaker 1>I think that's intuitive of the you have to throw

0:54:51.400 --> 0:54:56.160
<v Speaker 1>in the caveat though, which is uh, gosh, it seems

0:54:56.160 --> 0:54:58.440
<v Speaker 1>like common sense. Why would I get paid more if

0:54:58.440 --> 0:55:00.759
<v Speaker 1>a company's more profitable? Seems like that its lower risk,

0:55:01.160 --> 0:55:04.239
<v Speaker 1>and that's not really, that's not really what's going on.

0:55:04.920 --> 0:55:06.719
<v Speaker 1>What's going on as you say, Look, suppose I have

0:55:06.760 --> 0:55:10.680
<v Speaker 1>two stocks and and they're selling at the same price,

0:55:10.680 --> 0:55:13.360
<v Speaker 1>but they have the same kind of characteristics wanted, and

0:55:13.480 --> 0:55:16.000
<v Speaker 1>one of them has a greater profitability measure. How do

0:55:16.040 --> 0:55:21.160
<v Speaker 1>you explain uh, uh that it's they're selling at the

0:55:21.200 --> 0:55:24.560
<v Speaker 1>same you know, the same price. Well, that the earnings

0:55:24.640 --> 0:55:28.080
<v Speaker 1>must be risk here, So it's, uh, there's something about

0:55:28.120 --> 0:55:30.839
<v Speaker 1>that company that's risk here. That's the thought process. That's

0:55:30.840 --> 0:55:33.560
<v Speaker 1>a thought process where you can make well, you're saying

0:55:33.600 --> 0:55:36.920
<v Speaker 1>that's wrong what I'm saying, that's uh, that's right if

0:55:36.960 --> 0:55:42.360
<v Speaker 1>you um by, It's just it's just another way of

0:55:42.640 --> 0:55:46.400
<v Speaker 1>getting at this notion of risk. If too, there are

0:55:46.440 --> 0:55:51.120
<v Speaker 1>stated differently. If two companies have the same expected cash flows,

0:55:51.160 --> 0:55:55.000
<v Speaker 1>the ones that's uh, that's that's less certain will sell

0:55:55.040 --> 0:55:58.040
<v Speaker 1>attle lower price. And what was the other dimension, the

0:55:58.080 --> 0:56:00.719
<v Speaker 1>other new dimension you said you were just investment. It

0:56:00.719 --> 0:56:03.600
<v Speaker 1>turns out reinvestment is that R and D or is

0:56:03.640 --> 0:56:06.120
<v Speaker 1>that share buy backs and dividing. It can be all

0:56:06.120 --> 0:56:10.400
<v Speaker 1>the people that companies, the companies that have the lowest

0:56:10.440 --> 0:56:15.680
<v Speaker 1>return are those that have uh, small companies that have

0:56:16.560 --> 0:56:20.279
<v Speaker 1>UM that are selling at high prices, that have low

0:56:20.280 --> 0:56:23.239
<v Speaker 1>profitability measure and invest a lot of money. That's uh,

0:56:23.800 --> 0:56:28.200
<v Speaker 1>those are the low profitability and are investing a lot

0:56:28.239 --> 0:56:31.360
<v Speaker 1>of it. And those that's another dimension that actually just

0:56:31.440 --> 0:56:34.080
<v Speaker 1>fairly well, well, we don't know. That's the ones that

0:56:35.040 --> 0:56:36.920
<v Speaker 1>they're Okay, let me get the ones that are not

0:56:37.040 --> 0:56:40.759
<v Speaker 1>profitable and they're investing a lot their returns that turn

0:56:40.800 --> 0:56:43.840
<v Speaker 1>out to be horrible. It's okay, hemage in cash and

0:56:43.840 --> 0:56:46.000
<v Speaker 1>they're not making Yeah, yeah, that's that's about one percent

0:56:46.040 --> 0:56:48.320
<v Speaker 1>of the markets. And so even though we're not stock

0:56:48.400 --> 0:56:51.919
<v Speaker 1>pickers where there's their behavior is so unusual that we've

0:56:51.960 --> 0:56:54.880
<v Speaker 1>chosen not to invest in those. Uh so you're just

0:56:54.920 --> 0:56:57.359
<v Speaker 1>screening them out as low quality and you want nothing

0:56:57.360 --> 0:57:00.320
<v Speaker 1>to do with that, right, And then the reinvest aessement?

0:57:00.520 --> 0:57:07.680
<v Speaker 1>How do you define reinvestments? UM? Just the normal UM

0:57:07.800 --> 0:57:12.640
<v Speaker 1>R and D or it's everything all right, So let's

0:57:12.719 --> 0:57:14.800
<v Speaker 1>let's go back a little bit to the University of Chicago.

0:57:14.880 --> 0:57:17.040
<v Speaker 1>Because that was such a short segment, I didn't get

0:57:17.040 --> 0:57:20.520
<v Speaker 1>a chance to answer you some questions. So the Booth

0:57:20.600 --> 0:57:24.920
<v Speaker 1>School was was named. You made an unrestricted grant to

0:57:24.960 --> 0:57:28.080
<v Speaker 1>them and At the time it was worth about three

0:57:28.440 --> 0:57:31.160
<v Speaker 1>million dollars, but I suspect it was worth more because

0:57:31.600 --> 0:57:34.280
<v Speaker 1>the structure of the deal was really kind of interesting.

0:57:34.320 --> 0:57:37.800
<v Speaker 1>It was it was cash and a what was described

0:57:37.840 --> 0:57:42.600
<v Speaker 1>as a considerable share of stock and mentional holdings, which

0:57:42.840 --> 0:57:48.920
<v Speaker 1>is what owns um dimensional funds, and that has to

0:57:48.960 --> 0:57:53.680
<v Speaker 1>be worth significantly more money today. Then when that that

0:57:54.480 --> 0:57:58.800
<v Speaker 1>grant was made, what was the thinking behind that structure. Well,

0:57:58.840 --> 0:58:02.640
<v Speaker 1>the structure was I I owed the university a lot.

0:58:03.240 --> 0:58:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Uh you credit them with you are You've said this

0:58:05.880 --> 0:58:09.160
<v Speaker 1>in many interviews. You credit them with opening your eyes,

0:58:09.280 --> 0:58:12.800
<v Speaker 1>changing your life, responsible for your success. I mean these

0:58:12.840 --> 0:58:14.800
<v Speaker 1>are your words. Yeah right, No, No, They've been a

0:58:14.800 --> 0:58:17.560
<v Speaker 1>partner every step along the way, you know, working with

0:58:17.600 --> 0:58:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Fall And then when we started the firm, Fama joined

0:58:20.640 --> 0:58:24.040
<v Speaker 1>us as a director right away and founding shareholder. Then

0:58:24.080 --> 0:58:28.000
<v Speaker 1>we went to uh, we had we created this mutual fund.

0:58:28.360 --> 0:58:32.720
<v Speaker 1>Mutual fund has to have an independent board of directors. Uh,

0:58:32.880 --> 0:58:36.440
<v Speaker 1>those are all there. All of our independent directors either

0:58:36.760 --> 0:58:40.280
<v Speaker 1>teach at Chicago or half taught at Chicago. And when

0:58:40.280 --> 0:58:43.720
<v Speaker 1>we started this was incredibly important because you know, we're

0:58:43.800 --> 0:58:47.640
<v Speaker 1>operating out of my brownstone in Brooklyn, and and without

0:58:47.640 --> 0:58:50.480
<v Speaker 1>a track record. So people sometimes ask how did you

0:58:50.480 --> 0:58:54.040
<v Speaker 1>get those first clients? And I think we had I

0:58:54.080 --> 0:58:56.400
<v Speaker 1>think we were reasonably persuasive, But I think a lot

0:58:56.440 --> 0:58:59.000
<v Speaker 1>of it has to do with this association and we

0:58:59.560 --> 0:59:03.200
<v Speaker 1>the people could see all these people, you know, farm Shoals,

0:59:03.720 --> 0:59:06.560
<v Speaker 1>uh Miller, you know, it's an you know it's uh,

0:59:07.040 --> 0:59:09.240
<v Speaker 1>that's right, Roder Ribertson, it's another one of your outside

0:59:09.240 --> 0:59:12.040
<v Speaker 1>of it. So that's a tremendous amount of credibility between

0:59:12.640 --> 0:59:17.000
<v Speaker 1>between the the nobel laureates and and everybody else. So

0:59:17.000 --> 0:59:20.560
<v Speaker 1>so I owed him, and so the questions now structuring

0:59:20.600 --> 0:59:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the deal then, Uh, I was long. I had a

0:59:24.120 --> 0:59:27.680
<v Speaker 1>huge debt and a little cash because we hadn't really

0:59:28.920 --> 0:59:30.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, it took a long time to get get

0:59:30.640 --> 0:59:34.640
<v Speaker 1>to get profitability. So it's basically cut him in on

0:59:34.680 --> 0:59:38.080
<v Speaker 1>an income stream, you know, uh, give him the income

0:59:38.080 --> 0:59:41.920
<v Speaker 1>on on on some shares going forward, rather than I

0:59:41.920 --> 0:59:44.880
<v Speaker 1>didn't write him a check for one big momp sum.

0:59:44.880 --> 0:59:47.760
<v Speaker 1>It's uh, so they'll have it earned out as you described.

0:59:48.160 --> 0:59:51.240
<v Speaker 1>And it's you know, in terms of the valuation, I

0:59:51.280 --> 0:59:53.160
<v Speaker 1>never got involved in the valuation to begin with. I

0:59:53.200 --> 0:59:55.280
<v Speaker 1>don't want to get involved in it now it is.

0:59:55.600 --> 0:59:58.480
<v Speaker 1>This is what it is. There's a phrase I read

0:59:58.800 --> 1:00:05.200
<v Speaker 1>about UM Chicago and and you described yourself. I'm looking

1:00:05.240 --> 1:00:11.120
<v Speaker 1>in my notes as someone someone described Dimensional Funds as

1:00:11.760 --> 1:00:16.440
<v Speaker 1>the applied brain trust of the Chicago School. Is that

1:00:16.480 --> 1:00:20.480
<v Speaker 1>a fair statement? Well, we've we've Yeah, we are about

1:00:20.520 --> 1:00:24.040
<v Speaker 1>implementation and really the application of the ideas. That is

1:00:24.080 --> 1:00:27.120
<v Speaker 1>what the firm is about. And I can maybe it

1:00:27.120 --> 1:00:28.880
<v Speaker 1>were stated a bit to say we were applying the

1:00:28.880 --> 1:00:32.760
<v Speaker 1>brain power. I mean, there's well, I guess it's not

1:00:32.800 --> 1:00:35.760
<v Speaker 1>too much of an overstatement. But how about applied think

1:00:35.800 --> 1:00:40.120
<v Speaker 1>tank from the University of Chicago. Okay, there we go. Yeah,

1:00:40.240 --> 1:00:43.680
<v Speaker 1>it's I think the important thing is we build a

1:00:43.680 --> 1:00:45.800
<v Speaker 1>firm around a set of ideas. Most of those ideas

1:00:45.800 --> 1:00:49.680
<v Speaker 1>were deal out and leading business schools, and and that's

1:00:49.680 --> 1:00:52.000
<v Speaker 1>what we ask our clients to do is share you

1:00:52.000 --> 1:00:54.560
<v Speaker 1>know that, uh, share are those ideas, that point of

1:00:54.640 --> 1:00:58.880
<v Speaker 1>view and we can all work together. You mentioned Jim

1:00:58.960 --> 1:01:04.320
<v Speaker 1>Lourie earlier. He developed the Chicago Center for Research and

1:01:04.360 --> 1:01:08.000
<v Speaker 1>Security Prices with Lawrence Fisher or some people just call

1:01:08.080 --> 1:01:11.240
<v Speaker 1>that CRISP for it's uh, how significant is that? It's

1:01:11.240 --> 1:01:14.760
<v Speaker 1>amazing when you go to do some research and you

1:01:14.760 --> 1:01:18.520
<v Speaker 1>you look for certain data. That's an amazing database. It

1:01:18.600 --> 1:01:21.440
<v Speaker 1>is the only reasse is the research quality database that

1:01:22.400 --> 1:01:26.640
<v Speaker 1>uh nearly all academics you who's in doing research, and

1:01:26.880 --> 1:01:33.760
<v Speaker 1>its significance cannot be overstated. Because let's go back, uh

1:01:33.920 --> 1:01:39.160
<v Speaker 1>to nineteen if you went around and asked people, what's

1:01:39.160 --> 1:01:41.920
<v Speaker 1>been the historical rate of return on stocks? But what

1:01:42.080 --> 1:01:44.200
<v Speaker 1>he knew? You know, all kinds of wild guests and

1:01:44.240 --> 1:01:46.959
<v Speaker 1>some people get a zero. Some people say fifteen percent

1:01:47.040 --> 1:01:52.360
<v Speaker 1>a year. I don't know what that is, but we

1:01:52.360 --> 1:01:56.400
<v Speaker 1>could kill that. Um okay, that was That was an

1:01:56.400 --> 1:02:00.200
<v Speaker 1>odd interruption that wasn't for us. Um let me if

1:02:00.240 --> 1:02:05.600
<v Speaker 1>I can kill that. You're gonna pause this second? Is

1:02:05.600 --> 1:02:11.080
<v Speaker 1>that this there? You go? Okay, I got it. It

1:02:11.160 --> 1:02:14.080
<v Speaker 1>was It was one of the headphones started squawking at us.

1:02:14.120 --> 1:02:19.680
<v Speaker 1>That's funny. That's never happened before. Um okay, because I'm

1:02:19.680 --> 1:02:28.280
<v Speaker 1>not fine? No, so oh you know what I just did.

1:02:28.360 --> 1:02:34.040
<v Speaker 1>I just turned on the phone again. Glad, This isn't live. Yeah, right, Charlie,

1:02:34.040 --> 1:02:37.040
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna edit that out? And where wire we we're

1:02:37.080 --> 1:02:41.520
<v Speaker 1>talking about Crisp Crisp. Yeah, let's go back to three.

1:02:41.560 --> 1:02:45.880
<v Speaker 1>Have you asked people, um, what's been the long term

1:02:45.920 --> 1:02:48.680
<v Speaker 1>performance of stocks the stock market? You know, what's been

1:02:48.680 --> 1:02:51.560
<v Speaker 1>the rate of return? Nobody had a clue because nobody

1:02:51.600 --> 1:02:56.000
<v Speaker 1>never collected the data. That's amazing that people did not

1:02:56.280 --> 1:02:59.960
<v Speaker 1>know what the returns of the market, right. So Chris

1:03:00.120 --> 1:03:04.800
<v Speaker 1>Uh did this study and found that I think for

1:03:04.840 --> 1:03:08.240
<v Speaker 1>the period in long term performance has been like nine

1:03:08.280 --> 1:03:11.720
<v Speaker 1>point three percent per year. And it's been it's been

1:03:12.440 --> 1:03:17.200
<v Speaker 1>amazingly Uh, it's been about that in the years since

1:03:17.240 --> 1:03:22.120
<v Speaker 1>sixty three, which is very unusual in economics to have

1:03:22.720 --> 1:03:25.920
<v Speaker 1>something that I worked in one data set that shows

1:03:26.000 --> 1:03:28.840
<v Speaker 1>up again very similarly in the next data set. It

1:03:28.840 --> 1:03:33.800
<v Speaker 1>almost never happens. So so it's pretty consistent. And clearly

1:03:33.840 --> 1:03:37.120
<v Speaker 1>it's a function of a number of factors that apparently

1:03:37.960 --> 1:03:41.800
<v Speaker 1>um are are not changing. Well, that's right, and so

1:03:42.760 --> 1:03:45.920
<v Speaker 1>and there was never back in those days, there wasn't

1:03:46.720 --> 1:03:50.160
<v Speaker 1>a standard way of measuring your time weighted rate to

1:03:50.240 --> 1:03:54.000
<v Speaker 1>return in other words, of you start with, you know,

1:03:56.040 --> 1:03:59.520
<v Speaker 1>a certain investment, and then over the years you add

1:03:59.680 --> 1:04:02.560
<v Speaker 1>and you had more money to it, take money out, whatever,

1:04:02.840 --> 1:04:04.480
<v Speaker 1>and then he end up with a certain amount of money.

1:04:04.760 --> 1:04:08.480
<v Speaker 1>The question is how calculating that rate of return adjusting

1:04:08.520 --> 1:04:11.600
<v Speaker 1>for the flows is very complicated, and so that's one

1:04:11.600 --> 1:04:13.600
<v Speaker 1>of the things that had to come. They had to

1:04:13.640 --> 1:04:18.360
<v Speaker 1>be created. And so in nineteen sixty three, for example,

1:04:18.400 --> 1:04:21.120
<v Speaker 1>there were no really there were no consulting firms that

1:04:21.520 --> 1:04:24.080
<v Speaker 1>dealt in the business because there was no there was

1:04:24.120 --> 1:04:27.400
<v Speaker 1>no standard way of measuring performance and doing performance measurement.

1:04:27.720 --> 1:04:31.240
<v Speaker 1>So that's an industry that's just you know, exploded, uh

1:04:31.320 --> 1:04:34.400
<v Speaker 1>in the last fifty years. That that's really amazing that

1:04:34.880 --> 1:04:36.800
<v Speaker 1>we could call those the good old days, of the

1:04:36.800 --> 1:04:39.840
<v Speaker 1>good old bad days. I can't imagine that they're just

1:04:39.920 --> 1:04:44.600
<v Speaker 1>simply wasn't a history of of data. It's that's amazing.

1:04:45.360 --> 1:04:47.560
<v Speaker 1>So so what does that mean for people like you know,

1:04:47.640 --> 1:04:51.640
<v Speaker 1>Jeremy Siegill Stocks for the long run? When that came out,

1:04:51.720 --> 1:04:54.280
<v Speaker 1>CRISP had already been around for a while, right, So

1:04:54.280 --> 1:04:56.880
<v Speaker 1>so he's basically building on the work that that they

1:04:56.960 --> 1:05:00.400
<v Speaker 1>had originally put together, right, and he he found data

1:05:00.520 --> 1:05:06.200
<v Speaker 1>going back even even longer. But it's you know, if

1:05:06.240 --> 1:05:08.040
<v Speaker 1>you ignore the history, you're doomed to relive it, I

1:05:08.040 --> 1:05:11.400
<v Speaker 1>guess for sure. So I keep hearing people talk about

1:05:11.880 --> 1:05:15.960
<v Speaker 1>we're in a low expected return environment. Stocks have had

1:05:16.000 --> 1:05:18.520
<v Speaker 1>a great run bonds have had a great run, but

1:05:18.600 --> 1:05:22.800
<v Speaker 1>everybody should throttle back their their expectations going forward. What

1:05:22.800 --> 1:05:25.440
<v Speaker 1>what are your thoughts on that? Well, there's some loose

1:05:25.480 --> 1:05:28.400
<v Speaker 1>evidence that there's a relation between let's say the overall

1:05:28.640 --> 1:05:31.320
<v Speaker 1>price earnings on the market and and sous going returns.

1:05:32.120 --> 1:05:36.760
<v Speaker 1>Have an interesting story of that. So the so I

1:05:36.760 --> 1:05:41.360
<v Speaker 1>fam infringe to this research and ad at UH and

1:05:41.800 --> 1:05:45.360
<v Speaker 1>their their their draft at the research um. We talked

1:05:45.360 --> 1:05:48.760
<v Speaker 1>about in one of our board meetings that when dividend

1:05:48.880 --> 1:05:52.320
<v Speaker 1>yields or lower price dividents are high, you know, uh

1:05:53.000 --> 1:05:56.840
<v Speaker 1>if if valuation ratios are high, the expected returns are

1:05:56.880 --> 1:05:59.520
<v Speaker 1>low in the market. So this was meeting we had

1:05:59.520 --> 1:06:03.320
<v Speaker 1>in September of eighty seven. So I said to Genevama, so, well,

1:06:03.480 --> 1:06:06.960
<v Speaker 1>does this mean we should At that time the evaluations

1:06:07.320 --> 1:06:09.560
<v Speaker 1>were high. I said, does this mean we should do something?

1:06:09.800 --> 1:06:12.440
<v Speaker 1>He said, oh no, no, all the variance around that

1:06:12.480 --> 1:06:15.560
<v Speaker 1>is so high you don't really have any information. Uh.

1:06:15.960 --> 1:06:20.200
<v Speaker 1>The next month was a crash of what's in the

1:06:20.280 --> 1:06:25.120
<v Speaker 1>day between friends. Yeah, so he got he mistaken for

1:06:25.200 --> 1:06:28.080
<v Speaker 1>being a market timer when he obviously wasn't trying to

1:06:28.120 --> 1:06:30.280
<v Speaker 1>say that at all. Now, when he says the variance

1:06:30.360 --> 1:06:32.560
<v Speaker 1>is so large. Is he just saying this is such

1:06:32.600 --> 1:06:36.240
<v Speaker 1>a noisy series that we can't derive any information, right,

1:06:36.560 --> 1:06:39.160
<v Speaker 1>That's it. So we know that higher PE is a

1:06:39.160 --> 1:06:42.640
<v Speaker 1>little price here, and lower P and other metrics are

1:06:42.840 --> 1:06:45.400
<v Speaker 1>less expensive. But there's only so much we could do

1:06:45.440 --> 1:06:46.640
<v Speaker 1>with this. There's much much you can do with it.

1:06:46.680 --> 1:06:49.680
<v Speaker 1>And you know, people frequently also ask a related question,

1:06:49.720 --> 1:06:52.320
<v Speaker 1>which is, gosh, we're kind of at a peak in

1:06:52.360 --> 1:06:54.720
<v Speaker 1>the market. Is this really a time to get in

1:06:54.760 --> 1:06:59.640
<v Speaker 1>because we're all time high and you know, you would

1:06:59.680 --> 1:07:01.600
<v Speaker 1>expect to be at all time high. I mean, that's

1:07:01.600 --> 1:07:04.760
<v Speaker 1>just the kind of way markets work, something like I

1:07:04.760 --> 1:07:08.320
<v Speaker 1>don't know, some big fraction. Most of the month ends, uh,

1:07:08.560 --> 1:07:12.920
<v Speaker 1>historically have been at at historical highs. I did a

1:07:12.960 --> 1:07:15.640
<v Speaker 1>column not too long ago. Yeah, I want to say

1:07:15.640 --> 1:07:20.520
<v Speaker 1>in ten we started with the SMP five and the

1:07:20.600 --> 1:07:24.560
<v Speaker 1>Dow got over the pre crisis highs, and people started

1:07:24.560 --> 1:07:27.920
<v Speaker 1>writing articles that, oh, markets at a new high, it's toppy,

1:07:28.000 --> 1:07:30.280
<v Speaker 1>it's dangerous. So we went back and looked at the data.

1:07:30.560 --> 1:07:33.360
<v Speaker 1>It turns out that market is at or near highs

1:07:34.080 --> 1:07:36.720
<v Speaker 1>much of the time, unless you're in a bear market

1:07:36.800 --> 1:07:39.440
<v Speaker 1>where you're you know, the Dowd kissed a thousand and

1:07:39.480 --> 1:07:42.440
<v Speaker 1>sixty six didn't get over it to lady two. But

1:07:42.560 --> 1:07:46.080
<v Speaker 1>from eighty two to two thousand, you're you're making a

1:07:46.120 --> 1:07:48.880
<v Speaker 1>series of fresh eyes every year. You know. We we

1:07:48.960 --> 1:07:53.840
<v Speaker 1>talked about earlier about one unfortunate circumstance the person that

1:07:53.880 --> 1:07:55.880
<v Speaker 1>got out at the bottom of the market when the

1:07:55.880 --> 1:07:58.440
<v Speaker 1>money market funes now can't get back in. And the

1:07:58.440 --> 1:08:01.960
<v Speaker 1>other there's a similar kind of related to person, the

1:08:02.040 --> 1:08:04.520
<v Speaker 1>person that wants to invest. It's gonna wait for a

1:08:04.560 --> 1:08:08.560
<v Speaker 1>crash before getting in and the market takes off now

1:08:08.600 --> 1:08:11.840
<v Speaker 1>they go, well the trains are you left the station now? Now?

1:08:12.360 --> 1:08:16.720
<v Speaker 1>So they they never seemed to uh get caught up.

1:08:16.760 --> 1:08:20.640
<v Speaker 1>And that's emphasizes once again the importance of having a

1:08:20.760 --> 1:08:25.360
<v Speaker 1>particular investment philosophy, usually translating into an asset mix, an

1:08:25.400 --> 1:08:29.680
<v Speaker 1>asset allocation, and sticking with it. The psychology we hear

1:08:29.720 --> 1:08:32.400
<v Speaker 1>from people with that is, look, I miss so much

1:08:32.439 --> 1:08:35.400
<v Speaker 1>of this run. If I put my money to work now,

1:08:35.439 --> 1:08:39.000
<v Speaker 1>I'll feel doubly stupid if the next day the market crashes.

1:08:39.080 --> 1:08:43.000
<v Speaker 1>There there's almost this risk aversion like their investment is

1:08:43.000 --> 1:08:45.760
<v Speaker 1>going to crash in the market. Well, there is kind

1:08:45.760 --> 1:08:48.720
<v Speaker 1>of Murphy's law and translated into investing, which is, uh,

1:08:49.240 --> 1:08:51.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, whenever I put the money and that's the

1:08:51.520 --> 1:08:53.120
<v Speaker 1>that's going to be the peak of the market. As

1:08:53.120 --> 1:08:56.400
<v Speaker 1>so break it up into four pieces and spreading and

1:08:56.439 --> 1:08:57.720
<v Speaker 1>you don't have to worry about You don't have to

1:08:57.720 --> 1:09:02.040
<v Speaker 1>worry what you want to do. I think talking to

1:09:02.080 --> 1:09:06.320
<v Speaker 1>people for years is UH. And I counsel people you

1:09:06.320 --> 1:09:08.200
<v Speaker 1>want to invest in a way and you can kind

1:09:08.200 --> 1:09:10.960
<v Speaker 1>of relax. Markets are going to go up and down,

1:09:12.400 --> 1:09:15.160
<v Speaker 1>that's what they do, and you shouldn't invest more in

1:09:15.160 --> 1:09:18.479
<v Speaker 1>the market than you can. UH. Then you can accept

1:09:18.680 --> 1:09:22.000
<v Speaker 1>and uh and just ride those ups and downs. That's

1:09:22.400 --> 1:09:24.479
<v Speaker 1>the natural order of things. And over the long haul

1:09:24.720 --> 1:09:26.840
<v Speaker 1>you're probably gonna be Okay, what what was the great

1:09:26.920 --> 1:09:31.040
<v Speaker 1>JP Morgan quote? Markets will fluctuates, asking Congress where where's

1:09:31.080 --> 1:09:35.360
<v Speaker 1>the market go? Markets will fluctuate, which is which I

1:09:35.400 --> 1:09:39.240
<v Speaker 1>think is is a fair statement. Well, but speaking fairness

1:09:39.360 --> 1:09:41.280
<v Speaker 1>is actually one of the things that needs to be

1:09:41.320 --> 1:09:45.320
<v Speaker 1>emphasized a bit more in terms of what well this

1:09:45.360 --> 1:09:48.400
<v Speaker 1>whole notion of fishing markets or equilibrium point of view

1:09:48.400 --> 1:09:53.120
<v Speaker 1>of investing, it says that, um, if you take the

1:09:53.160 --> 1:09:57.880
<v Speaker 1>profacial investor versus the average joe. They have the same

1:09:57.920 --> 1:10:01.680
<v Speaker 1>expected outcome UH orient trading costs. I mean, maybe the

1:10:01.720 --> 1:10:05.719
<v Speaker 1>institution can trade cheaper on it, but ignoring the costs,

1:10:06.280 --> 1:10:11.200
<v Speaker 1>UH expected outcome UH for each is the same. That's

1:10:11.240 --> 1:10:13.639
<v Speaker 1>about as fair as it life gets. In other words,

1:10:14.280 --> 1:10:17.160
<v Speaker 1>it's not the case that the average Joe going in

1:10:17.479 --> 1:10:21.439
<v Speaker 1>to invest or Jane, I don't uh, the average family

1:10:23.160 --> 1:10:26.719
<v Speaker 1>has UH is not getting ripped off by the professional investor.

1:10:27.120 --> 1:10:29.599
<v Speaker 1>I think that's really cool. That's one of the it's

1:10:29.600 --> 1:10:32.960
<v Speaker 1>one of the implications. And that's why I think those

1:10:32.960 --> 1:10:35.720
<v Speaker 1>of us to share this point of view, you know,

1:10:35.760 --> 1:10:39.360
<v Speaker 1>I feel this kind of missionary zeal to spread the

1:10:39.400 --> 1:10:43.200
<v Speaker 1>word that. There's been a number of discussions, a number

1:10:43.240 --> 1:10:47.440
<v Speaker 1>of people have said, you know, individuals actually have an advantage.

1:10:47.920 --> 1:10:49.880
<v Speaker 1>An individual doesn't have someone at the end of the

1:10:49.960 --> 1:10:52.439
<v Speaker 1>quarter or these days the end of the month saying

1:10:52.439 --> 1:10:54.519
<v Speaker 1>how'd you do? Why am I into performing the benchmark?

1:10:54.560 --> 1:10:57.240
<v Speaker 1>Why an't you doing better? An individual can ride the

1:10:57.320 --> 1:11:00.479
<v Speaker 1>ups and downs without somebody breathing down their neck. Well

1:11:00.479 --> 1:11:05.920
<v Speaker 1>they can, but they don't. Yeah, I mean, uh, you know,

1:11:06.040 --> 1:11:08.600
<v Speaker 1>it's um. One way to think about the market is

1:11:08.960 --> 1:11:12.400
<v Speaker 1>just kind of and and the role of indexing. It's

1:11:12.439 --> 1:11:17.559
<v Speaker 1>just simple arithmetic um index funds by a slice of

1:11:17.560 --> 1:11:22.280
<v Speaker 1>the whole market. Uh, you know. And so since they

1:11:22.320 --> 1:11:25.720
<v Speaker 1>buy just a slice of the market, then the non

1:11:25.760 --> 1:11:28.280
<v Speaker 1>index portion, i mean, the active portion, has got to

1:11:28.320 --> 1:11:31.360
<v Speaker 1>be buying a slice of the market because it's got

1:11:31.360 --> 1:11:33.920
<v Speaker 1>to add up to the market. So by simple arithmetic,

1:11:34.240 --> 1:11:37.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, the the active people are trading with themselves

1:11:37.360 --> 1:11:39.720
<v Speaker 1>largely trading with each other more or less. Yeah, so

1:11:39.720 --> 1:11:42.840
<v Speaker 1>it's a zero sum game and minus the costs. So

1:11:43.080 --> 1:11:47.120
<v Speaker 1>so you mentioned diversification. What else should investors be thinking

1:11:47.120 --> 1:11:52.040
<v Speaker 1>about things like asset allocation, stocks and and bonds as

1:11:52.080 --> 1:11:56.720
<v Speaker 1>well as valuation? How how should they contextualize that? Well,

1:11:56.760 --> 1:11:59.439
<v Speaker 1>I think first off they need to figure out it

1:11:59.520 --> 1:12:02.440
<v Speaker 1>sounds some well, but what's the objective here? Is a retirement?

1:12:02.640 --> 1:12:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Are you saving for uh, college or house? What? What is?

1:12:07.400 --> 1:12:09.479
<v Speaker 1>And each of those he would manage the money is

1:12:09.479 --> 1:12:12.840
<v Speaker 1>a little bit differently depending on what the objective is.

1:12:13.000 --> 1:12:14.559
<v Speaker 1>That would be your tilt. So it's a little more

1:12:14.600 --> 1:12:17.519
<v Speaker 1>stop or a little yeah, right, But it is about

1:12:17.560 --> 1:12:21.280
<v Speaker 1>the an asset allocation and and and risk and and uh.

1:12:22.040 --> 1:12:25.280
<v Speaker 1>And in the case of retirement, it's about maintaining a

1:12:25.320 --> 1:12:31.360
<v Speaker 1>standard of living in retirement UH and UM. Having an

1:12:31.360 --> 1:12:34.920
<v Speaker 1>objective of I want a certain retire income in retirement

1:12:35.040 --> 1:12:40.280
<v Speaker 1>adjusted for inflation lead you to manage money a little

1:12:40.320 --> 1:12:44.280
<v Speaker 1>differently than UH, than the typical firm, firm or person

1:12:45.000 --> 1:12:48.799
<v Speaker 1>just seeking to maximize wealth. You know, you talked earlier

1:12:48.840 --> 1:12:54.400
<v Speaker 1>about the upcoming retirement crisis we're gonna be facing. And

1:12:54.400 --> 1:12:57.599
<v Speaker 1>I'm trying to remember the name of Charlie Ellis's book

1:12:58.479 --> 1:13:03.960
<v Speaker 1>which was about that, just that subject, UM, which is,

1:13:04.160 --> 1:13:06.040
<v Speaker 1>we have a day of reckoning coming and no one

1:13:06.080 --> 1:13:09.280
<v Speaker 1>really seems to be prepared for it. And the math

1:13:09.439 --> 1:13:13.040
<v Speaker 1>is pretty clear most Americans are not going to be

1:13:13.080 --> 1:13:18.839
<v Speaker 1>able to afford a comfortable retirement without some radical change

1:13:18.960 --> 1:13:22.640
<v Speaker 1>in their spending and saving behaviors. Yeah. I think I

1:13:22.680 --> 1:13:25.400
<v Speaker 1>haven't checked out recently, but I think you can buy

1:13:25.400 --> 1:13:28.400
<v Speaker 1>a real annuity has about a five percent yield and

1:13:29.120 --> 1:13:32.400
<v Speaker 1>buy real annuity meaning that as long as you live it,

1:13:32.640 --> 1:13:36.920
<v Speaker 1>it pays you that five percent adjusted for UH, you know,

1:13:37.080 --> 1:13:42.320
<v Speaker 1>adjusted for inflation. Five. Yeah, and UM, so that means

1:13:42.360 --> 1:13:45.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's a simple math. You figure out how

1:13:45.200 --> 1:13:47.840
<v Speaker 1>much you want to have multiplied by twenty and and

1:13:47.880 --> 1:13:50.400
<v Speaker 1>that's what how much, that's how much you need, So

1:13:50.560 --> 1:13:53.080
<v Speaker 1>let's go. We've talked a little bit about corporate governance

1:13:53.200 --> 1:13:59.680
<v Speaker 1>earlier about poison pill adaptation. Um. There's some some agitation

1:13:59.720 --> 1:14:03.120
<v Speaker 1>out of the SEC and and d C about the

1:14:03.160 --> 1:14:10.360
<v Speaker 1>post financial crisis cities systatic systemically important financial institutions. How

1:14:10.400 --> 1:14:13.960
<v Speaker 1>on earth did mutual funds which had nothing whatsoever to

1:14:14.000 --> 1:14:17.479
<v Speaker 1>do with the last any of the last crisis either oh,

1:14:17.520 --> 1:14:20.799
<v Speaker 1>seven oh eight or two thousand or I don't remember

1:14:20.800 --> 1:14:23.200
<v Speaker 1>if mutual for other than the mutual fund timing scandal,

1:14:23.240 --> 1:14:27.080
<v Speaker 1>which really had nothing to do with them being systemic. Um,

1:14:27.600 --> 1:14:29.920
<v Speaker 1>How did how did mutual funds get dragged in? And

1:14:30.240 --> 1:14:33.040
<v Speaker 1>what do you guys doing about this in terms of

1:14:33.040 --> 1:14:38.200
<v Speaker 1>of that regulatory Can I call it overreach? Yeah you can? Okay, Yeah,

1:14:39.400 --> 1:14:43.360
<v Speaker 1>it's um. Um. Somehow in the it seems like in

1:14:43.439 --> 1:14:46.880
<v Speaker 1>rein the press one would I think that part of

1:14:46.920 --> 1:14:50.080
<v Speaker 1>the reason we had a financial crisis was that we

1:14:50.120 --> 1:14:54.280
<v Speaker 1>didn't have enough regulation or regular If there's any are

1:14:54.840 --> 1:14:58.120
<v Speaker 1>any institution that are heavily regulated as banks and insurance companies,

1:14:58.680 --> 1:15:01.559
<v Speaker 1>it's insurance. Other than a I G, which was kind

1:15:01.560 --> 1:15:04.599
<v Speaker 1>of a unique creature. The rest of the insurance industry

1:15:04.640 --> 1:15:07.280
<v Speaker 1>had nothing to do with this. And I'm a critic

1:15:07.320 --> 1:15:09.800
<v Speaker 1>of hedge funds. They cost too much, most of them

1:15:09.840 --> 1:15:13.080
<v Speaker 1>don't deliver on what they promised. But hedge funds didn't

1:15:13.120 --> 1:15:15.640
<v Speaker 1>have a whole lot to do with this crisis either.

1:15:15.760 --> 1:15:18.520
<v Speaker 1>But of all the entities in the world to finance,

1:15:19.320 --> 1:15:22.719
<v Speaker 1>mutual funds were bystanders, they were observers. They had nothing

1:15:22.720 --> 1:15:24.400
<v Speaker 1>to do with this. And there's no evidence that there

1:15:24.439 --> 1:15:27.720
<v Speaker 1>was any kind of panic and it was that. No,

1:15:27.800 --> 1:15:33.320
<v Speaker 1>I didn't, it's um, but there is there is a

1:15:33.439 --> 1:15:37.160
<v Speaker 1>theory that we need to have a lot more regulation.

1:15:37.200 --> 1:15:41.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't know why, but the mutual fund you know,

1:15:41.360 --> 1:15:43.640
<v Speaker 1>the money sitting in a in a the assets are

1:15:43.640 --> 1:15:48.280
<v Speaker 1>in a vault somewhere, but we're running off with them. Um.

1:15:48.920 --> 1:15:52.719
<v Speaker 1>And I think they kind of helped prevent a bigger panic.

1:15:53.080 --> 1:15:55.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, back in two thousand and eight, two thousand nine,

1:15:55.080 --> 1:15:59.880
<v Speaker 1>if you recall those the the anxiety that was stress

1:16:00.160 --> 1:16:03.599
<v Speaker 1>people were experiencing them, you know, that's uh. We were

1:16:03.600 --> 1:16:06.640
<v Speaker 1>worried that people would panic and you know, rush for

1:16:06.640 --> 1:16:08.760
<v Speaker 1>the door all at the same time. And it just

1:16:08.760 --> 1:16:12.639
<v Speaker 1>didn't happen with mutual funds. It happened with people's individual moneys.

1:16:12.640 --> 1:16:15.880
<v Speaker 1>But it didn't happen with h didn't happen with mutual funds,

1:16:16.439 --> 1:16:20.599
<v Speaker 1>and especially you guys. You guys are notorious for having

1:16:21.479 --> 1:16:27.200
<v Speaker 1>very long perspective and your financial advisors. Full disclosure, we

1:16:27.320 --> 1:16:31.200
<v Speaker 1>own dimensional funds in in my office. But you know,

1:16:31.400 --> 1:16:34.000
<v Speaker 1>we watched, we went through that whole training process. We

1:16:34.040 --> 1:16:37.599
<v Speaker 1>know how you guys operate. It made us think that

1:16:37.760 --> 1:16:41.360
<v Speaker 1>other advisors is always that sort of game of chicken. Well,

1:16:41.360 --> 1:16:43.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to sell, but I gotta sell before

1:16:43.080 --> 1:16:46.840
<v Speaker 1>that guy. You don't have that situation, no, don't. I

1:16:46.880 --> 1:16:49.160
<v Speaker 1>think a lot a lot of it stems from the

1:16:49.160 --> 1:16:53.439
<v Speaker 1>fact that there was, you know, one or two money

1:16:53.479 --> 1:16:55.439
<v Speaker 1>market funds that had to break the bus. Sure, and

1:16:55.479 --> 1:16:59.880
<v Speaker 1>that's what this is all about. They go, Okay, that's

1:17:00.080 --> 1:17:03.720
<v Speaker 1>those are really that's really banking the Skuy's money market fund.

1:17:03.960 --> 1:17:06.599
<v Speaker 1>And keep in mind, for tax reasons, they're always quoted

1:17:06.640 --> 1:17:09.639
<v Speaker 1>as a dollar, whether we know it fluctuates up and down,

1:17:10.120 --> 1:17:14.559
<v Speaker 1>so that's should be a relatively simple thing to fix.

1:17:15.200 --> 1:17:17.920
<v Speaker 1>There's no such thing as risk free return, but that's

1:17:18.160 --> 1:17:21.360
<v Speaker 1>what they were promising. I don't know why taxpayers are

1:17:21.400 --> 1:17:26.320
<v Speaker 1>suddenly on the hook for backing people's risk investments. In

1:17:26.400 --> 1:17:28.439
<v Speaker 1>money market. Hey, you could park your money in short

1:17:28.520 --> 1:17:32.760
<v Speaker 1>term treasuries if you want risk free, low returns. So

1:17:32.840 --> 1:17:35.240
<v Speaker 1>you think that, let me, yeah, I know, I mean

1:17:35.280 --> 1:17:40.240
<v Speaker 1>I I'm on the same same So so you're about

1:17:40.280 --> 1:17:43.600
<v Speaker 1>to say something about well, risk I mean that's that's Um,

1:17:43.640 --> 1:17:48.720
<v Speaker 1>it's important as as ties into retirement. Uh, there's a

1:17:48.760 --> 1:17:53.000
<v Speaker 1>retirement discussion. Treasury bills are riskless in the sense that

1:17:53.240 --> 1:17:56.519
<v Speaker 1>there's really you're gonna get paid, and if it's short term,

1:17:56.560 --> 1:18:01.400
<v Speaker 1>there's not much price risk. They are extremely risky when

1:18:01.439 --> 1:18:06.240
<v Speaker 1>you think about a person retiring because uh, you know, um,

1:18:06.280 --> 1:18:10.479
<v Speaker 1>and an example would be somebody retired twenty years ago.

1:18:10.760 --> 1:18:13.960
<v Speaker 1>We probably got a five percent yield and they bought bonds. Now,

1:18:14.280 --> 1:18:17.320
<v Speaker 1>whatever they're getting dependent on which bondy by you know,

1:18:17.360 --> 1:18:20.880
<v Speaker 1>one too, maybe three. You have to reinvestment. And the

1:18:21.040 --> 1:18:23.320
<v Speaker 1>risk is if you're getting a higher yield, you're also

1:18:23.320 --> 1:18:26.360
<v Speaker 1>getting higher inflation. So there's a real risk that the

1:18:26.479 --> 1:18:28.840
<v Speaker 1>value of your assets are going to be worth less. Right,

1:18:28.880 --> 1:18:32.280
<v Speaker 1>So it's for a retired person, they can be actually

1:18:32.560 --> 1:18:37.120
<v Speaker 1>pretty risky, which all points back to how underinvested much

1:18:37.160 --> 1:18:42.280
<v Speaker 1>of America is in their own own retime. So this

1:18:42.280 --> 1:18:44.840
<v Speaker 1>this leads to a couple of of questions that are

1:18:44.880 --> 1:18:48.880
<v Speaker 1>on my list. What is hurting investors today? What are

1:18:48.880 --> 1:18:56.040
<v Speaker 1>they doing that's getting in their own way? Well, I think, um,

1:18:56.080 --> 1:18:58.400
<v Speaker 1>I haven't done. This is not science at all, but

1:18:58.439 --> 1:19:00.800
<v Speaker 1>I think one of the concerns that I have is

1:19:00.840 --> 1:19:04.679
<v Speaker 1>that people are desperate for yield and they look at

1:19:05.160 --> 1:19:09.120
<v Speaker 1>at money market funds and basically a zero return. I mean,

1:19:09.520 --> 1:19:13.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, uh, and they go, I gotta, I gotta,

1:19:13.560 --> 1:19:15.599
<v Speaker 1>I gotta do something. I get a better yield than

1:19:15.640 --> 1:19:18.519
<v Speaker 1>that you get on Greek bonds today, if that's what

1:19:18.560 --> 1:19:21.160
<v Speaker 1>you really look. Yeah, so there we go. There we

1:19:21.160 --> 1:19:24.599
<v Speaker 1>have a bracketed somewhere between treasury bills and Greek So

1:19:24.720 --> 1:19:27.479
<v Speaker 1>people forget about the risk and they chase yield, and

1:19:27.560 --> 1:19:31.080
<v Speaker 1>that leads to disaster. And you know, inflation, you know

1:19:31.120 --> 1:19:35.080
<v Speaker 1>it's probably real interest rates are negative two you know,

1:19:35.800 --> 1:19:40.280
<v Speaker 1>uh something like that, but meaning that we're zero and

1:19:40.360 --> 1:19:44.360
<v Speaker 1>you throw in two percent. So once you get once

1:19:44.400 --> 1:19:47.519
<v Speaker 1>you adjust that, you're you're really negative. Yeah. And when

1:19:47.520 --> 1:19:51.320
<v Speaker 1>we started firm, I think interest rates were like fift

1:19:51.800 --> 1:19:54.479
<v Speaker 1>and eighty one and inflation was like eighteen percent, so

1:19:54.720 --> 1:19:57.760
<v Speaker 1>you have negative three percent. So yeah, so it's better.

1:19:57.840 --> 1:20:00.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's uh, the difference is, you know, no

1:20:00.120 --> 1:20:03.320
<v Speaker 1>longer have bonds risk free rate to return at least

1:20:03.400 --> 1:20:07.559
<v Speaker 1>nominally competing with equities. So that, to me, that explains

1:20:07.600 --> 1:20:11.120
<v Speaker 1>a big chunk of why we have such elevated prices

1:20:11.160 --> 1:20:16.280
<v Speaker 1>and equities. Yeah, so I think people are um maybe two.

1:20:16.360 --> 1:20:19.280
<v Speaker 1>Maybe there's I haven't looked, I haven't seen any studies,

1:20:19.320 --> 1:20:21.960
<v Speaker 1>but I'd be worried that people might be invested in

1:20:21.960 --> 1:20:26.640
<v Speaker 1>too much inequities because of you know, the if you

1:20:26.640 --> 1:20:28.840
<v Speaker 1>look at the dividend, yield's higher than the interest rate,

1:20:28.880 --> 1:20:32.559
<v Speaker 1>which makes it seem like a free lunch. Well, we've

1:20:32.600 --> 1:20:35.880
<v Speaker 1>seen a lot of people take assets that otherwise, under

1:20:35.920 --> 1:20:38.479
<v Speaker 1>normal circumstances would have found that way to fixed income,

1:20:38.920 --> 1:20:40.879
<v Speaker 1>and they say, let me just put into a dividend

1:20:40.920 --> 1:20:43.840
<v Speaker 1>portfolio and I'll get my coupon and if this goes

1:20:43.920 --> 1:20:46.840
<v Speaker 1>up and down, I don't worry about it. Some risk

1:20:46.880 --> 1:20:49.160
<v Speaker 1>in that as well. Yeah, that's right. As long as

1:20:49.160 --> 1:20:51.200
<v Speaker 1>the company is paying the dividends, you're okay. But you know,

1:20:51.320 --> 1:20:56.320
<v Speaker 1>let's most of them don't pay dividends in so let's

1:20:56.360 --> 1:21:00.400
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about um your perspectives. You've had

1:21:00.439 --> 1:21:04.920
<v Speaker 1>a thirty plus year window since you launched dimensional Funds

1:21:04.920 --> 1:21:08.639
<v Speaker 1>in eighty one. We're coming up on your thirty fifth anniversary. Yeah,

1:21:08.680 --> 1:21:13.280
<v Speaker 1>next year. That's amazing. So what has changed, um, in

1:21:13.360 --> 1:21:17.200
<v Speaker 1>your perspective? What what has changed in the industry and

1:21:17.240 --> 1:21:22.519
<v Speaker 1>how has dimensional Funds changed along the way? Well, UM,

1:21:23.120 --> 1:21:25.640
<v Speaker 1>I would say a couple of things. First off, we

1:21:25.720 --> 1:21:29.240
<v Speaker 1>understand a lot more about what causes returns or where

1:21:29.320 --> 1:21:34.759
<v Speaker 1>returns come from in this dimensionality, um. And the second

1:21:34.800 --> 1:21:37.840
<v Speaker 1>aspect though, is really this movement towards indexing, you know,

1:21:37.880 --> 1:21:41.439
<v Speaker 1>the ideas that were started in the academic world in

1:21:41.439 --> 1:21:44.519
<v Speaker 1>the sixties that led to the creation of index funds

1:21:44.560 --> 1:21:47.920
<v Speaker 1>in the seventies, you know, has really gained traction over

1:21:47.960 --> 1:21:51.240
<v Speaker 1>there since the eighties. And it's really uh uh you know,

1:21:51.240 --> 1:21:56.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm surprised it hasn't gotten you know, you know, more assets.

1:21:56.560 --> 1:21:59.200
<v Speaker 1>It's amazing that it's taken half a century for something

1:21:59.240 --> 1:22:01.960
<v Speaker 1>that a heres to be obvious to really have gotten on.

1:22:02.320 --> 1:22:05.400
<v Speaker 1>Which leads to the next question, how much room is

1:22:05.439 --> 1:22:09.040
<v Speaker 1>there for indexing to grow? What? What? It's not especially

1:22:09.160 --> 1:22:12.519
<v Speaker 1>huge today, but how big is too big? Well, we

1:22:12.560 --> 1:22:15.400
<v Speaker 1>don't know that, I mean at some point if but

1:22:15.479 --> 1:22:19.040
<v Speaker 1>in general, index funds just take a provide of slice

1:22:19.040 --> 1:22:23.320
<v Speaker 1>on everything, and so they're about they're the most neutral

1:22:23.360 --> 1:22:26.519
<v Speaker 1>strategy out there as opposed to you know, somebody wanting

1:22:26.560 --> 1:22:30.120
<v Speaker 1>growth or income or whatever they object. All of those

1:22:30.600 --> 1:22:33.479
<v Speaker 1>slants that cause you to get away from the market

1:22:33.680 --> 1:22:39.519
<v Speaker 1>have capacity constraints. But your your basic market index fund UH,

1:22:40.200 --> 1:22:43.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, UH should be pretty neutral, could absorb kind

1:22:43.400 --> 1:22:47.120
<v Speaker 1>of an untold amounts, lots of upside and and no

1:22:47.760 --> 1:22:52.000
<v Speaker 1>ceiling anytime soon. Right, So here we are, we're six

1:22:52.080 --> 1:22:56.280
<v Speaker 1>years into this bull market. There's plenty of skepticism out there.

1:22:57.160 --> 1:23:00.720
<v Speaker 1>Why no euphoria? Why has the investing public I don't

1:23:00.760 --> 1:23:04.520
<v Speaker 1>want to say shunned, but clearly they haven't jumped aboard

1:23:05.000 --> 1:23:07.599
<v Speaker 1>this bull market the way they did in the nineteen nineties,

1:23:08.240 --> 1:23:11.280
<v Speaker 1>well even the nineteen nineties. Uh, I don't know if

1:23:11.320 --> 1:23:12.920
<v Speaker 1>they really jumped on or not. It seems to me

1:23:13.000 --> 1:23:14.760
<v Speaker 1>like I've been in the business four or four years

1:23:14.840 --> 1:23:20.320
<v Speaker 1>or whatever, I think, UH people are always there's always kept.

1:23:20.479 --> 1:23:24.160
<v Speaker 1>People are always nervous. I mean that's good, which is good,

1:23:24.560 --> 1:23:28.599
<v Speaker 1>you know, that's ah UM and markets being what they are,

1:23:28.680 --> 1:23:32.559
<v Speaker 1>it seems like UH, prices over the long haul gets

1:23:32.560 --> 1:23:35.240
<v Speaker 1>set fairly and people have a reasonable return of a

1:23:35.520 --> 1:23:38.080
<v Speaker 1>if they stick with it. Not so, so let me

1:23:38.320 --> 1:23:41.680
<v Speaker 1>go to now to my favorite three questions. These are

1:23:41.720 --> 1:23:43.920
<v Speaker 1>the three that I ask all of my guests, and

1:23:43.920 --> 1:23:48.519
<v Speaker 1>and the the answers are always so instructive. Someone coming

1:23:48.520 --> 1:23:51.599
<v Speaker 1>out of we're not too far from graduation weekend all

1:23:51.640 --> 1:23:55.360
<v Speaker 1>across the country, someone graduating college today, what sort of

1:23:55.400 --> 1:23:59.200
<v Speaker 1>advice would you give them about their career and about

1:23:59.280 --> 1:24:02.960
<v Speaker 1>their approach to investment. Well, a career, I'd say, follow

1:24:03.000 --> 1:24:04.640
<v Speaker 1>your passion. I don't think I have any great new

1:24:04.680 --> 1:24:08.519
<v Speaker 1>insights that you know, it's the standard bromides. I think

1:24:09.320 --> 1:24:11.559
<v Speaker 1>in terms of investing, the key to investing is save

1:24:11.640 --> 1:24:17.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot there you go, So start early and uh,

1:24:18.000 --> 1:24:21.400
<v Speaker 1>you know through the the benefits of compounding over the

1:24:21.439 --> 1:24:26.439
<v Speaker 1>long haul. Uh, it's a powerful force. Next question is

1:24:26.640 --> 1:24:29.879
<v Speaker 1>you said you've been in the industry for forty four years.

1:24:30.520 --> 1:24:33.920
<v Speaker 1>We talked about what you saw change over that time period.

1:24:34.000 --> 1:24:36.600
<v Speaker 1>So let me change this question up. What changes do

1:24:36.640 --> 1:24:40.920
<v Speaker 1>you think are coming over the next forty four years. Well,

1:24:40.960 --> 1:24:43.639
<v Speaker 1>I think a couple of the trends that we see

1:24:43.680 --> 1:24:49.960
<v Speaker 1>now we will continue. One is globalization. People. When I

1:24:50.080 --> 1:24:52.439
<v Speaker 1>started in the business, it was we had the interest

1:24:52.479 --> 1:24:56.120
<v Speaker 1>equalization tax. Another thing, it was very difficult to invest international,

1:24:56.800 --> 1:25:01.280
<v Speaker 1>So I think that's changing, which is which is good. Um.

1:25:01.400 --> 1:25:06.040
<v Speaker 1>The other is, uh is I think a very positive trend,

1:25:06.080 --> 1:25:09.640
<v Speaker 1>which is a lot of the administrative costs and transaction

1:25:09.720 --> 1:25:13.559
<v Speaker 1>costs are really coming down a lot. Kind of it's

1:25:13.600 --> 1:25:16.880
<v Speaker 1>related to technology, so I'm sure. So I think the

1:25:16.960 --> 1:25:19.719
<v Speaker 1>costs of investing are coming down, and I think that's

1:25:19.880 --> 1:25:23.120
<v Speaker 1>uh more than just move it to indexing. But I

1:25:23.120 --> 1:25:25.800
<v Speaker 1>think in general costs are coming down. So I think

1:25:25.840 --> 1:25:30.120
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, you know, very encouraging. And then my

1:25:30.240 --> 1:25:33.439
<v Speaker 1>last question, and this may um, you may be the

1:25:33.439 --> 1:25:35.599
<v Speaker 1>only person this question doesn't apply to, but I'm gonna

1:25:35.600 --> 1:25:39.040
<v Speaker 1>ask it anyway. What do you know about investing today

1:25:39.160 --> 1:25:41.720
<v Speaker 1>that you wish you knew when you began forty four

1:25:41.800 --> 1:25:44.840
<v Speaker 1>years ago? Well, and by the way, the reason I

1:25:44.960 --> 1:25:47.400
<v Speaker 1>say it may not apply to you is you began

1:25:48.120 --> 1:25:51.040
<v Speaker 1>with an idea that most people don't discover it til

1:25:51.040 --> 1:25:53.439
<v Speaker 1>way late. So no, I mean that part of investing

1:25:53.560 --> 1:25:59.240
<v Speaker 1>is what I wish I I UM new back then,

1:26:00.080 --> 1:26:06.200
<v Speaker 1>is that what investing is about is as an overall experience.

1:26:06.640 --> 1:26:10.040
<v Speaker 1>It's not just the science. Sure, you want good returns

1:26:10.080 --> 1:26:13.040
<v Speaker 1>and that's but when it started out, I think I thought,

1:26:13.160 --> 1:26:14.920
<v Speaker 1>if you can give people good returns, that's all you

1:26:14.960 --> 1:26:19.360
<v Speaker 1>need to worry about. But it's also you're dealing with

1:26:19.400 --> 1:26:23.559
<v Speaker 1>people and helping them get through difficult times like two

1:26:23.560 --> 1:26:26.080
<v Speaker 1>thousand and two thousand nine and come out the other

1:26:26.160 --> 1:26:30.120
<v Speaker 1>side with a with a consistent investment approach. I wish

1:26:30.240 --> 1:26:34.080
<v Speaker 1>I knew you know that that was That's really uh,

1:26:34.160 --> 1:26:37.200
<v Speaker 1>that's what it's really all about. It's the philosophy and

1:26:37.240 --> 1:26:40.240
<v Speaker 1>a consistent approach so people can feel they need to

1:26:40.400 --> 1:26:42.200
<v Speaker 1>not only have good returns, they need to feel good

1:26:43.479 --> 1:26:46.479
<v Speaker 1>and not beat so stressed out and they don't you

1:26:46.520 --> 1:26:49.400
<v Speaker 1>know that. I wish I had figured that out earlier

1:26:49.439 --> 1:26:52.439
<v Speaker 1>on David, thank you so much for being so generous

1:26:52.439 --> 1:26:55.640
<v Speaker 1>with your time. This was really a fascinating um discussion

1:26:55.640 --> 1:26:59.240
<v Speaker 1>and I appreciate you spending so much time with us. Okay, well,

1:26:59.240 --> 1:27:01.760
<v Speaker 1>thank you very much. You've been listening to Masters in

1:27:01.800 --> 1:27:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Business on Bloomberg Radio with Barry Ridholts. We've been speaking

1:27:05.000 --> 1:27:08.839
<v Speaker 1>with David Booth. He's the founder, chairman and co CEO

1:27:09.520 --> 1:27:11.880
<v Speaker 1>of Dimensional Funds. David, if they want to find some

1:27:12.000 --> 1:27:15.559
<v Speaker 1>of your research, will learn more about Dimensional funds. Where

1:27:15.600 --> 1:27:18.080
<v Speaker 1>would they go on our website? You know it under

1:27:18.720 --> 1:27:22.840
<v Speaker 1>dimensional dot Com or Dimensional fund Advisors. There you have it.

1:27:22.960 --> 1:27:25.680
<v Speaker 1>I want to thank Mike Batnick for his help with research,

1:27:26.000 --> 1:27:29.160
<v Speaker 1>Charlie Vollmer as my engineer, and thank you Sarah for

1:27:29.240 --> 1:27:31.920
<v Speaker 1>recording this. I'm Barry Ridhults. You've been listening to Masters

1:27:31.960 --> 1:27:33.759
<v Speaker 1>in Business. I'm Bloomberg Radio