WEBVTT - New Kraft Heinz CEO Pauses Split to Focus on Boosting Profit 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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<v Speaker 2>It is earning season right now, and one of the

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<v Speaker 2>most anticipated results set of results that came out today

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<v Speaker 2>came from Craft Highs, mainly because the food company had

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<v Speaker 2>been on this mission to split itself up into two

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<v Speaker 2>in order to really free up its faster growing business

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<v Speaker 2>from its slower growing business. Christina Peterson is our food

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<v Speaker 2>industry reporter and has been reporting on Craft Times, and Christina,

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<v Speaker 2>the new CEO over at Craft Times, surprise everyone by saying,

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<v Speaker 2>you know what, I'm not going to split up the company.

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<v Speaker 2>What's the thinking here?

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<v Speaker 3>That's right.

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<v Speaker 4>He's only been on the job since January first, so

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<v Speaker 4>I think this came as a surprise to folks at

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<v Speaker 4>The split was called off about five months after it

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<v Speaker 4>was announced or paused. There is no end date to

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<v Speaker 4>the pause, so we don't know if it will at

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<v Speaker 4>some point rezuom, but the CEO, Steve Kahleane said that

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<v Speaker 4>he came on the job knowing that there had been

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<v Speaker 4>levels of under investment in Kraft Heins's brands and decided

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<v Speaker 4>that after reviewing all of them, that there were brands

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<v Speaker 4>that would respond to more investment. So they announced that

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<v Speaker 4>they would be putting six hundred million dollars into things

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<v Speaker 4>like R and D marketing and lowering some prices in

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<v Speaker 4>hopes that that would bolster the entire company and that

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<v Speaker 4>that would be in a better position put them in

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<v Speaker 4>a better position to evaluate whether they should move forward

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<v Speaker 4>with the split.

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<v Speaker 5>So what a most investors want? Did they you think

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<v Speaker 5>they want the split up? Sometimes split ups work, a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of times they don't. What if investor's been saying

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<v Speaker 5>over the past months, There's.

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<v Speaker 4>Clearly been some anxiety among investors since the news of

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<v Speaker 4>the split was announced. I think that the new CEO

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<v Speaker 4>was seen as there were hopes that he would do

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<v Speaker 4>what he had done with the Kellgg company, which split

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<v Speaker 4>into two publicly traded entities and then where both both

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<v Speaker 4>of those companies were bought by privately held entities. So

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<v Speaker 4>there was some speculation that the same thing would occur

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<v Speaker 4>at Kraft Higns, and Kaylaine said basically not yet real.

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<v Speaker 2>There's another twist to all of this, which is that

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<v Speaker 2>Kraft Tigns's biggest shareholder is Berkshire Hathway and Warren Buffett,

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<v Speaker 2>who runs Berkshire Hathway until he handed the raise to

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<v Speaker 2>Greg Abel, said he was never a fan of that

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<v Speaker 2>idea to split up the company. I mean, he was

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<v Speaker 2>kind of mastermind behind craft Higns becoming the behemoth it was,

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<v Speaker 2>and that didn't work out so well. But he made

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<v Speaker 2>clear that the split was not a good thing in

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<v Speaker 2>his mind. Do we think that has anything to do

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<v Speaker 2>with this about face?

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know. It is clear that he had publicly

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<v Speaker 4>expressed disappointment in the split, and his successor had said

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<v Speaker 4>in a filing that Berkshire Hathaway was taking steps to

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<v Speaker 4>sell its twenty eight percent stake in craft Tigns. So

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<v Speaker 4>clearly they were nervous about this and not fans of

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<v Speaker 4>the news.

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<v Speaker 5>So do we have any idea how long this pause

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<v Speaker 5>will last? I mean, is he trying to turn stuff around,

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<v Speaker 5>make it maybe better, so if when they do split

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<v Speaker 5>it up it be worth more. What do we know?

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<v Speaker 4>They clearly are not going to make the decision this year.

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<v Speaker 4>They talked about returning to growth in twenty twenty seven,

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<v Speaker 4>So it seems like this is a month's away decision.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh the investment bankers who had that on their deal

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<v Speaker 5>sheet for twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 2>But they get paid in the meantime for the work

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<v Speaker 2>that they've done.

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<v Speaker 6>Right now.

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<v Speaker 3>You don't get paid to closes.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh really, you can't build them along the way.

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<v Speaker 6>We're not lawyers. Okay, we get paid.

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<v Speaker 2>We take the I like how you still say we yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>exactly cause you feel for these guys.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, what's next for Kellogg? What what's the company want

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<v Speaker 5>to do now? Is as a standalone company.

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<v Speaker 4>For craft Hens. Yeah, well, they've talked about releasing some

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<v Speaker 4>healthier products. They are launching a craft Heines Mac and

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<v Speaker 4>cheese PowerMac nice protein it. I knew iber, I knew it.

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<v Speaker 2>I knew it.

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<v Speaker 4>And they will be lowering prices. They talked about the

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<v Speaker 4>opening price points being important for low income families. So

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<v Speaker 4>those are some of the areas that they're going to

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<v Speaker 4>be focusing on, some healthier options, more affordable price points.

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<v Speaker 2>So Kellogg was the example of a company that split

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<v Speaker 2>into two and then both got taken private. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>is that a trend overall? In the food industry to

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<v Speaker 2>split yourself up after being kind of a big overall

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<v Speaker 2>food company.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, I think we're seeing examples of both of

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<v Speaker 4>companies getting smaller and bigger. There's obviously a lot more

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<v Speaker 4>criticism and focus on ultra processed foods. Packaged food companies

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<v Speaker 4>are dealing with this. We saw the Super Bowl ad

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<v Speaker 4>this weekend saying processed food kills. So I think big food,

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<v Speaker 4>generally speaking, is trying to figure out what to do

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<v Speaker 4>with these headwinds.

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<v Speaker 6>So what is the story there?

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<v Speaker 5>Is this a short term blip, this whole processed food thing,

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<v Speaker 5>or is it's been brewing because I hear more and

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<v Speaker 5>more and more about that being a cause for so

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<v Speaker 5>many the ills in healthcare and people's health.

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<v Speaker 4>I think this is the first time we've seen an

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<v Speaker 4>administration come down so harshly on ultra processed food. That's

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<v Speaker 4>clearly been a huge focus of Health Secretary Kennedy and

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<v Speaker 4>the White Houses backed him up on this. Of course,

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<v Speaker 4>Americans don't always eat the way they say they want

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<v Speaker 4>to eat, so you know, there's plenty of Dorito's still

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<v Speaker 4>being eaten even as people say they're trying to move

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<v Speaker 4>away from process foods.

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<v Speaker 6>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

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<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

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<v Speaker 5>In Hotel reporting some numbers here today beat expectation.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, people can't get a room anywhere.

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<v Speaker 5>If you do, you got to pay through the nose,

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<v Speaker 5>and the consumer seems to be doing finding.

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<v Speaker 3>Look at some of that stuff.

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<v Speaker 6>Brian Egger, Senior Gaming and Lodging Analysts.

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<v Speaker 5>Joints is here in our Bloomberg Interactive Brooker Studio.

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<v Speaker 6>Hilton Worldwide stocks up about one percent today, fifty two

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<v Speaker 6>week high today, so pretty good for them. It's got

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<v Speaker 6>a market cap ISS seventy five billion. What did Hilton

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<v Speaker 6>report from an earning perspective.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, so, I mean what we saw in the quarter

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<v Speaker 7>was kind of mixed in terms of US being down

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<v Speaker 7>a little bit or maybe a little blow of rep

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<v Speaker 7>part in the fourth quarter, mostly because of the government shutdown,

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<v Speaker 7>So a bit weaker in bound travel to the US,

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<v Speaker 7>a little bit weaker government travel, but the ALC for

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<v Speaker 7>next year. I should say for this year one twenty

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<v Speaker 7>six is pretty good. One to two percent rep part growth.

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<v Speaker 3>That's revenue per available per available room.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, and so leisure group, luxury all kind of strong international,

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<v Speaker 7>a little stronger than the US. But although this is

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<v Speaker 7>an aging up cycle in the lodging industry, it's still

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<v Speaker 7>got some WI.

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<v Speaker 3>Likes to it.

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<v Speaker 4>Now.

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<v Speaker 2>Hilton, along with many of the other hotel company like Marriott,

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<v Speaker 2>has an asset light business model, which means that it's

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<v Speaker 2>brand licensing right. They don't actually own and manage any

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<v Speaker 2>of their own properties, and that, you know, allows it

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<v Speaker 2>to move more nimbly. The profit margins are much higher.

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<v Speaker 2>What's the downside of that, Brian?

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<v Speaker 7>So, I mean, there's some benefit to actually owning the

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<v Speaker 7>real estate when you're really in an up cycle. But

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<v Speaker 7>this kind of feebase model is a very capital efficient

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<v Speaker 7>way to expand and grow. You get your franchise fees

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<v Speaker 7>and management fees. They've got a little bit of own

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<v Speaker 7>hotel exposure as well. But most of the lodging companies

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<v Speaker 7>separate from the reads are actually asset light manager franchisers

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<v Speaker 7>with some own assets.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I'm looking at you know, you've got a company

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<v Speaker 5>with you know, thirteen billion of revenue call it, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>four billion of EBATA, one hundred million of cappecs.

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<v Speaker 6>Are you kidding me?

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<v Speaker 3>That is awesome?

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<v Speaker 6>So we who builds a If Hilton wants to.

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<v Speaker 5>Build a new hotel in South Beach, they don't build it.

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<v Speaker 5>Somebody else builds it.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, so you're you have like ownership entities. Obviously you've

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<v Speaker 7>got the ds like park hotels, resorts and others that

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<v Speaker 7>own the real estate. So this is, as you said,

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<v Speaker 7>like an asset white franchised management, tree driven business with

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<v Speaker 7>some own hotels. There is some otel exposure.

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<v Speaker 5>So what do they do with all the free cashal

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<v Speaker 5>review they get? You know, most of that debada goes

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<v Speaker 5>down to the free cashle line.

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<v Speaker 7>They have been returning capital, right, so they've got capital returns. Uh.

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<v Speaker 7>And you know there is real opportunity for growth within

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<v Speaker 7>their business model, and a while of that is international,

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<v Speaker 7>a lot of conversions, a lot of conversions from other

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<v Speaker 7>assets that fit very well under their brand flags. And

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<v Speaker 7>they have also been launching some new brands as well,

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<v Speaker 7>and kind of that white style category.

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<v Speaker 2>How many brands do they have right now?

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<v Speaker 7>So where are they now I know Marriott's thirty one.

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<v Speaker 7>I'm turning to remember, well, that's all those thirty one

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<v Speaker 7>is such a slice it is. I mean, yeah, I

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<v Speaker 7>think over all of you slice the market segment wise,

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<v Speaker 7>Hyatt and Marriott are more prominent in the luxury high stand.

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<v Speaker 7>Hilton has some luxury, but it's also got a very

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<v Speaker 7>solid kind of mid scale women as service portfolio. And

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<v Speaker 7>so what you tend to see is that in this environment,

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<v Speaker 7>luxury upscale is tends to outperforming, and the limited services

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<v Speaker 7>is somewhat weaker, partly because that's where you've got the

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<v Speaker 7>government travel, you've got the transit, independent business travel, but

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<v Speaker 7>stuff like leisure group luxury, particularly international markets UA, Europe,

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<v Speaker 7>Non China, Asia, all have been really quite strong.

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<v Speaker 2>I wonder, Brian, do you I know you don't cover

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<v Speaker 2>air Andbnb as a company, but do you ever see

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<v Speaker 2>any correlation between the performance of Airbnb and you know,

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<v Speaker 2>a Hilton or Marriott, Because I'm sure in markets where

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<v Speaker 2>Airbnb is not allowed, like New York City for instance,

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<v Speaker 2>Hilton benefits.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 7>I tend to think of, you know, the the OTAs

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<v Speaker 7>the Airbnb's of the world, as being a factor with

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<v Speaker 7>respect to both las Vegas watching particularly and kind of

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<v Speaker 7>the value conscious consumer women at service. You know, you've

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<v Speaker 7>got some extra invagery there where it's good for that

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<v Speaker 7>kind of last minute imagery management. But the big focus

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<v Speaker 7>of Hilton Marriott High has been for loyalty programs and

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<v Speaker 7>a strong correlation between loyalty members and kind of booking directly.

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<v Speaker 7>So there's there's that aspect as well.

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<v Speaker 5>The Walt Disney Company called out in their theme park

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<v Speaker 5>business some weakness on inbound international travel.

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<v Speaker 6>Is that are the hotels seeing.

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<v Speaker 7>There as well? There are some of that, I mean,

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<v Speaker 7>some of it's from Canada terriff related. I think kind

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<v Speaker 7>of that globally, the weaker areas maybe your inbound US travel,

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<v Speaker 7>US governor travel, China's kind of flat as strong areas

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<v Speaker 7>or all the other categories we talked about, you know,

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<v Speaker 7>luxuries group travel.

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<v Speaker 6>I always stayed in my Canadian fans.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, the first time it drops like below twenty

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<v Speaker 5>degrees or ten degrees in like November, you guys are

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<v Speaker 5>booking your flights down the Florida.

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<v Speaker 2>It can be Holling a different too, sing it different, Brian.

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<v Speaker 2>How exposed are the Hilton's and the Mariots of the

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<v Speaker 2>world to you know, the whole credit card debate. You

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<v Speaker 2>know the President wanting to cap interest rates to ten

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<v Speaker 2>percent on credit card companies and that putting at risk

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<v Speaker 2>all these reward credit cards.

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<v Speaker 7>Right well, I mean it's a consideration partly because a

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<v Speaker 7>big part of that franchise fee line you see for

0:11:06.200 --> 0:11:09.840
<v Speaker 7>health and merit is actually fees from co branded credit cards.

0:11:10.120 --> 0:11:13.240
<v Speaker 7>That's actually a big kind of fee source. So all

0:11:13.320 --> 0:11:16.600
<v Speaker 7>us being the same, the royalty rates and the level

0:11:16.640 --> 0:11:20.200
<v Speaker 7>of credit card activity are somewhat of a driver for

0:11:20.280 --> 0:11:23.640
<v Speaker 7>these franchise fees. These i should say co branded credit

0:11:23.720 --> 0:11:26.400
<v Speaker 7>card license fees, which which kind of find their way

0:11:26.400 --> 0:11:27.720
<v Speaker 7>into the franchise fee line.

0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:30.320
<v Speaker 3>So it is important stay with us.

0:11:30.480 --> 0:11:32.839
<v Speaker 6>More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:11:36.720 --> 0:11:40.439
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:43.560
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:11:43.600 --> 0:11:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever

0:11:46.960 --> 0:11:50.080
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:11:51.000 --> 0:11:53.200
<v Speaker 2>Let's get back to earnings right now, because plenty of

0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:56.240
<v Speaker 2>companies reporting. We're past the point where big tech is reporting.

0:11:56.480 --> 0:11:59.920
<v Speaker 2>Now it's consumer related companies. We have a telecom name

0:12:00.280 --> 0:12:04.119
<v Speaker 2>reporting one of the biggest. T Mobile adding fewer subscribers

0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:07.559
<v Speaker 2>that anticipated, yet the stock is moving higher. John Butler

0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:10.960
<v Speaker 2>is our senior telecom analyst, and John, in terms of

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:15.319
<v Speaker 2>the actual growth in its subscribers, this was a disappointing

0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:16.280
<v Speaker 2>quarter for T Mobile.

0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:20.880
<v Speaker 8>It was a bit of a disappointment for T Mobile Scarlet.

0:12:20.920 --> 0:12:23.680
<v Speaker 8>I think one of the things that really impacted them

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:27.880
<v Speaker 8>is we've seen Verizon, which now has a new CEO

0:12:28.080 --> 0:12:32.240
<v Speaker 8>who's come in. He's very volume focused, so he's out there.

0:12:32.760 --> 0:12:36.800
<v Speaker 8>They're promoting heavily. They're trying to win new subscribers, and

0:12:36.880 --> 0:12:38.880
<v Speaker 8>I think it took a bit of a den out

0:12:38.920 --> 0:12:42.360
<v Speaker 8>of T Mobile's growth in the fourth quarter. I think

0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:45.240
<v Speaker 8>one thing T Mobile did which was smart is they

0:12:45.280 --> 0:12:50.400
<v Speaker 8>combined the four Q report with a capital market stay update.

0:12:50.480 --> 0:12:55.200
<v Speaker 8>They updated their twenty twenty seven guidance, and they increased

0:12:55.240 --> 0:12:58.880
<v Speaker 8>their free cash flow outlook for twenty seven by one

0:12:58.920 --> 0:13:01.920
<v Speaker 8>point five billion. And so when you saw them do that,

0:13:02.559 --> 0:13:08.280
<v Speaker 8>you saw an inflection and investor sentiment almost instantly, because

0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:12.600
<v Speaker 8>again this has this has gone from a story of

0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:16.800
<v Speaker 8>revenue growth. Now they're pivoting more to free cash flow growth.

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:21.280
<v Speaker 8>They're really pointing investors to that bottom line to to

0:13:22.760 --> 0:13:25.800
<v Speaker 8>you know, get the focus off of revenue growth as

0:13:25.920 --> 0:13:29.920
<v Speaker 8>things get more promotional and as industry growth slows.

0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:33.040
<v Speaker 5>So is this a new wave of just I guess

0:13:33.080 --> 0:13:34.920
<v Speaker 5>across the board. If you know, Verizon is getting a

0:13:34.920 --> 0:13:38.240
<v Speaker 5>little bit more promotional this T Mobile to AT and T,

0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:40.800
<v Speaker 5>do they have to respond or the other things they

0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:41.120
<v Speaker 5>can do?

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:47.360
<v Speaker 8>So great question, Paul. Right, We're in a mature industry backdrop. Now,

0:13:47.440 --> 0:13:52.120
<v Speaker 8>growth overall is slowing for everyone. T Mobile is not

0:13:52.280 --> 0:13:56.200
<v Speaker 8>alone in point pointing to pree cash flow growth. You've

0:13:56.200 --> 0:13:59.000
<v Speaker 8>got AT and T and Verizon doing the same thing.

0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:03.800
<v Speaker 8>And so I think again, with that new CEO in place,

0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 8>now you've got T Mobiles sort of driving a growth

0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:13.120
<v Speaker 8>story that centers on not only smart promotion, but also

0:14:13.320 --> 0:14:18.959
<v Speaker 8>driving into adjacent markets like advertising and even credit cards.

0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:20.360
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm a Team Mobile subscriber, and there's always a ton

0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:25.080
<v Speaker 2>of emails from the company offering all kinds of different

0:14:25.160 --> 0:14:27.480
<v Speaker 2>services and deals, and it really feels like they're just

0:14:27.560 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 2>trying to develop you into their ecosystem. John, I kind

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 2>of call the effort to sell internet access to AT

0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:37.880
<v Speaker 2>broadband customers a side hustle for these telecoms companies. But

0:14:37.920 --> 0:14:40.800
<v Speaker 2>this is how they can make sure that they continue

0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:43.840
<v Speaker 2>to build out their customer base even as they try

0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:46.240
<v Speaker 2>to fight for market share when it comes to mobile

0:14:46.280 --> 0:14:49.440
<v Speaker 2>phone subscribers. How is that side hustle going for TEA Mobile.

0:14:51.200 --> 0:14:53.760
<v Speaker 8>So the side hustle, as you call it, and I

0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 8>think that's a good word for it, is still small

0:14:57.200 --> 0:15:00.360
<v Speaker 8>right now. I think they're real opportunity for them in

0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:04.280
<v Speaker 8>the near term. Scarlet lies in the broadband business. They're

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:09.320
<v Speaker 8>pushing into fiber, another side hustle. It's small, but I

0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:12.680
<v Speaker 8>think over the next couple of years it could increasingly

0:15:12.760 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 8>contribute to growth. And then at the core of the

0:15:16.040 --> 0:15:21.360
<v Speaker 8>broadband business is their fixed wireless access business, so delivering

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:26.520
<v Speaker 8>broadband to the home over cellular spectrum. That's been very

0:15:26.600 --> 0:15:30.680
<v Speaker 8>popular and T Mobile remains a real leader there. It

0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:33.800
<v Speaker 8>continues to be a growth engine for them. And so

0:15:33.920 --> 0:15:37.680
<v Speaker 8>I think when you pair that with the the ad business,

0:15:38.240 --> 0:15:41.960
<v Speaker 8>the credit card business, and more importantly the fiber business,

0:15:42.520 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 8>it all adds up to help sustain that free cash

0:15:46.640 --> 0:15:51.640
<v Speaker 8>flow growth and call it the five to six percent range,

0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:54.240
<v Speaker 8>maybe even more as we go forward over the next

0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 8>three years.

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.680
<v Speaker 5>John about thirty seconds dividend policy. T Mobile's got a

0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:01.960
<v Speaker 5>one point eight percent yield, Verizon five point six percent

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:04.200
<v Speaker 5>and eight and T three point nine percent, So there's

0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:06.760
<v Speaker 5>something for everybody. In terms of investors, does T Mobile

0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 5>DoD They worry about their dividend yield.

0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:13.200
<v Speaker 8>Little less so than share buybacks. In fact, one of

0:16:13.280 --> 0:16:16.400
<v Speaker 8>the things they did with Capital Markets Day was announced

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:19.880
<v Speaker 8>that they're buying back five billion in shares over the

0:16:19.920 --> 0:16:22.960
<v Speaker 8>course of the first quarter here, which is double the

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.640
<v Speaker 8>normal rate. So you know, I think they're leaning more

0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:30.200
<v Speaker 8>into that than dividend growth, although it's part of that

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.320
<v Speaker 8>share buyback program and it's going to continue to be

0:16:33.360 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 8>as we go forward here.

0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:38.000
<v Speaker 6>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up.

0:16:41.720 --> 0:16:45.400
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:48.880
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto

0:16:48.960 --> 0:16:52.040
<v Speaker 1>with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever you

0:16:52.080 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 1>get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:16:55.800 --> 0:16:57.960
<v Speaker 5>Let's check in with somebody who's in the TV business,

0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:00.960
<v Speaker 5>in the TV advertising business, trying to make it easier

0:17:01.120 --> 0:17:04.440
<v Speaker 5>for smaller midsized businesses to really get their message out

0:17:04.440 --> 0:17:08.440
<v Speaker 5>there versus via all these digital opportunities here, including television.

0:17:08.440 --> 0:17:11.240
<v Speaker 5>Mark Douglas, President and CEO of Mountain that is a

0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:14.800
<v Speaker 5>publicly traded company, a newly publican traded company tickers and

0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:19.520
<v Speaker 5>the reported numbers just today, I think stocks up thirty percent,

0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:21.480
<v Speaker 5>so I guess them just today, So I guess the

0:17:21.760 --> 0:17:24.400
<v Speaker 5>market likes what they heard here. Mark, appreciate you coming

0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:27.040
<v Speaker 5>in our studio here talk to us about Mountain. I

0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:28.679
<v Speaker 5>know you guys are trying to work with small and

0:17:28.680 --> 0:17:32.080
<v Speaker 5>mid sized businesses and help them get their advertising message

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:34.480
<v Speaker 5>out in the world. That's got tons of digital and

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:35.440
<v Speaker 5>analog opportunities.

0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:37.240
<v Speaker 6>So what's going on in your business?

0:17:37.320 --> 0:17:37.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:17:37.520 --> 0:17:42.600
<v Speaker 9>Absolutely, So what we do is television and streaming television

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:46.800
<v Speaker 9>in particular has been underserved, but for small businesses. It's

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:50.320
<v Speaker 9>just been very hard, very expensive for small mid sized

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:52.960
<v Speaker 9>businesses to use that medium. And what we did is

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:56.080
<v Speaker 9>we turned it into performance marketing channel, like something that

0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:58.919
<v Speaker 9>they can add to their marketing mix a long search

0:17:59.000 --> 0:18:03.280
<v Speaker 9>along social and use streaming TV to get the next customers.

0:18:03.320 --> 0:18:06.640
<v Speaker 9>And we've been consistently growing. And you know, we did

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:10.320
<v Speaker 9>earnings last night and I had a very strong quarter

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:12.800
<v Speaker 9>in Q four, very strong, ended a very strong year,

0:18:13.400 --> 0:18:17.280
<v Speaker 9>and we're you know, our focus is on continuing to

0:18:17.359 --> 0:18:19.000
<v Speaker 9>just exeget the business and do the same.

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:22.080
<v Speaker 2>And I am assuming for even the small businesses, the

0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:25.440
<v Speaker 2>opportunities lie in things like live sporting events, because those

0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:29.120
<v Speaker 2>are must view, appointment watching that you don't get from

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:29.800
<v Speaker 2>other shows.

0:18:29.920 --> 0:18:30.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:32.720
<v Speaker 9>Absolutely, Well, the nice thing about streaming is you can

0:18:32.880 --> 0:18:36.879
<v Speaker 9>everyone can find whatever is their you know, thing that

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:39.159
<v Speaker 9>they love to watch. For me, actually, one of the

0:18:39.280 --> 0:18:42.040
<v Speaker 9>things I love talking about in this business is just

0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:43.159
<v Speaker 9>like the shows I like.

0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:45.359
<v Speaker 3>So, I'm a big fan of Traders right now.

0:18:46.880 --> 0:18:49.800
<v Speaker 9>I love that show on Peacock cannot wait till they

0:18:49.880 --> 0:18:52.520
<v Speaker 9>only released one episode of the week. I'm like, kind

0:18:52.560 --> 0:18:55.680
<v Speaker 9>of damn, well, I just get all tet episodes and once.

0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:58.480
<v Speaker 9>But you know live sports, I watch the super Bowl,

0:18:58.600 --> 0:19:01.440
<v Speaker 9>you have March and it's coming up. You have a

0:19:01.480 --> 0:19:03.240
<v Speaker 9>lot of dating shows for Valentine's say.

0:19:03.240 --> 0:19:04.000
<v Speaker 3>So all of that.

0:19:04.080 --> 0:19:06.920
<v Speaker 9>We give our customers access to all of that kind

0:19:06.920 --> 0:19:10.679
<v Speaker 9>of content, get their message and really target it and

0:19:10.720 --> 0:19:14.280
<v Speaker 9>most importantly, measure the impact how much revenue that drive

0:19:14.359 --> 0:19:17.320
<v Speaker 9>to their business. And so we pioneered this space. We

0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:21.560
<v Speaker 9>call it performance TV. We literally created the term performance TV.

0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 9>It's now ubiquitous in the advertising industry, and we just

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:27.920
<v Speaker 9>kind of keep growing into the scaley opportunity, which we

0:19:27.960 --> 0:19:28.880
<v Speaker 9>think is enormous.

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:30.160
<v Speaker 6>Talk to about AI.

0:19:30.240 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 5>How's AI impacting the advertising business? Meta calls it out.

0:19:34.680 --> 0:19:36.320
<v Speaker 5>Google calls it out as.

0:19:36.240 --> 0:19:38.080
<v Speaker 6>Relates to their YouTube business and or search business.

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:39.480
<v Speaker 5>How do you see it impacting it?

0:19:40.160 --> 0:19:42.960
<v Speaker 9>It's having an impact across the board. The obvious is

0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:47.440
<v Speaker 9>on the creative the time they get creative, like meaning

0:19:47.720 --> 0:19:50.160
<v Speaker 9>what does it take to get a TV commercial? Used

0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:53.640
<v Speaker 9>to be a lot of costs, very time consuming, lots

0:19:53.640 --> 0:19:56.919
<v Speaker 9>of people involved. That still occurs for some of the creative,

0:19:56.920 --> 0:20:00.639
<v Speaker 9>but increasingly there's AI creative. We ourselves are now putting

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:04.760
<v Speaker 9>out two to three Mountain branded TV commercials a week

0:20:04.920 --> 0:20:07.639
<v Speaker 9>that are being created like in the under a day.

0:20:08.640 --> 0:20:11.800
<v Speaker 9>We have what we now refer to as AI creators

0:20:11.880 --> 0:20:15.119
<v Speaker 9>using our own tools to do that, and it's just

0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:18.879
<v Speaker 9>substantially lowered the cost. We did a video last week

0:20:19.359 --> 0:20:22.359
<v Speaker 9>for around the show Heated Rivalry, which is kind of

0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:25.280
<v Speaker 9>a hot show right now. So video has hockey players

0:20:25.359 --> 0:20:28.080
<v Speaker 9>in it and so forth got created. An under a

0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:31.399
<v Speaker 9>day costs five hundred dollars. If we tried to do

0:20:31.480 --> 0:20:33.919
<v Speaker 9>that in the physical world, that would have been like

0:20:34.040 --> 0:20:37.720
<v Speaker 9>six weeks fifty grand one hundred grand to film that,

0:20:38.280 --> 0:20:41.000
<v Speaker 9>And so I think there's a mixture of still filmed

0:20:41.080 --> 0:20:46.080
<v Speaker 9>video AI video and you use like you use what's

0:20:46.119 --> 0:20:49.000
<v Speaker 9>appropriate for exactly what you're trying to do.

0:20:49.000 --> 0:20:51.600
<v Speaker 2>Does that mean that the images that the viewer sees

0:20:51.720 --> 0:20:52.720
<v Speaker 2>is AI generated?

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 3>Yes, fully, AI generated thirty second?

0:20:56.119 --> 0:20:57.879
<v Speaker 2>Do you have to put a disclaimer disclosure on that

0:20:58.000 --> 0:20:59.159
<v Speaker 2>or that that doesn't come up?

0:21:00.000 --> 0:21:02.480
<v Speaker 3>You don't have to, I actually would like to.

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:05.919
<v Speaker 9>My personal view is all AI videos should be labeled

0:21:05.960 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 9>AI period. I actually, you know there's a can Spam

0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:11.520
<v Speaker 9>Act for email. I think there should be a similar

0:21:11.560 --> 0:21:15.199
<v Speaker 9>act for AI content that if I'm on Instagram or

0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:17.720
<v Speaker 9>watching commercial on TV, I should know that this is

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:21.280
<v Speaker 9>you know, AI created. And that's that's kind of a

0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:23.639
<v Speaker 9>personal opinion. I don't see a downside to that, And

0:21:23.720 --> 0:21:26.640
<v Speaker 9>I think people would appreciate the transparency. They don't want

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:29.480
<v Speaker 9>to guess what they're looking at, you know, is it

0:21:29.640 --> 0:21:33.879
<v Speaker 9>kind of real? Ironically, we ran another ad campaign the

0:21:33.920 --> 0:21:39.639
<v Speaker 9>other day with Jamil White, who's u a famous child

0:21:39.680 --> 0:21:42.280
<v Speaker 9>actor and now is involved in a lot of projects

0:21:42.280 --> 0:21:45.240
<v Speaker 9>as an adult, and the campaign was is it AI?

0:21:46.800 --> 0:21:51.560
<v Speaker 9>So yeah, yeah, yeah, and so.

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:52.240
<v Speaker 6>I know you guys are with your company.

0:21:52.280 --> 0:21:54.280
<v Speaker 5>You guys are so involved in the media space in

0:21:54.320 --> 0:21:56.960
<v Speaker 5>general from the advertising site. What do you make of

0:21:57.000 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 5>what's going on with Warner Brothers Discovery? It just seems

0:22:00.280 --> 0:22:01.480
<v Speaker 5>to be kind of out there. I don't know if

0:22:01.520 --> 0:22:03.800
<v Speaker 5>Netflix is gonna buy him, Paramoun's gonna buy him. If

0:22:03.800 --> 0:22:06.480
<v Speaker 5>Paramount doesn't buy them, what happens to Paramount? What do

0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:08.520
<v Speaker 5>you guys, what's the scot about out there?

0:22:08.680 --> 0:22:13.160
<v Speaker 9>Well, for full disclosure, I worked for Larry Ellison liter

0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:16.399
<v Speaker 9>early in my career, and I didn't see him lose

0:22:16.960 --> 0:22:23.359
<v Speaker 9>very often, and so I mean, when he's determined, he's ferocious.

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:26.560
<v Speaker 9>But obviously Netflix is very capable. They have an incredible

0:22:26.600 --> 0:22:30.360
<v Speaker 9>management team. I think ultimately it comes down the dollars.

0:22:30.440 --> 0:22:33.080
<v Speaker 9>I don't know how it doesn't. I mean, and at

0:22:33.119 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 9>the moment, I believe that, you know, Paramount has a

0:22:35.840 --> 0:22:39.760
<v Speaker 9>bigger offer on the table, but unless there's elements of

0:22:39.800 --> 0:22:42.920
<v Speaker 9>the offer that haven't been published, so you know, and

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 9>I think paramount strategy is let's take let's literally take

0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:48.919
<v Speaker 9>it to the streets and do a tender offer, so

0:22:49.440 --> 0:22:52.080
<v Speaker 9>we'll see how that plays out. I'm pretty bullish on Paramount,

0:22:52.119 --> 0:22:54.080
<v Speaker 9>but I know a lot of people on Netflix and

0:22:54.119 --> 0:22:57.639
<v Speaker 9>they determined also, so unless they're going to come in

0:22:57.680 --> 0:22:59.960
<v Speaker 9>over the top, I think Paramount has a real shot there.

0:23:00.240 --> 0:23:03.760
<v Speaker 3>Can I just jump in here absolutely, Matt Miller.

0:23:03.840 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 10>I just wanted to swing by Matt Miller from Bloomberg Television.

0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:09.639
<v Speaker 6>I anchor Open Interest every weekday from nine to eleven,

0:23:11.080 --> 0:23:12.560
<v Speaker 6>and as friends of the program.

0:23:12.760 --> 0:23:15.480
<v Speaker 10>Yes, I've been friends with Mark Douglass for a number

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:18.440
<v Speaker 10>of years, and I feel like you're being really diplomatic.

0:23:19.200 --> 0:23:23.040
<v Speaker 10>This does not look good for Paramount at all. Even

0:23:23.080 --> 0:23:24.960
<v Speaker 10>if they get it across the line. At this level,

0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:27.439
<v Speaker 10>they're so levered up that they're going to have trouble

0:23:27.480 --> 0:23:29.600
<v Speaker 10>meeting their payments. I mean, freak cash flow isn't going

0:23:29.640 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 10>to be that strong. So it seems like a dead

0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:35.040
<v Speaker 10>deal like Netflix has won.

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:38.360
<v Speaker 3>Well. I mean Netflix certainly.

0:23:38.440 --> 0:23:41.120
<v Speaker 9>Has access to a tremendous amount of capital and they

0:23:41.119 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 9>have the capitol. But I mean, Larry Ellison, if he's guaranteed,

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:47.879
<v Speaker 9>you know, if he's providing guarantees, I think that carries

0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:48.480
<v Speaker 9>a lot of weight.

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:50.679
<v Speaker 2>But he hasn't raised his price yet. That's what everyone's

0:23:50.720 --> 0:23:51.200
<v Speaker 2>waiting for.

0:23:51.440 --> 0:23:53.920
<v Speaker 5>Nobody can I think that he can and why isn't

0:23:53.920 --> 0:23:57.560
<v Speaker 5>he well, because he's he's doing everything but that, and

0:23:57.680 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 5>he has the ability to do that. But his Matt

0:24:00.560 --> 0:24:02.520
<v Speaker 5>was pointing out, you still got to do something to

0:24:02.560 --> 0:24:04.040
<v Speaker 5>improve the pro former capital structure.

0:24:04.080 --> 0:24:05.879
<v Speaker 6>That's just a banker speaking. I don't know.

0:24:06.000 --> 0:24:08.320
<v Speaker 9>I Also my thoughts on the deal is the deal

0:24:08.440 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 9>is a nice half for Netflix. It's a must have

0:24:11.000 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 9>for parents, Like it just literally is a must have

0:24:14.440 --> 0:24:19.320
<v Speaker 9>for parent. Yeah, and so so, you know, I think

0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:23.560
<v Speaker 9>when some things must have for that way you kind

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:24.959
<v Speaker 9>of get to the finish line.

0:24:26.160 --> 0:24:30.840
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