1 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:11,119 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites. I am Jeff Schwartz. This is 2 00:00:11,119 --> 00:00:14,239 Speaker 1: the Parlay Show. Chat Molman is out this week, and 3 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: alongside me as usual, Paula Duca and when Chat is out, 4 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:21,959 Speaker 1: our favorite person in the world, black Jack Fletcher. All right, 5 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,280 Speaker 1: we're talking a little bit off the air, and Paully, 6 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: I feel like you have some grievances to air about 7 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: the way things went this past weekend. Keep black Jack 8 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:34,639 Speaker 1: laughing already. You you accused me before of the guy 9 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: who laughs while you're talking, So I'm trying to be 10 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: respectful of your of your sadness right now, but I 11 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 1: will probably be laughing quite soon. True rough day yesterday, Uh, 12 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: wake up this morning. You guys are both on professional 13 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: podcast equipment. My antennat just been it's been literally been 14 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: sitting here. I don't have a cat, I don't have 15 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: a dog. I have nothing. The antenna breaks a month. 16 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 1: I have nothing. I literally have nothing. I need mark 17 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 1: Ingram to go two ft. I need Carson Wentz to 18 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:15,120 Speaker 1: stop throwing the ball to the mascot. That's all I 19 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 1: needed is two more points from them. And I need 20 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan to hop out of a woman's clothing clothing 21 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: and actually man up one time and when it came 22 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 1: at home. That's that's all I'm asking for it, That's 23 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:35,960 Speaker 1: all I'm asking for. His name him that I got. 24 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:42,200 Speaker 1: Even having a nickname now is embarrassing. He's a fucking joke. Wow, Wow, 25 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 1: hot start. How was your How was your weekend? Jack? 26 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 1: It wasn't too bad. I did okay on Saturday yesterday. 27 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: You know, the Vikings game really really was a tough 28 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: one to swallow, big game. Kirk Cousins showed up as 29 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: usual um and got swallowed alive by the Bears. So uh, 30 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: that hurt. That hurt because that was very high on 31 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: the Vikings. But other than that, wasn't bad. Four and twelve. 32 00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: Cousins is in prime time football games and some of 33 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 1: those wins are against like the Giants last year and 34 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 1: the Raiders last year and the Cowboys last year. That 35 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: we're not any good and I think that overvalued maybe him, 36 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: and you're right, but it was weird. I had I 37 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 1: had plus three last night on the Vikings, they could 38 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:24,359 Speaker 1: have I could have gotten a push, which would have 39 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: been a miracle push quite honestly, because they didn't play 40 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 1: well the entire night. But before we get to to 41 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 1: our show, which is a nine team parlay that we 42 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 1: were preview next week. We got to talk about the 43 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 1: game tonight. This is we we we record this on 44 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 1: Monday morning. We we appreciate everyone who listens throughout the week. 45 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: But let's talk a little bit about tonight. If you're 46 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:44,359 Speaker 1: listening to UM for UH this morning, I should say 47 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 1: getting ready for the game tonight in the Colosseum Chiefs 48 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:51,080 Speaker 1: and a Rams. I personally love the Chiefs at plus 49 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 1: three here. Uh is not that I'm a Chiefs homer. 50 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 1: My brother plays to the Chiefs. I thought it out there. 51 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: I think the Rams defense it's not very good. Well, 52 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 1: I know they're not very good. They're they're allowing twenty 53 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 1: seven points a game over their last uh their last 54 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 1: seven games. But really the stat that is important to 55 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 1: us on this show, gambling show. We know this, good 56 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: teams cover, great assume, good teams win, great teams cover. 57 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 1: The Rams are a great team there won five and 58 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: one against the spread their last seven games. I got 59 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: the Chiefs tonight with all these points, it is gonna 60 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 1: be scoring this game and and and plus the three. 61 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:26,919 Speaker 1: I love this play Blackjack. What's your favorite bet tonight? 62 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:29,359 Speaker 1: I mean, it's hard to disagree with you, Jeff. I 63 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:31,359 Speaker 1: think Kansas City is the better team here. I think 64 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 1: they're better position to win this game. Um. The defense 65 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 1: for Kansas City has been getting better as the year 66 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: goes on. It's been the opposite for the Rams, especially 67 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 1: with the loss of to lead. I'm gonna tell you what, though, Jeff, 68 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:45,119 Speaker 1: I'm gonna get a little crazy tonight, and I'm gonna 69 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 1: take Kansas City on the money line at plus one 70 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 1: fifty at a lot of books, all right. I like 71 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: the Chiefs outright in this game. Keep the points, don't 72 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 1: want them, don't need them, plus one fifty Kansas City. 73 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:00,120 Speaker 1: I can't argue with both of you, guys. I think 74 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 1: they're both good plays. If I had to play tonight, 75 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 1: I probably played Gurly over the yardage because I think 76 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 1: that that's the way Maphay's got to play this game. 77 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 1: I know he's shifting and he likes he's gonna have 78 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 1: his trick plays. And listen, they got all their weapons too, 79 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 1: but he's one Achilles deal for the Chiefs is they 80 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 1: have trouble stopping to run at time. So I would 81 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 1: go over the yardage with Gurley because I think they're 82 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:24,840 Speaker 1: gonna have to give the ball to him a lot, 83 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 1: and they get to the Chiefs softens off the field. 84 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:30,039 Speaker 1: You know, I am a agree with you. So if 85 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: you're listening today, place those bets. Good luck and winning 86 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: those But the point of this show is to take 87 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:39,840 Speaker 1: a look at the lines head in front of us. 88 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,840 Speaker 1: For this week of football. We make three picks each 89 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:45,160 Speaker 1: we parlay them together for one massive parlay. We can 90 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 1: win twenty thousand if we put down and we have 91 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: a fantastic amount of games today. We have throws to 92 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 1: me this week. I should say we have college TROPBA 93 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: all the entire week. We have three NFL games on Thanksgiving. 94 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:58,479 Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving to all our parlay. This past week did 95 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,159 Speaker 1: not hit. We are still over the season. We went 96 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:03,479 Speaker 1: three and four with one game postpone, which is the 97 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: one that that I had picked Cal and Stanford. I 98 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: still love Cal when that game eventually gets played December 99 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 1: one and then one the one that's um, it's not 100 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: I guess it's off our board, but but that was 101 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:14,720 Speaker 1: the Chiefs game. I like the Chiefs at plus two 102 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 1: and a half with the venue change. All right, I'll 103 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: get into this first. I'm gonna start with some college football. 104 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:23,280 Speaker 1: The Pack twelve conference of conference that I know well, 105 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:26,799 Speaker 1: that PAULI knows well. I'm going with the Washington State 106 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 1: Cougars minus three and a half against the Washington Huskies 107 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 1: the Apple Cup on Friday night at eight thirty pm Easter. 108 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: This is four all the marble. Its Washington State wins 109 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: this game. They win the Pack twelve North against their arrival, 110 00:05:39,880 --> 00:05:43,160 Speaker 1: they'll be eleven and one. They'll play Utah again in 111 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 1: the Pattel Championship Game, and they have an outside shot 112 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:48,279 Speaker 1: to still be in the college football playoff. But there's 113 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 1: many reasons why I like this. Gardner Minshew, by the way, 114 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 1: through for seven touchdowns on Saturday night against the Arizona 115 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: car for the Arizona Wildcats had fifty five points at halftime. Uh. 116 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 1: He is completing six five of passes, got over four 117 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 1: thousand yards UM. He's attempted almost six urn passes. Right. 118 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: They play that air raid offense. But I'll tell you 119 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:11,039 Speaker 1: why I love Washingstead here. It's their defense. Guys. I 120 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: know that we focus a lot on the air rate, 121 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 1: as we should, but how about this. If you have 122 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: to guess, guys, I'll let you guys guess how many 123 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:21,080 Speaker 1: points Washington State is allowing in the fourth quarter of 124 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 1: games this year? How many points do you think that is? Blackjack? 125 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: What do you think, Paul? What do you think I'm 126 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: gonna see like nine point something three point two, three 127 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,479 Speaker 1: point two points a game in the fourth quarter. And 128 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 1: this is by the way, with them leading a lot 129 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:38,599 Speaker 1: of football games, and you know, just putting backups in 130 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 1: and whatnot. You know, there they they allowed like twenty 131 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 1: seven points to Oregon in the fourth quarter, but the 132 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 1: third quarter, allowed none in the fourth quarter. They played 133 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: col recently, allowed I think three points in the fourth quarter. 134 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 1: They allowed zero points to Aeroson They're up like sixty 135 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: eight to nothing fourteen in the fourth quarter. Allowed zero 136 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: points this week to Arizona team they had to score 137 00:06:57,520 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: obviously in the fourth quarters. I like them because I 138 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 1: think they're defense strangles teams. Plus, lastly, gardnerments to their 139 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: quarterback in the fourth quarter of football games is like 140 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 1: number one. Completions, percentage, touchdowns, big plays first, all this 141 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 1: crazy stuff. So give me Washington State minus during a half. 142 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 1: I like it. I mean I I do. I think 143 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: Washington is getting over valued here just because they're Washington 144 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: and they're having not having this season and they're having. Listen, 145 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 1: I played Arizona this week because I thought, uh, someone 146 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: has them rolling a little bit. And I mean the 147 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 1: game was they's quite thirty five points in the second quarter. 148 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 1: Washington State, And you're right. I think a lot of 149 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 1: people think they have the lead by the way, they 150 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: have the least rushing yards in the nation. If anybody 151 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: wants to know that, that's it. But but you're right, 152 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: their defense is dominating, dominating more than people think. And 153 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: mins show has been unbelievab. A lot of people don't 154 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: realize he chose Washington State over Alabama, um or he 155 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 1: left Alabama. I mean because you knew he weren't gonna 156 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: get any plane team kids, the real deal. And I 157 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:01,120 Speaker 1: just think now that they are heads and shoulder have 158 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:03,240 Speaker 1: proven if they're the best team in the past twelve 159 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: And I know it's a rivalry and it might stay close, 160 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 1: but I just think that they're the best team. You know. Yeah, 161 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 1: I'm with you here, Jeff. I think that the Huskies 162 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: are a team that came into this season obviously with 163 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 1: playoff hopes, and once those hopes got dashed, I it's 164 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 1: been a different team. I think that they're disappointed. It 165 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:25,880 Speaker 1: shows Washington State still has a very outside chance of 166 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 1: making it in. But even if they don't, just winning 167 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: the pack twelve would be a big accomplishment for that team. 168 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: I like it. You're my friend. All right, let's go 169 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 1: Turkey Day, right, we have some action on Turkey Day. Okay. 170 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 1: I was just talking a little bit of you know, 171 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 1: smack about him, but I'm gonna bet him. Yeah, Matthew 172 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 1: Stafford plus three and a half the Detroit Lions at 173 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 1: home against the very of the Phony. There's they got 174 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: one player on defense who is basically winning games single handedly. 175 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,839 Speaker 1: I know, Travinsky. He he made a couple of really 176 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,199 Speaker 1: really sketchy throws towards the end of that game that 177 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 1: could have been picked. Minnesota could have got back in 178 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:09,520 Speaker 1: that game, Cohen. They got these two little guys that 179 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:12,320 Speaker 1: are running around the field. I get it, But I 180 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:14,440 Speaker 1: think the party is finally gonna be over. And you're 181 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 1: getting three and a half points. The line went for 182 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 1: two to three and a half. You jump on it 183 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 1: right now, and you're getting the Lions at home. Um, 184 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 1: I just think it's time for the Bears too. They're 185 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: gonna come down to Earth. A little bit, and Mitch Robinski, 186 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 1: this is this run's gonna okay over here, So I'll 187 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 1: take the points in lines at home. I can hear you, PAULI. 188 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I don't like this one bit. 189 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,600 Speaker 1: I mean this is listen. I was on the Vikings 190 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: last night. But to say this Bears defense is one 191 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:46,080 Speaker 1: guy that that's not accurate. Man. This defense is flying 192 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 1: around the field. And you refer to tarikoh And and and 193 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: Jordan Howard as those two little guys. I mean, their 194 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:57,839 Speaker 1: offense has been Listen, it's not great, but it's been 195 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 1: it's been capable enough in the Lion I mean ship. 196 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:03,200 Speaker 1: The Lions are as up and down the team as 197 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:04,839 Speaker 1: you find in the NFL. I mean, you don't know 198 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 1: what you're getting weekend and week out. Now they're on 199 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:10,559 Speaker 1: a short week against one of the best defenses in football. 200 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:15,080 Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I this you couldn't find three 201 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,559 Speaker 1: better games than this, PAULI. This is one of your 202 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 1: time three games of the week. I'm telling you that 203 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears the phoniest team in the NFL. Really, 204 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: it's crazy the team in the NFL. We found that 205 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 1: out with the Carolina Panthers. They have not played anybody. 206 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 1: They have not played anybody. The Bears. They're the phoniest 207 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 1: team in the NFL. So now they're gonna go traditional. 208 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:38,840 Speaker 1: It's always in Detroit, traditionally on Thanksgiving Day. And I'm 209 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: gonna get three and a half points. I have to 210 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 1: take the three and half points. I'm not laying the 211 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:45,599 Speaker 1: three and half points on the on the road with 212 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: the Bears is this is not not happening. So the 213 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,719 Speaker 1: first time they met, it was thirty four, the Bears one, 214 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 1: and the Lions scored a lot of late points to 215 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:55,480 Speaker 1: make that game close. The reason why, I'll give you 216 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 1: the reason why actually ride with this one. I know 217 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: you're not a big fantasy one. Blackjack is Matthew Stafford's 218 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 1: really good when it comes to the end of games, 219 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 1: like just scoring a touchdown to cover. I think the 220 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 1: three and a half that that hooked there is important. 221 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 1: This game I don't need. Do you think they win? 222 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:14,959 Speaker 1: Out right? Do you think they win? They're gonna win 223 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:18,080 Speaker 1: that game. I'm telling you right now. If you look 224 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 1: of what the Bears and what they played in the 225 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 1: combined record of the opponents they have played, um, okay, 226 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:26,880 Speaker 1: prove it to me when they come out they're playing 227 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:29,520 Speaker 1: the Lions again four and eight like they're playing they're 228 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 1: they're playing anybody. But I will take the three and 229 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 1: a half points on the short week on Thanksgiving where 230 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: it happens every time, and it's it's a game that's 231 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 1: a traditional game, and I will take the points at 232 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:44,079 Speaker 1: home all day long. All right, I'm inclined to let 233 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:47,960 Speaker 1: this one ride. Blackjacks so angry because this can't be 234 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:49,840 Speaker 1: one of your three best bets of the week, Paul. 235 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:52,559 Speaker 1: We're trying to cash a nine team barlay. You should 236 00:11:52,559 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: be taking the three best games. This is not one 237 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,320 Speaker 1: of the three best games. Well you know what, Blackjack, 238 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:01,079 Speaker 1: I took Baltimore before Joe co decided he didn't want 239 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 1: to play, and they wanted to science. They wanted to 240 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: start Tim Tebow times too, Lamar Jackson. So what's your point? 241 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:12,600 Speaker 1: My point is I'm sticking to it, and that's it. 242 00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 1: Lions book it can I get the chain again? Thank you? 243 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:23,439 Speaker 1: Christ all right, I'm gonna stick with you if your 244 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:27,080 Speaker 1: is the bottom of your mustache singed. I'm annoyed, Paul. 245 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:28,959 Speaker 1: I'm annoyed because you know what, I want to cash 246 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: one of these when Chad's not here so I can 247 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,839 Speaker 1: rub it in his face. And you're making it really difficult. 248 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,000 Speaker 1: How about Millman? He like we were we were too 249 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 1: and oh and he goes, hey, guys to a know, 250 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 1: did anybody play it? Soon as he said to a O, 251 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:43,680 Speaker 1: our next team lost like he mushed it. That's what 252 00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 1: he does, all right. For From my first pick, I'm 253 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 1: gonna stick with Thanksgiving football, I'm gonna look at the 254 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 1: Redskins and the Cowboys. Cowboys are seven and a half 255 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 1: point favorites here and taking the Redskins. This is overvaluing 256 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. They're off two wins. Good for them, that's nice. 257 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 1: The Redskins obviously lose Alex Smith in a horrific fashion, 258 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:06,559 Speaker 1: which I unfortunately predicted on last Friday's episode of the 259 00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:08,840 Speaker 1: Favorites when I said that I didn't think he'd make 260 00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 1: it out alive. Um. I think Colt McCoy can be 261 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: serviceable in a short week here. Uh, seven and a 262 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 1: half points is too much. The Redskins do play really 263 00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 1: solid run defense. I think you're gonna make life hard 264 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 1: for Zeke Elliott and Cowboys. I don't think Colt McCoy 265 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:27,440 Speaker 1: long term is going to be very good for them. 266 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:29,560 Speaker 1: But I think in a short week here against Dallas 267 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:32,079 Speaker 1: the first time out, seven and a half points, I'm 268 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 1: taking the points. Look as soon as Alex went out, 269 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:37,559 Speaker 1: by the way, cold McCoy scored two touchdowns and yeah, 270 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:39,679 Speaker 1: and the Redskin's offense had done nothing all game, and 271 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:43,560 Speaker 1: part of that was alexwith throwing an interception um in 272 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 1: you know, a pick six for a hundred and one 273 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,719 Speaker 1: yard return. So Cole McCoy has been this offense for 274 00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 1: a while now. It's an offense that you can get 275 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:54,120 Speaker 1: by with an efficient quarterback. It's a lot of points 276 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: in this game. I don't necessarily trust Dallas's defense. Assume 277 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,439 Speaker 1: I touched the defense. That's sorry, Dallas's offense. The thing 278 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:05,280 Speaker 1: about this too is I think Washington the first game, 279 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 1: typically with a new quarterback in there, a decent quarterback, 280 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: you kind of get a boost. We saw with Brook 281 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 1: Osweiler this year. We've seen it around the NFL with 282 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 1: a first game. Now, not not not the you know, 283 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:18,040 Speaker 1: not the second game, or to your point, not third game, 284 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 1: the first game on a short week. I like a 285 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 1: lot of points here. Uh, seems rather ridiculous to have 286 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 1: all these points on the Cowboys. All right, my next pick, 287 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay on Thursday. We have We'll do all 288 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:32,680 Speaker 1: three of these games right here. Atlanta plus thirteen in 289 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 1: New Orleans. That's what that line is is. Oh boy, 290 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 1: it's crazy. Look look at the history of this series. Okay, 291 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 1: it's been a six point game, a ten point game, 292 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 1: at three point game, a six point game, one game 293 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 1: that's thirteen points, then three points, ten points. It's this 294 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 1: is a series where the games are close. It doesn't 295 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 1: matter how good or bad these teams have been. These 296 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,640 Speaker 1: teams know each other like the back of their hand. 297 00:14:56,760 --> 00:15:00,200 Speaker 1: They're both inside on a short week. I just they're team. 298 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 1: Points to me is absolutely outrageous. I know the Saints 299 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:04,720 Speaker 1: are playing really high right now and it's tough to 300 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: to bet against them, but it feels like way way 301 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 1: too many points too in any football game, let alone 302 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 1: division rivals on a short week in the game that 303 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:17,920 Speaker 1: is inside. So it does help Atlanta as well. Um, 304 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 1: I know the season seems like it's over, but again 305 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 1: the same with the point about the Cowboys and the Redskins. 306 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: It's a division game, man. These teams hate each other. 307 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 1: They're gonna want to play hard. They're donna want to 308 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: score a lot of points. I think thirteen points is 309 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:33,920 Speaker 1: way too many points. You might want to take this, 310 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 1: Black Jacks. I'm jaded with Matt Ryan and some new 311 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 1: and Julio Jones and all those weapons, and they went 312 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 1: over seven in the red zone yesterday, So take this one. Yeah, 313 00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 1: I mean, listen, if you're basing this off of yesterday's performances, 314 00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 1: you'd say Jeff's outside of his mind, But I think 315 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 1: he's right. Um, you know, this is a divisional game. 316 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,240 Speaker 1: These games tend to be closer games. It is a 317 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:00,560 Speaker 1: short week again, which factors into it. Also, I think 318 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 1: that being at home for a holiday game can sometimes 319 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 1: be a little bit of a distraction, right because you've 320 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 1: got family, You've got a lot of stuff going on. 321 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 1: The Falcons are on the road. It's more of a 322 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 1: of a standard environment for Atlanta. Thirteen points is just 323 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 1: I'm sorry. I can't play points against the team that's 324 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 1: got Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley and Matt Ryan Paul 325 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 1: leaduca's favorite NFC South quarterback. I can't do it. I'm 326 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: I'm good with this, Jeff. Yeah, I just I just 327 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:34,840 Speaker 1: I know it's tough to bet the Falcons, like, you're right, 328 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 1: Paul after this, but I just thirty This would be 329 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 1: a monumental I mean, this is it's a lot of points, 330 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 1: all right, PAULI your second pick, buddy, y're up. I 331 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:45,600 Speaker 1: don't even know if I want to take my second 332 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 1: pick after paul Is. PAULI is is hot today. Michigan 333 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 1: Wolverine by a D eight over. I cannot take that, 334 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 1: I would say, guys, I can't take the Meyer winning 335 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 1: all these games I had in Maryland. I can't believe. 336 00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 1: Why are these coaches? I I know they're going for two, 337 00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 1: they're going for the way and they should just kick 338 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 1: the extra point. Ohio State is not the same team. 339 00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:16,960 Speaker 1: They're passing teams. They cannot run the football. Michigan was 340 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:20,359 Speaker 1: looking forward. Um, they just squeaked by Indiana, although they 341 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 1: did stretched out there towards the end. But I I 342 00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 1: literally been waiting for this game. I am They're punching it, 343 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 1: I swear. I just the Wolverines are such a better 344 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 1: team than Ohio States. And the fact that they put 345 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 1: the line only up at three or four excars me 346 00:17:34,600 --> 00:17:38,520 Speaker 1: a tiny bit. But I'm just undone. I'm done seeing 347 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 1: urban Meyer win these games and how they win them too. 348 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:45,440 Speaker 1: It's just it's unbelievable how how State came back and 349 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,399 Speaker 1: was able to tie that game. It's just not happening 350 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 1: this week. Michigan is ten times better football team. Yeah, 351 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,399 Speaker 1: I mean, listen, Paulie, I am with you, and I 352 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:58,840 Speaker 1: probably will bet Michigan here. But doesn't this just feel 353 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,960 Speaker 1: like the spot that i Ohio State crushes Michigan's dreams 354 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:05,040 Speaker 1: every single season? Like, doesn't this feel like where Urban 355 00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:08,640 Speaker 1: Meyer comes out and Jim Harbaugh just can't get over 356 00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: that hump? Like, I'm with you, Michigan is the better 357 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:16,720 Speaker 1: team when Maryland puts up and then Perdue puts five 358 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,400 Speaker 1: yards up on you. It's been week after week. It's 359 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 1: like leak after leak. I get it, I get what 360 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: you're saying, but like, I think, this is just a 361 00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 1: different team. They just keep leaking and leaking and linking, 362 00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:29,280 Speaker 1: and they give a big play after they were never 363 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,400 Speaker 1: in the game. They never had the lead in that 364 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 1: game against Maryland, so you know, yeah, until the end, 365 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:39,800 Speaker 1: I mean, basically, I know. But Michigan has had some 366 00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:42,119 Speaker 1: of these games where they struggle. I mean, you know, 367 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:44,760 Speaker 1: the game against Indiana last week. That wasn't a great 368 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 1: performance by them. We can't understand and hand trying to 369 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 1: get a BOI eligible. They got one more game. Now 370 00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 1: they got perdue at home, so they were trying to 371 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 1: fight a little bit. They got one more game, and 372 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,879 Speaker 1: at Purdue at home they would get boiligible or a 373 00:18:56,920 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 1: couple of games. So I don't know. I just think 374 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:05,560 Speaker 1: they such a better team. So here's why I like 375 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:10,160 Speaker 1: this pick um. So Michigan is only lying thirteen points 376 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 1: a game, right, And I agree with you, by jack woman, 377 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:17,640 Speaker 1: It's true right that that in the past horror balls teams, 378 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 1: Michigan teams have not risen up to the occasion against 379 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 1: Ohio State in Michigan said, however, I think this year 380 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:24,560 Speaker 1: is different, and some of these games have been at home. 381 00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:27,119 Speaker 1: But when they when they were kind of up against 382 00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 1: the best, they played the best, right, thirty thirteen against Wisconsin, 383 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:34,840 Speaker 1: victory at Michigan State the following week wins one to seven. 384 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 1: Then they go to Penn State off of bye, and 385 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:38,680 Speaker 1: I mean Penn State comes to them after off of bye, 386 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,960 Speaker 1: they win forty two seven. They're just suffocating teams right now, 387 00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 1: and Ohio State is a team that feels very dysfunctional. 388 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,360 Speaker 1: Have you seen urban Meyer on the sidelines after Paget's 389 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 1: like he is like bent over on the sidelines and 390 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 1: like agony, and he looks in pain all the time. 391 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:57,640 Speaker 1: And his teams can't stop anyone on defense. Offensively, well, 392 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 1: Haskins has played well. They just don't seem to be 393 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,040 Speaker 1: in a great rhythm. Yes, they put up points in 394 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 1: big chunks of times of Michigan will limit in my opinion, 395 00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:10,000 Speaker 1: those big chunk plays and first time, by the way, 396 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,600 Speaker 1: that Ohouse has not been favored in fifty one games, 397 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 1: So it's a big occasion in my opinion when they're 398 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,840 Speaker 1: not favorite. But I do have a little bit of trepidation. 399 00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:20,040 Speaker 1: I think, Paul, you're right. The line feels a little 400 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 1: fishy to me. Um it's kind of where it's sitting 401 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:25,879 Speaker 1: right now. But I think this is Michigan's year. I 402 00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:28,720 Speaker 1: really do. They've overcome the demons this year. They kind 403 00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:32,199 Speaker 1: of has played hardball. Adding their defense just suffocates Ohio 404 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,600 Speaker 1: States offense. I should say, do it urban Meyer acts 405 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,880 Speaker 1: on the sideline. That's where I was acting yesterday. Yeah. 406 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 1: I think urban Meyer maybe getting close to having another 407 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:45,200 Speaker 1: health issue. Or needing to spend time with this family. Oh, 408 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,719 Speaker 1: this is it. This is I think there's because if 409 00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:49,119 Speaker 1: they don't, if they don't go ahead and try to 410 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,720 Speaker 1: stag themselves like a Luka Fickle or Matt Campbell, now, 411 00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:54,119 Speaker 1: he that they'll be gone somewhere else next year. And 412 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 1: I think that Ohio State's not gonna want to do that. 413 00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 1: I think Urban it seems like he's at the end. Um. 414 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,720 Speaker 1: I just their defense is so bad, so bad, and 415 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,879 Speaker 1: Michigan's offensive line is playing well right now. I like. 416 00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:08,879 Speaker 1: I like this, But all right, block Jack, I believe 417 00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 1: it's your turn, Buddy Schwartzy. Before we get to our 418 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 1: next pick, brother, I gotta give everyone a little bonus 419 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,199 Speaker 1: pick here. 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Sign up like I did at 445 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 1: Favorites dot robin hood dot com. That's Favorites dot robin 446 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,920 Speaker 1: hood dot com. Yeah, brother, I'm sticking with college football. 447 00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:58,320 Speaker 1: I'm going to UH Saturday afternoon. Obviously, Rivalry weekend in 448 00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: college football. We got a lot of Insta eight games 449 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: going on, and I'm gonna take a look at the 450 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,560 Speaker 1: tar Heel State. We've got NC State visiting U n C. 451 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 1: I am taking the wolf Pack minus six against the 452 00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:12,359 Speaker 1: tar Heels. I think this number should be bigger. Man. 453 00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,880 Speaker 1: I mean NC State six and three on the year, uh, 454 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:19,360 Speaker 1: two of those losses to Syracusan Clemson, two very good teams. 455 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,119 Speaker 1: Um U, NC has been a mess. They've been a 456 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,399 Speaker 1: mess all season. I mean this team has not been 457 00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 1: able to get anything going that you look at them 458 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:31,880 Speaker 1: and they have just They've been atrocious this year. Man, 459 00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 1: And I don't care that the game is in Chapel Hill. 460 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 1: Six points. To me, this game should be at least ten. 461 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 1: I'm I'm laying the six with the wolf Pack. The 462 00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:44,399 Speaker 1: wolf Pack have been That's how the Clemson game. I 463 00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 1: think I've been a pretty solid team. They have. They 464 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,240 Speaker 1: have Finley obviously a quarterback I believe is that name Finley? 465 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,359 Speaker 1: The quarterback who's who's a pro prospect? UNC is bad. 466 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,640 Speaker 1: I mean their coach is gonna get fired most likely. 467 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:56,520 Speaker 1: They've been They're young and injured. Doesn't matter to me, 468 00:23:57,119 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 1: um I'm I'm good with this, Paul, I like, I mean, 469 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 1: I I do. I U n c's they got a 470 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:12,000 Speaker 1: really inconsistent young quarterback. They're young team all you know, 471 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:16,000 Speaker 1: their whole team and not Carolina State got bowled last week, 472 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 1: but they're they're pretty solid team. Um. And then get 473 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 1: to seven wins and that'd be a nice little a 474 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:23,640 Speaker 1: year from them and get them to a nice little 475 00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:27,080 Speaker 1: ball game. Sometimes when you're like you got to win, 476 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:29,479 Speaker 1: you would know more sports. You like at the end 477 00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:32,120 Speaker 1: of the year, like you never played on that college 478 00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:35,160 Speaker 1: teams like bad team and you're like two and eight, 479 00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:36,640 Speaker 1: Like in the last game of the year, you would 480 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 1: just go, yeah, well you do you just want to 481 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,840 Speaker 1: go I'm yes, you just want to go home. That's accurate, 482 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,159 Speaker 1: and especially when your coach is getting it fired, like 483 00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 1: it's just like, U, um, all right, I got I 484 00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:50,920 Speaker 1: got one more pick as we as we barreled down 485 00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:52,960 Speaker 1: to the last picks. There are so many plays here 486 00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:54,359 Speaker 1: that I want to make. A lot of them are 487 00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:57,520 Speaker 1: super squared and I don't care. Like Alabama's gonna destroy Albert. 488 00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,480 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna bet that game. It's too many, too 489 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,760 Speaker 1: many points. Memphis, by the way, Friday night when that 490 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:05,040 Speaker 1: line post they are going to destroy Houston. Houston's without 491 00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 1: their quarterback. That was going to be one of my players. 492 00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:16,040 Speaker 1: It's posted now. Okay, if you find the line somewhere, 493 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,199 Speaker 1: then please on Action Network app it is it is 494 00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:22,199 Speaker 1: not showing that has been posted. Um, I'm gonna go 495 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 1: here with the Oklahoma Sooners plus one in Morgantown. I 496 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:33,160 Speaker 1: guess West Virginia. I just this year man West Virginia 497 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,120 Speaker 1: outside of outside of the game against Texas has been 498 00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:38,879 Speaker 1: really bad in the second half of football games, like 499 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,640 Speaker 1: atrociously bad and the second half of football games. Their 500 00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:48,359 Speaker 1: season was basically just ended um on Saturday by Oklahoma State. 501 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,639 Speaker 1: And again it ended because they were awful in the 502 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 1: second half of a football game. Right. They had ten 503 00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:56,680 Speaker 1: points total in the second half of this game. You 504 00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:58,840 Speaker 1: look at the game before that against TCU, Yeah, they 505 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:00,680 Speaker 1: had a little bit more in that game is the 506 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:02,560 Speaker 1: first half. The actually scored more in the second half, 507 00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:05,560 Speaker 1: which is very rare of them. In the Texas game 508 00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,280 Speaker 1: as well, only fifteen points in the second half after 509 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:11,240 Speaker 1: scoring in the first half. I can go down the 510 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:14,399 Speaker 1: list right at Iowa State zero points in the second half. 511 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:18,160 Speaker 1: They played Kansas, Right, they only scored. They scored less 512 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,359 Speaker 1: points the second half, then they scored the first half. 513 00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: There's not a good second half football team. Um seven 514 00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:25,320 Speaker 1: points on the road against Texas Tech, Right, I mean 515 00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:27,280 Speaker 1: just going down the list and not very good in 516 00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:29,320 Speaker 1: the second half of games. On the flip side, I 517 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,280 Speaker 1: think Oklahoma has an offensive line that might be one 518 00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:34,360 Speaker 1: of the best in the country this year. They put 519 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:37,880 Speaker 1: up points. They mall you. Their defense is very suspect. 520 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:39,560 Speaker 1: I very much worry about them. But I don't mean 521 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,239 Speaker 1: Oklahoma assuming I don't mean West Virginia will be able 522 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 1: to stop them at all. West Virginia's problem on defense, 523 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,720 Speaker 1: and they're they're in the bottom maybe bottom third or 524 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:50,520 Speaker 1: even probably worse. So I think they were hundred and 525 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,720 Speaker 1: twelve coming to this weekend is against the past. They 526 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:56,919 Speaker 1: cannot guard wide receivers, they cannot stop the pass. So 527 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 1: give me Oklahoma to win this game out basically outright, 528 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:05,120 Speaker 1: I guess Once Virginia to me a barnburner. I mean, 529 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: this is a good game. This is a tough one, 530 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,240 Speaker 1: black check. What do you thing? It's hard for me, Paul, 531 00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:14,400 Speaker 1: because I've been so high on the Mountaineers this year 532 00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:19,360 Speaker 1: I love what Will Greer's done there, But um, this 533 00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:21,679 Speaker 1: isn't a game West Virginia wins. I mean, this just 534 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:25,479 Speaker 1: isn't a game they win. They've stumbled a couple of 535 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:28,520 Speaker 1: times now this year, and really, I mean they could 536 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,560 Speaker 1: have had a shot at a playoff birth and they've 537 00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 1: They've shot themselves in the foot twice. And now you're 538 00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,639 Speaker 1: gonna give Oklahoma a chance to win this game? Go 539 00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:39,600 Speaker 1: in win the big twelves do what they do every 540 00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:42,560 Speaker 1: single year. I think that's how this plays out. So yeah, 541 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,399 Speaker 1: I think Oklahoma gets it done. Can we ask, can 542 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:48,360 Speaker 1: we answer? What is Diana holders and doing with that hair? 543 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:55,560 Speaker 1: What is that look West Virginia chic? Yeah? Yeah, it's Trumpish. 544 00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:03,600 Speaker 1: He doesn't care. That's the best part. He just doesn't 545 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:10,600 Speaker 1: care what Memphis is minus seven and a half at Houston, 546 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,600 Speaker 1: And I'll book it for y'all. Let me bet this 547 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:16,600 Speaker 1: right now, seriously favored by seven and a half only 548 00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:18,159 Speaker 1: I don't know if you should be booking bets on 549 00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:21,239 Speaker 1: the air. No, I'm saying book it, like and can 550 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 1: I get a teaching? It's my turn? Thank you? And 551 00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 1: I'm I'm with Jeff on this. I was waiting for 552 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 1: the line to get up. You know, SMU and Memphis 553 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,680 Speaker 1: something that play this same kind of game, and they 554 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,840 Speaker 1: played a nip and tuck battle game, which a lot do. 555 00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:38,840 Speaker 1: I thought I was gonna be high scoring any over 556 00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:40,840 Speaker 1: there games like seventy something, and it woul end up 557 00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:43,040 Speaker 1: being like twenty eight. It was low scoring game, sixteen 558 00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:46,480 Speaker 1: or so. But SMU put up over five seventy something 559 00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,560 Speaker 1: yards of offense on Houston. Memphis can run all day. 560 00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,960 Speaker 1: Houston cannot stop the run. And the best part about 561 00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,840 Speaker 1: this is Houston just blasted it to lane team, so 562 00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 1: we'll look at even better. And so they hang up 563 00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:00,600 Speaker 1: the dreaded seven and a half line that you don't 564 00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 1: want to punch. And I'm with Jeff here that I 565 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:05,920 Speaker 1: was gonna play. You know, this is gonna be one 566 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,000 Speaker 1: of men picks. I I just I think Memphis is 567 00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:11,320 Speaker 1: the real deal seven for their solid team, but they're 568 00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 1: the one of the best Russian teams in the Nations. 569 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 1: It was the reason why I have somewhat played Navy 570 00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 1: last week um against Tulsa is that you know, Navy 571 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 1: in Memphis are up there in rushing and Tulsa was bad, 572 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:27,560 Speaker 1: so that that was my angle there, and I just 573 00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:32,080 Speaker 1: think they do run all over Houston, Memphis averaging six 574 00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 1: uh three five yards to carry that's good for third 575 00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,000 Speaker 1: in the country. I think Houston's out there start. Their 576 00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:43,720 Speaker 1: star quarterback has played well this season. They lost him, yes, 577 00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:47,520 Speaker 1: and I think that Oliver might come back saying he's 578 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:49,200 Speaker 1: not going to play, though they're saying he might. They 579 00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 1: might lose him for the Bowl. Yeah, I know that. 580 00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:55,520 Speaker 1: I think there are people in his life that don't 581 00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:57,200 Speaker 1: want him to play. But I think he because they 582 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 1: wanted for the draft, right of course, No, I get it. 583 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:02,640 Speaker 1: I'm I'm just saying that I think he he wants 584 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 1: to play. We'll see if he um wins out in 585 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:06,840 Speaker 1: the end. I think so. I think Memphis here at home, 586 00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:09,080 Speaker 1: they played actually fantastic at home this year. If this 587 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,400 Speaker 1: is on the road, I feel differently. But this game 588 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:15,239 Speaker 1: being at home, um, really, I I cannot love this 589 00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:19,400 Speaker 1: game anyway. Did you find the line? I can't. I'm 590 00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:23,000 Speaker 1: trying to find it on multiple things. If it's up 591 00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 1: to it's not on the app. You don't have it 592 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 1: on around No, I get a special apt he wants 593 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,440 Speaker 1: to have a special because it's not on If you 594 00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 1: if you have it, then we're playing it. So it's 595 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 1: not my action. App It's just like, guy, I have 596 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:40,600 Speaker 1: the que of the engine to this place. You guys 597 00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:43,760 Speaker 1: don't have fun. Fine, fine with me, buddy. If it's 598 00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:45,640 Speaker 1: if it's out there somewhere, it's out there somewhere. I'm 599 00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:51,360 Speaker 1: good with that, all right. Um, black Jack finishes out, buddy. 600 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,600 Speaker 1: All right, Jeff, I am going back to the NFL slate. 601 00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 1: I'm going to Sunday afternoon and I'm looking north to 602 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:04,640 Speaker 1: buff Alone, New York. The Bills hosting the Jaguars, taking 603 00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:07,800 Speaker 1: the Jaguars minus three and a half. Let's not forget, 604 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,360 Speaker 1: just because they didn't play last week that the Buffalo 605 00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:14,720 Speaker 1: Bills are the worst team in football. They may have 606 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 1: gotten a win off of the Jets, ill prepared, Matt 607 00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:20,800 Speaker 1: Barkley came in, had the game of his life. Whatever, 608 00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:24,960 Speaker 1: don't care. The Jaguars, with four net back healthy, are 609 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 1: going to obliterate and hurt the Buffalo Bills physically, mentally 610 00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 1: and emotionally. Lay the three and a half of the Jags. 611 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 1: I saw this line and absolutely love it. Um. I 612 00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,320 Speaker 1: agree with you here with with what Barkley did. But 613 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:42,920 Speaker 1: here's the thing. The Jaguars. Even though they lost that game, 614 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:45,720 Speaker 1: their defense on Sunday played really well, Like their defense 615 00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:47,920 Speaker 1: played what we expect them to play. One thing I 616 00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,480 Speaker 1: love doing with with Buffalo games, by the way, I 617 00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 1: take the team total under. It's like one of my 618 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 1: favorite best to play every week. I think I've hit 619 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 1: like from four and one doing that this year. Like 620 00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:58,920 Speaker 1: the Barkley game was. I agree with you, just like 621 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,920 Speaker 1: we're just test Like we're pick Cote McCoy against the 622 00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:06,040 Speaker 1: Redskins Matt Barkley. Bof the first game guys start, they 623 00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:08,480 Speaker 1: tend to really focus in and do a great job. 624 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,520 Speaker 1: The coaches get really creative with game planning. That's that's 625 00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 1: out the window. Now give me Jacksonville. I like this play. Yes, 626 00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:19,560 Speaker 1: a bull play, um to play the Bolds, but against 627 00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,120 Speaker 1: the Bills, the bull play you play Jacksonville against anything. 628 00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:25,840 Speaker 1: Those two teams together, um would be like just two 629 00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:30,480 Speaker 1: ugly people dating. That's just it. Let's not forget these 630 00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:34,360 Speaker 1: two teams met in a playoff game, right, playoff game. 631 00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:36,960 Speaker 1: That's crazy. The only argument I have with you is 632 00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 1: that the Cardinals might be worse than the Bills. No, no, 633 00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:47,000 Speaker 1: there's no one, absolutely not. It's not close. It's not close. 634 00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:51,520 Speaker 1: The Buffalo Bills are the worst team in football. I'll 635 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 1: give you that. I'll give you that, but the talent 636 00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 1: on the field is not It's not close. I don't 637 00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:58,040 Speaker 1: think it's close either. I think the Bills eat off 638 00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:00,240 Speaker 1: of buy. I don't trust them at all. All right, guys, 639 00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:04,600 Speaker 1: nine team parlay. It's so, it's a wacky nine team parlay. 640 00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:07,920 Speaker 1: Let let's go over Washington State minus three and a 641 00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:11,360 Speaker 1: half against Washington that's on Friday night. I also have 642 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:15,320 Speaker 1: Atlanta plus thirteen against New Orleans that is on Thanksgiving. 643 00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:17,880 Speaker 1: It's the last game on Thanksgiving. I'll be just stuffed 644 00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:21,760 Speaker 1: full of Cajun deep fried turkey. Can't wait to smell 645 00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:24,040 Speaker 1: just like a smell it now, the peanut oil with 646 00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 1: the skin. Oh my god. I have Oklahoma plus one 647 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:31,000 Speaker 1: against West Virginia. I think they win that game outright, PAULI. 648 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 1: You have Detroit Lions Thursday plus three and a half. 649 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:38,160 Speaker 1: You have Michigan minus four in the Big House against 650 00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:40,680 Speaker 1: Ohio State. This I think they finally get this, get 651 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:44,680 Speaker 1: this win. Memphis minus seven a half against Houston starting 652 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,480 Speaker 1: a backup quarterback, Blackjack, we love when you fill in 653 00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:52,520 Speaker 1: Buddy Washington plus seven and a half on Thursday night, UH, 654 00:33:52,600 --> 00:33:56,120 Speaker 1: the traditional game in Dallas on Thanksgiving. NC State minus 655 00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:58,640 Speaker 1: six at U n C. We know U n C 656 00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:00,680 Speaker 1: two and eight. They're ready to go home and pack 657 00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,760 Speaker 1: it up. And lastly Jacksonville minus three and a half 658 00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:07,720 Speaker 1: at Buffalo on Sunday. All right, everyone, thank you for 659 00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,640 Speaker 1: listening to the Favorites. We have shows every Monday, Wednesday 660 00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:14,000 Speaker 1: and Friday. Check out our website Action network dot com. 661 00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:17,160 Speaker 1: If you bet our parlay, share your betting slip hashtag 662 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:21,000 Speaker 1: Favorites Parlay on social and tag at Action Network HQ. 663 00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:24,960 Speaker 1: You can win two dollars as well with us black 664 00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,480 Speaker 1: Jack Paula Duca, thank you for joining me as usual. 665 00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:31,080 Speaker 1: See you guys Wednesday when Chad talks to Scooch. So 666 00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:31,719 Speaker 1: next time