WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2019 NFL MegaPod Week 12 Preview 0:00:03.400 --> 0:00:12.640 Check it down man now down Now Thursday morning, November 0:00:13.000 --> 0:00:16.640 one up Beating the Book podcast. It's Gil Alexander, it 0:00:16.760 --> 0:00:20.959 is the megapod. Very excited back in the saddle, glad 0:00:20.960 --> 0:00:22.919 to be alive. Uh. And it's always on the show. 0:00:23.120 --> 0:00:24.800 And I'll introduce them all at once because they've been 0:00:24.800 --> 0:00:26.720 so good filling in on a numbers game on Visa 0:00:26.800 --> 0:00:30.920 for me. Mike Palm, Todd, Wishnev and also a rotating guest. 0:00:30.960 --> 0:00:33.400 Today happens to be producing number five, Jeff Parlay. So 0:00:33.479 --> 0:00:38.280 hello to everybody. Mike, thank you for raining Todd in 0:00:38.400 --> 0:00:41.280 the last three days. I'm not sure I've been successful 0:00:41.320 --> 0:00:44.199 at it, although I did make an effort well, and 0:00:44.320 --> 0:00:46.640 effort is all is all you we can really ask for. 0:00:46.720 --> 0:00:49.520 You guys were honestly, you guys were great. You were wonderful. 0:00:49.800 --> 0:00:51.120 I listened to as much of it as I can, 0:00:51.120 --> 0:00:54.000 but the reviews on Twitter seemed to be all spectacular. 0:00:54.080 --> 0:00:57.440 It's important component of Todd being rained in Gil and 0:00:57.520 --> 0:00:59.800 you you know this from experiences. His lack of show 0:01:00.280 --> 0:01:04.080 sort of brains himself in lack of show prep. Uh. 0:01:04.160 --> 0:01:07.840 The willingness, the willingness and almost happy to use the 0:01:07.840 --> 0:01:11.440 show as a vehicle to get people to research for him. Todd, 0:01:11.440 --> 0:01:14.000 what am I missing? Look? I like crowdsourcing. I don't 0:01:14.000 --> 0:01:16.880 think there's anything wrong with that. And uh, I don't 0:01:16.880 --> 0:01:19.160 think there's anybody just more show prep than me When 0:01:19.200 --> 0:01:21.520 I watch eight billion games. Mike just likes to take 0:01:21.560 --> 0:01:24.480 snarky comments at me, snarky shots at me. You know, 0:01:24.560 --> 0:01:27.000 it's unbelievable. Now the question is is will you have 0:01:27.040 --> 0:01:28.800 a show when you come back on Monday? Because he 0:01:28.880 --> 0:01:31.480 did fourteen hours of NHL this morning. That was an 0:01:31.480 --> 0:01:33.520 interesting program my choice, But that's wonderful. You guys had 0:01:33.520 --> 0:01:36.440 Matthew Barnaby on, so that's nothing wrong. That's a great guest, right, 0:01:36.600 --> 0:01:39.440 Matthew Bonnaby. A lot of people thought it was great. Gil. 0:01:40.000 --> 0:01:43.360 You know, Todd thinks it was excessive because he doesn't 0:01:43.360 --> 0:01:46.240 know anything about the NHL and he didn't participate in 0:01:46.319 --> 0:01:49.400 any of the three segments. But that's not true. What 0:01:49.520 --> 0:01:52.120 about my question about the five overtime game that that 0:01:52.160 --> 0:01:54.920 was that was great? If somebody posts the number on 0:01:54.960 --> 0:01:57.040 that game twenty years later, you get that on him. 0:02:00.160 --> 0:02:03.720 What about Mike Babcock not being the coach anymore? Uh? 0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:06.080 Within you talking about with that can we do anything 0:02:06.080 --> 0:02:11.600 about that number? Mike. That's fascinating listening. Okay, Todd, Well, 0:02:11.639 --> 0:02:14.079 I'm glad you guys, relationship has been repaired over these 0:02:14.120 --> 0:02:17.240 last three days. I'm glad it's moving forward. The the 0:02:17.320 --> 0:02:19.239 Kevin Harlan like laugh that you hear is that of 0:02:19.320 --> 0:02:22.440 jeff Parlay. What's happening in Jeffrey, Gil, it's a it's 0:02:22.440 --> 0:02:24.800 a pleasure to hear you again. Uh. I will also 0:02:24.840 --> 0:02:27.239 say Todd and Mike have done a tremendous job and 0:02:27.800 --> 0:02:30.200 Jacob Broach has done a tremendous job in my place 0:02:30.600 --> 0:02:32.600 behind the glass on the numbers game to the last 0:02:32.600 --> 0:02:35.560 few days. Well, all of us will be back in 0:02:35.600 --> 0:02:37.880 the saddle sooner rather than later, which is good. Todd 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:40.080 put Jacob in a really good light at the end 0:02:40.120 --> 0:02:44.600 of the end of Wednesday's program. Here we go. Okay, 0:02:45.120 --> 0:02:48.280 the South Border kicker, m four Fiegal, Jacob, what do 0:02:48.320 --> 0:02:51.520 you think about that? That's not what I said those 0:02:51.639 --> 0:02:56.519 Jackson game. Okay, oh my god. We're all doing the 0:02:56.560 --> 0:02:59.840 show tomorrow together, so I appreciate that you should hear 0:02:59.880 --> 0:03:01.840 my when he finishes up the segment, Gil, you know 0:03:01.880 --> 0:03:05.040 how like, yeah, I really appreciate your you doing the 0:03:05.040 --> 0:03:07.640 show now, because that's so smooth. How you go in 0:03:07.680 --> 0:03:09.760 and out of the commercials and you go in and 0:03:09.800 --> 0:03:11.680 out of the segments where you have to do the reads. 0:03:11.919 --> 0:03:14.880 I mean, you're just a consummate professional. Mike finishes up 0:03:14.919 --> 0:03:17.119 the second with JVT on the NBA and he goes, 0:03:17.760 --> 0:03:23.240 good hit Jonathan, just like rolls, I heard you. I 0:03:23.240 --> 0:03:25.040 will thank you for that. I heard you did end 0:03:25.200 --> 0:03:28.400 one segment with thank you? Was that correct? Well, I look, 0:03:28.520 --> 0:03:31.200 I was thrown to the wolves. I didn't know about 0:03:31.240 --> 0:03:33.400 this whole doing it myself. You know, I have to 0:03:33.400 --> 0:03:36.240 give you a lot more credit. You and Colin Cowherd 0:03:36.280 --> 0:03:39.760 do your own show. It's it's it's fantastic. Well, thank 0:03:39.760 --> 0:03:43.800 you thoughts very nice. Maybe I appreciate it, but I 0:03:43.800 --> 0:03:46.200 appreciate you guys doing it, and thank you for doing it. Tomorrow, 0:03:46.480 --> 0:03:48.280 you guys will have to sit through this twice, so 0:03:48.320 --> 0:03:50.960 I apologize for it. So we'll act tomorrow like you're 0:03:51.000 --> 0:03:53.200 hearing it for the first time. Maybe, but the reason 0:03:53.280 --> 0:03:56.320 that guessing lines was late on this podcast feed and 0:03:56.320 --> 0:03:58.640 the reason that I wasn't on in numbers game, I 0:03:58.640 --> 0:04:02.160 think most are aware that, um, I ruptured my achilles 0:04:02.160 --> 0:04:04.240 tenant for the second time, not not the same one. 0:04:04.360 --> 0:04:06.840 I ruptured one of them twenty three years ago. You 0:04:06.880 --> 0:04:09.080 kind of live in fear. Once one ruptures, that the 0:04:09.080 --> 0:04:11.880 other world rupture. And so finally it happened when I 0:04:11.880 --> 0:04:15.000 played Todd and Tennis. Mike Palm was there about seventeen 0:04:15.080 --> 0:04:19.120 days ago, now actually sixteen days ago. I ruptured the 0:04:19.120 --> 0:04:23.039 achilles then, and you know, okay, I went in, I 0:04:23.080 --> 0:04:25.680 did uh a numbers game. I did the podcast with 0:04:25.720 --> 0:04:27.800 a freshly ruptured achilles. The only day I missed really 0:04:27.880 --> 0:04:31.400 was the day of surgery, and then after that came 0:04:31.440 --> 0:04:34.839 in with the you know, newly repaired achilles. And last 0:04:34.920 --> 0:04:38.400 week during the show, if you were really a keen listener, 0:04:38.440 --> 0:04:40.360 and I don't know that anybody could have figured this out, 0:04:40.960 --> 0:04:44.080 but during first segments of a numbers game, I would 0:04:44.120 --> 0:04:47.159 start to lose my breath. And because I was using 0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:49.600 a scooter. So after this surgery, after the first one 0:04:49.640 --> 0:04:51.320 when I was a young guy, that gave me crutches 0:04:51.680 --> 0:04:54.000 and so I was, you know, going all around San Francisco. 0:04:54.000 --> 0:04:55.599 You're in your twenties, You're like, I get out of 0:04:55.640 --> 0:04:58.400 my way. I'm strong, and this time I was like, oh, 0:04:58.400 --> 0:04:59.720 I'll take the crutches, and they were like, no, you 0:04:59.760 --> 0:05:02.880 should really take this scooter, and so I was like, Okay, 0:05:02.920 --> 0:05:04.680 I'll take the scooter. So I'm scooting all around the 0:05:04.680 --> 0:05:07.039 South Point and we just sort of chalked it up 0:05:07.040 --> 0:05:08.719 because it was only the first segment, and Mike, you 0:05:08.760 --> 0:05:10.600 even noticed it one day when you were in with 0:05:10.640 --> 0:05:12.760 me that you know, it was just, oh, it's the 0:05:12.800 --> 0:05:15.000 cardio of going up the ramp, jumping in the chair, 0:05:15.120 --> 0:05:19.159 all this kind of stuff. So you know, it happened 0:05:19.320 --> 0:05:21.679 several times last week, and then on Friday it happened 0:05:21.680 --> 0:05:24.159 in a Miles Garrett segment late in the show after 0:05:24.200 --> 0:05:26.000 Alan Boston was on, and that was a little weird, 0:05:26.040 --> 0:05:28.200 but Parlay sort of said, hey, it was really the 0:05:28.200 --> 0:05:30.320 first segment. You talked a lot, so maybe that was it. 0:05:31.240 --> 0:05:33.720 So anyway, long story short, if that's even possible. Now, 0:05:33.880 --> 0:05:36.479 Monday of this week, I'm doing guessing lines with Chrissy, 0:05:36.560 --> 0:05:39.000 and as people know, I do a lot of the talking. 0:05:39.040 --> 0:05:40.880 Chrissy does a lot of talking. It's basically each of 0:05:40.960 --> 0:05:44.280 us talking for an hour. And I noticed that every 0:05:44.320 --> 0:05:47.440 single segment I lost my voice, like I was gasping 0:05:47.480 --> 0:05:48.800 for air, and I would have to throw it to 0:05:48.880 --> 0:05:51.920 Parlay or to Chrissy prematurely, and if you go back 0:05:51.920 --> 0:05:53.800 to guessing lines, maybe you'll be able to hear it. 0:05:54.000 --> 0:05:56.040 But after the show, I come and I have to 0:05:56.240 --> 0:06:00.480 for the podcast, I have to record a sixty second intro, 0:06:00.640 --> 0:06:02.920 not a sixty second intro, but an intro for the show, 0:06:02.960 --> 0:06:05.040 and then a sponsor read. And there's something about having 0:06:05.080 --> 0:06:06.640 the software in front of me where I could actually 0:06:06.680 --> 0:06:08.159 see the time. I have the time in the studio 0:06:08.200 --> 0:06:10.440 too on the radio show, but I don't really pay 0:06:10.440 --> 0:06:14.320 attention as much. But at home alone with the timer, 0:06:14.800 --> 0:06:16.679 I could sense that I could only get through thirty 0:06:16.760 --> 0:06:19.800 seconds without having to gasp for breath. And at that 0:06:19.839 --> 0:06:21.960 point that was sort of the trigger for me that 0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:24.920 something was terribly wrong. And so my brother happens to 0:06:24.960 --> 0:06:27.640 be a doctor. I texted him and I said, hey, look, 0:06:27.680 --> 0:06:32.200 I'm short of breath. What do you think? And he said, 0:06:32.640 --> 0:06:35.560 you just had surgery, you're not as young as you 0:06:35.640 --> 0:06:38.920 used to be, and you're a fatass. So he threw 0:06:38.960 --> 0:06:40.400 that in, By the way, has nothing to do with anything, 0:06:40.400 --> 0:06:41.599 but he just wanted to take a shot at me. 0:06:42.000 --> 0:06:44.400 You could have a blood clot from your surgery that's 0:06:44.440 --> 0:06:47.080 gone to your lungs. Go to the e R immediately, 0:06:48.000 --> 0:06:50.479 So I did, and so I scooted in with my 0:06:50.480 --> 0:06:54.080 scooter to the e R very quickly after a cat scan. 0:06:54.279 --> 0:06:56.000 And I'm losing my breath right now talking because they 0:06:56.000 --> 0:06:57.560 didn't get all of this, but you'll understand what I'm 0:06:57.560 --> 0:07:01.240 talking about. Momentarily, they recognized that I had a massive 0:07:01.600 --> 0:07:06.160 pulmonary embolism. A blood clot because of my surgery had 0:07:06.200 --> 0:07:09.080 gone up my leg in a ten day span and 0:07:09.160 --> 0:07:11.800 had lodged right at the top of my lungs where 0:07:11.800 --> 0:07:14.680 it attaches to the heart, so my heart was being 0:07:14.680 --> 0:07:18.360 pressured too. So essentially what they did is they immediately 0:07:18.920 --> 0:07:21.120 that night were like, first of all, They're like, we 0:07:21.160 --> 0:07:22.600 gotta hand it to you. We don't see people come 0:07:22.640 --> 0:07:26.000 into the hospital on a scooter, just willy nilly on 0:07:26.040 --> 0:07:28.800 a on a with a pulmonary embolism. That said, we 0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:30.720 need to give you a thromb beck to me immediately. 0:07:31.480 --> 0:07:34.920 So they basically went into my femural vein and shot 0:07:35.000 --> 0:07:38.680 up through there to attack my blood clot, and they 0:07:38.680 --> 0:07:40.800 were able to They can't really remove it, but they 0:07:40.840 --> 0:07:43.360 were able to get about half of it, and so 0:07:43.400 --> 0:07:46.560 it saved my life. Period. I you know, you could 0:07:46.560 --> 0:07:50.040 have died. Um. Serena Williams had this inn when she 0:07:50.080 --> 0:07:53.000 was wearing sandals in a restaurant. She stepped on glass 0:07:53.920 --> 0:07:56.240 and she needed foot surgery. She ended up having a 0:07:56.280 --> 0:07:58.280 pulmonary embolism. I don't know if people remember that, if 0:07:58.280 --> 0:08:01.200 their tennis fans. In part, they reminded me that Russell 0:08:01.200 --> 0:08:04.000 Lokung had it this offseason in the NFL, and again, 0:08:04.120 --> 0:08:08.200 pulmonary embolism left untreated could kill you. So anyway, that's 0:08:08.200 --> 0:08:10.920 the long story. That's why I haven't been there, and 0:08:11.360 --> 0:08:15.240 I'm just happy to be alive. Dude, so well, your 0:08:15.320 --> 0:08:20.400 brother with a diagnosis over the phone, so like unbelievable. 0:08:20.440 --> 0:08:23.960 That's incredible, don't you think, Yeah, no, it's it. There's 0:08:24.000 --> 0:08:26.400 two lessons. One it's good to have a doctor in 0:08:26.400 --> 0:08:29.280 the family. That's lesson number one. But the one that's 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:32.800 more relatable is you really have to listen to your 0:08:32.840 --> 0:08:36.880 body and for you know, the better part of a week. 0:08:37.520 --> 0:08:40.040 You know, I was kind of like, ah, well, you know, 0:08:40.080 --> 0:08:43.040 it's the first segment only and makes sense that you know, 0:08:43.120 --> 0:08:45.040 my heart rate would be up because I'm scooting around 0:08:45.080 --> 0:08:47.640 and I'm going up ramps and you know, maybe that's it. 0:08:47.679 --> 0:08:50.240 And then finally it did get to a point where 0:08:50.240 --> 0:08:52.520 that there's the evidence right in front of you, right, 0:08:53.040 --> 0:08:55.959 and there's no denying. I can't speak for more than 0:08:56.000 --> 0:08:58.679 thirty seconds at a time, and so I just want 0:08:58.760 --> 0:09:01.000 people to remember that when her they have these kinds 0:09:01.000 --> 0:09:03.200 of things, that they should always listen to their bodies, 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:07.000 because you never know what could be happening to, especially 0:09:07.040 --> 0:09:10.360 in a post surgical situation. So anyway, to everybody who 0:09:10.400 --> 0:09:15.720 wrote tremendously kind things on Twitter, I appreciated. I believe 0:09:15.760 --> 0:09:18.240 I am told I will live now, so this will 0:09:18.280 --> 0:09:20.520 go away, my loss of breath will go away, and 0:09:20.520 --> 0:09:24.840 I will be able to talk at length again, either 0:09:25.320 --> 0:09:28.920 two people's happiness or otherwise. So that's a story, gentlemen. 0:09:28.960 --> 0:09:31.040 So that's why I appreciate you all very much for 0:09:31.080 --> 0:09:35.480 doing and doing the I feel like David Letterman. Remember 0:09:35.480 --> 0:09:37.400 when David Letterman had that heart problem and he thanked 0:09:37.440 --> 0:09:39.080 all his surgeons. I just want to thank everybody at 0:09:39.080 --> 0:09:43.120 Sunrise Hospital in Vegas. Man, it was awesome. That's the story. Well, 0:09:43.160 --> 0:09:44.880 the only thing I would say is if your body 0:09:44.960 --> 0:09:48.199 says to you, give me pizza every half an hour. 0:09:48.240 --> 0:09:49.839 You probably don't want to listen to that one. That's 0:09:49.840 --> 0:09:51.800 a little different. That's a bit of a different problem. 0:09:53.040 --> 0:09:56.480 There you go, Todd, making the near death experience about 0:09:56.880 --> 0:10:01.560 about yourself somehow. All right, Well, at Jeff Well, first though, Jeff, 0:10:01.559 --> 0:10:04.000 I have a feeling your Boddy says that too. I'm 0:10:04.040 --> 0:10:08.480 not I'm not disagreeing with you, Todd. All right, let's 0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:11.720 start how we always start. Circus Sports. Update from Mike 0:10:11.760 --> 0:10:15.840 Palm the conciliaria over there at Circus Sports. What's the latest, Michael, Well, Gil, 0:10:15.880 --> 0:10:18.720 as you know, this is the final weekend, Final Sunday 0:10:18.760 --> 0:10:21.880 for quarter three, another hundred forty three thousand, seven hundred 0:10:21.880 --> 0:10:25.079 and fifty on the line. We have one entry at 0:10:25.160 --> 0:10:29.720 thirteen point five, two entries at thirteen points, and five 0:10:30.000 --> 0:10:32.280 entries at twelve and a half, so eight within one 0:10:32.320 --> 0:10:35.160 game of the lead we saw in the first quarter 0:10:35.360 --> 0:10:39.119 seventeen and three one, it in the second quarter seventeen 0:10:39.160 --> 0:10:40.960 two and one one, and so I think we're gonna 0:10:40.960 --> 0:10:43.720 be right there around that seventeen seventeen and a half mark. 0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:47.839 What will be remarkable, what will be astounding, is if 0:10:47.880 --> 0:10:50.319 for a third straight quarter, a single person wanted all 0:10:50.320 --> 0:10:53.480 by themselves, really would be and Todd you you sleft off. 0:10:53.559 --> 0:10:57.120 Yes you're not in this. I'm dead. I'm after being 0:10:57.760 --> 0:11:02.040 fifteen and one, I'm now six and one. So I'm 0:11:02.120 --> 0:11:04.319 just hoping to have all the rest of my losses 0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:07.439 this week and then win every single game in December 0:11:07.640 --> 0:11:10.640 to win the December contest. Yeah, and and it does 0:11:10.720 --> 0:11:13.360 bear repeating one more time. The genius of the Circu 0:11:13.480 --> 0:11:18.199 million Circus Sports million is that they have the quarterlies, 0:11:18.280 --> 0:11:20.360 and so for the last five weeks of the season, 0:11:20.880 --> 0:11:23.560 we all started zero and zero. We're all still alive 0:11:23.600 --> 0:11:26.360 for a big prize of close to a hundred fifty dollars. 0:11:26.400 --> 0:11:28.959 So we're pumped about that. As you say, get get 0:11:29.040 --> 0:11:31.160 rid of all your losses right now this week. I 0:11:31.160 --> 0:11:33.200 got a teaser right last week. That's the head I 0:11:33.240 --> 0:11:35.720 was just about to say that. You haven't said anything 0:11:35.720 --> 0:11:38.280 about how you actually hit a teaser to what did 0:11:38.280 --> 0:11:39.600 I say to you? I said, I'm gonna catch you 0:11:39.679 --> 0:11:42.000 wish nev, I'm gonna catch you on the teasers, and 0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:45.760 you laughed at me. You're not for I know you're 0:11:45.800 --> 0:11:48.120 two and nine on teasers, on four, six and one 0:11:48.120 --> 0:11:51.000 on teasers. So I could definitely be caught. Let's be clear, 0:11:51.040 --> 0:11:53.000 Stanford Long is two and eight and teasers, I'm O 0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:55.240 and one. I just want to point that out. All right, 0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:57.840 We'll get to our teasers momentarily. Let's start with Thursday Nights, 0:11:57.960 --> 0:12:02.040 Thursday Night footballers and I we start with the Thursday 0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:04.760 night game, and it is Indian Apples at Houston, which 0:12:05.080 --> 0:12:06.880 in a you know, last week we started out with 0:12:06.920 --> 0:12:09.600 really good primetime games. This one sort of continues that 0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:12.439 the battle for the top of the a f C 0:12:12.720 --> 0:12:15.760 South winner will be the leader of the a f 0:12:15.840 --> 0:12:17.720 C South of you tie well, and they're both on top. 0:12:18.040 --> 0:12:21.200 Did this really open six somewhere? Is that true? Where 0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:23.400 did that open six? I see a six opener? But 0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:25.600 Houston is three and a half in this game. Three 0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:29.000 and a half is the spread? Forty six? Forty six 0:12:29.000 --> 0:12:30.920 and a half Somewhere in that pocket is the total? 0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:33.680 Curious doesn't have to be a best bet, but curious 0:12:33.679 --> 0:12:36.560 of any of you have any real conviction in this game? Jeff, 0:12:36.720 --> 0:12:39.880 any thoughts here? I kind of like first half under here. 0:12:40.000 --> 0:12:44.480 GIL three is the number that MC consensus on that 0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:50.280 Houston's offensive line was exposed again last week against Baltimore. 0:12:50.840 --> 0:12:52.640 I am a feeling they're gonna have a problem with 0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:56.440 Indies defense. Indies defense is starting to play better as 0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:59.360 we've seen over the last few weeks. Uh, Indie will 0:12:59.400 --> 0:13:01.600 still try of the ground and pound offense. I know 0:13:01.679 --> 0:13:04.079 Marlon Mack is on the shelf with the broken hand, 0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:06.599 but that's the only angle. I kind of like a 0:13:06.720 --> 0:13:10.200 slow start on a short week under first half twenty 0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.080 three would be the angle I would look at tonight, 0:13:12.240 --> 0:13:14.720 Mikey Kill It's not a play for me because I'm 0:13:14.760 --> 0:13:17.360 conflicted here. I don't know if t Y Hilton is 0:13:17.360 --> 0:13:19.480 gonna go. I think that makes a tremendous difference in 0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:22.520 the Colts offense. If you look at the first game, 0:13:22.720 --> 0:13:26.600 the statistics, the yards gain very even in this game 0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:30.400 we had to Deshaun Watson turnovers. The key difference was 0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:32.839 the Colts were four for four in the red zone 0:13:33.360 --> 0:13:36.839 and the Bill O'Brien's were two for five. I look 0:13:36.880 --> 0:13:39.080 at this game both ways. I think there maybe there's 0:13:39.120 --> 0:13:40.840 a little bit of value in three and a half 0:13:40.960 --> 0:13:43.680 is the number because the look ahead before last week's 0:13:43.720 --> 0:13:46.600 performances at Westgate with five and a half. But I'm 0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:49.320 not playing this game. Maybe an endgame opportunity if we 0:13:49.400 --> 0:13:51.400 see Helton out there. But I'm not playing the game 0:13:51.400 --> 0:13:53.760 pre flop. Yeah, I'm trying to remember what I guessed. 0:13:53.760 --> 0:13:55.520 Oh I did guess five and a half. I guess 0:13:55.559 --> 0:13:58.559 Houston five and a half. So alright, starting to make sense. 0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:01.200 I'm starting to come out of my uh my hospital 0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:04.360 stay to Yeah, I know. I just wanted to say 0:14:04.400 --> 0:14:08.079 that this is the rematch of the game that Jeff 0:14:08.160 --> 0:14:11.000 had the under twenty three a couple of weeks ago 0:14:11.120 --> 0:14:13.960 and he like barely survived with the push. I don't 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.600 know if you remember that, Jeff. That was the game 0:14:16.679 --> 0:14:20.520 that Deshaun Watson, Deshaun Watson was called in the grasp 0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:22.800 on what should have been a touchdown and I lost 0:14:22.840 --> 0:14:25.040 because of that. Talked about that this morning on a 0:14:25.160 --> 0:14:27.560 Numbers game with with my palm about the in the 0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:30.640 grass touchdown, and I said, yes, I remember it while 0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:33.520 Jeff was freaking out because he had the under twenty 0:14:33.520 --> 0:14:36.080 three and he got a miracle push. Um. What I've 0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:38.440 said about this game on a Numbers game all week 0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:41.280 is I don't want to fat and happy. I don't 0:14:41.280 --> 0:14:44.720 want to fat and happy team against the team the 0:14:44.840 --> 0:14:48.520 Instapolis Colts come in fat and happy with a nice win. 0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:53.560 The Houston Texans come in off an absolute destructive loss. 0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:57.320 And I do not want Indianapolis in this spot. Now. 0:14:57.360 --> 0:15:00.480 Do I want Houston? Probably not either, But I certainly 0:15:00.760 --> 0:15:03.400 do not want to take Indianapolis when I when I've 0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:05.640 got the uh, I don't want the fat and happy team. 0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:09.480 I want the game. Yeah, Houston fell behind Baltimore last 0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:12.400 week thirty four to nothing. For those who need the reminder, 0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:14.800 they came in with four wins in five games before 0:15:14.840 --> 0:15:17.920 that game, had a by even and then proceeded to 0:15:17.920 --> 0:15:19.760 fall behind the Ravens thirty four and nothing. They only 0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:21.800 had a hundred two yards of offense in the first half, 0:15:22.240 --> 0:15:24.960 gave up four sacks to fall behind fourteen nothing to 0:15:25.040 --> 0:15:28.320 the dynamo that is Lamar Jackson. Two of ten on 0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:30.200 third downs in the game, one of four and four down. 0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:32.400 They were out game four ninety one to thirty two. 0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:35.280 They were out time of possession if you will, thirty 0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:38.760 six ninety one. They were sacked a grand total of 0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:40.880 seven times if you add in the seventh to a J. Mccarren. 0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:42.400 But let me just ask you this before we move 0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:44.840 on from this game. How much of that game, and 0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:46.520 I know it was forty one to seven, and as 0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:48.600 I said, it was thirty four to nothing, but that 0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:53.280 non p I which which even withstood a review on 0:15:53.560 --> 0:15:56.480 DeAndre Hopkins. This is one of the big sort of 0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.960 nuanced debates one has on Twitter, one has with their buddies. 0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:03.800 Yes it was seven, but I'm in the camp that 0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:07.880 if that goes Houston's way, none of us know how 0:16:07.920 --> 0:16:11.480 the rest of that game's going. Probably Baltimore still wins, 0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:14.680 but like the entire complexion of that game, in my 0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:17.040 opinion changed, and I'm curious how you guys come down 0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:19.520 on that. You know, I thought about what you're saying, Bill, 0:16:19.560 --> 0:16:22.520 because I had plus ten and a half with the Texans, 0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:25.480 and I learned during the game that Deshaun Watson had 0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:28.760 never lost a game by more than one possession or 0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:32.560 one score in his entire NFL career until that game, 0:16:32.560 --> 0:16:34.160 and I kept thinking, Wow, if we would have got 0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:37.320 that past interference call, would everything have been different. I 0:16:37.360 --> 0:16:39.720 think it might have been a little different, but that 0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:44.680 game was such a dominant performance by Baltimore. Ultimately, I 0:16:44.720 --> 0:16:47.440 think they still get get killed. Ultimately, I think they 0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:49.760 still get beat. I just don't know. I just don't 0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:53.080 think we can say anything with certainty. I don't know. Well, 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:55.400 Gi well, Gil alsaid, I would have put Houston up 0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:58.040 seven nothing in all likelihoods, right, So then you would 0:16:58.040 --> 0:17:00.880 have had Baltimore chasing the game. I know it was 0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:03.280 still early, but they would have been down a touchdown. 0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:06.040 It's a completely different game potentially, So I'm I'm kind 0:17:06.040 --> 0:17:08.840 of with you, Gil. Uh, We're never gonna know. Baltimore 0:17:08.880 --> 0:17:10.679 probably still wins the game, but it sure as hell 0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:12.480 wouldn't have been a beat down that we saw. Yeah, 0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:14.760 I guess the point here is, does that then change 0:17:14.800 --> 0:17:18.040 your handicapping if you do feel that way? Right on 0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:20.840 this particular game, sounds like nobody has any real conviction, 0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:23.480 although Jeff has a first half play, let us start 0:17:23.520 --> 0:17:26.800 with the best bets, parlay you get first shot, sir. 0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:31.600 All right, This is as Todd usually says. Gil. It's 0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:34.639 a tough week again in the National Football League, but 0:17:34.880 --> 0:17:38.320 I'm gonna start. Uh, let's let's go to East Rutherford first. 0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:42.720 My Jets take on the upstart nearly end of a 0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:46.920 f C West leading Oakland Raiders. I'm gonna go over 0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:49.919 forty six and a half here, in this game. The 0:17:50.000 --> 0:17:54.440 Raiders had a slow offensive performance against Cincinnati. I think 0:17:54.480 --> 0:17:56.560 their offense will be able to move the ball against 0:17:56.560 --> 0:18:00.560 the Jets, who just right now we're playing cornerbacks numbers six, seven, 0:18:00.560 --> 0:18:03.800 and eight right now because of injury and just the 0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:06.840 fact that the regular corners stink, they're on their fourth 0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:10.080 and fifth backup linebackers. I feel like Oakland's gonna be 0:18:10.119 --> 0:18:11.760 able to move the ball. They're really gonna be able to. 0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:13.880 I think Jacobs will be able to run the ball 0:18:14.119 --> 0:18:16.359 because of that Oakland offensive line. I know the Jets 0:18:16.359 --> 0:18:18.680 have been good against the run, but I think Oakland's 0:18:18.680 --> 0:18:20.560 old line will figure them out. And I think the 0:18:20.640 --> 0:18:22.960 Jets are gonna move the ball against Oakland as well. 0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:25.960 Uh Donald has played much better the last two weeks 0:18:25.960 --> 0:18:29.680 against bad defenses, and the Giants and the Redskins. Oakland 0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:32.879 is another bad defense. I think Donald plays well. Again, 0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:35.200 this feels like a game where both teams are in 0:18:35.440 --> 0:18:39.480 are in the high twenties. Someone's winning this game thirty 0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:43.240 eight something in that category. So I like this well 0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:45.880 over that forty six and a half consensus that I'm 0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:47.960 seeing right now, over forty six and a half. The 0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:51.560 Jets eclipsing four hundred yards of offense last time for 0:18:51.600 --> 0:18:53.960 the first time in twenty games because they got to 0:18:53.960 --> 0:18:57.880 play the Washington Redskins. Nineteen I thirty was donald for touchdowns, 0:18:57.920 --> 0:19:00.520 one pick. He was sacked twice. Ryan Griffin was his 0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:02.199 big target in that game, five for one on nine 0:19:02.240 --> 0:19:06.000 a touchdown the Raiders. They flirted with disaster with the Bengals, 0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:07.800 but they got it done eventually. Derek Carr had a 0:19:07.840 --> 0:19:10.960 great game two nine two, one touchdown, one pick. He 0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:13.560 was sacked three times, but Joshua Jacobs keeps doing his thing. 0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:16.359 Twenty three carries for one twelve is fourth one yard 0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:19.960 game in the last six weeks. Max Crosby with a 0:19:20.000 --> 0:19:22.159 team rookie record for sacks. The Raiders were seven of 0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:25.240 fifteen on third downs. Third straight win for the Raid 0:19:25.280 --> 0:19:27.920 as all at home, by the way, after a seven 0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:31.040 week stretch on the road, temporarily in a tie with 0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:33.080 the Kansas City Chiefs until the Chiefs won that game 0:19:33.119 --> 0:19:36.040 in Mexico City against the char j By the way, Todd, 0:19:36.080 --> 0:19:38.119