1 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:09,159 Speaker 1: This is Red Pilled America. Hey guys, before we start 2 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 1: the show, if you're not a red Pilled America dot 3 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 1: com subscriber, what are you waiting for? We need your support. 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: We don't have the government funding us like NPR. All 5 00:00:18,119 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: we have is you become an RPA fanband member by 6 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 1: going to Redpilled America dot com and clicking join in 7 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:25,479 Speaker 1: the top menu. 8 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 2: Support a show devoted to the truth and that shares 9 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 2: your values. Redpilled America dot com. 10 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: This episode was originally broadcast on December sixth, twenty eighteen. 11 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: Global warming has been politicized since Al Gore's two thousand 12 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: and six documentary and Inconvenient Truth. 13 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 3: Within the decade, there will be no more snows of Kilimanjarle. 14 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: A mere two years after the film's launch. The issue 15 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 1: is so hot Canada. Obama was running on his ability 16 00:00:57,560 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: to change sea levels. 17 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 4: This was the moment when the rise of the ulceans 18 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 4: be done? Who on our planet? 19 00:01:04,960 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 5: The devil Hill? 20 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:08,839 Speaker 1: In his run for the White House, Donald Trump would 21 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:10,760 Speaker 1: make his own remarks about climate change. 22 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 6: A lot of it's a hoax. It's a hoax. I mean, 23 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 6: it's some money making industry. 24 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 7: Okay, it's a hoax. 25 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: The far left media would eventually lock in on Trump's 26 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: hoax comment, President Trump believes climate change is a hoax? 27 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:21,920 Speaker 1: Yes or no? 28 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 3: Does the President believe that climate. 29 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 7: Change is real? 30 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:29,119 Speaker 1: Does the President believe today that climate change is a hoax? 31 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,959 Speaker 8: Shouldn't you be able to tell the American people whether 32 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 8: or not the President still believes the climate change. 33 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:34,840 Speaker 7: Is a hoax? 34 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 1: What does the president actually believe climate change? 35 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 8: Does he still believe it's a hoax? 36 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:42,959 Speaker 1: Obama thinks he's the god Poseidon, and the media is silent. 37 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 1: Trump thinks some global warming claims are deceptive. The media pounces. 38 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: But Trump's statement did raise a question that the media 39 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: would never probe, namely, why do so many people think 40 00:01:54,120 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: global warming is a hoax? I'm Patrick CARELCI. 41 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 2: And I'm Adrianna Portez. 42 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 1: And this is Red Pilled America, a storytelling show. 43 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 2: This is not another talk show covering the day's news. 44 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:11,079 Speaker 2: We are all about telling stories. 45 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,800 Speaker 1: Stories. Hollywood doesn't want you to hear stories. 46 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 2: The media mocks stories about everyday Americans that the globalists ignore. 47 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 1: You could think of Red Pilled America as audio documentaries, 48 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 1: and we promise only one thing of the truth. Welcome 49 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:45,639 Speaker 1: to red pilled America. Global warming is one of those topics, 50 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 1: like abortion and gun control, that has become hopelessly politicized. 51 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:52,919 Speaker 1: The left has an almost religious belief in it, and 52 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: when anyone shows skepticism towards even the most extreme claims, 53 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: the media labels the person a conspiracy theorist, or worse, 54 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: a science denier. When Donald Trump said some of global 55 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:06,239 Speaker 1: warming was a hoax, the media was incurious as to 56 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 1: why you would say such a thing. What could you 57 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 1: have possibly meant To find the answer, We're going to 58 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: hear the story of how a small group of climate 59 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:17,359 Speaker 1: change skeptics battled the global warming establishment and in the 60 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: process changed the course of the world's economy. 61 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 4: You can't exclude the possibility that someone from cru was 62 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 4: the hacker. 63 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 9: We were never given anti information that corroborated or break in. 64 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 10: He was a lone wolf partisan hacker, and I did 65 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 10: you know, I shared it with anti terrorist squad. 66 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 3: That it probably was an insider. That's about as specific 67 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 3: as I can get. 68 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: On a cold December night in two thousand and seven, 69 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 1: Steve McIntyre made his way to a restaurant in downtown 70 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:08,840 Speaker 1: San Francisco, A sixty year old, partly balding, gray bearded 71 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: Canadian Steve couldn't have known that he was about to 72 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 1: join the team that would force the biggest science heist 73 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:18,679 Speaker 1: in history. Visiting the Bay Area for a climate conference, 74 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:21,719 Speaker 1: Steve had recently won the award for Best Science Blog 75 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: and was grabbing dinner with three locals who were regular 76 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 1: readers of his blog, Climate on It. He was quickly 77 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 1: becoming a rock star amongst a group of global warming 78 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: skeptics that considered themselves lukewarmers, people that believe humans could 79 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 1: be warming the planet but questioned the magnitude of the 80 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 1: problem and the certainty of climate science. They weren't science deniers, 81 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 1: as their critics would say, they were just curious. Steve 82 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: fell into climate science completely by chance. 83 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:54,560 Speaker 7: I became interested in climate in a very casual way 84 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 7: in two thousand and two when Canada was discussing joining 85 00:04:59,920 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 7: the Kyoto Treaty. 86 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: Countries that joined the Kyoto Treaty I had to commit 87 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 1: to reducing their carbon dioxide emissions. 88 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 7: And one of the feature art arguments of the Canadian 89 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 7: government was that nineteen ninety eight was the warmest year 90 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 7: in one thousand years, and I wondered in the most 91 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 7: casual possible way. 92 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: How they knew that Steve wasn't a climate scientist by trade. 93 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:27,600 Speaker 1: He was a consultant on mining exploration projects. But he 94 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 1: discussed global warming from time to time with a friend 95 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 1: that was a geologist, and this friend told him that 96 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: throughout geological history climate was much warmer in the past 97 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 1: than it is today. 98 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 7: And he viewed the climate science alarm as being more 99 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 7: or less equivalent to creationism. 100 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: So, out of curiosity, Steve read the climate studies claiming 101 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: nineteen ninety eight was the warmest year. The reports weren't 102 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: foreign to him. Steve was accustomed to reading technical papers 103 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:58,160 Speaker 1: for risky mining explorations. When he reviewed the documents, a 104 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 1: specific diagram stood out, and. 105 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 7: I was truck by the care with which they had 106 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 7: made the diagram. When you're trying to raise money, having 107 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 7: good diagrams is important, and I noticed that there was 108 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:17,039 Speaker 7: attention to the graphics, so there was a promotional element 109 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:18,600 Speaker 7: to it, which caught my eye. 110 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: The diagram had a distinctive shape picture a hockey stick 111 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,480 Speaker 1: placed flat on the ground with just the blade of 112 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: the hockey stick pointing up to the sky. That's what 113 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: this global warming diagram looked. Like the flat shaft part 114 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 1: of the stick represented temperature changes over the past thousand years, 115 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:39,279 Speaker 1: which looked pretty constant over time until the nineteen hundreds, 116 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: when the graph dramatically shot up like the blade of 117 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 1: the hockey stick. This hockey stick graph was originally created 118 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 1: by American climate scientist Michael Mann with several of his colleagues. 119 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 1: One of the papers introducing the graph was titled Northern 120 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 1: Hemisphere Temperatures during the past millennium, but it was the 121 00:06:56,600 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: subtitle that was the most noteworthy. It read Inferences, Uncertainties 122 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 1: and limitations. Given the admitted uncertainties expressed in the subtitle, 123 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: it's hard to believe the hockey stick graph would become 124 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 1: the poster child of certainty of global warming. But it 125 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 1: would become just that. Pay close attention here, because if 126 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 1: you could understand what I'm about to say, you'll know 127 00:07:17,960 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 1: more about climate science than ninety nine percent of the 128 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:26,119 Speaker 1: people in the world. This famous hockey stick graph shows 129 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 1: the Earth's temperature variations over the past thousand years. The 130 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: problem is there were no thermometers a thousand years ago 131 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 1: all over the Earth to capture the temperatures. In fact, 132 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 1: it isn't until the late eighteen hundreds that we have 133 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 1: any thermometer based record of temperatures around the world. So 134 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: to fill in Earth's temperatures before this time, before the 135 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: eighteen hundreds, some climate scientists turn to trees. These scientists 136 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: believe that some old trees record past temperatures in their 137 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: growth pattern. Picture cutting across section of a tree and 138 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 1: looking at that cross section. What you see your tree rings, right, 139 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 1: Those are the concerents, centric circles that start small in 140 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 1: the center of the cross section, then get larger and 141 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 1: larger as they reach the surface of the tree trunk. 142 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 1: You can typically estimate the age of a tree by 143 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 1: analyzing these tree rings. The older the tree, the more 144 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: tree rings it has. We're all pretty familiar with that concept, 145 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 1: but some climate scientists believe that you can go even 146 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 1: further and calculate the temperature from year to year using 147 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 1: these tree rings. Simplistically speaking, the more growth of a 148 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: tree ring, the hotter the temperature, basically providing a picture 149 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 1: of past temperatures when thermometers weren't around. So some climate 150 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 1: scientists use these tree rings to calculate and find the 151 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:42,319 Speaker 1: temperatures all across the world before the eighteen hundreds. What 152 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:44,959 Speaker 1: was alarming about the graph was that the increase in 153 00:08:45,040 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 1: temperature coincided closely with the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, 154 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 1: which started at about eighteen fifty. If true, the world's 155 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:56,319 Speaker 1: temperature increase could be tied directly to the beginning of 156 00:08:56,440 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 1: humans burning fossil fuels. Theories of human induced climate change 157 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 1: had been around long before Michael Mann's hockey stick graph, 158 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: but his diagram gave the first powerful graphical image of 159 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 1: global warming, so powerful that the United Nations used a 160 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: version of it in their two thousand one Climate Report. 161 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:20,839 Speaker 1: This was the document that gives guidance to governments on 162 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 1: which policies to enact to reduce the effects of global warming. 163 00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 1: The hockey stick graph became iconic and galvanized environmentalists to 164 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:33,400 Speaker 1: call for urgent government action on global warming. But as 165 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 1: history shows, inciting one group often inspires an opposing group 166 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: to rise up. So is the story of the hockey 167 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:43,840 Speaker 1: stick graph. More of red pilled America. After the break, 168 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 1: the spring is here and it's time to treat yourself 169 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 1: to the licorice guy. You guys should know by now 170 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 1: that I love licorice and doesn't get any better than 171 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: the gourmet licorice made by the Licorice Guy. 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Just as 190 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: quickly as the graph was used as a rallying for 191 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 1: global warming activists, it gave birth to a camp of skeptics. 192 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 1: That's where the Canadian Steve McIntyre enters the picture. The 193 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: hockey stick graph confused Steve. A well known medieval warming 194 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:20,679 Speaker 1: period where Earth's temperatures increased considerably sometime between the year 195 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 1: one thousand a D and thirteen hundred a D, followed 196 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 1: by a cooling trend known as the Little Ice Age, 197 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:29,199 Speaker 1: was widely accepted in the science community and suggested that 198 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 1: Earth went through natural phases of warming and cooling, but 199 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 1: these events appeared to be absent from the hockey stick. 200 00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:42,439 Speaker 1: MacIntyre was curious about how the graph was made and 201 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:45,559 Speaker 1: his chance would have it. The discipline of reconstructing temperatures 202 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:49,640 Speaker 1: using tree rings, largely in exercise and statistics, fit right 203 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:53,000 Speaker 1: within his mathematics background. Steve was a math whiz in 204 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 1: his early years. 205 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 7: I studied pure math at university. I mean I had 206 00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 7: studied first in Canada in the High School Math Contest 207 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:02,920 Speaker 7: and the International High School Math Contest. It was a 208 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:06,839 Speaker 7: form of almost athletic activity for me. 209 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: Steve studied economics at Oxford and had been offered a 210 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:13,199 Speaker 1: PhD scholarship at both Harvard and MIT, but after his 211 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:16,440 Speaker 1: university studies, he decided to enter the private sector instead 212 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:17,079 Speaker 1: of academia. 213 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 7: I hadn't done any maths since I was twenty one 214 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 7: or twenty two, but because I'd learned it well as 215 00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:27,319 Speaker 7: a teenager. The comparison that I made it's like you 216 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:32,559 Speaker 7: were a Davis Cup tennis player and going in a 217 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 7: club tournament when you're fifty five, you'd be a tough out. 218 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:40,319 Speaker 7: Even if you hadn't played for a long time. You 219 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 7: could pick it up fairly quickly. 220 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 1: His work in mining exploration also prepared him in another way. 221 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:50,199 Speaker 7: In the mining exploration business, there's a lot of promotion, 222 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 7: there's a lot of crookedness, So you learned to be 223 00:12:54,920 --> 00:13:00,120 Speaker 7: fairly skeptical and wary and to look at data and 224 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:04,560 Speaker 7: look at what people are saying, and not necessarily believe 225 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 7: everything you're told. And so I had an eye for 226 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 7: promotional claims or claims that were not necessarily supported. So 227 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:20,559 Speaker 7: while I hadn't spent that time in academics, I spent 228 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:27,080 Speaker 7: time with tricky people and learning how to check things. 229 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 1: So he decided to reach out to American climate scientist 230 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 1: Michael Mann to get his hands on the data and 231 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,920 Speaker 1: computer code that he used to create the hockey stick graph. 232 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 7: So I emailed Band for his data, and he said 233 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:50,440 Speaker 7: that he responded promptly and said that he had forgotten 234 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 7: where the FTP site for the data was. 235 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:56,840 Speaker 1: An FTP site is an online location where people store 236 00:13:56,960 --> 00:14:00,200 Speaker 1: data and computer files for colleagues to access over the Internet. 237 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 7: It seemed extraordinary to me that so that the data 238 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 7: was not readily at hand. And it also seemed particularly 239 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 7: extraordinary to me because a thirty five year old guy 240 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 7: who's this was his study, that was his claim to fame, 241 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 7: how he wouldn't know at his fingertips where the data was. 242 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:25,120 Speaker 1: If the hockey stick data wasn't readily available, it told 243 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 1: Steve something else. 244 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 7: What that meant to me is that nobody had audited 245 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:30,000 Speaker 7: the data. 246 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 1: This was stunding to Steve. The un was using the 247 00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 1: hockey stick graph to argue a reconfiguration of the entire 248 00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 1: world's economy. Steve couldn't understand how such important data was 249 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: not readily available and seemingly not being reviewed with a 250 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:45,680 Speaker 1: skeptical eye. 251 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:49,880 Speaker 7: And I thought, well, if none of them have audited it. 252 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 7: I will. The image that I put was, well, I'll 253 00:14:57,040 --> 00:14:59,480 Speaker 7: try to figure out what Man did, and I viewed 254 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 7: it as trying to solve a big crossway puzzle. 255 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 1: The decision wasn't a political one for Steve at the time. 256 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 1: He considered himself a Bill Clinton Democrat. He was just 257 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 1: curious and had some time on his hands. Michael Man's 258 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 1: associate eventually got Steve a version of the data that 259 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 1: created his hockey stick, and once Steve began reviewing it, 260 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 1: he thought he saw some red flags. 261 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:22,920 Speaker 7: I started looking at some of the data and wasn't 262 00:15:23,160 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 7: entirely clear where the shape of the hockey stick came from. 263 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 1: He became suspicious that they were possibly cherry picking the 264 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 1: temperature data so that a hockey stick would result no 265 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 1: matter what data was entered into the climate model. To 266 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: test his theory, he input random data called red noise 267 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,800 Speaker 1: into a climate model and out popped a hockey stick graph. 268 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:46,480 Speaker 1: Steve began posting some of his analysis in skeptic chat 269 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 1: groups online. His work immediately stood out because his analysis 270 00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:53,560 Speaker 1: was not based on emotion. Instead, it was data driven, 271 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 1: and he learned something surprising about the people that liked 272 00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:56,840 Speaker 1: his work. 273 00:15:57,160 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 7: A lot of skeptics, I guess would be people like 274 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 7: me who felt that climate was issue, but we're concerned 275 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 7: that it was being oversold as an shoe. 276 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: His posts led to a small science journal asking him 277 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: to write an article. He'd never written an academic paper before, 278 00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:16,040 Speaker 1: so he teamed up with an academic he met in 279 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 1: the skeptic chat rooms. That person was Ross McKittrick, an 280 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 1: environmental economist and a PhD in economics who'd authored a 281 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 1: book Skeptical about global warming. The two worked on papers 282 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 1: evaluating michael Mann's original hockey stick graph, highlighting what they 283 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,680 Speaker 1: saw as his errors, and using the data. In two 284 00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 1: thousand and four, some of their findings forced michael Mann 285 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 1: and his colleagues to publish corrections to their original hockey 286 00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 1: stick paper. However, they didn't change any of their underlying results, 287 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 1: but the skeptics work drew blood, so climate scientists started 288 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 1: a blog called real Climate to debunk their detractors. 289 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 7: They began their existence with a series of blogs slagging 290 00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 7: me somebody who was following something an email. And you know, 291 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 7: if you think you can win your disputes in the 292 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:04,440 Speaker 7: sort of academic journals, you were getting killed. 293 00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:09,200 Speaker 1: Steve had a pretty amateurish website at the time. 294 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 11: So somebody set up a book sort of proposed the 295 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 11: name Climate Audit, and proposed that a start a blog, 296 00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 11: and it was already arranged to start up the blog, 297 00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 11: you know, to kind of get set up for me. 298 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 7: And I started writing and found that I liked it. 299 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 1: These dueling websites began a daily online battle between climate 300 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:33,040 Speaker 1: scientists and global warming skeptics. One of the main contention 301 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:35,720 Speaker 1: points between these two camps has been a concept known 302 00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:43,160 Speaker 1: as divergence. Some climate scientists noticed a problem using tree 303 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:46,879 Speaker 1: rings to calculate today's temperatures. What they found was that 304 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 1: some tree rings showed a decrease in temperatures starting at 305 00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 1: around nineteen sixty one, while actual thermometer readings showed a 306 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:58,359 Speaker 1: temperature increase. The science and the thermometers weren't matching up. 307 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: So what the climate scientist did in some of the 308 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:04,360 Speaker 1: hockey stick graphs was delete the tree ring temperatures after 309 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,879 Speaker 1: nineteen sixty one to hide the tree ring decline in temperatures, 310 00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 1: replacing them with the actual thermometer temperatures. Their rationale was 311 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:16,159 Speaker 1: that the tree rings weren't capturing today's higher temperatures. The 312 00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 1: skeptics thought this was bad science, and why because it 313 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:22,640 Speaker 1: raised the question that if the tree rings aren't recording 314 00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:25,840 Speaker 1: the higher temperatures of today, couldn't tree rings have also 315 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:29,280 Speaker 1: missed higher temperatures in the past as well. Today's spike 316 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 1: in temperatures could have also been there one thousand years ago, 317 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:37,359 Speaker 1: meaning today's high temperatures weren't unprecedented. This divergence appeared to 318 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 1: show a serious problem with some of the science behind 319 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 1: the hockey stick graphs. Steve McIntyre asked Michael Mann to 320 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 1: provide more of the data and computer codes used to 321 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 1: create his hockey stick graphs, but by then Michael Man 322 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:55,960 Speaker 1: had completely cut Steve off. Their feud began reaching the 323 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 1: mainstream media. 324 00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:01,120 Speaker 7: The Wall Street Journal writes an article and that catches 325 00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:06,440 Speaker 7: the eye of the House Energy and Commerce Committee. 326 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:08,439 Speaker 1: And in two thousand and six a series of government 327 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: hearings began questioning climate science and asking if they were 328 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:14,200 Speaker 1: in fact cherry picking data to create the hockey stick 329 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 1: graph I. 330 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 7: Remember Rosanne Derigo, one of the famous tree ring people, 331 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 7: talked about cherry picking and said, you have to pick 332 00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:26,280 Speaker 7: cherries if you want to make cherry pie. And I 333 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 7: thought that that neatly summarized the approach of the tree 334 00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:30,399 Speaker 7: ring people. 335 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:33,680 Speaker 1: In other words, it sounded like the scientists were cherry 336 00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 1: picking the data to get the results they wanted a 337 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 1: hockey stick. Steve chronicled the hearings and his analysis on 338 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 1: his blog Climate Audit, and his readership grew. 339 00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:49,440 Speaker 7: My audience was highly professional, a lot of scientists from 340 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:55,720 Speaker 7: other fields, a lot of people in finance businesses, a 341 00:19:55,800 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 7: lot of computer programmers, business professionals, people who didn't have 342 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:06,200 Speaker 7: the time to the data themselves but were interested in 343 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:07,040 Speaker 7: reading about it. 344 00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,879 Speaker 1: Readers like San Francisco native Steve Mosher, an open source 345 00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:14,119 Speaker 1: software developer. Mosher was aligned with most of what climate 346 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 1: scientists believed, but when he began questioning some of their 347 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:19,280 Speaker 1: work at their blog Real Climate, he got a very 348 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 1: negative response, you know, and. 349 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,720 Speaker 4: It kind of shocked me, you know, so I pushed 350 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:29,040 Speaker 4: back against that. And then at some point they they 351 00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 4: were railing about this guy at Climate Audit, and I thought, 352 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 4: let me, let me go look and see what this 353 00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:39,040 Speaker 4: what this is? So I went over to Climate Audit 354 00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:42,920 Speaker 4: and uh, you know, like he was doing math. 355 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 1: Mosher liked Steve McIntyre's desire for transparency in climate science 356 00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:50,640 Speaker 1: and became a regular commenter on his blog. The online 357 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:54,280 Speaker 1: feud also drew in Charles Roder, another San Francisco native. 358 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:58,439 Speaker 3: I had sort of gotten drawn to the whole climate argument, 359 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 3: and it really started heating up on that entire site, 360 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 3: you know, two thousand and six, two thousand and seven, 361 00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:09,880 Speaker 3: and it became fun, serial drama, like an online community. 362 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,720 Speaker 1: Another reader, Anthony Watts, lived just north of San Francisco. 363 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 1: Anthony was actually a global warming activist back in the 364 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:18,359 Speaker 1: early nineteen nineties. 365 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:22,159 Speaker 9: I came up with this idea of promoting doing a 366 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 9: series of promotions to television meteorometerists around the country to 367 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:30,400 Speaker 9: get their viewers to plant trees offset c of two, 368 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 9: and we planted about a half a million trees because 369 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:33,879 Speaker 9: of that. 370 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,920 Speaker 1: He'd spent years as a research assistant in the meteorology 371 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:40,359 Speaker 1: department at Purdue University. In two thousand and six, he 372 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 1: started a science blog called What's Up with That and 373 00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,879 Speaker 1: began investigating the thermometers that were measuring global warming and 374 00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:50,439 Speaker 1: what he found shocked him. More of Red Pilled America 375 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:51,159 Speaker 1: After the. 376 00:21:51,160 --> 00:22:01,200 Speaker 2: Break, how are you feeling about the current state of 377 00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:04,760 Speaker 2: our country? Time Listeners of Red Pilled America know that 378 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 2: since our inception, we've been warning about the dangers of giving. 379 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:08,439 Speaker 12: Up the culture. 380 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:18,879 Speaker 1: Republicans abandoned storytelling, art, academia, entertainment, music, literature, the institutions 381 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,159 Speaker 1: that define what it means to be American, and by 382 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 1: doing so, they allowed Marxists to pump their poison messages 383 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 1: into the American bloodstream. 384 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 2: But there is a silver lining. Red Pilled America is 385 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:33,920 Speaker 2: the beginning of an antidote because we're pioneering the take 386 00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:37,320 Speaker 2: back of our culture. If we succeed, others will follow 387 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,359 Speaker 2: and will create a symphony of storytellers that restores what 388 00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 2: it means to be American. 389 00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:45,200 Speaker 1: Please consider supporting the show by visiting Redpilled America dot 390 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:48,440 Speaker 1: com and clicking support or shop in the topmenu. It's 391 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,359 Speaker 1: time to tell our side of the story, and with 392 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 1: your help, we will continue to blaze the trail. 393 00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 2: Visit Redpilled America dot com to help us continue the fight. 394 00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,160 Speaker 2: Support what you love or it goes away. 395 00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:09,000 Speaker 1: Welcome back to Red Pilled America. So Anthony Watts began 396 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:12,359 Speaker 1: to investigate how temperature stations were measuring global warming, and 397 00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:13,520 Speaker 1: what he found shocked him. 398 00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 9: It really began to start taking off in two thousand 399 00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 9: and seven, and that's when I started servying weather stations 400 00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:24,520 Speaker 9: around the country and it got quite a bit of attention, 401 00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:28,760 Speaker 9: particularly from a station in Marysville, California, not too far 402 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 9: from me that i'd surveyed, and it was basically a 403 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 9: thermometer right in the middle of a parking lot at 404 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:37,960 Speaker 9: the fire station. It had vehicles parking there. The fire 405 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 9: chief parked his vehicle in the special parking space right 406 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 9: next to the thermometer, where the grill of the fire 407 00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,280 Speaker 9: chief's truck was right up against the thermometer a couple 408 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 9: feet away, and there were the city had rented out 409 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:52,040 Speaker 9: space for a cell phone tower, and there was these 410 00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:54,920 Speaker 9: two equipment sheds blowing hot air from the air conditioning 411 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:57,679 Speaker 9: vents all in this area. 412 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,200 Speaker 1: And this particular thermometer had been showing that Maryville's temperature 413 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 1: had been increasing off the charts and it was. 414 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:07,119 Speaker 9: Just zoom off the scale, and I looked at nearby 415 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:09,960 Speaker 9: stations and the similar trend wasn't there, and it was 416 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,920 Speaker 9: just another light bulb moment for me. It's like, Wow, 417 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:18,159 Speaker 9: this is where climate science is measuring data and they 418 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:21,040 Speaker 9: consider this accurate. And I put that out and I 419 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 9: got picked up by Steve McIntyre Climate audit. 420 00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 1: Anthony and the two other Bay Area natives, Mosher and 421 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:30,359 Speaker 1: Charles became friendly with Steve McIntyre through his climate audit blog. 422 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 1: Mosher remembers how he met the guys for the first time. 423 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:38,600 Speaker 4: At one point, McIntyre mentions that he's going to be 424 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:42,240 Speaker 4: coming to San Francisco and one of the people on 425 00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:46,639 Speaker 4: the site ends up being Charles Roger. His nickname was Geez, 426 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,480 Speaker 4: and he says, Oh, if you're coming to San Francisco, 427 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,440 Speaker 4: Steve McIntyre, why don't we get together for dinner? And 428 00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:56,880 Speaker 4: so I chimed in and I said, like, heck, I'll 429 00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,760 Speaker 4: join you. Because Anthony showed up as well. 430 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 9: We had been talking online and we decided to meet up, 431 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,560 Speaker 9: and so we met at a restaurant in downtown San 432 00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:13,120 Speaker 9: Francisco in two thousand and seven, in December, and that's 433 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 9: where this friendship and partnership was formed out of that. 434 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 1: Little did any of them know how pivotal that dinner 435 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 1: would be. Anthony told the table that his skeptic blog 436 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,520 Speaker 1: Wats Up with That was growing faster than he could handle. 437 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:32,639 Speaker 1: Charles offered his help, and. 438 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,720 Speaker 3: I basically told him that I had tons of experience 439 00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:40,560 Speaker 3: moderating back from my own site days. I also had 440 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:42,640 Speaker 3: lots of time in my hands and worked from home, 441 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,639 Speaker 3: and I would be happy to give him help moderating. 442 00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:49,000 Speaker 1: Anthony took him up on his offer. Charles and Mosher 443 00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:52,120 Speaker 1: hit it off as well and would become roommates. These 444 00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:55,600 Speaker 1: four and the many commenters on their blogs would meticulously 445 00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 1: audit the work of climate scientists. The feud between the 446 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:02,440 Speaker 1: two camps had been reaching epic proportions, even spilling into 447 00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:06,160 Speaker 1: Capitol Hill. But what escalated the conflict further was something 448 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:10,960 Speaker 1: basic in science, verification of results. The climate scientists refused 449 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:13,440 Speaker 1: to allow the skeptics access to their work so that 450 00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:16,159 Speaker 1: they could review it. Steve McIntyre would ask for the 451 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 1: data and computer code used to create the hockey stick graphs, 452 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:22,400 Speaker 1: but at every turn the climate scientists would Stonewaller's requests, 453 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:25,720 Speaker 1: with Michael Mann completely cutting him off. Steve looked to 454 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 1: audit the graphs of a different hockey stick team, the 455 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 1: climate scientist at the University of East Anglia's Climate Research Unit, 456 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:37,840 Speaker 1: known by its acronym CRU. When politics enters science, the 457 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 1: results can only be trusted when qualified people with a 458 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:45,440 Speaker 1: skeptical eye verifies the work. By this time, Steve McIntyre 459 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 1: was a published author on the topic of hockey stick graphs. 460 00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,000 Speaker 1: He'd even become a reviewer on the UN's Mother of 461 00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:55,080 Speaker 1: All Global Warming reports. None of that mattered. CRU rejected 462 00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 1: his requests for data, claiming that they had confidentiality agreements 463 00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 1: with the countries that provided them temperature data, and those 464 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: agreements prohibited them from giving out that information. But Steve 465 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 1: discovered that CRU had given their data to another institution, 466 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:13,560 Speaker 1: which typically nullifies a confidentiality agreement. So Steve told them 467 00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:15,480 Speaker 1: that they should be free to give him the data, 468 00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:18,160 Speaker 1: but CRU figured out another way to reject him. 469 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:23,640 Speaker 7: So they responded that their confidentiality agreements prevented them from 470 00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 7: giving the data to a non academic Why would some 471 00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,480 Speaker 7: agreement twenty five years earlier include a term like that 472 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:37,360 Speaker 7: if that was just a fabrication, And you know, it's 473 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:44,119 Speaker 7: that kind of fabrication by the climate community that really 474 00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:47,639 Speaker 7: undercuts a lot of their claims and other topics, because 475 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:52,479 Speaker 7: that's something that easily checked people understand. And so if 476 00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:54,639 Speaker 7: they're lying about something like that, what else are they 477 00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:55,240 Speaker 7: lying about? 478 00:27:55,560 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 1: So Steve got an idea. Both the UK and the 479 00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:05,320 Speaker 1: United States active Freedom of Information Acts, known by their 480 00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:10,000 Speaker 1: acronyms as FIS or foyers. These laws provide access to 481 00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 1: information that was created using tax dollars. Steve decided to 482 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:19,360 Speaker 1: use these laws to get what he wanted. He submitted 483 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:23,880 Speaker 1: FOI requests to climate researchers asking for the confidentiality agreements 484 00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:27,480 Speaker 1: they claimed to have with five different countries. Then he 485 00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:29,200 Speaker 1: turned to his blog audience. 486 00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:32,359 Speaker 7: And then I posted up my letter and asked readers 487 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:37,520 Speaker 7: to send in FOI requests for other countries. I viewed 488 00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 7: it more as sort of a letter writing campaign that 489 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 7: it was just me asking for it. They would just say, oh, 490 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 7: well that's McIntyre, he's crazy. Whereas if you know, they 491 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 7: got fifty letters that they would then sort of have 492 00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 7: to They would then have to reconsider what they were 493 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 7: doing and maybe they'd give it out after all. I 494 00:28:59,920 --> 00:29:04,200 Speaker 7: probably underestimated their stubbornness on this. 495 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 1: Cru rejected his requests again. But all these attempts at 496 00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,440 Speaker 1: trying to get the data sent Steve McIntyre's climate audit 497 00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:15,719 Speaker 1: readers on a hunting expedition. You see, Steve had been 498 00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:19,000 Speaker 1: taking these readers on a journey, slowly teaching his audience 499 00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 1: all along the way about the uncertainties and climate science 500 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:26,040 Speaker 1: journaling the specific data he was being refused. Their stonewalling 501 00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,240 Speaker 1: riled up his audience. Getting the data became a game 502 00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:32,440 Speaker 1: of capture the flag. At the time of the rejection, 503 00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:36,000 Speaker 1: many readers began to learn that CRU had an online 504 00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 1: data storage location, an FTP site, and they began rummaging 505 00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:41,680 Speaker 1: through them to see if they could find the data 506 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:43,680 Speaker 1: that they were refusing to give Steve. 507 00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 7: And I remember a couple of them saying that they 508 00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 7: fell into areas of that They fell into areas of 509 00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 7: the CRU website that were unexpected. 510 00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 1: Steve's readers were actually finding themselves in private areas on 511 00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 1: the climate Researcher's website. The data it appeared vulnerable, the 512 00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:08,200 Speaker 1: vulnerability that would change the course of the world's economy. 513 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,800 Speaker 9: Sometimes you're so busy defending the front door, if I 514 00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:12,840 Speaker 9: get the back doors open. 515 00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:16,440 Speaker 1: At about five pm on November seventeenth, two thousand and nine, 516 00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:18,960 Speaker 1: Mosher was heading home from a coffee shop when he 517 00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:19,440 Speaker 1: got a call. 518 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:23,960 Speaker 4: Charles and I lived South americt On on Fourth Street, 519 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:26,920 Speaker 4: and I was over in the Marina on the other 520 00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 4: side of San Francisco. I was there having coffee with friends. 521 00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 4: I'm headed home and I got into a cab to 522 00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:40,480 Speaker 4: go back to Soma and Charles calls me and he says, like. 523 00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:41,000 Speaker 7: Where are you? 524 00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:44,360 Speaker 4: And I said, well, I'm you know, I'm over in 525 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,080 Speaker 4: the marina. I'm headed. I'm headed back to the apartment. 526 00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:50,520 Speaker 4: What's up? And he says, well, you got. 527 00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:50,960 Speaker 7: To get here. 528 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:54,040 Speaker 1: Since meeting at dinner in San Francisco two years earlier, 529 00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:57,640 Speaker 1: Charles had become the primary comment moderator at Anthony Watt's 530 00:30:57,680 --> 00:30:59,120 Speaker 1: Skeptic blog What's up with that? 531 00:30:59,640 --> 00:30:59,800 Speaker 7: You know? 532 00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:01,760 Speaker 3: And I was keeping a lot of hours, so I 533 00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,120 Speaker 3: might sleep for three hours, not sleep for three hours, 534 00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,680 Speaker 3: but I was constantly online, approving comments, making flip and comments. 535 00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:10,560 Speaker 1: That afternoon, he came across a comment on the site 536 00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 1: that stood out. A commenter named Foya posted a link 537 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:17,000 Speaker 1: to a Russian server with text that appeared to be 538 00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 1: snippets of emails. At the time, Anthony Watches out of 539 00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:21,080 Speaker 1: the country. 540 00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:24,200 Speaker 9: I had been art in Belgium at the time. I 541 00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 9: was at the headquarters for the European Union and I 542 00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,000 Speaker 9: were there to give a presentation along with some other 543 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:31,680 Speaker 9: climate skeptics, so Charles. 544 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 1: Was manning the site on his own. The comment looked weird, 545 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:36,400 Speaker 1: so he blocked it from going public and went to 546 00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:42,600 Speaker 1: the Russian link to see what it was. It was 547 00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:45,040 Speaker 1: a ZIP file of what appeared to be documents and 548 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:49,240 Speaker 1: emails from CRU, the Climate Research Unit. When he reviewed 549 00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:53,240 Speaker 1: the contents, his first thought was, holy was. 550 00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:55,440 Speaker 3: What was going through my mind? It was a real 551 00:31:55,520 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 3: treasure trove of showing what was essentially just activist science 552 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 3: operator not you know, not objective, not reasonable. You know, 553 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,040 Speaker 3: I'm not going to call it completely fraudulent or hoax, 554 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 3: but it was extremely It was like activist scientists as 555 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:17,040 Speaker 3: we're now experienced with activist journalism. Yes people are still 556 00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 3: telling facts, but they're doing it from such a skewed 557 00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:23,160 Speaker 3: perspective that you might as well call it lies. 558 00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:25,040 Speaker 7: There was the cause. 559 00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:27,880 Speaker 3: They were actually saying that some of this. You know, 560 00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,200 Speaker 3: if this guy says this, it's not going to be 561 00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:34,440 Speaker 3: helpful to the cause. That's not scientific inquiry. 562 00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 1: This was a highly sensitive situation. The files were likely 563 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:41,960 Speaker 1: either leaked by an insider or stolen, or perhaps something 564 00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:46,240 Speaker 1: even more problematic. Charles contacted Anthony to get some direction. 565 00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:49,720 Speaker 9: And this came in an email to me from Charles Rodder, 566 00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,320 Speaker 9: you need to look at this, And he told me 567 00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:54,720 Speaker 9: in the email what was going on, and I got 568 00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:57,360 Speaker 9: on the phone with him. And this was a couple 569 00:32:57,440 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 9: hours before I was supposed to go into the EU, 570 00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:02,640 Speaker 9: and I had been forewarned about security and I'm going 571 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:08,200 Speaker 9: to be and all this stuff, and so in seeing 572 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 9: what Charles had and then actually downloading it and looking 573 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 9: at it briefly myself, and then looking at the timing 574 00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:19,120 Speaker 9: of it all, I'm thinking to myself, why now, why 575 00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 9: right before I'm supposed to go into the EU and 576 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:24,880 Speaker 9: go through security. And so my concern was is that 577 00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:26,400 Speaker 9: somehow I was being set up. 578 00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 3: I didn't know, and we were very worried that this 579 00:33:29,520 --> 00:33:32,360 Speaker 3: was a setup because Anthony at this point was getting 580 00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 3: a lot of notoriety, and who knows what kind of 581 00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:40,120 Speaker 3: data theft and libel laws and things existed in Europe 582 00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,640 Speaker 3: that they could nail Anthony on if he was found 583 00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:43,200 Speaker 3: with this thing. 584 00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 9: All of a sudden, I had in my position on 585 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:49,440 Speaker 9: my laptop over there in Belgium these very sensitive files 586 00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:52,320 Speaker 9: and I was going to go into this big security 587 00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 9: test here in a couple hours, and so my thought 588 00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:58,440 Speaker 9: was I need to divest myself in this file, and 589 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:05,680 Speaker 9: I purchased a professional file eracer and I told Charles 590 00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:08,520 Speaker 9: that under no circumstances are you to release this on 591 00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:11,160 Speaker 9: the blog or anything, because I need to get back 592 00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:13,040 Speaker 9: into the United States and I don't want to be 593 00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:15,960 Speaker 9: listed as someone who's been involved in some kind of 594 00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:20,240 Speaker 9: industrial lespianade or anything like that. And so he agreed 595 00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:20,400 Speaker 9: to that. 596 00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,520 Speaker 1: Charles had strict direction not to publish the files, but 597 00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:25,800 Speaker 1: was given the okay to talk about them with two people, 598 00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,520 Speaker 1: the other two from their San Francisco dinner two years earlier, 599 00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,080 Speaker 1: Mosher and Steve McIntyre, And. 600 00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:35,000 Speaker 3: So I also called my roommate Stephen Moser. 601 00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:37,759 Speaker 1: Mosher was fully versed in the raging feud between the 602 00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:41,000 Speaker 1: skeptics and climate scientists over the access to data encode, 603 00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:43,680 Speaker 1: and he was the only person that could authenticate the 604 00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,600 Speaker 1: contents without Charles losing control of the files. 605 00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,120 Speaker 4: And so what he told me is he got this 606 00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 4: link in this comment, and so he told me he 607 00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 4: downloaded the contents, and so Charles Saint Anthony wanted me 608 00:34:58,239 --> 00:35:00,680 Speaker 4: to look at it, but he was concerned that someone 609 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:04,960 Speaker 4: had put it on his site to trap him essentially, 610 00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:06,080 Speaker 4: and that was fake. 611 00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:09,160 Speaker 1: When Mosher walked in the door, Charles was waiting for 612 00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:11,080 Speaker 1: him and made him a CD of the files. 613 00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:13,840 Speaker 3: By that point, I'd already done all the virus scans 614 00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 3: and trojan scans and made sure it was clean. 615 00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:19,080 Speaker 4: So I took the CD and I put it on 616 00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:22,280 Speaker 4: my UH. At that point, I had an Apple computer 617 00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:26,320 Speaker 4: I had, and I sat on the couch and I 618 00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:31,960 Speaker 4: started reading. And I didn't stop reading, and I didn't 619 00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:37,080 Speaker 4: I didn't move, and I didn't eat, and I just 620 00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:37,840 Speaker 4: read everything. 621 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:41,520 Speaker 1: What was in the leaked documents was shocking climate scientists 622 00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:44,960 Speaker 1: massaging data and appearing to pressure colleagues to change their 623 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:48,560 Speaker 1: results so they wouldn't give ammunition to skeptics, climate scientists 624 00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:52,439 Speaker 1: appearing to collude to delete emails withhold data and limit 625 00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:55,480 Speaker 1: the scientific review of their work, and studying admissions of 626 00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:59,080 Speaker 1: doubt and uncertainty in their methods. As Joe Biden would say, 627 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:08,160 Speaker 1: this was a big fun deal. Mosher, Charles, and Anthony 628 00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:10,520 Speaker 1: all thought that they were the only people that had 629 00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:12,279 Speaker 1: the file, so they felt they had some time to 630 00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:15,080 Speaker 1: think about what to do next. And anyways, they couldn't 631 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,239 Speaker 1: do anything with the files until Anthony was back on 632 00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:20,279 Speaker 1: American soil. So their first mission was to figure out 633 00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:23,000 Speaker 1: if the files were authentic. As they come through the 634 00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,960 Speaker 1: documents in those first few hours, they noticed climate scientists 635 00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:28,680 Speaker 1: had forwarded emails from Steve McIntyre. So they got on 636 00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:29,560 Speaker 1: the phone with Steve. 637 00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:33,920 Speaker 7: Mosher calls me because he sees some emails from me, 638 00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:38,320 Speaker 7: and and nobody knows that the first at the beginning, 639 00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:41,160 Speaker 7: whether it's real or not. And so he said, you 640 00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:44,800 Speaker 7: called me, you know, are those sure your emails? And 641 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:49,280 Speaker 7: I confirmed their authenticity. 642 00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:52,680 Speaker 1: Now they knew that some of the emails were definitely real, 643 00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:56,480 Speaker 1: but they weren't sure that they were all real. Mosher 644 00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:58,839 Speaker 1: went non stop reading the emails for the next day, 645 00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:01,920 Speaker 1: spending hours on the phone with Steve McIntyre trying to 646 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,600 Speaker 1: confirm their authenticity. Then they got a break. A professor 647 00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:08,920 Speaker 1: at the University of East Anglia emailed Steve McIntyre asking 648 00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:11,200 Speaker 1: if he knew anything about a hack of their climate 649 00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:12,000 Speaker 1: research unit. 650 00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:14,080 Speaker 7: So, you know, I said, there's some big lockdown at 651 00:37:14,120 --> 00:37:15,040 Speaker 7: the university. 652 00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,960 Speaker 1: This was the sign they needed The files were real, 653 00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,480 Speaker 1: but they couldn't go public yet. Anthony Watts was still 654 00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:24,480 Speaker 1: not on American soil. Mosher was chomping at the bit 655 00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,200 Speaker 1: to go live. Charles had to hold the line. 656 00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:30,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, I was just calmly making coffee in the kitchen 657 00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:32,759 Speaker 3: and just telling him that if this is important as 658 00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:34,960 Speaker 3: we think it is, two or three days is not. 659 00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:35,560 Speaker 7: Going to matter. 660 00:37:35,880 --> 00:37:38,320 Speaker 1: With Anthony now in a flight pattern heading for Dulles 661 00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:41,920 Speaker 1: International Airport in Virginia, Mosher had been reading the emails 662 00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:44,680 Speaker 1: for almost two days straight. That's when they got an 663 00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:47,440 Speaker 1: idea to search the Internet to see if the hacker 664 00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:49,319 Speaker 1: posted the Russian link anywhere else. 665 00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:53,120 Speaker 4: And at that point I think Charles started looking and 666 00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 4: he found the same link, like when you search for 667 00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:58,920 Speaker 4: that link, like he found out a. 668 00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:02,879 Speaker 1: Jeff's Jeff Condon, an aeronautical engineer, had started a Looke 669 00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:05,040 Speaker 1: warmer site called the air Vent a little over a 670 00:38:05,160 --> 00:38:08,000 Speaker 1: year earlier. He began the blog to translate some of 671 00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:12,640 Speaker 1: Steve McIntyre's climate analysis for a non technical audience. Jeff, 672 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,880 Speaker 1: like the rest of the Lukewarmers, believed that transparency in 673 00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:16,960 Speaker 1: climate science was key. 674 00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:21,399 Speaker 10: The whole purpose of our climate blogs was to put 675 00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:24,320 Speaker 10: everything in the open where people can see the information, 676 00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,960 Speaker 10: and there was some efforts on the science community not 677 00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:30,000 Speaker 10: to allow access. 678 00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:33,520 Speaker 1: This belief made his website a trigger for the bombshell. 679 00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,000 Speaker 1: The hacker came to be known as mister Foya. The 680 00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:40,879 Speaker 1: first time we could see him infiltrate CRU's data server 681 00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:44,000 Speaker 1: was on September sixteenth, two thousand and nine, just a 682 00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:47,280 Speaker 1: few weeks after the Climate Research Unit denied Steve McIntyre's 683 00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:52,600 Speaker 1: request for their confidentiality agreements. Mister Foya infiltrated CRU's servers 684 00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:55,480 Speaker 1: again on September twenty eighth, then September twenty ninth, and 685 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:58,760 Speaker 1: September thirtieth. He was grabbing documents related to the hockey 686 00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:02,759 Speaker 1: stick graph. Mister Foya infiltrated again on October first, then 687 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:06,000 Speaker 1: again on October second. In October third, he appeared to 688 00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:07,319 Speaker 1: be looking for something. 689 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,560 Speaker 7: But what wonder what it was? It was an interesting one. 690 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:11,480 Speaker 6: Who was it? 691 00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:16,640 Speaker 7: It was the data that had been the topic of 692 00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:19,920 Speaker 7: the fight about years before that man had refused to 693 00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:20,520 Speaker 7: provide me. 694 00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:24,200 Speaker 1: The infiltrator founded on November sixteenth, it would be a 695 00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:27,080 Speaker 1: matter of hours before the files hit the web. The 696 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:30,440 Speaker 1: next day, mister Foya gained access to the climate scientists 697 00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:34,480 Speaker 1: blog Real Climate, locked out all other users and uploaded 698 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:37,879 Speaker 1: the stolen CRIU files to their site. Mister Foya then 699 00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:40,640 Speaker 1: went to Steve McIntyre's blog and posted a comment with 700 00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:43,600 Speaker 1: a link to the file he'd just uploaded and included 701 00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:47,600 Speaker 1: the text quote A miracle just happened. This guy was 702 00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:51,800 Speaker 1: a prankster with balls. The administrator of Real Climate quickly 703 00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,520 Speaker 1: regained access to the blog and deleted the file from 704 00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:58,160 Speaker 1: public view. With the link to the stolen files now gone, 705 00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:01,080 Speaker 1: mister Foya went another route to leak the files. He 706 00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:04,040 Speaker 1: uploaded the files to a Russian serve, then posted a 707 00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:06,520 Speaker 1: link to the files on both Anthony watts blog What's 708 00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:09,440 Speaker 1: Up with That and Jeff Condon's The air Vent. As 709 00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:11,960 Speaker 1: we already know, the comment on What's Up with That 710 00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:15,480 Speaker 1: was held in moderation. Jeff Condon, however, had a different 711 00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:16,640 Speaker 1: philosophy for his site. 712 00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:19,960 Speaker 10: Okay, so in the spirit of openness, I mean the 713 00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:23,680 Speaker 10: air Vent was the site where I literally didn't do 714 00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:27,200 Speaker 10: any moderation. I would let any comment go on the site, 715 00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:29,840 Speaker 10: and so if somebody dropped a comment on there, it 716 00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:31,760 Speaker 10: was immediately visible to any reader. 717 00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:34,400 Speaker 1: At the time that mister Foyer posted a link to 718 00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:37,520 Speaker 1: the stolen files on his website, Jeff was practically as 719 00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:39,960 Speaker 1: far away from the heat of the climate debate as. 720 00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:41,480 Speaker 7: You can be yeah out. 721 00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:44,560 Speaker 10: I was out in the deep woods hunting deer up 722 00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:47,680 Speaker 10: north in Michigan, where there was actually no phone service, 723 00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:49,920 Speaker 10: no cell phone service, no Internet. 724 00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:52,560 Speaker 1: The link to the stolen files sat in his comment 725 00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,200 Speaker 1: section for two days while Jeff was in the middle 726 00:40:55,200 --> 00:40:57,800 Speaker 1: of nowhere. So when Charles told Moscher he found a 727 00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,480 Speaker 1: link to the files on Jeff's site, the game changed 728 00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:02,880 Speaker 1: for Mosher. He reached out to Anthony Watts, who is 729 00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:04,640 Speaker 1: now in line at US Customs. 730 00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:07,359 Speaker 4: But at this point then I then I said, Hey, 731 00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 4: the cat's out of the bag. So I went to 732 00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,000 Speaker 4: Anthony and I said like, hey, I you know, like 733 00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:15,360 Speaker 4: I promised you that I would not post them anywhere 734 00:41:15,800 --> 00:41:19,560 Speaker 4: or send them to anyone, show them to anyone. But 735 00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:23,840 Speaker 4: now that we know that your place is not the 736 00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:26,799 Speaker 4: only place, you know, like our agreements off. 737 00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:29,560 Speaker 1: Most of you began posting excerpts of the emails at 738 00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:32,680 Speaker 1: a small skeptic site, and the Lukewarmer community started buzzing. 739 00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:35,759 Speaker 1: The biggest story in global warming history was about to break. 740 00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:39,920 Speaker 9: I'm in line to go through customs and I'm getting 741 00:41:39,960 --> 00:41:45,800 Speaker 9: text messages from Charles and Steven Mosher and from Steve McIntyre, 742 00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:50,520 Speaker 9: and they're starting to talk about this, and I remember 743 00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:53,080 Speaker 9: saying back to McIntyre, the whole thing's got to be 744 00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:55,040 Speaker 9: a hoax. And that was just sort of a preemptive, 745 00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:58,960 Speaker 9: you know, in case somebody grabbed my phone. I was 746 00:41:59,120 --> 00:42:02,399 Speaker 9: it didn't look complicit, you know, And so I got 747 00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:04,480 Speaker 9: through custom. And once I got through Custom, then I'm 748 00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:07,120 Speaker 9: back on us soil. The first thing I did was 749 00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:09,720 Speaker 9: find Wi Fi, sat down, and I wrote the story. 750 00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:13,839 Speaker 9: And I wrote the story sitting on the floor at 751 00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:18,239 Speaker 9: Dallas Airport, waiting for my gate flight to depart. I 752 00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:21,399 Speaker 9: heard them saying last call for boarding, and I hit 753 00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:25,160 Speaker 9: send and published, and I'm running for the door. I 754 00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:28,440 Speaker 9: got on the plane and then I had a four 755 00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:33,880 Speaker 9: five hour flight back to Sacramento, California. And that was 756 00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,320 Speaker 9: a time when there was no Wi Fi and airplane, 757 00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:39,800 Speaker 9: and so it was kind of a what have I 758 00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:42,040 Speaker 9: done kind of a moment. 759 00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:46,400 Speaker 1: With the biggest skeptic blog in the world now covering 760 00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:49,319 Speaker 1: the story, it went viral. A reader on What's Up 761 00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:52,560 Speaker 1: with That dubbed the scandal climategate. The name stuck. It 762 00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:55,120 Speaker 1: was a bombshell climate gate. 763 00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:57,040 Speaker 5: They're calling it a new scandal. 764 00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:59,400 Speaker 8: Over global warming, and it's burning up the internet. 765 00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:02,240 Speaker 6: Have the books been cooked on climate. 766 00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,120 Speaker 3: Change hot topic? 767 00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:08,240 Speaker 6: Did scientists skew their research to support theories about global warming? 768 00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:12,040 Speaker 4: Because this is a world wide hoax and its primary 769 00:43:12,120 --> 00:43:15,160 Speaker 4: target was you, the people of the United States of America. 770 00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:19,560 Speaker 7: Now we find out that this institute in fact was 771 00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:22,440 Speaker 7: hiding from the people of Great Britain in the world that, 772 00:43:22,600 --> 00:43:24,359 Speaker 7: in fact, climate change is a hoax. 773 00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:26,040 Speaker 6: Something I've been saying for a long time. 774 00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:29,320 Speaker 8: Those who doubt that man made greenhouse gases are changing 775 00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:32,879 Speaker 8: the climate say These emails from Britain's University of East 776 00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:37,920 Speaker 8: Anglia show climate scientists massaging data and suppressing studies by 777 00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:38,920 Speaker 8: those who disagree. 778 00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:42,040 Speaker 5: One of the most damning email exchanges credits man with 779 00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:45,320 Speaker 5: a trick to hide the decline in temperatures. In another, 780 00:43:45,400 --> 00:43:48,239 Speaker 5: the head of the National Center for Atmospheric Research rights 781 00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,840 Speaker 5: a colleague. The fact is we can't account for the 782 00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,080 Speaker 5: lack of warming at the moment, and it is a 783 00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:54,319 Speaker 5: travesty that we can't. 784 00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:57,479 Speaker 1: A scandal even reached into pop culture, hitting the news 785 00:43:57,560 --> 00:43:58,720 Speaker 1: desk of John Stewart. 786 00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:02,239 Speaker 5: I've just completed Mike's nature trick of adding in the 787 00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:05,120 Speaker 5: real tempts to each series for the last twenty years 788 00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:08,879 Speaker 5: ie from nineteen eighty one onwards and from nineteen sixty one. 789 00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:13,400 Speaker 8: For Keith's to hide the decline, I say it's nothing. 790 00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:18,400 Speaker 1: He was just using a trick to hide the decline. 791 00:44:19,640 --> 00:44:23,640 Speaker 7: It's just scientists speak for using a standard statistical technique 792 00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:25,480 Speaker 7: recalibrating data in order to. 793 00:44:27,520 --> 00:44:27,920 Speaker 9: Trick you. 794 00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,080 Speaker 4: Into not knowing about the decline. 795 00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:36,000 Speaker 1: The leaked documents didn't debunk human caused global warming, but 796 00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:40,400 Speaker 1: climategate did uncover serious issues with climate science. It's bias, 797 00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:43,600 Speaker 1: its attempt to avoid scrutiny, its refusal to show its 798 00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:46,640 Speaker 1: work to skeptics, its odd massaging of data, and the 799 00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:49,480 Speaker 1: uncertainties of the hockey stick graph. This could all be 800 00:44:49,600 --> 00:44:56,120 Speaker 1: seen in the emails. Mister Foyer, the leaker of the files, 801 00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:59,919 Speaker 1: was never caught. UK law enforcement closed its case after 802 00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:03,719 Speaker 1: two and a half years with no suspects. Apparently mister 803 00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:08,600 Speaker 1: Foyer wiped his trace clean. For a brief moment, it 804 00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:12,719 Speaker 1: appeared change was coming global warming. Media chastised the scientists 805 00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,440 Speaker 1: involved in the scandal and called for a new transparency 806 00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:18,800 Speaker 1: in their work. A few climate scientists even became skeptics 807 00:45:19,000 --> 00:45:20,480 Speaker 1: including doctor Judith Curry. 808 00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,759 Speaker 12: I thank the Chairman the ranking members for the opportunity 809 00:45:23,880 --> 00:45:27,879 Speaker 12: to offer testimony today. Prior to two thousand and nine, 810 00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:32,280 Speaker 12: I felt that supporting the IPCC consensus on climate change 811 00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:36,160 Speaker 12: was a responsible thing to do. I bought into the argument, 812 00:45:36,440 --> 00:45:40,160 Speaker 12: don't trust what one scientist says, trust what an international 813 00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:43,440 Speaker 12: team of a thousand scientists has said. After years of 814 00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:47,440 Speaker 12: careful deliberation, that all changed for me in November two 815 00:45:47,480 --> 00:45:51,480 Speaker 12: thousand and nine, following the leak Climategate emails that illustrated 816 00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:55,240 Speaker 12: the sausage making and even bullying that went into building 817 00:45:55,320 --> 00:45:56,080 Speaker 12: the consensus. 818 00:45:56,520 --> 00:45:58,359 Speaker 1: But the calls for reform didn't last. 819 00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:02,560 Speaker 3: The establishment managed to put up all its defenses beIN 820 00:46:02,680 --> 00:46:04,680 Speaker 3: slow the establishment crushed it. 821 00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:10,479 Speaker 1: And several investigations concluded largely exonerating the climate scientists. After 822 00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:13,120 Speaker 1: all was done, they proceeded to go right back to 823 00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:15,560 Speaker 1: the practices that led to the leak in the first place. 824 00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:20,880 Speaker 7: The climate scientists community has become angrier as a result 825 00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:27,680 Speaker 7: of it. Afterwards, they doubled down in becoming even more insular. 826 00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:33,040 Speaker 7: Their reaction was not to blame themselves for their language, 827 00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:37,239 Speaker 7: but they blamed that. They blamed skeptics for sort of 828 00:46:37,320 --> 00:46:40,000 Speaker 7: putting pressure on them, which caused them to write that 829 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:42,960 Speaker 7: I mean, I thought that the people ought to have 830 00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:47,880 Speaker 7: disowned the practice of deleting data to hide its applied 831 00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:54,120 Speaker 7: but they didn't do that. They blamed skeptics for asking questions. 832 00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:58,320 Speaker 1: Climate scientists returned to calling skeptics science deniers, a label 833 00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:01,959 Speaker 1: meant to marginalize lukewarmers like Anthony Watts, because the truth 834 00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:04,000 Speaker 1: of their position is harder to combat. 835 00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:07,440 Speaker 9: I believe that carbon dioxide does have an effect on 836 00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:11,280 Speaker 9: the temperature of the Earth. The only real scientific question 837 00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:14,840 Speaker 9: is how much? And that question has been in flux 838 00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:19,520 Speaker 9: and unanswered for over thirty years. It hasn't been nailed down. 839 00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:23,040 Speaker 9: How much temperature increase do we get for a doubling 840 00:47:23,160 --> 00:47:26,760 Speaker 9: of CO two in Earth's atmosphere, and the estimate range 841 00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:30,520 Speaker 9: in science anywhere from a half degree up to eight degrees. 842 00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:35,840 Speaker 9: There's no actual number where everyone can say this is it, 843 00:47:36,040 --> 00:47:38,560 Speaker 9: this is the right number. They've not nailed that down 844 00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:41,800 Speaker 9: in thirty some years of climate science and something that 845 00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:45,200 Speaker 9: that uncertain. How do you plan for the future, how 846 00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:48,120 Speaker 9: do you say we're in a crisis or not? And 847 00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:50,760 Speaker 9: that is the big question, And so yes, I believe 848 00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:54,239 Speaker 9: carbon dioxide has some effect. How much is still a. 849 00:47:54,320 --> 00:48:03,360 Speaker 1: Question, which brings us back to the question why do 850 00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:08,759 Speaker 1: so many people think global warming is a hoax? The 851 00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:10,359 Speaker 1: answer is Climategate. 852 00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:13,359 Speaker 6: They probably see the email that was sent a couple 853 00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:15,440 Speaker 6: of months ago by one of the leaders of global 854 00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:18,640 Speaker 6: warming the initiative, and you know, almost saying, I guess 855 00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:19,759 Speaker 6: they're saying it's a con. 856 00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:23,400 Speaker 1: The hockey stick was considered to be gospel, even with 857 00:48:23,520 --> 00:48:26,840 Speaker 1: its scientific uncertainties. It was then used as a weapon 858 00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:29,720 Speaker 1: to try and punish the US while leaving the biggest 859 00:48:29,760 --> 00:48:33,640 Speaker 1: polluters unscathed. To some that might look a lot like 860 00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:36,360 Speaker 1: a hoax. And it was all stopped by a tiny 861 00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:40,200 Speaker 1: collective of bloggers. What this small group of skeptics did 862 00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:44,640 Speaker 1: was absolutely incredible. The global warming establishment's resistance to their 863 00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:48,600 Speaker 1: constant auditing forced the release of the Climategate files. The 864 00:48:48,719 --> 00:48:52,200 Speaker 1: message that those files delivered eventually planted a seed in 865 00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:55,399 Speaker 1: the mind of citizen Trump that ultimately blossomed into him 866 00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:59,800 Speaker 1: withdrawing from the Paris Accord once elected. That decision altered 867 00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:02,319 Speaker 1: the course of the world's economy, and it could all 868 00:49:02,440 --> 00:49:05,640 Speaker 1: be tracked back to a few lukewarmers. That's how big 869 00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:07,960 Speaker 1: climate Gate was. But you don't have to take my 870 00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:10,920 Speaker 1: word for it. Believe Trump's own words. Just a few 871 00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:12,759 Speaker 1: months after climategate. 872 00:49:12,280 --> 00:49:16,360 Speaker 6: Broke, I think that the memorandum or whatever it was 873 00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:19,160 Speaker 6: that they found a few months ago was devastating by 874 00:49:19,239 --> 00:49:22,040 Speaker 6: the leaders of the movement of global warming. I think 875 00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:25,239 Speaker 6: that was devastating because that basically said, you people are 876 00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:27,920 Speaker 6: a bunch of jerks to follow us, and which is kidding. 877 00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:32,520 Speaker 2: Red Pilled America is an iHeartRadio original podcast. It's produced 878 00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:36,719 Speaker 2: by me Adrianna Quortez and Patrick Carrelchi for Informed Ventures. Now, 879 00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:39,560 Speaker 2: our entire archive of episodes is only available to our 880 00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:44,080 Speaker 2: backstage subscribers. To subscribe, visit Redpilled America dot com and 881 00:49:44,160 --> 00:49:46,840 Speaker 2: click support in the topmenu. Thanks for listening.