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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris

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Speaker 1: here with Bo mcbrair. Bo. In the first three PGA

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Speaker 1: Tour events of twenty twenty six, we have gotten a

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Speaker 1: two shot win that really wasn't as close as the

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Speaker 1: march in victory would suggest, a four shot win, and

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Speaker 1: a seven shot win. Will we at some point get

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Speaker 1: a tournament with some final round drama?

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Speaker 2: Probably soon. I don't know if it'll be this week,

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Speaker 2: but yeah, yeah, I hope it's this week. I don't

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Speaker 2: much like the anti climactic Sunday finishes that you already

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Speaker 2: kind of know what's going to happen.

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Speaker 1: Well, we might not be able to guarantee final round

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Speaker 1: drama at this week's WM Phoenix Open, but we can

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Speaker 1: guarantee plenty of sunshine and a disproportionate number of ineberated patrons.

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Speaker 1: And we will get to our betting preview of the

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Speaker 1: Phoenix Open in just a moment, but let's start with

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Speaker 1: a very quick recap of the Farmer's Insurance Open at

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Speaker 1: Torrey Pines. Justin Rose wins in a flat out runaway

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Speaker 1: fishes twenty three under par in a tournament that had

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Speaker 1: ideal scoring conditions, but the definition of ideal was much

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Speaker 1: different for the forty five year old Englishman than it

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Speaker 1: was for anyone else in the field. Rose opened with

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Speaker 1: a ten under par sixty two on the Tory Pines

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Speaker 1: North Course, followed it up with a Friday round of

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Speaker 1: sixty five on the much tougher South Course, then a

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Speaker 1: waltz home with rounds of sixty eight and seventy on

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Speaker 1: the weekend. Rose finished seven shots better than Sewu Kim,

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Speaker 1: who's at a nice little start to the season, Pearson

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Speaker 1: Cooty and Rio Husatsina. They were all sixteen under par.

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Speaker 1: Jake Knapp and Steven Jeger tied for fifth at fifteen

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Speaker 1: under par. Not a great week for OSPO. We weren't

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Speaker 1: in on Justin Rose. I would have had a profitable

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Speaker 1: week at Tony Fino been able to finish top ten.

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Speaker 1: I was getting ten to one odds on a top

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Speaker 1: ten finish, but he just missed, finishing in a tie

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Speaker 1: for eleventh. Your thoughts on the Farmers Insurance Open.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Fina, I thought was going to be a good

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Speaker 2: one for you at ten to one payout on the

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Speaker 2: top ten by one shot. He was tied with my

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Speaker 2: two guys Ryan Gerard and altong Lee for a top

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Speaker 2: ten finish, which would have been nice, but they all

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Speaker 2: three of them tied for eleventh and left us out

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Speaker 2: in the cold and no money in our pockets this week.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, we're chomping at the bit to get going

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Speaker 2: with the next tournament in Phoenix. But yeah, it's kind

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Speaker 2: of It was a kind of a rough go for

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Speaker 2: anybody who didn't bet on Justin Rose because it was

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Speaker 2: wire to wire and that sixty five on Friday on

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Speaker 2: the South course was incredibly impressive. Like the sixty two

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Speaker 2: on the North course awesome, very close to the course

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Speaker 2: record there, even on the easier North course. But the

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Speaker 2: South course sixty five on Friday, that's bonkers. That's domination.

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Speaker 2: Justin Rose not only a great golfer, great person. You

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Speaker 2: love to see him win. I would have loved to

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Speaker 2: see him win if we were talking about them all week.

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Speaker 2: But I mean, golf clap, good job, Justin Rose. I'm

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Speaker 2: a fan. I'm not as much of a fan Whin.

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Speaker 2: I didn't have any money on you. Lesson learned.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, thirteen under par for three rounds at the Tory

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Speaker 1: Pines South Course. It's pretty impressive. Now, the PGA Tour

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Speaker 1: briefly leaves California for the Arizona Desert. The WM Phoenix

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Speaker 1: Open is a welcome diversion during super Bowl Week and

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Speaker 1: we will have a strong field for this event. The

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Speaker 1: host course, TPC Scottsdale, par seventy one, covering seven two

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixty one yards. It's a good mix of

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Speaker 1: longer and shorter holes. The three par fives are all

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Speaker 1: reachable and two par five scoring is going to be

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Speaker 1: critical this week, but TPC Scottsdale really doesn't heavily favor

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Speaker 1: certain types of players. We've seen big hitters win the

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Speaker 1: Phoenix Open. We've seen bunters win the Phoenix Open. Ball

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Speaker 1: striking is important, but it isn't everything because it's a

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Speaker 1: desert course. TBC Scottsdale tends to play pretty firm and fast,

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Speaker 1: so it's important to have good touch around the greens.

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Speaker 1: It also helps to get how with the putter on

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Speaker 1: these poa Trevalis greens. Now, this is a good week

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Speaker 1: to pay attention to course history since there are some

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Speaker 1: players who consistently farewell at TPC Scottsdale, and we talked

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Speaker 1: about this last year. Bo The ability to play under

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Speaker 1: pressure is no small thing at the WM Phoenix Open.

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Speaker 1: Even though it isn't a major, even a signature events,

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Speaker 1: this tournament draws huge galleries, often around two hundred thousand

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Speaker 1: fans a day. Let's be honest, alcohol flows freely at

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Speaker 1: this event. It's half golf tournament, half party. These are loud,

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Speaker 1: boisterous galleries, and the sixteenth hole is as pressure packed

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Speaker 1: as it gets. It's only one hundred and sixty three

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Speaker 1: yards long, but you basically play the hole in a

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Speaker 1: colisseum with nearly twenty thousand people watching you. Crowded sixteen

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Speaker 1: goes crazy for good shots and it will boo bad shots.

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Speaker 1: Now the sixteenth hole part of a really nice finishing

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Speaker 1: stretch at TPC Scottsdale. It's got the fifteenth hole, a

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Speaker 1: risk forward par five with water down the left side

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Speaker 1: and surrounding the green, then the pressure packed sixteenth. Then

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Speaker 1: there's the driveable par four seventeenth hole, which is only

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Speaker 1: three hundred and thirty two yards but it has water

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Speaker 1: to the left and behind the green. And finally there's

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Speaker 1: the eighteenth hole, which requires a pinpoint drive over water

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Speaker 1: and in between bunkers. Thomas Dietrie is the defending Champ.

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Speaker 1: The Belgian blew away the field last year, finishing twenty

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Speaker 1: four under par to win by seven shots. Sounds familiar.

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Speaker 1: Nick Taylor won in twenty twenty four, finishing minus twenty

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Speaker 1: one and beating Charlie Hoffman in a playoff. Scottie Scheffler

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Speaker 1: won in both twenty twenty two and twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 1: He was sixteen under in twenty twenty two to nineteen

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Speaker 1: under in twenty twenty three, and Brooks Koepka finished nineteen

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Speaker 1: under par to win in twenty twenty one. A forecast

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Speaker 1: for Scottsdale this week Sonny or partly Sonny. All four

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Speaker 1: days with highs ranging from seventy eight to eighty degrees.

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Speaker 1: No rain in the forecast, wins very light scoring conditions.

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Speaker 1: Ideal should be perfect weather bow. What are you paying

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Speaker 1: attention to this week in putting together your betting plan?

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Speaker 2: Overall, it's a whole bag type of tournament. You're not

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Speaker 2: going to, like you said, not going to get a

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Speaker 2: specific style or archetype player that's going to consistently win here.

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Speaker 2: It's going to come down to who's playing the best

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Speaker 2: right now and more importantly, course history, this is the

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Speaker 2: third most predictive course as far as course history on

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Speaker 2: the PGA Tour behind Augusta National and why like country

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Speaker 2: Club when we had the Sony Open a couple of

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Speaker 2: weeks ago. So as far as course history goes, you

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Speaker 2: want the horses for the courses here. This isn't the

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Speaker 2: where you mess around and try somebody new that's never

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Speaker 2: seen Scottsdale before. You might get burned by that, but

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Speaker 2: it's more likely you're gonna find somebody like even shoot,

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Speaker 2: Charlie Hoffman, who doesn't do anything all year except for

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Speaker 2: when he comes to he comes to Scottsdale. Those the

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Speaker 2: kinds of guys that just show up here and in

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Speaker 2: or at least contend. One of those guys unfortunately Scotti Scheffler.

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Speaker 2: So it's it's just it's a tough tournament to bet.

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Speaker 2: I tend to keep it kind of a little bit

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Speaker 2: less on the foot on the gas this week because

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Speaker 2: it's it's kind of a spectacle like you're you're in

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Speaker 2: Super Bowl weekend. You're you have the party atmosphere at

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Speaker 2: right next to Arizona State, which is a very hardy

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Speaker 2: party school, like where I went at Chico State, Arizona State,

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Speaker 2: Chico State great party schools. They send people out there

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Speaker 2: to drink their fill, and whether they're watching golf or not,

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Speaker 2: it's going to be fun to watch on TV. I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure I like betting this tournament so much, except

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Speaker 2: for getting a little action parlaying the Super Bowl odds

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Speaker 2: with the golf tournament, because that's just good, good old

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Speaker 2: fashioned fun.

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Speaker 1: I went to the University of Wisconsin. We didn't drink

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Speaker 1: much up there. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's another one in the top ten of

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Speaker 2: party schools. So yeah that you said, Madison. Yes, a

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Speaker 2: whole bunch of badgers up there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: You guys have your own signature cocktail, the Lunchbox, isn't it.

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Speaker 1: I haven't heard of that one. Uh huh. Yeah, there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of beer.

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Speaker 2: Wow, they have beer in Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: I can't believe it. We'll get to the odds for

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Speaker 1: the Phoenix Open in just a moment, but first.

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Speaker 1: Slash Premium to the odds for the WM Phoenix Open,

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Speaker 1: Scottie Scheffler is in overwhelming favorite. He's plus two ten

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Speaker 1: to win out right. Xandra Schoffley is twenty to one.

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Speaker 1: Jadeki Matsuyama, Cameron Young, Ben Griffin and Sam Burns are

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Speaker 1: twenty seven to one. See who kimmis thirty to one.

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Speaker 1: Victor Hoblin makes his twenty twenty six deb this week.

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Speaker 1: He's thirty four to one, Maverick McNeely thirty six to one,

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Speaker 1: Brooks Kepka thirty eight to one, and Ricky Fowler thirty

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Speaker 1: nine to one. How are we dealing with Scottie Scheffler

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Speaker 1: this week? Bo and who else from this group has

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Speaker 1: your attention?

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Speaker 2: Scotti Scheffler, Scottie Schefler, Scotti Scheffler plus two to twenty

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Speaker 2: five is the best odds I found. It makes me

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Speaker 2: kind of explore what like we did two weeks ago

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Speaker 2: with the NFC and AFC Championships, I had a strong

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Speaker 2: lean towards the Seahawks and Patriots, which ended up paying

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Speaker 2: twenty to one instead of getting your two and a

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Speaker 2: half to one payout on a Scotti Scheffler win. Scotty

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Speaker 2: Scheffler is a horse for the course, He's the best

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Speaker 2: golfer on the planet. He wins everything. He's got incredibly

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Speaker 2: short odds for a reason, very very high likelihood he

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Speaker 2: wins again this week. So I'm not going to stare

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Speaker 2: a gift horse in the mouth. I'm gonna say, let's

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Speaker 2: let's make it a little more interesting. Plus two twenty

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Speaker 2: five with the best odds I found on Scotti Scheffler outright.

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Speaker 2: But if you pair him with the Seahawks minus four

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Speaker 2: and a half, which I think will happen, you're getting

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Speaker 2: ten to one odds or five to one on so

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Speaker 2: plus five oh seven. So plus five oh seven considerably

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Speaker 2: better payout than two to one. Basically, So that's what

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Speaker 2: I'm doing is I'm not gonna hunt the lives because

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Speaker 2: it's just not the books are wise to us hunting

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Speaker 2: the lives on Scheffler they never let him slip anymore.

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Speaker 2: So a little bit of a parlay is a little

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Speaker 2: bit more of a safe bet, and it makes us

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Speaker 2: watch both both things. I'll have two screens. I'll have

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Speaker 2: the tournament on one screen and I'll have the super

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Speaker 2: Bowl on the other. So that's what I'm gonna do.

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Speaker 2: Plus five oh seven for Scotti, Scheffler and Seahawks minus

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Speaker 2: four and a half in a parlay. That's and then

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Speaker 2: Sea with Kim. It depends on where you look. But

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Speaker 2: that's the other course for the course. Uh, And that's

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Speaker 2: that's a guy who's red blazing hot, blazing hot starting

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Speaker 2: the season. If you go back the last six months,

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Speaker 2: Sea what Kim has been under par in thirty one

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Speaker 2: of thirty two rounds on the PGA Tour. That's as

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Speaker 2: hot as it gets. This guy has gone from a

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Speaker 2: very volatile winner die trying type player to a consistent

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Speaker 2: top ten machine. And it's not a Pete die course,

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Speaker 2: but it is a stadium course and seaw Kim has

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Speaker 2: done well here in the past, and he's playing so

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Speaker 2: well that I can't ignore him. Well, see where did

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Speaker 2: I get him twenty one to one plus twenty one

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Speaker 2: hundred without Scotty Scheffler's That's the other caveat is a

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Speaker 2: lot of these picks. You might not want to bet

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Speaker 2: against Scotty Scheffler, but you can get some decent odds

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Speaker 2: if you go with the without Scotty Scheffler market. I'll

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Speaker 2: do with Seawoo Kim plus twenty one hundred without Scottie Schffler.

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Speaker 2: So Seawoo Kim doesn't win, Let's see you finish his

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Speaker 2: runner up to Scotti Scheffler. You got the Scottie parlay

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Speaker 2: and you got Seawa Kim without Scottie Scheffler, you could

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Speaker 2: win twice.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, just to just to underscore your point about how hot.

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Speaker 1: See what Kim has been to start twenty twenty six

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Speaker 1: eleventh place at the Sony, sixth at the Amex, then

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Speaker 1: in that multi way tie for second last week at

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Speaker 1: the Farmers and at the Phoenix Open. He's finished somewhere

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Speaker 1: between twelfth and twenty sixth in each of his last

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Speaker 1: four appearances, so he's been pretty consistently good here. I

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Speaker 1: don't know that I can disagree with you on Scotty.

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Speaker 1: Look at what he did two weeks ago with the

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Speaker 1: American Express Desert Golf. Great scoring conditions and Scottie blew

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Speaker 1: away the field pretty much so similar setup this year.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what happened to him last year when

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Speaker 1: he was twenty fifth here, but there were the back

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Speaker 1: to back wins in twenty twenty two and twenty twenty three,

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Speaker 1: and then he had a disappointing third in twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, things are pointing toward possibly his second win

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Speaker 1: of the young year. Xander Schoffley bo missed the cut

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Speaker 1: at the Farmers last week, his twenty twenty six debut,

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Speaker 1: but he does have a really good track record at

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Speaker 1: the Phoenix Open. Schoffley has not played this event since

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, but his last three appearance has resulted

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Speaker 1: in top tens and his last six appearances were top twenties.

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Speaker 1: So any interest in him er? Is? He just not

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Speaker 1: priced right at twenty to one.

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Speaker 2: Now I need to see more. That was his first

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Speaker 2: miss cut in forever. That was the talking point all

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Speaker 2: week last week was will this be the week that

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Speaker 2: Xander Schoffley's cut streak ends? And it was I don't

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Speaker 2: like his form. I don't like the way he played

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Speaker 2: poorly on a course that he traditionally plays well at.

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Speaker 2: Torrey Bines. So no, absolutely know Xander Schoffley until he

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Speaker 2: shows us something. He hasn't really shown us anything since

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Speaker 2: his injury last year. He's gotten better, but that was

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Speaker 2: compared to how awful he was when he came back

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Speaker 2: early last season. So no, no Xander anywhere until we

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Speaker 2: see that he can get back to his previous form.

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Speaker 1: No. Guy who has shown some pretty decent form so

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Speaker 1: far in twenty twenty six Hideki Matsuyama. So he was

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Speaker 1: thirteenth at the Sony, eleventh at the Farmers, and pretty

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Speaker 1: good track record here, back to back wins in twenty

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Speaker 1: sixteen and twenty seventeen. He's had five top twenty fives

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Speaker 1: in the eight years since his last Phoenix Open victory.

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Speaker 1: Comes in in good form. Any interest in Hideki ball?

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Speaker 2: Yes, I'm still shopping odds. I didn't like what I

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Speaker 2: saw in a couple of books so far, but that's

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Speaker 2: another guy that you can't ignore. So right now against

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Speaker 2: with Scotti Scheffler, it's plus twenty five hundred. Without Scotti Scheffler,

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Speaker 2: it's even shorter. I want to see that slip a

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Speaker 2: little bit. I don't know that it will. I like

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Speaker 2: Kideki I don't like his odds, so we're just going

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Speaker 2: to wait it out and see what happens. But yes,

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Speaker 2: I do like the player.

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Speaker 1: I'm a little intrigued by Maverick McNeely. There's a nice

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Speaker 1: all around game and seems to like TPC Scottsdale. He's

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Speaker 1: finished top ten here each of the last two years

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Speaker 1: and had a solid showing last week with the Farmers,

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Speaker 1: finishing tenth. And then there's Brooks Koepka. He's an interesting case.

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Speaker 1: He hasn't played the Phoenix Open since twenty twenty two

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Speaker 1: because of his live tour odyssey, but he won this

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Speaker 1: event in twenty twenty one and finished third in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty two, finished fifty sixth at the Farmers last week,

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Speaker 1: and his return to the PGA Tour just didn't putt well.

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Speaker 1: I thought he struck it reasonably well, but had kind

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Speaker 1: of a rough go on the greens. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: look at more of the odds. We've got JJ Spahn

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Speaker 1: at forty two to one, Harris English, Colin Morikawa, Chris

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Speaker 1: godder Up and Matt Fitzpatrick had forty four to one,

292
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Speaker 1: Harry Hollis forty seven to one, Jake Napp forty eight

293
00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:06,800
Speaker 1: to one. Saheith Thigala and Jordan Speith are fifty to one.

294
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Speaker 1: Corey Conners is fifty seven to one, Michael Thorbiornson is

295
00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:14,280
Speaker 1: fifty eight to one, Kurk Kitty Yama fifty nine to one,

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00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:18,240
Speaker 1: Pierson Coody sixty to one, Wyndham Clark sixty two to one,

297
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Speaker 1: Rasmus Hoygarden, Keith Mitchell sixty four to one, and Daniel

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Speaker 1: Berger sixty seven to one. Does anyone stand out from

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Speaker 1: this group?

300
00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:29,320
Speaker 2: Bo two guys. One guy I'm gonna bet just without Scotty,

301
00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:33,200
Speaker 2: and that'll be Saheithigala, another guy who's just torched this

302
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Speaker 2: course since he was a rookie on the PGA Tour.

303
00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:38,560
Speaker 2: That was when he he took off his he took

304
00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,560
Speaker 2: off put on a basketball jersey, a Lakers jersey. I

305
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Speaker 2: believe because he's a SoCal kid, and the crowd went

306
00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,320
Speaker 2: nuts for Sai Thgala, who was a top five in

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Speaker 2: his first appearance here as a rookie. It's just a

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00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:53,960
Speaker 2: great course for him. He sprays the ball everywhere off

309
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:57,200
Speaker 2: the tee. Scottsdale overall is pretty wide fairways. There's some

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Speaker 2: narrow ones, but it seems like that's, of course the fit.

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Speaker 2: It's the gall is eye thirty three to one without Scotty.

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Speaker 1: I like that.

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Speaker 2: I like that line a lot. And then Kirk Kittiyama,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna do both ways. I'm gonna do without Scotty

315
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Speaker 2: and with Scotti. So you're getting fifty nine to one,

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Speaker 2: like you said, with Scotty, and then without Scotty, it's

317
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Speaker 2: not bad. It's forty five to one, so plus forty

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Speaker 2: five hundred without Scotty. Kirk Kittiyama is desert golfer through

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Speaker 2: and through. He's from NorCal which is a lot of

320
00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:32,080
Speaker 2: high desert and chaparral brush and high winds and dry conditions.

321
00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:34,520
Speaker 2: I'm from here. I know it very well. And then

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00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:38,160
Speaker 2: he's since he moved away from Northern California, he moved

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Speaker 2: to Las Vegas, and that's desert golf all the way,

324
00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,680
Speaker 2: high winds, dry conditions, fast, everything is hard packed. And

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Speaker 2: this is a kind of course that he can be

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Speaker 2: aggressive with. And it's a well rounded golfer. That's Kirk

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00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:54,920
Speaker 2: Kittyama is extremely well rounded. He doesn't really have any

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Speaker 2: weak spots at this point in his career, and the

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00:17:57,359 --> 00:17:59,960
Speaker 2: odds are really good. I think that's a perfect line

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Speaker 2: for my guy from Chico, California to make some noise.

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Speaker 1: I am warming too. Saheitha Gala Bo had a real

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Speaker 1: rough go in twenty twenty five, not a good year

333
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Speaker 1: for him, but the track record here is excellent. Two

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Speaker 1: top five finishes, no miss cuts in his four Phoenix

335
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Speaker 1: Helpence starts, and he's finished top ten in each of

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00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:22,280
Speaker 1: the last two weeks, so he does appear to have

337
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:25,679
Speaker 1: things back on the rails. I like Jake Napp a

338
00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:29,919
Speaker 1: little bit. He's finished twenty eighth and forty fourth in

339
00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:32,359
Speaker 1: his first two Phoenix Helpence starts, but he's been in

340
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,720
Speaker 1: pretty good for him early in the season. Eleventh place

341
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Speaker 1: at the Sony Open, fifth place last week at the

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00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:43,040
Speaker 1: Farmers What about Jordan Spieth Bo, He's finished either fourth

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Speaker 1: or sixth here in four of the last five years.

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Speaker 2: It's it's another guy. He's just like he's He's just

345
00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:53,720
Speaker 2: an older version of Sahiti Gala sprays the ball off

346
00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:57,600
Speaker 2: the tee to not much consequence at this golf course.

347
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:01,280
Speaker 2: He is a crowd favorite. Again. Everybody loves Jordan Speith

348
00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:05,119
Speaker 2: because he's entertainment personified. If you had one hundred and fifty.

349
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:08,000
Speaker 2: Jordan Speeds the PGA Tour will probably out out get

350
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,800
Speaker 2: more viewership than the super Bowl because that's how riveting

351
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:12,359
Speaker 2: his rounds tend to be.

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Speaker 1: I like him.

353
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Speaker 2: I don't know that he can win here because he's

354
00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 2: just not quite there like he was eight to ten

355
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,720
Speaker 2: years ago. But yeah, Jordan Speeth is fun. I don't

356
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:26,800
Speaker 2: mind a top ten bet on Jordan Speeth at all

357
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:29,920
Speaker 2: because he's so consistent at this type of place.

358
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Speaker 1: I agree, I don't think he can bet him out right,

359
00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:35,840
Speaker 1: but he's interesting for a top five or maybe top

360
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:38,959
Speaker 1: ten that I know. You just told me not to

361
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,600
Speaker 1: mess with guys who haven't played this tournament before bo

362
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,879
Speaker 1: but I'm thinking about messing with Pearson Coody, who is

363
00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:47,840
Speaker 1: making his Phoenix Open debut and comes in on a heater.

364
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Speaker 1: Over the last three weeks, he's finished thirteenth, eighteenth, and second,

365
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:56,720
Speaker 1: So I'm not sure he's always garwer. He's got the

366
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Speaker 1: because I think he could make a lot of birdies

367
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Speaker 1: in a week where someone's probably gonna have to get

368
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Speaker 1: to twenty under to win.

369
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Speaker 2: Yew, his boogey avoidance does scare me a little bit.

370
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Speaker 1: Yes, Now, before we get to our favorite long shots.

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00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:17,560
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374
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375
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376
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377
00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:34,119
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378
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379
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:40,440
Speaker 1: ton of flavor. Everything was delicious and very easy to prepare.

380
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Speaker 1: His kitchen skills are pretty limited, and yet he had

382
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394
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Speaker 1: site for details. All right, bo, let's talk long shots

395
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,000
Speaker 1: players at seventy to one odds or longer. Who you got?

396
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,399
Speaker 2: Oh, my favorite spot. I have two guys this week

397
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,639
Speaker 2: that are long shots. One of them I know is

398
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 2: gonna do well here because he's he's he's back on

399
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,800
Speaker 2: an upward trajectory. That's Max Homa. He's coming in at

400
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 2: one hundred and fifteen to one. I love those odds.

401
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,520
Speaker 2: This is a guy with a lot of firepower, great putter,

402
00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 2: great short game overall. I think think his ball strikings

403
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 2: finally coming around where he's not as leary off the tee.

404
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 2: I think he's been mainly dealing with confidence issues stemming

405
00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 2: from a bad stretch of a couple of years. I

406
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 2: think maxhom is back. I think he's really coming back

407
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 2: this year, and this is the kind of the first

408
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:20,919
Speaker 2: chance that he's going to have as a long shot

409
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 2: to prove that he is back. And then a guy

410
00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:27,879
Speaker 2: who got in with a very unique proposal for a

411
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 2: sponsors exemption to this tournament. Joel Damon. Joel Damon was

412
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 2: in the running last week at the Farmers. He had

413
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,199
Speaker 2: a kind of a rough Sunday, but he was in

414
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 2: the running behind Justin Rose most of the week, and

415
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:44,320
Speaker 2: he wrote a letter to the waste management Phoenix open

416
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:48,919
Speaker 2: on a jersey, a basketball jersey, and if you remember

417
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:52,359
Speaker 2: back a few years, Joel Damon stripped down to completely

418
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,800
Speaker 2: no shirt on the sixteenth hole, drove the crowd wild.

419
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,679
Speaker 2: And so I think that the fan favorite Joel Damon

420
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,040
Speaker 2: is a great pick. He's coming in at one hundred

421
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:06,720
Speaker 2: and ninety to one, and of course your placement bets

422
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,040
Speaker 2: along with that, your top ten, your top twenty are

423
00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:13,240
Speaker 2: pretty lucrative. But Joel Damon's playing some great golf this year.

424
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 2: His new caddy, Gino, and Gino Bonilly and him split up.

425
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,720
Speaker 2: They're still best friends. I met both of them and

426
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 2: they're great. Joel Damon's new caddy's got him a new

427
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:26,560
Speaker 2: focus on PGA Tour and it seems to be serving

428
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 2: him well, so I'll be happy to root for Joel

429
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 2: Damon this week.

430
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:34,240
Speaker 1: Nick Taylor interests me a little bit. At seventy eight

431
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 1: to one. That seems like a pretty good price for

432
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:38,680
Speaker 1: a guy who won here in twenty twenty four and

433
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 1: was runner up in twenty twenty three. Taylor has also

434
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,679
Speaker 1: done pretty well in his first two events of twenty

435
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 1: twenty six. You were on him last week it didn't

436
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 1: work out, bo but hatong Lee. He has not played

437
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 1: the Phoenix Open yet, but offers pretty good bang for

438
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 1: the bock at ninety to one, and I think he

439
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:58,359
Speaker 1: might be a guy who kind of thrives on the

440
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:03,679
Speaker 1: crowd energy. Yes, and I'm once again interested in Tony

441
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 1: Final at one hundred and thirty to one. We saw

442
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,159
Speaker 1: flashes of the old Tony Fenw last week at the

443
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:12,159
Speaker 1: Farmers and route to his eleventh place finish. You know,

444
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 1: finished second here in twenty twenty fourteenth and twenty twenty three.

445
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:19,160
Speaker 1: Yelthough he has missed five cuts in his last seven

446
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 1: starts here.

447
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:24,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's he's He's another guy like Maxhoma that we

448
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 2: see trending back to his previous form. It's very possible

449
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:31,359
Speaker 2: he definitely has the firepower to do it. Today's show

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Speaker 2: Pat I need your hard rock bet of the week.

483
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Speaker 1: My hard rock bet of the week bowl. I'm taking

484
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 1: Jake Knapp in the winner without Scotty Scheffler market. He's

485
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:20,440
Speaker 1: forty to one in that market at hard Rock Beat Illinois.

486
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 1: That's a pretty good price. What about your hard rock

487
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 1: bet of the week bow?

488
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,840
Speaker 2: My hard rock bed is also in the without Scottie market.

489
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 2: But it's Kurt Kittiyama and that's forty five to one.

490
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,680
Speaker 1: Very nice. What does the rest of your betting card

491
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 1: look like?

492
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:40,679
Speaker 2: So I'm parlaying Scotty Scheffler outright with the Seahawks minus

493
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 2: four and a half at the Super Bowl. That's a

494
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 2: nice convincing win for the West Coast guys. And then

495
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:51,359
Speaker 2: you have Seawoo Kim without Scotti Scheffler plus twenty one hundred,

496
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:55,680
Speaker 2: Sahi Thigala without Scotty Scheffler thirty three to one Kurt

497
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,639
Speaker 2: kitty Yama. I'm doubling up forty five to one without Scotty,

498
00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 2: fifty nine to one with Scotty. I think Kurt Kadiama's

499
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,679
Speaker 2: got this saying he's going to be contending in my

500
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,479
Speaker 2: two long shots, Max Homa at one hundred and fifteen

501
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 2: to one and Joel Damon at one hundred and ninety

502
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 2: to one.

503
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:12,560
Speaker 1: So, in addition to my forty to one bet on

504
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,680
Speaker 1: Jake Nap and the winner without Scotty Scheffler market, I'm

505
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 1: going to bet Pearson Cooty outright at fifty five to

506
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 1: one and for a top five at plus eight forty.

507
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 1: I'm also betting Saheath Thagala for a top five. He

508
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 1: is also plus eight forty and I'm casting a little

509
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,160
Speaker 1: bit of a wider net for Tony Fenw this week,

510
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 1: betting him for a top twenty at plus three fifteen.

511
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 1: Come on, Tony now for the one and done competition. BO,

512
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,960
Speaker 1: you took Ludwig Oberg last week. Ludwig had a tough

513
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 1: couple of rounds and missed the cut. I took Jason Day.

514
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:48,080
Speaker 1: He finished tied for thirty eighth and earned forty one,

515
00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:51,280
Speaker 1: seven hundred and sixty dollars. I regained the lead, but

516
00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 1: I'm only up by about twenty thousand dollars. We've not

517
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 1: drawn a lot of blood so far. Bo. Let's change

518
00:27:57,080 --> 00:28:00,800
Speaker 1: that this week and pick some high finishers first this week,

519
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 1: and I will take Hideki Matsuyama.

520
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 2: And I'm going to take a little bit of risk

521
00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 2: and go with Sahi Thiala.

522
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:12,199
Speaker 1: That is all for this week's Betting PROSPGA podcast. We

523
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:15,680
Speaker 1: will be back next week to preview the first signature

524
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 1: event of twenty twenty six, the AT and T Pebblebeach

525
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:22,880
Speaker 1: Pro Am. Until then, Solong, everyone, thanks.

526
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,240
Speaker 4: For listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you love

527
00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 4: the show, The best freeway to support us is by

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00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:31,440
Speaker 4: leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow

529
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:34,400
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531
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:52,240
Speaker 4: at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros