1 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:12,640 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning edition of 3 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolt. Can 4 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:19,759 Speaker 2: follow me on Twitter at Sports Talking Matt. Each day 5 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 2: morning we are right here on Bettingpros dot com. Always 6 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 2: being brought to you by bet MGM. You can find 7 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 2: the video of this on YouTube. You can find the 8 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 2: audio wherever you guys get your audio podcasts. And this 9 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:32,879 Speaker 2: is being brought to you by bet MGM and the 10 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 2: five dollars offer. It is a five buck bet for 11 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 2: new customers. Promo code Juice one hundred, one hundred dollars 12 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 2: in free bets if either team scores a touchdown. If 13 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 2: you bet a side moneyline total doesn't matter, Juice one 14 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 2: hundred five dollar bet wins one hundred dollars. Either team 15 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 2: scores touchdown, which in primetime has been happening quite a 16 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 2: bit here by buck bet wins one hundred dollars if 17 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 2: either team scores a touchdown, Juice one hundred promo code 18 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 2: for new customers. Okay, so last night's a one unit loss. 19 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:05,680 Speaker 2: We did the same game Parlay. Eagles get throttled by 20 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 2: the Cowboys. Jalen hurts, I'm not going to go to 21 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 2: in depth in the game. It's it was a bad 22 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 2: read on the Eagles and I thought they keep it 23 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 2: relatively close. 24 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:17,759 Speaker 1: They did not. It was a blowout a I couldn't 25 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 1: even hedge off of it. Really. 26 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 2: I mean, I thought about had halftime betting something on 27 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 2: the Cowboys, and I just there was nothing really to 28 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 2: get in both twenty to seven. 29 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: Dak played well. 30 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:29,120 Speaker 2: The only prop bet I liked last night was Dak 31 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:31,959 Speaker 2: Prescott to throw for more than one and a half 32 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 2: touchdowns and it was juiced to like minus one eighty. 33 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 1: So I wasn't really going. 34 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 2: To do that. It was just too expensive. But that 35 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 2: prop hit, so I recommended that. People were like, what's 36 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 2: a prop bet. I was like, there's a prop bet 37 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,560 Speaker 2: if you want to bet it, But I didn't. 38 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: Bet it, so down a unit, which is fine. 39 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 2: So today is a Tuesday, and so we're back with 40 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 2: baseball only on the dockets. So here's what I'm going 41 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 2: to do. I have got a baseball bet, I have 42 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 2: got a college football bet, and I've got two NFL 43 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 2: bet to give you guys coming up here on the podcast. 44 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: So it's a big Tuesday. 45 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 2: And the reason why I'm doing that is because the 46 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 2: baseball bet is for today and it's only a half 47 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 2: a unit. The football bets for Thursday, Friday and Sunday. 48 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 2: All right, So I like doing this. I've enjoyed giving 49 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:22,919 Speaker 2: you guys some bets ahead of time and kind of previewing, 50 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 2: giving you heads up as to like what I'm thinking 51 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 2: about and where I'm thinking about going. Like, for instance, Okay, 52 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 2: the Alabama ole Miss line has been phenomenal to watch. 53 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 2: I don't know if you guys are into this or not, 54 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 2: but I'm like super into this. It's super fun. So 55 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 2: Circus Sports likes to be the first book opening with 56 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:41,919 Speaker 2: numbers for college football. 57 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,639 Speaker 1: They want to be the market maker. They opened up at. 58 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 2: Bama minus twenty up against ole Miss, all right, that's 59 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 2: what they think the line should be. 60 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 1: The professionals unloaded on. 61 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:56,360 Speaker 2: Alabama, sorry on ole Miss rather, and they drove this 62 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,639 Speaker 2: thing all the way down to fourteen and a half 63 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 2: before they got any by back whatsoever. Currently, at the 64 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 2: time of taping, Circa is at Alabama minus fifteen. 65 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:07,119 Speaker 1: Okay, five points in one day. 66 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:10,959 Speaker 2: That is a ridiculous amount of money coming in all 67 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:13,839 Speaker 2: maxwet now it's only five k, right, They take their 68 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 2: max bets are five thousand dollars on a side, three thousand. 69 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:18,079 Speaker 1: On a total. 70 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 2: So the total go is from eighty yes, eighty down 71 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 2: to seventy seven and a half where it has stopped. 72 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: That's the bar. 73 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 2: That's where they have not moved the number in about 74 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 2: twelve hours at seventy seven and a half. So I'm 75 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:34,840 Speaker 2: watching all of this as to where I'm gonna be 76 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 2: on Bama. It's just a matter of what number I'm 77 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 2: gonna play for Alabama against Ole Miss, And I'm not 78 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 2: really sure because these are the games that have the 79 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 2: attention of the Crimson Tide because Matt Corral's coming in 80 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 2: with the Heisman Trophy, Canadacy and Lane Kiffin we know 81 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 2: how Lane kiffen and I mean the total. 82 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 1: It's gonna be so high. 83 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 2: Scoring one hundred and eleven points got scored last year, 84 00:03:57,240 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 2: sixty three forty eight was the final the game in Oxford. 85 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 2: Now the game's going to be played at Bryan Didney Stadium. 86 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 2: So I'm watching all of that right So I'm trying 87 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 2: to figure out when do I get involved, when do 88 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 2: I bet? Like That's where I'm spending my prep time, 89 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 2: not breaking down baseball, just heads up. Okay, that like 90 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 2: if you're wondering, like Matt, why aren't you playing baseball? 91 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 1: And where do you do with your breakdown here? Like 92 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: that's what I do. 93 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 2: I stare at my screens and I'm watching line movements 94 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 2: and I'm watching and trying to figure out. Okay, if 95 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:26,839 Speaker 2: Circa thinks it's a twenty point game and now it's fifteen, 96 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 2: was it a bad number or is it or is 97 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,039 Speaker 2: it just insane value on bamma right now? Like was 98 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 2: twenty just really wrong? Because the books are I mean, 99 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 2: Circa could get middle pretty easily here, Okay if you 100 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 2: bet twenty and twenty was up for like I guess 101 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:45,159 Speaker 2: like five minutes before it started to come down, but 102 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 2: they put up twenty and then bam, the books hit. 103 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:49,840 Speaker 2: The books got hit quickly with max wagers. So you're 104 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 2: at plus twenty on Ole Miss and then Alabama goes 105 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 2: off at like what fourteen? You have a six point middle, 106 00:04:56,960 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 2: which is huge. So that is so the pros gonna 107 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 2: be on both sides, so to copy that. Okay, That's 108 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 2: where I'm going to start with our NFL plays here, 109 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:11,359 Speaker 2: because this pick is a strategy, all right, This is 110 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 2: you don't have to do this. Okay, I'm miss giving 111 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 2: this out because I am I don't even know how 112 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 2: we even track this, because I am intentionally going to 113 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:23,039 Speaker 2: either go you know, no damage, or two bets are 114 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 2: gonna cash. All right, let's start with the Patriots and 115 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 2: the Bucks. All right, the line opened at five and 116 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:32,040 Speaker 2: a half. It's currently at six and a half. Okay, 117 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:37,359 Speaker 2: ninety three percent of the money at the majority of 118 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 2: books on and off shore currently here for a Monday 119 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 2: night taping in a Tuesday morning on the Bucks minus 120 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 2: six and a half. Okay, Why aren't the books going 121 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 2: to seven? Why aren't they going to seven? So here's 122 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 2: what we're gonna do. I have placed a full wager 123 00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 2: bet on the Buccaneers minus six and a half. 124 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 1: And we're gonna wait. All right, We're gonna watch, and 125 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 1: we're gonna wait. We put our stake. 126 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 2: Down, we put our flag down six and a half. 127 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:12,279 Speaker 2: The books are gonna go to seven when they go 128 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 2: to seven. They will get over seven at some point 129 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:17,120 Speaker 2: and they will go to seven and a half and 130 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 2: they will go to eight. I'm projecting a closing number 131 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:23,279 Speaker 2: to be around eight eight and a half. 132 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:23,559 Speaker 1: For this game. 133 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:28,039 Speaker 2: I will bet the Patriots when that happens, and we 134 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 2: will try to get a seven middle here, and we'll 135 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 2: try to hit both bets. All right, the books know 136 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 2: that seven is a number that they're getting resistance from 137 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 2: the professionals on the Patriots. Okay, the number Geeks, they're 138 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:45,080 Speaker 2: looking at this and they're like, I get it. Brady's 139 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:48,120 Speaker 2: doing podcasts. He's talking about going there, not for a 140 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:51,600 Speaker 2: family reunion. He's gonna come in. The Patriots are banged up. 141 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 2: Their offensive line is not blocking anybody. Mac Jones is 142 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 2: a rookie, never played on a stage like this. Patriots 143 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,279 Speaker 2: are one and two, got owned at home. Pats are 144 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 2: zero and two, could be zero and three at home 145 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:03,719 Speaker 2: if the Buccaneers come in and destroy them. You got 146 00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:08,039 Speaker 2: Gronkowskw's got some bum ribs, but he's playing. Brady is 147 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 2: gonna be on Brady right, just like different level Tom Brady. 148 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, right, gonna want to go in there. 149 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 2: And kill the Patriots. Very possible. But something is something 150 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 2: is up with this game. Something smells with this game. Okay, 151 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 2: this is not be careful with this, Okay, this is 152 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 2: this is going to be a strategy play for me 153 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 2: because I get to kick my heels up and try 154 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 2: to hit both bets knowing that I'm not gonna get 155 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 2: burned on either side. I'm gonna be on both sides 156 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 2: of seven. Right, that's the strategy to be on both 157 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:41,720 Speaker 2: sides of seven. Now what you might say, Matt, what 158 00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 2: happens if it just goes to seven and never gets 159 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 2: to seven and a half? 160 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: Okay, that's fine. 161 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 2: I'll bet the Patriots at seven and then I'll just 162 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 2: be done with it, and I'll wash my hands of 163 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 2: it and be done. 164 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 1: Okay. As a Patriot fan, it's a tough game to 165 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 1: get into. 166 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 2: It definitely is gonna sting to watch Brady come out 167 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 2: of the tunnel in a Buck's uniform and be on 168 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:00,080 Speaker 2: the other side of the side of the other side. 169 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:03,120 Speaker 2: But the line movement is far more interesting because of 170 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 2: how much money is coming in on one side and 171 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 2: the books. You're like, eh, go ahead, bet six and 172 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 2: a half to you're blue in the face, right, at 173 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 2: some point they're going to have to look for Patriot money. 174 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,160 Speaker 2: At some point they're going to be interested in if 175 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 2: they go to seven and get hit, they'll go back 176 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 2: down to six and a half. Right, That's how the 177 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 2: line will go as we get closer to kickoff, and 178 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 2: we may have to wait all the way to like 179 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 2: literally right before. 180 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: Kickoff to get to seven and a half. 181 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 2: But the second we get seven and a half, I'll 182 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 2: wait and if it's really like right for a kickoff, 183 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 2: I'll bet seven and a half, we'll go six and 184 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 2: a half. 185 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: Seven and a half. 186 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 2: We've on both sides of seven, and we'll try to 187 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 2: middle it. Okay, that's what I'm doing. You don't have 188 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 2: to do it, but that's what I am doing. However, 189 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 2: Dan Harris wants to track this as as two official 190 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:51,640 Speaker 2: plays to go one in one. I don't care, right, 191 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:55,400 Speaker 2: that's how I'm playing the Patriots and the Bucks trying 192 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 2: to go on either side of seven. Okay, so six 193 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 2: and a half for the Bucks. Laid that today and 194 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:03,559 Speaker 2: then we're gonna wait and we're gonna watch and we're 195 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:05,360 Speaker 2: gonna evaluate it. So we're gonna have fun with this and 196 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 2: see where the number goes. But ninety three percent of 197 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 2: the bets at most books I've seen two of them 198 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 2: report this are all in the Bucks minus six and 199 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:19,560 Speaker 2: a half, and the number is not moving, just saying 200 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 2: just saying okay, So there's play number one, play number 201 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 2: two for the NFL. Thursday Night Football over so now 202 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 2: eight and one, and they've hit eight consecutive times thanks 203 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 2: to last night with the Eagles and the Cowboys sailing 204 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 2: over that fifty one and a half point total, the 205 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 2: Bengals and the Jaguars. Yes, you heard me right, Thursday 206 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 2: Football is Bengals at Jaguars total. It's forty five and 207 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:46,760 Speaker 2: a half. It is climbing at different books. I've seen 208 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 2: it as high as forty six and a half. Okay, 209 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 2: up an entire point. You might go, well, Matt is 210 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 2: at a key number. Well, no key numbers for totals. 211 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 2: Thirty seven, forty one, forty four, fifty one, Okay, those 212 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,760 Speaker 2: are your key numbers. So between forty four and fifty one. 213 00:10:03,120 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 2: That's why most NFL totals kind of slide between that number, 214 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:09,840 Speaker 2: and once they get over fifty one and a half, 215 00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 2: that's a key number. Like last night was this is 216 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 2: forty forty four and a half, and you're like, hmm, 217 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 2: I'm sorry, forty five and a half. 218 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:19,599 Speaker 1: Brother, it's over forty four. So it's forty five and 219 00:10:19,600 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 1: a half. So we're already over forty four. So you 220 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 1: think the. 221 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 2: Books just just gonna let this thing climb as people 222 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 2: bet the over. But here's my thought as to why 223 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,079 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the over for one unit on Thursday night. 224 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 2: Be careful of the Jacksonville Jaguars winning this game outright. 225 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 1: Okay. 226 00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:37,680 Speaker 2: I like the Bengals, you guys know I like the Bengals. Okay, 227 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 2: I've been high on the Bengals, But man, this is 228 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 2: one of those games where you're like, all right, you're 229 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,360 Speaker 2: coming off a twenty four to ten win on the 230 00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 2: road at the Steelers. You played really well, you lost 231 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:52,840 Speaker 2: twenty to seventeen to the Bears on the road. You 232 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 2: beat the Vikings in Week one, twenty seven to twenty four. 233 00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 2: Bengals are two and one. We're on there over for 234 00:10:58,320 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 2: the win total one. You know how I feel about this. 235 00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 2: I think betting Jamar Chase to win the offensive Rookie 236 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 2: of the Year is an awesome bet. Okay, I really do. 237 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:07,600 Speaker 2: I haven't made it yet myself, but I think it's 238 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 2: an awesome bet. Don't bet any of the quarterbacks. I 239 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 2: don't think any of the quarterbacks are going to be 240 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 2: good enough. I think Chase could have a huge year. 241 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 2: This game here could really announce if you like the bet. 242 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:18,280 Speaker 2: By the way, he probably bet it now because he 243 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:20,440 Speaker 2: could have a monster game coming up against Jacksonville and 244 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 2: all of a sudden, he's like the front runner by oas. 245 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 1: I think Jamar Chase is just an unbelievable receiver. 246 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 2: He was the best receiver two years ago, and I 247 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 2: was with Joe Burrow doing big things. Okay, so they're 248 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 2: on Prime, they're in primetime, they're at home. The defense 249 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:39,040 Speaker 2: for Cincinnati hasn't faced a great offense yet. Okay, they 250 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 2: faced Kirk Cousins, they faced Justin Fields and they or 251 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 2: Justin Field slash Andy Dolton, and they faced Penn Roethlisberger. Okay, 252 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:52,280 Speaker 2: they've given up ten, twenty and twenty four points so far. 253 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 1: That might lead you to go, well, Matt, shouldn't he be. 254 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 2: Betting the under here given the fact that you know, 255 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:02,199 Speaker 2: opponents scoring per game since hasn't been that bad this year. 256 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 1: I mean they haven't. 257 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:07,200 Speaker 2: They're all the way down near the bottom for you know, 258 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 2: giving up points per game. They're given up eighteen points 259 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:10,560 Speaker 2: per game. Is that it's kind of the middle. I 260 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 2: guess only eighteen points per game that they have given 261 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:16,160 Speaker 2: up on the flip side, though Jacksonvill has given up 262 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 2: thirty point three points per game. Jacksonville gave up thirty 263 00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 2: seven points to the Texans, twenty three points to the Broncos, 264 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:27,199 Speaker 2: and thirty one points to the Arizona Cardinals. Now they 265 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,320 Speaker 2: go on the road and this number is at forty 266 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:31,439 Speaker 2: five and a half because I think people are believing 267 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 2: the Jacksonville Jaguars are not going to score against the Bengals. 268 00:12:34,640 --> 00:12:37,359 Speaker 2: But I watched a lot of that game against the Cardinals, 269 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,440 Speaker 2: and I gotta say something. I think Trevor Lawrence is 270 00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 2: due to have a pretty good game. I think this 271 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:48,679 Speaker 2: team could surprise some people. I think the number is 272 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 2: seven and a half. I wouldn't go near this game. 273 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 2: In terms of on a side, I think this is 274 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,080 Speaker 2: going to be a tighter game than people think. But 275 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:03,000 Speaker 2: with the Jaguar comes the potential for crazy wacko things 276 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:06,160 Speaker 2: pick sixes and fumbles and just things that you don't 277 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 2: expect to have happen. I think it's a little bit 278 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 2: scary to expect the Bengals to cover a seven and 279 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 2: a half point line at home. But I also wouldn't 280 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:18,720 Speaker 2: take the Jaguars because I don't trust the Jaguars at 281 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 2: all here, but offensively, I think they can score. I 282 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:24,960 Speaker 2: think this could be like a twenty seven to twenty 283 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,559 Speaker 2: four or like a thirty four to twenty four type 284 00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:28,079 Speaker 2: of game. 285 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 1: And I don't know. 286 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 2: Something tells me that if I'm, you know, looking for 287 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 2: some signs of life, that Trevor Lawrence might give it 288 00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:37,680 Speaker 2: to you in this game. 289 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:38,079 Speaker 1: Okay. 290 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 2: He was twenty two of thirty four for two hundred 291 00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 2: and nineteen yards one touchdown. He did throw two picks. 292 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 2: James Robinson ran the ball for eighty eight yards. Marvin 293 00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 2: Jones DJ Chuck a JJ shark brother started to get 294 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:50,079 Speaker 2: going a little bit. 295 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:52,439 Speaker 1: The receiver started to get free a little bit. 296 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:55,319 Speaker 2: You had some mistakes, a dumb flea flicker that turned 297 00:13:55,360 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 2: into a h that turned into a picks. That was 298 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 2: a huge break for the Cardinals. They got them right 299 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 2: back into the game, and the Cardinals were able to 300 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 2: hang on and cover that seven point line on the road. 301 00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:09,600 Speaker 2: That was a major sweat and a huge win for 302 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 2: the public. The books got killed in a couple of games, 303 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:14,560 Speaker 2: Cowboys last night, they got killed. 304 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:16,760 Speaker 1: The books have been getting killed here, and. 305 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:18,680 Speaker 2: I bet the public is all gonna fade the Jaguars 306 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 2: who were owering three, and they're gonna lay the seven 307 00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 2: and a half here with the Bengals. I'm not gonna 308 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 2: do it, Okay, I'm gonna go one unit forty five 309 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 2: and a half. We're going over forty five and a 310 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 2: half for Thursday Night Football at one unit, and just 311 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 2: root for points eight and one overall primetime overs. 312 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 1: Eight in a row. 313 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 2: Just gonna come back to it. The books are expecting 314 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 2: the Jaguars to not score. I think they're gonna score. 315 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 2: I know the Bengals are gonna score. We may jump 316 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 2: in with like a half unit on the team total 317 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 2: going into Thursday Night to add on to some extra 318 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 2: stuff for that for the pod. But I'm going one 319 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 2: unit Thursday Night Football, we're going over forty five and 320 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 2: a half. You can probably gro bit shop around. I've 321 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 2: seen forty six is and a half, but forty five 322 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 2: and a half for the over for Bengals and the 323 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 2: Jaguars here on Thursday Night Football coming up here in 324 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 2: a couple of days. Okay, So the Bucks minus seven 325 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:14,680 Speaker 2: and a half, sorry, Bucks minus six and a half, 326 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 2: one unit over on Thursday Night for the Jaguars. In 327 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 2: the Bengals also for one unit. All right, that's Thursday. 328 00:15:22,960 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 2: Let's talk about Friday. Let's talk college of football. Friday night, 329 00:15:27,760 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 2: college football. I am going to continue my fading of Iowa, 330 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 2: which has burned me consistently this year. Iowa's gonna win 331 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 2: more than eight and a half games unless they totally 332 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 2: fall apart. 333 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 1: But do you believe that Iowa is a top five team? 334 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:45,640 Speaker 2: Like, really, do you believe that there's only four teams 335 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 2: in football right now in college football better than Iowa? 336 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:54,240 Speaker 2: Come off of it. Okay, this is a trap game. 337 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:58,320 Speaker 2: This has trapp written all over it. Friday night against 338 00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 2: four and oh Maryland. You know what the kids in 339 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 2: Maryland are doing. They're going to be pre partying the 340 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 2: entire day. They have a top five team coming in. 341 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 2: This is to his little brother who's been playing really well. 342 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 2: Iowa doesn't score all that much. Okay, I'm just I 343 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:19,200 Speaker 2: don't buy Indiana that win. Indiana is not very good. Okay, 344 00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 2: we faded Indiana again. Cincinnati, we got that right, Okay, 345 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 2: Iowa State, come on, Iowa State's ninety good. They lost 346 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 2: to Baylor last weekend, Okay. 347 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:29,000 Speaker 1: Not great. 348 00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 2: They had a tough time in the first half against Colorado, 349 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 2: State last week, and they outscored them seventeen to nothing 350 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:38,080 Speaker 2: down the stretch to win that game and cover. But again, no, 351 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 2: actually I don't think I did cover that game, but 352 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:43,000 Speaker 2: still they won the game. I'm just not buying this, man, 353 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 2: I'm not buying the quarterback. The running game's been pretty good. 354 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:51,440 Speaker 2: Maryland's defense is okay, but I think one thing to 355 00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:55,800 Speaker 2: watch is that Iowa gets zero pressure from their front four. 356 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 1: None. 357 00:16:56,840 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 2: Their back seven's been very good. That's why they took 358 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 2: You know, Michael Pennis played really poorly. You know, so 359 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,800 Speaker 2: did Brock Purty. You looking at the back seven for 360 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 2: Iowa's played really well. But I think if you give 361 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:12,400 Speaker 2: an if you give this offense time to find receivers 362 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:15,159 Speaker 2: down the field, this is where I think Maryland can 363 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 2: be pretty damaging and dangerous here. And you got a 364 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:21,640 Speaker 2: quarterback who's completing about seventy five percent of his passes 365 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:25,160 Speaker 2: ten touchdowns, is just one interception so far this year. 366 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:29,200 Speaker 2: I like this offense, man, I like what Maryland's been doing. 367 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:32,359 Speaker 2: And I got four points here. I have Maryland plus 368 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 2: four at home. Look if I'm wrong here, Iowa fans, 369 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:38,560 Speaker 2: you can dunk all over me. Come at me. Tell 370 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,439 Speaker 2: me I'm an idiot, you know, tell me, I know 371 00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 2: I hate Iowa. I don't hate Iowa, but I just 372 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:47,119 Speaker 2: I just don't think this offensive line is all that great. 373 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 2: I don't think the defensive line is all that great. 374 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 2: And I think on the road in a in a 375 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:55,639 Speaker 2: not a rivalry game, but going across the country, going 376 00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 2: to a big ten opponent Friday night, funky start, right, 377 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 2: different type of environment. Maryland hosting Iowa, weird place to play. 378 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,199 Speaker 2: I think this thing comes down to the wire. I 379 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:10,600 Speaker 2: think you could see Maryland win this game outright. Plus 380 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 2: four Maryland at home. Give me the terps man taking 381 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 2: Maryland plus four hosting Iowa. Sprinkle on the money line, 382 00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 2: like I always say, nothing big. Probly ten percent of 383 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:24,360 Speaker 2: your wager should be on the money line. So it's 384 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,400 Speaker 2: one hundred bucks, ten bucks on the money line. Either 385 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,880 Speaker 2: think Maryland against Iowa. Give me the four points Maryland 386 00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,920 Speaker 2: plus four one unit on Friday night for college football, 387 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:40,680 Speaker 2: all right, So there's a Thursday, a Sunday, and a Friday. Now, 388 00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:44,199 Speaker 2: before somebody got angry with me and said, Matt, you 389 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 2: don't we're supposed to give daily plays. 390 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 1: All right, here's your play for today. 391 00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:52,480 Speaker 2: On a Tuesday, half a unit parlay for Major League Baseball. 392 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,840 Speaker 2: The Boston Red Sox have got to win. They have 393 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,959 Speaker 2: no choice. It's got swept by the Yankees. Red Sox 394 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 2: at Balton More Chris Sale against Bruce Zimmerman, Red Sox 395 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:09,400 Speaker 2: huge Monster favorites minus two seventy Red Sox money line. 396 00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 1: The Dodgers are two. 397 00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,840 Speaker 2: Games behind the Giants coming down the stretch here, the 398 00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:18,240 Speaker 2: Dodgers do not want to play in the wild card game. 399 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:20,680 Speaker 1: They're both in, but they don't want to play in 400 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:21,480 Speaker 1: the wild card game. 401 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 2: Dodgers are throwing Walker Buehler up against you, Darvish monster favorites. 402 00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:29,200 Speaker 1: Padres are out of it, they've been eliminated. 403 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 2: Big changes coming for this team, and they're facing a 404 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:33,120 Speaker 2: Dodger team that's angry. 405 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 1: It needs a win money line Dodgers. 406 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:40,080 Speaker 2: And then Luke Weaver is up against Logan Webb, and 407 00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:42,640 Speaker 2: we know how bad the Diamondbacks have been this year 408 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,160 Speaker 2: on the road and how good Logan web has been 409 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:49,159 Speaker 2: for the Giants. Giants trying to keep themselves in front 410 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:52,920 Speaker 2: of the Dodgers two game lead for them. The road 411 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:56,600 Speaker 2: record for Arizona is now twenty and fifty eight. They 412 00:19:56,640 --> 00:20:00,960 Speaker 2: have twenty wins on the road this year. Money half 413 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 2: a unit three leg parlay Red Sox Giants, Dodgers plus 414 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 2: two hundred, half a unit bet going plus two hundred 415 00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:15,280 Speaker 2: for a half a unit Red Sox money line, Giants 416 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:19,600 Speaker 2: money line Dodgers money line. Okay, there's your half unit 417 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 2: bet for today with three baseball huge favorites. Don't care. 418 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:25,160 Speaker 2: It's down the stretch. These teams have got to win, 419 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 2: they have no choice. That's the bet for today for 420 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:32,480 Speaker 2: the daily juice. So there is something going today here 421 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 2: for us now exactly a in depth hardcore handicap. You 422 00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:41,360 Speaker 2: got the best pitchers, Bueller, Sale and Web. I'm good 423 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:43,120 Speaker 2: with them. We're riding with them here to win these 424 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:46,639 Speaker 2: games for their teams. Three leg moneyline parlay at plus 425 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:49,919 Speaker 2: two hundred here for a half a unit. Right, So 426 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 2: to recap the plays two NFL box Minetus six and 427 00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:57,360 Speaker 2: a half. We're playing both sides of seven. There kind 428 00:20:57,359 --> 00:21:01,200 Speaker 2: of a system. Play over five and a half. Thursday 429 00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:06,200 Speaker 2: Night Football Maryland plus four at home on Friday Night Dodgers, 430 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:10,400 Speaker 2: Red Sox, Giants Monday line parlay half a unit at 431 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 2: plus two hundred. Mine's Matt Parolt follow me on Twitter 432 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,800 Speaker 2: at sports dot Matt. Each day morning, it's the Daily 433 00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 2: Juice podcast right here on Bettingpros dot Com, always being 434 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:20,800 Speaker 2: brought to you by bet MGM