WEBVTT - Why Your Portfolio Needs Investment Trusts

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<v Speaker 1>John, Hello man, Hello, Now, John, I've got a question

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<v Speaker 1>for you.

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<v Speaker 2>Go ahead.

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<v Speaker 1>I want you to imagine, and I know you've got

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<v Speaker 1>a good imagination to imagine. They're a hugely successful entrepreneur.

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<v Speaker 1>You had a brilliant idea, maybe eight years ago, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>only five years ago, really good idea. You've worked very hard,

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<v Speaker 1>you've implemented your idea. Well, you've built up a business,

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<v Speaker 1>You've hired a parlor of people, you're making a parlor money.

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<v Speaker 1>And now you're thinking to yourself, do you know what

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<v Speaker 1>getting on a bet? Not you, personally, John, were all

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<v Speaker 1>in the world of imagination.

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<v Speaker 3>Now getting on a bet.

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<v Speaker 1>I think in the next ten years, fifteen years or so,

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<v Speaker 1>i'd like to retire. I'm going to list this company.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to let other people share in the growth here.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm going to list. So that's You's like me. It's

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<v Speaker 3>so like you. And then you look around the world

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<v Speaker 3>and you think, ah, where should I list? So here's

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<v Speaker 3>my question. You're going to choose the UK right because

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<v Speaker 3>you live here.

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<v Speaker 4>You like it.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a good place, aren't you.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 5>I mean absolutely, of course I'm a Patriot. Although no,

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<v Speaker 5>wait a minute, what's this. I'm hearing the siren song

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<v Speaker 5>from across the Atlantic that says, well, what does it say?

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<v Speaker 5>Maland because this is the point of your excellent column

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<v Speaker 5>this week.

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<v Speaker 1>Ah, excellent, I like that. What it says that siren

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<v Speaker 1>call is it says money, money, Let me give you

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<v Speaker 1>more money. And we know that you're financially incentivized, right

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<v Speaker 1>because you've done this amazing thing already. So what the

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<v Speaker 1>call says is, come to us, Come to us in

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<v Speaker 1>New York, and you can list your company at maybe

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<v Speaker 1>forty percent more, and you could list it at home,

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<v Speaker 1>and you get to keep all that lovely money of

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<v Speaker 1>the percent of the company that you list, and then

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<v Speaker 1>then you can stay on a CEO for as long

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<v Speaker 1>as you like, and we'll pay you double, maybe triple,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe cold druple what you might get if you were

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<v Speaker 1>a CEO in the UK. And you know, if you

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<v Speaker 1>stayed in the UK after nine years or so, all

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<v Speaker 1>the big investors in the UK will be going, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>do you know what, that's kind of our limits. You've

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<v Speaker 1>got to go now, even if you were the dry

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<v Speaker 1>being forced behind the company, even if you've been taking

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<v Speaker 1>brilliant decisions all the way through those institutional investors will

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<v Speaker 1>be going, yeah, we're gonna have to vote against you.

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<v Speaker 3>Sorry.

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<v Speaker 5>See that sounds awful. Why would anyone less than the

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<v Speaker 5>UK let a lot? Also in the small numbers that

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<v Speaker 5>are actually doing it, where is.

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<v Speaker 1>That small number they're not?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean that's the problem.

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<v Speaker 1>We have very few listings in the UK at the

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<v Speaker 1>moment we had any of this year, five six, something

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<v Speaker 1>like that.

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<v Speaker 3>Very few listings.

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<v Speaker 1>There are a lot of listings going on with China

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<v Speaker 1>is the big is a big place for listing to

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<v Speaker 1>them when most companies are listing there, or more companies

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<v Speaker 1>are listing there. There've been I think fifty six or

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<v Speaker 1>something in the US so far this year, and there's

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<v Speaker 1>been a reasonable smattering in Europe. But there is very

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<v Speaker 1>little incentive right now to list in the UK because

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<v Speaker 1>we have spent so much time by trying to make

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<v Speaker 1>ourselves to the gold standard of international governance. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>if you list in the UK, you are going to

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<v Speaker 1>be regulated into the ground. There's literally nothing you can

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<v Speaker 1>do that doesn't mean referring to to a code of

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<v Speaker 1>some kind or a compliance department of some kind.

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<v Speaker 3>And all the big institutions in.

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<v Speaker 1>The UK have huge stewardship and sustainability departments as a result,

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<v Speaker 1>and a lot of your life is going to be

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<v Speaker 1>spent talking to them. And if you talk to a

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<v Speaker 1>fund manager in the UK, they will say, you know

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<v Speaker 1>the guy who the woman who actually manages the money,

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<v Speaker 1>they will they spent they spend half their life listening

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<v Speaker 1>to the sustainability and stewardship company is telling them how

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<v Speaker 1>they have to vote against this, and vote against that

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<v Speaker 1>and vote against this. So it becomes a very kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a tight area to work. And of course everyone

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<v Speaker 1>was on your case about money. You get paid too much.

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<v Speaker 1>You shouldn't get that much, but you should be paid less.

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<v Speaker 1>This isn't right, You should leave, et cetera, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 4>Et cetera.

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<v Speaker 3>You go to the US and all it kind of vanishes.

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<v Speaker 3>So why wouldn't you at all?

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<v Speaker 5>But one one on this is on the compliance said

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<v Speaker 5>and the ESG saide.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean this sort of.

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<v Speaker 5>Stuff is is global, isn't it? How has it got

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<v Speaker 5>so much? Was in the UK? I mean the p

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<v Speaker 5>thing is is clear leave very different and always has been.

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<v Speaker 4>Well.

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<v Speaker 1>I think you know, we love a bit of regulation,

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<v Speaker 1>we love a bit of bureaucracy. We've got endless people

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<v Speaker 1>and endless different organizations creating codes and sets of guidance

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<v Speaker 1>or remember a lot of stuff is guidance. But if

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<v Speaker 1>you're a company and you don't follow the guidance, then

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<v Speaker 1>nonetheless the big institutions will vote against you because they've

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<v Speaker 1>got sort of that stuck in their head as well.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, there's there's a lot of different organizations,

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<v Speaker 1>different sets of guidance, different regulators or telling you that

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<v Speaker 1>you have to do this, and you have do that,

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<v Speaker 1>and you have to do this.

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<v Speaker 3>And when you you.

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<v Speaker 1>Know, each individual piece, if the likes of you and

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<v Speaker 1>I are ordinary investors look at it, we're like, well

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<v Speaker 1>that that's entirely reasonable. People should have to do that,

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<v Speaker 1>and people should have to do that, and people should

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<v Speaker 1>have to do that. But as it piles up and

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<v Speaker 1>up and up and up and up, it gets the

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<v Speaker 1>point where, you know, what about the actual business, what

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<v Speaker 1>about the innovation, what about the wealth creation, what about

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<v Speaker 1>the value creation, what about the productivity? You know, it

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<v Speaker 1>becomes a sort of a heavy blanket lying over the

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<v Speaker 1>real activity of a company. So then you get this,

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<v Speaker 1>this this feeling from CEOs they're not allowed to do

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<v Speaker 1>what they do best, which is run a business. And worse,

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<v Speaker 1>they're not allowed to do what they do best, and

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<v Speaker 1>they're also not allowed to get paid for doing it,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe not as well as they'd like to do, if

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<v Speaker 1>that makes sense. Whereas you can go somewhere else and

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<v Speaker 1>get all those things out. There's so many problems here.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, good governance is great. We're all very pro

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<v Speaker 1>good governance, but you cannot make investing safe. You shouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>even try and make investing safe because risk is the

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<v Speaker 1>price of growth.

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<v Speaker 3>That's how it works.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, yeah again doing desicree home, might you this

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<v Speaker 5>is just about the US have insucked all the oxygen

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<v Speaker 5>equity markets in jeninal over the last ten years because

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<v Speaker 5>everyone's been all these party growth stocks let's go. You know,

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<v Speaker 5>you test Etctera, et cetera, and Neil Harton to be

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<v Speaker 5>over there as oppose. They's a specific problem with the UK.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that comes back to something that you and I've

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<v Speaker 1>talked about a lot about this, this idea that evaluation

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<v Speaker 1>gap in the US and the UK is is slightly

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<v Speaker 1>out of control. It's wider than it's ever been with

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<v Speaker 1>running what near forty percent still, but we've also looked

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<v Speaker 1>at you and I had a lot of the research

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<v Speaker 1>and the data that shows that even if you pull

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<v Speaker 1>out the growth, if you are just for that, there's

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<v Speaker 1>still a valuation gap between the US and the UK.

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<v Speaker 3>And so the question is really to ask what is

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<v Speaker 3>that all about?

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<v Speaker 1>Why is it that a companies prefer to list in

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<v Speaker 1>the US but be one of the obvious reasons for

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<v Speaker 1>that is the valuation gap. You know, you spent all

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<v Speaker 1>this time creating a company, building up a company, and

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<v Speaker 1>putting the private equity dynamic to side for one moment

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<v Speaker 1>we're just talking about genuine entrepreneurs. You've done all that,

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<v Speaker 1>Why wouldn't you get the best price for it? Why

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't you want to get the best price for it?

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<v Speaker 1>So why wouldn't you think about listing in the place

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<v Speaker 1>you can get the best price. So we can't argue

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<v Speaker 1>about whether the evaluations in the US are wrong or

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<v Speaker 1>right and whether they'll mean revert or not mean revert,

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<v Speaker 1>But right now that's where we are. So there's this problem.

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<v Speaker 1>And then the other problem, of course, is the actual

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<v Speaker 1>pay of CEOs. And we like to think, don't we

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<v Speaker 1>all us that you know, once you get above ten

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<v Speaker 1>million or so, it's neither here nor there how much

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<v Speaker 1>you get paid. But if the question is ten million

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<v Speaker 1>or two hundred million, I guess maybe it is here

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<v Speaker 1>or there. And we can also say, and I agree

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<v Speaker 1>with this, that CEOs are paid too much across the

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<v Speaker 1>board in general in the US and in the UK.

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<v Speaker 1>But even if I feel that and you feel that,

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<v Speaker 1>that doesn't mean that we feel that strongly enough that

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<v Speaker 1>we prefer companies listed somewhere else.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, I guess. I mean this is the

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<v Speaker 5>This is the tricky part of all of this, isn't it.

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<v Speaker 5>Because on the one hand, we want this because, as

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<v Speaker 5>you point out in your book, we want to have

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<v Speaker 5>a thriving shareholder democracy and that's really important for the

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<v Speaker 5>creation of capital and having a dynamic economy and all

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<v Speaker 5>the rest of those great things. And on the other hand,

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of the things that we don't like are

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<v Speaker 5>the things that America A lows. So it is things like,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, founders being able to have all of the

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<v Speaker 5>voting shares without actually owning that much of the company.

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<v Speaker 5>Things like founders and more. Actually, I don't mind founders

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<v Speaker 5>so much getting paid in saying amounts of money, but

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<v Speaker 5>I do have a problem were essentially kind of like

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<v Speaker 5>middle management executive equivalents who have become the chief executive

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<v Speaker 5>getting generational, life changing wealth, which is one of the

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<v Speaker 5>objections that people have had to, you know, things like

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<v Speaker 5>the ridiculous the big bonus that the Persimmon guy got.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, here's the big battery, isn't he. There's always those

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<v Speaker 3>outliers for everybody.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, helped that. That was government subsidized as well.

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<v Speaker 1>But we're not going to go to help to buy today. No,

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<v Speaker 1>no beginning to get a rage going already. We're not

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<v Speaker 1>doing help to buy.

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<v Speaker 5>But yeah, things like how do we or rather can

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<v Speaker 5>we get the best of both worlds? I mean, I

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<v Speaker 5>suppose one of the things I was thinking in a

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<v Speaker 5>Regier column was does this boil down the act of

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<v Speaker 5>institutional investors needn't to be more engaged and to focus

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<v Speaker 5>on certain things that they're not focused and just know

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<v Speaker 5>because I mean, see, you don't get enough pupike on

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<v Speaker 5>my wage? Is any we in a we you want

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<v Speaker 5>more of that?

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<v Speaker 1>Get quite a lot in the UK Now there's quite

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of this. There's endless voting again to our tips, etc.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that that has really come a long way

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<v Speaker 1>since you and I started bitching about it. Fifteen twenty

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<v Speaker 1>years ago, so that there's been a shift there. But

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<v Speaker 1>I suppose that the real thing is that we need

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<v Speaker 1>to find it a middle way as usual, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and the FCA and everywhere they are beginning to recognize

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<v Speaker 1>that the UK has gone too far in wrapping its

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<v Speaker 1>corporates up in endless regulation and too far towards trying

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<v Speaker 1>to make everything safe. And as you know, I'm a

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<v Speaker 1>huge advocate of shareholded democracy than my bookshere Power you

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<v Speaker 1>were just mentioning, is all about that. So I'm a

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<v Speaker 1>huge fan of that. But I'm also much more than

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<v Speaker 1>I'm a fan of anything. I'm a fan of economic

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<v Speaker 1>growth and fan of productivity growth, and a fan of

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<v Speaker 1>us finding ways to grow our economy. That means that

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<v Speaker 1>the entire country can benefit. And if we don't have deep, popular,

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<v Speaker 1>liquid capital markets in the UK, we don't get to

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<v Speaker 1>have any of the rest. So it seems to me

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<v Speaker 1>incredibly important that we look at what's happening now and say,

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<v Speaker 1>do you know what, this isn't working. We've gone too far,

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<v Speaker 1>so we've got to pull back from it a bit.

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<v Speaker 1>And when you see the fund managers coming out and going, oh, well,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know that doesn't feel safe anymore. I just

0:10:32.520 --> 0:10:34.120
<v Speaker 1>want to go out and shake all of them and say,

0:10:34.200 --> 0:10:34.680
<v Speaker 1>this is.

0:10:34.720 --> 0:10:38.240
<v Speaker 3>Actually your job. Your job. Your job is to.

0:10:38.200 --> 0:10:40.440
<v Speaker 1>Go out there, look through the oputy markets, give it

0:10:40.440 --> 0:10:44.560
<v Speaker 1>a good sift around, and find the companies that are good,

0:10:44.720 --> 0:10:46.800
<v Speaker 1>that you know, aren't going to have governance issues, that

0:10:46.880 --> 0:10:49.200
<v Speaker 1>aren't going to go bust, that aren't going to you know,

0:10:49.240 --> 0:10:52.839
<v Speaker 1>turn out to be fraudulent, etc. That is your actual job.

0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:54.920
<v Speaker 1>So you know, don't be turning around and saying to

0:10:54.960 --> 0:10:56.960
<v Speaker 1>the regulators you need to do more because I can't

0:10:56.960 --> 0:10:59.640
<v Speaker 1>be asked to do the governance myself. Enough of this enough.

0:11:00.080 --> 0:11:01.880
<v Speaker 5>The one thing I actually did want to say, and

0:11:02.120 --> 0:11:03.680
<v Speaker 5>this is something you didn't mention to call them, but

0:11:03.720 --> 0:11:06.280
<v Speaker 5>I was just curious as to how much of this

0:11:06.559 --> 0:11:11.559
<v Speaker 5>you think ties in with the rise of passive investing,

0:11:12.400 --> 0:11:16.800
<v Speaker 5>both in terms of perhaps you know, because I mean

0:11:17.000 --> 0:11:19.360
<v Speaker 5>a lot of the kind of ESG stuff has ended

0:11:19.400 --> 0:11:21.679
<v Speaker 5>up being driven by people like black Rock to try

0:11:21.880 --> 0:11:27.600
<v Speaker 5>and differentiate their offering from other providers passive, and also

0:11:27.640 --> 0:11:30.920
<v Speaker 5>a lot of the fact that the a lot of

0:11:30.920 --> 0:11:33.240
<v Speaker 5>the auxygen being sucked out the global equity markets has

0:11:33.280 --> 0:11:37.920
<v Speaker 5>been partly because obviously passive funds the money. It gravitates

0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:41.240
<v Speaker 5>to where the most money is. And therefore, as other

0:11:41.400 --> 0:11:43.640
<v Speaker 5>markets I've got, as the US has got big, that's

0:11:43.640 --> 0:11:45.000
<v Speaker 5>attracted ever more money.

0:11:46.200 --> 0:11:47.280
<v Speaker 2>I just wonder how much.

0:11:47.120 --> 0:11:51.800
<v Speaker 5>Of this is kind of doubted that almost I don't know,

0:11:52.000 --> 0:11:55.800
<v Speaker 5>kind of automation equity markets have kind of lost some

0:11:55.840 --> 0:11:56.400
<v Speaker 5>of that.

0:11:58.960 --> 0:12:01.640
<v Speaker 2>Sparkle. I guess that then ended up going to Krypto.

0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:03.960
<v Speaker 4>You're an old romantic, aren't you.

0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:07.880
<v Speaker 2>Chance Well, yes, obviously.

0:12:08.880 --> 0:12:11.160
<v Speaker 1>The aswer is I don't know. I just don't know,

0:12:11.400 --> 0:12:13.439
<v Speaker 1>And you and I are always because we great believer

0:12:13.480 --> 0:12:15.840
<v Speaker 1>is in active management or I am anyway, you know,

0:12:15.880 --> 0:12:19.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm always keen to blame passive for absolutely everything, but

0:12:19.800 --> 0:12:21.800
<v Speaker 1>but I'm not convinced that that's what it is here.

0:12:21.840 --> 0:12:26.480
<v Speaker 1>It's driven by the do goodery of the far management companies,

0:12:26.480 --> 0:12:28.640
<v Speaker 1>of course, and as you say, their efforts to differentiate

0:12:28.679 --> 0:12:31.600
<v Speaker 1>themselves by by selling stewardship, ESG, etc.

0:12:31.920 --> 0:12:33.600
<v Speaker 3>But that's not necessarily part of passive.

0:12:33.880 --> 0:12:36.240
<v Speaker 1>But it's also driven by, I think, in the main,

0:12:36.360 --> 0:12:38.920
<v Speaker 1>by the regulatory environment in the UK, where we really

0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:41.080
<v Speaker 1>want to make everything a gold standard and we've done

0:12:41.120 --> 0:12:44.040
<v Speaker 1>our absolute best to add the best governance in the

0:12:44.040 --> 0:12:45.839
<v Speaker 1>world and to make one of the reasons why you

0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:48.680
<v Speaker 1>want to list in the UK because it has the

0:12:48.760 --> 0:12:51.319
<v Speaker 1>best governance. But in fact, you know what the best

0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 1>governance isn't necessarily the best.

0:12:55.120 --> 0:12:57.600
<v Speaker 3>Thing for growth. So you know, we have to find

0:12:57.920 --> 0:12:58.480
<v Speaker 3>a middle way.

0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:01.840
<v Speaker 1>That's that's my view. I don't know quite how that

0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:04.640
<v Speaker 1>little way works, but I do know that the the

0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:07.480
<v Speaker 1>reforms to the listing environment the FCA came out with

0:13:07.960 --> 0:13:11.560
<v Speaker 1>earlier this week are an excellent start, but only a start.

0:13:16.360 --> 0:13:19.080
<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Merin Talks Money, the podcast in which people

0:13:19.120 --> 0:13:21.280
<v Speaker 1>who know the markets explain the markets.

0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:22.520
<v Speaker 4>I'm Merrit Sunset Web.

0:13:22.760 --> 0:13:24.800
<v Speaker 1>This week we are going to have a conversation with

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:28.240
<v Speaker 1>Simon Elliott, who's a managing director at JP Morgan Asset Management.

0:13:28.480 --> 0:13:32.000
<v Speaker 1>He works as the client director for his absolutely vast

0:13:32.080 --> 0:13:35.280
<v Speaker 1>investment trust business. Now, Simon, you and I have been

0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:37.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about investment trust for I don't know how many years,

0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:42.000
<v Speaker 1>both getting old, Yeah, a good, good decade, possibly two decades,

0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe even more.

0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:44.520
<v Speaker 4>We've been talking about investment trust.

0:13:44.559 --> 0:13:47.360
<v Speaker 1>Now I want to start because I'm not sure that

0:13:47.400 --> 0:13:49.560
<v Speaker 1>all of our audience will be totally okay with what

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:51.400
<v Speaker 1>makes an investment trust great.

0:13:51.720 --> 0:13:53.839
<v Speaker 4>So before, I believe makes them great.

0:13:53.920 --> 0:13:56.040
<v Speaker 1>So before we get into talking about the sector's problems,

0:13:56.080 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 1>it's difficulties and the fascinating things that are happening unders

0:13:58.559 --> 0:14:01.920
<v Speaker 1>so many bonnets at the moment, let's start by just

0:14:02.280 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 1>running through what it is that makes an investment trust

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:07.360
<v Speaker 1>a special kind of investment. Yeah.

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:09.600
<v Speaker 2>Well, at the end of the day, an investment trust

0:14:09.760 --> 0:14:12.839
<v Speaker 2>is a PLC. It's a publicly listed company. It has

0:14:12.880 --> 0:14:16.360
<v Speaker 2>the advantage over other forms of collectives of being a

0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:19.560
<v Speaker 2>captive pool of capital, so in theory at least, it

0:14:19.560 --> 0:14:22.120
<v Speaker 2>shouldn't be a full seller at times when market conditions

0:14:22.160 --> 0:14:25.400
<v Speaker 2>become more difficult. It also has a number of advantages

0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:30.120
<v Speaker 2>in terms of dividend payments. So this concept of dividend

0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:33.640
<v Speaker 2>heroes those investment trust companies that have records of twenty

0:14:33.800 --> 0:14:36.840
<v Speaker 2>or more years of consecutive dividend growth, of which I

0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:40.160
<v Speaker 2>think they're about eighteen or so at the moment, led

0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 2>by City of London Investment Trusting. That's up to about

0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:45.880
<v Speaker 2>fifty five years now of consecutive diffident growth. In addition

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:48.760
<v Speaker 2>to that, we've seen a number of investment trust take

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:53.160
<v Speaker 2>on powers to pay out enhance dividends as well, so clearly,

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 2>dividends can be cut or can be suspended for investment companies,

0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:59.200
<v Speaker 2>but they've got a number of advantages which provides a

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 2>degree of creat dividends certainty.

0:15:01.800 --> 0:15:03.480
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, dividends is quite interesting, isn't it.

0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Because it used to be that you weren't allowed to

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:08.600
<v Speaker 1>pay dividends out of capital. You couldn't, we couldn't effectively

0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:11.240
<v Speaker 1>change capital into income and pay it out.

0:15:11.120 --> 0:15:13.120
<v Speaker 4>As a dividend, and there were very good reasons for that.

0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:15.360
<v Speaker 1>But now it is possible, quite a lot of trust

0:15:15.440 --> 0:15:18.200
<v Speaker 1>of picking it up, and it's still quite a divisive.

0:15:17.800 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 4>Issue, isn't it. Yeah, No, it is.

0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 2>You're right. There was a tax change a number of

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:24.200
<v Speaker 2>years ago which meant it was possible. A few investment

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:26.800
<v Speaker 2>trusts have gone down that route, including a few and

0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:28.520
<v Speaker 2>the JP Morgan ranges. It happens, and I think we've

0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:31.880
<v Speaker 2>got six pain enhanced dividends at the moment. I mean,

0:15:31.920 --> 0:15:33.320
<v Speaker 2>it's something to keep an eye on. I mean, the

0:15:33.640 --> 0:15:38.000
<v Speaker 2>arguments against it is that it's tax inefficient. Effectively, you're

0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 2>turning capital into income, and we know the differential in

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 2>terms of tax rates between income and capital gains tax,

0:15:44.840 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 2>so you know, you could argue that perhaps it doesn't

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:50.440
<v Speaker 2>quite make sense. However, the reality is it does appeal

0:15:50.640 --> 0:15:53.880
<v Speaker 2>seem to appeal to a wider range of investors, and

0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:56.880
<v Speaker 2>particularly retail investors who frankly, you know, are looking for

0:15:56.960 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 2>sources of income. So if I mean, probably the best

0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 2>example is the JP Walgan Global Growth and Income Fund

0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:06.800
<v Speaker 2>that has a four percent enhanced evidend. It's probably gone

0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:09.040
<v Speaker 2>a natural yield between two two and a half and

0:16:09.080 --> 0:16:11.880
<v Speaker 2>then it converts an element of capital and that's proven

0:16:12.000 --> 0:16:14.560
<v Speaker 2>very popular with retail investors and really been a big

0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:15.360
<v Speaker 2>part of its story.

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:17.120
<v Speaker 4>It's interesting and it.

0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:18.840
<v Speaker 1>Kind of makes those big trusts, I mean, that's a

0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 1>classic of the genre.

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:21.760
<v Speaker 4>Global Growth and Income kind of makes them into you.

0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:23.960
<v Speaker 4>It makes them into annuities to a degree.

0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:25.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you think about what the retail investor

0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:27.600
<v Speaker 1>is after, and one of the reasons why perhaps a

0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:30.320
<v Speaker 1>retail investor is much bothered by the tax element of

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:31.760
<v Speaker 1>this is because they hold a lot of these big

0:16:31.800 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 1>trusts inside their I sell or in particular, inside their

0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:38.160
<v Speaker 1>SIP and in the old days, you know, when it

0:16:38.200 --> 0:16:40.520
<v Speaker 1>came to pension time, you'd take all that money that

0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:43.160
<v Speaker 1>you'd saved up and you'd hand it over in exchange

0:16:43.160 --> 0:16:47.440
<v Speaker 1>for an annuity which was effectively turning your capital into

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:50.720
<v Speaker 1>income over the period until you're death right. And if

0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:52.840
<v Speaker 1>you get one of these big trusts now and you

0:16:53.200 --> 0:16:55.200
<v Speaker 1>can see that they're only making a natural yield of

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:57.320
<v Speaker 1>one percent or two percent or two and a half percent,

0:16:57.520 --> 0:16:58.960
<v Speaker 1>and they say, well, we're going to pay you four

0:16:59.000 --> 0:17:00.280
<v Speaker 1>and a half percent Now.

0:17:00.360 --> 0:17:01.240
<v Speaker 4>They may or may not.

0:17:01.160 --> 0:17:03.080
<v Speaker 1>Be making the capital game to back that up, but

0:17:03.360 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 1>they're becoming a type of annuity for the retail investor.

0:17:06.040 --> 0:17:07.800
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think you make a good point about

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:10.919
<v Speaker 2>where these investments are held. I mean, tax efficient rappers

0:17:10.920 --> 0:17:14.560
<v Speaker 2>are hugely important and probably explain why there has been

0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:18.920
<v Speaker 2>a good uptake from retail investors for these type of funds.

0:17:19.359 --> 0:17:21.120
<v Speaker 2>I mean, there are people in the wealth management community

0:17:21.119 --> 0:17:23.760
<v Speaker 2>who have greater issues with it, but I think as

0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:25.840
<v Speaker 2>the years have gone by and the kind of strategy

0:17:25.880 --> 0:17:28.239
<v Speaker 2>has become more proven, I think you know, you're likely

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 2>to see even more uptake.

0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:31.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, you're not picking up my innuity point.

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:36.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm trying, really trying, really hard to get the investment

0:17:36.000 --> 0:17:38.600
<v Speaker 1>trust industry to take one of these great big trusts

0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:41.919
<v Speaker 1>and explicitly say, hey, guys, you know what we can make.

0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:43.679
<v Speaker 4>This indur in a nuity for you. You still get

0:17:43.720 --> 0:17:45.120
<v Speaker 4>to control the remaining capital.

0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:47.280
<v Speaker 1>But so far no one has taken my bait, and

0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:49.560
<v Speaker 1>I sense you're not going to either disappointing.

0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:52.359
<v Speaker 2>Well, we'll see. I mean, I think what I would

0:17:52.359 --> 0:17:55.480
<v Speaker 2>say about investment trust is that there's always innovation across

0:17:55.520 --> 0:17:57.800
<v Speaker 2>the sector. I mean, you know, as you well know,

0:17:57.880 --> 0:18:00.639
<v Speaker 2>it's in one hundred and fifty five years history of

0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:04.000
<v Speaker 2>investment trusts, and they have proven to be very adaptable

0:18:04.040 --> 0:18:07.199
<v Speaker 2>and innovative. So you know, things like enhanced dividends or

0:18:07.200 --> 0:18:09.919
<v Speaker 2>other policies or of a strategies that they pursued. I mean,

0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:11.720
<v Speaker 2>there's a reason why they've survived for so long.

0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:13.600
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and it's not just survive.

0:18:13.720 --> 0:18:16.159
<v Speaker 1>I'm one of the fascinating things about investment trust is

0:18:16.160 --> 0:18:19.920
<v Speaker 1>they have a long history of regularly outperforming other types

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:21.920
<v Speaker 1>of investment vehicles. So if we just be really simple

0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:24.560
<v Speaker 1>and call investment trusts closed down vehicles and the other

0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:28.480
<v Speaker 1>kind open ended vehicles in the main, over time, investment

0:18:28.520 --> 0:18:30.160
<v Speaker 1>trusts have outperformed, haven't they.

0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:32.240
<v Speaker 4>And we're never entirely sure why.

0:18:32.480 --> 0:18:33.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, we live at it and we say, well,

0:18:33.880 --> 0:18:36.440
<v Speaker 1>all the all the advantages that you listed earlier.

0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 4>Which one is that that makes the difference.

0:18:39.280 --> 0:18:40.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's right. I mean, I think there there have

0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:43.320
<v Speaker 2>been some very interesting academic studies over the years that

0:18:43.359 --> 0:18:46.280
<v Speaker 2>would have you know, would would would suggest that that

0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:48.440
<v Speaker 2>is the case, and I mean there's various reasons why

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:50.760
<v Speaker 2>that might be so. I mean, the fact that investment

0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 2>trusts can deploy a modest amount of gearing obviously helpful

0:18:54.880 --> 0:18:57.960
<v Speaker 2>in a kind of rising market situation. The fact that

0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:03.160
<v Speaker 2>they can invest in less liquid companies is obviously important,

0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:05.320
<v Speaker 2>but I think it allows the portfolio managers to take

0:19:05.359 --> 0:19:08.480
<v Speaker 2>longer term investment decisions, you know, they don't have to

0:19:08.760 --> 0:19:12.400
<v Speaker 2>worry about any potential short term redemptions, which is obviously

0:19:12.600 --> 0:19:14.919
<v Speaker 2>the case for open ended funds or even just managing

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 2>flows in and out. I think that captive paula capital is,

0:19:18.800 --> 0:19:21.480
<v Speaker 2>you know, is a huge advantage, and particularly in the

0:19:21.800 --> 0:19:23.200
<v Speaker 2>times that we find ourselves in.

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:26.680
<v Speaker 1>There's also been cost doesn't then that historical investment trusts

0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:31.000
<v Speaker 1>have been cheaper than open ended funds, which has been

0:19:31.080 --> 0:19:34.399
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that has probably driven out performance

0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:36.840
<v Speaker 1>And one of the things the industry might be concerned

0:19:36.840 --> 0:19:39.639
<v Speaker 1>about at the moment is that that cost gap has fallen.

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:42.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so certainly kind of pre RDR, which is one

0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:46.000
<v Speaker 2>of those horrible acronyms that the financial industry loves. But

0:19:46.440 --> 0:19:48.320
<v Speaker 2>there was a change. I mean, back in the day,

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:52.600
<v Speaker 2>open ended funds would often have mechanisms to pay commission

0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:56.840
<v Speaker 2>to people advising them. Obviously that's in history books now

0:19:56.880 --> 0:19:58.960
<v Speaker 2>that's falling away, but that was one of the reasons

0:19:59.000 --> 0:20:02.400
<v Speaker 2>why investment trusts were something more cost effective than open

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:04.919
<v Speaker 2>ended funds. That's no longer the case. But what we

0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 2>have seen across the investment trust sector probably for a

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:09.760
<v Speaker 2>number of years now, probably best amount of ten years,

0:20:10.000 --> 0:20:13.399
<v Speaker 2>is a repricing of management fees in particular, and I

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 2>think this is where one of the other grade advantages

0:20:15.600 --> 0:20:17.639
<v Speaker 2>of investment trust really comes into play, and that's the

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:20.639
<v Speaker 2>role of an independent board. I mean, in my experience,

0:20:20.720 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 2>boards have been very much on the front foot to

0:20:22.680 --> 0:20:25.000
<v Speaker 2>ensure that the management fees, in fact, all the kind

0:20:25.040 --> 0:20:28.080
<v Speaker 2>of costs involved in running an investment company are kept

0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:29.480
<v Speaker 2>us as keen as possible.

0:20:30.359 --> 0:20:32.600
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, it is absolutely stranginary. We won't talk

0:20:32.640 --> 0:20:33.639
<v Speaker 4>about this now, but it still.

0:20:33.520 --> 0:20:35.919
<v Speaker 1>Blows my mind every time we remember the pre RDR

0:20:36.040 --> 0:20:38.679
<v Speaker 1>days when you went to a financial advisor and you

0:20:38.920 --> 0:20:41.240
<v Speaker 1>arranged to invest in a unit trust, and then they

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:45.320
<v Speaker 1>paid that financial advisor of commission forever half of percent

0:20:45.440 --> 0:20:48.000
<v Speaker 1>or whatever it was of your investment went back to

0:20:48.040 --> 0:20:50.960
<v Speaker 1>that advisor as long as you held that investment, even

0:20:50.960 --> 0:20:52.480
<v Speaker 1>if you'd only spoken to him for half an hour.

0:20:52.560 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 4>It's amazing, wasn't it.

0:20:54.359 --> 0:20:55.320
<v Speaker 2>A different age?

0:20:55.840 --> 0:20:56.800
<v Speaker 4>Yeah? Thank goodness?

0:20:57.040 --> 0:20:57.240
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:20:57.440 --> 0:20:58.600
<v Speaker 4>I mean, I agree with you, by the way, on

0:20:59.080 --> 0:20:59.400
<v Speaker 4>these things.

0:20:59.440 --> 0:21:01.040
<v Speaker 1>I do think that the cost is important, but also

0:21:01.080 --> 0:21:02.919
<v Speaker 1>the fact that there is a board of directors, and

0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:05.000
<v Speaker 1>regular listeners will know that I have a history of

0:21:05.040 --> 0:21:07.480
<v Speaker 1>sitting on investment trust boards, and I like to think

0:21:07.600 --> 0:21:09.760
<v Speaker 1>that those boards of directors do make a difference because

0:21:09.760 --> 0:21:11.880
<v Speaker 1>they're always there to stand up for the shareholder.

0:21:11.920 --> 0:21:14.320
<v Speaker 4>But obviously investors will turn to that for themselves.

0:21:14.520 --> 0:21:17.320
<v Speaker 1>Now, moving on all these wonderful things we have been

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:19.600
<v Speaker 1>talking about the things that make this sector stand out,

0:21:19.680 --> 0:21:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the things that make it sound really fantastic. But last

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:25.280
<v Speaker 1>year wasn't a good one, was it.

0:21:25.520 --> 0:21:25.600
<v Speaker 4>No?

0:21:25.680 --> 0:21:26.119
<v Speaker 2>It wasn't.

0:21:26.240 --> 0:21:26.359
<v Speaker 1>So.

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the numbers for the investment trust company sector

0:21:29.800 --> 0:21:33.280
<v Speaker 2>last year I think it was in the sector underperform

0:21:33.320 --> 0:21:37.239
<v Speaker 2>the wider UK market substantially. And actually that's what we're

0:21:37.240 --> 0:21:38.959
<v Speaker 2>seeing this year. So the numbers are that the investment

0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:41.320
<v Speaker 2>companies were down about seventeen percent or so last year.

0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:44.080
<v Speaker 2>That compares with a slight increase in the UK market

0:21:44.080 --> 0:21:46.119
<v Speaker 2>and the form of the foot Seat all share. So

0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:48.880
<v Speaker 2>far this year, I think we've got investment companies stand

0:21:48.920 --> 0:21:51.600
<v Speaker 2>about one point seven percent and that compares will rise

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:53.679
<v Speaker 2>of five point three for the all share. So when

0:21:53.720 --> 0:21:56.359
<v Speaker 2>I'm talking about investment companies there it's worth noting there

0:21:56.520 --> 0:21:59.960
<v Speaker 2>all the investment companies that form part of the foots

0:22:00.119 --> 0:22:01.800
<v Speaker 2>all share, so there's about one hundred and ninety or

0:22:01.840 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 2>so at the moment. It's market gap weighted, so those

0:22:04.200 --> 0:22:06.919
<v Speaker 2>large investment trust companies you know, have a greater bearing

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:09.320
<v Speaker 2>on that performance. But you know, take a step back.

0:22:09.359 --> 0:22:11.879
<v Speaker 2>Suffice to say, it has been a tough period for

0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:14.120
<v Speaker 2>investment companies And is.

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:17.280
<v Speaker 4>That partly because in periods like we saw last year,

0:22:17.600 --> 0:22:20.320
<v Speaker 4>not only are their underlying.

0:22:19.800 --> 0:22:22.560
<v Speaker 1>Investments falling in value, but their discounts are widening. So

0:22:22.640 --> 0:22:25.040
<v Speaker 1>you get a negative account of negative double whammy with

0:22:25.080 --> 0:22:26.600
<v Speaker 1>an investment trust in difficult times.

0:22:26.720 --> 0:22:28.359
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's absolutely right. So if you look at the

0:22:28.359 --> 0:22:30.840
<v Speaker 2>sector average discount at the end of twenty twenty one,

0:22:30.880 --> 0:22:33.000
<v Speaker 2>it was probably stood about two two and a half percent,

0:22:33.400 --> 0:22:35.400
<v Speaker 2>so we did see a big d rating going back

0:22:35.440 --> 0:22:37.720
<v Speaker 2>to March twenty twenty at the time of the pandemic.

0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:41.000
<v Speaker 2>Obviously markets were very uncertain that that period of time,

0:22:41.000 --> 0:22:44.119
<v Speaker 2>but then there was a quick recovery since then. But

0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:48.159
<v Speaker 2>going through last year, I mean, the secretaries discount widened

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:50.680
<v Speaker 2>out about thirteen percent at the end of last year,

0:22:51.000 --> 0:22:53.280
<v Speaker 2>and it's continued to widen this year. So I think

0:22:53.320 --> 0:22:55.520
<v Speaker 2>you hit about seventeen just more than seventeen percent at

0:22:55.520 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 2>one stage. It's recovered a little but still stands at

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:02.560
<v Speaker 2>about sixteen percent, So historically that's at quite a wide level.

0:23:02.600 --> 0:23:04.080
<v Speaker 2>I mean, just to put some numbers on that, go

0:23:04.160 --> 0:23:07.760
<v Speaker 2>back to March twenty twenty, that pandemic period, I think

0:23:07.760 --> 0:23:10.119
<v Speaker 2>we bounced off about a twenty two percent sector average

0:23:10.160 --> 0:23:12.800
<v Speaker 2>discount you go back to the GFC probably a not

0:23:12.880 --> 0:23:16.280
<v Speaker 2>dissimilar level. So to be at sixteen seventeen percent does

0:23:16.320 --> 0:23:18.560
<v Speaker 2>suggest that there's something a little amiss in the world

0:23:18.600 --> 0:23:19.600
<v Speaker 2>of investment companies.

0:23:20.480 --> 0:23:21.480
<v Speaker 4>Okay, interesting.

0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:23.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean some retail investors would look at that and

0:23:24.000 --> 0:23:26.280
<v Speaker 1>immediately go, well, I'm going to buy everything insight because

0:23:26.280 --> 0:23:29.159
<v Speaker 1>when investment trust discounts are at loads like this, it's

0:23:29.280 --> 0:23:31.560
<v Speaker 1>usually historically it's been a bisignal.

0:23:32.000 --> 0:23:34.439
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And look, I mean you're absolutely right. There are

0:23:34.480 --> 0:23:36.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean not just regal investors, frankly, but there are

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 2>those investors who will look at the discounts that were

0:23:39.040 --> 0:23:41.800
<v Speaker 2>seeing across investment companies at the moment and consider them

0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:44.880
<v Speaker 2>an opportunity. I mean, there's a few things to note here.

0:23:45.000 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 2>I mean, certainly, you know, investment companies have historically played

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:51.160
<v Speaker 2>well to control and investors, So those that have looked

0:23:51.200 --> 0:23:54.760
<v Speaker 2>to take advantage of out of favor asset classes on

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:57.600
<v Speaker 2>wide discounts and then wait for those asset classes to

0:23:57.640 --> 0:23:59.719
<v Speaker 2>come in favor and those discounts narrow, so you kind

0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:02.800
<v Speaker 2>of get a double whammy effect. But then the other consideration,

0:24:03.480 --> 0:24:06.480
<v Speaker 2>and this will be true particularly for those investment trust

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:11.280
<v Speaker 2>companies exposed to private markets or private companies, is you know,

0:24:11.280 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 2>can we rely on those navy valuations because it's all

0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:16.320
<v Speaker 2>very well notionally saying it's on an x percent discount,

0:24:16.480 --> 0:24:19.600
<v Speaker 2>But if the NAV is not something that perhaps you

0:24:19.600 --> 0:24:20.960
<v Speaker 2>could rely on, then you've got to be a little

0:24:20.960 --> 0:24:21.720
<v Speaker 2>bit wary, clearly.

0:24:22.840 --> 0:24:24.959
<v Speaker 1>Okay, So let's talk about that because This is one

0:24:25.000 --> 0:24:26.640
<v Speaker 1>of the big questions in the sector at the moment

0:24:26.720 --> 0:24:30.320
<v Speaker 1>is about this trend there has been over the last

0:24:30.359 --> 0:24:34.679
<v Speaker 1>decade for investment trust to hold not just publicly listed

0:24:34.720 --> 0:24:38.000
<v Speaker 1>investments but private investments at the same time. And I'm

0:24:38.000 --> 0:24:39.760
<v Speaker 1>not going to ask you to talk to me about

0:24:39.880 --> 0:24:42.199
<v Speaker 1>companies such as Bailey Gived in particular, but they have

0:24:42.320 --> 0:24:44.640
<v Speaker 1>been the big leader here. You know, they went in

0:24:44.880 --> 0:24:47.960
<v Speaker 1>very strong making sure that the majority of their trust

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 1>hoold held not just listed investments, but private investments as well,

0:24:51.560 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 1>on the basis that on the perfectly correct basis that

0:24:54.040 --> 0:24:56.119
<v Speaker 1>that's where the growth was. If you want to be

0:24:56.240 --> 0:24:59.080
<v Speaker 1>invested in growth across the spectrum, then you.

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 4>Shouldn't distinguish what is public and what is private.

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:03.760
<v Speaker 1>And then let result is that lots of other companies

0:25:03.760 --> 0:25:06.720
<v Speaker 1>follow this lead, and we now have an awful lot

0:25:06.720 --> 0:25:09.679
<v Speaker 1>of companies out there, investment companies that hold both public

0:25:09.680 --> 0:25:12.480
<v Speaker 1>and private companies as well as the traditional private equity

0:25:12.520 --> 0:25:13.240
<v Speaker 1>companies which.

0:25:13.040 --> 0:25:16.119
<v Speaker 4>Are only private. So that's where a lot of the

0:25:16.160 --> 0:25:17.399
<v Speaker 4>big discounts are, right.

0:25:17.880 --> 0:25:19.879
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's right. I mean, look, it's worth noting that

0:25:19.920 --> 0:25:22.680
<v Speaker 2>for those investment trust companies that are exposed to public

0:25:22.760 --> 0:25:25.960
<v Speaker 2>listed companies that's on a mark to market basis when

0:25:26.000 --> 0:25:29.359
<v Speaker 2>you invariably get daily navs, and frankly, you're still seeing

0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:32.960
<v Speaker 2>quite wide a discounts on those investment trusts as well.

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:35.000
<v Speaker 2>So I mean, if you look at the JP Morgan

0:25:35.080 --> 0:25:37.960
<v Speaker 2>stable and we've got nineteen investment trusts with one exception,

0:25:37.960 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 2>they're all publicly listed underlying companies, and yet I think

0:25:41.960 --> 0:25:44.520
<v Speaker 2>our average discount is just inside a ten percent at

0:25:44.520 --> 0:25:47.000
<v Speaker 2>the moment, so you know, narrow or tighter than the

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.640
<v Speaker 2>sect average discount, but still you know, relatively wide discount.

0:25:51.040 --> 0:25:53.320
<v Speaker 2>But then you're right if you look at those investment

0:25:53.359 --> 0:25:57.040
<v Speaker 2>companies that are exposed to private companies or private markets

0:25:57.119 --> 0:25:59.040
<v Speaker 2>or infrastructure whatever it will be. I mean, there's a

0:25:59.160 --> 0:26:03.720
<v Speaker 2>range of valuation methods used to kind of calculate those navs.

0:26:04.200 --> 0:26:06.600
<v Speaker 2>And frankly, I'm sure your listeners will be turning off

0:26:06.600 --> 0:26:09.520
<v Speaker 2>in their droves if we start going through each in turn.

0:26:10.040 --> 0:26:12.440
<v Speaker 2>But it is a question mark sure, I'm quite sure

0:26:12.440 --> 0:26:12.919
<v Speaker 2>they wouldn't.

0:26:12.960 --> 0:26:15.600
<v Speaker 4>By the way, i'mquite sure they wouldn't absolutely love it to.

0:26:15.640 --> 0:26:21.840
<v Speaker 2>Be fascinated, fascinated by it that you carry on well, no,

0:26:21.920 --> 0:26:24.000
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think the point is that you know

0:26:24.040 --> 0:26:27.800
<v Speaker 2>there are various different valuation ways of doing this, and

0:26:28.720 --> 0:26:31.080
<v Speaker 2>you know, it can be quite a complicated area. But

0:26:31.119 --> 0:26:32.760
<v Speaker 2>we've been there before, so I mean, if you go

0:26:32.880 --> 0:26:35.320
<v Speaker 2>back to I mean, I started covering the investment company

0:26:35.359 --> 0:26:37.720
<v Speaker 2>sector back in the early noughties, so in the aftermath

0:26:37.800 --> 0:26:40.119
<v Speaker 2>of the tech boom, and obviously we saw the global

0:26:40.160 --> 0:26:42.960
<v Speaker 2>financial crisis in twenty and eight, and at both those

0:26:43.000 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 2>periods of time, there was this move, there was kind

0:26:44.760 --> 0:26:48.080
<v Speaker 2>of risk off move, and anything with exposure to to

0:26:48.280 --> 0:26:52.159
<v Speaker 2>private assets was derated by and large. I mean, some

0:26:52.200 --> 0:26:54.280
<v Speaker 2>of the list of private equity companies got hit very

0:26:54.280 --> 0:26:56.159
<v Speaker 2>hard by the GFC and there were a number of

0:26:56.200 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 2>issues there, but valuation amongst them. But there's this idea

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:01.840
<v Speaker 2>of you know, how do value can we rely on

0:27:01.880 --> 0:27:05.640
<v Speaker 2>the valuation? I mean, ultimately it is a very difficult area,

0:27:05.680 --> 0:27:07.520
<v Speaker 2>and I have a huge degree of sympathy for people

0:27:07.640 --> 0:27:10.359
<v Speaker 2>involved in that because ultimately, you know, what is something

0:27:10.359 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 2>well we're talking about price discovery here, and ultimately it's

0:27:13.000 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 2>worth what someone is prepared to pay for it. So

0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:17.679
<v Speaker 2>you can use your various different valuation methods, being you know,

0:27:17.720 --> 0:27:20.800
<v Speaker 2>discounted cash flows and you change your discount rates. You

0:27:20.800 --> 0:27:24.919
<v Speaker 2>can look at predicted earnings versus comparable PE ratios, and

0:27:24.960 --> 0:27:26.479
<v Speaker 2>you know, all these different ways of doing it, but

0:27:26.760 --> 0:27:29.280
<v Speaker 2>ultimately it is very difficult, and we are at that

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:32.199
<v Speaker 2>stage of the market where there is a degree of

0:27:32.920 --> 0:27:34.920
<v Speaker 2>skepticism about valuations.

0:27:35.840 --> 0:27:36.439
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, you know.

0:27:36.440 --> 0:27:38.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm often very simplistic about things, which you

0:27:38.920 --> 0:27:40.560
<v Speaker 1>can criticize for me or not. But one of the

0:27:40.600 --> 0:27:42.520
<v Speaker 1>things I look at when I look at the trust

0:27:42.520 --> 0:27:44.720
<v Speaker 1>that the whole both, and you can see that their

0:27:45.040 --> 0:27:48.119
<v Speaker 1>publicly listed assets have fallen significantly more in value than

0:27:48.160 --> 0:27:51.280
<v Speaker 1>they're privately listed assets have been revalued at. And I

0:27:51.400 --> 0:27:53.000
<v Speaker 1>loved it, And I think to myself, what seems to

0:27:53.080 --> 0:27:56.240
<v Speaker 1>me that an environment like it such as this, the

0:27:56.359 --> 0:27:58.600
<v Speaker 1>value of the private assets should have fallen at least

0:27:58.640 --> 0:28:01.800
<v Speaker 1>as much, possibly more than the publicly listed assets, because

0:28:01.840 --> 0:28:04.879
<v Speaker 1>of course the private ones should have a massive liquidity

0:28:04.880 --> 0:28:07.320
<v Speaker 1>discount attached to them, and also, in the case of

0:28:07.600 --> 0:28:11.320
<v Speaker 1>it are not profit making a hefty discount for that

0:28:11.400 --> 0:28:13.879
<v Speaker 1>as well. So it likely seems to me that if

0:28:13.920 --> 0:28:16.919
<v Speaker 1>you look at a trust that holds both and the

0:28:16.960 --> 0:28:19.560
<v Speaker 1>private assets haven't been written down at least as much,

0:28:19.640 --> 0:28:22.480
<v Speaker 1>if not more than the public assets, then there's definitely

0:28:22.480 --> 0:28:23.000
<v Speaker 1>more to come.

0:28:23.119 --> 0:28:24.960
<v Speaker 4>Is that overly simplistic and unfair of me.

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:25.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:28:25.320 --> 0:28:26.879
<v Speaker 2>I mean, look, people on the other side of that

0:28:26.880 --> 0:28:29.719
<v Speaker 2>would argue, yes, but what you don't take into consideration

0:28:29.800 --> 0:28:32.639
<v Speaker 2>there is the fact that we might not hold pure equity.

0:28:32.680 --> 0:28:34.959
<v Speaker 2>We might be holding preference shares or some form of

0:28:35.160 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 2>security that gives us some protection when valuations fall. They'd

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:41.320
<v Speaker 2>also say, well, look, you know we've had a you know,

0:28:41.400 --> 0:28:44.000
<v Speaker 2>funding round recently and this was the valuation that was

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:46.720
<v Speaker 2>set by that particular funding round. Or they might say, well,

0:28:46.720 --> 0:28:49.240
<v Speaker 2>look we've actually disposed of some assets. So you know,

0:28:49.280 --> 0:28:51.200
<v Speaker 2>you look at we're talking about you know, private equity

0:28:51.200 --> 0:28:52.680
<v Speaker 2>and private companies, but you look at what's going on

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:54.840
<v Speaker 2>in the property market at the moment. Obviously we have

0:28:54.880 --> 0:28:58.040
<v Speaker 2>seen a big derating their valuations have come down, but

0:28:58.200 --> 0:29:00.680
<v Speaker 2>we also have seen disposals. You know, some of these

0:29:00.680 --> 0:29:04.160
<v Speaker 2>assets have been disposed of in very recent times, and

0:29:04.280 --> 0:29:06.840
<v Speaker 2>obviously there are exceptions, but you know, equally we've seen

0:29:06.840 --> 0:29:09.000
<v Speaker 2>some uplifts on carrying values as well. So it's a

0:29:09.040 --> 0:29:13.560
<v Speaker 2>it's a hugely complicated subject. I totally understand investors' wareness,

0:29:13.640 --> 0:29:16.120
<v Speaker 2>and frankly, that's one of the reasons we've seen discounts

0:29:16.640 --> 0:29:20.040
<v Speaker 2>widen out over the last eighteen months or so. However,

0:29:20.120 --> 0:29:22.160
<v Speaker 2>as I keep saying, you know, we have been there before,

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:25.600
<v Speaker 2>it is that stage of the cycle. And I think

0:29:25.640 --> 0:29:28.000
<v Speaker 2>the kind of bottom line is it's it's a market

0:29:28.120 --> 0:29:29.800
<v Speaker 2>or it's a kind of situation where it pays to

0:29:29.800 --> 0:29:32.160
<v Speaker 2>do your homework, you know, it's you know, to your

0:29:32.200 --> 0:29:35.720
<v Speaker 2>listeners who are quite fascinated by the valuation issue, then

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:37.239
<v Speaker 2>this is this is the time to kind of roll

0:29:37.280 --> 0:29:38.920
<v Speaker 2>up you sieves and get your hands dirty, actually have

0:29:39.000 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 2>a look at these things carefully.

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:42.440
<v Speaker 4>And what should we've.

0:29:42.280 --> 0:29:44.800
<v Speaker 1>Talked about the boards of these investment trusts? What should

0:29:44.880 --> 0:29:48.200
<v Speaker 1>a board do if their discount is very wide? So

0:29:48.320 --> 0:29:50.560
<v Speaker 1>you've got assets on your books, and let's let's go

0:29:50.640 --> 0:29:54.560
<v Speaker 1>back to inve'sment acrus that only hold listed companies, right,

0:29:54.600 --> 0:29:57.680
<v Speaker 1>so we can see very clearly what they're actual as

0:29:57.680 --> 0:29:59.960
<v Speaker 1>a value of the portfolio is, and we can see

0:30:00.080 --> 0:30:02.720
<v Speaker 1>what the market value of the investment trust is. And

0:30:02.720 --> 0:30:04.959
<v Speaker 1>there's a gap there, let's say, for example, of fifteen

0:30:04.960 --> 0:30:07.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty percent, what do a board of the investment trust do?

0:30:08.640 --> 0:30:08.760
<v Speaker 4>Well?

0:30:08.760 --> 0:30:11.360
<v Speaker 2>Obviously some it differs is a short time, So I

0:30:11.360 --> 0:30:13.480
<v Speaker 2>mean there are some boards have been incredibly proactive. I mean,

0:30:13.480 --> 0:30:15.200
<v Speaker 2>there are a number of investment trusts that have pursued

0:30:15.200 --> 0:30:17.440
<v Speaker 2>a zero discount policy and have done for a number

0:30:17.440 --> 0:30:20.120
<v Speaker 2>of years and you know successfully.

0:30:20.240 --> 0:30:23.640
<v Speaker 1>So you know, that just means making it known that

0:30:23.680 --> 0:30:26.560
<v Speaker 1>they are going to buy back until the discount hits

0:30:26.640 --> 0:30:30.360
<v Speaker 1>zero and once the market absolutely understands that the discount

0:30:30.400 --> 0:30:31.040
<v Speaker 1>really moves out.

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:33.240
<v Speaker 2>Yes, that's right. So you look at Personal Assets Trust

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:35.719
<v Speaker 2>or Capital Gearing Trust, I mean, they've pursued that policy

0:30:35.800 --> 0:30:38.400
<v Speaker 2>very very successfully. And then there are other investment trust

0:30:38.400 --> 0:30:40.760
<v Speaker 2>companies who've used their buy back policy to kind of

0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 2>dampen down volatility share price volatility. So you know, in

0:30:45.280 --> 0:30:48.000
<v Speaker 2>the jpm stay board, we've got the American Fund. They've

0:30:48.000 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 2>been very active in their buybacks this year and it's

0:30:49.880 --> 0:30:51.920
<v Speaker 2>probably you know, turned out about between a three and

0:30:52.000 --> 0:30:55.440
<v Speaker 2>a four percent discount, and that's very much intentional. But

0:30:55.440 --> 0:30:57.640
<v Speaker 2>you're right, there is criticism across the sector that you know,

0:30:57.680 --> 0:31:00.239
<v Speaker 2>there isn't enough being done in terms of buybacks. I mean,

0:31:00.240 --> 0:31:03.360
<v Speaker 2>we've seen a sixty four percent increase quarter on quarter.

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:05.520
<v Speaker 2>In the first three months of this year. Eight hundred

0:31:05.520 --> 0:31:08.960
<v Speaker 2>and forty million pounds was brought back across investment trust

0:31:09.040 --> 0:31:12.800
<v Speaker 2>so there is certainly activity, but it can be difficult

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:16.400
<v Speaker 2>as well. I mean, some investment trust companies are very

0:31:16.440 --> 0:31:19.640
<v Speaker 2>conscious of their size. Size is an issue in the

0:31:19.640 --> 0:31:23.680
<v Speaker 2>investment trust company sector, not least because of the trends

0:31:23.720 --> 0:31:26.800
<v Speaker 2>that were seen across the investor base, with consolidation in

0:31:26.840 --> 0:31:30.200
<v Speaker 2>the wealth management sector, for instance, being one factor. So

0:31:30.440 --> 0:31:34.080
<v Speaker 2>investment trust companies are quite wary at shrinking to become

0:31:34.480 --> 0:31:38.400
<v Speaker 2>too small that they become uninvestable. So other considerations as well.

0:31:38.640 --> 0:31:40.160
<v Speaker 2>But you're right, I mean there has been a number

0:31:40.160 --> 0:31:42.040
<v Speaker 2>of voices saying, well, look, if you've been prepared to

0:31:42.280 --> 0:31:44.360
<v Speaker 2>issue on a premium rating when the sun has been

0:31:44.360 --> 0:31:46.600
<v Speaker 2>shining equally, you should be the other side of that.

0:31:47.600 --> 0:31:50.000
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, But then you come to that problem.

0:31:50.040 --> 0:31:52.160
<v Speaker 1>I always feel that, you know, so you issue a

0:31:52.200 --> 0:31:54.760
<v Speaker 1>lot of shares when things are going well and your

0:31:54.760 --> 0:31:56.520
<v Speaker 1>shares are trading at a prim view on let us

0:31:56.600 --> 0:31:59.240
<v Speaker 1>in value, and that that feels good. But nonetheless it

0:31:59.280 --> 0:32:02.800
<v Speaker 1>does mean but instead of having a fixed pool of capital,

0:32:02.840 --> 0:32:05.600
<v Speaker 1>you are bringing in more money that you then expect

0:32:05.640 --> 0:32:08.400
<v Speaker 1>your manager to take care of. And then if you

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:11.240
<v Speaker 1>then do the opposite, you start to buy back your

0:32:11.240 --> 0:32:13.280
<v Speaker 1>shares when you're at a discount to try and them

0:32:13.320 --> 0:32:17.760
<v Speaker 1>back up to let use at value. Then you are

0:32:18.040 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 1>asking your manager to release cash in order to allow

0:32:22.200 --> 0:32:23.560
<v Speaker 1>you to buy those shares back.

0:32:23.800 --> 0:32:25.960
<v Speaker 4>So you're doing you're taking away.

0:32:25.640 --> 0:32:28.360
<v Speaker 1>One of the great advantages of investment trusts, which is

0:32:28.760 --> 0:32:32.080
<v Speaker 1>that your investment manager never has to think about inflows

0:32:32.080 --> 0:32:33.800
<v Speaker 1>and outflows. He or she has got the pot of

0:32:33.840 --> 0:32:36.000
<v Speaker 1>money and they deal with that pot of money. So

0:32:36.000 --> 0:32:39.400
<v Speaker 1>as soon as you in produce very intense buybacks to

0:32:39.440 --> 0:32:42.280
<v Speaker 1>try and close your discount, you take some of the

0:32:42.320 --> 0:32:46.960
<v Speaker 1>attention of your manager away from trying to improve its performance.

0:32:46.520 --> 0:32:49.200
<v Speaker 4>Which, in the end is the thing. The closest discounts automatically.

0:32:49.480 --> 0:32:50.000
<v Speaker 4>Is that fair?

0:32:50.360 --> 0:32:52.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think there's a lot of merit in that argument,

0:32:52.800 --> 0:32:54.360
<v Speaker 2>to be honest. I mean, I've heard other people say

0:32:54.360 --> 0:32:57.440
<v Speaker 2>that effectively becoming a semi open ended fund. So you know,

0:32:57.560 --> 0:33:01.120
<v Speaker 2>what's the point I think, you know, my personal view

0:33:01.160 --> 0:33:03.960
<v Speaker 2>is I think if boards are considering discounts, they should

0:33:03.960 --> 0:33:06.200
<v Speaker 2>be very clear at what they're trying to achieve. Is

0:33:06.240 --> 0:33:08.240
<v Speaker 2>it a case of there just you know, providing a

0:33:08.320 --> 0:33:10.800
<v Speaker 2>kind of flaw on their discount so, you know, effectively

0:33:10.800 --> 0:33:13.800
<v Speaker 2>signaling to sholders and some are very you know, explicit

0:33:13.840 --> 0:33:15.360
<v Speaker 2>about it that we will not let our discount go

0:33:15.440 --> 0:33:17.920
<v Speaker 2>wider than say ten percent or whatever the level that

0:33:17.920 --> 0:33:21.200
<v Speaker 2>they feel comfortable is. And also you're looking across your

0:33:21.240 --> 0:33:23.720
<v Speaker 2>your peer group as well, because if you're in an

0:33:23.720 --> 0:33:25.880
<v Speaker 2>area of the market that is out of favor. So

0:33:26.080 --> 0:33:28.080
<v Speaker 2>I mean, where are we at the moment? UK mid

0:33:28.120 --> 0:33:29.800
<v Speaker 2>and small cup would be a good case in point.

0:33:30.120 --> 0:33:31.960
<v Speaker 2>You know, we have seen that area de rated. It

0:33:31.960 --> 0:33:34.080
<v Speaker 2>has been a very tough part of the market now

0:33:34.080 --> 0:33:36.000
<v Speaker 2>for a number of years, and we have seen discounts

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:39.080
<v Speaker 2>widen out. So to be the investment trust that says, right,

0:33:39.120 --> 0:33:41.360
<v Speaker 2>we're going to pursue a zero discount policy in that space,

0:33:41.440 --> 0:33:44.400
<v Speaker 2>I think would be quite problematic. You're likely to shrink

0:33:44.440 --> 0:33:46.600
<v Speaker 2>your vehicle in very very quicker order.

0:33:47.160 --> 0:33:49.440
<v Speaker 4>Okay, let's go back to talking about science. You're saying

0:33:49.440 --> 0:33:54.040
<v Speaker 4>that investors us are very, very wary about buying that

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:55.640
<v Speaker 4>too much or doing anything they might.

0:33:55.520 --> 0:33:59.160
<v Speaker 1>Reduce their overall size because that makes them uninvestable for

0:33:59.400 --> 0:34:03.560
<v Speaker 1>the well managers who need to hold a certain size.

0:34:04.000 --> 0:34:07.800
<v Speaker 1>What is the minimum size that an investment trust can be? Now,

0:34:07.840 --> 0:34:10.440
<v Speaker 1>do you think it can be to be attractive for.

0:34:10.400 --> 0:34:13.040
<v Speaker 4>The wealth managers and therefore have reasonable liquidity emissions.

0:34:13.160 --> 0:34:14.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, this is this is one of the great talking

0:34:14.719 --> 0:34:17.040
<v Speaker 2>points of investment trust companies and has been for the

0:34:17.080 --> 0:34:18.799
<v Speaker 2>couple of decades I've been involved in it. I mean,

0:34:18.960 --> 0:34:20.880
<v Speaker 2>to be honest, it used to be one hundred million.

0:34:20.960 --> 0:34:22.959
<v Speaker 2>You needed to have about market level one hundred million

0:34:23.280 --> 0:34:26.440
<v Speaker 2>to be viable. That number suggest is you know, a

0:34:26.520 --> 0:34:29.480
<v Speaker 2>multiple of that now. I mean anecdotally you here four

0:34:29.560 --> 0:34:32.520
<v Speaker 2>hundred million. But there's also kind of concentration risk as well.

0:34:32.560 --> 0:34:36.200
<v Speaker 2>I think most investors, or institutional investors or wealth managers

0:34:36.200 --> 0:34:40.040
<v Speaker 2>would be you know, uncomfortable becoming too great a proportion

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:42.520
<v Speaker 2>of the sholder registers. So whether that level's you know,

0:34:42.600 --> 0:34:46.840
<v Speaker 2>ten percent, fifteen percent, it will vary, frankly, but I

0:34:46.840 --> 0:34:49.239
<v Speaker 2>think it is important. I mean, again a personal view,

0:34:49.239 --> 0:34:51.600
<v Speaker 2>I would expect to see more consolidation across the investment

0:34:51.600 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 2>trust sector. I mean we have seen a number of

0:34:54.000 --> 0:34:57.400
<v Speaker 2>deals in recent years. Again, we talked about the JPM

0:34:57.719 --> 0:35:01.160
<v Speaker 2>Global Growth and Income Fund earlier and that had an

0:35:01.160 --> 0:35:04.680
<v Speaker 2>emerged with Scottish Investment Trust, which was completed last year,

0:35:04.680 --> 0:35:06.840
<v Speaker 2>and in fact it then went on to merge with

0:35:07.080 --> 0:35:09.759
<v Speaker 2>GP Morgan elect So it's not two mergers in the

0:35:09.880 --> 0:35:13.840
<v Speaker 2>last year, and that would be my expectation. That said,

0:35:14.400 --> 0:35:18.800
<v Speaker 2>it becomes more difficult to pursue a consolidation of mergers

0:35:18.800 --> 0:35:22.200
<v Speaker 2>at a time when discounts are wide. You know, not always,

0:35:22.200 --> 0:35:24.840
<v Speaker 2>but invariably, you've seen those investment trust companies that have

0:35:24.920 --> 0:35:29.600
<v Speaker 2>been the beneficiaries of mergers invariably training on strong, not

0:35:29.680 --> 0:35:33.680
<v Speaker 2>premium ratings to their nav and frankly, they're not that

0:35:33.719 --> 0:35:34.840
<v Speaker 2>many of those around anymore.

0:35:36.040 --> 0:35:40.080
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So might it be that some of the smaller

0:35:40.120 --> 0:35:44.040
<v Speaker 1>investment trusts stay languishing on quite big discounts indefinitely.

0:35:44.280 --> 0:35:46.520
<v Speaker 4>And one of the things that retail investors listening to this.

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:48.480
<v Speaker 1>Might say, well, you know, if if the big wealth

0:35:48.480 --> 0:35:50.360
<v Speaker 1>managers aren't going to get into some of those smaller

0:35:50.360 --> 0:35:52.239
<v Speaker 1>investment trusts, that's a great opportunity for me.

0:35:52.880 --> 0:35:54.880
<v Speaker 4>But maybe it's just a long term trust.

0:35:55.960 --> 0:35:58.759
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, just on that particular point, I mean

0:35:58.800 --> 0:36:02.439
<v Speaker 2>this idea that consolidation in plays to larger investors, there's

0:36:02.480 --> 0:36:04.720
<v Speaker 2>a lot in it for smaller investors as well, Franklin.

0:36:04.760 --> 0:36:06.680
<v Speaker 2>And if you look at the spread, the bid off

0:36:06.680 --> 0:36:09.680
<v Speaker 2>for spread on the share price of investment trust companies,

0:36:09.880 --> 0:36:12.120
<v Speaker 2>that spread can be very wide. When you kind of

0:36:12.120 --> 0:36:14.319
<v Speaker 2>dip below a certain level and probably about one hundred

0:36:14.320 --> 0:36:16.200
<v Speaker 2>million pounds or so, as a rule of thumb, you

0:36:16.239 --> 0:36:18.719
<v Speaker 2>know equally the cost of running investment trust companies as well.

0:36:18.719 --> 0:36:20.879
<v Speaker 2>We talked about how important it was to make sure

0:36:20.880 --> 0:36:25.120
<v Speaker 2>that you know these vehicles are pricedly keen. But there

0:36:25.160 --> 0:36:29.080
<v Speaker 2>is an element of fixed costs with investment trust companies.

0:36:29.120 --> 0:36:31.160
<v Speaker 2>And again if you get if you're too small, and

0:36:31.160 --> 0:36:34.759
<v Speaker 2>probably one hundred million is the number, then those kind

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:38.200
<v Speaker 2>of fixed cost elements can ratchet up. So I think,

0:36:38.400 --> 0:36:42.120
<v Speaker 2>you know, for retail investors, they should certainly be aware

0:36:42.200 --> 0:36:44.160
<v Speaker 2>of the spread, they should certainly be aware of the

0:36:44.160 --> 0:36:48.279
<v Speaker 2>ongoing charges, and I think consolidation does play to them

0:36:48.320 --> 0:36:48.719
<v Speaker 2>as well.

0:36:49.320 --> 0:36:51.960
<v Speaker 4>Let's talk about the wider market as a whole.

0:36:52.000 --> 0:36:54.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, JP Morgan has gone on so many investment

0:36:54.200 --> 0:36:56.120
<v Speaker 1>trusts that it doesn't matter what you want to invest in,

0:36:56.160 --> 0:36:57.920
<v Speaker 1>you you can find something right.

0:36:58.480 --> 0:36:59.960
<v Speaker 4>Where do you see the value?

0:37:00.200 --> 0:37:02.480
<v Speaker 1>In his serious question for you, where do you see

0:37:02.520 --> 0:37:04.879
<v Speaker 1>the value in global stock markets right now?

0:37:05.040 --> 0:37:10.000
<v Speaker 2>Gosh, again a great debating point. I always think it's

0:37:10.000 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 2>certainly with investment trust companies it does pay to be

0:37:12.560 --> 0:37:15.840
<v Speaker 2>to take a bit of a controlling approach, and certainly,

0:37:15.920 --> 0:37:19.040
<v Speaker 2>you know, talking to investors across the sector and you know,

0:37:19.120 --> 0:37:21.840
<v Speaker 2>are very good in house people as well. I mean,

0:37:21.880 --> 0:37:24.520
<v Speaker 2>people will talk about the value that exists in Japanese

0:37:24.560 --> 0:37:27.880
<v Speaker 2>equities at the moment. People will talk about the opportunity

0:37:27.960 --> 0:37:32.120
<v Speaker 2>set for European companies. I mean, the European investment trust

0:37:32.120 --> 0:37:33.960
<v Speaker 2>sector is one of the best performing so far here

0:37:34.000 --> 0:37:37.080
<v Speaker 2>to date. Obviously had a pretty tory time for understandable

0:37:37.080 --> 0:37:39.440
<v Speaker 2>reasons last year, but that has come back. People talk

0:37:39.480 --> 0:37:42.840
<v Speaker 2>about emerging markets at a time when you know, arguably

0:37:42.880 --> 0:37:45.759
<v Speaker 2>that the dollar is weakening. But it's interesting that you

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:47.960
<v Speaker 2>know this big debate, you know, growth versus value. Have

0:37:48.000 --> 0:37:50.120
<v Speaker 2>we seen a complete change? And one suspects that it

0:37:50.200 --> 0:37:53.400
<v Speaker 2>is going to be a more difficult period for growth investors.

0:37:53.440 --> 0:37:55.640
<v Speaker 2>And yet if you look at what's happened here today,

0:37:56.040 --> 0:37:59.839
<v Speaker 2>growths outperformance value on a kind of global equity basis. Now,

0:38:00.000 --> 0:38:02.160
<v Speaker 2>maybe that's because of a small handful of tech companies,

0:38:02.480 --> 0:38:05.440
<v Speaker 2>but I don't think you write off growth ultimately. I

0:38:05.480 --> 0:38:09.040
<v Speaker 2>find that the debate between growth and value a little simplistic.

0:38:09.080 --> 0:38:10.520
<v Speaker 2>I think you've got to get behind that a bit.

0:38:10.840 --> 0:38:12.560
<v Speaker 1>Can I ask you about a couple of the trust

0:38:12.600 --> 0:38:16.120
<v Speaker 1>in particular, there's the jp of mergaging Europe, Middle East

0:38:16.160 --> 0:38:17.600
<v Speaker 1>and Africa Securities PLC.

0:38:17.719 --> 0:38:20.320
<v Speaker 4>Now that used to be the Russian Trust, right correct?

0:38:21.080 --> 0:38:22.840
<v Speaker 4>Is that the one I'm afraid I have to confess

0:38:22.880 --> 0:38:23.400
<v Speaker 4>to holding that.

0:38:25.920 --> 0:38:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Over the years on the basis that companies in Russia

0:38:28.160 --> 0:38:30.600
<v Speaker 1>was so cheap, so cheap, they pretty much discounted a

0:38:30.640 --> 0:38:32.879
<v Speaker 1>returned to communism and that didn't seem very likely.

0:38:32.920 --> 0:38:34.520
<v Speaker 4>Well, that'll teach me.

0:38:36.080 --> 0:38:38.600
<v Speaker 1>So that trust has now been expanded to invest in

0:38:38.600 --> 0:38:40.360
<v Speaker 1>in all sorts of different areas.

0:38:41.400 --> 0:38:42.719
<v Speaker 4>Tell me a little bit about the kind of thing

0:38:42.760 --> 0:38:43.359
<v Speaker 4>it invests in.

0:38:43.480 --> 0:38:45.480
<v Speaker 2>Yes, so you're absolutely right. So sharltles have approved a

0:38:45.560 --> 0:38:48.880
<v Speaker 2>change of mandate there so it can invest in Africa,

0:38:48.920 --> 0:38:52.160
<v Speaker 2>so obviously South Africa a key part of that particular market,

0:38:52.520 --> 0:38:55.239
<v Speaker 2>and also the Middle East as well, so you know

0:38:55.320 --> 0:38:57.520
<v Speaker 2>Saudi Q eight and so on and so forth. So

0:38:58.880 --> 0:39:01.600
<v Speaker 2>you know, a broader a broad to mandate, but still

0:39:01.640 --> 0:39:03.480
<v Speaker 2>relative early days following that strategy.

0:39:04.239 --> 0:39:05.840
<v Speaker 4>Okay, so worth watching, I think.

0:39:06.200 --> 0:39:08.920
<v Speaker 1>And then let's say we're worried about inflation, which of

0:39:08.960 --> 0:39:10.719
<v Speaker 1>course we all are, which are.

0:39:10.719 --> 0:39:12.240
<v Speaker 4>The trust would serve us best?

0:39:12.320 --> 0:39:12.560
<v Speaker 3>There?

0:39:12.960 --> 0:39:15.360
<v Speaker 1>What's in global call real assets for example, is that

0:39:15.480 --> 0:39:17.560
<v Speaker 1>something that we could buy as an inflation heah, yeah, No.

0:39:17.600 --> 0:39:21.200
<v Speaker 2>There's there's a range of exposure in that particular portfolio.

0:39:21.560 --> 0:39:24.719
<v Speaker 2>So it has what I ask, commercial property, so that

0:39:24.719 --> 0:39:27.480
<v Speaker 2>that's in the US and Asia Pacific. It then has

0:39:27.520 --> 0:39:29.719
<v Speaker 2>a whole range of kind of infrastructure type plays in

0:39:29.760 --> 0:39:33.880
<v Speaker 2>there as well, so transport being part of the story.

0:39:34.719 --> 0:39:37.600
<v Speaker 2>And yeah, I'm in very much keeping a close eye

0:39:37.640 --> 0:39:41.480
<v Speaker 2>on the inflation story and hoping to, you know, if

0:39:41.520 --> 0:39:44.040
<v Speaker 2>not be a beneficiary, certainly kind of navigate those those

0:39:44.040 --> 0:39:44.880
<v Speaker 2>turbulent waters.

0:39:45.239 --> 0:39:48.080
<v Speaker 1>And is the view from you that inflation is likely

0:39:48.120 --> 0:39:49.840
<v Speaker 1>to continue at the high level globally?

0:39:50.120 --> 0:39:51.560
<v Speaker 4>So what's the JP Morgan view on this?

0:39:51.880 --> 0:39:55.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, in a nutshell, yes, I think you know, inflation

0:39:55.760 --> 0:39:57.680
<v Speaker 2>will obviously come down. I mean we all know that

0:39:57.680 --> 0:40:00.640
<v Speaker 2>mathematically it has to come down, but it's not going

0:40:00.680 --> 0:40:04.040
<v Speaker 2>to settle at levels that we have become used to,

0:40:04.160 --> 0:40:07.160
<v Speaker 2>I think would be the view in house. What that

0:40:07.239 --> 0:40:09.920
<v Speaker 2>level is remains to be seen. But I think in

0:40:10.040 --> 0:40:13.920
<v Speaker 2>terms of interest rates, we're not going back to deminimous

0:40:13.960 --> 0:40:16.719
<v Speaker 2>interest rates anytime soon. So you know, you talk to

0:40:16.880 --> 0:40:19.120
<v Speaker 2>Karen Ward in our market insights team, for instance, and

0:40:19.160 --> 0:40:21.720
<v Speaker 2>she's clear, you know, particularly with regard to the UK market.

0:40:21.960 --> 0:40:25.600
<v Speaker 2>Then in fact inflation runs hotter for a period of time.

0:40:26.040 --> 0:40:28.560
<v Speaker 2>So you know, this idea of that the two percent target,

0:40:29.719 --> 0:40:31.480
<v Speaker 2>you know, almost falls away in the kind of the

0:40:31.520 --> 0:40:33.960
<v Speaker 2>short and medium term until we kind of get the

0:40:34.000 --> 0:40:35.080
<v Speaker 2>economy moving again.

0:40:35.680 --> 0:40:37.520
<v Speaker 4>No, someone told the Bank of England.

0:40:39.120 --> 0:40:43.200
<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, there's a difference between their messaging and

0:40:43.280 --> 0:40:45.000
<v Speaker 2>the reality. I think you'll find.

0:40:45.960 --> 0:40:47.799
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, now, I think we will all find that.

0:40:48.320 --> 0:40:50.560
<v Speaker 1>We've had lots of conversations on this podcast about jam

0:40:50.760 --> 0:40:53.320
<v Speaker 1>whether that two percent target will change or to the

0:40:53.360 --> 0:40:55.200
<v Speaker 1>extent of which it will be fudged and become as

0:40:55.200 --> 0:40:57.480
<v Speaker 1>little two to four percent excent. And let also lots

0:40:57.480 --> 0:40:59.400
<v Speaker 1>of conversations about how we ended up with the two

0:40:59.440 --> 0:41:01.520
<v Speaker 1>percent target in the first place, because anything anyone can

0:41:01.560 --> 0:41:03.879
<v Speaker 1>really quite remember how it came about that two percent

0:41:04.080 --> 0:41:05.760
<v Speaker 1>was the answer to all inflation.

0:41:06.160 --> 0:41:07.120
<v Speaker 4>Okay, So.

0:41:09.040 --> 0:41:11.520
<v Speaker 1>I think that pretty much casts it actually on the

0:41:11.840 --> 0:41:14.319
<v Speaker 1>basics of the investment trust industry and where we are.

0:41:14.400 --> 0:41:16.000
<v Speaker 1>But the key thing I supposed to say is that

0:41:16.040 --> 0:41:18.000
<v Speaker 1>you have full confidence going forward that this is a

0:41:18.040 --> 0:41:21.359
<v Speaker 1>sector that will remain successful and despite a dodgy year

0:41:21.440 --> 0:41:21.680
<v Speaker 1>or two.

0:41:22.160 --> 0:41:24.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Look, it's a challenging period for investment trust companies.

0:41:24.600 --> 0:41:26.319
<v Speaker 2>I mean, nobody can die that at the moment, I

0:41:26.320 --> 0:41:29.759
<v Speaker 2>would expect to see an upticking corporate activity, and we've

0:41:29.760 --> 0:41:33.200
<v Speaker 2>already seen that. So investment trust companies decided to give

0:41:33.239 --> 0:41:35.600
<v Speaker 2>up the ghost, or return money to shareholders, or look

0:41:35.640 --> 0:41:39.239
<v Speaker 2>to pursue mergers or change of managers. I mean, I

0:41:39.239 --> 0:41:41.520
<v Speaker 2>think that's the period that we're in. That was certainly

0:41:41.560 --> 0:41:44.280
<v Speaker 2>the experience in the early noughties and after the GFC.

0:41:45.239 --> 0:41:47.480
<v Speaker 2>But you know, so a degree of rationalization I think

0:41:47.560 --> 0:41:50.319
<v Speaker 2>is likely going forward. But you know, as mentioned, you know,

0:41:50.400 --> 0:41:52.160
<v Speaker 2>this is a sector of one hundred and fifty five

0:41:52.200 --> 0:41:55.560
<v Speaker 2>year history. It has been very successful at adapting. There

0:41:55.600 --> 0:41:58.360
<v Speaker 2>are structural advantages that I think will stand it in

0:41:58.680 --> 0:42:01.680
<v Speaker 2>good stead. And I think it's a fascinating time to

0:42:01.680 --> 0:42:04.960
<v Speaker 2>be an investor in investment trass excellent, Simon.

0:42:05.120 --> 0:42:06.279
<v Speaker 4>I couldn't agree with you more.

0:42:06.280 --> 0:42:07.520
<v Speaker 1>And I tell you what, I didn't say that at

0:42:07.520 --> 0:42:13.279
<v Speaker 1>the end of all my podcasts, thank you being with us,

0:42:13.440 --> 0:42:15.640
<v Speaker 1>and thank you everyone for listening to this week's Marin

0:42:15.680 --> 0:42:16.280
<v Speaker 1>Talks Money.

0:42:16.280 --> 0:42:18.040
<v Speaker 4>We will be back next week, of course.

0:42:18.120 --> 0:42:20.280
<v Speaker 1>In the meantime, if you like us show rape review

0:42:20.360 --> 0:42:23.160
<v Speaker 1>and subscribe wherever you listen to podcasts, but do remember

0:42:23.200 --> 0:42:27.320
<v Speaker 1>the basic rule, only positive reviews. This episode was hosted

0:42:27.320 --> 0:42:30.359
<v Speaker 1>by me Maren Sumset Web. It was produced by Someasadi

0:42:30.400 --> 0:42:31.360
<v Speaker 1>and Mohammad Farup.

0:42:31.640 --> 0:42:33.520
<v Speaker 4>Additional editing by Blake Maples.

0:42:33.600 --> 0:42:36.480
<v Speaker 1>Special thanks of course to Simon and to John Steppek,

0:42:36.760 --> 0:42:40.480
<v Speaker 1>and finally a reminder to sign up to John's daily newsletter,

0:42:40.520 --> 0:42:41.280
<v Speaker 1>Money Distilled.

0:42:41.440 --> 0:42:43.160
<v Speaker 4>The link for that is in the show notes.

0:42:43.239 --> 0:42:46.440
<v Speaker 1>It's extremely good and every now and then I contribute

0:42:46.480 --> 0:42:48.120
<v Speaker 1>to it as well, and so I don't think you

0:42:48.160 --> 0:42:49.680
<v Speaker 1>will regret signing up.

0:42:49.920 --> 0:42:50.279
<v Speaker 4>Thank you,