1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 2: Single Best Idea. Thank you for the feedback. We're just 3 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 2: rolling this out. As they say, it's a work in progress. 4 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,599 Speaker 2: Actually every show we do is at work in progress 5 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 2: and pro tip on how we put this together, which 6 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 2: is a great, great team of their bookers, but there 7 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: are also people that really try to keep in touch 8 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,200 Speaker 2: with the people that we talked to, how they fit 9 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 2: in and what they've been doing over the last three months, 10 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 2: six months, one year. And our two guests today on 11 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:42,239 Speaker 2: Single Best Idea are the kind of thing where you 12 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 2: look back and say how they do. We're gonna talk 13 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 2: about bitcoin in a minute with Professor Keani from NYU 14 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 2: Aisha Kiani running a hedge fund as well. But first 15 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 2: someone we can look back on, which is Michael Wilson. 16 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 2: Michael Wilson is with Equity Strategy Morgan Stanley and of 17 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 2: course was really noted over the last eighteen months. Is 18 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 2: someone very cautious about the lift in the markets and 19 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 2: the outline today in our extended conversation, he said, you know, 20 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 2: well we got sort of the first lift, which I 21 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 2: attribute to Edyardnny and Ralphi Knpora and Mike Wilson participated 22 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 2: in the two octobers ago lift, but maybe he didn't 23 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 2: really see coming the shock of the bullmarket coming out 24 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 2: of October of twenty twenty three. That lift in the markets, 25 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:32,559 Speaker 2: which you continue to see Oracle today up big, big, big, 26 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 2: and you know the rest of the exuberance that's out 27 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 2: there has led to new leverage where you know, we 28 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 2: make a joke about triple leveraged all cash fund, Well 29 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:44,559 Speaker 2: it's a triple leverage this fund. The four Bowl leverage. 30 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 2: I haven't seen, Bobby, have you seen five x's xx 31 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 2: xxx leverage? I haven't seen that yet, either is Mike Wilson. 32 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 2: But here is Mike Wilson on our new desire, our 33 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 2: demand for leverage. 34 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 1: You know, obviously last fall we had a lot of 35 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: fear priced in, and now we have a lot of 36 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: greed priced then. So we are seeing speculative activity pick 37 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: up in a meaningful way. I would say the daily 38 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: expiration options market is probably your single best example of that. 39 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: We have a lot of people sort of you know 40 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: in the stock market is like prop bets almost like 41 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: draft gings and things like that. That to me is 42 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,920 Speaker 1: you know, signs that exuberances is pretty high. Now that 43 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 1: doesn't have to end in tiers. Okay, Leverage isn't always bad, 44 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: but you know, we have a situation where people are 45 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 1: reaching for risk because you know there's full mill Yeah, 46 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 1: and you know that's that's where the pendulum is right now. 47 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 2: Tom, Mike Wilson there of Morgan Stanley. We drove forward 48 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 2: the conversation across the inflation report today. Billy was wonderful 49 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 2: with Milken Institute, Ira Jersey from Bloomberg Intelligence adding a 50 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 2: lot of value on an inflation report. I love what 51 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 2: Kathy Jones said out on Twitter with Schwab where she said, 52 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 2: you know this course service thing, guess what it's ticking up. 53 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 2: The fact is, who knows what the Fed's going to 54 00:02:58,000 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 2: do in March twenty, but the answers they're going to 55 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 2: do less, Maybe come out with some new guestamates. Michael 56 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 2: McKee's better at that than I am. On leverage and 57 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 2: on the exuberants out there, there's nothing more exuberant right 58 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 2: now than to dash on bitcoin from a lower price 59 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 2: up to seventy two thousand dollars today. Well Times is 60 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 2: a professor from NYU running aheade from Aysha Kiani she's 61 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 2: a big, big proponent of bitcoin, and she talked a 62 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 2: lot about the different tones of bitcoin that are out there. 63 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 2: Let's listen in to Professor Keani. 64 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 3: In my most humble opinion, the underlying is the technology 65 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 3: that it's built on, and that's something that I teach, 66 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 3: so I could spend an entire day on it. The 67 00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 3: essence of blockchain obviously, you know Bloomberg data on how 68 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 3: you know someone like Bloomberg could use you know, blockchains. 69 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:55,240 Speaker 3: That's the underlying asset. Obviously, if you would ask someone else, 70 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 3: it would say, you know, the essence of proof of work, 71 00:03:57,400 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 3: or how it's mine, or how it's in limited quality, 72 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 3: or how it's digital goal for my generation. 73 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: Let the debate begin. Oh, I can see the feedback 74 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 2: from this. The answer is, there are those that believe 75 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 2: in proof of work, there are those that believe in 76 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 2: a blockchain future for some form of bitcoin ethereum, whatever, 77 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 2: and there's a lot of other people just at New 78 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 2: York University Professor Keani talking about as she teaches bitcoin 79 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 2: a real substance. There where someone like Professor Emeritis Noria 80 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 2: Rabini sharply on the other side of the debate. What 81 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 2: I would say whether you're in bitcoin or not, whether 82 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 2: you're thinking about getting in or not, be informed at 83 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 2: least about the debate. Try to see where you fit 84 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 2: in to the debate on bitcoin. But the answer is 85 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 2: if you're not informed on this, you're gonna get run 86 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 2: over at some time. Of course, the big event coming 87 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 2: up is having We'll have to see how that goes. 88 00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 2: It has to do with mining. I asked her about 89 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:02,799 Speaker 2: like we're the mine, and that itself is a huge 90 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 2: debate coming out of China. China basically threw the bitcoin 91 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 2: miners out, I think as a general statement, and they're 92 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 2: spread around the world. This has been a lot of fun. 93 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 2: We're doing Single Best Idea here with Mike Wilson and Aishikiani. 94 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:20,600 Speaker 2: We'll continue to do it. Single Best Idea is a podcast. 95 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 2: I think Apple podcast is the best place to get this, 96 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,600 Speaker 2: particularly for those of you that are you know, listening 97 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 2: to five, six, eight, ten podcasts a day. We're trying 98 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:34,359 Speaker 2: to keep this podcast week and short, really under six minutes. 99 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:37,479 Speaker 2: It's just a touch of two guests today, we'll dive 100 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 2: into tomorrow. Damian Sasa are rumored to be with us again. 101 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:43,600 Speaker 2: We're talking with his entourage right now see if we 102 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 2: can get him in early. Here. We do this on 103 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:49,680 Speaker 2: Apple car Play and we do it on YouTube. YouTube, 104 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 2: you go into the box, you search Bloomberg podcasts, it's there, 105 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 2: a big white screen. It's that surveillance. And that's the 106 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 2: three hour broadcast they do. We do every morning across 107 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 2: America worldwide for global wastrible and for you lumbered surveillance 108 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 1: M hm