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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go throwing Joe. I'm saying it

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Speaker 1: to cash. Most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to win. God, that's incredible. Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money. All right. It's just the

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Speaker 1: ultimate kaba and we are underway. What is up everybody?

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. I

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Speaker 1: am your host, Chris Raybond, and this is your NFL

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Speaker 1: Week to two betting preview where we will talk about our

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Speaker 1: favorite totals, teasers, underdogs, and of course build our weekly

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Speaker 1: Sunday six pack of against the spread bets. With the

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Speaker 1: help of my co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation.

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Speaker 1: Swept the six pack last week was good, stuck.

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Speaker 2: Oh, what's going on? It was survived survivor both of us.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I went five and zero and all of my against

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Speaker 2: the spread pools. I had a long discussion with some

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Speaker 2: of the powers that be and we did decide to

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Speaker 2: give you another chance to keep you on board here

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Speaker 2: to Action because you after ruining the perfect six pack,

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Speaker 2: but you had a great day as well. But again

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Speaker 2: it's one week. Enjoy them. There's only so many Sundays

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Speaker 2: say the same thing in college football, but a lot

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Speaker 2: of arians and week week results don't dwell on them.

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Speaker 2: Don't just then unload all your winnings on Monday night

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Speaker 2: and chase it's on to week two. Put that behind us.

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Speaker 2: But definitely an enjoyable Week one.

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Speaker 1: Hell yeah, it was a good Week one. Hope everybody

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Speaker 1: was following you and the app at Stucky two met

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Speaker 1: at Chris Raybond And if you're looking for an even

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Speaker 1: deeper dive into tonight's Thursday night football game, check out

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Speaker 1: our new NFL live show, Action Island, airing every Thursday

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Speaker 1: at five thirty Eastern on the Action App, the Action

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Speaker 1: YouTube page, and at Action Network HQ on Twitter, and

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Speaker 1: presented by our friends at FanDuel. But let's go start

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Speaker 1: on today's show where we cover another lotus slate of games,

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Speaker 1: starting with a really good Thursday night game, and that's

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Speaker 1: between the Chiefs and the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday night football. So we got the Chargers

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Speaker 1: up to four and a half point underdogs at FanDuel.

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Speaker 1: The total is fifty four and a half four and

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Speaker 1: a half seems like it's kind of getting out of hand.

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Speaker 1: What do you think I do this every year for

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Speaker 1: Week two?

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Speaker 2: I just want to say, it's kind of like monologue

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Speaker 2: for Week two the NFL week to week market over reactions. Well,

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Speaker 2: you won't have a ton of stats here, right, we

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Speaker 2: won't have a ton of Okay, this team has been

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Speaker 2: running this, or this team ranks this because there's only

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Speaker 2: one data points. A lot of it's still priors and

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Speaker 2: you got to decide which teams to adjust which not.

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Speaker 2: But if you're new to the show, you know after

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Speaker 2: weeks three and four and you have a month of data,

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Speaker 2: so we'll start to get into all that some of

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Speaker 2: the analytics when we build our plays. But just high

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Speaker 2: level Week two dogs that didn't cover game one by

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Speaker 2: seven or more fifty three to thirty five and one

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Speaker 2: that's sixty percent against the spread over the past twenty

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Speaker 2: years applies to the Jets, Cardinals, Cowboys, teams off a

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Speaker 2: blowout win of at least three touchdowns, Chiefs, Bills since

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Speaker 2: twenty ten, twenty seven percent under dogs just overall in

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Speaker 2: Week two fifty three percent past twenty years, dogs who

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Speaker 2: lost in Week one that are teams of last week

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Speaker 2: when they are now dogs fifty five percent double digit

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Speaker 2: loss in week one, sixty one percent as a dog

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Speaker 2: in week two. Week two dogs that didn't cover in

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Speaker 2: week one, it just didn't cover. Not about winning fifty

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Speaker 2: six thirty two and two six under sixty four percent.

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Speaker 2: It's two thousand and five and we two dogs of

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Speaker 2: six or less in week two off of straight up

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Speaker 2: loss sixty four thirty two and three just under sixty

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Speaker 2: seven percent. Applies to Panthers, Jags, Jets, and Cardinals. Speak

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Speaker 2: to some of the overreaction. It's a week to week

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Speaker 2: market in the NFL. I didn't see as many drastic

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Speaker 2: over reactions as usual in week two, but there are

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Speaker 2: a few, and I think this is one of them.

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Speaker 2: I actually got so Moving on to Thursday football A

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Speaker 2: Chargers Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Coming into last week, I said to myself, Okay, my ideal,

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Speaker 2: what I really want to happen for my chief survivor

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Speaker 2: pick Chiefs moneyline parlay by our Cardinals win total under.

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Speaker 2: I went the Chiefs to win by a million, and

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Speaker 2: they almost did. I think they won by nine hundred thousand.

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Speaker 2: They could have won by a million if they wanted

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Speaker 2: to but and I was like, if that happens, we'll

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Speaker 2: get the hook, because that's all I wanted. And I

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Speaker 2: bet this a couple days ago put in the aputs.

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Speaker 2: I just really just wanted the hook here because I

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Speaker 2: I have these teams parloaded almost exactly the same, and

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Speaker 2: Charters pick up a division win, presso division win wasn't

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Speaker 2: a given. And the Chiefs beat up a completely decimated

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Speaker 2: team that we weren't buyers in. And it's Andy Reid

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Speaker 2: with prep against Cliff Kingsbury. So it's not like I

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Speaker 2: was like, oh my god, now the Chiefs, I have

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Speaker 2: to upgrade them so much. That result wasn't that unexpected

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Speaker 2: to me. Mahomes ripping apart that Cardinals defense. You know

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Speaker 2: the look, there's no Keenan Allen. But remember last year

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Speaker 2: the Chargers lost in overtime against the Chiefs without Keenan Allen.

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Speaker 2: All they did. What they did is they ran it

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Speaker 2: down their throats thirty nine rushes for two hundred yards

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Speaker 2: and they went to overtime. Even though the Charters turned

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Speaker 2: over five times in Chiefs territory, three times on downs

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Speaker 2: two turners, including three times inside of Kansas City, five

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Speaker 2: with no points. And it went to overtime with no

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Speaker 2: Keenan Allen. For what it's worth, I think the Charters

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Speaker 2: are going to be able to run the ball again here.

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Speaker 2: They'll still be able to move the ball on this

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Speaker 2: Chiefs defense. The Charters are a better roster. Chiefs are

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Speaker 2: still really good, but probably around the same. There's no

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Speaker 2: butker for the Chiefs. They're gonna have the worst kicker

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Speaker 2: in this matchup, which is so weird for me to

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Speaker 2: say they have, like the X Chargers kicker. Probably introduces

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Speaker 2: some variants how many four downs we're gonna get in

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Speaker 2: this game. Maybe that Chi's will probably decide to go

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Speaker 2: for it a little more. J C. Jackson is a

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Speaker 2: shot to play. That Chargers defense looked really good last week.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I liked anything over three. Now you can

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Speaker 2: get four to four and a half take it. Lack

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Speaker 2: of prep here and it's a short week favors the

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Speaker 2: Chargers right. Andy Reid with Prepp has been really good.

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Speaker 2: Teams that are playing a division game in Week two

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Speaker 2: for whatever reason their second straight Division have been really

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Speaker 2: good against the spread. I also would like the under here.

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Speaker 2: I don't know why this total went up to without

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Speaker 2: Keenan Allen. And approved Chargers defense unders on Thursday Night

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Speaker 2: Football fifty four more seven and oh of the under

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Speaker 2: since nineteen ninety Mahomes and Herbert fifty four, fifty two,

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Speaker 2: fifty seven fifty six four over time, that's been the

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Speaker 2: point total. So you're right around there. But a lot

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Speaker 2: of times it's taken these shootouts late, like things get crazy.

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Speaker 2: So I'll take maybe maybe take the first time. I

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Speaker 2: might take the first stelf under. I might take the

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Speaker 2: game total under. Then look for a live over spot.

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Speaker 2: I think either one of these teams can come back

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Speaker 2: and game could get a little crazy late. But favorite

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Speaker 2: playing this game is Chargers. I think this will be

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Speaker 2: a really good game. The field goal game. I think

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Speaker 2: anything over a field goal I'll take. For if it

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Speaker 2: was Chiefs plus three and a half or Chargers plus

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Speaker 2: three and a half, that's all I wanted. But now

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Speaker 2: that you can get a better number, even better, how

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Speaker 2: are you? What do you think?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I think the Chargers, you know, they've always kind

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Speaker 1: of had that formula of you know, stopping the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: and I think that that under is a good call.

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Speaker 1: You know. Week two Divisional unders. Anything forty three or higher,

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Speaker 1: going all the way back to five thirty nine and

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Speaker 1: twenty two sixty four percent. So I think that's a

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Speaker 1: good call too. The Chiefs and Chargers. Like coming into

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Speaker 1: the year, I felt like, you know, those two teams,

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Speaker 1: take your pick, and then the Broncos probably whiddo behind them.

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Speaker 1: We knew the Cardinals are going to get stomped last week.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they have no cornerbacks and they're going against

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahome Like I ended up ranking him, you know

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Speaker 1: my QB one in Fantasy. Uh, that was not the consensus.

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Speaker 1: I think I think it was still Josh Allen. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of with you on this one. I think

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Speaker 1: it's it's Chargers or nothing, and it's under nothing.

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Speaker 2: Should be a really good game for once.

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Speaker 1: You know, Thursday night you get some you get some

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Speaker 1: weird ones on Thursday Night, But good, good job out

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Speaker 1: of schedule the schedule makers have. Actually I do give

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Speaker 1: them credit. You know early you know they they gave

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Speaker 1: us the Russ rematch, they gave us the the Baker rematch.

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Speaker 1: You know they now they gave us Chiefs charges on

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Speaker 1: Thursday Night football. They gave us that Bucks Cowboys rematch

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Speaker 1: from last year. Like what a good uh, what a

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Speaker 1: good schedule. All right, Yeah, let's jump into the Sunday

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Speaker 1: six Pack Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday

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Speaker 1: six pack. All right, So, as mentioned, you swept last week.

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Speaker 1: Uh so you your two two one plus an extra

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Speaker 1: point for sweeping. I got my both of my two

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Speaker 1: pointers missed on the Patriots Dolphins game, and that was

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Speaker 1: just a bad game for us because you missed it

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Speaker 1: over I missed the spread. So fuck that game. But

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Speaker 1: you're up first this week.

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Speaker 2: On the end, I figured we were both in trouble

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Speaker 2: when the Dolphins got that pick in the end zone

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Speaker 2: to stop the game.

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Speaker 1: That was it. That was that was it. That was it.

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Speaker 1: DeVante Parker never never heard from again after that either.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, yees. So for my first pick of

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Speaker 2: the week two Sunday six Pack presented by Fandel, I'm

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Speaker 2: going with the you guessed it, New England Patriots minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half at the Pittsburgh Stair is the

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Speaker 2: only team that we couldn't nail last week. I'm going

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Speaker 2: right back to the well with By the way, this

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Speaker 2: is the first time that first time this matchup doesn't

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Speaker 2: feature either Big Ben or Tom Brady since Mac Jones,

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Speaker 2: who was presumably healthy for this one with his back spasms.

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Speaker 2: Was three months old. That's how long it's been. Now

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Speaker 2: we have Mac Jones versus Mitchell Trubisky. Big highlight here.

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Speaker 2: It looks like Dodgy Harris should be good to go

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Speaker 2: as well and Mac Jones. There were some injury questions

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Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball, but TJ. Watt will

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Speaker 2: not go and that is just massive. I mean, the

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Speaker 2: impact that he had on that game against Cincinnati last

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Speaker 2: week unbelievable. I mean, maybe the best back to back

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Speaker 2: plays in NFL history from a defender. He tackles Burrow

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Speaker 2: and mix it in the backfield to blow up a

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Speaker 2: running play and then sits back a little bit picks

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Speaker 2: off Burrow the next club astounding. If you look at

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Speaker 2: the Steelers defensive numbers with them without Lot over the years,

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Speaker 2: when he's miss games and injuries, it's bad. So I

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Speaker 2: think they'll really miss his presence here. And I think

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Speaker 2: with the Patriots, I'm still worried about the Patriots offense

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Speaker 2: after what I saw last week, the play calling, the

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Speaker 2: problems we saw in camp. But what I think they

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Speaker 2: can still do is run the ball and they I

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Speaker 2: think they'll be able to do it here with no watt.

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Speaker 2: That was the weakness of the Steelers defense last year.

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Speaker 2: So I think the Patriots will be able to control

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Speaker 2: the clock, move the ball on the ground, and grind

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Speaker 2: this Steelers defense down the other side of the ball.

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Speaker 2: I just ultimately don't trust Mitch Trubisky this offensive line,

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Speaker 2: and I think Belichick will have a solid game plan.

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Speaker 2: And we might be hearing that Mitchell old Mitchell has

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Speaker 2: was seeing ghosts and there might be some calls for

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Speaker 2: Kenny Pickett after this game. By the way, Belichick off

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Speaker 2: of loss forty eight twenty two against the spread sixty

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Speaker 2: seven percent, covering by almost touchdown a game. How about

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Speaker 2: after a loss twenty nine and nine against the spread

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Speaker 2: on the road over seventy six percent. Here's my favorite

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Speaker 2: twenty five and three against the spread eighty nine point

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Speaker 2: three percent after a loss. Is either an underdog or

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Speaker 2: a favorite of under a touchdown, So sometimes you know

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Speaker 2: he hasn't covered when they're like ten to fourteen point favorites.

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Speaker 2: Twenty five and three is a dog or a favorite

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Speaker 2: under a touchdown, covered by eleven points per game. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: a lot of that's Brady, but he's also four and

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Speaker 2: one against the spread in that spot with Cam Newton,

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Speaker 2: Matt Jones and Matt Castle the championship. That's what our

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Speaker 2: goal is. That's all I really am about is trying

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Speaker 2: to win football games. Here what an eight and sixty

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Speaker 2: third time I tweeted out we're going to record this

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Speaker 2: podcast and someone was like, rah rah, No, this is

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Speaker 2: not the ra ra spot. First of all, just Tomlin's

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Speaker 2: not I mean, it's not a dog. It's two and

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Speaker 2: a half. I considered an underdog, you know, over three

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Speaker 2: in a spot where everyone's saying they have no chance.

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Speaker 2: That's not the case. Here. They're one to zero off

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Speaker 2: of a big win.

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Speaker 1: Straight up, win this game, bro, win this.

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Speaker 2: Game playing a Patriots team that looked awful last year.

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Speaker 2: If anything, this is rarah for the Patriots. What speaking

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Speaker 2: to that? Since twenty eighteen Mike Tomlin after Rarah So

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Speaker 2: after a straight up upset when the Steelers were at

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Speaker 2: least a three point underdog, which happened last week one

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Speaker 2: in seven against the spread the next week, Anti ra rah,

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Speaker 2: give me the Pats to get this done in the

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Speaker 2: road to.

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Speaker 1: Me, being emotional is given a damn? Should you have

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Speaker 1: to apologize for Karen I? Was trying to buy a

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Speaker 1: low last week, man, and it just we backfired. I

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Speaker 1: mean it was it felt like it was like a

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Speaker 1: couple of plays, but they at the same time, they

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Speaker 1: did nothing in the whole game. So like even if

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Speaker 1: those plays swing the other way and he doesn't get

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Speaker 1: the interception and he doesn't give up the fourth down,

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Speaker 1: like the Patriots, still didn't really do anything. But like

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Speaker 1: you said, it's just a spot. You know, this is

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Speaker 1: this is the Pittsburgh went down spot, and this is

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Speaker 1: kind of what you want to do in week two,

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Speaker 1: Like you said, we only have one data point Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: could have lost, Like how many touchdowns did Jamar Chase

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Speaker 1: catch last week? Because yeah, I know he got one,

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Speaker 1: but he caught about five somehow Pittsburgh won that game.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, went down spot for the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: And look, I was on the Steelers last week, but

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Speaker 2: I assumed that the Bengals were going to have major

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Speaker 2: problems with that offensive line in their first start. If

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Speaker 2: they're not doing anything in preseason four new starters, Barrow

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Speaker 2: throws five picks, get sacked seven times under pressure of

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Speaker 2: the entire game. That wasn't unexpected to me. Now, mister

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Speaker 2: Moneynock missing an extra point to win the game locked.

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Speaker 2: That was a little bit Minca.

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Speaker 1: I mean that was Maka. That was like Mecca, what

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Speaker 1: a game? What a game for me?

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Speaker 2: Unreal? Also, yeah, he missed the field goal though, So

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Speaker 2: I just wanted to just wanted to say to the

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Speaker 2: Bengals fans out there, hold your horses on ever comparing Now,

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Speaker 2: I got Browns fans doing the same thing with Ky

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Speaker 2: York comparing your kicker to the greatest kicker in the

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Speaker 2: history of the NFL. That's all same. There is no

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Speaker 2: next Tucker until there is a next Tucker.

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Speaker 1: Can't argue with that man, all right. For my first

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Speaker 1: pick in the second overall pick of the week, number

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Speaker 1: two Sunday six pack, I am going with the Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: Jaguars plus four and a half that FanDuel against the

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis Coats at home against the Indianapolis coat You know

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Speaker 1: what that means. I mean, it's kind of like an

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Speaker 1: auto bed at this point. Jacksonville last six years six

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Speaker 1: and zero at home against the Colts since twenty fifteen,

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Speaker 1: winning by an average of sixteen point eight points per game.

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Speaker 1: Six against the spread against the Colts since twenty fifteen

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Speaker 1: cover it by an average of twenty point one points

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Speaker 1: per game. The Coasters struggled down here, man, this is

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Speaker 1: Jaguars week. You know, when Indianapolis goes down there to

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Speaker 1: the heat, it just doesn't fail. They just don't play well.

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Speaker 1: We saw what happened at the end of last year. Now,

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Speaker 1: and it's not even like this is like, okay, like

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Speaker 1: Carson Weent's got his revenge, you know, in Washington, So

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Speaker 1: it's not like it's a revenge spot for the quarterback.

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Speaker 1: But you know, looking at this Coats team, I mean,

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Speaker 1: need you see more than what happened last week against

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Speaker 1: the Texas. I mean, this is a very kind of

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Speaker 1: mediocre Coats team yet again, and every year they kind

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Speaker 1: of try to take that next step. But I still

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Speaker 1: think they're short at receiver outside of Pittman. You know,

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Speaker 1: he's great, obviously, but I just think this is overall

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Speaker 1: a very mediocre post team going on the road to

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Speaker 1: a place where they always struggle. You know, Matt Ryan's

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Speaker 1: still in his second game with these with these new receivers,

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Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor, He's gonna do what he does. We know that.

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Speaker 1: But I like the Jaguars. I still think the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: are going to be improving as the year goes on.

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Speaker 1: On offense, I liked what Peterson did. He kind of

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Speaker 1: opened it up a little bit. They went a little

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Speaker 1: pass heavy, Christian Kirk in the slot. Zay Jones played

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Speaker 1: well though he had a key drop or two. But

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Speaker 1: I think this Jaguars offense is going to be much improved.

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Speaker 1: So I don't think it's the same like terrible, you

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Speaker 1: know Jaguars team that like from last year. I still

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Speaker 1: think the defense has some issues. But you know, at home,

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Speaker 1: playing in their home opener against the team that they own,

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Speaker 1: I think I think it's going to actually be a

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Speaker 1: pretty pretty fun Jags game. Pretty you know, they don't

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Speaker 1: have a big home field advantage, but I think in

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Speaker 1: this spot, I think it'll be I got it a

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Speaker 1: little higher than usual. So just love the spot for Jacksonville.

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Speaker 1: And this is just one of those you know we

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Speaker 1: talk about, you know, coming in these trends for you know,

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Speaker 1: teams coming off a loss in week two sixty two

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Speaker 1: thirty four and two sixty five percent since five and

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Speaker 1: Week two dogs off against the spread loss, I think

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Speaker 1: you mentioned it fifty six thirty two and two sixty

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Speaker 1: four percent since five as well. So, I mean it's

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Speaker 1: just this is just the spot that you want Jacksonville,

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Speaker 1: this Coast team, I mean, down seventeen points to the Texans.

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Speaker 1: You could say it's a bounced back spot. But the

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Speaker 1: fact that the Coats went down seventeen to the Texans,

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Speaker 1: the Houston Texans, the worst, what everyone considers the worst

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Speaker 1: team in the National Football League. It doesn't bowl well

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Speaker 1: for this team going forward. And uh, I'm usually not

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Speaker 1: impressed with the Coats. I thought they would be a

349
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Speaker 1: little better this year, but I just don't see it.

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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna take some time. I still feel

351
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Speaker 1: like that offense is just running through two people. I mean,

352
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Speaker 1: Matt Ryan throw a Carson Wentz interception last week, same

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Speaker 1: old coach for me, give me the Jags plus four

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Speaker 1: and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this as well. You could argue it's

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Speaker 2: a decent spot for the Colts revenge for you know,

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Speaker 2: the Drags kicking out the playoffs last year. They're coming

358
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Speaker 2: off an embarrassing game the first place Colts, by the way,

359
00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 2: who don't have to win in that sad, sad division.

360
00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,600
Speaker 2: Shaq Leonard should be back, which you practicing folded. They

361
00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:09,320
Speaker 2: will see if he's at full strength. That should help

362
00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,080
Speaker 2: a little bit. I assume Buckner Devars Buckner was just

363
00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:14,760
Speaker 2: taking a vet day to day. Kenny Moore was also

364
00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:16,760
Speaker 2: on the injury list, but on the other side of

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Speaker 2: the ball, yeah, and I agree, the Jacksonville offense is

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Speaker 2: gonna be better. I think this is a good matchup

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Speaker 2: for Jacksonville's defense. The Colts receivers, by the way, the

368
00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:28,439
Speaker 2: bad situation the tackle play last week was horrendous against

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Speaker 2: the Texans, and you know Alec Pierce, they're counting on

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00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 2: this year's in concussion protocol. Now Pittman's dealing with a quad,

371
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Speaker 2: I assume will be good to go. But that's you

372
00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:39,600
Speaker 2: never liked the air of receivers dealing with a quad

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Speaker 2: and was limited in practice. But ultimately you're just not

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Speaker 2: scared of the Colts receivers. And that's important if you're Jacksonville.

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00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,400
Speaker 2: If you're betting on Jacksonville, because their secondary is their

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00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:54,520
Speaker 2: weakest area by far. Their new defensive coordinator, Mike Caldwell

377
00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:57,920
Speaker 2: Todd Bowles guy from scheme perspective, you can expect a

378
00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:02,160
Speaker 2: massive improvement against the just from schematics alone. Last week,

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00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:05,960
Speaker 2: Washington twenty eight carries eighty five yards. Already saw the

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00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:09,600
Speaker 2: improvements there. That's a key against the Colts, who want

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Speaker 2: to feed one of the best running backs the NFL.

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00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:15,520
Speaker 2: So from a matchup perspective, I do like it. And

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Speaker 2: if Buckner and Door Leonard, I'm assuming they're gonna be

384
00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:22,639
Speaker 2: at full strength there are not indoor more is important

385
00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,320
Speaker 2: in the slot, I love it even more. But I

386
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,960
Speaker 2: agree I think this line is a bit high. We'll

387
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:31,840
Speaker 2: find places to back the Colts. You know, usually like

388
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Speaker 2: Week four is when I always bet the Colts every year.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully they come up, they lose this game and then

390
00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:38,959
Speaker 1: you know, kind of go from there get they If

391
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,160
Speaker 1: they tie the Texans in and lose to the Jags,

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00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:44,199
Speaker 1: there's definitely going to be some Bilows opportunities.

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Speaker 2: This refers many ties, That's all I'm gonna do with

394
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Speaker 2: the se South kids, as many ties as possible.

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Speaker 1: All Right.

396
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Speaker 2: For my second pick and the third overall the Sunday

397
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Speaker 2: six pack, I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons plus ten

398
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:04,840
Speaker 2: and a half at the Los Angeles Rams. And look,

399
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:10,080
Speaker 2: the Rams have issues, major issues across the board. I

400
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:11,919
Speaker 2: know they have extra prep here there at home on

401
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:15,600
Speaker 2: field advantage isn't great, but their offensive line is a disaster.

402
00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:20,480
Speaker 2: They Matt Stafford, the pressure rate allowed higher than any

403
00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:24,359
Speaker 2: game of all of last season, and the Bills didn't

404
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:28,800
Speaker 2: blitz one single time. Now they're center starting centers out

405
00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 2: for a month. Good luck against Grady Jarrett. Their tackle,

406
00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,159
Speaker 2: who's replacing a future Hall of Famer, is banged up

407
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:38,040
Speaker 2: and looked bad last week. Across the board, this offensive

408
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,399
Speaker 2: line looks bad. You're probably still missing your deep threat

409
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 2: at receiver, Alan Robinson looked like he was running in snow.

410
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,399
Speaker 2: It was bad. The offense as a whole just looked off.

411
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,119
Speaker 2: I think this defense could also take a step back

412
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:56,320
Speaker 2: this year as well. I know they were playing the Bills,

413
00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,320
Speaker 2: and you don't want to overreact, but I think that

414
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:01,760
Speaker 2: the could have some issues early on in the air

415
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:03,920
Speaker 2: and it really starts the offensive line, and who knows

416
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Speaker 2: even if Stafford is fully healthy. But I like the Falcons.

417
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 2: I think that there's some value in this number at

418
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 2: ten and a half for a couple of reasons. I

419
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:15,879
Speaker 2: think that this Falcons defense will remain undervalued early in

420
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:18,960
Speaker 2: the year. They did some nice things last week, and

421
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:22,480
Speaker 2: we talked about this in the preseason demps historically as

422
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:26,600
Speaker 2: defenses improved year two, we're changing a culture around his

423
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,639
Speaker 2: day going place okay, and it's not going to be mediocre.

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Speaker 1: It's not going to be in the bottom half of

425
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Speaker 1: the league.

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00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 2: That bullhit's over a very complex scheme. Diskis a lot

427
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:38,880
Speaker 2: of looks that's not ideal for this offensive line, which

428
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,480
Speaker 2: is going to try and piece it together this upcoming

429
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:45,720
Speaker 2: weekend Falcons offense. They showed me some nice things last week.

430
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Speaker 2: Now the Falcons will probably be up fourteen in the

431
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 2: fourth quarter and lose. It's what they do better than anybody.

432
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:56,359
Speaker 2: Arthur Smith and a couple more boneheaded in game decisions

433
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:59,280
Speaker 2: last week that cost them the game. But yeah, I

434
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:01,400
Speaker 2: think the Falcons are going to be feisty this year

435
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,680
Speaker 2: catching double digits in the NFL early on in the season,

436
00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 2: especially if it's more uncertainty of this teams. But just

437
00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 2: in general, I'm always intrigued catching double digits, and I

438
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:14,399
Speaker 2: think this is a good spot to get the Falcons

439
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:16,959
Speaker 2: in a game where everyone just assumes the Rams are

440
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:20,879
Speaker 2: going to bounce back because they lost Week one. But

441
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 2: I'm taking the opposite stance here. Anything over ten on

442
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 2: with the Falcons here, Yeah.

443
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:27,240
Speaker 1: I like the Falcons. I would have that would have

444
00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 1: been one of my picks. I like some of the

445
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:30,639
Speaker 1: things they're doing on offense. I don't know how they

446
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:34,280
Speaker 1: lost that game against the Saints. Obviously the defense still

447
00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 1: has some issues, but overall, I think it's going to

448
00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 1: be a creative offense. You know, Cordero Patterson showed that

449
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 1: he could be a workhorse if they need. You know,

450
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,879
Speaker 1: in that game they got you know, Drake London. I

451
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 1: think when we get better, Kyle Pitts didn't even hasn't

452
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 1: even gotten the season started on the season yet. I mean,

453
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 1: he did nothing against the Saints. So you know, you

454
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 1: got weapons all around, and I think, you know, this

455
00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:00,320
Speaker 1: rams defense too, is for the top ends. How that

456
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 1: they have it just doesn't seem as scary to me.

457
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 1: And even going back to last year, like I don't know,

458
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:09,040
Speaker 1: with Ramsey, like ever since they started putting him in

459
00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:11,199
Speaker 1: the slot, it just feels like he's not making as

460
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 1: much of an impact and he's getting beat like the

461
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 1: offensive line. I mean, you could just tell that Matthew

462
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:21,160
Speaker 1: Stafford you know when he's not when when he doesn't

463
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 1: have time, you know, it's back to Detroit. Matthew Stafford.

464
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,560
Speaker 1: You know, it's like he'll make some plays and he'll

465
00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:28,919
Speaker 1: get some things going, but also you know he's not

466
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 1: always going to bail you out. He lost a lot

467
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 1: of games in Detroit because he didn't always have an

468
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:36,399
Speaker 1: offensive line, he didn't always have more than one receiver,

469
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 1: and now you're kind of going back to that. So, yeah,

470
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:44,119
Speaker 1: ten and a half too many points this early in

471
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 1: the season, especially after we just saw the Falcons put

472
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,880
Speaker 1: together a pretty solid performance last week. Now, obviously they're

473
00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 1: going on the road here, but Rams not a huge

474
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 1: home field advantage. I mean, they had to go silent

475
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: count last week. So yeah, it's a long rest. I

476
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:01,800
Speaker 1: guess that's the thing. That's maybe that's why the line

477
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 1: is so big.

478
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:04,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, Rams, he's about to be twenty eight, by the way,

479
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 2: and that's when you start to fall off. Like twenty seven.

480
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 2: Twenty four to twenty seven is usually the prime. In

481
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,920
Speaker 2: twenty twenty, only one quarterback third them more than nine times.

482
00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 2: Last week. I think Josh Allen went like seven of

483
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 2: eight for like one hundred and eight yards. Last year,

484
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:22,040
Speaker 2: Brady threw at him twelve times, Cousin threw them ten times.

485
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:26,439
Speaker 2: Russ and Gino combined to throw them ten times. Borrow

486
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:29,919
Speaker 2: threw it him nine times in the Super Bowl. Like, so,

487
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 2: teams are obviously NFL teams are obviously scouting this stuff.

488
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 2: And in twenty twenty, no and before no one was

489
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,920
Speaker 2: throwing at him. Now you're seeing teams do so must

490
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 2: mean something. But yeah, I think twenty points here all right.

491
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 1: For my second pick and the fourth overall of the

492
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 1: week two Sunday six pack, I am going with the

493
00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 1: Detroit Lions minus one and a half at home against

494
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:03,320
Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders. And I like this matchup for Detroit.

495
00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:06,840
Speaker 1: You know, second straight home game got away from them

496
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:10,880
Speaker 1: last week. But going up against Washington, I just I'm

497
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 1: not very impressed with this Washington team. You know, they

498
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 1: needed to come back to knock off the Jaguars at

499
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 1: home last week. I think their run defense is going

500
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,919
Speaker 1: to be an issue against Detroit. You know, Detroit, it

501
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,480
Speaker 1: should be a shootout. It's probably be a shootout, but

502
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 1: we know Detroit's defense is going to struggle. But looking

503
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,560
Speaker 1: at Washington's defense, I mean they gave up six over

504
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:35,160
Speaker 1: six yards of carry last week to the Jaguars. That's

505
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 1: spells trouble against this Detroit team. That had that they

506
00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:40,320
Speaker 1: want to run. DeAndre Swift looked like one of the

507
00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 1: best backs in the league last week, Jamal Williams running

508
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:47,440
Speaker 1: well as well, and then Washington's cornerback. They're just not

509
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:50,120
Speaker 1: playing well. This whole defense is just not playing well.

510
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 1: And I think, you know, Detroit with a mon Ross

511
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 1: Saint Brown DJ shark, I think they can. I think

512
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:59,399
Speaker 1: Detroit is going to have matchup advantages all over the

513
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:02,520
Speaker 1: place on offense, and you combine that with being at home,

514
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:05,920
Speaker 1: second straight home game, Carson Wentz going on the road

515
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,560
Speaker 1: coming off you know, just got his big, big revenge

516
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,680
Speaker 1: against the Jags after what they did to him last year.

517
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:16,560
Speaker 1: I just think this is a letdown spot for Washington

518
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,919
Speaker 1: and I think Detroit. I'm a little higher on Detroit

519
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:22,160
Speaker 1: than the market, but that win total started to creep up.

520
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 1: But I like buying lowing them in this spot here,

521
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:27,400
Speaker 1: you know, one and a half, I think they could

522
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 1: win this game. So I like Detroit. Here we two

523
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,359
Speaker 1: home teams, by the way against a road team that

524
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:38,920
Speaker 1: covered at home in week one, sixty fifty against the

525
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 1: spreads until five, eight and four when favored by under

526
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,560
Speaker 1: a field goal. So usually you don't see you know

527
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 1: positive ats trends for favorites, but in this spot, Detroit

528
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:58,719
Speaker 1: has one like the matchup here against Washington. Hello Troite.

529
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:03,679
Speaker 2: The only against the spread journal they need is Dan Campbell,

530
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:07,800
Speaker 2: who all he does is cover that was number one

531
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,120
Speaker 2: last year in the NFL. Covered again in Week one.

532
00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter. If you have one ass cheek and

533
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 2: three toes, I will beat your rest. Well. This is

534
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 2: the first time the lines will be favored. The lines

535
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 2: are favorite the first time in twenty four games. My

536
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,399
Speaker 2: only concern is I played the lines minus one early

537
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:25,640
Speaker 2: and I you know now, I wish I'm potentially would

538
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,560
Speaker 2: have waited because I didn't think that the injury situation

539
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:32,160
Speaker 2: could look this bad on Wednesday. Now, Thursday's a day

540
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:35,679
Speaker 2: we record this on Wednesday that you really see, you

541
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 2: really get a tell on okay, this person really might

542
00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:40,520
Speaker 2: not play. And a lot of times when you're looking

543
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 2: at these injury reports, if you see a vet on

544
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 2: a Wednesday, a lot of times it's just like a

545
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,359
Speaker 2: rest day. If there wasn't like a serious injury. But

546
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 2: the line's offensive line and swift didn't practice today, that

547
00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:53,719
Speaker 2: three players in their offensive line didn't practice today, so

548
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 2: that I am concerned about going up against the Washington

549
00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 2: defensive line because one of the reasons that I did

550
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:04,399
Speaker 2: play this is that assuming that the line's offensive line

551
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 2: is healthy outside of by diet right guard who's went

552
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:12,679
Speaker 2: on ir but ed Kramer in there, and now that

553
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:15,719
Speaker 2: when healthy, even without through right card, they have one

554
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:18,639
Speaker 2: of the best offensive lines in the NFL, can neutralize

555
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 2: that Washington defensive line that will still be without Chase Young,

556
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 2: and then Golf can have a clean pocket to take

557
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:28,840
Speaker 2: advantage of some of the weaknesses in the Washington defense

558
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 2: that we see at linebacker and in the secondary. But

559
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 2: now I'm a bit concerned about the offensive line and

560
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 2: Swift's availability. I don't have too much insight into it. Yeah,

561
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 2: we'll find out more tomorrow. Something certainly worth monitoring.

562
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 1: From what I hear, like they're just given them rest.

563
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 1: Decker was out for like undisclosed reasons, Like I don't

564
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 1: think it was I don't think he's hurt or anything,

565
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 1: but I know Swift was just kind of getting arrest

566
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,960
Speaker 1: after going crazy. Dan Cambill said, Frank Rag now is

567
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:57,360
Speaker 1: like a little sore, but I think it's just like

568
00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 1: a Wednesday thing.

569
00:28:58,800 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 2: Not too concerned.

570
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,719
Speaker 1: I mean I mean you played a lot of snaps,

571
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:04,760
Speaker 1: you know, a high scoring game, a lot of rushing

572
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 1: attempts for swift and all that, so hopefully were good.

573
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 2: Try all right. For my third pick and the fifth

574
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,720
Speaker 2: overall of the Sunday sixth pat presented by Fandel, I

575
00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:24,240
Speaker 2: am going with the New Orleans Saints plus two and

576
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 2: a half at home against the Tampa Bay Bucks if

577
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:38,800
Speaker 2: you can find a three out here. Historically doesn't make

578
00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 2: sense to ever buy half points the full half point,

579
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 2: I mean three. You're gonna be paying up to minus one,

580
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 2: twenty five, minus thirty. There are exceptions, and if you're

581
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:49,200
Speaker 2: just a recreational better and you really want the three,

582
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 2: it's the one time I would excuse it. But historically

583
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,640
Speaker 2: you look back, it doesn't make sense. But if the

584
00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:56,560
Speaker 2: total is lower it makes more sense. Also a good

585
00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 2: teaser piece, which we'll talk about later. This line has

586
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 2: come down a little bit because of some of the

587
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:04,479
Speaker 2: injuries that Tampa is dealing with. A lot of veteran

588
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:07,360
Speaker 2: receivers they have, so it's like, all right, are they

589
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:09,760
Speaker 2: really hurt are they not? But they were limited last

590
00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 2: week dealing with some injuries. None of them practice today. Also,

591
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 2: you have a situation on the offensive line, another situation.

592
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 2: They're already dealing with a lot of turnover the interior, now

593
00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:21,840
Speaker 2: they're tackle thought it a Smith. He left last week's game.

594
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 2: I'm not sure if he's going to be able to go.

595
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:28,560
Speaker 2: And what do we know about the Saints defense. It's

596
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 2: the one team that has given Brady issues over the

597
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:36,720
Speaker 2: past couple of years, and that was when the Tampa

598
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 2: had one of the best offensive lines in the NFL.

599
00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:42,840
Speaker 2: So now you're dealing with all this and you know

600
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:46,360
Speaker 2: you don't have your full set of receivers, your offensive

601
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 2: line is a shell of itself, and you're going up

602
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 2: against a very stout Saints defense that always has you

603
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 2: scouted well, that is always going to give Brady problems.

604
00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 2: And look that Cowboys defense. Cowboys offense can do anything.

605
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,520
Speaker 2: Last week, especially in the red zone. You saw that

606
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 2: how much Brady was getting hit and pressured. So I

607
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:05,520
Speaker 2: think that's going to play out here. And you can

608
00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 2: go all the way back twenty years with Brady. The

609
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 2: only chance you have against him, go watch that Eagles

610
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 2: game last year. A gat in his zone by the

611
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 2: way zone against Cousins. You look at Cousins numbers, versus

612
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:21,719
Speaker 2: man in zone ridiculous and Eagles zone I look good

613
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:22,120
Speaker 2: this week.

614
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:23,800
Speaker 1: I got three words for you.

615
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 2: You like that you'd never zoned Tom Brady's why Tom

616
00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 2: Brady dominated the Steelers. Steelers used to run that zone

617
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 2: forever and Brady would put up fifty every time. The

618
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 2: only teams that wouldever have any success. You have to

619
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,840
Speaker 2: get pressure and you have to play man on the

620
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,959
Speaker 2: outside capable doing that. But Ravens used to be able.

621
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:44,040
Speaker 2: Really good Ravens defense used to do that as well.

622
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:47,440
Speaker 2: You have guys like Sugs getting pressure. You'd have your

623
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: really good secondary on the outside blanketing the receivers. You

624
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:53,040
Speaker 2: gotta force Brady to make quick decisions. You can't be

625
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:56,520
Speaker 2: running zone. Saints defense matches up really well. Here. Love

626
00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:59,040
Speaker 2: that I saw from Winston last week on the offense,

627
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 2: and you know, kind of a slow start, but he

628
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 2: really got going. If you look at some of the

629
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 2: advanced metrics, he played really well. They were throwing the

630
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,600
Speaker 2: ball down field, being aggressive. I don't think the drop

631
00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:12,920
Speaker 2: off with Peyton. That's one data set, so just one game,

632
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 2: it's all we have something. We're gonna have the monitor.

633
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,160
Speaker 2: But Landry looked great. Michael Thomas Scott in the end

634
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 2: zone twice. So I think the Saints can do enough

635
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 2: here at home. Big home field advantage here against a

636
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:26,240
Speaker 2: team that they've just dominated, because they match up pretty

637
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 2: well against Tampa who's clearly just not a full strength

638
00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 2: right now on the offensive side of the ball. We'll

639
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 2: see who ends up suiting up at receiver. But I

640
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 2: think the Saints get this done at home.

641
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:41,240
Speaker 1: You know, watching that Dallas game, it kind of felt like, okay,

642
00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 1: the strength of that line, if there is one is

643
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 1: on the interior is run blocking. It's definitely not pass blocking.

644
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 1: But the Saints usually play really yeah, it's so it's

645
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:54,600
Speaker 1: kind of one of those. It's just a tough matchup

646
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,320
Speaker 1: thinking about an under for this as well, just because

647
00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 1: you know, you look at that Tampa Bay offensive line

648
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 1: last week, and you know, Donovan Smith gave up three

649
00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:04,640
Speaker 1: pressures in just ten snaps and he might not even

650
00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:07,760
Speaker 1: play this league. And then you know the the Gadecki,

651
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 1: the left guard, the rookie left guard, gave up three pressures.

652
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 1: You had Josh Wells comeing for Donovan Smith and gave

653
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 1: up two more pressures, so you got you got five

654
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 1: pressures from your left tackle. And then you.

655
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 2: Know, the Saints defensive line is much better than the

656
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 2: Cowboys defensive line.

657
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean they gave up twelve pressures, up two sacks,

658
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:29,280
Speaker 1: two hits, eight hurries, but twelve twelve pressures on just

659
00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 1: twenty nine pass snaps.

660
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 2: That is Yeah. Well, Tampa's biggest success foread for Net

661
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 2: had a great day running the ball.

662
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 1: You don't run against New Orleans exactly. I liked what

663
00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:44,080
Speaker 1: I saw at the Tampa Bay's defense. I will say, uh,

664
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,920
Speaker 1: low scoring kind of game, and yeah, I think the

665
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:49,800
Speaker 1: Saints are a live dog here as usual against Tom Brady.

666
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 1: I mean this this team just has his number. I

667
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 1: mean you could you could just look at the last

668
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 1: few matchups. I mean, wasn't it nine to nothing or

669
00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 1: something like that nine to three last year? Yeah, nine nothing.

670
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: I mean they out this Bucks offense. This is just uh,

671
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,080
Speaker 1: this is just not the matchup for him. And I

672
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:09,439
Speaker 1: I'm really curious to see kind of how they scheme

673
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:12,400
Speaker 1: this up because they can't. You don't really want to

674
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 1: try to run against the Saint so other Cordill Patterson

675
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:17,120
Speaker 1: look fine, but those Saints Falcons games alreadys a whole nother,

676
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:19,560
Speaker 1: Like you almost have to throw those out like they're

677
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 1: just division games. They just the Falcons seem always kind

678
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:24,440
Speaker 1: of play them. Well, but how are you for checking.

679
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:26,959
Speaker 2: The Bucks receivers this weekend from your fantasy.

680
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 1: To It's tough because you know Mike Evans always struggles

681
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:33,160
Speaker 1: against Latimore too. He hasn't had a big game. Was

682
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:34,640
Speaker 1: the only he was like the only one.

683
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:37,560
Speaker 2: That practiced today but was limited the practice.

684
00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, this might be an undergame, uh for me, but

685
00:34:41,120 --> 00:34:42,799
Speaker 1: like I wish I would have gotten the three like

686
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 1: you said, Uh, if I don't get it, I probably

687
00:34:45,120 --> 00:34:47,320
Speaker 1: play the under I do want to take a second

688
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:50,280
Speaker 1: for quick announcements any listeners who use the Action App.

689
00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 1: Thanks to our new partnership with FanDuel. Starting right now

690
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:56,560
Speaker 1: when week two, We've got a new technology update for

691
00:34:56,680 --> 00:35:00,040
Speaker 1: all you gambers out there. It's called quick Slip and

692
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,320
Speaker 1: here's how it works. Let's say you've got a Fandue

693
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:04,719
Speaker 1: account and you're in the Action App looking for the

694
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 1: best lines. You can use quick Slip to go directly

695
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:11,240
Speaker 1: to FanDuel with that same pick and a bet slip

696
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:14,960
Speaker 1: ready to go. Huge time saver for any Action App

697
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 1: user who bets with FanDuel, so be sure to check

698
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 1: it out let the games begin. For my third and

699
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 1: the final pick of the week to Sunday six pack

700
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:33,040
Speaker 1: presented by FanDuel. I am going with the Carolina Panthers

701
00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:36,239
Speaker 1: plus one and a half at the New York Giants,

702
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:38,560
Speaker 1: and it's.

703
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:40,719
Speaker 2: Coming here Daniel Jones own road splits.

704
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 1: Oh man, yeah on the road. I think he was

705
00:35:43,239 --> 00:35:45,920
Speaker 1: nine and now ten and o catching less than eight

706
00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 1: points after covering last week. I knew they were gonna

707
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,960
Speaker 1: wait when when you came out here with the Undertaker

708
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:56,360
Speaker 1: and the Dark Just ge Man? Now, sir, can I

709
00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:57,720
Speaker 1: get a G man? Can I get a berman?

710
00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:03,480
Speaker 2: G men? Clip man? Thank you? What a massive win,

711
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 2: by the way, not only for our bets, but I

712
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:10,440
Speaker 2: Giant season win total over and Titans win season win

713
00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 2: total under. So how about another g men.

714
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:15,560
Speaker 1: Man?

715
00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:16,800
Speaker 2: Thank you.

716
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:19,200
Speaker 1: Now that that's out of way, now we gotta fade him.

717
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:22,719
Speaker 1: Everyone's loving Brian Dabo. Everywhere I go I see an

718
00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:25,920
Speaker 1: article about him, and yes, he's obviously a massive step

719
00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:28,879
Speaker 1: up from what they had. But Sa Kwon Barkley doesn't

720
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:31,279
Speaker 1: break a tackle at the three yard line. Uh the

721
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 1: fat The fat kicker from Tennessee hits the hits the

722
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 1: field goal and we're having a whole different conversation here.

723
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:39,799
Speaker 1: So you know, now you know, not only do we

724
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:43,840
Speaker 1: have Daniel Jones seven and twelve thirty seven percent against

725
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:47,000
Speaker 1: the spread at home, but we have all these kind

726
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,520
Speaker 1: of same trends buy and low on these teams that

727
00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 1: lost against the spread lost straight up sixty five percent

728
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:56,680
Speaker 1: sixty four percent respectively. You also have Week two dogs

729
00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 1: that lost a close game. So Week two dogs that

730
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 1: lost by four points us our twenty six fourteen and

731
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:05,200
Speaker 1: three sixty five percent against the spreads and so far.

732
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:09,000
Speaker 1: And I think the thing for Carolina that they can

733
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 1: exploit because these are these are still two bad teams

734
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:15,000
Speaker 1: in my opinion. But looking at the Giants last week,

735
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 1: what did they struggle with? They're able to corral Derrick

736
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:22,560
Speaker 1: Henry pretty well, but they couldn't cover Dontreil Hilliard. And

737
00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:27,000
Speaker 1: that's a big issue because now you're facing Christian McCaffrey

738
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:31,319
Speaker 1: two tds for Dontrell Hilliard. Austin Kaletro is one of

739
00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:34,840
Speaker 1: the linebackers. He's a undrafted free agent from twenty seventeen

740
00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:38,279
Speaker 1: who's finally getting a chance in the NFL after like

741
00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:41,800
Speaker 1: five years. He was the worst graded linebacker in coverage,

742
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 1: and then Tay Crowder is annually the worst great one

743
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:48,439
Speaker 1: of the worst graded linebackers in coverage. So I think

744
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:50,800
Speaker 1: that's gonna be a real issue for the Giants, is

745
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:55,719
Speaker 1: covering Christian McCaffrey have a huge, huge day.

746
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,799
Speaker 2: And by the way, our boy Aaron Robinson is out.

747
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 2: I think as a pen, I don't know who's playing

748
00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:04,719
Speaker 2: the second corner spot for the Giants this week. But

749
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:05,760
Speaker 2: that's scary.

750
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,440
Speaker 1: We're not sitting here saying the Panthers are amazing, but

751
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:12,239
Speaker 1: I have these teams outreaded about equal. Panthers actually a

752
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:15,799
Speaker 1: tiny bit ahead and Giants not really much home field advantage,

753
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:20,720
Speaker 1: so you know, getting the you know, this is essentially

754
00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:23,759
Speaker 1: like a pick up to me. And looking at this

755
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:26,880
Speaker 1: Giants d you mentioned it, there's holes all over. You know,

756
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 1: they didn't really they only got one sect. They're not

757
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 1: going to get pressure against Mayfield. They'll probably win some blitzes,

758
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:34,279
Speaker 1: but that's not the same, but just being able to

759
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:37,879
Speaker 1: get organic pressure. Mayfield is does the worst when he's

760
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 1: just under you know, kind of organic pressure. When he

761
00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 1: gets with witched. He's had some success in his career,

762
00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:46,160
Speaker 1: so it's you know, It's one of those matchups where,

763
00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 1: you know, a team that doesn't get any type of

764
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 1: pressure off the edge the old line, you know, don't

765
00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:53,479
Speaker 1: let Saquon's big game folly. Like the old line still

766
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:56,640
Speaker 1: did not really play well outside of Thomas. So I

767
00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 1: still think, you know, Brian Burns could get off on

768
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:02,080
Speaker 1: any who had a pretty bad game in Week one.

769
00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 1: And I just think that this Giants team come back

770
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:07,840
Speaker 1: down to earth a little bit after that big celebration

771
00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:12,840
Speaker 1: last week. Everybody's on tables nuts now everybody's on Saquon's nuts.

772
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:16,000
Speaker 1: But we you know, even though Daniel Jones only through

773
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:20,480
Speaker 1: foreign completions, Uh, Daniel Jones, man, we see how he

774
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 1: could damage like a spread a number like this because

775
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:28,359
Speaker 1: he threw a ball straight to the other team for

776
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:30,959
Speaker 1: no reason too, like like what are you doing throwing

777
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 1: like a that wasn't even a back shoulder, that was

778
00:39:33,080 --> 00:39:36,239
Speaker 1: just a no shoulder like to Saquon. So you know,

779
00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 1: this is where we tend to see Daniel Jones give

780
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 1: these games away at home for whatever reason. And uh yeah,

781
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:44,640
Speaker 1: just buying all on the Panthers, who easily we could

782
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 1: be talking about a one to oh Panthers team and

783
00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:49,080
Speaker 1: an O one Giants team. Uh if the referees get

784
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 1: gets get the call right in the game two kicks.

785
00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 2: The other way fifty eight yard field goal and uh

786
00:39:55,920 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 2: yeah uh conversion right. I can't join here, but you know,

787
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:03,960
Speaker 2: I mean I have the Giants power to higher than

788
00:40:04,000 --> 00:40:06,880
Speaker 2: the market pretty substantially. And by the way, one of

789
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:09,320
Speaker 2: the reasons that I love the Giants win total under

790
00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:12,960
Speaker 2: came to fruition in the first week with like more

791
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:16,600
Speaker 2: competent play calling and decision making going for two there

792
00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:19,359
Speaker 2: at the end and all that. Kid firstion, I don't

793
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 2: mean I'm not playing the Giants. I'm actually teasing the Panthers.

794
00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 2: So I'm kind of on your side there, tease them

795
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 2: up aver seven. I like that low scoring game two

796
00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:29,280
Speaker 2: total forty three. But yeah, historically this is free money.

797
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:32,360
Speaker 2: Bet Jones on the road, fade them at home, Rinton repeat.

798
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:35,319
Speaker 1: All right. So that's our Sunday six pack for Week two.

799
00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:37,719
Speaker 1: Stuck has the Patriots minus two and a half, the

800
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:40,479
Speaker 1: Falcons plus ten and a half, and these Saints plus

801
00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:43,000
Speaker 1: two and a half. I have the Jaguars plus four

802
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:45,400
Speaker 1: and a half, the Lions minus one and a half,

803
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:48,800
Speaker 1: and the Panthers plus one and a half.

804
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:51,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, let me let me throw something else out there

805
00:40:51,080 --> 00:40:53,120
Speaker 2: real quick. Now that the line is sitting at two

806
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:55,200
Speaker 2: and a half, maybe you get some positive bucks news

807
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:58,520
Speaker 2: on the injury front or offensive line. Maybe there's a

808
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:00,440
Speaker 2: group that comes in and hits the bus. You're at

809
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:01,919
Speaker 2: two and a half now, unless you want to tease

810
00:41:01,960 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 2: it up over eight, you might as well wait right

811
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 2: to wait to see if that three comes, if it

812
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:08,760
Speaker 2: drops to two later in the week, and you see, look,

813
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:11,840
Speaker 2: the three is not gonna come. Chances are now that

814
00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:13,640
Speaker 2: I say this, and they're gonna lose by two. But

815
00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 2: chances are the Saints are gonna lose by two. It's

816
00:41:16,160 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 2: not a key number. It's Wednesday, early in the week.

817
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:21,720
Speaker 2: So will I say I'm taking two and a half.

818
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 2: I have three already at minus one fifteen. But you

819
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 2: you might as well wait and see if that three pops,

820
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:32,080
Speaker 2: because it is that is exponentially more important than it

821
00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:34,359
Speaker 2: not getting the three and then it drops down to two.

822
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 1: All right, Uh, now it's time for our coaches pep

823
00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:43,359
Speaker 1: talk for week two. You keep playing the way you're playing,

824
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:45,440
Speaker 1: We're gonna get a half feet again to that and

825
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:49,600
Speaker 1: it stopped right now. Today's coaches. Pep talk comes to

826
00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:54,320
Speaker 1: us from al Pacino in the nineteen ninety two film

827
00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 1: Glen Gary Glenn Ross, and we're dedicating it to none other.

828
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:03,760
Speaker 1: And you, Hacket, what are you doing? Bro? You stupid

829
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:07,319
Speaker 1: fucking now I'm talking to you. Shit, he just cost

830
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:08,600
Speaker 1: me six thousand dollars.

831
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:11,120
Speaker 2: What are you gonna do about it? What are you

832
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:13,280
Speaker 2: going to do about it? Asshole?

833
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:15,560
Speaker 1: Where did you learn your trade? You idiot?

834
00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 2: What you're hired for is to.

835
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:21,760
Speaker 1: Help us, to help men who are going out there

836
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:25,480
Speaker 1: to try to earn a living. Does that seem clear

837
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:31,239
Speaker 1: to you? To help us, not to fuck us up? Like,

838
00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 1: what wasn't it Daniel Hackett thinking I'm at a loss?

839
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 2: That's all some numbers out there that said, like you

840
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:40,040
Speaker 2: was twenty thirty percent to make it, it's ten percent tops,

841
00:42:40,520 --> 00:42:43,520
Speaker 2: maybe even lower than five percent. I think history of

842
00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:47,720
Speaker 2: NFL two for thirty thirty nine or two for thirty

843
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:51,720
Speaker 2: two for forty somewhere that of over sixty four yards

844
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:54,640
Speaker 2: sixty four above, there's only been one kicker in NFL

845
00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:56,920
Speaker 2: history that has hit from above sixty four outside of

846
00:42:56,920 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 2: the altitude of Denver, and that's one by the name

847
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 2: of Justin Tucker the best kicker in the history the NFL,

848
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 2: and that was in a dome, in a dome, and

849
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:08,879
Speaker 2: he hit it by one inch. He made it by

850
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,920
Speaker 2: one inch in a dome. This is at sea level

851
00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:15,120
Speaker 2: outside with a little breeze coming at you. I know

852
00:43:15,160 --> 00:43:17,600
Speaker 2: he has a big leg, but yeah, you're not making that.

853
00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:21,839
Speaker 2: And you signed Russell Wilson for that moment inexpectable. Let

854
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:24,200
Speaker 2: me try to defend it. Then he at least he

855
00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:26,160
Speaker 2: came back and said, look, someone got in his year

856
00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:27,680
Speaker 2: and he said, oh, yeah, we should have went for it.

857
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:33,279
Speaker 2: But if you have a sixty four yard field goal

858
00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:37,000
Speaker 2: for the win, and it's fourth and five, there's still

859
00:43:37,040 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 2: a minute and a half lef and you have and

860
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:43,040
Speaker 2: your quarterback is not Mitch Trubisky, then you have to

861
00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:47,799
Speaker 2: ask yourself one question, is my kicker justin Tucker? If

862
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 2: the answer is yes, hold that thought. If the answer

863
00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:53,560
Speaker 2: is no, then you go for it every time. If

864
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 2: the answer is yes, then you say, okay, am I

865
00:43:55,760 --> 00:43:58,799
Speaker 2: in Denver and where is the wind? You know what?

866
00:43:58,840 --> 00:43:59,920
Speaker 1: I probably still should go.

867
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:02,200
Speaker 2: For there's a minute and a half left. Yeah, because

868
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:04,240
Speaker 2: by the way, if you make it, the other team's

869
00:44:04,239 --> 00:44:06,400
Speaker 2: gonna get the ball back. Still on top of that,

870
00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 2: you know people aren't thinking of that. Yeah, there's still

871
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 2: a chance, and the other team does get a field goal,

872
00:44:11,080 --> 00:44:13,400
Speaker 2: it's not out of the realm. You get a big return,

873
00:44:13,480 --> 00:44:15,520
Speaker 2: you complete one pass, you call a couple of timeouts.

874
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:17,919
Speaker 2: That astall also be included. But if you're not in Denver,

875
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:20,080
Speaker 2: you're not in a dome, and you're not laying Kiffin

876
00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:23,359
Speaker 2: who trotted out Sebastian Janikowski fifteen years ago. You got

877
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 2: fired the next day to kick a six seventy six

878
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:27,920
Speaker 2: yard field goal outside into the wind. That was like

879
00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 2: twenty yards short.

880
00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:29,960
Speaker 1: Go for it.

881
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:31,960
Speaker 2: But yeah, so this obviously is dedicated to.

882
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:34,560
Speaker 1: Hack it three hundred and forty yards for Russ and

883
00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:36,759
Speaker 1: you didn't trust him with throw for five more yard

884
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:38,360
Speaker 1: you could. You could have got the five yards and

885
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,040
Speaker 1: then kicked the field goal. It would have been makeable.

886
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:43,800
Speaker 1: Then it would have been from fifty nine. But I digress.

887
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:46,640
Speaker 1: Let's get into our favorite total. You started the six pack,

888
00:44:46,680 --> 00:44:49,520
Speaker 1: I'll start the total. I am going with green Bay

889
00:44:49,640 --> 00:44:54,000
Speaker 1: Chicago under forty two and a half. And look, green

890
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 1: Bay could get everybody back, they could get Wizard back,

891
00:44:56,520 --> 00:44:58,840
Speaker 1: they could get the tackles back. This is not the

892
00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 1: same green Bay offense without DeVante Adams because these receivers

893
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:06,080
Speaker 1: just started getting open and Allen was Ar is not

894
00:45:06,080 --> 00:45:08,440
Speaker 1: going to change that. Allen was Are in his career

895
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:11,840
Speaker 1: has been targeted about fifteen percent of his routes. Now,

896
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:15,720
Speaker 1: the like DeVante Adams is around thirty percent. That number

897
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:18,080
Speaker 1: right there. Yes, it has a little bit to do

898
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:20,640
Speaker 1: with who you're running routes with, but for the most part,

899
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,799
Speaker 1: good receivers are going to get targeted, you know. So

900
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:26,879
Speaker 1: Alaazar is not going to move the needle to much

901
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:29,120
Speaker 1: of an extent. And what I think is going to

902
00:45:29,200 --> 00:45:31,760
Speaker 1: happen his Green Bay is going to look and say, Okay,

903
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 1: we got a team that we should be able to

904
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:38,359
Speaker 1: handle at home in Lambeau ten point favorite. Uh, we

905
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:40,640
Speaker 1: need to run the ball, and I think Green Bay

906
00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:42,799
Speaker 1: is going to be even run, you know, more run

907
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 1: heavy than they were last week. Last week they threw

908
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:50,319
Speaker 1: on fifty six percent of their early downs in the

909
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:53,280
Speaker 1: first twenty eight minutes of the game. I think that

910
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:55,200
Speaker 1: that number is going to go down this week. I

911
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:58,280
Speaker 1: think they're going to try to run on the Chicago

912
00:45:58,320 --> 00:46:01,799
Speaker 1: defense and on the other side of the ball. You

913
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 1: have Chicago, who they definitely want to run. They only

914
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:07,480
Speaker 1: passed on twenty six percent of their plays in the

915
00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:11,440
Speaker 1: first twenty eight minutes of the game, so uh, they

916
00:46:11,480 --> 00:46:15,480
Speaker 1: averaged one point eight tight ends and fullbacks per offensive snap.

917
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:18,680
Speaker 1: So they almost always had some type of heavy personnel

918
00:46:19,239 --> 00:46:21,560
Speaker 1: on the fields, and I think that's what Chicago's going

919
00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:23,840
Speaker 1: to have to do. But now you have all this

920
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:27,080
Speaker 1: talk about Jayra Alexander and he's kind of squeaking and

921
00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:30,319
Speaker 1: upset that he didn't get to cover Justin Jefferson. So

922
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:34,160
Speaker 1: you also might get Jaira Alexander on Darnell Mooney, which

923
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:36,560
Speaker 1: is like the one weapon Chicago has in the past. Game.

924
00:46:37,080 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 1: Then you know, you have just a Green Bay defense

925
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 1: that I you know, didn't show it last week necessarily,

926
00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:46,960
Speaker 1: but I think it's going to be over the long

927
00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:51,360
Speaker 1: term much improved defense. And you're getting your home opener

928
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:53,800
Speaker 1: at Lambeau. I just I think Chicago's really going to

929
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:57,479
Speaker 1: struggle for offense in this game. And then green Bay

930
00:46:57,520 --> 00:47:00,680
Speaker 1: I think they run it, and they were twenty fourth

931
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:03,000
Speaker 1: in neutral pacing week one. They were thirty first in

932
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:06,319
Speaker 1: neutral pace last year. They tend to be near the

933
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:08,960
Speaker 1: bottom of the league. With Aaron Rodgers. He likes to

934
00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:11,759
Speaker 1: survey things at the line of scrimmage, see what he's got.

935
00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:15,359
Speaker 1: I think that continues. I just think green Bay tries

936
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:17,480
Speaker 1: to get out of here with a win. I don't

937
00:47:17,480 --> 00:47:20,759
Speaker 1: think Chicago does much on offense, and I still think

938
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:24,680
Speaker 1: Chicago's defense can to have success when green Bay passes,

939
00:47:25,080 --> 00:47:27,879
Speaker 1: even if they get everybody back, because Chicago last week

940
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:29,799
Speaker 1: they only blitzed once and they still got pressure on

941
00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:33,719
Speaker 1: thirty seven percent of Trey Lance's dropbacks. And with the

942
00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:36,960
Speaker 1: way these green Bay receivers, you know, without DeVante Adams,

943
00:47:36,960 --> 00:47:40,279
Speaker 1: no one's really breaking open quick with any type of consistency.

944
00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:42,719
Speaker 1: So I think Chicago is going to be able to

945
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:44,960
Speaker 1: get some pressure on Rogers, but I think green Bay

946
00:47:45,040 --> 00:47:46,719
Speaker 1: is more so just going to try to mitigate that

947
00:47:47,040 --> 00:47:49,000
Speaker 1: with a lot of runs, a lot of short passes.

948
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 1: I think they'll be fine, kind of dinking and dunking

949
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:54,959
Speaker 1: their way down the field in this one. And yeah,

950
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:58,239
Speaker 1: give me give me the under green Bay Chicago Week

951
00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:01,600
Speaker 1: two divisional unders that opened forty three or higher, which

952
00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:05,560
Speaker 1: this one did. It went down thirty nine two sixty

953
00:48:05,600 --> 00:48:08,319
Speaker 1: four percent, covering by an average of two point eight

954
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:11,080
Speaker 1: points per game since two thousand and five, and when

955
00:48:11,400 --> 00:48:14,799
Speaker 1: the total drops as this one has twenty five and ten,

956
00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:19,759
Speaker 1: so usually following that line move is the sharp play

957
00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:22,000
Speaker 1: in these kind of games. So give me the under.

958
00:48:22,520 --> 00:48:24,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the Green Bad defense will be fine.

959
00:48:25,120 --> 00:48:28,080
Speaker 2: Adrian Amos probably had the Korean Bay safety probably had

960
00:48:28,080 --> 00:48:31,000
Speaker 2: the worst game of his career. I missed completely blow

961
00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:34,080
Speaker 2: coverage and quarters coverage and then took a terrible route

962
00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:37,680
Speaker 2: that led to two Jefferson touchdowns. Jefferson obviously is one

963
00:48:37,680 --> 00:48:41,120
Speaker 2: of the best receivers in the NFL. Donald Wone is good,

964
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:44,319
Speaker 2: but he's not trusted Jefferson and Amos usually makes those

965
00:48:44,320 --> 00:48:49,239
Speaker 2: two plays, and you know the Packers defense will be fine.

966
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:52,640
Speaker 2: Their defensive line looked good, not worried about that at all.

967
00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:55,400
Speaker 2: And it's the Bears offense. And I would push back

968
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,640
Speaker 2: that the Bears passed that month, only pass so much

969
00:48:57,640 --> 00:49:00,080
Speaker 2: because they were playing in a lake. But they're to

970
00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:02,279
Speaker 2: be able to throw the ball anyway. So yeah, I

971
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:05,600
Speaker 2: think a Green Bay defense comes out here angry Bears team.

972
00:49:05,640 --> 00:49:11,000
Speaker 2: Total under probably is a good look to the Packers. Yeah,

973
00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:12,759
Speaker 2: the Packers. What I'm really watching with them before I

974
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:14,480
Speaker 2: bet them was their offensive line because usually they just

975
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:16,040
Speaker 2: scout off it's under they were going to like plug

976
00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:18,560
Speaker 2: guys in when anyone's hurt. Doesn't look like that's the case.

977
00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:20,360
Speaker 2: This year. They've lost a lot of players, you know,

978
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:23,759
Speaker 2: Bactiari Jenkins running presumably will come back signing throughout for

979
00:49:23,760 --> 00:49:27,479
Speaker 2: the year. But Man, Newman and Hanson on that right

980
00:49:27,560 --> 00:49:34,239
Speaker 2: side were dreadful. Just Myers is was rough. I mean

981
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:37,400
Speaker 2: everyone was rough across the board. They really need to

982
00:49:37,400 --> 00:49:40,080
Speaker 2: get offensive line healthy to give their offense a chance

983
00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:44,960
Speaker 2: because they're already trying to make do without Davante Adams.

984
00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:48,120
Speaker 2: So yeah, they need to get their offensive line healthy.

985
00:49:48,160 --> 00:49:54,200
Speaker 2: And if it's not, it's the Bears defensive line. We'll

986
00:49:54,239 --> 00:49:56,520
Speaker 2: be able to hold the Packers in check. By the way,

987
00:49:57,480 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers against the Bears, it's historically it is just

988
00:50:00,680 --> 00:50:03,320
Speaker 2: free money. He's nineteen to nine straight up, twenty and

989
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:06,399
Speaker 2: eight against the spread against the Bears, nine to zero

990
00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:09,160
Speaker 2: against the spread after a loss. Teams that are playing

991
00:50:09,160 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 2: a division game in Week two that lost a division

992
00:50:11,960 --> 00:50:13,640
Speaker 2: game in Week one, which the Packers are there, your

993
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 2: only team that did twenty six and two seventy seven

994
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:24,399
Speaker 2: percent against the spread past twenty years Rogers owns this team,

995
00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:26,440
Speaker 2: But I don't know if I can lay double digits

996
00:50:26,880 --> 00:50:28,839
Speaker 2: without knowing that the You know, I got to see

997
00:50:28,840 --> 00:50:31,480
Speaker 2: more from this offense, especially if the offensive line isn't

998
00:50:31,520 --> 00:50:33,319
Speaker 2: fully healthy. So it's wait and see there. But yeah,

999
00:50:33,320 --> 00:50:35,600
Speaker 2: I expect the dominant performance from the Green Bay defense.

1000
00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:40,000
Speaker 2: Here for my favorite total, I'm going to go with

1001
00:50:40,120 --> 00:50:46,480
Speaker 2: the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets under forty. It's

1002
00:50:46,560 --> 00:50:49,239
Speaker 2: ugly under forty. This has come down a little bit,

1003
00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:54,880
Speaker 2: but I think the Browns defense is still a little

1004
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:56,920
Speaker 2: underrated by the market. They're getting to go up against

1005
00:50:57,160 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 2: a Jets offense that's incompetent. I go through the ball

1006
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:05,400
Speaker 2: fifty nine times last week. The Jets scored nine points

1007
00:51:06,239 --> 00:51:09,000
Speaker 2: on the other side of the ball. The Browns they

1008
00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:11,319
Speaker 2: want to run the ball. They want to run the ball,

1009
00:51:11,520 --> 00:51:13,640
Speaker 2: and they want to run the ball again. And they

1010
00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:16,360
Speaker 2: can't really throw the ball down the field. First team

1011
00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:22,000
Speaker 2: since twenty nineteen to average four yards per attempt or

1012
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 2: fewer in a season opener. They were not throwing the

1013
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 2: ball down field. And the Jets look their corners, Sauce

1014
00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:35,719
Speaker 2: Garner looked unbelievable. Yeah, now they're going up against not

1015
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,360
Speaker 2: the best or receiving corps with the Ravens. But Bateman

1016
00:51:38,360 --> 00:51:41,239
Speaker 2: didn't do much, and they were putting Gardener on, who

1017
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:42,719
Speaker 2: I'm the biggest fan of I'm the head of his

1018
00:51:42,760 --> 00:51:44,880
Speaker 2: fan club. But I was like, it's going to take

1019
00:51:44,920 --> 00:51:46,439
Speaker 2: them some time. But they were putting Gardener on Mark

1020
00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:51,360
Speaker 2: Andrews a lot, and Mark Andrews shut out when Gardner

1021
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,040
Speaker 2: was on him. DJ Reid was the highest rated corner

1022
00:51:54,080 --> 00:51:56,120
Speaker 2: of the league in the NFL last year. So I

1023
00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:57,839
Speaker 2: don't think the Browns are going to get anything through

1024
00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:00,520
Speaker 2: the air. And the Jets defense held up against the

1025
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:03,040
Speaker 2: run last week against Lamar Jackson, probably one of the

1026
00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:06,520
Speaker 2: worst rushing performances from the Ravens offense that we've seen.

1027
00:52:07,520 --> 00:52:10,719
Speaker 2: They've had. They had some offensive line injuries. Dobbins was out,

1028
00:52:10,800 --> 00:52:14,160
Speaker 2: but I think that the run defense can hold up here.

1029
00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:17,600
Speaker 2: Clock should be speeding now. I mean Browns are slow now.

1030
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:20,040
Speaker 2: The Jets do play fast. They played fast last week

1031
00:52:20,040 --> 00:52:23,239
Speaker 2: because they were down, but they're not slow last year.

1032
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:26,320
Speaker 2: But I just don't think they could do anything with Flacco.

1033
00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:28,759
Speaker 2: There should be a lot of pressure here and I

1034
00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:34,400
Speaker 2: think this Browns defense is salty and underrated. So I

1035
00:52:34,440 --> 00:52:38,360
Speaker 2: think this game is like, let's call it seventeen to

1036
00:52:38,480 --> 00:52:39,920
Speaker 2: thirteen Browns final.

1037
00:52:41,320 --> 00:52:44,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll probably be on this as well. I think

1038
00:52:44,840 --> 00:52:46,880
Speaker 1: the key here is that the Jets defense is probably

1039
00:52:46,920 --> 00:52:50,200
Speaker 1: a little better than people think. And that's where you're going.

1040
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:54,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, Iff breeding Gardner, that enables you to do so much.

1041
00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:56,879
Speaker 2: Then now your run defense is better, your safeties can

1042
00:52:56,920 --> 00:52:59,760
Speaker 2: help more, your your linebackers don't have to be as worried,

1043
00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:02,360
Speaker 2: and they're healthier than they were last year up front,

1044
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:05,319
Speaker 2: but having two corners in the NFL, and it's not

1045
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:06,760
Speaker 2: like you have to be that worried against the Browns

1046
00:53:06,760 --> 00:53:08,480
Speaker 2: passing dock. But that does so much for you. And

1047
00:53:08,520 --> 00:53:12,400
Speaker 2: if Gardner's gonna be this good right away and Read

1048
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:15,080
Speaker 2: is going to play like that, yeah, just defense will

1049
00:53:15,120 --> 00:53:19,480
Speaker 2: be significantly improved. The offense still fucking blows.

1050
00:53:20,600 --> 00:53:25,759
Speaker 1: Well said that. Notes. On that note, let's get right

1051
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:32,840
Speaker 1: into our favorite teaser. Oh yeah, six point teasers. I

1052
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:39,960
Speaker 1: don't want, don't change, don't tease me, try to please

1053
00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:48,600
Speaker 1: uh And if anyone not familiar, teasers are where you

1054
00:53:48,640 --> 00:53:53,120
Speaker 1: get an extra allotment of points when you are partwayhing

1055
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:55,520
Speaker 1: two or more bets. So the standard is a six

1056
00:53:55,560 --> 00:53:59,400
Speaker 1: point teaser, which means if you tease a fourteen point

1057
00:54:00,360 --> 00:54:01,840
Speaker 1: they become an eight point favorite. If you tease a

1058
00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:05,120
Speaker 1: fourteen point underdog, they become a twenty point underdog. Stuck,

1059
00:54:05,120 --> 00:54:07,000
Speaker 1: he has a lot of great content out on teasers.

1060
00:54:07,040 --> 00:54:11,279
Speaker 1: You can just google Stucky teasers and you'll find it.

1061
00:54:12,040 --> 00:54:12,839
Speaker 2: But stuck.

1062
00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:14,479
Speaker 1: Where you're going with your teaser for this week?

1063
00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:17,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll keep it, keep this short and civil. Two games.

1064
00:54:17,600 --> 00:54:19,880
Speaker 2: You already talked about Panthers and Saints. Just tease them

1065
00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 2: up over a touchdown. Ideally, that's what you want to do.

1066
00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:24,480
Speaker 2: Anytime you tease two team, you only want to You

1067
00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:26,560
Speaker 2: never want across zero. You always want to try to

1068
00:54:26,560 --> 00:54:29,600
Speaker 2: cross three and seven, and you do that here. And

1069
00:54:29,640 --> 00:54:33,480
Speaker 2: it's even better when they're projected to be lower scoring games,

1070
00:54:33,480 --> 00:54:37,239
Speaker 2: which these two are. We also talked about liking the

1071
00:54:37,360 --> 00:54:41,040
Speaker 2: unders in both right, at least I would lean that

1072
00:54:41,080 --> 00:54:43,480
Speaker 2: way with the Panthers. Actually not as much with the Panthers,

1073
00:54:43,520 --> 00:54:46,160
Speaker 2: but it's still totals forty three. I wouldn't play that under,

1074
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:50,439
Speaker 2: and but we do like the under in the Tampa game.

1075
00:54:51,160 --> 00:54:54,839
Speaker 2: Teasing both those teams up over seven I think is

1076
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:58,120
Speaker 2: a plus EV teaser bet. How about you.

1077
00:54:58,520 --> 00:55:00,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm actually going the same way I was thinking

1078
00:55:00,440 --> 00:55:03,040
Speaker 1: of the Bengals. I was gonna pair them with the

1079
00:55:04,280 --> 00:55:06,919
Speaker 1: with the Saints, but you know, I'm kind of worried

1080
00:55:06,920 --> 00:55:08,440
Speaker 1: about the Bengals against that Dallas.

1081
00:55:08,600 --> 00:55:11,520
Speaker 2: Yes, and we got now you're not going to conflict

1082
00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:12,640
Speaker 2: something I got coming up?

1083
00:55:13,000 --> 00:55:16,520
Speaker 1: Oh oh yeah, yeah. I mean, well, teaser there, teasers,

1084
00:55:16,600 --> 00:55:19,479
Speaker 1: teaser for teaser and our teaser sentiment. So let's let's

1085
00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:22,879
Speaker 1: jump right into the money Wine Underdog partway. We both

1086
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:24,880
Speaker 1: got Saints up to eight and a half, Panthers up

1087
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:28,160
Speaker 1: to seven and a half. Not as many options this week. Uh,

1088
00:55:28,280 --> 00:55:30,600
Speaker 1: in terms of teasers, I think that's kind of I

1089
00:55:30,600 --> 00:55:33,440
Speaker 1: think that's the best one because, as we'll talk about

1090
00:55:33,840 --> 00:55:36,120
Speaker 1: in this next segment, do not trust the Bengals. So

1091
00:55:36,200 --> 00:55:40,680
Speaker 1: let's get right into our money Wine Underdog parlay.

1092
00:55:42,320 --> 00:55:47,279
Speaker 2: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1093
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:48,719
Speaker 2: money line parlay.

1094
00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:52,959
Speaker 1: So you had, you took care of your side last week.

1095
00:55:53,400 --> 00:55:55,839
Speaker 1: Jaguars went me down. They looked like they were gonna

1096
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:56,560
Speaker 1: pull it out for a while.

1097
00:55:56,600 --> 00:55:57,080
Speaker 2: Yeah they had.

1098
00:55:57,760 --> 00:56:00,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's all you can ask for. But you had

1099
00:56:00,880 --> 00:56:05,120
Speaker 1: the GM Man and Dable rewarded you and then he danced, so.

1100
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:07,439
Speaker 2: Where are you going this week? Yeah? That was fun.

1101
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:09,440
Speaker 2: I was in What's Far and I was there was

1102
00:56:09,480 --> 00:56:11,240
Speaker 2: a whole bunch of people were rooting for the Giants.

1103
00:56:11,400 --> 00:56:13,000
Speaker 2: I had them all root for the Giants board with

1104
00:56:13,040 --> 00:56:15,719
Speaker 2: me and I was like, he's pushing it this way,

1105
00:56:15,840 --> 00:56:18,000
Speaker 2: and he pushed it and we were exactly I was

1106
00:56:18,040 --> 00:56:21,040
Speaker 2: pointing it just and we went crazy. It was like

1107
00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:30,000
Speaker 2: I was in the Bronx watching at A. Yeah, so, yeah,

1108
00:56:30,040 --> 00:56:32,160
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go with the Dallas Cowboys.

1109
00:56:32,760 --> 00:56:34,759
Speaker 2: Money on here, I'm I'm gonna bet them. I was

1110
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:36,200
Speaker 2: waiting to see if the sign got up to ten.

1111
00:56:37,280 --> 00:56:39,760
Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet them on the spread to above seven.

1112
00:56:40,280 --> 00:56:42,000
Speaker 2: We saw that we've seen this in the past couple

1113
00:56:42,040 --> 00:56:46,640
Speaker 2: of years. These teams with backup quarterbacks for the first

1114
00:56:46,680 --> 00:56:49,920
Speaker 2: game are more than capable of pulling off upsets. It's

1115
00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:52,160
Speaker 2: cost me enough money cheese, and now it's not time

1116
00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:57,160
Speaker 2: I jump on. But look, the Cowboys looked awful last

1117
00:56:57,160 --> 00:56:59,200
Speaker 2: week to week. The week league they're probably they were

1118
00:56:59,200 --> 00:57:01,279
Speaker 2: supposed to be pretty good. Now they lose Dak Prescott,

1119
00:57:02,320 --> 00:57:04,120
Speaker 2: maybe Gallup comes back. They're not that bad. They're going

1120
00:57:04,160 --> 00:57:05,919
Speaker 2: to lean on their run game. Here. They're gonna feed

1121
00:57:06,000 --> 00:57:08,400
Speaker 2: Zeke broy the twenty five times. He looked pretty good

1122
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:10,560
Speaker 2: and they said he was healthy. He has five yards

1123
00:57:10,560 --> 00:57:13,000
Speaker 2: of carry against the Bucks. That's about as good as

1124
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:17,200
Speaker 2: you're ever going to do. So Zeke collared short passes,

1125
00:57:17,400 --> 00:57:21,160
Speaker 2: there's some shots to lamb. And then the most important

1126
00:57:21,200 --> 00:57:25,680
Speaker 2: thing is Burrow looked awful last week. Might not have Higgins.

1127
00:57:25,720 --> 00:57:28,160
Speaker 2: And the reason he looked awful last week is because

1128
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:31,360
Speaker 2: he was under fire the entire game. And I still

1129
00:57:31,400 --> 00:57:33,760
Speaker 2: think that is going to be an issue early on

1130
00:57:33,800 --> 00:57:36,480
Speaker 2: in the season. I think the Bengals will be better

1131
00:57:36,520 --> 00:57:40,640
Speaker 2: off for their upgrades that offensive line as the season progresses.

1132
00:57:40,800 --> 00:57:44,160
Speaker 2: But it's a work in progress. And you saw the

1133
00:57:44,200 --> 00:57:47,680
Speaker 2: communication issues last week. And you know Dallas is going

1134
00:57:47,760 --> 00:57:51,680
Speaker 2: to bring different looks from their pressure looks from all

1135
00:57:51,680 --> 00:57:55,840
Speaker 2: over that defense, and you know, maybe this leads to

1136
00:57:55,880 --> 00:57:58,640
Speaker 2: more turnovers, but I think that Borrow again is going

1137
00:57:58,680 --> 00:58:03,080
Speaker 2: to be under pressure. Couple turnovers here. Dallas controls the

1138
00:58:03,120 --> 00:58:08,000
Speaker 2: clock and uh, with the crowd into it, I think

1139
00:58:08,040 --> 00:58:10,520
Speaker 2: there might be a chance here, and also with the

1140
00:58:10,560 --> 00:58:13,240
Speaker 2: money line underdog. Historically, if you look back when backup

1141
00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:16,480
Speaker 2: quarterbacks do start. If you measure the variance and the results,

1142
00:58:16,480 --> 00:58:18,560
Speaker 2: it's much higher. Like you could lose my me know,

1143
00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:21,640
Speaker 2: there's way more blowouts, there's way more upset wins. There's

1144
00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:24,200
Speaker 2: just a lot more uncertainty also in the game plans

1145
00:58:24,240 --> 00:58:28,680
Speaker 2: as well. So I like that for an underdog, money

1146
00:58:28,720 --> 00:58:31,520
Speaker 2: line underdog as well. So give me the Cowboys after

1147
00:58:31,520 --> 00:58:35,840
Speaker 2: getting embarrassed last week in a game where everyone just

1148
00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:39,120
Speaker 2: assumes the Bengals are going to bounce back and roll

1149
00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:40,240
Speaker 2: not so fast.

1150
00:58:40,520 --> 00:58:43,920
Speaker 1: Remember Cooper Russia's only start, he threw for three. Beat me,

1151
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:44,920
Speaker 1: you beat me.

1152
00:58:45,200 --> 00:58:48,720
Speaker 2: I had the Vikings plus two and a half closed

1153
00:58:48,800 --> 00:58:54,240
Speaker 2: like minus six, and Rush beat me and the Vikings.

1154
00:58:54,280 --> 00:58:58,800
Speaker 2: So yeah, he's he's uh now granted lamb and and

1155
00:58:58,920 --> 00:59:01,400
Speaker 2: uh said Wilson Galton playing the game, had like two

1156
00:59:01,440 --> 00:59:06,280
Speaker 2: hundred yards. But yeah, he's one. I'm going on the

1157
00:59:06,360 --> 00:59:09,760
Speaker 2: road here. He's more than capable. I had Garrett Gilbert

1158
00:59:09,800 --> 00:59:12,400
Speaker 2: against the Steelers defense. I remember that ten I remember,

1159
00:59:12,440 --> 00:59:15,160
Speaker 2: and he should have won. They should have won out right.

1160
00:59:15,200 --> 00:59:17,200
Speaker 2: They got stopped that there was a bad call late,

1161
00:59:17,400 --> 00:59:20,400
Speaker 2: but they covered with these it Cooper Rush Nation, baby,

1162
00:59:21,440 --> 00:59:21,920
Speaker 2: I like it.

1163
00:59:22,080 --> 00:59:24,360
Speaker 1: Tramon Diggs will probably be on Chase a good about

1164
00:59:24,440 --> 00:59:27,080
Speaker 1: and Burrows. You know he's gonna target Chase, so that

1165
00:59:27,320 --> 00:59:30,240
Speaker 1: that could be a turnover right there, at least one,

1166
00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:34,280
Speaker 1: not without even going into the Micah Parsons against this

1167
00:59:34,360 --> 00:59:35,200
Speaker 1: offensive line.

1168
00:59:35,680 --> 00:59:37,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, and who knows what the Higgins. You don't really

1169
00:59:37,400 --> 00:59:39,280
Speaker 2: don't know if the cussion they said he was progressing

1170
00:59:39,280 --> 00:59:41,840
Speaker 2: well limited in practice, you don't know, but obviously be

1171
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:42,840
Speaker 2: a pretty big loss.

1172
00:59:43,120 --> 00:59:47,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, Mike Thomas, Yeah, that's not ideal all right

1173
00:59:47,720 --> 00:59:50,440
Speaker 1: for mine, I'm going I'm going right back to the Jaguars.

1174
00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:54,240
Speaker 1: This is Jaguars weak against the Coats. They haven't lost

1175
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:55,080
Speaker 1: since twenty fifteen.

1176
00:59:55,240 --> 00:59:57,000
Speaker 2: You like me last year I used the Jaguars a

1177
00:59:57,000 --> 00:59:59,000
Speaker 2: bunch they get rid of they shed Rban Myron.

1178
00:59:59,120 --> 01:00:02,960
Speaker 1: Now you're the big stats. I mean, I just I

1179
01:00:02,960 --> 01:00:04,800
Speaker 1: think this team is going to surprise people. I mean,

1180
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:07,120
Speaker 1: they almost pulled it out last week and this is

1181
01:00:07,160 --> 01:00:09,960
Speaker 1: the spot where they tend to get it done. So

1182
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:12,960
Speaker 1: you know, I already talked about it. They haven't lost

1183
01:00:13,000 --> 01:00:16,880
Speaker 1: in over half a decade at home against the Indianapolis

1184
01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:20,280
Speaker 1: coach they're plus one sixty eight. So yeah, we're going

1185
01:00:20,360 --> 01:00:22,160
Speaker 1: We're going back to the well with the Jags. And

1186
01:00:22,600 --> 01:00:27,080
Speaker 1: that parlay plus two seventy four Dallas plus one sixty

1187
01:00:27,080 --> 01:00:31,920
Speaker 1: eight for the Jags at Fandel would pay out around

1188
01:00:32,080 --> 01:00:35,040
Speaker 1: nine x, So one hundred dollars gets you just under

1189
01:00:35,080 --> 01:00:40,680
Speaker 1: one thousand back. And now it's time to get into

1190
01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:42,720
Speaker 1: best of the rest, which are the games that we

1191
01:00:42,800 --> 01:00:45,320
Speaker 1: did not talk about in any other segment. Just go

1192
01:00:45,440 --> 01:00:46,400
Speaker 1: out there and try.

1193
01:00:46,160 --> 01:00:48,120
Speaker 2: To have fun, you know, you know, having fun is

1194
01:00:48,160 --> 01:00:49,640
Speaker 2: the name of the game. All Right.

1195
01:00:50,160 --> 01:00:54,280
Speaker 1: We have the Ravens, your Ravens first up, going against Miami.

1196
01:00:54,840 --> 01:00:57,840
Speaker 1: They are at home, they're three and a half point favorites.

1197
01:00:57,880 --> 01:01:00,320
Speaker 1: The totals forty four and a half. Miami botzim are

1198
01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:03,480
Speaker 1: sixty percent of the time in that Week ten matchup

1199
01:01:03,520 --> 01:01:06,640
Speaker 1: last year. A Boyer is still there even know Flores

1200
01:01:06,720 --> 01:01:09,800
Speaker 1: is gone. So are you expecting an other woods heavy

1201
01:01:09,800 --> 01:01:10,840
Speaker 1: game plan from Miami?

1202
01:01:11,880 --> 01:01:15,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is uh one of the most important games

1203
01:01:15,040 --> 01:01:17,640
Speaker 2: of the Ravens season for me, for mainly for my

1204
01:01:17,640 --> 01:01:21,960
Speaker 2: Super Bowl feature, because we're going to see now they

1205
01:01:22,000 --> 01:01:23,760
Speaker 2: might not be fully healthy. I think Dobbins is going

1206
01:01:23,800 --> 01:01:26,640
Speaker 2: to play. Actually Stanley limited practice, don't expect him the

1207
01:01:26,680 --> 01:01:30,960
Speaker 2: play holding. UH probably want to make sure that he's

1208
01:01:30,960 --> 01:01:33,040
Speaker 2: like they play the Bills in Week four in a

1209
01:01:33,080 --> 01:01:36,480
Speaker 2: game that you know, maybe besides the one seed, I

1210
01:01:36,520 --> 01:01:38,120
Speaker 2: think that's what they're targeting for some of these plays.

1211
01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,720
Speaker 2: I think Peters is going to be back, which will

1212
01:01:40,760 --> 01:01:42,720
Speaker 2: help because they lost Fuller in the slot. I mean,

1213
01:01:42,760 --> 01:01:46,080
Speaker 2: there are already injuries piling up, and if Stanley can't go,

1214
01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:49,120
Speaker 2: you got McCary who's decent at tackle, but pass protection,

1215
01:01:49,200 --> 01:01:51,600
Speaker 2: he's a lot worse than Juwan James, who was excellent

1216
01:01:51,600 --> 01:01:55,040
Speaker 2: in that department last week. So we'll see because that's

1217
01:01:55,040 --> 01:01:57,760
Speaker 2: important because yes, I expect the same exact game plan

1218
01:01:58,080 --> 01:02:00,680
Speaker 2: by the Dolphins, who kind of created a blueprint for

1219
01:02:00,720 --> 01:02:03,000
Speaker 2: how to play the Ravens and it was just cover

1220
01:02:03,200 --> 01:02:08,160
Speaker 2: zero helps to have good corners, cover zero blits everybody.

1221
01:02:08,160 --> 01:02:10,360
Speaker 2: And they say, look, Ravens, you don't have great receivers.

1222
01:02:10,800 --> 01:02:13,720
Speaker 2: We have good corners, and we're just going to swarm

1223
01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:17,000
Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson right out the bat. So why is this

1224
01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:19,160
Speaker 2: so important? Look, Ravens didn't really run. They didn't no

1225
01:02:19,200 --> 01:02:21,560
Speaker 2: design runs for Jackson last week. They just had a couple.

1226
01:02:22,200 --> 01:02:24,200
Speaker 2: What did the Ravens are the offseason to adjust, So

1227
01:02:24,240 --> 01:02:27,080
Speaker 2: we're going to see what the adjustments were from their

1228
01:02:27,080 --> 01:02:30,840
Speaker 2: offensive game plan too, because I'm assuming they're going to

1229
01:02:30,880 --> 01:02:34,080
Speaker 2: expect the same game plan from the Dolphins. So really

1230
01:02:34,080 --> 01:02:36,280
Speaker 2: intrigued the watch this. There's some injuries I'm watching on

1231
01:02:36,280 --> 01:02:39,080
Speaker 2: the Ravens side. I might get involved with the Ravens

1232
01:02:39,160 --> 01:02:42,400
Speaker 2: first half, because I think that Ravens first half, by

1233
01:02:42,400 --> 01:02:43,720
Speaker 2: the way, one of the best bets in the NFL

1234
01:02:43,760 --> 01:02:48,560
Speaker 2: under Harball one hundred and thirty nine ninety three into

1235
01:02:48,560 --> 01:02:51,960
Speaker 2: eight against the spread in the first half. Under Harball,

1236
01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:55,480
Speaker 2: that's fifty nine percent. Most profitable coach in the NFL.

1237
01:02:55,720 --> 01:02:58,760
Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson thirty five, eighteen and one in the first

1238
01:02:58,760 --> 01:03:01,520
Speaker 2: half sixty six percent. Takes defensive time to get used

1239
01:03:01,520 --> 01:03:03,920
Speaker 2: to a speed. Ravens also aren't going to like if

1240
01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:05,840
Speaker 2: you like them for the game, like you tend to

1241
01:03:06,560 --> 01:03:08,960
Speaker 2: like them for the first half as well. They're not

1242
01:03:09,000 --> 01:03:11,360
Speaker 2: going to like throw their way back from twenty one

1243
01:03:11,360 --> 01:03:12,720
Speaker 2: down against good secondaries.

1244
01:03:13,120 --> 01:03:14,600
Speaker 1: But so I might play there.

1245
01:03:14,720 --> 01:03:16,640
Speaker 2: I might play the Ravens first half or under three

1246
01:03:16,720 --> 01:03:19,560
Speaker 2: if like, if I can get two and a half flat,

1247
01:03:19,760 --> 01:03:21,840
Speaker 2: maybe money line. I think the Ravens are gonna have

1248
01:03:21,880 --> 01:03:24,200
Speaker 2: a good game plan. Initially, They're gonna come out with

1249
01:03:24,440 --> 01:03:28,320
Speaker 2: a really strong scripted portion. Crowd should be wild home opener,

1250
01:03:28,640 --> 01:03:30,240
Speaker 2: so I think two of them might struggle a bit

1251
01:03:30,280 --> 01:03:31,760
Speaker 2: early and then I think it's going to be a

1252
01:03:31,760 --> 01:03:33,320
Speaker 2: good game and we'll see what the Dolphins do to

1253
01:03:33,360 --> 01:03:36,160
Speaker 2: adjust and how the Ravens maintain their offense. But I

1254
01:03:36,200 --> 01:03:37,880
Speaker 2: think they'll have a good scripted portion early and then

1255
01:03:37,920 --> 01:03:41,280
Speaker 2: get a lead and maybe Tucker puts one through at

1256
01:03:41,280 --> 01:03:42,560
Speaker 2: the end of the first half to get the first

1257
01:03:42,600 --> 01:03:45,240
Speaker 2: half cover. So I'm looking there nothing I love because

1258
01:03:45,520 --> 01:03:47,680
Speaker 2: really this is a chess match and it's something that

1259
01:03:47,720 --> 01:03:49,760
Speaker 2: I'm going to be watching closely to see what the

1260
01:03:49,840 --> 01:03:53,480
Speaker 2: Ravens some of the Ravens offensive adjustments are and if

1261
01:03:53,480 --> 01:03:55,880
Speaker 2: they just get shut out and they change nothing, then

1262
01:03:56,080 --> 01:03:59,960
Speaker 2: I'm going to be extremely concerned for moving forward.

1263
01:04:00,600 --> 01:04:02,000
Speaker 1: That kind of stuck out to me just you know

1264
01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:04,080
Speaker 1: that Dolphins game point. I remember that like that that

1265
01:04:04,160 --> 01:04:07,000
Speaker 1: seemed to set it off. And in terms of what

1266
01:04:07,320 --> 01:04:10,600
Speaker 1: the bloprint and I've also noticed that I think this

1267
01:04:10,680 --> 01:04:12,920
Speaker 1: is this kind of started last year, but when they

1268
01:04:12,960 --> 01:04:15,640
Speaker 1: haven't had their backs, you know, they haven't had Dobbins

1269
01:04:15,640 --> 01:04:18,560
Speaker 1: in there, Gus Edwards, like they've become a lot more

1270
01:04:18,560 --> 01:04:21,200
Speaker 1: pass heavy and I don't know if that's really benefited them.

1271
01:04:21,240 --> 01:04:24,120
Speaker 1: So maybe with Dobbins back, they start, you know, kind

1272
01:04:24,160 --> 01:04:26,040
Speaker 1: of getting a little more run have Usually you don't

1273
01:04:26,040 --> 01:04:27,840
Speaker 1: say that in modern day NFL, like a team needs

1274
01:04:27,840 --> 01:04:31,000
Speaker 1: to run more. But I feel like they're the exception.

1275
01:04:31,160 --> 01:04:33,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're the one exception and they look they get

1276
01:04:33,960 --> 01:04:37,120
Speaker 2: these backs like Kenyan Drake, they run like a pretty

1277
01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:39,560
Speaker 2: complex offense. It's not like any other offense that you're in.

1278
01:04:39,640 --> 01:04:42,200
Speaker 2: So like there's just that there's always issues early in

1279
01:04:42,200 --> 01:04:44,360
Speaker 2: the season with these new backs who weren't Harvall talked

1280
01:04:44,400 --> 01:04:47,760
Speaker 2: about this. So, yeah, getting Dobbins back, I'm pretty sure

1281
01:04:47,840 --> 01:04:50,480
Speaker 2: he's gonna play, but he might not. I'm not sure,

1282
01:04:50,560 --> 01:04:51,760
Speaker 2: but he was, like I think he was a full

1283
01:04:51,800 --> 01:04:54,400
Speaker 2: participant in practice today. I don't if I had a guest.

1284
01:04:54,440 --> 01:04:58,480
Speaker 2: Stanley does not, Peters does, and Dobbins does not. Sure

1285
01:04:58,520 --> 01:05:01,520
Speaker 2: he gets a full workload, but we'll see. Yeah, interesting game.

1286
01:05:02,240 --> 01:05:04,880
Speaker 1: Seattle San Francisco nine and a half in favor of

1287
01:05:04,880 --> 01:05:07,400
Speaker 1: the Niners. The total forty one and a half pow

1288
01:05:07,480 --> 01:05:10,200
Speaker 1: Shanahan just thirteen twenty one and two thirty eight percent

1289
01:05:10,240 --> 01:05:12,560
Speaker 1: as a favorite when not coming off of a bye

1290
01:05:12,640 --> 01:05:16,040
Speaker 1: six fifteen and one is a home favorite. But Seattle

1291
01:05:16,080 --> 01:05:18,480
Speaker 1: didn't do anything in that second half against Denver. I

1292
01:05:18,560 --> 01:05:21,480
Speaker 1: mean a Denver just kind of made a mistake after mistake.

1293
01:05:22,120 --> 01:05:23,800
Speaker 1: Uh So, I don't know. It's kind of a stay

1294
01:05:23,800 --> 01:05:26,120
Speaker 1: away for me because I have this number. Loll where

1295
01:05:26,480 --> 01:05:29,200
Speaker 1: then where it's at. But this is also kind of

1296
01:05:29,240 --> 01:05:32,160
Speaker 1: a Seattle letdown spot. You know. No. Twelve's here on

1297
01:05:32,240 --> 01:05:36,240
Speaker 1: the road and it's the San Francisco bounce. Yeah, yeah,

1298
01:05:36,320 --> 01:05:38,439
Speaker 1: it's it's it's kind of the opposite of what we want.

1299
01:05:38,680 --> 01:05:41,400
Speaker 1: Like usually you want you're fading San Francisco at home

1300
01:05:41,960 --> 01:05:44,000
Speaker 1: in a letdown spot after they got a big road win.

1301
01:05:44,080 --> 01:05:46,080
Speaker 1: But now it's kind of the opposite. They're coming off

1302
01:05:46,080 --> 01:05:48,760
Speaker 1: a road upset. So yeah, stay away from you.

1303
01:05:48,920 --> 01:05:51,400
Speaker 2: I got I got nothing there. I'm worried about, Like

1304
01:05:51,440 --> 01:05:53,280
Speaker 2: I'm really what I told you this before. I'm really

1305
01:05:53,320 --> 01:05:56,479
Speaker 2: rried about that San Francisco offensive line. Now, you can't

1306
01:05:56,480 --> 01:05:59,120
Speaker 2: take too much from what Trey Lance did in the

1307
01:05:59,120 --> 01:06:01,520
Speaker 2: offense and gens no kidtle too. He didn't practice the

1308
01:06:01,520 --> 01:06:04,080
Speaker 2: other day. I assume with the type of injuries doing,

1309
01:06:04,080 --> 01:06:06,520
Speaker 2: if you sit him out this week. But there's no kiddle.

1310
01:06:06,560 --> 01:06:08,120
Speaker 2: Your offensive line is a mess and look that you

1311
01:06:08,200 --> 01:06:11,760
Speaker 2: played in a pond. But the pressure, the pressure rates

1312
01:06:11,760 --> 01:06:14,480
Speaker 2: are real and what we say like their offensive line

1313
01:06:14,800 --> 01:06:16,840
Speaker 2: has problems and if you don't have Kittle in there

1314
01:06:16,920 --> 01:06:20,400
Speaker 2: is an elite blocker, even more problems. Now, Seattle is

1315
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:22,280
Speaker 2: not great at Look if you look at that Seattle game,

1316
01:06:22,600 --> 01:06:24,600
Speaker 2: I mean, Denver's offense ranked a lead across the board,

1317
01:06:24,600 --> 01:06:26,320
Speaker 2: except they just don't didn't know how to quarterback sneak

1318
01:06:26,320 --> 01:06:28,280
Speaker 2: and they couldn't score with him a two inch yard

1319
01:06:28,320 --> 01:06:31,280
Speaker 2: line like five times they put up a million yards

1320
01:06:31,640 --> 01:06:34,480
Speaker 2: Like I think there were top three PA per play

1321
01:06:34,520 --> 01:06:37,840
Speaker 2: on offense just at every stack. Like the Seattle defense

1322
01:06:37,920 --> 01:06:42,360
Speaker 2: is not gonna be great. So but yeah, San fran

1323
01:06:43,400 --> 01:06:46,560
Speaker 2: historically under Shanahan at home and is a home favor,

1324
01:06:46,720 --> 01:06:48,480
Speaker 2: not a great bet. And I still have a lot

1325
01:06:48,480 --> 01:06:51,240
Speaker 2: of questions about the San Francisco offense, which is dealing

1326
01:06:51,240 --> 01:06:55,040
Speaker 2: with injuries across the board. No thanks on laying it

1327
01:06:55,400 --> 01:06:58,160
Speaker 2: and no thanks on fading. Should we say the new

1328
01:06:58,200 --> 01:07:00,800
Speaker 2: Teddy Bridgewater because all he does is come nine straight

1329
01:07:00,920 --> 01:07:06,400
Speaker 2: covers for Gino Smith? So yeah, card.

1330
01:07:06,200 --> 01:07:12,000
Speaker 1: Pass, Yeah, Cardinals Raiders. Cardinals are four and a half

1331
01:07:12,000 --> 01:07:15,520
Speaker 1: point underdogs on Banduo. This line has been kind of

1332
01:07:15,520 --> 01:07:17,480
Speaker 1: fluctuating between four and a half and five and a half.

1333
01:07:17,920 --> 01:07:19,840
Speaker 1: You know, the Cardinals kind of fit all those trends.

1334
01:07:19,880 --> 01:07:22,280
Speaker 1: You know, a team that lost in Week one, team

1335
01:07:22,320 --> 01:07:26,440
Speaker 1: that didn't cover big team wants by double digits. Cliff

1336
01:07:26,480 --> 01:07:29,720
Speaker 1: Kingsbury is thirteen and three against the spread as a

1337
01:07:29,840 --> 01:07:32,800
Speaker 1: road underdog. But I just I just look at this

1338
01:07:32,880 --> 01:07:36,600
Speaker 1: Raiders offense and I'm like Devontae Adams, Hunter, renfro It

1339
01:07:36,640 --> 01:07:39,600
Speaker 1: could just kill these cornerbacks, like you know, it could

1340
01:07:39,640 --> 01:07:43,400
Speaker 1: just game could just until they figure out something with

1341
01:07:43,480 --> 01:07:46,720
Speaker 1: their cornerback situation. Like these games can are gonna get

1342
01:07:46,760 --> 01:07:48,960
Speaker 1: away from from the Cardinals. So what do you think?

1343
01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:52,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Cardinals have are fully healthy on offense either,

1344
01:07:52,920 --> 01:07:55,040
Speaker 2: and I don't know if Lot's gonna play. They're not

1345
01:07:55,040 --> 01:07:59,920
Speaker 2: getting any pressure. This defense is terrible, no, I mean everything.

1346
01:08:00,600 --> 01:08:02,760
Speaker 2: If it wasn't Cliff Kingsbury, I probably bet this Cardinals.

1347
01:08:02,800 --> 01:08:05,720
Speaker 2: Maybe at six you have six, that's probably a pretty

1348
01:08:05,720 --> 01:08:06,160
Speaker 2: good grab.

1349
01:08:06,400 --> 01:08:09,840
Speaker 1: It just gets the three. I'll probably go the Raiders.

1350
01:08:10,320 --> 01:08:12,360
Speaker 2: Even though it's against like all these Week two trends.

1351
01:08:12,480 --> 01:08:15,320
Speaker 2: They're not one hundred percent against the spread. And yeah,

1352
01:08:15,440 --> 01:08:18,040
Speaker 2: I think the Cardinals, we were both low on them

1353
01:08:18,080 --> 01:08:22,720
Speaker 2: coming into the year, and I think that defense right

1354
01:08:22,760 --> 01:08:28,960
Speaker 2: now is not being properly account before, especially on the open. Yeah,

1355
01:08:29,040 --> 01:08:32,719
Speaker 2: it's it's a bad situation. And uh yeah, I think

1356
01:08:33,720 --> 01:08:35,800
Speaker 2: line's probably right right now four and a half.

1357
01:08:36,640 --> 01:08:39,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, probably bounced back spot for the Raiders. All right,

1358
01:08:39,720 --> 01:08:41,840
Speaker 1: let's we'll talk about the last game in our next segment.

1359
01:08:41,880 --> 01:08:51,640
Speaker 1: So let's get right into it. Our Week to Survivor picks.

1360
01:08:48,760 --> 01:08:56,840
Speaker 1: The Survivor Pool pick of the week. We're both going

1361
01:08:56,960 --> 01:08:59,400
Speaker 1: with Denver. Tell me why.

1362
01:09:00,000 --> 01:09:01,920
Speaker 2: The thing that I look at is, you know, obviously

1363
01:09:01,920 --> 01:09:04,280
Speaker 2: have to plan out, Okay, when are you going to

1364
01:09:04,360 --> 01:09:06,120
Speaker 2: use these teams and who's going to be left. You

1365
01:09:06,160 --> 01:09:08,760
Speaker 2: also want to look at, like owner, you have to

1366
01:09:08,800 --> 01:09:10,599
Speaker 2: look at Okay, what do you think the most popular

1367
01:09:10,600 --> 01:09:13,680
Speaker 2: team is going to be. Sometimes, hey, I'm going to

1368
01:09:13,800 --> 01:09:17,400
Speaker 2: ride with the consensus. Sometimes it might make sense to not.

1369
01:09:18,080 --> 01:09:20,640
Speaker 2: Then you also have that team that everyone used in

1370
01:09:20,640 --> 01:09:22,679
Speaker 2: your back pocket for later creating even mor of aanage.

1371
01:09:23,200 --> 01:09:25,120
Speaker 2: So Denver might be a popular pick this seat, but

1372
01:09:25,120 --> 01:09:27,960
Speaker 2: I think it's even more advantageous picked ever, because by

1373
01:09:27,960 --> 01:09:31,439
Speaker 2: the wayf you look at their schedule, Yeah, it's it's brutal,

1374
01:09:31,439 --> 01:09:33,439
Speaker 2: Like they got the Jagged one week, but I have

1375
01:09:33,479 --> 01:09:36,559
Speaker 2: another team I want to use, and I mean the

1376
01:09:36,600 --> 01:09:39,000
Speaker 2: Jets at home, they go to. The Jags probably would

1377
01:09:39,040 --> 01:09:40,599
Speaker 2: avoid that, and they have a hack for a coach.

1378
01:09:40,640 --> 01:09:44,240
Speaker 2: It appears, so it's like and we don't know Justin Simmons,

1379
01:09:44,240 --> 01:09:46,479
Speaker 2: by the way, just went on, but their offense looked

1380
01:09:46,760 --> 01:09:48,439
Speaker 2: tremendous as we accept in the red zone. They're at

1381
01:09:48,479 --> 01:09:50,080
Speaker 2: home and their home opener. And by the way, one

1382
01:09:50,080 --> 01:09:52,560
Speaker 2: of the reasons that I bet the Seahawks wrote that

1383
01:09:52,640 --> 01:09:54,000
Speaker 2: up for Action Nework dot Com is I said, the

1384
01:09:54,040 --> 01:09:57,640
Speaker 2: offense is going to struggle early on in hurting themselves

1385
01:09:57,640 --> 01:10:00,719
Speaker 2: because they didn't play together in the preseason in as Zoo,

1386
01:10:00,920 --> 01:10:03,840
Speaker 2: and they had you saw the false starts. Now you

1387
01:10:03,880 --> 01:10:06,679
Speaker 2: get to come home. It's quiet. They had no problems

1388
01:10:06,720 --> 01:10:10,320
Speaker 2: moving the ball and they shouldn't against the Texans defense

1389
01:10:10,360 --> 01:10:13,960
Speaker 2: and their their joke scheme. Bronco's defense will do enough here.

1390
01:10:14,520 --> 01:10:16,680
Speaker 2: I mean I like to I like Denver minds ten,

1391
01:10:16,760 --> 01:10:18,640
Speaker 2: by the way, and then I look at it, I

1392
01:10:18,640 --> 01:10:20,920
Speaker 2: think you're it's even more advantage just picking Denver for

1393
01:10:21,040 --> 01:10:24,439
Speaker 2: the schedule the spot, because I think that a lot

1394
01:10:24,439 --> 01:10:27,000
Speaker 2: of people are gonna use the Rams after the Rams lost.

1395
01:10:28,200 --> 01:10:30,160
Speaker 2: I wouldn't be shocked if the Rams lost that game.

1396
01:10:30,360 --> 01:10:32,960
Speaker 2: We also talked about the Bengals. I think a lot

1397
01:10:33,000 --> 01:10:34,759
Speaker 2: of people are gonna use the Bengals after a loss

1398
01:10:34,760 --> 01:10:38,320
Speaker 2: against Cooper Rush. I wouldn't be shocked if the Bengals

1399
01:10:38,360 --> 01:10:41,639
Speaker 2: go down. So you know the Packers. Packers are probably

1400
01:10:41,640 --> 01:10:44,320
Speaker 2: gonna be semi popular. Don't mind that, but there's just

1401
01:10:44,320 --> 01:10:47,040
Speaker 2: a lot of questions about that offense. Bills as well,

1402
01:10:47,200 --> 01:10:49,880
Speaker 2: think are pretty safe. I'd rather save them for now.

1403
01:10:50,680 --> 01:10:53,879
Speaker 2: Denver's schedule and all those factors combined, I think Broncos

1404
01:10:53,920 --> 01:10:56,720
Speaker 2: are the way to go. Yeah wait my two by

1405
01:10:56,760 --> 01:10:57,200
Speaker 2: the way.

1406
01:10:57,439 --> 01:10:59,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Packers probably are would be mine too, But

1407
01:11:00,120 --> 01:11:03,240
Speaker 1: I try to stay away from Division games in Survivor

1408
01:11:03,320 --> 01:11:05,439
Speaker 1: just because I think they're always naturally a little bit

1409
01:11:05,479 --> 01:11:10,519
Speaker 1: more unpredictable and closer. Titans also, you know they could.

1410
01:11:10,760 --> 01:11:12,679
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if the Titans beat the Bills,

1411
01:11:12,680 --> 01:11:15,479
Speaker 1: to be honest, yeah, wins all these games. Yeah, so

1412
01:11:16,280 --> 01:11:17,720
Speaker 1: you know you would. At the Texas, I mean, they

1413
01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:20,439
Speaker 1: still got out gained by a couple of hundred yards

1414
01:11:21,040 --> 01:11:23,160
Speaker 1: in that first week, and the Broncos out gained the

1415
01:11:23,160 --> 01:11:26,320
Speaker 1: Seahawks by almost two hundred yards in that game, So

1416
01:11:26,360 --> 01:11:28,200
Speaker 1: I think you're just going to get some natural kind

1417
01:11:28,240 --> 01:11:30,360
Speaker 1: of bounce back on both sides here.

1418
01:11:30,640 --> 01:11:32,400
Speaker 2: So yeah, I like the chen I think I think

1419
01:11:32,400 --> 01:11:34,200
Speaker 2: the Broncos probably went by like seventeen.

1420
01:11:35,000 --> 01:11:37,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's not my style, but I can't.

1421
01:11:37,560 --> 01:11:38,840
Speaker 1: I can't really falter you for it.

1422
01:11:39,360 --> 01:11:42,439
Speaker 2: Not mine either, but it just it feels right to me.

1423
01:11:43,760 --> 01:11:44,160
Speaker 2: All right.

1424
01:11:44,240 --> 01:11:46,400
Speaker 1: That is going to do it For a week two

1425
01:11:46,520 --> 01:11:51,320
Speaker 1: Action Network podcast presented by Fan Duel, be sure to

1426
01:11:51,400 --> 01:11:53,760
Speaker 1: check out all of the other episodes here on the

1427
01:11:53,800 --> 01:11:57,240
Speaker 1: Action Network podcast channel. Mondays, we have our NFL recap

1428
01:11:57,320 --> 01:12:01,000
Speaker 1: and Monday Night Football preview. Wednesdays, Kerner and I discuss

1429
01:12:01,080 --> 01:12:04,360
Speaker 1: our weekly player projections, and Thursday you got this episode

1430
01:12:04,400 --> 01:12:06,439
Speaker 1: of course with Stucky and I. Friday mornings we got

1431
01:12:06,439 --> 01:12:09,960
Speaker 1: our thirty minute NFL Best Bets episode with host Brendan Glasheen,

1432
01:12:10,080 --> 01:12:14,639
Speaker 1: joined by experts like Brandon Anderson, Luke Swayne aka Vegas Refund,

1433
01:12:14,800 --> 01:12:19,160
Speaker 1: and Jill Gallant. You can find Stuck on Twitter at

1434
01:12:19,160 --> 01:12:21,439
Speaker 1: Stucky two and me at Chris Rayboni. You can find

1435
01:12:21,479 --> 01:12:24,559
Speaker 1: us at those same handles on the free award winning

1436
01:12:24,640 --> 01:12:26,880
Speaker 1: Action Network ap. We sure check out Action network dot

1437
01:12:26,960 --> 01:12:29,479
Speaker 1: com for all of our betting and fantasy content and

1438
01:12:29,520 --> 01:12:50,360
Speaker 1: projections as well. Until next time, let's get this money.