1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,280 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hagen and now I'm link Simiteo. 3 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 3: We begin in Bari, Italy for day two of the 4 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:19,119 Speaker 3: three day G seven Leader's Summit. Support for Ukraine is 5 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:21,760 Speaker 3: a key theme of this gathering. Today, the leaders plan 6 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 3: to send another message to Russia. Bloomberg News has learned 7 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 3: they'll issue a statement pledging to titan enforcement of their 8 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 3: existing price camp on Russian oil, choke off future Russian 9 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 3: energy projects, and cut Moscow's revenues from medals. President Biden's 10 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 3: delivered his own show of support for Ukraine. He signed 11 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 3: a ten year bilateral security agreement with President Vladimir Zelenski. 12 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:46,840 Speaker 4: A lasting piece for Ukraine must be underwritten by Ukraine's 13 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 4: own ability to defend itself now and to deter future 14 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 4: aggression anytime in the future. 15 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 3: The President says, the US and its allies will be 16 00:00:56,160 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 3: with Ukraine quote until they prevail in this war. At 17 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 3: the same time, says he's standing by his decision not 18 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 3: to send US troops into Ukraine or to allow US 19 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:07,759 Speaker 3: weapons to strike farther into Russian territory. 20 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, Nathan, President Biden may be ready to take executive 21 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 2: action to protect more undocumented migrants in this country. We 22 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 2: get the details from Bloomberg Steve Potisk in Washington. 23 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 5: Bloomberg News has learned Biden is planning an executive action 24 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 5: as soon as next week that would protect certain undocumented 25 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 5: immigrants from deportation. Sources say the new measure would allow 26 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 5: spouses of US citizens who lack legal status to remain 27 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 5: in the country and seek authorization to work. Some who 28 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 5: receive relief could eventually gain a path to US citizenship. 29 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 5: Biden is considering an announcement as early as next Tuesday. 30 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 5: On that day, the White House is planning to celebrate 31 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 5: the anniversary of the Obama era program known as DAKA. 32 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 5: That program provided deportation reprieves and work permits to hundreds 33 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 5: of thousands of migrants who were brought to the US 34 00:01:56,960 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 5: illegally as miners. In Washington, Podusk Bloomberg Daybreak. 35 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 3: Okay, Steve, thanks, So, President Biden's presumptive opponent, former President 36 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 3: Donald Trump, is making a big promise to the business community. 37 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 3: He says he's going to cut the corporate tax rate 38 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 3: to twenty percent. Bloomberg's Ed Baxter has that story. 39 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 6: This is a pitch to corporate CEOs, about one hundred 40 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 6: of them, as well as House Republicans. He said a 41 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 6: cut from twenty one to twenty percent. He says it'd 42 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 6: be offset by future tariffs, and even a small reduction, 43 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 6: of course, means billions of dollars or profitable companies. He 44 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 6: also vowed to make permanent the sweeping twenty seventeen tax law. 45 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 6: As for the GOP itself, his theme we have. 46 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: Great unity, we have great common sense. 47 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 4: A lot of very smart people in this room, and 48 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 4: a lot of people that love our country. 49 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 6: Also promised to again slash regulations. Put on business head 50 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 6: Baxter Bloomberg Radio. 51 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:53,799 Speaker 2: Turning to the markets now, the S and P five 52 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 2: hundred coming off a fourth consecutive record close this week. 53 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:00,359 Speaker 2: In fact, the index reached its twenty ninth record of 54 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 2: the year on BET's the Federal Reserve will cut interest 55 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 2: rates before the years out. Stuart Kaiser is head of 56 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 2: US equity trading strategy at City Haith House Bloomberg. He's 57 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 2: bullish on equities for the foreseeable future. 58 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:16,119 Speaker 7: You have an economy that for now is holding in solidly. 59 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 7: You've got double digit EPs growth, and I think those 60 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 7: two things in Generally speaking, you'd want high or you 61 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 7: would expect higher equity markets in that environment. And I 62 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 7: think that's just sort of the situation we're in. I mean, 63 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 7: our base case view is higher until and unless the 64 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 7: labor market really comes under significant pressure. 65 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 2: The City Stuart Kaiser believes this week's CPI reading, combined 66 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 2: with last week's strong jobs figure, will ease fears of 67 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 2: a recession even with higher for longer rates. 68 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 3: Speaking of higher Lisa, let's talk about Apple. That stock 69 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 3: just registered its biggest three day advance since August of 70 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 3: twenty twenty. The three day jump of about eleven percent 71 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 3: added almost three hundred and twenty four billion dollars to 72 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 3: the iPhone maker's market value. That is more than all 73 00:03:56,640 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 3: but a handful of components in the S and P 74 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 3: five hundred and Apple is now back above Microsoft as 75 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 3: the world's most valuable company, and. 76 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 2: Tech well once again be in focused today. Nathan. Adobe 77 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 2: shares are up fourteen percent in early trading after the bell. 78 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 2: Adobe raises annual profit outlook and projected strong future sales 79 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 2: for its creative products. We get details from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. 80 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 8: It suggests its customers are adopting the company's new artificial 81 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 8: intelligence based tools. Adobe said profit excluding some items will 82 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:28,720 Speaker 8: be as much as eighteen twenty a share in the 83 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 8: fiscal year ending in January. Analysts, on average estimated eighteen 84 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 8: oh two. CFO Dan Durm says the company expects an 85 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:41,039 Speaker 8: acceleration in new creative business through the rest of the 86 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 8: fiscal year. In New York, Charlie Pellette Bloomberg Radio. 87 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 3: Thank you, Charlie, sticking with company news. Tesla shareholders have 88 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 3: fact two resolutions sought by CEO Elon Musk. More on 89 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 3: that from Bloomberg's Doug Prisner. 90 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 9: The shareholders voted in favor of CEO Elon Musk's pay package. 91 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:02,279 Speaker 9: They also approved mo moving Tesla's state of incorporation to 92 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 9: Texas from Delaware. Here's the thing, the pay vote is 93 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:09,279 Speaker 9: only advisory. It doesn't guarantee Musk will get his comp 94 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 9: He negotiated a package in twenty eighteen and became eligible 95 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 9: for stock options if Tesla hit certain milestones. He succeeded, 96 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 9: but back in January, a Delaware judge nullified the plan. 97 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:24,159 Speaker 9: The current value is more than forty eight billion dollars. 98 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 9: Tesla is expected to appeal if it fails, moving the 99 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 9: legal home to Texas would allow the board to revive 100 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:34,160 Speaker 9: the package in a new state with potentially more favorable 101 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 9: courts in New York. I'm Doug Prisoner, Bloomberg Radio. 102 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:39,880 Speaker 2: Thank you, Doug. Turning to Asia, the yen is slumping 103 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 2: against the dollar after the Bank of Japan delayed a 104 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,160 Speaker 2: decision on its bond buying plan. We get the details 105 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:48,599 Speaker 2: from Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchor Ryan Curtis in Hong Kong. 106 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:52,480 Speaker 10: The Bank of Japan has decided to reduce its bond purchases, 107 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 10: but it has left the market guessing as to the amount. 108 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 10: He will not specify amounts until the next meeting in July. 109 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 10: Decision led to selling of the en as investors who 110 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:06,720 Speaker 10: were primed for details at this meeting. The boj stood 111 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:10,000 Speaker 10: pat on other policies. It kept the overnight call rate 112 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:14,160 Speaker 10: between zero and zero point one percent. The nick posted 113 00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 10: modest gains. Brian Curtis, Bloomberg Radio. 114 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:19,039 Speaker 3: Okay, Brian, thank you. One more corporate note back in 115 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 3: this country. A federal judge in Brooklyn is indicating she 116 00:06:21,600 --> 00:06:24,640 Speaker 3: is likely to reject a thirty billion dollars settlement between 117 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 3: Visa MasterCard and retailers to cap credit card swipe fees. 118 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:31,920 Speaker 3: And retailers have fought for decades to slash their share 119 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 3: of the cost for accepting card payments, also known as 120 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:37,800 Speaker 3: interchange fees. The deal was announced in March. It wouldn't 121 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:42,360 Speaker 3: let merchants charge consumers more for transactions involving Visa or MasterCard. 122 00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:47,560 Speaker 2: Time now for a look at some of the other 123 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 2: stories making news in New York and around the world. 124 00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:53,599 Speaker 2: For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael bar Good morning, Michael. 125 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 11: Good morning Lisa. Still no deal. The US State Department 126 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,720 Speaker 11: is encouraging a mosque to stop aggling on a propose 127 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 11: East fire hostage deal with Israel. State Department spokesman Matthew 128 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,800 Speaker 11: Miller would not go into details on the sticking points, 129 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 11: but dismissed the idea that AMAS should need assurances for 130 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:12,320 Speaker 11: elasting peace. 131 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 12: We were disappointed both that it took so long to 132 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:17,920 Speaker 12: get a response and that the response had a number 133 00:07:17,960 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 12: of changes that could drag the negotiations out further. 134 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 11: Memile. The US built pier to bring food to gazes, 135 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 11: Facing one of its most serious challenges yet, the United 136 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 11: Nations is deciding if it can keep safely delivering supplies 137 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 11: from the USC route to starving Palestinians. The UN has 138 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 11: paused its work with the pier since June eighth. That's 139 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 11: when in operation by Israeli security forces rescued for Israeli 140 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 11: hostages and killed more than two hundred and seventy Palestinians. 141 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 11: The US and Israel say no part of the PEER 142 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 11: was used in the raid, but in Israeli helicopter used 143 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 11: a spot near the pier. The UN and aid groups 144 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 11: say they fear relief workers operating with the PEER are 145 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 11: being seen as a line with Israel and becoming targets. 146 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 11: The PEER has also been subjected to repairs because of 147 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 11: rough seas. The NYPD continues to search for protesters who 148 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 11: cause disruption on a subway train. It comes amid vandalism 149 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 11: during several pro Palestinian demonstrations in New York this week. 150 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 11: State lawmakers are now looking to ban protesters from covering 151 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 11: their face during demonstrations. At the G seventh summit in Italy, 152 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:31,520 Speaker 11: President Biden was asked about his son, Hunter Biden's recent 153 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 11: gun conviction. 154 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 4: I'm extremely proud of my son Hunter. He has overcome 155 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:40,439 Speaker 4: an addiction. He's one of the greatest, most decent men 156 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 4: I know, and I am satisfied that I'm not going 157 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 4: to do anything. I said, I adviye by the jury decision, 158 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:50,560 Speaker 4: and I will do that and I will not partner him. 159 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 11: When asked if he would commute his son's sentenced to 160 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 11: reduce it, the President replied no. Forecasters have warned Floridians 161 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 11: to prepare for addition flash flooding after a tropical disturbance 162 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 11: dumped as much as twenty inches of rainfall in the 163 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 11: southern parts of the state earlier this week. This resident 164 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 11: in Hollandale Beach says his home is okay, but his 165 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:13,439 Speaker 11: car is underwater. 166 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 9: It was just coming up to the house. 167 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:18,959 Speaker 7: We were on high ground, but the other houses are 168 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:19,959 Speaker 7: just destroyed around here. 169 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 11: Conditions are expected to worsen. Today Global News twenty four 170 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 11: hours a day and whatever you want it with Bloomberg 171 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 11: News Now. I'm Michael Barr. This is Bloomberg Lears. 172 00:09:28,960 --> 00:09:36,439 Speaker 2: Thank you, Michael. Time now for a Bloomberg Sports update. 173 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 2: For that, we bring in Dan Schwartzman. 174 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 13: Good morning. Nathan Rory McCrory finishing his last three holes 175 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 13: with two birdies to ty Patrick Canley atop the leaderboard 176 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 13: at five under par. After the first round of the 177 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 13: US Open at Pinehurst, North Carolina, Rory talked about the 178 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:52,439 Speaker 13: final holes of his round. 179 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 12: And I was just on this on this run of 180 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 12: hitting at the twenty feet and two putting. Actually had 181 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 12: a good two put on fifteen, But I just felt 182 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 12: like my patients, I could have gone a little impatient, 183 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 12: but I felt like my patients was rewarded there with 184 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 12: the parties, you know, into the last three holes. So 185 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 12: you know, it was really nice to finish like that, 186 00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 12: and you know, as I said, you know, a nice 187 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:14,480 Speaker 12: better momentum going into the morning runs. 188 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 13: That's courtesy of ESPN dot Com. Meanwhile, rough round for 189 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 13: Tiger Woods as he finishes four over par. Tiger will 190 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 13: be teeing off a little after one fourteen this afternoon. 191 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:26,599 Speaker 13: In Major League Baseball, the Yankees can't finish off a 192 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:29,080 Speaker 13: sweep of the Royals as Kansas City wins it on 193 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 13: a walkoff, two run double off Clay Holmes. Coming up tonight, 194 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 13: the Yankees are on the road in Boston to open 195 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:36,839 Speaker 13: up a three game weekend set. Luis Heel on the 196 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 13: hill for the Yankees, Brian Bellow for the Red Sox. 197 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 8: The Mets. 198 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:43,319 Speaker 13: Meanwhile, they win on a walkoff from j D. Martinez. 199 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:44,640 Speaker 12: G D. 200 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,320 Speaker 7: Rocketts went out to white center back at the capos chisel. 201 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 1: Looking up head it on the hair. JD. 202 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 13: By Tinez wins it hold up to run opposite field 203 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:58,560 Speaker 13: over road. That's courtesy of Mets dot Com. The Mets 204 00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 13: knocking off the Marlins three two. Mets are home for 205 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,200 Speaker 13: the San Diego Padres as they open up the first 206 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 13: game of a three game set. On the mound for 207 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 13: the Mets is Shan Manyah that Matt Waldron taking the 208 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:12,040 Speaker 13: mound for the Padres. In the Stanley Cup Final, the 209 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 13: Florida Panthers, now one, went away from sweeping the series 210 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 13: as they win ad Edmondson over the Oilers four to three. 211 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 13: Game number four comes on Saturday north of the border. Finally, 212 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 13: in the NFL, the Jacksonville Jaguars and quarterback Trevor Lawrence 213 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:27,719 Speaker 13: have agreed to a massive five year, two hundred and 214 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:31,319 Speaker 13: seventy five million dollar contract extension that includes two hundred 215 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:34,120 Speaker 13: million dollars guaranteed and one hundred and forty two million 216 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 13: at signing. Batchel Bloomberg Sports update on Dan Schwarzman, Nathan 217 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:38,839 Speaker 13: and Lisa. 218 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:45,360 Speaker 11: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and. 219 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:48,679 Speaker 8: Around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg 220 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:49,320 Speaker 8: Business app. 221 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:51,559 Speaker 11: This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 222 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:54,600 Speaker 3: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hagar, and the bulls just keep 223 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 3: on running. The SMP five hundred has notched all time 224 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 3: highs every day this week. Actually, even with the FED 225 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:03,439 Speaker 3: dialing back its own rate cut expectations, these new signs 226 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 3: of disinflation that we saw this week seem to have 227 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 3: the markets making bets of its own. So let's get 228 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:10,560 Speaker 3: more on what is happening in this market. For that, 229 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:12,839 Speaker 3: we are joined by Gina Martin Adams this morning, the 230 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 3: chief equity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence. Gina, good morning, Thanks 231 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 3: so much for being with us. Can this rally sustain? 232 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:23,679 Speaker 1: You know, I think that what was interesting is coming 233 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: out of the earning season, we sort of lost a 234 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:29,800 Speaker 1: little bit of momentum on equities as earning seasons, especially 235 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:32,840 Speaker 1: this year, have proven to be big catalysts for optimism 236 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 1: given low expectations that companies were able to be pretty easily. 237 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 1: You know, after earning season, you generally do see some 238 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:43,199 Speaker 1: deterioration in price momentum in the s and P five 239 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 1: hundred emerge. But fortunately the economic data has come into 240 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:49,599 Speaker 1: kind of save the day, especially over the course of 241 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 1: the last few days, be easing and inflation in particular, 242 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 1: the continued positive spread between CPI and PPI but generally 243 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:02,959 Speaker 1: the downward trajectory of inflation has helped ease some concerns. 244 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:08,440 Speaker 1: At the same time, you know, economic expectations are relatively stable, 245 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: and that's creating a pretty good a pretty good backdrop 246 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:13,800 Speaker 1: for risk taking for the index. 247 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 3: Well, there is there a risk, though, Gina, that the 248 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:19,559 Speaker 3: market could be getting a little over excited about this disinflation. 249 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 3: I mean, it is one month's data, right. 250 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, there always is a risk. But we have had 251 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:29,760 Speaker 1: persistence and disinflation really since the beginning of twenty twenty three. 252 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 1: It paused somewhat earlier this year, but the fact that 253 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:37,880 Speaker 1: we have had general persistence in the disinflationary trend since 254 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 1: the end of twenty twenty two early twenty twenty three, 255 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,079 Speaker 1: I think is the bigger story that we need to 256 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 1: keep in mind, and we do find in particular, you 257 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 1: want to look at the details of inflation. So I 258 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:50,719 Speaker 1: understand that the market is somewhat captivated right now by 259 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: what's happening with CPI, but probably what's even more important 260 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 1: for stock prices at large is how the interplay between 261 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:02,680 Speaker 1: CPI and PPI, or consumer prices and producer prices plays out. 262 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 1: This is a proxy for margins on the S and 263 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 1: P five hundred, and as long as consumer prices are 264 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: rising faster than producer prices, and as long as producer 265 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 1: prices are not rising too quickly, generally rising below a 266 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 1: pace of three percent year over year, we tend to 267 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 1: see margins continue to rise on the S and P 268 00:14:20,520 --> 00:14:24,280 Speaker 1: five hundred. This is particularly consequential in an environment where 269 00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 1: you know economic uncertainty is still somewhat high given higher 270 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 1: interest rates. If company margins continue to inflate because of 271 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 1: the inflate because of the broader inflation backdrop, generally, that's 272 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 1: pretty good news for earning's growth, which tends to power 273 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 1: stock prices well. 274 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 3: With the betting that this trend in the economic data 275 00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 3: could continue. We've seen a lot of attention as well 276 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 3: on the tech stocks really being a beneficiary of where 277 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 3: the rate environment is right now. Do you see that 278 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 3: continuing tech leading the way or can other sectors start 279 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 3: to benefit. 280 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that actually the reason Tech has led 281 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 1: the way is not necessarily be because of interest rates, 282 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:02,920 Speaker 1: but really because of what's going on in the earnings. 283 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:07,640 Speaker 1: Tech companies have powered significantly faster earnings growth than the 284 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 1: rest of the market over the course of the last 285 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 1: several quarters, really leading the way in a cycle recovery 286 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:16,200 Speaker 1: that started about this time last year. And what we 287 00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 1: should see over the second half of this year and 288 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 1: into twenty twenty five is the emergence of growth in 289 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:22,920 Speaker 1: some of the rest of the S and P five hundred, 290 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:25,800 Speaker 1: which may of course spark resk tolerance and interest and 291 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 1: investment in those segments of the index that's really been lacking. 292 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 1: Over the course of the last several quarters. We've had 293 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:34,840 Speaker 1: double digit and even greater than twenty percent declines in 294 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 1: earnings growth year every year for several sectors, including energy, materials, 295 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,640 Speaker 1: and healthcare on the S and P five hundred. That 296 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:44,080 Speaker 1: has really created a strong divergence in in rest or 297 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 1: risk appetite for sector level investing. It's favored Tech and 298 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:52,160 Speaker 1: disfavored several other segments. Obviously, but as we move into 299 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,560 Speaker 1: the second half of the year and into twenty twenty five, 300 00:15:54,680 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: that divergence should close. We should see almost every sector 301 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 1: on the index start to host EPs growth at the 302 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 1: course of the next quarter in the July reporting season, 303 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 1: and then by the October reporting season, every sector in 304 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 1: the index is expected to post here every year earnings growth. 305 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: By early twenty twenty five, Tech earnings growth should be 306 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 1: equivalent to or roughly equivalent to ex tech earnings growth 307 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 1: on the S and P five hundred, which should create 308 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 1: some very different trends on the index at large. 309 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 14: This is Bloomberg day Break Today, your morning brief on 310 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 14: the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 311 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:31,760 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feedby six am Eastern 312 00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 2: each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get 313 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:35,960 Speaker 2: your podcasts. 314 00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 14: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 315 00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 14: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 316 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 14: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 317 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 14: Bloomberg one oh six' one in Boston, and Bloomberg nine 318 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:49,160 Speaker 14: sixty in San Francisco. 319 00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 320 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. 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