1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,720 Speaker 1: What if there was an encrypted message that you just 2 00:00:02,800 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 1: couldn't figure out and impose massive danger to you. Well, 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:09,799 Speaker 1: that's sort of what the financial markets are. But there 4 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: was a phenomenon that happened, a synchronization event that broke 5 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: this open and allows us to peak inside the markets 6 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 1: and predict with an uncannonability to know exactly what's going 7 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 1: to happen next. And if you use this tool correctly, 8 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: you could make more money than you imagined over the 9 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 1: next twelve to fifteen months. So in this video, I'm 10 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: going to break down what these cycles are, how they 11 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: got started, and how each wave gets bigger and bigger. 12 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,280 Speaker 1: We're going to talk about this phenomenon, the synchronization event 13 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,879 Speaker 1: that put them all in the same order, and then 14 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:45,160 Speaker 1: we're going to look at how they break down over 15 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 1: what timeframes and exactly how we can use this information 16 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 1: to make money on the way up or down, depending 17 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:54,440 Speaker 1: on what part of the synchronization cycle that we're on. 18 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: This is an amazing phenomenon. It's the first time I've 19 00:00:57,440 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: talked about it here. You can't wait to see this, 20 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 1: So let's go ahead and just jump right in. All right, 21 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: Welcome to the channel. If you're new my name is 22 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 1: Mark Moss, and I make these videos to help break 23 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: down these complex subjects of the markets and how they 24 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,320 Speaker 1: move in the movements, so you don't get caught in 25 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:17,119 Speaker 1: the same situation I did back in two thousand and eight, 26 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: when I was focused on my business and I was 27 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 1: focused on my real estate developments, and I wasn't focusing 28 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 1: on the markets. I wasn't focused on the macroeconomic environment. 29 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:27,960 Speaker 1: Unfortunate for me, it caught me off sides and it 30 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 1: cost me everything. So I've spent the last twelve to 31 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 1: fourteen years understanding these cycles and how they move so 32 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:37,400 Speaker 1: I don't get caught off sides again, and I don't 33 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 1: want you to either. Now. I've talked a lot about 34 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: how something changed in two thousand and eight, and how 35 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:44,840 Speaker 1: most people when they talk about the market, you know, 36 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 1: nineteen seventy, the two, nineteen seventy nine, and forties, et cetera, 37 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: that it's all wrong because something changed in two thousand 38 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:53,559 Speaker 1: and eight. So I've been talking about this for a while, 39 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 1: but it wasn't until recently that we cracked the code 40 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: on this. This is the first time that we've talked 41 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 1: about this publicly. I'm talking about what I'm calling the 42 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 1: codex the monetary codex. The codex is basically a cipher, 43 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: a way to decipher an encrypted message, and that's exactly 44 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: what this is, the way to decipher, to unencrypt the movements 45 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 1: of the market. So we can have a lot more 46 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: success into it. All right, So let's go and jump in. 47 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 1: I'm want to break this down and we're going to 48 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 1: use this to do something that's impossible, and I'm talking 49 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: about timing and more important than we're going to time 50 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: the cycles. We're not time in the markets. I'm not 51 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: going to say the exact time to buy something or 52 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 1: exact time to sell something. As a matter of fact, 53 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: nobody can. Anyone who tells you they can't, they're lying. 54 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 1: They can't do that. We don't know the top of 55 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:41,799 Speaker 1: the bottom until we're looking backwards. However, what we can 56 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 1: do is we can understand the cycles. We can time 57 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:48,079 Speaker 1: the cycles, and we can know what phase we're in 58 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: and what assets we should be invested into and should 59 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 1: we be long short, et cetera. So that's what we 60 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 1: want to break down. That's all you have to get right. Well, first, 61 00:02:57,160 --> 00:03:00,359 Speaker 1: before we jump into exactly how to do that, talk 62 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: about how these got built up. Now before I talk 63 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: about how these cycles got built, and then we'll talk about, 64 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: like I said, how to map these out, understand the 65 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,400 Speaker 1: timeframes of these. I do want to let you know 66 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: that there's a lot more to this, how this actually works, 67 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: the individual assets you want to buy at the four 68 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 1: phases of the cycle, and specifically which assets to be 69 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 1: in right now for the next twelve months. It's more 70 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 1: than I can cover in this short video, but I'd 71 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: love to have you join me next week. I'm having 72 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: a live presentation. I have about thirty thirty five charts 73 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 1: to show you so you can understand this, and then 74 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: I'm going to take all your questions live so you 75 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: know how to implement this information right away. You don't 76 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 1: want to miss this. If you want to make a 77 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 1: lot of money over the next twelve to fifteen months, 78 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: you need to understand this last part of the cycle 79 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: before we go into quad four. There's a link down below. 80 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: It's free QR code on the screen. Just come hang 81 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: out with me. It's fun, we hang out. I'll answer 82 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: all your questions live. Okay, now, how did this cycle 83 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: get picked up? The first thing you have to understand 84 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: is that we are in a debt based monetary system. 85 00:03:57,440 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: Used to be a gold based system, an equity based 86 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 1: system nineteen seventy one, officially started earlier in nineteen thirteen probably, 87 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: but officially we are in debt based monetary systems. That 88 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: means that money is created through debt issuance. And the 89 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: thing with that is that the debt has to always 90 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 1: continue to grow. And because the debt always has to 91 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 1: continue to grow because the debt is now collateral for 92 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,279 Speaker 1: more debt. So if the asset prices go down, that 93 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 1: means the collateral goes down. And if you've ever done 94 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: options trading or leverage shorts, whatever, you understand that when 95 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:31,279 Speaker 1: the collateral goes down, you either have to post more 96 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: collateral or you lose the position. And so that's basically 97 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: what the whole world is in. And so we can't 98 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: allow the collateral the assets to go down because it's 99 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: collateral for more and so the debt always has to expand. 100 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 1: And we can see this is just since twenty fourteen, 101 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:49,720 Speaker 1: and this is the amount of debt around the world. 102 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: The global debt well over three hundred trillion dollars of debt, 103 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:58,120 Speaker 1: which is just amazing. Now we can see during the pandemic, 104 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 1: we increase that, but it's just it's been a steady 105 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 1: grind higher. Now I've covered in a previous video. I 106 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: don't want to go deep into, but part of the 107 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:07,600 Speaker 1: reason why this debt can ever be repaid back, besides 108 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 1: the fact that we're in a debt based monetary system, 109 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,919 Speaker 1: is that for about three hundred and twenty trillion dollars 110 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:17,840 Speaker 1: of debt, there's only about eighty trillion dollars of dollars 111 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:20,919 Speaker 1: to pay off the debt, which is a big problem. 112 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:24,239 Speaker 1: But this is what leads to these cycles, these debt cycles, 113 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 1: if you will, something I talk quite about now. We 114 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: understand also that the debt has to continue to grow 115 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,280 Speaker 1: because it's a function of a debt based monetary system. 116 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: But it's more than that. Here we have a chart 117 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: of the real GDP, the gross domestic product of the 118 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:40,719 Speaker 1: of the United States, and what we can see is 119 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:44,080 Speaker 1: that while it goes up and down, we can see 120 00:05:44,120 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 1: that it's trending down. So the GENP, the economic growth 121 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:51,799 Speaker 1: of the United States and the world for that matter, well, 122 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,279 Speaker 1: let's just focus in the United States, is trending down 123 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 1: right now. And what we can see is that at 124 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 1: the same time, we can see that the US working 125 00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: age population, so working age able body people aged fifteen 126 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: to sixty four, we can see on a five year 127 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,239 Speaker 1: year ear split. While it does go up and down, 128 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,039 Speaker 1: we can see that the trend is also going down. 129 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: So as the working population is going down, less people 130 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 1: to work, less jobs, less economic growth, we can see 131 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: that mapped out in the GDP. All right, So as 132 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: that's happening, then what we can see at the same time, 133 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 1: what's also feeding this is we're seeing a plunge in 134 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 1: the US birth rates. And again, nothing ever goes up 135 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,040 Speaker 1: or down in a straight line, so the birth rate 136 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,239 Speaker 1: don't either. What we can see is that the trend 137 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:39,920 Speaker 1: is down. This is US birth rates per one thousand people. 138 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 1: Now what we also see, of course, if we have 139 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:46,320 Speaker 1: less people and we have less working age people, then 140 00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: the US labor force participation rate is also going down. 141 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 1: And we can see that the labor force participation rate 142 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 1: and the birth rates are basically in sync right here, 143 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,720 Speaker 1: and they're all going down. And again we have less 144 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:01,919 Speaker 1: birth we have less people, we have less people, we 145 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 1: have less people working, we have less people working, we 146 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 1: have less economic predictivity, and then less economic productivity than 147 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: GDP is also going down. Now, this is the labor 148 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 1: force participation rate we already looked at, and in green 149 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 1: the US government debt as a percentage of GDP, and 150 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 1: this is where it starts to get interesting. You can 151 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 1: see that these are mapped out almost perfectly. Now the 152 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 1: government debt is a percentage of GDP has been inverted, right, 153 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 1: because obviously the debt has been going up. So what 154 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:32,680 Speaker 1: we did is we inverted those so you could see 155 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 1: how correlated the labor force participation rate and the government 156 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 1: debt to GDP is. So the GDP is going down 157 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: with the birth rates and laborfore labor force participation rate, 158 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 1: and so the government debt has to go up in 159 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: order to fill in the gap. Okay, now we can 160 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 1: see the FED net liquidity, so again like the FED 161 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 1: balance sheet, we can see it going up, and the 162 00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: US government debt as a percentage of GDP is also 163 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: going up. Of course, as the Fed's balance grows, the 164 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 1: government debt goes up, and as a percentage of GDP, 165 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:08,360 Speaker 1: it goes up because the GDP is going down. Does 166 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 1: that make sense? So we have to understand debt first, 167 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: because debt is what's causing this all to happen, and 168 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 1: then we'll learn how to map that out. Now I 169 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: talk about this quite often through these cycles. You might 170 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 1: have seen any one of my videos where I'm breaking 171 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: down these tune and fifty year cycles, or the eighty 172 00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:27,000 Speaker 1: year financial cycles, the fifty year tech cycles. So you know, 173 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 1: I love my cycles. But what I want to show 174 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 1: you this is basically a cycle, or we can map 175 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 1: out the growth. Now, this is a total global equity, 176 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 1: not the United States, but total global liquity. So it's 177 00:08:39,360 --> 00:08:41,439 Speaker 1: all the money at the Central Bank center, being balance sheets, 178 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 1: that's available, credit, lots of things like that. And what 179 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 1: we can see is that the global liquidity, the amount 180 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:50,559 Speaker 1: of money that's created in credit and debt, etc. That's 181 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,959 Speaker 1: expanding around the world, has these seasons, and we sort 182 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 1: of have three years up and then we have one 183 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 1: year down, and then we have three years up and 184 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: one year down, and then three years up and one 185 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:04,679 Speaker 1: year down. Now, let's say you're an elementary kid. You're 186 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,680 Speaker 1: pretty good at understanding patterns. What do you think happens 187 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: from here? Do you think we might have three years 188 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 1: up and one year down next? Are you starting to 189 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 1: see that? All? Right? We'll come back to that in 190 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 1: a minute. But there's this very very interesting phenomenon. As 191 00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:23,240 Speaker 1: a matter of fact, if you know what these things are, 192 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:26,240 Speaker 1: this is a metronome, and a metronome helps you keep 193 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 1: perfect time when you're playing musical instrum, piano, guitar, violin, 194 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 1: whatever it is. The interesting phenomenon about this is that 195 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 1: a metronome is supposed to keep perfect time. But if 196 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 1: I get a group of metronomes and put them onto 197 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 1: a table, and I start them all different times, so 198 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:44,959 Speaker 1: they're all in different beats. Within a short period of 199 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 1: time I found on how many there are and what's 200 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 1: surface they're on, it was in a short period of time, 201 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: they'll all get into perfect synchronization, which is an amazing 202 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: phenomenon because again they're supposed to keep perfect time, so 203 00:09:56,320 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 1: how do they all get from different time beas onto 204 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 1: the same But understanding that phenomenon is more than I 205 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 1: need to break down right now. But this is the 206 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:09,840 Speaker 1: same phenomenon that's happening in the markets. Let me explain 207 00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: what I'm talking about. What we saw back to two 208 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: thousand and eight, as I explained, is that something changed 209 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:18,839 Speaker 1: in the world. And again I haven't been able to 210 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 1: figure this out for a while and tell this finally 211 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 1: kind of made sense to me. So we're in this 212 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:27,320 Speaker 1: debt based monetary system. The debt has to continue to grow, 213 00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 1: so that means that debt doesn't get paid, it gets refinanced. 214 00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:32,840 Speaker 1: It's the old you know, kicking the can down the road, 215 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: so to speak. Now the thing is, in order to 216 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 1: refinance the debt, we have to issue more debt. That's 217 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:41,840 Speaker 1: why the debt continues to grow. So all these different 218 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:45,560 Speaker 1: debt cycles, different governments, different central banks, different corporations, everyone 219 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: has debt, but different terms. One year, two year, five year, 220 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 1: ten year, thirty year, et cetera, all taken out different times. 221 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:54,040 Speaker 1: So all this debt around the world, the three hundred 222 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 1: and twenty trillion dollars that's been growing, growing, growing, growing, growing, 223 00:10:57,600 --> 00:11:00,679 Speaker 1: is all getting kicked down the road, all getting refinanced 224 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:04,200 Speaker 1: at different rates. But then something happened. That's sort of 225 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:07,200 Speaker 1: like all the metronomes on different beats. But then in 226 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 1: two thousand and eight, what changed is that when the 227 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 1: Great financial Crash happened, the whole world brought rates to 228 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:17,439 Speaker 1: zero at one time. Now, if you own a house 229 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,080 Speaker 1: and you have a mortgage, that's locked in. Right now, 230 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 1: let's say that you bought in the last year, you 231 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:24,439 Speaker 1: have a mortgage rate of let's say seven percent. If 232 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 1: the bank decided to lower the interest rates to zero, 233 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: would you refinance your house from seven to zero? And 234 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 1: of course the answer is yes, you would, And that's 235 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 1: exactly what happened. So when the whole world in two 236 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 1: thousand and eight brought rates down to zero, what do 237 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 1: you think everybody did, businesses, governments, central banks, et cetera. Well, 238 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: they all refinanced their debt. Now not all of them, 239 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:47,839 Speaker 1: but the majority of them. What we can see right 240 00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 1: here is this the maturity distribution of interest bearing public 241 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,840 Speaker 1: debt as a percentage. And what we can see here's 242 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: about a year, and here's one to five years. So 243 00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: what we can see is about seventy five percent of 244 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 1: all public health debt is within a five year period 245 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:08,959 Speaker 1: of a maturity distribution, meaning all this debt has to 246 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 1: be refinanced in about a five year cycle. Now it's 247 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: not all exactly five years or four years or three years. 248 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: There's an average, so the average is somewhere around four years. 249 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of the debt has about a four 250 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 1: year maturity distribution and that has to get rolled over 251 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 1: every four years. So just like these metronomes that had 252 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:36,439 Speaker 1: all these different thcens going on, they all got linked 253 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 1: up together. Now the interesting thing about that is it's 254 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:43,280 Speaker 1: not just all this debt, which is obviously enough, but 255 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 1: we can see is that also changed the business cycle. 256 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:49,560 Speaker 1: Of course, businesses, corporations, they all use debt as well. 257 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 1: This is a chart of the iss TOM. It's like 258 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 1: the shows of the business cycle. And what we can 259 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:59,200 Speaker 1: see is this is working on four year cycles as well. 260 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: So now we have the debt cycle, the global debt 261 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 1: cycle rolling over every four years. We have the business 262 00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:10,760 Speaker 1: cycle rolling over every four years. We can see this. 263 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:14,320 Speaker 1: This is the US liquidity cycle and is again moving 264 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:17,959 Speaker 1: over in every four years. Now why is that, Well, 265 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:20,680 Speaker 1: the reason why the liquidity cycle moves every four years 266 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 1: is because every four years the debt has to be 267 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 1: refinanced and we have to issue more debt in order 268 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:31,480 Speaker 1: to roll over the existing debt. So everything has become synchronized. 269 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 1: And what we can see looking at the global equity 270 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 1: index is almost every one of our financial crisises has 271 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:43,080 Speaker 1: come at the bottom of this liquidity index. Now, going 272 00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 1: back to this chart, we looked at this chart of 273 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: the global equity before, and I showed you sort of 274 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 1: the rainbow pattern, the three good years, the one bad year, 275 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,439 Speaker 1: and now have mapped it out for you with actual timeframes. 276 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 1: You can see this. So we can see from May 277 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 1: twenty ten to June twenty fourteen, four years up and 278 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,319 Speaker 1: then look at this whole read down. Then we have 279 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,840 Speaker 1: March twenty fifteen to March twenty eighteen and then down. 280 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:10,200 Speaker 1: October twenty eighteen to March twenty two up and then down. Now, 281 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 1: this just so happens to coincide with when the Federal 282 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 1: Reserve and thereby all the other central banks around the 283 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:22,080 Speaker 1: world said they were going to start tightening markets. If 284 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:24,560 Speaker 1: you remember that inflation was transitory, it's not a problem. 285 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 1: We're gonna let the inflation run hot. Finally, around I 286 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 1: think it was November of twenty twenty one, the central bank, 287 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:31,720 Speaker 1: the Federal Reserve, put out a notice that we are 288 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 1: going to start quantitative tightening, qt start tightening the markets. 289 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:38,080 Speaker 1: When that happened, what do you think happened to liquidy? 290 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:42,120 Speaker 1: It started going down. Now in October of twenty twenty two, 291 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:44,640 Speaker 1: that changed, And if you have been watching my channel, 292 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: for an amount of time. You know, in October of 293 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, I made a video and I said, 294 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 1: there is no market crash coming and here's why. And 295 00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 1: I'm going on to make a series of videos throughout 296 00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:57,600 Speaker 1: twenty January twenty three. Hey, it's time to buy March 297 00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three times, I'm back in. And I made 298 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 1: all those videos not because I had a crystal ball, 299 00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: but because I was watching this liquidity cycle that went 300 00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 1: back up. I just didn't understand the timing of it yet, 301 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:10,720 Speaker 1: which is what we're going to talk about. But you 302 00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 1: can see how this is starting to work. Now. Going 303 00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 1: back to this chart again, I added some arrow so 304 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: you can see this a little bit better. But we 305 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 1: have the four good years and then the one down here, 306 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 1: the four good years, and the one down here, the 307 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 1: four good years and down here. Now, for all of 308 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: you guys, I like to look at your portfolio on 309 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 1: a daily or weekly or monthly basis, as I say, 310 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 1: you're never going to make it, but a little bit 311 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 1: of hopeful you here. Nothing ever moves up or down 312 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:38,080 Speaker 1: in a straight line. Okay. And this is why when 313 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 1: I opened up the video, I said, it's not about 314 00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:43,080 Speaker 1: timing the markets. It's about timing the cycles, right. So 315 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 1: we don't know the top, we don't know the bottom 316 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 1: till we're looking back on it. What we do understand 317 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 1: is the cycle that we're in. And as we say 318 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,640 Speaker 1: in the investing world, the trend is your friend. We 319 00:15:52,720 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 1: just want to be in the trend. And so we 320 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:57,480 Speaker 1: know that as LIQUIDI started coming back on here, if 321 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: we let it ride, as we say in the world, 322 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: if we'd let it ride, we would do very very well. Right. 323 00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:06,320 Speaker 1: The problem is if you were looking at your portfolio 324 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 1: on a micro basis, like, oh my gosh, I'm making money. 325 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,200 Speaker 1: Oh I'm losing. Oh I'm making money. Oh I'm losing. 326 00:16:11,240 --> 00:16:13,360 Speaker 1: Oh look how much I made. Oh I lost. Oh 327 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 1: I made money, Oh I lost, Right, And you're going 328 00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: back and forth and you can't do that. So we 329 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 1: want to understand the cycle that we're in and we 330 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: want to just ride this thing all the way up 331 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 1: and then we either want to get out of the 332 00:16:23,880 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 1: market here or we can flip short and make money 333 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 1: on the way back down and then we can make 334 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: it back up again. Now, this, as I said, was 335 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:34,200 Speaker 1: about October of twenty two when I started making videos 336 00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:37,120 Speaker 1: about time to go back in the market. And again, 337 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 1: if we were just to stay long, we'll probably end 338 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 1: up somewhere along here. Now, it's going to be like this, 339 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: and then it's gonna be like this. It's gonna come debt, right, 340 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:48,280 Speaker 1: it's gonna be like that. But this is the cycle 341 00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 1: and how it's working. Okay, Now, the next question you 342 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 1: might ask yourself then is well, if all this debt 343 00:16:56,920 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 1: is getting bigger and bigger and bigger, and it's rolling 344 00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 1: over and that's what's pushing up asset prices, then how 345 00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:05,199 Speaker 1: much more will this debt grow? How much does it 346 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 1: protected to grow? And the good thing is is that, 347 00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:09,479 Speaker 1: well the government tells us that, and so we can 348 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: go directly to the US government's CBO Congressional Budget's Office 349 00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 1: and they published as state. As a matter of fact, 350 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 1: the new twenty twenty four report just came out, and 351 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 1: what we can see is the US public debt increases 352 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:25,160 Speaker 1: are projected, as you can see, to absolutely sky rocket 353 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 1: and blow up. And of course they will because they 354 00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 1: have to. Where they broke that down a debt based 355 00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:32,200 Speaker 1: monetary system, they have to issue more debt to roll 356 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 1: it over. In addition, they have to make up for 357 00:17:34,600 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 1: the low birth rates that we're having, and low birth 358 00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 1: rates equal low workforce participation rate, which means GDP goes down, 359 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:43,479 Speaker 1: which means more and more debt is continue to be 360 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 1: put into the system to keep this cycle going. By 361 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: twenty thirty four, they expect it to be about one 362 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 1: hundred and sixteen percent debt to GDP, which is a 363 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 1: wrong number because we're already higher than that. So whatever 364 00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,760 Speaker 1: they show you here, just imagine that we'll probably be 365 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: up to there by then, and that means these liquidity 366 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:05,880 Speaker 1: cycles will to continue to get bigger and bigger and bigger. Now, 367 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 1: the next thing that you need to understand is that 368 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:13,119 Speaker 1: in these cycles, there's technically four different parts of this cycle. 369 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 1: So for example, as the cycle goes up and down 370 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,359 Speaker 1: like this, we have what you might call us a 371 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:23,679 Speaker 1: summer spring or sorry spring, summer, winter fall cycle to that, 372 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 1: and we would want to have different types of assets 373 00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:29,159 Speaker 1: in each one of these cycles. And this sort of 374 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:32,720 Speaker 1: breaks this down for us right here. So the rebound 375 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,480 Speaker 1: as it's coming back up, the calm before the top, 376 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:37,879 Speaker 1: the part that the mania of speculation, and then the 377 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 1: turbulence at the bottom, and the different types of assets 378 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 1: that we'd want to be in each part of those cycles. Now, 379 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 1: if you want me to break this down in much 380 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 1: greater detail and actually tell you this is just asset 381 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 1: categories just like equities, credits, commodities, etc. If we're going 382 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 1: to break this down and tell you what assets in 383 00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 1: each one, then you probably want to come hang out 384 00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 1: with me live next week because this is a whole 385 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,199 Speaker 1: another topic. I got it about twenty thirty charts. I'm 386 00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:03,320 Speaker 1: gonna break all this down for you and then I'm 387 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:05,120 Speaker 1: gonna take all your questions live so you can ask 388 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 1: me any questions that you have about this and how 389 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 1: to implement it. Highly recommend you come hang out with me, 390 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:11,159 Speaker 1: and it's just good fun. There's a link in the 391 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: description down below. It's free if you want to come 392 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:15,200 Speaker 1: hang out. There's a QR code on the screen scan 393 00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 1: that highly recommend you come because the next twelve to 394 00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:21,399 Speaker 1: fifteen months is going to be nuts. Okay, Now, the 395 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,640 Speaker 1: next thing that we have to understand is that as 396 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:26,880 Speaker 1: these debt cycles, as these liquidity cycles continue to roll 397 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 1: over and continue to get bigger as we see here, 398 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:34,520 Speaker 1: they move asset prices differently. So, for example, this is 399 00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:36,800 Speaker 1: a zoomed in picture again, This is going back to 400 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:42,080 Speaker 1: October of twenty two, and we've been on this upward liquidity. Now, 401 00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: as I said, nothing goes up in a straight line, 402 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:46,879 Speaker 1: so we've certainly had our peaks and valleys here at 403 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:49,560 Speaker 1: the top, and then it continued higher, So some people 404 00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: might have gotten faked out. But also, like I said, 405 00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:54,400 Speaker 1: nothing even goes down in a straight line either, right, 406 00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:56,199 Speaker 1: so we have to understand that what we want to 407 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 1: be is again directionally right. The trend is your friend. 408 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 1: This is the chart of bitcoin. The reason why I 409 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 1: like to use bitcoin here is because Bitcoin is the 410 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:06,879 Speaker 1: most sensitive asset to this liquidity. And what we can 411 00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:11,000 Speaker 1: see this is the same timeframe October of twenty two, 412 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 1: and we can see it's taking off at the same 413 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:18,360 Speaker 1: time the global liquidies, like literally in the exact same 414 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,639 Speaker 1: peak in Valley. When the Fed announced they're going to 415 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:24,080 Speaker 1: start quantitative tightening, Bitcoin starts selling off almost immediately. The 416 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 1: NASDAC the text doocs started selling off about a week later. 417 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 1: They're also very sensitive about a week later. The S 418 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:31,960 Speaker 1: and P five hundred was a few months later. So 419 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,200 Speaker 1: that's sort of how this works. Now. Like I said, 420 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 1: bitcoin is the most sensitive asset, which is why I 421 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:40,200 Speaker 1: like to use this here when we talk about sensitivity. 422 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 1: Let me just give you a couple of specifics here. 423 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:45,240 Speaker 1: So this is an increase in global liquidity, and we 424 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:49,159 Speaker 1: know that different assets are have different sensitivity racials. So 425 00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,200 Speaker 1: for example, the S and P five hundred is ninety 426 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 1: percent correlated with this. What does that mean. It means 427 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,760 Speaker 1: it moves basically in lock steps. So what does that 428 00:20:57,840 --> 00:20:59,720 Speaker 1: really mean. What it really means is that the S 429 00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 1: and P five hundred is moving up at the rate 430 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,400 Speaker 1: of the increase of global equity. What does that mean. Well, 431 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 1: that means as the global equity as they print more money, 432 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 1: the existing money is worth less. The value comes down. 433 00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,240 Speaker 1: So as the value comes down, asset prices go up, right, 434 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 1: because it takes more money to buy those assets now, 435 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:20,440 Speaker 1: So it goes like this, And so what that means 436 00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:22,199 Speaker 1: is the S and P five hundred is sort of 437 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 1: like a perfect proxy for inflation, meaning it's keeping up 438 00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 1: with the rate of inflation or debasement. Not the CPI 439 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,359 Speaker 1: the government tells you, but the official monetary debasement, So 440 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:34,680 Speaker 1: you're not really getting ahead of the S and P 441 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:39,720 Speaker 1: five hundred. However, bitcoin has a eight point nine five 442 00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: times sensitivity ratio. Gold as a one point four to 443 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:47,480 Speaker 1: nine sensitivity ratio. So what does that mean. That means 444 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,879 Speaker 1: gold moves up about one point five times at the 445 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,000 Speaker 1: rate of global equity. So for every ten percent increase 446 00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 1: in global equity, the SMP five hundred stays even. For 447 00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:00,200 Speaker 1: ten percent increase in liquidity, gold goes up about fifteen percent. 448 00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:02,960 Speaker 1: Pretty good. For every ten percent rise in glob equidy, 449 00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 1: Bitcoin over here goes up about ninety percent. So not 450 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 1: all assets are the same. We definitely want to be 451 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,880 Speaker 1: in the fastest boat or the most sensitive asset. Now, 452 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:15,480 Speaker 1: going back to these repeating cycles, and this is where 453 00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:17,639 Speaker 1: it just starts to get pretty interesting. Again. If we 454 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 1: look over a long period of time, we can see 455 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:24,040 Speaker 1: that the ism is following. This is the business cycle 456 00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:28,680 Speaker 1: is following these four year cycles. Now it's interesting, this 457 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 1: is bitcoin's four year cycles as well. This four year 458 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:35,960 Speaker 1: cycle as the whole world. The phenomenon, the secretization phenomenon 459 00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,120 Speaker 1: that happened right at two thousand and eight, the horror 460 00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:43,160 Speaker 1: refinanced on a four year cycle just happens to coincide 461 00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:46,200 Speaker 1: and overlap with the four year presidential election cycle, and 462 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 1: just so happens to overlap with the four year bitcoin 463 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 1: having cycle, and so every four years the new supply 464 00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:56,480 Speaker 1: bitcoin gets cut in half, which causes bitcoin to also 465 00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 1: move on these four year cycles. One down year, three 466 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,240 Speaker 1: good years, one down here, three good years. And we 467 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: can see this right here. So here's twenty eleven bitcoin popped, 468 00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 1: came down and then went back to the moon. We 469 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 1: saw twenty fourteen bitcoin popped, went down and went back 470 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 1: up to the moon. Twenty nineteen it popped, went down, 471 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,200 Speaker 1: went back to the moon. And now here we are 472 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,359 Speaker 1: right here and we can see it popped, it came down, 473 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:21,680 Speaker 1: and now it's rebounded and it's about back to its 474 00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,680 Speaker 1: all time high. Now again, if you're an elementary kid, 475 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:27,720 Speaker 1: you know I thing about patterns. What do you think 476 00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,960 Speaker 1: if this happened, This happened, this happened, and now we're here, 477 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 1: what do you think happens next? Well, my guess is 478 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 1: that it probably goes up like that to match the 479 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:40,760 Speaker 1: rest of the pattern, at least for the next twelve 480 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:45,120 Speaker 1: to fifteen months until well then the entire cycle changes. 481 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,240 Speaker 1: All right. So to summarize, I know we covered a 482 00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:51,080 Speaker 1: lot of ground here. We're in a debt based monetary system. 483 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,200 Speaker 1: The debt has to always continue to grow. It can't 484 00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 1: be paid off. There's not a f US dollars plus. 485 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:58,159 Speaker 1: Because that debt is collaborable. It has to continue to grow, 486 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,800 Speaker 1: can't go down, so the debt must grow. We know 487 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,879 Speaker 1: that refinancing, we kick the can down the road. We 488 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 1: have to issue more debt to pay off the previous debt, 489 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:07,720 Speaker 1: so it gets bigger and bigger and bigger. We know 490 00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 1: that in two thousand and eight, to create a phenomenon 491 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 1: that put the global debt refinance cycle in synchronization, create 492 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:19,400 Speaker 1: this global SINC. We know that these global synchronized cycles 493 00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,720 Speaker 1: move in like a three to one ratio. I showed 494 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,840 Speaker 1: you those timeframes. We know that there's different types of 495 00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 1: assets to buy in these different cycles. We'll get to 496 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,320 Speaker 1: more of that later if you'd come join me live 497 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:35,200 Speaker 1: next week. We know that the government CBO Congressional Budget 498 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 1: Office projects the debt and assets to continue to grow 499 00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 1: at an astronomical rate. And again we know that there's 500 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,399 Speaker 1: different assets sensitivity, so they s some people. Funder is 501 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,920 Speaker 1: moving up perfectly with it, Gold moves up at a 502 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 1: faster rate, Bitcoin moves up even a faster rate, and 503 00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:53,720 Speaker 1: there's other assets that move up at different synchronization rates 504 00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:57,000 Speaker 1: and different senstivity rates. So anyway, it's a lot of ground. 505 00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,560 Speaker 1: It's a varying some interesting phenomenon, something that I've been 506 00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:02,919 Speaker 1: digging into a lot about the last couple months, and 507 00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 1: I'm going to continue to dig in more. So let 508 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,199 Speaker 1: me know what your comments are down one low so 509 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,760 Speaker 1: I can make some more videos to support you as 510 00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 1: you learn how to use this tool to map these 511 00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:15,000 Speaker 1: liquidity flows well to make as much money as you can. 512 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 1: All right, give me thumbs up if you like the video. 513 00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:17,960 Speaker 1: If you don't, you give me thembs down. That's okay, 514 00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 1: but at least tell me why in the comments down below. 515 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: Subscribe if you're hour, subscribe because you don't want to 516 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,159 Speaker 1: miss updates on this. And that's what I got to 517 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:25,840 Speaker 1: your success. I'm out.