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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Podcast All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen cony twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five,

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Speaker 1: fifty and the kick as block book College Football World stundar.

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Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and fumble the lateral turn

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Speaker 1: the corner on the inside. Don't you believe I came

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Speaker 1: him up the field to night. It's not the side

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Speaker 1: of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the sage of the fight in the room.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 3: Bett MGM. This is the Conference Championship betting preview. I'm

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Speaker 3: stucky in joining me as always is Colin Wilson. It's

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Speaker 3: our two hundredth episode.

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Speaker 1: First one to shout out to all of you audio

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Speaker 1: team on the back end make it all possible. A

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Speaker 1: brand new podcast at zero subscribers last August to now,

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Speaker 1: two hundred episodes, millions of downloads and top two hundred

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Speaker 1: sports podcasts consistently just sixteen months later. So yeah, thank

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Speaker 1: you again for all tuning in. Let's close the year

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Speaker 1: strong and it's been quite a right column from Gin

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Speaker 1: and Juice Days.

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Speaker 2: Yeah twenty seventeen days of to gin and juice, getting

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Speaker 2: a guy off of fire dot Com to get us

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Speaker 2: a little jingle theme to get into the beginning. And

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Speaker 2: by the way, it's almost two hundred and one episodes

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Speaker 2: because Mitchell almost forgot to hit the record button a

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Speaker 2: couple weeks ago. So this almost was the two hundred

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Speaker 2: first time that you and I have recorded. But it

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Speaker 2: seems like so long ago when you and I were

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Speaker 2: doing this in twenty seventeen and it was just a

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Speaker 2: struggle to get it recorded, posted so much ambition, and

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Speaker 2: here we are. I'm so happy, couldn't I can't wait

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Speaker 2: to see how far we go.

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Speaker 1: It's been a hell of a ride. And let's close

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Speaker 1: the year strong. We're gonna go through all ten conference

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Speaker 1: championships on today's show and then we will have our

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Speaker 1: final recap episode on it'll come out Monday morning. To

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Speaker 1: make sure you call them the voicemails all weekend. Make them funny.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to heavily weight the Caller of the Year

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Speaker 1: the Haiti Smith Award the Voicemail Caller of the Year

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Speaker 1: for the funniest one. So like you know want I

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Speaker 1: want stuff like the Brett mcm live reporting Bret McMurphy

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Speaker 1: from Club Lit things like that, and then that'll be

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Speaker 1: the final recap episode. Then we'll have a four part

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Speaker 1: Bowl preview that'll start like December thirteenth. Hey, Stuckey, it's Matt.

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Speaker 1: That's right.

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Speaker 4: We'll have our traditional four part college football Bolt betting

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Speaker 4: previews starting Wednesday afternoon December fourteenth, and continue with episodes

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Speaker 4: on Monday December nine, nineteenth, Monday December twenty sixth, and

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Speaker 4: Wednesday afternoon December twenty eighth, ending with a special National

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Speaker 4: Championship episode. The week of January second. Plus, we'll have

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Speaker 4: the Group of Five Guys with a G five Bowl preview.

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Speaker 4: We'll have our college basketball episodes. Thanks for listening.

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Speaker 1: Let's dive right in. Let's start with some Friday night lights.

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Speaker 1: We have two bowl games on Friday. We will start

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Speaker 1: with the Conference USA Championship. North Texas travels to UTSA

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Speaker 1: UTSA eight and a half point favorite ar over Unders

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Speaker 1: up to seventy. This game seven thirty Eastern CBS Sports

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Speaker 1: Network live from the Alamodome Indoors in San Antonio, Texas.

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Speaker 1: These two teams actually met earlier this year in San Antonio,

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Speaker 1: and UTSA one in the final seconds which has been

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Speaker 1: kind of a theme for them all year. They have

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Speaker 1: some wild last minute wins. I can tell you what

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Speaker 1: I bet. I mentioned this on the New Bsts episode

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Speaker 1: earlier this week. I bet I one of my favorite

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Speaker 1: beeB was this over and that it's taking money. I mean,

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Speaker 1: if you look back when they first played earlier this year,

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Speaker 1: the total was like I think closed it's seventy two

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Speaker 1: or seventy three, which I think is more of a

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Speaker 1: fair number here, and they only scored nine points in

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Speaker 1: the first half, a lot of like sacks turnovers in

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Speaker 1: the first half, and they scored forty in the second half.

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Speaker 1: They went from nine to forty. And I don't think

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Speaker 1: either team's gonna have trouble moving the ball. I also

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Speaker 1: think there's some value in North Texas also, massive backdoor ability.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the market's properly waiting the struggles of

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Speaker 1: this UTSA defense, which might be a little under manned.

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Speaker 1: They've now faced four straight backup quarterbacks, so you know,

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Speaker 1: if you look at some of the games where they

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Speaker 1: face starters, even Army through for three hundred yards against them.

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Speaker 1: So I think Austin Audience Company will have success moving

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Speaker 1: the ball here. I do think UTSA also a lot

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Speaker 1: of success, but Phil Bennett, defense coordinator for the Texas's

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Speaker 1: defenses usually improve as the year goes on. And before

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Speaker 1: I get your thoughts, Colin, I do want to mention

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Speaker 1: this might be a theme on some of the games

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Speaker 1: because there's five matchups this weekend where there's revenge from

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Speaker 1: an earlier season matchup. North Texas lost, tou Lane lost,

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Speaker 1: USC lost to Utah, Kansas State lost to TCU, and

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Speaker 1: Fresno State lost to Boise. You look back over since

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Speaker 1: two thousand and five, teams that lost the first meeting

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Speaker 1: and then replay then play each other again in the

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Speaker 1: conference championship, they've only gone They've got twenty three to

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Speaker 1: twenty three against the spread, So market is pricing that

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Speaker 1: revenge angle pretty efficiently. However, I will say that thirty

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Speaker 1: one of the forty six teams round just above sixty

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Speaker 1: seven percent improve their scoring margin in the second meeting

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Speaker 1: by an average of about eight points, and that includes

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Speaker 1: three underdogs that lost in ot So I think that

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Speaker 1: there is a slight edge to being the team that

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Speaker 1: lost the first meeting. You know, you're you're the one.

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Speaker 1: You're the team that might have more of the onus

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Speaker 1: to make the adjustments, while the team that won might

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Speaker 1: just try the same things. But the market seems to

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Speaker 1: price that angle efficiently. But I just think Utsa's defense

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Speaker 1: and their struggles and how bad they are, is it

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Speaker 1: being captured in the market because of some of the

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Speaker 1: quality of quarterbacks they face. I mean, look, they didn't

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Speaker 1: face Hopkins at UAD. They face you know, Lyddy, some

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Speaker 1: of the worst backups in the conference they got to face.

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Speaker 1: They faced Paget at Rice, which I think are bringing

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Speaker 1: some of their There are already poor numbers on defense

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Speaker 1: up a little bit. So I like North Texas. I

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Speaker 1: like the over here. If you're listening to this, I

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Speaker 1: would get in on it because it seems like there's

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Speaker 1: going to be some sharp money continuing to push this

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Speaker 1: total up. What do you see here in the Conference

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Speaker 1: USA title game?

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Speaker 2: I have one hundred percent agreeance with you. And what's

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Speaker 2: interesting about that initial game that they played is you

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Speaker 2: mentioned nine points in the first half. It was thirteen

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Speaker 2: to ten going into the fourth. A blitz, a blitz

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Speaker 2: of points in the fourth corner thirty five points UTSAD

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Speaker 2: to TD with ten seconds left, which says is schwe

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Speaker 2: should be a pretty close battle. But then you look

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Speaker 2: at there's some questionable players on both sides. I mean,

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Speaker 2: North Texas is going to miss cornerback Deshaun Gaddy, linebacker

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Speaker 2: Bason Richards. Richards as seven and a half sacks, ten

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Speaker 2: half tackles for loss, probably their best defensive player. So

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Speaker 2: that points to UTSA having some success on offense despite

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Speaker 2: the fact that they are going to be without Decory

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Speaker 2: and Clark at wide receiver. Brendon Brady has been their

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Speaker 2: workhorse running back. He looks like he's not going to

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Speaker 2: be there, So this is the Frank Harris show. UTSA

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Speaker 2: is going to be able to get points up, but

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Speaker 2: so is Seth Platrell and North Texas. You know, UTSA

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Speaker 2: is going to get explosive tds out of receivers Tike Ogle,

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Speaker 2: Kellogg and Zakari Franklin, who've really picked up the slack there.

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Speaker 2: I think North Texas is worth a play at ten.

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Speaker 2: I could see it teetering down in these in these

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Speaker 2: dead numbers. It's definitely something that I think is more

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Speaker 2: likely to be at nine and a half than it

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Speaker 2: would go back to seven and a half. But Latrell

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Speaker 2: said it in his press or the week he said

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Speaker 2: to attack Utsa, you have to pass to open up

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Speaker 2: the run. Immediately, when he said that, the board takes

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Speaker 2: off to the over. So I do like the over

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Speaker 2: sixty nine being key. But North Texas, I this should

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Speaker 2: end up in a one possession game. I think it's

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Speaker 2: back and forth, and considering the injuries that we have

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Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball, it should be nothing

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Speaker 2: but scoring here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And that is the way to attack. That is

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Speaker 1: the correct take. That is the way to attack this

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Speaker 1: UTSA defense, which is stronger up front against the run

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Speaker 1: than they are against the pass. I mean, when Army

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Speaker 1: is throwing for three hundred yards against you, you know

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Speaker 1: you have some holes there. And like I said, if

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Speaker 1: you remove or just for some of the really really

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Speaker 1: poor backups they faced. I mean, and look, this is

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Speaker 1: a team got really fortunate a lot of close games.

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Speaker 1: Even when they face Jacob Zeno and you av they

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Speaker 1: probably should have lost that game. I think they've won

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Speaker 1: in overtime or double overtime. And if this game is

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Speaker 1: like fourteen late, North Texas easily can go down the

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Speaker 1: field here and get in the back door if required.

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Speaker 1: But I think this will actually be close points in

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Speaker 1: the dog. Here are the way to go. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's move on to a game that you have a

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Speaker 1: lot of interest in from a futures perspective. The Pack

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Speaker 1: twelve Conference Championships games Friday night, eight pm on Fox

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Speaker 1: in Allegiance Stadium in Las Vegas. Utah was able to

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Speaker 1: sneak in to take on USC USC two and a

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Speaker 1: half three point favorite here over under sixty seven ish.

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Speaker 1: These two teams that are only in the air, Utah

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Speaker 1: one by one in a wild game that went shattered

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Speaker 1: the total. USC what has a top one of the

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Speaker 1: five best turnover margins over the past twenty years, and

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Speaker 1: it just hasn't stopped. Even last week. He gets Notre

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Speaker 1: Name get a couple of lucky bounces. That's a difference

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Speaker 1: in the game, UCLA, you get four turnovers or get stayed.

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Speaker 1: All the bounces, these these close games, they're getting all

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Speaker 1: the bounces. You think it would have to stop at

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Speaker 1: some point, but maybe not. Sometimes these things never regress

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Speaker 1: during one season. But you know, there's there's some questions

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Speaker 1: on the USC regardless of defense, is wretched. Notre Name

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Speaker 1: overage eight yards for play last week. They can't stop anybody.

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Speaker 1: They can't stop the run. They won't be able to

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Speaker 1: stop Rising. They can't stop tight ends, which is a

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Speaker 1: nightmare against Kincaid, who went bananas against them in the

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Speaker 1: first meeting. But Utah cam Rising, is he healthy, can

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Speaker 1: he use his legs as much? You know he's been

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Speaker 1: dealing with an injury. Is Kincaid healthy That's a major question.

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Speaker 1: And Utah's defense can't stop the run. We've talked about it.

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Speaker 1: There are kind of a shell of themselves of what

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Speaker 1: we've seen in recent years. And as I mentioned many times,

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Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley offense, it starts and ends with the run

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Speaker 1: and us he's been very good in that department, with

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Speaker 1: or without Travis Dye. And that's it. It's up the

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Speaker 1: rest of the offense. Now, Utah does have a really

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Speaker 1: good secondary that can battle these receivers, and they were

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Speaker 1: able to get some pressure in the first meeting. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I make this game around a pick ish

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Speaker 1: and if you think about it, Utah was about a

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Speaker 1: three and a half to four point favorite at home.

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Speaker 1: That's a big home field advantage and you know, if

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Speaker 1: at three, Utah kind of interests me. But just the

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Speaker 1: health of Rising, the health of Kincaid, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I might just wait to bet this game live.

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Speaker 1: I'm curious to get your thoughts number one on what

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Speaker 1: you think of the game. I would also lean over,

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Speaker 1: I don't know who's getting stops in this game and

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Speaker 1: how you're approaching your hedge of your Utah future.

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Speaker 2: Well, early in the week, USC was minus one at

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Speaker 2: some shops that opened up, so I was able to

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Speaker 2: get some down there. I am going to take half

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Speaker 2: of my Utah future and place it on USC, even

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Speaker 2: though I think Utah is this game and has a

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Speaker 2: great chance to win again. The problem is is you

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Speaker 2: can't handicap this USC team looking at their penalties at

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Speaker 2: their second order win total, and frankly, what Caleb Williams

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Speaker 2: is doing outside the pocket is you just can't cap it, right.

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Speaker 2: I mean these busted plays where he's rolling all over

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Speaker 2: the place. The Utah defense is just going to have

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Speaker 2: to be on point. And the loss of Tavian Thomas

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Speaker 2: I'll start on the offense for Utah. The loss of Tavia.

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Speaker 1: By the way, when he's doing that, they're not called like,

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Speaker 1: they're not calling holding. You'll see they're not calling the

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Speaker 1: legal man downfield. So it'll be interesting to see if

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Speaker 1: if you see gets any penalties this week and.

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Speaker 2: We're trying to handicap the PAC twelve refs here, right,

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Speaker 2: do you want your conference to go to the College

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Speaker 2: of World Playoff or are you going to piss down

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Speaker 2: your leg as a conference like you have almost every

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Speaker 2: single year since Washington made the playoff back in twenty sixteen.

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Speaker 2: As for Utah, you know, I mean Tavian Thomas. I

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Speaker 2: don't think the loss of him is really that substantial.

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Speaker 2: When you look at your Quindon Jackson, He's been explosive

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Speaker 2: and elusive four point five yards after contact on fifty

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Speaker 2: three carries. He moves like a Grand Prix, like a

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Speaker 2: like a race car when he goes down the field.

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Speaker 2: You know, I know the defense. The highlights if you

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Speaker 2: go and look him up, highlights are against the Colorado defense.

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Speaker 2: But he is still extremely fast out of the gate.

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Speaker 2: And the USC rush defense is terrible. They're bottom five

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Speaker 2: of the nation in success rate. Anybody can run on

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Speaker 2: this USC defense. But you're right, all eyes should be

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Speaker 2: on Dalton Kinkaid. He had when we handicap this game before,

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Speaker 2: and when we handicap every Utah game, especially against Oregon.

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Speaker 2: It's about the twelve, thirteen, and fourteen packages. It's about

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Speaker 2: the tight end sets that they come out there. It

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Speaker 2: confuses every Pack twelve defense. It's just not something that

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Speaker 2: a lot of Pac twelve offenses run. And Dalton Kinkaid

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Speaker 2: had two hundred and thirty four yards a season high

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Speaker 2: sixteen targets against USC. They don't come back and get

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Speaker 2: that touchdown and Cam Rising goes through a two point

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Speaker 2: conversion without Dalton Kinkaid if he's not playing in this game,

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Speaker 2: I don't like Utah's chances to try to keep up here,

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Speaker 2: and it should.

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Speaker 1: Because we know USC can't stop tight ends. Because a

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Speaker 1: week after getting torched by the UCLA no name tight end, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: they knew what Notre Dame wants to do is throughout

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Speaker 1: the Michael Meyer and he had a huge game and

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns. So if kid's healthy, you know he's going

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Speaker 1: to get his Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I think one thing where we might disagree, and I

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Speaker 2: can see that the market is disagreeing with me, and

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Speaker 2: I'll take the last number is that USC has done

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Speaker 2: things as a team offensively that you would cord, you

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Speaker 2: would connect the dots and make them an under team.

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Speaker 2: And the reason is because during that Utah game, they

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Speaker 2: would line up in ten personnel, no running backs, I'm sorry,

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Speaker 2: no tight ends, one running back and they would just

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Speaker 2: be four verts. You know, read it to Travis Dye,

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Speaker 2: let it go. That's changed Now they run eleven. They

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Speaker 2: run a ton of tight end and they're running. They

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Speaker 2: have a rush rate that is increasing by the week.

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Speaker 2: And you would think with Travis Dye injury that that

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Speaker 2: wouldn't be the case. But Austin Jones had twenty five

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Speaker 2: carries against Notre Dame. USC is running the ball a

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Speaker 2: lot and the velocity there is get Caleb out a

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Speaker 2: third and scramble right, keep him from having to be

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Speaker 2: behind the chains all the time. Austin Jones has been great.

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Speaker 2: But at the same time, when you turn into an

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Speaker 2: eleven personnel from a ten personnel and you're running a

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Speaker 2: lot more, that eats up a lot more clock and

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Speaker 2: it shaves off a couple possessions per each team. So

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Speaker 2: I think that is one big key factor for USC.

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Speaker 1: You got to watch for now.

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Speaker 2: Listen. We went over against Notre Dame because there was

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Speaker 2: like thirty points in the fourth quarter. So these things

293
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Speaker 2: keep happening where defenses can't keep track of Caleb Williams

294
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Speaker 2: and he keeps on making these plays. But you mentioned

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Speaker 2: that Utah as defenders, their secondary were able to keep up,

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Speaker 2: and that's the reason that Caleb Williams struggled against Utah.

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Speaker 2: Nobody put more pressure, more hurries, and more sacks on

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Speaker 2: Caleb Williams than Utah did. And I don't think it's

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Speaker 2: because their defensive line is especially good at a pass rush.

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Speaker 2: It's because they covered everybody in the backfield. So I

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Speaker 2: lean to the under, Ah, but I'm willing. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I've lost this underbetting against USC so many times. You

303
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Speaker 2: know where I need Dorian Thompson Robinson to be the

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Speaker 2: best defense, uh, you know, to for I mean, it's

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Speaker 2: just amazing to me that these USC games the way

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Speaker 2: that they played out. But I do like the under

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Speaker 2: from the perspective that USC is running the ball out

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Speaker 2: more and Utah is going to be able to be

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Speaker 2: disciplined in their coverage and make Caleb Williams have a

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Speaker 2: tougher time throwing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I'm not going to play the over

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Speaker 1: just because I'm not sure how healthy Rising is. I mean,

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Speaker 1: yeah he was. He looked great against Colorado, but who

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Speaker 1: doesn't and I don't know how healthy kinkaid is. That'll

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Speaker 1: keep me off the over for sure. I don't show

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Speaker 1: a ton of value in it anyway. But here's the

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Speaker 1: question before we move on a Saturday, is you know

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Speaker 1: we talked about this early of the week, but I

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Speaker 1: don't know if you've had more time to muld this over.

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Speaker 1: By the way, sorry if I sound clogged up by

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Speaker 1: the flu, which is awful, uh the you know, if

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Speaker 1: I was starting to lean, I was saying, look, these

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Speaker 1: four teams are going to get in even if they lose.

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Speaker 1: But you said, I think if USC loses, so I

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Speaker 1: think TCU is in as long as it gonna lose

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Speaker 1: by like fifty, I think that they're in now. But

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Speaker 1: I'm thinking, like USC are if they losing the same

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Speaker 1: team twice, is the committee just going to say, yeah,

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Speaker 1: your defense sucks. You lost two games to the same team,

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Speaker 1: and Ohio State only lost one to a team already

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Speaker 1: in the playoff. We're going to put Ohio State in.

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Speaker 1: So now I'm leading to that. And so from a

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Speaker 1: future's perspective, you know, I've seen people at Bama. A

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Speaker 1: big future came in on Bama Bathham Gym. I think

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Speaker 1: Bama's toast. I don't think that they're getting in, but

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Speaker 1: I think that if USC loses, I think that there's

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Speaker 1: a chance. Now I didn't think there was, And I

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Speaker 1: don't think it's right that Ohio State's going to sneak

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Speaker 1: in if Utah wins. Would you agree with that?

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Speaker 2: And yeah, one percent. I said that on green Doowt

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Speaker 2: Daily this morning, that we can throw out strength to

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Speaker 2: record strength the schedule, we can throw out all these

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Speaker 2: advanced stats to do a head to head comparison between

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Speaker 2: Ohio State and USC. By the way, it turns out,

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Speaker 2: Ohio State would win those battles, but the Almighty lost column.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you can't argue with the College Forball Playoff

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Speaker 2: Committee's ranking. In previous pass there have been two loss

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Speaker 2: teams that are better than one loss teams that have

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Speaker 2: made the playoff. There was an Alabama Ohio State example

350
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Speaker 2: years ago. And the thing is, if you have an

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Speaker 2: embarrassing loss, you're just not going to be allowed to

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Speaker 2: get in, especially on your home turf. But I'm sorry

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Speaker 2: that applies to Ohio State. But if USC loses, they'll

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Speaker 2: have two losses. Ohio State will have one. If the

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Speaker 2: resumes match up, from all those advanced analytics of the

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Speaker 2: committee says that they look at they're gonna end up

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Speaker 2: picking Ohio State, and I'm sure that they won't be

358
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Speaker 2: a three seed. There'll be a four seed to avoid

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Speaker 2: a rematch.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's be on a Saturday. Let's start noon

361
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Speaker 1: Eastern on ESP with the MAC Championship. It's a macchin

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Speaker 1: Toledo taking on Ohio at Ford Field and Detroit hos

363
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Speaker 1: A one and a half one underd dog over under

364
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Speaker 1: fifty five over the past fifteen years, indoor overs are

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Speaker 1: twenty eight to twenty five and one. It's fifty three percent.

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Speaker 1: Since I think over by an average about two points

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Speaker 1: per game, which is pretty close to my upward Doome

368
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Speaker 1: adjustment in this game, which is probably the highest because

369
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Speaker 1: the MAC games are you know, played a lot of

370
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Speaker 1: times on like in weather and on you know, outdoors,

371
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Speaker 1: and so there's there's definitely a speed upgrade in this game.

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Speaker 1: Since two has a five in the MAC. Well, since

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Speaker 1: the MAC Championships been in Ford Field average of fifty

374
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Speaker 1: seven media to sixty points scored. For what it's worth,

375
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Speaker 1: quarterback situations, you got to start there for both of

376
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Speaker 1: these teams. Curtis work was announced out for the year.

377
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Speaker 1: Maybe there it was a big smoke screen, but I

378
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Speaker 1: don't think. I think three think he's out for the year.

379
00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:56,359
Speaker 1: And their backup came in and got them here with

380
00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,560
Speaker 1: a win over Bowling Green. They ran a lot of

381
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Speaker 1: options stuff and he looked pretty good. Now, the problem

382
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Speaker 1: with that is that it was a kind of a

383
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Speaker 1: new yet a lot of new wrinkles in the offense.

384
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Speaker 1: But Toledo has film on it now, so how effective

385
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Speaker 1: will the backup be in the second game. Toledo also

386
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Speaker 1: has quarterback questions. Daikwon Finn, who was trending towards like

387
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Speaker 1: the Mac Player of the Year earlier in the year,

388
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Speaker 1: he got hurt. Then you had Tucker Gleeson his backup.

389
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Speaker 1: Completely different style players like Finn is more of a runner,

390
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Speaker 1: uses his legs and mobility. Gleason is a pure pocket passer,

391
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Speaker 1: but Gleason has a steel plate in his hand. Finn

392
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Speaker 1: actually he was in a boot recently, but he tried

393
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Speaker 1: to play last week but he couldn't move. He threw

394
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Speaker 1: two picks and then they pulled him back out and

395
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Speaker 1: put Gleeson in. No team has disappointed more as a

396
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Speaker 1: favorite than Toledo. Over the past two years, they just

397
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Speaker 1: I think it asked to fall in Jason Kandell and

398
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Speaker 1: that coaching staff. Mac underdogs, for what it's worth, have

399
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Speaker 1: dominated in the MAC Championship. They are the number one

400
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Speaker 1: conference by far. They're twelve to four and one against

401
00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:13,439
Speaker 1: the spread since two thousand and five, seventy five percent.

402
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Speaker 1: I you know, I'm I have in Ohio future eighteen

403
00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 1: twenty and like a tiny bit of twenty five to one,

404
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Speaker 1: So I did hedge a little bit here. I probably

405
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Speaker 1: wouldn't let it go as I did the last two

406
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Speaker 1: years with ball State and Kent State. Worked out one

407
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Speaker 1: year and didn't the other, but I had to with

408
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 1: just the questions at the backup quarterback. I do worry

409
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,520
Speaker 1: about the film that Taludas Leda does have a really

410
00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:35,119
Speaker 1: good defense on paper. Ohios defense also has been trending

411
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Speaker 1: up since about mid season. They made some schematic changes.

412
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Speaker 1: Some of the younger players are contributing more so their

413
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Speaker 1: defense been training. I would lean under here, even though

414
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Speaker 1: it's indoors. My numbers say Toledo because I have them

415
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Speaker 1: favored over a field goal, so I think there's some

416
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Speaker 1: value there. But they disappoint all the time. Ohio. It

417
00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 1: seems like they're on a mission. There's just so many

418
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 1: quarterback questions in this game. I don't really have to

419
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Speaker 1: worry about this game. I might add the under, but

420
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Speaker 1: I'm going to be I had you a little bit

421
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 1: with teleto be rooting for Ohio because I'm gonna win

422
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Speaker 1: a lot. I'm making sure that if Ohio wins, I

423
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Speaker 1: win a lot more. Uh. What do you see here, Toledo?

424
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Speaker 2: Is that jiff of that old man that's crouching down

425
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 2: saying call the police, Call the police. Then he pops

426
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Speaker 2: up and he's got a gun and he says not

427
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Speaker 2: for me though, right.

428
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Speaker 1: I mean Colin Ambults, Colin Ambulets. Yeah.

429
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Speaker 2: Uh, listen, these two teams are going to completely separate

430
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:29,439
Speaker 2: directions Ohios. Ohio's covered eight straights, Aledo's hasn't covered five straight. Uh,

431
00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:31,960
Speaker 2: Todakwan Finn he hasn't fully healed from his ankle injury.

432
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:33,879
Speaker 2: Like you said, he got hurt during bowling Green so

433
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 2: that Tucker Gleason broke his hand, you know, I mean

434
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,639
Speaker 2: in Tucker Gleason's passing numbers are nothing great. I mean

435
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,800
Speaker 2: thirteen to thirty eight an interception, no big time throws.

436
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 2: He's had thirteen scrambles his last two games. He's not

437
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 2: the most fleet of foot, and you know, you wonder

438
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 2: about how Ohio is going to attack this, and Tim

439
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:59,320
Speaker 2: Albin and his presser said, we want to absolutely one

440
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:02,400
Speaker 2: percent focus on taking the ground game away from Toledo,

441
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:06,399
Speaker 2: and I think that's it's important to realize that if

442
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 2: you're going to allow Toledo to be a passing on

443
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:12,200
Speaker 2: the offense, they've struggled a little bit in that aspect there.

444
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 2: You know, they they do have explosive plays, but that's

445
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,159
Speaker 2: come through to Kwan Finn's arm, and that's after he

446
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 2: scrambles and has designed runs and so when you take

447
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,080
Speaker 2: that out from a pure pocket perspective, it's just not

448
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 2: an offense that is very high in success rate whatsoever.

449
00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 2: They are outside the mid fbs and success rate on

450
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:29,920
Speaker 2: the ground and through the air, and it looks like

451
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 2: Ohio's you know, plan of attack is to take the

452
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:33,680
Speaker 2: ground game away. So if you're going to do that,

453
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 2: then Toledo's going to be one dimensional and we'll see

454
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:39,200
Speaker 2: how that goes. But C. J. Harris, I like Ohio

455
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 2: in this game a lot, and I understand you if

456
00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 2: you got that huge Ohio ticket. You got a hedge

457
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:44,520
Speaker 2: and take Toledo a little bit.

458
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 1: But C. J.

459
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 2: Harris has not thrown a turnover worthy, has not had

460
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:51,640
Speaker 2: a turnover worthy play. In thirty three passing attempts. He's

461
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,200
Speaker 2: had eleven rushing attempts. Ten of them have been designed,

462
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 2: and that's great when you have a Rourk I say

463
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:58,840
Speaker 2: a rourq kid because there's been two of them. When

464
00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:00,800
Speaker 2: you have Nathan or Curtis Rorke that's so good at

465
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 2: running zone read and passing, you need the backup to

466
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,000
Speaker 2: be able to fill that role in the playbook, and CJ.

467
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,120
Speaker 2: Harris does that. He's had ten designed runs, three touchdowns

468
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:12,479
Speaker 2: so far. Cia Bengera finally full strength. We had all

469
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:17,399
Speaker 2: those Max shows through November. Their workhorse running back wasn't healthy.

470
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,120
Speaker 2: He is now, and there's just a big gap here.

471
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 1: You know.

472
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 2: In Havoc Ohio's thirty second Toledo, Havoc allowed one hundred

473
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 2: and second. It doesn't matter if it's Gleason or Fin.

474
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 2: They don't protect the ball. Ohio has been Havoc minded,

475
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:35,440
Speaker 2: and listen, Ohio, they've been good with explosive plays both

476
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 2: sides of the ball. They really take the explosive play away.

477
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 2: And if Tim Albn's going to focus on taking the

478
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,440
Speaker 2: rush away, that's going to be the explosiveness on the pass.

479
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 2: It's not going to be there for Toledo. I think

480
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 2: the Bobcats win their first conference title since nineteen sixty eight.

481
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 1: Oh Bob's I hope that happens for my future and

482
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 1: for your Ohio bap for anyone else that the tails

483
00:24:57,000 --> 00:25:02,359
Speaker 1: and maybe if if USC, maybe instead of putting Alabama

484
00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 1: or Ohio State in, we can put Ohio in as

485
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:10,640
Speaker 1: the four seed and get a true battle of Athens

486
00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:14,639
Speaker 1: to see who where the true college football Athens is?

487
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:16,160
Speaker 1: Is it in Georgia or Ohio?

488
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:23,719
Speaker 2: Think we want Georgia? Did I hear that right?

489
00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 1: Yeah?

490
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 2: All right?

491
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,479
Speaker 1: Let's move on same time, Saturday noon Eastern on ABC

492
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve Championship, Kansas State taking on TCU. TCU

493
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:39,400
Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite here over under sixty two.

494
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: TCU remained undefeated, treated their backers very well this year.

495
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 1: Kansas State has as well. Of late, they've been on

496
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 1: quite a run. Should be Will Howard again back at quarterback.

497
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 1: These two teams played earlier in the year. Kandas State

498
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:55,359
Speaker 1: jumped out to a huge lead, blew it. They had

499
00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 1: a couple of quarterback injuries. The biggest one is when

500
00:25:57,560 --> 00:25:59,920
Speaker 1: you know Martinez went out right away. He might be

501
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,359
Speaker 1: back for some packages this week, but it should be

502
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:04,919
Speaker 1: the Will Howard show. Will Howard got hurt. The third

503
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 1: string came in through a pick which was massive, and

504
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:11,200
Speaker 1: then Howard missed a touchdown for the cover late. Quentin

505
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 1: Johnson didn't play last week, should be back for TCU.

506
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,440
Speaker 1: Dyke said that he's looks good, so it should be

507
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:21,360
Speaker 1: good to go. One of the best receivers in the country. Look,

508
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:24,720
Speaker 1: TCU has been a thorn in my side all year.

509
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 1: I'll tell you, look, I won't go, so who cares

510
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,200
Speaker 1: what I think on this game. I'll tell you that.

511
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 1: I mean duce Baud should have a big game. I

512
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,720
Speaker 1: would think TCU's defense still has some questions. I have

513
00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:37,760
Speaker 1: to give credit to the TCU's staff. They've been great

514
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 1: all year. They've been great in halftime adjustments. I think

515
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:46,439
Speaker 1: TCU's safe here. I personally think Cannas State's gonna win

516
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:48,720
Speaker 1: a close one, but I make it a pick so

517
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 1: I need three. So if it goes to three, I'll

518
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:57,760
Speaker 1: play Kanadas State and if it doesn't, you know, probably

519
00:26:57,800 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 1: in order to get action a lot of these games,

520
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,520
Speaker 1: A fun way to it is what we'll do this

521
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:03,160
Speaker 1: on our Big Bets on Campus Slash show on Saturday.

522
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 1: I will have a round robin. It's just throw you know,

523
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 1: small bat round robin underdog money. Probably might have Kansas

524
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 1: State in there, but uh got to give respect to

525
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:17,680
Speaker 1: TCU for what they've done. I make this like a

526
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 1: pick coin flip. And I mean I think TCU is

527
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,320
Speaker 1: minus three and a half at home earlier this year,

528
00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:28,920
Speaker 1: right yeah, and you know since then, I've upgraded TCU

529
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:30,840
Speaker 1: a little bit, but I've also upgraded Kansas State. They've

530
00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 1: been terrific. They've just been pounding teams. So I, uh yeah,

531
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,720
Speaker 1: I think that this game is basically a coin flip.

532
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 1: So I need that all important three in order to

533
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 1: get involved with EMO. What do you see here?

534
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,440
Speaker 2: I agree, I agree that I would make a TCU

535
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 2: minus three, but to me, it's a coin flip. Also,

536
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 2: if you are holding a TCU eighteen to one, fourteen

537
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 2: to one, sixty one whatever from the preseason, my advice

538
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 2: is to wait for a three if you can get it.

539
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:05,280
Speaker 2: I don't know if I would advise it depends on

540
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 2: how much money you're comfortable with, but even buying a

541
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:09,399
Speaker 2: three at minus one twenty can get a little bit

542
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 2: pricey when you're trying to hedge, So I would rather

543
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:13,399
Speaker 2: go for a two and a half. And if you

544
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:14,880
Speaker 2: can get a lot of money down on an alt

545
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 2: line like a like a plus two plus one ten,

546
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,640
Speaker 2: that's not a bad idea either. Because what we're trying

547
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:22,480
Speaker 2: to do here is ensure that you have money in

548
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:27,400
Speaker 2: your pocket to bet on Bowl games. And I think

549
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,560
Speaker 2: maybe once in the last three years I let tickets ride.

550
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 2: For all the futures that we've hit and these long shot,

551
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:36,360
Speaker 2: you know, conferences that we've had, I think only once

552
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 2: if I actually let it ride. And my only advice

553
00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:42,040
Speaker 2: is take your initial buy and I would go up

554
00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:43,840
Speaker 2: to at least four times what you put it in,

555
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 2: or I would just chop the ticket in half. Right,

556
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:50,000
Speaker 2: so you could take, say if you have one hundred

557
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 2: dollars investment and it pays off eighteen hundred dollars on TCU, i'

558
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 2: put nine hundred dollars on Kansas State plus two and

559
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 2: a half plus two. Just be done with it. You're

560
00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 2: gonna make money and that's the name of the game here,

561
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 2: so being greedy on conference championship week never really usually

562
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:07,960
Speaker 2: works out anyways, Getting past that handicapping the game by itself,

563
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,080
Speaker 2: You're right, Adrian Martinez may have a package, but it

564
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 2: sounds like he's going to be extremely limited. And I

565
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 2: think you have to go back to because, I mean,

566
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,200
Speaker 2: things just changed. Something clicked for TCU in this game,

567
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,320
Speaker 2: and things have never been the same since Kansas State

568
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 2: went into halftime twenty eight to ten up against TCU,

569
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 2: And I know that there's this cloud in the shadow

570
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:29,920
Speaker 2: of TCU gets backup quarterbacks and third string quarterbacks, but

571
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 2: the horn Frogs defense has been insane since then. Something

572
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,360
Speaker 2: going on with Joe gilespie who I thought was the

573
00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 2: best hire in college football at the beginning of the season,

574
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 2: that's actually starting to play out. He has shut down

575
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:45,080
Speaker 2: everybody in the last seven games. Kansas State shut out

576
00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 2: in the second half. TCU has allowed six touchdowns in

577
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 2: the second half their last seven games. Texas was held

578
00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 2: without an offensive touchdown in Austin, and the defense has

579
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:58,200
Speaker 2: won every game down the stretch. It's not really the

580
00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:01,959
Speaker 2: offense because they've been without Quinton Johnson or he's been hobbled.

581
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 2: They've been without Tay Barber. By the way, Quentin Johnson, yes,

582
00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:07,360
Speaker 2: Sunny Dyke said he's good to go. No word on

583
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 2: Tay Barber, so we'll see. You know exactly what's going

584
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:13,160
Speaker 2: on with all the skill positions. But you know, TCU

585
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 2: logged three consecutive unders on the season until their offense

586
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:18,960
Speaker 2: put up sixty two against Iowa State. That would have

587
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 2: been another under for what their defense is doing. The

588
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 2: Kansas State three three five. That's been a change for

589
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 2: them too. They always been a four man front under

590
00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 2: Chris Climban. This year, new defensive coordinator, he brings in

591
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:32,880
Speaker 2: a three three five and what it's done is fixed

592
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 2: one of the biggest issues that Kansas State has had

593
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 2: on defense for years, stopping explosive plays. They've been terrible

594
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:40,520
Speaker 2: at tackling in the secondary until this year and that

595
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 2: three three five has been a big part of it.

596
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:45,280
Speaker 2: So you know, the Wildcats are also top twenty five

597
00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 2: and defensive finishing drives. So if you're betting on this

598
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:52,480
Speaker 2: game as a standalone no futures involved under is the

599
00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 2: play all the way. TCU's defense is playing peak right now.

600
00:30:56,440 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 2: They're shutting down everybody they face Kansas State eliminates explos

601
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 2: Both of these teams are based in the ground attack.

602
00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:05,720
Speaker 2: TC is going to try try to not drop dimes

603
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:07,880
Speaker 2: on the secondary, but that just hasn't been happening against

604
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 2: Kansas State. This is an undergame all the way. As

605
00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:13,320
Speaker 2: far as you know, you know picking a side in this,

606
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 2: I agree with you. It's a complete coin flip. I

607
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:18,960
Speaker 2: would I would lean if I had to pick one

608
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 2: or the other with no futures involved. I think Kansas

609
00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 2: State wins this game.

610
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would tend to agree. And but for what

611
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 1: it's worth, the TCU this this could be a big

612
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: point in this game. For we were talking some injuries.

613
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 1: They're leading tackler. TC's leading tackler, Johnny Hodges, he pulled

614
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:46,400
Speaker 1: a hamstring. Styke said the staph. Initially thought it was

615
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 1: worse than it was. He expects Hodges do some practice

616
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: scar and the team will evaluate from there. So that

617
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:54,520
Speaker 1: could be big against juz Bawn. But if you look

618
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:57,240
Speaker 1: at why both of these teams are here, I would

619
00:31:57,280 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 1: think that, you know, one of the biggest reasons is

620
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 1: the coordinators and TC specifically, one of the biggest reasons

621
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 1: Theyer undefeated is because of Garrett, Riley and Gillespie, who

622
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,960
Speaker 1: have just been tremendous across the board.

623
00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 2: Let's us less we got out just some time before

624
00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 2: Tulsa cleaned house.

625
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:19,920
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, great, I mean unbelievable time. Don't let

626
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:23,080
Speaker 1: the latest come between you and the bill. All right,

627
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:27,680
Speaker 1: let's move on to mid afternoon on Saturday, and let's

628
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 1: talk some fun. Belt we have the Sun Belt Conference Championship.

629
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina will travel to Troy. Troy sitting around an

630
00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 1: eight and a half eight point favorite. We check the

631
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 1: This line has been moving all around, which I'll get

632
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 1: to in a second. What's the over runner at now

633
00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 1: forty eight and a half? Forty eight and a half.

634
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 1: This game is Saturday, three thirty eastern ESPN. By the way,

635
00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 1: if had mentioned the Big Twelve Championships in Arlington, this

636
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 1: game will be at Troy. True red game for Coastal

637
00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 1: I played Coastal Area. I got word that McCall is

638
00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 1: gonna play, and I played them because I think he's

639
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 1: worth I have him close to eleven points against the spread.

640
00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:07,800
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think people understand how good he's been,

641
00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 1: especially with the talent that they've lost him he's arguably

642
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 1: been one of the three best quarterbacks in the country.

643
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 1: I mean he has twenty one touchdowns, one interception, ten

644
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 1: yard average depth of target with a seventy eight percent

645
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 1: adjusted completion percentage. His backup and two starts Jared Guest

646
00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: nineteen or forty three, one touchdown and four picks. McCall

647
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,280
Speaker 1: in ten starts as twenty one and one pick. This

648
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:37,680
Speaker 1: guy Guess has one touchdown and four picks and two starts.

649
00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:40,600
Speaker 1: I think he's worth I think him and Chris Reynolds

650
00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 1: are worth the most of the spread, and then maybe

651
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:47,560
Speaker 1: Jay can because he has like a two star Fife

652
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:52,240
Speaker 1: as his backup. So yeah, I think he's that important

653
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:53,840
Speaker 1: to this game. I don't think that he would play

654
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 1: if he's not healthy. That's the biggest thing on how

655
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:59,240
Speaker 1: healthy is he going to be. But yeah, I don't

656
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:00,920
Speaker 1: think that he would play if he wasn't healthy. The

657
00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:03,479
Speaker 1: staff senate, while here there's no he has a potential

658
00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 1: NFL future. He may transfer. There's also rumblings about where

659
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:09,680
Speaker 1: Jamie Chadwell will go. But I think the fact that

660
00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:12,680
Speaker 1: he's going to play in this that you know McCall

661
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 1: is going to play, it signifies that the locker room cares,

662
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,600
Speaker 1: and you know, the Coastal defense isn't that great. But

663
00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: their strength is their pass rush, which Troy really struggles

664
00:34:21,600 --> 00:34:23,440
Speaker 1: with our one hundred and twenty second and passing down

665
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 1: sack right, So I think that they can get some

666
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:27,920
Speaker 1: negative plays here. And this Troy offense is not that explosive,

667
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:32,160
Speaker 1: really short passing attack. I don't that necessarily convince that

668
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:36,279
Speaker 1: they can really exploit the Coastal defense. And one of

669
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:37,800
Speaker 1: the th key things I don't hear a lot of

670
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 1: people talk about is the Sunbelt home field avantage. We'll

671
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:41,920
Speaker 1: talk about on macomefield advtage is worth anything. To go

672
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 1: back fifteen years, the lowest home field advantage in all

673
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:47,439
Speaker 1: of college football is the sun Belt and it's still

674
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,040
Speaker 1: overvalued by the market. I mean SUNDP teams in two

675
00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 1: thousand and five, two ninety two, three eighty four and

676
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:58,399
Speaker 1: eight at home in conference games forty three percent. They're

677
00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:00,560
Speaker 1: found to cover by an average about one point seven

678
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:02,959
Speaker 1: points per game. So I have it as the lowest.

679
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:04,279
Speaker 1: I have it to be lower than the MAC, which

680
00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 1: is almost nothing because you're not traveling, there's not great crowds.

681
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:09,839
Speaker 1: This year, home teams in Sundal Coffers play twenty two

682
00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 1: and thirty four against the spread, failing to cover by

683
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 1: two point six points per game on average. So yeah,

684
00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:21,239
Speaker 1: I like Coastal. Give me McCall. Really, the Coastal wants

685
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 1: this game him playing. I'm assuming that he's going to

686
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 1: be you know, he's gonna be one hundred percent, but

687
00:35:28,360 --> 00:35:30,920
Speaker 1: he's not at risk of getting hurt more and he's

688
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,680
Speaker 1: good enough to go. And it is just an enormous upgrade.

689
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 1: So even if we call it, you know, let's say

690
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:42,200
Speaker 1: six or seven points instead of ten or eleven, because

691
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:44,960
Speaker 1: he might not be one hundred percent. I like. I

692
00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 1: like Coastal here. I think you might, you might disagree,

693
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:47,520
Speaker 1: and you like Troy.

694
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,399
Speaker 2: I like Troy on the open at four and a half.

695
00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 2: There were some books on Sunday that put out four

696
00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:56,719
Speaker 2: and a half. I said, well, that's wrong, especially if

697
00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,640
Speaker 2: Grace McCall is out. The number gets over ten. And

698
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:02,480
Speaker 2: I'm thinking, yeah, it's confirmed that Grayson McCall is out.

699
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,879
Speaker 2: And we were recording this on a Wednesday. An hour ago,

700
00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:09,399
Speaker 2: Jamie Chadwell had his had a press conference and said,

701
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 2: Grayson McCall is hopeful, but if he played today, if

702
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:14,879
Speaker 2: today was the day of the game, the answer would

703
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 2: be no. I'm completely twisted here because I've got action

704
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:20,320
Speaker 2: down on Troy at a really great number. Should I

705
00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 2: come back and buy on it? But I would need

706
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,839
Speaker 2: confirmation about Grayson McCall playing. He is worth ten points.

707
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 2: There's not many quarterbacks in college football that are worth

708
00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:31,520
Speaker 2: ten points of the spread, especially what he does from

709
00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 2: you know, triple option in space third down perspective. He

710
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,279
Speaker 2: runs that offense like an NFL quarterback and he's going

711
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:38,520
Speaker 2: to be a good one at the next level.

712
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:41,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's a third down maestroud. That is one of

713
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:44,080
Speaker 1: the toy is a really good defense, but they've struggled

714
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:46,839
Speaker 1: a bit on third downs. I've gotten a few tips

715
00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:49,520
Speaker 1: and say he's one hundred percent playing, So take that

716
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 1: for what it's worth.

717
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean as great as Troy is on defense,

718
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,800
Speaker 2: they're ninety first and third down defense, they are excellent.

719
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 2: I think they are best in the nation. And standard

720
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 2: down's explosiveness on defense, nobody's allowed to get a chunk

721
00:36:59,600 --> 00:37:02,760
Speaker 2: yard in standard downs when when teams are when opposing

722
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:05,880
Speaker 2: offenses are on schedule, Troy has been elite from a

723
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 2: coverage perspective. Their top ten. Troy has been elite from

724
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:12,080
Speaker 2: keeping teams getting into the end zone they're ninth nationally

725
00:37:12,160 --> 00:37:15,360
Speaker 2: and defensive finishing drives, and there's a huge gap in

726
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:19,040
Speaker 2: special teams here. Troy's fifteenth and Coastal Carolina is one

727
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:22,399
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty third per SP plus. So a lot

728
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 2: of things floating toward Troy's way higher strength of record.

729
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 2: But you're gonna get Grace McCall. It's the best player

730
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:32,080
Speaker 2: in the game. It's not even close. So if you're

731
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,880
Speaker 2: holding on to early Troy numbers that are good in

732
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 2: the market, right now we at confirmation that Grayson McCall

733
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:39,239
Speaker 2: is going to play this game, you've got to get

734
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:42,560
Speaker 2: out because it's literally a ten point swing on a

735
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:45,360
Speaker 2: number that I made seven and a half without Grayson McCall.

736
00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:48,840
Speaker 2: This obviously would make to me Coastal Carolina about a

737
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:49,560
Speaker 2: two point favorite.

738
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it is just massive and maybe but

739
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:54,759
Speaker 1: maybe you can't say these ten points this game, but

740
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:56,960
Speaker 1: it'll maybe you'll only say it's like six or seven

741
00:37:56,960 --> 00:37:58,520
Speaker 1: if he's not fully healthy, But that still brings it

742
00:37:58,600 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 1: down to like a field.

743
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:02,280
Speaker 2: Goal, you know, over Jared Guest as quarterback.

744
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,160
Speaker 1: That's the biggest thing you can't look at just a quarterback.

745
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:09,279
Speaker 1: It's the drop off to the replacement level. So yeah,

746
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:11,920
Speaker 1: a lot to watch and monitor, not only leading up

747
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 1: to the game, but when the game begins walking. All right,

748
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:31,520
Speaker 1: let's move on to We'll stay Saturday afternoon. About a

749
00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:34,799
Speaker 1: half hour later, after the fun Belt tips off, we'll

750
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:40,440
Speaker 1: have the Mountain West Conference Championship kickoff in Boise for

751
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:44,359
Speaker 1: Eastern on Fox Boise, holding steady at three. It's they've

752
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:49,239
Speaker 1: taken some juice at times over under fifty four. This

753
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 1: is a really intriguing game. I might have to wait

754
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 1: on some more injury news, but Easter teams played earlier

755
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 1: in the year, and I don't know how much week

756
00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 1: you could take from it. Because Jake haynerden play and

757
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:03,800
Speaker 1: his backup played Fife who was it might be a

758
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,359
Speaker 1: ten point downgrade to him. Also, they had a couple

759
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:07,759
Speaker 1: of their key defenders had been playing, a couple of

760
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:11,160
Speaker 1: their corners, their defensive lineman Letter Payne, and their safety

761
00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:13,719
Speaker 1: Evan Williams is one of the best players, but one

762
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,080
Speaker 1: of their other best players might be the defensive player

763
00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:18,920
Speaker 1: of the year, David Parole's defensive end. He got hurt late.

764
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,920
Speaker 1: He might not play, but Boys. He also has some

765
00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 1: injury because Boys iss a interesting team in that they

766
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 1: lost the UTEP fired the offensive coordator, bringing Dirk Cutter

767
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 1: make the transition to Taylor Green at quarterback more of

768
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:34,800
Speaker 1: a runner, and they've been they haven't lost since. But

769
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,800
Speaker 1: they played San Diego State when it was Burmeister, you know.

770
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:41,800
Speaker 1: Then they played Air Force. They played Colorado State before

771
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:47,080
Speaker 1: Colorado State had you know, sort of figured some things out. Uh,

772
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:51,920
Speaker 1: they played they lost the BYU. They played Nevada, Nevada, Nevada,

773
00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:55,200
Speaker 1: Wyoming and what look the beat and then Utah State

774
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 1: a bunch of backup quarterbacks too, and they played Wyoming

775
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 1: one of the weirdest boxs scors of the year. They

776
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,560
Speaker 1: played Miomi's quarterback Clemens, who had three of sixteen for

777
00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:06,480
Speaker 1: thirty yards and three picks the Boise. He won twenty

778
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:08,200
Speaker 1: to seventeen, one of the weirdest games of the year.

779
00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:10,919
Speaker 1: So I don't know, like how much how much better

780
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:13,200
Speaker 1: is Boys giving the level competition, but the Taylor Green's

781
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:15,399
Speaker 1: obviously upgrade, the offensive lines playing really well. The running

782
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:18,280
Speaker 1: game has been working Undercutter, and you can run on Fresno,

783
00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:22,640
Speaker 1: you know, especially that all Parles. They're defensive line. Their

784
00:40:22,680 --> 00:40:27,120
Speaker 1: linebackers are bad, bad, really bad. Then on the other side, though, boys,

785
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:29,080
Speaker 1: he's had a bunch of key defenders from that first

786
00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:31,399
Speaker 1: meeting who may or may not be out. They've they've

787
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:33,839
Speaker 1: had a bunch of defenders that haven't been playing. They're

788
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:36,640
Speaker 1: starmddal linebacker is Eko Noah. He was actually back in

789
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,640
Speaker 1: practice this week. That's a good sign. They're slot safety though,

790
00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:41,800
Speaker 1: Tyree Jones. He was limited in practice this week. He

791
00:40:41,880 --> 00:40:45,760
Speaker 1: limped off last week. They're defensive tackle Jackson Craven's studd.

792
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:48,920
Speaker 1: He's out for the year. They're right outside linebacker George Tarlas.

793
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:51,080
Speaker 1: He's a stud. He's out for the year. He still

794
00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:53,759
Speaker 1: leads the team of pressures, only played seven games. They're

795
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 1: left outside linebacker to Beachi Washington. Stud can get into

796
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:01,760
Speaker 1: the backfield. He's her think he's going to be limited.

797
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 1: So can they get the pressure on Han Because the

798
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 1: Fresno State offensive line is not great. They lost their

799
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 1: starting right tackle bowl for the year. That's what happened

800
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:12,319
Speaker 1: the first time. They got a lot of pressure up

801
00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:14,040
Speaker 1: the middle, off the edges. But it's not a full

802
00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:18,719
Speaker 1: strength Boise defense. So and what Fresno's defense has been

803
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:21,400
Speaker 1: doing lately. They've just been blitzing NonStop to make up

804
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:22,879
Speaker 1: for some of the issues they have over the past

805
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:26,360
Speaker 1: three games. Green, who's you know, look, I think he

806
00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:28,279
Speaker 1: has some aggression coming with some turnover worth he throws.

807
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:29,920
Speaker 1: We've been good against the blitz. He can escape the

808
00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:33,360
Speaker 1: blitz with his legs. So yeah, this is such an

809
00:41:33,400 --> 00:41:37,359
Speaker 1: interesting game with so many moving parts and Boise. He's

810
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:40,279
Speaker 1: also vulnerable to big explosive plays, which if Hayter gets time,

811
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:43,200
Speaker 1: you know, with his receivers Cropper and company, he can hit.

812
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:46,040
Speaker 1: So yeah, I might have to wait on some more

813
00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:47,960
Speaker 1: injury news. I keep going back and forth with this game.

814
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:51,880
Speaker 1: Do you have a clear clear viewpointer stance here?

815
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 2: This is boising all the way from me. It's bois

816
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:57,239
Speaker 2: minus three or nothing. Of course, plaiting on some injury news,

817
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,480
Speaker 2: but you know, for the fact of what boys he

818
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:01,399
Speaker 2: has been able to do or turn their offensive round

819
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:05,040
Speaker 2: Undercutter and with Taylor Green both kind of coming in

820
00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:08,040
Speaker 2: mid season and changing the direction of this offense which

821
00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:11,759
Speaker 2: was lifeless is a big difference. And then Fresno just

822
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 2: doesn't have what it takes in the defensive trench to

823
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,520
Speaker 2: stop the rush, and you can make the same case

824
00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:18,200
Speaker 2: on the other side of the ball. The Boise may

825
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 2: you know, has problems against the rush also, But there's

826
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:23,840
Speaker 2: big differences between the Boise defense and the Fresno defense.

827
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,200
Speaker 2: I mean, Boise is eighth in the nation and third

828
00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:30,080
Speaker 2: down defense that pay. I mean that just trumps Fresno

829
00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:34,520
Speaker 2: being sixtieth. Uh Fresno, I'm sorry. Boise is also the

830
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:37,839
Speaker 2: number one defense in the nation in passing down success rates.

831
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:42,439
Speaker 2: So if Jake Haner gets behind the chains, he's gonna

832
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:44,480
Speaker 2: have issues against the top defense in the nation and

833
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:47,320
Speaker 2: from a success rate perspective, and you know, when you

834
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:49,080
Speaker 2: look at this third down defense, it's going to be

835
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:51,400
Speaker 2: hard for Fresno to convert first downs, so they need

836
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:55,279
Speaker 2: to rely on explosive plays. I know that part of

837
00:42:55,400 --> 00:43:00,759
Speaker 2: Fresno's schedule has snaps that don't have Jay Cane, but

838
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:03,360
Speaker 2: still their rush EPA on offense is one hundred and

839
00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:05,839
Speaker 2: twenty third, their pass EPA is one hundred and twenty six.

840
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:10,279
Speaker 2: There's no byte to this offense whatsoever. Methodical success rate

841
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:13,359
Speaker 2: moving down the field, sure, but as I just said,

842
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 2: I mean, Boise is one of the best in the

843
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:17,800
Speaker 2: nation on third downs, and when you combine that with

844
00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:19,360
Speaker 2: what they've been able to do on offense, which I

845
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,120
Speaker 2: don't think is properly adjusted into the number and into

846
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 2: their stats, it's Boise minus three or nothing.

847
00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:26,800
Speaker 1: For me, it does seem from other people that I

848
00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:28,879
Speaker 1: talk to, the Bois seems to be the sharp side here.

849
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:34,799
Speaker 1: They were minus eleven in the first meeting minus three here.

850
00:43:35,200 --> 00:43:37,759
Speaker 1: All right, before we continue, as a reminder, the Big

851
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:40,880
Speaker 1: Bets on Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM.

852
00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 1: So kick off the new Pro football season with the

853
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 1: King of Sportsbooks. Sign up with BETMGM using bonus Code

854
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858
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859
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860
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864
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865
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866
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867
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868
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:35,040
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869
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:37,880
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871
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872
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873
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874
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875
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876
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:53,000
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877
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:53,480
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878
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881
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:03,879
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00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:07,759
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883
00:45:08,520 --> 00:45:11,560
Speaker 1: Let's move on to say the same time slot, let's

884
00:45:11,600 --> 00:45:17,800
Speaker 1: talk a little AAC Saturday, four pm Eastern on ABC

885
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:24,880
Speaker 1: UCF at Tulane is a rematch from earlier this season.

886
00:45:25,719 --> 00:45:28,400
Speaker 1: This game will be at Tulane, who's been a covering

887
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:31,719
Speaker 1: machine this year and they've been the most profitable team

888
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:36,279
Speaker 1: against the spread at home since twenty seventeen. I think

889
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:38,480
Speaker 1: the key to this game is we talked a lot

890
00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 1: about quarterback. On certainty, it's is Johnnery's plumbly healthy.

891
00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:45,600
Speaker 2: It's a gap in my opinion.

892
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:49,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, And if he is, then he torched Tulane in

893
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:51,640
Speaker 1: the first meeting. Now look and he ran for like

894
00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:55,920
Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy eight yards and that's Tulane's weakness.

895
00:45:56,600 --> 00:45:58,960
Speaker 1: And you know a Keen plays, he's more of a passer.

896
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:01,200
Speaker 1: And you can't throw on this to lane team. Now

897
00:46:01,239 --> 00:46:03,799
Speaker 1: that you could argue that Tulane, you know they saw

898
00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 1: him already and then they saw Prater who's a runner,

899
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:11,200
Speaker 1: so you know they have now they have a couple

900
00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:13,239
Speaker 1: of games of seeing running quarterbacks, so they use they

901
00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:15,400
Speaker 1: utilize as a spy. More do they do something different,

902
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:19,879
Speaker 1: but it's clearly their weakness and their scheme isn't well

903
00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:22,840
Speaker 1: suited to how they normally play to stop a running

904
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:26,600
Speaker 1: quarterback like Plumbley. It's interesting that this game, Tulane was

905
00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:29,359
Speaker 1: minus one at home, you know, just a few weeks ago,

906
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:31,000
Speaker 1: but now they're you know, minus three and a half,

907
00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:35,359
Speaker 1: minus four, and you know, the reason that they lost

908
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 1: that game was plumbingly round wild. Now last week's USF

909
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:39,600
Speaker 1: plumbly round wild. In the first half they built they

910
00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:41,960
Speaker 1: think they're twenty eight to nothing, and then he heard

911
00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 1: his hamstring. He never came back in the game, which

912
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:47,480
Speaker 1: is interesting because they needed to win that game. So

913
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 1: does that signify that he's not fully healthy? I mean

914
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:52,600
Speaker 1: they were that game was in doubt until the very end,

915
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 1: and if he's not healthy, I think that really favors Tulane.

916
00:46:57,880 --> 00:46:59,839
Speaker 1: Toulane also might be able to make some adjustments here,

917
00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:02,960
Speaker 1: but yeah, it's gonna be tough for him to be

918
00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:04,640
Speaker 1: at one hundred percent, which is why I think too

919
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,160
Speaker 1: Lane is taking money here and if he doesn't play it,

920
00:47:07,200 --> 00:47:09,719
Speaker 1: it's all keen then I think this is too late,

921
00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:14,399
Speaker 1: and yeah, I think that's I think you're going to agree,

922
00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:16,080
Speaker 1: or it's just all about if plumbly plays are not

923
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:18,440
Speaker 1: just from a scheme and matchup perspective.

924
00:47:18,440 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 2: Yeah it is. I mean sitting on a stack of

925
00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:22,399
Speaker 2: too lane tickets. This is a tough candy cap because

926
00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:24,880
Speaker 2: it all comes down to John Ree Plumbley dealing with

927
00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:27,239
Speaker 2: a hamstring. You see him running for a touchdown and

928
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:30,319
Speaker 2: then Malason pulls him out. He's on some sort of snapcount,

929
00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:35,239
Speaker 2: pitch count Malazon trying to limit a hamstring, which I mean,

930
00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:37,759
Speaker 2: I dealt with a couple of hamstring injuries in my life.

931
00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 2: It's like it's one of those things where if your

932
00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 2: stride gets a certain length, like you're gonna rip it again.

933
00:47:43,040 --> 00:47:44,840
Speaker 2: So I don't know how you keep John Ree's Plumbley

934
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:47,640
Speaker 2: from not aggravating that. You. Hamstrings are things like it

935
00:47:47,680 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 2: takes three to four weeks of doing nothing to get

936
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:52,839
Speaker 2: away from that injury, and then even then we start

937
00:47:52,920 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 2: running again, it could just pop. So I don't understand

938
00:47:55,680 --> 00:47:58,120
Speaker 2: how John Ree's Plumbley is gonna be full strength for

939
00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:01,239
Speaker 2: this game. And you know he is the biggest factor

940
00:48:01,280 --> 00:48:03,160
Speaker 2: in this He averaged ten yards of carry against the

941
00:48:03,160 --> 00:48:05,000
Speaker 2: two lane defense, and that was the handicap you and

942
00:48:05,040 --> 00:48:06,919
Speaker 2: I disagreed when they played it before. I said, listen,

943
00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:09,359
Speaker 2: you know Tu lane can't defend the rush, and if

944
00:48:09,400 --> 00:48:11,920
Speaker 2: John rees Plumley is going to run, it's lights out.

945
00:48:12,000 --> 00:48:13,759
Speaker 2: And it was you know, I mean, we could go

946
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:15,839
Speaker 2: deep into all these other things. But if Mikey Keen

947
00:48:15,960 --> 00:48:18,080
Speaker 2: is the starter that plays right in the hands of

948
00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:20,399
Speaker 2: a two lane defense, it's great in coverage and great

949
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:23,840
Speaker 2: in the secondary. So you know, TWU Lane's going to

950
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:24,960
Speaker 2: have all their explosive players.

951
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:25,279
Speaker 1: Tay J.

952
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 2: Spears was fantastic, but he got limited in his carries

953
00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 2: once Tulane got down by multiple possessions. So Tu Lane

954
00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:35,400
Speaker 2: is going to rock and roll if they're if they

955
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:38,360
Speaker 2: are able to stay within one possession or stay close

956
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:41,239
Speaker 2: to UCF and the scoring TAIJ. Spears is going to

957
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,680
Speaker 2: keep getting carries and he can bust more seventy yarders

958
00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:47,400
Speaker 2: down the field. So boy, it's it's all about that.

959
00:48:47,520 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 1: Now.

960
00:48:47,640 --> 00:48:51,160
Speaker 2: If you're looking to place a bet this early, you're

961
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:56,160
Speaker 2: going to bet two lane team total over because Michael Pratt, TAIJ. Spears,

962
00:48:56,400 --> 00:48:59,200
Speaker 2: they're going to score in this game. They do have

963
00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:02,280
Speaker 2: the weapons from a ground perspective to challenge the UCF

964
00:49:02,360 --> 00:49:05,160
Speaker 2: defense once again at thirty and a half. As high

965
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:07,120
Speaker 2: as you want to go though, all.

966
00:49:07,080 --> 00:49:09,960
Speaker 1: Right, yeah, it's all about plumbly just a matchup perspective.

967
00:49:10,480 --> 00:49:12,200
Speaker 1: Keen has to drop back and throw it. You're not

968
00:49:12,239 --> 00:49:17,319
Speaker 1: going to do that against this two lane excellent secondary here.

969
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:19,279
Speaker 3: It just means more.

970
00:49:21,160 --> 00:49:25,560
Speaker 1: All right, let's stay at for Eastern on Saturday afternoon

971
00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:28,080
Speaker 1: in a loaded time slot, let's go to the SEC

972
00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:33,919
Speaker 1: Championship LSU taking on Georgia. Georgia seventeen and a half

973
00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:37,759
Speaker 1: eighteen point favorite over under fifty to one. This game

974
00:49:37,760 --> 00:49:42,560
Speaker 1: is Saturday, four pm Eastern on CBS Mercedes Benz in Atlanta.

975
00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:45,160
Speaker 1: For what it's worth, Georgia wins this game, they're going

976
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:48,080
Speaker 1: to obviously be the one seed. They will play again

977
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:51,680
Speaker 1: in the same stadium on a quote unquote neutral site

978
00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:55,200
Speaker 1: for the third time this year. They played Oregon. Now

979
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 1: they're playing the SEC to start the year, they're playing

980
00:49:57,200 --> 00:49:59,439
Speaker 1: the SEC Championship, and then they would play their first

981
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:01,920
Speaker 1: playoff game there as well. You'd think that they're going

982
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:04,600
Speaker 1: to have the home field advantage here. They're already in

983
00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:06,800
Speaker 1: the playoffs no matter what happens here. Part of this

984
00:50:06,880 --> 00:50:09,680
Speaker 1: handicap is like motivation. But I actually do think that

985
00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:12,239
Speaker 1: they will care. They're not gonna be bored A lot

986
00:50:12,280 --> 00:50:14,360
Speaker 1: of it like Georgia this year is boredom, like Kentucky

987
00:50:14,440 --> 00:50:17,719
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech Missouri. They just didn't look as engaged. I

988
00:50:17,840 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 1: think they know how good they are there. They've clearly

989
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:22,560
Speaker 1: proved the best team in the country. But this is

990
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:27,399
Speaker 1: kind of the one thing that's smart hasn't gotten here.

991
00:50:27,480 --> 00:50:29,960
Speaker 1: And like when I was reading about their veteran safety

992
00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:32,960
Speaker 1: Chris Smith, who was talking about, you know how bad

993
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:34,879
Speaker 1: that Georgia once is. He's been a part of four

994
00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:38,839
Speaker 1: SEC East winning teams, four and he hasn't won an

995
00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:42,680
Speaker 1: SEC championship yet. They lost in twenty eighteen, twenty nineteen

996
00:50:42,680 --> 00:50:45,560
Speaker 1: to twenty twenty one, and this is his fourth SEC

997
00:50:46,080 --> 00:50:50,680
Speaker 1: East title. So and then look, if they win this game,

998
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:52,160
Speaker 1: then they get the one they lock up the one seed,

999
00:50:52,160 --> 00:50:55,600
Speaker 1: they get the play year again next week, and you

1000
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:58,080
Speaker 1: presumably get the easiest opponent. But I think they actually

1001
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 1: do care, and they lost e championship last year, so

1002
00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:04,800
Speaker 1: I think that you'll get a spirited effort from Georgia

1003
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:10,120
Speaker 1: LSU meanwhile comes in limping literally and figuratively, after losing

1004
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:12,880
Speaker 1: two touchdowns of tech on Texas A and M Corpse.

1005
00:51:13,880 --> 00:51:16,919
Speaker 1: Jaden Daniels' status in doubt and if he can't move,

1006
00:51:17,719 --> 00:51:20,719
Speaker 1: it's bad news, and then you're gonna Garret nus Meyer.

1007
00:51:20,719 --> 00:51:21,759
Speaker 1: And I don't think this is the game where you

1008
00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:23,719
Speaker 1: want the guns here coming in for like the first

1009
00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:26,640
Speaker 1: real time in the while trying to chuck it against

1010
00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:29,440
Speaker 1: this Georgia secondary and Daniels can't move like he's just

1011
00:51:29,640 --> 00:51:33,000
Speaker 1: his average depth of target is small. It's like he's

1012
00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:35,799
Speaker 1: gonna fire short passes to beat this Georgia d can't

1013
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,200
Speaker 1: run on them. And I do think that Georgia well

1014
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:41,960
Speaker 1: have's success running on this LSU defense. I think it's

1015
00:51:42,160 --> 00:51:44,520
Speaker 1: Georgia or nothing. And I think that LSU is gonna

1016
00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:47,400
Speaker 1: get blown out here if Daniels is not healthy and

1017
00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:50,000
Speaker 1: can't move. I mean, you could have nus Meyer in

1018
00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:53,480
Speaker 1: who just hits some crazy throws, but he also could

1019
00:51:54,000 --> 00:51:56,440
Speaker 1: just get you buried quick. I think it's Georgia or

1020
00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:57,319
Speaker 1: nothing here. What do you say?

1021
00:51:57,920 --> 00:52:00,360
Speaker 2: I absolutely think you're gonna get a spirited scare out

1022
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:02,160
Speaker 2: of Georgia. I don't think there's gonna be any boredom here.

1023
00:52:02,160 --> 00:52:04,399
Speaker 2: And it's not because they're playing in the SEC title game.

1024
00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:07,759
Speaker 2: It's because Kirby Smart played Brian Kelly and Notre Dame

1025
00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:10,719
Speaker 2: back in twenty nineteen and they struggled that entire game

1026
00:52:10,760 --> 00:52:13,520
Speaker 2: and pulled off a six point victory. Brian Kelly had

1027
00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:15,560
Speaker 2: every answer in the world for that Georgia team back

1028
00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:18,560
Speaker 2: in twenty nineteen. There's no way that Kirby Smart is

1029
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:21,279
Speaker 2: not rolling that film and telling the players, like, listen this,

1030
00:52:21,600 --> 00:52:23,360
Speaker 2: you know, if we don't come out there with the

1031
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:26,040
Speaker 2: right attitude, we're gonna get buried. And he could convince

1032
00:52:26,080 --> 00:52:28,280
Speaker 2: his team that that's gonna happen despite a point spread

1033
00:52:28,400 --> 00:52:31,520
Speaker 2: via in eighteen and a half, it absolutely could happen.

1034
00:52:31,560 --> 00:52:33,759
Speaker 2: I think the two big things for me. I love

1035
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:36,880
Speaker 2: the over end this game for two reasons. One, Jaden

1036
00:52:36,960 --> 00:52:40,799
Speaker 2: Daniels is he's a pocket passer. I mean, if he does,

1037
00:52:40,920 --> 00:52:43,160
Speaker 2: he's in a walking boot. He doesn't look like he's

1038
00:52:43,160 --> 00:52:45,719
Speaker 2: gonna be able to execute the zone read. Georgia might

1039
00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:49,560
Speaker 2: blow that up anyways. From an edge perspective and considering

1040
00:52:49,600 --> 00:52:51,920
Speaker 2: the kind of beef that they have a defensive interior,

1041
00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:55,360
Speaker 2: Jaden Daniels might turn into a pocket passer in this

1042
00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 2: game from his health and from the Georgia defense, whether

1043
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:02,360
Speaker 2: he's successful or not. That equals more possessions. That equals

1044
00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:05,200
Speaker 2: quicker getting down the field, could equal pick sixes, could

1045
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:07,239
Speaker 2: equal turnovers. I mean, there's all kinds of things. What

1046
00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:11,160
Speaker 2: happens when LSU becomes one dimensional and Jayden Daniels isn't

1047
00:53:11,160 --> 00:53:13,399
Speaker 2: able to run. So for that instance, I think there's

1048
00:53:13,400 --> 00:53:15,879
Speaker 2: going to be more possessions now for the Georgia side

1049
00:53:15,920 --> 00:53:20,040
Speaker 2: of the ball. Kirby was not really vocal about what

1050
00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:22,839
Speaker 2: they're going to do against LSU, but he did talk

1051
00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 2: about what they're going to do to Harold Perkins, and

1052
00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:27,640
Speaker 2: when asked about, hey, Harold Perkins is a free co

1053
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:29,600
Speaker 2: what are you going to do about this guy, he said,

1054
00:53:29,640 --> 00:53:31,600
Speaker 2: it's our job to make sure and put him in

1055
00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:37,040
Speaker 2: mismatches the entire game. Well, Harold Perkins is six three,

1056
00:53:37,080 --> 00:53:41,080
Speaker 2: two hundred pounds quicker than snot right, what are the

1057
00:53:41,120 --> 00:53:43,600
Speaker 2: two mismatches on that field that he can't keep up with?

1058
00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:45,960
Speaker 2: Because if you go to PFF and you look at

1059
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:48,920
Speaker 2: Harold Perkins grading, he's been terrible in coverage. It's been

1060
00:53:48,960 --> 00:53:51,680
Speaker 2: getting worse every week he was targeted five times by

1061
00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:54,160
Speaker 2: Texas A and M. He's been targeted three to five

1062
00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 2: times by almost every team over the last five weeks.

1063
00:53:57,080 --> 00:53:58,759
Speaker 2: All of them have been catches, and all of them

1064
00:53:58,800 --> 00:54:02,640
Speaker 2: have been big gains. So wherever Harold Perkins is lining up,

1065
00:54:02,680 --> 00:54:04,960
Speaker 2: it doesn't matter if it's zone or if it's a man.

1066
00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:08,160
Speaker 2: And considering the position that he plays, I guarantee they're

1067
00:54:08,160 --> 00:54:09,800
Speaker 2: going to try to find one on one matchups with

1068
00:54:09,880 --> 00:54:12,799
Speaker 2: Brock Bauers and Darnell Washington and expose Harold Perkins from

1069
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:16,000
Speaker 2: a passing perspective. Because I've said this for weeks, Harold

1070
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:18,840
Speaker 2: Perkins is the I mean, he looks like a ro

1071
00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:20,800
Speaker 2: qwand Smith out there. Just I mean, we could go

1072
00:54:20,840 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 2: from sideline to sideline in two seconds.

1073
00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:23,160
Speaker 1: Right.

1074
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:25,640
Speaker 2: If you want to get into a lateral game with LSU,

1075
00:54:25,719 --> 00:54:28,279
Speaker 2: you're gonna lose. You wanna go downfield, you're gonna beat him.

1076
00:54:28,280 --> 00:54:30,400
Speaker 2: And if you're gonna go downfield, you're gonna clip this

1077
00:54:30,520 --> 00:54:34,319
Speaker 2: fifty one total easily. So for reasons on both sides

1078
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:36,239
Speaker 2: of the ball, I like the over do. I think

1079
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:39,320
Speaker 2: Georgia is gonna win absolutely. I mean, I'm Brian Kelly's

1080
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:41,359
Speaker 2: gonna have a great game plan, maybe a grind through

1081
00:54:41,360 --> 00:54:43,560
Speaker 2: the scripted portion of the game up through the second quarter.

1082
00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:46,200
Speaker 2: But yeah, Georgia is here to absolutely roll.

1083
00:54:47,520 --> 00:54:50,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, and for what it's worth, overs have been a

1084
00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:55,680
Speaker 1: pretty good bet in the SEC. We talked about that,

1085
00:54:55,760 --> 00:54:58,640
Speaker 1: I think earlier this week on The New Beast. Yes,

1086
00:54:59,080 --> 00:55:02,200
Speaker 1: you get these SEC athletes on the fast track here

1087
00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:05,560
Speaker 1: in Atlanta, and you're gonna get some explosive plays. Yeah,

1088
00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:08,040
Speaker 1: but I do agree with you that the pace will

1089
00:55:08,120 --> 00:55:11,080
Speaker 1: pick up well, Lsu which Daniels in his legs are

1090
00:55:11,080 --> 00:55:14,319
Speaker 1: such an important part of the offense. If he's having

1091
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:15,880
Speaker 1: to throw it more, and then look, if he's limited

1092
00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:17,759
Speaker 1: and effective, then they're going to bring nus Meyer and

1093
00:55:17,760 --> 00:55:19,319
Speaker 1: they're just gonna be throwing it at such a higher

1094
00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:22,920
Speaker 1: rate that will slow the game down. Clock's gonna be

1095
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:26,840
Speaker 1: stopping way more frequently and then lead to added possession.

1096
00:55:26,920 --> 00:55:28,239
Speaker 1: So I agree with you there. Yeah, I think it's

1097
00:55:28,320 --> 00:55:29,080
Speaker 1: Georgia or nothing.

1098
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:37,400
Speaker 2: Don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers, avoid it like the plague.

1099
00:55:38,440 --> 00:55:43,319
Speaker 1: Let's check in with bow Dog Jim. All right, let's

1100
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:46,240
Speaker 1: move on to prime time. We have two final conference

1101
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:48,640
Speaker 1: championship games to get too let's and I think we've

1102
00:55:48,680 --> 00:55:49,960
Speaker 1: been agreeing a lot on this podcast. I think we

1103
00:55:50,040 --> 00:55:55,080
Speaker 1: might disagree this one. Purdue Michigan Big Ten Championship, Saturday,

1104
00:55:55,320 --> 00:55:59,319
Speaker 1: eight pm Eastern on Fox in Indianapolis. I like Purdue here.

1105
00:55:59,360 --> 00:56:00,880
Speaker 1: I think that you like Michie. I don't know if

1106
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:03,560
Speaker 1: he still do. Aid and O'Connell, they put his quarterback

1107
00:56:03,680 --> 00:56:06,240
Speaker 1: dealing with the tragic loss of his brother was awful

1108
00:56:06,440 --> 00:56:08,320
Speaker 1: pass away last week. He was really emotional after the

1109
00:56:08,360 --> 00:56:11,040
Speaker 1: win whose past week. I think he was dealing with

1110
00:56:11,120 --> 00:56:12,759
Speaker 1: the funeral and some other family and stuff for other

1111
00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:15,359
Speaker 1: this week. But he's gonna play and prepare here. That's

1112
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:18,399
Speaker 1: the quarterback news in this game. But I actually think

1113
00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:22,359
Speaker 1: that Purdue has some value, and I'll tell you why.

1114
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:24,680
Speaker 1: I think that. Number One, they've just constant this is

1115
00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:28,279
Speaker 1: when they show up. They've shown up in these big games. O'Connell, that's,

1116
00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 1: you know, the spoiler maker's nickname constantly over the years.

1117
00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:33,959
Speaker 1: And I think that their offense is actually a little

1118
00:56:34,200 --> 00:56:36,560
Speaker 1: undervalued because for a few reasons, they played a lot

1119
00:56:36,600 --> 00:56:39,799
Speaker 1: of games lately in conditions that won't be the case here.

1120
00:56:40,239 --> 00:56:42,600
Speaker 1: And then also Connell was dealing with an injury. Run

1121
00:56:42,800 --> 00:56:44,319
Speaker 1: this year that you know, over a stretch of three

1122
00:56:44,360 --> 00:56:46,799
Speaker 1: to four games. We talked about Syracuse game he played

1123
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:48,319
Speaker 1: with the injury, a couple of games after that when

1124
00:56:48,320 --> 00:56:51,480
Speaker 1: he was least effective. They also have this kid, Makabie

1125
00:56:51,480 --> 00:56:53,640
Speaker 1: at running back who's been their most effective running back.

1126
00:56:53,680 --> 00:56:55,120
Speaker 1: They still can't really run the ball a lot, but

1127
00:56:55,200 --> 00:56:57,440
Speaker 1: he's by far. I think he was a walk on

1128
00:56:57,520 --> 00:56:59,440
Speaker 1: two their best run about give him a little bit

1129
00:56:59,440 --> 00:57:01,840
Speaker 1: more balanced, but you know, you're not really gonna be

1130
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:03,120
Speaker 1: able to run a lot on Michigan, but you can

1131
00:57:03,160 --> 00:57:05,239
Speaker 1: attack them with short passes. That's what Purdue wants to

1132
00:57:05,280 --> 00:57:08,160
Speaker 1: do here. And then part of this and the Purdue's

1133
00:57:08,239 --> 00:57:12,520
Speaker 1: run defense has been awesome all year, the defensive line

1134
00:57:12,560 --> 00:57:15,520
Speaker 1: has been great, and you can attack them with explosive

1135
00:57:15,560 --> 00:57:20,200
Speaker 1: passes through the air. I'll make McCarthy prove that once

1136
00:57:20,240 --> 00:57:22,280
Speaker 1: again that he can do it this week. What do

1137
00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 1: we see for Michigan A lot of the other weeks.

1138
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:27,120
Speaker 1: They want to lead on their run game, and they're

1139
00:57:27,160 --> 00:57:29,160
Speaker 1: going to be and look that they played Maryland really

1140
00:57:29,160 --> 00:57:31,600
Speaker 1: close game, they played Illinois really close game. I don't

1141
00:57:31,680 --> 00:57:34,600
Speaker 1: I think that this is actually this is just kind

1142
00:57:34,640 --> 00:57:38,600
Speaker 1: of me guessing on motivations like I think Jordan's gonna care.

1143
00:57:38,800 --> 00:57:41,520
Speaker 1: I don't know how much Michigan's gonna care. Michigan's already

1144
00:57:41,520 --> 00:57:43,440
Speaker 1: in the Collegewall playoff, they already won the Big Ten

1145
00:57:43,600 --> 00:57:46,200
Speaker 1: last year, and when I say care, look when the

1146
00:57:46,240 --> 00:57:48,680
Speaker 1: game starts, do care. Maybe they're a little flat, but

1147
00:57:48,720 --> 00:57:51,400
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily think they want to show a lot

1148
00:57:51,680 --> 00:57:53,800
Speaker 1: and they don't need to blow this open, right. They

1149
00:57:53,840 --> 00:57:55,720
Speaker 1: don't want to show a lot of their last week

1150
00:57:55,760 --> 00:57:58,680
Speaker 1: that trick plays. They were showing their downfield passing attack.

1151
00:57:59,320 --> 00:58:01,280
Speaker 1: This is like it's run it, We're going to we

1152
00:58:01,360 --> 00:58:02,760
Speaker 1: might have you know, we're going to play some really

1153
00:58:02,800 --> 00:58:04,720
Speaker 1: good teams coming up, So I don't think that they're

1154
00:58:04,720 --> 00:58:07,280
Speaker 1: worried about showing a lot. We're going to run in

1155
00:58:07,280 --> 00:58:08,680
Speaker 1: at a high rate as they've done in the past

1156
00:58:08,680 --> 00:58:11,360
Speaker 1: and produced run defenses up for the task. And then,

1157
00:58:12,400 --> 00:58:16,000
Speaker 1: for what it's worth, unranked underdogs have been really successful

1158
00:58:16,000 --> 00:58:19,400
Speaker 1: against the spread against ranked teams in conference title games.

1159
00:58:19,400 --> 00:58:21,920
Speaker 1: Are fourteen and six against the spread seventy percent, covering

1160
00:58:21,960 --> 00:58:24,760
Speaker 1: by an average of twelve points per game since two

1161
00:58:24,760 --> 00:58:26,840
Speaker 1: thousand five. That applies to North Texas and Purdue. For

1162
00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:32,040
Speaker 1: what it's worth, So yeah, I think Purdue catching seventeen

1163
00:58:32,280 --> 00:58:37,520
Speaker 1: also big big backdoor ability here with O'Connell at quarterback.

1164
00:58:38,520 --> 00:58:41,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, I actually like Purdue catching the points. But

1165
00:58:41,600 --> 00:58:43,120
Speaker 1: do you disagree here? Yeah?

1166
00:58:43,160 --> 00:58:45,240
Speaker 2: I did take Michigan minus sixteen on open It's a

1167
00:58:45,360 --> 00:58:48,880
Speaker 2: number that I expected to close seventeen or higher, and

1168
00:58:48,960 --> 00:58:51,320
Speaker 2: then I would assess later in the week. I'm not

1169
00:58:51,400 --> 00:58:55,760
Speaker 2: backing off of Michigan. Bet this team has been unbelievable

1170
00:58:55,800 --> 00:58:57,360
Speaker 2: in the second half of games, similar to what I

1171
00:58:57,400 --> 00:58:59,920
Speaker 2: said about TCU and the defense in their second half adjustments.

1172
00:59:00,680 --> 00:59:05,040
Speaker 2: Sharon Moore, you know, jesse Mentor, these two are going

1173
00:59:05,120 --> 00:59:06,760
Speaker 2: to fight each other for the Royals Award. I mean,

1174
00:59:06,840 --> 00:59:09,800
Speaker 2: they've just been absolutely unbelievable in the halftime. How good

1175
00:59:09,880 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 2: have they been after halftime? Michigan over the last six

1176
00:59:13,400 --> 00:59:16,320
Speaker 2: games is outscoring opponents by a net of one hundred

1177
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:20,160
Speaker 2: and sixteen points. I know there are some duds on

1178
00:59:20,240 --> 00:59:22,640
Speaker 2: this Big Ten schedule, but just look at what happened

1179
00:59:23,200 --> 00:59:27,480
Speaker 2: against Ohio State. You mentioned that we don't want to

1180
00:59:27,480 --> 00:59:29,720
Speaker 2: show the playbook. I would argue that Michigan's only shown

1181
00:59:29,720 --> 00:59:31,960
Speaker 2: about forty percent of the playbook this entire season until

1182
00:59:31,960 --> 00:59:34,400
Speaker 2: they played Ohio State. So it just doesn't matter. Is

1183
00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:36,400
Speaker 2: there's still tricks in the bag we're gonna pull out

1184
00:59:36,440 --> 00:59:38,440
Speaker 2: or we're gonna save that for the National Championship game

1185
00:59:39,000 --> 00:59:42,280
Speaker 2: against Georgia. You know, I think it's important to know

1186
00:59:43,160 --> 00:59:46,640
Speaker 2: that the game. Jeff Brawm is a great head coach,

1187
00:59:46,920 --> 00:59:48,280
Speaker 2: and the game plan they're going to come out with

1188
00:59:48,480 --> 00:59:50,840
Speaker 2: is going to be is probably going to give Michigan

1189
00:59:50,920 --> 00:59:54,160
Speaker 2: some problems through the first three to six series, And

1190
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:56,280
Speaker 2: I wouldn't blame anybody, and I might do it myself.

1191
00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:58,760
Speaker 2: I might bet Purdue money line in the first half.

1192
00:59:59,320 --> 01:00:01,640
Speaker 2: Now that my pro is, I don't think Michigan is

1193
01:00:01,640 --> 01:00:03,760
Speaker 2: going to come out uninterested or not even wanting to

1194
01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:05,520
Speaker 2: cover the spread. I think that the opposite of that,

1195
01:00:06,040 --> 01:00:08,200
Speaker 2: because they were in this exact same spot last year

1196
01:00:08,280 --> 01:00:11,400
Speaker 2: they beat Ohio State for the first time and forever,

1197
01:00:12,200 --> 01:00:15,000
Speaker 2: and they whipped Iowa forty two to three. Now, I

1198
01:00:15,160 --> 01:00:18,120
Speaker 2: know this is a better offense, But at the same time,

1199
01:00:18,240 --> 01:00:20,440
Speaker 2: I've seen enough out of Mike Sanders. Still, I've seen

1200
01:00:20,560 --> 01:00:22,400
Speaker 2: enough out of DJ Turner. I've seen enough out of

1201
01:00:22,440 --> 01:00:24,520
Speaker 2: this secondary to know that they're going to be able

1202
01:00:24,560 --> 01:00:27,320
Speaker 2: to stop a very one dimensional Purdue offense that is

1203
01:00:27,600 --> 01:00:29,840
Speaker 2: very pass happy. You know, Purdue has been a top

1204
01:00:29,880 --> 01:00:33,400
Speaker 2: thirty five team against rush explosives, but the defense has

1205
01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:36,240
Speaker 2: struggled to stop the deep pass. So that makes me

1206
01:00:36,360 --> 01:00:38,240
Speaker 2: think that we're going to get more play action from

1207
01:00:38,320 --> 01:00:41,720
Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy. And I really I'm going to be looking

1208
01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:45,360
Speaker 2: for a JJ McCarthy prop too, because Purdue has been

1209
01:00:45,440 --> 01:00:48,800
Speaker 2: good about stopping the run, and if Michigan decides that

1210
01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:50,280
Speaker 2: they're not going to run the ball to save the

1211
01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:53,000
Speaker 2: health of Blake Korum, this could turn into some scrambles

1212
01:00:53,040 --> 01:00:55,400
Speaker 2: for JJ McCarthy. So I do like JJ McCarthy's prop

1213
01:00:55,560 --> 01:00:58,320
Speaker 2: on number of yards from a rushing perspective to go over.

1214
01:00:59,440 --> 01:01:01,560
Speaker 2: I like the first under twenty seven. I think the

1215
01:01:01,680 --> 01:01:03,720
Speaker 2: game is going to be scripted through the first six

1216
01:01:04,200 --> 01:01:06,840
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, first three drives. Maybe through the first quarter

1217
01:01:06,880 --> 01:01:09,000
Speaker 2: and a half. Purdue's gonna have a shot when you're

1218
01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:12,320
Speaker 2: going off script. But once Shrewmore and Jesse Mentor make

1219
01:01:12,440 --> 01:01:16,360
Speaker 2: those changes in the locker room, they have dominated everybody

1220
01:01:16,520 --> 01:01:19,240
Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball. Hasn't even been close,

1221
01:01:19,320 --> 01:01:22,000
Speaker 2: and that includes the precious Ohio State team that is

1222
01:01:22,080 --> 01:01:24,640
Speaker 2: trying to get into the playoffs. So I like produced

1223
01:01:24,720 --> 01:01:26,919
Speaker 2: chances up until that halftime buzzer hits.

1224
01:01:27,440 --> 01:01:29,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think that the situation is different

1225
01:01:29,600 --> 01:01:31,160
Speaker 1: from Michigan this year. I mean last year, and look,

1226
01:01:31,200 --> 01:01:34,360
Speaker 1: they were running it up late because for the teacher

1227
01:01:34,680 --> 01:01:37,240
Speaker 1: in the school shooting, so there was a mode to

1228
01:01:37,320 --> 01:01:38,960
Speaker 1: keep running up the score. But they also weren't in

1229
01:01:39,000 --> 01:01:40,920
Speaker 1: the College Twell Playoff last year. They had a loss.

1230
01:01:41,200 --> 01:01:43,360
Speaker 1: They needed to win that game. They also hadn't won

1231
01:01:43,400 --> 01:01:46,120
Speaker 1: the Big Ten in a while. Like they've already done this,

1232
01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:48,959
Speaker 1: They're already in the College Twell Playoff. McCarthy, I don't

1233
01:01:48,960 --> 01:01:50,880
Speaker 1: know if they're just they're going to throw a lot here.

1234
01:01:50,960 --> 01:01:53,120
Speaker 1: I don't think they want to show up. But he

1235
01:01:53,280 --> 01:01:55,360
Speaker 1: was He hit some explosive against Ohio State, but people

1236
01:01:55,360 --> 01:01:58,760
Speaker 1: forget he was horrendous for a month before that throwing

1237
01:01:58,800 --> 01:02:00,320
Speaker 1: the ball. So we'll see if he can be efficient

1238
01:02:00,360 --> 01:02:02,000
Speaker 1: in that aspect, because that is how you attack Perdue.

1239
01:02:02,320 --> 01:02:06,080
Speaker 1: But I'll take the points here and trust in O'Connell.

1240
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:08,720
Speaker 1: I actually think it might be a competitive game. But yeah,

1241
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:12,720
Speaker 1: the halftime adjustments will be a critical piece to the

1242
01:02:12,800 --> 01:02:15,840
Speaker 1: outcome of not only this game, but who covers the spread.

1243
01:02:16,240 --> 01:02:18,600
Speaker 1: All right, let's stay in primetime for the final conference

1244
01:02:18,680 --> 01:02:21,920
Speaker 1: championship game. Let's go to Saturday a pm Eastern on

1245
01:02:22,000 --> 01:02:26,200
Speaker 1: ABC and Charlotte North Carolina. We have to talk about

1246
01:02:26,200 --> 01:02:30,560
Speaker 1: this game at the ACC Clemson North Carolina. Why can't

1247
01:02:30,600 --> 01:02:32,280
Speaker 1: these two teams for playing two other teams can fade

1248
01:02:32,320 --> 01:02:32,640
Speaker 1: them both?

1249
01:02:33,400 --> 01:02:36,560
Speaker 2: Well, good for Mac, great job in North Carolina, But

1250
01:02:36,720 --> 01:02:37,560
Speaker 2: it's not about that.

1251
01:02:37,960 --> 01:02:41,080
Speaker 1: You know, Clemson just lost to South Carolina, that you

1252
01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:45,000
Speaker 1: just got torched by Spencer Rattler, and UNC just lost

1253
01:02:45,080 --> 01:02:47,400
Speaker 1: back to back games at home to four string quarterbacks.

1254
01:02:47,880 --> 01:02:50,400
Speaker 1: The biggest thing here is I mean, I would think

1255
01:02:50,400 --> 01:02:53,320
Speaker 1: from a spot perspective, it's I guess it's better for UNC,

1256
01:02:53,560 --> 01:02:55,840
Speaker 1: Like this is Clemson. I think that's a key question.

1257
01:02:56,000 --> 01:02:59,040
Speaker 1: Does Clemson care? You know they tea that is comfortaball

1258
01:03:00,040 --> 01:03:03,080
Speaker 1: off aspirations. So I don't know. I'll let you speak

1259
01:03:03,120 --> 01:03:05,000
Speaker 1: to that, but you U n C. It's like, all right,

1260
01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:06,760
Speaker 1: we're the AC championship play Clemson. So I think just

1261
01:03:06,840 --> 01:03:09,360
Speaker 1: from a surface perspective, you look at it from a

1262
01:03:09,400 --> 01:03:13,800
Speaker 1: basic view, maybe that favors UNC. But the problem is,

1263
01:03:14,520 --> 01:03:16,360
Speaker 1: and this is a high variance game too. UNC goes

1264
01:03:16,360 --> 01:03:18,520
Speaker 1: forward a ton on fourth down. They're very good in

1265
01:03:18,560 --> 01:03:21,040
Speaker 1: that department, but Clemson's also very good on fourth down defense,

1266
01:03:21,480 --> 01:03:24,080
Speaker 1: so could be some wild swings in this game. Also,

1267
01:03:24,160 --> 01:03:27,680
Speaker 1: what we see Kate Clubnick DJU was obviously awful last week.

1268
01:03:28,320 --> 01:03:31,160
Speaker 1: I think Dabble came out and said he's gonna start,

1269
01:03:31,200 --> 01:03:33,120
Speaker 1: but he left the door open. So we might see

1270
01:03:33,160 --> 01:03:35,600
Speaker 1: Clubnick depending on the effectiveness of DJ or just we

1271
01:03:35,680 --> 01:03:37,080
Speaker 1: might see a couple of drives with him which we've

1272
01:03:37,120 --> 01:03:44,160
Speaker 1: seen in the past and h. But the problem with

1273
01:03:44,280 --> 01:03:46,440
Speaker 1: UNC is that Drake May who is incredible and he's

1274
01:03:46,480 --> 01:03:47,960
Speaker 1: going to be so good and I think he's gonna

1275
01:03:47,960 --> 01:03:51,200
Speaker 1: be the best future NFL quarterback. He can hit tight throws,

1276
01:03:51,440 --> 01:03:54,160
Speaker 1: he's great under pressure. But what what happened the last

1277
01:03:54,160 --> 01:03:56,160
Speaker 1: two games is getting a home streamer, you know, and

1278
01:03:56,200 --> 01:03:58,439
Speaker 1: if you even under pressure, if you have if there's

1279
01:03:58,480 --> 01:04:02,360
Speaker 1: a scene, tight window, he'll hit the guy. But now

1280
01:04:02,600 --> 01:04:04,680
Speaker 1: with the last two teams have done Georgia Tech and

1281
01:04:04,760 --> 01:04:07,320
Speaker 1: then NC States, they just dropped everyone in coverage and

1282
01:04:07,440 --> 01:04:10,480
Speaker 1: they said, prove to us you can be patient and

1283
01:04:10,680 --> 01:04:12,680
Speaker 1: prove to us that you can just throw it down

1284
01:04:12,720 --> 01:04:15,160
Speaker 1: the field. And then, by the way, the fronts are

1285
01:04:15,200 --> 01:04:17,680
Speaker 1: still able to get pressure because UNC's offensive line is bad,

1286
01:04:18,280 --> 01:04:20,800
Speaker 1: and then May has been forcing throws and this happens

1287
01:04:20,840 --> 01:04:23,440
Speaker 1: to Patrick Mahomes. He had to adjust to this U

1288
01:04:23,640 --> 01:04:25,480
Speaker 1: So the teams have given him the Mahome stream and

1289
01:04:25,480 --> 01:04:28,240
Speaker 1: I would expect the Comstan's going to do something similar.

1290
01:04:28,560 --> 01:04:32,000
Speaker 1: Can you and figure it out in one week? And

1291
01:04:32,040 --> 01:04:34,640
Speaker 1: then they're obviously going up against a much tougher defense

1292
01:04:35,320 --> 01:04:38,440
Speaker 1: in Clemson than you know, Georgia Tech, who's able to

1293
01:04:39,560 --> 01:04:42,120
Speaker 1: shut out UNC over the final thirty minutes of the game.

1294
01:04:42,680 --> 01:04:45,440
Speaker 1: So there's been a big schematic shift on what defenses

1295
01:04:45,480 --> 01:04:48,160
Speaker 1: are doing to May. And you know he's gotten frustrated.

1296
01:04:48,200 --> 01:04:50,360
Speaker 1: He's young, and we've seen an NFL quarterback struggle with

1297
01:04:50,400 --> 01:04:52,240
Speaker 1: this when defenses do it. When you just have a

1298
01:04:52,360 --> 01:04:55,720
Speaker 1: quarterback who's just has a rocket arm, he can hit

1299
01:04:55,760 --> 01:04:58,080
Speaker 1: these explosive plays down the field. Hey, we're gonna take

1300
01:04:58,080 --> 01:05:01,160
Speaker 1: them away. You be patient underneath. So we'll see what

1301
01:05:01,400 --> 01:05:03,960
Speaker 1: UNC can do here. So what are your thoughts on

1302
01:05:04,360 --> 01:05:06,600
Speaker 1: the motivation and then this matchup?

1303
01:05:07,560 --> 01:05:11,320
Speaker 2: Well, you're right, I mean, the Clemson motivation is a

1304
01:05:11,360 --> 01:05:13,320
Speaker 2: hard one to I mean, we can definitely say in

1305
01:05:13,400 --> 01:05:16,640
Speaker 2: the bowl game they're not going to show up, and

1306
01:05:17,040 --> 01:05:19,160
Speaker 2: there is a laundry list of players that I think

1307
01:05:19,200 --> 01:05:21,280
Speaker 2: are ready to a opt out or be it into

1308
01:05:21,320 --> 01:05:24,800
Speaker 2: the portal. And you know, friend of the podcast Bud

1309
01:05:24,880 --> 01:05:27,880
Speaker 2: Elliott put out this tweet I think yesterday because these

1310
01:05:27,920 --> 01:05:30,640
Speaker 2: portals are like going crazy these days. It's like half

1311
01:05:30,640 --> 01:05:33,200
Speaker 2: of Arkansas's rosters hopped in the portal and it was

1312
01:05:33,280 --> 01:05:36,600
Speaker 2: I think his tweet was, what is the one transfer

1313
01:05:36,720 --> 01:05:40,280
Speaker 2: portal entry that would like shake college football up? Tell

1314
01:05:40,360 --> 01:05:42,920
Speaker 2: me how cad Club Nick or Djuey Angalley is not

1315
01:05:43,160 --> 01:05:46,920
Speaker 2: in the portal like in a week from now right.

1316
01:05:47,240 --> 01:05:48,800
Speaker 2: I mean, these two are not going to be both

1317
01:05:48,920 --> 01:05:51,640
Speaker 2: on the Clemson roster next year and caid Club Nick.

1318
01:05:51,720 --> 01:05:53,840
Speaker 2: So Brandon Streeter, by the way, that's just a whole

1319
01:05:53,960 --> 01:05:57,240
Speaker 2: other part of the handicap. He has not been good

1320
01:05:57,360 --> 01:05:59,720
Speaker 2: as offensive coordinator. He has not been able to live

1321
01:05:59,800 --> 01:06:03,640
Speaker 2: up to Jeff Scott, Tony Elliott, Chad Morris. He has

1322
01:06:03,760 --> 01:06:05,600
Speaker 2: not been able to live up to the coordinators that

1323
01:06:05,680 --> 01:06:08,440
Speaker 2: Clemson has had in the past. He has become predictable.

1324
01:06:08,640 --> 01:06:10,600
Speaker 2: They have tried to run trip plays when they don't

1325
01:06:10,640 --> 01:06:12,160
Speaker 2: need it. They just don't line up and try to

1326
01:06:12,200 --> 01:06:14,720
Speaker 2: knock you in the dirt. The good news for Clemson's

1327
01:06:14,720 --> 01:06:16,880
Speaker 2: offenses is they get maybe the worst defense in all

1328
01:06:16,880 --> 01:06:19,080
Speaker 2: of college football. You can't be as worth as North

1329
01:06:19,120 --> 01:06:21,600
Speaker 2: Carolina one hundred and twenty fourth in defensive finishing drives,

1330
01:06:21,600 --> 01:06:23,880
Speaker 2: almost dead last than Havoc. They're not gonna be able

1331
01:06:23,880 --> 01:06:26,280
Speaker 2: to take the ball away from Clemson. Now, to get

1332
01:06:26,320 --> 01:06:29,040
Speaker 2: back to what I was saying. If Clemson, I'm I

1333
01:06:29,040 --> 01:06:31,840
Speaker 2: think they could be motivated for the a SEC Championship.

1334
01:06:32,840 --> 01:06:35,560
Speaker 2: It's gonna be a real cell job for Dabbo here,

1335
01:06:36,000 --> 01:06:37,840
Speaker 2: but at least you're going to have two quarterbacks that

1336
01:06:37,920 --> 01:06:40,320
Speaker 2: want to compete. Kate club Nick might already have it

1337
01:06:40,400 --> 01:06:42,080
Speaker 2: in his mind, this is my job and I'm gonna

1338
01:06:42,080 --> 01:06:43,680
Speaker 2: take it away from DJ right here, or he might

1339
01:06:43,720 --> 01:06:45,000
Speaker 2: have in his mind, I'm hitting the portal and I

1340
01:06:45,040 --> 01:06:47,480
Speaker 2: want a good film for everybody to see. DJ's thinking

1341
01:06:47,520 --> 01:06:49,520
Speaker 2: the same thing. I would not be surprised as a

1342
01:06:49,560 --> 01:06:54,360
Speaker 2: Southern California kid, with the way that DJ takes commentary

1343
01:06:54,400 --> 01:06:57,360
Speaker 2: about his game, the way he takes things personal. I

1344
01:06:57,400 --> 01:07:00,439
Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised if he ends up out at say

1345
01:07:00,480 --> 01:07:03,400
Speaker 2: an Oregon, a team that recruited him. But he already

1346
01:07:03,480 --> 01:07:04,920
Speaker 2: might have had his mind made up for Clemson he

1347
01:07:05,040 --> 01:07:07,720
Speaker 2: ends up out on the West coast where the lights

1348
01:07:07,760 --> 01:07:09,400
Speaker 2: will be as bright and he doesn't have to hear

1349
01:07:09,480 --> 01:07:11,600
Speaker 2: much more of that commentary. So I think you're going

1350
01:07:11,680 --> 01:07:15,000
Speaker 2: to have both quarterbacks fired up. And the fact that

1351
01:07:15,120 --> 01:07:18,560
Speaker 2: North Carolina's defense can't expose, the fact that you can

1352
01:07:18,640 --> 01:07:23,240
Speaker 2: telegraph Brandon Streeter's play calling, I think is all benefit. Now,

1353
01:07:23,280 --> 01:07:24,600
Speaker 2: the big the best unit of this game is a

1354
01:07:24,640 --> 01:07:27,240
Speaker 2: Clemson defense, and this is probably last time you're gonna

1355
01:07:27,240 --> 01:07:31,200
Speaker 2: see Miles Murphy, Brian BARRESI, some guys in the secondary.

1356
01:07:31,200 --> 01:07:32,200
Speaker 2: I think it is the last time you're going to

1357
01:07:32,240 --> 01:07:35,000
Speaker 2: see them play. And yes, North Carolina's offense has been

1358
01:07:35,080 --> 01:07:37,880
Speaker 2: fantastic behind Drake may we're one of the best in

1359
01:07:37,960 --> 01:07:41,080
Speaker 2: the nation and offensive finishing drives. But at the same time,

1360
01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:44,240
Speaker 2: this Clemson defense is twelfth and third down defense. This

1361
01:07:44,360 --> 01:07:46,959
Speaker 2: Clemson defense is a top ten pass rush, their fourth

1362
01:07:47,000 --> 01:07:50,280
Speaker 2: and defensive havoc. That's been a huge problem for North Carolina.

1363
01:07:50,520 --> 01:07:53,280
Speaker 2: They cannot protect the ball. They allow everybody to play

1364
01:07:53,360 --> 01:07:55,680
Speaker 2: behind the line of scrimmage and there's lots of fumbles

1365
01:07:55,720 --> 01:07:57,240
Speaker 2: and lots of interceptions, and that's going to be the

1366
01:07:57,240 --> 01:07:59,520
Speaker 2: difference in this game. So I like my Clemson minus

1367
01:07:59,560 --> 01:08:04,320
Speaker 2: seven and half bet hopefully defense oriented, Hopefully Brandon Streeters,

1368
01:08:04,360 --> 01:08:08,120
Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator of Clemson, quits running this telegraph crap

1369
01:08:08,240 --> 01:08:10,680
Speaker 2: trick plays, and hopefully we have two quarterbacks that are

1370
01:08:10,720 --> 01:08:13,240
Speaker 2: fighting to be in this position next year and the

1371
01:08:13,360 --> 01:08:15,120
Speaker 2: other one is fighting to have some good tape on

1372
01:08:15,160 --> 01:08:15,520
Speaker 2: the portal.

1373
01:08:16,280 --> 01:08:17,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good that's a good point. They could

1374
01:08:17,880 --> 01:08:19,920
Speaker 1: be treating this as an audition. But what are your

1375
01:08:19,960 --> 01:08:22,840
Speaker 1: thoughts on Because the Clemson secondary is can be attacked.

1376
01:08:22,840 --> 01:08:26,360
Speaker 1: We saw Spencer Rattler go bananas against them. UNC obviously

1377
01:08:26,439 --> 01:08:28,839
Speaker 1: is a great passing attack, but they've just been stymy

1378
01:08:28,880 --> 01:08:33,240
Speaker 1: now by this scheme that back to back teams have implemented.

1379
01:08:33,280 --> 01:08:34,800
Speaker 1: So I'm assuming the club's is to do the same.

1380
01:08:34,880 --> 01:08:37,599
Speaker 1: So how do you see this, maybe from a total perspective,

1381
01:08:37,680 --> 01:08:42,800
Speaker 1: or UNC's offense doing against Clemson. Do you see more

1382
01:08:42,880 --> 01:08:44,400
Speaker 1: of what's tapp in the past two weeks or do

1383
01:08:44,439 --> 01:08:47,599
Speaker 1: you see Drake Bay maybe breaking out a little more

1384
01:08:47,640 --> 01:08:49,560
Speaker 1: here which would let itself to be over If not,

1385
01:08:49,840 --> 01:08:52,800
Speaker 1: if Clebson is going to run this way, run the

1386
01:08:52,840 --> 01:08:56,760
Speaker 1: same d and USC's offense struggles even if how bad

1387
01:08:56,880 --> 01:09:00,120
Speaker 1: UNC's defense is, you know that might let itself up

1388
01:09:00,120 --> 01:09:01,360
Speaker 1: to an under What are your thoughts there.

1389
01:09:01,520 --> 01:09:03,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean a total spot on I May. It's

1390
01:09:03,080 --> 01:09:05,200
Speaker 2: sixty two, so I'm not sure, and that's a key number.

1391
01:09:05,280 --> 01:09:07,120
Speaker 2: Sixty five is also key, So I'm not sure if

1392
01:09:07,160 --> 01:09:08,760
Speaker 2: I want to go over the sixty three and a

1393
01:09:08,800 --> 01:09:11,879
Speaker 2: half because yes, Drake May is going to be explosive

1394
01:09:11,880 --> 01:09:13,080
Speaker 2: here and he's going to get down the field. But

1395
01:09:13,120 --> 01:09:16,439
Speaker 2: Clemson's also fourteenth and tackling, so they don't allow a

1396
01:09:16,479 --> 01:09:18,519
Speaker 2: lot of explosives. They don't allow it on the ground.

1397
01:09:18,560 --> 01:09:22,240
Speaker 2: They're about mid FBS against pass explosiveness. But the fact

1398
01:09:22,280 --> 01:09:25,080
Speaker 2: that they're able to tackle, you know, in a top

1399
01:09:25,160 --> 01:09:27,800
Speaker 2: twenty grading, they don't miss a lot of tackles. I

1400
01:09:27,840 --> 01:09:29,760
Speaker 2: think that's going to limit the amount of explosives that

1401
01:09:29,840 --> 01:09:32,559
Speaker 2: North Carolina has. But North Carolina's going to get their

1402
01:09:32,600 --> 01:09:35,599
Speaker 2: share points, absolutely, But you know, if they get stopped

1403
01:09:35,880 --> 01:09:37,560
Speaker 2: short of the goal or in the red zone or

1404
01:09:37,680 --> 01:09:40,280
Speaker 2: within the forty, that's where Clemson's able to cook because

1405
01:09:40,360 --> 01:09:41,680
Speaker 2: Drake May is going to run out of room for

1406
01:09:41,760 --> 01:09:43,760
Speaker 2: deep passes and for crossing routes and for everything. The

1407
01:09:43,800 --> 01:09:45,280
Speaker 2: closer you get to the goal line, the less space

1408
01:09:45,320 --> 01:09:45,559
Speaker 2: you have.

1409
01:09:45,600 --> 01:09:49,559
Speaker 1: To work all right, good stuff. That's ten all ten

1410
01:09:49,720 --> 01:09:55,240
Speaker 1: conference championships broken down for you and wagering purposes this weekend.

1411
01:09:55,920 --> 01:09:58,080
Speaker 1: It's going to be a great weekend and it's only

1412
01:09:58,120 --> 01:09:59,800
Speaker 1: going to continue through ball season A mitched before B

1413
01:10:00,040 --> 01:10:04,880
Speaker 1: four Bowl preview episodes starting mid December all the way

1414
01:10:04,920 --> 01:10:07,479
Speaker 1: through the new year. Then we'll have a national title preview.

1415
01:10:07,680 --> 01:10:08,960
Speaker 1: But I might ever want to check out the group

1416
01:10:09,000 --> 01:10:12,920
Speaker 1: of five guys on their episode, which should be out

1417
01:10:13,080 --> 01:10:16,080
Speaker 1: right now for this weekend, get their takes little a

1418
01:10:16,080 --> 01:10:19,880
Speaker 1: tremendous job all season and one final runner room the

1419
01:10:20,080 --> 01:10:23,439
Speaker 1: Hotline Final weekend for Call of the Year Hadi Smith

1420
01:10:23,479 --> 01:10:25,120
Speaker 1: Award nine to five to nine Bad Beat. And then

1421
01:10:25,160 --> 01:10:27,400
Speaker 1: of course myself prev mcburkeley and Colin will be back

1422
01:10:27,840 --> 01:10:30,280
Speaker 1: Saturday morning, tenthir Day in Eastern Big Uts on Campus

1423
01:10:30,360 --> 01:10:32,479
Speaker 1: Live and we'll try we'll probably find a way to

1424
01:10:32,479 --> 01:10:35,519
Speaker 1: get Brett involved in a Bowl preview episode or two

1425
01:10:35,600 --> 01:10:37,840
Speaker 1: for a segment. But before we get out here, we

1426
01:10:37,920 --> 01:10:43,240
Speaker 1: do have one final order of business, and that is

1427
01:10:44,160 --> 01:10:48,479
Speaker 1: let's go three and now let's make it a quick

1428
01:10:48,640 --> 01:10:52,240
Speaker 1: three and out. All right, First down our favorite bet.

1429
01:10:52,760 --> 01:10:55,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna start off with North Texas, give you a

1430
01:10:55,240 --> 01:10:59,760
Speaker 1: little Friday Night flavor, catching anything seven and a half

1431
01:10:59,840 --> 01:11:01,479
Speaker 1: or eight, And if you want to wait to see

1432
01:11:01,520 --> 01:11:03,800
Speaker 1: if it gets at ten, great, I already took it

1433
01:11:03,840 --> 01:11:05,640
Speaker 1: at eight and a half. I don't think it's going

1434
01:11:05,680 --> 01:11:07,800
Speaker 1: to go to seven and probably get chart money if

1435
01:11:07,800 --> 01:11:11,040
Speaker 1: it gets taken at ten. But yeah, I think that

1436
01:11:11,280 --> 01:11:14,400
Speaker 1: ucsa's defense is vulnerable, and they're much more vulnerable than

1437
01:11:14,400 --> 01:11:16,639
Speaker 1: a number suggests because it's of all the backup quarterbacks

1438
01:11:16,640 --> 01:11:20,280
Speaker 1: that they face, including four straight. They also might be

1439
01:11:20,360 --> 01:11:24,120
Speaker 1: missing some key guys, and I think North Texas can

1440
01:11:24,240 --> 01:11:27,120
Speaker 1: score here. They should have won at utsa order this

1441
01:11:27,200 --> 01:11:29,519
Speaker 1: year they lost in the final seconds. I also like

1442
01:11:29,640 --> 01:11:31,160
Speaker 1: its over for what it's worth. I think both teams

1443
01:11:31,160 --> 01:11:33,280
Speaker 1: will be back and forth. North Texas also fully capable

1444
01:11:33,320 --> 01:11:35,320
Speaker 1: of getting into the back door if needed, but I

1445
01:11:35,360 --> 01:11:36,960
Speaker 1: think they're offen will have a ton of success here

1446
01:11:36,960 --> 01:11:38,880
Speaker 1: in what should turn into a shootout. I think there's

1447
01:11:38,880 --> 01:11:41,160
Speaker 1: some value on this number. So let's go with the

1448
01:11:41,680 --> 01:11:45,000
Speaker 1: mean green colin where you're going for your favorite bet.

1449
01:11:45,320 --> 01:11:47,439
Speaker 2: I like that. I'm gonna go with the TCU under

1450
01:11:47,680 --> 01:11:49,400
Speaker 2: under on TCU can you believe it?

1451
01:11:49,479 --> 01:11:49,639
Speaker 1: Yeah?

1452
01:11:49,680 --> 01:11:51,160
Speaker 2: With Kansas State, and I think it comes down to

1453
01:11:51,200 --> 01:11:53,840
Speaker 2: the defensive coordinators. Both have been hired new hires for

1454
01:11:53,960 --> 01:11:56,559
Speaker 2: this year. Kansas State moved from a four man front

1455
01:11:56,600 --> 01:11:58,599
Speaker 2: down to a three man front. That three three five

1456
01:11:58,640 --> 01:12:01,519
Speaker 2: has been great at limiting exploded some plays. You're gonna

1457
01:12:01,520 --> 01:12:03,919
Speaker 2: have to have that against Max Duggan and Quinton Johnson

1458
01:12:04,000 --> 01:12:07,160
Speaker 2: and Kendre Miller. And the fact that Kansas State can

1459
01:12:07,200 --> 01:12:10,040
Speaker 2: eliminate explosives means that TCU has to be methodical down

1460
01:12:10,080 --> 01:12:12,080
Speaker 2: the field, which they can do that also, but it

1461
01:12:12,160 --> 01:12:14,200
Speaker 2: is going to extend clock with a lot of rushing

1462
01:12:14,280 --> 01:12:19,360
Speaker 2: plays and you know, no explosive, fast scores by TCU.

1463
01:12:19,439 --> 01:12:20,439
Speaker 2: And then when you go to the other side of

1464
01:12:20,439 --> 01:12:24,479
Speaker 2: the ball, TCU has been unbelievable in second halves, especially

1465
01:12:24,520 --> 01:12:26,400
Speaker 2: after the adjustments that have been put in by defensive

1466
01:12:26,439 --> 01:12:30,160
Speaker 2: coordinator Joe Gillespie. They also run, you know, a heavy

1467
01:12:30,360 --> 01:12:33,720
Speaker 2: personnel that drops and doesn't allow explosive plays in the backfield.

1468
01:12:34,400 --> 01:12:37,760
Speaker 2: They have shut out opposing offenses the last seven games.

1469
01:12:37,760 --> 01:12:42,120
Speaker 2: They've only allowed six touchdowns, no offensive touchdown to Texas

1470
01:12:42,240 --> 01:12:46,360
Speaker 2: down in Austin. The TCU has been an under machine

1471
01:12:46,400 --> 01:12:48,840
Speaker 2: for three games straight until they scored sixty two on

1472
01:12:48,920 --> 01:12:51,760
Speaker 2: a lifeless Iowa State defense. So we're gonna go under

1473
01:12:51,760 --> 01:12:53,160
Speaker 2: in this game TCU Kansas State.

1474
01:12:54,160 --> 01:12:57,800
Speaker 1: Let's move on to second out our favorite overdog. I'm

1475
01:12:58,520 --> 01:13:01,840
Speaker 1: passing here. The only favorite that I like is the

1476
01:13:01,920 --> 01:13:03,439
Speaker 1: one that you like, So I'll let you take it.

1477
01:13:03,600 --> 01:13:07,920
Speaker 1: Maybe Boise depending on injuries, maybe two Lane depending on injuries.

1478
01:13:07,960 --> 01:13:10,880
Speaker 1: But that's the past the three, so I don't really

1479
01:13:10,960 --> 01:13:13,479
Speaker 1: love any other favorites. Besides, if I was going to

1480
01:13:13,560 --> 01:13:15,559
Speaker 1: bet one, it's gonna be the one that you're gonna

1481
01:13:15,560 --> 01:13:18,479
Speaker 1: talk about next to what's your favorite overdog aka favorite favor.

1482
01:13:18,600 --> 01:13:20,840
Speaker 2: I'll make it small, two quick picks, and then I'll

1483
01:13:20,880 --> 01:13:22,840
Speaker 2: let you finish up. Georgia. I am gonna take Boise

1484
01:13:22,960 --> 01:13:25,720
Speaker 2: minus three is my favorite overdog. There's just not been

1485
01:13:25,800 --> 01:13:28,320
Speaker 2: enough adjustment in the line for what this offense has

1486
01:13:28,320 --> 01:13:30,560
Speaker 2: been able to do against Taylor Green and listen, the

1487
01:13:30,640 --> 01:13:33,040
Speaker 2: rush is open against Fresno State. And when you look

1488
01:13:33,040 --> 01:13:35,880
Speaker 2: at these two defenses, one of these defenses much better

1489
01:13:35,920 --> 01:13:38,160
Speaker 2: at third downs, one of these defenses much better controlling

1490
01:13:38,200 --> 01:13:40,439
Speaker 2: the trench. And these are two rush heavy offenses. And

1491
01:13:40,479 --> 01:13:42,800
Speaker 2: when you look at that, Boise State has all the advantages,

1492
01:13:42,840 --> 01:13:45,559
Speaker 2: and like I said, they're just not properly updated because

1493
01:13:45,760 --> 01:13:48,600
Speaker 2: they were absolute dumpster fire for the first month of

1494
01:13:48,640 --> 01:13:51,720
Speaker 2: the season. It's just been a renaissance on offense with

1495
01:13:51,800 --> 01:13:54,599
Speaker 2: Taylor Green and Dirk Cotter. So we'll take Boise State

1496
01:13:54,640 --> 01:13:56,920
Speaker 2: and then the other one is Georgia. Georgia, you know

1497
01:13:57,120 --> 01:13:59,720
Speaker 2: minus whatever. When you hear Kirby Smart come out and

1498
01:13:59,760 --> 01:14:03,080
Speaker 2: say we're gonna put We're gonna put mismatches on Harold Perkins,

1499
01:14:03,360 --> 01:14:05,559
Speaker 2: that wrings my ears and says Brock Bowers and Darnell

1500
01:14:05,680 --> 01:14:09,720
Speaker 2: Washington are going to be put in passing against that linebacker.

1501
01:14:10,040 --> 01:14:10,160
Speaker 1: Uh.

1502
01:14:11,040 --> 01:14:13,400
Speaker 2: I think Georgia is gonna make life tough trying to

1503
01:14:13,439 --> 01:14:16,639
Speaker 2: get over that LSU that stingy LSU defensive line take

1504
01:14:16,680 --> 01:14:19,120
Speaker 2: advantage of that secondary like other teams have. So I

1505
01:14:19,280 --> 01:14:20,320
Speaker 2: like Georgia on the overdome.

1506
01:14:20,840 --> 01:14:23,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would. I would agree just with Georgia Jalen Daniels.

1507
01:14:23,840 --> 01:14:25,200
Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna be a hundred percent. I

1508
01:14:25,240 --> 01:14:27,240
Speaker 1: think that just kills the LSU offense, which is in

1509
01:14:27,360 --> 01:14:29,519
Speaker 1: for a rude wake up call against the Georgia team

1510
01:14:29,520 --> 01:14:32,400
Speaker 1: that I think will be motivated here based on their

1511
01:14:32,560 --> 01:14:37,840
Speaker 1: past SEC championship failures. All right, let's move on to

1512
01:14:38,200 --> 01:14:41,519
Speaker 1: third down, and that's our money line under dog parlay,

1513
01:14:44,439 --> 01:14:49,320
Speaker 1: turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1514
01:14:49,560 --> 01:14:54,519
Speaker 1: money line parlay. I'll kick things off here quick plug

1515
01:14:54,680 --> 01:14:57,479
Speaker 1: to the Action Hoverork podcast for NFL ray but and

1516
01:14:57,520 --> 01:15:00,160
Speaker 1: I will be recording later today. It'll be out. Make

1517
01:15:00,160 --> 01:15:02,519
Speaker 1: sure you check that out. I've had a lot of

1518
01:15:02,600 --> 01:15:06,920
Speaker 1: success this year on our money line underdogs, and a

1519
01:15:06,960 --> 01:15:09,519
Speaker 1: lot of it is just taking advantage of uncertainty in

1520
01:15:09,600 --> 01:15:11,439
Speaker 1: the market. So I think there's a lot of value

1521
01:15:11,520 --> 01:15:14,880
Speaker 1: right now and upside with Coastal Carolina. If McCall does play,

1522
01:15:14,960 --> 01:15:16,960
Speaker 1: and if he is healthy, then you can make a

1523
01:15:17,040 --> 01:15:18,599
Speaker 1: case this is a coin flip or they should even

1524
01:15:18,640 --> 01:15:21,280
Speaker 1: be a little favored here. So yeah, at the price

1525
01:15:21,400 --> 01:15:24,080
Speaker 1: right now with some of the things that I'm hearing

1526
01:15:24,080 --> 01:15:26,240
Speaker 1: about McCall being a go, which I think also signifies

1527
01:15:26,280 --> 01:15:28,040
Speaker 1: that they care and there's not they're not distracted to

1528
01:15:28,160 --> 01:15:31,240
Speaker 1: McCall cares. So yeah, let's go chance, give me the

1529
01:15:31,520 --> 01:15:32,880
Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina. Where you going?

1530
01:15:33,400 --> 01:15:36,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, Grace McCall's playing, that's huge. Ohio is going to

1531
01:15:36,760 --> 01:15:39,080
Speaker 2: be my pick for the money line underdog. Not sure

1532
01:15:39,120 --> 01:15:40,600
Speaker 2: they're going to be an underdog by the time we

1533
01:15:40,760 --> 01:15:43,960
Speaker 2: kick depending on some injury situations, but injury is the

1534
01:15:44,040 --> 01:15:47,040
Speaker 2: name of the game for Toledo with Dakwan Finn immobile

1535
01:15:47,680 --> 01:15:49,880
Speaker 2: lower body injury, not able to move around which is

1536
01:15:49,920 --> 01:15:51,400
Speaker 2: a big part of his game. And then back up

1537
01:15:51,439 --> 01:15:54,200
Speaker 2: Tucker Gleeson is just not as good as far as

1538
01:15:54,240 --> 01:15:56,880
Speaker 2: when it comes to playing zone read or going into

1539
01:15:57,080 --> 01:15:59,560
Speaker 2: scramble or designed runs, and that's going to open it

1540
01:15:59,640 --> 01:16:01,679
Speaker 2: up for a Ohio who does have a healthy running

1541
01:16:01,680 --> 01:16:04,439
Speaker 2: back and see a Bangera and their backup quarterback has

1542
01:16:04,520 --> 01:16:08,720
Speaker 2: been just as good as Curtis work so far, so

1543
01:16:08,800 --> 01:16:10,880
Speaker 2: we'll see if that keeps up here. But Ohio has

1544
01:16:10,920 --> 01:16:13,680
Speaker 2: been the better team, especially on the defensive perspective. They

1545
01:16:13,760 --> 01:16:16,559
Speaker 2: have eliminated explosive plays from their opposing teams that they've

1546
01:16:16,600 --> 01:16:19,719
Speaker 2: had to get to this point. I'll take the Bobcats

1547
01:16:19,760 --> 01:16:22,160
Speaker 2: to win their first conference championship since the sixties.

1548
01:16:22,720 --> 01:16:25,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, that would make me very happy. Go Bob's And yeah,

1549
01:16:25,360 --> 01:16:29,080
Speaker 1: fin It can't is not mobile. He's pretty ineffective as

1550
01:16:29,120 --> 01:16:31,360
Speaker 1: we saw last week, and he did not look like

1551
01:16:31,479 --> 01:16:33,479
Speaker 1: he was going to have be able to gain much

1552
01:16:33,560 --> 01:16:36,640
Speaker 1: mobility in a week's time frame. All Right, that'll do

1553
01:16:36,760 --> 01:16:39,640
Speaker 1: it for us. Thanks as always Colin for joining me,

1554
01:16:39,720 --> 01:16:41,880
Speaker 1: Thanks to aelve of you for tuning in as you've

1555
01:16:41,920 --> 01:16:45,439
Speaker 1: done all season long. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe,

1556
01:16:46,000 --> 01:16:48,640
Speaker 1: Tell a friend, telling enemy, leave a review. We'll do

1557
01:16:48,760 --> 01:16:51,680
Speaker 1: a bunch of giveaways during Bowl season again, don't forget

1558
01:16:51,720 --> 01:16:54,160
Speaker 1: about the voicemail nine I five nine Bad Beat, and

1559
01:16:55,040 --> 01:16:58,240
Speaker 1: let's have a weekend and close out the year strong

1560
01:16:58,439 --> 01:17:00,559
Speaker 1: headed into Bold season, one of my face favorite times

1561
01:17:00,600 --> 01:17:03,040
Speaker 1: of the year. You know we'll have you covered throughout.

1562
01:17:03,720 --> 01:17:05,840
Speaker 1: It's time for us to go find some last minute

1563
01:17:05,880 --> 01:17:07,960
Speaker 1: winners and keep track of this portal and all the

1564
01:17:08,000 --> 01:17:10,600
Speaker 1: craziness as we get ready for our Bowl episodes. So

1565
01:17:10,680 --> 01:17:12,599
Speaker 1: thanks again for tuning in, thanks to the audio video

1566
01:17:12,640 --> 01:17:15,360
Speaker 1: teams on the back end. We'll catch all later. Cheers,

1567
01:17:15,840 --> 01:17:16,240
Speaker 1: peace out,