1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:06,160 Speaker 1: Now from our nation's capital. This is Bloomberg Sound On. 2 00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: If people think the country is on the wrong track 3 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:12,640 Speaker 1: and are upset, it's usually really bad news to the party. 4 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: In pity, the Democrats had a very difficult challenge on 5 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: their hands when it comes to the mid term Bloomberg 6 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: Sound On, Politics, Policy and Perspective from DC's top names. 7 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:25,439 Speaker 1: I pick there's a lot of head up demand for 8 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: electing a woman. Hand I could be the year of 9 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 1: the world, and I see this demand that he have 10 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: today as the baseline for the future, could means our 11 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: economy as a roaring bash. Bloomberg Sound On with Joe 12 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 1: Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. Thanks for joining us on the 13 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,839 Speaker 1: fastest hour in politics as we focus today on one 14 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: of the biggest unfinished items of the year in Washington, 15 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: filling the empty seats on the Federal Reserve. Joining us 16 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: to talk about it is Joe Lafornia, chief Economist of 17 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: the Americas at Natixis and former chief economists on the 18 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: White House National Economic Council. Joe, it's good to have 19 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: you back. What's taken so long? That's a very good question. 20 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: I guess you'd have to ask the President. But there 21 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 1: are three open seats, and there are also to two 22 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 1: president seats that are open. And while the administration doesn't 23 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: have direct influence on those seats, I'm sure there are 24 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: people in the administration that would like those those filled 25 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 1: as well. What I can tell you, Joe, if you 26 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 1: look at the composition of the f O m C 27 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 1: in ver uh, you wind up losing some very debblish 28 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 1: or i should say market friendly presidents, and the committee 29 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:36,959 Speaker 1: will become more hawkish. So there certainly is an incentive 30 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 1: for the administration to put forward the candidates they want, 31 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: and my guess is they would do so in a 32 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: way to try to blunt the the hawkishness or I 33 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 1: should say less delishness that's likely to be on the 34 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 1: committee next year. Well, that's going to be an interesting 35 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 1: line to walk, right, because here you have an administration 36 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: that wants to make good with progressive Democrats, looking for diversity, 37 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: looking for a new approach on the FED. But you've 38 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 1: also got inflation knocking on the door. Yes, you've got 39 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: inflation knocking on the door. I mean I remember that. 40 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: You know. When I studied monetary policy back in school, 41 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 1: we learned that the FED funds rate was a very 42 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: blunt tool. Since then, the FED tool kit has expanded 43 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 1: largely through asset purchases, but they're certainly limits to what 44 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: monetary policy can do. And one of the problems the 45 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: administration is going to face in twenty two if they 46 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 1: want to get all three uh people filled, is getting 47 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: Senate confirmation and if they wind them going with somebody 48 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: who is who is more extreme we saw, for example, 49 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: what happened with the control of the currency, that's going 50 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 1: to be very difficult for them to fill all three 51 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 1: of those spots. So they may have to pick more 52 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 1: of a centrist or maybe a center left leaning economist 53 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: type to maybe get it through the Congress, because it's 54 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 1: gonna be hard to get all three through right now. 55 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,680 Speaker 1: I guess that's the good problem and having three seats 56 00:02:53,720 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: to fill here, although it does also seem that progressive 57 00:02:56,880 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 1: and namely Senator Elizabeth Warren, who's kind of driven this 58 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: as a political issue on Capitol Hill, are really zeroing 59 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: in on this supervisory role. That's the one that will 60 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: be judged. Joe, right, Yeah, the supervisory role is is important. 61 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 1: Having said that, Leo Brainer, who who basically had that role, 62 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 1: has not been elevated to the vice share, and she 63 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:19,120 Speaker 1: does work quite closely and for everything I've seen and read, 64 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 1: works very well with m with Jay Powell, so that 65 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: that supervisor role is important. But you got some continuity 66 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 1: there in terms of the key people still running the 67 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:32,080 Speaker 1: FED are there. So maybe that's the push. Maybe the 68 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: push is gonna be trying to get somebody on the 69 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: supervisory side. So if the p's one faction of the party, right, 70 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: but you still need good people on the monetary side. Ultimately, 71 00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 1: I think that's what matters. Well, let's throw a couple 72 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,160 Speaker 1: of names around, Joe Lavornia. We see the shortlists there, 73 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 1: they're they're pretty consistent based on where you're looking, or 74 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: depending on where you're looking, William Spriggs appears to be 75 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: on most all of them. Chief economists at the A 76 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: F l C I O Economics Professor Howard University gives 77 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 1: you good feelings or concerns about confirmation when you hear 78 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 1: that name. Look, the administration hasn't called me to ask 79 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:08,040 Speaker 1: who who I would know? Certainly you did that exactly, 80 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: But there are some people who I think could be 81 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 1: very very good in the governor role, who who would 82 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: potentially be a lot less less provocative or much easier, 83 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 1: much less of a fight. I'm thinking someone, for example, 84 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:24,599 Speaker 1: is hypothetical. I hadn't talked to him about this. I 85 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 1: don't know him, but but Jason Furman, for example, Jason, 86 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: to me seems very reasonable. I don't agree with with 87 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: everything he says by any means, but but Jason ran 88 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,839 Speaker 1: the County Economic Advisors under President Obama, and he seems 89 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 1: like a very thoughtful, reasonable person. So someone like him 90 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: would be would be my choice. I know Jared Bernstey, 91 00:04:42,560 --> 00:04:43,839 Speaker 1: and I haven't talked to him in a while. I 92 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: know he's also now the County Exombic Advisors under under 93 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:50,359 Speaker 1: President Biden. I kind of like, you're gonna go left, 94 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: I like sort of a little bit center left, and 95 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: um that that would kind of be my thought. I'm 96 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 1: not sure whether the gentleman you mentioned would go through 97 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: so easily. It would probably be a fight. And the 98 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 1: fact the cage you might only get one person through, 99 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:04,720 Speaker 1: not not to others. Well, it's interesting because I was 100 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:06,200 Speaker 1: going to ask you what you thought of those with 101 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:10,039 Speaker 1: actual fed experience. When we talk about people like Sarah 102 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:13,720 Speaker 1: Bloom Raskin, for instance, or even Raphael Bostic's name keeps 103 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:17,839 Speaker 1: coming up as well. That's right. Uh, look to me, 104 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: you know, we we talk about diversity and things of 105 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 1: that sort, and you want breath, breath of experience. And 106 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 1: too often in the past we had sort of fed 107 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 1: people of just one similar ilk PhD s from you know, 108 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 1: salt water schools who had a lot of academic experience, 109 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:37,719 Speaker 1: but but not the other stuff. So I picked somebody 110 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 1: maybe who has never been in academia. It's in the 111 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 1: private sector. Let's let's try that. There are a lot 112 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:44,560 Speaker 1: of people I'm sure that would do it comes from 113 00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 1: banking or not sure. I mean, you've got three spots. 114 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 1: But I would think banking. I mean, given the fact 115 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: that is the primary banking regulator effectively, with all due 116 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 1: respect to the fd I S in the control of 117 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 1: the currency the ft is the main you know, the 118 00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:01,600 Speaker 1: main entity, the main earning body, the main regulatory body. 119 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 1: I should say, wouldn't you want somebody from the private 120 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 1: sector to give you a different set of views that 121 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 1: would you know, not to say the private sector is 122 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 1: always right, but they would at least have some sympathy 123 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 1: or understanding with how the sector works. And I would 124 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 1: think you kind of want that breath the people seem 125 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: to like Jay Powey's almost certainly going to go through 126 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: with flying colors. Jay has a private sector background. He 127 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,280 Speaker 1: doesn't fit that similar mold. Maybe should have another person 128 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,039 Speaker 1: like them. What will these confirmations look like? We're not 129 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:29,279 Speaker 1: talking about the FED share obviously, these are lower level 130 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: positions but very important ones within the Central Bank, but 131 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:38,119 Speaker 1: not household names. These aren't household jobs like a secretary 132 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,160 Speaker 1: of labor for instance, where people are going to be 133 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: sitting in their living room watching these confirmation hearings. But 134 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 1: of course, Joe, the markets will be watching. The markets 135 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:48,560 Speaker 1: will be watching. And I think back my days when 136 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 1: I was at the set and when I learned sort 137 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: of how how government sometimes works, and it's sort of 138 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 1: like sometimes the smaller the stakes, the bigger the fight. 139 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,479 Speaker 1: And while these people are very well, ultimately may not 140 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:02,120 Speaker 1: be household name. There is a mid term coming next year. 141 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 1: We all know, we know there's a lot of division 142 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 1: and divisiveness, and I can't help but think, unfortunately we're 143 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:09,840 Speaker 1: going to fight over this. Even though we like to 144 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: fill these spots, I think it's gonna be hard to 145 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 1: get all three. And my concern would be the administration 146 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 1: moves in a more progressive UH further left vein, and 147 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: that doesn't allow them to get the people they want 148 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 1: confirmed and by default will not allow them to fill 149 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 1: all the seats. So I basically, the mid terms, I 150 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: think are going to throw a kabash on things interesting. UH. 151 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 1: To extrapolate all of this and look ahead to the 152 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: actual policy and what the what the Fed might do 153 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 1: in the year ahead. We've been hearing, most recently about 154 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: three interest rate hikes. I just wonder, more broadly, when 155 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 1: you add three new members like this, assuming that they 156 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 1: get this done, and there's no guarantee that they will, 157 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 1: with the number of months that we've waited, what does 158 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 1: it mean for the Fed's overall posture in fighting inflation. 159 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 1: I'm of the view, Joe, that the FED will not 160 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 1: be be raising rates next year. If I'm wrong, maybe 161 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:04,000 Speaker 1: they could squeeze one in. UM. You know the nice thing. 162 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 1: When I look at my Bloomberg, I can tell you 163 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:08,840 Speaker 1: to go look at the yield curves two tens spread, 164 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: or even look at the two five spread, and the 165 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,119 Speaker 1: great things. You could even do it in forward space. 166 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 1: Whereas the market two years from now, when you look 167 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 1: at those spreads now or two years from now. They 168 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: essentially are arguing the FED on the cusp of a 169 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 1: policy error, making a policy mistake by pushing rates upwards 170 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 1: three times, because when the FED goes three times, the 171 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:32,320 Speaker 1: perceptions will go more. And given how sensitive asset prices 172 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: have been in the decision making process, and the fact 173 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: that I see the economy slowing very sharply next year 174 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:41,280 Speaker 1: and that will take inflation a bit lower, it's going 175 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 1: to be very hard for the set to go three times. 176 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:45,600 Speaker 1: And that's with the set that was already set to 177 00:08:45,640 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 1: be more hawkish relative to war we were this year. 178 00:08:48,880 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: So obviously, if the President gets some FED picks through, 179 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:55,560 Speaker 1: that would make my my podcast look even better because 180 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 1: if they would lower the probabilities of any rate hikes. Boy, 181 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,680 Speaker 1: do you not share the wides concern that many have 182 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 1: about inflation or do you do you think the market 183 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 1: has it wrong? Well, I would say the market has 184 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 1: it right. So for example, if we go back to 185 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 1: where the market was in early April, the market interest 186 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: rates for much higher the tenure note was about and 187 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 1: investors thought it was going to go to two percent 188 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: and above, and I said, wasn't expected to raise rates 189 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 1: until three Fast forward eight months later, inflations running more 190 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:29,120 Speaker 1: than double near seven. Market has pulled forward the timing 191 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: of the rate cuts, but actually longer meals are lower, 192 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 1: and more importantly, where the market thinks short rates will 193 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 1: be over the next few years is actually lower. So basically, 194 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 1: the market saying that's going to go sooner, but they'll 195 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:43,599 Speaker 1: all be gonna go less because they're raising race is 196 00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: going to slow the economy so much they'll have to stop. 197 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 1: And I think, to me, that's the shift. So inflation 198 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:52,320 Speaker 1: is a problem, no question, But the market tends to 199 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: look past inflation is focusing more Joe on the growth side. 200 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 1: And to me, when I look at the slope of 201 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:00,480 Speaker 1: the yield curve, when I see commodity prices peaking, I 202 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:04,200 Speaker 1: see the dollar strong, Uh, that tells me that there's 203 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 1: a very good chance economy freak it sharply. That means 204 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: lower rates in those inflation fears eventually will dissipate. But Joe, 205 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:15,559 Speaker 1: if you're Joe Biden and not Joel Lavornia, you can't 206 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 1: say on a microphone what you just said. Right, Yes, 207 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: inflation is a problem, but don't worry. When they start 208 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: playing around with interest rate's gonna slow things down. So 209 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:27,400 Speaker 1: much you wish you had an inflation problem. And that's 210 00:10:27,440 --> 00:10:30,080 Speaker 1: where we'll pick up next with Joe Lavornia, the chief 211 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,959 Speaker 1: economist of the America's at natixis former White House official. 212 00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: In fact, he was chief Economists on the White House 213 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:39,319 Speaker 1: National Economic Council. Stay with us, we'll check markets, will 214 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 1: check traffic as well. On the way, this is sound on. 215 00:10:43,600 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: I'm Joe Matthew. This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg. So 216 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 1: long with Joe Mathew on Bloomberg Radio. It continue our 217 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:10,520 Speaker 1: conversation with Joe Lavornia about filling empty seats on the 218 00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:13,560 Speaker 1: FED and his expectations for the economy in the new year. 219 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,680 Speaker 1: But first we climb into the sound on time machine. 220 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 1: Bring you back to late November when President Biden announced 221 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 1: his plans to renominate j Powell as FED chair Leo 222 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:26,440 Speaker 1: Brainered as Vice chare. We spoke that day with White 223 00:11:26,440 --> 00:11:29,720 Speaker 1: House Economic advisor Brian Deese about what went into the 224 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: decisions and where he sees inflation heading well. The President's 225 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:36,599 Speaker 1: focus in nominating both j. Powell and Leo Brainer was 226 00:11:36,640 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 1: to focus on people with experience, expertise, and independent judgment, 227 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: and we feel very good that we found two individuals 228 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 1: with unmatched experience, UH, sound judgment, crisis tested, coming through 229 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 1: this crisis, and both of them together spent a lot 230 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: of time working on this new monetary policy framework, a 231 00:11:56,520 --> 00:12:00,160 Speaker 1: commitment to a strong, robust recovery that brings everybody along. 232 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 1: So we feel very good about these two individuals, We 233 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:06,200 Speaker 1: feel good about the reaction to them, and we hope 234 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:08,760 Speaker 1: that we will get them confirmed quickly here and in place. 235 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:11,680 Speaker 1: The timing of this announcement, We've been talking about this, 236 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 1: of course for weeks. I wonder what took so long 237 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:18,600 Speaker 1: to make what apparently was such a non controversial announcement 238 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 1: With Powel and Brainer, well the presidents delivered about these issues. 239 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: The stakes on these decisions are high, uh. And by 240 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:28,319 Speaker 1: making the announcement now, what we're signaling is two very 241 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 1: strong individuals who we think will now have plenty of 242 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 1: time to be considered by the Senate and confirmed before 243 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 1: the end of these terms. So I think it's an 244 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 1: appropriate moment to get this rolling, and I think also 245 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: will be good for reinforcing something the President reinforced today, 246 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:46,240 Speaker 1: which is the independence and the credibility of the FED. 247 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:50,520 Speaker 1: It's incredibly important that we reinforce the independence of this 248 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 1: vital institution. I think the president. You see the President 249 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 1: prioritizing that in his announcements, and the timing helps to 250 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:58,560 Speaker 1: reinforce that these folks can and will be confirmed in 251 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 1: time before their terms ex fire. Brian, how has your 252 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 1: own view on inflation evolved these past weeks with some 253 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:06,679 Speaker 1: of the data that we have seen. It's become a 254 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 1: daily conversation, a full time job almost for this West Wing. 255 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 1: Do you see prices continuing to rise until the Fed 256 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 1: can knock them lower with interest rate hikes? The prices 257 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:20,520 Speaker 1: are high now, no question, and that is affecting American consumers. 258 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:22,679 Speaker 1: At the same time, we are looking at the actions 259 00:13:22,720 --> 00:13:26,080 Speaker 1: we can take as an administration to try to address those. 260 00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:28,679 Speaker 1: I think a lot of the drivers behind that is 261 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 1: that we still have COVID globally. It's affecting supply chains, 262 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,560 Speaker 1: it's affecting the supply demand balances. We certainly expect that 263 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:39,080 Speaker 1: to ease across time. So we're gonna do what we 264 00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 1: can to try to address these issues head on, while 265 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:45,439 Speaker 1: the Fed, we expect, we'll use its tools and make 266 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: those judgments independently. Was White House Economic Advisor Brian Deese 267 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:51,680 Speaker 1: talking to us from the White House in late November, 268 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 1: and we turned back now to Joe Lavornia, chief economist 269 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:58,400 Speaker 1: of the America's at natixis, Joe, you see inflation easing 270 00:13:58,440 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 1: next year? Well, I think the them Joe is, You've 271 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:05,200 Speaker 1: had these supplied disruptions which have certainly aggravated the inflation. 272 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 1: And you had unnecessary, unneeded fiscal policy that we had 273 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 1: back in March and nearly two trillion dollar plan that 274 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 1: was done through reconciliation that listed the household savings rate, 275 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,200 Speaker 1: that created access to me and pulled a lot of 276 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 1: activity forward, which further exacerbated the inflation problem. So I 277 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 1: think to figure out the mechanics or the history of 278 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 1: why we have this inflation there, there's some policy mistakes 279 00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 1: that have been made along the way. What I would 280 00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 1: advise the administration on certainly is to is to not 281 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 1: raise taxes, do not raise marginal rates, do not raise 282 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 1: capital gains rates, and do things to increase the supplied 283 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 1: capacity the economy, because ultimately you have strong demand, you 284 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 1: want to meet that with strong supply. I just don't 285 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 1: know if if anything I've seen to suggest the administration 286 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:50,280 Speaker 1: is going to go that route. But a bit troubled 287 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 1: when they're looking at like anti competitive measures, there is 288 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 1: a way that like lower inflation. That's not why inflation size, 289 00:14:55,480 --> 00:15:00,240 Speaker 1: not because vanti competition, It's because of policy, uh rules 290 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: or policy decisions that were made that have exacerbated the inflation. 291 00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 1: COVID is the wild card here, right. If we start 292 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 1: seeing shutdowns, that's a game changer for J. Powell, Right, 293 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,160 Speaker 1: it is. I mean, unfortunately we're not going to go 294 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 1: to at least a hard lockdown, but that there might 295 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:18,880 Speaker 1: be some softer lockdowns. The one thing that I'm very surprised, 296 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: I don't understand why people haven't observed this. It's something 297 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 1: that I observed and I was in the White House 298 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: over a year ago, and that is a seasonality to 299 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 1: the virus where you tend to get these cases spiking 300 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 1: in the warm months in the south and southeast, and 301 00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 1: then of course the saint happens in the in the winter, 302 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 1: in the colder months because people are inside, they're packed 303 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:39,640 Speaker 1: closely together. And that's the one thing that's been consistent 304 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 1: through and through. I'm hopeful that the omicron for everything 305 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 1: that I've seen suggests that it's virulence is nowhere near 306 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 1: is high it's nowhere near as lethal. Um. I believe 307 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,520 Speaker 1: that's the case, and if so, then I don't think 308 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 1: we're going to go down that even more soft low. 309 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 1: I don't stay soft to lock of the term soft lockdown. 310 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 1: I don't think we'll go that route here. The issue, though, 311 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:03,320 Speaker 1: my big concern is that if if places in Asia, 312 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 1: China is pursuing a zero COVID policy, if they shut down, 313 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:10,400 Speaker 1: that just means that we're going to get our goods 314 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 1: longer from where we ordered them from from Asia, because 315 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 1: you noticed most of the poort issues have been on 316 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 1: the West coast Asian trade. That's right. So I think 317 00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 1: the US is in reasonably good shape now. I think 318 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 1: we we we've you know, we've made some good progress 319 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: on the virus, and therapeutics are coming. But I'm what 320 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 1: we have to not worry about what other country's reactions 321 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 1: to do. And if that's the case, that will keep 322 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 1: inflation higher. But does the FED raise rates in that environment. 323 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 1: Probably not, But it's a good question. We'd have to 324 00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:42,520 Speaker 1: ask j Powell. Anywhere from zero to three sounds like 325 00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 1: where we're settling in this conversation. Yeah, and I would 326 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 1: air closer Joe to zero and I would just one 327 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: other things for your listeners. When we look at the 328 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 1: history of of of tightening a monetary policy, they've always 329 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 1: tended to drag things out. And in fifteen the SET 330 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 1: thought it would raise rates four times, and the Set 331 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: only race rates once. It was in December, and they 332 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:04,120 Speaker 1: waited another year to raise rates the second time. Now 333 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:08,080 Speaker 1: the inevitable the pushback is but Joe, inflation was significantly 334 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 1: higher today than it was then, And that's exactly right. 335 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 1: But but but the yield curve today is much flatter, 336 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:18,200 Speaker 1: and when the Fed does raise rates, the yield curve 337 00:17:18,280 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 1: maybe the flattest it has ever been when the Fed's 338 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:24,400 Speaker 1: initially raised rates. That tells you the market is saying, look, 339 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:26,240 Speaker 1: they're not going to get the chance to do that 340 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:28,560 Speaker 1: many because again we're worried about the economy slowing. And 341 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 1: it could be for variety of reasons, could be administration policies, 342 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:33,879 Speaker 1: that could be COVID, could be whatnot. But but I 343 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 1: like thinking we're closely the zero than rate. Joel Lavorgna 344 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:40,680 Speaker 1: is chief economist of the America's at natixis former chief 345 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 1: economist as well at the White House National Economic Council. 346 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 1: In the Trump administration, and in advance of this weekend, 347 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: I will wish you a very happy new year. Come 348 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:51,760 Speaker 1: back and see us since twenty two, will compare notes 349 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:57,920 Speaker 1: on sound on. I'm Joe Matthew. This is Boomberg. You're 350 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:01,960 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg. You sowned on with Joe Matthew on 351 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:06,119 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. So to think we're going into the new 352 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 1: year with empty seats on the Federal Reserve. At one 353 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 1: point we heard that names would be announced the beginning 354 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 1: of December, and even that was considered to be pushing it. 355 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:17,919 Speaker 1: But the White House appears to be. As we were 356 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: just discussing with Joe Lavorgna in no real hurry, Let's 357 00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: assemble the panel. See what Rick and Genie think about it. 358 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:27,680 Speaker 1: As we spend time with Bloomberg Politics contributors Genie Chanzano 359 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 1: and Rick Davis. I'll start with you here, Jeannie. I 360 00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 1: know this isn't something people are walking around talking about 361 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 1: in their households. Here, this is not likely table conversation 362 00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: at least outside of the Beltway or financial circles, uh 363 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:42,879 Speaker 1: at at the New Year's Eve bash, But this is 364 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: something that needs to get done. Why would why would 365 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:49,680 Speaker 1: President Biden wait so long after announcing his nomination for 366 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 1: the FED share have Lail Brainerd his vice chair. We 367 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,960 Speaker 1: thought that would be followed on by his vision, you know, 368 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:59,199 Speaker 1: a broader vision for the Federal Reserve of the future. 369 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:00,920 Speaker 1: You know, this is one of the things that I 370 00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:05,520 Speaker 1: think has been very perplexing. Um in particular because of course, 371 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:09,200 Speaker 1: the issue of inflation is such a politically charged issue 372 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:12,480 Speaker 1: right now. If the President was to make these appointments, 373 00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 1: it would show he has wrapped his hands around it 374 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 1: and is moving forward. So, you know, I think it 375 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,720 Speaker 1: is perplexing that they have taken quite this long. My 376 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:24,680 Speaker 1: one guess is that they are trying to ensure that 377 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,879 Speaker 1: whoever they appoint has the support that they need, and 378 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 1: they may feel like they have some work to do 379 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,680 Speaker 1: in terms of keeping the progressives on board in that regard. 380 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,240 Speaker 1: If inflation is the word here, Rick, wouldn't it look 381 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:38,880 Speaker 1: good to be leaning into your your vision of the FED. Yeah, 382 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 1: And I think that's what he accomplished. When the President 383 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:45,119 Speaker 1: appointed uh Terman pal for another term, right he was 384 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 1: you know, a little bit more aggressive hawkish, you know, 385 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 1: on on inflation. But I think that it really is 386 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,520 Speaker 1: emanates the delays emanate from the point that Genie was 387 00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 1: just making, which is he's got such a big constituency 388 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 1: on Capitol Hill. I mean, like a Lizza with Warren 389 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:03,480 Speaker 1: thinks that these are her appointments and uh and and 390 00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:06,119 Speaker 1: he's probably trying to consult with all of them and 391 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,680 Speaker 1: come up with some kind of a uh consensus. The 392 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,440 Speaker 1: problem is there is no consensus in the appointment process. 393 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,359 Speaker 1: You gotta pick your team and you've got to get 394 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:18,040 Speaker 1: them through confirmation, and it just doesn't seem to be smart. 395 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,520 Speaker 1: I think for the White House to delay these kinds 396 00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:22,720 Speaker 1: of appointments where they actually need the work done. You've 397 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,199 Speaker 1: got three seats though, Rick, doesn't that make it easier, 398 00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 1: you know, give someone like Elizabeth Warren a progressive maybe 399 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 1: even in the supervisory role, and that that that clear 400 00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 1: space to do what you want with the other too. 401 00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,640 Speaker 1: You know. It's it's what you say, Joe, it's so important. 402 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 1: It is the Supreme Court of business. I mean, if 403 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 1: anyone said, oh, you've got three Supreme Court appointments, to 404 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:47,480 Speaker 1: imagine you can actually form the consensus around FED policy. 405 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 1: Uh for the next you know, ten years. By these appointments, 406 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:54,280 Speaker 1: he'll have made five fed appointments in the first year. 407 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 1: I mean, it's an extraordinary ability to influence you know, 408 00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 1: that kind of monetary policy, and yet he seems reluctant 409 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,120 Speaker 1: to do so. Well, maybe there's a calculation here, getting 410 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: back to your point, Genie, that if inflation is going 411 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,400 Speaker 1: to be the overriding issue in the midterm election year, 412 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,760 Speaker 1: maybe you hold off. You don't do this, uh in 413 00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,040 Speaker 1: the middle of the holidays when nobody's paying attention. Well, 414 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 1: that's a great point, because they may be waiting to say, 415 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,280 Speaker 1: look at what we've done, we are addressing this, and 416 00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: we want to do it to your point, when people 417 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 1: are actually paying attention and not otherwise occupied with the 418 00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 1: holiday break. You know that said, I do think it 419 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 1: is critically important that they move on this. I'm not 420 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 1: sure to Rick's point that people are paying you know, 421 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 1: generally close attention in the you know, sort of public domain, 422 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:43,960 Speaker 1: people interest in Wall Street are, and the President I 423 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:46,280 Speaker 1: don't know that this makes sense to be waiting this 424 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,479 Speaker 1: long on this, and I'm not sure it's a winning 425 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,959 Speaker 1: strategy as he thinks about the mid term. I think 426 00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:55,160 Speaker 1: you're better off getting these up, getting them pushed through, 427 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:58,200 Speaker 1: and showing that you are moving forward, Rick Davis, what 428 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,480 Speaker 1: do you think of the shortlist or any the names 429 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,119 Speaker 1: realistic that you've been hearing so far? You know, I 430 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 1: think that most of them are appointable. I do believe 431 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 1: that um, uh, Biden will use a very strong commitment, 432 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:15,240 Speaker 1: as he has said publicly, to diversity. He wants to 433 00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:20,639 Speaker 1: diversify the Federal Reserve, more women, more minorities. Uh. And 434 00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 1: I think that's a very positive thing for him to do. 435 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 1: But uh, in the in the shortlist certainly approaches that 436 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 1: that goal. So again, I really don't think it's a 437 00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,239 Speaker 1: question of whether or not they have qualified candidates who 438 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,480 Speaker 1: fit all the requirements that the Biden administration has. It 439 00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 1: just doesn't seem like it's a priority for them. And 440 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 1: yet I think he's very vulnerable. I mean, if I 441 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:46,280 Speaker 1: were running a campaign against Joe Biden in the mid terms, 442 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:48,000 Speaker 1: which of course, you know, you don't have to, but 443 00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,800 Speaker 1: of course people will, I would say that the chairman 444 00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,879 Speaker 1: he picked, you know, said that inflation was transient, and 445 00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,360 Speaker 1: he didn't bother putting other people on board to try 446 00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,720 Speaker 1: and stop inflation. And and I think it's a it's 447 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,320 Speaker 1: a commercial that writes itself. Jeannie We're hearing names like 448 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 1: William Spriggs, a f l c I O, like Lisa Cook. 449 00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,159 Speaker 1: They tend to emerge in all of these conversations as well. 450 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:13,200 Speaker 1: Sarah Bloom raskin, Are any of these a problem to 451 00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:16,000 Speaker 1: the extent that Joel Lavornia says as a Republican, You're 452 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,280 Speaker 1: just not going to get all of them approved. You know, 453 00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:21,160 Speaker 1: I think they are all well qualified. You look at Cook, 454 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:24,120 Speaker 1: you look at Spriggs. You know, these are all well 455 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 1: known qualified people. They do help meet some of the 456 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: issues that I think are rightly to be considered in 457 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,880 Speaker 1: terms of diversity, which has been lacking at the FED. 458 00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 1: But I also think in a fifty fifty Senate, you 459 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 1: have to get consensus and that's probably what or at 460 00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,400 Speaker 1: least you have to get enough support to get them through, 461 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,479 Speaker 1: and that's probably what the President and his team are 462 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:49,160 Speaker 1: trying to ensure. But you're never gonna make everybody happy 463 00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 1: when you're talking about people as varied as Elizabeth Warren 464 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,359 Speaker 1: on the one hand, and then some of the Republicans 465 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 1: on the other who are going to have a large 466 00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,240 Speaker 1: voice on this. So I think he's going to have 467 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:01,240 Speaker 1: to move forward recognizing they may not you know, any 468 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,840 Speaker 1: one of these individuals qualified may not get the widespread 469 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,399 Speaker 1: support they would like, but he's got a number of 470 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 1: appointments to fill all of these positions in a way 471 00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:12,120 Speaker 1: that at least you make people happy with at least 472 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 1: one or two of these. Rick, you want to see 473 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:17,320 Speaker 1: an outsider, maybe somebody from the banking sector or even 474 00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:19,440 Speaker 1: not from the private sector. The list is full of 475 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:21,639 Speaker 1: that kind of adversity. But I think the priorities have 476 00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:24,400 Speaker 1: got to be putting people of color on this board 477 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:29,479 Speaker 1: as all white mes uh is the typical mantra. Now 478 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,640 Speaker 1: it's all white men and women. Uh. And I think 479 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:36,400 Speaker 1: that people like Lisa Cook, you know, from Michigan State University, 480 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,959 Speaker 1: and and and Phil Jefferson. Uh. These are candidates who 481 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 1: I think deserve a look, and I think it's very 482 00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 1: hard for Republicans to vote against them because there are 483 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:48,200 Speaker 1: people of color and that they're qualified. And so I 484 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: think that I think that would be one of the 485 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,480 Speaker 1: big impacts. It's a historical impact to the Federal Reserve Board. 486 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:58,240 Speaker 1: Insights from our sound on Signature Panel Bloomberg Politics contributors 487 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,640 Speaker 1: Genie Schanzano and Rick Davi. Many thanks to you both 488 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:03,359 Speaker 1: as always and coming up, we look back on the 489 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 1: political stories that resonated most with registered voters this year, 490 00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 1: based on rolling research from Morning Consult. We'll talk with 491 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:15,400 Speaker 1: the firm's Cameron Easily about Morning Consults annual special report, 492 00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 1: the headlines Most seen, read and heard in. We'll have 493 00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:23,720 Speaker 1: details ahead on sound On. I'm Joe Matthew. This is Bloomberg. 494 00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. 495 00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 1: We of course talk politics every day here on sound On, 496 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,160 Speaker 1: and it's always fascinating for us to see which stories 497 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:43,120 Speaker 1: resonate the most with voters. New research from Morning Consult 498 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,720 Speaker 1: gives us a good sense of that. An annual report 499 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:49,080 Speaker 1: based on the firm's polling of registered voters over the 500 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,399 Speaker 1: course of a year, the headlines most seen, read and 501 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 1: heard in. And we're joined by Cameron Easily, senior editor 502 00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 1: at Morning Consult. Cameron, welcome back to Bloomberg. Rady, thanks 503 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 1: for having me, Joe. That we're winding down the year 504 00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:07,280 Speaker 1: here and the executive summary here on your analysis reads 505 00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 1: like a scary story, Cameron, over the course of a 506 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 1: year that brought Americans the fallout from an insurrection, the 507 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:17,520 Speaker 1: start of Joe Biden's presidency, a stubborn pandemic and a 508 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 1: fair amount of economic anxiety. Morning Consult asked, as you 509 00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:24,680 Speaker 1: point out roughly a hundred thousand registered voters, how much 510 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:29,360 Speaker 1: they'd seen, read, or heard about hundreds of current events. 511 00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:35,760 Speaker 1: What story resonated the most. The top story was actually 512 00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 1: President Joe Biden's signing of the so called American Rescue Plan, 513 00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 1: that was the one point nine trillion dollar coronavirus relief 514 00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:49,399 Speaker 1: package back in March. That was obviously such a huge 515 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:54,360 Speaker 1: point of discussion both uh, you know, on on Capitol 516 00:26:54,440 --> 00:27:00,480 Speaker 1: Hill between uh, you know, late into early and also 517 00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,320 Speaker 1: you know, just kind of a dominant topic on the 518 00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:06,960 Speaker 1: campaign trail as well. It was something that that now 519 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 1: President Joe Biden really ran on as a candidate challenging 520 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,760 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. And you know, of course the perhaps the 521 00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:20,159 Speaker 1: hallmark of this legislation, um is the direct stimulus payment 522 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:24,240 Speaker 1: to Americans, which we really saw breakthrough and and resonate 523 00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 1: with the public in a way that that a lot 524 00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:31,840 Speaker 1: of legislation in policy, uh, in the in the power 525 00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:36,040 Speaker 1: quarters of Washington does not seem to to find folks 526 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:40,040 Speaker 1: on Main Street. The American Rescue Plan the number one 527 00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:44,640 Speaker 1: story that resonates with Americans, even before we spent six 528 00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:49,520 Speaker 1: months debating the Build Back Better Plan, reconciliation, infrastructure, and 529 00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,960 Speaker 1: everything else that seemed to steal headlines. What do you 530 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:54,600 Speaker 1: what do you make of that camera? Is it the 531 00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,400 Speaker 1: fact that it involved direct checks to Americans? I think 532 00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 1: that's absolutely what we're seeing here, Joe. We did a 533 00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:07,000 Speaker 1: ton of pulling around the American Rescue Plan back in 534 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 1: the in the beginning of the year as it was 535 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 1: coming to fruition and and moving uh from chamber to 536 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,040 Speaker 1: chamber on Capitol Hill. And you know, what we found 537 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 1: was that far and away of the of the very 538 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:25,160 Speaker 1: many provisions tucked into that bill, voters were much more 539 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:30,480 Speaker 1: likely to report, you know, recognizing the checks aspect of 540 00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:34,159 Speaker 1: it than than to than to realize many of the 541 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 1: other things like it did, such as, you know, create 542 00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:41,720 Speaker 1: the expanded child tax credit, or you know, a variety 543 00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 1: of other kind of provisions as they relate to kind 544 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 1: of you know, the social safety net. So you know, 545 00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 1: very very clear that money talks, and more importantly, it 546 00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:56,600 Speaker 1: resonates with the American public. I wonder if there's some 547 00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,000 Speaker 1: fatigue as well, And my gosh, it's hard to start 548 00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:01,480 Speaker 1: telling and let you're a real wonk like we are. 549 00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,440 Speaker 1: Some of these pieces of legislation apart they all have 550 00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:08,120 Speaker 1: weird names Build Back Better, American Rescue Plan, there's infrastructure, 551 00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:12,160 Speaker 1: hard infrastructure, soft infrastructure to people tune out during the summer. 552 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:16,240 Speaker 1: Uh they do. And you know, really the other the 553 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 1: other important part of this is that you know, some 554 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,240 Speaker 1: of those other pieces of legislation, uh, you know, kind 555 00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:27,080 Speaker 1: of as you mentioned, have been you know, installed on progress. 556 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:31,040 Speaker 1: They've taken a really really long time to come together. 557 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 1: And you know, I think really just with with respect 558 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: to to the to the Democratic Party on Capitol Hill, 559 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 1: I think they've really had some messaging problems. Uh, you know, 560 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:43,120 Speaker 1: talking about the benefits of the bill, really spending time 561 00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:46,120 Speaker 1: messaging the bill, especially as it relates to Build Back Better. 562 00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:49,400 Speaker 1: They didn't even really you know, know exactly what what 563 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,800 Speaker 1: was in it. Uh, you know, Joe Mansion opposes in 564 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,600 Speaker 1: its current form, and it probably looks like it's it's 565 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:58,400 Speaker 1: going to change again if they are going to get 566 00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,480 Speaker 1: into any kind of a product. But you know, obviously, 567 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 1: whenever a president takes office with his party and control 568 00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:08,920 Speaker 1: of both Chambers and Capitol Hill at the very beginning 569 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,520 Speaker 1: of the presidency. We see something of a of a 570 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:16,200 Speaker 1: honeymoon period in terms of a popular appeal of the president, 571 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,440 Speaker 1: but we also see a big focus on what that 572 00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 1: new kind of governing majority, that new government of Washington 573 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 1: is going to do. And the way that Democrats were 574 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:30,440 Speaker 1: able to move quickly and strike fast and get the 575 00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:34,160 Speaker 1: American rescue plan over the line and relatively short order 576 00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:39,080 Speaker 1: certainly helped create kind of a big media moment, uh 577 00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 1: that you know, we really haven't seen replicated in the 578 00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:47,600 Speaker 1: months since. Then once things start to get drawn out here, 579 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:51,120 Speaker 1: people stop paying attention in many cases. Cameron, how about 580 00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:53,640 Speaker 1: the Delta variant and COVID. This is on your list 581 00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:56,200 Speaker 1: among the top stories, and of course that shouldn't be 582 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 1: a surprise with the way it's impacted people on a 583 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:02,560 Speaker 1: personal level. But I wonder if people's opinions are changing 584 00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 1: about the way we're managing COVID. Well, you know, I 585 00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 1: do think we are starting to see some indications, uh 586 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 1: that that is the case. But you know, first to 587 00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: get back to your point about the Delta variant. Yes, 588 00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:21,960 Speaker 1: it was the uh fifth most scene read or heard 589 00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 1: about story of the year, with nearly three and five 590 00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:30,160 Speaker 1: voters reporting hearing a lot about that. Back when we 591 00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 1: pulled on it kind of late June early July, when 592 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:38,560 Speaker 1: it was really starting to take off, Democrats uh significantly 593 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:42,600 Speaker 1: more likely than Republicans, about about fifteen points more likely 594 00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: to report hearing a lot about that, which I think, 595 00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:47,800 Speaker 1: you know, sees a little bit bit more into the 596 00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,240 Speaker 1: point that you're that you're trying to bank there. This 597 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:53,360 Speaker 1: is something that we have seen kind of across the board, 598 00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 1: is that well, Democrats are more likely than Republicans to 599 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:59,680 Speaker 1: hear a lot about any particular news event, uh for 600 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:03,560 Speaker 1: own news in particular, we see that effect is magnified, 601 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:06,440 Speaker 1: and COVID happens to be one of them. You know, 602 00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 1: since early on in the pandemic, uh, since you know 603 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:12,880 Speaker 1: President Trump at the time kind of uh instructed the 604 00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:16,520 Speaker 1: country to to open up back in April, we've really 605 00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:23,280 Speaker 1: seen um an increasingly uh politicized perception of the virus, 606 00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:25,880 Speaker 1: where really your your stance on the virus is just 607 00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 1: become really uh innately linked to to your own political identity. 608 00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,000 Speaker 1: And I think that's kind of something that we're that 609 00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 1: we're seeing here with with these numbers. Uh. You know, 610 00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,840 Speaker 1: I do think with with the omicron variant. We are 611 00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:46,840 Speaker 1: starting to see perhaps maybe some some some COVID state 612 00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:52,160 Speaker 1: of emergency fatigue. Another really interesting and useful tool that 613 00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 1: that Morning Console employees and tracks on a weekly basis 614 00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:59,760 Speaker 1: is tracking consumers comfort towards a variety of activities uh 615 00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:02,920 Speaker 1: in public sphere. And one thing that we have seen 616 00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 1: in recent weeks is that as cases have have risen 617 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:08,720 Speaker 1: with a macron and we're starting to see a lot 618 00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:12,920 Speaker 1: of media attention on the variant, UH, the share of 619 00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:17,880 Speaker 1: of of consumer comfort hasn't really declined or or reacted 620 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,640 Speaker 1: in any way that that news coverage. So it is 621 00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,720 Speaker 1: certainly possible that we are, you know, starting to see 622 00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 1: some kind of a different posture generally from the public 623 00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:32,520 Speaker 1: towards the virus. It's definitely too early to tell, uh. 624 00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:35,720 Speaker 1: And that's just one that's just one possibility, yeah, boy, 625 00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 1: and I suspect that could change a few more times 626 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:41,760 Speaker 1: in depending on the trajectory of the pandemic. I thought 627 00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:46,000 Speaker 1: gas prices would rank fairly high here, Cameron. How about 628 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,920 Speaker 1: in terms of energy, you found that no news story 629 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:52,600 Speaker 1: broke through like the Texas power crisis. What do you 630 00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,200 Speaker 1: make of that? Well, you know, I think we're seeing 631 00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:59,800 Speaker 1: a couple of things here. One thing is that we 632 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 1: are starting to see the media in general pay a 633 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:11,480 Speaker 1: little closer attention, uh two to weather Traditionally weather stories 634 00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:15,560 Speaker 1: that may may or may not have have implications or 635 00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:18,960 Speaker 1: or be kind of I don't know, showing us some 636 00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 1: kind of impact of the longer term changes that were 637 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 1: that were happening to see in the climate with with 638 00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:30,200 Speaker 1: as as it relates to the earth. But I think 639 00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:34,160 Speaker 1: what you're really seeing here with the Texas power blackouts 640 00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:38,120 Speaker 1: being the second most read, most being read heard about 641 00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:41,040 Speaker 1: story of the year, UH, is you're you're talking about 642 00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:44,279 Speaker 1: a story that was kind of made for for a 643 00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:48,880 Speaker 1: cable news cycle, right. Uh. It's something that uh is 644 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:54,919 Speaker 1: happening for a extended period of time. Uh. And it's 645 00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:58,360 Speaker 1: also you know, it's a it's a legitimate crisis for 646 00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:02,680 Speaker 1: that entire period of time. And so which as you 647 00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:06,279 Speaker 1: as as a result, you you see a lot of 648 00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:10,800 Speaker 1: of steady media attention um paid to the topic. And 649 00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:13,640 Speaker 1: I really think that's kind of what what makes the 650 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:17,160 Speaker 1: difference in a lot of cases, uh, with with these 651 00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:20,200 Speaker 1: news vests and standing out you know. On that note, 652 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:23,480 Speaker 1: you know, another of the two of the other top 653 00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:26,319 Speaker 1: five stories here on our on our top stories left 654 00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:30,000 Speaker 1: are also really kind of you know, made for cable 655 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:35,920 Speaker 1: TV stories, the condominium building collapse and serves that that 656 00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 1: killed dozens and and kind of spawned, you know, weeks 657 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:43,920 Speaker 1: and weeks of of of questions and coverage about what 658 00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:47,279 Speaker 1: went wrong, how could something like this happened? That was 659 00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:50,120 Speaker 1: also near the top. And then of course, you know 660 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:54,200 Speaker 1: the trial of of Derek Chosen, the former Many Latist 661 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:57,160 Speaker 1: police officer who was found guilty of murder an monte 662 00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,800 Speaker 1: manslaughter for the for the death of of George Floyd. 663 00:35:59,880 --> 00:36:03,080 Speaker 1: And you know, that's just another one of those drift 664 00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:06,680 Speaker 1: drift drift stories, uh, that happens in a relatively short 665 00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:09,400 Speaker 1: period of time where there's just a ton of of 666 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 1: media focus on what's happening. And so I think that's 667 00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,760 Speaker 1: that's a huge part of what makes those three stories, 668 00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:20,640 Speaker 1: the Texas blackouts, the Schovin verdicts, and and the Surf 669 00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:24,239 Speaker 1: Side condo collapse really resonate deeply is that they have 670 00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,840 Speaker 1: these legs in the news cycle and they really have 671 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:30,480 Speaker 1: time and space to kind of embed themselves in American psyche. 672 00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:33,880 Speaker 1: Really interesting info from Cameron Easley. We thank you Cameron, 673 00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:37,880 Speaker 1: senior editor at morning consults with us on sound On. 674 00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,120 Speaker 1: I'm Joe Matthew. This is Bloomba