1 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,479 Speaker 1: One of guys. How are you welcome into a Tuesday 2 00:00:16,480 --> 00:00:19,479 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Pereltz. 3 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:21,600 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials 4 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 1: ad sports talk Matt, and we are back after a 5 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: no foul, no harm day. So the balls were flying 6 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:33,879 Speaker 1: at our truest Park yesterday and O'Neill Cruz put on 7 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,839 Speaker 1: quite the show. That was fun. He easily, I mean 8 00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: he hit one five point thirteen flew over longest home run. 9 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: He hit the longest home run in the entire tournament, 10 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,559 Speaker 1: in the entire derby, So if you had bet that 11 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:48,199 Speaker 1: as well, O'Neill Cruz hit the longest home run, he 12 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 1: hit that as well, so that won us a half 13 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: a unit. But then he did not win the home 14 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:55,319 Speaker 1: run derby got beat by And it's still going on 15 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 1: right now, So I came downstairs to tape here at 16 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: eleven o'clock Eastern time. Over Yet it looks like it's 17 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 1: going to be cal Raley the odds on favorite, which 18 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 1: would be great news for the sports books because it 19 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:08,839 Speaker 1: won't be that big of a costly hit for them 20 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: for cal Rally to win. He was the favorite at 21 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 1: plus two twenty plus two thirty, so one in one. 22 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: A completely and totally flat day for us on a 23 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: Monday Tuesday to the All Star Game, we go. I've 24 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 1: got three bets for you guys, coming up one full 25 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: unit in two half unit plays or to win half 26 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: unit plays for us. Not going to go crazy in 27 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 1: the All Star Game, but something to watch, something to 28 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: be a part of. Coming up here in just one second. 29 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 1: But before we give you the picks for today, a 30 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 1: reminder about the very cool Jim Palmer autographed baseball that 31 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 1: we were giving away during the month of July. To 32 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 1: win this from our friends at Pristine Auction dot com 33 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 1: is very easy. Just go and subscribe to this very 34 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 1: YouTube channel for betting pros, or if you're listening to 35 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 1: the audio, go to YouTube subscribe to the betting pro 36 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: YouTube channel and then comment on this video whatever you 37 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: want to comment, and you will be entered into the 38 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: contest that we will give this away on the first 39 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 1: of August. So stay tuned for all the information for 40 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: a Jim Palmer signed baseball to be given away at 41 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 1: the end of July beginning of August for us. Also 42 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 1: a reminder about what's going on for our friends at 43 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:20,919 Speaker 1: novig that is still available at the moment. 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That's 54 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash juice. All right, we go to 55 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: tonight with the All Star game. Truest Park is where 56 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: we're going to be located for this. Sorry, I actually 57 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 1: got to move around on the screen. Normally don't do that, 58 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: but that looks kind of funky on screen. Let's fix it. 59 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: There we go live on air. We're fixing the video. 60 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:13,880 Speaker 1: So here we are Truest Park. So I went back 61 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 1: and took a look at the number of All Star 62 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: games outdoors. Now it's I get it. It's it's Atlanta. 63 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: So it's hot, it's sticky in the ball flies. But 64 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 1: the last time we played outdoors within twenty twenty three 65 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:28,960 Speaker 1: T Mobile Seattle, the National League won three to two. 66 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:33,960 Speaker 1: Dodger Stadium, three to two American League cores Field, even 67 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: cores Field, Everyone's at bet the over Nope five to 68 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 1: two Progressive Field, Cleveland for three Nationals Park. In twenty 69 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: eighteen outdoors game went to extras eight to six, So 70 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 1: a little bit of a anomaly there. In twenty sixteen 71 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 1: pet Goo Park, San Diego, warm Weather, I think it's 72 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: going to be hot, four to two. Okay. In fact, 73 00:03:56,640 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 1: of the games that have been played outdoors, of the 74 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: last ten games for the All Star Game that has 75 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: been played at an outdoor stadium, over seven has only 76 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: hit twice. On top of the fact that the American 77 00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 1: League has dominated in the outdoor venues. Now they won 78 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:19,159 Speaker 1: last year it was indoors, the game went over. It 79 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: was in Arlington, Texas, game went over. Jared Durant was 80 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 1: your MVP of that game, five to three win for 81 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: the for the AL. But in Seattle was three to 82 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:35,559 Speaker 1: two NL. That snapped a long streak of American League 83 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 1: domination in the All Star Game, and they finally won one. 84 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 1: Now do they win another one? More in that here 85 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:48,799 Speaker 1: in just one second. So here are your outdoor totals 86 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 1: for the last five three to two, three to two, 87 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 1: five to two, four to three total. Said at seven, 88 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: we have a really good push potential here. Okay, it's 89 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:03,600 Speaker 1: even money. We might get burned. But given the pitchers 90 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:06,279 Speaker 1: that they are about to be rolled out here for 91 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: the National League and the American League, I mean the pitchers. One, 92 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 1: we're starting with Paul Skeens, all right, So Paul Skiing starts. 93 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:20,279 Speaker 1: Then they're gonna throw in some order, Logan Webb, Zach Wheeler, 94 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 1: Mackenzie Gore, Robbie Ray, Chris Sayle, Yamamoto, Peralta, Diez, Suarez, 95 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: Rodriguez like good luck. Okay. At some point they may 96 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:36,359 Speaker 1: turn around and throw Jacob Mizerowski. Okay, heat, heat in 97 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 1: more heat. For the National League. Oh, the American League, 98 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:43,159 Speaker 1: they're not bad either. By the way. They're gonna start 99 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 1: the game with Terrek Skoubel. Then they're gonna throw Crochet 100 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,480 Speaker 1: at some point. Maybe he may come in. Max Fried, 101 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:55,480 Speaker 1: Hunter Brown, Jacob de Gram, Frember Valdez. I mean Freed's 102 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 1: not pitching obviously, because Freedz hurt. But Bubick, I mean 103 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 1: it's stoopid. I mean, you got just this list of 104 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 1: players that are going to be run out for both teams. 105 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: Pitching wise, we have a league that can't score. We 106 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 1: have a league that has seen a massive drop in 107 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 1: school in overall offense, they have the second lowest home 108 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 1: run rate in the last decade, So I mean they 109 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:27,159 Speaker 1: don't hit home runs, they strike out a ton, and 110 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:30,159 Speaker 1: it's power arm after power arm after power arm coming 111 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:32,640 Speaker 1: out of the bullpen. Under I don't know where we're 112 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 1: seeing offense. I could be dead wrong. Under seven, it's 113 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: it's kind of a simple play for me under seven 114 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 1: and even money for one unit. It's worth the shot. Okay, 115 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 1: if a couple of guys run into them and we 116 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 1: see a five to three final or something like that, 117 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 1: tip of the cap, I lost, will move on. It's 118 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 1: an even money play, not that big of a deal. 119 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 1: But this is just too easy in terms of looking 120 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 1: at the outdoor games, looking what we've seen and the 121 00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: arms coming out of both it's just dumb. I mean, 122 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 1: too much power, too much fire coming out of the 123 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:09,280 Speaker 1: bullpen and starting the game. Speaking of starting the game, 124 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 1: so we're going under seven. This bet is extremely juicy, 125 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: but I don't care. No run in the first inning, 126 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 1: scooble up against Paul Skins. Why well, look at we're 127 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:27,119 Speaker 1: talking about again. Just ridiculous talent to start the game. 128 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: Got a two h one ERA for Paul Skeins, a 129 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 1: point nine to three whip, a twenty eight percent strikeout ratio. 130 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 1: A guy whose stuff is just ridiculous. He's impossible to 131 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 1: hit and early in games. I mean, you don't score 132 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 1: on Paul reeves on Paul Skins. According to Baseball Reference, 133 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 1: Paul Skeens has allowed zero runs two walks in thirteen 134 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 1: hits in the first inning this season, while recording twenty 135 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 1: two strikeouts. He's thrown a scoreless first inning in all 136 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 1: twenty of his starts so far this year. Jurak Schoolble 137 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 1: is equally stupid. With a one point nine to four 138 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 1: er and a point seventy one whip. He has been 139 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: tremendous in the first inning. He has a thirty two 140 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:15,679 Speaker 1: percent strikeout rate in his first time through the order. 141 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: He's been good in sixteen of nineteen starts in twenty 142 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:23,559 Speaker 1: twenty five. It's extraordinarily expensive. I don't care. I'm gonna 143 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: lay it, but lay it to win a half a 144 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: unit like a prop. Bet. Okay, this is like a prop. 145 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: It is a prop really by definition. But Nurfy minus 146 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: won sixty at point eight units to win a half 147 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: a unit. Coming back again, if somebody runs into one 148 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: in the first inning, it hits a home run and 149 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: you just hip the cap and move on. Okay, not 150 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 1: that big of a deal, but I can't see it. 151 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 1: I know it's expensive, but I can't see how either 152 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 1: team scores. Just given the two pitchers that are starting, 153 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 1: they're gonna come out and throw absolute gas out of 154 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:59,720 Speaker 1: the gate. Scooble in skiins for three outs. Good luck, 155 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: tough to hit those guys. I don't care what the 156 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 1: lineup says. I don't care who the batters are. I 157 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 1: don't care how many times you put Otania up up 158 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 1: against Schooble. It's Schooble. Okay, Durfy minus one sixty to 159 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 1: win a half a unit. And finally, we're gonna come 160 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 1: in here and we're gonna jump in with the National 161 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: League to win. Why Atani? They have Atani and the 162 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,959 Speaker 1: American League doesn't look I've been making fun of the 163 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: American League for most of this entire season. I think 164 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:35,680 Speaker 1: the American League is kind of trash and the lineup, frankly, 165 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:39,559 Speaker 1: is not nearly as impressive as what the American League. 166 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:44,199 Speaker 1: I mean, Labor Torres is leading off, Labor Torres leading off. 167 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 1: We've got Riley Green, who's gonna come in here in 168 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: bet in that second judge and Raleigh in Vladdie Junior 169 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 1: as you're three four five is really impressive. But I 170 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: just don't like the American League roster offensively. The NL 171 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 1: lineup has Otani Akunya marte In Freeman one, two, three 172 00:10:03,120 --> 00:10:07,960 Speaker 1: and four, Machado you got you know, PCA is batting ninth. 173 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 1: I mean like you got the guy who might win 174 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 1: the MVP one for a tawny betting ninth. So like 175 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:16,439 Speaker 1: the National League just better. Okay, there's a better team. 176 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 1: I know the American League has kicked their tails, but 177 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 1: I think after two years ago winning four to three 178 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 1: to two in Seattle and then losing last year in Arlington, 179 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 1: I don't think we see another American League run. I 180 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:34,320 Speaker 1: think the National League bounces back. It's a slight price 181 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 1: on the National League. Bet it to win a half 182 00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: a unit minus one ten. You can find it in 183 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: the market. I'll take the National League to win the 184 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 1: the the win the All Star Game coming up here 185 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 1: tonight in Atlanta. So all right, three bets for US 186 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 1: today under seven in the All Star Game, even money 187 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 1: that for one unit nurfy, no run in the first 188 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 1: inning at minus one sixty. Bet that to win a 189 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:58,959 Speaker 1: half a unit. And the National League to win tonight 190 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 1: in the All Star Game at minus one ten. Bet 191 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: that at point five to five units to win a 192 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 1: half a unit. Here we could potentially clear two units 193 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: on this if you win all three bets for US 194 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 1: here on a Tuesday minus Matt parolog You guys can 195 00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:15,679 Speaker 1: follow me across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt 196 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 1: every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is 197 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice