1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,280
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

2
00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:09,240
Speaker 1: here we go.

3
00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:15,079
Speaker 2: Spreading the corn ten seconds of aning, so just go

4
00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:18,080
Speaker 2: show under the basket, Under the basket, it's the truth

5
00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:18,720
Speaker 2: for the wind.

6
00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,720
Speaker 3: God make amarracle.

7
00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:24,880
Speaker 1: I'm just up the water.

8
00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:31,200
Speaker 3: Hit that one from the parking lot. What's up the

9
00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:34,440
Speaker 3: general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast

10
00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:40,280
Speaker 3: presented by bet MGM. This is the weekend college basketball

11
00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:44,159
Speaker 3: betting preview. I'm stucky in joining me as always on

12
00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,160
Speaker 3: my video c fellow co hosts Mike and Mike, Mike

13
00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:52,040
Speaker 3: Calabresee and Mike Randall. A lot to get to today.

14
00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:57,160
Speaker 3: As always, we will add a future to our futures

15
00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:00,720
Speaker 3: portfolio in the Futures round Table, and then we will

16
00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:06,479
Speaker 3: talk about the weekend. Go around the horn, talk about

17
00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:10,039
Speaker 3: three or four spots that we each have circled. But

18
00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:14,880
Speaker 3: before we do get started, let's talk about the week

19
00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:18,240
Speaker 3: that was. Any rants that you want to get out

20
00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:24,039
Speaker 3: key takeaways? Randall, I know that you before we got

21
00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:28,120
Speaker 3: on the air, you mentioned the Kentucky Tennessee under that

22
00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:33,800
Speaker 3: you like last weekend. Yeah, Kentucky. I want to ran

23
00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:35,720
Speaker 3: against the Kentucky defense. And I'm also curious to see

24
00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:38,120
Speaker 3: where the Kentucky Alabama total opens at might be one ninety.

25
00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:39,640
Speaker 3: What do you got from the week that was?

26
00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:41,520
Speaker 1: Remember this is a safe space.

27
00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:43,920
Speaker 4: You know what pisses me off most of all.

28
00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:45,960
Speaker 5: Okay, you're now baby.

29
00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:46,120
Speaker 1: I'm ran?

30
00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:48,200
Speaker 3: Why not? You've got to let it out somehow.

31
00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:50,680
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, totals are done for me. Won't be doing

32
00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:53,040
Speaker 1: those ever again for the rest of the season, however, stuck.

33
00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:57,480
Speaker 1: Very happy today. Back to life, back to reality. Coaches

34
00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,760
Speaker 1: and teams that I came into the season that has

35
00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:04,160
Speaker 1: been a battle all the year or supporting have finally

36
00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:07,200
Speaker 1: started to lock in. Thank you so much, Mike White

37
00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,160
Speaker 1: and Georgia doing what I knew you would do on offense,

38
00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:13,400
Speaker 1: which is pretty much nothing. You've lost four straight games,

39
00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:15,640
Speaker 1: you lost five of six, The covers are going the

40
00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,320
Speaker 1: wrong way. Perfect out and loyal and merrymount Stan Johnson.

41
00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:22,119
Speaker 1: Thank you for that wonderful loss at San Diego outright

42
00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:25,079
Speaker 1: as a three and a half point favorite. That was fantastic.

43
00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,480
Speaker 1: And guys, we even got lucky with Hubert Davis Hubert

44
00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:31,160
Speaker 1: with a nice little loss there, not only at Georgia Tech,

45
00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:34,160
Speaker 1: which stuck. God hats off to him, but they bounce

46
00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,640
Speaker 1: back with the loss at home to cleanse it outright.

47
00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:40,440
Speaker 1: So guys, very happy. Some of the coaches, programs, teams,

48
00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,400
Speaker 1: metrics that I just thought were a little overinflated are

49
00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:45,720
Speaker 1: starting to regress, So very happy about that. On the

50
00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:49,880
Speaker 1: positive side, much to your chagrin, Stuck, Scott Cross continues

51
00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:52,560
Speaker 1: to cover a Troy. That's all he does. He's top

52
00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:54,639
Speaker 1: five in the country Troy this year against the spread.

53
00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:55,480
Speaker 1: So good week for.

54
00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:59,160
Speaker 4: Me, Prith, we got everything comes down to scheduling for me.

55
00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:01,120
Speaker 2: I was just telling and Randall before we hopped on.

56
00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,320
Speaker 2: We got I think one hundred and fifty four games on.

57
00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:05,560
Speaker 5: Saturday, three games on Friday.

58
00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:09,359
Speaker 2: Like the power brokers of college basketball have got to

59
00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:09,959
Speaker 2: get it together.

60
00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:11,520
Speaker 5: The whole point of.

61
00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:13,760
Speaker 2: The sport is to spread it, to have it be

62
00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,680
Speaker 2: on TV, to have it be available, to be able.

63
00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,480
Speaker 4: To create standalone games. There should be games, you.

64
00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:20,919
Speaker 2: Know, leaving all the way up to the super Bowl

65
00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,080
Speaker 2: starting at six am, like have it be an event

66
00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:25,080
Speaker 2: like we used to have Bracketbusters. We used to have

67
00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:27,639
Speaker 2: twenty four hours of college hoops. Now we can't even

68
00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,000
Speaker 2: get games on Friday.

69
00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:29,519
Speaker 5: To balance it out.

70
00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,600
Speaker 2: And then you get decent mid major games that totally

71
00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:35,120
Speaker 2: get lost in the shuffle on Saturdays, So I think

72
00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:37,720
Speaker 2: it does a great disservice to the game, and we're

73
00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:39,680
Speaker 2: not always going to have these massive Saturdays like we

74
00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:42,280
Speaker 2: just did with three Top ten matchups to be able

75
00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:42,720
Speaker 2: to cover.

76
00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:43,000
Speaker 5: Up for it.

77
00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:45,960
Speaker 2: But the one I'm really burning on is the ref scheduling.

78
00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,520
Speaker 2: I don't know if you guys caught this, but ESPN

79
00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:50,480
Speaker 2: and a couple Twitter accounts have popped up that they've

80
00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,560
Speaker 2: been following where these referees are traveling during the week.

81
00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,520
Speaker 2: So John Higgins, I think it was two weeks ago,

82
00:03:56,960 --> 00:03:59,920
Speaker 2: was at Rutgers, next day at San Diego, after that

83
00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:03,080
Speaker 2: at Oregon State, at Stanford, at Purdue, at Texas all

84
00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:07,160
Speaker 2: in one week. Like how much money does college sports

85
00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:10,240
Speaker 2: need to make before people outside of the head coaches

86
00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:11,400
Speaker 2: actually make the big money?

87
00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:13,640
Speaker 5: Like I know the NIL has finally come along.

88
00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:16,040
Speaker 2: And some superstars can make seven figures and things like that,

89
00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,120
Speaker 2: but it is ridiculous that we have these crews flying,

90
00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:22,080
Speaker 2: you know, crisscross the country and then we're all shocked

91
00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,520
Speaker 2: when they are absolutely awful, as they were in the

92
00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,320
Speaker 2: Big Twelve this week, throwing out Samson for the first time.

93
00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:31,200
Speaker 2: It is time at Houston, Drew at Baylor got ejected

94
00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:32,840
Speaker 2: for the very first time in his career. Like, these

95
00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,559
Speaker 2: guys are clearly sleep deprived. They're trying to make calls

96
00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,120
Speaker 2: from thirty five feet away without the right angle, and like,

97
00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:42,360
Speaker 2: I'm just at this point, I'm at a loss as

98
00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:44,360
Speaker 2: to why we can't figure this out. There's got to

99
00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,560
Speaker 2: be referees in regions where we can just keep them

100
00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:49,320
Speaker 2: there so that they don't have to be, you know,

101
00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:52,720
Speaker 2: going the George Clooney up in the air Millionaire club

102
00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,480
Speaker 2: or million mild Club, trying to cover every single game

103
00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:56,280
Speaker 2: across the country.

104
00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:57,480
Speaker 5: It's just ludicrous.

105
00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:01,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with that, especially your first point. I mean,

106
00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:06,719
Speaker 3: just from a a better's perspective. I've had a really

107
00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,640
Speaker 3: like card the past week of traveling for some family stuff,

108
00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:13,640
Speaker 3: and then I just got back home about to get

109
00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:16,920
Speaker 3: into tomorrow and Saturday, and I'm like, I got there's

110
00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,960
Speaker 3: no lines out for Saturday, and obviously so I'm like

111
00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:23,279
Speaker 3: sitting down and it's gonna take me an hour to

112
00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,720
Speaker 3: go through the three games tomorrow, and then I gotta

113
00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:28,800
Speaker 3: go through one hundred and fifty five games on Friday.

114
00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:32,279
Speaker 3: I mean, it's ridiculous just from a better's perspective, and

115
00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,839
Speaker 3: then you got your trying to track injuries and the

116
00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:38,800
Speaker 3: market throughout. I mean, it's it's it's absolutely crazy. From

117
00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:42,040
Speaker 3: a betting perspective, I would like just like put twenty

118
00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:44,640
Speaker 3: twenty games on Friday. Just cut it by twenty. You

119
00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:48,200
Speaker 3: can still have a absolutely full slate college football, like

120
00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:49,960
Speaker 3: you have the we were doing. You already have the

121
00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,680
Speaker 3: MAC during the week, right, and then they started doing

122
00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,800
Speaker 3: Conference USA and then like that gives a spotlight to

123
00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:01,400
Speaker 3: those conferences and it's not like you missed them on Saturdays, right,

124
00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:04,679
Speaker 3: those aren't the games that are generally on people's TVs,

125
00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:08,400
Speaker 3: even if you have multiple screens. So I wish that

126
00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:12,320
Speaker 3: I wish that like we would have remember the Ivy

127
00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:15,600
Speaker 3: and Matt would always be on Fridays no matter what,

128
00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:17,680
Speaker 3: Like we need like three or four conferences that no

129
00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:20,080
Speaker 3: matter what they're playing on Fridays.

130
00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:22,520
Speaker 4: Really there should be nothing left on the table, Like

131
00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:23,440
Speaker 4: if you are.

132
00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:26,160
Speaker 5: The Summit or the Swack or.

133
00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,839
Speaker 2: You know, the Ohio Valley, like get some games on

134
00:06:30,160 --> 00:06:33,039
Speaker 2: noon on a Monday. Like it's not the most ridiculous

135
00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,880
Speaker 2: scheduling thing that's gonna cause coaches administrators to complain and

136
00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:39,080
Speaker 2: then all of a sudden, you have inventory to serve

137
00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:42,159
Speaker 2: up to CBS Sports, to ESPN, like someone will cover

138
00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,480
Speaker 2: that game, and then you start to bring in those

139
00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:46,520
Speaker 2: gamblers who just fall in love with that midday action.

140
00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:49,119
Speaker 2: There's a reason why people bet on the Cincinnati Reds

141
00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:53,120
Speaker 2: every Tuesday afternoon. It's not because mid season baseball is electric.

142
00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:54,919
Speaker 2: It's because it's the only show in town. You have

143
00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,480
Speaker 2: an opportunity to build that brand, equity and a little

144
00:06:57,480 --> 00:06:58,240
Speaker 2: bit of loyalty.

145
00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:00,560
Speaker 5: And I don't know why they move away from it.

146
00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:02,839
Speaker 2: They've just moved away from all of those gimmicks in

147
00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:05,080
Speaker 2: the last three to four years, and I think it's

148
00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,400
Speaker 2: really hurt the game. Like particularly Super Bowl Week, everyone's

149
00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:10,520
Speaker 2: talking about how to grow the game and Taylor Swift

150
00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:12,559
Speaker 2: is doing this, that and the other bringing new fans.

151
00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:14,960
Speaker 2: Like what is college basketball doing to bring a new

152
00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,440
Speaker 2: fans to making it easier to watch and follow teams

153
00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:18,320
Speaker 2: as opposed to harder.

154
00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:25,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, my takeaway from this week is Chris Holtman's got

155
00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:30,320
Speaker 3: to go. I mean, Trey Galloway is out there looking

156
00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:36,360
Speaker 3: like you know, Jordan in his prime. You go an

157
00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:41,760
Speaker 3: eighteen point home lead to Indiana. I don't know how

158
00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:44,920
Speaker 3: much longer he can last there Ohio State in the dumpster.

159
00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,240
Speaker 3: And then I also want to give credit to which

160
00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:50,120
Speaker 3: will be a transition to our first segment. I want

161
00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:53,560
Speaker 3: to give credit to South Florida. Who I mean, I

162
00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:58,280
Speaker 3: don't think many people would have seen this coming, but

163
00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:05,280
Speaker 3: now South Florida now in the American standings is all

164
00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:07,920
Speaker 3: alone in first place at nine and one. Florida lant

165
00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:09,400
Speaker 3: it's one game behind and maybe one day to come

166
00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:14,600
Speaker 3: back victory over Charlotte. Abdure Raheem is doing an amazing

167
00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:19,080
Speaker 3: job there. We saw, you know, we saw what he

168
00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:21,240
Speaker 3: did with Kennesol and then we've seen the Kennesaw drop

169
00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:23,600
Speaker 3: off this year as well. I know that they also

170
00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:27,560
Speaker 3: lost some players, but they've now won eight straight. So

171
00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:30,240
Speaker 3: a lot of credit to South Florida, I will say,

172
00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:35,000
Speaker 3: as we transition into our future's portfolio, I was going,

173
00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:37,560
Speaker 3: if someone sees these price out later, my one of

174
00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:39,920
Speaker 3: my my future portfolio is actually going to be Charlotte

175
00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,360
Speaker 3: at four to one to win the regular season. But

176
00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:45,040
Speaker 3: I'm not going to give that out or because like

177
00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:48,080
Speaker 3: there's AAC teams playing tonight, so you know, if like

178
00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:52,640
Speaker 3: Florida Atlantic loses to you maybe like the prices could change,

179
00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:54,160
Speaker 3: So I don't want to get that out, but I

180
00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:56,720
Speaker 3: will mention that the reason I like Charlotte, if you

181
00:08:56,760 --> 00:09:00,319
Speaker 3: look at the standings at four to one, I have

182
00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:04,640
Speaker 3: them like forty percent to at least get a share.

183
00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:10,319
Speaker 3: And what's important about that if Charlotte getting a share

184
00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:14,160
Speaker 3: is that if they end up tied with Florida Atlantic,

185
00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:19,200
Speaker 3: they have the tiebreaker because they beat Florida Atlantic and

186
00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,640
Speaker 3: they don't play them against they're want to zero. And

187
00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,720
Speaker 3: if they get the revenge against South Florida, they play

188
00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:28,160
Speaker 3: South Florida at home. Then if there's a three way

189
00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:31,120
Speaker 3: tie between South Florida and this is the books would

190
00:09:31,120 --> 00:09:33,680
Speaker 3: decided on who gets the tiebreaker gets the one seed.

191
00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:37,240
Speaker 3: So if there's a you know so, most likely Charlotte

192
00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,000
Speaker 3: will need to beat South Florida at home for this

193
00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:45,560
Speaker 3: bet to hit, but they will be favorites. And if

194
00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:51,600
Speaker 3: they win that game, and say that South Florida, FAU,

195
00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:57,080
Speaker 3: and Charlotte all finished tied for first, then Charlotte would

196
00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:58,959
Speaker 3: win the tiebreaker because if you take the head to

197
00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:00,880
Speaker 3: head of all of them, they would be two and

198
00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:06,800
Speaker 3: one and the others would not be two and one.

199
00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:10,240
Speaker 3: So that's an important distinction. I don't think it's being

200
00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,920
Speaker 3: priced in. And if you look at Charlotte's schedule, I

201
00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:17,559
Speaker 3: mean their hardest games at Memphis. Have you seen Memphis lately?

202
00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:22,240
Speaker 3: But their centrals Temple, Utsa, Wichita, you just say, at home,

203
00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:26,520
Speaker 3: Wichita at home, Tulsa again, South Florida at home, Rice

204
00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:30,240
Speaker 3: at home, and ECU. That's it. Yeah, that's their schedule

205
00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:33,080
Speaker 3: the rest of the way. This defense is legit. You know,

206
00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:36,280
Speaker 3: they can you know, they really make you work on

207
00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:38,880
Speaker 3: the defensive end. They bring a press and they have

208
00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:42,040
Speaker 3: good rim protection. I really like what they're doing this year.

209
00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:45,320
Speaker 3: They just blew that lead against South Florida. And then

210
00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:47,920
Speaker 3: if you look at Florida Atlantic, and we've seen Florida

211
00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:51,559
Speaker 3: Atlantic like lose almost multiple times every time they go

212
00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:53,800
Speaker 3: on the road. It's an adventure. They could lose tonight

213
00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:57,920
Speaker 3: to UAB. You know, they play Memphis twice, they play SMU,

214
00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:02,800
Speaker 3: they play Tulane, they're at North Texas, so they're at

215
00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:06,480
Speaker 3: South Florida. So they have a pretty difficult schedule. Then

216
00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:10,760
Speaker 3: if you look at South Florida, South Florida has SMU,

217
00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,840
Speaker 3: they're at Charlotte. You know, they could even lose that Rice.

218
00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:16,760
Speaker 3: I think this is pretty much the probably the peak

219
00:11:16,800 --> 00:11:20,960
Speaker 3: of the value in us F So Charlotte very easy, schedule, time,

220
00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,840
Speaker 3: beneficial tie breaker potential. So four to one. If you

221
00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:27,240
Speaker 3: see that out there tomorrow, grab that. I bet some

222
00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:27,760
Speaker 3: of that today.

223
00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:30,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, kudos to Aaron Fearn. Two was really good coach

224
00:11:30,800 --> 00:11:34,000
Speaker 1: in Australia. Came over, has been an assistant first year

225
00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:37,080
Speaker 1: with Charlotte, really has followed in the model that they've

226
00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:40,280
Speaker 1: had before with their head coaches. I mean Ron Sanchez

227
00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:43,320
Speaker 1: was their disciple of Bennett. So yeah, hats off, great job.

228
00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:45,199
Speaker 1: Feared with Charlotte.

229
00:11:46,120 --> 00:11:50,080
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, I love I love everything doing it. But

230
00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:53,240
Speaker 3: one team that could really throw a wrench into it

231
00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:57,480
Speaker 3: is SMU. But I think they'll probably suffer another loss

232
00:11:57,520 --> 00:11:59,760
Speaker 3: or two, but they do have the tiebreaker at least

233
00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:03,440
Speaker 3: head to head over Charlotte. But Charlotte ford to one.

234
00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:04,160
Speaker 5: I think it was value.

235
00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,600
Speaker 3: But let's get to our futures round table. We have

236
00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:11,680
Speaker 3: tam U Final four, we have UK national title. Not

237
00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:14,640
Speaker 3: loving either one of those. The problem with Texas A

238
00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:16,880
Speaker 3: and M I still don't mind it because just the

239
00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:18,800
Speaker 3: way that they play once they get out of the

240
00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,360
Speaker 3: sec like the way that the offensive rebound. You still

241
00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:23,480
Speaker 3: have one of the best guards in the country. They

242
00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:26,280
Speaker 3: just really miss They need someone else to go with.

243
00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:28,880
Speaker 3: Henry Coleman now is becoming like almost non existent. You

244
00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:33,240
Speaker 3: can't handle Biggs down low and you know they obviously

245
00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:34,840
Speaker 3: can't shoot worth a lick.

246
00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:37,320
Speaker 5: But yeah, he's stuck. Stuck on that point.

247
00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:40,000
Speaker 2: I was trying to find any commentary from you know,

248
00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:43,280
Speaker 2: Aggie's inside or anything on Coleman, Like his minutes are

249
00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,720
Speaker 2: going down as well. Obviously you know he's not producing,

250
00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:47,760
Speaker 2: so they want to give some other people a shot.

251
00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,680
Speaker 2: But it's been a Jecko and hide situation from the

252
00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:52,959
Speaker 2: beginning of the season to where we are now. I

253
00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:56,520
Speaker 2: don't know if there's a deeper explanation, injury that's not listed,

254
00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:58,440
Speaker 2: or just a loss of confidence, but I agree with you,

255
00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:00,960
Speaker 2: if he doesn't step up, see them really getting out

256
00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:01,679
Speaker 2: of the first weekend.

257
00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:04,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, they would just need a beneficial matchup where because

258
00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:06,480
Speaker 3: they could still board. They just can't play a big team,

259
00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:09,400
Speaker 3: a team like they gotta to get to the final four.

260
00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:11,920
Speaker 3: They got to avoid like Yukon and Purdue, right, they

261
00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:15,240
Speaker 3: got to have someone else knock them off because Julius Marvel.

262
00:13:15,240 --> 00:13:16,680
Speaker 3: I don't know what's going on with them. They could

263
00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:18,800
Speaker 3: really use him, like he's there's just like an academic

264
00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:21,000
Speaker 3: issue or something with the university. I don't think he's

265
00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:25,120
Speaker 3: coming back at this point. But you know, with those guards,

266
00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:28,000
Speaker 3: you know, with Radford and Taylor, this is a team

267
00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:30,319
Speaker 3: that looks to Houston on the road right down to

268
00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:33,760
Speaker 3: the wire. They beat Iowa State on a neutral court.

269
00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:38,560
Speaker 3: They could play with anybody Kentucky. It's their defense. Then

270
00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:40,240
Speaker 3: I don't think they can win the national title. But

271
00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:43,480
Speaker 3: with their offense, you know, I think they can get

272
00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:45,800
Speaker 3: to at least the final four if they don't fix

273
00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:49,120
Speaker 3: their defense. Who else do we have? We have Houston

274
00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:50,280
Speaker 3: to win the Big twelve.

275
00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:53,920
Speaker 1: That's looking really good, great clg on that one stuck.

276
00:13:55,320 --> 00:14:00,400
Speaker 3: Underdog. Who else do we have? South Carolina? South Carolina

277
00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:05,400
Speaker 3: final four? And John's to make the Vinyl Four. Yeah, hopefully.

278
00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:07,880
Speaker 3: I don't mind that either. I think John's just sets

279
00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,360
Speaker 3: the coaching there. They're gonna be a tough tournament team.

280
00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:12,240
Speaker 3: They just got to get in. I mean they're on

281
00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:15,480
Speaker 3: the friends now. I guess Texas A and M technically

282
00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:17,320
Speaker 3: could play themselves out too. So hopefully those two teams

283
00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:20,200
Speaker 3: get in and then it's a tournament. Things break right

284
00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:22,360
Speaker 3: and even these teams are go into the playing game

285
00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:24,440
Speaker 3: like one will make a run every year. So we

286
00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:31,360
Speaker 3: have five futures. It's time to add a sixth randall

287
00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:34,800
Speaker 3: hopefully we don't have the same one again, I will

288
00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:36,960
Speaker 3: What did you bring last week?

289
00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:39,480
Speaker 1: South South Carolina?

290
00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:44,560
Speaker 3: Right now in South Carolina didn't cover Yeah, yeah, they

291
00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:47,320
Speaker 3: didn't cover that melt. We can thank you for that.

292
00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,480
Speaker 3: That melt against o't miss minus three and a half.

293
00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:50,320
Speaker 3: But what do you got this week?

294
00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:54,160
Speaker 1: Actually they'll miss that game? Most thrilled? Okay, this is

295
00:14:54,160 --> 00:14:57,680
Speaker 1: what I'm going with. I there are only four teams

296
00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:01,040
Speaker 1: in college basketball right now with six or more quad

297
00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:04,760
Speaker 1: one wins. All right, Purdue and Yukon have eight each,

298
00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:07,600
Speaker 1: Houston has six, and the only other team right now

299
00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:11,280
Speaker 1: that is six is the Wisconsin Badgers. Now, people are

300
00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:13,800
Speaker 1: gonna get thrown off of Wisconsin because of the losing

301
00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:15,880
Speaker 1: streak and they're going to the rack by the way,

302
00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:18,800
Speaker 1: so this could still maybe get a little frisky. However,

303
00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:21,800
Speaker 1: let's remember that teams that make a run in the

304
00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:25,040
Speaker 1: NCAA Tournament always have a part of the year where

305
00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:27,560
Speaker 1: they struggle. Do you remember last year, and it's usually

306
00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:32,160
Speaker 1: around late January early February. Remember last year with Connecticut,

307
00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:36,480
Speaker 1: they ended up losing five of six and six of eight,

308
00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:38,840
Speaker 1: and then we got the speech from Hurley that they're coming.

309
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,320
Speaker 1: The difference or the similarity rather in this situation is

310
00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:46,160
Speaker 1: Wisconsin is good metrically. You may not like what you see.

311
00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:49,160
Speaker 1: You may not like the total melt at Nebraska, but

312
00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:52,880
Speaker 1: they rank eleventh in adjusted offensive efficiency. They are thirty

313
00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:56,360
Speaker 1: two in adjusted defensive efficiency. They make their free throws,

314
00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,600
Speaker 1: they're great on the board. They got somebody who can

315
00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,800
Speaker 1: penetrate in aj store who's been fantastic. Yes, they have

316
00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:05,080
Speaker 1: struggled lately. They've lost three straight games, losing at home

317
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,520
Speaker 1: to Purdue. Guys, there's no shame in that, so throw

318
00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:10,080
Speaker 1: that one out of there. The loss in Nebraska, they

319
00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:12,720
Speaker 1: were up, big team, came back on the road, tough

320
00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:15,160
Speaker 1: place to play. I ignore that as well. The Michigan

321
00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,880
Speaker 1: loss is bad, but that translates to value. So I'm

322
00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:22,360
Speaker 1: seeing Wisconsin plus one thousand to make the final four

323
00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:28,160
Speaker 1: plus nine hundred. They are around teams like Illinois, Baylor, Crayton.

324
00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,480
Speaker 1: We hate, of course, and they showed it again the

325
00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:33,280
Speaker 1: other night against Providence because we don't guard Carter on

326
00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:36,640
Speaker 1: a three pointer from half court. Fine, that is the

327
00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:39,920
Speaker 1: area that I think Wisconsin has value. They've told you

328
00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:44,400
Speaker 1: guys all year. I think this is the year where good, solid,

329
00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:49,840
Speaker 1: fundamental teams that the public constantly overlooks Tennessee, Wisconsin can

330
00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:53,160
Speaker 1: make a run senior team, a lot of returning minutes,

331
00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:58,360
Speaker 1: good coaching guard, good size wing players can shoot, and

332
00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:00,520
Speaker 1: they're going through a rough stretch right now out so

333
00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:04,159
Speaker 1: that gives us value. Guys, Wisconsin Badgers to the final

334
00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,399
Speaker 1: four plus nine hundreds. I think there's a plus one

335
00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:07,640
Speaker 1: thousand out there as well.

336
00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:11,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, look, they were up eighteen at Nebraska,

337
00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:16,680
Speaker 3: they went three of nineteen from three against Purdue, and

338
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:18,520
Speaker 3: then I think they had like a you know, they

339
00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:20,359
Speaker 3: went five to nineteen against Michigan, but I think they

340
00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:22,480
Speaker 3: had just like a little bit of a letdown after

341
00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:25,399
Speaker 3: those two games. Store is the key here because it

342
00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:29,160
Speaker 3: is a team that's comfortable in the half court, which

343
00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:31,760
Speaker 3: I like in March right, They're very comfortable grinding the

344
00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,280
Speaker 3: game down to a halt. They're good on the glass.

345
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:38,320
Speaker 3: But Store is that guy who can just get you

346
00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:40,720
Speaker 3: buckets when you need them right and if you're going

347
00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 3: through a dry spell, you know, they're a very balanced team.

348
00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:47,119
Speaker 3: And then you have a guy, you know, you have

349
00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:50,000
Speaker 3: like a wild card like Klesment if they could ever

350
00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:54,600
Speaker 3: figure out how to just plug in is sieging at

351
00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,639
Speaker 3: the right times just to get like a couple threes

352
00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:02,160
Speaker 3: off the bench. But yeah, you have a very experienced

353
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:05,880
Speaker 3: guard in Hepburn. You know, two good bigs, and then

354
00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:07,639
Speaker 3: the stores that guy. I didn't know if he was

355
00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,520
Speaker 3: gonna fit well, but he really does. So I don't

356
00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:13,000
Speaker 3: hate this one at all. Wisconsin final four ten to one.

357
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:16,480
Speaker 3: What do you got? Calvaryes?

358
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,440
Speaker 2: So I saw that one of the books opened up

359
00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:23,399
Speaker 2: their odds to be selected as a number one seed

360
00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:27,240
Speaker 2: on selection Sunday, So I immediately closed the window. I

361
00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:29,720
Speaker 2: wanted to go through and just do my guestimate for

362
00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,199
Speaker 2: what the price would be on all the teams. So

363
00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:35,480
Speaker 2: you kind of Purdue are minus twenty five hundred makes.

364
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,760
Speaker 5: Sense to me. Houston minus four hundred, that's too rich

365
00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:38,440
Speaker 5: for my blood.

366
00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 2: But then there's three teams who were sitting there for

367
00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:44,920
Speaker 2: the fourth number one seed, Arizona minus one thirty five,

368
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,720
Speaker 2: Tennessee minus one oh five, and I was like, well,

369
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,600
Speaker 2: I guess I would play UNC if it was north

370
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:54,280
Speaker 2: of three to one. They're plus three sixty to secure

371
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:56,680
Speaker 2: a number one seed on Selection Sunday, And here we

372
00:18:56,720 --> 00:18:59,280
Speaker 2: go when we break down their schedule and a little

373
00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 2: bit of how they got here. They're coming off the loss.

374
00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:05,320
Speaker 2: I actually like the honesty from Ingram, and then Baycot

375
00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,440
Speaker 2: talked about it. Apparently they had multiple players sleep through

376
00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,879
Speaker 2: like a pregame nap, and they were late to walk

377
00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 2: to their training session and then walk throughs, then shoot rounds,

378
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:16,520
Speaker 2: and then they come out and they fall down what

379
00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 2: fifteen to two to come and to open that game.

380
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,960
Speaker 2: So I think that explains that true sleepwalking through the

381
00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:24,360
Speaker 2: beginning of that game. But outside of that, if they

382
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,600
Speaker 2: are in a situation where it's apples to apples with Tennessee,

383
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 2: they have a head to head win over Tennessee and

384
00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:32,160
Speaker 2: eight point win in late November, they have that non

385
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:35,280
Speaker 2: conference win against Oklahoma. They need to finish seven to

386
00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 2: one in the regular season in my estimation, and then

387
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:40,840
Speaker 2: win the ACC title. So in the tournament title, So

388
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:43,120
Speaker 2: what does that mean. They're at Miami, They're at Virginia,

389
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:44,960
Speaker 2: They're at Duke those are their three tricky games the

390
00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:46,520
Speaker 2: rest of the way. Can they go two to one

391
00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:49,320
Speaker 2: in that stretch? I think that they can, and certainly

392
00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:52,800
Speaker 2: North at three to one. It's peaud my interests because

393
00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:54,480
Speaker 2: I don't need to believe the point. We know what

394
00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:57,480
Speaker 2: they bring to the table offensively, their top twenty five defensively,

395
00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,239
Speaker 2: their top ten HASLA Metrics, shot quality actually at their

396
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,359
Speaker 2: offense higher than twenty third in Ken Palm and I

397
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,080
Speaker 2: spoke on the last episode about Harrison Ingram kind of

398
00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,399
Speaker 2: morphing into that Brady Mannic role that comparison. If he

399
00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:11,679
Speaker 2: continues to elevate his play and shoot as well as

400
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:13,960
Speaker 2: he has from three point range, he's a perfect compliment

401
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 2: at Bacon RJ.

402
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 5: Davis.

403
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:17,360
Speaker 4: So I think there's enough value here to throw this

404
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:18,680
Speaker 4: into a portfolio mix.

405
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 3: I I was originally gonna go Charlotte, but let's go.

406
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:25,000
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go. I'll just Strow at Duke five to

407
00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 3: one to win the ACC regular season. I still think

408
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 3: North Carolina is probably close to its peaks. This is

409
00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 3: cline in the face of what you said Calgary's but

410
00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 3: I think that there's a good chance this comes down

411
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:42,200
Speaker 3: to the last game of the regular season, which will

412
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 3: be in Cameron and will be favored there. But I

413
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 3: look at North Carolina, I mean going to Virginia, going

414
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:56,680
Speaker 3: to Miami, as you mentioned, those are two tricky games Duke. Meanwhile,

415
00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 3: their road games are Florida State. They do have to

416
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:03,640
Speaker 3: go to Miami, me Wake NC State, but they get

417
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:07,159
Speaker 3: Virginia and North Carolina at home, which I think is massive.

418
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 3: So getting them at five to one where I think

419
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,639
Speaker 3: it's a good chance that this comes down to the

420
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 3: finale and they just got to be one game back

421
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,560
Speaker 3: and then we'll I got to look into the tie breakers. Well,

422
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 3: depend on if anyone else is there. Virginia. Some people

423
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 3: are hype, you know, kind of hyping Virginia to win

424
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 3: the ACC. I don't see it. I think we're at

425
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 3: the I don't trust their offense. I think we're at

426
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:32,040
Speaker 3: the very peak of the market on Virginia. So I

427
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 3: think Duke has a little bit of value. So let's

428
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 3: go Duke to win the ACC regular season, all right?

429
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:43,280
Speaker 3: So we have well number one Wisconsint Final four, number

430
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:48,440
Speaker 3: two UNC one seed, number three is Duke to win

431
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:53,920
Speaker 3: the ACC regular season, all right? Three two one?

432
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 1: Wow, calibre, I was gonna go North Carolina. I think

433
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,399
Speaker 1: it's set a good pick, but I have this attachment

434
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 1: to Tennessee. That's the problem with the one seed. But

435
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 1: I was so close. That's why I voted for Stucky's.

436
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:08,679
Speaker 1: But a really good call by you.

437
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:13,639
Speaker 3: Well as Senior already been doing this podcast for seven years,

438
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:18,200
Speaker 3: so well, not this specific one, but podcasts at action.

439
00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:21,639
Speaker 3: So I get to break the tie and I'm going

440
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:26,359
Speaker 3: to go. I'm going with Randall here. The reason is

441
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,560
Speaker 3: I do like the ceiling and the floor of this

442
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 3: Wisconsin team. I think we're getting them, you know, at

443
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,479
Speaker 3: a good point. It's kind of like their bottom got

444
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,720
Speaker 3: a three game losing streak, and you know, I think

445
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:41,440
Speaker 3: that they'll beat Rutgers. Then they have Ohio State at home,

446
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:45,479
Speaker 3: you have the Iowa, Maryland at home, Indiana before Illinois home,

447
00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 3: so they think they're probably going to go on a

448
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 3: run here for all the reasons I mentioned before why

449
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 3: I like them as well. So and with U N Seed.

450
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:56,879
Speaker 3: My problem with UNC, I still think that they have

451
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,760
Speaker 3: some regression coming on the defensive end from a shooting perspective,

452
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 3: and it's just the ACCS week this year, so I

453
00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 3: think that's going to hurt them. And if I look

454
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:07,360
Speaker 3: at you know, if you go to like tour Dick,

455
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 3: he has UNC is like eighteen seventeen percent to get

456
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:14,520
Speaker 3: a one seed projective based on ten thousand simulations. So

457
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,679
Speaker 3: I think I would need like five to one to

458
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,840
Speaker 3: bet it because just you know, UNC has those tricky

459
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:24,360
Speaker 3: games at Duke at Virginia, but like it's at Virginia

460
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 3: at Miami. Think about all the other teams in power conferences,

461
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:33,199
Speaker 3: like in the Big Twelve, in the SEC, even the

462
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 3: Big East, like they have many more opportunities to pick

463
00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:41,119
Speaker 3: up big wins. And I think just the ACC's overall

464
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 3: perceived and actual real weakness is going to work against

465
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 3: North Carolina. And I also think they'll they'll probably take

466
00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 3: a couple more losses. So we're rolling with the Badgers

467
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 3: final four ten to one Calvaries. Do you hate it?

468
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:55,239
Speaker 3: Love it?

469
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,959
Speaker 2: I think I think the number were pretty close. If

470
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 2: it was like twelve to one, I may have voted

471
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,399
Speaker 2: for Wisconsin. It's not that I hate the play. I

472
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 2: think you described it perfectly, which is I have a

473
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 2: firm grasp on their floor. I think maybe in your

474
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 2: vision their ceilings a little bit higher, but they're a

475
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 2: solid team. You know and if, honestly, if they had

476
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,639
Speaker 2: not blown that lead to Nebraska, where would this number

477
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 2: be Like the Michigan game. I think we can all

478
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 2: forgive it. But when you combine it with the Melts

479
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 2: against Nebraska, is that a downward trend? Are they falling apart?

480
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,359
Speaker 2: Have they lost confidence? I think that's probably an overreaction

481
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:30,800
Speaker 2: at this point in early February.

482
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:32,720
Speaker 5: So I think it's still a good play.

483
00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 2: I like the addition to it, and I agree that

484
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:38,800
Speaker 2: North Carolina has almost zero room for air. They can

485
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 2: drop one more game at ACC play to still win

486
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 2: the regular season crown, and then they'd have to win

487
00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 2: the conference tournament title just and honestly not only win

488
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:51,639
Speaker 2: the ACC Tournament, but hopefully get really good opponents in

489
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:53,920
Speaker 2: the semis and title game to be able to boost

490
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:55,920
Speaker 2: that resume because they are going to go up against

491
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:59,399
Speaker 2: Tennessee who can potentially stack you know, top fifteen wins

492
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 2: along the way for both the regular season and conferce

493
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 2: Serman crown.

494
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:09,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, I will mention, I mean Wisconsin also. It's but

495
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,800
Speaker 3: they had a top they have a top ten strength

496
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:15,520
Speaker 3: of schedule, they had a top fifteen metrics are yes,

497
00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,719
Speaker 3: I mean their metrics are outstanding. And I know this

498
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 3: is an outside chance, very outside, but we just mentioned

499
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:30,399
Speaker 3: their schedule, right, and in the non con they have

500
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:34,160
Speaker 3: a neutral winnover Virginia SMU, they beat Marquette. I mean,

501
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,880
Speaker 3: if they they'd have to beat Purdue as the problem.

502
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,640
Speaker 3: But I mean they have like maybe a three four

503
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 3: percent chance of getting a one seed, but they could

504
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:46,360
Speaker 3: they could get up to a two seed. I think

505
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:49,840
Speaker 3: three is probably more realistic, but they certainly have upside

506
00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 3: with that schedule. I mean there's a there's a chance

507
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,840
Speaker 3: that I mean I have them favored in every game

508
00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:59,400
Speaker 3: up until that Purdue game in the finale coming up here,

509
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,679
Speaker 3: So they could certainly win seven in a row and

510
00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,280
Speaker 3: then make a run, maybe get some revenge over Purdue

511
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 3: and like the Big Ten championship, and then you're talking

512
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,920
Speaker 3: maybe two seed. This podcast is probably resented by BETTMGM.

513
00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 3: The's bonus code action when signing up to get up

514
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 3: to one hundred and fifty eight dollars in bonus bets

515
00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 3: when you bet five dollars for new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky,

516
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:24,439
Speaker 3: the Louisiana, Marylan, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

517
00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 3: West Virginia, and Wyoming. Terms causes supply must be twenty

518
00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 3: one or older. Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler.

519
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 3: All right, good stuff there, Wisconsin to the final four.

520
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the weekend Friday, Saturday, Sunday. Wherever

521
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:42,879
Speaker 3: you want to go with it, I'll throw it to

522
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 3: you first. Randa, what are you looking at?

523
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:47,920
Speaker 1: Oh? Please? San Diego State. Enough with the three point

524
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 1: barrage last week against UTAs State, worst three point shooting

525
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:53,919
Speaker 1: team in the Mount West, guys, all of a sudden,

526
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:56,679
Speaker 1: we turn into lights out NBA jam. Now we're going

527
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,720
Speaker 1: to play on Friday, one of the like three games

528
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 1: we have on Friday. Here. They're going to Nevada, a

529
00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 1: Nevada team that went through their lumps and lost four

530
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,600
Speaker 1: of five games, but seems to have righted the ship

531
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 1: and had a good win away over Utah State as well.

532
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 1: I like this team with Steve Alford. You know, they

533
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:14,960
Speaker 1: have guards who can score, They're flammable. They're shooting well

534
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:18,719
Speaker 1: from three point range within Mount West competition thirty seven percent.

535
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 1: Not great on the boards. I get that, but they

536
00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:23,480
Speaker 1: do force turnovers. Give me San Diego State to go

537
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:26,639
Speaker 1: back to some normal offensive struggles like they have. I

538
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:28,400
Speaker 1: think this team is a notch below what we saw

539
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,280
Speaker 1: last year. Nevada is still a team that's forgotten about

540
00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 1: in the Mountain West with all the great stuff going

541
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:36,000
Speaker 1: on with Colorado State, etc. San Diego State, with that

542
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 1: Utah State when I know they're great at home, They're

543
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:40,560
Speaker 1: like forty and two or something like that at home

544
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 1: over the last five years. But Utah State is a

545
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 1: good team, and Nevada coming off that game, was able

546
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:49,119
Speaker 1: to do some damage there against Utah State away. That

547
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 1: impressed me. More. Give me Nevada. I think they're going

548
00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 1: to be either a pick them or maybe favored by

549
00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:58,679
Speaker 1: one on Friday night against San Diego State co.

550
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 3: Sign This was my for Friday night as well. And

551
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,239
Speaker 3: I mean, look, San Diego State, We've talked about this

552
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 3: a number of times, but I kind of dug into

553
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:13,199
Speaker 3: it a little more. And you know, they have not

554
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:17,080
Speaker 3: been great on the road, especially against the top of

555
00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 3: the conference. So their road games this year, they lost

556
00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 3: that BYU, they lost that Grand Canyon. They did beat Gonzaga,

557
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:28,880
Speaker 3: they beat Santjoday State by three. They lost that New

558
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 3: Mexico by eighteen, they lost that Boise, they lost at

559
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:34,960
Speaker 3: Colorado State by eight and then they beat Air Force.

560
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 3: Who cares. What do a lot of those places have

561
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 3: in common? It's elevation. So number one, this is a

562
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 3: tricky spot because it's a third game in six days.

563
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 3: They played Saturday Tuesday, now Friday. Nevada played last Friday laugher,

564
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 3: another laugher, and they have an extra day of rest,

565
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 3: and they're playing at home used to the altitude. So

566
00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:58,600
Speaker 3: it's a tricky spot for San Diego STATEY. But for

567
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 3: what it's worth, Alfred is what eight and two against

568
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 3: the spread against Dutcher head to head, that's really impressive.

569
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:09,400
Speaker 3: Their guards, I think can give San Diego States smaller

570
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 3: guards some trouble. And you know, they can operate in

571
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 3: the mid range. They can make tough shots. That's what

572
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 3: you need to do against San Diego State. And they

573
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 3: don't turn the ball over, which really helps. And by

574
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 3: the way, Nevada, I mean, look, when kJ Hins is

575
00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 3: on the floor, they're elite defensively, so he can give

576
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,880
Speaker 3: you like fifteen twenty minutes, will probably give you some fouls,

577
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 3: but he can match up against La Day. But Nick

578
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:36,240
Speaker 3: Davidson is on a tear twenty five and twenty two

579
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 3: the past two games, and twenty five against Utah State,

580
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 3: So and that's their offense is really humming when he's

581
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 3: out there and can kind of space the floor as well.

582
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:51,479
Speaker 3: But when it comes to San Diego State, and this

583
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 3: is a revenge game from that. For what it's with,

584
00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 3: it's probably playing for its tournament life. They need this game.

585
00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:00,240
Speaker 3: This would be massive game this and then they're next

586
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 3: game at home against New Mexico. But in that first game,

587
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 3: they were in all kinds of foul trouble at San

588
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:07,040
Speaker 3: Diego State and they're just a different team there. But

589
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:09,080
Speaker 3: it's a two point game, ten to go, and they

590
00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:11,240
Speaker 3: shot six to twenty three from three and seven of

591
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,520
Speaker 3: seventeen from the line. San Diego State with the line

592
00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,360
Speaker 3: thirty four times, don't think they'll get that friendly of

593
00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:18,640
Speaker 3: a whistle here. But getting back to my point, San

594
00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:23,560
Speaker 3: Diego State in altitude, this team struggles, and I think

595
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,840
Speaker 3: a lot of it. You know at end, look, you

596
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:29,320
Speaker 3: mentioned it. They've got shot like forty six percent from

597
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 3: three over the past four games. They've gone nuclear a

598
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 3: little bit of a regression there, coming. It's not a

599
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 3: great three point shot team, which is a good thing

600
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:38,760
Speaker 3: for Nevada because they're very aggressive, which is a good

601
00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:41,320
Speaker 3: thing Against San Diego State. They're going to trap, they're

602
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 3: you're gonna take away ice opportunities and you're gonna have to,

603
00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,000
Speaker 3: you know, move the ball, make threes. It's not San

604
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 3: Diego State strength, especially in altitude. But look at j Pow,

605
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 3: who's their starting fours futs time with Saunders. Look at

606
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 3: his numbers and minutes in altitude games on the road.

607
00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 3: So at Boise he played fifteen minutes and at six points.

608
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 3: At Colorado State he played nine minutes and just he

609
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:14,200
Speaker 3: had one assist. He did nothing in the game. So

610
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 3: at air Force he played twenty minutes and at one point,

611
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:22,240
Speaker 3: So you know, at Boise State he played fifteen minutes,

612
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:26,040
Speaker 3: only six points. I think that he really struggles in

613
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 3: altitude and there's something there, and just from what I've

614
00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 3: watched too, it looks like he's so that really hurts

615
00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,040
Speaker 3: their death as well. But this team just in general

616
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:38,720
Speaker 3: is struggling now to do tough spot. Great matchup for Nevada.

617
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:42,960
Speaker 3: They're playing extremely well. I like the Wook pack as well.

618
00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 3: Calvery's what do you see for the weekend.

619
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,480
Speaker 4: I would love to get five with the Aggies hosting Tennessee.

620
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 4: I think this is a sleepy stretch for the Balls.

621
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 2: They're at A and M, They're at Arkansas home against

622
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 2: and Andy at Miszoo of their next four coming down

623
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,920
Speaker 2: off of playing so well in that Kentucky game, they're

624
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 2: feeling great about themselves. They're playing their way into that

625
00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 2: number one seed conversation, whereas the Aggies are four points

626
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 2: away from a seven game winning streak. Who's the one

627
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 2: point decision to Arkansas, three points to Old Miss. They

628
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 2: got wins over Kentucky at LSU, they swept Miszoo and

629
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 2: home against Florida in that stretch, and a win here

630
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:19,480
Speaker 2: is critical. I think you're gonna see a rowdy crowd.

631
00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:21,400
Speaker 2: I think you're gonna see a hungry Aggy team because

632
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,960
Speaker 2: this clearly puts them in the field therein Yeah, they're

633
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:26,320
Speaker 2: on the right side of the bubble right now. They're

634
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:28,479
Speaker 2: probably like a ten seed. But this is a win

635
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 2: that clinches it for him. And give me Wade Taylor

636
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 2: the fourth I got a chance like he's gone for

637
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,640
Speaker 2: thirty plus four times in the past two months. He

638
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:38,760
Speaker 2: helped them upset Kentucky. He nearly upset Houston in the

639
00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:42,000
Speaker 2: Hlal Guys Classic, and Houston love Hulal Guys. We'll have

640
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:46,080
Speaker 2: chicken will half falafel, white red sauce. Anyway, the key

641
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:50,000
Speaker 2: here to me beyond Taylor is Radford. He continues to

642
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 2: play despite his arrest for evading police, and Buzz Williams

643
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 2: has said he supports him. He you know, is actually

644
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 2: really proud of how well he's played under the circumstances.

645
00:32:58,120 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 5: Twenty six against.

646
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:00,960
Speaker 2: Florida, twenty two against who he hits to go ahead

647
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:02,720
Speaker 2: bucket that ends up giving them the win.

648
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:03,719
Speaker 5: Against Florida.

649
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 2: He's the clutch piece right now for them because defense

650
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:09,239
Speaker 2: is can key on Taylor down the stretch. So if

651
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 2: he continues to play this well, barring any you know,

652
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 2: decision by the school to pull him off the floor,

653
00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 2: I don't think that's coming. If he plays, I'm on

654
00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 2: the aggies. I'm hoping for five. I played down to

655
00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 2: plus four against Tennessee.

656
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, i'd a m circle two? Can they I mean, look,

657
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 3: they don't turn the ball over and textans Tennessee is

658
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:28,600
Speaker 3: not a great defensive rebounding team, and tex AM's the

659
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 3: best offensive rebounding team in the country, so they could

660
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:33,080
Speaker 3: do some work there. They can also get to the

661
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 3: line a ton. Tennessee's gonna foul. But Tennessee's two point

662
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:41,600
Speaker 3: defense is so good. Like can A and M make

663
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 3: a fucking three? I don't know, but like you're gonna

664
00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 3: have to make threes against Tennessee. They're shooting. What is

665
00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:55,760
Speaker 3: text A and M shooting now twenty five percent in

666
00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:58,760
Speaker 3: league play, but they're shooting twenty footed They shoot for

667
00:33:58,760 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 3: the year twenty six point seven for the year three

668
00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:03,360
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty seventh in the country. I gotta see

669
00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,560
Speaker 3: wo's worse than them. Teams that are worse than Texas

670
00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 3: A and M from three Coppin State.

671
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:11,280
Speaker 4: Are my boys in there, Mississippi Valley State.

672
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:17,359
Speaker 3: Mississippi Valley State or the other boys Detroit Buffalo and

673
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 3: Iupui That's that's an impoverished company. So maybe they're due,

674
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:26,760
Speaker 3: but like just do that. I mean, they are better

675
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:27,799
Speaker 3: than this.

676
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 5: They're better than uiy Pue.

677
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 2: They are better than Ui puoe from from long range.

678
00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:33,080
Speaker 2: I've seen the warm ups, I've seen the ball go

679
00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 2: through the net.

680
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 5: It's got to happen.

681
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:38,839
Speaker 3: I mean, Radford shooting twenty six percent, he's like a

682
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:42,600
Speaker 3: career thirty three percent, three point shooter. Tailor shooting thirty

683
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:47,759
Speaker 3: he's like career thirty two. Who and then it's like,

684
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:51,120
Speaker 3: I mean, Hefner is only shooting now, he's shooting right

685
00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 3: on his average thirty one. It's not a great shooting team.

686
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 4: But like.

687
00:34:55,200 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 3: They what's Carter shooting twenty percent? He's a career thirty percent.

688
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 3: So they have a little bit of this will be

689
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:04,279
Speaker 3: the game where you got to make a couple. But

690
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,400
Speaker 3: they're bad. They're a badgets. They're always gonna be vetchet too.

691
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 3: But I don't think that they're twenty five percent bad.

692
00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:11,080
Speaker 3: I mean, come on, and they're gonna have chances against

693
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:13,000
Speaker 3: the Tennessee defense and they're gonna get offensive rebounds. So

694
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 3: I like the spot I mentioned Nevada. Let's talk a

695
00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:27,360
Speaker 3: little Chicago State. Chicago State going to South Carolina State. No,

696
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 3: I really love this spot. This is a random this is.

697
00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:33,319
Speaker 4: An intersectional rivalry that we've all been waiting for.

698
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:34,880
Speaker 5: So I can't wait to do with one up.

699
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:39,279
Speaker 3: So here's why I like the spot. Chicago State is independent,

700
00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 3: they don't have a league. They only have two d

701
00:35:43,239 --> 00:35:46,880
Speaker 3: one games left. It's this and then Wednesday against Eastern Kentucky.

702
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 3: They've been off since January thirty first, why is that important?

703
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:56,400
Speaker 3: They played like, well ten games in thirty days between

704
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 3: jet you know, they played like five games and seventy

705
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:00,359
Speaker 3: and it's a team that doesn't have a bench at all.

706
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:03,440
Speaker 3: Rest will help. They've also been playing really well. They

707
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 3: wont at Stetson, they were they lost by five at Duquine.

708
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:08,840
Speaker 3: They're ten to five and won against the spread on

709
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 3: the road. Is a team that also played like ten

710
00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:14,959
Speaker 3: straight road games from December twenty second till the mid

711
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 3: mid January. So this game means something to them. It's like,

712
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:21,080
Speaker 3: you only have two games left, there's no chance at

713
00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:24,359
Speaker 3: a postseason a conference tournament. Meanwhile, South Carolina State like

714
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,439
Speaker 3: they have their one game back in the me Act

715
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 3: they played. Norfolk State is in first place next Like

716
00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 3: what why do they care about Chicago State? Also, it's

717
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:36,080
Speaker 3: a good matchup. Chicago State has fixed some of their

718
00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:40,600
Speaker 3: point guard issues. The best two players on the court

719
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:43,399
Speaker 3: by far, in Corbett and in Cardett, is probably gonna

720
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:47,680
Speaker 3: get drafted. And Chicago State's half court man defense is

721
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 3: really good. That's false role over South Carona State. They're

722
00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:53,879
Speaker 3: second percent tile in half cordell and they're only ninth

723
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,879
Speaker 3: in transition pers synergy, so I don't know how they scored.

724
00:36:57,040 --> 00:36:59,239
Speaker 3: Chicago State's rim dy is bad, but South caund of

725
00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:01,000
Speaker 3: State rimel is one of the worst in the country.

726
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:03,680
Speaker 3: Chicago State wants to get the rim at all costs.

727
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:05,920
Speaker 3: They're not that efficient there, but South Kinda State's rimdy

728
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:10,240
Speaker 3: is so bad. These are two aggressive teams. They press,

729
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 3: they want to turn opponents over a lot of fouls

730
00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 3: second chance points. But Chicago State's much better against the press.

731
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:20,879
Speaker 3: They want to get out in transition. South Kinda State

732
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 3: horrendous transitioning. This is just a great matchup for Chicago

733
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:27,279
Speaker 3: State in general. If you just look at the x's

734
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:31,719
Speaker 3: and o's, and I think that they care much more

735
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:33,840
Speaker 3: about this game. I don't really think that South Carolina

736
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 3: State cares here, So give me Chicago State and it's

737
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,280
Speaker 3: second to last game at South Carolina State. Real random

738
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 3: one hoping to get like a round a pick, but

739
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,239
Speaker 3: I like this matchup. Teams playing well of late, and

740
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:48,279
Speaker 3: I think the break will serve them well. Random what

741
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:48,760
Speaker 3: you got?

742
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 1: I like great teams. I like great coaches, and I

743
00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:54,319
Speaker 1: like teams that are motivated, and that's why I keep

744
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:56,320
Speaker 1: going back to Bradley, and I will do it again

745
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 1: at home against Drake. Listen, Drake is fine, guys, but

746
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,160
Speaker 1: they're just a little bit overrated by the market. They're

747
00:38:02,160 --> 00:38:04,960
Speaker 1: only ten and eleven against the spread Bradley thirteen eight

748
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:07,520
Speaker 1: and two, and guys, remember that is earlier in the year.

749
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 1: They lost five straight games, including two games in the

750
00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:14,880
Speaker 1: Missouri Valley Conference, so they can't mess around. But they

751
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,759
Speaker 1: got Connor Hickman back and they were on fire. They

752
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,000
Speaker 1: lost away at Indiana State and overtime. The fact that

753
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 1: you take Indiana State two overtime at their place is

754
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:25,839
Speaker 1: very impressive. And we get them coming off a really

755
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 1: rough loss to Evansville, which they should have had. Now

756
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:30,600
Speaker 1: they get a Drake team here that I think has

757
00:38:30,640 --> 00:38:33,160
Speaker 1: started to show the regression that we knew was coming.

758
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,000
Speaker 1: They do a good job, but they struggle on the boards.

759
00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:38,719
Speaker 1: Bradley at home on the boards with their length up

760
00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 1: front is a problem. Drake lost to Indiana State away,

761
00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 1: They went at home to overtime with Southern Illinois. They

762
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:47,600
Speaker 1: had a two overtime game against Missouri State. They've started

763
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 1: to have some struggles here. Now they're playing an away

764
00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:53,360
Speaker 1: game at Bradley. Bradley is coming off with lost. Bradley

765
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:56,120
Speaker 1: is always good at home. Ken Palm has this at two.

766
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,880
Speaker 1: I will grab it right away. Bradley at home, healthy,

767
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:02,680
Speaker 1: coming off a loss, with a rebounding advantage, ready to

768
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:04,480
Speaker 1: rock and roll against a Drake team that I still

769
00:39:04,520 --> 00:39:07,680
Speaker 1: think is a little overinflated here by the market.

770
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:11,319
Speaker 2: Home Bradley the Juggernaut Calvary's So, as some of you know,

771
00:39:11,560 --> 00:39:13,680
Speaker 2: I am a loyal and Marilyn grad and I can

772
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,799
Speaker 2: tell you some special things about their home court advantage. One,

773
00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:19,279
Speaker 2: they don't have their own bands. They rent out a

774
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 2: high school band in North Baltimore that comes for like

775
00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:24,400
Speaker 2: thirty minutes of the game. They play two songs they

776
00:39:24,520 --> 00:39:28,280
Speaker 2: roll out, and because of that, there's usually a couple

777
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:30,480
Speaker 2: hundred close friends and family at games.

778
00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:33,360
Speaker 5: That's it. This team this year stinks on ice.

779
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:35,680
Speaker 2: They're zero to eight against the spread at home, and

780
00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 2: according to Evan Maya's home court advantage rating, they're three

781
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:40,880
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty second in the nation. They've been the

782
00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:43,160
Speaker 2: worst home team against the spread in the Patriot League

783
00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:46,320
Speaker 2: in the last three seasons cashing south of forty percent

784
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 2: of their tickets, and then when it turns into what

785
00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:51,120
Speaker 2: they do on the floor, they're three hundred and eighth

786
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 2: and shooting efficiency, they're three hundred and forty eighth from

787
00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:56,160
Speaker 2: the line, three hundred and thirty third in terms of turning.

788
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:56,479
Speaker 5: The ball over.

789
00:39:56,800 --> 00:40:01,120
Speaker 2: Now they welcome in Colgate. Colgate only laying according to projections,

790
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:03,200
Speaker 2: between eight and ten points in this game. I'd lay

791
00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 2: up to eleven with you know, the Raiders in this

792
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:08,760
Speaker 2: spot because I just think the numbers too low given

793
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,080
Speaker 2: the fact that this is a dead cat bounce for

794
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:13,880
Speaker 2: the Greyhounds. They snuck out road wins over eight and

795
00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:17,720
Speaker 2: fourteen Navy, and then they became according to the numbers,

796
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:18,440
Speaker 2: I could pull a lease.

797
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:19,799
Speaker 5: Maybe you can double check me on this one.

798
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:22,840
Speaker 2: Stuck the only team in Division One this year to

799
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:25,680
Speaker 2: win a game in which they shot south of thirty

800
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:28,800
Speaker 2: percent from the field. They shot twenty nine percent against

801
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 2: American and won forty four forty three. So they're two

802
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:34,399
Speaker 2: and two in their last two games. I think that's

803
00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:36,360
Speaker 2: giving an impression that they're a little bit feisty in

804
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 2: the Patriot League. They're not here comes Colgate. They re

805
00:40:39,080 --> 00:40:40,600
Speaker 2: made the class of the pat League. They're ten and

806
00:40:40,640 --> 00:40:43,320
Speaker 2: one straight up in conference play. This is actually Langle's

807
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,480
Speaker 2: best coaching job on the defensive end in my opinion,

808
00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 2: their top fifty and shooting efficiency defense, they're far and

809
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:51,359
Speaker 2: away the best defensive team in the league, and Loyola

810
00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:55,040
Speaker 2: is three hundred and forty six in offensive rankings according

811
00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:57,359
Speaker 2: to Evan Maya. So I just view this as two

812
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,440
Speaker 2: teams that are headed in the opposite direction, and I

813
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:01,160
Speaker 2: think if you can at it under ten, this is

814
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:02,799
Speaker 2: probably one of my biggest.

815
00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 5: Bets in Patriot League play all season long.

816
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:11,520
Speaker 3: You mentioned their free throw shooting, and one of the

817
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 3: reasons for that is Golden d k who I think,

818
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:19,719
Speaker 3: by the way, yeah, he's seen his minutes come down.

819
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:23,880
Speaker 3: Spanish guy in the not as good as Aldama, but

820
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:27,600
Speaker 3: following his footsteps. He had a stretch earlier over like

821
00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:30,840
Speaker 3: eight games as the big man, he had a stretch

822
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:34,040
Speaker 3: where he went four of twenty nine from the line

823
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 3: over like ten games, four of twenty nine. What's he

824
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:39,200
Speaker 3: shooting for the year. Let me say he's one of

825
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 3: the worst freet the shooters I've ever seen. Twenty twenty one,

826
00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 3: he went nineteen to sixty four twenty nine percent. He

827
00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:52,400
Speaker 3: was thirty percent in twenty twenty two. He was thirty

828
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,759
Speaker 3: two percent last year. Improved this year. He's twenty eight

829
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:59,200
Speaker 3: of eighty two, thirty four percent. He started the first game,

830
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 3: he went six of eight. Yeah, one of the worst

831
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:06,839
Speaker 3: free throw shooters you will ever see if you ever

832
00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:08,600
Speaker 3: betting loyl And it's in a close game and he

833
00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 3: goes to the line, you're screwed. All right, Uh, let

834
00:42:14,200 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 3: me throw out. I'm gonna throw out Colorado. Now it's

835
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:23,040
Speaker 3: gonna come down to who plays tonight, we'll see or

836
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:26,279
Speaker 3: if they play on Saturday. I think Cody Williams in there.

837
00:42:26,440 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 3: It's gonna be really good in the NBA. He missed

838
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:32,520
Speaker 3: their last game. He's been hurt this year. They played,

839
00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 3: they have this is a revenge spot against Arizona. Lost

840
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:37,520
Speaker 3: by fifty at Arizona, but you could throw that game out.

841
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:41,880
Speaker 3: Williams and de Silva didn't play like meaningless. Colorado is

842
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:45,439
Speaker 3: four really good players. We'll see if Luke O'Brien, who's

843
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:47,200
Speaker 3: a good role player, he missed last game too. They

844
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:49,439
Speaker 3: dealt with a ton of injuries, but they have four

845
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,319
Speaker 3: really good players. You lump Lampkin in there, and then

846
00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:55,080
Speaker 3: three NBA guys if they're all awfully healthy, this is

847
00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:57,920
Speaker 3: a top twenty team in my opinion, especially talent wise.

848
00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 3: Arizona's not the same team in the They're three hundred

849
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:05,640
Speaker 3: and fifty third in away from home metric per Asthma metrics,

850
00:43:06,040 --> 00:43:08,600
Speaker 3: and I have a bit worried about Colorado's transition defense

851
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 3: and how they defend the pick and roll, but I'm

852
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:14,279
Speaker 3: just trusting the spot they can. Also, they can get

853
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:19,360
Speaker 3: after the defensive glass. That's important against Arizona, and Arizona

854
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:23,120
Speaker 3: kind of struggles defending in the post and in cutting action.

855
00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:27,400
Speaker 3: They're eighteenth and twelve percentile PERCENTERGY. That's like everything Colorado

856
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 3: wants to do. And this is just I'm assuming Arizona

857
00:43:30,680 --> 00:43:32,600
Speaker 3: wins the night against Utah, that might suck some of

858
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 3: this value out. But Colorado at home in league play

859
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:40,399
Speaker 3: over the past twenty years when the opponent has three

860
00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:44,799
Speaker 3: or fewer days of rest, forty four twenty one to

861
00:43:44,840 --> 00:43:48,000
Speaker 3: one against the spread, sixty eight percent, covering by four

862
00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 3: points per game. That since two thousand and five, most

863
00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:55,680
Speaker 3: profitable team in a country by a mile in this spot,

864
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:58,480
Speaker 3: sixteen and three against the spread as an underdog eighty

865
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,839
Speaker 3: four percent. This is a brutal travel spot. This is

866
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:04,120
Speaker 3: the home home court of Ends that I have ranked

867
00:44:04,200 --> 00:44:09,160
Speaker 3: number one in the country, Colorado. Can I think punch

868
00:44:09,200 --> 00:44:12,719
Speaker 3: its ticket assuming it wins tonight and then beats Arizona

869
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:19,480
Speaker 3: on Saturday. Love the spot here. Knowing how everything's priced

870
00:44:19,480 --> 00:44:22,759
Speaker 3: this year, it's probably that's probably be one, but hoping

871
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 3: to get like three three and a half. I swear

872
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:29,520
Speaker 3: every spot I used to for twenty years at all

873
00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:31,520
Speaker 3: the spots that I bet everyone like situational spots on

874
00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:34,919
Speaker 3: me in anything. Now they now they're all priced in three.

875
00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:37,640
Speaker 3: The market finally priced them all in. Now they're all

876
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 3: three points the way that I want to bet, and

877
00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:44,880
Speaker 3: and my buyume is going significantly down as a result.

878
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 3: But hopefully you can still find some good ones like

879
00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:51,800
Speaker 3: Kansas State against Kansas that wasn't priced right. It eventually

880
00:44:51,880 --> 00:44:53,720
Speaker 3: came down. But you especially got to get these early

881
00:44:53,760 --> 00:44:56,400
Speaker 3: because the market jumps all over randall what else you

882
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:57,560
Speaker 3: got last one?

883
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:02,799
Speaker 1: How exactly is Gonzaga gonna stay with Kentucky exactly? How

884
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:05,520
Speaker 1: is Gonzaga gonna keep a game close with Kentucky who

885
00:45:05,520 --> 00:45:08,200
Speaker 1: has lost two straight games at home with all their firepower.

886
00:45:08,520 --> 00:45:11,200
Speaker 1: How is that gonna happen with a Gonzaga team this year?

887
00:45:11,239 --> 00:45:14,800
Speaker 1: Guys that has a fantastic resume of zero and five

888
00:45:15,080 --> 00:45:18,520
Speaker 1: in Quadrant one wins and three and one in Quadrant two.

889
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:21,040
Speaker 1: This is not a Gonzaga team that can score at

890
00:45:21,040 --> 00:45:23,399
Speaker 1: this level. They have the bigs inside, They're gonna limit

891
00:45:23,440 --> 00:45:27,040
Speaker 1: Gonzaga as well. They'd have to absolutely shoot great from three.

892
00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 1: Kentucky's gonna get into transition and get them all messed up.

893
00:45:31,040 --> 00:45:33,880
Speaker 1: The Ken Palm, I think the number I expect this number.

894
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 1: It's Ken Palm has it at three. I expect it

895
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 1: to probably be five or six. I do not see,

896
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:42,120
Speaker 1: as great as Mark few is a way that they

897
00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 1: can keep this close. Gonzaga has not looked good on

898
00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:47,640
Speaker 1: the road this year. I mean they wont to Pacific

899
00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:50,280
Speaker 1: by nine and allowed seventy three points.

900
00:45:50,680 --> 00:45:50,799
Speaker 3: Uh.

901
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 1: They lost Tok Sana Klara for the first time in

902
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:57,160
Speaker 1: what eleven years whatever that is Washington. They lost by five.

903
00:45:57,400 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 1: This is just not a vintage Gonzaga team. And this

904
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,760
Speaker 1: is a Kentucky team that still has Final Four talent,

905
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:04,000
Speaker 1: and sure they have all their defensive problems. So if

906
00:46:04,040 --> 00:46:05,399
Speaker 1: you want to bet the over in the game. I'm

907
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,120
Speaker 1: fine with that. I do not think Kentucky is losing

908
00:46:08,120 --> 00:46:11,600
Speaker 1: this game. Therefore, I'm going to lay what appears to

909
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:15,359
Speaker 1: be four or five, maybe six in that range right

910
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 1: away on the Wildcats, coming off of two straight home

911
00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:20,520
Speaker 1: losses to now against a Gonzaga team. But they just

912
00:46:20,600 --> 00:46:22,520
Speaker 1: have to limit ek and they have the bigs to

913
00:46:22,520 --> 00:46:23,359
Speaker 1: do it well.

914
00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:25,040
Speaker 3: The way that they would keep up is Kentucky against

915
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:30,160
Speaker 3: zero stops, which could happen. But I like the spot,

916
00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:33,080
Speaker 3: and yeah, Kentucky should have plenty of success in the

917
00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:34,680
Speaker 3: offensive end. CALVARIESE, what do you say?

918
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:37,560
Speaker 2: All right, Kentucky a couple home losses, I'm going to

919
00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 2: back a team couple losses on their resume, recently.

920
00:46:41,360 --> 00:46:44,440
Speaker 4: By Alo spot Penny Hardaway the Memphis Tigers.

921
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:47,040
Speaker 2: If I can get seven, I maybe play it up

922
00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:49,440
Speaker 2: to eight in a revenge spot against Tulane.

923
00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:51,880
Speaker 4: Listen, they blew a six point lead down.

924
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:53,680
Speaker 2: The stretch when they played the Greenway the last time,

925
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:56,360
Speaker 2: and Tulane made forty percent of their threes and twenty

926
00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:57,839
Speaker 2: three foul shots, and.

927
00:46:57,760 --> 00:46:58,879
Speaker 4: They have to play that way.

928
00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:00,760
Speaker 2: They are a very good shooting team in the AAC,

929
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:05,359
Speaker 2: but overall Tulane is an awful defensive team. They're twelve

930
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:08,279
Speaker 2: out of fourteen teams in the American according to Evan Maya,

931
00:47:08,640 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 2: and Memphis has the offense to kick it into gear.

932
00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,200
Speaker 5: David Jones had thirty two and eleven last time they met.

933
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:14,920
Speaker 5: I think he eats him up again in this spot.

934
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:17,400
Speaker 2: And if we just get a human performance from Tulane

935
00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 2: from three point range, I think Memphis will win comfortably,

936
00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:23,759
Speaker 2: hopefully north of double digits or north of ten, so

937
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:25,440
Speaker 2: I don't have to sweat this sat down the stretch.

938
00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:27,440
Speaker 2: But I think this is a nice Bilo spot on

939
00:47:27,440 --> 00:47:30,520
Speaker 2: a Memphis team that. Yes, they have some losses recently,

940
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:32,879
Speaker 2: but with the exception of the Rice one, I don't

941
00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:35,919
Speaker 2: know if any of them are truly horrific. I still

942
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:37,799
Speaker 2: think there's plenty of the like about this Memphis team,

943
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:39,239
Speaker 2: and I have the best player on the court in

944
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:42,239
Speaker 2: David Jones, So I'll go with the Tigers band news.

945
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:44,240
Speaker 3: They're up twenty in the first half of her temple.

946
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:49,799
Speaker 3: Of course, naturally i'll throw out this one's gonna it's

947
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:52,840
Speaker 3: gonna be painful, but we'll see what the the line is.

948
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 3: It is a great spot. Florida at home again ticket

949
00:47:57,640 --> 00:48:00,719
Speaker 3: punching game against Auburn. They've had a week off. Auburn's

950
00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:03,839
Speaker 3: coming off that Alabama embarrassment when they just ran them

951
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:06,479
Speaker 3: out of the gym. A couple things I like about

952
00:48:06,480 --> 00:48:10,600
Speaker 3: this matchup. Florida really good at limiting transition opportunities. They're

953
00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:13,680
Speaker 3: elite at defending cutting action. That's basically what everything that

954
00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:16,680
Speaker 3: makes the Auburn offense go ninety nine percentile frequency, ninety

955
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:22,640
Speaker 3: six percentile efficiency for Auburn, Florida ninety fifth percentile defending that.

956
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:27,560
Speaker 3: And I think that the Gators can also live at

957
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:30,239
Speaker 3: the line here, especially at home, and they can live

958
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:32,120
Speaker 3: on the offensive glass. That's what you have to do

959
00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:36,640
Speaker 3: against Auburn. I think Auburn still has a little bit

960
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:39,719
Speaker 3: of shooting regression coming, especially on defense. They give up

961
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 3: now their unguarded jumpers have not been falling. I know

962
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:46,000
Speaker 3: that they're long and but they're very aggressive with their

963
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:48,400
Speaker 3: ball pressure, so they do give up some unguarded jumpers.

964
00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:50,920
Speaker 3: I think Florida is capable of taking advantage at home.

965
00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:54,799
Speaker 3: You just have to hope that Florida can limit its turnovers.

966
00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:57,480
Speaker 3: That's really what this comes down to. But I like

967
00:48:57,520 --> 00:49:00,560
Speaker 3: this spot here for Florida as a home dog week

968
00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:04,000
Speaker 3: off playing for its attorney lives against an Auburn team

969
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:06,560
Speaker 3: coming off that ALBAMAA still don't really truck. I still

970
00:49:06,600 --> 00:49:08,680
Speaker 3: don't trust their guards on the road yet. They can

971
00:49:08,719 --> 00:49:10,960
Speaker 3: prove it to me by March, but I still have

972
00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:14,160
Speaker 3: questions there. So I like the Gators. They can do

973
00:49:14,200 --> 00:49:16,319
Speaker 3: a good job on the glass here and now get

974
00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:18,400
Speaker 3: to the line and then I think they match up

975
00:49:18,440 --> 00:49:22,120
Speaker 3: pretty well defensively. Broom's gonna get his, But other than that,

976
00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:25,160
Speaker 3: I like the matchup In the spot. I'll mention one

977
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:27,719
Speaker 3: of the ones stets In at home against e k U.

978
00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:32,600
Speaker 3: I hope that. I love the Hatters at home this year.

979
00:49:33,360 --> 00:49:35,000
Speaker 3: They match up really well with Eku, I hope and

980
00:49:35,080 --> 00:49:37,239
Speaker 3: get like Finus one doubt it, but we'll see pick

981
00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:46,520
Speaker 3: those beasts. But stets in zones mixing a lot of zones.

982
00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:50,160
Speaker 3: Ek horrendous zone offense and sets and can handle the press.

983
00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:53,640
Speaker 3: They have two guards who can handle the ball. And

984
00:49:54,520 --> 00:49:56,719
Speaker 3: Eku has been a bad zone offense the last two years,

985
00:49:56,760 --> 00:49:59,200
Speaker 3: like really really bad, and Stetson will mix in a

986
00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:00,600
Speaker 3: lot of them. There were a little bit about the

987
00:50:00,640 --> 00:50:04,120
Speaker 3: offensive glass for Eku dominating there but I think it's

988
00:50:04,160 --> 00:50:07,080
Speaker 3: a good match up here and sets and should get

989
00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:10,640
Speaker 3: a ton of open looks. One other one, RANDALM. Kirsky,

990
00:50:10,640 --> 00:50:12,720
Speaker 3: at your thoughts here, because you have a good pulse

991
00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:17,400
Speaker 3: in this team. I was mad I bet Clemson, but

992
00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:22,160
Speaker 3: I was hoping you in C one. But UNC going

993
00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:25,440
Speaker 3: to Miami. This is a must must win for Miami.

994
00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:29,320
Speaker 3: Like they're not even on the bubble right now. George,

995
00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:31,319
Speaker 3: who's their star freshman's gonna play in the NBA. He

996
00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:34,359
Speaker 3: heard his ankle. I don't know his status yet. With

997
00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:38,040
Speaker 3: or without him, he's important, but with or without him

998
00:50:38,040 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 3: and he'll impact the line. I think this is a

999
00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:44,000
Speaker 3: good spot for Miami. They scored thirty eight points. I mean,

1000
00:50:44,080 --> 00:50:46,520
Speaker 3: Laronego is embarrassed. You got five days to prepare for

1001
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:50,480
Speaker 3: this game, fewest Miami scored since nineteen eighty five when

1002
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:53,360
Speaker 3: their program was reinstated. You should get a best effort

1003
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:55,600
Speaker 3: game here. Conference dogs. For what it's worth. After scoring

1004
00:50:55,640 --> 00:50:58,360
Speaker 3: forty or fewer points one fifty eight, one, fourteen and

1005
00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:00,680
Speaker 3: six against the spread, covering by three points per game

1006
00:51:01,320 --> 00:51:06,120
Speaker 3: over fifty eight percent, UNC defense force a ton of isolation.

1007
00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:10,359
Speaker 3: The Hurricanes have guys that can thrive there. There's still

1008
00:51:10,360 --> 00:51:13,719
Speaker 3: some regression coming for the UNC defense from shooting perspective

1009
00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:17,560
Speaker 3: ninety frank the ninety six percentile on unguarded jumpers, which

1010
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:21,400
Speaker 3: they give up at an above average rate. Miami, who

1011
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:24,520
Speaker 3: has been shooting below expectation of acc play, has a

1012
00:51:24,560 --> 00:51:27,200
Speaker 3: number of shooters. They're actually a good shooting team. They're

1013
00:51:27,239 --> 00:51:30,359
Speaker 3: like the perfect candidate to give you and see some

1014
00:51:30,400 --> 00:51:32,920
Speaker 3: overdue medicine from beyond the arc. Miami's good on the

1015
00:51:32,920 --> 00:51:36,440
Speaker 3: defensive glass and they don't faul. Those are two primary

1016
00:51:36,520 --> 00:51:40,640
Speaker 3: avenues for UNC, and UNC won't exploit Miami's turnover issues.

1017
00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 3: I know sometimes Miami just decides to turn it over themselves,

1018
00:51:43,840 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 3: but that's what kills their offense, and UNC won't exploit that.

1019
00:51:47,440 --> 00:51:49,480
Speaker 3: I'm a little bit worried about their like really anemic

1020
00:51:49,520 --> 00:51:52,400
Speaker 3: post defense, but I think it's a great spot here.

1021
00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:56,240
Speaker 3: I still think UNC's at the peak at its market value. Randall,

1022
00:51:56,360 --> 00:51:58,120
Speaker 3: I know you have a good feel for Miami. Any

1023
00:51:58,160 --> 00:52:01,080
Speaker 3: thoughts there on the canes, maybe getting my seven. I

1024
00:52:01,120 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 3: know Georgia's status is semi important, but you do get

1025
00:52:05,560 --> 00:52:06,920
Speaker 3: and they've dealt with that in jeries all year.

1026
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:10,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, Georgia special a special player listen. I don't like

1027
00:52:10,040 --> 00:52:11,920
Speaker 1: Miami to go to the Final four any more. They

1028
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:14,120
Speaker 1: just have two min shrigles. However, in this spot, I

1029
00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 1: completely agree with you. You could maybe get eight even too,

1030
00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:18,759
Speaker 1: because people a gonna bet North Carolina here, especially coming

1031
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 1: off the loss. Agree with you with the regression with

1032
00:52:21,040 --> 00:52:24,200
Speaker 1: North Carolina from with the offense. Still think the turnovers

1033
00:52:24,239 --> 00:52:27,040
Speaker 1: are possible with them. Miami can bang inside, O Weir

1034
00:52:27,120 --> 00:52:30,040
Speaker 1: can play well, Laryne. It's a great spot. If you're

1035
00:52:30,080 --> 00:52:32,120
Speaker 1: uncomfortable with it and the number is too low, you

1036
00:52:32,160 --> 00:52:34,280
Speaker 1: always go with the over because I don't think Miami's

1037
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:36,560
Speaker 1: gonna all of a sudden find defense in this game, so

1038
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:38,400
Speaker 1: I think Miami can cover and it's going to be

1039
00:52:38,440 --> 00:52:39,920
Speaker 1: a high scoring game. So I agree with you. I'm

1040
00:52:39,920 --> 00:52:41,719
Speaker 1: on it would love to get eight. I think it'd

1041
00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 1: be a great spot for them. Do I think they

1042
00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:45,080
Speaker 1: pull it out? No, because I think R. J. Davis

1043
00:52:45,120 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 1: just does enough. But it is a great spot. It's

1044
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:49,399
Speaker 1: a great coach bounce back. No one's gonna believe in them.

1045
00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:51,200
Speaker 1: And I like the over as well because I don't

1046
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 1: think Miami's went. It's not gonna be a low scoring

1047
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:53,720
Speaker 1: and that I don't.

1048
00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:55,719
Speaker 3: Think and me are potentially gonna get Baycott in the

1049
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 3: foul trouble like his craftiness. I think he did that

1050
00:52:58,280 --> 00:53:01,720
Speaker 3: last year when they won out UNC but desperation spot

1051
00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:03,680
Speaker 3: for Miami, And like I said, they can compete on

1052
00:53:03,680 --> 00:53:06,520
Speaker 3: the defense class. They don't fail at least and they're

1053
00:53:06,520 --> 00:53:08,680
Speaker 3: gonna get some open looks from three and you should

1054
00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:11,480
Speaker 3: get there. I mean they're either gonna quit, which I

1055
00:53:11,480 --> 00:53:14,040
Speaker 3: don't think they will underlay Naga, or you'll get their

1056
00:53:14,040 --> 00:53:19,520
Speaker 3: best effort here. So yeah, I like the Kynes all

1057
00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:23,160
Speaker 3: right that we'll do it for us, add a little

1058
00:53:23,200 --> 00:53:27,600
Speaker 3: badger Final four future, and talk some weekend hoops. It

1059
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:31,360
Speaker 3: was pleasure as always, gentlemen, Thanks for joining me. Most importantly,

1060
00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:32,759
Speaker 3: thanks to all of you for tuning in. If for

1061
00:53:32,800 --> 00:53:36,080
Speaker 3: watching a YouTube, hit that like and subscribe button. Make

1062
00:53:36,120 --> 00:53:39,480
Speaker 3: sure you subscribe, unsubscribe, subscribe to the Big Bets on

1063
00:53:39,520 --> 00:53:42,600
Speaker 3: Campus podcast, Tell a Friend, Tell an enemy, leave a

1064
00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:46,160
Speaker 3: five star review, do a bunch of giveaways in a

1065
00:53:46,160 --> 00:53:47,719
Speaker 3: week or two. So just leave a five star review,

1066
00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:50,799
Speaker 3: doesn't matter what you say. Those really help us out.

1067
00:53:50,800 --> 00:53:53,680
Speaker 3: We'll also be back Saturday morning, ten thirty am Eastern

1068
00:53:53,960 --> 00:53:57,839
Speaker 3: for BBOC Live. Make sure you check myself, Mike, Mike,

1069
00:53:58,040 --> 00:54:01,040
Speaker 3: and Greg Waddell out, and then we'll be back Monday

1070
00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:04,759
Speaker 3: for the weekend recap. Guys from three Man, we as

1071
00:54:04,840 --> 00:54:07,279
Speaker 3: always have their Wednesay episode, and then we'll be back

1072
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:09,520
Speaker 3: late next week for the weekend previous March will be

1073
00:54:09,560 --> 00:54:13,440
Speaker 3: here before we know it. College basketball is about to

1074
00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:14,960
Speaker 3: get even more exciting. Good luck on all of your

1075
00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:18,320
Speaker 3: wages this weekend, and we will see you on Saturday morning.

1076
00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:26,520
Speaker 5: Cheers.

1077
00:54:32,200 --> 00:54:35,640
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1078
00:54:36,080 --> 00:54:38,920
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1079
00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:41,799
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1080
00:54:41,880 --> 00:54:42,719
Speaker 4: hundred Gambler