WEBVTT - Ticker Madness

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome new trillions. I'm Joel Webber and I'm Eric Belchertis.

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<v Speaker 1>We're in the middle of March Madness. Eric, It's just

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<v Speaker 1>like my favorite time of year, just because it's like

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<v Speaker 1>chaos and I love watching basketball college basketball sports bliss.

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<v Speaker 1>Not only is it great because every game is sudden death, right,

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<v Speaker 1>everybody cares so much. I love that it's better than

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<v Speaker 1>the regular season. But by the time the tournament's over,

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<v Speaker 1>it's kind of springtime and sunny out. It's the greatest

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<v Speaker 1>tournament for multiple reasons for me, and I'm a big

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<v Speaker 1>basketball fan. Two. So we have a special way to

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<v Speaker 1>celebrate the spirit of March Madness with E t f S.

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<v Speaker 1>We've gone to Bloomberg News reporters who cover E t

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<v Speaker 1>F S. We've asked them each to pick their favorite ticker,

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<v Speaker 1>eight different teams, eight different tickers, and we've seated them

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<v Speaker 1>based on assets under management, and we're going to have

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<v Speaker 1>a gigantic SmackDown on today's show. It's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>epic to determine the very best ticker of all. Before

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<v Speaker 1>you tune out, thinking this has nothing to do with

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<v Speaker 1>invest thing, let me tell you two reasons this actually matters.

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<v Speaker 1>And what what you're gonna hear? First of all, marketing

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<v Speaker 1>and ETFs is huge. Of the flows go to two

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<v Speaker 1>or three companies black Rock, Vanguarden, State Street. That leaves

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred and twenty companies fighting over of your money.

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<v Speaker 1>And tickers is a huge marketing advantage if you have

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<v Speaker 1>a good one, it sticks out every category. Now it's

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<v Speaker 1>fifty t F s. So picking a ticker is big business.

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<v Speaker 1>It matters, and it can really help sell an e

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<v Speaker 1>t F. But it can also be a shiny object

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<v Speaker 1>that leads you to something you know once. So the

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<v Speaker 1>ticker shouldn't be all and I think we're gonna, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>explore a lot of that. So so give us a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of examples of how it can help block. The

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<v Speaker 1>blockchain ETF that came out with the ticker bl okay

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<v Speaker 1>came out the same day as another blockchain ETF with

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<v Speaker 1>a ticker blcn, which is, let's admit it, a little

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<v Speaker 1>more boring. Block is just easy. You can say it,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a it's now. Yeah, that block has one seventy

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<v Speaker 1>million blc N give me another one. Fan versus p

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<v Speaker 1>w n D FAN is the Global wind Energy p

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<v Speaker 1>w n D is also a wind energy. Obviously Fan

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<v Speaker 1>kills and Fan has eighty eight million dollars and more importantly,

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<v Speaker 1>it's alive p w n D liquidated in the graveyard.

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<v Speaker 1>So literally worst case scenario, like the better chicker wins

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<v Speaker 1>the war. But a good ticker doesn't always save the

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<v Speaker 1>day absolutely, Like a ticker is like icing on the cake,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's not the cake. For example, here's some good

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<v Speaker 1>tickers where from the graveyard. These are E t F

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<v Speaker 1>that are liquidated, waste wst E for the waste management

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<v Speaker 1>ETF gone room for the car, et F that's gone,

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<v Speaker 1>bite restaurants, f A A for airlines, and puff for

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<v Speaker 1>sins as basically gambling in cigarette stocks gone. Why why

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<v Speaker 1>didn't those work? A lot of times it comes down

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<v Speaker 1>to timing. But like in the case of Careu Australia

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<v Speaker 1>small cap that was around when Australia has some good runs,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's just too niche. It sliced the it sliced

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<v Speaker 1>the onion too thinly, and no one cares. This episode

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<v Speaker 1>ticker madness. Okay, So joining us today, we have a

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of different Bloomberg News reporters and we also have

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<v Speaker 1>an editor named David Papadopoulos, who's going to be the

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<v Speaker 1>judge deciding who advances. Now, I've already paid him off

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<v Speaker 1>so that I win this whole thing. But maybe you

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<v Speaker 1>guys have paid him off too. But David, welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>the show. Thank you very much. And actually, Joel I,

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<v Speaker 1>I was greatly appreciative, and I was shocked that no

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<v Speaker 1>one else drew me a little cash. It's not too late.

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<v Speaker 1>He's probably still able to take bribes um, which is

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<v Speaker 1>actually really in the spirit of marsh madness with what's

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<v Speaker 1>actually been going on with the n C double A. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>first matchup Move versus E M. T Y. I'm gonna

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<v Speaker 1>throw it over to that bracket. Can you introduce yourselves

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<v Speaker 1>what you do and why you've picked the tickers that

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<v Speaker 1>you've picked. Okay, I'm Suzanne Whale. I picked Move, which

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<v Speaker 1>is the ticker for Van Eck Factor's Agro Business et F.

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<v Speaker 1>I picked because it's a classic, it's been around since

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand seven. It's the most evocative ticker out there.

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<v Speaker 1>You think, moo, you think, what do you think if

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<v Speaker 1>you think of a farm, you think of agri business.

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<v Speaker 1>That's it. That's the two seed. The seventh seed, Ben

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<v Speaker 1>Steve Hman, Yeah, yourself. My name is Ben Steve Berman.

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<v Speaker 1>I cover personal finance here and my pick is E

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<v Speaker 1>M T Y or empty, which is the pro shares

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<v Speaker 1>decline of the retail story TF. So basically, this is

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<v Speaker 1>what I love about it is it's funny, and also

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<v Speaker 1>it's this delightfully evil bet against main street retail in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States. This is a brand new ETF came

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<v Speaker 1>out in November, doesn't have very many assets so far.

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<v Speaker 1>But what I love is, first all that's funny, and

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<v Speaker 1>second of all that it's very evocative of this post

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<v Speaker 1>apocalyptic landscape that so many malls and shopping centers all

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<v Speaker 1>across this country you're turning into. And it's basically this

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<v Speaker 1>bet that all that gonna go and can continue to

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<v Speaker 1>go and get worse, and Amazon's gonna eat everybody's lunch.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to throw a little shade on this. I

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<v Speaker 1>want to know I use the word evocative, Okay, So

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's sort of you know, I've got a

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<v Speaker 1>new ticker for Ben's argument here, which is like l

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<v Speaker 1>A M A lamb. So I'm just throwing that out there.

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<v Speaker 1>So before I rule here, I gotta ask so Ben,

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<v Speaker 1>as I make that bet against right, and I bet

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<v Speaker 1>sort of the retail pocalypse tangibly, How do I? How

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<v Speaker 1>does this eat? How does it? What is it invest in?

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<v Speaker 1>How does that? So? It is? It uses a swap

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<v Speaker 1>and which means that it's it's basically shorting another index,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the bricks and mortar retail stores index, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's so that that has all the classics, Gap, Dick,

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<v Speaker 1>Sporting Goods, Dollar General, Ross Stores, like all these traditional

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<v Speaker 1>mainline retailers that are struggling. The other thing I love

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<v Speaker 1>about it is that, as Eric and Joe have talked

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<v Speaker 1>about on this show many times, betting on one of

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<v Speaker 1>these inverse ets is actually pretty dangerous strategy. So in

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<v Speaker 1>some ways, the empty that could be happening here is

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<v Speaker 1>not just the emptying of the retail stores. It could

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<v Speaker 1>be the emptying of the investment accounts of the people

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<v Speaker 1>who invest in this thing, because it could be a

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<v Speaker 1>really dangerous play. That's nice, Ben, that just went next level. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>she's saying before I rule here, do you do a

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<v Speaker 1>final any final words? Um, I'm just going with classic

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm going with like food, this is food, this

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<v Speaker 1>is global, this is huge. I'm being a positive, positive

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<v Speaker 1>force in the world supposed to be negativity. We've got,

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<v Speaker 1>We've got, we've got a ruling, and we have we

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<v Speaker 1>have our very first upset after Moon after Moon was

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<v Speaker 1>putting it on him early and it looked like a

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<v Speaker 1>total blowout. It looked like it was early on. It

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<v Speaker 1>was move twenty three. Empty seven Empty just kind of

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<v Speaker 1>kept wearing me down. Ultimately, what told me beyond the

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<v Speaker 1>great Empty name, is that it is just a huge

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<v Speaker 1>part of the of the American story, the investing story,

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<v Speaker 1>in the economy story, what empty is about, and that

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<v Speaker 1>that's opposed to Yeah, I suppose that's correct, that's post.

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<v Speaker 1>This is stunning. I'm shocked. You know. I frequently call

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<v Speaker 1>Moo the Mona Lisa of E T F tickers. It's perfect,

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<v Speaker 1>that usually makes the number one of everybody's list. But man,

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<v Speaker 1>empty is pretty good and made a good case I

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<v Speaker 1>should have paid off Papa Topolos. Okay, now we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>go to Philadelphia to the Wells Fargo Center where Eric

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<v Speaker 1>is a three seed, and we kind of let him

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<v Speaker 1>have a little bit of an advantage, which he actually

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<v Speaker 1>has two tickers, Yin and Yang, which he's going to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about as a grouping and then with a six

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<v Speaker 1>seed Carolina Wilson with Tan ca. Yeah, Carolina Wilson, I

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<v Speaker 1>cover E t F s for the U S Stocks

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<v Speaker 1>team here, and I'm from Miami, Florida, where everyone and

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<v Speaker 1>their mother quite literally wants to be more tan. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think actually the floor area has the most tanning

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<v Speaker 1>salons and any other state in the country. Yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>think I was pretty torn undering research on on spray

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<v Speaker 1>tans and fake tans versus what tan actually does. But no,

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<v Speaker 1>so I have the Guggenheim Solar Energy Index e t F.

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<v Speaker 1>And since the whole point of this is to defend

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<v Speaker 1>the importance of a ticker, Tan has already undergone an

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<v Speaker 1>easy peasy stress test scenario for this, and Eric has

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<v Speaker 1>Actually this is from one of your handy dandy Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>So two solar ETFs launched about ten years ago, within

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<v Speaker 1>about a week of each other. So Tan was one.

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<v Speaker 1>What a great taker. And kWt I think it's like

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<v Speaker 1>for kill a lot. But do you want to guess

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<v Speaker 1>where most of the assets on volume one too? And Dan,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'm talking about Tan raking in close to four

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<v Speaker 1>hundred million dollars in assets and kWt didn't even manage

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<v Speaker 1>to get much more than fifteen million dollars. So if

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<v Speaker 1>you don't want to believe me, I mean you could

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<v Speaker 1>follow the money. You've done your research, alright, Eric, what

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<v Speaker 1>do you got? I picked UH to leverage ETFs triple

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<v Speaker 1>leveraged China Yin and Yang the Direction Daily Foot see

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<v Speaker 1>China Bull three x shares and the Bear three x shares.

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<v Speaker 1>And the reason I picked these is because who doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>love the Yin yang symbol. I mean, it's basically thousands

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<v Speaker 1>of years old. It's a from Chinese philosophy, which is

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<v Speaker 1>perfect because here you're betting on either bullish China or

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<v Speaker 1>barish China, right, and it's it's one of the rare

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<v Speaker 1>ts where you don't even need to know the name.

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<v Speaker 1>Really you know what's going on there. I mean you

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<v Speaker 1>probably should because it's leveraged, and that adds a whole

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<v Speaker 1>another wrinkle. But I think it's a good ticker, especially

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<v Speaker 1>because when you have leverage going one way and the other,

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<v Speaker 1>it's real nice to have two things that appear to

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<v Speaker 1>be opposite, and I think this one nails it. And

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<v Speaker 1>you know, when you go back, look, the balance of

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<v Speaker 1>the universe is sort of contained in the Yin yang symbol,

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<v Speaker 1>and to me, that's sort of the leverage et F area.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got, you know, equal number going long, equal number

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<v Speaker 1>going short. But unfortunately they all don't bounce out. They

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<v Speaker 1>do lose money over time. So as we've talked about

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<v Speaker 1>many times their trading tools. But in our traffic light system,

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<v Speaker 1>this is a hard red light. But that doesn't take

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<v Speaker 1>away from the fact that it's just a killer ticker.

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<v Speaker 1>But just a little dig on tan. I think tan

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<v Speaker 1>is what you get. In fact, I think you get

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<v Speaker 1>burnt when you hold tan susception. But but the investors

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<v Speaker 1>of that get a nice juicy yield because since those

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<v Speaker 1>solar stocks are so hated, they are really like that

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<v Speaker 1>they're required for shorts, and so this thing brings in

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<v Speaker 1>some extra cash because of its like aggressive securities crowd.

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<v Speaker 1>The crowd is not even agreement. I am literally surrounded

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<v Speaker 1>by e T F nerds. Yeah, except for the Greek,

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<v Speaker 1>except for the job um. So we have a ruling.

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<v Speaker 1>We have a ruling, and and what is ultimately it

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<v Speaker 1>was also it was a close game here, but ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes the higher seed wins, and the higher seed despite

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<v Speaker 1>the whole thing being a touch convoluted. Frankly, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>triple leverage, the multiple tickers, the higher seed wins out.

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<v Speaker 1>Carolina did give up a good fight, ultimately a touch

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<v Speaker 1>too much stick on Florida. I only want to hear

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<v Speaker 1>so much about Florida, just as you prepare for for

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<v Speaker 1>next time around. But I did like the I did

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<v Speaker 1>like to fight. And also the fact that he pulled

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<v Speaker 1>out that plunge on you late. That wasn't helpful. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, why do people are to eat any bits?

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<v Speaker 1>Wouldn't you need them more of? Not enough? It's all

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<v Speaker 1>right Brackett too. We've got Danny Burger in London with

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<v Speaker 1>her ticker this is a one seed s m h.

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<v Speaker 1>And she's going against Lukawa at an eighth seed with

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<v Speaker 1>a ticker boon. Danny, Who are you? What do you do?

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<v Speaker 1>What's your ticker? I am a cross asset reporter. I

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<v Speaker 1>besides reporting on cross asset, I also eat a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of snacks out of the London pantry. I consider that

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<v Speaker 1>my profession you're joining. I am based in London, yes indeed,

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<v Speaker 1>but as you can tell from my accent, I come

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<v Speaker 1>from New York, so I I am hip with the

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<v Speaker 1>US based tickers. For some reason, the tickers aren't as

0:12:15.440 --> 0:12:18.480
<v Speaker 1>exciting in Europe, so I did go with a U

0:12:18.720 --> 0:12:23.679
<v Speaker 1>S one this time around. And why why SMH? Okay, well,

0:12:23.720 --> 0:12:25.320
<v Speaker 1>first of all, I want to take issue with the

0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:28.000
<v Speaker 1>fact that I'm a one seed this. I think I'm

0:12:28.040 --> 0:12:31.720
<v Speaker 1>coming here as the underdog because s m H was

0:12:31.760 --> 0:12:34.320
<v Speaker 1>not intended to be a fun ticker. This is the

0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:38.880
<v Speaker 1>Van Eck vector's semiconductor e t F. And the reason

0:12:39.080 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 1>SMH is so brilliant is because it's not gimmicky, but

0:12:43.240 --> 0:12:46.640
<v Speaker 1>still it is fresh. It is new. S MH, for

0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:50.520
<v Speaker 1>those who don't know, is internet lingo for shaking my head.

0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:54.079
<v Speaker 1>And there's no way that Van Eck decided when they

0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:56.920
<v Speaker 1>made s MH that they wanted a ticker that was

0:12:56.960 --> 0:12:59.320
<v Speaker 1>shaking my head. Yeah, but you know one point three

0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:01.959
<v Speaker 1>billion and sets. Okay, yeah, But the reason I love

0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:04.760
<v Speaker 1>this so much is that every single time this thing

0:13:04.800 --> 0:13:10.760
<v Speaker 1>sells off, they're outflows. You can say, s MH a

0:13:10.840 --> 0:13:14.640
<v Speaker 1>billion from this fund is awesome. I love how like

0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:18.640
<v Speaker 1>accidentally perfect this is. Well. Vadek is the same company

0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:22.360
<v Speaker 1>that has a ticker crack the reserve for the triple

0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:25.440
<v Speaker 1>leverage junior goal miners, but it's actually the some sort

0:13:25.480 --> 0:13:28.800
<v Speaker 1>of like oil type ETF. I've heard enough from the

0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 1>from London. Give me the real h down. I want

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:32.440
<v Speaker 1>to hear what they have to say. All right, lu

0:13:32.559 --> 0:13:35.439
<v Speaker 1>Kawa Boone. Al Right, I'm Luka I am also a

0:13:35.600 --> 0:13:38.600
<v Speaker 1>Crosshasset reporter and as you will be able to tell

0:13:38.640 --> 0:13:42.040
<v Speaker 1>at some point from my accent, originally from Canada. But

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:45.520
<v Speaker 1>you know again before starting to extol the virtues of Boone,

0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:48.000
<v Speaker 1>and you know that is the n Y S. Pickens

0:13:48.040 --> 0:13:51.559
<v Speaker 1>oil response e t F A first really again, like

0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:55.200
<v Speaker 1>Danny over there, like to question the wisdom of both

0:13:55.320 --> 0:13:58.280
<v Speaker 1>Danny and whoever put these tickers together. The number one

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:01.719
<v Speaker 1>rank is going to a product that's an abbreviation for

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:05.880
<v Speaker 1>a negative form of non verbal communication, coming about from

0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:09.760
<v Speaker 1>what millennial do when they're too lazy to spell things.

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:12.480
<v Speaker 1>When I look at my portfolio, the last thing I

0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:15.600
<v Speaker 1>want to do is think shaking my head. Last thing

0:14:15.720 --> 0:14:20.160
<v Speaker 1>like this terrible, terrible branding, terrible advertising. Danny makes the

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:23.280
<v Speaker 1>case against it better than I ever could. But it's

0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:27.000
<v Speaker 1>hard for like this octogenary in this multi multi, multi

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:32.560
<v Speaker 1>multi millionaira wildcat raider turned oil tycoon could ever be

0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:34.600
<v Speaker 1>considered an underdog or the new kid on the block.

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:36.880
<v Speaker 1>But that's the case with Boone. This e t F

0:14:37.080 --> 0:14:40.239
<v Speaker 1>is it's brand new, it's got very little in assets.

0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:43.720
<v Speaker 1>But what it is is it's basically it's a reflection

0:14:43.800 --> 0:14:48.440
<v Speaker 1>of the most defining macro trend, probably since the financial crisis,

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 1>and that's the rise of U S Energy. Ta Boon,

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:54.800
<v Speaker 1>along with his lieutenants who helped formulate this Equal Weight Fund,

0:14:55.040 --> 0:14:57.320
<v Speaker 1>wants you to go in all in on the US

0:14:57.560 --> 0:15:00.600
<v Speaker 1>energy renaissance. We got things like I'll away in there.

0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:04.800
<v Speaker 1>You've got things like cutie Brands, First Solar. But inasmuch

0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:06.560
<v Speaker 1>as this is kind of, you know, an energy and

0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:08.760
<v Speaker 1>an energy link to play, I think the timing is

0:15:08.800 --> 0:15:13.080
<v Speaker 1>also pretty darn good for Boone. Right now, the relative

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:17.400
<v Speaker 1>performance of energy stocks versus the spires has trailed and

0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 1>lagged the oil price by the most on record. So

0:15:20.280 --> 0:15:22.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, at some point we've got to be playing

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:25.000
<v Speaker 1>catch up, and I think Boone is the way to

0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:27.320
<v Speaker 1>catch up. And you know, some e t F providers

0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:29.800
<v Speaker 1>they want to have their name on the ice of

0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:32.840
<v Speaker 1>the Madison Square Garden. Like Spider T. Boon Pickens, he

0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 1>wants his name on the front of the stadium both

0:15:35.160 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>his name and his company's name. So if you've got

0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:40.160
<v Speaker 1>some aspiration, I think you're going. Here's the thing. I

0:15:40.200 --> 0:15:41.880
<v Speaker 1>don't need a rebottle period. I've got I've got to

0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:44.320
<v Speaker 1>I've got a ruling. By the way, eight seed coming

0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:47.680
<v Speaker 1>out thick. Yeah, you gotta lay it all up. I

0:15:47.680 --> 0:15:49.280
<v Speaker 1>don't know what you're gonna have for leader rounds, but

0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:51.400
<v Speaker 1>it's like eight seeds showing up. That's all I got.

0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:54.800
<v Speaker 1>Vermont over here. Yeah, No, the H doesn't have to

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:57.160
<v Speaker 1>do in this case. Worry about later rounds because H's

0:15:57.160 --> 0:16:01.400
<v Speaker 1>got knocked out. I'm gonna say this so so, Luke,

0:16:01.440 --> 0:16:05.320
<v Speaker 1>here's the thing. I love the energy and the firepower,

0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:08.680
<v Speaker 1>and and I think as you come back to this

0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:10.680
<v Speaker 1>next year, you know you're gonna do well. But all

0:16:10.720 --> 0:16:12.240
<v Speaker 1>the end of the day, what does he in here?

0:16:13.000 --> 0:16:14.760
<v Speaker 1>Is boon is It's just it's just ultimate, it's just

0:16:14.840 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 1>too scrawny. It's just I can't two and a half million.

0:16:17.920 --> 0:16:20.200
<v Speaker 1>It's I just I just can't. I'm not Feelish's back

0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 1>to back La. He's still fighting. He's still and one one.

0:16:26.560 --> 0:16:28.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna fit in London, London. You survived in advance,

0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:30.640
<v Speaker 1>but you gotta bring a little more fire that it

0:16:30.760 --> 0:16:35.800
<v Speaker 1>was sleeping. It was leep, I'm not you know, if

0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:39.800
<v Speaker 1>ultimately Boone didn't do itself in with its scrawniness, that

0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:41.600
<v Speaker 1>you would have gotten knocked out. You gotta bring a little,

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:44.400
<v Speaker 1>a little something more for the next round we have.

0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>We have Joel is the what seed? Jel, I'm a

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:49.080
<v Speaker 1>four seed, you're a four seed, and we have Rachel

0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:52.840
<v Speaker 1>Evans who is a five five. Oh, so this is

0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:54.920
<v Speaker 1>a good one. This is that four five matchup. Anybody

0:16:54.960 --> 0:16:57.720
<v Speaker 1>could win here. Joel is coming at us with the

0:16:57.840 --> 0:17:00.640
<v Speaker 1>ticker would, and Rachel has the ticker she. So we're

0:17:00.640 --> 0:17:03.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna start with the four seed Joel, go ahead, all right.

0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:07.560
<v Speaker 1>Wood is the I Shares Global Timber four Street et F.

0:17:07.920 --> 0:17:11.520
<v Speaker 1>I picked this one because I'm an Oregonian. Yeah. So

0:17:12.240 --> 0:17:16.280
<v Speaker 1>back when the Ducks won their only n C Double

0:17:16.359 --> 0:17:19.560
<v Speaker 1>A title, it was all about the big guys from Oregon, right,

0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:23.119
<v Speaker 1>So I'm picking the big trees. Going with the Wood.

0:17:23.600 --> 0:17:26.320
<v Speaker 1>This is a thematic et F, which is one of

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:28.640
<v Speaker 1>the things that Eric and I often get to talk

0:17:28.640 --> 0:17:31.000
<v Speaker 1>about it on the show because they're in vogue a

0:17:31.040 --> 0:17:35.760
<v Speaker 1>little bit. Uh. This has been crushing it up over

0:17:35.800 --> 0:17:39.160
<v Speaker 1>the last year. It's got companies that are not only

0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:41.520
<v Speaker 1>US and North American. You got a little bit of

0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:43.760
<v Speaker 1>Canadian in there, You've got some Brazil you also got

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:47.440
<v Speaker 1>some other global stuff. So I like that it's diversified regionally.

0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:50.920
<v Speaker 1>And then what's been crushing it has been the fact

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:54.679
<v Speaker 1>that e commerce has been buying up everything paper. Right,

0:17:54.800 --> 0:17:57.440
<v Speaker 1>You've got all these Amazon Prime boxes. You need cardboard

0:17:57.520 --> 0:18:00.480
<v Speaker 1>for that. So I think it's a strong play. I

0:18:00.560 --> 0:18:03.200
<v Speaker 1>will say that I don't like this head to head magic.

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:11.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm yeah, I'm I'm really scared of this, but I've

0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:14.920
<v Speaker 1>made my case all right. Well, and so Rachel, just

0:18:15.000 --> 0:18:17.760
<v Speaker 1>a little bit who you are and also the ticker

0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:19.680
<v Speaker 1>that you brought and why you did it. So my

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:21.600
<v Speaker 1>name is Rachel Evans. I'm an E t F reporter

0:18:21.760 --> 0:18:24.200
<v Speaker 1>based here in New York, though we're a very international

0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:27.160
<v Speaker 1>bunch today as I'm from the UK originally. So I've

0:18:27.240 --> 0:18:29.560
<v Speaker 1>come to you guys with SHE, which is the Spider

0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:33.040
<v Speaker 1>s s G a Gender Diversity Index e TF SHE.

0:18:33.600 --> 0:18:35.760
<v Speaker 1>Now what that E t F does is it invests

0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 1>in companies that really have a positive attitude towards getting

0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 1>women onto boards, getting women into executive positions. And having

0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:48.680
<v Speaker 1>women CEOs, chairs, other executives and directors. The reason I

0:18:49.119 --> 0:18:52.119
<v Speaker 1>chose this ticker is because for me, a ticker should

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:54.440
<v Speaker 1>stick in the mind, should be simple, it should be

0:18:54.480 --> 0:18:56.600
<v Speaker 1>evocative and tell you what the fund does, but it

0:18:56.640 --> 0:18:59.520
<v Speaker 1>should also be memorable. Now this is where for for me,

0:18:59.720 --> 0:19:03.679
<v Speaker 1>she really stands out, partly because of my English heritage. Right,

0:19:03.920 --> 0:19:06.200
<v Speaker 1>so growing up in the nine nineties and the UK,

0:19:06.600 --> 0:19:09.480
<v Speaker 1>notting Hill was a massive movie, and the end of

0:19:09.520 --> 0:19:12.280
<v Speaker 1>the credits notting Hill you have Elvis Costello doing a

0:19:12.400 --> 0:19:16.200
<v Speaker 1>great version of She by Charles Asnivor. Every time I

0:19:16.280 --> 0:19:18.720
<v Speaker 1>look up this ticker on the terminal, I sing she

0:19:19.040 --> 0:19:21.240
<v Speaker 1>in my head and sometimes occasionally out loud as well.

0:19:21.560 --> 0:19:25.879
<v Speaker 1>So for me, can you sing it now? She face?

0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:31.920
<v Speaker 1>So I can't forget not only are we in the

0:19:31.960 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 1>middle of the meat you moment, but I picked would

0:19:35.640 --> 0:19:38.680
<v Speaker 1>head to head with she going to bring up another

0:19:38.760 --> 0:19:40.880
<v Speaker 1>thing that's perfect for this tape, but I will say,

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:42.760
<v Speaker 1>I just want there's some rony here, which you know,

0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 1>I looked up your holdings number one holding fer Yes,

0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:49.680
<v Speaker 1>So top of all this, there's a viagraa moment going on.

0:19:49.880 --> 0:19:53.159
<v Speaker 1>So it's just like that's the interesting thing when you

0:19:53.240 --> 0:19:55.679
<v Speaker 1>do look at the holdings like this is often categorized

0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:58.040
<v Speaker 1>as an environmental social Governance fund, and obviously on the

0:19:58.080 --> 0:20:00.159
<v Speaker 1>governance side you can see why that is. But it

0:20:00.240 --> 0:20:02.640
<v Speaker 1>doesn't necessarily tick the boxes that you might see from

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:05.080
<v Speaker 1>a typical E s G fund. It's not steering clear

0:20:05.160 --> 0:20:07.600
<v Speaker 1>of your kind of multinationals. It's steering into that and

0:20:07.680 --> 0:20:10.720
<v Speaker 1>rewarding those that really kind of actually advocate for women.

0:20:10.960 --> 0:20:12.280
<v Speaker 1>But I would just say on the point of the

0:20:12.600 --> 0:20:15.440
<v Speaker 1>Me too movement, these guys have been incredible with their

0:20:15.480 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 1>marketing from the word go. This This et F was

0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:20.800
<v Speaker 1>launched on International Women's Stay Back in twenty six they

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:25.879
<v Speaker 1>set up the Fearless Girl sculpture downtown. Everybody shrinking over here, Rachel.

0:20:25.920 --> 0:20:28.000
<v Speaker 1>How much money is in the ct F. It's just

0:20:28.119 --> 0:20:30.960
<v Speaker 1>over three million, and that's its weakness. But when you

0:20:31.040 --> 0:20:32.879
<v Speaker 1>look at e t F, you really only start to

0:20:32.920 --> 0:20:35.560
<v Speaker 1>see growth and assets from about the three year mark onwards.

0:20:36.560 --> 0:20:38.800
<v Speaker 1>She now has two years under its belt, so I'm

0:20:38.880 --> 0:20:41.320
<v Speaker 1>thinking that come March next year, we're really going to

0:20:41.440 --> 0:20:43.679
<v Speaker 1>start to see people moving money in. But with three

0:20:43.760 --> 0:20:47.640
<v Speaker 1>hundred million, it's hardly all right, all right, there haven't

0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 1>been many blowouts so far, but this was this was

0:20:50.359 --> 0:20:55.359
<v Speaker 1>one of them. Rachel just put it out. I'm going

0:20:55.400 --> 0:20:56.680
<v Speaker 1>to say one of the things. I mean now it

0:20:56.760 --> 0:20:59.200
<v Speaker 1>was Rachel, really good man. I mean, you're just for

0:20:59.320 --> 0:21:01.840
<v Speaker 1>you next year. Don't come in with your first thought

0:21:01.880 --> 0:21:03.960
<v Speaker 1>them being like, you know, I picked this one because

0:21:04.160 --> 0:21:08.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm for more a god in. Nobody can't. No one can't.

0:21:08.600 --> 0:21:11.320
<v Speaker 1>It's pronounced Oregon. So that's shame on you. We'll see

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:14.200
<v Speaker 1>if you come back next year. You can't fire the

0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:18.280
<v Speaker 1>judge I just did. It's actually organized show. By the way,

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 1>this this reminded me of Rocky four when Drago fought

0:21:23.520 --> 0:21:27.080
<v Speaker 1>Apollo Creed. Yeah, that was exactly what happened here. I'm

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 1>not sure if Joel's alive. I'll take the Russian. I'll

0:21:30.320 --> 0:21:34.919
<v Speaker 1>take that all right. Back to Oregon to you quietly

0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:46.280
<v Speaker 1>shrinking away now, Okay, Final four, number one seed s MH,

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:51.480
<v Speaker 1>number four, seed she, number seven seed e m t

0:21:51.800 --> 0:21:55.199
<v Speaker 1>y number three seed Yin and Yang. First off, we're

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:59.359
<v Speaker 1>gonna do SMH versus She. That's number one versus number four. Danny.

0:22:00.240 --> 0:22:03.679
<v Speaker 1>All right, So, just like University of Virginia, which happens

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.320
<v Speaker 1>to be my alma mater, I am now claiming this

0:22:06.520 --> 0:22:09.280
<v Speaker 1>number one seed and will not be complaining about being

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:12.639
<v Speaker 1>seated as number one. And you know why, it's just

0:22:12.840 --> 0:22:16.760
<v Speaker 1>like Virginia because it's not flashy, it's not in your face,

0:22:17.119 --> 0:22:21.720
<v Speaker 1>and it's patient, which is exactly what s MH is not. Only,

0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 1>as I said before, is this some great internet lingo

0:22:25.359 --> 0:22:28.320
<v Speaker 1>for shaking my head that works awesomely as a reporter

0:22:28.440 --> 0:22:31.680
<v Speaker 1>when covering this. But this e t F waited for

0:22:31.920 --> 0:22:35.639
<v Speaker 1>its time to shine. Semiconductor stocks are hot right now,

0:22:35.800 --> 0:22:39.320
<v Speaker 1>and in the past two years, this thing has doubled

0:22:39.440 --> 0:22:43.640
<v Speaker 1>its assets. It didn't need to go after some try

0:22:43.720 --> 0:22:47.240
<v Speaker 1>to pander to the crowd, need to erect a statue

0:22:47.600 --> 0:22:54.200
<v Speaker 1>on walls up. It sat there. It played defense, just

0:22:54.520 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 1>like University of Virginia, and like Tony Bennett, who not

0:22:57.480 --> 0:22:59.880
<v Speaker 1>only is a singer but is also the coach of UNI.

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Versity of Virginia taught its team patients, which is exactly

0:23:04.440 --> 0:23:07.280
<v Speaker 1>what this fund did with its holdings until they came

0:23:07.320 --> 0:23:09.880
<v Speaker 1>into favor. And you know what this makes me say,

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.320
<v Speaker 1>s MH. Shake in my head. This is a great

0:23:15.080 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 1>fire she alright, she I feel like I'm a bit

0:23:23.119 --> 0:23:25.680
<v Speaker 1>of a disadvantage with all the basketball metaphors going on.

0:23:25.760 --> 0:23:28.840
<v Speaker 1>But nonetheless, SHE is the e t F that you

0:23:28.920 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 1>can pretty much buy if you want to get your

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:33.359
<v Speaker 1>corporate governance exposure sorted out right. You've got the me

0:23:33.480 --> 0:23:35.680
<v Speaker 1>too movement which we touched on before that that is

0:23:35.760 --> 0:23:37.920
<v Speaker 1>really having a day. So and this is something that

0:23:37.960 --> 0:23:39.920
<v Speaker 1>I think is going to develop over the next year.

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:42.280
<v Speaker 1>So I think if you start to watch the flows

0:23:42.359 --> 0:23:44.480
<v Speaker 1>going into SHE, I think we're going to start to

0:23:44.520 --> 0:23:47.479
<v Speaker 1>see an uptick in these like this fund is becoming

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:50.159
<v Speaker 1>more and more seasoned in terms of the amount of

0:23:50.200 --> 0:23:51.800
<v Speaker 1>time it's been out in the market and what it

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:54.080
<v Speaker 1>does that's very different to other funds out there in

0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:56.760
<v Speaker 1>the E s G space Environmental social governance is that

0:23:56.840 --> 0:24:00.359
<v Speaker 1>it really allows you to tilt your holdings to stuff

0:24:00.400 --> 0:24:02.359
<v Speaker 1>that actually benefits women are. The way it does that

0:24:02.760 --> 0:24:04.879
<v Speaker 1>is you have the ratio of women on boards to

0:24:04.960 --> 0:24:07.120
<v Speaker 1>the overall boards, you have the ratio of women executives

0:24:07.160 --> 0:24:10.960
<v Speaker 1>the overall executives. And it's actually quite as sophisticated methodology.

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:15.040
<v Speaker 1>It's not as simple as SMH perhaps, but the methodology

0:24:15.119 --> 0:24:17.960
<v Speaker 1>really allows you to be very targeted in your approach.

0:24:18.440 --> 0:24:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Having that target has actually really paid off. If you

0:24:20.600 --> 0:24:24.400
<v Speaker 1>look at the returns for for she over the last year.

0:24:24.520 --> 0:24:27.680
<v Speaker 1>You're looking at around fifteent or so. Now that's pretty good.

0:24:27.720 --> 0:24:30.000
<v Speaker 1>That's pretty much in line with the SMP slightly below,

0:24:30.080 --> 0:24:33.280
<v Speaker 1>but pretty much in line with the Rachel. Please san

0:24:33.320 --> 0:24:39.320
<v Speaker 1>Antonio spurs basketball. It's like highly efficient triangle, lots of

0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:42.720
<v Speaker 1>passes and she just like keeps it coming. Danny, any

0:24:42.760 --> 0:24:46.200
<v Speaker 1>final comments before we are before we have a ruling.

0:24:46.280 --> 0:24:48.359
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm pretty cloar. I think I think I know

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:50.240
<v Speaker 1>what I'm gonna say, But hit me with any final thought.

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Final thought is why Hugo, Who's I can't beat that? So? Um?

0:24:57.560 --> 0:25:02.280
<v Speaker 1>There's a an expression in horse racing, uh the bounce

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:05.960
<v Speaker 1>when a horse runs a huge race and a huge

0:25:06.040 --> 0:25:09.359
<v Speaker 1>figure one race and then tends to regress a little

0:25:09.359 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 1>bit aggression. I think we had a bit of a

0:25:14.400 --> 0:25:17.479
<v Speaker 1>regression here. She shouldn't have, i mean, ultimately put too

0:25:17.560 --> 0:25:19.480
<v Speaker 1>much of a beating on Webber and just should have

0:25:19.680 --> 0:25:22.560
<v Speaker 1>saved a touch of that first round was a tough matchup,

0:25:22.680 --> 0:25:25.960
<v Speaker 1>it was, but you didn't ultimately maybe she ultimately didn't

0:25:25.960 --> 0:25:28.000
<v Speaker 1>need to win by forty three points that first day.

0:25:28.840 --> 0:25:32.639
<v Speaker 1>So and whereas wah whu wah, indeed sort of, you know,

0:25:32.720 --> 0:25:34.960
<v Speaker 1>after a sleepy round one backing into a round two

0:25:35.280 --> 0:25:39.480
<v Speaker 1>wah wah was very impressive. S mh. You are in

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:42.359
<v Speaker 1>the finals. Go back to your locker room, get pumped up.

0:25:42.720 --> 0:25:45.360
<v Speaker 1>And if you bring that same firepower to the finals,

0:25:45.680 --> 0:25:48.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean you're gonna be a handfuls No mean reversion here,

0:25:48.400 --> 0:25:53.800
<v Speaker 1>no mean reversion best person one. Al Right, we got

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:57.040
<v Speaker 1>a number one seed in the final. And now let's

0:25:57.040 --> 0:26:00.280
<v Speaker 1>see a number seven versus a number three. We got

0:26:01.240 --> 0:26:03.440
<v Speaker 1>Ben with E. M. T. Y. You had a great

0:26:03.520 --> 0:26:08.760
<v Speaker 1>first round. Eric. You know, I don't know what to say.

0:26:08.840 --> 0:26:11.400
<v Speaker 1>You're the three. Let's hear your battle. So, like I said,

0:26:11.440 --> 0:26:13.760
<v Speaker 1>I went with Yin and Yang. This is the triple

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:16.480
<v Speaker 1>leverage China Long and triple leverage China Short, which is

0:26:17.000 --> 0:26:19.919
<v Speaker 1>I mean arguably a masterpiece. Because the Yin Yang symbol

0:26:20.080 --> 0:26:23.000
<v Speaker 1>is a masterpiece. It's it's older than gold. Okay, it

0:26:23.119 --> 0:26:26.520
<v Speaker 1>dates back to like fourteenth century BC. It's been around forever.

0:26:26.640 --> 0:26:29.159
<v Speaker 1>What other ticker can say that? And I personally have

0:26:29.359 --> 0:26:33.800
<v Speaker 1>a personal relationship with the Yang symbol because I'm very

0:26:33.960 --> 0:26:37.399
<v Speaker 1>lazy about Halloween and when year in college, I was

0:26:37.480 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 1>like trying to get a costume together. So I was like, oh,

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:42.199
<v Speaker 1>I'll be a cow. So I painted my face light.

0:26:42.280 --> 0:26:43.760
<v Speaker 1>I put a little dot on it, like to like

0:26:43.840 --> 0:26:45.439
<v Speaker 1>the spot of the cow. I went to the party.

0:26:45.840 --> 0:26:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Everyone's like, dude, you're the Yin Yang symbol, and so

0:26:49.640 --> 0:26:52.480
<v Speaker 1>I was. I proceeded to be the Yin Yang single

0:26:52.640 --> 0:26:55.400
<v Speaker 1>symbol for the next couple of years for Halloween, which

0:26:55.440 --> 0:26:57.480
<v Speaker 1>is a great costume by the way, everybody loves it.

0:26:57.840 --> 0:27:00.280
<v Speaker 1>So I realized then how powerful and like well the

0:27:00.359 --> 0:27:03.119
<v Speaker 1>symbol is and it's perfect for the metaphor you know,

0:27:03.280 --> 0:27:05.000
<v Speaker 1>it says everything. You don't even need to know what

0:27:05.080 --> 0:27:06.800
<v Speaker 1>the E t F does your long china or your

0:27:06.840 --> 0:27:09.159
<v Speaker 1>short chin to take a pick. I like how he

0:27:09.600 --> 0:27:12.479
<v Speaker 1>saved the personal touch for the second round, right, Unlike

0:27:12.800 --> 0:27:14.560
<v Speaker 1>someone else, I was gonna say, can I just go

0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:20.639
<v Speaker 1>shake to the next like alright, ben um. This reminds

0:27:20.680 --> 0:27:23.320
<v Speaker 1>me of like your college roommate who read one book

0:27:23.320 --> 0:27:27.560
<v Speaker 1>on Buddhism and then thinks he's Richard Dear or Dalai Lama.

0:27:27.840 --> 0:27:30.840
<v Speaker 1>Like this is like literally Yin Yang is like this

0:27:31.000 --> 0:27:34.960
<v Speaker 1>is an American ETF based on the fifty biggest Chinese stocks,

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:37.399
<v Speaker 1>and like the people put it together probably know as

0:27:37.520 --> 0:27:40.639
<v Speaker 1>much about this Eastern philosophy as you or me. This

0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:43.800
<v Speaker 1>is like, this is Panda Express, This is not authentic

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:48.760
<v Speaker 1>Chinese food. Um E M T Y. So the price

0:27:48.840 --> 0:27:51.760
<v Speaker 1>to earnings ratio of Amazon right now is three D

0:27:52.000 --> 0:27:56.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty four. How do you bet on the decline of

0:27:56.800 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 1>American retail which is the big, one of the biggest

0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 1>economic stories right now, and when a recession hits, it's

0:28:03.080 --> 0:28:05.840
<v Speaker 1>going to be epic. It could be epic if these

0:28:05.880 --> 0:28:08.720
<v Speaker 1>retailers can't pull out of it and develop a better

0:28:08.840 --> 0:28:12.360
<v Speaker 1>online strategy. I think that this, of course I said

0:28:12.400 --> 0:28:14.600
<v Speaker 1>in the first round, this could totally empty out your

0:28:14.600 --> 0:28:18.200
<v Speaker 1>bank account. But I also think that this is actually

0:28:18.720 --> 0:28:21.960
<v Speaker 1>providing something for investors that they need a way to

0:28:22.080 --> 0:28:24.840
<v Speaker 1>bet against the decline of retail. A bit on the

0:28:24.920 --> 0:28:27.520
<v Speaker 1>decline of retail. And yes, it's a little evil to

0:28:27.600 --> 0:28:31.920
<v Speaker 1>bet on profiting from millions of people losing their livelihoods,

0:28:32.000 --> 0:28:36.040
<v Speaker 1>but it's a legit strategy. It is evil. The other

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:37.680
<v Speaker 1>thing I would say about empty is, if you're really

0:28:37.760 --> 0:28:40.960
<v Speaker 1>committed to this strategy, why not go with clicks which

0:28:41.040 --> 0:28:44.120
<v Speaker 1>is short those small stocks, but long Amazon and the

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:47.640
<v Speaker 1>e commerce Well not everyone. Can you know, throw multiple

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:51.959
<v Speaker 1>ETFs in there, you know, in their pair um empty

0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:56.800
<v Speaker 1>final thoughts. My final thought is think back to when

0:28:56.840 --> 0:28:58.720
<v Speaker 1>you were a teenager. Well, I think back when to

0:28:58.760 --> 0:29:01.520
<v Speaker 1>when I was a teenager, and think about nostalgically about

0:29:02.440 --> 0:29:04.320
<v Speaker 1>walking around the mall, going to the gap, going to

0:29:04.360 --> 0:29:07.240
<v Speaker 1>the video game store, going to the bookstore. All that's over.

0:29:07.680 --> 0:29:10.720
<v Speaker 1>Life in America has changed. Kids aren't hanging out in malls,

0:29:10.760 --> 0:29:14.720
<v Speaker 1>are hanging out on Instagram when what'sapp there's a this

0:29:14.880 --> 0:29:18.000
<v Speaker 1>is an important tool to profit from that And things

0:29:18.040 --> 0:29:21.480
<v Speaker 1>just got real quiet of real cultural moment in the

0:29:21.920 --> 0:29:24.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, in you in the US. I actually think,

0:29:24.200 --> 0:29:28.040
<v Speaker 1>strangely enough that find a little plea may have Have

0:29:28.280 --> 0:29:30.800
<v Speaker 1>you gone to j C Penny lately? It's not bad

0:29:31.480 --> 0:29:35.280
<v Speaker 1>that you can get gloves, and there's a lot of

0:29:35.360 --> 0:29:38.600
<v Speaker 1>older Jenny, by the way, who has the money, the

0:29:38.720 --> 0:29:41.200
<v Speaker 1>older people. I'm telling you, j C. Penny is full

0:29:41.240 --> 0:29:44.440
<v Speaker 1>of people. The mall is underrated. You can try stuff on.

0:29:44.960 --> 0:29:47.440
<v Speaker 1>It's not that bad. It's gonna take forty years for

0:29:47.480 --> 0:29:50.280
<v Speaker 1>this trade to play out. Forty years empty. Forty years

0:29:50.400 --> 0:29:52.640
<v Speaker 1>is gonna take me to make a return on this thing. No,

0:29:53.040 --> 0:29:57.080
<v Speaker 1>it's the downward spiral. These malls are emptying out, hence

0:29:57.120 --> 0:30:00.360
<v Speaker 1>the name, and when a store leaves them all, they

0:30:00.400 --> 0:30:03.120
<v Speaker 1>can't replace that revenue. We had a great video game

0:30:03.200 --> 0:30:06.360
<v Speaker 1>on on Bloomberg dot com that basically let you manage

0:30:06.360 --> 0:30:08.320
<v Speaker 1>them all, and there was no way to win it

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:12.040
<v Speaker 1>because every time of retailer was suffering, you had to

0:30:12.080 --> 0:30:14.560
<v Speaker 1>cut your maintenance budget, your cleaning budget. It was this

0:30:14.680 --> 0:30:18.719
<v Speaker 1>fun exercise, these things in a downward spiral, and uh,

0:30:19.080 --> 0:30:21.160
<v Speaker 1>the next recession is going to be really painful, so

0:30:21.280 --> 0:30:25.680
<v Speaker 1>that this game ends with big Ben clock running out,

0:30:26.160 --> 0:30:30.320
<v Speaker 1>crosses over, Eric steps back, knocks it down, ball game

0:30:30.400 --> 0:30:33.680
<v Speaker 1>over in a barn burner. I was really really inclined

0:30:33.720 --> 0:30:35.000
<v Speaker 1>just because I'm you know, this is my little the

0:30:35.080 --> 0:30:37.440
<v Speaker 1>judge's personal preference. I'm a sucker for the triple leverage,

0:30:37.440 --> 0:30:39.720
<v Speaker 1>triple leverage. I mean, I was really I was just

0:30:39.840 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 1>my natural want was to go that way. But I

0:30:41.840 --> 0:30:46.280
<v Speaker 1>gotta believe the the emptying of America's molle it is

0:30:46.320 --> 0:30:49.240
<v Speaker 1>a big story. Despite what Yin Yang says, it is

0:30:49.240 --> 0:30:51.320
<v Speaker 1>a big Eric's over there with a towel owner's head.

0:30:51.880 --> 0:30:53.800
<v Speaker 1>It's true. I'm like the Isaiah Thomas. I'm not even

0:30:53.840 --> 0:30:57.440
<v Speaker 1>gonna like shake his hand beat me. Yeah, I'm gonna

0:30:57.560 --> 0:30:59.720
<v Speaker 1>like really be bitter as opposed to Rachel Ben I

0:30:59.760 --> 0:31:05.320
<v Speaker 1>hate you all right. So it was so and he's

0:31:05.320 --> 0:31:09.560
<v Speaker 1>probably exhausted now because he gets he's gonna go against

0:31:09.560 --> 0:31:12.240
<v Speaker 1>the number one seed who's just lying, lying and wait

0:31:12.320 --> 0:31:15.880
<v Speaker 1>in London, right's shadow boxing right now as we speak.

0:31:16.520 --> 0:31:19.480
<v Speaker 1>I think we got in fairness to empty, who just

0:31:19.560 --> 0:31:22.080
<v Speaker 1>emptied the tank. You gotta give him like thirty seconds

0:31:22.160 --> 0:31:24.200
<v Speaker 1>to get up, clear as head, walk around, right, and

0:31:24.280 --> 0:31:32.960
<v Speaker 1>you gotta did you gotta bring it again. This is

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:35.600
<v Speaker 1>one of these finals nobody expected. Might not draw the

0:31:35.680 --> 0:31:39.040
<v Speaker 1>viewership of say a duke right like a move versus

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:41.440
<v Speaker 1>Tan would, but it's gonna be intriguing and I see

0:31:41.440 --> 0:31:43.560
<v Speaker 1>a close match. So we got number one seed shaking

0:31:43.640 --> 0:31:48.080
<v Speaker 1>my head smh versus number seven seed empty. So Papa,

0:31:48.520 --> 0:31:50.280
<v Speaker 1>did we start with the seventh seed or the one seed?

0:31:50.400 --> 0:31:52.040
<v Speaker 1>I think you gotta give the seventh seed their shot

0:31:52.120 --> 0:31:54.920
<v Speaker 1>to come out find seven, seven seed. You've never been here, yeah,

0:31:55.040 --> 0:31:57.440
<v Speaker 1>seventh seed. The nerves, the nerves have been a seven

0:31:57.480 --> 0:32:03.560
<v Speaker 1>seeding in the final. Ye okay, I've got it. Versus

0:32:03.720 --> 0:32:09.440
<v Speaker 1>secular semi conductors, go up, go down, up and down

0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:14.000
<v Speaker 1>and up and down since semiconductor was created. And uh,

0:32:14.480 --> 0:32:17.720
<v Speaker 1>what I'm talking about here with empty is a long

0:32:18.000 --> 0:32:22.680
<v Speaker 1>term secular play. Now is an inverse ETF the best

0:32:22.720 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 1>way to do something among term I'm not really sure

0:32:24.680 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna go to bat for that, but this is

0:32:27.200 --> 0:32:38.360
<v Speaker 1>something that is happening. Drift listen. I know I appreciate

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:40.360
<v Speaker 1>Ben saying that because we just had an episode on

0:32:40.480 --> 0:32:42.960
<v Speaker 1>like why you probably shouldn't use inverse c ts. So

0:32:43.400 --> 0:32:46.440
<v Speaker 1>Ben's just being prudent. I wouldn't. I'm a personal finance reporter.

0:32:46.480 --> 0:32:48.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm not gonna I don't want anybody to lose their

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:51.240
<v Speaker 1>use their money on this fair enough, So remind me

0:32:51.360 --> 0:32:54.040
<v Speaker 1>of returns on the inception of this thing and returns.

0:32:54.760 --> 0:32:57.640
<v Speaker 1>What's a little more informative. That's interesting. Uh, it's actually

0:32:57.760 --> 0:33:02.240
<v Speaker 1>down about ten percent since it originated. I think it

0:33:02.320 --> 0:33:04.400
<v Speaker 1>hasn't done that great. I think that there's been a

0:33:04.480 --> 0:33:07.160
<v Speaker 1>small recovery from the retail stocks, but it's a dead

0:33:07.200 --> 0:33:09.719
<v Speaker 1>cat bounce and this is a this is a good

0:33:09.800 --> 0:33:12.000
<v Speaker 1>long term play. So so this is the kind of thing, right,

0:33:12.160 --> 0:33:14.200
<v Speaker 1>so it pays nothing, I lose a little, I lose

0:33:14.240 --> 0:33:16.120
<v Speaker 1>a little, and then when it hits your thinking, I'm like,

0:33:16.240 --> 0:33:18.200
<v Speaker 1>it's gonna hit like in a big number all of

0:33:18.240 --> 0:33:20.080
<v Speaker 1>a sudden out of the blue. Is that is that

0:33:20.160 --> 0:33:23.320
<v Speaker 1>the way we play out conceptually? That's that's the plan. Yeah,

0:33:23.560 --> 0:33:27.000
<v Speaker 1>it's it's wait till either there's a really bad recession

0:33:27.480 --> 0:33:32.280
<v Speaker 1>or wait till some of these retailers just can't keep up.

0:33:32.440 --> 0:33:34.160
<v Speaker 1>And you guess what kind of number I could be

0:33:34.320 --> 0:33:36.240
<v Speaker 1>and you could be looking at when this thing hit.

0:33:36.360 --> 0:33:38.760
<v Speaker 1>If this thing pops, well, the one thing about inverse

0:33:38.840 --> 0:33:41.240
<v Speaker 1>funds is they are path dependent, as they say, and

0:33:41.360 --> 0:33:43.440
<v Speaker 1>if if we do see them like go down in

0:33:43.480 --> 0:33:46.200
<v Speaker 1>a nice steady path, this thing will start compounding a

0:33:46.280 --> 0:33:49.080
<v Speaker 1>bit and you could be ringing up some serious returns.

0:33:49.680 --> 0:33:52.400
<v Speaker 1>That's sort of why it's a little dangerous because it

0:33:52.520 --> 0:33:55.760
<v Speaker 1>is so inviting, but you'd have to this thing would

0:33:55.800 --> 0:33:59.400
<v Speaker 1>really hit the triple seven's if you had a nice, steady,

0:33:59.480 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 1>long term decline at these mall stores. I'm getting an

0:34:02.200 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 1>assist from Luke Kyle and this one who points out

0:34:04.840 --> 0:34:11.880
<v Speaker 1>retail sector may see more defaults. So this isn't everything

0:34:12.160 --> 0:34:16.520
<v Speaker 1>must go going out of business moment. Luke from the

0:34:16.600 --> 0:34:23.560
<v Speaker 1>day helping him from the ground. I think Danny number

0:34:23.600 --> 0:34:25.680
<v Speaker 1>one I won't take offense to the fact that uh

0:34:25.880 --> 0:34:28.120
<v Speaker 1>Luke gave Ben the assist in this moment, because I

0:34:28.160 --> 0:34:30.480
<v Speaker 1>would like to point out, on the eighteenth of April

0:34:30.520 --> 0:34:34.480
<v Speaker 1>two thousand seventeen, Luke unintentionally gave me an assist by

0:34:34.560 --> 0:34:37.400
<v Speaker 1>tweeting at me, whoa at Danny Berger can't believe you

0:34:37.520 --> 0:34:39.719
<v Speaker 1>jump the gun in writing off this e t F

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:44.920
<v Speaker 1>s m H. So even though you battled against me

0:34:44.920 --> 0:34:46.960
<v Speaker 1>in the first round, I'm so sorry, I'm still going

0:34:47.040 --> 0:34:49.200
<v Speaker 1>to say that you gave me an assist here, all right.

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:51.960
<v Speaker 1>So what comes to mind, and Eric was touching on

0:34:52.000 --> 0:34:55.040
<v Speaker 1>this a little bit, is the idea that my competitor,

0:34:55.160 --> 0:34:57.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, I've been I've been studying the tapes though

0:34:57.400 --> 0:35:00.360
<v Speaker 1>though he is undefeated. I've been thinking about other e

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:03.040
<v Speaker 1>t s along his path that have been defeated before.

0:35:03.640 --> 0:35:06.360
<v Speaker 1>And what comes to mind our short e t s.

0:35:06.480 --> 0:35:09.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, there there was another short e t F

0:35:09.200 --> 0:35:11.920
<v Speaker 1>out there that people said was a sure thing that

0:35:12.080 --> 0:35:15.160
<v Speaker 1>you'd be making money off of it. Uh you know,

0:35:15.480 --> 0:35:18.799
<v Speaker 1>not saying that E M T Y is as uh

0:35:19.239 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 1>poses a structural threat to the market like some other

0:35:22.120 --> 0:35:24.080
<v Speaker 1>E t F did, But you know what people said

0:35:24.160 --> 0:35:27.000
<v Speaker 1>that uh X I v looked like a short thing,

0:35:27.080 --> 0:35:29.600
<v Speaker 1>a short E t F, just you know, picking up

0:35:29.640 --> 0:35:32.480
<v Speaker 1>pennies and in front of a steam roller. Uh. And

0:35:32.640 --> 0:35:38.360
<v Speaker 1>then here we have this classic E t F following semiconductors. Uh.

0:35:38.800 --> 0:35:41.880
<v Speaker 1>Such a great story to the market of this super

0:35:41.920 --> 0:35:45.080
<v Speaker 1>liquid e t F following these stocks which have really

0:35:45.160 --> 0:35:47.680
<v Speaker 1>carried the market higher. And it's a really interesting story

0:35:47.800 --> 0:35:52.400
<v Speaker 1>to see how that's evolved. But this is a clean play. Uh.

0:35:52.600 --> 0:35:57.000
<v Speaker 1>It's it's uh not using swaps to get its exposure. Uh.

0:35:57.120 --> 0:35:59.520
<v Speaker 1>This is a pure e t F, so pure that

0:35:59.640 --> 0:36:02.520
<v Speaker 1>they accidentally gave it a ticker that we could all

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:05.160
<v Speaker 1>use to make fun of it. But well before before

0:36:05.640 --> 0:36:08.000
<v Speaker 1>I rule, I got a question for the panel for

0:36:08.160 --> 0:36:10.440
<v Speaker 1>Eric here. So and this is actually gonna have a

0:36:10.520 --> 0:36:13.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of bearing on the on my my decision. So

0:36:13.840 --> 0:36:19.200
<v Speaker 1>she's comparing empty with essentially some iteration of the VIX

0:36:19.520 --> 0:36:22.480
<v Speaker 1>short And as I immediately think about it, conceptually, to me,

0:36:23.160 --> 0:36:26.520
<v Speaker 1>they're actually even though they're both short, they involved shorting

0:36:26.719 --> 0:36:30.880
<v Speaker 1>the pretty different concepts. Uh, in the sense that right

0:36:30.920 --> 0:36:33.480
<v Speaker 1>you are essentially you were picking up nickels along the way,

0:36:33.600 --> 0:36:36.560
<v Speaker 1>you're essentially selling that insurance, right you are betting on

0:36:36.640 --> 0:36:39.440
<v Speaker 1>the continuous stability things, whereas he's actually he's going for

0:36:39.520 --> 0:36:41.839
<v Speaker 1>the home run. He's saying, I'm gonna day to day.

0:36:41.840 --> 0:36:44.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't care, right, I'm looking for the home run

0:36:44.200 --> 0:36:46.319
<v Speaker 1>down the road. Walk me to walk me through this. Yeah,

0:36:46.400 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 1>it's sort of it's like throwing some elbows. Uh, you

0:36:49.640 --> 0:36:53.320
<v Speaker 1>could call the foul because empty is no x I V. However,

0:36:53.400 --> 0:36:56.200
<v Speaker 1>they are both short. But look, I saw it as

0:36:56.200 --> 0:36:58.719
<v Speaker 1>scrappy personally. I thought it's just like a you know,

0:36:59.040 --> 0:37:02.720
<v Speaker 1>it's a physical game. Is playoff basketball and the finals.

0:37:02.880 --> 0:37:05.160
<v Speaker 1>In no way for anyone listening out there, x I

0:37:05.280 --> 0:37:07.080
<v Speaker 1>V was just in a league of its own in

0:37:07.200 --> 0:37:09.600
<v Speaker 1>terms of what it was doing. Um, there are a

0:37:09.680 --> 0:37:12.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of short ETFs. They're probably two hundred of them

0:37:12.560 --> 0:37:16.760
<v Speaker 1>that didn't implode over the past fifteen years. X IVY

0:37:16.840 --> 0:37:19.440
<v Speaker 1>is a special case. But so that's why bringing in

0:37:19.600 --> 0:37:21.759
<v Speaker 1>is a little bit illegal. If the refs didn't see it,

0:37:23.480 --> 0:37:25.480
<v Speaker 1>the ref the judge, but the judge was on the

0:37:25.520 --> 0:37:26.960
<v Speaker 1>judge was on it. So here, so here we are,

0:37:27.000 --> 0:37:28.440
<v Speaker 1>Here we are I think I have I think for

0:37:28.520 --> 0:37:30.600
<v Speaker 1>a final? Is it a little sleepy? No? No, no, no,

0:37:30.800 --> 0:37:32.520
<v Speaker 1>right into it? No, it's good. I'm into it. Kind

0:37:32.520 --> 0:37:34.359
<v Speaker 1>of offset the Luke thing, because that was a little

0:37:34.880 --> 0:37:36.600
<v Speaker 1>It's like the guy from the stands holding up something

0:37:36.680 --> 0:37:43.080
<v Speaker 1>on the paybo the other team to pree throws. Yeah,

0:37:43.360 --> 0:37:45.520
<v Speaker 1>I've got I've got one word to describe League, which

0:37:45.520 --> 0:37:49.520
<v Speaker 1>is bitter. He seems like he's a little bitter. But

0:37:49.719 --> 0:37:52.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, here's so, here's the thing, Danny, she was

0:37:52.960 --> 0:37:56.920
<v Speaker 1>just like meticulously like a machine, just working at break down.

0:37:57.000 --> 0:37:59.080
<v Speaker 1>And and and I and I was starting to lean

0:37:59.160 --> 0:38:00.600
<v Speaker 1>that way, but you know what, I just sort of

0:38:00.680 --> 0:38:03.440
<v Speaker 1>keep going back to. I keep going back to and

0:38:03.520 --> 0:38:07.000
<v Speaker 1>I know, Eric, uh, it wasn't feeling this so much,

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:10.360
<v Speaker 1>but it just strikes me that yet the fate of

0:38:10.719 --> 0:38:14.960
<v Speaker 1>the American consumer and the American mall, I'm actually just

0:38:15.120 --> 0:38:17.320
<v Speaker 1>feeling that story is a big story. And and and

0:38:17.520 --> 0:38:19.320
<v Speaker 1>and and I know in a lot of this is

0:38:19.360 --> 0:38:21.240
<v Speaker 1>why it was the number seven seed. It's this short

0:38:21.600 --> 0:38:24.040
<v Speaker 1>and and and it's and it's minus ten return and

0:38:24.080 --> 0:38:26.200
<v Speaker 1>it's only gonna pay out, you know, if it goes big.

0:38:26.239 --> 0:38:27.600
<v Speaker 1>But I don't know if it's actually gonna ever pay

0:38:27.640 --> 0:38:29.360
<v Speaker 1>out the et of itself. But it paid out on

0:38:29.440 --> 0:38:38.560
<v Speaker 1>this show, Empty Villanova. It's taking this thing, is taking

0:38:38.600 --> 0:38:41.520
<v Speaker 1>this thing down and and Virginia were Virginia was playing

0:38:41.600 --> 0:38:43.359
<v Speaker 1>offense and they were doing well, but it was really

0:38:43.440 --> 0:38:45.799
<v Speaker 1>in the attack. But this is ultimately Virginia's defensive team

0:38:45.880 --> 0:38:47.520
<v Speaker 1>because you know when they're when they're in this full

0:38:47.560 --> 0:38:49.440
<v Speaker 1>offensive mode, every once in a while they can make

0:38:49.480 --> 0:38:52.200
<v Speaker 1>a mistakes. Well, Danny, thank you so much for joining

0:38:52.280 --> 0:38:54.320
<v Speaker 1>us from London. You put up a good battle. But

0:38:54.480 --> 0:38:59.480
<v Speaker 1>then personal finance for the wind. And by the way, Dandy,

0:38:59.480 --> 0:39:01.960
<v Speaker 1>your constant ation prizes that Van X probably gonna call

0:39:02.000 --> 0:39:04.759
<v Speaker 1>you the day after this comes out and ask you

0:39:05.239 --> 0:39:09.879
<v Speaker 1>for a job. Does a victor have any words to say?

0:39:10.840 --> 0:39:15.200
<v Speaker 1>I just want to say, don't invest in this. No, no,

0:39:15.320 --> 0:39:32.960
<v Speaker 1>I can't wait a minute. Danny, Luke, Rachel, Suzanne, Ben Carolina,

0:39:33.040 --> 0:39:35.040
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for joining the show. This was

0:39:35.239 --> 0:39:38.799
<v Speaker 1>an absolute glass and a special props to David Pappadopolis.

0:39:39.120 --> 0:39:53.080
<v Speaker 1>Thank you very well. We get some cans applause. So

0:39:53.200 --> 0:39:57.040
<v Speaker 1>we started with marketing and lo and behold empty kind

0:39:57.080 --> 0:39:58.920
<v Speaker 1>of a great chicker. It ends up winning it all.

0:39:58.960 --> 0:40:01.200
<v Speaker 1>What do you think, Well, this kind of really hits

0:40:01.280 --> 0:40:03.239
<v Speaker 1>to the whole thing because the marketing is what gets you.

0:40:03.560 --> 0:40:05.360
<v Speaker 1>It's like a shiny object that gets you close to

0:40:05.480 --> 0:40:07.719
<v Speaker 1>what it holds. But as this went on, you know,

0:40:07.800 --> 0:40:10.600
<v Speaker 1>you could see how the strategy sorted to become the

0:40:10.680 --> 0:40:13.680
<v Speaker 1>bigger way that the judgment was made, and that ultimately

0:40:13.800 --> 0:40:16.440
<v Speaker 1>is probably pretty symbolic of how this happens, because the

0:40:16.520 --> 0:40:19.239
<v Speaker 1>ticker really shouldn't be the only thing. It's something else

0:40:19.320 --> 0:40:21.640
<v Speaker 1>going on, right, But the ticker is important because again

0:40:21.680 --> 0:40:24.600
<v Speaker 1>you have in a category, the ticker can draw you in.

0:40:24.719 --> 0:40:27.759
<v Speaker 1>But ultimately, like Ben said, he loves the ticker as

0:40:27.800 --> 0:40:29.759
<v Speaker 1>a marketing I know, but he's not that hot about

0:40:29.800 --> 0:40:32.000
<v Speaker 1>what's going on underneath. And so Ben would be a

0:40:32.080 --> 0:40:34.560
<v Speaker 1>classic investor who's doing his job of maybe he was

0:40:34.600 --> 0:40:36.759
<v Speaker 1>sold on the ticker and the name, looked at the

0:40:36.800 --> 0:40:41.680
<v Speaker 1>holdings and said no. Thanks. Thanks for listening to Trilliance.

0:40:42.200 --> 0:40:47.360
<v Speaker 1>Special things to Danny Burger, Lukawa, David Papadapos, Rachel Evans,

0:40:47.560 --> 0:40:52.080
<v Speaker 1>Suzanne Willie, Ben, Steve Berman, Carolina Wilson. This was a

0:40:52.080 --> 0:40:54.920
<v Speaker 1>fun episode. Until next time, you can find us on

0:40:54.960 --> 0:40:59.600
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Terminal, Bloomberg dot com, Apple Podcasts, and probably

0:40:59.640 --> 0:41:01.359
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of other places I haven't heard about yet.

0:41:02.080 --> 0:41:04.480
<v Speaker 1>We'd love to hear from you. All of us are

0:41:04.480 --> 0:41:09.439
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter, Eric's at Eric call Tunas, I'm at Joel

0:41:09.480 --> 0:41:14.919
<v Speaker 1>Webber Show Trillions is produced by Magnus Hendrickson. Francesca Leavy

0:41:15.040 --> 0:41:16.960
<v Speaker 1>is the head of Bloomberg podcast by