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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys. How are you welcome into another edition

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Speaker 1: of the Deal Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk, Matt on Twitter at Betting Pros on Twitter

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Speaker 1: for Betting Pros. We're here thanks to BETMGM. You guys

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Speaker 1: got that offer. It's above me on YouTube for the

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Speaker 1: video ten dollars to an one hundred and fifty dollars

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Speaker 1: on any event. To use that promo co juice one

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Speaker 1: fifty at BETMGM betemgm dot com where you can find

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Speaker 1: BETMGM not valid in Nevada, but new account, new users

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Speaker 1: promo code juice one fifty. All right, So I told

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Speaker 1: you what was going to happen, right, I predicted it.

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Speaker 1: I said, the second I go to one unit, we're

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Speaker 1: going to lose everything. I'm not sure. I think I

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Speaker 1: lost every play, including all three on the parlay. I

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Speaker 1: think all three missed and zero and three officially down

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Speaker 1: three units. So just a complete white, a complete fall

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Speaker 1: on my face. It was bad. I went own five

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Speaker 1: personally because neither first half bet cashed with the dogs,

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Speaker 1: neither dog covered in the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. That

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Speaker 1: was brutal and well, just one of those days three

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Speaker 1: to one the win for the Devils, I believe, right,

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Speaker 1: So we go under six goals there, you know, But

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Speaker 1: as I said yesterday, we were riding high. I was

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Speaker 1: willing to push it. I was willing to see what

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Speaker 1: the universe was going to give us, and the universe

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Speaker 1: answered pretty quickly. We're going back to half units. So

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Speaker 1: that's what we're doing today. We're going back to half units. However,

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Speaker 1: I've got two college basketball bets. I'm going to be involved.

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Speaker 1: I'll bet the Valley personally, but I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: bet the Valley officially. If you want to play in

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Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley Conference tournament, I think you probably could

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Speaker 1: go with the Drake game and go with the under

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Speaker 1: in that game is probably a decent one. I would

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Speaker 1: lay the points with Leola today against Northern Iowa. So

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Speaker 1: I think those are the plays I'll make personally on

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Speaker 1: the arch Manness games today for the two semi finals,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not going to do it officially. Here I

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Speaker 1: got two basketball plays. I got three UFC plays, two

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Speaker 1: straight bets in the UFC and one four leg plus

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Speaker 1: five twenty parlay if you want to jump in for

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Speaker 1: fun here and a little quarter unit sprinkle across the

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Speaker 1: board here if you want to jump in on that.

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Speaker 1: So I'm going to give that to you guys coming

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Speaker 1: up here here here in just one second. But let's

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Speaker 1: start in college basketball with the game of the day,

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Speaker 1: Duke and North Carolina. You're going to watch the game, right,

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Speaker 1: Everyone's going to watch the game. This is the final

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Speaker 1: game for coach k It's an eleven point line for Duke.

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Speaker 1: If I had to bet this side, I would bet

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Speaker 1: North Carolina plus the points. Okay, it is an enormous,

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Speaker 1: enormous number. Okay, eleven and a half points. Duke is

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Speaker 1: way better. According to ken Pom, it's a twelve point

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Speaker 1: win for Duke. Okay. So if you want to talk

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Speaker 1: about value, you make get a little value there at

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Speaker 1: minus eleven or minus eleven and a half rather to

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Speaker 1: take the twelve. I'm just I'm not going to buy it.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to go with it. Here. The total

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Speaker 1: is one fifty three and a half. It opened up

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Speaker 1: at one fifty one and a half. It was bet

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Speaker 1: to one fifty three and a half. And my guess

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Speaker 1: is it's just going to climb. It's not going to

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Speaker 1: go down anytime soon. Duke and North Carolina have been

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Speaker 1: over machines this year, North Carolina eighteen and twelve to

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Speaker 1: the over. On the year, Duke fourteen fifteen and one

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Speaker 1: to the over. North Carolina is thirteen and six this

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Speaker 1: year in conference play in the ACC to the over,

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Speaker 1: Duke is nine to nine and one to the over.

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Speaker 1: North Carolina eight and two over the last ten to

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Speaker 1: the over, Duke is six three and one to the over.

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Speaker 1: On the road, North Carolina is ten and three to

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Speaker 1: the over and Duke is six. Sorry is eight eight

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Speaker 1: and one to the over. In the first matchup between

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Speaker 1: these two teams, and look, you know always the go

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Speaker 1: on what happened before, but one fifty two and a

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Speaker 1: half was the total. Game went over by a point

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Speaker 1: and a half. It was a twenty point win, eighty

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Speaker 1: seven to sixty seven for Duke. Now we're sitting at

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Speaker 1: one fifty four. Last two games for North Carolina have

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Speaker 1: gone over, three to last four for Duke have gone over.

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Speaker 1: One p fifty one against Syracuse went over by eighteen

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Speaker 1: points with a ninety seven seventy two victory. Pit one

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Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half went over by three and

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Speaker 1: a half points with an eighty six to fifty six victory.

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Speaker 1: So even when Duke is blowing teams out, the over

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Speaker 1: is coming to play. I expect a lot of offense

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Speaker 1: here between these two teams. I expect a lot of

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Speaker 1: up and down here between these two teams. I don't

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Speaker 1: think we're going to see a defensive battle. I think

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Speaker 1: we're going to see a ton of emotion. I think

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Speaker 1: we're going to see a whole lot of you know,

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Speaker 1: this is enormous. I mean, I think Duke will get

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Speaker 1: a big number here. I think Duke will score eighty

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Speaker 1: five plus points here, and I think North Carolina will

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Speaker 1: do enough to get us to the over. Here it's

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Speaker 1: one fifty three and a half. I think we're going

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Speaker 1: to get even more. Hopefully you get a good number

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Speaker 1: here by the time you listen to this podcast. Half

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Speaker 1: a unit Duke North Carolina over one point fifty three

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Speaker 1: and a half coming up here for today game two

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Speaker 1: another half a unit. And look, when you go really

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Speaker 1: ice cold, you try to go back to cut of

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Speaker 1: the programs you know and the teams that you like.

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Speaker 1: I want to bet the Creyton Blue Jays today. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna lie. I definitely eyeballed this and it's Seaton

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Speaker 1: Hall is at Creighton, and I thought long and hard

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Speaker 1: about this. The game is basically a pick. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what to make of this game. To be quite honest,

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Speaker 1: A part of me says bet Seaton Hall because the

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Speaker 1: Jays are coming off of that really emotional win against

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Speaker 1: Yukon and say, like they're gonna have a letdown here.

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Speaker 1: But it's senior day. Jays only have one real senior

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Speaker 1: in Ryan Hawkins. Oh I guess two alex O'Connell too,

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Speaker 1: So two seatons Ryan Hawkins and alex O'Connell to be

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Speaker 1: honored before the game. Wonky stuff with the Jase. They

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Speaker 1: do their senior Day after the game, not before the game,

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Speaker 1: so like, they play the game, then they do the ceremony.

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Speaker 1: If you lose, it's always really awkward. So like they

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Speaker 1: really try hard to win the game because you want

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Speaker 1: to go off happy and send the crowd out off happy.

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Speaker 1: But four straight wins for Seaton Hall, I don't know

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Speaker 1: what to make of the game. I'm gonna live bet it.

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Speaker 1: Seaton Hall Creighton will be a live bet for me.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to make a pre game bet on that.

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Speaker 1: In case you're like Matt, you always bet games Seaton Hill, Creighton.

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Speaker 1: I don't know game I am going to bet though,

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Speaker 1: is Baylor Iowa State Baylor at home laying twelve, Iowa

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Speaker 1: State sixteen and fourteen this year to the number. Baylor

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Speaker 1: is sixteen thirteen and one to the number. I was

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Speaker 1: se on the road seven and four ats. Baylor is

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Speaker 1: nine and seven at home ats. They are both teams

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Speaker 1: are four and six to ats over the last ten.

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Speaker 1: But that lost to Oklahoma State and the near loss

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Speaker 1: to Kansas State and the near loss to West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State is leacing oil in a really big way.

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Speaker 1: Baylor won at Texas by one and a half. We

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Speaker 1: laid it with Baylor, they won by seven. They beat Kansas.

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Speaker 1: I was laying that three points against Kansas for Baylor.

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Speaker 1: They came in they won by ten. I'm gonna keep

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Speaker 1: going here. I'm gonna bet the streak. They've won four

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Speaker 1: games in a row. They've covered in their last two.

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Speaker 1: Don't think Iowa State Baylor is a chance to win

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Speaker 1: the Big twelve regular season, chance to have a number

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Speaker 1: one seed overall, they're at home in Waco. Iowa State

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Speaker 1: really can't score. I don't think they keep up. I

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Speaker 1: think this is a blowout here. I'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: twelve points Baylor minus twelve for a half a unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so duke North Carolina over one fifty three and a

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Speaker 1: half and Baylor minus twelve. All right, let's go to

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Speaker 1: what's going to happen here in Vegas for UFC two

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Speaker 1: seventy two. You guys know, I love betting the UFC.

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Speaker 1: I am all in on this afield. Dosagnos is such

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Speaker 1: an interesting fighter, our da as they call him. Okay,

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Speaker 1: really interesting fighter because this is a dude. I remember

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Speaker 1: the first UFC press conference ever went to was the

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Speaker 1: fight he was supposed to have against Connor McGregor. And

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Speaker 1: this was a fight that Dosangnos got hurt, broke his

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Speaker 1: leg in practice in this fight was canceled. Never saw

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Speaker 1: D'sono's fight against Connor McGregor. And really I remember standing

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Speaker 1: next to Connor and I was interviewing him and I

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Speaker 1: was just like, this is amazing this guy. He talks

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Speaker 1: so much. I mean he was talking about his kid.

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Speaker 1: I remember, like my first press conference in Vegas. I'm

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Speaker 1: like sit there going this guy is ripping on his kid,

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Speaker 1: Like what is going on? And I covered Connor for

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Speaker 1: his first fight back against Max Holloway in Boston, and

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Speaker 1: you know I'd seen Connor because one is from Ireland,

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Speaker 1: so in Boston it was a huge deal with two.

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Speaker 1: He his walkout music is Foggy Do by the Chieftains,

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Speaker 1: which is a song I listened to for years and

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Speaker 1: I couldn't believe anybody had turned it into a walkout

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Speaker 1: music because it goes from that song into Notorious by

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Speaker 1: big By by Biggie, and it's like, Wow, Okay, this

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Speaker 1: is a really unique character, very very interesting. So I

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Speaker 1: never we never saw that fight. But Dosano's has been

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Speaker 1: very very good over the last couple of fights, and

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Speaker 1: Ronaldo Mancato Marcatto Kyo is a very good fighter. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Mary kno is taking this fight on short notice, just

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Speaker 1: recently fought. This is a catchweight five round fight, okay,

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Speaker 1: catchwak of one sixty after Pazise was out with COVID

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Speaker 1: and really put a damper on this. You got a

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Speaker 1: minus one sixty five favorite in Dosanos here, and I

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Speaker 1: just think this is a fight where Dosgos will look

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Speaker 1: to take the fight to the extra rounds round three,

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Speaker 1: round four, round five. I could see this being a decision.

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Speaker 1: I could see this being a stoppage, and I mean

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Speaker 1: RDA hasn't fought since November twenty twenty, but this dude

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Speaker 1: is ready to go. It's a Comaine on a UFC

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Speaker 1: pay per view. This is a high volume striker with

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Speaker 1: multiple opportunities to do takedowns. I mean he has fought

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Speaker 1: some really good fighter some thought some really tough guys

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Speaker 1: in this division. I just think this is a Dosagno's victory.

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Speaker 1: It's only minus one sixty five. We don't have to

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Speaker 1: get exotic. Just go ahead and just bet it Dosagno's

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Speaker 1: to win in the Comaine at minus one sixty five.

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Speaker 1: I'm laying the favor here. I'm fading the guy who's

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Speaker 1: coming in here taking a fight on short notice against

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Speaker 1: a fighter who really seems focused and ready to go.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking out Field'signo's at minus one sixty five on

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Speaker 1: the money line for a half a unit, and the

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Speaker 1: other bet in the main event, Colby Covington up against

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Speaker 1: Game Bread. What to do? The public is all over

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Speaker 1: Hora Masbadal, and I mean all over Horae masmital Horie

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Speaker 1: Masibadal is a talker. He's a really good story is

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Speaker 1: he a really good fighter. It's really debatable. Both these

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Speaker 1: men have been put down and knocked out by the

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Speaker 1: champion in the division in Kamara Uzman. Both these dudes

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Speaker 1: had their shot at the belt and both these guys

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Speaker 1: couldn't come through. Covington and masdel used to be very

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Speaker 1: good friends. They've talked a lot of trash. They really

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Speaker 1: don't like each other. They've got very personal with each other.

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Speaker 1: I don't like Colbe Covington. I don't, but I watched

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Speaker 1: and I was live for Covington versus Uzman twice. I

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Speaker 1: was live for Uzman Masvidal. I'm not going to this

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Speaker 1: fight tonight, but Masvidal is asking is in for too

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Speaker 1: much here. Covington is too durable, Covington can take whatever

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Speaker 1: Mazvedal gives him, and I just think this is an

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Speaker 1: overplay over four and a half. I think it's a

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Speaker 1: decent shot, But I think the safest bet here of

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Speaker 1: the night is Colby Covington by decision, which is minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty five. Fight goes five rounds. Covington wins the round.

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Speaker 1: If mas Vidal doesn't clean Covington out in the first round,

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Speaker 1: it goes five rounds. I just I think it's either

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Speaker 1: first round knockout for Masvidal or we're going all the way,

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Speaker 1: five rounds, all the way for a decision, and I

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Speaker 1: think masvill probably gets beaten up for five rounds. He's

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Speaker 1: really tough. You can take a punch, but so can Kobe.

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Speaker 1: That Kobe really hasn't stopped anybody with his power, so

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Speaker 1: it's a little bit like he wins the last time

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Speaker 1: coming in really has like gone in there like knocked

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Speaker 1: anybody out. So it's tough. It's really hard to lay

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Speaker 1: minus three fifty on this. But we've seen a lot

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Speaker 1: of parlay action on mas Vidal, parley action on Kobe Covington.

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Speaker 1: They've seen good two way action. I talked to Nick

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Speaker 1: Kolakas on my other show from Circus Sports, and you know,

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Speaker 1: they've seen some sharp money come in on Kobe, and

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Speaker 1: people are going to lay the three fifty because look,

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Speaker 1: I don't like him either, Okay, I don't like Covington.

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Speaker 1: I don't like his mouth. I think he's a pretender

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Speaker 1: and a fake. But he wins this fight by decision

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Speaker 1: half a unit. Kobe Covington by decision at minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five in the main event, up against Jorge Masvidal,

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Speaker 1: and if you want a crazy four leg plus five

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Speaker 1: twenty two parlay, which we all love them, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: throw a quarter unit on this. Okay, quarter unit. It's

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Speaker 1: a five to one return on this Covington to win.

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Speaker 1: That would include a knockout if you somehow were to

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Speaker 1: stop Masvidal Covington by knockout Greg Hardy in his fight,

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Speaker 1: plus one sixty five money line for Hardy Hardy to

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Speaker 1: win his fight. Nurga metoff at minus seven hundred up

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Speaker 1: against Brian Kelleher to win his fight, minus seven hundred

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Speaker 1: in Alfieo Dosagnios to win his fight at minus one

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Speaker 1: sixty five. Okay, Dosaignos. Nurga metoff Hardy Covington, three big favorites,

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Speaker 1: one dog. Hardy comes through. We're going to cash a

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Speaker 1: quarter unit here for a plus five twenty two parlay

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Speaker 1: for a quarter unit for UFC two seventy two. Those

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Speaker 1: are the place okay parlay. Dosangnos covened in by decision

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Speaker 1: over one fifty three and a half for North Carolina

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Speaker 1: Duke and Baylor minus twelve. Right back on the horse

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Speaker 1: back to half of unit's turtling A little bit after

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Speaker 1: a very disappointing Friday. Let's have a bounce back Saturday

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Speaker 1: for us here and have a much better day minus

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each every morning it's the Ill News Podcast. I was

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by BEDAMGM