1 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:07,480 Speaker 1: Everybody's Bill Courtney with an army normal folks, Welcome to 2 00:00:07,600 --> 00:00:11,000 Speaker 1: the shop. Chop talking him ninety seven? 3 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 2: Oh jeez, I forgot the look up things? Do you 4 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 2: know in ninety sevens. 5 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: You found a new girlfriend? 6 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 3: Yet we're recording this the same day as last one? 7 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 2: I mean, do you want me to swipe? Right now? 8 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:25,759 Speaker 1: We're sitting here? Did you watch? Did you watch Good 9 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: Morning Vietnam? No? 10 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:28,000 Speaker 2: I haven't had time. 11 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 1: I gave you that assignment four weeks ago. It's so funny. 12 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: Wrong with you? 13 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 3: Mitch one of our favorite army members, not that we're 14 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:38,839 Speaker 3: supposed to have favorites, but he texted me about con 15 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 3: dorming Vietnam too? 16 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 1: Did he really? What did he say? You're an idiot 17 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: for not watching it's a link to it. I'm already 18 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: to watch. You have to watch the movie, especially doing 19 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: what you do for a living. All right, all right, 20 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: all right, here's what you do. You walk over to 21 00:00:56,600 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: the TV, you turn it on, oh God, and then 22 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 1: you sit down with your children. He and you watch it. 23 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:06,440 Speaker 1: Watch it with your kids. 24 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:08,680 Speaker 3: Actually, tonight, I gotta send a bunch of emails so 25 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 3: I can do that. 26 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: We don't have a girlfriend anymore. So you need to 27 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: fill your time in. 28 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 2: I supposed to have a day tonight, they got canceled. 29 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: If you don't have a date tonight, watch Good Morning Vietnam. Yeah, 30 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 1: you'll love it, all right. 31 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,039 Speaker 2: Ninety seven ninety seven, No famous ninety sevens. 32 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: There's no famous ninety sevens. All right, everybody out there, 33 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 1: we didn't come up with the famous ninety seven If 34 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:32,759 Speaker 1: you know one, email it to us. Today's shop Talk. 35 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:37,760 Speaker 1: The Quiet Crisis. No one's talking about. Cliffhanger sounds uplifting. 36 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:41,119 Speaker 1: We'll get right to it after these brief messages from 37 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:59,559 Speaker 1: our generous sponsors. All Right, Shop Talk number ninety seven 38 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:09,519 Speaker 1: going crazy, little extended bell ring there, Yeah, ninety seven, 39 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:15,919 Speaker 1: No famous ninety sevens. The Quiet Crisis, no one's talking about. 40 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 2: You know, we should start doing some of these. 41 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 3: Maybe it's only relevant for the next two Like what 42 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:22,400 Speaker 3: happened in nineteen ninety seven. 43 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: That could be fun. Well, actually, I'll do it ninety 44 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 1: eight when we get there. One we could start with 45 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: when we get to one hundred. That could be year 46 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 1: two thousand, Yeah, just two thousand and two thousand and one. Yeah, yeah, 47 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:37,639 Speaker 1: that's what we should do. War or we just wait. Actually, 48 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 1: world history. We do year one hundred. What happened to 49 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: year one? Oh? I don't want to do that, but 50 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 1: I tell you what we could do. We can start. 51 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: We we're in control of this. So after ninety nine 52 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: the hundredth shop talk will be sixteen fifty. We'll start 53 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 1: there and then we'll do world history starting in sixteen fifty. Oh, 54 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: thank you. Yeah, that's what we're doing. That's what it's 55 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 1: my shadow. 56 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 3: Well you can do that, and I'll do my own 57 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 3: research and well, good bairy notes. 58 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:07,920 Speaker 1: I'm not going to do a research that's for you. 59 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: I just sit here and read which told me to read. Okay, 60 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: here we go, the quiet crisis that no one is 61 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 1: talking about. I want to talk about something that does 62 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: not trend on social media. It's not flashy, it's not loud, 63 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:23,280 Speaker 1: but it may be one of the most important stories 64 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 1: of our time, declining birth rates across the world and 65 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 1: right here at home. Interestingly, about this, I brought up 66 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 1: a book that I've told everybody they need to read, 67 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 1: and I think I did this. I went on a 68 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: dietribe about this about a year ago, maybe eight nine 69 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: months ago. But the end of the world is just 70 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: the beginning. We did a shop talk on it. If 71 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: you want to really understand what birth rates mean to 72 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 1: our entire civilism, it's all in here. It's all in here, 73 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 1: I know. But read that book. That book is in 74 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: saying because it also connects it to economic and military issues, 75 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 1: and it's brilliant book. Brilliant book. Okay, here's the numbers. 76 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 1: In order for a country to simply replace itself, not grow, 77 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: not shrink, the fertility rate has to be about two 78 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:23,919 Speaker 1: point one children per woman. That's called replacement level. And 79 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 1: to replace a woman and her husband, it's two point 80 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: one instead of two because some children don't survive, don't 81 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 1: survive the reproductive age, and some adults will not have children. 82 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:40,280 Speaker 1: So the extra point one accounts for mortality and childlessness 83 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:43,480 Speaker 1: to keep the population stable. So where's the United States? 84 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 1: One point six? We're half a point below replacement. Most 85 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: European countries are between one point two and one point five. 86 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 1: Japan is about one point three. And this is the 87 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 1: crazy one. China is one. China, the country that only 88 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 1: three decades ago taxed families if they had more than 89 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: one child because they were worried about overpopulation, has now 90 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: completely reversed and is around one. South Korea is zero 91 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 1: point seven too point eight, one of the lowest ever 92 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 1: recorded in human history. Globally, fertility rates have been cut 93 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: in half since nineteen sixty. This isn't a blip. It's 94 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: a tectonic societal shift. And if you think about that, 95 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 1: the US is a one point six and China is 96 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 1: at one, think about how the country sustained themselves in 97 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: four or five or six decades. And this is not 98 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: part of the prep. But I'm just going to say 99 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:53,600 Speaker 1: to you that's probably in the next part. Okay, now, 100 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: it's still going to say it right now. And if 101 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: it's redundant, it's redundant. But I'll forget it if I 102 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:04,839 Speaker 1: don't say it now. It really plays into the long 103 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 1: term decision making with regard to financial investment and defense investment, 104 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 1: about what your plans are for national defense down the road, 105 00:06:19,960 --> 00:06:25,600 Speaker 1: because some countries without an adequate birth rate will simply 106 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 1: become weaker on their own and you don't have to 107 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: do anything but wait them out, which I think is 108 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:34,920 Speaker 1: really interesting. So what happens when birth rates fall, when 109 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 1: f your babies are born, school shrink, workforces, age, tax 110 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 1: bases weaken. That's a big part of what I was 111 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: just talking about. Social systems strain big time because things 112 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 1: like social security they only work if more and more 113 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: people are paying into it as more and more people retire. 114 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: But if your retirement aged people those numbers are greater 115 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: than the number of people coming into the workforce, the 116 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:07,559 Speaker 1: entire systems it disintegrates. It's what's wrong with so many 117 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 1: of our city's pension plans right now. Most frightening. Innovation 118 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 1: slows and the math gets hard because you end up 119 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: with your worker supporting more retirees. That's not political, it's 120 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: just arithmeticular. American's hidden cushion. Here's what's unique about us. 121 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 1: For decades, We've been saved demographically by That's where I 122 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:37,239 Speaker 1: thought you were going. I was going to immigration. Oh, 123 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 1: that dirty word, those dirty people from other countries. But 124 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 1: the big thing is, if two point one is the 125 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:46,920 Speaker 1: number and we're at one point six, how come we're 126 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: not at this horrible deficit that these other countries are experiencing. Well, 127 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 1: ain't a whole lot of people just migrating to China 128 00:07:55,920 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: or South Korea. But immigration is what's hisctorically propped up 129 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: our deficit in the United States. Without immigration, our population 130 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 1: would already be shrinking. Immigrants and the children have kept 131 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 1: our workforce growing. They've started businesses at higher rates than 132 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: native born Americans. They keep communities alive, and they've kept 133 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 1: our demographic pyramid from inverting like you see in Japan 134 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: and most of Europe. Guys, that's not political, that's not ideology. 135 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 1: It's simply census data, arithmetic in fact. So before you 136 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: get your panties on a wide and you start jumping 137 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:39,359 Speaker 1: up and down and decide Bill and Alex have gone crazy. Unfortunately, 138 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:43,560 Speaker 1: if you have open minded thought and you allow fact 139 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:49,199 Speaker 1: and data to guide the way you view a certain issue, 140 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: you know again, the fancy people on CNN and Fox 141 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,319 Speaker 1: are incented by an enormous amount of wealth and power 142 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: to continue to craft narratives to scare that lot of you. 143 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: It's better to quit listening them and read the facts, 144 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:04,320 Speaker 1: pay attention to the data. So here's the part that 145 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 1: matters most. We can debate that policy all day long, 146 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 1: but there's something deeper here, because declining fertility isn't just 147 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 1: about economics, It's about culture. It's about whether people believe 148 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 1: that the future is worth investing in, that a family 149 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: is possible and you can afford it. That children are 150 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 1: a gift and the community will help carry the load. 151 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 1: This is where all of this connects to the army 152 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,080 Speaker 1: and normal folks. Bring a child in the world is 153 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: one of the most radical acts of hope a human 154 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 1: being can make. You're saying, I believe tomorrow is worth building. 155 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 1: I believe tomorrow is worth bringing a being that I 156 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:50,000 Speaker 1: will love unconditionally into the world. That's not small. That's civilizational, 157 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 1: and it's not just about biological children. It's about fostering, adopting, mentoring, 158 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:59,160 Speaker 1: supporting families, creating environments where children can flourish. Because if 159 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:04,960 Speaker 1: families fill overwhelmed unsupported, birth rates fail fall and they fail. 160 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 1: But when communities rally around families, hope rises. Think about that. 161 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 1: If families or people fill alone, overwhelmed, orn't supported, or 162 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 1: scared where they feel like they can't afford it, birth 163 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: rates fall. But when communities rally around families, when policy 164 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 1: rallies around families, when communities and society rally around one another, 165 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:40,959 Speaker 1: hope rises, and so do birth rates. The quiet heroism 166 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: of parenthood. We don't celebrate parenthood the way we should 167 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 1: we celebrate celebrities. We celebrate viral moments on TikTok and 168 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:52,640 Speaker 1: all that stuff. We celebrate status. But raising children well 169 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:59,080 Speaker 1: with love, discipline, stability, sacrifice, that's nation building. That's long 170 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:02,200 Speaker 1: term thinking. That's an investment in the future. And here's 171 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:11,079 Speaker 1: the truth. Governments don't manufacture babies. Communities can support families. 172 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 1: Normal folks us to assume me we can create environments 173 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 1: where young couples feel supported, single parents aren't drowning, and 174 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:27,200 Speaker 1: grandparents are valued. That's local, that's doable, that's ours. So 175 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: a challenge for the army if declining fraternity rates is 176 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 1: partly a crisis of hope, that one of the most 177 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:36,960 Speaker 1: powerful things that army, normal folks can do is restore it. 178 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:40,600 Speaker 1: Have a bunch of kids, support young families, show up 179 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:44,840 Speaker 1: with meals, offer childcare swaps, mentor teenagers. Adopt if you 180 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 1: can foster, if you can encourage where you must, because 181 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 1: every healthy child raised instability is a long term investment 182 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 1: in democracy, in economy, and in culture. Kind of a 183 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:03,000 Speaker 1: final thought, loud crisises dominate the news. The quiet one 184 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:06,720 Speaker 1: shape the future. Declining birth rates won't spark riots, they 185 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:10,679 Speaker 1: won't trend on Twitter, but they will determine whether communities 186 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:14,200 Speaker 1: grow or shrink, and maybe, just maybe one of the 187 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: greatest contributions a normal folk can make is bringing a 188 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:20,320 Speaker 1: new American into the world or helping raise one. That's 189 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 1: not small. It's a real legacy, and it does change 190 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 1: the country, one family, one child, one hopeful act at 191 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 1: a time. In addition to the final thought about birth rates, 192 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:36,560 Speaker 1: I think also you need to think about the data 193 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:40,320 Speaker 1: on immigration. This is not me saying that we don't 194 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 1: need a secure border, and we don't need a country, 195 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 1: and we don't need assimilation, and we don't need people 196 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 1: becoming naturalized citizens and doing the work, because I think 197 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:55,080 Speaker 1: all of those things are true. But to vilify immigrants 198 00:12:56,559 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 1: is to not understand the vital importance of immigration in 199 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 1: just keeping our country what's the word I'm trying to. 200 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 2: Do, oh replace itself, to keep it going period. 201 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:17,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, to keep our country above a placement level. And 202 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 1: I'm telling you to tie this all back to the 203 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 1: book The End of the World is just the beginning. 204 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: If you read that book and you understand what the 205 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 1: declining birth rates is the biggest threat there is to 206 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 1: any nation, you might rethink the way we're approaching immigration 207 00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 1: and how screwed up. Our policy is toward it, so immigration, childbirth, 208 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:49,160 Speaker 1: creating communities of hope, so that we stay above replacement level, 209 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:54,440 Speaker 1: so that our population decline isn't like other countries and 210 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 1: entire continents like Europe. That might be the greatest national 211 00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 1: defense on the face of the planet, and it also 212 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 1: might be the greatest legacy. Can have great hope for 213 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 1: your own children and the children of those around you. 214 00:14:09,760 --> 00:14:12,760 Speaker 1: What say you, Alex, you know what we need, Bill, 215 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:13,560 Speaker 1: oh boy? 216 00:14:14,160 --> 00:14:18,679 Speaker 2: An army of normal baby makers. 217 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:21,160 Speaker 1: Well, here's the other thing. There's a sad benefit to this. 218 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 1: Making babies is a blast. Is so much fun at 219 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 1: Lisa and I had a bunch to it. Do it that? 220 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:30,560 Speaker 1: I bet you did? Yeah, we did. Honestly, raising children 221 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:34,400 Speaker 1: is a blast too. This is a little bit of 222 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 1: a touchy subject because it you know, you can again. 223 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 1: I think we said this is not a political statement. 224 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 1: It's just data, it's just math, it's just facts. Unfortunately, data, 225 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 1: math and facts oftentimes become political because they they are 226 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 1: presented against the backdrop of very political narratives that are 227 00:14:57,960 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 1: often unfactual. So I just want to encourage all of 228 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:07,360 Speaker 1: our listeners to drop your preconceived notions and your defensive 229 00:15:07,400 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 1: posture and just hear the facts, see the truth for 230 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 1: what it is, and think about it, and maybe your 231 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:19,480 Speaker 1: perception about how our country approaches certain things can change, 232 00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 1: especially if you care about the future of our country, 233 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 1: because we have to stay above replacement levels or all 234 00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 1: our social nets and our tax base goes away and 235 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 1: we are no longer the country we need to be. 236 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 1: And the thing is, I'm telling you, if you look 237 00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:38,040 Speaker 1: at the birth rates of some of the countries that 238 00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 1: we would consider maybe not enemies, but certainly not allies, 239 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 1: you can see that in fifty years, if we take 240 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 1: care of our birth rates while they don't, you don't 241 00:15:49,640 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 1: have to do much to ward off their advances. They're 242 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 1: going to do it to themselves because without the right 243 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: replacement rate, countries implode under the weight of their own costs. 244 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 1: It's true, very interesting stuff. 245 00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 3: Some of that's probably gonna change with AI and drones 246 00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 3: and you can have some crazy geronal warfare in the future. 247 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:10,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, some of that's true. But and it's 248 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 1: not really about armies, it's about tax base. It's about 249 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: and as medicine continues to improve and the aged continue 250 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 1: to live longer, this this problem continues to exacerbate itself. 251 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 1: It gets actually, yeah, deeper and worse. So there it is. 252 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 1: Make some babies, make some babies. 253 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:33,880 Speaker 3: As my dad would say, somebody's got to create great Americans. 254 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 1: Why not us? That's hey, your dad's actually that good. 255 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 1: That's pretty cool. Yeah all right. If you enjoyed this episode, 256 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: share it with friends on social rate it, review it, 257 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 1: Join the army at normal folks dot us. Find a 258 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 1: daggum service club, find a spouse, make some babies. Find 259 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 1: the spouse, make some babies. That's for you. Breaking up 260 00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 1: with girlfriends? Hey, way above the replacement right here? How 261 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:01,120 Speaker 1: are clubs going? Good? 262 00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:03,560 Speaker 2: Actually exciting thing here? 263 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:07,960 Speaker 3: For Memphis, they have over twenty five people have given 264 00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 3: to the Giving Circle. 265 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:09,240 Speaker 1: Good. 266 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:11,639 Speaker 3: They got their five grand, they got three thousand, so 267 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 3: now they're working on getting to one hundred to get 268 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 3: twelve total. 269 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:15,280 Speaker 1: Awesome. 270 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 3: We still need to get your gift in. You made 271 00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 3: a generous pledge. I'll email you the link just from Oh, well, 272 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 3: I know you'll do it. 273 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:22,639 Speaker 1: What did I pledge? 274 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 2: You're going to say it in the air. 275 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: I guess I don't care. You pudge a thousand? Okay, 276 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:26,400 Speaker 1: that's fun. 277 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's generous here. I gave a thousand Oxford too, 278 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 3: just to be clear, Well, just tell me give it. 279 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:32,719 Speaker 3: People can join a ten dollars a month. You can 280 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:33,879 Speaker 3: give up to twenty five thousand. 281 00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:35,959 Speaker 1: So I gave a thousand of the giving circle. Well 282 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,080 Speaker 1: not yeah, but you will. I pledged it. You pledged it. 283 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 1: I'll give it as soon as you tell me how 284 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:41,879 Speaker 1: to pay it. Okay, thank you, Bill, I'm happy to 285 00:17:41,880 --> 00:17:47,080 Speaker 1: do it. Yeah, that's good. I'm glad I did that. Yeah, everybody, 286 00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:47,919 Speaker 1: y'all all right? 287 00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 3: So which it's added a bed bill to sleep in 288 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 3: heavenly peace. I'm doing one in Oxford. 289 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:53,919 Speaker 1: Ho. We're rolling, but they're all doing good. Yeah. So 290 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:55,960 Speaker 1: when I'm going to start more because there's people list 291 00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:59,159 Speaker 1: just right now that aren't in Atlanta, Memphis. Right now, 292 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 1: I'm focused on COG. 293 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 3: We feel stable and good to these six, and then 294 00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:06,120 Speaker 3: maybe in a month or two we'll look at more 295 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:06,639 Speaker 3: of the others. 296 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:12,760 Speaker 1: So here's the deal. Seriously, y'all email me at billet 297 00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:16,480 Speaker 1: normal folks got us and start politicking for your city 298 00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:19,959 Speaker 1: to be one of the next five clubs. And the 299 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 1: most votes I'll lobby for. 300 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:24,439 Speaker 3: We've already had six or ten people in other markets 301 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:25,439 Speaker 3: express interest in it. 302 00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:27,520 Speaker 1: Well, I haven't heard from them, so they don't count 303 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 1: right now. I have to email them. 304 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:30,880 Speaker 2: If you want to make Bill feel good, email him. 305 00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, do that, Okay, everybody, that's shop talk for this week. 306 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 1: Think about birth rates, think about replacement levels, think about 307 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 1: how it affects our country, how to affects the world, 308 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 1: how to affect the community, think about fostering immigration. All 309 00:18:50,040 --> 00:18:53,919 Speaker 1: of it is tied into these big numbers. And I 310 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 1: highly suggest you get the book The End of the 311 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:00,359 Speaker 1: World is just the Beginning, and read it and study 312 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:03,440 Speaker 1: it and understand the data points and understand the facts, 313 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 1: and just quit listen to all the here on Fox 314 00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 1: and CNN and start forming some of your own opinions 315 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:13,199 Speaker 1: about how we view all of these things. Because to 316 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: be an army of normal folks and engage in the community, 317 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,960 Speaker 1: you need to be doing it buttressed by data, in fact, 318 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 1: not by supposition and some narrative, some Yahoo and New 319 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 1: York controls to scare you. So that's why I feel 320 00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:29,280 Speaker 1: about it. Okay, I guess that's it, right 321 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 2: Yep, let's go, baby, Goodbye.