WEBVTT - This Is What Will Happen If Trump Is President

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<v Speaker 1>Should Donald Trump be president, he has pledged that he

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<v Speaker 1>will be a dictator on day one. Day five will

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<v Speaker 1>be day five of a profound national crisis. Welcome back

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<v Speaker 1>to another session of Ask Me Anything, And the question

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<v Speaker 1>is from the warning community. Where do I think the

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<v Speaker 1>United States will be on January twenty fifth, twenty twenty five?

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<v Speaker 1>I suspect the United States will remain on the North

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<v Speaker 1>American continent, just joking. On the other hand, should Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump be president, he has pledged that he will be

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<v Speaker 1>a dictator on day one, So day five will be

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<v Speaker 1>day five of a profound national crisis. The singularly most

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<v Speaker 1>dangerous aspect of what Donald Trump is promising to do

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<v Speaker 1>is to deploy the American military as a police force

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<v Speaker 1>against the American people on American soil, into a American

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<v Speaker 1>communities in the name of a national emergency declared absurdly,

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<v Speaker 1>ludicrously and belevolently under the Insurrection Act. Should that be happening,

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<v Speaker 1>there will be mass protests on the streets. The society

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<v Speaker 1>will shut down. What we will see is an unraveling,

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<v Speaker 1>constant chaos. The society will be at each other's throats.

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<v Speaker 1>It will be a time of tumult global panic, and

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<v Speaker 1>it will preface what is to come, and each day

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<v Speaker 1>of that Trump presidency will be worse than the next.

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<v Speaker 1>It will get heavier, and then there will be war.

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<v Speaker 1>There will be a war in Europe, and there will

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<v Speaker 1>be a war in Asia. And it will not be

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<v Speaker 1>a low casualty war like the American wars in Afghanistan,

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<v Speaker 1>in Iraq war where aircraft carriers get sent to the

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<v Speaker 1>bottom of the sea, taking five thousand Americans with them.

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<v Speaker 1>It will be a war of great suffering and death,

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<v Speaker 1>where beautiful cities are reduced to rubble. On the other hand,

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<v Speaker 1>if President Biden is reelected, what that will mean is

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<v Speaker 1>that Donald Trump will never be the Republican nominee again.

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<v Speaker 1>It will not mean that he doesn't remain for some

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<v Speaker 1>time the leader of this malignant fascist movement. It doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>mean that he'll disappear, but it means he will have

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<v Speaker 1>been defenestrated. It will mean that the campaign promising retribution,

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<v Speaker 1>the campaign promising concentration camps, the campaign promising a police state,

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<v Speaker 1>which is what would be required to achieve the mass

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<v Speaker 1>deportations that Trump is talking about, had been repudiated. You

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<v Speaker 1>have been defeated, and America will be taking its first

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<v Speaker 1>steps moving on. And the question is from the warning community,

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<v Speaker 1>is Biden's PR team the worst you've ever seen? The

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<v Speaker 1>answer to that question is no. The worst I've ever

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<v Speaker 1>seen is the Trump communications team. It was an abysmal,

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<v Speaker 1>degenerate pack of liars. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Kelly Mcaninni, Sean Spicer.

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<v Speaker 1>There has never been a White House communication operation that

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<v Speaker 1>lied as a matter of core strategy to the American people.

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<v Speaker 1>The very first thing said on camera by a member

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<v Speaker 1>of the Trump administration was that something that was obviously

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<v Speaker 1>not true was true. When Sewn Spicer walks out, points

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<v Speaker 1>to a picture and says that the picture with the

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<v Speaker 1>smaller crowd size in fact is bigger, it was a

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<v Speaker 1>scene straight out of nineteen eighty four. There are few

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<v Speaker 1>Americans who have ever raised their hand and sworn an

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<v Speaker 1>oath of defense to the Constitution who have ever betrayed

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<v Speaker 1>it as badly as the people around Donald Trump. Ever,

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<v Speaker 1>and the worst person in the Trump communications operation, the

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<v Speaker 1>worst of the worst, the lowest of the dreg was

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<v Speaker 1>Kelly Anne Conway. And Kelly An Conway is an abusive parent,

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<v Speaker 1>a narcissistic personality, and somebody made famous by the access

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<v Speaker 1>media who they celebrate as she lies to them to

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<v Speaker 1>their faces. Kelly Ann Conway is a total of the

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<v Speaker 1>corruption of the American media, the corruption of the Trump

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<v Speaker 1>white House, and she was the worst of the worst

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<v Speaker 1>of the worst communications team they've ever been. So no

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<v Speaker 1>Biden pr team isn't worse than that, but they are incompetent.

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<v Speaker 1>The Biden White House has an incompetent communication operation. When

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<v Speaker 1>I worked in the Bush White House, I did a

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<v Speaker 1>short stint in Iraq, and my job there was to

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<v Speaker 1>assess all of the communication efforts that were underway and

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<v Speaker 1>audit them, assess them, evaluate them, and understand what it

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<v Speaker 1>is and why it is the American people are hearing

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<v Speaker 1>what it is they're hearing. And the first thing that

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<v Speaker 1>I realized in Iraq was we didn't have a communication problem,

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<v Speaker 1>though many people in the White House believe that. Well

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<v Speaker 1>we had in Iraq was a losing the war problem.

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<v Speaker 1>And you can't fix a losing the war problem by

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<v Speaker 1>a communication strategy. You can make it worse, but you

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<v Speaker 1>can't fix it. So Biden's age can't be fixed with

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<v Speaker 1>a communication strategy, but it can be made infinitely worse

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<v Speaker 1>as an issue, and the White House has managed to

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<v Speaker 1>do that. What Joe Biden promised was that he would

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<v Speaker 1>extinguish the extremist movement, and that hasn't happened. There's never

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<v Speaker 1>been a president who's had more legislative success without appreciation,

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<v Speaker 1>without any gratitude or anybody crediting him for the accomplishment.

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<v Speaker 1>And now because of the failure to do that, the

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<v Speaker 1>White House communications operation is angry. It's petulant. It's angry

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<v Speaker 1>with the American people, who they yell at when there

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<v Speaker 1>are issues that are raised that are legitimate, such as

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<v Speaker 1>the President's age. Angry with the media, They're angry with everybody.

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<v Speaker 1>But the fact of the matter is this, American politics

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<v Speaker 1>at the presidential level is a communications business. Period. Would

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<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs have won the Super Bowl if Travis Kelcey

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<v Speaker 1>couldn't catch a ball? If Patrick Mahomes wasn't Patrick Mahomes,

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<v Speaker 1>of course not. The idea that a presidential campaign can

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<v Speaker 1>be detached from the capacity to inspire people is nonsense.

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<v Speaker 1>Defeating Trump requires the president to lay out a vision

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<v Speaker 1>that's better than the insanity. Communications in a presidential campaign

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<v Speaker 1>isn't about demanding a vote on the basis of past accomplishments.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a transaction about the future, and nobody seems to

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<v Speaker 1>understand that. In the Biden White House, the president is cloistered,

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<v Speaker 1>he's sheltered, and the result of that is every appearance

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<v Speaker 1>the stakes are raised existentially raised. This deficit in the

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<v Speaker 1>Biden White House can cost him the presidency and cost

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<v Speaker 1>democracy in America. There has never been a White House

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<v Speaker 1>where there's been a better legislative affairs effort, frankly, a

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<v Speaker 1>better White House Counsel's office, more effective. Paired with an

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<v Speaker 1>ineffective communications operation. It's just utterly, utterly, utterly broken. Everybody

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<v Speaker 1>involved in it really needs to take a pause, a break,

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<v Speaker 1>and they need serious help. And I think that's going

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<v Speaker 1>to become more clear in the weeks ahead, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think ultimately you will see some of the Democratic Party's

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<v Speaker 1>biggest hitters get into the game because they have to,

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<v Speaker 1>because this is so broken. The question is is why

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<v Speaker 1>isn't Donald Trump behind bars? This is very simple. I

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<v Speaker 1>want everybody to understand this. If you are a critic

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<v Speaker 1>of Donald Trump, you must be at the front of

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<v Speaker 1>the line demanded fairness for Donald Trump in his criminal trials.

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<v Speaker 1>The entire point of all of this is Donald Trump

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<v Speaker 1>is not above the law, but he's also not below it.

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<v Speaker 1>He's entitled to the constitutional protections that every American citizen is.

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<v Speaker 1>And Donald Trump has been convicted of no crimes. He's

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<v Speaker 1>been charged with crimes. He's been found guilty as a

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<v Speaker 1>rapist in a civil action, He's been found guilty of

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<v Speaker 1>fraud in a civil action. Those convictions, some of the

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<v Speaker 1>will be appealed. Donald Trump will be sentenced to prison

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<v Speaker 1>if he's convicted by a jury, and nobody, nobody, nobody

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<v Speaker 1>should be cheering for the conviction of political opponents. I

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<v Speaker 1>coined a phrase during the Republican National Convention while Michael

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<v Speaker 1>Flynn was speaking in twenty sixteen, and the wild crowd

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<v Speaker 1>was chanting over and over again, lock her up, lock

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<v Speaker 1>her up, lock her up. I called it banana republicanism.

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<v Speaker 1>This isn't something that happens in a healthy democracy. It's

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<v Speaker 1>what happens in banana republics. Is the United States to

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<v Speaker 1>be a banana republic. We must not allow this. These

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<v Speaker 1>criminal cases against Trump have been compromised, in the case

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<v Speaker 1>of Georgia by the misconduct of the prosecutor. Franny willis

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<v Speaker 1>living on did she thinks it's okay to hire her

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<v Speaker 1>boyfriend is the special prosecutor, pay him seven hundred thousand

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<v Speaker 1>dollars in fees of taxpayer money, and then travel around

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<v Speaker 1>with him. Holy shit, It's like, does she work for

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump? She ran on a platform of integrity and

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<v Speaker 1>when it was examined, kaboom. So don't root for Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump to go to jail, root for America to move

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<v Speaker 1>past Trump, root for the system to work. Donald Trump

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<v Speaker 1>has put the country in an impossible position with his misconduct.

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<v Speaker 1>He has brought us to this point. One man, with

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump's life as his testament to the damage one demna,

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<v Speaker 1>god man, one ruthless person can do to a country

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<v Speaker 1>as great as ours. And the only thing, the only

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<v Speaker 1>thing that can make it worse is if Donald Trump

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<v Speaker 1>and trump Ism and maggot contaminate the only political party

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<v Speaker 1>left standing that believes in the rule of law, democracy,

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<v Speaker 1>in the values of the republic. The next ask me

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<v Speaker 1>anything question is what is the best way to influence

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<v Speaker 1>candidates outside of giving money? What can we do? I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think that the issue is so much influencing candidates,

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<v Speaker 1>it's influencing elected officials. It is a very simple proposition.

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<v Speaker 1>Most elected officials want to be re elected. Can you organize?

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<v Speaker 1>Can you be a component part of a cohort that

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<v Speaker 1>has the capacity on the margins to make life politically

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<v Speaker 1>difficult all the way to untenable for an elected official.

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<v Speaker 1>The most important thing to understand is these people work

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<v Speaker 1>for you, and you don't have to tolerate they're bullshit.

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<v Speaker 1>We live in an era where American politics has gone

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<v Speaker 1>off the rails, and it's gone off the rails because

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<v Speaker 1>the overwhelming majority of politicians have come to the conclusion

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<v Speaker 1>in the Trump errors, they can get away with anything,

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<v Speaker 1>and the result is we're in one of the most

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<v Speaker 1>corrupt eras in American history. We see a level of

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<v Speaker 1>corruption in this country we haven't seen since the late

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<v Speaker 1>nineteenth century in the early part of the twenty first century.

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<v Speaker 1>And so being involved, being part of a community is

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<v Speaker 1>how you influence elected officials. When it comes to influencing candidates,

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<v Speaker 1>trying to lobby candidates to take positions is not effective.

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<v Speaker 1>Candidates got to win an election. Work for the candidate,

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<v Speaker 1>be involved in the choice, but don't try to impose

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<v Speaker 1>words and slogans on candidates. I'll give you an example

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<v Speaker 1>of Democrats doing this. That's one of the dumbest of

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<v Speaker 1>all time. Defund the police. Defund the Police was a

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<v Speaker 1>slogan invented by white, woke liberals with ivy league degrees

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<v Speaker 1>who live in New York and Washington, d C. People

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<v Speaker 1>who live in communities where there's crime want the police.

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<v Speaker 1>They just want a police department that's not abusive towards

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<v Speaker 1>the citizen because of their skin color. Why is that

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<v Speaker 1>concept so hard to explain absent to slogan. Nevertheless, for

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<v Speaker 1>some Democrats it is. And the result of that is

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<v Speaker 1>the campaign becomes about the slogan, and the slogan is

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<v Speaker 1>a deadly one. So let's not do that in campaign

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty four. Just ask me anything. Question is, Steve,

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<v Speaker 1>are you concerned about the third party candidates? Am I

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<v Speaker 1>concerned about the third party candidates? It depends on what

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<v Speaker 1>the definition of concern is. If you look at a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of the comments that are made by top Democratic

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<v Speaker 1>Party officials, I think the fair interpretation of them is

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<v Speaker 1>that they would wipe these candidates off the ballot, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm against that. And I think we have to understand

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<v Speaker 1>that you have eighty six percent of the country eighty

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<v Speaker 1>six percent doesn't want to see the rematch between Biden

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<v Speaker 1>and Trump. We have a two party system that's a duopoly,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're delivering a result that the market doesn't want.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me be clear about this, I will crawl over

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<v Speaker 1>broken glass to vote for Joe Biden over Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>Am I happy with that choice? I'm outraged by it.

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<v Speaker 1>So one of the things the White House has to

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<v Speaker 1>get its hands around is the concept of the grumpy

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<v Speaker 1>Biden voter. There are a lot of us who are deeply,

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<v Speaker 1>by deeply, I mean deeply unhappy about the President walking

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<v Speaker 1>away from his commitment to serve one term. I think

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<v Speaker 1>the idea that this country would have a president pushing

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<v Speaker 1>ninety years old is out fucking rageous. That being said,

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<v Speaker 1>the choice is the choice. Now. The national media is

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<v Speaker 1>not covering Robert Kennedy Junior for a lot of different reasons.

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<v Speaker 1>Robert Kennedy Junior is unfit to be the president of

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<v Speaker 1>the United States. He's a conspiracy theorist, he's a liar,

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<v Speaker 1>he's a demagogue, and he cannot be trusted with responsibility.

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<v Speaker 1>That being said, right now, well twenty five percent of

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<v Speaker 1>the country wants him to be the president of the

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<v Speaker 1>United States, some smaller percentages may want one of the

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<v Speaker 1>other candidates, like Cornell West. There is nothing that any

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<v Speaker 1>Democratic Party official can do about those candidates. They have

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<v Speaker 1>a right to run in America. What the Biden campaign

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<v Speaker 1>has to do with the third party candidates is understand

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<v Speaker 1>they have to be focused on what they can control,

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<v Speaker 1>and they have no control about that. And that's exactly

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<v Speaker 1>what Harry Truman faced in nineteen forty eight. Do you

0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:43.760
<v Speaker 1>remember the famous headline de he defeats Truman. Harry Truman

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:46.840
<v Speaker 1>held that a loft smiling from the back of railcar

0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:51.960
<v Speaker 1>one the Ferdinand Magellan and that rail car, by the way,

0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:55.800
<v Speaker 1>was used in every one of FDR's re elections, was

0:17:55.920 --> 0:17:59.600
<v Speaker 1>used in Harry Truman's comeback campaign in forty eight, and

0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:02.359
<v Speaker 1>it was used by Ronald Reagan in nineteen eighty four.

0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 1>No president who's ever campaigned for reelection from railcard one

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:11.240
<v Speaker 1>has ever lost. Joe Biden should take railcard one and

0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:15.240
<v Speaker 1>he should go campaigning around the country like Harry Truman did,

0:18:16.119 --> 0:18:19.000
<v Speaker 1>because he faces the same problem that Truman did. There

0:18:19.000 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 1>were three Democrats running in the nineteen forty eight election,

0:18:23.560 --> 0:18:27.920
<v Speaker 1>all of them cutting into Truman's coalition strom. Thurmond was

0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:32.480
<v Speaker 1>running as a segregationist Dixiecrat, and Henry Wallace, who was

0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:36.560
<v Speaker 1>Franklin Roosevelt's vice president, was running to the left of

0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:43.000
<v Speaker 1>Harry Truman, really as a socialist. Yet Truman won. You

0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:49.919
<v Speaker 1>have to win the game as it comes to you.

0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:57.120
<v Speaker 1>You have to play the deck of cards. That's dealt. Yelling, ignoring,

0:18:57.720 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 1>shouting down the third party candidate by the president's most

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:08.280
<v Speaker 1>partisan supporters doesn't help the president. What the president has

0:19:08.400 --> 0:19:13.720
<v Speaker 1>to do is calmly, repeatedly make clear the choice in

0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:17.840
<v Speaker 1>the end is between him and Trump. And if people

0:19:17.920 --> 0:19:24.200
<v Speaker 1>are thinking about voting for whomever, that, in fact, as

0:19:24.200 --> 0:19:27.840
<v Speaker 1>it is counted, is a type of vote for Trump,

0:19:28.359 --> 0:19:32.000
<v Speaker 1>which is something they may not need at all. Thank

0:19:32.040 --> 0:19:36.000
<v Speaker 1>you for listening to my political commentary. If you like

0:19:36.080 --> 0:19:40.119
<v Speaker 1>what you heard today, please also consider subscribing to The

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<v Speaker 1>Warning daily newsletter on substack. Our democracy hangs in the balance.

0:19:46.480 --> 0:19:50.959
<v Speaker 1>The twenty twenty four presidential election is the most consequential

0:19:50.960 --> 0:19:55.439
<v Speaker 1>in America's history. It's not hyperbole, it's a fact. That

0:19:55.600 --> 0:19:58.639
<v Speaker 1>is why the mission of The Warning with Steve Schmidt

0:19:58.840 --> 0:20:01.800
<v Speaker 1>is to help readers ori to the currents that are

0:20:01.840 --> 0:20:07.000
<v Speaker 1>shaping our times. And the unseen forces driving politics that

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<v Speaker 1>are very rarely discussed on cable news. Please sign up

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0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Steve Schmidt dot substack dot com, or at the link

0:20:28.119 --> 0:20:32.200
<v Speaker 1>in the show notes section below. Thank you to each

0:20:32.240 --> 0:20:35.360
<v Speaker 1>and every one of you for listening and watching