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Speaker 1: let's talk some basketball. So, for the second time, in
Speaker 1: the first round out of the eighth series so far,
Speaker 1: I'm prepared to admit that I was wrong about a series.
Speaker 1: I picked the Sixers to beat the New York Knicks
Speaker 1: based on the idea that, especially over the course of
Speaker 1: the series, the Sixers would just have higher level shot creation,
Speaker 1: not rub On Jalen Brunson. I think Jalen Brunson has
Speaker 1: proven that he's encroaching on that superstar tier. I think
Speaker 1: the guy he kind of kicked off this year's Damian Lothard,
Speaker 1: he basically took his spot as the second best guard
Speaker 1: a small guard in the league behind Steph Curry. Right.
Speaker 1: So it's not a matter of whether or not I
Speaker 1: respect Jalen Brunson. It's the fact that Joel Embiid, in theory,
Speaker 1: is a better basketball player than Jalen Brunson, although I
Speaker 1: believe Jalen has outplayed him, especially over the course of
Speaker 1: the last couple of games. And then Tyrese Maxy just
Speaker 1: is a legitimate secondary star, legitimate secondary shot creator, and
Speaker 1: we saw that dynamic a lot over the course of
Speaker 1: the first three games of the series. As a matter
Speaker 1: of fact, that the Sixers completely dominated the ha half
Speaker 1: court battle. They dominated it one oh seven to ninety
Speaker 1: one in terms of points per one hundred plays. Right,
Speaker 1: so a sixteen point per one hundred play gap in
Speaker 1: the half court between the two teams over the course
Speaker 1: of the first three games of the series. But the
Speaker 1: reason why I am officially off of the Sixers as
Speaker 1: a pick, and I believe the Knicks are going to
Speaker 1: close this series out most likely in five. Is that
Speaker 1: over the course of the series, the Knicks have actually
Speaker 1: started to gain ground in that department. I talk a
Speaker 1: lot about this on the show, but there's like a
Speaker 1: perimeter battle that takes place in a playoff series because
Speaker 1: it's not like the regular season where a singular offensive
Speaker 1: initiator will run into a different direct defender or defensive
Speaker 1: scheme every single night. Right, you see the same top
Speaker 1: tier perimeter defenders on the opponent every single night. Right,
Speaker 1: You see similar schemes. If anything, the scheme gets tighter
Speaker 1: on you as the series progresses. Right, And so take
Speaker 1: for Jalen Brunson for instance, like one of two things
Speaker 1: is going to happen. Either Jalen is going going to
Speaker 1: solve the defensive scheme or the defensive scheme is going
Speaker 1: to solve Jalen. It's a push and pull over the
Speaker 1: course of the series. And specifically, the Knicks in a
Speaker 1: big way won that battle today. They actually won the
Speaker 1: half court battle for the first time in the series.
Speaker 1: They had a zero point nine to three points per
Speaker 1: half court play in this game and the Sixers had
Speaker 1: just a zero point eight five So flipped the script,
Speaker 1: and this time they have an eight point advantage per
Speaker 1: one hundred half court plays, and to kind of zoom
Speaker 1: in on some specifics. Brunson has looked more and more
Speaker 1: comfortable as the series has progressed. We talked about this
Speaker 1: in a film session that I did a couple of
Speaker 1: days ago. But in Game three, Jalen Brunson had his
Speaker 1: kind of breakout game of the series, and they did
Speaker 1: a couple of specific things. He started rejecting screens more
Speaker 1: that kind of got him away from Joel Embiid. He
Speaker 1: did a good job of setting up his man in
Speaker 1: ice situations, which is a side ball screen coverage where
Speaker 1: they were flipping the angle on the screen, which is
Speaker 1: helping him get more separation. And then they were setting
Speaker 1: screens further out towards almost like the logo, to help
Speaker 1: him have more of a runway before he has to
Speaker 1: deal with em Bead. I did a big film session
Speaker 1: on that the other day, so you can find that
Speaker 1: a little bit further back in our feed. But that
Speaker 1: kind of continued in this game. There's a little more
Speaker 1: switching in, a little more iso in this game. But
Speaker 1: Jalen has gotten more and more comfortable as the series
Speaker 1: has progressed. Meanwhile, on the other end of the floor,
Speaker 1: the Knicks have kind of figured out how to guard
Speaker 1: the Philly actions. They shut down the maxium bid pick
Speaker 1: and roll in this game. As a matter of fact,
Speaker 1: in terms of actual ball screens where Maxie had a
Speaker 1: live dribble and Embiid came up and set a ball
Speaker 1: screen on him, they didn't score on it a single
Speaker 1: time in this game, at least unless I made a
Speaker 1: mistake in my film session. They didn't score on it
Speaker 1: a single time in this game, and they actually abandoned
Speaker 1: it at the end of the game. They didn't run
Speaker 1: any Maximbad two man game over the course of the
Speaker 1: final minutes. They switched to guard guard screens with Kyle Lowry.
Speaker 1: The simple solution there is they put Deuce McBride on
Speaker 1: Tyrese Maxey, and they put Og and Obi on Joel
Speaker 1: Embiid pressures that you have spent some time on Embiid
Speaker 1: as well, but for the most part it was Og
Speaker 1: on him down the stretch, and as a result, Og
Speaker 1: had the athleticism to cut off those driving lanes coming
Speaker 1: further out. And some of it too, was they kind
Speaker 1: of baited Maxi with back pressure and kind of bracketing
Speaker 1: him into taking tough shots and missing some of the
Speaker 1: kickback passes to Embid. But they shut that action down
Speaker 1: and Philly went away from it. The Maxi Lowry ghost screens,
Speaker 1: they just did their job. So they're bringing Lowry up
Speaker 1: in because Brunson's guarding Lowry. They were hedging and recovering.
Speaker 1: But Brunson has a really hard job there on that hedge.
Speaker 1: He has to linger long enough to actually shut off
Speaker 1: the dribble penetration from Maxi, and he was doing that.
Speaker 1: But when they stopped Maxi, they were walling him up
Speaker 1: and making the kickback pass to Lowry difficult, which was
Speaker 1: buying time for that windshield wiper rotation, and they were
Speaker 1: cleanly rotating out of it. And then the few times
Speaker 1: they went to Embid in the post down the stretch,
Speaker 1: they just doubled him with clean windshield wiper rotations. Again,
Speaker 1: winchiew wiper rotations. I just use that metaphor because I
Speaker 1: just think of a winshield wiper like as one guy's rotating,
Speaker 1: the other guys rotating with him to prevent that easy kick.
Speaker 1: That's one pass away. Right now. There's some things Philly
Speaker 1: can work on there, like for instance, they frequently on
Speaker 1: some of these embid post ups had like Kelly Ubre
Speaker 1: and Tobias Harris both in the dunker spot, which you're
Speaker 1: just making yourself easy to guard there. And Nick nurse Man,
Speaker 1: he's gonna watch the film after this game and he's
Speaker 1: gonna see a couple of major issues that he's gonna
Speaker 1: have to address going into Game five. But they didn't
Speaker 1: score on the emb double teams because they were able
Speaker 1: to easy rotate out of it. And so, to make
Speaker 1: a long story short, the Knicks are getting stronger in
Speaker 1: the half court battle. That wasn't just in the numbers. Obviously,
Speaker 1: they won the half court battle by eight points per
Speaker 1: one hundred half court plays today, but schematically, the hedgend
Speaker 1: recovers working the OG and Deuce McBride, and the two
Speaker 1: man game is working with Maxi and Embiid and then
Speaker 1: the double teaming of Embiid in the post is working
Speaker 1: because they're so sharp in their rotations. So the Sixers
Speaker 1: can't score in the half court now. And meanwhile, the
Speaker 1: Knicks are scoring a lot more easy in the half
Speaker 1: court than they were at the beginning of the series
Speaker 1: because they're starting to figure out how to get Jalen
Speaker 1: Brunson loose, and that's gonna be an issue going into
Speaker 1: Game five because here's the problem. They're also getting dominated
Speaker 1: on the margins. They gave up fifteen offensive rebounds today.
Speaker 1: The Knicks won the second chance points battle twenty one
Speaker 1: to eight. Eleven of their twenty fourth quarter points in
Speaker 1: this game were second chance points. They kept leaving Kyle
Speaker 1: Lowry on either og Anobi or Precious to Chua, and
Speaker 1: he just couldn't keep them off the glass. I'll show
Speaker 1: you some examples on the film. And so, to make
Speaker 1: a long story short, like I think the series is
Speaker 1: over because the biggest advantage for Philly was they needed
Speaker 1: to win the half court battle and hold up better
Speaker 1: on the glass. They're not holding up on the glass,
Speaker 1: and they're losing the half court battle, and we're headed
Speaker 1: back to New York in a closeout game and that
Speaker 1: Arena is going to be on fire, and so I
Speaker 1: think the Knicks are gonna win. Wouldn't be surprised if
Speaker 1: he got a little ugly in Game five. Now Philly's
Speaker 1: chance a couple things gotta go bigger to hold up
Speaker 1: on the glass. Kyle Lowry's not giving you enough offensively anyway,
Speaker 1: I would just put Nick Patoomb out there, and I'd
Speaker 1: go with three forwards at the very least you have
Speaker 1: a better chance of holding up on the glass. Also,
Speaker 1: I would lean more into the tyrese Maxi Joel embiid
Speaker 1: two man game. When he's popping, he is still open
Speaker 1: when Deuce is chasing him, and OG's kind of like
Speaker 1: hurting him in those pick and rolls, right, So, like
Speaker 1: Maxi can make some better passing reads there, and I
Speaker 1: think that's just a better option for them in terms
Speaker 1: of getting quality shots. They have to have better spacing principles,
Speaker 1: Like I'll show you some examples on the film here
Speaker 1: in a second. But Tobias Harris and Kelly Ubray are
Speaker 1: just ending up in spots on the floor they can't help,
Speaker 1: and that's going to be an issue they got to
Speaker 1: address going into game five. And then lastly, Joelmbi just
Speaker 1: has to be better. The offense wasn't really his fault.
Speaker 1: When I went back to look on the film again,
Speaker 1: the spacing principles are bad. Maxie was missing him in
Speaker 1: some of the two man game situations. I don't necessarily
Speaker 1: blame himbiid for what happened down the stretch. Offensively, but defensively,
Speaker 1: he was pretty bad down the stretch of this game,
Speaker 1: And like I get it, people are gonna be talking
Speaker 1: about this is gonna be a conversation surrounding Luka Doncic too,
Speaker 1: like whether or not he's hurt. You know, it's like, oh,
Speaker 1: Luca's knee is hurt, right, Joel Embid's knee is hurt,
Speaker 1: and there's no doubt that he's hurt. But this is
Speaker 1: a war of attrition. People are hurt all around the league.
Speaker 1: Zion Williamson out of the lineup, Jamal Murray calf string
Speaker 1: questionable for Game five tomorrow, Jared Vanderbilt out of the
Speaker 1: lineup entirely. Gabe Vincent just barely came back from injuries.
Speaker 1: Out of rhythm. Karl Anthony Towns just barely back from injury.
Speaker 1: He's out of rhythm. Kawhi Leonard didn't play today. Damon
Speaker 1: Giannis both out this afternoon for the Pacers game. In
Speaker 1: Game four, Donovan Mitchell looks banged up. Everyone is hurt.
Speaker 1: So if you're looking for that to be like something
Speaker 1: you can hang your hat on as an excuse, that's
Speaker 1: just not the case. The Knicks are literally playing without
Speaker 1: their second best player, Julius Randall, in this series, and
Speaker 1: so again, like Joelinbie just has to find a way
Speaker 1: to be better in these situations. He can't get out
Speaker 1: played to this extent the way he has by Jalen Bruntson.
Speaker 1: So Philly has a chance. They have adjustments they can make.
Speaker 1: I just don't think they're going to be able to
Speaker 1: hit those notes properly in Game five. All right, let's
Speaker 1: move on to Clippers MAVs. So the Clippers go out
Speaker 1: to a huge lead early, right, they go up by
Speaker 1: thirty one. Then the MAVs come all the way back.
Speaker 1: They get a big time game from Kyri Irving. He
Speaker 1: has forty in this game. It's just a completely ridiculous
Speaker 1: hanging layup versus a triple team at the rim that
Speaker 1: gave the MAVs the lead there late in the game.
Speaker 1: But then Paul George just hits this ridiculous, impossible step
Speaker 1: back three towards his right in the right corner over
Speaker 1: Derek Jones Junior. You know I talked about this after
Speaker 1: last game. Paul George hunts those shots too frequently, and
Speaker 1: that is not good because I think it's part of
Speaker 1: what leads him to have some more volatile shooting results,
Speaker 1: because like sometimes he hunts tough shots and he starts
Speaker 1: making them and then he just becomes im possible to
Speaker 1: guard kind of like today. Right then he'll have days
Speaker 1: where he chases those shots from the opening tip, misses
Speaker 1: three or four of him in a row, and then
Speaker 1: he goes three for eleven with you know, like seven
Speaker 1: points or something like that. And so that's the kind
Speaker 1: of thing that can be a little volatile with Paul George.
Speaker 1: But there's no doubt that he has the ability to
Speaker 1: make those shots. And boy did he make a big one.
Speaker 1: I was literally thinking, like considering Kyrie's layup that gave
Speaker 1: the MAVs the lead. That's one of the biggest shots
Speaker 1: in Paul George's career. Flip the dynamic of the game
Speaker 1: put the the the Clippers in front. When you factor
Speaker 1: in the amount of pressure that's on the Clippers, when
Speaker 1: you factor in the fact that if he doesn't make
Speaker 1: that shot and the MAVs go down and score, chances
Speaker 1: are you're going down three to one in the series.
Speaker 1: Just a massive shot from Paul George and then down
Speaker 1: the stretch of the game, it was James Harden attacking
Speaker 1: Luka Doncic in switches and cleanly beating him off the
Speaker 1: dribble and then hitting floaters and scoop shots before he
Speaker 1: gets to the rim. Because of some backline issues, the
Speaker 1: MAVs were happening having both maxically by MPJ Washington because
Speaker 1: they're concerned about Zuba from the offensive glass, we're not
Speaker 1: stepping out to contest the floater, and James was making
Speaker 1: the floaters and like because Terrence Man was on the
Speaker 1: floor and he was typically in the weak side corner.
Speaker 1: And I'll show you guys some examples in film. You
Speaker 1: almost need PJ or MAXI to step up to contest
Speaker 1: the floater and have the other one of those guys
Speaker 1: just dive down and try to box Zubots out underneath
Speaker 1: a basket and give yourself a better chance to at
Speaker 1: least make James pass. And again, I know Terrence Man
Speaker 1: can shoot. He was three for six from three in
Speaker 1: this game. But a floater for James Harden, especially when
Speaker 1: he's in rhythm, is a much higher percentage shot on
Speaker 1: a points per possession basis than the catch and shoot
Speaker 1: three for Terrence Man and so I thought that was
Speaker 1: something that Dallas can clean up going into Game five,
Speaker 1: Like when James Harden is attacking, they just need to
Speaker 1: do a better job of taking away those floaters. And
Speaker 1: so he scored on I think he scored four straight times,
Speaker 1: three or four straight times down the stretch of the game,
Speaker 1: and then they got a couple of key stops. Terrence
Speaker 1: Man finally got to stop on Kyrie Irving a nice
Speaker 1: rim contest from Zubots as well that kind of forced
Speaker 1: him to miss a right handed scoop shot, and then PJ.
Speaker 1: Washington missed a corner three, you know, one of the
Speaker 1: shots that the Clippers have been trying to get him
Speaker 1: to take. And then the game was over, and so
Speaker 1: big time clutch win from the from the Clippers. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna show you guys some film here in a second
Speaker 1: that kind of breaks down how I think the Maps
Speaker 1: can guard better when they get to when they get
Speaker 1: to game five, to guard that James Harden action better.
Speaker 1: The ugly stretches for the Maps. This is the second
Speaker 1: time in the series where they've come out the at
Speaker 1: the beginning of the game and just gotten completely blitzed.
Speaker 1: And again, like Championship teams, they typically don't have those
Speaker 1: types of long lapses because you're eventually gonna run into
Speaker 1: a really good team that can just cause a major
Speaker 1: problem for you in those sorts of situations. I mean,
Speaker 1: how the Clippers have caused major problems for Dallas and
Speaker 1: they haven't been able to recover. They didn't recover at
Speaker 1: all in game one. They recovered in game four, but
Speaker 1: not not to the extent that they were able to
Speaker 1: win the game. And so that to me is a concern.
Speaker 1: Luca's got to be better at the dirty work like
Speaker 1: this has been the swing of the series, right They
Speaker 1: the Clippers attacked him like crazy in game one, he
Speaker 1: got cooked. It was a problem. The Clippers attacked him
Speaker 1: like crazy in game two, he defended extremely well and
Speaker 1: they got the stops and it ended up swinging the
Speaker 1: series back towards Dallas. Game four, they go to attack
Speaker 1: him again and he's not doing his job. He also
Speaker 1: missed a key box out at the end of the
Speaker 1: game on James Harden. This the Luca dirty work stuff
Speaker 1: is swinging the series back and forth. Now again. I
Speaker 1: know I said this about the Sixers series. I know
Speaker 1: mass fans are going to be telling you Luka. Doncic
Speaker 1: is hurt. His knee is hurt. That's why he's not
Speaker 1: doing as good in these situations. And I'm going to
Speaker 1: say exactly what I said after the Knicks Sixers game.
Speaker 1: Everyone is hurt, Zion is out, John Jamal Murray is
Speaker 1: cas straing, questionable for Game five, Jared Vanderbilts out, Gay
Speaker 1: Vincent just back from injury, looks looks like kind of
Speaker 1: out of rhythm. Carl Town's just back from injury, looks
Speaker 1: a little bit out of rhythm. Kawhi Leonard didn't play today.
Speaker 1: Dami Giannis are both hurt. Donovan Mitchell looks like he's
Speaker 1: banged up. Everyone's hurt. The playoffs are a war of attrition,
Speaker 1: and so you're not going to get anything for Luca
Speaker 1: being a little banged up. He has to find a
Speaker 1: way to play through it, and he has to find
Speaker 1: a way to be better in some of those dirty
Speaker 1: work areas of the game. And credit to Clippers, they're
Speaker 1: defending him really well. Terrence Man and Russell Westbrook are
Speaker 1: doing an amazing job on him. And then on the
Speaker 1: defensive end, you just have to find a way to
Speaker 1: protect him again, Like I get it, he can slide
Speaker 1: his feet and defend. He showed it in Game two,
Speaker 1: but in the aggregate he's been getting cooked. And so
Speaker 1: a couple things pre switching. I'll show you guys an
Speaker 1: example on film where the MAVs did this to avoid
Speaker 1: Luca and a switch. That's one thing they can do.
Speaker 1: And then two hedging. Put him on a non movement
Speaker 1: shoot or someone like Terrence Man and just have him
Speaker 1: hedge and recover. It's an easy way to prevent a switch,
Speaker 1: which we really haven't seen that yet in this series.
Speaker 1: So again, protect him on the on the defensive end
Speaker 1: of the floor, and then I know he's hurt, and
Speaker 1: I know that's causing some issues for him on the
Speaker 1: offensive end. It was another rough offensive game from Luka
Speaker 1: Doncic today, but he just has to find a way
Speaker 1: to play through that and going. I'm still picking with
Speaker 1: my I'm still sticking with my MAVs and six pick.
Speaker 1: I think they're going to go home or go to
Speaker 1: Los Angeles and win game five and close them out
Speaker 1: in six. But as I said after Game three, the
Speaker 1: half court battle after Game three was dead, even the
Speaker 1: Clippers in the MAVs were dead even in points per
Speaker 1: points per one hundred plays in the half court. The
Speaker 1: main difference in the series through three games was turnovers.
Speaker 1: The Clippers were just having way too many turnovers and
Speaker 1: the MAVs were getting out in transition and getting the
Speaker 1: easy shots on them. The Clippers won the turnover battle
Speaker 1: today and they won the game, and so that's a
Speaker 1: huge factor moving forward in this series. Paul George obviously
Speaker 1: big balance back game after a rough one in Game three,
Speaker 1: hit I thought the biggest shot of the game two
Speaker 1: that step back corner three over Derek Jones Junior. And
Speaker 1: then James Harden. James Harden's been really good in this series.
Speaker 1: And again, this is a guy who has a reputation
Speaker 1: of being a playoff underperformer, and he's been the most
Speaker 1: consistently good Clipper in this series. And he took over
Speaker 1: the game down the stretch after Paul George gave him
Speaker 1: that initial cushion. So shout out to James Harden. He's
Speaker 1: been unbelievable. They are tied in this series because of him,
Speaker 1: and if it wasn't for him, they would be in
Speaker 1: a substantially worse position. All right, So you guys get
Speaker 1: the point, like there's some area for improvement. There. But again,
Speaker 1: like no matter what, you got to stop leaving Luke
Speaker 1: on an island there, the pre switching and the hedging
Speaker 1: I think is a good way to get out of that.
Speaker 1: And then again down the stretch of this series, you
Speaker 1: got to keep the ball out of James Harden and
Speaker 1: Paul George's hands as much as possible. But I'm sticking
Speaker 1: with my prediction for now. I'm gonna go MAVs and six.
Speaker 1: All Right, guys, that's all I have for today. Is
Speaker 1: always as sincerely appreciate you guys for supporting the show.
Speaker 1: We're back with the Nerds tomorrow morning, Logan and Carson.
Speaker 1: We're gonna break down all the first round series. I
Speaker 1: will see you guys then the volume