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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I and Chad moment, it is Tuesday. I am joined

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Speaker 1: as I am every Tuesday, by my BFF, my companion,

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Speaker 1: my capadre professional better Simon Hunter. Dude, dude, dude, dude. Finally,

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Speaker 1: remember how last week for the show on Tuesday, I said, like,

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Speaker 1: there was a moment on Tuesday morning where I was

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Speaker 1: just dreading that we were going to have to do

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Speaker 1: the podcast. We were gonna have to talk about what

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Speaker 1: a bad run we were on, how hard this season

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Speaker 1: has been, especially the past four weeks, how we're just

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Speaker 1: like not in tune. But then we came on, we

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Speaker 1: talked about it, we got through it, it worked out,

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Speaker 1: We addressed our pain, we confronted the agony. Yesterday I

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Speaker 1: was walking my dog thinking about the week. I'm like, oh, Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: we do the podcast. Ah. We went four in one

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Speaker 1: this week. We went for in one this week with

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Speaker 1: nary As Sweat. We had the Panthers, the Washington Football team,

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Speaker 1: Carolina Dallas Dallas, the Panthers, Washington football team, and Dallas

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Speaker 1: Runaways the Saints. We had them at plus three close

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Speaker 1: plus two. That was a little bit of a sweat,

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Speaker 1: but it also felt a little bit inevitable, like the

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Speaker 1: Titans had some flukey plays in there that got them

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Speaker 1: with the scores they needed. And then the Saints were

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Speaker 1: sort of running it up and down the way we

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Speaker 1: thought they would, and then we got blown out with

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Speaker 1: the Raiders. I kind of blame you. We wanted to

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Speaker 1: go with the Niners. You're like, no, let's just be

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Speaker 1: downe Sunday. So let's take the Raiders. We should have

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Speaker 1: taken the Niners. We could have been five and oh,

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Speaker 1: nice job, Simon. But all in all, like dude, I

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Speaker 1: just tried to keep you away. I needed that Niners one.

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Speaker 1: That was one of my bigger bets. I told you,

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Speaker 1: oh god, a six figure bet. If I wasn't such

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Speaker 1: a coward, Simon Hunter, professional coward, your mush chat, you

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Speaker 1: mush things. So I was just like, I just let

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Speaker 1: me just get this one. All I need to get

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Speaker 1: this one. Get back. I'm fucking Bush. By the way,

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Speaker 1: I'm mush Who's the one who said, hey, let's make

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Speaker 1: sure we don't take the Jets, let's take Dallas. I did.

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Speaker 1: Who's the one who said, we've loved We've loved Carolina

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Speaker 1: all week? Let's make sure we take Carolina. I did.

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Speaker 1: Don't give me your even Carolina's money line. Do you

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Speaker 1: get like Carolina's money line. You're a guy with points

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Speaker 1: over here, You're a point guy. Listen to me. I'm

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Speaker 1: talking about the choices we made on Sunday after convinced me.

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Speaker 1: Do not come to me like I'm mush when I'm

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Speaker 1: the one willingly betting the big favorite of the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: and knowing it's the right side, sticking to our guns. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: the best weeks are the ones you can book ended

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Speaker 1: with dogs. So we literally opened the week up with

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Speaker 1: Miami and we end the week on the nine. That's

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Speaker 1: the best. It's just so many good money line bets.

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Speaker 1: I think the the round robin, I'll to check my ticket,

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Speaker 1: but I'm pretty sure Carolina and was a football team.

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Speaker 1: It was thirty two to one money line parlay, So

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Speaker 1: that was that's that's Those are the good ones. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: maybe once or twice a year you get those ones.

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Speaker 1: And I was killing myself because we missed the week

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Speaker 1: before where I knew there was something fish about those lines.

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Speaker 1: Last weekend, like you talked about, there weren't big dogs

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Speaker 1: like winning out right. I've kind of been burned a

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Speaker 1: little bit this season with it, but we're seeing it now.

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Speaker 1: This is uh, it's on a historical pace, honestly, all

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Speaker 1: all these underdogs covering and winning out right. I think

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Speaker 1: it's fifty eight or fift this season dogs have covered.

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Speaker 1: So it's it's crazy it's been this way and we

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Speaker 1: haven't been killing it. So I'm I'm glad we got

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Speaker 1: back on track where it's like, what what was happening

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Speaker 1: all those weeks? I don't know. It's going through a

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Speaker 1: lot of stuff, but obviously last week had a little trip,

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Speaker 1: came back clearheaded, and not that we were seeing the

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Speaker 1: board super clear, but just looking at me and you

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Speaker 1: talked about that that Cowboys game the Panthers game. Those

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Speaker 1: are two lines early stuck out where it was like,

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Speaker 1: this is crazy, this, this is such a last week.

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Speaker 1: People are betting on what happened the week before. Let's

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Speaker 1: capitalize on this week. What's gonna happen this upcoming slate?

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Speaker 1: So that Cowboys one was insane. I think it was

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Speaker 1: what forty three to six. So we take a favorite

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Speaker 1: like that and they blow it out like that, That's

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Speaker 1: that's a great feeling. I was thinking about you. It's

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Speaker 1: Tuesday afternoon. Like I said, I was thinking about you

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Speaker 1: on last night watching the Niners game, realizing that this

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Speaker 1: m that you were a little anxious and so you

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Speaker 1: didn't go all in on this. It was gonna be

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Speaker 1: one of your three or four big, big big bets

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Speaker 1: of the year. You've done for this season. I should

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Speaker 1: done for the year. I hate it now. I knew

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Speaker 1: it too, and like again, I bet it. I'll put

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Speaker 1: a decent amount on it, but like nowhere near what

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Speaker 1: I make my big bets. So that's what the worst

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Speaker 1: for the game started. It was fourteen nothing. I just

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Speaker 1: was getting the Colts flashbacks and I was like, oh

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Speaker 1: my god, I've been here before. But luckily that was

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Speaker 1: just your class. A Monday night primetime game. Everyone doesn't

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Speaker 1: believe in one team. Everyone loves the other team. And

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Speaker 1: now as we sit here on Tuesday, I feel like

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Speaker 1: everyone hates the Rams, which is just that's why I

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Speaker 1: love football. It's so week the week people make these

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Speaker 1: uh we'll talk about these upcoming lines. There's a lot

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Speaker 1: of lines you can just tell this week. They're just

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Speaker 1: heavily inflated just because of what happened over the weekend.

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Speaker 1: All right, We're going to get to Scoot Rouette. Last week,

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Speaker 1: I had the Washington football team. I want you had

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Speaker 1: the Saints. I want carries Over so I will get

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Speaker 1: to choose first um on the year. I am two

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Speaker 1: and one. You are two and one, two and one,

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Speaker 1: two and one. But like I said, carries Over, we're

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Speaker 1: both two and one. Let's get to it, man, Let's

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Speaker 1: do the full slate. Will boil it down on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: We'll review the games that we think are getting tighter

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Speaker 1: based on market and research and everything else that we're hearing.

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Speaker 1: First game up, first, came up, first, came up, all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden, All of a sudden, exactly what we're

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Speaker 1: talking about. Newing Glynn Patriots at Atlanta Falcons Patriots with

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Speaker 1: Mac Jones that you can't stand. You continue to not

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Speaker 1: believe even though he all Matt Jones does win and

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Speaker 1: throw darts. He wakes up, he wins, he throws darts,

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Speaker 1: and apparently his brother and his name's Will, is a

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Speaker 1: fan of our show and he is the same feeling

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Speaker 1: you have, Chad. He's apparently thinks I'm a hater, and

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Speaker 1: then I hate on his brother, not at all. I

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Speaker 1: just I wasn't believing what I was seeing. Yeah, that

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Speaker 1: was unreal. He looked like Brady seriously in that game.

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Speaker 1: He was dropping dimes all over the field. He was incredible.

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Speaker 1: So I gotta eat some crow for that one. I

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Speaker 1: was Mac Mac was on it, but lucky. I bet

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Speaker 1: the Patriots. I don't. I don't feel too bad about it.

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Speaker 1: Love this love love love love this matchup here walking

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Speaker 1: into a Thursday. I as soon as I saw this

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Speaker 1: line open, I knew it was gonna bet up, so

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Speaker 1: I didn't even touch it. Got the seven seven and

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Speaker 1: a half at some off shore books Atlanta. You know

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Speaker 1: the drill Chad, we wet. You've been down this road

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Speaker 1: too many times in Atlanta. They kill it one week,

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Speaker 1: they fall apart the next week, and now they're back again.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's off this line. I think it was like four

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Speaker 1: or three. Now it's all up to seven seven and

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Speaker 1: a half. I mean, what else can we do here?

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Speaker 1: Home dog getting no money, no bets? Every time chat

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Speaker 1: we take at landa here can't stop, won't stop. Cordell

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Speaker 1: Parterson might be out a little scary with that. Cor

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Speaker 1: Darryl Patterson, Grandpa, Here's what I would say. There was

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Speaker 1: once David Fleming, who's a writer at ESPN the magazine,

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Speaker 1: longtime reporter covering the NFL. He and I shared an

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Speaker 1: office together at Sports Illustrated in the early nineties. That's

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Speaker 1: how long we go back. I was the NFL editor

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Speaker 1: at the ESPN, the magazine he had moved over. We

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Speaker 1: had both moved over from Asia to ESPN, the magazine.

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Speaker 1: He was writing. He was assigned a feature story about

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Speaker 1: Carson Palmer. One of the great quotes that a receiver

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Speaker 1: relayed to Dave about Carson Palmer, who was so accurate.

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Speaker 1: This reminds me of Mac Jones. When they were designing

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Speaker 1: the play. The question Carson Palmer asked the receiver was

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Speaker 1: which nipple? Meaning which nipple do you want the ball

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Speaker 1: to be on? If you're running a field, you want

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Speaker 1: on your outside nipple, you're inside nipple. That's how specific

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Speaker 1: he could be about where he knew he could drop

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Speaker 1: the ball. That's Mac Jones right now. He's a which

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Speaker 1: nipple quarterback. Just sal chats about Mac Jones. People. This

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Speaker 1: is why you're bet in Atlanta. Come Thursday. Everyone is

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Speaker 1: drinking the kool a. They're all in on Mac Jones

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Speaker 1: if they win this game. On a short week after

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Speaker 1: a big win like that, I might have to start

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Speaker 1: looking at pictures the top three team they have City

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Speaker 1: and I don't want to believe it because it's a

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Speaker 1: rookie quarterback and I feel like a lot of things

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Speaker 1: are just going their way right now. But this is

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Speaker 1: a huge, huge, huge test. You're taking a rookie quarterback

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Speaker 1: on a short week on the road against a team

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Speaker 1: that just got blown out on the road coming home

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Speaker 1: in Atlanta. Atlanta should win this game out right, I

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Speaker 1: mean not had attend times. So if the Patriots can

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Speaker 1: show up in this game and win it and cover

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Speaker 1: the spread as well, I might have to really look

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Speaker 1: at my position this Patriots team, because they might be

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Speaker 1: for real. Uh let's say classic classic spot to take

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Speaker 1: it later, like even the fact that I had this

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Speaker 1: number made at four and now it's up to seven

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Speaker 1: and even more reason I love it, but just taking

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Speaker 1: that number away, just looking at this as a pro,

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Speaker 1: I know every professional I know will be on elane

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Speaker 1: in this position. It feels like a contest play just

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Speaker 1: saying it, that's fair. I agree with you. I also

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Speaker 1: feel like if Will Jones mac Jones brother really listens

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Speaker 1: to this show, then come Thanksgiving, when he is sitting

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Speaker 1: down with his brother and all of their collective family

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Speaker 1: for turkey dinner, he's got to go to his brother

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Speaker 1: and say, what's up. Nipple. That's going to be the

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Speaker 1: nickname he calls him from now on. That's what I

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Speaker 1: want Will Jones to do. And then I wanted to

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Speaker 1: reach out. You me, Matt Mitchell, I don't care, just

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Speaker 1: reach out. Let us know that he did it. I

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Speaker 1: will be right with the world. Go birds on Thursday

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Speaker 1: plus seven contest bing Bong. You didn't hear his nickname

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Speaker 1: Mac Jones. They're calling on Mac and Cheat Cheat? Why

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Speaker 1: because he Everyone thinks he's a dirty player, because the

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Speaker 1: whole thing because he was holding that Guys, let come on,

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Speaker 1: I'm just telling you what the people are saying on

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Speaker 1: Reddit chat. People are haters. Fucking Reddit people are people

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Speaker 1: are haters on Reddit. They're haters of success. They want

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Speaker 1: to call him Mac and Cheat. It's because he's a

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Speaker 1: freaking cheat code man, just because he's a Patriot. I'm like,

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Speaker 1: I like the Patriots. I have one money on them

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Speaker 1: over the last twenty years. But the talk about the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: I feel like that's what you just gotta do in life.

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Speaker 1: It's fun. I gotta do it. Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears.

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Speaker 1: The Chicago Bears off of the bye and the Ravens

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Speaker 1: are realing plus six and a half. I need to

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Speaker 1: know if Rokuan Smith is playing, is Clil Macplane like,

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Speaker 1: are all these guys back? I don't know anything yet,

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Speaker 1: damn it so that maybe we'll talk on Thursday then,

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Speaker 1: But this is if those guys are back, your run

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Speaker 1: sufferers are back, automatic play, You're on the Bears at home.

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Speaker 1: I know the stats. Naggy as a big dog has

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Speaker 1: been terrible. He like lose. I think that Pittsburgh cover

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Speaker 1: was the first one he's had as a big dog

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Speaker 1: and like six games. So we'll come back this one Thursday.

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Speaker 1: But as we sit here on Tuesday, I'm thinking I'll

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Speaker 1: be on the Bears. I just need to know what

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Speaker 1: guys are in and what guys are out. Maybe I

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Speaker 1: won't put the Bears because I don't want to push

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Speaker 1: it for you. You can mush away. It's your own Bears.

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Speaker 1: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans. I've got a specific thought

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Speaker 1: about this. Tyrod Taylor was terrible in his first game back.

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Speaker 1: He needed to get acclimated. He's a better quarterback than

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Speaker 1: he showed in that game. Ten and a half points

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Speaker 1: for the Titans, who continue to ride a wave of

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Speaker 1: kind of getting away with it. They're getting the right bounces.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not a believer, Like, I don't see this

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Speaker 1: team being an eight and two team that is worthy

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Speaker 1: of the eight wins or the accolades of the points

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Speaker 1: that it's getting. I'd go ugly here. Simon says, take

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Speaker 1: that ten and a half. Diamonds says, baby, we are

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Speaker 1: taking the Texans. Sprinkle it on that money line too

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Speaker 1: on Tuesday, because I think the line's gonna come down

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Speaker 1: to like when we do our round robin Thursday show,

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Speaker 1: I feel like we're gonna lose a little bit of

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Speaker 1: the value that you would get today. So everything you

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Speaker 1: just said, I'm dead right there with you. That's the

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Speaker 1: worst part about these reps. I determine these games. They

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Speaker 1: took away an interception, gave a touchdown of Tennessee. Obviously

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Speaker 1: that stuck with the Saints the whole half. They come out,

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Speaker 1: they fumbled the kickoff, like so that's felt like it

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Speaker 1: was fourteen points given to them, and I want to

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Speaker 1: put too much on the ref because that's just the

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Speaker 1: worst flavoring thing. But man, I could not believe we

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Speaker 1: came back and got that cover. That was classic. Another

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Speaker 1: classic game where I told you, don't buy the half point,

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Speaker 1: just trust the number, trust the two and a half.

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Speaker 1: It landed on two, And that's that's why we don't

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Speaker 1: buy points. You're you're kind of again. It might save

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Speaker 1: your ass every now and then, but over the long term,

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Speaker 1: if you bet for fifty years that that big is

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Speaker 1: just gonna eat away at you, don't don't buy points.

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Speaker 1: I try to say this all the time. I know

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Speaker 1: people like that by to the like to buy to

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Speaker 1: the three or buy up to three and a half. Don't,

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Speaker 1: don't do it. Just the trust the books, trust the numbers.

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Speaker 1: Prime example, somehow the books knew that games don't get

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Speaker 1: the two, and it did, which was terrifying because it

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Speaker 1: was like all these different things were happening to get

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Speaker 1: even get to that number two. So sitting here again

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Speaker 1: with Tennessee, like Chad just talked about, we we want

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Speaker 1: to fade them there. Everything is going their way. This

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Speaker 1: Houston team is coming off of bye. I know statistically

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Speaker 1: this year a T S teams have been bad off buys.

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Speaker 1: I feel like everything you just said so right. Taylor

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Speaker 1: needed that extra time. He was just rusty in that

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Speaker 1: my name the game. So giving him more time, given

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Speaker 1: the given the time to the Houston team to get healthy.

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is not healthy. They have a lot of injuries

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Speaker 1: adding up. That's what's been Like, Yeah, as much I

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Speaker 1: want to basch Tennessee Titans, Tannehill on paper, like statistically

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Speaker 1: having an incredible season, one of the best players against

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Speaker 1: the blitz, one of the best players against double coverage.

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Speaker 1: Like everything he's doing is really really smart this season.

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Speaker 1: So it's it's a fair number, but I just think

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Speaker 1: you're getting too much value. And a divisional matchup with

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Speaker 1: this Houson team at ten and a half, That's why

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Speaker 1: I want you to take it now, because I think

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Speaker 1: it's good down to ten and put a little bit

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Speaker 1: on the money line, little taste, a little sprinkle. One

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Speaker 1: of our best UH tweeters, Um who d ms me often.

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Speaker 1: I've mentioned him on the show before, John Doe d

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Speaker 1: o H Like, don't you know, Um he listens to

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Speaker 1: the show and he was sort of giving us feedback

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Speaker 1: on and he's he's like dude, I feel like he

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Speaker 1: might be a content savant. Uh. And he was giving

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Speaker 1: us feedback on how we're we're betting this year and

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Speaker 1: how we're explaining it, and he was very smart. He said,

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Speaker 1: you guys focus so much on the numbers and like

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Speaker 1: getting the point and a half, getting the half point,

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Speaker 1: getting whatever, and it hasn't mattered at all for you

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Speaker 1: this year. Just bet the games you like. And it's

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Speaker 1: a little bit like what you were just saying, don't

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Speaker 1: worry about getting the best of the number, which is

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Speaker 1: an axiom that we really should follow. In this case,

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Speaker 1: we weren't getting the three, we had the two and

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Speaker 1: a half, we weren't trying to hedge out of it,

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Speaker 1: and it all worked out in our favor. We are

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Speaker 1: so smart. Speaking of the Saints, New Orleans Saints at

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles, speaking of the Saints that are one and

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Speaker 1: a half point underdogs, this one feels a little bit

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Speaker 1: like a trap. The Saints. I think we're the better

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Speaker 1: team against the Titans. The Saints can be the better

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Speaker 1: team against the Eagles. I think their defense is better.

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Speaker 1: I think they're coaching is better. It's weird to me

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Speaker 1: that the Saints are the dogs here just because the

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Speaker 1: Eagles had one good win against a mediocre team. But

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Speaker 1: all the pics, all the money on the Saints right now,

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Speaker 1: what am I missing? I'm walking into the trap. I

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Speaker 1: guess with the public that I like the Saints in

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Speaker 1: this matchup. It's simple fact. I tell you, if Sean

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Speaker 1: Payne is an underdog, I bet him. He's been really

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Speaker 1: good to me as an underdog. UM covered last week

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Speaker 1: again as a road underdog. I had to keep going

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Speaker 1: back to the well and taking Payton as an underdog.

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Speaker 1: So Egel's coming off a huge win on the road

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Speaker 1: now coming home feeling good. Eagles have not played well

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Speaker 1: at home. I don't even think that covered this year

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Speaker 1: at home. Uh oh wait, they did against Tampa, so

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Speaker 1: they have one cover so far this season at home.

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Speaker 1: This Saints team, to me, this is like you just

325
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Speaker 1: talked about. Feel like this is such an advantage for

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Speaker 1: head coaching matchups. We have Sean Payne against this really

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Speaker 1: bad Eagles defense, and I felt like last week was more.

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Speaker 1: You know, Eagles got right with running the ball. I

329
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Speaker 1: don't really think you can do that against the Saints team.

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Speaker 1: That's one of the things that are really good at

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Speaker 1: I get the shutting down the run. So I'm going

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Speaker 1: against my pro brethren. I'm taking some chalk here and

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Speaker 1: I'll the Saints. I don't know that you are something

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Speaker 1: of Like it just makes no sense to me that

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Speaker 1: the Saints open as an underdog here, Like it can't

336
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Speaker 1: just be as simple as this is what the bookmakers

337
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Speaker 1: think the public saw last week with the Saints losing

338
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Speaker 1: to the Titans and the Eagles winning on the road.

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Speaker 1: It just doesn't make any sense to me. It's a

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Speaker 1: To me, it's a hundred percent of Saints play, almost

341
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Speaker 1: so obviously that I feel like, and what am I missing? Yeah,

342
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Speaker 1: and again I'm having them all like this is a

343
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Speaker 1: good number of having teasers too. He teases up the

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Speaker 1: seven and a half. That's why it's weird to give

345
00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:33,679
Speaker 1: me the one and a half, Like you could be right,

346
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Speaker 1: I could be walking right into a trap here, but

347
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Speaker 1: I gotta do it. This feels a good number. I

348
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Speaker 1: wonder if this ends up being one of our sharp calls, right,

349
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Speaker 1: I'll definitely begin calls about it, because I know a

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Speaker 1: couple of guys already took the Eagles and they're like,

351
00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:47,280
Speaker 1: you're on it, right, like you love them I'm just like,

352
00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:50,240
Speaker 1: I'm off. I'm not on them this week, So we'll

353
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Speaker 1: be interesting here. What who calls me out back for

354
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Speaker 1: the show, because I've only talked to one other guy

355
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Speaker 1: and that's who was really big on the Eagles this week.

356
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Speaker 1: Interesting again, people view them as a playoff team. So

357
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Speaker 1: if you're power rating all these teams in the NFC,

358
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:03,760
Speaker 1: people power rate the Eagles pretty high up. That's why

359
00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:05,960
Speaker 1: again that line with the Chargers went down from three

360
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:09,440
Speaker 1: to one before kickoff, just because professionals have empower rated

361
00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:12,320
Speaker 1: so high. What do you have this game? Power rated

362
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Speaker 1: at one? Saints? That's why it's weird, Like I'm getting

363
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:18,600
Speaker 1: two and a half points right now. It's interesting. The

364
00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:21,480
Speaker 1: books hung it up this way, So that's why we'll

365
00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:24,200
Speaker 1: we'll revisit if it moves towards the Saints. Honestly feel

366
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Speaker 1: better because then at least I'll know a lot of

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Speaker 1: the professionals are coming on it, because right now I'm

368
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Speaker 1: just scared about how much pro money is coming in

369
00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:34,960
Speaker 1: on birds. Bird bird bird bird is the word Miami

370
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Speaker 1: Dolphins at New York Jets. The resurgent Miami Dolphins visiting

371
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Speaker 1: the New York Jets. The Dolphins are three point favorites

372
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Speaker 1: on the road. I mean, home dog, we have to

373
00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:52,760
Speaker 1: take the Jets. I don't know if this is gonna

374
00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:55,600
Speaker 1: be one of our five because it's so disgusting, but

375
00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,639
Speaker 1: I mean, come on, like the Miami hype train is

376
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:01,640
Speaker 1: out of the road right now. They blew up and

377
00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:05,879
Speaker 1: killed that that Ravens team on Thursday night, like dominated them.

378
00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,000
Speaker 1: Their defense looked like we we thought they were gonna

379
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:11,880
Speaker 1: be this year, a really dominant force Jets team. Mike

380
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,719
Speaker 1: White turned back into a pumpkin guy through four interceptions

381
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:19,879
Speaker 1: against Buffalo Bills. Just terrible. Uh, we'll see I again.

382
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:21,920
Speaker 1: If it's Zack Wilson, maybe I'll feel a little better

383
00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:25,680
Speaker 1: because I did. I did like what White was doing.

384
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:27,320
Speaker 1: But the problem with him is that you know, eventually

385
00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,280
Speaker 1: these defensive coarterers are going to figure him out, and

386
00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 1: the Bills did and every way they were just literally

387
00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:34,200
Speaker 1: running mid midlevel zones and let him try to throw

388
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 1: it over top of these guys and he couldn't. He

389
00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:38,320
Speaker 1: just kept throwing it right into their bread basket. So

390
00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:41,440
Speaker 1: it's not ideal to take this number right now because

391
00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:43,360
Speaker 1: we don't know where the quarterback is. But if it's

392
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Speaker 1: Zack Wilson. This gets up to three and a half

393
00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:49,000
Speaker 1: from the three, I'll be taken. I'll be taking the

394
00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 1: Jets here as at home, doog all right, So let's

395
00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:55,440
Speaker 1: wait and see. Let's wait and see. If the Jets

396
00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:58,760
Speaker 1: get to three and a half, it probably won't end

397
00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:01,359
Speaker 1: up being one of our father because there's other home dogs.

398
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:04,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna like better. But that's just that there's feels

399
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,480
Speaker 1: like a pro line to me, like that's there's gonna

400
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,199
Speaker 1: be no one else betting the Jets. Everyone's kind of

401
00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:11,760
Speaker 1: out on the Jets at this point. We're practically professionals

402
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:17,120
Speaker 1: at least, right, yeah, almost, Indianapolis Cults at Buffalo Bills,

403
00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:22,200
Speaker 1: the Bills seven point favorites, doing exactly what we thought

404
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,000
Speaker 1: they would. Just I know, you, like the jettice past week.

405
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 1: We didn't do it because I just felt like, this

406
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 1: is so predictably a blowout spot. You say, in hindsight,

407
00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:38,760
Speaker 1: the Bills make men listening, throw your hand on something,

408
00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 1: throw your hand back and tall. Now the Bills, I'm

409
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 1: making it happen now, Cults plus seven, it's tricky, like

410
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 1: this is when you pound these matches when Chad doesn't

411
00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:52,359
Speaker 1: know what to do, and he's like, it's kind of gross.

412
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:55,399
Speaker 1: I don't want to take it pound pound pound. The

413
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:59,280
Speaker 1: Colts love, love, love this matchup. The Bills. Why they've

414
00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 1: played two up twenty defenses. They played Pittsburgh, they lost.

415
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 1: They play Tennessee, they lost. Culture at top twenty defense

416
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,880
Speaker 1: and a good defense better than Tennessee. Some could argue

417
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:12,119
Speaker 1: even better than Pittsburgh, especially at this point in the season.

418
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:15,439
Speaker 1: I love everything about this matchup. Calling for bad weather.

419
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:17,520
Speaker 1: Living up here in the Northeast, we have a big storm.

420
00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:20,000
Speaker 1: Comment it's gonna drop the temperature by three degrees all

421
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,760
Speaker 1: across the board. We got a cold game, maybe some

422
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 1: bad weather on Sunday in Buffalo. The best running back

423
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,640
Speaker 1: of football right now is arguably Jonathan Taylor, the best

424
00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 1: offensive line arguably in football, and now the Colts. Everything

425
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:34,120
Speaker 1: just points to this Colds team. I made this line

426
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 1: three and a half. It's seven and a half at

427
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,800
Speaker 1: some books right now. This Colds team love it. Take

428
00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 1: give me the Colds. Give the Colts on the money line.

429
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 1: Such a bad spot for this Bills team. Matt Mitchell,

430
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,120
Speaker 1: I want you to jump in here. You do your

431
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:49,199
Speaker 1: team He's talking about in the Buffalo Bills. What do

432
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: you say as an opportunity to speak to another Action

433
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 1: Network property, which is the Action Network Podcast. Monday's episode

434
00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,679
Speaker 1: featured Brandon Anderson, one of our Nfox spirits that you love,

435
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 1: chat on that episode when they're looking ahead their hot

436
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,840
Speaker 1: read segment to this week's lines. He mentioned that he

437
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,880
Speaker 1: did not have Josh Allen as a top ten quarterback

438
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:13,320
Speaker 1: right now, which is, you know, I think a totally

439
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 1: as nine point of view. But that's fine. I'm not

440
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:18,080
Speaker 1: an NFL expert. I just I only have eyes to

441
00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:22,080
Speaker 1: watch football games. He also said that he believed right

442
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:26,359
Speaker 1: now Carson Wentz and Josh Allen worth essentially interchangeable quarterbacks,

443
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,639
Speaker 1: which I considered maybe trying to find a way to

444
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 1: get him fired right away for a take like that.

445
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 1: That's not it really in my purview, But I would

446
00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 1: love to know, Simon if that is a opinion that

447
00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 1: you share. No, no, no, no, Josh Allen, He's still

448
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 1: He's still top ten. It hasn't all been going right

449
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 1: this season, but that's not all on him. A lot

450
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 1: of it, though, is that the Carson Wentz argument is

451
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:52,960
Speaker 1: tough because Carson has the flash. He has these moments

452
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 1: of being great, but he does such stupid crap. I

453
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,600
Speaker 1: just don't think it's comparable. I still think Wentz is

454
00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:00,159
Speaker 1: maybe top fifteen, where I know for a fact, h

455
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,919
Speaker 1: Allen and football right now is top ten, like maybe

456
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:05,200
Speaker 1: three franchise would say not to getting Josh Allen. Like

457
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,439
Speaker 1: you could argue he has top five going four, but

458
00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:09,480
Speaker 1: the way he's playing right now, I wouldn't put in

459
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:11,919
Speaker 1: the top five because I'm with Brandon, He's he's had

460
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:14,439
Speaker 1: a little bit hiccups here. I mean that that Jacks

461
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:17,520
Speaker 1: game was I watched that game twice already. That was like,

462
00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,120
Speaker 1: you can't believe what's happened when you watched that game.

463
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,480
Speaker 1: So it's more of a bet that this Bills team

464
00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:25,639
Speaker 1: just hasn't been what they were last year, and especially

465
00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 1: against top twenty defenses this year, that's when they really struggled.

466
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 1: Now we have a cold team. It's a top ten defense.

467
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 1: This is just a perfect storm. You're getting a grood

468
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,600
Speaker 1: number or undervalue team with an overhyped team and the

469
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,159
Speaker 1: Bills and they're the bookmakers to me are giving you

470
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 1: four extra points. Josh Allen might not even be top

471
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 1: five in the a f C. I'm not even saying

472
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 1: that to troll you are Rotrick, Mahomes, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson,

473
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,560
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, Ryan Tannehill. Maybe I said he I said

474
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:57,200
Speaker 1: he might not be top five. I said he's barely

475
00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 1: top five. That's I would take him over Joe Burrow

476
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 1: in a heart I'd still take him over Lamar and

477
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:05,000
Speaker 1: a heartbeat. Same podcast you're talking about, Matt Mitchell. Brandon

478
00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 1: Anderson also said before the Titan Saints game, take a

479
00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,720
Speaker 1: flyer on Ryan Tannehill thirty five to one to win.

480
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 1: Hold on. I'm I'm talking Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson,

481
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:24,639
Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill, Dak Prescott, Kyler Murray. I can't say Russell Wilson,

482
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:29,359
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, so eight. I just named eight.

483
00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 1: Josh Allen would be nine or ten, depending on if

484
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,879
Speaker 1: I include Russell Wilson. And you could argue, you know,

485
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 1: I'm not, I don't agree with it, but you could argue,

486
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford, I disagree, but it's very possible Josh Allen

487
00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 1: is anywhere from eight to eleven. This is Josh Allen

488
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 1: was the first quarterback and nearly two and a half

489
00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 1: years just this past week, the throw for over thirteen

490
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 1: yards an attempt in a full game. Josh Allen's played

491
00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:03,160
Speaker 1: essentially statistically an identical season this year to this point

492
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 1: last year, he is he doesn't make mistakes. Yeah, he's

493
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 1: a big dumb idiot with the dark be the eyes

494
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 1: of the shark. But it doesn't mean he's not the

495
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 1: top five for now. That's that was unreal him. Top five,

496
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 1: You're freak kidding me. Top five? Come on, Lamar Jackson,

497
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: the guy that got us his door was blown off

498
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:23,920
Speaker 1: by the Dolphins, and the one who lost to Josh

499
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,359
Speaker 1: Allen at home in the playoffs last year. That that,

500
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:31,359
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson. Fine, we all have our own opinions, so

501
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:33,840
Speaker 1: we're gonna take the Colts. You know, it's interesting. I

502
00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:37,360
Speaker 1: watched the Manning Brothers cast last night of the Niners

503
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,639
Speaker 1: Rams again. I love it. I think it's outstanding. I

504
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:43,680
Speaker 1: was a little upset that they didn't ask Phil Nicholson

505
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,879
Speaker 1: how much money he had actually lost combined on betting

506
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,359
Speaker 1: against them in their Super Bowls. I thought that would

507
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:52,719
Speaker 1: have been the most appropriate question, but Peyton tried so

508
00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 1: hard to not say something mean about Jared Goff when

509
00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: Phil Mickelson asked, why are the Rams better with Matthew

510
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:05,280
Speaker 1: Stafford than Jared Goff, Poor Jared Goff. Detroit Lions at

511
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:08,600
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns? Do we dare take the Lions as ten

512
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,520
Speaker 1: point dogs on the road against the Browns, needing a win,

513
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:16,360
Speaker 1: being angry, needing to prove it with that god real quick? Though,

514
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,480
Speaker 1: have you seen the Curse of the Manning cast? Have

515
00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 1: you seen this? They talked about it all last night.

516
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 1: So yeah, So if you're listening to the show tonight,

517
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 1: you want to fade Draymond Green. I believe they're playing

518
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 1: the nets. They're playing the nets, and he's he talked

519
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 1: about it. He's like, I gotta go one on one

520
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:33,360
Speaker 1: against Kevin Durant. I hope this curse isn't true. It is, though,

521
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:35,119
Speaker 1: we gotta keep riding that gravy train. You gotta you

522
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 1: gotta bet the nuts time. I'm not have an NBA guy,

523
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,240
Speaker 1: but I will be betting the nuts tonight. I love

524
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:43,640
Speaker 1: a good curse trend um. We talked about the Troy

525
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:48,160
Speaker 1: such a gambler. It's bad. This is like the running joke.

526
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 1: I needed to stop even doing any type of work

527
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 1: on this Detroit game because This theory has worked for

528
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 1: me all season. I bet him one week, and I

529
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:57,440
Speaker 1: bet against them the next week. It's literally the entire

530
00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 1: season they've seen Salt. It's been at of this world.

531
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 1: Um crazy. So first gliance, I'm all in. I'm like,

532
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 1: oh my god, ten points against this Brown's team and

533
00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 1: banged up Baker. I had to take. Detroit took a

534
00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:13,640
Speaker 1: step back that the numbers or in the data. Again,

535
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,439
Speaker 1: Vegas knows what they're doing. Apparently this line should be

536
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,439
Speaker 1: twelve two points of value towards this Brown's team. I

537
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 1: don't want to do it. I'm gonna make in this

538
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:22,919
Speaker 1: one of our five best. I'm just letting you know

539
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 1: that apparently Vegas is setting a little bit of a

540
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 1: trap hered this Detroit team. So I'm just gonna stay

541
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,160
Speaker 1: away from it. But I'm gonna be on the Browns

542
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:32,959
Speaker 1: and my pick pools and things like that. Well, I

543
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:35,040
Speaker 1: agree with you, though, I think Vegas is setting a

544
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 1: trap because I looked at this and immediately thought, I'm

545
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 1: all over the Browns. It's a big number. Don't care

546
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 1: right side Browns get right spot for them. This is

547
00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 1: a great matchup for them in the sense that they're

548
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,120
Speaker 1: gonna get a couple of linemen back, and get Chubb

549
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,399
Speaker 1: back this week, so this line might actually go up

550
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: from this point as long as those guys are healthy.

551
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 1: That's a take. You're right, it's not a top five

552
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 1: for us, especially when we've already got a couple of

553
00:27:56,600 --> 00:28:00,280
Speaker 1: games that that we are eyeing and feel really are

554
00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:08,720
Speaker 1: good about. Um. But that's the side. And now a

555
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:11,040
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590
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Speaker 1: Let's get back to the show in Rogers so disappointed

591
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,400
Speaker 1: they beat the Seahawks as badly as they did Green

592
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:09,520
Speaker 1: Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings two and a half point

593
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 1: favorites on the road against the Vikings, who pulled one out,

594
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 1: pulled it out against the Chargers. Good look to our

595
00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 1: our listeners. People got around Robbins. We gave out the

596
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 1: Vikings moneyline and the forty niners. But then I didn't

597
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:23,680
Speaker 1: on Sunday because I'm an idiot. So yeah, listen to

598
00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:27,640
Speaker 1: the show. You backtracked on Sunday. I didn't back jack.

599
00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 1: You're trying to put words in my mouth about the Vikings.

600
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:31,240
Speaker 1: I was telling people to take the under. I wasn't

601
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 1: given out a side, simply telling people take it under.

602
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:35,840
Speaker 1: And you go, oh, you like the Chargers. Now it's

603
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 1: like I don't like anything. I like the under. Chad,

604
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 1: stop stop trying to get inside. You're right about the under. Oh,

605
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 1: I know I needed that bad. So when I'm looking

606
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 1: at the Vikings, here I want to make this our

607
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 1: foxhold better? Are you willing to make this our foxhold? That? Chad?

608
00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 1: I am. I I feel like we're walking into the

609
00:30:52,640 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 1: fox let's clide down into the foxhole. No one's gonna

610
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 1: be joining us. Rogers has been a cover machine. What

611
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 1: is it? Ah straight? Now? The Vickers have covered a

612
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 1: straight So scary taking a two and a half number

613
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,400
Speaker 1: against them. But we talked all season, I always take

614
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,080
Speaker 1: the Vikings a home dog with Zimmer. I know that

615
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 1: it didn't work out for us last time. Cooper Rush

616
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:22,920
Speaker 1: came in and just completely sliced us down and we

617
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 1: had the exact same spot. Right now, we had two

618
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:26,840
Speaker 1: and a half with the Vikings at home against Dallas.

619
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 1: The line moves alway to minus four and a half

620
00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:31,960
Speaker 1: for the Vikings. They lost out right, So give me

621
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 1: two and a half with this Minnesota team at home

622
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 1: against the Packers where say what you want about that

623
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 1: Packer Cea Yaks game. Rogers didn't win that. I mean,

624
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 1: I guess he kind of did win that game. That

625
00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 1: was more about Russell Wilson just could not get it right.

626
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 1: The guy just again we talked to it, hit pins

627
00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 1: in his hands that I hate myself for not betting

628
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 1: that under like that was just such an easy under

629
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 1: beet and for some reason I didn't touch it. Um

630
00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 1: coming in this week, I'm not making this mistake where

631
00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be scared of Rogers because they have been

632
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 1: a covering machine. We have to look for other way, Chad, Right,

633
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 1: we always talk about regression. This is such a perfect

634
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 1: opportunity for regression spot for the screen baby team. You're

635
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 1: taking them Minnesota at home two and a half. Everyone thinks,

636
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 1: all the publics and I think I'm getting a great

637
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 1: number here with Rogers getting them only two and a half.

638
00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: Just needs to win by a field goal. Give me,

639
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 1: give me the Vikings. I love that this's are fox fold,

640
00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 1: but I like it a lot too. The only thing

641
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,959
Speaker 1: that worries me is that this Vikings team is is

642
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:35,920
Speaker 1: consistently inconsistent. They're the worst there. I hate them the

643
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,160
Speaker 1: most betting on them of any team this season, because

644
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 1: they really do. They can be good in one half,

645
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: bad in the other half, which is kind of what

646
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:46,360
Speaker 1: they were against the Chargers, at least the way it started,

647
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 1: and then in the second half, and then they can

648
00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 1: be great in one game, bad in the next game,

649
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 1: and that is a pattern. The only thing you can

650
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 1: count on is that they're not reliable. Yeah, they can't

651
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:59,120
Speaker 1: play four quarters. It's honestly, it's ridiculous. There there's something

652
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 1: I gonna limp into the ELPs and I don't know,

653
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 1: maybe they'll make our run something weird like this. But

654
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 1: you look at Kirk cousins numbers on paper having an

655
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 1: incredible season, but then you watch them playing. You just

656
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 1: can outstand watching Kirk he just is so bad. He

657
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 1: misses like Justin Jefferson would be wide open. He just

658
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 1: sails it over his head. It's still inconsistent, so I

659
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 1: understand why, like why you're having palls with it. But

660
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 1: it's it's just like why we took the Saints last

661
00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:27,720
Speaker 1: week against Tennessee. That's that's a This is a sharp number.

662
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 1: It's kind of like a pro number where the book

663
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 1: makes you're kind of telling you a little bit something

664
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:33,400
Speaker 1: here to take this number. So we kind of have to.

665
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 1: Every time I see Kirk Cousins throwing the ball to

666
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:41,400
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson, I feel like Justin Jefferson is thinking, if

667
00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 1: I had a real quarterback, I'd already be the greatest

668
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:46,600
Speaker 1: receiver in NFL history. Yeah, and as an Eagles fan,

669
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 1: I can't stand watching him because it's every time I

670
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 1: see him catch a bongo. We really passed on this guy.

671
00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:55,320
Speaker 1: It's it's bad. He's really good, alright, likes plus two

672
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 1: and a half. We're in done. Washington football team at

673
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 1: Carol Lina Panther's our favorite team. The Washington football team

674
00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:05,800
Speaker 1: is on the road. The line is plus three and

675
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 1: a half. I will tell you right now. This is

676
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:12,720
Speaker 1: a pros Joe's game. Panthers getting the bets, Washington football

677
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:15,399
Speaker 1: team getting the money. I don't like it. I don't

678
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 1: like this game. The wise guys are coming in too hard,

679
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,160
Speaker 1: and Washington football team because of what they did against

680
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,239
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. I feel like the Panthers the right side,

681
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:26,480
Speaker 1: but this number is too big. I talked to another

682
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 1: pro Sunday night. He was at the book he's a

683
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:30,920
Speaker 1: sugar house and I reach out to me, said what

684
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:32,279
Speaker 1: kind of number you get in there? Because I could

685
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 1: only find you know, a certain number that I was

686
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 1: looking forward with that Atlanta matchup. I wanted a seven

687
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 1: and a half and I couldn't find it. And he said, hey,

688
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:40,040
Speaker 1: have you thought about taking the three and a half

689
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:42,480
Speaker 1: of Washington. I was like, no, they just came off

690
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 1: a huge win against the Buccaneers Carolina. They're getting Cam back.

691
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:48,440
Speaker 1: That feels like it's going to reinvigorate that whole team.

692
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:49,920
Speaker 1: And He's like, I don't know, I kind of love it.

693
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:51,719
Speaker 1: I feel like the Washington team kind of got right

694
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:54,759
Speaker 1: where Carolina. I'm with him. I feel like what he

695
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,840
Speaker 1: was talking about Cam is Cam is not good. We

696
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:01,200
Speaker 1: know what Camp is. We've seen Cam he is so

697
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:04,239
Speaker 1: he can look amazing in the five yard line, that's

698
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 1: where Cam shines. He's incredible in the red zone. We

699
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:08,279
Speaker 1: know he's a weapon where he can run it, you

700
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:10,279
Speaker 1: can run through guys down there. He can throw it.

701
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:12,279
Speaker 1: But at a full game, on a full field, he

702
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,879
Speaker 1: just throws into the ground so consistently. So I see

703
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 1: why they're coming on the three and a half and why,

704
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 1: Like my buddy was betting that Sunday night. But I'm

705
00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:21,479
Speaker 1: right there with each other, Like I got no issue

706
00:35:21,480 --> 00:35:23,879
Speaker 1: passing this one. Just because both these teams are coming

707
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:26,239
Speaker 1: off huge wins. Can't really get a good read on it.

708
00:35:26,600 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 1: I don't know how I'm gonna grade the South Cam Like,

709
00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:30,000
Speaker 1: I all right, now, I had a two and a half.

710
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:32,280
Speaker 1: So at three and a half, I do lean towards

711
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 1: this Washington team, but I don't know if it's gonna

712
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:37,800
Speaker 1: be one of my five. No market advantage, No, not really.

713
00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:41,520
Speaker 1: There were Surgeons forty Niners. Everyone's all of a sudden

714
00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:44,680
Speaker 1: love with the forty Niners because Jimmy Garoppolo was throwing

715
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:50,440
Speaker 1: Mac Jones like darts in the middle of the field.

716
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: Mac Jones, he's so good. That's Mac Jones right now.

717
00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 1: He's a witch nipple quarterback. The forty Niners six and

718
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 1: a half point favorites, seven point favorites on the road

719
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:11,280
Speaker 1: here in Jacksonville, San Francisco, forty Niners at Jacksonville Jaguars.

720
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:13,800
Speaker 1: I know we gotta say we gotta take the Jaguars.

721
00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 1: I know it like it's it's like impossible. Not Actually,

722
00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:19,840
Speaker 1: the problem is it doesn't feel like a big enough number.

723
00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:22,440
Speaker 1: It feels like if I am you, I've got this

724
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,440
Speaker 1: number rated at nine. Wow, really added a four and

725
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:27,880
Speaker 1: a half, so I feel like you're gonna yeah, the

726
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:31,520
Speaker 1: four suck. We took them just because that was a

727
00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 1: great spot. That was their whole season. On the line,

728
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:37,480
Speaker 1: they always beat the Rams. You just blindly take that number.

729
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 1: That's that was just a classic. Again. It's gonna make

730
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 1: that one of my biggest bets because everything is lined

731
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 1: up so perfectly on that number. With Monday Night. This

732
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,000
Speaker 1: is why people having because they don't want to bet

733
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:50,080
Speaker 1: the Jacks. I won't make them, but seven points with

734
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:52,600
Speaker 1: the hell of the forty, Niners be favorite by seven points.

735
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:55,800
Speaker 1: Jaguars are scrappy. They were scrapping that game against the Colts.

736
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 1: I gave them no chance. They stuck in the whole game.

737
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 1: Even though Trevor Lawrence is not good, he kept them

738
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 1: in that game somehow. So I don't know. I guess

739
00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:06,680
Speaker 1: we'll pass on it because you just don't like it.

740
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:08,479
Speaker 1: But no, no, no, no, no no, no no. I'm also

741
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:11,680
Speaker 1: looking at the numbers right now and it's it's another

742
00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:14,080
Speaker 1: pros Joe's game. He got six of the bets coming

743
00:37:14,080 --> 00:37:16,880
Speaker 1: in on the Niners and about sixty of the money

744
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:19,919
Speaker 1: coming in on the Jags. So you're a wise guy.

745
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:22,720
Speaker 1: You're talking to the wise guys. The wise guys agree

746
00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 1: with you. Yeah, I'm just some schucks sitting in the

747
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:27,839
Speaker 1: middle of Connecticut. Yeah, but every now and then, Chad,

748
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,239
Speaker 1: you know, you know, every now and then so I'm

749
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:31,880
Speaker 1: not gonna force it in because there's other dogs I

750
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,560
Speaker 1: like better, but I'll be taking the Jacks. I'll be

751
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 1: taking their money line just on the fact that the

752
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:39,719
Speaker 1: forty niners are feeling great. This is a great letdown spot.

753
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:41,840
Speaker 1: They fly across the country down to hot Florida and

754
00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:44,680
Speaker 1: they have a letdown game. So I'm gonna dig in

755
00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 1: more because I think I'm gonna go on bed labs.

756
00:37:46,680 --> 00:37:49,399
Speaker 1: I just remember seeing something about Shanahan is a big

757
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 1: favorite against the spreads terrible. I'm gonna try to find

758
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 1: those numbers and bring it. I've actually never been more

759
00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:57,960
Speaker 1: convinced that the Jags on the right side. In fact,

760
00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 1: I'm making a money line parlay right now with the Texans,

761
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:04,080
Speaker 1: the Colts and the Jags. I'm making an a f

762
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 1: C money line parlay. That's gross, dude. It's gross, gross,

763
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:20,839
Speaker 1: gross bets, gross profits. I love it. I'm so fun. Yeah, fun,

764
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:26,360
Speaker 1: gamlis fun. It's the best Cincinnati Bengals at Las Vegas Raiders.

765
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 1: The Bengals are one point, was at one point favorites.

766
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,080
Speaker 1: It's another one. You really liked the Raiders last week.

767
00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 1: I didn't love it, but I went along with it.

768
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:39,760
Speaker 1: If you look at that Raiders game, that was everything

769
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 1: went wrong. Like Mahomes, he kept getting in third and ten,

770
00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 1: third and eights and he would have long twenty yard place.

771
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:48,759
Speaker 1: It was everything could go right for the Chiefs in

772
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:50,800
Speaker 1: that game. Every little thing went wrong for the Raiders.

773
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:54,880
Speaker 1: Raiders had dumb fumbles, they had their safeties dropping in receptions,

774
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:59,080
Speaker 1: just bad bad mojo in that game. Um, public, well,

775
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:00,759
Speaker 1: this will be one of the Looks biggest bets of

776
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:03,680
Speaker 1: the week. I can already tell with this the Sincinnati Bengals.

777
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,080
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna keep waiting. I'll get a better number

778
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. Don't bet it now. I'll just keep waiting.

779
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 1: I think this will get up to two and a

780
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:13,399
Speaker 1: half at some point, just because even the pros got

781
00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 1: burned by Oakland, I mean the Las Vegas in that matchup.

782
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:16,839
Speaker 1: A lot of us are in the same boat as

783
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:19,000
Speaker 1: you were, kind of piste off about it. We're thinking ourselves,

784
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 1: you know what, too much has happened. Too much has

785
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:24,399
Speaker 1: happened to this team. They're falling apart. I know one

786
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:26,480
Speaker 1: professional group came in they bet they're under on we

787
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:28,879
Speaker 1: win total. They bought like they did a weird line.

788
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:30,279
Speaker 1: I think it was like six and a half or

789
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:32,799
Speaker 1: seven where they're saying they're gonna win one more game

790
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 1: the rest of the season. Scary. That's scary when you

791
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:37,359
Speaker 1: hear a legit pro group coming and making that bet.

792
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:39,799
Speaker 1: They got good reads on these teams and they saw

793
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:42,840
Speaker 1: value and fading this Las Vegas team. So as you

794
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 1: say here Tuesday, I do like this one, but I'm

795
00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:46,279
Speaker 1: not gonna make us forcing in because I can tell,

796
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:48,360
Speaker 1: like you're right there with them. You're looking at this

797
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:51,439
Speaker 1: saying yourself bad mooja, like moja, something is just wrong

798
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:53,879
Speaker 1: with this Las Vegas team that they've had too much

799
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 1: drama going on. Since he needs this game desperately, they

800
00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 1: really need this game. With the way a f C

801
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:03,360
Speaker 1: North is shaped out, you can't be dropping games like this,

802
00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:05,360
Speaker 1: so it makes sense why you want to kind of

803
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:06,799
Speaker 1: stay away from it. But if this does get up

804
00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 1: to three, would be hard for us to pass on

805
00:40:08,719 --> 00:40:13,480
Speaker 1: this one. The autumn win is a radar pillaging just

806
00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:16,880
Speaker 1: for fun, you know, since he does have one of

807
00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:21,520
Speaker 1: the four best quarterbacks in the a f C. Arizona

808
00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 1: Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks. The Arizona Cardinals Carlot Murray expected

809
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:29,560
Speaker 1: to come back. They are two and a half point

810
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:36,919
Speaker 1: favorites visiting the Seattle Seahawks. There's another huge pro joe

811
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:41,640
Speaker 1: the Bets and the Cardinals of the money on the Seahawks.

812
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:45,080
Speaker 1: And you know what, I agree, you're here the Seahawks. Yeah,

813
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 1: I'm a past like I don't trust. I don't trust

814
00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:51,200
Speaker 1: Russ with the hand I know I'm getting out of him, Kylie,

815
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 1: I don't think he plays. I could see them sending

816
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:54,440
Speaker 1: him one more weeks. They have a bye week and

817
00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:57,040
Speaker 1: believe the week after just makes sense. Give him to

818
00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:59,080
Speaker 1: another two weeks, get him right, come back to the

819
00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:02,400
Speaker 1: final ending the season. But the bookmakers were acting like

820
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:04,160
Speaker 1: he is coming back because this is not a cold

821
00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:07,480
Speaker 1: McCoy line, this is a Kyler Murray line. So it

822
00:41:07,600 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 1: is interesting. I'm with the pros. I guess I do

823
00:41:10,200 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 1: go towards the Seahawks, just because you know Russ has

824
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:16,040
Speaker 1: another week now to get right. But man, was he

825
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:17,960
Speaker 1: bad in that game. I just couldn't get over how

826
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:21,120
Speaker 1: bad he looked, his decision, making his throws, everything just

827
00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:24,279
Speaker 1: looked awful. And then you hear the doctor be in amazement.

828
00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 1: This guy is able to even a play right now,

829
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 1: and you hear okay, Well, Russell Wilson apparently was doing

830
00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:31,919
Speaker 1: nineteen hours of rehab every day to get back. It's

831
00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:34,920
Speaker 1: like everything just sounds like he was just rushed back

832
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:37,160
Speaker 1: just to get on that field first time his career.

833
00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:41,920
Speaker 1: Put up zero points in a matchup. So I just professionally,

834
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:43,239
Speaker 1: I just want to touch this game because there's just

835
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 1: too many unknowns and there's not really a good way

836
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:46,879
Speaker 1: to get a good number on this game. I've got

837
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:51,520
Speaker 1: a pretty close relationship with Colt McCoy. Facts. I'll tell

838
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:56,200
Speaker 1: you that story off air. Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs.

839
00:41:56,760 --> 00:42:01,719
Speaker 1: Cowboys two and a half point dogs on the road

840
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:06,880
Speaker 1: against the Kansas City Chiefs, who put up in prime

841
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:11,279
Speaker 1: time on the road. Everyone thinks they're back. But at

842
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:13,360
Speaker 1: this point, how do I not be a Chiefs team

843
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:16,319
Speaker 1: less than a field goal? Oh? You love to take

844
00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:19,399
Speaker 1: the Cowboys here? This is this is what the Chiefs are.

845
00:42:19,520 --> 00:42:21,759
Speaker 1: The Chiefs are bad against teams that can run the ball.

846
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:24,000
Speaker 1: We've seen it this season. Teams that cannot run the ball.

847
00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:26,080
Speaker 1: The Chiefs usually have their way for it. Because the

848
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,040
Speaker 1: way you beat the Chiefs is you take them out

849
00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:30,520
Speaker 1: of rhythm, you control the clock, you run the ball,

850
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,319
Speaker 1: key moments on the sideline, he comes in. If he

851
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:34,960
Speaker 1: goes three and out, if he just can't get into

852
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 1: a rhythm like he did on Sunday night, he just

853
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:41,600
Speaker 1: isn't right. And again in that matchup, every little thing

854
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:45,360
Speaker 1: was going right for this Chiefs team. So I'm probably

855
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:46,799
Speaker 1: gonna be with the public here because I can see

856
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:49,400
Speaker 1: the public being with me on the Cowboys, thinking themselves

857
00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:52,040
Speaker 1: six point teas are I get the Cowboys eight and

858
00:42:52,040 --> 00:42:54,279
Speaker 1: a half? That's a great number. Getting them as a

859
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:56,359
Speaker 1: dog on the money line against his Chiefs team, which

860
00:42:56,360 --> 00:42:58,719
Speaker 1: I'm not really a believer in, also a great number.

861
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 1: So it is a little scared. I know I'm gonna

862
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,239
Speaker 1: be the public on this one, but I gotta do it.

863
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:06,000
Speaker 1: I think dec is right now that he is to

864
00:43:06,080 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 1: me the m v P of the league right now. Um, obviously,

865
00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:11,200
Speaker 1: go works against him a little bit because Cooper Rush

866
00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:13,960
Speaker 1: won a game without him, so it's like, how good

867
00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:16,919
Speaker 1: is Dak really? But I just think that is playing

868
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 1: the highest level of all the quarterbacks in league right now,

869
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 1: So I understand why people might be drinking the kool

870
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 1: aid on the Chiefs. I'm not. I need to see

871
00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:25,920
Speaker 1: a couple more weeks of it. Happy to take Dallas

872
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:28,400
Speaker 1: here at a plus number. You could do a couple

873
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,359
Speaker 1: of six point teasers. There are some numbers here where

874
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 1: some short numbers where a six point teaser, Uh, for

875
00:43:34,560 --> 00:43:37,040
Speaker 1: a couple of these games might not be a bad idea.

876
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:40,640
Speaker 1: It's a good long week, Yes, exactly. Um, all right,

877
00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 1: you kind of convinced me, you know, I'm kind of

878
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:44,640
Speaker 1: see what I'm talking about. Like, you can run it

879
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:47,480
Speaker 1: like the Cowboys. They love to run it. They got

880
00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:50,280
Speaker 1: two great running backs. This is a really bad matchup

881
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:54,960
Speaker 1: for this Chiefs team. Yeah, uh no, you're right, You're right.

882
00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:57,080
Speaker 1: And like I was, all of a sudden thinking public

883
00:43:57,280 --> 00:44:01,799
Speaker 1: and the Chiefs played great. All of a sudden, they're back,

884
00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:04,920
Speaker 1: and he's careful of the over Chiefs and overs at

885
00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 1: home have not been good to the public. They've lost

886
00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:09,399
Speaker 1: a lot of these. So if you're if you're thinking

887
00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:11,239
Speaker 1: about taking this over, I would not do it. I

888
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:16,719
Speaker 1: would stay away. Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Chargers four

889
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:19,839
Speaker 1: and a half points. The Chargers are favored. I think

890
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:21,399
Speaker 1: we've gotta pass on this for now. I don't think

891
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:24,560
Speaker 1: we know enough about Ben yet. See, I'm I'm really

892
00:44:24,560 --> 00:44:26,640
Speaker 1: hoping he comes back. I'd be all in on the Chargers.

893
00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 1: We talked about these quarterbacks coming back from COVID have

894
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 1: not looked right. Aaron Rodgers didn't look right. No one

895
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:35,479
Speaker 1: thinks of Roethlisberger as being this peak performance kind of guy,

896
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:37,680
Speaker 1: and we already looked at him like a broken down

897
00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 1: old man. Now he's coming off COVID with no practice.

898
00:44:42,440 --> 00:44:45,040
Speaker 1: I'm really hoping he comes back because I will happily

899
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:47,600
Speaker 1: join the public and take this Chargers team. But like

900
00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:49,520
Speaker 1: you just said, we don't really have the information yet.

901
00:44:49,520 --> 00:44:51,640
Speaker 1: We don't know what's gonna happen. We don't know what

902
00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:53,680
Speaker 1: the deal is with Watt either, if t J. Watt

903
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:55,920
Speaker 1: might be out for this matchup against the Chargers. So

904
00:44:56,560 --> 00:45:00,160
Speaker 1: I'm with you, We'll try to revisit Thursday. But as

905
00:45:00,200 --> 00:45:02,000
Speaker 1: we stand here right now, I do like the Chargers

906
00:45:02,040 --> 00:45:12,040
Speaker 1: in this matchup New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

907
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:18,359
Speaker 1: Giants eleven and a half point dogs on the road.

908
00:45:19,040 --> 00:45:21,080
Speaker 1: This is when you bet Danny Dimes. This is when

909
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:23,600
Speaker 1: Danny Dimes turns into Danny Dimes. This is when Danny

910
00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:33,879
Speaker 1: Dimes earns his dime. Let's hear it for Danny Dimes.

911
00:45:35,040 --> 00:45:36,400
Speaker 1: I know, I hate it. I hate that we have

912
00:45:36,440 --> 00:45:38,880
Speaker 1: to be the Giants. What we do. We do this

913
00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:42,439
Speaker 1: is when we take him, but my god, Brady. Two

914
00:45:42,440 --> 00:45:45,319
Speaker 1: straight losses at home. This has to be a blow

915
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 1: win for Brady where everyone's everyone's gonna really start panicking

916
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:51,120
Speaker 1: because they just have not played well. But it's something

917
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:54,120
Speaker 1: that likes to find value on future bets. You have

918
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:56,040
Speaker 1: to be a big Giants fan. The Giants, if they

919
00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:59,000
Speaker 1: can smell win this game, you're gonna get incredible value

920
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:01,319
Speaker 1: on the Buccaneers to when it's Super Bowl future. So

921
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:04,880
Speaker 1: I'm hoping that the Giants to pull off this miracle upset.

922
00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:06,799
Speaker 1: We will. We will be taking that eleven or ten

923
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:08,640
Speaker 1: and a half, whatever it settles on. But you have

924
00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 1: to keep in your back of your mind taking the

925
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,400
Speaker 1: Buccaneers on the futures because they're out. They don't have

926
00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:15,600
Speaker 1: gronk right now, they don't have May be when all

927
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:18,719
Speaker 1: these guys get back and their defense gets healthy come December,

928
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:21,640
Speaker 1: come January, this buck seems going to be really legit.

929
00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:23,760
Speaker 1: We're gonna look back on these days where they've dropped

930
00:46:23,760 --> 00:46:25,680
Speaker 1: all these games against these bad teams and just be like,

931
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:28,000
Speaker 1: you know what, they just weren't healthy. So this is

932
00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:29,160
Speaker 1: one of these you want to keep your eye on.

933
00:46:29,200 --> 00:46:31,319
Speaker 1: If you're ben the Giants here, you kind of want

934
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:32,640
Speaker 1: to keep in the back of your mind hoping for

935
00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:34,120
Speaker 1: a big win here so you can get a good

936
00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 1: Bucks Futures super Bowl. Bet, all right, we'll keep the

937
00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:39,279
Speaker 1: Giants in. I think it's I think it's a good

938
00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:41,920
Speaker 1: play for potentially for the contest. Like I'm, I'm we

939
00:46:42,040 --> 00:46:45,520
Speaker 1: got We've got about nine games circles here. We got

940
00:46:45,640 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 1: potentially Atlanta plus seven if we want to go early.

941
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:50,920
Speaker 1: We got Bears plus six and a half if we

942
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:53,880
Speaker 1: feel like some of their defenders are coming back. Texans

943
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,560
Speaker 1: plus ten and a half. We love the Texans as assignment,

944
00:46:56,600 --> 00:46:59,760
Speaker 1: says Bet. Also like him on the money line. Saints

945
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:02,319
Speaker 1: plus one and a half, Colts plus seven, Vices plus

946
00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:06,439
Speaker 1: two and a half, Jack's plus seven, Raiders maybe plus one,

947
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:08,680
Speaker 1: but we want to wait on it always plus two

948
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:10,400
Speaker 1: and a half. Giants plus eleven and a half. We

949
00:47:10,520 --> 00:47:12,120
Speaker 1: got a lot to talk about on Thursday. We're gonna

950
00:47:12,160 --> 00:47:14,960
Speaker 1: have to really focus in. Yeah, we're gonna cut it down.

951
00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:18,359
Speaker 1: Let's hope we get some feedback from other sharps. Let's

952
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:21,719
Speaker 1: hope there's some market news. Let's see how injuries pile up.

953
00:47:21,920 --> 00:47:23,320
Speaker 1: I think we got a lot of meat on the

954
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:25,840
Speaker 1: bone for Thursday. Yeah, article here a hand them a

955
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:28,480
Speaker 1: head saying you guys got way too many dogs, too

956
00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:31,239
Speaker 1: many dogs. You need some favorites in there. But I do.

957
00:47:31,280 --> 00:47:32,880
Speaker 1: I love the dogs this week. There's a lot of

958
00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:36,239
Speaker 1: good home dogs. Well. Look, the bottom line is when

959
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 1: you're betting, the lines are usually shaded towards the favorite

960
00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:41,600
Speaker 1: because that's what the public is gonna bet, and that's

961
00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:43,879
Speaker 1: how bookmakers know they can take advantage. So it's our

962
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:48,000
Speaker 1: job to find the best possible value of those underdogs. Always,

963
00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:52,080
Speaker 1: that's the job. I'm sorry to tell you what's your

964
00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:54,560
Speaker 1: screwtrou lempick? Oh wait, I get to go first because

965
00:47:54,560 --> 00:48:01,279
Speaker 1: it carried over time down the hops. When all hope

966
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:07,800
Speaker 1: is lost, all that's left is relief. Let's play scoots roulette.

967
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:12,719
Speaker 1: I'm going with the Saints plus one and a half

968
00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:15,960
Speaker 1: wow against my Eagles. You sun him a bit, all right.

969
00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:19,360
Speaker 1: I'm going colds them against my damn it. I was

970
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:23,239
Speaker 1: gonna do the Colts all right. Well, I like them both.

971
00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:26,680
Speaker 1: I like him literally until I said the words saying

972
00:48:27,080 --> 00:48:28,759
Speaker 1: I thought Colts is going to come out of my mouth.

973
00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 1: That's what I thought. I love Chad. You go Saints

974
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:34,680
Speaker 1: might be a trap and you take it for your

975
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:37,000
Speaker 1: scoot ro lep pick. That's that's how you're the best.

976
00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:41,279
Speaker 1: I don't remember half the things I say. That's the problem.

977
00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:43,000
Speaker 1: That might be the sign that you're saying too much.

978
00:48:43,080 --> 00:48:45,280
Speaker 1: If you can't remember everything you say, then you're probably

979
00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:48,120
Speaker 1: saying too much. It's like that feels like a scooch

980
00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:51,440
Speaker 1: is m speaking of scooch? Your scoot roulette is the

981
00:48:51,560 --> 00:48:54,239
Speaker 1: Colts plus seven. Mine is the Saints plus one and

982
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:56,960
Speaker 1: a half. I've been trapped. The foxhold for us is

983
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,080
Speaker 1: the Vikes plus two and a half. Simon says, bet

984
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:02,719
Speaker 1: it right now Texans plus ten and a half. We

985
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:07,040
Speaker 1: will be back on Thursday to narrow down the field,

986
00:49:07,360 --> 00:49:12,439
Speaker 1: to do our big balls better the week talk about

987
00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:15,759
Speaker 1: our money line parlays, give out a survivor pick as

988
00:49:15,800 --> 00:49:17,920
Speaker 1: if we're still in the contest and we hadn't been robbed.

989
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:20,560
Speaker 1: I think we covered it all, my friend alright, brothers

990
00:49:20,560 --> 00:49:24,520
Speaker 1: to you Thursday. Until Thursday, this has been the favorite

991
00:49:24,560 --> 00:49:28,520
Speaker 1: podcast from the volume podcast Network, download of Spotify, Apple Podcasts,

992
00:49:28,520 --> 00:49:31,080
Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. Love you