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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all

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Speaker 1: of my socials at Sports Talk Matt. This podcast being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by your friends at DraftKings. Five dollars

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Speaker 1: Slate Week thirteen, get up to a fifty percent winnings

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Speaker 1: boost when you opt in for all players who are

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Speaker 1: going to be on the DraftKings Pick six. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: not a great day yesterday, but we were one point

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Speaker 1: away from a tremendous day. One point. That's betting. If

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Speaker 1: the Raiders weren't the Raiders, and if the Raiders kick

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Speaker 1: a field goal there they beat the Chiefs. The Chiefs

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Speaker 1: should have like five losses. Talk about living vicariously, by

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Speaker 1: the way, for all you guys who were like running

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Speaker 1: around saying like the three to h four Patriots were

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Speaker 1: the last team to have this many way and they

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Speaker 1: won this. But guys, you know that the Patriots went

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Speaker 1: a decade from five to fifteen between championships when they

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Speaker 1: started to win games by minuscule, tiny margins. They didn't

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Speaker 1: win for a decade after winning one, three, three oh four, Okay,

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Speaker 1: they won five. The three season was when they got

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Speaker 1: eleven wins by one score and they won it all.

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Speaker 1: But then they won it all the next year as well.

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Speaker 1: The Chiefs have already won two in a row, going

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Speaker 1: for a record third in a row. Does that look

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Speaker 1: at a championship caliber team to you? I mean the mistakes,

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Speaker 1: the penalties. Who I don't eh? Okay, sure, I guess.

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Speaker 1: So you want to bet the Chiefs go ahead. I

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Speaker 1: will not be doing so in the postseason, but that's

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Speaker 1: why we play the games, I guess. But the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: if they kicked that field goal, it goes over. It

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Speaker 1: fell thirty six, so we lost that the teaser comes in.

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Speaker 1: I added that Raiders easily cover the fifteen and a half,

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Speaker 1: but they lose on the hook for the same game

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Speaker 1: teaser Georgia Tech gets it there for us. Thank goodness

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Speaker 1: we had that because Nebraska Iowa. That was the bad

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Speaker 1: bet of the day that came nowhere. And you're close

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Speaker 1: to the right and the Seltics one one by nine,

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Speaker 1: one by nine. We laid nine and a half the

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Speaker 1: one by nine so Raiders Celtics. Unfortunately, that knocks it

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Speaker 1: down to a two point four losing day one to three.

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Speaker 1: On the day, down two point four units, we head

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Speaker 1: towards Saturday, We head towards the last college football regular

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Speaker 1: season day. We have reached the end of college football

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Speaker 1: regular season football. That stinks, but we get championship football.

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Speaker 1: And did you see Georgia Georgia Tech little insight into

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Speaker 1: what I think is going to happen this coming Saturday

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Speaker 1: with plicks and plays. I'm gonna follow what I think

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Speaker 1: is going to be a crazy day for us with

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Speaker 1: the college football playoffs. Why I took Georgia Tech plus

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Speaker 1: eighteen and a half. You gotta go for two at

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Speaker 1: the end of regulation there. You can't go to overtime

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Speaker 1: on the road. You lose in eight overtimes. That was brutal.

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Speaker 1: It's so so many chances to win that game. But

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Speaker 1: you never go to overtime in that situation. You just

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Speaker 1: go for two right then and there. Don't play around

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Speaker 1: with that. Coaches, come on on the road against the

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Speaker 1: top ten, top five, top two team in the country.

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Speaker 1: What do you have to lose? Go for two? There

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Speaker 1: end the game right there. Eight overtimes and you lose

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Speaker 1: that thing by two. Yuck, But eighteen and a half

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Speaker 1: came in easily with us on that. Before I give

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Speaker 1: you the picks for this Saturday reminder on the live

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Speaker 1: chat eight am Pacific eleven am Eastern time on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros Discord channel bettingpros dot com slash chat to join.

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Speaker 1: We've had over almost two hundred people in there every Saturday,

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Speaker 1: so this is gonna be fun. So I'll give you

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Speaker 1: my full card. Although I got four plays today, I

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Speaker 1: don't know how many more extra plays. I'll have maybe

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Speaker 1: one two extras for the live chat, but we'll go

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Speaker 1: through line movement and whatever happens, what we think the

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Speaker 1: line's going to go to, and injury news and whatnot,

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Speaker 1: college football playoff scenarios, stuff like that. You'll go for

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Speaker 1: half an hour from eight to eight thirty eleven to

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Speaker 1: eleven thirty Eastern time on the Betting Pros Discord channel

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros dot Com slast chat to join, so feel

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Speaker 1: free to hop in on that coming up here for

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Speaker 1: today again, before we give you the picks, let's talk

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Speaker 1: get to the games here. Let's start with the Iron Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Alabama Auburn. I've been to five of these. I covered

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Speaker 1: Alabama for five seasons. This game is ridiculous. Throw the

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Speaker 1: records out. I'm telling you, throw the records out. Georgia,

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Speaker 1: Georgia Tech see Auburn Alabama. Okay, Auburn Alabama is gonna

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Speaker 1: be awesome. Look the Crimson Tide losing to Oklahoma. You

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Speaker 1: tell me what they're playing for. I mean, you tell

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Speaker 1: me a outside crazy chance they make the playoffs. Come on, Okay, no,

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Speaker 1: that's this team is deflated. Now you might go, Matt,

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Speaker 1: They're gonna come back and hammer Auburn. They're gonna be

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Speaker 1: so fired up. Big problem. Auburn's playing their best football

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Speaker 1: of the year right now. I mean like Auburn's going

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Speaker 1: in there with the intention of winning this game. Don't

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Speaker 1: really get the line move. They beat A and M

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Speaker 1: by two last week in overtime, incredible game. They lost

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Speaker 1: to Vanderbilt and that was kind of the eye opener,

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Speaker 1: like wow, But they beat Kentucky on the road. They

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Speaker 1: lost by four to Missouri on the road, they lost

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Speaker 1: by eighteen to Georgia on the road. Their last three

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Speaker 1: road games, they've covered two of the three and they

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Speaker 1: were dogs in all three plus one and a half,

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half, and plus twenty one. Here

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Speaker 1: they are at plus eleven and a half up against

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Speaker 1: an Alabama team that was favored by fourteen points on

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Speaker 1: the road at Oklahoma and they got curb stomped by

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Speaker 1: twenty one. Alabama's been awful on the road, but they've

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Speaker 1: been good at home. Like we know, they're four and

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Speaker 1: two on at home ats, so just two and three

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Speaker 1: on the road. Auburn those two and one on the road,

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Speaker 1: like I mentioned, and I think they're playing really good football.

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Speaker 1: I think this is too many points. I think Alabama's

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Speaker 1: going to be in for a dogfight here. I think

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Speaker 1: Auburn's got a chance to potentially beat Alabama, which would

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Speaker 1: be just doomsday to lose four games in the regular season.

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Speaker 1: If you're Alabama, gimme Auburn plus the points. Auburn plus

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Speaker 1: eleven and a half for one point one units bet

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Speaker 1: number two. We go to Tennessee at Vanderbilt. Huh, this

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Speaker 1: is a crazy year. How about the falls Diego Pavia?

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Speaker 1: This Dude is six and oho ats as a double

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Speaker 1: digit dog this year seven and one ats in that

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Speaker 1: spot since the start of last year when he was

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Speaker 1: with New Mexico State. In his whole career as a dog,

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Speaker 1: Diego is sixteen and seven ATS over the last two years.

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Speaker 1: Vandy is four and oh ats when facing a top

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Speaker 1: ten team, according to the Action Network. That's the most

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Speaker 1: wins without a loss for any team in the country. Now,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee they're one in two straight up on the road

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Speaker 1: this year. They lost at Arkansas, they lost at South Carolina.

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Speaker 1: This is a danger spot here and the number is climbing.

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Speaker 1: It's Vandy plus eleven. It was actually open a twelve

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's come down to ten and a half,

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Speaker 1: come back to eleven. Tennessee six and five ats, four

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Speaker 1: and three at home, but two and two ats on

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Speaker 1: the road. Vandy eight and three six and one ats

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Speaker 1: against the SEC and four and two at home. They

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Speaker 1: did not cover against South Carolina. They got worked, but

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Speaker 1: they were six to nine point dogs lost by twenty one.

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Speaker 1: Against Auburn on the road, they were catching eight and

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Speaker 1: a half. They won by ten. We look at the

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Speaker 1: home numbers though, I mean it's quite remarkable home against

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Speaker 1: Texas plus seventeen. They lost by three against Alabama plus

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Speaker 1: twenty three and a half. They won that game by five.

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Speaker 1: Against Missouri catching seventeen and a half, they lost that

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Speaker 1: game by three, like when they are big dogs. This

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Speaker 1: year they are four to oh ats Missouri, Alabama, Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: and Texas, and they're big dogs here catching eleven against

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Speaker 1: a vall team that hasn't really shown me a whole lot.

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Speaker 1: They're two to five ats against the SEC. I mean really,

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Speaker 1: I mean, what what are they playing for? That lost

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Speaker 1: to Georgia killed it for them? Like, what are they

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Speaker 1: playing for? They lost by fourteen to Georgia, They lost

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Speaker 1: to Arkansas. I mean, they only have two losses, but

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Speaker 1: they're not playing in the SEC championship game. And you

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Speaker 1: would say, okay, Matt, they have to win this game

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Speaker 1: and get themselves potentially into an at large bin. That's possible,

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Speaker 1: just depending on how things shake out. But I think

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Speaker 1: Vanderbilt's going to say, you know what, we're gonna beat you.

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Speaker 1: Much like Georgia Tech just did to Georgia trying to

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Speaker 1: keep them out of the comfortable playoff. Vandy's got the

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Speaker 1: same motivation here eleven. Give me Vanderbilt plus eleven for

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Speaker 1: one point one units staying in the SEC. These teams

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Speaker 1: haven't played since twenty eleven. It is Texas and Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M college station. The Aggies are a home

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Speaker 1: dog in a game that they must have to make

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Speaker 1: the SEC championship game. They got to win this game.

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Speaker 1: Texas is probably the end they know they're in. They

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Speaker 1: only have one lost. That one loss was to Georgia.

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Speaker 1: But realistically, who has Texas played that's really good? Like

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Speaker 1: they played Michigan early when Michigan was I mean, we

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Speaker 1: know they suck. They played Oklahoma on a neutral Oklahoma's

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Speaker 1: not very good. They played Georgia and lost at home.

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Speaker 1: They beat Vanderbilt but didn't cover. They whipped Florida, but

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Speaker 1: I mean, okay, is Florida any good? Like seriously, like

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Speaker 1: they got hot, but it is Florida really a good

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Speaker 1: Are you going to a bank on my Texas going like, oh,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna go on the road and do really well

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Speaker 1: because they beat Florida at home by thirty two points.

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Speaker 1: I don't know that on the road to Arkansas they

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Speaker 1: won by ten. Didn't cover at home against Kentucky, laying

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Speaker 1: eighteen and a half. They won by seventeen, which is impressive.

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Speaker 1: But how good is Kentucky Now? I'm not Gonnas here

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Speaker 1: and tell you that Notre Dame the A and M's

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Speaker 1: records incredible. They lost to Nordame in the first game

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Speaker 1: the year by ten. They haven't really beaten anybody either.

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Speaker 1: But they're at home and they've lost three games in

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Speaker 1: a row against the number. They're one and two straight up.

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Speaker 1: They're two and two straight up over the last four games,

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Speaker 1: two and two of those games at home. They're two

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Speaker 1: and four ats at home. But this is a tough

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Speaker 1: place to play. I mean this used to be played

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Speaker 1: every This game was played every year in the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 1: This was a massive rivalry in the Big Twelve. This

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Speaker 1: place is going to be bonkers. I mean College Station

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Speaker 1: is going to be going crazy. And people, look, I'm

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Speaker 1: not one of them. I've seen games at Kyle Field.

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Speaker 1: I've seen Alabama and play text A and M at

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Speaker 1: Kyle Field. I wasn't overly impressed with the atmosphere. I

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Speaker 1: thought it was good, not great. But people tell me

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Speaker 1: that I just saw an off night like that. It

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Speaker 1: wasn't a typical environment for the Aggies, like this building

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Speaker 1: is going to be just crazy tomorrow. Give me the

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Speaker 1: points night game at College Station. They got the yell

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Speaker 1: practice the night before and the on fire and everything

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Speaker 1: else that they do going into this game. This is

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Speaker 1: a big boy football game with Texas A and M

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Speaker 1: against Texas. A lot of emotion going into this game.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the five and a half. Give me A

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Speaker 1: and M plus five and a half and finally the

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Speaker 1: game Michigan Ohio State. Can Michigan keep the streak alive?

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Speaker 1: I don't think so. Do I want to lay twenty

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Speaker 1: one points in a rivalry game? Absolutely not. However, this

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Speaker 1: is a nugget uncovered by the Action Network, which is

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Speaker 1: pretty damn cool. How to bet this thing? Anything that's

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Speaker 1: ten and oh, I'm gonna bet okay, And that's what

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Speaker 1: the over is. It's ten and oh Ohio State Michigan

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Speaker 1: ten and O going over by an average of sixteen

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Speaker 1: point six points till it's forty two. Weather's gonna be fine,

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be cold, but nothing, nothing windy, nothing crazy. Okay.

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Speaker 1: We saw a offense from Michigan put up fifty points

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Speaker 1: last week against Northwestern, but still has scored fifty points.

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Speaker 1: Chigan scoring fifty points. We know that ohios Date can score,

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Speaker 1: We know that Howard can lead this offense, and the

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Speaker 1: wide receivers are absolutely legit. And we know Ryan Day's

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Speaker 1: not going to stop. Okay, this guy. This game almost

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Speaker 1: got him fired. Okay, if the coaching change didn't happen

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Speaker 1: at Michigan and this was Harball on the sidelines, this

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Speaker 1: could be for Ryan Day's job because he couldn't beat Harbaugh.

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Speaker 1: But I think he'll be able to beat this Michigan

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Speaker 1: coaching staff. They beat Indiana thirty eight to fifteen, went

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Speaker 1: over fifty two. Last week, they beat Northwestern thirty one seven.

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Speaker 1: They beat Purdue forty five nothing. This total being forty

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Speaker 1: two is low. This is a low low total. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna follow the trend. I'm gonna bet the over for

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Speaker 1: the game between Ohio State and Michigan. I think Ohiose

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Speaker 1: State wins, but I'm not going to get involved with

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Speaker 1: like twenty one points in a big game like this.

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Speaker 1: Four official plays for US here today. Auburn plus eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half for one point one units in the

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Speaker 1: Iron Bowl. Vanderbilt plus eleven at home against Texas, Sorry

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Speaker 1: against Tennessee excuse me for one point one units. Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M plus five and a half at home

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Speaker 1: against Texas for one point one units, and the game

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Speaker 1: Ohio State Michigan over forty two for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Four official plays for US here on a Saturday. Let's

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Speaker 1: hope the dogs are barking. Let's hope we get rivalry Saturday,

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Speaker 1: we get some chaos and craziness going on for the

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Speaker 1: college football playoff. Talk to you at eleven am Easter

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Speaker 1: on the Discord channel for our live chat, our last

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Speaker 1: one of the regular season. After this, I don't know

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Speaker 1: how many will do. We may we'll do some, but

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Speaker 1: maybe we'll hold it to the playoffs. I don't know,

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Speaker 1: We'll see. I'll tell you later on that. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Parrell, following me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Every morning, it's the del Juice Podcast presented

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Speaker 1: by Draftkins