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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome to a Thursday opening round of

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Speaker 2: the NCAA tournament edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt and the

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Speaker 2: Madness is going to begin sixteen games today, sixteen games

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Speaker 2: coming up for tomorrow. I will have five games officially

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Speaker 2: that I have bet that I will be watching coming

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Speaker 2: up here for today. If you would like to fade

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Speaker 2: every bet, I do not blame you. I'm mad not

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Speaker 2: gonna lie about what happened last night. Boston Celtics team

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Speaker 2: total in the first half over cash. Boston Celtics team

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Speaker 2: total for the game cashed, the under did not. It

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Speaker 2: went over by two and a half points. So that

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Speaker 2: swung the entire night. Because we get Miami of Ohio

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Speaker 2: correct that outright win money line Sprinkle got that right.

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Speaker 2: When two in one on the Celtics game, under was

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Speaker 2: the official play because of Overnight not having a number

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Speaker 2: available to play on either one of those the team

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Speaker 2: total for the first half or the game for Boston,

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Speaker 2: So unfortunately the game goes over, it falls to nineteen.

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Speaker 2: Game was under two sixteen and a half Dallas and

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Speaker 2: Colorado was the bad bet of the day. That was

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Speaker 2: a two to one final, but a one in two mark.

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Speaker 2: But I didn't lose money yesterday. I mean, that's just

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Speaker 2: one of those like frustration type of nights for me

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Speaker 2: that I'm like, hey.

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Speaker 1: Miami money Line cashed a.

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Speaker 2: Plus two fifteen bet for me, So we got that,

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Speaker 2: like I did well yesterday, except that's not what the

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Speaker 2: record's going to indicate.

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Speaker 1: So a little bit annoying with that.

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Speaker 2: The good news is, and if you guys have some

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Speaker 2: of our future wagers, our hockey futures are starting to

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Speaker 2: come in. We cash two of those, will wait till

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Speaker 2: the end of the year to recap all that, so

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Speaker 2: there's some extra dollars in the bank account or in

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Speaker 2: the in the betting app because of those futures that

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Speaker 2: are cashing for us. We get NBA plays, other things

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Speaker 2: still to come. But if you want to fade these bets,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to get angry with you, So let

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Speaker 2: me just tell you I've got.

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Speaker 1: Three plays that I'm adding to the card.

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Speaker 2: If you want the full explanation for the college basketball bets,

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Speaker 2: I already placed that we talked about yesterday. You have

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Speaker 2: to go back and watch the College Basketball show. I'll

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Speaker 2: just give you the bets in case you haven't seen

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Speaker 2: the bets. Saint Louis plus two and a half against Georgia,

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Speaker 2: BYU minus two and a half against Texas, the Clemson

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Speaker 2: Iowa game that is going to happen tomorrow, and the

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Speaker 2: same thing for Villanova and Utah State. Those games will

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Speaker 2: happen tomorrow. But Saint Louis against Georgia and BYU today,

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Speaker 2: those games on yesterday's card or yesterday's show. Full explanation,

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Speaker 2: go watch that podcast. But in case you just want

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Speaker 2: to bet.

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Speaker 1: Fail.

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Speaker 2: Fade or trail fade or follow those bets dog in

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Speaker 2: Saint Louis and we're laying it with BYU three other

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Speaker 2: bets I'm going to give you guys coming up here

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Speaker 2: for today. But in case you have not filled up

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Speaker 2: your bracket yet and you're waiting all the way to

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Speaker 2: the very end, we do have the Bracket Optimizer available

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Speaker 2: for you guys to use right now. It will help

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Speaker 2: you build the perfect bracket and take down your office pool.

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Speaker 2: And it's for free thanks to your friends at Betting

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Speaker 2: pros log Onto bettingpros dot com slash bracket. Optimize your

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Speaker 2: picks using advanced data in betting odds. Lock in your

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Speaker 2: favorites and we'll do the rest. Find key matchups and

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Speaker 2: smart upset picks. Instantly make your best bracket by going

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Speaker 2: to bettingpros dot com slash bracket. That's Bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 2: slash Bracket. Okay, let's add to the card. Let's talk

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Speaker 2: about Sienna and Duke. And I know you might go,

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Speaker 2: what in the world are you talking about Matt Sienna

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Speaker 2: in Duke? Why are we talking about Sienna in Duke? Okay,

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Speaker 2: here's an interesting little tidbit. Okay, and I'm I'm actually

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Speaker 2: going to try to put this up at the moment.

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Speaker 2: I can't do that. I can't put it up at

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Speaker 2: the moment. But let me just go ahead and say this.

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Speaker 2: There is a trend that is currently eleven and oh

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Speaker 2: right now in college basketball eleven in oh. This is

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Speaker 2: a pretty interesting opportunity, I think to fade what everyone

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Speaker 2: else is going to be betting today, which is first

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Speaker 2: half and for in first game unders. You're going to

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Speaker 2: see this absolutely everywhere. However, when the spread is fifteen

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Speaker 2: or higher and the total is between one thirty and

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Speaker 2: a half in one thirty seven and a half. Since

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Speaker 2: twenty fourteen, the overs are eighteen and one in the

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Speaker 2: NXAA tournament, and dating back to twenty twenty one, it

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Speaker 2: has hit eleven straight times. Houston and Idaho State also

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Speaker 2: factor factors into this trend if you want to bet that.

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Speaker 2: But I'm not really comfortable with a Houston under or

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Speaker 2: Houston over just because my gosh, it's it's Houston. But

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Speaker 2: Sienna in Duke, So both these teams away from home

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Speaker 2: were dead under teams fourteen and seven for Sienna to

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Speaker 2: the under at twelve and seven to the under for Duke.

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Speaker 2: But this total has been really low for Duke. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this total factor is right into that conversation about where

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Speaker 2: we are from a total perspective, and Duke is a

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Speaker 2: twenty seven and a half point favorite, so a massive favorite.

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Speaker 2: Last game against Virginia, it was one thirty nine and

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Speaker 2: a half, it went over by four and a half points.

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Speaker 2: Clemson was one thirty four and a half and it

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Speaker 2: went under by half a point. Florida State was won

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Speaker 2: fifty and a half and went over by eight and

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Speaker 2: a half points. North Carolina was one forty seven and

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Speaker 2: a half and it went under by ten and a

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Speaker 2: half points. On the other side, Sienna has gone under

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Speaker 2: in six consecutive games and nine of ten they have

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Speaker 2: gone under. So we're gonna go ahead and tempt fate

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Speaker 2: here with a one thirty five and a half total,

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Speaker 2: going with this trend of overs in a game, because

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Speaker 2: right now everyone's gonna bet under in this game. They're

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Speaker 2: gonna run to the window and bet Duke and Sienna under.

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Speaker 2: We're going to go against this and we're going to

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Speaker 2: fade this trend of Sienna. And let's hope that Duke

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Speaker 2: scores a bazillion points today. Let's hope Duke scores one

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Speaker 2: hundred points today and gets it there, gets its to

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Speaker 2: the window, because you know, looking at it, you're going

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Speaker 2: to go, Matt, you're insane. This is the number one

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Speaker 2: seed overall eighty one to fifty five final according to kempom,

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Speaker 2: which puts us right in that number of one thirty six.

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Speaker 2: So we're right there. Sienna is going to have a

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Speaker 2: real hard time scoring against Duke. Number two in defensive efficiency,

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Speaker 2: number twelve in defensive field goal percentage, their twenty eighth

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Speaker 2: and three point defense. They're twenty third and two point defense,

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Speaker 2: and Sienna is three hundred and thirty fourth and three

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Speaker 2: point shooting. On the flip side, Duke is fourth in

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Speaker 2: offensive efficiency, thirteenth in offensive effective field goal percentage, one

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Speaker 2: hundred and tenth, and three point shooting, but they are

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Speaker 2: sixth in two point percent They also hit their free throws.

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Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and ride the eleven and zero trend

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Speaker 2: here for Duke and Siena.

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Speaker 1: And let's go ahead. Oh sorry, I didn't mean that over. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: let's there, we go. Sorry, Let's go ahead and jump

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Speaker 1: in on this.

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Speaker 2: Let's go over Duke in Sienna over one thirty five

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Speaker 2: and a half. Let's go to Texas A and M

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Speaker 2: in their game against Saint Mary's. I'm a bigger fan

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Speaker 2: of A and M than most people. They're twenty one

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Speaker 2: and eleven. They got trounced by Oklahoma, who arguably was

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Speaker 2: the hottest team in the SEC in the conference tournament,

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Speaker 2: eighty three to sixty three. But they'd beaten LSU, they

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Speaker 2: had beaten Kentucky, they played Texas tight, they played Arkansas tough,

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Speaker 2: and coming down the stretch here for Texas A and M.

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Speaker 2: Bucky McMillan's got a really interesting roster that really wasn't

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Speaker 2: supposed to do very much, and they turned around and

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Speaker 2: they wound up getting themselves in at large bid into

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Speaker 2: the NAA Tournament thanks to the Transfer portal, and Randy

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Speaker 2: Bennett is Randy Bennett, right. I mean, Saint Mary's is

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Speaker 2: just absolutely tremendous. They've been phenomenal. They lost to Santa

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Speaker 2: Clara in their one and only game in the West

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Speaker 2: Coast Conference Tournament, which is somewhat stunning considering how hot

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Speaker 2: they had been twenty seven and five. But this is

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Speaker 2: an A and M team that plays a helter skeltera

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Speaker 2: style that I think Saint Mary's might have some trouble here.

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Speaker 2: With the athletes for Texas A and M A and

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Speaker 2: M forty ninth in offensive efficiency, sixty second in offensive

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Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage forty fourth and three point shooting

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Speaker 2: eighty fourth and two point shooting. Saint Mary's is going

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Speaker 2: to grind it like we know that they do. They're

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Speaker 2: a defense for defensive first team twentieth in effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage defensively eighteenth and effective field goal percentage defensively

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Speaker 2: forty first, and three point defense twentieth and two point defense.

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Speaker 2: But I just don't think A and MS are the

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Speaker 2: Saint Mary's the offense to really make A and M pay.

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Speaker 2: And I think we're gonna look at this game and

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Speaker 2: this is gonna be about who controls tempo and who

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Speaker 2: can dictate the other's will. I think A and M

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Speaker 2: is going to be able to turn the basketball over.

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Speaker 2: I think A and M is a team that they

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Speaker 2: need to hit their free throw. It is not a

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Speaker 2: great free throw shooting team. Saint Mary's is the number

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Speaker 2: one free throw to shooting team in college basketball. But

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Speaker 2: I get the better athlete team here, maybe a better

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Speaker 2: coach team and Randy Bennett, but I'm taking the dog here.

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Speaker 2: I get three and a half points. I think this

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Speaker 2: is too heavy of a number. I like three and

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Speaker 2: a half Texas A and M plus three and a

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Speaker 2: half against Saint Mary's again, sprinkle on the dog to

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Speaker 2: win the game outright there. I think it's a very

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Speaker 2: real possibility we grab on with that. And third, and finally,

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Speaker 2: we're gonna go to VCU and their game up against

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Speaker 2: North Carolina. VCU coming into this game, Phil Martelly has

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Speaker 2: his team absolutely rolling. They won the A ten Championship,

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Speaker 2: the automatic bid into the Dance they are going to

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Speaker 2: lose this game by two points. According to Ken Palm,

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Speaker 2: they are catching two and a half in the books.

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Speaker 2: But VCU is catching a North Carolina team that is

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Speaker 2: not healthy. And I think that is significant here from

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Speaker 2: an injury standpoint, because you don't want to be missing

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Speaker 2: your best player. And Caleb Williams Wilson is not playing.

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Speaker 2: He's out with the thumb had surgery, so he's not playing.

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Speaker 2: That is a significant injury for North Carolina. And coming

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Speaker 2: down the stretch, they lost to Clemson, they lost to Duke.

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Speaker 1: They just haven't looked like the.

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Speaker 2: Same basketball team once they found out that he was

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Speaker 2: not going to come back for the rest of the season.

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Speaker 1: And you have a VCU.

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Speaker 2: Team who is extremely hungry to take down a rival

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Speaker 2: in North Carolina. It's a regional rival. Look, VCU is

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Speaker 2: going to have fans. It's a game in South Carolina.

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Speaker 2: In Shore North Carolina will have more fans than VC.

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Speaker 2: You but the Rams will have fans there. It's only

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Speaker 2: a quick drive over to Greenville, a couple of hours

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Speaker 2: from Virginia Commonwealth down to South Carolina to be a

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Speaker 2: part of this, So there's gonna be fans in there

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Speaker 2: for VCU, and I just think this is about style

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Speaker 2: of play and not being healthy.

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Speaker 1: Who wants it more? And VCU thirty six.

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Speaker 2: And three point shooting from behind the arc, two hundred

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Speaker 2: and sixteenth defensive North Carolina from behind the arc. This

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Speaker 2: game very well might just come down into VCU shooting

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Speaker 2: the three. They hit the three, They're gonna send Carolina home.

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Speaker 2: On my bracket, I've picked VCU to win this game outright.

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Speaker 2: I'm just not a very big fan of this North

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Speaker 2: Carolina team. Without Caleb Wilson, they really have struggled to

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Speaker 2: score and struggled to be the same basketball team that

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Speaker 2: they were because with him they were an over machine.

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Speaker 2: They were dominant, losing the Duke, losing the Clemson, lost

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Speaker 2: to NC State. They're wins coming down the stre just

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Speaker 2: weren't really all that impressive. And I just think VCU's

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Speaker 2: defense is better than people think. They are sixtieth in

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Speaker 2: defensive efficiency, their sixty second in defensive field goal percentage.

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Speaker 2: I like the coaching matchup here. I think VCU is

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Speaker 2: hungry to send a message even though North Carolina isn't

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Speaker 2: at one hundred percent and healthy.

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Speaker 1: I like VCU.

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Speaker 2: Give me VCU at plus two and a half up

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Speaker 2: So to recap, here's where we are. We're going to

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Speaker 2: go Saint Louis plus two and a half, BYU minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half, A and M plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half, VCU plus two and a half, and Duke

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Speaker 2: and Sienna over one thirty five and a half, all

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Speaker 2: those bets for one point one units. As we wind

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Speaker 2: up getting ourselves into a situation where we're looking at

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Speaker 2: a fun Day one of the NCAA Tournament, I'll be

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Speaker 2: in the Discord channel. I'm sure you guys will be

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Speaker 2: playing hookey. I'm sure you'll be doing the whole spreadsheet,

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Speaker 2: you know, boss button type thing. Have fun, enjoy it.

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Speaker 2: Five bets for us here going fade away if you'd like.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully we turn the corner and have a big day

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Speaker 2: here on Thursday minus Matt Parolt. You guys can follow

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Speaker 2: me across all my socials at sports Doc Matt every

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Speaker 2: morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice. The Center, the Center, the

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Speaker 1: Center from the Stunt, The Center,