Speaker 1: What's up, friends, and welcome into Fantasy Pros MLB. This
Speaker 1: is cleaning up a little extra podcast for your fantasy
Speaker 1: baseball repertoire. We have been out for a little bit,
Speaker 1: but Joe Rico and I we're in our brand new
Speaker 1: time over on the Fantasy Pros Discord five pm Eastern
Speaker 1: on Monday. That is where the show has moved to.
Speaker 1: We are here to gauge with you. We got a
Speaker 1: couple of topics we're gonna hit. Kind of a shorter hitting,
Speaker 1: easy podcast, but also open to the community where when
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Speaker 1: and I Monday's at five pm Eastern.
Speaker 2: Come and get your questions answered and be on the show.
Speaker 1: Fantasypros dot Com slash Chat. Mister Joe Alrico, we did
Speaker 1: a couple of shows together last week.
Speaker 2: Right back at it.
Speaker 3: How are you, buddy, I'm good man. It's going to
Speaker 3: be back up to one hundred percent. Apologies to the
Speaker 3: listeners for missing the last couple of weeks and switching
Speaker 3: things up on them, but hopefully outside of next week
Speaker 3: we should be able to keep this going the rest
Speaker 3: of the season. I'm excited to talk some ball with you,
Speaker 3: my friend.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we get some good short hitting stuff here in
Speaker 1: an opportunity for anybody. I mean, you know, we have
Speaker 1: created a bunch of fun opportunities for people to interact.
Speaker 1: Monday through Friday, twelve pm Eastern, Leading Off on Twitch,
Speaker 1: we do that. We get some interaction Wednesdays on YouTube
Speaker 1: at four pm Eastern.
Speaker 2: Piece of p and I.
Speaker 1: Are live for a full hour, just straight answering questions,
Speaker 1: and this show kind of can serve as another similar
Speaker 1: piece of that. If it doesn't happen on leading off
Speaker 1: or whatever, you guys can jump in here and you
Speaker 1: can get some of your questions answered and that can
Speaker 1: help dictate the show. But I got a couple offerings.
Speaker 1: We are going to start this show off with Joe Rico,
Speaker 1: and the first one is a little prospectee type of thing.
Speaker 1: We got a couple little prospect he ones. But you'll
Speaker 1: be able to handle this fine, because Matt Shaw being
Speaker 1: called back up to the majors, And I think this
Speaker 1: is putting a big question into Moisist Ballisterio's value moving
Speaker 1: forward unless they cut bait on A Kelly or an
Speaker 1: a Maya, because Bush is the first baseman. Shaw's gonna
Speaker 1: come back and play third, presumably, and that puts a
Speaker 1: question into Ballisteros. So Ballisteros isn't really even kind of
Speaker 1: the question here. But my curiousness first is what is
Speaker 1: your valuation on Matt Shaw? Is he a must add player?
Speaker 1: After his struggles, he went back to the miners, got
Speaker 1: back pretty good. Is he a must add in fantasy formats?
Speaker 3: I think in the majority of leagues I would take
Speaker 3: a chance on him. If you're playing in one of
Speaker 3: those super shallow ten team leagues, maybe not.
Speaker 4: I don't know that.
Speaker 3: I'd say he's a top ten third baseman. But in
Speaker 3: the minors, twenty four games, six homers, five steals, he's
Speaker 3: walking more than he's striking out, only a ten percent strikeout, right, Like,
Speaker 3: he's done some really good stuff, and that lineup is
Speaker 3: very good in Chicago. The only problem there is that
Speaker 3: he'll be at the bottom of it. Now you can
Speaker 3: argue like it's going to turn over to the top
Speaker 3: of the order and he should be on base, should
Speaker 3: be able to score some runs.
Speaker 4: I'd like him. I think in twelve teamers and deeper,
Speaker 4: i'd be picking them up.
Speaker 1: I think I agree with you on that the must
Speaker 1: add kind of adage. I think it's overplayed a little
Speaker 1: bit sometimes, but I think he falls into that territory,
Speaker 1: like there's a lot of offensive upside, especially if he
Speaker 1: fixed what he needed to, you know. I mean, this
Speaker 1: team is going to be highly competitive. The only negative
Speaker 1: is that maybe he's hitting a little bit lower in
Speaker 1: the lineup.
Speaker 2: At the end of the day.
Speaker 1: So let me ask you this, though we both agree,
Speaker 1: Matt Shaw or Nick Kurtz, who would you want rest
Speaker 1: of season?
Speaker 4: A good question.
Speaker 3: I think there's probably not a huge difference in value overall,
Speaker 3: but I would probably slightly lean towards Shaw. A lot
Speaker 3: of times you see guys struggle a little bit, they
Speaker 3: go back down, and then once they get called up
Speaker 3: for a second, sometimes a third time, that's when it
Speaker 3: really clicks for them.
Speaker 4: With Kurtz.
Speaker 3: I mean, you know, we were hanging our hat on
Speaker 3: the batting average. I heard you and Joe talking about
Speaker 3: this earlier. It's down to two nineteen with the strikeouts
Speaker 3: where they are for Kurtz.
Speaker 4: I think if the.
Speaker 3: Option is one or the other at this point, I'd
Speaker 3: be okay to drop Kurts for Shaw.
Speaker 1: I think I'm a I think I'm a Kurtz guy
Speaker 1: on this one. The only thing is if you're chasing
Speaker 1: chasing the stolen bases, it's a little bit better on
Speaker 1: the Matt Shaw side, assuming he like kind of kicks
Speaker 1: it back, But I think Kurts is gonna ultimately hit
Speaker 1: higher in the lineup. It's a great ballpark factor. There
Speaker 1: seem to be some ulterior options that the Cubs have.
Speaker 1: I think it's a tough one. I'd be curious to
Speaker 1: where people are at on that. You can drop it
Speaker 1: on the podcast comments that we have and anybody hanging
Speaker 1: in the live is Kurts or Matt Shaw? Rest of season?
Speaker 1: Which one would.
Speaker 4: You rather have?
Speaker 1: Question number two is Corbyn Burns back. This is a
Speaker 1: very important one, especially to me, Joey, and also not
Speaker 1: just because I have been pretty loudly on the Corbyn
Speaker 1: burn Well, I think one of my arguments was he
Speaker 1: is one of the few players that has almost no
Speaker 1: data that is giving me a case to tell you
Speaker 1: that he's going to bounce back. But I think he'll
Speaker 1: bounce back, and that kind of has happened. His villo
Speaker 1: had been down all season his last two starts. After
Speaker 1: he had that rest, villa was back up around a
Speaker 1: mile ish per hour. He's sporting a two five six ERA,
Speaker 1: which looks great, but he's got a really high whip
Speaker 1: and expected ERA that's pretty dang high. There's some negatives,
Speaker 1: but a lot of the overarching negatives are masked because
Speaker 1: his last two starts he's been absolutely dominant. He's gone
Speaker 1: nowhere and runs over his last two I believe it's
Speaker 1: seven and six. The strikeouts are way up. So the
Speaker 1: question is Corbyn burns back to being like a top
Speaker 1: ten sp.
Speaker 3: I wouldn't go quite that far, but he's definitely quelled
Speaker 3: some of my worries that I had, even just as
Speaker 3: recently as a couple of weeks ago. You know, last
Speaker 3: season he had a two ninety two ERA and a
Speaker 3: lot of the metrics weren't that great. You know, he
Speaker 3: outperformed a lot of the expected eras and phips of
Speaker 3: the world.
Speaker 4: Strikeout rate was down, and he still did well.
Speaker 3: And I think Burns is one of those guys who
Speaker 3: can make a lot of adjustments. He's still elite in
Speaker 3: the sense of, I mean, I'm going to butcher the
Speaker 3: wording of this year. I think he is elite, but
Speaker 3: he's not quite in that top ten sp one range.
Speaker 3: I think he's just a really smart pitcher. And even
Speaker 3: if he's not, you know, racking up the strikeouts like
Speaker 3: this year's pretty pedestrian twenty two percent strikeout right, the
Speaker 3: walks throughout the season have been awful eleven percent.
Speaker 4: But he's still.
Speaker 3: Somebody that it just hard to be that that worried about.
Speaker 3: I wouldn't be rushing out to try and trade a
Speaker 3: bunch for him, but I think if you have him,
Speaker 3: he's not somebody that I'd be trying to sell. Like
Speaker 3: as of a few weeks ago, I was more in
Speaker 3: the camp of I'd be looking to get out from
Speaker 3: under him if you can get an sp one. But
Speaker 3: even with the data still not being that great, I
Speaker 3: don't think I'm all that concerned about Burns. Good team context,
Speaker 3: He's gonna win a lot of games. I think we'll
Speaker 3: still see an era, even if it's not quite this low.
Speaker 3: I think it'll be somewhere at worst like three, four,
Speaker 3: three five. I still think he's very good. I just
Speaker 3: don't think he's quite in that top ten SP one
Speaker 3: range like the solid.
Speaker 2: SB two for sure, top fifteen.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have to redo my starting pitcher rankings, but
Speaker 3: I think i'd probably have him somewhere in the fifteen
Speaker 3: ish range.
Speaker 4: Yeah, something like that.
Speaker 1: Okay, I guess because one of the things I'm curious
Speaker 1: about is, let's say he has a less than stellar
Speaker 1: start that comes up here expected dra is kind of
Speaker 1: maybe telling us that story. Maybe he you know, pushes
Speaker 1: back a little bit. If he gets one boos is
Speaker 1: ra up maybe over three? Is that a time that
Speaker 1: you would buy? Like, have you seen enough in these
Speaker 1: last two return starts that if he has kind of
Speaker 1: a bad one in the buying window kicks back up,
Speaker 1: you would do it? Or is he kind of on
Speaker 1: thin ice a little bit because you know, Whip has
Speaker 1: been up walks or up, Velo has been down, like
Speaker 1: what side Like, let's say he gives up like five
Speaker 1: in his next one, and that gets him over a
Speaker 1: three era Are you I don't want to buy? Or
Speaker 1: are you like this is your opportunity?
Speaker 3: It wouldn't excite me, but I think it would really
Speaker 3: depend on what the cost is, what the other person
Speaker 3: wants in return type of thing, because if he does
Speaker 3: have a really bad start, then you kind of have
Speaker 3: to wonder like, was this just the fact of he
Speaker 3: faced the Rockies And I know he had a good
Speaker 3: start against the Dodgers and the Mets as well, but
Speaker 3: I've walked against the Mets. Even at seven innings against
Speaker 3: the Dodgers it was five strikeouts. He's not classic Corbyn Burns,
Speaker 3: so if he does start getting knocked around a little
Speaker 3: bit again, it will make me worry, like he is
Speaker 3: not Corbyn Burns of the you know, the early days
Speaker 3: in Milwaukee anymore. I think he can adjust and still
Speaker 3: be really good. But if we start seeing him get
Speaker 3: blown up, and I don't have the schedule pulled up
Speaker 3: in front of me, let's see, so Burns, his next
Speaker 3: start is against the Dodgers again on Wednesday, So maybe
Speaker 3: we shouldn't sound the alarm fully because it's the Dodgers,
Speaker 3: but I'd like to see that's.
Speaker 1: Like the prime spot. That's what I'm talking about. Like,
Speaker 1: you know, he blanked the Dodgers in his last and
Speaker 1: let's say he gives up like four and runs goes
Speaker 1: five or something. People are like, oh, here we go.
Speaker 1: It's like, is that the opportunity to go and jump?
Speaker 1: I think it is. I kind of think it is.
Speaker 1: The Diamondbacks need him. He's going to press Filo kind
Speaker 1: of coming back up. I am worried about the you know,
Speaker 1: the era estimators, like it's going to go one way
Speaker 1: or the other that expects they expected era is either
Speaker 1: gonna live a little bit more in reality or it's
Speaker 1: going to come back down. It's almost a two run differential.
Speaker 1: It's not uncommon, especially for him. Actually, as I'm looking
Speaker 1: at it, I see some years where he has run
Speaker 1: about a run higher expected or lower than his actual era.
Speaker 1: But the last couple they have coincided well together that
Speaker 1: like one way or another, they're going to match up.
Speaker 2: But I still just think I think there's a.
Speaker 1: Negative connotation that's going on with him right now, and
Speaker 1: that's why I think he's a bible all of us.
Speaker 3: What I will say is, if we finish up the
Speaker 3: season and Corbyn burns has a two nine ERA and
Speaker 3: he has something like what we're seeing now and terms
Speaker 3: of the expected stats like a four something XCRA. I
Speaker 3: think that would be my time to tap out on
Speaker 3: him for next year though, with the strikeouts where they are,
Speaker 3: with the whip rising, with the walk rate, like if
Speaker 3: we see another year where he's kind of skating by
Speaker 3: the advanced metrics, I think then that's going to be
Speaker 3: cause for trouble as he enters into his thirties a
Speaker 3: little bit.
Speaker 2: I like that.
Speaker 1: We got two more. We got another prospect based question
Speaker 1: and another picture question. But let's get to the audience.
Speaker 1: We got some people hanging with us in the live discord,
Speaker 1: which as always, you guys can come and check out
Speaker 1: at fantasypros dot com slash chat. We would love to
Speaker 1: have you guys there every week. We got lots of
Speaker 1: other different great stuff as well the offerings, and there's
Speaker 1: a cool community.
Speaker 2: So you want to join a community.
Speaker 1: That's into all the stuff that you are, we'll check
Speaker 1: it out. And remember brand new time. We used to
Speaker 1: be Wednesdays at two pm Eastern for this five pm
Speaker 1: easterns on Monday on Monday, and I believe we're not
Speaker 1: here next week because of Memorial Day, so just keep
Speaker 1: that in your pocket. Let's get to some of the
Speaker 1: questions though from the audience. First one up from be Weazy,
Speaker 1: How are feeling about Westburg? If and when he comes back?
Speaker 1: Are you still a buyer on Jordan Westberg or not?
Speaker 4: It's a little concerning right now.
Speaker 3: The last thing that I saw is that his rehab
Speaker 3: was going to be delayed due to a setback in
Speaker 3: his hamstring. I'm I'm not dropping him, but my expectations
Speaker 3: are pretty low, especially with the way the Orioles have
Speaker 3: just been a complete disaster. I think we have to
Speaker 3: kind of recalibrate those expectations that we had coming into
Speaker 3: the season of maybe he's a twenty ten guy with
Speaker 3: a good batting average. I think he's still worth holding
Speaker 3: on to, but I'm not expecting the world anymore.
Speaker 1: I don't think I'm expecting the world, but I will
Speaker 1: say a lot of that profile that we got excited
Speaker 1: about and we were touting, it's still kind of there.
Speaker 1: Like he was barreling the ball up more, he was
Speaker 1: hitting the ball really hard, he wasn't striking out more,
Speaker 1: walking about the same he's expected.
Speaker 2: He expected.
Speaker 1: Batting average was down a tiny bit, but also like
Speaker 1: he was struggling and he was underperforming against forcing fast
Speaker 1: which is not something that maintains, especially for great or
Speaker 1: good fastball hitters. He hit two ninety four last year.
Speaker 1: He's hitting one oh seven against forcing fastballs. That's gonna adjust.
Speaker 1: So I tend to think he's a buyback. But at
Speaker 1: this point he's probably a guy that gets cut and
Speaker 1: you can pick up. I'm not sure he's super worth.
Speaker 1: Like holding on to also.
Speaker 3: Question injury base. My concern is just more about the
Speaker 3: injury setbacks. Like I don't think he's a bad player
Speaker 3: at all, but when you look at the injury plus
Speaker 3: the lineup under performing around him, he could be a
Speaker 3: good by low but I wouldn't pay a lot for
Speaker 3: him if you're going to be if you're going to
Speaker 3: be trading for him or using a top priority.
Speaker 1: So yeah, and he's not deserved of it. So torn
Speaker 1: on keeping Kim Hey Sun Kim from the Dodgers, He's
Speaker 1: been good when he plays.
Speaker 2: It's a roto league.
Speaker 1: We got a little bit extra of a positive push
Speaker 1: because they designated Chris Taylor for assignment. That was to
Speaker 1: keep him because Taoscar Hernandez just came back and then
Speaker 1: they sent down James Outman, So like they want to
Speaker 1: keep Kim on this lineup, on this team. He's never
Speaker 1: going to hit high, so I mean that is one
Speaker 1: thing that you're on percent going to have to come
Speaker 1: to terms with. But he's in four to fifty two.
Speaker 1: He's stealing bases, he's not striking out. He's become he
Speaker 1: looks like a valuable piece. So the question is is
Speaker 1: he worth it? Let's say in uh, well, I mean
Speaker 1: it's fifty he says, Rotos. I'm gonna ssume fifteen team Rotos.
Speaker 1: So let's start there and we'll push it to twelve
Speaker 1: and see what do you think.
Speaker 4: Is he worth as a keeper for next year?
Speaker 2: I don't know, I guess he said. I think when
Speaker 2: he says keeping.
Speaker 1: Kim, I think it's talking about like not making a
Speaker 1: move in redraft. I'm not assuming that that's a keeper
Speaker 1: league question.
Speaker 3: Well, we're talking about redraft. I mean, he has definitely
Speaker 3: got to be on rosters. He's hitting four fifty two.
Speaker 3: I know we're only talking about fourteen games, but he
Speaker 3: doesn't strike out a lot. Even like being at the
Speaker 3: bottom of that order, you're getting turned over to Otani, Betts, Freeman, Hernandez,
Speaker 3: will Smith like he is going to score, and we
Speaker 3: have seen that so far with Kim nine runs in
Speaker 3: fourteen games, he is three for three and stolen base opportunities.
Speaker 3: This is not a guy I would even consider dropping,
Speaker 3: even though he's not playing against lefties. He's a muss
Speaker 3: roster player in my view.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well said, and I agree, especially with the stolen
Speaker 1: base upside points leagues to even be better. You could argue,
Speaker 1: you know, if you don't believe, maybe there's a ton
Speaker 1: of like counting stat upside, maybe there's some questions there.
Speaker 1: But I think they're going to find time for him,
Speaker 1: and I think the rosters filling out like that. They
Speaker 1: moved on from guys like Barnes and then they moved
Speaker 1: on from Chris Taylor. I think you're more you would
Speaker 1: be more likely to lose Dalton Varshow at adult Varshow
Speaker 1: Dalton rushing than you would Kim at this point. So
Speaker 1: I think he's kind of locked in in So I
Speaker 1: agree with you. I agree Boren is Miguel Is this
Speaker 1: Miguel Vargas breakout for real? Vargas has been on a
Speaker 1: whole new thing in May I think it's like two
Speaker 1: ninety seven in May. We're seeing power, we're seeing all
Speaker 1: the stuff that actually got me excited in the preseason
Speaker 1: about him. Hits at the top of the lineup. But
Speaker 1: it is for as bad of a team as you
Speaker 1: could possibly be. So do you believe in Miguel Vargas.
Speaker 4: I do believe in him. You know.
Speaker 3: I was somebody who always thought the Dodgers should have
Speaker 3: given him another opportunity. I thought they'd moved on from
Speaker 3: him a little bit quickly. He's only twenty four when
Speaker 3: they got rid of him. The fact that he plays
Speaker 3: for a bad team on the surface, that will keep
Speaker 3: people away from him. But forty four games, he has
Speaker 3: twenty runs, twenty one RBI. That's not the end of
Speaker 3: the world. It's really not one fourteen WRC plus, he's
Speaker 3: has six homers. He's getting on base at a good clip.
Speaker 3: He doesn't strike out a lot. He's cut the strikeout
Speaker 3: rate from twenty four percent down to seventeen percent.
Speaker 4: I like him a lot.
Speaker 3: The fact that it's a bad team just means there's
Speaker 3: going to be more opportunities. There's no chance that he's
Speaker 3: going to get removed from the top of the order,
Speaker 3: he's going to lose playing time. Miguel Vargas is locked
Speaker 3: into that one through four area in the order, And
Speaker 3: while I'd prefer somebody better than Josh Pelasio is hitting
Speaker 3: behind him, I think that Vargus's breakout is pretty legit.
Speaker 1: I kind of agree with you on that too. I've
Speaker 1: always thought like the way that he can make contact,
Speaker 1: that he's going to run into good power. He's striking
Speaker 1: out less than he's ever done before.
Speaker 2: It's just minimal.
Speaker 1: You know, He's not going to have a lot of
Speaker 1: great RBI opportunities, not a lot of great run opportunities
Speaker 1: if he If he were on back on the Dodgers,
Speaker 1: we'd be having a completely different discussion. I me, who
Speaker 1: would you rather have, Miguel Vargus or High Sun Kim.
Speaker 4: I probably would go with Kim.
Speaker 3: I just think the counting stats are going to be bigger,
Speaker 3: the power with Vargas is going to be better, but not.
Speaker 4: To a degree that I would take him over Kim.
Speaker 1: Still, I think it's close, Yeah, just close, close for sure. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you know, like lead off top hitter with power projection
Speaker 1: over a guy who's going to hit number nine for
Speaker 1: the Dodgers. Occasionally you know are part time ISHU.
Speaker 3: So yeah, I get both. I get going with both
Speaker 3: of them. I would understand going either way. I think
Speaker 3: for me, I would just go with the Dodger over
Speaker 3: the White Sox, even though there's a different situation in
Speaker 3: the lineup and everything else. But I would have a
Speaker 3: hard time going with Vargas over Kim. They should both
Speaker 3: be on every roster though.
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, Papa Doc trying to get another outfielder depth,
Speaker 1: trying to get another outfielder death and have someone interested
Speaker 1: in trading Edmund. Should I trade Terrang or Perdomo to
Speaker 1: grab him? What do you think?
Speaker 3: I think either one would be reasonable. I was a
Speaker 3: big Bryce Terrang fan, not at the beginning of the season,
Speaker 3: but once the season started I thought his power was
Speaker 3: going to be a lot more legit after that first
Speaker 3: couple of weeks.
Speaker 4: He has not homers in the.
Speaker 3: Last thirty days, but the overall line is still very good.
Speaker 3: I think you can get a lot for him back
Speaker 3: in a trade for Perdomo. You're probably more equipped to
Speaker 3: answer this question being the DBAX guy. But he's been outstanding.
Speaker 3: He's hitting three hundred with five homers and eleven steals.
Speaker 3: I would prefer to hold Perdomo. If I was going
Speaker 3: to deal one of them, I'd prefer to trade terrang Ooh.
Speaker 2: I'm actually surprised about that.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: The thing I love about Perdomo has been that he
Speaker 1: hits in a prominent spot in the lineup. He's going
Speaker 1: to score runs, he's getting RBI's power, stolen bases, He's
Speaker 1: kind of doing everything that's kind of the Tommy Edmond thing,
Speaker 1: except Edmund has been weird with his batting average this year,
Speaker 1: but he's always going to hit in a prominent spot.
Speaker 1: Rang still has the underlying stuff where you're like wow,
Speaker 1: Like he's hitting the ball harder than he's ever done before.
Speaker 1: He's tripled his barrel percentage. These are things that it's like,
Speaker 1: if this happens dot dot dot, but it hasn't.
Speaker 2: Really, he's lost a lot.
Speaker 1: Of zone contact percentage. It's it's gone from like elite
Speaker 1: to like down at the bottom. He is not pulling.
Speaker 1: He's pulling the ball less in the air than he's
Speaker 1: ever done before, which those are things that make me
Speaker 1: think as much as these other skill sets are kind
Speaker 1: of changing, you know, Oh I'm barreling and I'm hitting
Speaker 1: hard that he's just not going to step into like
Speaker 1: significant power that I kind of think like him and
Speaker 1: Todd Tommy Edmond could be similar ish players, just more
Speaker 1: solen bases for Terrang, more homers for Edmund. I think
Speaker 1: I'm gonna agree with you on that because Perdomo is
Speaker 1: really weird and interesting, but I think I want to
Speaker 1: hold on to it because of that elite batting average.
Speaker 3: So I think the huge thing for me there is
Speaker 3: Milwaukee has an eighty three WRC plus the Dodgers are
Speaker 3: at one thirty, so that lineup is just night and Dave.
Speaker 3: Milwaukee's been awful, like they are a bottom five offense
Speaker 3: this year.
Speaker 4: I think I think the you gotta go with Edmond.
Speaker 1: Also, I mean, Trio is just kind of backtracked a
Speaker 1: little bit. Remember it like started off really great and
Speaker 1: then it's just kind of come back down. Pat Murphy
Speaker 1: puttinghim at six and stuff.
Speaker 4: It's it's a.
Speaker 1: Little concerning and he I mean, he's the essentially one
Speaker 1: of the table setters of that offense. So another small
Speaker 1: piece that you can put in the pie of similar
Speaker 1: players of like looking at offenses and between that through
Speaker 1: that trade Terrang is or those players trang is barn
Speaker 1: On the worst offense across the board. About about the
Speaker 1: big dances. Drop Ben Rice for Ronda Berger or hole.
Speaker 1: This is a ten team standard, Rodo.
Speaker 3: I don't mind moving on from Rice. It's been it's
Speaker 3: been pretty bad for a while now. The thing with Randa,
Speaker 3: as much as I like him as a hitter, he
Speaker 3: doesn't provide a.
Speaker 4: Lot of fantasy juice.
Speaker 3: He has no stolen bases, nineteen runs, twenty one ribies.
Speaker 3: Even though he's hitting three twelve. The batting average has
Speaker 3: been there. He just doesn't provide a lot in the
Speaker 3: other categories. I'm kind of surprising myself with this one,
Speaker 3: but I think I would probably make the swat for
Speaker 3: Jake Berger. He's hit safely in every game since he's
Speaker 3: been back up to the Bigs. He hit a homer
Speaker 3: off of Hunter Brown the other night. Who's maybe been
Speaker 3: the best pitcher in baseball at this point of the season.
Speaker 3: I think it is Burger, and you also get multi
Speaker 3: eligibility with him. I think he's the call here for me.
Speaker 1: Oh man, I hate this one because, like iron is ridiculous,
Speaker 1: But there's some splits. You know they're gonna platoon Ben
Speaker 1: Rice's profile. I love Burger. I am you know I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go with my gut and say that I'm keeping
Speaker 1: Ben Rice here. But I was a huge Jake Berger guy,
Speaker 1: and I have been a huge buy on Jake Berger
Speaker 1: as he's bouncing back person. But I mean, let me
Speaker 1: pull up here Burger at two eighteen four homers. Things
Speaker 1: have definitely kind of kicked back. Let's see May he's
Speaker 1: he has hitting up to three thirty three. I didn't
Speaker 1: even realize that I'm gonna stick with Ben Rice though.
Speaker 1: I think he's kind of going through his worst parts
Speaker 1: of the year right now. His hitting profile is through
Speaker 1: the freaking roof the Yankees offense. I really like they
Speaker 1: already kind of gave up on Burger a little bit.
Speaker 1: I would rank this God, these guys are all super close.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Reis Berger Ronda, even though Ronda has
Speaker 1: been like one.
Speaker 2: Of the best.
Speaker 1: Like like you said before, offense, Weird doesn't steal bases.
Speaker 1: He's kind of in a little platoony situation. But I
Speaker 1: think these guys are all so especially in the ten
Speaker 1: team league, I think you could cut all of them,
Speaker 1: for any of them and just play the hot hand.
Speaker 4: You agree, yeah. I mean, I mean you said you
Speaker 4: are you guys.
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter.
Speaker 3: The waiver wire as so packed in a ten team
Speaker 3: or the fact that those guys are even available is
Speaker 3: kind of surprising.
Speaker 4: But it's good though. You can you can swap in
Speaker 4: the hot hand.
Speaker 1: Like you said, that's a ten team.
Speaker 2: Ten teams are crazy?
Speaker 4: Man?
Speaker 1: Are we still Augustin Ramirez over Langaliers.
Speaker 4: Augusta's group?
Speaker 3: I No, I would probably have to go Langaliers there.
Speaker 3: I really really like Ramirez. Langaliers has been a top
Speaker 3: five actually, he's ranked number six tech speaking. He's the
Speaker 3: sixth catcher on the season. He's hitting for a better
Speaker 3: average than we thought the powers there. He's even stolen
Speaker 3: a couple bases. I love the ballpark. I think I'd
Speaker 3: have to go Leangaliars. Even though I love Ramirez, I
Speaker 3: couldn't take them over Langley.
Speaker 1: I think I'm going to kind of agree with you
Speaker 1: because we're also now like more than six weeks into
Speaker 1: the year where dude's hitting two fifty. He has an
Speaker 1: expected batting average of two to eighty. The underlying stuff
Speaker 1: is great, and he has dramatically cut his strikeouts down.
Speaker 1: And then you got that little baby ballpark. So yeah,
Speaker 1: it's Langoliers. So Lango Lingoliars is the answer there.
Speaker 2: I'm spraad.
Speaker 1: I thought I would have said posted when I looked
Speaker 1: at it.
Speaker 2: What's fact he's.
Speaker 4: Below fifteen percent strikeout rate. I hadn't realized that he'd cut.
Speaker 3: It that much. That is incredible. That's incredible from what
Speaker 3: it was he was above thirty.
Speaker 1: To have a fifteen percent k percentage guy with ten barrel,
Speaker 1: forty five hard hit and expected batting average thirty points
Speaker 1: higher than where you're at. Give me a break, and
Speaker 1: you're hitting in like a minor league ballpark. Well, by
Speaker 1: the way, is an eighty five percent zone contact rate.
Speaker 1: He makes better contact in the zone than Bryce terrang
Speaker 1: Is this year, and.
Speaker 3: The fact that his own contact rate was eighty two
Speaker 3: up to eighty seven. He's chasing less, swinging strike went
Speaker 3: from thirteen down to eight percent. I didn't realize how
Speaker 3: dramatically he'd.
Speaker 4: Improved this year. Neither amazing.
Speaker 1: I know, it's crazy, all right. A couple quick ones.
Speaker 1: Smith Shaver, is he what Schwellenbach was supposed to be?
Speaker 4: I don't think so.
Speaker 3: I've I added him in a few leagues, and I've
Speaker 3: been very happy with the results, but he's stranding eighty
Speaker 3: five percent of base runners. He's got a two thirty
Speaker 3: three ERA, but he is outperforming all of the other
Speaker 3: ERA estimators. My favorite is Sierra, and that's at three
Speaker 3: ninety nine. You know, the barrel rate against is about
Speaker 3: nine percent forty eight hard hit, ten percent walk rate.
Speaker 3: I'm more inclined to believe this is a hot run
Speaker 3: as opposed to he is the next braves.
Speaker 4: Ace along the lines of Strider and Schwellenbach. I think
Speaker 4: he's good, but I don't think he's this good same SE's.
Speaker 1: I agree with your assessment for eight nine expected ERA,
Speaker 1: giving up one sixteen max TV over ninety average ex
Speaker 1: velocity already, so I'm in agreement here with to Oscar returning.
Speaker 1: Would you drop Austin Hayes or Hove Baias.
Speaker 4: I've been an Austin Hayes guy.
Speaker 3: I did a video, a short video for the channel
Speaker 3: last week trying to sell high on Havy Baias. I
Speaker 3: just don't really buy into it. I'd hate to drop
Speaker 3: him because I think you can maybe get something back
Speaker 3: for him. But between the two options, I probably have
Speaker 3: to drop Bias.
Speaker 4: I think I'm on an island there though.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I might drop Austin Hayes. I mean
Speaker 1: he's played, he's played, he's played well, you know, serviceable.
Speaker 1: But you also have like Will Benson's kicking back up
Speaker 1: where he's hot. You know, guys are getting returning from injury.
Speaker 1: He might have some platoony type of things. Bias is
Speaker 1: going right now. I'm gonna go with the hot hand
Speaker 1: on both of those options. And then lastly, Buez he
Speaker 1: said that he's at a rico. I'll be in Toronto
Speaker 1: in a couple of weeks for from Saint Louis. Just
Speaker 1: wanted to give a shout out hitting up a Blue
Speaker 1: Jays game in Canada's Wonderland.
Speaker 3: Any advice, Oh man, you're gonna be in my neck
Speaker 3: of the woods. Well, there's a lot of fantastic food.
Speaker 3: If you're looking for like actual things to do. In
Speaker 3: terms of activities, there's not a ton in the downtown core.
Speaker 3: Going to Wonderland should be good. The weather's warming up.
Speaker 3: There's Kensington Market, which is a nice area in downtown
Speaker 3: Toronto specifically like in the Chinatown area.
Speaker 4: There's a lot of nice food.
Speaker 3: But Hockey Hall of Fame is also down there. There's
Speaker 3: not a ton of fantastic attractions in the downtown core,
Speaker 3: but it's a nice city. If you're at the Blue
Speaker 3: Jays game, let me know which day are going. I
Speaker 3: go down every now and again. Maybe we'll be able
Speaker 3: to interact and say Hi, hey there you go.
Speaker 4: Love that? All right?
Speaker 1: We have two more topics we were going to hit.
Speaker 1: I told you as a pitcher and a prospect. So
Speaker 1: number three Jacob de Gram is Jacob de Grom, the
Speaker 1: prince that was promised. I was going to do the
Speaker 1: Dune thing.
Speaker 4: But what is it?
Speaker 1: Eel giche BALI, I can't I don't remember what the
Speaker 1: name is.
Speaker 2: You know what I'm talking about? The have you seen
Speaker 2: in the Dune?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 3: Yeah, lista, it's the high ho you are bardemn thing, right,
Speaker 3: Lisa the Gabe or.
Speaker 1: Yeah something whatever it is, yeah, Gabe Davis, whatever it is.
Speaker 1: But is Jacob de Gram fully back two two nine
Speaker 1: era fifty three strikeouts in fifty one innings sub one
Speaker 1: era K percentage is down walks or up from that
Speaker 1: crazy elite thing. But I will tell you something that
Speaker 1: has been pretty focal point in my face is that
Speaker 1: I really think they he paired himself down at the
Speaker 1: beginning of the year, and he has worked himself up.
Speaker 1: We saw some velo increases, We've seen the pitch mixes
Speaker 1: kind of change a little bit. Really seem like there
Speaker 1: might be something in for Jacob de Grom that they're
Speaker 1: working towards for health. They're trying, you know, he's the
Speaker 1: lowest arm angle that he's ever had in his career.
Speaker 1: Last year was like a thirty four degree angle. It's
Speaker 1: at thirty. He's never had a four degree drop. See well,
Speaker 1: actually I guess he did in twenty twenty one to
Speaker 1: twenty two. He had a four degree drop from thirty
Speaker 1: six to thirty two. But it's the lowest arm angle
Speaker 1: of his career. The pitch mix has changed around a
Speaker 1: little bit, but things seem to be coming in. So
Speaker 1: is Jacob de Gram top five sp for you rest
Speaker 1: of season. Knowing that injury history.
Speaker 4: I mean people probably know this.
Speaker 3: I was not quiet about it, but I came into
Speaker 3: the year, excuse me, with Jacob de Gram ranked as
Speaker 3: my number one starting pitcher. People called me fancy slurs
Speaker 3: for that one, and I maybe deserved it. But it's
Speaker 3: looked good so far. The thing is with de Gram
Speaker 3: He's not classic to Grom. This is not prime forty
Speaker 3: five percent strikeout rate, three percent walk rate Jacob de Grom.
Speaker 4: But he's still excellent.
Speaker 3: He is, like you said, kind of learning how to
Speaker 3: pitch again at this newer velocity. The thing that worries
Speaker 3: me a little bit is that he started creeping up
Speaker 3: in terms of the velocity. He's averaging ninety seven on
Speaker 3: the season. I want to see him more in the
Speaker 3: ninety six range. I know that sounds trivial, but every
Speaker 3: tick you add at that range just adds another a
Speaker 3: lot of injury risk, especially when you're Jacob de Gram
Speaker 3: and you're thirty six years old. But I am pretty
Speaker 3: confident in that take from the preseason. As long as
Speaker 3: he doesn't get easy out of hand, and as long
Speaker 3: as the Rangers don't really start using him for like
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty pitches eight innings every single night,
Speaker 3: As long as they're careful, I think we get one
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty one hundred and sixty innings out of
Speaker 3: Jacob b Gram and he wins the cy Young this year.
Speaker 3: I've I've been on that tune since January and I'm
Speaker 3: gonna stick with it.
Speaker 2: Seeing if you were still there. Very interesting.
Speaker 1: The cy Young thing too opens up because I don't
Speaker 1: believe just doing this with Bogman, we're looking at the odds,
Speaker 1: I think it's I don't think he's top five right
Speaker 1: now because I think.
Speaker 2: It's Turk Skuble.
Speaker 1: Freed is like four, Hunter Brown is two. Damn I'm
Speaker 1: forgetting who three is. But we're looking at like Joe
Speaker 1: Ryan when we're doing it, I don't believe de Grom.
Speaker 1: I know he's not on the top four. He might
Speaker 1: not be in the top five of al say Young
Speaker 1: Award voting. So there's some still pretty good odds if
Speaker 1: you want to play it. And also in the trade market,
Speaker 1: I think this is about the time where if you
Speaker 1: have I don't know why Jacob de Gram owner who's
Speaker 1: super fearful, would would have him in the first place,
Speaker 1: But if they did, they might start thinking injuries are coming,
Speaker 1: injuries are coming. I need to get out while I
Speaker 1: still can. Yes, they can maximize value, but that type
Speaker 1: of person would be wanting to get out if if
Speaker 1: you're not a non believer. Last one.
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's still fifteen to one. He's still fifteen to
Speaker 4: one in the cy Young odds.
Speaker 2: It's not bad.
Speaker 1: That's honestly, that's not bad, especially with the Rangers underperforming.
Speaker 1: If everything starts to click, Seeger gets back, Burger starts hitting,
Speaker 1: and Simeon starts hitting offenses rolling. I mean, everything that
Speaker 1: Ivaldi has been is where Jacob da Grom could go.
Speaker 1: And I think Ivaldi, I think he's a top five
Speaker 1: guy in the the odds market. I think he's all wrong.
Speaker 3: Right above him, right above him, eleven to one, it's
Speaker 3: scooball Brown Crochet, freed of aald and Gram right now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Dull Crochet was the one I wasn't thinking of
Speaker 1: all right, last one. Jack cagleone has been moved up
Speaker 1: to Triple A. That means he has one call away
Speaker 1: from the majors. He's played outfield first. He hit over
Speaker 1: three hundred at Double A. He wasn't striking out. The
Speaker 1: Royals have some needs. I'm not necessarily sure it's first
Speaker 1: base or DH with guys like Vinnie and Salvador Perez,
Speaker 1: but he's creating some outfield eligibility over under. Jack cagleone
Speaker 1: is in the majors by the All Star break.
Speaker 4: Oh, I think he should be.
Speaker 3: I think I honestly, when I saw people posting graphics
Speaker 3: of him.
Speaker 4: I thought he got called up to the big leagues
Speaker 4: because the one call away thing.
Speaker 3: We've seen that a lot more recently in the last
Speaker 3: couple of years, the Double A, you're kind of a
Speaker 3: call away. And with the way he's been hitting, the
Speaker 3: fact that the Royals have been a pathetic offense this
Speaker 3: season as a whole, they're a bottom three or four offense.
Speaker 3: The only teams worse offensively this year the White Sox,
Speaker 3: the Pirates and the Rockies. I thought they were gonna
Speaker 3: am I am I crazy to think that he could
Speaker 3: be up any day, Like, if he has a week,
Speaker 3: he could.
Speaker 1: I said it a couple of weeks ago, like I
Speaker 1: would not be shocked if they moved him from Double
Speaker 1: A to the majors. But you know, maybe they they
Speaker 1: want to see him take the challenge of a league,
Speaker 1: Maybe they want him to work a little bit more outfield,
Speaker 1: whatever those things are. You can make every case in
Speaker 1: the world that he should be up right now. And
Speaker 1: I now think we've gone from a like, oh, yeah, maybe.
Speaker 2: He's up this year too.
Speaker 1: No, he's up this year, but it's now the timeline
Speaker 1: of win and I think I kind of think it's
Speaker 1: going to be right after the All Star break where
Speaker 1: they're going to bring him up. But listen, if he
Speaker 1: just sets off another two weeks of hitting over three hundred,
Speaker 1: not striking out, maybe play some outfield, June might hit
Speaker 1: and he might be up. So June is the time
Speaker 1: where you should really really make sure. If you can sooner, great,
Speaker 1: but you should really make sure. If Jackkaglian is sitting
Speaker 1: out there, I think the clock is ticking very quickly.
Speaker 1: Where we've moved away from the Nick Kurtz watch, we're
Speaker 1: on Bubbo Chandler watch. There is the slimmest of chances
Speaker 1: right now, Jack hagleone could maybe beat Roman Anthony to
Speaker 1: the majors, you know, because it looks like the Red
Speaker 1: Sox are prepping Marcella Mayer to come up here very
Speaker 1: very shortly. Because you've got Christian Campbell playing first, we
Speaker 1: still don't have that spot for Roman Anthony own beats him.
Speaker 2: That would be.
Speaker 4: Crazy, wouldn't surprise me at all.
Speaker 3: I mean, the Red Sox are kind of in the
Speaker 3: same window where I thought the Orioles were in the
Speaker 3: last year or two of you have too many prospects,
Speaker 3: you probably need to trade one or two of them,
Speaker 3: or else you need to start learning new positions. I
Speaker 3: know it was Christian Campbell, I think the other day
Speaker 3: taking reps at first Is it crazy? You think they
Speaker 3: should trade Mayor for a first basement or maybe even
Speaker 3: Anthony and get a first basement of proper first basement.
Speaker 3: I don't know, but it seems like they have too
Speaker 3: many mouths to feed now.
Speaker 1: They should let him work at first base. You don't
Speaker 1: trade Roman Anthony just to get a first baseman. Probably
Speaker 1: not may Or either, unless you've got the elite of
Speaker 1: the elite and those guys aren't available, like who you're
Speaker 1: gonna trade them for. You're not gonna trade Josh Bell
Speaker 1: to get Roman Anthony. No, you let him work at it.
Speaker 1: But they're letting Campbell do it. But either way, cagli
Speaker 1: Own and Anthony might be a way sooner at the
Speaker 1: same time period than I think a lot of people expected.
Speaker 1: You can find Joe Rico Joe Rico ninety nine on Twitter,
Speaker 1: find me is it the Welsh and you can also
Speaker 1: catch mister Joe Pizapia and myself Wednesday on YouTube four
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Speaker 1: thing that we do coming right off of it. So
Speaker 1: but just come and hang out with us. Tons of
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Speaker 1: Thank you to everybody that hung out with us for
Speaker 1: Joe Rico. I'm Chris Welsh. We will talk to you
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