WEBVTT - Cleaning Up: Prospect Breakdowns and Expectations + Jacob deGrom, Corbin Burnes, and More! (Ep. 1018)

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<v Speaker 1>What's up, friends, and welcome into Fantasy Pros MLB. This

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<v Speaker 1>is cleaning up a little extra podcast for your fantasy

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<v Speaker 1>baseball repertoire. We have been out for a little bit,

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<v Speaker 1>but Joe Rico and I we're in our brand new

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<v Speaker 1>time over on the Fantasy Pros Discord five pm Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>on Monday. That is where the show has moved to.

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<v Speaker 1>We are here to gauge with you. We got a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of topics we're gonna hit. Kind of a shorter hitting,

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<v Speaker 1>easy podcast, but also open to the community where when

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<v Speaker 1>we are on Discord, people can come and hang out.

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<v Speaker 1>They can drop questions, they can raise their hand, they

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<v Speaker 1>can be a part of the show. You yes, you

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<v Speaker 1>could be a part of the show. All you gotta

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<v Speaker 1>do is join our Fantasy Pros Discord community at Fantasypros

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<v Speaker 1>dot com, slash chat chat with other fans, get access

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<v Speaker 1>to exclusive amas that wind up on our podcast feed,

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<v Speaker 1>and then, as mentioned, you're cana hang out with Joe

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<v Speaker 1>and I Monday's at five pm Eastern.

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<v Speaker 2>Come and get your questions answered and be on the show.

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<v Speaker 1>Fantasypros dot Com slash Chat. Mister Joe Alrico, we did

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of shows together last week.

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<v Speaker 2>Right back at it.

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<v Speaker 3>How are you, buddy, I'm good man. It's going to

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<v Speaker 3>be back up to one hundred percent. Apologies to the

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<v Speaker 3>listeners for missing the last couple of weeks and switching

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<v Speaker 3>things up on them, but hopefully outside of next week

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<v Speaker 3>we should be able to keep this going the rest

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<v Speaker 3>of the season. I'm excited to talk some ball with you,

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<v Speaker 3>my friend.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we get some good short hitting stuff here in

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<v Speaker 1>an opportunity for anybody. I mean, you know, we have

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<v Speaker 1>created a bunch of fun opportunities for people to interact.

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<v Speaker 1>Monday through Friday, twelve pm Eastern, Leading Off on Twitch,

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<v Speaker 1>we do that. We get some interaction Wednesdays on YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>at four pm Eastern.

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<v Speaker 2>Piece of p and I.

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<v Speaker 1>Are live for a full hour, just straight answering questions,

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<v Speaker 1>and this show kind of can serve as another similar

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<v Speaker 1>piece of that. If it doesn't happen on leading off

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<v Speaker 1>or whatever, you guys can jump in here and you

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<v Speaker 1>can get some of your questions answered and that can

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<v Speaker 1>help dictate the show. But I got a couple offerings.

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<v Speaker 1>We are going to start this show off with Joe Rico,

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<v Speaker 1>and the first one is a little prospectee type of thing.

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<v Speaker 1>We got a couple little prospect he ones. But you'll

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<v Speaker 1>be able to handle this fine, because Matt Shaw being

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<v Speaker 1>called back up to the majors, And I think this

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<v Speaker 1>is putting a big question into Moisist Ballisterio's value moving

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<v Speaker 1>forward unless they cut bait on A Kelly or an

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<v Speaker 1>a Maya, because Bush is the first baseman. Shaw's gonna

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<v Speaker 1>come back and play third, presumably, and that puts a

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<v Speaker 1>question into Ballisteros. So Ballisteros isn't really even kind of

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<v Speaker 1>the question here. But my curiousness first is what is

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<v Speaker 1>your valuation on Matt Shaw? Is he a must add player?

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<v Speaker 1>After his struggles, he went back to the miners, got

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<v Speaker 1>back pretty good. Is he a must add in fantasy formats?

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<v Speaker 3>I think in the majority of leagues I would take

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<v Speaker 3>a chance on him. If you're playing in one of

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<v Speaker 3>those super shallow ten team leagues, maybe not.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know that.

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<v Speaker 3>I'd say he's a top ten third baseman. But in

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<v Speaker 3>the minors, twenty four games, six homers, five steals, he's

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<v Speaker 3>walking more than he's striking out, only a ten percent strikeout, right, Like,

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<v Speaker 3>he's done some really good stuff, and that lineup is

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<v Speaker 3>very good in Chicago. The only problem there is that

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<v Speaker 3>he'll be at the bottom of it. Now you can

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<v Speaker 3>argue like it's going to turn over to the top

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<v Speaker 3>of the order and he should be on base, should

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<v Speaker 3>be able to score some runs.

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<v Speaker 4>I'd like him. I think in twelve teamers and deeper,

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<v Speaker 4>i'd be picking them up.

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<v Speaker 1>I think I agree with you on that the must

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<v Speaker 1>add kind of adage. I think it's overplayed a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit sometimes, but I think he falls into that territory,

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<v Speaker 1>like there's a lot of offensive upside, especially if he

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<v Speaker 1>fixed what he needed to, you know. I mean, this

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<v Speaker 1>team is going to be highly competitive. The only negative

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<v Speaker 1>is that maybe he's hitting a little bit lower in

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<v Speaker 1>the lineup.

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<v Speaker 2>At the end of the day.

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<v Speaker 1>So let me ask you this, though we both agree,

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Shaw or Nick Kurtz, who would you want rest

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<v Speaker 1>of season?

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<v Speaker 4>A good question.

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<v Speaker 3>I think there's probably not a huge difference in value overall,

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<v Speaker 3>but I would probably slightly lean towards Shaw. A lot

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<v Speaker 3>of times you see guys struggle a little bit, they

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<v Speaker 3>go back down, and then once they get called up

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<v Speaker 3>for a second, sometimes a third time, that's when it

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<v Speaker 3>really clicks for them.

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<v Speaker 4>With Kurtz.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, you know, we were hanging our hat on

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<v Speaker 3>the batting average. I heard you and Joe talking about

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<v Speaker 3>this earlier. It's down to two nineteen with the strikeouts

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<v Speaker 3>where they are for Kurtz.

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<v Speaker 4>I think if the.

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<v Speaker 3>Option is one or the other at this point, I'd

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<v Speaker 3>be okay to drop Kurts for Shaw.

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<v Speaker 1>I think I'm a I think I'm a Kurtz guy

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<v Speaker 1>on this one. The only thing is if you're chasing

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<v Speaker 1>chasing the stolen bases, it's a little bit better on

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<v Speaker 1>the Matt Shaw side, assuming he like kind of kicks

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<v Speaker 1>it back, But I think Kurts is gonna ultimately hit

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<v Speaker 1>higher in the lineup. It's a great ballpark factor. There

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<v Speaker 1>seem to be some ulterior options that the Cubs have.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's a tough one. I'd be curious to

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<v Speaker 1>where people are at on that. You can drop it

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<v Speaker 1>on the podcast comments that we have and anybody hanging

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<v Speaker 1>in the live is Kurts or Matt Shaw? Rest of season?

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<v Speaker 1>Which one would.

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<v Speaker 4>You rather have?

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<v Speaker 1>Question number two is Corbyn Burns back. This is a

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<v Speaker 1>very important one, especially to me, Joey, and also not

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<v Speaker 1>just because I have been pretty loudly on the Corbyn

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<v Speaker 1>burn Well, I think one of my arguments was he

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<v Speaker 1>is one of the few players that has almost no

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<v Speaker 1>data that is giving me a case to tell you

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<v Speaker 1>that he's going to bounce back. But I think he'll

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<v Speaker 1>bounce back, and that kind of has happened. His villo

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<v Speaker 1>had been down all season his last two starts. After

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<v Speaker 1>he had that rest, villa was back up around a

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<v Speaker 1>mile ish per hour. He's sporting a two five six ERA,

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<v Speaker 1>which looks great, but he's got a really high whip

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<v Speaker 1>and expected ERA that's pretty dang high. There's some negatives,

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<v Speaker 1>but a lot of the overarching negatives are masked because

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<v Speaker 1>his last two starts he's been absolutely dominant. He's gone

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<v Speaker 1>nowhere and runs over his last two I believe it's

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<v Speaker 1>seven and six. The strikeouts are way up. So the

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<v Speaker 1>question is Corbyn burns back to being like a top

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<v Speaker 1>ten sp.

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<v Speaker 3>I wouldn't go quite that far, but he's definitely quelled

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<v Speaker 3>some of my worries that I had, even just as

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<v Speaker 3>recently as a couple of weeks ago. You know, last

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<v Speaker 3>season he had a two ninety two ERA and a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of the metrics weren't that great. You know, he

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<v Speaker 3>outperformed a lot of the expected eras and phips of

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<v Speaker 3>the world.

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<v Speaker 4>Strikeout rate was down, and he still did well.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think Burns is one of those guys who

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<v Speaker 3>can make a lot of adjustments. He's still elite in

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<v Speaker 3>the sense of, I mean, I'm going to butcher the

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<v Speaker 3>wording of this year. I think he is elite, but

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<v Speaker 3>he's not quite in that top ten sp one range.

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<v Speaker 3>I think he's just a really smart pitcher. And even

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<v Speaker 3>if he's not, you know, racking up the strikeouts like

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<v Speaker 3>this year's pretty pedestrian twenty two percent strikeout right, the

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<v Speaker 3>walks throughout the season have been awful eleven percent.

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<v Speaker 4>But he's still.

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<v Speaker 3>Somebody that it just hard to be that that worried about.

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<v Speaker 3>I wouldn't be rushing out to try and trade a

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<v Speaker 3>bunch for him, but I think if you have him,

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<v Speaker 3>he's not somebody that I'd be trying to sell. Like

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<v Speaker 3>as of a few weeks ago, I was more in

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<v Speaker 3>the camp of I'd be looking to get out from

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<v Speaker 3>under him if you can get an sp one. But

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<v Speaker 3>even with the data still not being that great, I

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<v Speaker 3>don't think I'm all that concerned about Burns. Good team context,

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<v Speaker 3>He's gonna win a lot of games. I think we'll

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<v Speaker 3>still see an era, even if it's not quite this low.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it'll be somewhere at worst like three, four,

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<v Speaker 3>three five. I still think he's very good. I just

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<v Speaker 3>don't think he's quite in that top ten SP one

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<v Speaker 3>range like the solid.

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<v Speaker 2>SB two for sure, top fifteen.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I have to redo my starting pitcher rankings, but

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<v Speaker 3>I think i'd probably have him somewhere in the fifteen

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<v Speaker 3>ish range.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, something like that.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, I guess because one of the things I'm curious

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<v Speaker 1>about is, let's say he has a less than stellar

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<v Speaker 1>start that comes up here expected dra is kind of

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<v Speaker 1>maybe telling us that story. Maybe he you know, pushes

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<v Speaker 1>back a little bit. If he gets one boos is

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<v Speaker 1>ra up maybe over three? Is that a time that

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<v Speaker 1>you would buy? Like, have you seen enough in these

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<v Speaker 1>last two return starts that if he has kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a bad one in the buying window kicks back up,

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<v Speaker 1>you would do it? Or is he kind of on

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<v Speaker 1>thin ice a little bit because you know, Whip has

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<v Speaker 1>been up walks or up, Velo has been down, like

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<v Speaker 1>what side Like, let's say he gives up like five

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<v Speaker 1>in his next one, and that gets him over a

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<v Speaker 1>three era Are you I don't want to buy? Or

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<v Speaker 1>are you like this is your opportunity?

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<v Speaker 3>It wouldn't excite me, but I think it would really

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<v Speaker 3>depend on what the cost is, what the other person

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<v Speaker 3>wants in return type of thing, because if he does

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<v Speaker 3>have a really bad start, then you kind of have

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<v Speaker 3>to wonder like, was this just the fact of he

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<v Speaker 3>faced the Rockies And I know he had a good

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<v Speaker 3>start against the Dodgers and the Mets as well, but

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<v Speaker 3>I've walked against the Mets. Even at seven innings against

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<v Speaker 3>the Dodgers it was five strikeouts. He's not classic Corbyn Burns,

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<v Speaker 3>so if he does start getting knocked around a little

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<v Speaker 3>bit again, it will make me worry, like he is

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<v Speaker 3>not Corbyn Burns of the you know, the early days

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<v Speaker 3>in Milwaukee anymore. I think he can adjust and still

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<v Speaker 3>be really good. But if we start seeing him get

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<v Speaker 3>blown up, and I don't have the schedule pulled up

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<v Speaker 3>in front of me, let's see, so Burns, his next

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<v Speaker 3>start is against the Dodgers again on Wednesday, So maybe

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<v Speaker 3>we shouldn't sound the alarm fully because it's the Dodgers,

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<v Speaker 3>but I'd like to see that's.

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<v Speaker 1>Like the prime spot. That's what I'm talking about. Like,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, he blanked the Dodgers in his last and

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<v Speaker 1>let's say he gives up like four and runs goes

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<v Speaker 1>five or something. People are like, oh, here we go.

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<v Speaker 1>It's like, is that the opportunity to go and jump?

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<v Speaker 1>I think it is. I kind of think it is.

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<v Speaker 1>The Diamondbacks need him. He's going to press Filo kind

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<v Speaker 1>of coming back up. I am worried about the you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the era estimators, like it's going to go one way

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<v Speaker 1>or the other that expects they expected era is either

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<v Speaker 1>gonna live a little bit more in reality or it's

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<v Speaker 1>going to come back down. It's almost a two run differential.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not uncommon, especially for him. Actually, as I'm looking

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<v Speaker 1>at it, I see some years where he has run

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<v Speaker 1>about a run higher expected or lower than his actual era.

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<v Speaker 1>But the last couple they have coincided well together that

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<v Speaker 1>like one way or another, they're going to match up.

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<v Speaker 2>But I still just think I think there's a.

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<v Speaker 1>Negative connotation that's going on with him right now, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's why I think he's a bible all of us.

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<v Speaker 3>What I will say is, if we finish up the

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<v Speaker 3>season and Corbyn burns has a two nine ERA and

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<v Speaker 3>he has something like what we're seeing now and terms

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<v Speaker 3>of the expected stats like a four something XCRA. I

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<v Speaker 3>think that would be my time to tap out on

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<v Speaker 3>him for next year though, with the strikeouts where they are,

0:10:08.600 --> 0:10:11.160
<v Speaker 3>with the whip rising, with the walk rate, like if

0:10:11.160 --> 0:10:13.199
<v Speaker 3>we see another year where he's kind of skating by

0:10:13.240 --> 0:10:15.199
<v Speaker 3>the advanced metrics, I think then that's going to be

0:10:15.280 --> 0:10:17.000
<v Speaker 3>cause for trouble as he enters into his thirties a

0:10:17.040 --> 0:10:17.400
<v Speaker 3>little bit.

0:10:17.559 --> 0:10:18.000
<v Speaker 2>I like that.

0:10:18.880 --> 0:10:21.360
<v Speaker 1>We got two more. We got another prospect based question

0:10:21.440 --> 0:10:24.640
<v Speaker 1>and another picture question. But let's get to the audience.

0:10:24.679 --> 0:10:27.079
<v Speaker 1>We got some people hanging with us in the live discord,

0:10:27.520 --> 0:10:29.520
<v Speaker 1>which as always, you guys can come and check out

0:10:29.520 --> 0:10:33.000
<v Speaker 1>at fantasypros dot com slash chat. We would love to

0:10:33.000 --> 0:10:35.480
<v Speaker 1>have you guys there every week. We got lots of

0:10:35.679 --> 0:10:38.480
<v Speaker 1>other different great stuff as well the offerings, and there's

0:10:38.480 --> 0:10:39.199
<v Speaker 1>a cool community.

0:10:39.240 --> 0:10:40.880
<v Speaker 2>So you want to join a community.

0:10:40.559 --> 0:10:42.600
<v Speaker 1>That's into all the stuff that you are, we'll check

0:10:42.640 --> 0:10:45.120
<v Speaker 1>it out. And remember brand new time. We used to

0:10:45.160 --> 0:10:48.040
<v Speaker 1>be Wednesdays at two pm Eastern for this five pm

0:10:48.040 --> 0:10:51.440
<v Speaker 1>easterns on Monday on Monday, and I believe we're not

0:10:51.520 --> 0:10:55.120
<v Speaker 1>here next week because of Memorial Day, so just keep

0:10:55.120 --> 0:10:57.439
<v Speaker 1>that in your pocket. Let's get to some of the

0:10:57.520 --> 0:11:01.560
<v Speaker 1>questions though from the audience. First one up from be Weazy,

0:11:01.679 --> 0:11:05.600
<v Speaker 1>How are feeling about Westburg? If and when he comes back?

0:11:05.720 --> 0:11:07.720
<v Speaker 1>Are you still a buyer on Jordan Westberg or not?

0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:11.760
<v Speaker 4>It's a little concerning right now.

0:11:11.800 --> 0:11:14.120
<v Speaker 3>The last thing that I saw is that his rehab

0:11:14.240 --> 0:11:16.160
<v Speaker 3>was going to be delayed due to a setback in

0:11:16.240 --> 0:11:22.920
<v Speaker 3>his hamstring. I'm I'm not dropping him, but my expectations

0:11:22.920 --> 0:11:25.280
<v Speaker 3>are pretty low, especially with the way the Orioles have

0:11:25.360 --> 0:11:28.400
<v Speaker 3>just been a complete disaster. I think we have to

0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:30.960
<v Speaker 3>kind of recalibrate those expectations that we had coming into

0:11:31.000 --> 0:11:33.640
<v Speaker 3>the season of maybe he's a twenty ten guy with

0:11:33.720 --> 0:11:36.160
<v Speaker 3>a good batting average. I think he's still worth holding

0:11:36.160 --> 0:11:38.160
<v Speaker 3>on to, but I'm not expecting the world anymore.

0:11:38.480 --> 0:11:40.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't think I'm expecting the world, but I will

0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:43.240
<v Speaker 1>say a lot of that profile that we got excited

0:11:43.240 --> 0:11:45.680
<v Speaker 1>about and we were touting, it's still kind of there.

0:11:45.880 --> 0:11:48.480
<v Speaker 1>Like he was barreling the ball up more, he was

0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:51.320
<v Speaker 1>hitting the ball really hard, he wasn't striking out more,

0:11:51.400 --> 0:11:52.960
<v Speaker 1>walking about the same he's expected.

0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:53.920
<v Speaker 2>He expected.

0:11:53.920 --> 0:11:56.920
<v Speaker 1>Batting average was down a tiny bit, but also like

0:11:56.960 --> 0:11:59.880
<v Speaker 1>he was struggling and he was underperforming against forcing fast

0:11:59.840 --> 0:12:03.960
<v Speaker 1>which is not something that maintains, especially for great or

0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:06.440
<v Speaker 1>good fastball hitters. He hit two ninety four last year.

0:12:06.559 --> 0:12:09.600
<v Speaker 1>He's hitting one oh seven against forcing fastballs. That's gonna adjust.

0:12:09.679 --> 0:12:11.679
<v Speaker 1>So I tend to think he's a buyback. But at

0:12:11.679 --> 0:12:13.880
<v Speaker 1>this point he's probably a guy that gets cut and

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:16.400
<v Speaker 1>you can pick up. I'm not sure he's super worth.

0:12:16.480 --> 0:12:18.679
<v Speaker 1>Like holding on to also.

0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:21.800
<v Speaker 3>Question injury base. My concern is just more about the

0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:23.840
<v Speaker 3>injury setbacks. Like I don't think he's a bad player

0:12:23.880 --> 0:12:25.440
<v Speaker 3>at all, but when you look at the injury plus

0:12:25.520 --> 0:12:28.439
<v Speaker 3>the lineup under performing around him, he could be a

0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:30.480
<v Speaker 3>good by low but I wouldn't pay a lot for

0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:31.760
<v Speaker 3>him if you're going to be if you're going to

0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:33.880
<v Speaker 3>be trading for him or using a top priority.

0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:37.079
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, and he's not deserved of it. So torn

0:12:37.120 --> 0:12:39.720
<v Speaker 1>on keeping Kim Hey Sun Kim from the Dodgers, He's

0:12:39.720 --> 0:12:40.680
<v Speaker 1>been good when he plays.

0:12:40.720 --> 0:12:41.720
<v Speaker 2>It's a roto league.

0:12:41.800 --> 0:12:44.199
<v Speaker 1>We got a little bit extra of a positive push

0:12:44.280 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 1>because they designated Chris Taylor for assignment. That was to

0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:51.040
<v Speaker 1>keep him because Taoscar Hernandez just came back and then

0:12:51.200 --> 0:12:54.080
<v Speaker 1>they sent down James Outman, So like they want to

0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:57.439
<v Speaker 1>keep Kim on this lineup, on this team. He's never

0:12:57.480 --> 0:12:59.320
<v Speaker 1>going to hit high, so I mean that is one

0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:00.920
<v Speaker 1>thing that you're on percent going to have to come

0:13:00.960 --> 0:13:02.959
<v Speaker 1>to terms with. But he's in four to fifty two.

0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:06.360
<v Speaker 1>He's stealing bases, he's not striking out. He's become he

0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:09.200
<v Speaker 1>looks like a valuable piece. So the question is is

0:13:09.240 --> 0:13:11.480
<v Speaker 1>he worth it? Let's say in uh, well, I mean

0:13:11.480 --> 0:13:14.199
<v Speaker 1>it's fifty he says, Rotos. I'm gonna ssume fifteen team Rotos.

0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:16.040
<v Speaker 1>So let's start there and we'll push it to twelve

0:13:16.040 --> 0:13:17.240
<v Speaker 1>and see what do you think.

0:13:18.280 --> 0:13:20.800
<v Speaker 4>Is he worth as a keeper for next year?

0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:24.400
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, I guess he said. I think when

0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:25.400
<v Speaker 2>he says keeping.

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:28.000
<v Speaker 1>Kim, I think it's talking about like not making a

0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 1>move in redraft. I'm not assuming that that's a keeper

0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:31.760
<v Speaker 1>league question.

0:13:32.960 --> 0:13:36.480
<v Speaker 3>Well, we're talking about redraft. I mean, he has definitely

0:13:36.520 --> 0:13:38.800
<v Speaker 3>got to be on rosters. He's hitting four fifty two.

0:13:38.840 --> 0:13:41.600
<v Speaker 3>I know we're only talking about fourteen games, but he

0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:44.400
<v Speaker 3>doesn't strike out a lot. Even like being at the

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 3>bottom of that order, you're getting turned over to Otani, Betts, Freeman, Hernandez,

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:50.640
<v Speaker 3>will Smith like he is going to score, and we

0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:53.319
<v Speaker 3>have seen that so far with Kim nine runs in

0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:56.760
<v Speaker 3>fourteen games, he is three for three and stolen base opportunities.

0:13:57.320 --> 0:13:59.200
<v Speaker 3>This is not a guy I would even consider dropping,

0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:01.000
<v Speaker 3>even though he's not playing against lefties. He's a muss

0:14:01.080 --> 0:14:02.160
<v Speaker 3>roster player in my view.

0:14:02.360 --> 0:14:05.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, well said, and I agree, especially with the stolen

0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:08.920
<v Speaker 1>base upside points leagues to even be better. You could argue,

0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:11.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you don't believe, maybe there's a ton

0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:16.000
<v Speaker 1>of like counting stat upside, maybe there's some questions there.

0:14:16.280 --> 0:14:17.840
<v Speaker 1>But I think they're going to find time for him,

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:20.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think the rosters filling out like that. They

0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:23.720
<v Speaker 1>moved on from guys like Barnes and then they moved

0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:27.280
<v Speaker 1>on from Chris Taylor. I think you're more you would

0:14:27.280 --> 0:14:31.000
<v Speaker 1>be more likely to lose Dalton Varshow at adult Varshow

0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:33.480
<v Speaker 1>Dalton rushing than you would Kim at this point. So

0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:35.320
<v Speaker 1>I think he's kind of locked in in So I

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:40.480
<v Speaker 1>agree with you. I agree Boren is Miguel Is this

0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:44.040
<v Speaker 1>Miguel Vargas breakout for real? Vargas has been on a

0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 1>whole new thing in May I think it's like two

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 1>ninety seven in May. We're seeing power, we're seeing all

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 1>the stuff that actually got me excited in the preseason

0:14:51.640 --> 0:14:53.800
<v Speaker 1>about him. Hits at the top of the lineup. But

0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:56.160
<v Speaker 1>it is for as bad of a team as you

0:14:56.200 --> 0:15:01.440
<v Speaker 1>could possibly be. So do you believe in Miguel Vargas.

0:15:02.640 --> 0:15:04.800
<v Speaker 4>I do believe in him. You know.

0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:07.040
<v Speaker 3>I was somebody who always thought the Dodgers should have

0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:09.240
<v Speaker 3>given him another opportunity. I thought they'd moved on from

0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:11.480
<v Speaker 3>him a little bit quickly. He's only twenty four when

0:15:11.480 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 3>they got rid of him. The fact that he plays

0:15:13.400 --> 0:15:15.480
<v Speaker 3>for a bad team on the surface, that will keep

0:15:15.480 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 3>people away from him. But forty four games, he has

0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 3>twenty runs, twenty one RBI. That's not the end of

0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:24.680
<v Speaker 3>the world. It's really not one fourteen WRC plus, he's

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 3>has six homers. He's getting on base at a good clip.

0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:29.040
<v Speaker 3>He doesn't strike out a lot. He's cut the strikeout

0:15:29.120 --> 0:15:31.560
<v Speaker 3>rate from twenty four percent down to seventeen percent.

0:15:32.120 --> 0:15:32.840
<v Speaker 4>I like him a lot.

0:15:32.880 --> 0:15:34.560
<v Speaker 3>The fact that it's a bad team just means there's

0:15:34.600 --> 0:15:36.560
<v Speaker 3>going to be more opportunities. There's no chance that he's

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:38.560
<v Speaker 3>going to get removed from the top of the order,

0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:41.200
<v Speaker 3>he's going to lose playing time. Miguel Vargas is locked

0:15:41.200 --> 0:15:44.040
<v Speaker 3>into that one through four area in the order, And

0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:46.640
<v Speaker 3>while I'd prefer somebody better than Josh Pelasio is hitting

0:15:46.640 --> 0:15:49.600
<v Speaker 3>behind him, I think that Vargus's breakout is pretty legit.

0:15:50.240 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 1>I kind of agree with you on that too. I've

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 1>always thought like the way that he can make contact,

0:15:55.280 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 1>that he's going to run into good power. He's striking

0:15:58.080 --> 0:15:59.800
<v Speaker 1>out less than he's ever done before.

0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:01.800
<v Speaker 2>It's just minimal.

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:03.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, He's not going to have a lot of

0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:06.240
<v Speaker 1>great RBI opportunities, not a lot of great run opportunities

0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:09.120
<v Speaker 1>if he If he were on back on the Dodgers,

0:16:09.160 --> 0:16:11.160
<v Speaker 1>we'd be having a completely different discussion. I me, who

0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 1>would you rather have, Miguel Vargus or High Sun Kim.

0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 4>I probably would go with Kim.

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:19.240
<v Speaker 3>I just think the counting stats are going to be bigger,

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 3>the power with Vargas is going to be better, but not.

0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:24.320
<v Speaker 4>To a degree that I would take him over Kim.

0:16:24.400 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 1>Still, I think it's close, Yeah, just close, close for sure. Yeah,

0:16:30.080 --> 0:16:33.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, like lead off top hitter with power projection

0:16:33.160 --> 0:16:34.840
<v Speaker 1>over a guy who's going to hit number nine for

0:16:34.880 --> 0:16:38.120
<v Speaker 1>the Dodgers. Occasionally you know are part time ISHU.

0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:41.560
<v Speaker 3>So yeah, I get both. I get going with both

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 3>of them. I would understand going either way. I think

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 3>for me, I would just go with the Dodger over

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:49.240
<v Speaker 3>the White Sox, even though there's a different situation in

0:16:49.240 --> 0:16:51.640
<v Speaker 3>the lineup and everything else. But I would have a

0:16:51.680 --> 0:16:53.760
<v Speaker 3>hard time going with Vargas over Kim. They should both

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:54.760
<v Speaker 3>be on every roster though.

0:16:54.800 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 1>I think, yeah, Papa Doc trying to get another outfielder depth,

0:16:58.640 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 1>trying to get another outfielder death and have someone interested

0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 1>in trading Edmund. Should I trade Terrang or Perdomo to

0:17:04.680 --> 0:17:06.080
<v Speaker 1>grab him? What do you think?

0:17:08.359 --> 0:17:11.679
<v Speaker 3>I think either one would be reasonable. I was a

0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:14.639
<v Speaker 3>big Bryce Terrang fan, not at the beginning of the season,

0:17:14.880 --> 0:17:17.119
<v Speaker 3>but once the season started I thought his power was

0:17:17.160 --> 0:17:19.000
<v Speaker 3>going to be a lot more legit after that first

0:17:19.000 --> 0:17:19.520
<v Speaker 3>couple of weeks.

0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:20.480
<v Speaker 4>He has not homers in the.

0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:23.400
<v Speaker 3>Last thirty days, but the overall line is still very good.

0:17:23.440 --> 0:17:24.960
<v Speaker 3>I think you can get a lot for him back

0:17:24.960 --> 0:17:28.359
<v Speaker 3>in a trade for Perdomo. You're probably more equipped to

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:31.760
<v Speaker 3>answer this question being the DBAX guy. But he's been outstanding.

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:34.200
<v Speaker 3>He's hitting three hundred with five homers and eleven steals.

0:17:34.240 --> 0:17:36.159
<v Speaker 3>I would prefer to hold Perdomo. If I was going

0:17:36.200 --> 0:17:39.640
<v Speaker 3>to deal one of them, I'd prefer to trade terrang Ooh.

0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:41.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm actually surprised about that.

0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:42.320
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:44.960
<v Speaker 1>The thing I love about Perdomo has been that he

0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:47.240
<v Speaker 1>hits in a prominent spot in the lineup. He's going

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:50.399
<v Speaker 1>to score runs, he's getting RBI's power, stolen bases, He's

0:17:50.480 --> 0:17:53.360
<v Speaker 1>kind of doing everything that's kind of the Tommy Edmond thing,

0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:56.480
<v Speaker 1>except Edmund has been weird with his batting average this year,

0:17:56.800 --> 0:17:58.879
<v Speaker 1>but he's always going to hit in a prominent spot.

0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:03.280
<v Speaker 1>Rang still has the underlying stuff where you're like wow,

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:05.679
<v Speaker 1>Like he's hitting the ball harder than he's ever done before.

0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:09.480
<v Speaker 1>He's tripled his barrel percentage. These are things that it's like,

0:18:10.119 --> 0:18:13.240
<v Speaker 1>if this happens dot dot dot, but it hasn't.

0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:14.920
<v Speaker 2>Really, he's lost a lot.

0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:17.439
<v Speaker 1>Of zone contact percentage. It's it's gone from like elite

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:19.320
<v Speaker 1>to like down at the bottom. He is not pulling.

0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:21.160
<v Speaker 1>He's pulling the ball less in the air than he's

0:18:21.160 --> 0:18:23.639
<v Speaker 1>ever done before, which those are things that make me

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:26.679
<v Speaker 1>think as much as these other skill sets are kind

0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:28.600
<v Speaker 1>of changing, you know, Oh I'm barreling and I'm hitting

0:18:28.600 --> 0:18:30.639
<v Speaker 1>hard that he's just not going to step into like

0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:33.960
<v Speaker 1>significant power that I kind of think like him and

0:18:33.960 --> 0:18:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Todd Tommy Edmond could be similar ish players, just more

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.959
<v Speaker 1>solen bases for Terrang, more homers for Edmund. I think

0:18:39.960 --> 0:18:42.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna agree with you on that because Perdomo is

0:18:42.800 --> 0:18:44.879
<v Speaker 1>really weird and interesting, but I think I want to

0:18:44.880 --> 0:18:46.920
<v Speaker 1>hold on to it because of that elite batting average.

0:18:47.640 --> 0:18:49.959
<v Speaker 3>So I think the huge thing for me there is

0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:53.119
<v Speaker 3>Milwaukee has an eighty three WRC plus the Dodgers are

0:18:53.119 --> 0:18:55.400
<v Speaker 3>at one thirty, so that lineup is just night and Dave.

0:18:55.440 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 3>Milwaukee's been awful, like they are a bottom five offense

0:18:58.119 --> 0:18:58.480
<v Speaker 3>this year.

0:18:59.119 --> 0:19:01.120
<v Speaker 4>I think I think the you gotta go with Edmond.

0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:04.359
<v Speaker 1>Also, I mean, Trio is just kind of backtracked a

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:06.280
<v Speaker 1>little bit. Remember it like started off really great and

0:19:06.320 --> 0:19:08.480
<v Speaker 1>then it's just kind of come back down. Pat Murphy

0:19:08.480 --> 0:19:09.679
<v Speaker 1>puttinghim at six and stuff.

0:19:09.680 --> 0:19:11.159
<v Speaker 4>It's it's a.

0:19:11.160 --> 0:19:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Little concerning and he I mean, he's the essentially one

0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:17.359
<v Speaker 1>of the table setters of that offense. So another small

0:19:17.359 --> 0:19:19.040
<v Speaker 1>piece that you can put in the pie of similar

0:19:19.040 --> 0:19:21.560
<v Speaker 1>players of like looking at offenses and between that through

0:19:21.600 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 1>that trade Terrang is or those players trang is barn

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:29.159
<v Speaker 1>On the worst offense across the board. About about the

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 1>big dances. Drop Ben Rice for Ronda Berger or hole.

0:19:33.400 --> 0:19:35.960
<v Speaker 1>This is a ten team standard, Rodo.

0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:43.160
<v Speaker 3>I don't mind moving on from Rice. It's been it's

0:19:43.200 --> 0:19:46.480
<v Speaker 3>been pretty bad for a while now. The thing with Randa,

0:19:46.520 --> 0:19:48.720
<v Speaker 3>as much as I like him as a hitter, he

0:19:48.760 --> 0:19:49.439
<v Speaker 3>doesn't provide a.

0:19:49.440 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 4>Lot of fantasy juice.

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:54.200
<v Speaker 3>He has no stolen bases, nineteen runs, twenty one ribies.

0:19:54.400 --> 0:19:57.000
<v Speaker 3>Even though he's hitting three twelve. The batting average has

0:19:57.000 --> 0:19:58.639
<v Speaker 3>been there. He just doesn't provide a lot in the

0:19:58.640 --> 0:20:02.040
<v Speaker 3>other categories. I'm kind of surprising myself with this one,

0:20:02.080 --> 0:20:03.879
<v Speaker 3>but I think I would probably make the swat for

0:20:03.960 --> 0:20:06.160
<v Speaker 3>Jake Berger. He's hit safely in every game since he's

0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:07.720
<v Speaker 3>been back up to the Bigs. He hit a homer

0:20:07.760 --> 0:20:10.280
<v Speaker 3>off of Hunter Brown the other night. Who's maybe been

0:20:10.359 --> 0:20:12.399
<v Speaker 3>the best pitcher in baseball at this point of the season.

0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:14.320
<v Speaker 3>I think it is Burger, and you also get multi

0:20:14.359 --> 0:20:16.639
<v Speaker 3>eligibility with him. I think he's the call here for me.

0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 1>Oh man, I hate this one because, like iron is ridiculous,

0:20:21.840 --> 0:20:25.800
<v Speaker 1>But there's some splits. You know they're gonna platoon Ben

0:20:25.920 --> 0:20:29.560
<v Speaker 1>Rice's profile. I love Burger. I am you know I'm

0:20:29.560 --> 0:20:31.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna go with my gut and say that I'm keeping

0:20:31.200 --> 0:20:35.200
<v Speaker 1>Ben Rice here. But I was a huge Jake Berger guy,

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:37.800
<v Speaker 1>and I have been a huge buy on Jake Berger

0:20:37.840 --> 0:20:42.879
<v Speaker 1>as he's bouncing back person. But I mean, let me

0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>pull up here Burger at two eighteen four homers. Things

0:20:47.280 --> 0:20:49.920
<v Speaker 1>have definitely kind of kicked back. Let's see May he's

0:20:50.000 --> 0:20:51.800
<v Speaker 1>he has hitting up to three thirty three. I didn't

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:54.640
<v Speaker 1>even realize that I'm gonna stick with Ben Rice though.

0:20:54.640 --> 0:20:57.040
<v Speaker 1>I think he's kind of going through his worst parts

0:20:57.080 --> 0:20:59.200
<v Speaker 1>of the year right now. His hitting profile is through

0:20:59.200 --> 0:21:03.360
<v Speaker 1>the freaking roof the Yankees offense. I really like they

0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 1>already kind of gave up on Burger a little bit.

0:21:06.040 --> 0:21:09.520
<v Speaker 1>I would rank this God, these guys are all super close.

0:21:09.600 --> 0:21:12.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna go Reis Berger Ronda, even though Ronda has

0:21:12.640 --> 0:21:13.240
<v Speaker 1>been like one.

0:21:13.200 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 2>Of the best.

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:17.520
<v Speaker 1>Like like you said before, offense, Weird doesn't steal bases.

0:21:17.760 --> 0:21:20.600
<v Speaker 1>He's kind of in a little platoony situation. But I

0:21:20.600 --> 0:21:22.600
<v Speaker 1>think these guys are all so especially in the ten

0:21:22.640 --> 0:21:24.920
<v Speaker 1>team league, I think you could cut all of them,

0:21:24.960 --> 0:21:26.760
<v Speaker 1>for any of them and just play the hot hand.

0:21:28.600 --> 0:21:30.520
<v Speaker 4>You agree, yeah. I mean, I mean you said you

0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:31.240
<v Speaker 4>are you guys.

0:21:31.280 --> 0:21:31.800
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't matter.

0:21:32.720 --> 0:21:34.560
<v Speaker 3>The waiver wire as so packed in a ten team

0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:36.480
<v Speaker 3>or the fact that those guys are even available is

0:21:36.560 --> 0:21:37.200
<v Speaker 3>kind of surprising.

0:21:37.240 --> 0:21:39.119
<v Speaker 4>But it's good though. You can you can swap in

0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:39.640
<v Speaker 4>the hot hand.

0:21:39.640 --> 0:21:40.800
<v Speaker 1>Like you said, that's a ten team.

0:21:40.840 --> 0:21:41.639
<v Speaker 2>Ten teams are crazy?

0:21:41.640 --> 0:21:41.800
<v Speaker 4>Man?

0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:47.920
<v Speaker 1>Are we still Augustin Ramirez over Langaliers.

0:21:48.800 --> 0:21:49.840
<v Speaker 4>Augusta's group?

0:21:50.600 --> 0:21:53.119
<v Speaker 3>I No, I would probably have to go Langaliers there.

0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 3>I really really like Ramirez. Langaliers has been a top

0:21:58.119 --> 0:22:00.760
<v Speaker 3>five actually, he's ranked number six tech speaking. He's the

0:22:00.800 --> 0:22:03.200
<v Speaker 3>sixth catcher on the season. He's hitting for a better

0:22:03.240 --> 0:22:05.359
<v Speaker 3>average than we thought the powers there. He's even stolen

0:22:05.400 --> 0:22:08.600
<v Speaker 3>a couple bases. I love the ballpark. I think I'd

0:22:08.640 --> 0:22:11.159
<v Speaker 3>have to go Leangaliars. Even though I love Ramirez, I

0:22:11.160 --> 0:22:12.280
<v Speaker 3>couldn't take them over Langley.

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:13.480
<v Speaker 1>I think I'm going to kind of agree with you

0:22:13.520 --> 0:22:15.880
<v Speaker 1>because we're also now like more than six weeks into

0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:19.199
<v Speaker 1>the year where dude's hitting two fifty. He has an

0:22:19.200 --> 0:22:22.399
<v Speaker 1>expected batting average of two to eighty. The underlying stuff

0:22:22.440 --> 0:22:26.200
<v Speaker 1>is great, and he has dramatically cut his strikeouts down.

0:22:26.560 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 1>And then you got that little baby ballpark. So yeah,

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:31.560
<v Speaker 1>it's Langoliers. So Lango Lingoliars is the answer there.

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:32.119
<v Speaker 2>I'm spraad.

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:33.960
<v Speaker 1>I thought I would have said posted when I looked

0:22:34.000 --> 0:22:34.239
<v Speaker 1>at it.

0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:35.960
<v Speaker 2>What's fact he's.

0:22:35.840 --> 0:22:38.879
<v Speaker 4>Below fifteen percent strikeout rate. I hadn't realized that he'd cut.

0:22:38.760 --> 0:22:42.399
<v Speaker 3>It that much. That is incredible. That's incredible from what

0:22:42.440 --> 0:22:43.880
<v Speaker 3>it was he was above thirty.

0:22:43.800 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 1>To have a fifteen percent k percentage guy with ten barrel,

0:22:46.800 --> 0:22:49.840
<v Speaker 1>forty five hard hit and expected batting average thirty points

0:22:49.920 --> 0:22:52.919
<v Speaker 1>higher than where you're at. Give me a break, and

0:22:52.920 --> 0:22:55.680
<v Speaker 1>you're hitting in like a minor league ballpark. Well, by

0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:58.080
<v Speaker 1>the way, is an eighty five percent zone contact rate.

0:22:58.160 --> 0:23:00.399
<v Speaker 1>He makes better contact in the zone than Bryce terrang

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 1>Is this year, and.

0:23:02.720 --> 0:23:05.120
<v Speaker 3>The fact that his own contact rate was eighty two

0:23:05.320 --> 0:23:08.360
<v Speaker 3>up to eighty seven. He's chasing less, swinging strike went

0:23:08.400 --> 0:23:11.280
<v Speaker 3>from thirteen down to eight percent. I didn't realize how

0:23:11.359 --> 0:23:12.280
<v Speaker 3>dramatically he'd.

0:23:12.080 --> 0:23:13.760
<v Speaker 4>Improved this year. Neither amazing.

0:23:13.920 --> 0:23:16.000
<v Speaker 1>I know, it's crazy, all right. A couple quick ones.

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 1>Smith Shaver, is he what Schwellenbach was supposed to be?

0:23:22.920 --> 0:23:23.720
<v Speaker 4>I don't think so.

0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:25.879
<v Speaker 3>I've I added him in a few leagues, and I've

0:23:25.920 --> 0:23:29.240
<v Speaker 3>been very happy with the results, but he's stranding eighty

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:31.480
<v Speaker 3>five percent of base runners. He's got a two thirty

0:23:31.480 --> 0:23:34.360
<v Speaker 3>three ERA, but he is outperforming all of the other

0:23:34.840 --> 0:23:37.719
<v Speaker 3>ERA estimators. My favorite is Sierra, and that's at three

0:23:37.880 --> 0:23:40.800
<v Speaker 3>ninety nine. You know, the barrel rate against is about

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:44.120
<v Speaker 3>nine percent forty eight hard hit, ten percent walk rate.

0:23:44.320 --> 0:23:46.840
<v Speaker 3>I'm more inclined to believe this is a hot run

0:23:46.880 --> 0:23:49.560
<v Speaker 3>as opposed to he is the next braves.

0:23:49.200 --> 0:23:51.680
<v Speaker 4>Ace along the lines of Strider and Schwellenbach. I think

0:23:51.680 --> 0:23:54.080
<v Speaker 4>he's good, but I don't think he's this good same SE's.

0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:57.479
<v Speaker 1>I agree with your assessment for eight nine expected ERA,

0:23:58.080 --> 0:24:01.360
<v Speaker 1>giving up one sixteen max TV over ninety average ex

0:24:01.440 --> 0:24:05.320
<v Speaker 1>velocity already, so I'm in agreement here with to Oscar returning.

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 1>Would you drop Austin Hayes or Hove Baias.

0:24:09.600 --> 0:24:11.080
<v Speaker 4>I've been an Austin Hayes guy.

0:24:11.440 --> 0:24:13.480
<v Speaker 3>I did a video, a short video for the channel

0:24:13.560 --> 0:24:15.919
<v Speaker 3>last week trying to sell high on Havy Baias. I

0:24:16.000 --> 0:24:19.680
<v Speaker 3>just don't really buy into it. I'd hate to drop

0:24:19.760 --> 0:24:21.440
<v Speaker 3>him because I think you can maybe get something back

0:24:21.480 --> 0:24:23.639
<v Speaker 3>for him. But between the two options, I probably have

0:24:23.680 --> 0:24:24.399
<v Speaker 3>to drop Bias.

0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:25.800
<v Speaker 4>I think I'm on an island there though.

0:24:26.880 --> 0:24:30.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think I might drop Austin Hayes. I mean

0:24:30.320 --> 0:24:32.840
<v Speaker 1>he's played, he's played, he's played well, you know, serviceable.

0:24:32.840 --> 0:24:35.119
<v Speaker 1>But you also have like Will Benson's kicking back up

0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:38.000
<v Speaker 1>where he's hot. You know, guys are getting returning from injury.

0:24:38.000 --> 0:24:40.879
<v Speaker 1>He might have some platoony type of things. Bias is

0:24:40.960 --> 0:24:43.240
<v Speaker 1>going right now. I'm gonna go with the hot hand

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:46.359
<v Speaker 1>on both of those options. And then lastly, Buez he

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:48.919
<v Speaker 1>said that he's at a rico. I'll be in Toronto

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:51.320
<v Speaker 1>in a couple of weeks for from Saint Louis. Just

0:24:51.320 --> 0:24:53.360
<v Speaker 1>wanted to give a shout out hitting up a Blue

0:24:53.440 --> 0:24:55.399
<v Speaker 1>Jays game in Canada's Wonderland.

0:24:55.440 --> 0:24:59.520
<v Speaker 3>Any advice, Oh man, you're gonna be in my neck

0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:02.960
<v Speaker 3>of the woods. Well, there's a lot of fantastic food.

0:25:03.000 --> 0:25:05.399
<v Speaker 3>If you're looking for like actual things to do. In

0:25:05.440 --> 0:25:08.720
<v Speaker 3>terms of activities, there's not a ton in the downtown core.

0:25:08.840 --> 0:25:11.240
<v Speaker 3>Going to Wonderland should be good. The weather's warming up.

0:25:12.720 --> 0:25:15.440
<v Speaker 3>There's Kensington Market, which is a nice area in downtown

0:25:15.480 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 3>Toronto specifically like in the Chinatown area.

0:25:18.320 --> 0:25:19.359
<v Speaker 4>There's a lot of nice food.

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:22.480
<v Speaker 3>But Hockey Hall of Fame is also down there. There's

0:25:22.480 --> 0:25:26.000
<v Speaker 3>not a ton of fantastic attractions in the downtown core,

0:25:26.960 --> 0:25:29.040
<v Speaker 3>but it's a nice city. If you're at the Blue

0:25:29.119 --> 0:25:31.000
<v Speaker 3>Jays game, let me know which day are going. I

0:25:31.080 --> 0:25:32.760
<v Speaker 3>go down every now and again. Maybe we'll be able

0:25:32.800 --> 0:25:34.879
<v Speaker 3>to interact and say Hi, hey there you go.

0:25:34.960 --> 0:25:35.679
<v Speaker 4>Love that? All right?

0:25:35.920 --> 0:25:37.840
<v Speaker 1>We have two more topics we were going to hit.

0:25:38.080 --> 0:25:41.359
<v Speaker 1>I told you as a pitcher and a prospect. So

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:48.280
<v Speaker 1>number three Jacob de Gram is Jacob de Grom, the

0:25:48.320 --> 0:25:50.240
<v Speaker 1>prince that was promised. I was going to do the

0:25:50.359 --> 0:25:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Dune thing.

0:25:51.000 --> 0:25:51.399
<v Speaker 4>But what is it?

0:25:51.480 --> 0:25:54.040
<v Speaker 1>Eel giche BALI, I can't I don't remember what the

0:25:54.119 --> 0:25:54.399
<v Speaker 1>name is.

0:25:54.400 --> 0:25:56.840
<v Speaker 2>You know what I'm talking about? The have you seen

0:25:57.040 --> 0:25:57.520
<v Speaker 2>in the Dune?

0:25:57.640 --> 0:25:58.440
<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:01.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, lista, it's the high ho you are bardemn thing, right,

0:26:01.280 --> 0:26:02.280
<v Speaker 3>Lisa the Gabe or.

0:26:02.359 --> 0:26:05.119
<v Speaker 1>Yeah something whatever it is, yeah, Gabe Davis, whatever it is.

0:26:05.160 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 1>But is Jacob de Gram fully back two two nine

0:26:07.840 --> 0:26:11.720
<v Speaker 1>era fifty three strikeouts in fifty one innings sub one

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:15.480
<v Speaker 1>era K percentage is down walks or up from that

0:26:15.560 --> 0:26:18.840
<v Speaker 1>crazy elite thing. But I will tell you something that

0:26:18.880 --> 0:26:22.000
<v Speaker 1>has been pretty focal point in my face is that

0:26:22.080 --> 0:26:24.960
<v Speaker 1>I really think they he paired himself down at the

0:26:25.040 --> 0:26:27.280
<v Speaker 1>beginning of the year, and he has worked himself up.

0:26:27.320 --> 0:26:30.000
<v Speaker 1>We saw some velo increases, We've seen the pitch mixes

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:33.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of change a little bit. Really seem like there

0:26:33.600 --> 0:26:36.880
<v Speaker 1>might be something in for Jacob de Grom that they're

0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:39.560
<v Speaker 1>working towards for health. They're trying, you know, he's the

0:26:39.680 --> 0:26:42.359
<v Speaker 1>lowest arm angle that he's ever had in his career.

0:26:42.760 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Last year was like a thirty four degree angle. It's

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:48.919
<v Speaker 1>at thirty. He's never had a four degree drop. See well,

0:26:48.960 --> 0:26:51.199
<v Speaker 1>actually I guess he did in twenty twenty one to

0:26:51.200 --> 0:26:53.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty two. He had a four degree drop from thirty

0:26:53.080 --> 0:26:55.320
<v Speaker 1>six to thirty two. But it's the lowest arm angle

0:26:55.359 --> 0:26:59.399
<v Speaker 1>of his career. The pitch mix has changed around a

0:26:59.440 --> 0:27:01.399
<v Speaker 1>little bit, but things seem to be coming in. So

0:27:01.600 --> 0:27:05.800
<v Speaker 1>is Jacob de Gram top five sp for you rest

0:27:05.840 --> 0:27:12.360
<v Speaker 1>of season. Knowing that injury history.

0:27:10.840 --> 0:27:12.199
<v Speaker 4>I mean people probably know this.

0:27:12.280 --> 0:27:14.560
<v Speaker 3>I was not quiet about it, but I came into

0:27:14.560 --> 0:27:16.760
<v Speaker 3>the year, excuse me, with Jacob de Gram ranked as

0:27:16.760 --> 0:27:19.639
<v Speaker 3>my number one starting pitcher. People called me fancy slurs

0:27:19.640 --> 0:27:22.320
<v Speaker 3>for that one, and I maybe deserved it. But it's

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 3>looked good so far. The thing is with de Gram

0:27:25.000 --> 0:27:29.119
<v Speaker 3>He's not classic to Grom. This is not prime forty

0:27:29.160 --> 0:27:32.480
<v Speaker 3>five percent strikeout rate, three percent walk rate Jacob de Grom.

0:27:32.560 --> 0:27:33.760
<v Speaker 4>But he's still excellent.

0:27:33.960 --> 0:27:36.000
<v Speaker 3>He is, like you said, kind of learning how to

0:27:36.080 --> 0:27:39.159
<v Speaker 3>pitch again at this newer velocity. The thing that worries

0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:40.880
<v Speaker 3>me a little bit is that he started creeping up

0:27:40.960 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 3>in terms of the velocity. He's averaging ninety seven on

0:27:43.400 --> 0:27:45.200
<v Speaker 3>the season. I want to see him more in the

0:27:45.280 --> 0:27:47.879
<v Speaker 3>ninety six range. I know that sounds trivial, but every

0:27:47.960 --> 0:27:50.919
<v Speaker 3>tick you add at that range just adds another a

0:27:50.920 --> 0:27:53.040
<v Speaker 3>lot of injury risk, especially when you're Jacob de Gram

0:27:53.080 --> 0:27:56.359
<v Speaker 3>and you're thirty six years old. But I am pretty

0:27:56.400 --> 0:27:58.720
<v Speaker 3>confident in that take from the preseason. As long as

0:27:58.760 --> 0:28:01.199
<v Speaker 3>he doesn't get easy out of hand, and as long

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:03.280
<v Speaker 3>as the Rangers don't really start using him for like

0:28:03.320 --> 0:28:05.600
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and twenty pitches eight innings every single night,

0:28:05.640 --> 0:28:08.000
<v Speaker 3>As long as they're careful, I think we get one

0:28:08.080 --> 0:28:09.800
<v Speaker 3>hundred and fifty one hundred and sixty innings out of

0:28:09.840 --> 0:28:11.680
<v Speaker 3>Jacob b Gram and he wins the cy Young this year.

0:28:11.720 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 3>I've I've been on that tune since January and I'm

0:28:14.760 --> 0:28:15.560
<v Speaker 3>gonna stick with it.

0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:18.000
<v Speaker 2>Seeing if you were still there. Very interesting.

0:28:18.320 --> 0:28:21.240
<v Speaker 1>The cy Young thing too opens up because I don't

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:24.679
<v Speaker 1>believe just doing this with Bogman, we're looking at the odds,

0:28:24.680 --> 0:28:26.560
<v Speaker 1>I think it's I don't think he's top five right

0:28:26.560 --> 0:28:27.240
<v Speaker 1>now because I think.

0:28:27.119 --> 0:28:28.640
<v Speaker 2>It's Turk Skuble.

0:28:29.119 --> 0:28:34.200
<v Speaker 1>Freed is like four, Hunter Brown is two. Damn I'm

0:28:34.200 --> 0:28:37.640
<v Speaker 1>forgetting who three is. But we're looking at like Joe

0:28:37.680 --> 0:28:39.640
<v Speaker 1>Ryan when we're doing it, I don't believe de Grom.

0:28:39.640 --> 0:28:41.400
<v Speaker 1>I know he's not on the top four. He might

0:28:41.400 --> 0:28:43.600
<v Speaker 1>not be in the top five of al say Young

0:28:43.680 --> 0:28:47.000
<v Speaker 1>Award voting. So there's some still pretty good odds if

0:28:47.040 --> 0:28:49.520
<v Speaker 1>you want to play it. And also in the trade market,

0:28:49.960 --> 0:28:52.760
<v Speaker 1>I think this is about the time where if you

0:28:52.840 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>have I don't know why Jacob de Gram owner who's

0:28:54.920 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 1>super fearful, would would have him in the first place,

0:28:57.200 --> 0:29:00.160
<v Speaker 1>But if they did, they might start thinking injuries are coming,

0:28:59.920 --> 0:29:02.160
<v Speaker 1>injuries are coming. I need to get out while I

0:29:02.200 --> 0:29:05.680
<v Speaker 1>still can. Yes, they can maximize value, but that type

0:29:05.720 --> 0:29:08.360
<v Speaker 1>of person would be wanting to get out if if

0:29:08.400 --> 0:29:11.200
<v Speaker 1>you're not a non believer. Last one.

0:29:11.280 --> 0:29:13.440
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, he's still fifteen to one. He's still fifteen to

0:29:13.440 --> 0:29:14.640
<v Speaker 4>one in the cy Young odds.

0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:15.400
<v Speaker 2>It's not bad.

0:29:15.680 --> 0:29:19.080
<v Speaker 1>That's honestly, that's not bad, especially with the Rangers underperforming.

0:29:19.200 --> 0:29:22.400
<v Speaker 1>If everything starts to click, Seeger gets back, Burger starts hitting,

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:27.239
<v Speaker 1>and Simeon starts hitting offenses rolling. I mean, everything that

0:29:27.280 --> 0:29:30.320
<v Speaker 1>Ivaldi has been is where Jacob da Grom could go.

0:29:30.360 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 1>And I think Ivaldi, I think he's a top five

0:29:32.360 --> 0:29:35.760
<v Speaker 1>guy in the the odds market. I think he's all wrong.

0:29:35.880 --> 0:29:38.040
<v Speaker 3>Right above him, right above him, eleven to one, it's

0:29:38.080 --> 0:29:41.280
<v Speaker 3>scooball Brown Crochet, freed of aald and Gram right now.

0:29:41.360 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Dull Crochet was the one I wasn't thinking of

0:29:43.640 --> 0:29:48.280
<v Speaker 1>all right, last one. Jack cagleone has been moved up

0:29:48.280 --> 0:29:52.160
<v Speaker 1>to Triple A. That means he has one call away

0:29:52.160 --> 0:29:55.320
<v Speaker 1>from the majors. He's played outfield first. He hit over

0:29:55.360 --> 0:29:59.120
<v Speaker 1>three hundred at Double A. He wasn't striking out. The

0:29:59.240 --> 0:30:02.400
<v Speaker 1>Royals have some needs. I'm not necessarily sure it's first

0:30:02.480 --> 0:30:05.320
<v Speaker 1>base or DH with guys like Vinnie and Salvador Perez,

0:30:05.360 --> 0:30:11.000
<v Speaker 1>but he's creating some outfield eligibility over under. Jack cagleone

0:30:11.400 --> 0:30:14.040
<v Speaker 1>is in the majors by the All Star break.

0:30:16.200 --> 0:30:17.600
<v Speaker 4>Oh, I think he should be.

0:30:17.880 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 3>I think I honestly, when I saw people posting graphics

0:30:21.200 --> 0:30:21.440
<v Speaker 3>of him.

0:30:21.480 --> 0:30:23.000
<v Speaker 4>I thought he got called up to the big leagues

0:30:23.000 --> 0:30:24.760
<v Speaker 4>because the one call away thing.

0:30:24.880 --> 0:30:26.840
<v Speaker 3>We've seen that a lot more recently in the last

0:30:26.880 --> 0:30:28.640
<v Speaker 3>couple of years, the Double A, you're kind of a

0:30:28.680 --> 0:30:30.760
<v Speaker 3>call away. And with the way he's been hitting, the

0:30:30.800 --> 0:30:34.120
<v Speaker 3>fact that the Royals have been a pathetic offense this

0:30:34.200 --> 0:30:37.560
<v Speaker 3>season as a whole, they're a bottom three or four offense.

0:30:37.600 --> 0:30:40.640
<v Speaker 3>The only teams worse offensively this year the White Sox,

0:30:40.680 --> 0:30:43.680
<v Speaker 3>the Pirates and the Rockies. I thought they were gonna

0:30:43.720 --> 0:30:45.680
<v Speaker 3>am I am I crazy to think that he could

0:30:45.720 --> 0:30:47.520
<v Speaker 3>be up any day, Like, if he has a week,

0:30:47.560 --> 0:30:47.800
<v Speaker 3>he could.

0:30:47.920 --> 0:30:49.360
<v Speaker 1>I said it a couple of weeks ago, like I

0:30:49.400 --> 0:30:51.600
<v Speaker 1>would not be shocked if they moved him from Double

0:30:51.600 --> 0:30:55.680
<v Speaker 1>A to the majors. But you know, maybe they they

0:30:55.720 --> 0:30:57.800
<v Speaker 1>want to see him take the challenge of a league,

0:30:58.200 --> 0:31:00.680
<v Speaker 1>Maybe they want him to work a little bit more outfield,

0:31:00.720 --> 0:31:03.560
<v Speaker 1>whatever those things are. You can make every case in

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:05.360
<v Speaker 1>the world that he should be up right now. And

0:31:05.720 --> 0:31:08.400
<v Speaker 1>I now think we've gone from a like, oh, yeah, maybe.

0:31:08.120 --> 0:31:09.080
<v Speaker 2>He's up this year too.

0:31:09.240 --> 0:31:12.680
<v Speaker 1>No, he's up this year, but it's now the timeline

0:31:12.680 --> 0:31:15.120
<v Speaker 1>of win and I think I kind of think it's

0:31:15.120 --> 0:31:17.160
<v Speaker 1>going to be right after the All Star break where

0:31:17.160 --> 0:31:18.760
<v Speaker 1>they're going to bring him up. But listen, if he

0:31:18.960 --> 0:31:22.680
<v Speaker 1>just sets off another two weeks of hitting over three hundred,

0:31:22.800 --> 0:31:26.120
<v Speaker 1>not striking out, maybe play some outfield, June might hit

0:31:26.160 --> 0:31:28.480
<v Speaker 1>and he might be up. So June is the time

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:32.600
<v Speaker 1>where you should really really make sure. If you can sooner, great,

0:31:32.800 --> 0:31:34.800
<v Speaker 1>but you should really make sure. If Jackkaglian is sitting

0:31:34.840 --> 0:31:38.680
<v Speaker 1>out there, I think the clock is ticking very quickly.

0:31:38.720 --> 0:31:41.520
<v Speaker 1>Where we've moved away from the Nick Kurtz watch, we're

0:31:41.520 --> 0:31:45.760
<v Speaker 1>on Bubbo Chandler watch. There is the slimmest of chances

0:31:45.840 --> 0:31:48.640
<v Speaker 1>right now, Jack hagleone could maybe beat Roman Anthony to

0:31:48.720 --> 0:31:50.640
<v Speaker 1>the majors, you know, because it looks like the Red

0:31:50.640 --> 0:31:53.400
<v Speaker 1>Sox are prepping Marcella Mayer to come up here very

0:31:53.480 --> 0:31:56.840
<v Speaker 1>very shortly. Because you've got Christian Campbell playing first, we

0:31:56.880 --> 0:32:00.840
<v Speaker 1>still don't have that spot for Roman Anthony own beats him.

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:01.520
<v Speaker 2>That would be.

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:03.880
<v Speaker 4>Crazy, wouldn't surprise me at all.

0:32:04.000 --> 0:32:05.480
<v Speaker 3>I mean, the Red Sox are kind of in the

0:32:06.040 --> 0:32:08.200
<v Speaker 3>same window where I thought the Orioles were in the

0:32:08.240 --> 0:32:10.440
<v Speaker 3>last year or two of you have too many prospects,

0:32:10.520 --> 0:32:12.200
<v Speaker 3>you probably need to trade one or two of them,

0:32:12.240 --> 0:32:14.760
<v Speaker 3>or else you need to start learning new positions. I

0:32:14.800 --> 0:32:16.600
<v Speaker 3>know it was Christian Campbell, I think the other day

0:32:16.600 --> 0:32:19.320
<v Speaker 3>taking reps at first Is it crazy? You think they

0:32:19.320 --> 0:32:22.000
<v Speaker 3>should trade Mayor for a first basement or maybe even

0:32:22.000 --> 0:32:24.680
<v Speaker 3>Anthony and get a first basement of proper first basement.

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:26.440
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, but it seems like they have too

0:32:26.440 --> 0:32:27.719
<v Speaker 3>many mouths to feed now.

0:32:28.040 --> 0:32:30.360
<v Speaker 1>They should let him work at first base. You don't

0:32:30.360 --> 0:32:33.280
<v Speaker 1>trade Roman Anthony just to get a first baseman. Probably

0:32:33.280 --> 0:32:35.840
<v Speaker 1>not may Or either, unless you've got the elite of

0:32:35.840 --> 0:32:37.719
<v Speaker 1>the elite and those guys aren't available, like who you're

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:39.320
<v Speaker 1>gonna trade them for. You're not gonna trade Josh Bell

0:32:39.440 --> 0:32:41.440
<v Speaker 1>to get Roman Anthony. No, you let him work at it.

0:32:41.480 --> 0:32:44.480
<v Speaker 1>But they're letting Campbell do it. But either way, cagli

0:32:44.480 --> 0:32:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Own and Anthony might be a way sooner at the

0:32:47.160 --> 0:32:49.880
<v Speaker 1>same time period than I think a lot of people expected.

0:32:50.280 --> 0:32:52.520
<v Speaker 1>You can find Joe Rico Joe Rico ninety nine on Twitter,

0:32:52.600 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 1>find me is it the Welsh and you can also

0:32:55.400 --> 0:33:00.400
<v Speaker 1>catch mister Joe Pizapia and myself Wednesday on YouTube four

0:33:00.440 --> 0:33:04.040
<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern, where Joe and I are tackling all of

0:33:04.080 --> 0:33:08.880
<v Speaker 1>your questions. It's an hour of just bam bam bam

0:33:09.000 --> 0:33:12.880
<v Speaker 1>questions from trades to breakouts, to line up to whatever

0:33:12.920 --> 0:33:15.720
<v Speaker 1>you got, and you even have the opportunity to jump

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:18.320
<v Speaker 1>the line on everybody with super chats, you can drop

0:33:18.360 --> 0:33:20.760
<v Speaker 1>the superchat and that gets prioritized to the very first

0:33:21.160 --> 0:33:23.320
<v Speaker 1>thing that we do coming right off of it. So

0:33:23.360 --> 0:33:25.160
<v Speaker 1>but just come and hang out with us. Tons of

0:33:25.160 --> 0:33:27.800
<v Speaker 1>people in there, hundreds of people hanging out. You can

0:33:27.880 --> 0:33:29.320
<v Speaker 1>be in the chat. People have their own kind of

0:33:29.360 --> 0:33:32.120
<v Speaker 1>community there. So not only are we on twitch dot

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:35.760
<v Speaker 1>tv slash in this Twitch dot tv Slash Fantasy Pros,

0:33:35.800 --> 0:33:38.360
<v Speaker 1>I must dit it again Twitch dot tv Slash Fantasy

0:33:38.400 --> 0:33:41.000
<v Speaker 1>Pros Monday through Friday, twelve pm Eastern.

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:42.320
<v Speaker 2>Check us out on YouTube.

0:33:42.400 --> 0:33:44.080
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0:33:44.120 --> 0:33:46.320
<v Speaker 1>on Discord five pm Eastern on Mondays.

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:48.719
<v Speaker 2>Come and check it out. That is it.

0:33:48.760 --> 0:33:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Thank you to everybody that hung out with us for

0:33:50.440 --> 0:33:52.560
<v Speaker 1>Joe Rico. I'm Chris Welsh. We will talk to you

0:33:52.600 --> 0:33:54.840
<v Speaker 1>next time right here on Fantasy Pros MLB.

0:33:55.040 --> 0:33:58.040
<v Speaker 5>Bye friends, thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy

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