1 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of 3 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perelt. You 4 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at 5 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matts and I am taping this on Saturday morning. 6 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: I am getting on a plane. I'm going to Florida, 7 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 2: and so I'm taping this on Saturday. It will drop overnight, 8 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,879 Speaker 2: so these odds should stay as is. I don't think 9 00:00:37,880 --> 00:00:40,319 Speaker 2: we're going to see much fluctuation for the play it's 10 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 2: coming up today, but I have no idea what we 11 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 2: did on Saturday, so there is no recap for Saturday. 12 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:51,520 Speaker 2: We come into a Sunday reminder that the podcast becomes 13 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 2: a day of podcast. So it's going to be a 14 00:00:55,640 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 2: Monday morning drop for the Monday episode of the Daily Okay, 15 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 2: so this is not going to be your overnight. It's 16 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 2: going to be your Monday morning at about nine up 17 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:09,400 Speaker 2: until nine am Eastern Time is when the podcast will 18 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 2: drop on Eastern Time when I am on the East Coast, 19 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,040 Speaker 2: which will be permanently at some point in the very 20 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 2: near future. But for just this week, it's a vacation week. 21 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 2: It's a work week. But my kid's going to camp 22 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 2: in Florida, so we're going to go down there for that. 23 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 2: So that's why I am taping, and that's why we 24 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 2: will schedule this. It will drop overnight like it normally does, 25 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:32,119 Speaker 2: but just a heads up, no recap because I don't 26 00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:32,960 Speaker 2: know what we've done. 27 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: As of yet. 28 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:35,480 Speaker 2: I'm getting on a plane here in five hours, so 29 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 2: it is five thirty in the morning. I hate travel anxiety, 30 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 2: like it drives me crazy. I you know, when you 31 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 2: got a million things going on, you got a kid, 32 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 2: you gotta get ready like it, just so I'm off. 33 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 2: And I was like, all right, well just tape because 34 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 2: it's five thirty in the in the morning, and let's 35 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 2: just tape and have it be here in Vegas and 36 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 2: get everything done. So just the way that it all 37 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 2: works out. So a couple things here before we get 38 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 2: into the picks. The UFC Freedom two fifty card. I 39 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:09,079 Speaker 2: do have one play on it, but I am really 40 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 2: hesitant to bet anything else on this card because one 41 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 2: it's heavy favorites all over the place. They have upped 42 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 2: the amount of money that you're gonna get for the 43 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 2: Fight of the Night. In the Performance of the Night, 44 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 2: Dana White has quadrupled it. I believe it's four hundred 45 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 2: thousand dollars now that's going to be out there. There's 46 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 2: also a crypto dot com like one million dollar pool, 47 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 2: Like they're trying desperately to get people to pay attention 48 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: to this card. Okay, they really they're really trying hard 49 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 2: to get people psyched about this. And I'm not interested, 50 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 2: to be quite honest, in a lot of these fights 51 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 2: because I think the fights are too hard to handicap. 52 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,360 Speaker 2: I'll watch them. I think they'll be interesting to see 53 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 2: how they all play out. But outdoors changes so much. 54 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,639 Speaker 2: I mean, we're talking about bugs in wind and heat 55 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:08,239 Speaker 2: and exhaustion in sweating. Like this should be a climate 56 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:12,799 Speaker 2: controlled environment. You shouldn't be doing this outside, like aside 57 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 2: from where they're doing it, and all the political issues 58 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:18,800 Speaker 2: and all of the things that come into building a 59 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 2: stage and all just the whole spectacle of what it's 60 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:22,680 Speaker 2: going to look like. 61 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: And I'm sure it will look very cool. 62 00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:29,839 Speaker 2: It's not how we should be fighting the UFC. Now 63 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 2: boxing has done this for a long time where they 64 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: have fought outside, but there's a difference when it comes 65 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 2: to hand to hand combat versus mixed martial arts, which 66 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 2: is body on body okay, takedowns, wrestling, grappling, submissions. 67 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 1: If these guys are already slippery in the first. 68 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 2: Round, I don't know how many you know Bo Nickel 69 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 2: his fight, I mean that might go really sideways. 70 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 1: I could go all weird. 71 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 2: It's not typical to fight in the elements, So I 72 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 2: don't really like that. 73 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 1: I don't like that the card. There's no prelimbs on 74 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 1: the card. 75 00:04:03,840 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 2: Really, there's just seven fights, so we're gonna have really 76 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 2: long stretches of time. We've seen how long Paramount plus 77 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 2: has this window. It's like three and a half hours 78 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:16,720 Speaker 2: for seven fights. Like that's that could be really bad. 79 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 2: If we get a couple of quick like the hoke 80 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 2: It fight, if that you know it's Derek Lewis and 81 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 2: Josh hok It. If that thing's over in the first round, 82 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:26,839 Speaker 2: like we're gonna have to sit and wait, like it's 83 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 2: gonna be a big And they have all these like 84 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:31,279 Speaker 2: propaganda videos that are planned and like I'm just not 85 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 2: really so like there's one bet, but like I I'm 86 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:39,279 Speaker 2: very anti what's gonna happen here for the UFC. For 87 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 2: UFC two to fifty, I think it's I get it, 88 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 2: the Freedom two fifty. It's you know, no one's ever 89 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 2: done it before. I understand, but I'm just not I'm 90 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 2: just not fully into it, to be quite honest. We 91 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 2: have two bets in hockey. I've got one bet in soccer, 92 00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 2: and I've got one bet for UFC Freedom two fifty. 93 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 2: But before we give you the plays, let's talk about 94 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 2: and I've been telling you guys about this that we've 95 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 2: got some very cool things coming up. This is a 96 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 2: new tool. It is the smart money tool. If you're 97 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:17,039 Speaker 2: interested in price, this is huge for you. Okay, you 98 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 2: want to go to bettingpros dot com slash smart. This 99 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 2: tool tracks real money flowing into prediction markets, showing you 100 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 2: exactly where the sharp liquidity is moving before the sports 101 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 2: books can react. I have seen this in real time 102 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 2: and how this goes it is interesting, okay, because the 103 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 2: prediction market people don't care about telling the world liquidity 104 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 2: because them it doesn't matter when it comes to liquidity. 105 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 2: It doesn't matter what information it's out there because they 106 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 2: don't care who wins. 107 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: Right. 108 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,359 Speaker 2: The whole point of a prediction market basically is just 109 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 2: to take wagers, charge a fee and doesn't matter who wins, right, 110 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 2: So that gives us a chance to take a look 111 00:05:56,960 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 2: at where the sharp money is coming in and where 112 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:04,919 Speaker 2: the plays are before the sportsbooks can react to it. 113 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 2: It's something that's worth checking out bettingpros dot com slash Smart. 114 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 2: All right, let's talk hockey game number six. I've been 115 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:18,719 Speaker 2: saying along that this is going to go seven games, 116 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:23,280 Speaker 2: and so I've got two bets coming up here for 117 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:27,479 Speaker 2: this game tonight. The first is, I don't believe that 118 00:06:27,680 --> 00:06:31,920 Speaker 2: Carter Hart can go a game without giving up three goals. 119 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 2: The question is can he give up three goals? I 120 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:39,160 Speaker 2: do think Vegas can figure out the Brandon Bussy puzzle. 121 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 2: They have not done a great job of that in 122 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 2: the first two games in which the kid has played. 123 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,480 Speaker 2: But there's a reason why this kid was at Providence 124 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,719 Speaker 2: with the Bruins and just never found his way to 125 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 2: the Bruins and never found his way to really finding 126 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,160 Speaker 2: a home until Carolina, and the guy won thirty one 127 00:06:57,240 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 2: games in the regular season. He was tremendous and I 128 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 2: don't think that Anderson will play again in net in 129 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 2: these playoffs for Carolina. But I do think that Vegas 130 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 2: at home has an opportunity here to get a four 131 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 2: to three win and get the game, get the series 132 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 2: back to a game seven in Carolina. Now Vegas has 133 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 2: some concerns. William Carlson hurt his arm. According to John Tortorella, 134 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 2: they will not have him for the next two games. 135 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 1: He's done for the year. 136 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:27,559 Speaker 2: That's a huge loss as a guy who was really 137 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 2: playing well after he came back from injury the first 138 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 2: time for Vegas. 139 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 1: Now he's out again. That stinks. 140 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 2: Vegas has got to find ways to stay out of 141 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 2: the penalty box. Okay, they woke up the Carolina power play. 142 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 2: It had been dormant for pretty much three months and 143 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 2: then Vegas woke it up. Vegas has got to find 144 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 2: a way to get out of the penalty box and 145 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 2: hopefully as we get deeper in the series, we see 146 00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 2: fewer and fewer penalties because that's generally what happens here. Okay, 147 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 2: for Vegas, they've been the better five on five team. 148 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 2: They need to go back to being the better five 149 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,480 Speaker 2: on five team. They got to ride the intensity of 150 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 2: the home. John Tortorella made the proclamation that he left 151 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 2: close in the rival in the visiting hotel because he'll 152 00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 2: be back, he said for Game seven. I mean, whether 153 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 2: it's gainsmanship or just trying to portray confidence, whatever it 154 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 2: might be, but they got to find a way to 155 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 2: stop Jordan Stall. I mean, it's just he's gonna win 156 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 2: the cons mic at the moment. If the Hurricanes win 157 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 2: the Cup, it's gonna be Stall. It's gonna win. I mean, 158 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 2: he's been so hot and he scores every game. Vegas 159 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 2: got to keep him off the scoreboard. I think they 160 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 2: can do that. They got to stay out of the 161 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:34,319 Speaker 2: penalty bucks. I think they can do that. I don't 162 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 2: know if they win a Game seven, but I do 163 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 2: think Vegas can win a Game six at home here. 164 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 1: They've been resilient all year. They've shocked people all year. 165 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 2: It's a chance for John Tortorella to stand up there 166 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 2: and give a rah Ras speech. I think the guys 167 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 2: will respond to. And I think home ice here does 168 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:53,679 Speaker 2: play out for Vegas, and I do think the Golden 169 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:56,719 Speaker 2: Knights win today to force the series back to a 170 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:59,719 Speaker 2: game seven. I also think that at five and a 171 00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 2: half half that you can bet this and go over 172 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 2: five and a half. There's gonna be some discrepancies in 173 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 2: the market. You're gonna see over five and a half 174 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:11,439 Speaker 2: juiced and under six juiced. I don't mind playing either, 175 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,400 Speaker 2: but I think because the way the first period has 176 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:17,800 Speaker 2: started so often, I like a first period over in 177 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 2: this game. 178 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 1: I think it's going to be a really fast start 179 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:21,679 Speaker 1: for both teams. 180 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 2: I think both teams can score in the first period, 181 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:27,079 Speaker 2: but I think that the Vegas gold Knights need to 182 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 2: score first. Caroline has been really good at scoring first 183 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 2: and throwing the first punch. When Vegas does that, Vegas 184 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 2: is a much different hockey team. I think Vegas needs 185 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 2: to score first, but know that Carter Hart's going to 186 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 2: give you give up three goals. I mean he's given 187 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 2: up four or more in every game in the series. 188 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,280 Speaker 2: You got to keep away. That fourth goal is the bummer, right, 189 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:48,400 Speaker 2: that's the backbreaker. You can give up three. I think 190 00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 2: Vegas can win four to three, but he gives up 191 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,320 Speaker 2: four and the see you later, Okay. I know the 192 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 2: game played out a four to two final in Game five, 193 00:09:58,280 --> 00:10:00,960 Speaker 2: and that gives some people pause when it to betting 194 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,800 Speaker 2: the under six. I think five and a half because 195 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 2: of the open net potential. If Vegas is down, they're 196 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 2: gonna pull the open net. You might see a couple 197 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 2: different goals in the open net. So I think betting 198 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 2: under this game is a little bit dangerous just because 199 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 2: of what the third period has looked like in this 200 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 2: series and we haven't seen. I mean, it was finally 201 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,160 Speaker 2: six and a half in Game five and it went 202 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 2: under right, it closed at six, but it was six 203 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:25,480 Speaker 2: and a half for mostly then those bet under it 204 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 2: it was a four to two final. I think a 205 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:30,080 Speaker 2: four to two final is very possible here, just don't 206 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 2: think these teams in Vegas in particular, I don't think 207 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 2: these teams can play a low scoring hockey game. And 208 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:38,320 Speaker 2: it's one hundred percent possible, but I just don't see 209 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,439 Speaker 2: it given the way the Vegas plays. I mean, even 210 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 2: when it was like two to nothing going into the 211 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 2: third period, the game still went over. So the third 212 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 2: period being the highest scoring period is a good bet. 213 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 2: Over one and a half or over two and a 214 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 2: half goals even in the third period is. 215 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 1: Also a good bet. 216 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 2: But I'm just going to come in here and take 217 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 2: two bets here for the game tonight. We're taking Vegas 218 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 2: and care Carolina over five and a half goals at 219 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 2: minus one twenty five, and we're taking Vegas on the 220 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:08,200 Speaker 2: money line at minus one h two for one point 221 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:14,600 Speaker 2: zero two units. Now to the freedom to fifty card Gone, 222 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 2: Cereal Gone up against Alex Pereira. Now, look, Pereira has 223 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 2: done incredible things, Okay, He's done amazing things in the UFC. 224 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 2: He has a rivalry with Israel Atasanya, and he has 225 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 2: just been so good on so many levels. Middleweight, going 226 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:36,840 Speaker 2: up to light heavyweight, now going to heavyweight. I think 227 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:38,960 Speaker 2: this is where he has bid off too much that 228 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 2: he can chew with Cereal Gone because of the overall weight. 229 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 2: Remember when Israel at Asanya moved up to fight Jan 230 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 2: Mankovich and he went from middleweight to light heavyweight and 231 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:54,679 Speaker 2: Yon laid on him for basically five rounds. I think 232 00:11:54,760 --> 00:12:00,199 Speaker 2: Sirial Gone is going to be able to take down Pereira. Yeah. 233 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:02,720 Speaker 2: The only way Parra wins is if it's on the feet, 234 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 2: like Gon, If you can get this fight to the ground, 235 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 2: I think God's going to be able to control Parerra. 236 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 2: God by decision isn't a bad idea, okay, But maybe 237 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 2: later in the fight, in the t a five round fight, 238 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:21,720 Speaker 2: maybe later in the fight we see Gon get tired 239 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 2: and wear out and not be able to take down 240 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:28,959 Speaker 2: Peira and the damage just accumulates, and then that's how 241 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 2: he gets knocked out late in the fight. 242 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 1: Maybe Pereira just cold cocks. 243 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:36,559 Speaker 2: Him early and we see this like a timber fall 244 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:39,640 Speaker 2: and Gon just falls apart. And we've seen him perform 245 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 2: really poorly at other times. I just think on this stage, 246 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 2: and like I mentioned about the outdoors, Gon is going 247 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 2: to try to submit Pereira. That's his path to victory 248 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 2: because Parreira his ground game is not good. I mean 249 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 2: if he took him down and like his his ground 250 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 2: game is not good. Where he really stands out is 251 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 2: his power. But his power, I mean, at some point 252 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 2: the power dissipates because a guy of you know, very 253 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,440 Speaker 2: large size can absorb that type of power. 254 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:09,319 Speaker 1: And so as we've seen Perera go. 255 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 2: Up, I think the over two and a half rounds, 256 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 2: it's extremely juicy, but I think over two and a 257 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:16,680 Speaker 2: half rounds is the way to play this fight. 258 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 1: I really do. 259 00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 2: I think this is going to be a longer fight 260 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 2: than people think. I think Sira Gone is going to 261 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 2: let this thing come to him. I don't think he 262 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:27,080 Speaker 2: gets into a firefight early. I don't think he tries 263 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:30,800 Speaker 2: to trade with Perreira. And again, these guys outdoors, I 264 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:35,439 Speaker 2: think they're going to be very slippery early, different than 265 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 2: what we've seen in the past. So like Gone to 266 00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 2: submit Pereerra, I don't think it happens fast, but I 267 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 2: do think Perera is going to have a really hard 268 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 2: time stopping Gone taking him down. So that is I know, 269 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:50,920 Speaker 2: nobody wants to see a Frenchman beat an American. You know, 270 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,680 Speaker 2: on the celebration of two fifty. You got to know 271 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 2: your history a bit though, because without France there is 272 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 2: no America. 273 00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 1: I know people don't like to admit that, but that's 274 00:13:58,920 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 1: the truth. 275 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 2: So so I mean, maybe there's some appropriate reaction to 276 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:05,840 Speaker 2: all this and how it's all going to fly out. 277 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:08,600 Speaker 2: But I think the best play in that fight is 278 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:11,319 Speaker 2: the over Gone Pereira over. 279 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: Two and a half rounds. It's minus one sixty. 280 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 2: I get it, it's juicy, but you only pay the 281 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 2: juice when you lose Gone Pereira over two and a 282 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 2: half rounds for one point six units. The Daily Juice 283 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 2: Podcast and the hard Rock Bet of the Day is 284 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:29,880 Speaker 2: being brought to you by our friends at hard Rock Bet. 285 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 2: Now we're here, we're getting into an incredible tournament. We're 286 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 2: watching the biggest soccer tournament going on in the world 287 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 2: right now. Everyone's feeling that national pride. We have superstars 288 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 2: all over the pitch and we have a ton of 289 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 2: things going up. Every match kind of feels like the final. 290 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:53,400 Speaker 2: If you guys haven't tried hard Rock Bet yet, there's 291 00:14:53,400 --> 00:14:55,800 Speaker 2: no better time to get involved. Hard Rock Bet is 292 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 2: the top rated sportsbook app built for Viva Lacopa. Whether 293 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 2: you're bet your country or betting on a favorite a superstar, 294 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 2: you can build the same game parlay for the biggest 295 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 2: matches of this tournament. Hard Rock Bet is your way 296 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 2: to get in on the action and don't forget about 297 00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:14,680 Speaker 2: live betting all match long, from the first minute to 298 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,560 Speaker 2: the final whistle. Download the hard Rock Bet app today. 299 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 2: Roll with us, Goal with us hard Rock Bet. Let's 300 00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:27,000 Speaker 2: talk about what's going on here for Germany in Carousel. 301 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 2: My former co host who passed away last year lived 302 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:36,080 Speaker 2: in Carousel and he has told me amazing stories about 303 00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 2: the islands and amazing stories about living there and being 304 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 2: a part of it and what it was like to 305 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 2: be around Carousel. They take on Germany in Houston today. 306 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 2: This team from Carrouseau according to people I trust. This 307 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 2: is what I do. When there are sports that I 308 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,480 Speaker 2: don't know a lot about, I ask people who do 309 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:58,160 Speaker 2: know a lot. And there is a big feeling that 310 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 2: Germany is being over value in the market. The Karrosel 311 00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 2: is going to play a defensive style here and they're 312 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 2: going to try to. 313 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 1: Limit the damage. 314 00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 2: They know they're gonna lose, but goal differential in how 315 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 2: they perform is huge. And this is a defensive minded 316 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,040 Speaker 2: team for Karrousel, who did not give up a ton 317 00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 2: of goals on their way to the World Cup. They're 318 00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 2: gonna try to slow down Germany. Now will they be 319 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:29,760 Speaker 2: able to do so? Maybe, maybe not. We're catching three 320 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 2: and a half goals here. Germany wins four nothing, we lose. 321 00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:38,000 Speaker 2: But if Germany wins for one, we win plus three 322 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 2: and a half. 323 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,120 Speaker 1: If Germany, if Karrosel scores one goal, I they get one. 324 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 2: I'm not saying they're going to but if they get one, 325 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 2: we cover this bet. I don't think Germany scores more 326 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 2: than four goals, Okay, I'll be very surprised at that. 327 00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:52,360 Speaker 2: Three to one is a very real final. Okay, three 328 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 2: nothing is a very real final for Germany up against Karrosel. 329 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:58,480 Speaker 2: I don't think they want to get blown out. I 330 00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:01,040 Speaker 2: think they're going to limit by everyone I've talked to, 331 00:17:01,160 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 2: it's hey, this is a defensive minded team. They're going 332 00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:06,439 Speaker 2: to try to really be a bullet constrictor and not 333 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,440 Speaker 2: allow Germany to go crazy and score a ton of goals. Here, 334 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 2: we're going to take currosel on the hard rock bet 335 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:15,639 Speaker 2: of the day Kurrasel plus three and a half for 336 00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 2: one point two units at minus one twenty so our 337 00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 2: hard rock bet of the day Kirasel at plus three 338 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:25,520 Speaker 2: and a half against Germany, Vegas on the money line 339 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:28,560 Speaker 2: Vegas Carolina over five and a half in Game six 340 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:32,120 Speaker 2: of the Stanley Cup Final, and Gon Pereira over two 341 00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:35,080 Speaker 2: and a half rounds at minus one sixty for the 342 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 2: UFC Freedom two fifty card minus. 343 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:38,399 Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. 344 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:40,239 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at 345 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:43,399 Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. 346 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice 347 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:00,200 Speaker 2: EA