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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: PA All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, horny forty five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the Kicks, Black Comic Football World Stunners.

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Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, please stumble and bubble the latter turn

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Speaker 4: a catter On the.

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Speaker 1: Episode j the lad.

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Speaker 2: Table, Off the Field the Night.

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Speaker 4: By God, it's not the size of the dog in

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Speaker 4: the fighting, it's the size of the fight.

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Speaker 1: Get all.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 3: Draft Kings. I am your host for this Monday morning episode,

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Speaker 3: Jim Roots, joined by the rest of the three man

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Speaker 3: Leave crew, Kim Cuan and Matt Cox. Every single Monday

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Speaker 3: morning through the rest of the season, we'll be dropping

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Speaker 3: a new BBOC episode talking all things betting in the

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Speaker 3: world of college hoops. On today's episode, you're gonna get

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Speaker 3: the classic segments we do here. We're gonna talk some

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Speaker 3: of the key games of the start of the week

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Speaker 3: that are all on Tuesday. Monday Slate is hiding from

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Speaker 3: the NFL. Apparently. We've also got some mid major games

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Speaker 3: of the week to discuss, some favorite favorites, some live dogs,

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Speaker 3: a couple of spots we really like and just get

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Speaker 3: you some early takes before most of the spreads come out.

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Speaker 3: All right, fellas, let's get into it key games of

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Speaker 3: the week. As I alluded to before it, there is

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Speaker 3: nothing on Monday, absolutely nothing worth discussing at all. So

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Speaker 3: we pivot to Tuesday, where I picked out four games,

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Speaker 3: not necessarily the top four in ken Pom Fan match.

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Speaker 3: I wanted to mix in an interesting fourth game. I

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Speaker 3: thought it would be worth discussing. But we're gonna start

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Speaker 3: with the headliner. Iowa State headed to Kansas. Matthew It

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Speaker 3: is a five point spread on Ken Palm right now.

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Speaker 3: I'm actually gonna pull up the see if draft Kings

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Speaker 3: got these lines out yet already. But the thing here

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Speaker 3: is that Kansas has been bad to start Big twelve play.

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Speaker 3: They've got two road losses and they needed a desperate

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Speaker 3: panic Holy Cow comeback to beat TCU in overtime. Darren

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Speaker 3: Peterson is playing more. He had sixteen points in the

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Speaker 3: first half against West Virginia and it was pretty quiet

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Speaker 3: in the second half. Got pulled for defense a couple

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Speaker 3: of times, but he at least seems healthy. Can the

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Speaker 3: Jayhawks pull off the big upset with the undefeated Cyclones

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Speaker 3: coming to town. The very rare instance. We're gonna have

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Speaker 3: bill self as a home.

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Speaker 1: Dog, yeah, which has been very profitable historically. I go

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Speaker 1: back to that was it the Yukon spot last year,

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Speaker 1: or there's two years ago the year you kind of

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Speaker 1: won the title and K you beat that team and

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Speaker 1: that was not a good KU team. So I think

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Speaker 1: I can see a similar narrative playing out where we

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Speaker 1: know this is an awesome Iowa State team. We know

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Speaker 1: this KU team is flawed, but I think they might

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Speaker 1: just you know, kind of play to their max or

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Speaker 1: above their head potential and maybe Iowa State shots don't

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Speaker 1: fall on the road. But I think Iowa stay. Man,

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Speaker 1: It's not a team you want to rush the window

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Speaker 1: to fade with. You know they've already prove then going

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Speaker 1: to Mackie and not just win, but dominate a team

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Speaker 1: with real size. I still don't know if I love

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Speaker 1: this KU team yet with Peterson Kai not totally sold

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Speaker 1: on it yet. It feels a little bit out of sorts.

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Speaker 4: I don't love them, and hey, John Rossing so bravely

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Speaker 4: pointed out that KU not a top five team in

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Speaker 4: the Big twelve. That's true, John in fact, Ken Palm

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Speaker 4: would agree with you.

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Speaker 5: The analytics.

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Speaker 1: I also another example of.

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Speaker 4: This right twenty twenty four, Houston was favorite at Kansas

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Speaker 4: and Kelvin Sampson couldn't believe it. K you got up

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Speaker 4: by twenty in that game and easily won. It's a

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Speaker 4: tough place to play.

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Speaker 1: This is very rare.

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Speaker 4: I expect KU to take money because I think it

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Speaker 4: is a better spot for Kansas here back against the wall.

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Speaker 1: Obviously haven't been a home dog very much.

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Speaker 4: Man, I always say it's awesome ten to the last

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Speaker 4: eleven games if won by double digits.

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Speaker 5: I think. I always say the defense gives K's.

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Speaker 4: Ballhandeds a lot of problems. The DP is incredible, but man,

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Speaker 4: he's not a tree point guard and k does not

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Speaker 4: have a plethora of ballhanders to handle what is a

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Speaker 4: very very good parimeter's shell for Iowa State. So the spot,

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Speaker 4: Jim screams K you to me, But I the market

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Speaker 4: bets it down too much to where I'm not interested.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a point in the offseason where I think

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Speaker 3: people thought Taman Lipsey was the best on ball defender

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Speaker 3: in the country, and he's no longer the best on

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Speaker 3: ball defender on his team because Killian Turey is an

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Speaker 3: absolute monster on the ball. He can harass whoever is

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Speaker 3: going to bring it up for Kansas, whether it's Peterson

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Speaker 3: or Council, get underneath them with that pressure and just

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Speaker 3: force Kansas to continue to look a little out of sorts.

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Speaker 3: I think they kind of had an identity figured out

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Speaker 3: when they're playing the two bigs with Badunga and Tiller

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Speaker 3: a lot together, and now they're playing a little smaller

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Speaker 3: with Peterson, the offensive balances is shifted so heavily towards Peterson.

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Speaker 3: He has a forty one point five percent usage in

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Speaker 3: Big twelve play so far. That's in a lot of minutes.

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Speaker 3: If he's on the court, he's shooting, and they just

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Speaker 3: haven't really figured out how to adjust around him. In

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Speaker 3: the Bill Self era at Kansas, he has been a

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Speaker 3: home dog three times, two and one against the spread.

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Speaker 3: Twenty twenty one against Baylor, they took care of that

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Speaker 3: eventual national champion Baylor team, twenty four against Houston Kai

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Speaker 3: the game you referenced, and then this year they lost

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Speaker 3: as a home dog against Yukon two and a half

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Speaker 3: point home dog. So yeah, it's not a big enough

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Speaker 3: sample to conclude anything. It just tells you how good

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Speaker 3: this team has been. That there, they played some awesome

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Speaker 3: Big twelve schedules and only been a home dog in

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Speaker 3: conference play twice before. But here comes Iowa State. I

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Speaker 3: lean towards Kansas, but man, I just I don't have

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Speaker 3: enough excitement to go against Iowa State and actually back

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Speaker 3: that there.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, ky you closed like minus one and a

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Speaker 1: half against Yukon the twenty twenty four year. Yeah yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think every one game followed this exact trend and

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Speaker 1: it flipped a favorite.

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Speaker 3: I think yea, yea yeah, I think I think No

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Speaker 3: Castle was a big part of that line. Yep, moving

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Speaker 3: the way it did. Okay, next on the outline, Actually,

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Speaker 3: let's go to Yukon Fellas, because it's a very similar

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Speaker 3: setup here. Five point road favorite Yukon headed two seat

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Speaker 3: in the Hall, A house of horrors for one. Dan

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Speaker 3: Hurley kai as few of house of horrors as he's

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Speaker 3: really had. A Yukon his alma mater, has always seemed

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Speaker 3: to get the best of him at least once every season,

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Speaker 3: and the Seaton Hall team can muck a game up.

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Speaker 3: One of the best defensive teams in the country. They

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Speaker 3: are highly disruptive rank in the elite nationally both steel

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Speaker 3: rate and block rate. They're going to make it difficult

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Speaker 3: on that half court offensive Connecticut that is so well executed.

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Speaker 3: But man, BAYL Mullens had a big game recently. Do

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Speaker 3: they just have too many weapons for the Pirates guy?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, They've won four straight home games against Yukon and

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Speaker 4: like you said, they split pretty much every single year.

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Speaker 4: There's magic in the Prudential Center. Do they call it

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Speaker 4: the prew If not, they should the Prudential Center there

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Speaker 4: they call it the Prude. Yes, yes, all those Hall

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Speaker 4: boys are so prude. I think interior defense and perimeter

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Speaker 4: size can really bother Yukon, and that's what Seaton Hall

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Speaker 4: has in spades. The team is rock solid top ten

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Speaker 4: defense this season, and like I said, there's magic, so

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Speaker 4: I will absolutely be looking to back haul. I'm very

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Speaker 4: curious what number we get. This phenomen non of Seaton

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Speaker 4: Hall Matt beating Yukon is not a secret, So I'm

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Speaker 4: very curious to see which way that market bets it.

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Speaker 4: Ken Palm's got it five. I bet it goes under five,

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Speaker 4: and market it's with Hall.

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Speaker 3: For the New Jersey folks screaming into their headphones. It's

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Speaker 3: called the rock. They call it.

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Speaker 4: They call the Rock. I probably shouldn't known that, so.

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Speaker 3: No, I just wanted to make sure we didn't get

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Speaker 3: some angry feedback there. Sorry, Mat Yeah, so.

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Speaker 1: Yeah with this streak. The first of that streak was

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Speaker 1: was so willarded twenty two and then twenty three, twenty four,

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Speaker 1: twenty five, Shah and Yeah. I just think there is

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Speaker 1: something real to like their identity and how they've been

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Speaker 1: able to basically, you know, not be pushed around by

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Speaker 1: Yukon and kind of take them out of their actions

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Speaker 1: and just I think, as with Yukon is always the

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Speaker 1: case in the Big East, the coaching familiarity, it's just

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Speaker 1: harder for you kind to have that that playbook edge

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Speaker 1: because this coaches in this league just know it, right,

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Speaker 1: So I think that's always going to be working against Yukon.

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Speaker 1: Nb's play you can just not playing that lall right now.

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Speaker 1: I mean Hurley's been really frustrated. I mean defensively, they've

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Speaker 1: been kind of they had issues. So I like Seaton

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Speaker 1: Hall here, we'll see the number lands, but just instinctually

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Speaker 1: I have Hall circled on my on my my slate through.

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Speaker 3: Six games Matt. They have the most efficient defense in

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Speaker 3: the Big East, though, the best, the best defensive rating

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Speaker 3: in the Big East. Providence torched it though, so it's

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Speaker 3: you know, it's not then every single game they took

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Speaker 3: care of the Paul but did not cover there. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: they haven't been as sharp. I'm sure Hurley has been

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Speaker 3: a little upset with their performances. I kind of like

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Speaker 3: Seaton Hall here. I think it's just the Mucket up

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Speaker 3: perfect kind of style. It's almost like the instance where

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Speaker 3: Hurley might prefer a loss, like, let me get on

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Speaker 3: my guys. They haven't been playing as well as I

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Speaker 3: want him to. I'll live with a loss here in

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Speaker 3: a tough road environment. It is as all matter as mentioned,

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Speaker 3: I think Seaton Hall is a live dog in this situation,

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Speaker 3: and I would take five points. I believe we do

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Speaker 3: have lines up for this game.

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Speaker 1: Wow for Tuesday.

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Speaker 3: Really no never mind, sorry, yeah these are Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: I was loking at ye Jim the best Big East

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Speaker 1: that does surprising. I guess Paul twice and then Marquette

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Speaker 1: was just ice cold. And it's only six games. But

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Speaker 1: I'm going to bet that trend the other direction.

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Speaker 3: We'll see that from the Arizona game on I've said

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Speaker 3: this on the Stats Pod with Will Warren. Check that

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Speaker 3: out if you haven't listened to it. But they went

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Speaker 3: nine of ten games holding their opponents below one point

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Speaker 3: per possession Yukon did, which coming to the year, I

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Speaker 3: think the question was can the defense hold up? And

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Speaker 3: clearly they could. Yeah, they've had some beneficial three point

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Speaker 3: percentage defense that I think has started to come back

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Speaker 3: a little bit. Providence towards them a little bit from

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Speaker 3: deep fourteen of twenty four, so that's normalizing a little bit.

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Speaker 3: But they're still fifth in ken Pom, and they've had

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Speaker 3: a really really tough interior defense with Reid with Riba,

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Speaker 3: and they've got like athletes Caravan Stewart that can actually

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Speaker 3: block shots. So I think it's tough to score in them.

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Speaker 3: But the offense is still coming along. I mentioned Mullens

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Speaker 3: having that monster game recently twenty four against Providence. Demri

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Speaker 3: had twenty three and fifteen assists in that game. The

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Speaker 3: backcourts really yelling to go with the veterans with Ball

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Speaker 3: and Caravan, et cetera. So they are scary. But I

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Speaker 3: do lean Seaton Hall because of that the matchup and

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Speaker 3: the trend there. I think Shaw's got a little bit

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Speaker 3: of the number with the playbook.

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Speaker 1: As Matt mentioned, the whistle matter, well, whistle will mean

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Speaker 1: a lot.

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Speaker 3: In this game. Did you guys see the the Rob

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Speaker 3: Reinhart fake account, yes, saying Dan Hurley had said I

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Speaker 3: won't even say what they joke that he said to

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Speaker 3: a ref and he was Dan Hurley is being reviewed

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Speaker 3: to be suspended for the entire season. Yes, And like said,

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Speaker 3: multiple people fell for it and were like, I can't.

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Speaker 4: Believe my brother said to me it was our word

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Speaker 4: F word. It is very very funny.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I can't believe people got got a hook by that.

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Speaker 3: Even as much as I'm like, Dan Hurley, you're a lunatic,

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Speaker 3: I didn't fall for that one. Okay, let's go to

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Speaker 3: the ACC. Virginia headed to Louisville. Man, it's the top

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Speaker 3: contender to Duke going to be decided here. Just really

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Speaker 3: hard to handicap this one right now, Matt. Because of

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Speaker 3: the injuries on the Louisville side. Is Ryan Conwell going

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Speaker 3: to play? Is mckel brown junior going to play? They

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Speaker 3: just pulled the red shirt on London Johnson, the former

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Speaker 3: G League guard, and he didn't actually play last game,

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Speaker 3: but I think that was indicative of their concern level

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Speaker 3: over their guard's injuries. Obviously, Louisville's kind of an erratic

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Speaker 3: up and down outcome the high variance team because of

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Speaker 3: how many threes they take lead the entire country in

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Speaker 3: three point of ten per eight. But Virginia might have

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Speaker 3: the edge inside the foreign centers. The German centers battling

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Speaker 3: in this one could be a matchup to watch.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's where the edges Louisville's. I'm sorry.

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Speaker 1: Virginia's size at the rim was something I know we

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Speaker 1: looked at it on paper, but just when you see

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Speaker 1: it out there in person, it really stands out and

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Speaker 1: you have the defensive pressure that they're able to instill.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that's gonna work really against the Louis's backcourt,

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Speaker 1: but they kind of have multiple ways, you know, both

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Speaker 1: inside and out defensively to set the town. Jakari White

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Speaker 1: I thought would be a big kind of loss for Virginia.

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Speaker 1: He's been out the last six or six games. It

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Speaker 1: really hasn't been and they dominated NC State. They killed

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Speaker 1: both the West Coast teams. The only lost Virginia Tech

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Speaker 1: but that wasn't an offensive issue in that game. So

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Speaker 1: I like Virginia here, I really do. I think Louisville's

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Speaker 1: lack of interior presence depending on what fru getto. Freu

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Speaker 1: had a good game last game, but that was against

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Speaker 1: not you know whoever, so it Boston. That's where I

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Speaker 1: think Virginia.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, basically gotta get Virginia pass for their game after Christmas,

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Speaker 1: because Virginia Tech every other game since then, getting back

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Speaker 1: to the MT against Butler has been really impressive. So

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Speaker 1: I think it's a good team. Yeah, it's your point

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Speaker 1: of that Virginia Tech game.

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Speaker 4: The only game to haven't covered with that white so

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Speaker 4: four and when it gets to spread with that white

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Speaker 4: and Louisvill's hurt if connells out again, him and Michael

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Speaker 4: Michael Brown BC had him down in half and down

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Speaker 4: by ten. Boston College like not just a bad power team,

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Speaker 4: a bad team in general. And I think Virginia is

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Speaker 4: such a well oil machine defend the three very well.

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Speaker 4: That's obviously key against the team that choots the most

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Speaker 4: threes in the country. Ilean Virginia here, Jim on the road.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, both those guys are out. I take Virginia up

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Speaker 3: to like minus three. I just think that they have

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Speaker 3: enough of a style that can travel with the interior defense,

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Speaker 3: the offensive rebounding, like they're elite at both of those things,

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Speaker 3: and that that is part of the kind of system

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Speaker 3: that I think travels onto the road. Also, fellas, would

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Speaker 3: it surprise you to hear that Bart Torvik right now,

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Speaker 3: Virginia is the highest rated team in the a SEC. Yes,

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Speaker 3: that includes Duke Virginia's thirteenth. Duke is fourteenth on fold

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Speaker 3: those surprise moments. Yeah, so this Virginia team has been

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Speaker 3: pretty darn legit. That one Butler loss, it feels a

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Speaker 3: little more like an aberration at this point and triple

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Speaker 3: over time to arch rival Virginia Tech. Also, like you

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Speaker 3: can see and understand why that game happened. But they

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Speaker 3: have some some size, some skill. Tyson Ritter is like

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Speaker 3: a potential All ACC player. I'm a buyer on them.

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Speaker 3: If now let's try to do the scenario, Matt, if

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Speaker 3: one of Conweller Brown junior plays, does that shift your

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Speaker 3: how heavily? Does it shift your analysis?

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Speaker 1: I think it does, but I think they'll market would

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Speaker 1: react to it. I think I those sorry. The more

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Speaker 1: thing that is Virgina's gonna be bad for me to

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Speaker 1: my or what. So it's gonna be a matter of

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Speaker 1: timing with the injury news. Just I mean, look at

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Speaker 1: Duke's last six games, when people have been making a

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Speaker 1: lot of hubbub about their defense. I think they're one

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Speaker 1: and five against the spread. Their only cover was against Louisville.

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Speaker 1: Sort of maybe again not to read too much into that,

305
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Speaker 1: but I think a little bit illuminating as to what

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Speaker 1: Louisville really is when you peel back the onion.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you're obviously prone to fifteen. Twenty three is going

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Speaker 3: in if you're betting against Louisville, but that's just the

309
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Speaker 3: risk you have to run. They could also make five

310
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Speaker 3: of thirty one and it's a runaway freight train win

311
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Speaker 3: for Virginia. So I will say, don't I don't know

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Speaker 3: how to like registered as an official bet because we

313
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Speaker 3: don't know the player status on the on the Louisville side,

314
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Speaker 3: but I'll just say I'll take Virginia to minus three

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Speaker 3: with them, assuming they're both out.

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Speaker 1: We'll just we'll have that as a I hope it's

317
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Speaker 1: not very than like five. I'd like that shock shock figure.

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Speaker 3: Shot all right, last last game I want to discuss

319
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Speaker 3: here Indiana, Matt you're whoho Hoosiers going to to Michigan State,

320
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Speaker 3: who hasn't been like overly sharp lately. They got really

321
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Speaker 3: pushed by Northwestern before being able to pull away late.

322
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Speaker 3: I guess they were awesome against usc usc in a

323
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Speaker 3: very bad spot there. They lost on the road at Nebraska,

324
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Speaker 3: but they have been pretty solid at home. They've got

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Speaker 3: the physicality edge here against Indiana, and the paint a

326
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Speaker 3: lot of size to take on the Hoosiers. But can

327
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Speaker 3: I you make enough threes, Maddie. They seemed like they

328
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Speaker 3: were going to against Nebraska and then suddenly all the

329
00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,600
Speaker 3: Husker shots started going in on Saturday. Does IU bounce

330
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Speaker 3: back with a big win on the road at Michigan State?

331
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Speaker 1: No, I don't think so. MISI can state. It also

332
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Speaker 1: has two extra or two days off. This is kind

333
00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,640
Speaker 1: of like the subtle break in their schedule because they

334
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Speaker 1: went Friday Monday Thursday. So I kind of gave him

335
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Speaker 1: a pass in hindsight. For the Northwestern, it's kind of

336
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,960
Speaker 1: sluggish start. Took care of business as they should have,

337
00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:55,200
Speaker 1: their deeper their presence at the rim. It's just man

338
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:57,680
Speaker 1: it's just a lot more just gives you more balanced,

339
00:15:57,720 --> 00:15:59,680
Speaker 1: more ways to win. Where I just see Louisville in

340
00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:02,360
Speaker 1: the you know, these jump shot reliant teams. You know,

341
00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:04,080
Speaker 1: I just think there is a matchup kryptonite, and I

342
00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,160
Speaker 1: think Michigan State kind of presents that. So I like

343
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Speaker 1: SPARTI here KAINI. I don't know what the number is

344
00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:11,040
Speaker 1: going to be, but I lay nine. Probably not so

345
00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:11,640
Speaker 1: I think it's going.

346
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Speaker 3: To be eight seven pm right now.

347
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it will be. I's been bad, mayn't

348
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Speaker 1: play anyone like against good teams, one good half great.

349
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Speaker 4: Well, yeah they collapsed in Nebraska, led by sixteen that game.

350
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Speaker 1: Yeah they were run sixteen. That's I guess we should

351
00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,920
Speaker 1: give credit for that part of the story. But they

352
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Speaker 1: were hot.

353
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Speaker 4: And but this is the type of team we were

354
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Speaker 4: worried about Indiana facing in the Big Ten. It was like,

355
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Speaker 4: when they face real size and front court play, they're

356
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Speaker 4: going to get smoked. And Michigan State will smoke them

357
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Speaker 4: in the paint and on the glass. They do tend

358
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Speaker 4: to make teams beat them from from the outside. Michigan State,

359
00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:47,040
Speaker 4: they will make you beat them with jump shots. That's

360
00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:49,480
Speaker 4: what Indiana wants to do. I mean, will Christen can

361
00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:51,720
Speaker 4: literally hit ten threes in a game. It's pot he's

362
00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,560
Speaker 4: done it before, he will do it again. But Jim

363
00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,800
Speaker 4: Eileen SPARTI pretty heavy here. I do think they win

364
00:16:57,880 --> 00:16:58,360
Speaker 4: by doubles.

365
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Speaker 3: Yeah, they've they've been to me like better against like

366
00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:07,960
Speaker 3: better competition, Like they've set a lackadaisical effort against Colgate

367
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Speaker 3: or you know, Northwestern, not a.

368
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Speaker 1: Great Cornell will give one hundred of Cornell.

369
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Speaker 3: That was a little bit like yeah, but then hey,

370
00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:17,600
Speaker 3: USC comes in, Iowa comes in, and my god, look

371
00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:20,399
Speaker 3: at what this team can do against somebody with not

372
00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:23,280
Speaker 3: It's not really able to measure up physically in the paint,

373
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Speaker 3: and I think that's going to be the issue here.

374
00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:26,919
Speaker 3: Indiana does a great job of keeping you away from

375
00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:31,160
Speaker 3: the rim defensively, that's Darren Debree's trademark. But I still

376
00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:33,600
Speaker 3: think keeping this aggressive Michigan State team off the glass

377
00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:36,120
Speaker 3: is gonna be hard. Cole and Carl'll get a transition

378
00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:38,320
Speaker 3: player too. That gets the crowd going. I like Michigan

379
00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:41,320
Speaker 3: State too. I probably if it's seven, I think I'd

380
00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:43,240
Speaker 3: lay it. But I'm I'm with you, Matt, I don't

381
00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 3: I don't know that it's going to be available in

382
00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:46,440
Speaker 3: the market at that price.

383
00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:48,399
Speaker 1: I think this is a low scoring game. I like

384
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Speaker 1: Under as a total aside here, I feel like direz

385
00:17:51,840 --> 00:17:53,960
Speaker 1: is going to cramp it. Like is kind of this

386
00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:57,840
Speaker 1: old Drake style, no transition for Sparti Nikes party shoot,

387
00:17:58,200 --> 00:17:58,960
Speaker 1: kind of ugly game.

388
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Speaker 3: Yeah. That one hundred and forty one is the kN

389
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:05,360
Speaker 3: Pom projection. If it's right around there. I think maybe

390
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 3: under one hundred and forty decent rager. Yeah, all right,

391
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:10,800
Speaker 3: let's go to the mid major games of the week.

392
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Speaker 3: I'm holdstring a Monday south Land game for a later section,

393
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,480
Speaker 3: so I'll talk quick about the Patriot matchup KUI between

394
00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 3: Navy and American. Arguably the two challengers to Colgate in

395
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,280
Speaker 3: this league, but Colgate just lost at home over the

396
00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,320
Speaker 3: weekend opening up that race. They lost to Lee High.

397
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:30,000
Speaker 3: So now three to one. Navy actually a top the

398
00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:32,760
Speaker 3: league at four and oh, perhaps the best team in

399
00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:34,680
Speaker 3: the conference. They heard the highest rate of kN pond

400
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:39,159
Speaker 3: team American two and two. They had Colgate beat. I

401
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 3: think this is a fun little matchup. Herenyvy one of

402
00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:43,159
Speaker 3: the most experienced teams in the country. They lead the

403
00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:46,719
Speaker 3: entire country in continuity, same starting five from last year.

404
00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:48,760
Speaker 3: It's paid off for them in this conference. Do you

405
00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:50,800
Speaker 3: think they get a win here? They are a one

406
00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:54,879
Speaker 3: point road favorite per ken Pom. Actually, per DraftKings, they

407
00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:56,359
Speaker 3: are one and a half point favorite.

408
00:18:56,600 --> 00:19:01,040
Speaker 4: Ooh yeah, give me Navy, Jim. I think Navy takes it. Yeah,

409
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,040
Speaker 4: like you said, number one continuity and I kind of

410
00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:05,159
Speaker 4: fell in love with this team as many did that

411
00:19:05,280 --> 00:19:08,320
Speaker 4: watched the Patriot Tournament last year with Austin Benini turning

412
00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 4: into an absolute stud.

413
00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:09,959
Speaker 5: Muff him.

414
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:12,840
Speaker 4: He is maybe the best player in the Patriot I

415
00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,359
Speaker 4: don't think the Americans that good, Matthew. They just lost

416
00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,399
Speaker 4: a Holy Cross by double digits. This is not the

417
00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:19,800
Speaker 4: same team that made the tournament last year. I think

418
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:23,840
Speaker 4: Navy lives the line. I think they prevail, so midshipman.

419
00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,800
Speaker 1: Sign me up. Yeah. I was shocked that American play

420
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 1: as well as they did, non Kin, I didn't get that.

421
00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:31,320
Speaker 1: Dwayne Simpkins good coach, but I don't feel like the roster.

422
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:32,320
Speaker 3: I don't know.

423
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:34,080
Speaker 1: I think it's kind of a comeback down to earth

424
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 1: bi low soe high as you get into conference play

425
00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:38,320
Speaker 1: for some of these low majors you get good opportunities

426
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 1: based on what I think is some abnormal performance, both

427
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,919
Speaker 1: good or bad. For November Decemmer. I agree. I love

428
00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:46,919
Speaker 1: I'm always love Navy. I'd bet on in Navy more

429
00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:49,200
Speaker 1: than anyone on the plan for the last three years,

430
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:53,080
Speaker 1: mostly unprofitably. But yeah, but I'm back on team.

431
00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:55,879
Speaker 3: Maybe I'm gonna go with Navy as well. Kay, I'm

432
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Speaker 3: glad you brought up the conference tournament last year because

433
00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:01,040
Speaker 3: maybe the same starting five surely has some memories of

434
00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:04,320
Speaker 3: losing by twenty to American in the Patriotlegue final. I

435
00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:06,280
Speaker 3: think there's gonna be a little revenge on the mind.

436
00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 3: As you mentioned, American three hundred and forty fourth in

437
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 3: foul rate defensively or defensive free throw rate. That is

438
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 3: where Benini lives. Benini is a monster getting the free

439
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,200
Speaker 3: throw line. Navy is fifty fifth nationally at that I

440
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,440
Speaker 3: think they take a ton of free throws. Pair that

441
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:24,119
Speaker 3: with a veteran type of team that I think can travel.

442
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:26,879
Speaker 3: I like Navy. Now, the concern is Donovan Draper has

443
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,920
Speaker 3: missed the last two for Navy. A steady, steady course. Yes,

444
00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,560
Speaker 3: fans of Madmen may recognize that name. Hasn't been very

445
00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:37,480
Speaker 3: efficient this year, but he defends every position. He's a

446
00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:42,000
Speaker 3: great distributor like Triggerman. As a front core player, that

447
00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:43,920
Speaker 3: would be a limiting factor. But I think I'll still

448
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:47,679
Speaker 3: ride with Benini with Keyo and their their limited depth there,

449
00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:49,359
Speaker 3: so I'm gonna go Navy might just one and a

450
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 3: half an official bet blocking it in On Tuesday in

451
00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:57,800
Speaker 3: the mid major games of the week, we've got Saint

452
00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:01,639
Speaker 3: Mary's at San Francisco Matthias some injuries on the San

453
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 3: Francisco side. We're going to talk a lot of injuries

454
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,119
Speaker 3: in the spotlight section to end the show here, But

455
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 3: big Bay Area battle here on the Hill War Memorial

456
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:14,000
Speaker 3: the Gaels. Can they get a their favorite by six

457
00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:16,320
Speaker 3: on the on the road, but it's gonna be about

458
00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:18,840
Speaker 3: a touchdown favorite, maybe a little higher if Ryan Beasley's out.

459
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 3: Any thoughts on this matchup, Matthew.

460
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think he will be. I just the

461
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:25,280
Speaker 1: Dons have really let me down this year. I know

462
00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:30,080
Speaker 1: they've had a couple of injuries, but just like Tyrone Riley,

463
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:32,159
Speaker 1: like how much we loved him preseason, he's just been

464
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:36,840
Speaker 1: a little bit too passive. He's been very, very, very timid,

465
00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:38,760
Speaker 1: I watch him a few times. It's just not been

466
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:40,400
Speaker 1: the same guy we thought would take over. And they've

467
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 1: had injuries that are backcorn Mookie Cooke's been like a

468
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 1: key player. He's been out too. I think Saint Mary's

469
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:48,560
Speaker 1: kind of goes into Memorial and it does Saint Mary's things.

470
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,679
Speaker 1: Does the surgical silent the crowd with their execution, their defense,

471
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,639
Speaker 1: their size. I like the gales here Kai and I'm shocked.

472
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,240
Speaker 1: I'm saying that after I would have probably had this

473
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 1: circle as a Don spot for me a month preseason.

474
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:00,439
Speaker 3: Honestly, Yeah, I.

475
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,600
Speaker 5: Mean, I'm not scared of the home floor, that's for sure.

476
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 4: I think it's a steady crock pot the glass having

477
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:07,960
Speaker 4: two best players on the floor, Morascus and Mikey Lewis.

478
00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:10,080
Speaker 1: I have no clue what's wrong with the Dons.

479
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:11,120
Speaker 5: It might just be injuries.

480
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:14,320
Speaker 4: But they blew that game against LMU and Beasley had

481
00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:16,239
Speaker 4: like thirty points in that game. It's the first time

482
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 4: they've been outside the top one hundreds since twenty twenty three,

483
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 4: but the second time since twenty eighteen. So this is

484
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,200
Speaker 4: a bit of a down year for them. We expected

485
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:26,600
Speaker 4: them to almost compete for the title. No one's competing

486
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:29,359
Speaker 4: with the Gonzaga, but at least compete for second. I

487
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 4: think it is Saint Mary's game, Jim.

488
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,880
Speaker 3: Yep I did too. Before the last meeting in February

489
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 3: last year, Saint Mary's had won eleven straight in this matchup,

490
00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:41,160
Speaker 3: and then San Francisco pulled off a one point win. Again.

491
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:43,359
Speaker 3: I don't want to like over index on revenge, but

492
00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 3: there is some continuity to the Saint Mary's team. I

493
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,760
Speaker 3: think they want to get back after that loss at

494
00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 3: San Francisco, back to the same building that they were

495
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 3: last February. Maybe that's not going to mean a ton

496
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 3: for the spread because they've alternated covering these two in

497
00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:00,360
Speaker 3: the last six meetings, but I just like what Saint

498
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 3: Mary's has right now. Moroscus is playing so freaking well.

499
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,639
Speaker 3: They've kind of figured out their center rotation with McKeever

500
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:09,600
Speaker 3: and the short handedness of San Francisco it concerns me.

501
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 3: I just don't know what the line is going to

502
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 3: be with the Beasley and Mookie Cook injuries lingering, So

503
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 3: I'm not going to lock in anything official there, but

504
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,359
Speaker 3: I like I like Saint Mary's. All right, let's go

505
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 3: two live Dogs of the Week.

506
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:29,960
Speaker 2: Fellas we're hot.

507
00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 3: Last week Rutgers beat Oregon and that that spot where

508
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,919
Speaker 3: the Ducks were clacking on the East coast. Still, Texas

509
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 3: Southern did not take care of business. Still they got

510
00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:42,920
Speaker 3: smoked by Grambling. Unfortunately, Minnesota beat Iowa in the Barn,

511
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 3: and South Carolina went on the road and beat LSU

512
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,680
Speaker 3: and Baton Rouge without Dedan Thomas. We had had that

513
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 3: one pretty well circled in. South Carolina dominated that game.

514
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 3: So shout out to the game Cocks. I've got a

515
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:58,120
Speaker 3: few this week. Curious if you have any jumped out

516
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:01,160
Speaker 3: to you guys Monday, and it is like all extra

517
00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 3: board Swack, MIAC Patriot, Southland. But I really like Jackson

518
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 3: State plus six at Alabama A and M. Jackson State

519
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 3: got blown out repeatedly by Power Conference teams in the

520
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 3: non con and I think that depressed their value going

521
00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:18,160
Speaker 3: into the swack. They've started out two and zero. They're

522
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 3: very frequently going to have the best player on the

523
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,359
Speaker 3: floor in the swack with Dashaun Ruffin, he's been a

524
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,520
Speaker 3: monster so far. I kind of liked them going out

525
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:28,560
Speaker 3: and picking off Alabama A and M. Here six point

526
00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 3: dogs per Ken Palm, Matthew but looking at DraftKings right now,

527
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,040
Speaker 3: they're six and a half point dogs, so there's gonna

528
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 3: be some value you like the Tigers. Matthew, Yeah, I.

529
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,960
Speaker 1: Think Jackson State is exactly like the epitome of what

530
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 1: I was saying with Navy, some of these low major

531
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:45,960
Speaker 1: teams that you just get all. You just ignore what

532
00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:48,720
Speaker 1: happened the first two months, right, Jackson State plummeted I

533
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 1: think to mid low three thirty three forties last season

534
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: in Kempom. Everyone knew they were a preseason favorite, and

535
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:56,480
Speaker 1: look what they did, right, They took care of business.

536
00:24:56,520 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 1: I think that's exact same story. Arc comes in frisinatord

537
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 1: with a swack. A lot of times I realize getting

538
00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,440
Speaker 1: into the individual matchups is not the way to go,

539
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,640
Speaker 1: But I think you play teams like on streaks, like portfolios,

540
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,160
Speaker 1: just because there's so much randmnest game in the game.

541
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 1: The styles, frankly are all very similar. So if you

542
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:15,920
Speaker 1: like a team, where you don't like a team, trying

543
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 1: to stick with it for a few is sort of

544
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:19,640
Speaker 1: what I'm trying to stick to the season. We'll see

545
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 1: if I commit. I usually don't commit to anything, So

546
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 1: TVD on that one.

547
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:28,160
Speaker 4: Well, I mean, Matt, you could have spoken true right there.

548
00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:32,159
Speaker 4: I had Jackson State, not about the commitment, but I

549
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 4: had Jackson State against Alcorn and they lost by the

550
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 4: hook and they led that game by seventeen points. And

551
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 4: what did I do the next game? It's Alabama State.

552
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,199
Speaker 4: I gave up on them despite my numbers, said bet them.

553
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,640
Speaker 4: They beat Alabama State outright by doubles.

554
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 5: Never close.

555
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 4: I'm back on the Jackson State bandwagon here.

556
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:52,680
Speaker 1: Plus six. Absolutely preseason, I would have made this game

557
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 1: jack State favored, right like minus three.

558
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 5: This is Jackson State for me.

559
00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 3: Yes, yep, I'm with you. I mean, the raw numbers

560
00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:02,480
Speaker 3: for Jackson State are all so bad because they played

561
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:08,840
Speaker 3: at Xaninoy, Louisville, Auburn, Arkansas, Houston, Northwestern, TCU. Like there's

562
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:10,919
Speaker 3: a lot of top fifteen, Top twenty teams in there

563
00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 3: and then some more P five's. They've played the eighth

564
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 3: toughest non conference schedule, just didn't have a chance to

565
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,119
Speaker 3: come up for air. And now they do in the

566
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 3: swhack and we're seeing like the true version of this team.

567
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:24,000
Speaker 3: I think that's a really good spot. Also, I wrote

568
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 3: down a couple others for this week. Maybe Nichols at

569
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:32,960
Speaker 3: McNeice their plus twelve. The seven and oh team in

570
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:34,359
Speaker 3: the Southland is the team that's going to be a

571
00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 3: double digit road dog there. Nichols is seven and oh,

572
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:39,240
Speaker 3: McNee six and one. Mcneesse hasn't been all that sharp

573
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 3: the ultimate Erratics squad, Matthew, you're Texas A and m

574
00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 3: Aggie's headed to Tennessee. Maybe you get the variance game

575
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 3: for bucket ball against the Valls, although the balls are

576
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 3: coming off a loss, so shaky there.

577
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, balls there quite a bit.

578
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:57,119
Speaker 3: I did just as at Grand Canyon plus eight at

579
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 3: New Mexico. Grand Canyon has already won at boising convincing fashion.

580
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:03,919
Speaker 3: I think they could maybe nip New Mexico despite how

581
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:06,440
Speaker 3: well coached they are. Any of those three for you

582
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:09,439
Speaker 3: met or any others on the board that stood out to.

583
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 1: You now The Tennessee one for me like just watching

584
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:16,120
Speaker 1: them played Texas at home. Kind of a smaller team

585
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 1: without real physicality at the rim, which I think Texas

586
00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:21,760
Speaker 1: A and M is certainly in that boat. I think

587
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:26,160
Speaker 1: they smack A and M. Frankly, obviously VANDAM gets hot.

588
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:28,639
Speaker 1: We see what they can do. But you're sort of

589
00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:30,040
Speaker 1: betting that they're not going to get hot, and I

590
00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:31,879
Speaker 1: don't think there's any other avenues for A and M

591
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 1: to keep this game competitive. Jacobe Gillaspie's the best guard

592
00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:36,000
Speaker 1: on the floor by a mile. I don't know who

593
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:38,440
Speaker 1: guards them on A and M. I like the balls

594
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 1: in home kai, physicality, home spot check, check check.

595
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:44,200
Speaker 4: I still think A and M's fraudulent too, so I

596
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:46,760
Speaker 4: lean Joway Matthew, But Nichols Yeah, I don't get on.

597
00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:48,680
Speaker 4: Nichols is still this long and kimpom. To be honest,

598
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:50,680
Speaker 4: this seems really good and I expect them to be

599
00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:54,680
Speaker 4: in the preseason. Wrote this preview up for basket in Review.

600
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:56,720
Speaker 4: They're five and two against the spread in the south Land.

601
00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 4: McNeice owned five against the spread their last five games,

602
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,520
Speaker 4: so they are teams can hang with them. South Lan

603
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:05,880
Speaker 4: is no longer a one team league dominating everybody else.

604
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 4: McNeice obviously has more talent and athletes, but within doubles,

605
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 4: I think the Colonels can definitely hang around.

606
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 5: So Nichols I'll be on as well.

607
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, just keep an eye out for mister Dunkley jliqu

608
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:18,880
Speaker 3: Dunkley missed last game for Nichols. On their top three guys. Yes,

609
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:21,960
Speaker 3: big time rebounding force for them. You just got to

610
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:23,720
Speaker 3: take care of the ball against McNeice. That is like

611
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,560
Speaker 3: the first order of business against them because they forced

612
00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:29,520
Speaker 3: so many turnovers. But Nichols can kind of do that.

613
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 3: I just think twelve is a crazy number. That would be.

614
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 3: It's thirteen and a half at Draft Kings. So Kai,

615
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:38,280
Speaker 3: if you want to lock in thirteen and a half,

616
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 3: I'm going to do it. So yeah, I think it

617
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 3: will do Jackson State and Nichols on Monday. All right,

618
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 3: let's go to our favorite favorites presented by Draft Kings.

619
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 3: Last week, we had Yale demolishing Brown. Florida took care

620
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 3: of business against Georgia. Yes, it helped that Santos are

621
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 3: real through an elbow and got kicked out of that game,

622
00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 3: but hey, the money out of the same. Michigan almost

623
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 3: lost at Penn State. That was a little bit fuddling.

624
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 3: Wolverines have hit a little mini swoon right now. Dusty

625
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:12,479
Speaker 3: May is talking about how I haven't been playing very

626
00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:17,479
Speaker 3: well lately, but hey that's foreign. Yeah, yeah, they are

627
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:18,960
Speaker 3: competitive even without.

628
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 1: Me going ts last four. Don't look now, check the ledger,

629
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:22,720
Speaker 1: look out.

630
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:25,520
Speaker 3: What's out all right, So some of the favorites I

631
00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 3: highlight here I didn't. I couldn't pick one out on

632
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 3: Monday that I loved enough to really bring to the

633
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 3: table to your attention. Here's the four ki that I

634
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 3: did come up with. George Mason minus eleven versus Loyola.

635
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:38,400
Speaker 3: The Ramblers are just ravaged by injuries.

636
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 5: Now.

637
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:41,920
Speaker 3: Mason, granted just came off the VCU home win. It

638
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 3: could be sort of a letdown spot, but Skin's almost

639
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 3: too good of a coach for that. Nebraska minus thirteen

640
00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 3: against Oregon a really weird travel spot for Oregon coming

641
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 3: back into the Midwest after going home for just a

642
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:58,000
Speaker 3: little bit. And Shelstad's absence could be big there. Bradley

643
00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:01,720
Speaker 3: minus five at Evansville, potentially if Turnbull remains out for Evansville.

644
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 3: He is one of the most important players in the

645
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:07,360
Speaker 3: entire country for his team. And then Akron minus twenty

646
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 3: three against ball State. Matt kind of joked about it

647
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:15,040
Speaker 3: in the Discord recently that perhaps mister Lewis at ball

648
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 3: State is going to be getting his pink slip very soon.

649
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 3: I would not be surprised. And Akron is just a

650
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 3: turbo juggernaut on an offense. Any of these stand out

651
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 3: to you, mister.

652
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 4: McEwan, Uh yeah, Jim, I definitely like George Mason. I

653
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 4: mean Lila walking wounded like they sucked kind of when

654
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 4: they were healthy. They're turning a corner a bit, it seems.

655
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:36,560
Speaker 4: But I guess Xavier Amos is the most important player

656
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:39,040
Speaker 4: in the country because he was out along with a

657
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 4: couple other guys and they lost by thirty to George Washington.

658
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 4: And Mason is a good team. They're a good team,

659
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:48,160
Speaker 4: So I do lean their way for sure. Evansville somehow

660
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:51,280
Speaker 4: beat Indiana State without Turnbull, so I don't think lightning

661
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 4: will strike twice. But so I do lean Bradley there.

662
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 4: And I agree with Akron Matt. I think they're going

663
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 4: to blow ball State out. Akron loves blowing teams out

664
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 4: that are hopeless, and they have a top twenty offense,

665
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 4: certainly have the firepower to do it.

666
00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 2: Yeah.

667
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 1: Ball State is just like I have air Force on

668
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:08,240
Speaker 1: this list. To have two teams Ball State air Force

669
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 1: teams in like the mid three twenties, three thirties, Ken Palm,

670
00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 1: then I think will wind up in like the three forties.

671
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 1: Maybe three fifties might be a reach, But I don't

672
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: see any upward hope for either squad. Ball state is

673
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 1: injury riddled. They heaben all year. In Mike Lewis, I

674
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 1: think it's just totally defeated at this point, both where

675
00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 1: he's at in his hot seat tenure. How little hope

676
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:37,280
Speaker 1: this season, frankly has They've just totally folded. They're not smart,

677
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 1: they're not talented. They have like laps as an effort,

678
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 1: as Lewis calls out pretty subtly sometimes in his postgame pressers,

679
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 1: just not all like going for this team and Acron's Acron.

680
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:48,160
Speaker 1: So I think you just kind of trust it here,

681
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 1: lay it, laying.

682
00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:52,840
Speaker 3: At Matthew taking it. What's your what's your strike on?

683
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 1: Strike's got to be I mean twenty four, okay, okay,

684
00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:00,280
Speaker 1: I mean like if you lay in twenty two, you'll

685
00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 1: lay twenty five, wouldn't you if you trust that? I

686
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 1: don't know. That's obviously not smart handicapn but with some

687
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 1: of these big numbers, you kind of have to be

688
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:10,520
Speaker 1: a little less strict to your striking. Your instinct says it.

689
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:12,040
Speaker 1: You got to just hit it.

690
00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:14,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna go. George Mason up to twelve.

691
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 3: I just think Loyola is really in the hurt locker.

692
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 3: They had the mini resurgents and then injuries kind of

693
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 3: cropped back up, and I think that took the wind

694
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,040
Speaker 3: massively out of their sales. They got down twenty two

695
00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:29,120
Speaker 3: to zero against George Washington. So it's kind of from

696
00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:31,320
Speaker 3: the jump that this team can be outclassed on the

697
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:34,480
Speaker 3: road by a good team, the Nebraska one. I'm a

698
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 3: little swooped by the spot for them, just the big

699
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 3: Indiana road win, but they're just so so consistent. Oregon

700
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 3: is pretty darn bad. I have no idea what that

701
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 3: line will be if if shel Stad's out, though, it

702
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 3: could be like sixteen and I'm not gonna lay that

703
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 3: with the Huskers, all right, any other favorites for you

704
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 3: boys that you want to mention. We've got a couple

705
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 3: couple of days here to work with. Anything I missed, Kai.

706
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 4: I got nothing, Jim. I mean, Nebraska is kind of

707
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 4: like a why not like one twenty straight? Like, I

708
00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 4: know they haven't covered twenty straight, but my gosh, what

709
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:06,720
Speaker 4: a team. I definitely don't like Oregon. This season proves

710
00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 4: on the board a bit, but I don't think any

711
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 4: other ones really jump out at.

712
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 5: Me right now.

713
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 3: Nebraska Tuesdays the country and wins above bubble, nebraskaad yukon Arizona. Yeah,

714
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:22,280
Speaker 3: they just keep on winning. Sorry, go ahead, and Matthew, No, there's.

715
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,640
Speaker 1: Like only competitive games on Tuesday. There's really not like

716
00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:27,840
Speaker 1: any even like the best team in conference versus the

717
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 1: lower end, like the Valpo against Belmont, Like, I don't

718
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 1: think Belmont is going to like completely annihilate Valpo. Valpos.

719
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 1: You know, good, they got size and so yeah, oh I.

720
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 3: Got one more. I'm gonna add what do you think

721
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:45,200
Speaker 3: you're met? Creighton minus ten against Georgetown, there's a little

722
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 3: bit of.

723
00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 1: Lifelessness cling out of Zombi.

724
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, many many amount of that. And Creighton's off a

725
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:53,719
Speaker 3: home loss where they got embarrassed, they got pantsed by

726
00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 3: Rick Patino and Saint John's back home Chi House Center,

727
00:33:57,280 --> 00:33:59,959
Speaker 3: big old crowd in that place. I think you get

728
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 3: to bounce back, perform some Creton a bunch of knockdown shots.

729
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 3: So it's minus ten, a ken palm, I'm gonna lock

730
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:06,480
Speaker 3: it in. I'll just take ten. I'm not gonna go

731
00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 3: nuts with the price and have a big strike on it.

732
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:11,320
Speaker 3: But I go Creighton minus ten, really adding out the

733
00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 3: card for this week. Boys. All right, let's move on.

734
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:18,040
Speaker 3: That was our favorite favorites presented by Draft Kings. Let's

735
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,399
Speaker 3: talk a couple of spots. I think there are two

736
00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:24,160
Speaker 3: real home run spots if that's what you're looking for

737
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:28,279
Speaker 3: as your betting strategy. The first guy home run of

738
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,319
Speaker 3: home run spots for the Minnesota Golden Gophers, who've been

739
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:35,399
Speaker 3: outstanding at home in league play. They get Wisconsin coming

740
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 3: to town. Wisconsin just went at Michigan, the best win

741
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 3: in the country by WAB measurement. Huge, huge knockoff the

742
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:46,880
Speaker 3: undefeated team. Shoot the lights out. He got to go

743
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,920
Speaker 3: to the Barn, a tough place to play. Minnesota's feisty.

744
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:52,400
Speaker 3: They're not gonna let them run up and down the

745
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:56,239
Speaker 3: way Michigan did. Man, it's hard not to like Minnesota here, right.

746
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:57,520
Speaker 5: I agree.

747
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,360
Speaker 4: I will be on the Gophers almost surely looking up

748
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:05,080
Speaker 4: their home ats. It's not great, I suppose, but man,

749
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 4: I like them the spot, and I think that's a

750
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:10,880
Speaker 4: great coach. Obviously, beat Iowa at home, crushing lots skinst

751
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 4: usc in overtime. But yeah, I think it's a perfect

752
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:18,839
Speaker 4: opportunity to catch Wisconsin, which it's tough. Did Wisconsin turn

753
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:23,040
Speaker 4: a corner Matthew or flash in the pan? Does it matter?

754
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:27,120
Speaker 4: Is Minnesota solid either way? I definitely in their way.

755
00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:29,759
Speaker 4: I hope I get plus three, But I think the

756
00:35:29,800 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 4: market's gonna see this spot as well.

757
00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 1: A little bit Wisconsin on this one. The attacks, Yeah,

758
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:39,280
Speaker 1: I do think Wisconsin the way they started to spread

759
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:41,920
Speaker 1: like a little pick and pop with what's is the

760
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 1: on the ford? Yeah, I was on fire. I think

761
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,000
Speaker 1: there's something there. However, I think that was sort of

762
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:50,560
Speaker 1: a match up edge against Michigan, who you know, uh

763
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 1: sits Mara and does that kind of extreme extreme drop stuff,

764
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:56,840
Speaker 1: and Michigan was starting to kind of flaw line. I mean,

765
00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:58,400
Speaker 1: I think they were kind of hitting a platau they

766
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:01,840
Speaker 1: do for maybe a lot. So all that said, I

767
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:03,920
Speaker 1: ideally in Minnesota here at the Barn, I think they're

768
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:07,520
Speaker 1: actually a better matchup than Michigan is for Wisconsin, and

769
00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:11,239
Speaker 1: Wisconsin away from home has really just looked lifeless defensively,

770
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,759
Speaker 1: So we'll see. And I like that Med that's kind

771
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:17,120
Speaker 1: of found a secret potion with like his basically six

772
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:20,560
Speaker 1: sky rotation. I think that's just kind of it's got

773
00:36:20,600 --> 00:36:22,359
Speaker 1: a good Mojo right now. He's talked about that too.

774
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:26,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're they're not really built to punish Minnesota inside.

775
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:29,200
Speaker 3: Wisconsin isn't and that's the way Indiana was. Can't really

776
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 3: punish them inside. That's the way Iowa was. Not a

777
00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 3: team that punishes you inside. That's the kind of team

778
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 3: that Minnesota can beat at home. And Kyle, you mentioned

779
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:38,800
Speaker 3: they're at home splits like I don't. I wouldn't have

780
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 3: expected Minnesota to be a great, big home favorite against

781
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 3: bad competition, But in feisty spots, big ten games, that's

782
00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 3: where I think they can be really competitive. And that's

783
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:51,959
Speaker 3: that's the spot here. So if it's three, I'm gonna

784
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:54,719
Speaker 3: take it. I'm not gonna take it at like pick now.

785
00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,160
Speaker 3: There's a chance it gets bet to that, but I'll

786
00:36:57,239 --> 00:36:59,440
Speaker 3: just say conditionally, if it's at three, I'll be on it.

787
00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:04,400
Speaker 3: The other big spot would be Oklahoma plus six home dog, Mattie.

788
00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:06,760
Speaker 3: I know the Sooner's burned you over the weekend against

789
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:09,279
Speaker 3: A and M. I like that spot play too. But

790
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:14,080
Speaker 3: Florida's coming to town off a demolishing of Tennessee and

791
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 3: they have the little look ahead to Vanderbilt on the

792
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 3: road next Saturday, So tricky little sandwich spot here on

793
00:37:21,040 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 3: the road against the team that's off two losses in

794
00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:26,960
Speaker 3: the SEC. Can Boomer Sooner back home in their friendly

795
00:37:27,040 --> 00:37:29,760
Speaker 3: confines pick off the Gators who did get some solid

796
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 3: guard play this weekend.

797
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:33,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of like the back home after two

798
00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 1: road losses. Funny that we talked about Vandy as a

799
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:39,120
Speaker 1: look ahead spot, just kind of where we're at with

800
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:42,080
Speaker 1: that program right now. Yeah, but yeah, I'm gonna probably

801
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 1: fool me once for me twice, I'm going back to

802
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:47,040
Speaker 1: Boomer Sooner. I just think they're gonna I think in

803
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 1: a home it's a good spot for him, but better

804
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 1: guard play.

805
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:53,360
Speaker 4: So yeah, great spot, No great spot. They do have

806
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,520
Speaker 4: good guard play better than Florida's. Just work with the rebounding.

807
00:37:57,600 --> 00:37:59,319
Speaker 4: Oh he's not the best rebounding team in the world.

808
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 4: Florida obviously is just incredible. I would take six, probably,

809
00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:05,439
Speaker 4: I would take six.

810
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 1: Will it be six?

811
00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 5: Not sure? Not sure?

812
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I wonder if he'll end up being five. The

813
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 3: lock is that Mowaggie gets in foul trouble against that

814
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,240
Speaker 3: front line and then it then it gets really worrisome.

815
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:20,200
Speaker 3: If he's not on the floor, that team's really thin

816
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:23,160
Speaker 3: up front, and they could get blitzed on the glass.

817
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,560
Speaker 3: I'm not a kurial eletansev guy.

818
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:28,000
Speaker 1: The uh a lot more minutes lately. I don't like that.

819
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:30,360
Speaker 3: I think he was the mid season edition, right. He

820
00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:33,319
Speaker 3: was one of the US brought over. They just needed

821
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:35,759
Speaker 3: the extra body inside, the big Russian guy, and he's

822
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:38,640
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna call him a stiff, but he's just

823
00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:40,839
Speaker 3: a guy. He's not not gonna make a difference against

824
00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,680
Speaker 3: that Florida front line. Especially the way Chinello played this weekend.

825
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:46,880
Speaker 3: My god, he was a freaking man possessed against that

826
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 3: Balls front line. So definitelyan to Oklahoma. I'm not going

827
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:52,480
Speaker 3: to actually lock that one in as an official bet though.

828
00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 3: All Right, we got a couple more quick segments here.

829
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 3: Let's go to trash. What's that smell?

830
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:03,920
Speaker 1: It's me this trash, the sweet, sweet trash.

831
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:08,759
Speaker 3: The trash is a gold mine, old mine, man. Last

832
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:11,520
Speaker 3: week was the epitome of trash. Georgetown lost that to

833
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:14,320
Speaker 3: Paul and went one for twenty three in the second

834
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,800
Speaker 3: half from the field. Impossible an entire half of basketball.

835
00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 3: They made one shot against De.

836
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:22,920
Speaker 1: Paul, so yes, they weren't much better. Seen Hall. By

837
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 1: the way, I seen their defensive team, but pretty atrocious.

838
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:28,480
Speaker 1: In the follow up response to that too.

839
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 3: That's why I'm laying it with Creighton on Tuesday.

840
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:33,680
Speaker 1: I kind of like that the game we Kai you.

841
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:35,560
Speaker 3: You actually wrote this in the in the outline, and

842
00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:37,799
Speaker 3: I'm glad you did because it was the perfect trash game.

843
00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 3: Mississipi Valley State on the road at Texas Southern number

844
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:43,799
Speaker 3: three sixty five at number three forty five, the only

845
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:46,399
Speaker 3: two teams in the Swack that are zero to three

846
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 3: in league play so far. How far Texas Southern has

847
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:52,560
Speaker 3: fallen here, but they are probably going to be a

848
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,719
Speaker 3: double digit favorite. That's how bad Mississippi Valley State is.

849
00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 3: Kai anything for you in this game. Do you think

850
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:00,839
Speaker 3: the Delta Devils can go on the road and hang

851
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 3: with Johnny Jones in his programs?

852
00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:03,560
Speaker 1: I guess I do.

853
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:06,720
Speaker 4: I can't believe how bad Texas Southern is. It's actually shocking.

854
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:08,839
Speaker 4: I've been on losing in with them a few times.

855
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:10,080
Speaker 4: I thought they had more talent than this.

856
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:10,759
Speaker 1: Clearly not.

857
00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:14,520
Speaker 4: Mississ Valley State is impossible to get a pulse on.

858
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:16,520
Speaker 4: They're eight and eight against the spread, so that kind

859
00:40:16,560 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 4: of speaks to it. They almost be Prayer View A

860
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:21,000
Speaker 4: and M. Last game on the road, they were twenty

861
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:24,120
Speaker 4: point dogs. They took Utah Tech to overtime in the

862
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:27,239
Speaker 4: Hawaii Tournament. It's like, I don't really know what to

863
00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:29,360
Speaker 4: expect in this team. They the worst offense in the country.

864
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:31,680
Speaker 4: It's a game again, it's trash section. You don't want

865
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:34,440
Speaker 4: to watch this game, but gosh, double digit dog tex

866
00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 4: Suthern should be favored by double just to anybody right now.

867
00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:39,279
Speaker 1: Matthew, I think this Mission Valley State team is better

868
00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 1: than the last two years, if that means anything to

869
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:44,080
Speaker 1: you at all, and right now, kem Pond, they're actually

870
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:47,120
Speaker 1: three sixty fifth. They finished three sixty fourth. Last year

871
00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:48,120
Speaker 1: there were only.

872
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:50,120
Speaker 3: Three six four teams and three sixty two.

873
00:40:50,200 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 1: Were exactly a last my points stands, I think this

874
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:55,920
Speaker 1: is a better team last years. What does that mean

875
00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 1: as the ATS record? I'm kind of like, I kind

876
00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:00,320
Speaker 1: of think they compete in this game because Texas is

877
00:41:00,320 --> 00:41:00,879
Speaker 1: not very good.

878
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 5: And they're hurt. It's actually way better than last year and.

879
00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:06,480
Speaker 1: They're basically staying right there. There's no travel from Prairiew

880
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:08,520
Speaker 1: to Houston or to Texas Southern either, so when you

881
00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:10,560
Speaker 1: do that road swing, it's usually a pretty.

882
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:13,959
Speaker 3: Good Mississipi State is within one point of net rating

883
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:17,560
Speaker 3: of Coppin State to not being in the cellar for

884
00:41:17,680 --> 00:41:20,320
Speaker 3: the third straight year. They've been a little bit competitive

885
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:22,480
Speaker 3: this year. Michael James is like a real player. I

886
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:24,479
Speaker 3: don't know how he ended up on the Missis Valley State,

887
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 3: but he is a useful piece that will probably transfer.

888
00:41:27,600 --> 00:41:31,080
Speaker 3: And Texas Southern has no freaking clue what their best

889
00:41:31,120 --> 00:41:33,960
Speaker 3: lineups are. They're just throwing stuff at the wall. They've

890
00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:37,719
Speaker 3: got fourteen guys that are like getting reasonable minutes or

891
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:39,680
Speaker 3: started getting recentare minutes at the beginning of the year,

892
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:42,840
Speaker 3: injuries have hit. They're just guessing they've already used eleven

893
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 3: starting lineups fourteen games. Yeah, that is insane. So I

894
00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 3: think Missive Valley State is a little bit competitive there.

895
00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 3: That's like the most emphatic take we've ever had on

896
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:56,000
Speaker 3: a trash game. I know, that's crazy.

897
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 4: The real lines are out twelve and a half. There's

898
00:41:58,200 --> 00:41:59,879
Speaker 4: thirteen and a half out there as well, but Drack

899
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:01,319
Speaker 4: he's got twelve and a half right now.

900
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:05,239
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, yeah, I man, I'm tentpted. It's minus

901
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:07,440
Speaker 3: one oh two. I would would love to just have

902
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:08,600
Speaker 3: thirteen minus one ten.

903
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, bet it up.

904
00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:14,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, Okay, last section, just a quick little spotlight. We

905
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,160
Speaker 3: talked about the IVY League last week, but we're gonna

906
00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:18,920
Speaker 3: just talk some injuries here that people should note and

907
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:23,879
Speaker 3: be monitoring and aware of. Darren Peterson obviously the big

908
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:28,080
Speaker 3: headliner against Iowa State. Conwell, MIKEL. Brown junior against Virginia

909
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:31,200
Speaker 3: for Louisville. We talked about them. Dayton's got some front

910
00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:34,800
Speaker 3: court issues with Amile at Tongue and Malcolm Thomas. We

911
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 3: talked about late Tongue's importance last week on this very program.

912
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:42,360
Speaker 3: San Francisco dealing with Ryan Beasley and Mookie Cook injuries

913
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 3: against Saint Mary's, Jackson Shelstead for Nebraska, and then kind

914
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:50,000
Speaker 3: of a sneaky under the radar one Matthew San Jose

915
00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:55,239
Speaker 3: states yathat Mundi a massive rebounder. He is huge for them.

916
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:57,840
Speaker 3: And Colby Garland actually in this last game two for

917
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:02,359
Speaker 3: the Spartans. Yeah, yes, Grand Canyon. Those are the two

918
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:04,880
Speaker 3: best players like by far. So you got to watch that.

919
00:43:05,640 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, the injury report for for San Jose was like

920
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 1: you had to scroll, you had to have the whole

921
00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:14,480
Speaker 1: page on your screen to see it on the mountain

922
00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:17,040
Speaker 1: west side. So feel baffortimit. He's always dealing with injuries.

923
00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:18,840
Speaker 1: I bet they somehow cover first half no matter what,

924
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:21,200
Speaker 1: and then they'll probably lose the second half by twenty

925
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 1: that's kind of they.

926
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 3: Play air force, So you're not gonna you're gonna have

927
00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:26,960
Speaker 3: to really twist my arm to better force that team is.

928
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:30,279
Speaker 3: It's bleak right now. I lost by forty two to

929
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:33,000
Speaker 3: New Mexico, thirty seven to Utah State. Both those games

930
00:43:33,040 --> 00:43:37,439
Speaker 3: are at home, just never competitive at UNLV they lost

931
00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 3: by twenty eight. It's kai. You can't you can't force

932
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,120
Speaker 3: me to bet the air troops right now.

933
00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:45,839
Speaker 5: No, absolutely not. That's the team that's like auto fade

934
00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:47,799
Speaker 5: right now. Territory. I think mass st it pretty well,

935
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:50,320
Speaker 5: but yeah, the auto fade.

936
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 3: Yep, all right, So those are injuries. To keep an

937
00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:56,120
Speaker 3: eye on, fellas. Let's recap our picks from the pod here.

938
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:58,520
Speaker 3: I had another good week five and one. Gonna keep

939
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 3: bringing up records when those are happening. So I took

940
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:05,080
Speaker 3: Navy minus one and a half that is available at

941
00:44:05,160 --> 00:44:08,360
Speaker 3: DraftKings on Monday night right now. Virginia up to minus

942
00:44:08,480 --> 00:44:11,240
Speaker 3: three This is a heavy assumption that there's no Conwell

943
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:14,200
Speaker 3: or mckal brown Jr. I would take like pick. I

944
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:17,080
Speaker 3: think if one of them was in. I just think

945
00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:20,160
Speaker 3: Virginia's physicality and defense can actually travel there the size

946
00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:22,800
Speaker 3: they have in the paint. Jackson State plus six and

947
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:25,680
Speaker 3: a little sprinkle on the money line Monday night Nichols

948
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 3: plus thirteen and a half. Also Monday Night, a battle

949
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,320
Speaker 3: against McNeice, George Mason up to minus twelve on Tuesday

950
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:37,200
Speaker 3: against Loyola, Creighton minus ten against Georgetown and Minnesota plus

951
00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:39,520
Speaker 3: three and plus three only on Tuesday. I'm not gonna

952
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,239
Speaker 3: go below that in that spot against Wisconsin. Kai, what

953
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 3: do you got for the people?

954
00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:46,080
Speaker 4: Very similar Jim Navy minus one and a half, Jackson

955
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:49,680
Speaker 4: State plus six, Nichols plus thirteen and a half, George

956
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:52,200
Speaker 4: Mason as well, minus twelve. You talked me into it, babe,

957
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:55,360
Speaker 4: Loyola and the Minnesota only plus three agreed.

958
00:44:55,680 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 3: The plus we're gonna we're gonna score. George Mason is eleven.

959
00:44:59,160 --> 00:45:03,200
Speaker 3: I believe I'm just eleven. So that's that's my strike

960
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,640
Speaker 3: price up to twelve. I just I wonder with the

961
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 3: loyal injuries that could end up being like fourteen. It

962
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:12,920
Speaker 3: could be yes, yes, yes, Matthew to you, I.

963
00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:18,359
Speaker 1: Got three, uh, Virginia, Tennessee and Akron. Like I said,

964
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:22,120
Speaker 1: Akron probably be about mid twenties. Surely that'll get bet

965
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:26,880
Speaker 1: up like early Tennessee. Virginia will see. I don't, I might.

966
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:28,960
Speaker 1: I don't have a great read as to what those

967
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:31,480
Speaker 1: threads be. I think Virginia might be a pretty pricey

968
00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:36,320
Speaker 1: close to ten. Now maybe not, we'll see, but it

969
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:39,840
Speaker 1: touch that wait you know, so it's a pick at

970
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:42,640
Speaker 1: camp pound one. Sorry, now tell me what I'm thinking

971
00:45:42,680 --> 00:45:44,600
Speaker 1: of the other game. Sorry, I'm looking at the wrong

972
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:47,799
Speaker 1: I'm looking at Virginia Tech. Sorry three by the way,

973
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:50,879
Speaker 1: legal three at Campo So I think that'll be five

974
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:52,960
Speaker 1: and I would lay up to five hopefully four.

975
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:55,920
Speaker 4: Well, do you think Virginia is gonna think eight points

976
00:45:56,000 --> 00:45:58,600
Speaker 4: will sling the towards it's lesvill minus three right now

977
00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:00,040
Speaker 4: that camp.

978
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:03,640
Speaker 3: So Virginia that seems confused by this.

979
00:46:04,440 --> 00:46:06,840
Speaker 1: No, I'm just trying to think wise. I don't know,

980
00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:08,840
Speaker 1: because it's going to see. I'm trusting blindly. I just

981
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:11,120
Speaker 1: think Tennessee. I just feel like that's their spot. Virginia.

982
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:14,480
Speaker 1: I'll probably more price sensitive. I still think it's gonna

983
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:15,919
Speaker 1: be a little higher, but we'll see.

984
00:46:16,080 --> 00:46:18,120
Speaker 5: I bet Virginia would be a favorite if conn Will.

985
00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 1: Is out, yeah, I think so as well and Brown,

986
00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:23,200
Speaker 1: and we'll see what his status says. He keeps emphasizing

987
00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:25,920
Speaker 1: he's close, he's close, He's close, but his handlers don't

988
00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:26,320
Speaker 1: want what.

989
00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 5: I don't know.

990
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:27,560
Speaker 2: Agree.

991
00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:30,919
Speaker 3: I'm jealous that Matt's gonna be smart and just beat

992
00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:33,759
Speaker 3: the ball State dead horse. I probably should do that

993
00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:35,360
Speaker 3: with Akron, but I'll just I'll leave it to you.

994
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:38,640
Speaker 3: I like the Tennessee one too. It feels like off

995
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 3: the loss, the physicality overwhelms with Texas A and M.

996
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:44,040
Speaker 3: So hopefully we have given the people a bunch of

997
00:46:44,080 --> 00:46:46,120
Speaker 3: winners on Monday and Tuesday. Start your week off with

998
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:48,719
Speaker 3: a little bit of extra change in your pockets. That

999
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:52,080
Speaker 3: is it for us here at BBOC on Monday. Thank

1000
00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:54,600
Speaker 3: you to Draft Kings, our sponsor. Shout out to Stuckey

1001
00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:57,279
Speaker 3: and the crew at Action Network and our production team

1002
00:46:57,360 --> 00:47:00,680
Speaker 3: behind the scenes. We'll be back again next week with

1003
00:47:00,760 --> 00:47:02,839
Speaker 3: another episode on Monday morning, and make sure to tune

1004
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 3: into this feed for the midweek and weekend previews coming

1005
00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:08,759
Speaker 3: from Digbets on campus as well. Thank you all for

1006
00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:10,160
Speaker 3: tuning in. We'll catch you again.

1007
00:47:10,360 --> 00:47:32,120
Speaker 1: Next Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you

1008
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:35,160
Speaker 1: or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help

1009
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:37,960
Speaker 1: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred

1010
00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:38,400
Speaker 1: Gambler