1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:03,600 Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child 2 00:00:03,680 --> 00:00:07,480 Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador 3 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with 4 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just 5 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President 6 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States 7 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border 8 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over 9 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you 10 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly 11 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will 12 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home 13 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally. 14 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws, 15 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: border and families will be protected. 16 00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security. 17 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 3: What is the bubble that no one is talking about 18 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 3: and how can we profit from it? 19 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 2: Oh my god, I'm excited for this. Listen, this is 20 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 2: the American bubble of everything? Can I run off some 21 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 2: stats real quick, Mike, clip this up. We're at the 22 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:16,480 Speaker 2: record seventeen point one trillion in household debt number two. 23 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:20,560 Speaker 2: We have twelve trillion dollars in mortgages. We have a 24 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 2: record of one point six trillion dollars in auto loans, 25 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:27,279 Speaker 2: one point six trillion in student loans, one trillion dollars 26 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 2: in credit card debt. The total debt now is more 27 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 2: than it was in two thousand and six before the crash. 28 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 2: The leading economic index is in a recession tory, is 29 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 2: in a recession territory. As indicated from this past week, 30 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,320 Speaker 2: the NK two five, which is Japan's stock market, is 31 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 2: doing better than the S and P five hundred. That's 32 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 2: not a good sign. And when normally when we're inflationary 33 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 2: periods like we are now four out of seven times, 34 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 2: it means we are headed to a recession and a 35 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 2: fault cycle has started. So what that means for those 36 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 2: of you who are listening listening, there's a bubble of 37 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:14,640 Speaker 2: everything happening right now, tech, ai, housing, credit card debt 38 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 2: at scale. If you're looking at indicators, that tells you 39 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 2: what's happening in the market. We're maxed out in every 40 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 2: area with no great leadership, how can we make money 41 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 2: from it? I propose that you would go long on 42 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 2: the VIX Future, or go long on the VIX around 43 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 2: now sixty one, and I will exit at twenty four 44 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:36,840 Speaker 2: to twenty six if the NAS that goes back up 45 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 2: twenty percent, if they do announce that we are in 46 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 2: a recession, or stop saying that we're going to be 47 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 2: in the soft landing, because the other three times we 48 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 2: said that we were going to be in the soft landing, 49 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 2: the landing wasn't soft, I was short. If we get 50 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,640 Speaker 2: to maybe eighteen thousand down to thirteen thousand, seven eighty 51 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 2: one fifty six, and I will find a real estate 52 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: ETF that is not in the top fifteen to short. 53 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,399 Speaker 2: When we work comes out and publicly tells you, hey, 54 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 2: we probably won't be able to stand business, which for 55 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 2: those of your business, no, in order to admit defeat 56 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 2: publicly and your publicly traded company. It's all over that 57 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 2: should not be happening. Wild credit card that is at 58 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 2: an all time high. And I'm back here in Houston. 59 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 2: Even when I go to New York, I don't see 60 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:23,080 Speaker 2: any of those office buildings being full. We are in 61 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:25,080 Speaker 2: a bubble of everything, and we just need to go 62 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 2: back to We need a correction to level out the market, 63 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 2: to get things back to where they should be. And 64 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 2: once again I keep saying that there's seven stocks in 65 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 2: the United States that is keeping everything afloat out of 66 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 2: six thousand. Most people can't name me another seven that 67 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 2: they would bet their kids' life on. McDonald's, Starbucks, Caterpillar, 68 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 2: and Video is great. You gotta wait to buy back 69 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 2: into in video. M D is still good, John Deere 70 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 2: is good, Gallagher is good, Geico is good. But you 71 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 2: can't like this is one of the weakest markets that 72 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 2: I've seen in a long time that has had these 73 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 2: many gains over a short period of time. Definitely troubling. 74 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 2: And when the truth is not willing to be told 75 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 2: because of election cycles, it could lead to it could 76 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 2: lead to disaster. So be prepared. And my favorite thing 77 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 2: to do, and let's put it in chat. Do you 78 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 2: feel more secure in twenty twenty three than you did 79 00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:28,359 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty And did you make more money in 80 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 2: twenty twenty three versus twenty twenty. I don't want to 81 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:35,479 Speaker 2: touch on this scam things and all that, but a 82 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 2: lot of those Ponzi's end up getting highlighted right before recession, 83 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 2: usually two years before recession hits. A lot of misappropriation 84 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 2: of funds issues come out because the little liquidity is 85 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:51,400 Speaker 2: driding up, and when the fan is saying that we're 86 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:56,479 Speaker 2: not going to actively buy anything, that is an effing problem. 87 00:04:56,760 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 4: So all right, percentage wise your thoughts on the chances 88 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 4: of the soft lending. Because they are saying that wages 89 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 4: are increasing, which is a good sign. Golin Sach just 90 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,280 Speaker 4: said today that they think that the Fed will stop 91 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 4: raising interest rates in fact start to decrease in interest 92 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 4: rates by maybe the first quarter of twenty four. Good 93 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:21,480 Speaker 4: sign interest rates are coming down. You think there's no 94 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 4: chance of a soft landing. 95 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 2: A soft landing is equivalent of your girl going through 96 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 2: your phone catching you cheat, and you say, maybe that 97 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 2: wasn't me, that was a virtual assistant who sent the 98 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 2: messages to bring me rent. So we can lie and say, hey, 99 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:39,600 Speaker 2: we are upon the soft landing and everything's going to 100 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 2: be fine. But when you still have weakness in the 101 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 2: market at scale, US still is going through issues, and 102 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 2: the Fed keeps saying that they're not going to continue 103 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 2: to raise inflation. But if you ask most people do 104 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 2: they feel it? They're feeling it and when they told 105 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 2: you prior, we need to rate. 106 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 4: This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank. 107 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 4: A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring, 108 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 4: and sure they definitely can be, but understanding a professional's 109 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 4: routine shows us how they achieve their success little by little, 110 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 4: day after day. 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Let's 135 00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 4: Square handle the back end so you can keep pushing 136 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 4: your vision forward. 137 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 2: He's raised to a certain level. They told us last year. 138 00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 2: They may halt how fast they do it, but at 139 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:00,240 Speaker 2: some point I think those mortgages is a want to 140 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 2: get back to seven and a half percent. Yeah, just 141 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 2: my thoughts. Yeah. 142 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 3: We spoke to Mike Noblegrets about the AI bubble. 143 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 2: What did he say, can you give us at insight? 144 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 3: He said, it's definitely going to be a bubble. He 145 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 3: said that it usually happens. It's a delayed reaction from 146 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 3: the stock market and the actual bubble happening. At the 147 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 3: start of this, she was like, you know, mashing all 148 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 3: of the guys in tech. They were saying, like the 149 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 3: Video and Microsoft, those are the two companies, Like those 150 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:36,119 Speaker 3: are the two companies that's going to benefit. 151 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:36,840 Speaker 2: The most from the situation. 152 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:39,960 Speaker 3: And he was saying that he still thinks that there 153 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:43,680 Speaker 3: is still room for in the Video and Microsoft to 154 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 3: go up to yeah, because it's just not really a 155 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 3: lot of other places to park money. But it's definitely 156 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 3: going to be a bubble, an AI bubble that's going 157 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 3: to happen, and the stock market will follow suit. The 158 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 3: bubble will happen first and thennis stock market work reflected 159 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 3: later as opposed to the stock market reflecting it first, 160 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 3: and then you know, companies starting to just disappear out 161 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 3: of the woodwork. So he felt that it was it 162 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:16,199 Speaker 3: was an AI bubble for sure. He said, there's definitely 163 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 3: an AI bubble has about to pop soon. 164 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:24,480 Speaker 2: I'm hearing some rubblers that even open AI, they spend 165 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 2: a little too much in the bots. And because AI 166 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:34,320 Speaker 2: was created to remove mundane tasks and when there's a 167 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 2: lot of decisions to use the AI around creativity, Like 168 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:40,200 Speaker 2: I think mid Journey is great, but the most present 169 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 2: problem isn't like can I get a digital version of 170 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:45,680 Speaker 2: me that looks like I came out of Fortnite? That's 171 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 2: not going to fix the GDP problem. So is there 172 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 2: gonna be AI bubble? I believe we're already there and anytime, 173 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 2: like let's go back to when Lebron was facing then. 174 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:01,520 Speaker 4: There this there's a keep part of that. Though we 175 00:10:01,559 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 4: said we I mean, we're only five months into this, 176 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 4: so the bubbles still has chances. Yeah, eight months ago 177 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 4: this wasn't the conversation. And there's one of the things 178 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 4: that you learn inside this is that there's money to 179 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 4: be made. You just have to know when to take 180 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 4: profit and when to leave before the bubble or invest 181 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 4: in the companies that are going to be able to 182 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 4: withstand about. 183 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 2: But once again we have a major VC problem. The 184 00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 2: crypto funds blew up because they and everyone who's a 185 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 2: crypto fan. I'm not on crypto, but they mismanaged the 186 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 2: funds and how they promoted crypto. As soon as that 187 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 2: powder can exploded, they took all that money and did 188 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 2: and moved to AI and they're going to cause the 189 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,560 Speaker 2: same contagion issue there, and then they're going to find 190 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 2: another project to go to all of a sudden, Even 191 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 2: if you look at Netflix while we're there on this 192 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 2: right strike, they're going to create to find ways to 193 00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 2: fill gaps in the entertainment climate. So at some point 194 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:03,439 Speaker 2: American vcs are going to leave here and go internationally 195 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 2: to find companies to fund, which is one of our 196 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:07,640 Speaker 2: issues of not taking care of our own people and 197 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 2: our own talent. Even if you look at Taiwan's Semiconductor, 198 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,840 Speaker 2: do most people know that the only reason he wanted 199 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 2: to go form their company is because he cannot get 200 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 2: elevated to CEO of Texas Instruments. What a fucking disaster. 201 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:24,679 Speaker 2: It's like when James Harden left Oklahoma City, was it 202 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 2: really worth losing him over that extra six million for 203 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 2: him to then become a star in the Houston Rockets. 204 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:35,439 Speaker 2: So one of the greatest developments in the last forty years, 205 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 2: one of the greatest companies is not even here because 206 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 2: they didn't want to make him CEO. All the inventions 207 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:43,679 Speaker 2: and ideas and properties and products that he created for 208 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:47,840 Speaker 2: them he wanted to keep here, didn't let them. Meanwhile, 209 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 2: We're building India's middle class at a scale I've never 210 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 2: seen for a country. But they'll tell black people there's 211 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 2: no money available for you. They'll tell brown people there's 212 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 2: no money available for you, and all the conversation is 213 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:03,840 Speaker 2: about when that guy got hit with that chair, like 214 00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 2: he was Hokogan. We have some major corrections to do 215 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:11,600 Speaker 2: in our country in order to make Because my guy 216 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 2: Rubini asked me, He's like, what can we do to 217 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:15,680 Speaker 2: avoid a crash? Like we need to make better companies, 218 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 2: point blank. And that's the other reason. Even when I 219 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 2: tell people don't copy me, it don't copy you guys. 220 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 2: It's like, if you copy me, you only raise my valuation. 221 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 2: It doesn't raise the valuation of the space. Create your 222 00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 2: own version. And if we have diversity and products and 223 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:37,320 Speaker 2: companies and great, the overall GDP can be moved. But 224 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:40,199 Speaker 2: that isn't being done. But the unfortunate part on a 225 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 2: VC and Angel side, they are funding a lot of copycats. 226 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 2: We see it in the music industry. Everyone sounds like 227 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:49,560 Speaker 2: each other. Every app that comes out is a recreation 228 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:52,559 Speaker 2: of another. We need more innovation, but the innovation has 229 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 2: to be funded. 230 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child 231 00:12:56,960 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador 232 00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with 233 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:09,079 Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just 234 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,959 Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President 235 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the United States 236 00:13:16,600 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border 237 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,960 Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over 238 00:13:25,040 --> 00:13:28,240 Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you 239 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:32,160 Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly 240 00:13:32,280 --> 00:13:36,280 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will 241 00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home 242 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally. 243 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:48,480 Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws, 244 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,120 Speaker 1: border and families will be protected. 245 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,