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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we.

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Speaker 2: Go spreading the court ten seconds of eatings. Can just

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Speaker 2: go throwing under the basket, under the basket.

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Speaker 1: It's the truit for the wind god. A miracle. I

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Speaker 1: chuck the water. Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the gener Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is your

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Speaker 1: weekend college basketball betting preview. I'm Stucky in joining me

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Speaker 1: as always our b J Cunningham and Mike Calvary's Mike

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Speaker 1: back with us after battling the flu. How are you feeling, brother?

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Speaker 2: You know, I'm good. Usually I wait for mid March

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Speaker 2: to feel that bad physically, you know, when I've been

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Speaker 2: backdoor like three or four times in a row, kids

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Speaker 2: missing foul shots costing me five legging parlays. But I

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Speaker 2: got that out of the way early, and I was

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Speaker 2: just telling BJ that I had no intention of going

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Speaker 2: to the gym before my spring beach vacation. So losing

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Speaker 2: ten pounds real quick like that, that's all life hack

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Speaker 2: for you. So if I can just maintain just kind

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Speaker 2: of tread water here at one hundred and seventy two pounds,

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Speaker 2: No big deal. Then, yeah, I'll be pretty happy when

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Speaker 2: I when I hit the beach in Mexico.

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Speaker 1: BJ Howard, things.

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Speaker 3: Things are good.

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Speaker 4: I don't you know, for me, a guy like me,

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Speaker 4: I don't know if I even can go on the

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Speaker 4: beach because I'm so pale. But anyway, yeah, I know

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Speaker 4: things are good. I mean we've you know, we just

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Speaker 4: talked two days ago and now we've had some more chaos.

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Speaker 4: We have a couple outstanding matchups coming up this weekend.

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Speaker 4: You know, Duke in North Carolina, Indiana produced, So it's

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Speaker 4: going to get fun as we go forward here in

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Speaker 4: the college basketball season.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're going to talk so well, we'll add to

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Speaker 1: our futures portfolio. BJ. Without you, we got a TCU.

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Speaker 1: Now we almost jinxed it, and I thought Mike Miles

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Speaker 1: was going to be out for the year. But now

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Speaker 1: you can get like you can find the thirty to

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Speaker 1: forty to one more. It's more widespread out there in

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Speaker 1: the market. So we have round twent I think twenty

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Speaker 1: two to one when we locked in, you can I

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Speaker 1: think you can get a little better price at some

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Speaker 1: places TCU at forty to one. We'll add another one today,

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Speaker 1: we will recap the week that was. Get any rants

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Speaker 1: in that you want to get in, and then we

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Speaker 1: will move on to Friday night, see if you have

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Speaker 1: anything there, and then we'll get to Saturday's card. Go

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Speaker 1: around the horn for any spots you get circled. No

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Speaker 1: guests this week, probably no guest next week we get

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Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl. Start to bring in conference specialist

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Speaker 1: guests through the end of the regular season leading up

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Speaker 1: to conference tournaments, which we will preview all of So

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Speaker 1: let's get right into a week that was. One key

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Speaker 1: takeaway in a rant, I'll kick things off my one

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Speaker 1: key one key takeaway is so I wrote up an

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Speaker 1: article on Nexttionner con Nection O Gap about fading Tennessee. Look,

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Speaker 1: the defense is great, They've been lucky the way that

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Speaker 1: their defense operates. They do give up a lot of

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Speaker 1: open threes and no one has been able to hit

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Speaker 1: any and Florida hits some. But I just I don't

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Speaker 1: believe in their offense, and we saw it at Florida

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Speaker 1: last night when they went down by double day lost

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Speaker 1: by double digits. I do not think that they have

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Speaker 1: a consistent enough offense to win the national title. My

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Speaker 1: thoughts on that were confirmed in that game once they

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Speaker 1: went up against a really good defense. Just to some

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Speaker 1: of the offense, I mean, they have to rely on

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Speaker 1: flopping and just bad shots, and I don't think they

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Speaker 1: can do it. I always say, like the five to

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Speaker 1: twenty teams, you just gotta be in the mix. But

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Speaker 1: there's like certain teams that I think have flaws are

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Speaker 1: gonna hold them back. I think Tennessee's offense will my

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Speaker 1: ran my rant of the week, and it's a bad one.

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Speaker 1: I mean I had last night. I had Presbyterian. I

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Speaker 1: mean at first I had you know, I had Florida,

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Speaker 1: and then I had Penn State. Whatever I can live

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Speaker 1: three people have understaid three point vary. It's a huge

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Speaker 1: part of betting college basketball. Huge, Like you could have

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Speaker 1: You could have a run bad for a month the season,

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Speaker 1: especially one game the other team makes a ton of threes,

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Speaker 1: you missed times, you're gonna lose your bet. Basic guilty

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Speaker 1: just nine to twelve from three. He's like a thirty

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Speaker 1: percent three point shooter. Yeah, I don't think he's made

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Speaker 1: more than two on the year. Who cares, great, tip

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Speaker 1: your cap easy, Presbyterian down two with a minute to go,

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Speaker 1: I have plus six. They lose by eight when they

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Speaker 1: failed three times, and of course the team makes all

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Speaker 1: their free throws, they miss their front end. Fine happens,

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Speaker 1: but then Villanova and I have plus eight plus eight

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Speaker 1: and a half. They're leading the entire game pretty much,

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Speaker 1: they give up. They score five points over the final

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Speaker 1: eight minutes. They give him a fourteen oh run, Marquette

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Speaker 1: gets near the number, finally get outside the number, we get,

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Speaker 1: we go down, we lay it up and this has

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Speaker 1: to side. So we were down seven now, and that's

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Speaker 1: so I felt better for people that followed. At six

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Speaker 1: and a half. I think that's where the line closed.

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Speaker 1: We're at seven. We call time out with nine seconds left.

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Speaker 1: Give me a fucking break. Really, so maybe, all right,

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Speaker 1: let's practice defending the inbounds inbounds when we foul. Why

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Speaker 1: what are we doing? What are we doing fouling down

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Speaker 1: seven with nine seconds left? Like, if you don't steal

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Speaker 1: the inbounds, why are we fouling? So then of course

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Speaker 1: they'll know the inbounds of the ball down nine, and

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Speaker 1: Marquette gracially allows them to get a wide up and

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Speaker 1: path of the lap, and they missed the wide up

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Speaker 1: and dunk that kids made ninety nine point nine percent

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Speaker 1: of the time. That was absolutely sickening. These end game

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Speaker 1: scenario is the last ten seconds. This is where I

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Speaker 1: prefer when I'm watching the NBA game. It's like, all right,

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Speaker 1: he stopped fouling. And the other day I had West

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Speaker 1: Virginia against TCU. I had a lot of rants this

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Speaker 1: week West Virginia. I mean, they benched their two of

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Speaker 1: their key starters the whole second half. I don't know

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Speaker 1: whether they apparently there was like a bad outague problem.

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Speaker 1: They tried to fight the crowd after the game. Jimmy Bell,

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Speaker 1: who just dominated last week, and then I don't know

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Speaker 1: what happened there, but whatever, I have plus four, I

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Speaker 1: think plus three and a half and the West Virginia's

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Speaker 1: down six inbounding the ball. Oh wait, great they went

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Speaker 1: down and that the buzzer laid it up. Thanks Armstrong.

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Speaker 1: Why couldn't you do that for us? Lay it in?

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Speaker 1: You're gon six and five seconds, Like, at least shoot

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Speaker 1: the three right away with five seconds you could have

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Speaker 1: shot the three. Then you gonna try to steal it

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Speaker 1: and then take the three. I mean, I'm saying this

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Speaker 1: is because I want to cover, But what's the layup doing.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you're down two posessions, you gotta hit it.

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Speaker 1: You gotta just chuck it. You saw wake Forest after

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Speaker 1: we tried to do this from my half court and

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Speaker 1: the game went over all this against Duke and then

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Speaker 1: you're down too, and then you try to steal the inbounds,

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Speaker 1: Like why are you laying it up? God? So anyway,

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Speaker 1: that's my key takeaway of the week. I Tennessee's offense

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Speaker 1: is ultimately gonna hold him back, and uh, yeah, I

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Speaker 1: was pissed about some bets. I had to get it

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Speaker 1: out of there. Uh. The last time I had a

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Speaker 1: rant started a nice run, So hoping that happens again. Mike,

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Speaker 1: we missed you early in the week, So let's go

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Speaker 1: to you. Key takeaway and any rant do you want

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Speaker 1: to get off your chest?

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Speaker 2: Well, key takeaway, I kind of want to bring this

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Speaker 2: up as a hypothetical. Are we in the midst of

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Speaker 2: a two thousand and seven college football esque situation with

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Speaker 2: the number two in the team in the country in

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Speaker 2: college basketball? Because I went through it and we got one, two, three, four, five,

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Speaker 2: six seven losses by the number two team in the

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Speaker 2: country already this season here at the beginning of February

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Speaker 2: and a couple of them, Texas as number two, losing

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Speaker 2: to an unranked Illinois team, Alabama over the weekend losing

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Speaker 2: to an unranked Oklahoma team by twenty four. Obviously, your

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Speaker 2: thoughts on Tennessee were not just established in this show.

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Speaker 2: You've been basically poking holes in their resume from the beginning.

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Speaker 2: But this just goes beyond the number two ranking. It's

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Speaker 2: really just the top of the ap right now. Like

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Speaker 2: I'm a little bit frustrated, to be honest. I had

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Speaker 2: a four teamer that I was playing with yesterday and

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Speaker 2: I was kind of hemming and hawn for the last leg,

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Speaker 2: and I was like, I don't think Tennessee is gonna cover,

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Speaker 2: but they're not gonna lose to thirteen to nine Florida team.

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Speaker 2: And once they regained the lead in the second half,

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Speaker 2: I was like, Okay, they're gonna be able.

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Speaker 1: To I felt like I was like, oh man, I

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Speaker 1: was worried about the cover.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know, it's not necessarily a full rant,

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Speaker 2: but it's just like there's nowhere safe to park your

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Speaker 2: money on the money line in college basketball really anywhere

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Speaker 2: at this point. Now that we're in the heart of

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Speaker 2: conference play.

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Speaker 1: It's it's on the road. On the road.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's been really really ugly, And I guess,

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Speaker 2: you know, if I did have to point out to

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Speaker 2: a rant, I would say the futures market at the top,

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Speaker 2: I think they should be a little more generous to

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Speaker 2: this point. I think there should be a lot of

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Speaker 2: teams outside of the fifteen to one range. And you

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Speaker 2: know that they're pricing a handful of these teams that

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Speaker 2: are clearly flawed, like Tennessee at like ten to one,

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Speaker 2: eleven to one. That's not where they should be. Like

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Speaker 2: when I close my eyes and think about them winning

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Speaker 2: six games in a row in the tournaments, I don't

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Speaker 2: feel like that's a ten to one proposition at this point.

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Speaker 2: So just the number two curse at this point, I

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Speaker 2: think I may just start leaning into it, particularly when

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Speaker 2: they have to face unranked opponents.

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Speaker 1: Yep, what you got?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think to that point.

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Speaker 4: You know, it's kind of both your points, both Stuck

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Speaker 4: and Mike, is that I was Obviously Alabama is fine

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Speaker 4: for they just completely obliterated Vanderbilt at home.

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Speaker 1: The thing about it is an Alabama football game.

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Speaker 4: I know, and it's a good lesson in college basketball,

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Speaker 4: Like you said, Stucky of just Alabama for two games

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Speaker 4: just went through a little bit of shooting wolls, like

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Speaker 4: the game against Oklahoma, they went six for twenty two

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Speaker 4: from behind the arc and Oklahoma goes nine for thirteen

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Speaker 4: and Oklahoma beats them by twenty And sometimes that just happens.

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Speaker 4: And you know, I said last podcast that you know

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Speaker 4: the trust the trust tree has been chopped down and

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Speaker 4: there's nobody left in it. I still don't trust Alabama

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Speaker 4: from a night to night basis, but if I had

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Speaker 4: had to pick a team that I think is going

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Speaker 4: to win the title, I'd say it's them right now.

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Speaker 4: Because it's like you guys mentioned, like I don't trust

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Speaker 4: Houston to win six straight games. I don't trust Tennessee

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Speaker 4: to win six straight games. And it's just going to

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Speaker 4: leave us open to a ton of variants as we

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Speaker 4: get to March. As far as a RAN is concerned,

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Speaker 4: I mean, just a terrible second half from Indiana against

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Speaker 4: Maryland that sucks. Took them live at halftime as well. Uh,

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Speaker 4: and they can't pretty much just quit down the stretch,

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Speaker 4: just kept turning the ball over. And then I had

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Speaker 4: also under in Providence Savior under one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 4: two and a half. The game lands at one hundred

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Speaker 4: and fifty two in regulation, but ghost overtime, which is

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Speaker 4: always a wonderful sight to see. Those happened from time

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Speaker 4: to time, but it was one of the first or

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Speaker 4: second times happened to me this year. And it's just

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Speaker 4: a good like, oh yeah, this is how what betting

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Speaker 4: college basketball is like. So otherwise, I had an okay week,

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Speaker 4: so I don't have too many rants, but yeah, just

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Speaker 4: it's gonna set up Indiana for a good spot here

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Speaker 4: against Purdue, but just to really pour second half from

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Speaker 4: them against Mary.

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Speaker 1: They also got a shit whistle in that game. Yeah

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Speaker 1: they had no money. I had no money on it.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, it's uh, it's wide open. It's gonna be fun.

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Speaker 1: Two thousand. I like to comparison to two thousand and

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Speaker 1: seven because that was one of the most fun college

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Speaker 1: football seasons. Our producer Matt Mitchell loved. That's his favorite

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Speaker 1: season of all time. And I mean Kansas at number one,

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Speaker 1: I think whatever one or two at one point, that's

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Speaker 1: what this feels like. And yeah, it's it's it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be fun and beja, that's a great point. Just I

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Speaker 1: always try to hammer that home because everyone, no matter

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Speaker 1: what in a college best of season, you're gonna have lulls,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna have peaks and valleys, and I mean some

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Speaker 1: seasons will be like that. I had a season like

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Speaker 1: that last year, just never could dig yourself out of it.

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Speaker 1: And some seasons you're gonna have where everything works out well,

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Speaker 1: but you're still gonna have just like a week or

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Speaker 1: some bad beats. You have to just embrace the grind

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Speaker 1: or wait until March to bet. Like you're gonna have

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Speaker 1: rough weeks, rough beats. It's okay to get mad about them.

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Speaker 1: That's like how you kind of and then but then

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Speaker 1: you gotta move on. You can't let them hang over

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Speaker 1: and run into your next bets.

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Speaker 2: It's your point stuff too. It's you know a lot

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Speaker 2: of people on social media they think it's like sour grapes.

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Speaker 2: When anyone who bets and talks about betting frequently says,

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Speaker 2: you know, I was on the right side by lost.

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Speaker 2: The reality is sometimes that's just the case. Sometimes, like

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Speaker 2: you know, a kid gets like a flagrant one out

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Speaker 2: of nowhere in a game with like one second left

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Speaker 2: that you had been covering for you know, thirty and

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Speaker 2: a half minutes of the game. That's just the way

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Speaker 2: that it goes sometimes. So it's like there are instances

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Speaker 2: where things happen outside of what is truly predictable, like

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Speaker 2: a team shooting forty percent from the foul line for

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Speaker 2: a night when they shoot eighty percent for the year. Like,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't matter how good you are at this, there's

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Speaker 2: gonna be some of those fluky things. It's like team's

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Speaker 2: one run records in Major League Baseball. It's like, is

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Speaker 2: it luck, is it talent? Is it a mix of both?

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Speaker 2: It's probably a mix. But like sometimes the bloop single

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Speaker 2: just falls in, Like you just have to embrace that

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Speaker 2: elements and allow yourself to be like, all right, sometimes

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go lucky. Sometimes I'm gonna get screwed. Doesn't

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Speaker 2: mean that I made the wrong play necessarily every time

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Speaker 2: that I lose.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that is why we play this game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, process over results, And yeah, I mean like you're

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Speaker 1: gonna have like I always say that you have thirty games, Like, say,

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Speaker 1: take thirty games in a season, you're gonna have like

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Speaker 1: five where the team plays like out of their minds,

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Speaker 1: five where they just don't show up. So sometimes you

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Speaker 1: can on a season, you could be betting a higher

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Speaker 1: frequency of those teams that don't show up in those

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Speaker 1: five games. And then, like I said, shooting, just shooting

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Speaker 1: variants is going to decide so many games. Some seasons,

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Speaker 1: months can be on your side. With the prevalence of

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Speaker 1: the three point shot. It's like team shoots wherever they

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Speaker 1: had some three, the other team doesn't, and you have

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Speaker 1: a team that doesn't, you're probably just understand that and

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Speaker 1: just move on. All right, Before we move on, I

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Speaker 1: do have a crazy story that this is non basketball related,

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Speaker 1: although it's kind of bass related because I was looking

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Speaker 1: into it's like four forty five in the morning, I

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Speaker 1: was updating some college basketball numbers and I was looking

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Speaker 1: in my into which future I wanted to what's we'll

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Speaker 1: get into next? Which future I wanted to bet and

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Speaker 1: add for this segment bring to the table. And I

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Speaker 1: was like, I gotta take my trash out. So I

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Speaker 1: go and open the door and I put like this

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Speaker 1: big jacket on and it was really cold, so I

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Speaker 1: had headphones on and I'm looking at my phone and

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Speaker 1: I walk outside and then like I kind of hear something,

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Speaker 1: but I had my heapotzone, so it wasn't looked up.

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Speaker 1: And within five feet of me is a guy in

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Speaker 1: all black in a mask covering his entire face of

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Speaker 1: ski mask. Five feet behind him there's another guy. They

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Speaker 1: were walking down my driveway and they just came around

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Speaker 1: a car and I was walking out and came face

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Speaker 1: to face with them, and I was like, oh my god,

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Speaker 1: Now I probably scared the ship out of them because

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Speaker 1: they weren't expecting to see me. And I brought the jack.

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Speaker 2: I was wearing a jacket like this, this like I

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Speaker 2: look like I thought for sure, you're in. And then

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Speaker 2: I popped my gun out.

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Speaker 1: Of course I looked like I looked like a Russian

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Speaker 1: like operative.

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Speaker 3: You like a Russian DJ right now, honestly so, and

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Speaker 3: I'm like.

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Speaker 1: This is what I was wearing. And then I got

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Speaker 1: ski cap like, so I probably wreaked them out. So

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Speaker 1: we all make eye I mean I was we all

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Speaker 1: make eye contact. I couldn't see anything about them masks

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Speaker 1: with eye holes, and I'm frozen in fear, like I'm

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Speaker 1: like and stunned that I'm like, oh my god, like

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Speaker 1: this was the last thing you expect. I live in

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Speaker 1: a really nice neighborhood and they like are obviously stunned too,

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Speaker 1: and then they like it was like it felt like

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Speaker 1: ten minutes. It was like three seconds, and I'm just

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Speaker 1: standing there and then they looked at each other and

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Speaker 1: then took off and they ran back up my driveway.

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Speaker 1: They didn't slip. I was hoping they slip because it

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Speaker 1: was really icy, but then they jumped. They got they

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Speaker 1: jumped up to like this ten foot fence that separates

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Speaker 1: my neighbors in my house with nothing you can like

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Speaker 1: put your feet on, jumped up, grab it, and then

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Speaker 1: I have a video of them. I'll send it to

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Speaker 1: you guys. So I was taping them running away. So

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Speaker 1: I'm freaked out. I'm like with someone just trying to

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Speaker 1: rid my house, Like what the fuck was going on?

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Speaker 1: Like what the fuck? Took me like hours to calm down,

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Speaker 1: and then like then next I called the cops. And

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Speaker 1: the next day all my neighbors had like videos and

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Speaker 1: they had there was they were just going up and

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Speaker 1: down the neighborhood try to open car doors and uh,

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Speaker 1: and then houses that were unlocked, and I just happened

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Speaker 1: to walk out right when they were coming down my driveway.

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Speaker 1: It was fucking crazy.

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Speaker 3: Wow.

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Speaker 1: So anyway, a little crazy story. But uh so I've

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Speaker 1: never go outside before forty five in the morning, and

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Speaker 1: he's just be careful, there's crazy people out there. So

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Speaker 1: I started looking at this. This is like a thing that

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Speaker 1: happens all over like in all these suburbs around here.

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Speaker 1: These people are just going around and just looking for

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Speaker 1: open car doors, and so lock your car doors and

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Speaker 1: be careful. But so, anyway, so the future that I

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Speaker 1: came up with, uh while that was happening.

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Speaker 2: In Dju and Transition is theah vandals. There we go,

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Speaker 2: all right now, said, I.

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Speaker 4: Think this should this episode should just be stucky storytelling hour.

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Speaker 4: I just want to get your rants and then what's

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Speaker 4: been happening in your life, just for a full hour.

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Speaker 4: I think the listeners want that more than whatever the

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Speaker 4: stupid futures are gonna lose we're about to bring up.

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Speaker 1: I'll try to bring one a week from now on

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Speaker 1: BJ you alluded to this. Indiana plays Purdue on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: They are playing great basketball late sands that game, and

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Speaker 1: Maryland playing really well at home this year. They got

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Speaker 1: a really friendly whistle. Indian has also been dealing with

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Speaker 1: a lot of injuries. You know, you know, Thompson's still

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00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:23,399
Speaker 1: kind of a show of himself. Geronimo has been heard,

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Speaker 1: You're gonna get Zader Johnson back, presumably at some point

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Speaker 1: you have an All American player that you can rely on.

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Speaker 1: And coming into the season, this is a team that

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Speaker 1: many touted as a potential Final fourteen, and I think

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Speaker 1: at their peak this is a top ten team and

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Speaker 1: you can find them. Let's see fifty to one. It's

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Speaker 1: pretty widespread. And I think this is the right time

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Speaker 1: to buy them because I think if they get healthy,

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Speaker 1: they're in that mix. They're in the mix of teams

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Speaker 1: that can make a deep run easily to the Final four.

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Speaker 1: And if they beat Purdue here right, this is maybe

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Speaker 1: the bottom of the market for Indiana because then also

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Speaker 1: they're probably going to keep getting healthier. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: bring Indiana fifty to one to the table. I think

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Speaker 1: this is the right time to buy, whether or not

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Speaker 1: they beat Produce, Like, even if they lose their Purdue

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Speaker 1: and I think they're gonna beat Purdue on Saturday, But

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00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:17,720
Speaker 1: even they lose their their prices are gonna fall off

386
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Speaker 1: too much. But as they get healthier, I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna get hot here. I like what I've seen of late,

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Speaker 1: and then from a futures perspective, losing that game at

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Speaker 1: Maryland right before this Purdue game, I think this is

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Speaker 1: probably the right time to buy the Hoosiers. So I'm

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Speaker 1: going to roll with Iubb BJ throw it to you.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully you came up with your future in a much

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Speaker 1: safer manner than I did.

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Speaker 5: Oh yes, I know me living in indoors. I mean

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Speaker 5: it's it's obviously still been very very cold here in

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Speaker 5: ioland I can allude that because I have a very

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Speaker 5: long driveway and I probably have to walk I don't know,

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Speaker 5: one hundred, one hundred and fifty yards to actually take.

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Speaker 4: My trash can to the corner, which is always a

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Speaker 4: fun ordeal. But my neighbors are cows, so you know,

401
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Speaker 4: I don't really have the same problems you do.

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Speaker 3: But anyway, I'm going to bring in.

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Speaker 1: By the way, great news, Brian Lifetime.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, great, great news.

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Speaker 4: There were you know, I was on the Iowa message

406
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Speaker 4: boards and I thought we were getting Josh Gattis for

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Speaker 4: a little bit. But no, no, no coaching changes. Kirk

408
00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:22,240
Speaker 4: couldn't fire his son, just couldn't do it. So yeah,

409
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Speaker 4: but hey, you know what, we have Cade McNamara, and

410
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Speaker 4: people forget he took Michigan all on his back to

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Speaker 4: the college football playoffs and now we have him. So anyway,

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Speaker 4: that's for another day. I'm gonna bring to the table Virginia.

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Speaker 4: You can find them at twenty five to one a

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Speaker 4: couple of books.

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Speaker 3: Now. They are coming in on a seven.

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Speaker 4: Game win streak coming into the weekend against Virginia Tech,

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Speaker 4: and like we alluded to on Tuesday, like you did,

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Speaker 4: stuck not the best spot, and you know it's it's

419
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Speaker 4: a potential lull for them.

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Speaker 3: They could potentially lose that game.

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Speaker 4: But after that game, their schedule opens up pretty well.

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Speaker 4: They got two home games against NC State and Duke,

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Speaker 4: and then their last difficult road test is near the

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Speaker 4: end of the season and against North Carolina. I think

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Speaker 4: that with this Virginia team now at twenty five to one,

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Speaker 4: I have to ask myself, are they going to be

427
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Speaker 4: twenty five to one come March Madness? Given how easy

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Speaker 4: their schedule is going forward. Obviously the ACC is very down,

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Speaker 4: but bracket.

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Speaker 1: They soon they also make a run in the AC Tournament, right,

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Speaker 1: It's just gonna be hard to get upset early in that.

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Speaker 4: Bread exactly, and so now I have to ask myself again,

433
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:27,040
Speaker 4: are they gonna be twenty five to one by the

434
00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 4: time tournament comes. Bracken Matrix has them as a three

435
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 4: seed right now. If they only lose one or two

436
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:35,520
Speaker 4: games down the stretch, you can potentially be looking them

437
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:39,400
Speaker 4: at only five losses, potentially a two seed in the tournament.

438
00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,640
Speaker 4: This is a team that has incredible experience. For their

439
00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:45,680
Speaker 4: five starters or seniors, all four of all five of

440
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,040
Speaker 4: them can hit shots from outside the arc. They I mean,

441
00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:50,879
Speaker 4: they have four guys shooting over forty percent from behind

442
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:53,320
Speaker 4: the arc. They have one of the best coaches in

443
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:56,320
Speaker 4: the country. They're playing their slow paced you know, they're twenty.

444
00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,040
Speaker 4: You know they're you know, the the good mark of

445
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:02,760
Speaker 4: being around you know, below twenty in terms of your

446
00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:05,479
Speaker 4: ranking for offensive and defensive efficiency. They're right around there

447
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 4: right now. So I think the time is now to

448
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:12,000
Speaker 4: buying in Virginia rather than if they potentially do run

449
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:14,119
Speaker 4: the table in a week acc and we get to

450
00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:16,399
Speaker 4: the tournament and there are two even a three c

451
00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:19,000
Speaker 4: and they're sitting at fifteen sixteen to one, and like

452
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:20,760
Speaker 4: we've already mentioned, with all the variants and the things

453
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,679
Speaker 4: that are happening with all these other teams who clearly

454
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:24,400
Speaker 4: have flaws.

455
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,320
Speaker 3: I think Virginia is worth a bet at twenty five

456
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:27,560
Speaker 3: to one.

457
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, any other one of the best coaches in the country.

458
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:37,080
Speaker 1: And another thing, well, I'll stave my thoughts for that,

459
00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:40,199
Speaker 1: BA for what we vote. Let mean throughout to Mike,

460
00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 1: what what are you going to bring.

461
00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:45,199
Speaker 2: Here so I may know bones about it. I think

462
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 2: the Mountain West is one of the best, you know,

463
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:50,000
Speaker 2: conferences out there in terms of you know, kind of

464
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 2: straddling that fence of Trueman Major Conference and you know,

465
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 2: not quite Power five conference and kind of going through it.

466
00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:59,679
Speaker 2: I was thinking of this, you know, Boise San Diego

467
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:01,400
Speaker 2: Staking that's coming up, and I was like, I wonder

468
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 2: what San Diego State's number is right now? One hundred

469
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,360
Speaker 2: to one. That doesn't move me. What do what boiss

470
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 2: is try three hundred to one for Boise State to

471
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:13,280
Speaker 2: win the national title? And I understand that it's a

472
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 2: huge jump to say that they're gonna win six games

473
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 2: that three hundred to one. What I'm really betting is

474
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:19,840
Speaker 2: can they make it to the second weekend, And in

475
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 2: terms of their path if they're to win the Mountain

476
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:24,960
Speaker 2: West Conference tournament. I believe that they'll get a seven

477
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:28,880
Speaker 2: or eight seed. And we've discussed all throughout this podcast

478
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 2: ever since we launched up at the beginning of January

479
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 2: that the one and two seeds this year are incredibly vulnerable.

480
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,200
Speaker 2: So if they are able to get into a matchup

481
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,199
Speaker 2: with a one or two seed in the round of

482
00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:43,880
Speaker 2: thirty two, I think that Rice has the coaching prowess,

483
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,640
Speaker 2: particularly end of game situations. You saw it against New

484
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,200
Speaker 2: Mexico about two fridays ago, where they do the half

485
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,120
Speaker 2: court pass, time out, set up a half court play,

486
00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 2: get a wide open three, send it to overtime. And

487
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:56,840
Speaker 2: the other element of it is I love what they

488
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,920
Speaker 2: do defensively, their fifth and three point defense. This year

489
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:03,959
Speaker 2: as a team, they're tenth in opposing shooting efficiency allowed,

490
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,360
Speaker 2: so they can win those grinded out games where there's

491
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 2: tons of stopages at the end, there's lots of reviews

492
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:13,120
Speaker 2: and timeouts. They have the coaching. They have the offensive

493
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:16,439
Speaker 2: versatility as well, with four starters averaging double digits. The

494
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:19,600
Speaker 2: number is what drew me in. Anything less than two

495
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 2: hundred to one wouldn't have moved me, but three hundred

496
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,600
Speaker 2: to one. It's basically in the same category of teams that,

497
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,600
Speaker 2: in my opinion, are going to be cannon fodder in

498
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,640
Speaker 2: the first round of the tournament if even make it.

499
00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 2: You know, they have teams like Chattanooga at three hundred

500
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 2: to one, it's like, yeah, they're just going to get blasted,

501
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 2: just like Colgate and all these other squads. I think

502
00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:38,199
Speaker 2: boys could put it together and win three games, have

503
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 2: a nice Cinderella run to the second weekend Sweet sixteen

504
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 2: to Lite eight, and then when you're holding a three

505
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:46,560
Speaker 2: hundred one ticket, even with couch change on it, that

506
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 2: presents a ton of hedge opportunities, So you're not always

507
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 2: playing to win the game, as Herm Edwards would say,

508
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 2: the game being the national title. In this case, I

509
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 2: think I'm just banking on a little mini run out

510
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,880
Speaker 2: of my broncos here and three hundred to one gets

511
00:23:58,880 --> 00:23:59,359
Speaker 2: it done for me.

512
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: Yah. They would be in that, like they could probably

513
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 1: be in like that seven to ten, which is like

514
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 1: you're gonna face a one or two most likely the

515
00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:08,960
Speaker 1: second round. But this is the year where the ones

516
00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 1: in the twos. There's not much difference between the threes

517
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:16,239
Speaker 1: and the fours. Right, and like the gap between Like

518
00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 1: we said that, like the top five teams and then

519
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:22,199
Speaker 1: ten through fifteen not great. It's not massive, so I

520
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,360
Speaker 1: don't think there's a lot of separation. So I don't

521
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 1: think like those teams that get the seven, eight, nine,

522
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 1: ten are as hamstrung as they might be from making

523
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:34,160
Speaker 1: a potential run in the future. All right, let's vote,

524
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:38,239
Speaker 1: then we'll share our thoughts. Let's go hold up at

525
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 1: one for Indiana, a two for Virginia, and a three

526
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:52,680
Speaker 1: for Boise State. On three two one, all right, we're

527
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:57,160
Speaker 1: going with my Indiana hoosiers. You guys both voted for Indiana.

528
00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 1: I went with Virginia. I like the price of boys.

529
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 1: You don't line that as just a fire and long

530
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 1: shot this year. I'll give you my thoughts on on

531
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,760
Speaker 1: both of yours, then I'll go to you guys. The

532
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:10,679
Speaker 1: one thing worries about me about Boise is that they

533
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 1: run into like like if they would run into Purdue,

534
00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 1: Like they just don't have the size, But I love

535
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:18,439
Speaker 1: if they can switch their switchability. Their depth really concerns me.

536
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 1: So like that's okay, and they turn me. Do you

537
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 1: play like two games? You got a break? But if

538
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 1: they have anyone that gets hurt. They're just like down

539
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 1: to freshmen. They're one of the I think they're like

540
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 1: outside of the top three fifth the in bench minutes. So

541
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 1: their depth does concern me a bit. And I also

542
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,879
Speaker 1: am like do I like the Mountain West has tricked

543
00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 1: us before. I'm a huge fan of the Mountain West.

544
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:39,680
Speaker 1: This year, I think this is the year where we

545
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:41,880
Speaker 1: can actually believe in them. Like if you just from

546
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,680
Speaker 1: a talent perspective in San Diego State, you mentioned they're interesting.

547
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 1: They're just so relying, Like Matt Bradley is so streaky

548
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 1: that if he's on like they're ridiculous. But if he's

549
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 1: just taking seventeen shots that he's three of seventeen, they

550
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 1: could like he could shoot them out of the game,

551
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:57,960
Speaker 1: which worries me about that. But I believe in the

552
00:25:57,960 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 1: Mountain West this year. I'm gonna go out. I'm gonna

553
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,879
Speaker 1: say that, but they've tricked me before. And then in

554
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,360
Speaker 1: regards to Virginia, yeah, this is probably a good time

555
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 1: to buy them. It's I don't think that they could.

556
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:09,240
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna lose on Saturday, but it's not

557
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,359
Speaker 1: going to do much to their price. They're probably probably

558
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: gona be an underdog, and the ACC is so bad

559
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 1: that they're just gonna stack wins improve their seating, and

560
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 1: a couple of things I like about that. I mean,

561
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 1: they have one of the best coaches in the country.

562
00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 1: Their defense isn't as elite, but it's still like a

563
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,400
Speaker 1: top twenty five defensive guys lead as we've seen. Their

564
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 1: offense is really good, and then you know Bennett's can

565
00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:31,840
Speaker 1: always have a great defensive scale. They have a point

566
00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:34,879
Speaker 1: guard in Ky Clark who's won a national title, and

567
00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:37,800
Speaker 1: you know he was a contributor on that team. And

568
00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:40,920
Speaker 1: they grind games. They're comfortable in the half court, which

569
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:44,080
Speaker 1: is a lot of times with these NCAA tournament games

570
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:47,400
Speaker 1: turned into But they're running great offense, and they certainly

571
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 1: could make a run. But you guys went with my

572
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 1: Hoosiers BJ. I'll throw it to you. Any thoughts that

573
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 1: you want.

574
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 4: To add, Yeah, I mean, it's it's the right time

575
00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 4: to buy Indiana, especially coming off that loss. And you

576
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,160
Speaker 4: know they have two games coming up. Obviously it's Purdue

577
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 4: this weekend, then against Rutgers as well following that, both

578
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 4: of them at home. If they beat Purdue on a

579
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:10,120
Speaker 4: national stage. You know, this is a four pm ESPN game,

580
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 4: that price is definitely going to drop to probably at least.

581
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:14,400
Speaker 3: Forty five or forty to one.

582
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 4: So I agree with you. I think that now it's

583
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:17,840
Speaker 4: definitely the time to buy it on Indiana.

584
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 1: Mike Anthian Wan I have yeah.

585
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:22,200
Speaker 2: I mean Indiana couldn't throw it in the ocean against Maryland,

586
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 2: as you mentioned stuck. That happens from time to time.

587
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 2: The Turps also got twenty nine foul shot attempts in

588
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:28,760
Speaker 2: that game, so like, what are you going to do?

589
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,439
Speaker 2: I don't hold that against them. We'll get into it

590
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 2: for Saturday's card. I like the Hoosiers. I'll get into

591
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,879
Speaker 2: a few more reasons why, but certainly I think this

592
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:39,639
Speaker 2: is probably the best price you're going to get them

593
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 2: out for the rest of the season.

594
00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:43,720
Speaker 1: Really good home court advantage to one of the best

595
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 1: in the country. In their next two games are against

596
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 1: top twenty five teams at home. They also have Rutgers

597
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:54,240
Speaker 1: at home after Purdue, so they certainly could improve their

598
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:58,679
Speaker 1: stock over the next week. All right, good stuff. So

599
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:00,560
Speaker 1: now we have and I like the because we have

600
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 1: like a ukon at twenty two to one, we have

601
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 1: TC at forty to one and Indiana at fifty to one.

602
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,920
Speaker 1: And I would argue that these are three teams that

603
00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 1: are in that mix that you know, of the fifteen

604
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 1: to twenty best teams in the country, and we're getting

605
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,720
Speaker 1: them at generous prices. And I think at the end

606
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:22,479
Speaker 1: of this exercise, when we have six, six or seven teams,

607
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 1: that's what we want. And then we want that, you know,

608
00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:26,879
Speaker 1: we want to try to buy these teams at the

609
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:28,840
Speaker 1: right time and we want to find those teams that

610
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 1: and we might throw one or two long shots in

611
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 1: Mike to your point that we just hey, let's get

612
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,320
Speaker 1: this team to this point and that we can hedge.

613
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 1: But as far as our core portfolio think, we're off

614
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 1: to a good start. As a reminder before we go

615
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:46,239
Speaker 1: any further, college basketball season is in full swing, So

616
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:48,760
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620
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Speaker 6: New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington,

622
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Speaker 6: d C, West Virginia, Wyoming, or Ontario only. Must be

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624
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628
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630
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631
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:35,880
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632
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636
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639
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640
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646
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 6: on to Friday night.

647
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 1: Why let football have all the fun, Let's bet Friday

648
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:21,600
Speaker 1: night lights. I think it's another lackluster Friday. I feel

649
00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 1: like these Friday cards are shorter, smaller than they have been.

650
00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 1: That's what it feels like. Am I crazy?

651
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,240
Speaker 4: There's no there's no like big Big ten game, Like

652
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 4: the Big Ten is now stop playing on Friday nights,

653
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,280
Speaker 4: which usually get like a Michigan Purdue type game.

654
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:35,800
Speaker 3: But yeah, we just don't even have that anymore.

655
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:40,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the big game is Boise State at

656
00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:42,880
Speaker 1: San Diego State for first place. That gives it ten

657
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 1: o'clock on FS one. Ken State acron will always be

658
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 1: contentious as well and so, but yeah, not the not

659
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 1: the sexiest card, Mike I'm gonna throw it to you.

660
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 1: Do you have anything for Friday night?

661
00:30:56,120 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 2: We got another first place tussle in the Ancient eight

662
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 2: Cornell traveling Princeton. You know, the Tigers won by seven

663
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:05,720
Speaker 2: in Ithica earlier this month. I was high on Princeton

664
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 2: earlier in the season. They kind of had some growing

665
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 2: pains early on. Iwoma has basically been the same player

666
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 2: now that he's in IVY League plays averaging fourteen, six

667
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 2: and five. And it's the Princeton team that I bought

668
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 2: in on to win preseason because for their five starters

669
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,280
Speaker 2: or the juniors or seniors, they can really shoot their

670
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 2: thirty seventh and effective field goal percentage even better inside

671
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 2: the arc. And what's interesting is generally it's kind of

672
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 2: just like a pillow fight for rebounds in the IVY

673
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 2: League because there's just not that many established bigs. But

674
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 2: Princeton this year has been a great defensive rebounding team

675
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 2: six in percentage nationally. So when you go up against

676
00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 2: Cornell team that likes to run a gun from three

677
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: point range and you don't want to give them extra possessions,

678
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 2: they're shooting and making threes at the third highest rate

679
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 2: in all of college basketball thirty six percent from three

680
00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:00,440
Speaker 2: as a team, So I think it's important for Princeton

681
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:03,520
Speaker 2: to try to limit them, at least in second chance opportunities.

682
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,080
Speaker 2: I don't know what Torvik has this as right now,

683
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,880
Speaker 2: there's not a number on the board. I would probably

684
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 2: go up to Princeton minus four. I feel good about that.

685
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:15,760
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm gonna go with the Tigers in a

686
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 2: pretty light cart as you mentioned on Friday, but beside

687
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 2: of the league matchup caught my attention.

688
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:23,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, Prince, I think of minus two on early openers

689
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:27,600
Speaker 1: right now, and yeah, they're going to score. So if

690
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 1: you like the matchup for their defense, because the Cornell

691
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,960
Speaker 1: defense is bad, Yeah, corne offense is electric.

692
00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:35,920
Speaker 2: But to add to the Cornell their defense has been

693
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,440
Speaker 2: bad but gotten even worse in their last five they're

694
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 2: given up eighty two points per game, so they've kind

695
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 2: of fallen off the cliff and they're not exactly going

696
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 2: up against a murder's row of opponents. So yeah, it's

697
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 2: it should be a high scoring game and they can

698
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:50,920
Speaker 2: really let the Princeton offense get a lot of high percentage.

699
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 1: Looks nice, love it, Little IVY League, FindOut action, PJ anything,

700
00:32:56,120 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 1: that you were targeting on Friday night.

701
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go Saint Louis against VCU at home.

702
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,479
Speaker 4: Ken Palm has is at Saint Louis minus three. I

703
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:10,480
Speaker 4: do like the Billickins here at home VCU. They've been

704
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 4: running a little too hot lately, and outside of essentially

705
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 4: forcing turnovers from their press, their defense is actually quite bad.

706
00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 4: They're three hundred and forty third in the country in

707
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 4: points for possession in the half court, while Saint Louis

708
00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 4: is a top one hundred team offensively, and Saint Louis

709
00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 4: also has one of the best med major guards in

710
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 4: the country, Yurie Collins. He's leading the country in assists

711
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 4: rate by a pretty wide margin right now. Saint Louis

712
00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 4: is obviously a very heavy pick and roll type team,

713
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 4: in which VCU does struggle defending and VCU offense like

714
00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 4: they've they do an incredible job of finishing at the

715
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:44,840
Speaker 4: rint like they're shooting over sixty percent on shot attempts there,

716
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 4: but Saint Louis is very very good at defending the room,

717
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 4: only long fifty one percent on the shot attempts there

718
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 4: as well, and VCU they crash the offensive glass at

719
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:54,960
Speaker 4: a high rate and their top ten team in terms

720
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 4: of getting to the free throw line. But if you

721
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 4: just take their conference metrics so far, they're actually eighth

722
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 4: in the Atlantic ten in terms of free throw rate,

723
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 4: so a lot of what they've done of getting that

724
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 4: free throw line has come into non conference. They barely

725
00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:11,400
Speaker 4: were able to beat Davidson on Tuesday. This is a

726
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 4: back to back road trip spot, So I like the

727
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:14,879
Speaker 4: spot here for Saint Louis at minus three.

728
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 1: Nice. Yeah, See, the one thing that worries me is

729
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 1: with with Saint Louis is that and I agree with you,

730
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 1: I think that this is probably the right time to

731
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 1: fade Vcu. Is that, like, and you're at college an amazing,

732
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:33,200
Speaker 1: amazing passer everybody, His assist rate is forty nine point

733
00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:34,399
Speaker 1: seven give me.

734
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:37,920
Speaker 4: Seven percent higher than the next closest guy in college basketball.

735
00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:40,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just that he has these games every once

736
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:42,359
Speaker 1: in a while, and it's why their numbers aren't great

737
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:44,680
Speaker 1: against the press. That he'll just turn it over way

738
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:48,560
Speaker 1: too much and he's just way too sloppy with the wall,

739
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:51,000
Speaker 1: Like it'll have like seven or eight turnovers just these

740
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 1: random book games. So you want to avoid that. But yeah,

741
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:57,799
Speaker 1: this is probably a good time to buy. Let's go.

742
00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 1: You know, I don't love anything on the board, but

743
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 1: there's one game that's gonna be really fun. Let's see

744
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:07,160
Speaker 1: if this is on TV too, because even if you

745
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:10,040
Speaker 1: don't bet this, you're gonna want to tune in. Yeah,

746
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 1: it's on ESPNU. So Kent State and Achron, they're both

747
00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 1: eight and one in the conference. You might recall last

748
00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:20,160
Speaker 1: year Kent State went to Akron won that game and

749
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:24,359
Speaker 1: they like went to the crowd and like basically we're

750
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:27,319
Speaker 1: like and the crowd was screaming nephew, and then they

751
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 1: were like right up to them after Akron missed a

752
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:32,840
Speaker 1: shout at the buzzer to win it. And these teams

753
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 1: hate each other. Kent State swept and Acron actually beat

754
00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:42,120
Speaker 1: them last year in the math tournament when there was

755
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:47,359
Speaker 1: all kinds of shit talk and Akron blew them out

756
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:51,160
Speaker 1: in the Math tournament. I think I think Kent State

757
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 1: is the better team. These are two great defensive teams,

758
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 1: and Kent State has like they have the guys that

759
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:01,720
Speaker 1: and this is that live for kind of the these

760
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:04,839
Speaker 1: hostile environments and this is when you get their their

761
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 1: best effort from guys like sincere carry so I think

762
00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:10,680
Speaker 1: they're gonna go into Akron. It's gonna be close, it's

763
00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 1: gonna be tight, and I think I think they're catching

764
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:16,080
Speaker 1: maybe probably catching one here. Yeah, so I'm gonna go.

765
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 1: I wanna go with Kent State, and then this will

766
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 1: just be a fun game, fun atmosphere. So even if

767
00:36:20,080 --> 00:36:22,720
Speaker 1: you don't bet it, try to tune in and catch

768
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 1: some All right, let's close things out here with a

769
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 1: look at Saturday's card.

770
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:40,920
Speaker 7: Saturday kind of go around the horn style and just

771
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:42,839
Speaker 7: fire off what we like one at a time.

772
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 1: I'll mention a couple and another rant. I'm getting this

773
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:49,640
Speaker 1: happens every year. I have Purdue fans and my mentions

774
00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:52,000
Speaker 1: like why are you always fading Purdue? So I was like,

775
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 1: let me go back and check. Now, granted I got lucky,

776
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 1: I'm lucky with us, stay lucky with Michigan. I'm five

777
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 1: and four fading Purdue this year, like this is happened

778
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 1: with Oklahoma State fans or in the air, like give

779
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:05,719
Speaker 1: it time, Like just there's that's a whole season. If

780
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:08,440
Speaker 1: I'm lower in the market, I'm gonna fade him a lot.

781
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:11,359
Speaker 1: And if there's you know, but on five to four,

782
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:13,960
Speaker 1: I'm actually one fading Purdue this year.

783
00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:15,640
Speaker 3: Are you sure they're not bots?

784
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:19,400
Speaker 1: Probably bots? Yeah, some of them are bots. And for

785
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:22,560
Speaker 1: those one yeah, I mean I won Florida State. Florida State, man,

786
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 1: I probably wouldn't make that, but again Michigan on Wednesday.

787
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:30,520
Speaker 1: From them, yeah, Maryland, Nebraska and Michigan. Who was lucky

788
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 1: that I lost West Virginia early in the year. Ohio

789
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:39,320
Speaker 1: State probably should have covered Penn State and Minnesota. So anyway, Indiana,

790
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:41,080
Speaker 1: this is one of the best spots of the year

791
00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 1: in my opinion, at home against his Purdue team that

792
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:47,759
Speaker 1: has been playing a bit over its head, like just

793
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 1: there's there's some shooting regression coming. They are wonderful in

794
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 1: the interior, and I gotta give you tons of credit.

795
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:58,000
Speaker 1: Like I mentioned earlier this week, he has the National

796
00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:01,239
Speaker 1: Player of the Year award are locked up. But this

797
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:05,279
Speaker 1: is a pure through and through Indiana spot. Here, give

798
00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:07,120
Speaker 1: me the Hoosiers and then for the other one, I'll

799
00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:08,799
Speaker 1: throughout the I'm just gonna throw out the obvious ones

800
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:13,720
Speaker 1: to start is Virginia Tech against Virginia. This Virginia Tech team,

801
00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:15,239
Speaker 1: I mean you can go back and look at all

802
00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:17,160
Speaker 1: their close losses by one and two, and then they

803
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:20,719
Speaker 1: didn't have Cantur and they also I don't know if

804
00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 1: there's an update because this is Virginia Tech, doesn't have

805
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 1: a ton of depth. But Maddox, who's also important. He's

806
00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:30,120
Speaker 1: been away from the team of a personal for personal reasons.

807
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:32,800
Speaker 1: I think he might return this weekend. But this is

808
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:35,759
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech team that's very comfortable operating in a half

809
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:39,880
Speaker 1: court style. These are two great offenses desperation game like,

810
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 1: even though they're a lot like Miami, like you had

811
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,280
Speaker 1: Nigel pac May score like seventeen points in a minute,

812
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:47,360
Speaker 1: just go nuclear. And again they were really controlling at Miami.

813
00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:51,800
Speaker 1: Same thing happened at Clemson earlier this year at Virginia

814
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:54,439
Speaker 1: that was back and forth until the end. So yeah,

815
00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:57,560
Speaker 1: I think Virginia Tech is they're just right to go

816
00:38:57,640 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 1: on a run. They did the same exact thing last

817
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 1: year here. I believe in this team with Hunter contor

818
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:05,759
Speaker 1: back was really important offensively and defensively. So I'll be

819
00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 1: buying Rginia Tech here. I would love to get them

820
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:09,879
Speaker 1: as an underdog. I think they're probably they'll probably open

821
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 1: as a dog and then be become a short favorite,

822
00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 1: as they always take money So this are my two

823
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:19,399
Speaker 1: obvious ones favorite spots of the day, Indiana and vo Tech.

824
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:20,440
Speaker 1: I throw it to you.

825
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we're all in on Indiana and for

826
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:27,320
Speaker 2: the Purdue fans who are wondering why do you keep coming?

827
00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:30,760
Speaker 2: For the boiler Makers. You know, in January on the road,

828
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,920
Speaker 2: they skated by Ohio State by two. They skated by

829
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:34,799
Speaker 2: Minnesota and.

830
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:37,000
Speaker 1: Zed Key gets hurt in the first play of the game,

831
00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:39,840
Speaker 1: and then they turns it over, turns it over, and

832
00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 1: all then the ball and they wanted to do is

833
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 1: inbound the ball.

834
00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:45,239
Speaker 2: And then they only beat Michigan by five in ann Arbor.

835
00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 2: So it's like they are clearly mortal.

836
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:50,640
Speaker 1: And barely beat Maryland.

837
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 2: This is a team that you can that can be

838
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:55,480
Speaker 2: gat the cop And and the last thing too, you

839
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 2: mentioned it stuck how good Indiana is at home. They're

840
00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:01,720
Speaker 2: fifth nationally and shooting percentage, but second nationally at home.

841
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:04,840
Speaker 2: So it's like they just turn into this super nova

842
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:07,360
Speaker 2: when it comes to shooting the basketball from all over

843
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:12,160
Speaker 2: in Bloomington. So yeah, I'm with you there. There's not

844
00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:15,319
Speaker 2: a number out just yet for Gonzaga Saint Mary's, but

845
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:18,759
Speaker 2: I'm very interested in the under and This is one

846
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 2: of those you know, contrast makes fights situations. Saint Mary's

847
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:26,839
Speaker 2: three hundred and fiftieth in pace, Gonzaga twenty ninth. You know,

848
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:28,880
Speaker 2: Saint Mary's is very good from three to thirty first

849
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:33,200
Speaker 2: nationally thirty seven point five percent. But defensively, they just

850
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:35,839
Speaker 2: make it very difficult to get easy looks like That's

851
00:40:35,880 --> 00:40:38,480
Speaker 2: the reason why the Gails are in the top twenty

852
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,280
Speaker 2: five at this point. Their fourth and opponent made basket

853
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:44,919
Speaker 2: to assist ratio eleventh and two point percentage. Defense. They

854
00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:47,279
Speaker 2: don't foil very much, so you're not going to get,

855
00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:49,880
Speaker 2: you know, freebies from the line. Their fourth in defensive

856
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:53,239
Speaker 2: rebounding percentage, which is huge for the Gonzaga team that

857
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:56,200
Speaker 2: can play fast, but by speeding you up sometimes they

858
00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:58,120
Speaker 2: leave you out of position and they get those easy

859
00:40:58,160 --> 00:41:00,719
Speaker 2: put back buckets. Saint Mary's is done a great job

860
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:03,280
Speaker 2: of tightening up on that. And then finally, the Gails

861
00:41:03,640 --> 00:41:06,359
Speaker 2: do not at all turn the ball over, which makes

862
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:08,719
Speaker 2: it even more difficult to get your running game going.

863
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:10,640
Speaker 2: So when I look at that and the fact that

864
00:41:10,680 --> 00:41:12,920
Speaker 2: Gonzaga has already played three really close games on the

865
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:16,440
Speaker 2: road this year against San Francisco, Santa Clara at Byu.

866
00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:18,839
Speaker 2: I think this is just going to turn into a

867
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:22,120
Speaker 2: grinded out game that's played in the seventies as opposed

868
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 2: to being played in the eighties or nineties. And obviously

869
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:26,560
Speaker 2: the number is going to go a long way in

870
00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:29,000
Speaker 2: determining how passionate I feel about this one. But I

871
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 2: think Saint Mary's is going to be able to impose

872
00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:33,480
Speaker 2: their preferred tempo at home.

873
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, really really interesting game. I'm curious see where that

874
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:40,000
Speaker 1: number opens up. I think Saint Mary's is clearly the

875
00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:43,120
Speaker 1: best team in that conference right now. Kenzak has major

876
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:46,279
Speaker 1: issues on defense. They're liking the second percentile Nationssally in

877
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 1: post defense, which is crazy, but it shows you how

878
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:54,759
Speaker 1: much they miss chev Holmgren in the center. And then, yeah,

879
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,080
Speaker 1: they're still trying to iron out a point right now.

880
00:41:57,080 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 1: They still run beautiful offense. It's still one of the

881
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:02,080
Speaker 1: best offenses in the country, but they have major holes

882
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 1: on defense, and I think Saint Mary's can exploit them

883
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:07,920
Speaker 1: with their I mean, one of the heaviest pick and

884
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 1: roll teams in the country. They run it to perfection.

885
00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:13,160
Speaker 1: But Saint Mary's is a team, Like you mentioned that

886
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:16,000
Speaker 1: this will be a grinder and Zaga's gonna get their

887
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,360
Speaker 1: but it's not a team that I would love like

888
00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:21,680
Speaker 1: laying like four or five with in the in the spot.

889
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 1: So maybe we get like a cheaper price and there's

890
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:28,440
Speaker 1: some early the market opens too low on Saint Mary's.

891
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,920
Speaker 1: But yeah, this is the It's weird. It's like the

892
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 1: first time we've ever gone into a Saint Mary's Gonzaga

893
00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 1: game where it's like Saint Mary's is better, like everyone,

894
00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:38,560
Speaker 1: A lot of people agree with that. So we'll see

895
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:41,600
Speaker 1: if Saint Mary's can handle the kind of role reversal

896
00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:44,880
Speaker 1: and pressure of that. But yeah, I agree, it's probably

897
00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:47,600
Speaker 1: more of a grinder, which suits them well. But then

898
00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:50,799
Speaker 1: it makes me a little uncomfortable laying. You know, if

899
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:53,600
Speaker 1: this opens at a Sharper four and a half or so, PJ,

900
00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:55,080
Speaker 1: do you want to add something? And then where you going?

901
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 4: Well, yeah, I was gonna say, Ken Pomp has this

902
00:42:57,760 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 4: game at one hundred and thirty nine MIC with a

903
00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 4: Saint Mary's by five.

904
00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:04,120
Speaker 3: So you mentioned the Guanzai.

905
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:05,480
Speaker 4: I know, which is which seems very low for a

906
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:08,360
Speaker 4: Gonzaga game. But yeah, yeah, I was looking up this

907
00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:11,880
Speaker 4: game Miller today. Gonzaga's defense is so so bad. I

908
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:14,720
Speaker 4: mean they're outside the top three hundred points for possessions

909
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:17,759
Speaker 4: out in the half court. This is a mark few team. Like, yeah,

910
00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:20,000
Speaker 4: they they are really really bad. So, like you mentioned,

911
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:21,960
Speaker 4: like I would love to play Saint Mary's here, but

912
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,640
Speaker 4: like you mentioned stuck, I don't. I don't really want

913
00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:27,279
Speaker 4: to lay five against Gonzaga with how good their offense is.

914
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:29,319
Speaker 4: So it's gonna be very very That's a very very

915
00:43:29,360 --> 00:43:30,360
Speaker 4: interesting game to watch.

916
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, basically, if I had to pop in play to

917
00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:36,319
Speaker 2: sub out an underka Is at one thirty nine, it's

918
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,160
Speaker 2: a pass for me, you know, if it can bubble up.

919
00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:41,040
Speaker 2: It's even like one forty three.

920
00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:42,239
Speaker 3: In a may inflakes, it's Gonzaga.

921
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:45,359
Speaker 4: But right now Ken pom as one hundred and thirty nine.

922
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 2: The sub in game I would have is Villanova Creton

923
00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 2: and uh it's something you know. Living just west of Philadelphia,

924
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:55,480
Speaker 2: this is discussed a lot amongst Villanova fans. They beat

925
00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:57,360
Speaker 2: the brains out of the Blue Jays at the Pavilion

926
00:43:57,600 --> 00:43:59,640
Speaker 2: and they are terrified to go to Omaha. When you

927
00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:02,080
Speaker 2: look at the series the last few years, Creighton goes

928
00:44:02,080 --> 00:44:05,200
Speaker 2: to the mainline last January loses by thirty four. Year

929
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 2: before that, Nova goes out to Omaha, loses by twenty.

930
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 2: Year before that at the Pavilion, Nova by twelve. Before that,

931
00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:14,560
Speaker 2: Omaha Creighton by sixteen. So I'm gonna stick with that,

932
00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:18,160
Speaker 2: and it's not just a pure trend play. I'm also

933
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,160
Speaker 2: very high on Creighton at this point. I think they

934
00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 2: have it figured out, they're healthy. I think it's a

935
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 2: double digit runaway game for them. I'd lie probably up

936
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:27,600
Speaker 2: to like thirteen in this game. I think the fact

937
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 2: that Nova fell apart against Marquette, that's not necessarily a

938
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:35,200
Speaker 2: break your will moment game for them this season, but

939
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:37,840
Speaker 2: in their first year without Jay Wright, there's not that

940
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:40,640
Speaker 2: steadying influence where it's like, we're just gonna keep ham

941
00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:43,040
Speaker 2: run away and we'll get better as the season goes on.

942
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:46,480
Speaker 2: And at this point, I just think that Creton is

943
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:50,479
Speaker 2: by far the better team, and in this series they've

944
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:53,560
Speaker 2: been really aggressive against Nova. It's been one of the

945
00:44:53,600 --> 00:44:55,839
Speaker 2: big games they've had circled on their schedule. So I'm

946
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:57,160
Speaker 2: gonna go ahead with Creighton. Layan.

947
00:44:57,360 --> 00:44:59,919
Speaker 1: Like I said, up to thirteen, I was thinking about

948
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,239
Speaker 1: over here because I think that they're undervaled in the

949
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:04,799
Speaker 1: market right now with Justin Moore back, but I think

950
00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 1: is really important, especially defensively. It's also like a facilitator

951
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,160
Speaker 1: helps with Moore and he can get his own shot.

952
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,640
Speaker 1: So I think that they've been missing him immensely and

953
00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:17,640
Speaker 1: the market has agreed. I mean villain Neves taking money

954
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:20,000
Speaker 1: both times. I think they've I think that their line

955
00:45:20,000 --> 00:45:22,280
Speaker 1: has moved like two or three points from the open

956
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:24,719
Speaker 1: with more back, and he's only going to get better.

957
00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:27,480
Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm worried about like with Neptune, the just

958
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:29,520
Speaker 1: the state of mind. Like with Jay Wright, I would

959
00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 1: have I would be like, they're going to be right

960
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 1: back here, but they've It's just not the same team

961
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:36,360
Speaker 1: and that that was that could be just a loss

962
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,799
Speaker 1: that lingers because you pretty much needed that game to

963
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:43,239
Speaker 1: have any shot on that large So now it's kind

964
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 1: of just like this game is not as meaningful and

965
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:48,840
Speaker 1: it's probably like, all right, who cares. We got to

966
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:51,160
Speaker 1: get to the biggiest tournament and hopefully win that for

967
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:53,920
Speaker 1: your season. So it could have lingering effects here on

968
00:45:53,920 --> 00:45:56,720
Speaker 1: the second straight road game in a tough place to play, BJ,

969
00:45:56,760 --> 00:45:57,400
Speaker 1: where do you want to go?

970
00:45:57,680 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 4: I'm going to go Kansas against Iowa State it's can

971
00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:03,560
Speaker 4: pum has Iowa State minus one.

972
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:05,120
Speaker 1: You're fading Iowa State.

973
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I know, right, wow, Yeah, in the most overrated

974
00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,839
Speaker 4: home court advantage in college basketball. What this game comes

975
00:46:12,840 --> 00:46:14,520
Speaker 4: down to, and I think you saw it against Texas

976
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:17,480
Speaker 4: Tech on Monday, is that Iowa State's offense just goes

977
00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:21,360
Speaker 4: through these stretches and just becomes very, very underwhelming. I mean,

978
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:24,480
Speaker 4: for the season, they're at point nine to five points

979
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:26,400
Speaker 4: per possession in the half court. That's two hundred and

980
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:28,960
Speaker 4: ninety seventh in the country. They're three hundred and thirteenth

981
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,040
Speaker 4: in field goal percentage from mid range jumpers, which they

982
00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:34,640
Speaker 4: fall into quite often. They're outside the top two fifteen

983
00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:36,120
Speaker 4: shot selection spacing.

984
00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:37,320
Speaker 3: This is just not a good offense.

985
00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:40,080
Speaker 4: Now, they did take Kansas to the brink the last

986
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:43,080
Speaker 4: time in Allen Field House, but Kansas did shoot twenty

987
00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 4: eight percent from behind the arc in that meeting, and

988
00:46:45,520 --> 00:46:47,640
Speaker 4: they're starting to heat up again. They shout over forty

989
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:50,480
Speaker 4: percent from behind the ark against Kansas State. So what

990
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:54,680
Speaker 4: happens when Iowa State can't hold Kansas under thirty five

991
00:46:54,680 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 4: percent from behind the arc. And here's the thing, is

992
00:46:57,760 --> 00:47:00,560
Speaker 4: that Iowa State, if you look at their metrics, you'll see,

993
00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 4: oh my gosh, they're shooting over thirty eight percent behind

994
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:04,799
Speaker 4: the art. That's really really good. Well, they don't take

995
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 4: a high frequency of three point shots. It's a lot

996
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:10,720
Speaker 4: of triple drive. It's actually a lot of low quality chances.

997
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:13,280
Speaker 4: So I think this is a good spot for Kansas,

998
00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:15,959
Speaker 4: who has historically owned Iowa State. They won seven straight

999
00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:19,960
Speaker 4: against them, three straight in Hilton Coliseum. So I like

1000
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:21,680
Speaker 4: Kansas at a pick and I think you'll see a

1001
00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:23,319
Speaker 4: lot of people on Iowa State who are coming off

1002
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:27,040
Speaker 4: two straight losses. Obviously blowing the huge lead against Texas Tech.

1003
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:29,960
Speaker 4: But again, like you mentioned on Tuesday, stuck like if

1004
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,600
Speaker 4: you apply any little bit of pressure to Iowa State,

1005
00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 4: they just crumble. So Kansas, who does turn over opponents

1006
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:38,839
Speaker 4: at a decent rate. I like the Jayhawks on the road.

1007
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:41,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, Kansas getting a little more from the color of

1008
00:47:41,680 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 1: light in their bench, which I think they need, and

1009
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 1: that's going to be one of their critical things to

1010
00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:50,799
Speaker 1: watch for the Jayhawks moving forward. Not shocked that you

1011
00:47:50,920 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 1: are fading Iowa State, but yeah, I think that they

1012
00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:56,040
Speaker 1: are shooting a little bit over their heads too. But

1013
00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:58,600
Speaker 1: they're not a three point line team. Again, if they

1014
00:47:58,640 --> 00:48:02,239
Speaker 1: struggle from the line, go with turnovers, and I think

1015
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:08,080
Speaker 1: that's gonna ultimately be their demise come March. I'm gonna

1016
00:48:08,120 --> 00:48:10,719
Speaker 1: go where. I'm gonna get your thoughts on this game,

1017
00:48:10,719 --> 00:48:12,080
Speaker 1: and then you guys can add I'm gonna go with.

1018
00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:15,000
Speaker 1: North Carolina is who I'm gonna look for. This is

1019
00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:18,719
Speaker 1: a fascinating game against Duke in that last year, this

1020
00:48:18,840 --> 00:48:23,360
Speaker 1: North Carolina team who basically swapped out Brady Mannick for

1021
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:29,759
Speaker 1: Pete Nantz. They went on the road to Cameron and

1022
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 1: Coach K's final game at Cameron and beat them, and

1023
00:48:33,400 --> 00:48:36,879
Speaker 1: then in Coach K's final game in the Final four,

1024
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:40,439
Speaker 1: they beat them again. And North Carolina struggled this year,

1025
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,759
Speaker 1: and I think that and last year they struggled kind

1026
00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:45,759
Speaker 1: of during the regular season as well. They also have

1027
00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:48,320
Speaker 1: depth problems this year. They're not getting anything from their bench.

1028
00:48:48,880 --> 00:48:51,200
Speaker 1: That's something to watch for them down the stretch, but

1029
00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:53,080
Speaker 1: it's not as important once you get to the tournament.

1030
00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 1: You played two games, you play more of half court,

1031
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:57,359
Speaker 1: and then you get like, you know, four or five

1032
00:48:57,440 --> 00:49:00,319
Speaker 1: days off, and so in a way, I think North

1033
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:03,439
Speaker 1: Carolina last year they went to the NCAA Double tournam

1034
00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:04,680
Speaker 1: but whether they were an eight or nine seeds. They

1035
00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:06,680
Speaker 1: didn't have a great regular season. In a way, I

1036
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 1: feel like they've been just coasting and you're seeing that

1037
00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:13,040
Speaker 1: on a night in, night out basis, you're not getting

1038
00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:16,399
Speaker 1: maximum effort. But this is a team with a ton

1039
00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 1: of experience on a big game experience and then big

1040
00:49:19,560 --> 00:49:22,319
Speaker 1: game players that are inconsistent but just show up in

1041
00:49:22,400 --> 00:49:25,080
Speaker 1: moments like this. They kind of thrive in an environment

1042
00:49:25,200 --> 00:49:27,720
Speaker 1: like this. So I think you're gonna get North Count's

1043
00:49:27,719 --> 00:49:30,200
Speaker 1: best effort because you could say our Duke revenge like

1044
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:32,279
Speaker 1: from last year they coach K. Coach K is not

1045
00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:35,040
Speaker 1: there anymore. There's a brand new team, So I mean, yeah,

1046
00:49:35,160 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 1: you could pump it up before the game and then

1047
00:49:38,160 --> 00:49:40,399
Speaker 1: you know the crowd's gonna be excited. You're gonna get

1048
00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:42,919
Speaker 1: some calls at Cameron as always. But I think North

1049
00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:45,720
Speaker 1: Carona lists with this and Duke's offense still has issues.

1050
00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:48,879
Speaker 1: They really really thrive on the offensive glass. But North

1051
00:49:48,920 --> 00:49:53,200
Speaker 1: Carolina really good defensive rebounding team. So yeah, I think

1052
00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:54,920
Speaker 1: that if what are we going to get three or

1053
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:57,879
Speaker 1: four here? Maybe with North count of struggling like they've

1054
00:49:57,880 --> 00:49:59,879
Speaker 1: lost a pit, I would love to get North count

1055
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:01,520
Speaker 1: as a dog. I think this goes right down to

1056
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,760
Speaker 1: the wire, and I trust the experience of North Carolina.

1057
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:06,399
Speaker 1: I think a game like this is going to kind

1058
00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:08,600
Speaker 1: of get their juice's phone and you're gonna see.

1059
00:50:08,920 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 2: Uh.

1060
00:50:09,200 --> 00:50:11,800
Speaker 1: You gotta remember back early in the season, it's a

1061
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:15,600
Speaker 1: team that went four overtimes with Alabama, you know, beat

1062
00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:18,600
Speaker 1: Ohio State on a neutral Michigan like and you know,

1063
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:21,040
Speaker 1: then they lose the pit twice. So this is the team.

1064
00:50:21,080 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 1: I just think that they kind of know how good

1065
00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:25,359
Speaker 1: they are, but I think they have more issues than that.

1066
00:50:25,400 --> 00:50:28,000
Speaker 1: But this is you're just gonna get. You're gonna get there,

1067
00:50:28,320 --> 00:50:30,320
Speaker 1: you know, they because they can't shoot. Dude, can't shoot,

1068
00:50:30,320 --> 00:50:33,160
Speaker 1: but you're gonna get them. I trust them more to

1069
00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:36,440
Speaker 1: shoot well with their experience here and handle the pressure

1070
00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:38,279
Speaker 1: of this game than I do Duke at home. As

1071
00:50:38,320 --> 00:50:40,359
Speaker 1: crazy as that sounds. So what are your my get

1072
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:41,800
Speaker 1: any thoughts on that game? And then where do you

1073
00:50:41,840 --> 00:50:42,200
Speaker 1: want to go?

1074
00:50:42,320 --> 00:50:45,279
Speaker 2: I say two things real quick. Maybe Pitt's okay, like

1075
00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:48,040
Speaker 2: it is actually pretty decent this year. I think at

1076
00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 2: this point we may have to start taking them seriously.

1077
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:52,600
Speaker 2: I had them plus eight and a half, so I

1078
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:55,799
Speaker 2: watched a lot of that game you know last night. Additionally,

1079
00:50:56,160 --> 00:50:58,360
Speaker 2: I agree with everything that you said. I'm going to

1080
00:50:58,400 --> 00:51:01,239
Speaker 2: add on two points. If Puff Johnson plays in this game,

1081
00:51:01,360 --> 00:51:04,000
Speaker 2: give me the tar Heels absolutely, because I think they

1082
00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:06,360
Speaker 2: can keep the Blue Devils off of the offensive glass.

1083
00:51:06,600 --> 00:51:09,520
Speaker 2: And number two at this point is their player in

1084
00:51:09,520 --> 00:51:13,000
Speaker 2: the ACC more integral to a team winning than Philipowski

1085
00:51:13,320 --> 00:51:15,040
Speaker 2: is to the Blue Devils. Like when you look at

1086
00:51:15,080 --> 00:51:17,719
Speaker 2: their last batch of losses nine points and a loss

1087
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,319
Speaker 2: to Wake for him fourteen points in their lost NC

1088
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:22,759
Speaker 2: State and he fouls out against Clemson on the road

1089
00:51:22,800 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 2: they lose. They gotta have him play and they got

1090
00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:27,960
Speaker 2: to have him be pretty special. So I think if

1091
00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:30,480
Speaker 2: Puff Johnson's back in there, they're throwing him. They're thrown

1092
00:51:30,560 --> 00:51:33,680
Speaker 2: Baycot at him. That experience, I think there's tons of

1093
00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:35,919
Speaker 2: value on North Carolina money line. I won't even mess

1094
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 2: around with the points.

1095
00:51:39,200 --> 00:51:41,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, I was actually looking at taking the over here

1096
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:45,239
Speaker 4: in this game. You know, what's what's interesting is that

1097
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,439
Speaker 4: Duke is actually playing at a much much slower pace

1098
00:51:47,440 --> 00:51:49,360
Speaker 4: and they typically have like they're two hundred and sixty

1099
00:51:49,440 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 4: fifth in justin tempo. But with that being said, I

1100
00:51:52,600 --> 00:51:56,440
Speaker 4: honestly think Duke. Duke's best path success success here is

1101
00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:57,840
Speaker 4: to turn this into a track meet and play a

1102
00:51:57,840 --> 00:51:59,759
Speaker 4: lot in transition. They're thirty fourth in the country and

1103
00:51:59,760 --> 00:52:02,399
Speaker 4: point for possession and transition. North Carolina is allowing one

1104
00:52:02,440 --> 00:52:04,440
Speaker 4: point three to eight points for possession in transition. That's

1105
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:07,640
Speaker 4: three hundred and forty ninth in the country. And obviously

1106
00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:10,200
Speaker 4: Duke has been playing much better with Jeremy roach back

1107
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:12,120
Speaker 4: in the lineup. If you take his on off splits

1108
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:14,560
Speaker 4: last four games with the lineup, Duke's at one point

1109
00:52:14,640 --> 00:52:17,640
Speaker 4: one six points per possession. Without him those three games

1110
00:52:17,800 --> 00:52:19,600
Speaker 4: in the ACC, they're at one point zero one, So

1111
00:52:19,640 --> 00:52:22,440
Speaker 4: he's obviously very important to them in North Carolina's biggest

1112
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:25,279
Speaker 4: achilles heel this season obviously has been their defense. Like

1113
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 4: they're they're pretty bad at defending at the rim, which

1114
00:52:27,760 --> 00:52:29,520
Speaker 4: is something Duke loves to they let they have a

1115
00:52:29,560 --> 00:52:31,360
Speaker 4: high percentage of their shots going to the rim.

1116
00:52:31,520 --> 00:52:33,000
Speaker 3: The flip side it, though, is bay.

1117
00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:34,960
Speaker 4: Kot should be able to have a really, really nice

1118
00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:37,640
Speaker 4: game here because Duke has been really really bad at

1119
00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:39,400
Speaker 4: defending in the post. Three hundred and thirty six the

1120
00:52:39,440 --> 00:52:42,440
Speaker 4: field goal percentage allowed from the post this season, so

1121
00:52:42,600 --> 00:52:45,080
Speaker 4: I think mathematically like Ken Palm has has set one

1122
00:52:45,160 --> 00:52:47,759
Speaker 4: hundred and forty two, And yes, because of Duke's lower pace,

1123
00:52:47,800 --> 00:52:49,160
Speaker 4: that's why I think you're getting a little bit of

1124
00:52:49,200 --> 00:52:51,760
Speaker 4: lower total. But given the fact that their best best

1125
00:52:51,800 --> 00:52:55,839
Speaker 4: path to success is to play up with North Carolina's pace,

1126
00:52:56,440 --> 00:52:58,640
Speaker 4: I think that can lead to an over. So I'll

1127
00:52:58,640 --> 00:53:00,560
Speaker 4: be looking to play an over of one hundred. I'm

1128
00:53:00,560 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 4: proably gonna play right when it comes out. Because this

1129
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:04,799
Speaker 4: is Duke North Carolina, It's one of the biggest games.

1130
00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:06,759
Speaker 4: Everybody obviously just loves to bet the over in this game,

1131
00:53:06,840 --> 00:53:08,920
Speaker 4: So I think if you grab it early, you can

1132
00:53:08,920 --> 00:53:10,239
Speaker 4: get a pretty decent number on the over.

1133
00:53:10,760 --> 00:53:12,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't, I don't. I don't know. That's I disagree.

1134
00:53:12,680 --> 00:53:15,720
Speaker 1: I think this North Carolina team wouldn't mind getting into

1135
00:53:16,200 --> 00:53:18,319
Speaker 1: a track meet. Do you have anything else to want

1136
00:53:18,360 --> 00:53:18,920
Speaker 1: to add?

1137
00:53:19,120 --> 00:53:21,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll do one more. Let's go.

1138
00:53:21,840 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 4: Let's go a little mid major. How about Delaware plus

1139
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:29,080
Speaker 4: five at home against Charleston. Charleston finally lost to Hofstra

1140
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:32,640
Speaker 4: thrilling eighty five eighty one game last weekend. Now we

1141
00:53:32,680 --> 00:53:33,880
Speaker 4: are recording this on Thursday.

1142
00:53:33,880 --> 00:53:35,560
Speaker 1: I didn't bet that. By the way, we talked about

1143
00:53:35,560 --> 00:53:41,040
Speaker 1: betting it and it totally slipped, Like, are you kidding me? Yeah, Zach, Mike,

1144
00:53:41,160 --> 00:53:42,839
Speaker 1: was that you and I were talking about that? Yeah,

1145
00:53:42,840 --> 00:53:44,400
Speaker 1: I didn't bet. I didn't bet that. I don't know

1146
00:53:44,400 --> 00:53:45,879
Speaker 1: how it slipped my car.

1147
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:48,400
Speaker 2: That was my upset call for the weekends. It was

1148
00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:51,640
Speaker 2: a phenomenal call and I closed in its fifteen.

1149
00:53:52,200 --> 00:53:52,439
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1150
00:53:52,480 --> 00:53:54,560
Speaker 4: Well, I actually like it again here because you're gonna

1151
00:53:54,600 --> 00:53:56,439
Speaker 4: catch Charleston on a back to back road trip. They're

1152
00:53:56,440 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 4: playing Drexel on Thursday. Now it is important in the

1153
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:01,000
Speaker 4: status of GYR Davis.

1154
00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:01,520
Speaker 3: Nel j Owens.

1155
00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:05,800
Speaker 4: For Delaware, they missed the last game, not really sure why,

1156
00:54:05,840 --> 00:54:09,440
Speaker 4: and they are playing mondmth on Thursday. So be on

1157
00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:10,799
Speaker 4: the lookout if those two guys are in the line

1158
00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:13,960
Speaker 4: up potentially there or for the Ken any news. I mean, obviously,

1159
00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:16,040
Speaker 4: with these small mid major teams, it's very very difficult

1160
00:54:16,080 --> 00:54:18,560
Speaker 4: if actually find injury information on them. So I have

1161
00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:20,440
Speaker 4: no idea what's going on. But if they both play,

1162
00:54:21,080 --> 00:54:23,319
Speaker 4: I like this spot once again. The last time these

1163
00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:25,759
Speaker 4: two teams met, Jamior Nelson Junior did not play. He's

1164
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:28,600
Speaker 4: one of the most probably Delaware's best player, obviously was

1165
00:54:28,600 --> 00:54:31,080
Speaker 4: a massive miss. Delaware went three for fifteen from behind

1166
00:54:31,120 --> 00:54:33,520
Speaker 4: the arc in that game. When they're around for the season,

1167
00:54:33,520 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 4: they're shooting around thirty four percent in conference play. In

1168
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,239
Speaker 4: that game, Charleston did have an off shooting night, like

1169
00:54:38,239 --> 00:54:40,480
Speaker 4: the only were five of twenty four from behind the arc,

1170
00:54:40,719 --> 00:54:42,520
Speaker 4: but they went to the free throw line thirty three

1171
00:54:42,560 --> 00:54:46,399
Speaker 4: times and grabbed seventeen offensive rebounds. So the question is

1172
00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:50,080
Speaker 4: what happens if they can't do that, especially at Delaware.

1173
00:54:50,160 --> 00:54:53,759
Speaker 4: So if Delaware is fully healthy, I like them catching

1174
00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:57,239
Speaker 4: Charleston on a back to back at home at plus five.

1175
00:54:57,600 --> 00:55:02,560
Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw Oklahoma State out there against home against TCU.

1176
00:55:02,840 --> 00:55:05,800
Speaker 1: I mentioned. So I played West Virginia, which lost against TCU,

1177
00:55:06,040 --> 00:55:08,719
Speaker 1: mentioned that earlier in this week, and it kind of

1178
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:12,160
Speaker 1: what I mean BJ I kind of was talking about

1179
00:55:12,200 --> 00:55:15,000
Speaker 1: why I didn't love the play but liked it, is

1180
00:55:15,040 --> 00:55:16,920
Speaker 1: that it wasn't the best spot I get tc with revenge,

1181
00:55:16,960 --> 00:55:20,239
Speaker 1: and it's the first game without Miles, and a lot

1182
00:55:20,239 --> 00:55:22,200
Speaker 1: of times when that happens, like your first game without

1183
00:55:22,200 --> 00:55:25,239
Speaker 1: your star player, everyone else steps up, which is what

1184
00:55:25,320 --> 00:55:29,560
Speaker 1: I think you saw. Also in that game, for whatever reason,

1185
00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:31,600
Speaker 1: West Virginia didn't play two other starters. The entire second

1186
00:55:31,640 --> 00:55:35,040
Speaker 1: half because they just had bad body language and I

1187
00:55:35,040 --> 00:55:37,960
Speaker 1: don't know what happened in that game. So now you

1188
00:55:37,960 --> 00:55:40,920
Speaker 1: don't have Miles, you could see the transition game was

1189
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:43,880
Speaker 1: just not there. It's not the same. And but what

1190
00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:46,040
Speaker 1: the where they did exploit West Virginia was just at

1191
00:55:46,040 --> 00:55:48,040
Speaker 1: the rim. There was like a million layups and dunks.

1192
00:55:48,160 --> 00:55:49,719
Speaker 1: You're not gonna do it against Oklahoma State, one of

1193
00:55:49,719 --> 00:55:53,160
Speaker 1: the best two point defenses in an elite defense at

1194
00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:56,320
Speaker 1: the rim in the country. TCU can't really shoot from deep.

1195
00:55:56,680 --> 00:56:00,440
Speaker 1: They're not gonna have the transition there. Oklahoma State playing

1196
00:56:00,560 --> 00:56:03,799
Speaker 1: better as of late. Moose came back. They're big at

1197
00:56:03,800 --> 00:56:06,879
Speaker 1: eighteen points or seven foot one guy Lampkin was still

1198
00:56:06,880 --> 00:56:12,000
Speaker 1: really limited. Can we get ocule? States probably be a

1199
00:56:12,040 --> 00:56:14,279
Speaker 1: small favorite here, but I think this is the second game.

1200
00:56:14,320 --> 00:56:16,160
Speaker 1: This is where you see the effect of no Miles

1201
00:56:16,480 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 1: and they're not gonna be able to get anything at

1202
00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:22,759
Speaker 1: the rim against Oklahoma State. It's gonna be ugly, as

1203
00:56:23,200 --> 00:56:25,120
Speaker 1: a lot of Oklahoma State games are. But I like

1204
00:56:25,160 --> 00:56:27,919
Speaker 1: what I've seen from the offensive late from Oklahoma State,

1205
00:56:27,960 --> 00:56:30,960
Speaker 1: and their defense is dominant and I think they're really

1206
00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:34,280
Speaker 1: starting to turn it on. I like Oklahoma State here

1207
00:56:34,840 --> 00:56:38,520
Speaker 1: at home against TCU, Mike, you got anything else you

1208
00:56:38,520 --> 00:56:40,000
Speaker 1: want to add the last one on.

1209
00:56:39,960 --> 00:56:42,880
Speaker 2: My board just to give some people some relief, a

1210
00:56:42,960 --> 00:56:47,960
Speaker 2: potential bailouts. I like UC Santa Barbara probably laying sixteen

1211
00:56:48,080 --> 00:56:51,160
Speaker 2: seventeen that go into the matted Doome to play cal

1212
00:56:51,200 --> 00:56:54,640
Speaker 2: State Northridge, just you know, a team that can absolutely

1213
00:56:54,719 --> 00:56:57,560
Speaker 2: get you out of your offensive rhythm and force you

1214
00:56:57,600 --> 00:57:01,680
Speaker 2: to score high forties, low fifties, and it's white flag

1215
00:57:01,719 --> 00:57:04,320
Speaker 2: time for the Mattadors. At this point in the season,

1216
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:07,120
Speaker 2: they're eleventh in the Big West four and eighteen overall,

1217
00:57:07,640 --> 00:57:10,840
Speaker 2: and you see, Santa Barbara, the scheduling gods at least

1218
00:57:11,080 --> 00:57:13,880
Speaker 2: have been nice to them that last week they had

1219
00:57:13,920 --> 00:57:16,000
Speaker 2: to go out to Hawaii, and this week they get,

1220
00:57:16,040 --> 00:57:18,680
Speaker 2: you know, a full day, a full week's rest before

1221
00:57:18,720 --> 00:57:20,880
Speaker 2: they end up with this game. So didn't end up

1222
00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:23,080
Speaker 2: throwing off of their their body clock or their chemistry

1223
00:57:23,120 --> 00:57:24,920
Speaker 2: or anything like that. This is a team that they

1224
00:57:25,160 --> 00:57:28,320
Speaker 2: won at home against cal State Northridge like twenty in

1225
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:30,640
Speaker 2: their last game. I think it'll be a similar affair.

1226
00:57:30,720 --> 00:57:33,840
Speaker 2: So anything south of let's call it seventeen and a half,

1227
00:57:33,880 --> 00:57:35,320
Speaker 2: I'll go ahead and play the gout shows.

1228
00:57:35,600 --> 00:57:38,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, they just guess they don't think they can't score.

1229
00:57:38,240 --> 00:57:40,960
Speaker 1: Their offense is absolutely dreadful, which goes to show you

1230
00:57:41,560 --> 00:57:45,960
Speaker 1: how bad the San Diego defenses. The Toreros, who like

1231
00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:48,479
Speaker 1: have a really good offense, have one of the worst

1232
00:57:48,480 --> 00:57:52,480
Speaker 1: defenses in the country, and everyone just goes bananas. You

1233
00:57:52,520 --> 00:57:56,320
Speaker 1: have eighty to Northridge anyway, story for another day. All right,

1234
00:57:56,360 --> 00:57:59,480
Speaker 1: good stuff as always, BJ and Mike, I hope you

1235
00:57:59,480 --> 00:58:02,640
Speaker 1: guys found some of the Futures Talk Friday Night and

1236
00:58:02,800 --> 00:58:07,680
Speaker 1: Saturday Discussion useful to help you find some winners with

1237
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:10,280
Speaker 1: some fun stories mixed in. Before we do get out

1238
00:58:10,280 --> 00:58:12,720
Speaker 1: of here, I do want to say we have selected

1239
00:58:12,760 --> 00:58:16,200
Speaker 1: four Apple podcast review winners for some very nice reviews.

1240
00:58:16,200 --> 00:58:19,120
Speaker 1: Always say we do reviews for those five star reviews.

1241
00:58:19,800 --> 00:58:24,200
Speaker 1: So let's see. We have reach out to email podcasts

1242
00:58:24,200 --> 00:58:27,720
Speaker 1: at actionework dot com. That's podcasts with an s at

1243
00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:31,040
Speaker 1: actionork dot com. The Clean Your Prize JT for three

1244
00:58:31,640 --> 00:58:36,560
Speaker 1: tell Us Star one, Marlin's Man TKK Marlin's Man. He

1245
00:58:36,840 --> 00:58:39,520
Speaker 1: listens to our podcast well and then going to play

1246
00:58:39,600 --> 00:58:43,240
Speaker 1: every day. Appreciate you as always leave review five star

1247
00:58:43,280 --> 00:58:46,880
Speaker 1: review say whatever you want. We'll do giveaways again in

1248
00:58:46,920 --> 00:58:49,880
Speaker 1: another week or two. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, Subscribe,

1249
00:58:49,920 --> 00:58:52,200
Speaker 1: Tell friendte on Enemy. Thanks to our audio and video

1250
00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:55,720
Speaker 1: teams in the back end, always way too underappreciated. Thanks

1251
00:58:55,720 --> 00:58:58,240
Speaker 1: again to Mike and BJ, and thanks to all of

1252
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:02,160
Speaker 1: you for listening. We will be Best Act on Monday

1253
00:59:02,880 --> 00:59:05,400
Speaker 1: with a recap of the weekend and a preview of

1254
00:59:05,680 --> 00:59:10,360
Speaker 1: Monday Night Hoops. And we will have the debut of

1255
00:59:10,440 --> 00:59:14,240
Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus live this Saturday with myself and

1256
00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:17,000
Speaker 1: the Three Man we previewing Saturday's cards. To make sure

1257
00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:18,800
Speaker 1: you check that out, I'll tweet out a link to

1258
00:59:19,040 --> 00:59:21,760
Speaker 1: that live show. Thanks again for tuning in, Good luck

1259
00:59:21,840 --> 00:59:24,320
Speaker 1: with all of your wagers this weekend, and we'll see

1260
00:59:24,320 --> 00:59:25,200
Speaker 1: you next week and cheers.

1261
00:59:36,680 --> 00:59:40,120
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1262
00:59:40,520 --> 00:59:43,360
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1263
00:59:43,640 --> 00:59:46,240
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1264
00:59:46,360 --> 00:59:47,160
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler