1 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:13,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Value Podcast Network. 2 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman. I am Chief Content Officer of 3 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 1: the Action Network. We are a sports media business that 4 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:23,760 Speaker 1: focuses entirely on serving the ever growing and interested sports 5 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 1: betting universe. Research Data Analysis picks all of it available 6 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 1: for free in the award winning Action Network app. One 7 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: of those experts that we feature in the app in 8 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 1: our analysis all throughout the Action Network universe. My bff, 9 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:50,920 Speaker 1: my compadre, and my companion professional better Simon Hunter. Welcome 10 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 1: to the show that we did not talk about New 11 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: Jersey crossing one billion dollars and bets last month. New 12 00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 1: Jersey crossed one billion Dialles embedding handle in the month 13 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:07,479 Speaker 1: of September, the first time any state has done that. 14 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: I'm assuming that is from you. Fantastic congratulations on being 15 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 1: so flush and having such a fat bank roll. It's 16 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:23,479 Speaker 1: a it is an astonishment number. You're right to bring 17 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:25,480 Speaker 1: it up. It's it's the first time that's ever happened. 18 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,279 Speaker 1: Nevada has never done it. Nevada is the mature market, 19 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,839 Speaker 1: been around for fifty years. New Jersey has been around 20 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: for three. Yeah, I'd like to say Vegas is the 21 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: amateur New Jersey. You know. It's if you want to 22 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:40,479 Speaker 1: be a real sports better, you gotta get to New Jersey. 23 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 1: And I got laughed out the room and I said 24 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:45,399 Speaker 1: that three years ago, now look at us man a 25 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: billion dollars on one month. That Las Vegas never could. 26 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: You know what's interesting? Years and years ago, We've often 27 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 1: talked about Scooch, Bob Scucci, who is a bookmaker for 28 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: Boyd Gaming and uh used to be the bookmaker for 29 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: the star Us Hotel, which is part of the board 30 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: game and property. I wrote my book The Odds Scooch, 31 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 1: about guys who bet in sports for a living in 32 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 1: Las Vegas. Scooch was a primary character in that he 33 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 1: was the co host of this podcast before Simon had 34 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:20,080 Speaker 1: him eliminated. And um uh, he once told me for 35 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: a story. I was in Las Vegas doing a story 36 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 1: for sixty on TV for ESPN, and I asked him 37 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:30,399 Speaker 1: what happens if sports betting is legalized? Is that good 38 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 1: for Vegas or bad for Vegas? And he said it's 39 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 1: great because there's gonna be more people betting, more people 40 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:41,920 Speaker 1: understanding it, and they're all gonna want to come to Vegas. 41 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: To do it even more because Vegas like Disneyland for betting, 42 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 1: and you kind of just said that, like, well, New 43 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: Jersey has clearly overtaken Vegas is sort of the sports 44 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:56,679 Speaker 1: betting capital of the world. Vegas is still the place 45 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 1: people want to go to like visit and do it 46 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 1: with friends. It's like it is, it is like the 47 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: Disneyland of betting. Yeah. New Jersey's all business. I think 48 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:08,839 Speaker 1: nine hundred million of our bets were online, Like that's 49 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 1: just there. That's very different than Vegas, And we don't 50 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: have some giant pool bar outside sports book were like 51 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 1: lacking and a lot of those things. We have like 52 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: these little corner office sports books in New Jersey. So 53 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: it's definitely different where you kind of have to go 54 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: to the books in Vegas to make these bets and 55 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 1: get money down New Jersey, a lot of these people 56 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: just do it from their couch and then never you go. 57 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: They've never even been inside of sports book. So it 58 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: is much different than it used to be. Uh well, 59 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 1: sports betting is now online in Connecticut. Uh there are 60 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 1: three books in which you can bet because Connecticut sucked 61 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 1: it up and couldn't actually do it the right way. 62 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 1: So there's only three books as opposed to the dozens 63 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 1: of books you can bet down in New Jersey. One 64 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: of those books, and who is our sponsor? And I 65 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: say this not because they are a sponsor, but I 66 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 1: signed up for all three books uh FanDuel I was 67 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: able to get verified as being a resident of the 68 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 1: state and being located in the state, UM, literally sixty seconds. 69 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 1: The other book uh took me about the full day 70 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 1: and a lot of tries. Another book UM forty eight 71 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 1: hours later, still not able to bet from the state 72 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 1: of Connecticut because their software cannot identify that I am 73 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:29,039 Speaker 1: in Connecticut. So I have now had to submit documentation 74 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 1: Connecticut and I got again. You just said you only 75 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: have three books in New Jersey. I think we're up 76 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:40,360 Speaker 1: to nineteen or eighteen books. It's pretty much. I would 77 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: say half of them are quick, like you just talked about. 78 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:44,599 Speaker 1: And I have a couple of books I'm still not processed, 79 00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: and it's probably been like a year since they were 80 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: opened in Jersey. So it is some some companies are 81 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:52,600 Speaker 1: just really slow with it, and other guys are. They 82 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:55,159 Speaker 1: want your money, they're quick, They'll they'll get you in fast. 83 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 1: It's pretty amazing, pretty amazing. All right, we got a 84 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: lot to get to. On Tuesday, we talked about the 85 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 1: entire slate. We narrowed down to six seven games that 86 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 1: we really like that we will then make our five best. 87 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:09,799 Speaker 1: On Sunday we got to talk about a Survivor pick um. 88 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 1: We have to get to our big balls better the week. 89 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: I will remind everybody of our scoot Roulette picks from 90 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:21,280 Speaker 1: the other day. But as always, your professional betting colleagues 91 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:25,719 Speaker 1: love to call you after the Tuesday podcast and say 92 00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: I agree with you on this take. I don't agree 93 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: with you on this take. You're crazy. Sometimes it gets 94 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 1: in your head and makes you rethink things and then 95 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:35,600 Speaker 1: you influences what we do. On Thursday, we're gonna start 96 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: with sharp calls. Hello, who's there? I'm talking Yeah, quick 97 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 1: quick calls this week. So Matt Mitchell Pipe posted it 98 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: four pm. I got multiple calls by five, which is 99 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 1: like two fifteen, two o'clock. It's Vegas time. So my one. 100 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 1: We have avid listeners who are listening as soon as 101 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:08,159 Speaker 1: the show is dropped. Again. These are people that do 102 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 1: nothing all day, so you shouldn't be that shocked. Like 103 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 1: a lot of my guys, I worked with their days 104 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 1: don't start until seven pm, So I'm not shocked at all. 105 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:19,039 Speaker 1: But yeah, first first thing he says it was, how 106 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 1: are you take in green Bay after last week? You 107 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,479 Speaker 1: gotta take Washington football team? You love this not but 108 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: at nine you love it at nine and a half. 109 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: And he just kept going on and on. I love 110 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:31,919 Speaker 1: I still love green Bay. Still think we're getting a 111 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 1: great number. Uh. I think professionals are goind of getting 112 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: trapped here where they're seeing a high number. They're just 113 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: like me and you know, we we think green Bay 114 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 1: is overrated. They're not as good as they've been this year. 115 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: Like they've they've played above where they should be. But 116 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: when you started diving in the numbers, it's like, you know, 117 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: they've actually been a little unlucky. They're one of the 118 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:52,559 Speaker 1: worst teams in the red zone um statistically this year 119 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: playing against a Washington football team. That man, there's no 120 00:06:57,000 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 1: doubt in it now. They're they're bad, like they're They're 121 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 1: line is not as good as we thought it was. Uh, 122 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 1: their secondary is legit awful. So you know, he was 123 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 1: giving me a hard time saying we should be off 124 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:11,920 Speaker 1: green Bay. Nothing's changed. I still love it, still love 125 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: it at seven and a half. It feels just like 126 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 1: last week with the Rams and the Giants. This these 127 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 1: these professional groups are coming in on this dog. They're 128 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: think they're getting a good number. They've been it all 129 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 1: the way down in the end, they might be just 130 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 1: giving us a better number. So I have no issues 131 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: taking Green Bay putting them in a teaser, and I 132 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 1: get their argument there. It's the same reason I kind 133 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 1: of like the Texas this week. It's a nice look 134 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 1: ahead spot. So the Cardinals and Green Bay played each 135 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 1: other on Thursday night, people are assuming they're gonna kind 136 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 1: of overlook both these teams are playing to get ready 137 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 1: for Thursday night. I just can't see that with green 138 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 1: Bay at home, and it's hard to see the Cardinals, 139 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: whore undefeated, just laying an egg. So it's it's both 140 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 1: these times where I hear why they're saying it's a 141 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 1: look ahead spot. I just can't get on board with 142 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 1: that with these two teams. You love this game so 143 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: much and you have made it. I mentioned screwtrow Lett 144 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 1: obviously scretrow Let. For those who new to the podcast, 145 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: I mentioned Bob SCOOCHI earlier Scooch and I when He 146 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: was the co host of the podcast before Simon had 147 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 1: him killed. Um. He we used to do this head 148 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 1: to head matchups Scoot roulette, I choose a game, he 149 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: each choose a game. Uh. So we brought it back 150 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: in honor of Scooch and this week Scoot Roulette, Simon 151 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: chose Green Bay. I chose the Eagles UM as underdogs 152 00:08:22,920 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 1: against the Raiders. This is the most interesting game on 153 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 1: the board right now because when I listened to Raybun 154 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 1: and Stuckey in the Action Network podcast this morning and 155 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 1: they were going through their Sunday six pack, Um, they 156 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:38,439 Speaker 1: loved Washington. Hey, the line was nine and a half. 157 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 1: You mentioned the line has and I moved down to 158 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: seven and a half. Uh, they had it. They had 159 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: it rated at seven. They made some really good points 160 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,080 Speaker 1: about the Washington football team and that while the d 161 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: line hasn't performed as well as it did last year, 162 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 1: it's still pretty good. It's it's the pass rush has 163 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 1: been strong, it just hasn't been getting to the quarterback. 164 00:08:57,640 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 1: It's the defensive backfield that is a mess. And that's 165 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: what causing the problems from the Washington football team. And 166 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: then you think about the Packers and two years ago, 167 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:10,079 Speaker 1: Raybon did amazing stories about Aaron Rodgers and how he 168 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 1: was uh continuing to perform worse and worse against against 169 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 1: the pass rush. Obviously rectified that last year, but this 170 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 1: year there are three quarterbacks worse against the rush right 171 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 1: now than Aaron Rodgers to a Gino Smith justin fields. 172 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 1: So we're talking about a team that does have a 173 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 1: look ahead spot that to me, still has some flukey wins, 174 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: like there were some plays in that Bears game that 175 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: it didn't need to go that way. It's making me 176 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 1: a little nervous about this. It puts me in a 177 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:46,720 Speaker 1: quandary because I'm starting to favor the Washington football team. 178 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:50,839 Speaker 1: It feels like a overrated, underrated spot. I got the 179 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 1: guys in Vegas calling you sharp calls. But you love 180 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: this so much, You've made it your Scoot Roulette pick. 181 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: How can I not back my bff and want this 182 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:02,960 Speaker 1: to be in our top five? Don't step into the trap. 183 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 1: It's just a trap. Uh. Antonio Gibson their number one 184 00:10:06,440 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 1: running back, he's hurt. Terry mclauren, their number one receiver, 185 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 1: he's hurt. Curtis Samuel, their number two receiver. He's hurt. 186 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 1: Heineke is not a good quarterback. So if it was 187 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 1: fits and all their guys were healthy, I told you 188 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 1: I'd love Washington this. This is a great position. You're 189 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 1: literally got a backup quarterback with no starters on offense, 190 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 1: So if you're down fourteen points to Green Bay, you're 191 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,839 Speaker 1: gonna be praying to even get in field goal arranged. 192 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:32,520 Speaker 1: With this Washington team, I just don't see how they 193 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 1: move the ball. So I just in a normal situation, yeah, 194 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:39,679 Speaker 1: I would be with them on Washington. I just feel 195 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 1: like they're they're overlooking the most obvious things that this 196 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: Washington team doesn't have any offensive weapons to stay in 197 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 1: this game. So again, I feel great about my greement position. 198 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 1: I still I'm happy now that it's down to seven 199 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:52,959 Speaker 1: and a half. Seven At seven and a half seven, 200 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,200 Speaker 1: if it starts to feel much better to me, I 201 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 1: wonder if professional better is other than you look at 202 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:00,199 Speaker 1: this at seven and have seven and say, oh, I'm 203 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 1: taking the Packers. Yeah. I mean they took it a ten. 204 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 1: They took it a nine and a half. Maybe they 205 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: will flip over, but they didn't last week. Like they 206 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 1: kept betting the Giants, they betted down a lot off 207 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: shore books that got down to seven by kickoff, So 208 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 1: we'll see what they'll do this week. But I feel 209 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 1: like they're stepping in another trap. Well, look, this was 210 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: one of This was a big one for us. Uh so, uh, 211 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:22,680 Speaker 1: we can check that one off the list. Another game 212 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 1: that we talked a lot about Chiefs and Titans, Chiefs 213 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:28,880 Speaker 1: on the road, visiting the Titans off a short week 214 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 1: at five and a half. Um, we didn't have a 215 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 1: strong opinion on this. This to us was a let's 216 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 1: just make sure we watch it kind of game. Has 217 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 1: anything changed for you? Yeah, we were. I mean, we're 218 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:45,400 Speaker 1: gonna wait and see if this keep getting bet up 219 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 1: because I'd be great if we could get this at six. 220 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:48,880 Speaker 1: And now it's going the other way kind of. Some 221 00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 1: books have it down to four and a half now, 222 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: so still the same thing. We like the Tennessee team 223 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,040 Speaker 1: that can run on the Chiefs team, but it's this 224 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 1: classic game. Whoever is the ball last feels like they're 225 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 1: gonna win, So you know, I'm gonna take the points. 226 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:04,439 Speaker 1: I'll take the money line on Tennessee just because that's 227 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:06,959 Speaker 1: where the value is. But this is the definition of 228 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: a coin flip game. Um, there's so many injuries in 229 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 1: this secondary to this Tennessee team. No one's gonna be 230 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:16,320 Speaker 1: able to stop Travis Kelsey this matchup. So if they 231 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 1: can ball control it with Derrick Henry, you know it's 232 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 1: gonna be second and three all game for this Tennessee offense. 233 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:24,319 Speaker 1: And Ryan Tannell can just make these short completions and 234 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:27,520 Speaker 1: step up, it's hard not to take Tennessee here. They 235 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 1: just everything slants towards them where they're the home team. 236 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,239 Speaker 1: They have the run game that can can be consistent. 237 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 1: We've seen it with my homes. He makes incredible plays. 238 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: He also messes up a decent amount. If you mess 239 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 1: up against this Tennessee team, they're gonna capitalize on it. 240 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 1: So I still love the number of four and a half. 241 00:12:44,640 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 1: It's hard to say it's one of my favorite five, 242 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 1: but just because of all the bye weeks, it might 243 00:12:49,120 --> 00:12:50,960 Speaker 1: end up being you on Sunday, we might end up 244 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 1: taking this one just because again, there's just so many 245 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,439 Speaker 1: ugly games this week. It's hard to just take big favorites. 246 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: So we'll see you don't care that Taylor Lawan is 247 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 1: doubt and Julio Jones is probably out not an ideal. 248 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:08,160 Speaker 1: But at the same time, the biggest concern for me 249 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 1: is just doesn't matter for Derrick Henry and it doesn't. 250 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 1: You take Taylor the one out and you replace him 251 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 1: with the other guy, and the run team, the run 252 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 1: game didn't change at all. It stayed the same. So 253 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 1: apparently is not that big of a deal. And we're 254 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 1: talking about a Kansas City Chiefs team that literally has 255 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 1: the worst run defense and football. So now that doesn't 256 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:30,480 Speaker 1: move the needle for me. Okay, all right, fair enough. 257 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:32,440 Speaker 1: I don't think I want to put it on our 258 00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 1: top five. It feels it feels risky. Um, all these 259 00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:43,319 Speaker 1: games are gonna feel risky. A you Yeah, Well, by 260 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:46,679 Speaker 1: the way, you make it sound like I'm some you know, 261 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 1: scared adult living in Connecticut. Do you know the risks 262 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: I've taken in my life? I do. You literally left 263 00:13:56,080 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 1: the hard city of Chicago to come out East. Hey, A, 264 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 1: I got married. There is no bigger risk for anybody 265 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 1: then making that commitment. You don't know how it's going 266 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:12,679 Speaker 1: to go. You don't know how how the relationship is 267 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 1: going to evolve. You don't know how the person you 268 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 1: married is going to evolve. You have kids. Getting married 269 00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 1: is playing in safe chat, then get then you have kids, 270 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 1: that that getting having kids as a risk. Then I 271 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 1: left ESPN go launch this fucking thing, like come on, 272 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 1: because I'm afraid, Like, because I'm anxious about a game, 273 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 1: please please. I did bet the Broncos plus three got 274 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 1: ahead of that because we had a little conversation about it. 275 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:44,080 Speaker 1: I know, right, um, all right. The other game that 276 00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: we talked about this was our Simon says bet, which 277 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 1: was the Bengals. You said, wait, you said, let it 278 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 1: was at six six and a half. I think it 279 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:54,520 Speaker 1: was a six and a half. You said, wait, it 280 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 1: actually got that down to six. Now it's back up 281 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 1: to six and a half. I think I still love 282 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 1: the bank goes here. Yeah, we still love. We still 283 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: think it's three points of too much value. Um. We 284 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 1: talked about, like, again, what would this line be if 285 00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 1: Cincinnati beat Green Bay? What would this line be if 286 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 1: very Beans had lost the game to the Lines or 287 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 1: lost to the Chiefs. It would just too many little 288 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 1: bounces are deciding this line right now, where like we 289 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 1: talked about, it feels like it's three points over valued. 290 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 1: And this is kind of the classic line from Las Vegas. 291 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 1: They're saying Okay, Bengals, we have you plus a thousand. 292 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 1: Win the North, prove it to us win this game. 293 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: If they win this game, that's gonna go from plus 294 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:35,240 Speaker 1: a thousand to what plus two hundred plus three hundred, Chad, 295 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 1: this is gonna drop way down because the Ravens, they're 296 00:15:38,160 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 1: they're driving the bus right now, they're leading this division. 297 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: It's hard to not take if you like that number. 298 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 1: If you like the Bengals like we do, you have 299 00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 1: to sprinkle some on them to win the North. Like 300 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 1: this is the classic. We take this number. We're taking 301 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:53,760 Speaker 1: the money line as well. You gotta put someone for 302 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 1: them to win the North. So nothing's changed here. Still 303 00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 1: like the number. I wish it was at seven, don't 304 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 1: mind it a six and a half. That's a key number, 305 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:03,000 Speaker 1: like we talked about. So this this feels like an 306 00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:05,440 Speaker 1: easy no brainer. This will be one of our five. Yeah, 307 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to, uh, as I sit here in Connecticut, 308 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:10,520 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to hit that six and a half. 309 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: Right now on the podcast, Chad Milman is making a bet. 310 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:19,080 Speaker 1: He's not scared. I'll tell you that right now live. 311 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: That's legally look at Chad Live Betting legally in Connecticut, 312 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. Um. A game that we didn't go deep into, 313 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: but the line has moved into it a different position. 314 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:42,120 Speaker 1: Jets Patriots. Now it's a seven point Jets underdog. Like 315 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 1: I talked about, it's disgusting, but I have to take 316 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 1: the Jets. But do I feel confident about it? Not 317 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 1: at all? Um gross gross, gross, gross game. But we 318 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 1: have New England with a bunch of injuries coming off 319 00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 1: a bad loss, playing a Jets team that's coming off 320 00:16:57,880 --> 00:17:01,560 Speaker 1: of by um, it's kind it feels like a little 321 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:03,720 Speaker 1: too easy. That's again it's making me scary because I 322 00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 1: really liked this number for the Jets. Uh. I don't know, Chad. 323 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,040 Speaker 1: I feel like I'm not gonna make you put it 324 00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:12,399 Speaker 1: in just because I'm like every time I make you 325 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:15,119 Speaker 1: put the Jets in, they lose. But it's a smart 326 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 1: number plus seven. So we'll see where it ends up 327 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:21,199 Speaker 1: in our our five picks. But if it's six and 328 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: a half, I probably wouldn't do it. But if it 329 00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 1: was seven, I would think about it. Um the Uh, 330 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:34,440 Speaker 1: the Patriots could end up being an interesting survivor pick, 331 00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:38,399 Speaker 1: which we are also going to get to today. We 332 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 1: gotta we gotta choose somebody. I was looking at you 333 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:42,440 Speaker 1: know what I want to hold that. I want to 334 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:44,879 Speaker 1: hold that thought. I want to hold that thought. Um 335 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:48,400 Speaker 1: the next game that we want to talk about, this 336 00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 1: one is so ugly, so ugly. Atlanta Falcons visiting the 337 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,560 Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins are two and a half point 338 00:17:58,600 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 1: dogs right now. We we love the Dolphins here, we 339 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,840 Speaker 1: just have to and we don't. How do we feel 340 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 1: though now with all this drama going on with two 341 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 1: and Watson like that that's a lot like he's getting 342 00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:14,879 Speaker 1: asked about it as preface conference? Does that change at 343 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:19,239 Speaker 1: all how you feel about this matchup? Should it? It 344 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 1: makes me a little nervous, like this could be the last, 345 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,920 Speaker 1: you know, not the last time you play them, because 346 00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:26,600 Speaker 1: no one knows who deals with Botson. I feel even 347 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 1: played this season, but it's never good when you're your management, 348 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: your team's kind of given up on you already looking 349 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:36,240 Speaker 1: the other way. And we like this matchup for the 350 00:18:36,280 --> 00:18:38,960 Speaker 1: simple effect that this was a great bounceback spot and 351 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 1: Atlanta's favorite, which I don't know why Atlanta Falcons every favorite. 352 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 1: Maybe we know why now, Maybe it's because this Miami 353 00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 1: team is that bad and they're kind of a dumpster fire, 354 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:51,080 Speaker 1: but nothing's changed. I still bet Miami Miami a couple 355 00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:53,720 Speaker 1: of teasers, so it is one of those. I'm gonna 356 00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:55,640 Speaker 1: be on it. But it gave me a little pause 357 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 1: with all the Watson stuff because that's just a distraction 358 00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 1: that a bad team like Miami might not be able 359 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,880 Speaker 1: to overcome. All right, all right. There were also stories 360 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 1: about has Florida's lost the team? Uh? Do players are 361 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 1: other players on the trading block? Um? You never know 362 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 1: what these things. It's it's hard to know, like how 363 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:18,920 Speaker 1: quickly it can go downhill? You know that. Last night 364 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:24,119 Speaker 1: their Twitter was a buzz because Jalen Johnson, the cornerback 365 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 1: for the Chicago Bears, was fine because he showed up 366 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:30,320 Speaker 1: to a meeting at eight sixteen instead of eight fifteen, 367 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:32,879 Speaker 1: and he got an official letter from Matt Nagy and 368 00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 1: he posted it on Twitter. Um, that's crazy to two 369 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:42,120 Speaker 1: one minute elite, one minute late, So look, just get 370 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 1: there a fifteen, Like it's not that hard. Like I 371 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:52,240 Speaker 1: don't I don't uh mind Matt Nagy having the rule, 372 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 1: you'd be there at a fifteen. Uh if I had 373 00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:58,719 Speaker 1: that rule and someone showed up at eight sixteen, am 374 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:02,439 Speaker 1: I going to find him? Probably not um, but the 375 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 1: rule is the rule. I don't mind him holding him 376 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 1: accountable and deciding that was when he was going to 377 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:08,800 Speaker 1: be a hardass. I don't know what the situation is 378 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 1: that went up to that. Has he been late three times? 379 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:15,159 Speaker 1: Has he gotten warnings where five people late? And like 380 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:19,840 Speaker 1: nag is just pissed. The fact that Jalen Johnson posted 381 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 1: it on social makes me think Matt Nigi has lost 382 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:28,240 Speaker 1: that team. You don't do that when you're afraid of 383 00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 1: the coach. You don't do that when you respect the coach. 384 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:34,639 Speaker 1: You don't do that when the locker room is uh 385 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,440 Speaker 1: full of bright light chemistry. You do that when you've 386 00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 1: lost the team. I wonder if that's the same case 387 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: in Miami right now. And like, there are some nice 388 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:45,199 Speaker 1: things to say about Matt Ryan. I don't want to 389 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:49,440 Speaker 1: bet this team, but so maybe it's a pass uh 390 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 1: because of all the other turmoil. I think, all things considered, 391 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 1: the Dolphins on the right side, Yeah, Matt Ryance played 392 00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,480 Speaker 1: well his last two starts, but some people were saying 393 00:20:58,480 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 1: that to us, and we went we didn't talk about 394 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,880 Speaker 1: good Atlantis played their last two games. They played well 395 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:05,119 Speaker 1: their last two games. Matt Ryan's throwing the ball I 396 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,160 Speaker 1: think for three yards and both starts, but he still 397 00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:12,119 Speaker 1: doesn't look right to me. Also, they did play against 398 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:15,439 Speaker 1: the Jets, right, They played the Jets in the Washington 399 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,160 Speaker 1: football team, which they lost to at home. You don't 400 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:21,679 Speaker 1: get to win super Bowls by by playing well against 401 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:23,720 Speaker 1: the worst teams. You did promise this would be in 402 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons podcast. By the way, I was lost. I 403 00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 1: was a lost man at that time. I don't know 404 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,280 Speaker 1: what the hell happened. I don't know what you were thinking. 405 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:36,360 Speaker 1: The Eagles, my scooter let pick. They are currently let 406 00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:41,040 Speaker 1: me just triple check here, three point underdogs, the line 407 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:44,520 Speaker 1: moving in their direction. We got a prose Joe's game here. 408 00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 1: Still love the Eagles here. That's probably a big ball 409 00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:55,200 Speaker 1: better week, buddy, big ball, better the week. More people 410 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,600 Speaker 1: on Twitter hated this pick. Of all of our picks 411 00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,119 Speaker 1: that they do not like betting the Eagles. They've like, 412 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 1: we got lucky last week, covering by half a point. 413 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 1: We played the numbers here, baby, yeah, the right side 414 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,199 Speaker 1: of the winning side. Thank you, Scooch. That was just 415 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 1: a smart number. It's same with this week at three 416 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:11,200 Speaker 1: or three and a half. This is a smart number 417 00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 1: with the Eagles. And we love what this Las Vegas 418 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 1: team did last week, such a leaddown spot. And now 419 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:19,760 Speaker 1: they're playing a team that's coming off extended rest because 420 00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,240 Speaker 1: they put on Thurs Nay in this Egos team, How 421 00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,400 Speaker 1: how do we not bet this again? If you if 422 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 1: you like Las Vegas, take them first half. This Egos 423 00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:30,119 Speaker 1: team has consistently started out slow this year. That maybe 424 00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,960 Speaker 1: that you're in. But for us, full game, I love 425 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:37,199 Speaker 1: the Eagles up plus three will also look like um, 426 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,600 Speaker 1: the we felt this way about the Raiders last week. 427 00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 1: Everyone hated it, right, we we sent that out on Twitter. 428 00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:48,399 Speaker 1: Everyone on Twitter hated that Raiders pick. To me, this 429 00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:50,920 Speaker 1: feels like a smash spot for the Eagles. And look 430 00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:56,639 Speaker 1: the the stats are indicating that it's a aggressively bet 431 00:22:56,640 --> 00:23:00,359 Speaker 1: game according to the Action Network and an app and 432 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 1: actually network dot Com And looking at the total bets, 433 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 1: I'm looking at the betting percentages. I'm looking at the 434 00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:08,600 Speaker 1: money percentages. The bets are coming in on the Raiders. 435 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the Eagles. That tells you 436 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,080 Speaker 1: the professionals like the Eagles. There's reverse line movement here 437 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,480 Speaker 1: like the bets are coming in on the Raiders, and 438 00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:17,440 Speaker 1: the line moved down from three and a half to 439 00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 1: three all signals. Bet the Eagles. Don't even think about it, 440 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 1: don't be sad, don't think about it as a risk. 441 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,000 Speaker 1: It's the Eagles. You're gonna bet them against the Raiders. 442 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,520 Speaker 1: It's the right spot. Yeah, and just play the numbers, 443 00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:34,399 Speaker 1: trying out to think about the teams, because if you do, 444 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,000 Speaker 1: you're gonna get burned a lot of times. Matt Mitchell. 445 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,439 Speaker 1: If you if the rates, if the Eagles lose, and 446 00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:41,679 Speaker 1: you clip this and you throw it back in my face, 447 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:46,040 Speaker 1: I'm going to be so mad, Chad. I would never 448 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,919 Speaker 1: do that to you as your producer, But what I 449 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:52,119 Speaker 1: would do is use this as an opportunity to have 450 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:56,560 Speaker 1: a conversation with you, using only totally out of context 451 00:23:56,920 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 1: clips I have of you on my computer. For example, Chad, 452 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,160 Speaker 1: do you think we should do something like that? I 453 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,680 Speaker 1: like that idea. I think that's a really good idea. Perfect. 454 00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 1: What is your philosophy for this podcast? Hit people in 455 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:18,240 Speaker 1: the fucking mouth, run it up their fucking throat. That's it, Okay, 456 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:23,760 Speaker 1: what do you think about me? Unconditionally dila Matt Mitchell perfect. 457 00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:29,240 Speaker 1: What do you think about Simon? Fucking loser? And finally, 458 00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:32,200 Speaker 1: what do you think about yourself? I don't even know 459 00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:34,280 Speaker 1: what to say about that? No, really, what do you 460 00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:39,040 Speaker 1: think about yourself? Chad is a delf? Okay, perfect, Let's 461 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:42,439 Speaker 1: get back to the show. A couple more games on 462 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:45,080 Speaker 1: our list here, Simon one that I think is a 463 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:49,800 Speaker 1: little bit controversial. We liked the Cults, uh plus three 464 00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 1: and a half against the Niners. That line is now 465 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,720 Speaker 1: four and a half. Money This is another one. Money 466 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 1: is on the Colts, bets are on the Niners. Is 467 00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:04,879 Speaker 1: it the Jimmy G effect? Is Jimmy G is like 468 00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:06,919 Speaker 1: there are rumors that he's gonna be one back plane, 469 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,600 Speaker 1: He's going to be back. There's defensive backs coming back 470 00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:15,960 Speaker 1: for um the Niners. To me, there's always the Kyle 471 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 1: Shanahan factor when he's had a little bit more time 472 00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,159 Speaker 1: to prepare. I think there's a little bit of shine 473 00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:24,320 Speaker 1: on the Colts because they've played well the past couple 474 00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,159 Speaker 1: of weeks, and Carson Wentz is looked better, but Paris 475 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:31,400 Speaker 1: Campbell out t Y Hilton questionable. He's down the receivers 476 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,200 Speaker 1: that made him look better the past couple of weeks, 477 00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:38,760 Speaker 1: it's still not a very good rush defense against a 478 00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:40,080 Speaker 1: team that is going to find a way to run 479 00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 1: the ball. And then Chris Rayba from the Action Network 480 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:46,919 Speaker 1: podcast have these two system stats, which I know you're 481 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 1: gonna love. Are you ready? Since two thousand three, after 482 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:56,160 Speaker 1: week six, teams that have covered less than thirty percent 483 00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,040 Speaker 1: of the time, which is the Niners versus teams that 484 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 1: are better than five hundred against the spread, which is 485 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:06,520 Speaker 1: the Cult win at a seventy clip. And it's not 486 00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:08,879 Speaker 1: even like a small sample size. This is based on 487 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:12,640 Speaker 1: more than a hundred and fifty games since two thousand three. 488 00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:17,159 Speaker 1: Number one, Number two non West Coast teams that go 489 00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:20,879 Speaker 1: west for a primetime game. The West Coast team is 490 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 1: and six and two thousand three. That's against the spread 491 00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:29,840 Speaker 1: to historical precedents that give me fear. Yeah, it's Gary trends. 492 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,359 Speaker 1: And we thought this line didn't look right. It feels 493 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 1: like a trap because I just think this line was 494 00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 1: so high, So damn it, Chris. Maybe maybe we don't, 495 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:41,000 Speaker 1: maybe this isn't one of our best five, but I 496 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 1: don't know. I just love this number. It's like this 497 00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,080 Speaker 1: kid Jonathan Taylor, like as much as I love Carson. 498 00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 1: It's also because the Jonathan Taylor. This kid is playing 499 00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,200 Speaker 1: out of his mind for this Colds team. Like every 500 00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:54,439 Speaker 1: game he's racking up a hundred fifty yards receiving or running, 501 00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:58,040 Speaker 1: and I just don't see the Forts having that X 502 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 1: weapon that can really counter that. So, you know I 503 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 1: talked to earlier the week. I still like the over. Um, 504 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,719 Speaker 1: I'll still be on the Colts. But that's that is scary, 505 00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:10,640 Speaker 1: that's not that's those aren't the trends you want to hear. Um. 506 00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,160 Speaker 1: So maybe this won't be our best five, but I'm 507 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,160 Speaker 1: still gonna be on the Colts. Those aren't the trends 508 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,439 Speaker 1: you want to hear when you're thinking about like a 509 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,800 Speaker 1: team that's quarterback by Carson Wentz who to me, it's 510 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:23,439 Speaker 1: like Matt Ryan. You know he he was he was 511 00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:26,320 Speaker 1: great against the Colts and then I mean against the Ravens, 512 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,720 Speaker 1: but then kind of lost it and then he blew 513 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,360 Speaker 1: up against the bad team the next week. Um with 514 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: with most of his players back, and now he's not 515 00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 1: going to have those guys. I agree about Jonathan Taylor. 516 00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:41,199 Speaker 1: He's turning into a top five running back. He'll be 517 00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,560 Speaker 1: the guy next year. That is like I gotta get 518 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:48,560 Speaker 1: him in Fantasy Yeah, and I'll draft the number one 519 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:50,000 Speaker 1: overall and he'll be out for the rest of the year, 520 00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:53,199 Speaker 1: just like McCaffrey. That's that's no, there's no doubt about it. 521 00:27:57,480 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 1: And now a word from our friends at Vanduel Sports 522 00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:01,919 Speaker 1: Book want you to get the most out of every 523 00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 1: NFL game day. That's why they're giving everyone a ten 524 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:08,199 Speaker 1: dollar risk free bet every week. All you have to 525 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:10,160 Speaker 1: do is bet the same game parlay bet with three 526 00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 1: legs or more, and if your bet doesn't win, fandul 527 00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,680 Speaker 1: will pay you back up to ten dollars. 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In Michigan called the Tennessee Redline one 554 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,720 Speaker 1: eight hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine, or 555 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:51,880 Speaker 1: visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. 556 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:55,560 Speaker 1: Let's get back to the show. So the last game, 557 00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:58,200 Speaker 1: we want to talk about Saints and the Seahawks. I 558 00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:00,960 Speaker 1: think we still love the Saints. Here. Saints are four 559 00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. Still still like the Saints. 560 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: I like their run defense against this Seattle team that 561 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:09,320 Speaker 1: looks like they need to run it just to get 562 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,520 Speaker 1: Gino going, Like they need to run it to have 563 00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 1: teams have their linebackers suck up so you can just 564 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:17,680 Speaker 1: do play action pass. Saints defense is still really good. 565 00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 1: They give up one of the lowest yards on the ground, 566 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:23,080 Speaker 1: lowest yards through the air only where he is. The 567 00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 1: Saints offense, which has not been good at all this year, 568 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,040 Speaker 1: then whole byo, we get it right now. They're playing 569 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,200 Speaker 1: against arguably one of the worst defenses in football in 570 00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 1: the Seahawks. It's just all points towards taking this Saints team. 571 00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:36,640 Speaker 1: Because when I saw this line open, I was like, Okay, 572 00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 1: I could see it being three open, three and a 573 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 1: half go, I'll bet all way up to five and 574 00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:43,080 Speaker 1: a half. Now it's down to what four and half 575 00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:47,320 Speaker 1: a vandal so it feels like it's starting to get 576 00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 1: into where it should be. And if you like if 577 00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 1: you're like me and you like the Saints, you're getting 578 00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,280 Speaker 1: a good number here. So I still have no issue 579 00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:56,920 Speaker 1: taking the Saints team. It's scary because it is where 580 00:30:56,920 --> 00:30:59,120 Speaker 1: we are taking a Saints on the road with Winston, 581 00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,040 Speaker 1: which is always you're just one bad decision away from 582 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 1: pick six with Winston. But you have to trust Sean 583 00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,560 Speaker 1: Payton and this number and think, Okay, they'll have the 584 00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:09,560 Speaker 1: offensive right and they have a good enough defense to 585 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:11,840 Speaker 1: really slow down Gino Smith. This is a good number. 586 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:13,800 Speaker 1: We have a little bit of a spot here because 587 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,280 Speaker 1: we don't have that many games. I think we love 588 00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:18,520 Speaker 1: the Bangles at six and a half. I think we 589 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:22,760 Speaker 1: love the Eagles at three. What is the contest number 590 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:27,320 Speaker 1: on the Packers right now? See then we are still 591 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:30,160 Speaker 1: three and a half in here? Do it that? We 592 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,080 Speaker 1: have to do it, all right? Putting that one in. 593 00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:35,760 Speaker 1: Throw Bengals in, So Green Bay's nine minus nine and 594 00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,480 Speaker 1: a half, all right, screw that. Yeah, you're scared of though, 595 00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,680 Speaker 1: I get it. We're going with the Broncos at plus 596 00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:45,240 Speaker 1: three and a half that we'll definitely five, just just 597 00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 1: because all the bio weeks, it feels like we kind 598 00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:48,680 Speaker 1: of are pigeoned here. Like, we have to kind of 599 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,960 Speaker 1: take this one. We're going with the Bengals a plus 600 00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,400 Speaker 1: six and a half. We're going with the Eagles at 601 00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:55,560 Speaker 1: plus three, so that's three. So we got them three 602 00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:57,600 Speaker 1: and a half at three and a half. So we 603 00:31:57,600 --> 00:32:01,160 Speaker 1: gotta narrow this down Sunday. I'll put the Bears on here, 604 00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,880 Speaker 1: I'll put the Bucks on here at minus twelve. Let's 605 00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 1: keep the Let's keep the Packers on here, Let's keep 606 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:11,200 Speaker 1: the Saints on here. Let's keep let's keep the Titans 607 00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: plus four and a half, the Finns plus two and 608 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:18,480 Speaker 1: a half, the Bux minus twelve, Packers minus seven and 609 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 1: a half, Saints minus four and a half. We will 610 00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 1: choose to from those five. I love it. And again 611 00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:27,400 Speaker 1: we might be playing with fire here going back to 612 00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:31,080 Speaker 1: back Thursday games taking the Dogs. But that's too hard 613 00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:32,920 Speaker 1: to pass on that number three and a half. Now 614 00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,480 Speaker 1: it's down to one, Like, let's we'll step into it 615 00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:38,480 Speaker 1: if that's what it takes. Sometimes that happens. That's just 616 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 1: too good a number a pass on. I am not 617 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:45,600 Speaker 1: afraid of the flame, as as Emma love Well tells 618 00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:49,480 Speaker 1: me on the Peloton, don't be afraid of the fire, 619 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 1: all right, so you want to go through our Survivor picks, 620 00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,120 Speaker 1: I'll tell you the teams we've taken, which is a 621 00:32:55,160 --> 00:33:06,800 Speaker 1: great the Survivor Pool pick of the week. I really 622 00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:09,760 Speaker 1: am a survivor. I got rid of the Rams. We've 623 00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:12,640 Speaker 1: gotten rid of the Browns. We've gotten rid of the Panthers. 624 00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:15,520 Speaker 1: We've gotten rid of the Bengals. We've gotten rid of 625 00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:18,280 Speaker 1: the Vikings. We've gotten rid of the Colts, a bunch 626 00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:20,120 Speaker 1: of teams we would never want to do. I can't 627 00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:21,920 Speaker 1: believe we got rid of the Colts and the Vikings, like, 628 00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:26,400 Speaker 1: thank God? Yeah, right, so Travis read. I read the 629 00:33:26,400 --> 00:33:29,880 Speaker 1: Travis Read article atal dot Com. I actually made a 630 00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:33,240 Speaker 1: chart of his chart. He has a chart that says, okay, 631 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 1: right now, these are the teams, each team's percentage chance 632 00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 1: to win going forward. Because it helps you look ahead 633 00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:42,560 Speaker 1: and say, okay, if I'm thinking about when do I 634 00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:44,160 Speaker 1: want to use Arizona, when do I want to use 635 00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:46,640 Speaker 1: the Rams? When do I want to use Buffalo? I 636 00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:48,920 Speaker 1: can look ahead and say, oh, in week twelve, they 637 00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:52,320 Speaker 1: have a seventy chance to win their game. I've diagrammed 638 00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:54,680 Speaker 1: everything I've gone through and said, all right, these are 639 00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:56,360 Speaker 1: the two teams that have the best chance to win 640 00:33:56,480 --> 00:34:00,880 Speaker 1: each week. The problem is like this week fucking Arizona 641 00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:06,120 Speaker 1: and Buffalo. Yeah, so Arizona, Like I got their schedule 642 00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,719 Speaker 1: pulled up right now. They have Houston this week. If 643 00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:12,800 Speaker 1: we don't use them, they have at Detroit Destumber nineteen. 644 00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:16,279 Speaker 1: That's not bad to hold onto it. I mean again, 645 00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 1: it's on the road, it's a little scary, and it's 646 00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:23,440 Speaker 1: also by the way, it's it's it's also um Cliff 647 00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:27,760 Speaker 1: Kingsbury in the second half of the season. That's true. Actually, 648 00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:30,160 Speaker 1: our man man Mitchell is just waiting for us to 649 00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:33,960 Speaker 1: say that. I didn't even think of that. Uh yeah, 650 00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:35,960 Speaker 1: that's that's true. I mean, let me pull up New 651 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,120 Speaker 1: England real quick though, because this, this honestly might be. 652 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:42,439 Speaker 1: This is it probably for taking them. I mean they're bad. No, 653 00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:47,719 Speaker 1: New England is bad. Um. They they they're two and four, 654 00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:49,640 Speaker 1: so they definitely need this win. That's why I like 655 00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:53,560 Speaker 1: that you're saying to take this one, and this is it, 656 00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:57,719 Speaker 1: Like we either take them now or um on my 657 00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:03,840 Speaker 1: birthday January nine, they play at Miami, Like, do we 658 00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,919 Speaker 1: really want to take them at Miami in week seven? 659 00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 1: Week eighteen? I don't think so. Is it like, is 660 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 1: it gonna come? Are we gonna are we gonna have 661 00:35:14,120 --> 00:35:17,400 Speaker 1: six figures in play and put it on the Patriots 662 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:20,840 Speaker 1: in week team and they're playing in Miami, which historically, 663 00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:23,080 Speaker 1: even when Brady, they would blow games and they would 664 00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:25,160 Speaker 1: lose games down there. I mean, what was that two 665 00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,920 Speaker 1: years ago? They were seventeen point favorites and they went 666 00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 1: down to Miami and they lost on that flukey like 667 00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:34,399 Speaker 1: hell Mary drinking. So yeah, if if you're like us, 668 00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:36,840 Speaker 1: we're sitting here, we're either gonna take New England or 669 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:38,719 Speaker 1: the Cardinals just week just to get rid of them, 670 00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:42,640 Speaker 1: because this is by far their best matchups, both of them. Um, 671 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,960 Speaker 1: I feel honestly, I feel better taking the Cardinals just 672 00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 1: because it feels more safe, like we know will win. 673 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:53,239 Speaker 1: Where New England it's again it's Mac Jones, like the 674 00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,480 Speaker 1: kid is at rookie that makes stupid mistakes, so a 675 00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:58,000 Speaker 1: little scary. But if we if we want to get 676 00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:00,120 Speaker 1: rid of New England, this is a prime spot to do. 677 00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:04,719 Speaker 1: So I would rather take the Cardinals, all right, I'll 678 00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:08,200 Speaker 1: put them in now, though, putting them in because I 679 00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:09,919 Speaker 1: like to set it and forget it, so I don't 680 00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 1: have to like stress on Sunday about it. All right, 681 00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 1: we have done our survivor. We have narrowed down our field. 682 00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:20,640 Speaker 1: We have done our big balls better the week. We 683 00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,880 Speaker 1: have taken our sharp call. We have reminded people of 684 00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:28,680 Speaker 1: our Scooch roulette, the honorary Scooch Roulette. You like the Packers, 685 00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:34,840 Speaker 1: I like the Eagles. Um, we need to give people 686 00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:39,680 Speaker 1: some kind of money line around Robin Parlay. I mean 687 00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,879 Speaker 1: it's ugly, it is. I feel better though, just because 688 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,960 Speaker 1: last week every favorite was winning and went out right. Um, 689 00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 1: only two dogs one out right, I believe it was 690 00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:52,320 Speaker 1: or No. Three concluding Monday night. So or I guess 691 00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:55,799 Speaker 1: I'm for getting the Jaguars too. The Jaguars went out right, 692 00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:58,839 Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders went out right, the Cardinals went out right, 693 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 1: and then the Tennessee Titans. It So it's the same 694 00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,600 Speaker 1: thing this week, where you know I always go towards 695 00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:09,399 Speaker 1: the home dogs. So just first glance, like I did 696 00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:10,879 Speaker 1: a couple of these earlier in the week. I did 697 00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:12,960 Speaker 1: Tennessee with the Bengals and a couple of them like 698 00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:16,560 Speaker 1: I did two teamers. Um, now looking at it, I 699 00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:19,759 Speaker 1: still like those two. How do you not throw in 700 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:24,720 Speaker 1: Miami as a short home dog, and like I I'm 701 00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 1: scared now to do it, but I really like the 702 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:28,560 Speaker 1: Colts money line. But now everything is something about what 703 00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:30,920 Speaker 1: Chris said. It makes me a little nervous where it's 704 00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:33,799 Speaker 1: like maybe that's why this is, you know, plus one 705 00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,280 Speaker 1: seventy plus one eighty on the money line with the Colts, 706 00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:40,640 Speaker 1: it's they're sucking me in a little bit here. So um, 707 00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:43,520 Speaker 1: as we sit here today, I can only really give 708 00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:45,400 Speaker 1: you like three or four that I love. Like I 709 00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:48,480 Speaker 1: love Miami, I love the Giants, I love Tennessee, and 710 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,719 Speaker 1: I love the Bengals. Um I'd really have to think 711 00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:54,319 Speaker 1: about that fifth one, just because you know, I mean, 712 00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:57,080 Speaker 1: I love taking these big dogs. I don't see a 713 00:37:57,120 --> 00:37:58,880 Speaker 1: world where the Bears can win. I don't see a 714 00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:01,239 Speaker 1: world with the line and skin upset. I don't see 715 00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:04,560 Speaker 1: a world where the Houston Texans gonna upset. So it's 716 00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:06,479 Speaker 1: kind of a downer a week where these big dogs 717 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:10,560 Speaker 1: aren't really that alive. So go with four, Just do 718 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,359 Speaker 1: Four'll force the fifth win in there. I can't help it. 719 00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:16,839 Speaker 1: I loved I love that and underdogs. But yeah, if 720 00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:18,840 Speaker 1: I'm people are betting them right now, just go with 721 00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:23,520 Speaker 1: those four, so Tennessee, the Giants Miami, and then we're 722 00:38:23,520 --> 00:38:28,160 Speaker 1: gonna round it out with the Colts. Why don't have 723 00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:32,879 Speaker 1: the Giants? You mean the Eagles? Yeah, yeah, I don't 724 00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:34,560 Speaker 1: know why to keep on the Giants in there. I 725 00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:39,640 Speaker 1: hate the Giants. Yeah, it's terrible, like they're everything in 726 00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:43,360 Speaker 1: the world, shall tell you bet the other side we 727 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:45,920 Speaker 1: talked about, actually, I still love that over. There'll probably 728 00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,239 Speaker 1: be that might be my over. And convinced me the 729 00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:51,359 Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers and the Giants just because I I love 730 00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:53,800 Speaker 1: short field games and both quarterbacks love to turn the 731 00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,160 Speaker 1: ball over. That feels like a really good short field game. 732 00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:58,880 Speaker 1: So if you're looking at the Giants Carolina game, I 733 00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:00,640 Speaker 1: have no issue just taking the and stay away from 734 00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:03,080 Speaker 1: the sides. Convince me, of course. Is the show that 735 00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:05,719 Speaker 1: we do on at Action Network HQ Sunday mornings for 736 00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:09,920 Speaker 1: Living in Eastern Thanks for listening to The Favorites podcast. 737 00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:12,319 Speaker 1: I'm Chad Millman, He's Simon Hunter. You can download it 738 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:16,719 Speaker 1: from Apple, from Spotify wherever you get your podcasts. Rate us, 739 00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:22,160 Speaker 1: review us, like us, love us until Tuesday. Love you