1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,920 Speaker 1: On June first. I hope you'll consider upgrading to a 2 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: paid membership and joining me for a conversation with Claire 3 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:11,879 Speaker 1: Berlinsky of The Cosmopolitan Globalist. You can find out more 4 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: of the details at Steve Schmidt at substack dot com. 5 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: I hope you can join us. Conversation will be interesting, 6 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: to say the least one hundred and fifty nine days remain. 7 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: This is the warning. It is May thirtieth, twenty twenty four. 8 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,639 Speaker 1: I appeared on Script's News and we talked about some 9 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 1: of the red flags that are starting to fly high 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,240 Speaker 1: over the Biden headquarters. We need to talk about them 11 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 1: because there's still time to fix what is broken about 12 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: the Biden campaign. Not talking about it, putting your head 13 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 1: into sand about it will not help Joe Biden win. 14 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,280 Speaker 2: Since they started the Trump hush money trial, President Biden 15 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 2: has been noticeably quiet on that issue, instead choosing to 16 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 2: target to rhetoric and record in the Oval Office. But 17 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 2: as we await a verdict now in that case, Biden's 18 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 2: strategy could be shifting. 19 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: Have you noticed this? 20 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 2: Yesterday the Biden campaign sent the actor Robert de Niro 21 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 2: to speak out against Trump in New York City, right 22 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 2: outside the courtroom, and Biden's expected to make a statement 23 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 2: once a verdict is in. 24 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: The campaign is. 25 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:19,839 Speaker 2: Also planning to have officers who are attacked or injured 26 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 2: on January six campaigned for the president this year. All 27 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 2: of this comes as Biden continues to lag behind Trump 28 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 2: in multiple national and critically battleground polls. Is Team Biden 29 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 2: making the right moves at the right time. Let's discuss 30 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 2: with Scripts News political analyst Steve Schmidt. Tonight'ste was also 31 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 2: the founder of The Warning, a newsletter and podcast on substack. Steve, 32 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 2: good to see you. So the Biden campaign sent surrogates 33 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 2: to the Trump trial to speak against him. When you 34 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 2: have President Biden campaigning on you know, we have to 35 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 2: save democracy. We have to have a firewall between the 36 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: judiciary and you know, the executive, the president. But yet 37 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 2: his surrogates are out there making a political case. Does 38 00:01:58,560 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 2: that undermined that? 39 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: Well, what it speaks to is the incoherence of the campaign. 40 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 1: The visit by Robert de Niro there in the context 41 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: of the strategy such as that it's understood makes no sense. 42 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: The position of the Biden campaign was the independent judicial 43 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:20,920 Speaker 1: process playing out where Trump is on trial facing alleged 44 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,080 Speaker 1: on trial for alleged crimes, that he's not going to 45 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 1: politicize that, and so the Biden campaign holds true to 46 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: that until the last day of the trial. And it 47 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:37,800 Speaker 1: provokes a scene on the street that denotes chaos. And 48 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:41,399 Speaker 1: from a political perspective, I have no doubt whatsoever who 49 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:45,399 Speaker 1: that chaos benefits. It benefits the chaos candidate. The chaos 50 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: candidate is is Donald Trump. The split screen of this 51 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: is the president and the vice president are campaigning together 52 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:57,639 Speaker 1: in Philadelphia. There are two finite commodities and political campaigns, 53 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 1: time and money. And when you see the two of 54 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: them together campaigning to a core democratic constituency in an 55 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:10,920 Speaker 1: overwhelmingly democratic city, what that suggests is that the Biden 56 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 1: team is on defense and they are pinned back deep 57 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 1: in their own field territory, in their own they have 58 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: very very bad field position, is what that says. 59 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 2: Wow, Okay, Democrats not going to like that assessment. But 60 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:28,360 Speaker 2: you talk about strategy and execution here, and President Biden's 61 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 2: polling political reports that many Democrats are in full blown 62 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 2: freak out that's their word. We are freaking out. Yet 63 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 2: President Biden, you know, he takes some days off the trail, 64 00:03:38,240 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 2: and many candidates do. But a lot of people have said, 65 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 2: why are you not out there more? Do you think 66 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 2: this is going to push him that it's time to 67 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:45,160 Speaker 2: barnstorm more? 68 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 1: Well, we live in an era where everybody lives in 69 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 1: their own bubble, where everyone is fed whatever it appears 70 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:58,120 Speaker 1: on their screens through their algorithms. And the reality is 71 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 1: there is a converse station that is not happening on 72 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 1: most television shows that discuss politics, and that's the conversation 73 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 1: that takes place in the green room. The green room 74 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 1: conversation offscreen is one of abject panic by Democrats, by 75 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:22,520 Speaker 1: the party strategists, by members of Congress, by the senators, 76 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 1: because President Biden is losing the election. If it were tomorrow, 77 00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 1: Donald Trump would win. And there are one hundred and 78 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 1: sixty days left. And that's why I impart the stakes 79 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:40,799 Speaker 1: for this June debate are so fantastically high for President. 80 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:42,279 Speaker 2: Biden and not for Trump. 81 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 1: Well, Donald Trump's campaign, such as it is, is proven 82 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:51,719 Speaker 1: over and over again that he has immunized basically from 83 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 1: anything that he says. So the rules in the debate 84 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: are different for Donald Trump. Everybody should understand that, in particular, 85 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 1: the Biden campaign. At this stage, the stakes are very 86 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: high for President Biden because he has to be able 87 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 1: to walk out confront the man who incited the insurrection, 88 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 1: the unhinged man that he described to the crowd in Philadelphia, 89 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: and he needs to be able to proverbially lay him 90 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: out to make the case to the American people that 91 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:32,599 Speaker 1: he is as dangerous as Joe Biden claims. Now, there 92 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:35,359 Speaker 1: are one hundred different ways that this debate can go 93 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 1: south for President Biden and only a couple for Donald Trump. 94 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 1: It's hard to see that the debate is going to 95 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 1: be the night where Donald Trump says something finally that's 96 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 1: viewed as a bridge too far by the American people. 97 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 2: I see, Okay, you talked about the conversation in the 98 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 2: green Room, but you've also worked in the War Room, 99 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:00,359 Speaker 2: one of the best political documentaries of all time, you know, 100 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 2: in the nineties, the War Room, and you've kind of 101 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:04,600 Speaker 2: headed this stuff up as far as strategy right now 102 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:07,160 Speaker 2: in the Biden campaign, in recent weeks, we have seen 103 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:10,599 Speaker 2: most of his focus and outreach going to black voters, 104 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:13,360 Speaker 2: and you kind of enumerated why that's certainly an important 105 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 2: part of the base. But should he be casting a 106 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 2: wider net in his efforts. 107 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: Well, he will have to cast a wider net in 108 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: the end. He'll have to come up with the votes 109 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: in a few states that he won by say, forty 110 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 1: thousand votes last time, to maintain the presidency to be 111 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 1: re elected. The problem that the president is facing right 112 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: now is that his coalition has fallen apart. All of 113 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 1: that is academic if he cannot maintain the requisite level 114 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: of black support he needs to win the election. So 115 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:57,160 Speaker 1: he is facing a political disaster right now, and that 116 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:01,040 Speaker 1: is the attrition of black voters. Act at an incumbent 117 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:05,480 Speaker 1: Democratic president with the first black vice president in American 118 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 1: history are campaigning together in Philadelphia one hundred and sixty 119 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: days before the election is a sign of deep trouble 120 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:18,240 Speaker 1: in the campaign. What would we be saying if there 121 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 1: was a Republican presidential candidate or a Republican president campaigning 122 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 1: in Dallas, Texas speaking to gun owners. It would not 123 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: be a sign of strength one hundred and sixty days out. 124 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 1: So all of the things that you said are real 125 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 1: and are true, but they mean nothing if this structural 126 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: base of the Democratic coalition is cracked and falling apart 127 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 1: and anecdotally, the rally in the Bronx suggests the dimensions 128 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 1: of the problems democrats are facing, with a surging popularity 129 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:56,560 Speaker 1: amongst some components of the black community. 130 00:07:56,600 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 2: For Trump, I say a devastating assessment, Steve, but I 131 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 2: mean from a man who's actually run a presidential campaign. 132 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 2: It's helpful to understand the dynamics. Scripts News political analyst, 133 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 2: author of the warning, Steve Schmidt, good to see you. 134 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,640 Speaker 1: Good to see you. I'm Steve Schmidt. This is the warning, 135 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 1: and I invite you to join. Subscribe on our substack, 136 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 1: on our YouTube channel, follow us. Welcome to the community.