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Speaker 1: Hey guys. How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt

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Speaker 1: Parolt here on Bettingpros dot com. You can follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. You can follow Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros NFL. We are here

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Speaker 1: every single morning across every platform where you get your podcasts,

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Speaker 1: and now on YouTube as well if you want to

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Speaker 1: watch the podcast, and the whole thing's being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by BETMGM Okay, So a couple things here right

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Speaker 1: at the top of the podcast. First, I want to

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Speaker 1: remind you guys about the Shaquille O'Neil autographed jersey that's

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Speaker 1: going to be given away at the end of this month.

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Speaker 1: So we're basically in the middle of May. If you

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Speaker 1: have not gone to Apple and left a review, if

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Speaker 1: that's where you listen to this podcast is Apple, do

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Speaker 1: me a favor. We have about nine hundred and sixty

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Speaker 1: two review I want to get to one thousand by

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Speaker 1: the end of the month. Can you help me do that? So,

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Speaker 1: if you're not entered into this contest, it's an autographed

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Speaker 1: Shaquille O'Neal jersey. It's very very cool. I keep on

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Speaker 1: forgetting to bring it up. Maybe I'll have it up

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Speaker 1: for tomorrow and I'll show you guys to give you

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Speaker 1: more incentive on YouTube as to why you should go

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Speaker 1: and leave a review positive negative. You take that review,

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Speaker 1: you go to bettingpros dot com slash Juice, you fill

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Speaker 1: out the form, drop the picture in, and you were

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Speaker 1: entered into the contest. In every contest from here on out,

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Speaker 1: you will also be entered into with all the giveaways

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Speaker 1: we do. So it's a really cool giveaway. It's a

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Speaker 1: big one. Shaquil O'Neil autograph Jersey is awesome. You get

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Speaker 1: that thing framed you put up in your man cave.

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Speaker 1: It's just gonna look awesome. It's a talking piece. People

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Speaker 1: are gonna be like, oh my gosh, how did you

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Speaker 1: get that? Really really cool? I want it all right.

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Speaker 1: It's one of those things that like, when it's here,

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Speaker 1: I'm like, hey, I want that. So you should want

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Speaker 1: this too. Leave a review on Apple. Get us to

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Speaker 1: one thousand reviews before we get to June, because June

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Speaker 1: will be essentially the twelfth month of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: So we can get to one thousand reviews inside of

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Speaker 1: one calendar year. That would be very, very cool. I

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Speaker 1: can't believe almost July seventh will be our one year

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Speaker 1: anniversary for the Daily Juice podcast. My gosh, huh, how fun?

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Speaker 1: How much funds is going to be going forward? I

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Speaker 1: can't wait for football season? Man, so fun. All right,

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Speaker 1: So last night I'm a little bit concerned about the

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Speaker 1: place today because of what happened last night. Because last

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Speaker 1: night I faded the public. Both basketball bets were fading

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Speaker 1: the public. My prop bets were bad. It's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a little hard. Betting props in the playoffs is difficult.

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Speaker 1: But I should just go with real chalky plays. I

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Speaker 1: was gonna play Jason Tatum, but the number was thirty

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Speaker 1: two and a half for him for points. He scored fifty.

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Speaker 1: So I should have just said, fine, he's gonna go crazy.

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Speaker 1: Russell Westbrook triple double he went. I mean, just big numbers,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and assists, and have just listened to chalk and

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Speaker 1: gone it. But I got inside my head a little

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Speaker 1: bit and got two funky So zero to two in

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Speaker 1: the player prop category for the NBA. But we go

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Speaker 1: two and oh with our picks by taking the Pacers,

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Speaker 1: laying the two and a half with Indiana and then

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Speaker 1: taking the money line with the Celtics and really should

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Speaker 1: have just laid the two points with Boston because they

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Speaker 1: won the game by eighteen. This is what when we're

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Speaker 1: talking about fading the public. Look at Charles Olavera against

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Speaker 1: Michael Chandler, look at the Washington Wizards against the Boston Celtics.

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Speaker 1: When you start to see the vast majority of people

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Speaker 1: on Twitter, I mean, I'm talking about public touts everyone. Okay,

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Speaker 1: people who are making picks. If you see everyone on

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Speaker 1: one side, go the other way, Seriously, go the other way.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be profitable long term. The public does win.

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Speaker 1: But seventy five percent of the money was on Washington

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Speaker 1: last night. Why, I mean, why think about it. Boston

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Speaker 1: was at home. They had the best player on the court.

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Speaker 1: I went through it last night. I mean, listen to

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Speaker 1: the podcast last night. I laid it out pretty much

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Speaker 1: in crystal clear language as to why Boston was going

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Speaker 1: to win that game, and everything came in. They were

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Speaker 1: the better team. Bradley Beal was banged up, did not

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Speaker 1: look like the typical Bradley Beal. Jason TAM's the best

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Speaker 1: player on the court, better coach Scott Brooks getting out

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Speaker 1: coached by Brad Stevens. Home crowd, Boston better team top

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Speaker 1: to bottom. Okay, Boston wins going away in a laugh

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Speaker 1: for Tristan Thompson played really well. Kemba Walker was great. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: take it. Absolutely, will take that every single time. Then

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Speaker 1: with Indiana, I mean everyone was on the dog in

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Speaker 1: that game. Uh oh, everyone was out for Indiana, right,

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Speaker 1: and then the number didn't move. This is something as

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Speaker 1: you guys get into this podcast, you start watching, we

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Speaker 1: talk about these things. This is one of the fun

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Speaker 1: things that I love to share with you guys. It's

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Speaker 1: because it's the same conversations I'm having with people in

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Speaker 1: my circle, no sports betting people, because everyone I was

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Speaker 1: texting with yesterday kept on asking why are the Pacers

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Speaker 1: still favored? Harris LeVert goes out. You've got a bunch

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Speaker 1: of questions about guys who aren't playing, but Lavert their

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Speaker 1: leading score shooting guard, you know, main ball handler out.

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Speaker 1: It's like, what, huh, so he's out. Well, wouldn't it

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Speaker 1: make a lot of sense if you're losing all these

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Speaker 1: different players that Indiana should not have been the favorite

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Speaker 1: in that game, but they were favored in that game.

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Speaker 1: They close as a favorite in that game, and the

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Speaker 1: reason the books were telling you Indiana's the better team.

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Speaker 1: And then Doug McDermott scores fourteen points in the first

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Speaker 1: five minutes, becoming the first player in the NBA this

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Speaker 1: year to score fourteen points in the verse five minutes.

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Speaker 1: He was on fire, and the game was over. That

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Speaker 1: was it. Threes went down and Memphis had no answer

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Speaker 1: and they just kind of packed it in, and there's like, okay,

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Speaker 1: I mean, it was just a really unbelievable game. I

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Speaker 1: was really I mean, I was having flashbacks of Doug

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Speaker 1: McDermott at Arch Madness with the Creighton is just kind

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Speaker 1: of going off and doing crazy Charlotte. Excuse me, I

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Speaker 1: call the Memphis Charlotte. So I mean one forty four.

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Speaker 1: The Hornets give up one hundred and forty four points

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Speaker 1: on the road, and now they'll take on the Washington

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Speaker 1: Wizards coming up here in the elimination game for the

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Speaker 1: play in tournament coming up in two days, and look,

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Speaker 1: Washington should win. I think Washington's favored by three and

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Speaker 1: a half in that game. But I mean, that's just

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Speaker 1: a Charlotte team that everyone was like Oh, they're playing

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Speaker 1: so well, and look what happened to all the momentum

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Speaker 1: coming into that same narrative that you had with Washington.

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Speaker 1: Indiana wins going away, Boston wins going away. Okay, fading

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Speaker 1: the public is something I'm going to do a lot of.

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Speaker 1: And remember if everyone even ever on the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: I was arguing with a bunch of people in the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. I was saying, guys, I'm sorry you're calling

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Speaker 1: me a homer, but I'm telling you it is not.

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Speaker 1: Don't ride with Charlotte in Washington. Don't ride with the masses,

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Speaker 1: and you rode right off a cliff and the books

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Speaker 1: set the trap and everybody took it. So be very

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Speaker 1: careful when it comes to the dogs. Favorites go two

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Speaker 1: and oh they cover both games in Game one are

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Speaker 1: Day one of the NBA play In Tournament. Now, the

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Speaker 1: over did not hit for Tampa in Florida. It was

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Speaker 1: a three to one win for Tampa. I had over six,

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Speaker 1: so that game came way under. I'm gonna pause the

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Speaker 1: totals for a little bit here today because I'm a

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Speaker 1: little bit concerned about what we're gonna see here, and

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Speaker 1: I think there are a couple of games that could

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Speaker 1: go either way over or under, so I'm not jumping

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Speaker 1: up and down at the time of taping. Right now,

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Speaker 1: Vegasly it's two to one over Minnesota, and I was

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Speaker 1: gonna be on the Vegas gold Knights, and then match

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Speaker 1: Pact already did not get is not in uniform today,

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Speaker 1: so I didn't know. And then goals scored by Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: Vegas answered right back, and then they got the go ahead.

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Speaker 1: They're up two to one now in the third period

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Speaker 1: in a must win game for the Vegas Golden Knights. Again,

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Speaker 1: the under seems to be the play. I'm really curious

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Speaker 1: to see. Do we see fives get hung with Vegas

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Speaker 1: and Minnesota at some point, And when that happens, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet the over. It's just gonna be kind of

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Speaker 1: an automatic. Pittsburgh and New York that was a five

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Speaker 1: for a little bit and then the number got bet

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Speaker 1: over and it closed at five and a half in

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Speaker 1: the final score between Pittsburgh and New York and the

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Speaker 1: Islanders was two to one. So unders in all three

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Speaker 1: of the games last night. Maybe it's a big overnight

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Speaker 1: coming up tonight. I'm just not sure about that. But

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Speaker 1: let's get to the picks and plays here coming up

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Speaker 1: for tonight again three plays, two in the NBA, one

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Speaker 1: in the NHL. I hate these plays, just gonna tell

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Speaker 1: you right now. I've made these bets. I don't like them. So,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how to describe it. You

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Speaker 1: can fade me if you want, you can follow me

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Speaker 1: if you want. I went two and oh in the

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Speaker 1: NBA last night, so maybe I'm good to go two

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Speaker 1: and oh again. Hopefully I'm gonna go two and oh again.

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Speaker 1: But let's just start with the first game of the night,

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Speaker 1: and it's the Spurs and the Memphis Grizzlies. So the

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Speaker 1: Memphis Grizzlies played really poorly against the against the State

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Speaker 1: Warriors on the road. They're at home now, Okay, there's

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Speaker 1: been a little bit of a pingpong in going on here.

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Speaker 1: The number has been four pretty steady, and then I

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Speaker 1: got it at three and a half at the Westgate

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Speaker 1: last night, and so shop around here. I don't hate four.

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Speaker 1: I played three and a half. So the official play

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Speaker 1: is going to be three and a half for Memphis

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Speaker 1: against San Antonio, but I'm not sure you're gonna need it.

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Speaker 1: Memphis is forty two and thirty to the number. They've

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Speaker 1: lost three games in a row. However, to the number,

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Speaker 1: they're one in four to the number over the last five.

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Speaker 1: They're three and seven to the number over their last ten,

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Speaker 1: but San Antonio is not much better, two to two

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Speaker 1: and one over the last five, four and five and

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Speaker 1: one over the last ten. But on the road, San

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Speaker 1: Antonio is twenty three twelve and one to the number. However,

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Speaker 1: at home, Memphis is twenty in sixteen. If you go

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Speaker 1: back and look at some of these games that took

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Speaker 1: place this year, and it's hard to kind of do

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Speaker 1: that because different guys were available. The first game of

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Speaker 1: the year these two teams play in San Antonio won

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Speaker 1: by twelve on the road. Okay, we are a long

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Speaker 1: ways away from that game, way back at the beginning

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Speaker 1: of the season, so it's hard to kind of go, yeah,

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Speaker 1: let's take a look at some of these games that

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Speaker 1: happened earlier in the year, because well, a lot of

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Speaker 1: these games against Memphis happened on the twenty third of December,

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Speaker 1: and then they played a back to back in San

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Speaker 1: Antonio on the thirtieth of January. In the first of January,

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Speaker 1: both games won by Memphis by seventeen and by thirty one.

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Speaker 1: And they played the fourth game. Well, they played four

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Speaker 1: or three games. They played three games this year, so

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Speaker 1: two and one. Memphis was lost at home and won

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Speaker 1: both games on the road at San Antonio. And here

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Speaker 1: is a team in Memphis where they came into that

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Speaker 1: game against Golden State Red hot, they had won five

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Speaker 1: straight games and then they laid a huge egg and

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Speaker 1: they lost by twelve. So the good news is Steph

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Speaker 1: Curry's not playing in this game. The good news is

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Speaker 1: you're not going to have Dylan Brooks in foul trouble.

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Speaker 1: And the good news is that pretty much Memphis should

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Speaker 1: win this game going away. I laid the three and

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Speaker 1: a half points here with Memphis against San Antonio, and

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Speaker 1: again I think home teams. Look at the two home

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Speaker 1: teams yesterday, they both win going away. I don't think

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Speaker 1: Memphis kills San Antonio, but I think they're angry and

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Speaker 1: I think they understand that, Look, this is a chance

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Speaker 1: for us to kind of rise up here, get a victory.

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Speaker 1: We got to win two games now because we're the

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Speaker 1: nine seed, not the eight seed. So protect our home

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Speaker 1: court and then see who winds up losing in the

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Speaker 1: next game after that and see who we wind up playing.

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Speaker 1: So I think this is a Memphis team that's got

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Speaker 1: more talents. I'm not so sure San Antonio really wants

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Speaker 1: to be in this game, just like I think Charlotte

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Speaker 1: wanted to end the season. They didn't really want to

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Speaker 1: seem to be going to be there. And much like

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Speaker 1: Charlotte going into the game last night, Charlotte kind of

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Speaker 1: stumbled down the stretch. San Antonio has lost four or

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Speaker 1: five outright, and they lost by thirty seven to Phoenix,

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Speaker 1: lost by twelve to Brooklyn, lost by twenty two to Portland.

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Speaker 1: And I'm taking the better team here, the team that's hotter,

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Speaker 1: the team that had kind of stubbing of the toe.

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Speaker 1: I think Memphis is angry. I'm gonna lay the three

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Speaker 1: and a half Memphis minus three and a half for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit against the San Antonio Spurs. Game one,

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Speaker 1: pick one, Game two Warriors Lakers. I missed on the four.

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Speaker 1: I should have gotten involved with this when it was four.

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Speaker 1: It's five. I actually don't think it's gonna matter. I

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Speaker 1: think the Lakers are gonna give the Warriors a beating.

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Speaker 1: And there's a couple of reasons why the Warriors on

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Speaker 1: the road against the number are fourteen and twenty two.

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Speaker 1: At home, they're twenty three and thirteen. They are a

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Speaker 1: totally different team at home, and they can lose this

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Speaker 1: game and go back home and play the very same

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Speaker 1: Memphis Grizzlies team that they just beat at home. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they are They've covered six straight games. However, the Golden

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Speaker 1: State Warriors had have and all but let's see, uh

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Speaker 1: two three of the five have been on the have

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Speaker 1: been at home for Golden State. Okay, so that's a

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Speaker 1: Laker sorry. Uh yeah, So they've won all of them

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Speaker 1: at home one, two, three, four, five, six. All those

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Speaker 1: games are at home. They covered all six. Okay, great run.

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Speaker 1: End of the year. Last time they played on the

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Speaker 1: road against New Orleans, they lost by five. This Laker

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Speaker 1: team has Lebron and Anthony Davis. Defensively, the Lakers are

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Speaker 1: still an incredibly talented team, and this is one of

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Speaker 1: the big problems here for the Golden State Warriors. You

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Speaker 1: have Steph and then what else. The Lakers are second

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Speaker 1: in the in the NBA, giving up just one hundred

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Speaker 1: and six point eight points per game. They are in

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Speaker 1: the for three point percentage. They're fourth in the NBA

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Speaker 1: at thirty five point two percent given up. They are

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Speaker 1: ninth in the NBA in opposing two point percentage. They

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Speaker 1: are fourth in opposing shooting efficiency. It is hard to

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Speaker 1: score on the LA Lakers, and they're gonna lock up

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Speaker 1: on Steph Curry. You take away Steph and you make

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Speaker 1: any anyone else beat you. And I just don't think

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Speaker 1: they've got enough talent. And Anthony Davis becomes the big

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Speaker 1: key Lakers at home, Lakers laying five Lebron, I think

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Speaker 1: has a big game. You get playoff Lebron, you get

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Speaker 1: playoff Anthony Davis. I know Curry can do some magical,

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Speaker 1: magical things. I just don't think he does the magical thing.

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Speaker 1: And tonight enough against this defensive effort for the Lakers,

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Speaker 1: I think they put the clamps down on Steph and

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Speaker 1: I think you wind up with a Laker win by

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Speaker 1: double digits. I just think the Lakers this is where

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Speaker 1: they start to defend their title. This is what they do.

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Speaker 1: They're going to be angry about being in this playing

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Speaker 1: game and they have a chance to go and be

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Speaker 1: the seventh seed. Win this game. They get a couple

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Speaker 1: of days off they become the seventh seed, and I

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Speaker 1: think the Warriors are just up against it. They're just

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Speaker 1: not a good team on the road, and it's eventually

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Speaker 1: going to come back and be a problem for them

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Speaker 1: because they just haven't been good enough on the road

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Speaker 1: to beat teams like this in these moments. And again,

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Speaker 1: the public is going to be on the Warriors. The

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Speaker 1: public going to take the five points. It's going to

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Speaker 1: be a very big public play. Warriors are fourteen and

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Speaker 1: twenty two straight up on the road. Lakers are twenty

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Speaker 1: one and fifteen at home. But Curry even averaging thirty

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Speaker 1: two points a game, and who I think is the MVP,

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Speaker 1: even though everyone tells me I'm wrong, I'm going Lakers

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Speaker 1: minus five. I'll lay the five points. It's the most

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Speaker 1: readily available number, but I don't think it matters and

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Speaker 1: Lakers when this game going away. Okay, so we're going

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Speaker 1: favorites again, Favorites win two and oh yesterday, I'm going

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Speaker 1: back here with home teams in home favorites laying five

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Speaker 1: and laying three and a half with Memphis and five

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Speaker 1: with the Lakers. Here in the NBA, I will have

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Speaker 1: two more NBA player props unless I go and if

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Speaker 1: I go zero to two, I might pause until we

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Speaker 1: get to the full And we get to the full

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Speaker 1: slate of NBA games, and I have a full menu

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Speaker 1: of players to pick from. It's difficult when I'm only

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Speaker 1: limited to two games, So it's hard to find those

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Speaker 1: player props when only do there's two games to pick from,

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Speaker 1: so it's a little bit of a slim pickings for

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Speaker 1: the player props. But I will come back, hopefully bounce

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Speaker 1: back after the zero and two night last night to

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Speaker 1: have some better player props for us coming up here

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Speaker 1: off the Betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet, which you

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Speaker 1: guys can go and find off Bettingpros dot com. Click

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Speaker 1: on NBA, click on prop bet cheat sheet and you

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Speaker 1: can see a whole plethora of guys you can bet on. Okay,

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Speaker 1: one NHL hockey game hockey play to tell you about.

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Speaker 1: And I don't know what to do with Boston. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the under five and a half seems like a very

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Speaker 1: smart play, and I very well may add Boston under

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Speaker 1: five and a half or I may just lay the

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Speaker 1: MIAs one sixty five with Boston. I'm just a little

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Speaker 1: bit concerned about the capitals and their ability to score

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Speaker 1: and the power play and too keask being a little

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Speaker 1: bit on the road. The Capitals were nineteen seven to

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Speaker 1: one and one. That's pretty good. The Bruins were eighteen

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Speaker 1: seven to two and one at home. Okay, So it's

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Speaker 1: kind of like, m all right, you know the over

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Speaker 1: under to the over three five and two for the Capitals,

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Speaker 1: five three and two for the Bruins over the last ten,

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Speaker 1: So it feels like the under. It feels like the Bruins.

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Speaker 1: I just couldn't come around to it yet. Much like

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Speaker 1: the Vegas game, I just couldn't. I can't get a

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Speaker 1: handle on it. I'm gonna watch it and really enjoy

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Speaker 1: it and pull for the Bruins, and I'm pulling for Vegas.

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Speaker 1: I just couldn't find an angle to bet on. The

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Speaker 1: only thing I can do tonight in the NHL is

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Speaker 1: something that I absolutely hate doing, and that's a two

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Speaker 1: team money line parlay. But how do you lay minus

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Speaker 1: one to eighty five with the Carolina Hurricanes. They're just

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Speaker 1: so much better than Nashville and they're at home. How

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Speaker 1: do you take a minus three to twenty money line

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Speaker 1: for Colorado? How do you bet that? You can't bet that?

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Speaker 1: Like it just doesn't make any sense. You can't bet it.

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Speaker 1: So I'm just taking the money line for Carolina and

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Speaker 1: the money line for Colorado, and I'm just gonna make

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Speaker 1: a half a unit play. It's plus one zero five. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if one team loses, the whole thing gets blown up.

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Speaker 1: I get it. Nashville may come roaring back and use

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Speaker 1: some of that playoff experience to win. But if this

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Speaker 1: game was, you know, if Nashville is at home, I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't do this. Carolina's at home. If Saint Louis was

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Speaker 1: at home, I wouldn't do this. But Colorado's at home.

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Speaker 1: Carolina and Colorado are just much better than who they're playing.

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Speaker 1: They have better goaltending, they have better power plays, better

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Speaker 1: special teams, better offense, better defense, just better in every

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Speaker 1: single way. And if Carolina wins, we need that Colorado

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Speaker 1: win to keep that sweep bet alive for us here

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Speaker 1: when it comes to Colorado trying to get three and

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Speaker 1: oh and then in game four, we could do the

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Speaker 1: heads that I've talked about, because it's plus four hundred

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Speaker 1: odds coming back on Colorado to sweep Saint Louis. So

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Speaker 1: that's another reason why I think you can kind of

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Speaker 1: jump in here with Colorado just to win the game.

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Speaker 1: It might be sweaty, it might be crazy. I thought

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Speaker 1: about the puck line, but it's the playoffs, and I

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Speaker 1: just I don't know wack of weird things can happen. Again,

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Speaker 1: I hate this bet, okay, but I want to have

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Speaker 1: a hockey play going. And I went back and forth

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Speaker 1: and back and forth, and all I can do is

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Speaker 1: kind of hold my nose here and take Carolina and

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Speaker 1: Colorado money line parlay two legs. It's plus one oh five,

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Speaker 1: so you get some plus money on this on top

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Speaker 1: of that to get two vastly superior teams over their

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Speaker 1: opposition and just hope that they win both their games.

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Speaker 1: And it's two and it's two to zero after tonight.

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Speaker 1: So again, I don't like it, but I did it,

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Speaker 1: and it's an official play. I'm not selling it all

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00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,399
Speaker 1: that well. But that's the podcast is to tell you

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Speaker 1: what I bet, and this is what I bet today,

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Speaker 1: and this is right now. It's my only hockey play

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Speaker 1: of the day with Carolina and Colorado moneyline parlay, just

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Speaker 1: because they are much better than who they are playing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so our picks here for us three plays half of units,

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Speaker 1: Lakers minus five, Memphis minus three and a half, moneyline parlay,

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Speaker 1: Carolina and Colorado player props coming to the Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash chat. To get into the Discord

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00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:45,360
Speaker 1: channel Bettingpros dot com slash chat, or if you're on YouTube,

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00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,680
Speaker 1: there's a link on the whole list that you'll find

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00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 1: right below this video on YouTube that you guys can

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Speaker 1: get into if you need help to get into the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. Minu's Matt Perraultz I will talk to you

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Speaker 1: later today for the bets NBA player props and on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel at Sports Talking Matt on Twitter and

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. It's the Daily Jews podcast right here

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Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot com, brought to you by BETMGM