WEBVTT - Dolphins Patriots Week 1 Preview 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:05.360 To us fires touch style by waddle stuck into the 0:00:05.440 --> 0:00:09.440 end zone of Miami by tight all tight window. They 0:00:09.440 --> 0:00:11.760 had to get that touchdown on that play. They get it. 0:00:14.800 --> 0:00:18.560 What is up, Dolphans And welcome to the Drive Time 0:00:18.600 --> 0:00:23.160 Podcast part of the Miami Dolphins podcast network, covering your team, 0:00:23.239 --> 0:00:27.320 your Miami Dolphins. How's it going? Everybody? I am your host, 0:00:27.400 --> 0:00:31.560 Travis Winfield And on today's show, here we go again 0:00:31.720 --> 0:00:35.680 another season, beccons. We're breaking down every single matchup in 0:00:35.720 --> 0:00:39.279 the Dolphins and Patriots, the opening day rubber match of 0:00:39.320 --> 0:00:42.239 the last three seasons. Will tell you about our opponent 0:00:42.320 --> 0:00:45.600 in depth, how Miami matches up three some things to 0:00:45.640 --> 0:00:48.479 watch for the three Keys, and everything you need to 0:00:48.520 --> 0:00:51.480 know for week number one. It is here, so are we. 0:00:51.760 --> 0:00:54.720 Let's go from the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist 0:00:54.720 --> 0:01:03.600 Health Training Complex. This is the Drivetime Podcasts. What is 0:01:03.640 --> 0:01:07.720 better than opening Day? What's better than the feeling of hope, 0:01:07.880 --> 0:01:13.080 excitement and anticipation. Those butterflies that you're surely feeling leading 0:01:13.160 --> 0:01:15.920 up to kick off on Sunday should be among the 0:01:15.959 --> 0:01:20.080 most welcomed emotion that you experience in our life where 0:01:20.160 --> 0:01:23.200 everything is on a pendulum, and things are measured equally 0:01:23.240 --> 0:01:25.600 in terms of if it can be this great and 0:01:25.640 --> 0:01:28.800 feel this good, then the opposite can be true too. 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:32.880 And that's where those anxiety flutters come from. And you 0:01:32.920 --> 0:01:35.240 should welcome that because you know, Dan Well that will 0:01:35.240 --> 0:01:37.840 win on Sunday is going to have you in a 0:01:37.880 --> 0:01:41.200 fan frenzy. You'll scroll social media with a grid on 0:01:41.240 --> 0:01:44.360 your face. You'll watch the highlight shows and remaining games 0:01:44.400 --> 0:01:47.120 on the week one calendar with the perspective about how 0:01:47.160 --> 0:01:49.880 it impacts your Dolphins and their one and oh mark 0:01:49.960 --> 0:01:52.960 on the season and a loss, and you'll feel that 0:01:53.040 --> 0:01:55.840 dread that can only come from sports fandom. You don't 0:01:55.880 --> 0:01:57.800 want to put on the TV, you don't want to 0:01:57.840 --> 0:02:00.160 log on social media, you don't want to see your 0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:04.440 co workers on Monday morning. Most of all, I think 0:02:04.480 --> 0:02:06.480 we're all just so excited to have the best time 0:02:06.480 --> 0:02:09.119 of year back in our lives. College football is back 0:02:09.120 --> 0:02:12.800 in full swing, Baseball heading down the stretch, run go maridness, 0:02:13.120 --> 0:02:15.680 basketball and hockey around the corner of the World Cup 0:02:15.760 --> 0:02:18.760 kicks off in a month, and all is right in 0:02:18.800 --> 0:02:22.040 the world of sports. The leaves begin to change colors 0:02:22.080 --> 0:02:25.480 for some of you, and your Sundays Mondays, Thursdays, and 0:02:25.520 --> 0:02:29.760 Saturdays now have built implants for the next five months. Rejoice, guys, 0:02:29.760 --> 0:02:32.800 we made it. Opening Day is upon us, and let's 0:02:32.800 --> 0:02:35.240 talk about that opener as the Patriots make the Week 0:02:35.280 --> 0:02:38.280 one pilgrimage to South Florida for the first time since 0:02:39.240 --> 0:02:42.400 a thirty three to twenty Dolphins victory behind a hundred 0:02:42.400 --> 0:02:45.360 and thirty four yards and a touchdown from No. Sean Marino. 0:02:45.840 --> 0:02:49.120 That was the middle victory of a three game streak 0:02:49.160 --> 0:02:52.000 for the home team in games between Miami and New 0:02:52.000 --> 0:02:56.080 England here at hard Rock Stadium. And since that victory, 0:02:56.280 --> 0:02:59.160 the game that was sealed by Michael Thomas interception in 0:02:59.200 --> 0:03:02.200 the end zone, the Dolphins are seven and two versus 0:03:02.200 --> 0:03:06.919 the Patriots in that building across the street. Conversely, those 0:03:06.919 --> 0:03:10.440 records are flipped when these teams face off in Gillette Stadium, 0:03:10.480 --> 0:03:14.320 so a deadlock at nine and nine. Dating back Miami 0:03:14.400 --> 0:03:17.440 won their last year and in twenty nineteen. The Patriots 0:03:17.480 --> 0:03:22.320 won here in nineteen and so the Pats have already 0:03:22.520 --> 0:03:25.240 arrived this week as they traveled out to South Florida 0:03:25.280 --> 0:03:28.520 earlier to acclimate to the weather, and boy is the 0:03:28.520 --> 0:03:31.680 weather going to be miserable. The forecast calls for degrees 0:03:31.919 --> 0:03:35.040 with sixty percent humidity in a real feel of one 0:03:35.520 --> 0:03:38.000 two degrees at kickoff, and then of course will be 0:03:38.120 --> 0:03:41.160 amplified in the sunshine on the visitors sideline and a 0:03:41.200 --> 0:03:44.000 little bit cooler on the shaded home sideline of your 0:03:44.040 --> 0:03:47.840 Miami Dolphins. There are scattered thunderstorms expected in the afternoon. 0:03:48.120 --> 0:03:50.680 It would not be a September Dolphins home game without 0:03:50.680 --> 0:03:53.840 some thunderstorms. In the forecast. You've got a fifty one 0:03:54.320 --> 0:03:57.000 chance of rain and wins out of the southeast at 0:03:57.040 --> 0:04:00.680 eight miles per hour. So will that early rival and 0:04:00.800 --> 0:04:05.400 potential weather acclamation benefit the Patriots will have a negative impact? 0:04:05.520 --> 0:04:08.080 Curious see how that works out with fourth core conditioning. 0:04:08.160 --> 0:04:09.640 It's going to be a big part of this football 0:04:09.680 --> 0:04:13.720 game for both sides. So that's the Patriots literal arrival here, 0:04:13.960 --> 0:04:16.960 But how about their figurative arrival? As we kick off 0:04:17.000 --> 0:04:19.920 the preview podcast, as we always do, with a brief 0:04:20.000 --> 0:04:22.599 meat and greet of our opponents, and of course with 0:04:22.680 --> 0:04:26.479 the Patriots, they are the in laws that we see 0:04:26.800 --> 0:04:29.839 every year twice a year for the holidays, and this year, 0:04:29.880 --> 0:04:32.680 instead of seving out the end of November and December, 0:04:34.000 --> 0:04:36.320 we subbed out from the game's actually occur this year 0:04:36.360 --> 0:04:39.240 September eleven and January one, so also two days in 0:04:39.279 --> 0:04:42.800 the calendar you'll never forget. But frankly, what the Patriots 0:04:42.800 --> 0:04:44.839 have done the last two years is really akin to 0:04:44.880 --> 0:04:47.320 what the last two decades have been. I don't know 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:49.760 about you, guys, but I sure do recall the number 0:04:49.760 --> 0:04:53.280 of Patriots run finally coming to an end, articles, segments 0:04:53.279 --> 0:04:56.440 and bits that we saw over the years. Shoot, speaking 0:04:56.440 --> 0:04:59.640 of I recalled that Chiefs blow out to drop them 0:04:59.640 --> 0:05:02.400 to two in two and that was the definitive end 0:05:02.400 --> 0:05:05.120 of the Patriots right Well, no, because they won three 0:05:05.200 --> 0:05:09.080 championships after that, So counting this team out seems a 0:05:09.080 --> 0:05:12.159 little bit foolish, foolish even though a lot has changed 0:05:12.560 --> 0:05:15.200 for that club up there, And that's what happened, I 0:05:15.240 --> 0:05:17.080 think from a lot of folks these last two years. 0:05:17.080 --> 0:05:21.599 That roster was depleted for various reasons, with injuries, opt outs, 0:05:21.640 --> 0:05:25.080 in season absences that key positions. Quarterback Cam Newton was 0:05:25.160 --> 0:05:28.239 unavailable for a couple of those games. Still, that team 0:05:28.240 --> 0:05:30.919 won eight games, no small feat that year in the 0:05:30.920 --> 0:05:33.640 first year without Tom Brady, then last year with a 0:05:33.720 --> 0:05:37.000 rookie quarterback and granted the return of some key parts 0:05:37.200 --> 0:05:39.479 a big free agent class and other crop of rookies, 0:05:39.720 --> 0:05:42.320 they win ten games and get right back into the postseason. 0:05:42.600 --> 0:05:44.440 It's just not supposed to happen that way. You don't 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:48.679 go from franchise best quarterback all time directly into more success. 0:05:48.720 --> 0:05:52.000 A few teams have, but the Packers and Colts were anomalies, 0:05:52.040 --> 0:05:54.760 not the norm. As the Dolphins fan knows, the same 0:05:54.800 --> 0:05:57.440 way that Broncos fan post Elway knew, the Bills post 0:05:57.560 --> 0:06:00.720 Jim Kelly, the Cowboys post Troy Aikman. Do we have 0:06:00.800 --> 0:06:04.000 to go on? I don't believe we do. But I'm 0:06:04.040 --> 0:06:06.640 not saying Mac Jones is that. But the Patriots certainly 0:06:06.680 --> 0:06:09.720 enjoyed some success in his rookie season. Duplicating that is 0:06:09.760 --> 0:06:11.680 going to be the challenge for this Patriots team. A 0:06:11.720 --> 0:06:15.120 Patriots team who enters this season off that playoff year 0:06:15.120 --> 0:06:17.360 with a roster that has been largely remade the last 0:06:17.400 --> 0:06:20.719 three seasons not exactly uncommon in the NFL. If you 0:06:20.720 --> 0:06:23.960 look at their unofficial depth chart on Patriots dot com, 0:06:24.240 --> 0:06:28.400 they list the starters with six guys from that free 0:06:28.400 --> 0:06:32.040 agent class, five rookies from these past two free agent classes. 0:06:32.279 --> 0:06:34.800 And then just about everyone else was acquired in some 0:06:34.920 --> 0:06:39.200 form or fashion in or later. Really it's Devin mccordy, 0:06:39.279 --> 0:06:43.599 Jawan Bentley, Dietrich Wise, Lawrence Guy, Jonathan Jones, Isaiah Wynn, 0:06:43.640 --> 0:06:47.120 and David Andrews who don't fall into that category. And 0:06:47.160 --> 0:06:49.840 then even in the second team portion of the depth chart, 0:06:50.080 --> 0:06:52.640 and guys you'll figure to see plenty of Davante Parker, 0:06:52.800 --> 0:06:56.960 Kendrick Borne, Time Montgomery, josh U j Marcus Jones, Adrian Phillips, 0:06:56.960 --> 0:07:01.920 Turbrill Peppers, all newcomers within the last three years, so 0:07:01.960 --> 0:07:04.440 they've reshaped this roster. You know, the Patriots are gonna 0:07:04.440 --> 0:07:06.719 play smart. You know they'll be a tough, well coached team. 0:07:06.920 --> 0:07:08.520 You know they'll be prepared and have a game plan 0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:11.880 for that challenges. Are coaches here to their fullest. Now, 0:07:11.920 --> 0:07:13.800 Belichick did say a couple of years ago that at 0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:15.640 this point in his career he wants to coach guys 0:07:15.680 --> 0:07:17.640 that he likes, and it seems like he's gotten the 0:07:17.720 --> 0:07:20.240 roster full of guys that fit those criteria, tough, smart, 0:07:20.560 --> 0:07:24.480 discipline players and makes for a very intriguing matchup, especially 0:07:24.520 --> 0:07:26.600 in this instance where we know a lot of the 0:07:26.640 --> 0:07:29.320 Miami defense is the same from a year ago. Most 0:07:29.360 --> 0:07:31.600 of the stalwarts I mentioned, you know, five of the 0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:34.440 seven in fact for the Patriots were on their defense 0:07:34.480 --> 0:07:38.200 as well, So that defense has been has enjoyed a 0:07:38.240 --> 0:07:41.040 lot of continuity, and the defensive systems through both of 0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:44.720 these teams have been similar throughout the years, with flexible fronts, 0:07:44.840 --> 0:07:47.360 versatile players that allow them to mix it up and 0:07:47.400 --> 0:07:50.640 call on the rush games and blitzes that both defenses 0:07:50.720 --> 0:07:54.760 have to offer. Then there's a very strong emphasis in 0:07:54.840 --> 0:07:57.520 the defensive backfield with who you pay, who you draft, 0:07:57.800 --> 0:08:01.120 the allocated resources to that position on either side that 0:08:01.240 --> 0:08:03.800 requires you to be seven or eight guys deep in 0:08:03.920 --> 0:08:07.760 terms of getting significant reps on a game day. Then 0:08:07.800 --> 0:08:10.000 on the other side, a lot of new on the offense. 0:08:10.080 --> 0:08:13.480 Josh McDaniels is in Las Vegas and Matt Patricia takes 0:08:13.480 --> 0:08:16.200 over as the play caller, while Mike McDaniel takes on 0:08:16.240 --> 0:08:18.920 the same challenge here for the Miami Dolphins. One last 0:08:18.960 --> 0:08:21.320 thing before we get to the position by position matchups here. 0:08:21.600 --> 0:08:25.480 I was curious to see Patriots Week one snap counts 0:08:25.560 --> 0:08:28.240 last year, and I'm not entirely sure it's instructive, but 0:08:28.280 --> 0:08:31.360 my entire goal with these preview podcasts. On top of 0:08:31.480 --> 0:08:34.320 entertaining you, which I hope we do, is to intundate 0:08:34.360 --> 0:08:37.480 you with information. And I want you out in that 0:08:37.559 --> 0:08:41.040 east lot at nine am with your beer in hand, 0:08:41.080 --> 0:08:43.560 tossing your bag of corn rock and solo d on 0:08:43.600 --> 0:08:46.880 the speakers, telling your tailgate party brethren about the advantage 0:08:46.920 --> 0:08:49.880 of twelve personnel against big Nickel and forcing that extra 0:08:49.920 --> 0:08:53.720 hat in the box, so to speak. Cool. So no surprise. 0:08:53.720 --> 0:08:56.960 In terms of quarterback offensive line dbs, those are the 0:08:57.080 --> 0:09:01.599 three spots you typically get snaps, typically one D for 0:09:01.679 --> 0:09:05.480 quarterback and offensive line sands injuries within those games. But 0:09:05.559 --> 0:09:07.760 last year they had that Matt Jones and the front 0:09:07.760 --> 0:09:10.800 five guys put every snap. Devin mccordy and J. C. Jackson, 0:09:10.800 --> 0:09:12.680 who has now gone with the Chargers did as well, 0:09:12.920 --> 0:09:17.160 while safety Kyle Dugger played but on offense, Jacoby Myers 0:09:17.200 --> 0:09:20.000 played the snaps. We'll talk about him in a moment. 0:09:20.040 --> 0:09:23.760 Aglare played. John H. Smith and Hunter Henry combined for 0:09:23.800 --> 0:09:26.199 a hundred and nine snaps. That was seventy three and 0:09:26.280 --> 0:09:31.120 seventy So that was long of twelve personnel, right. Damien 0:09:31.160 --> 0:09:34.560 Harris lad the way with forty snaps that was among 0:09:34.600 --> 0:09:37.000 the running backs. And then also you see her Durant 0:09:37.080 --> 0:09:41.400 a sixth offensive lineman. He played twenty three snaps of 0:09:41.400 --> 0:09:43.839 the time with the extra offensive lineman in the game. 0:09:43.920 --> 0:09:46.960 So it's a different offense. But those jumbo packages are 0:09:47.000 --> 0:09:49.840 something we've seen a lot of with the Patriots. They 0:09:49.840 --> 0:09:53.240 did it back in two thousands Opener two thousand twenty. 0:09:53.320 --> 0:09:56.120 Sounds weird plenty in that game, So again, not sure 0:09:56.160 --> 0:09:59.000 if it's instructive because they have added at wide receiver 0:09:59.080 --> 0:10:01.679 this year with Parker and then Tae Kwon Thornton before 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:06.480 the injury, but something to consider. But also their usage 0:10:06.480 --> 0:10:09.360 of tight ends backs and the extra offensive lineman is 0:10:09.360 --> 0:10:11.679 a good way to get your defensive backs off the field, right, 0:10:11.840 --> 0:10:14.880 especially when you had x Byron Needum last year. And 0:10:14.880 --> 0:10:16.640 we'll have two of those three for this game this 0:10:16.720 --> 0:10:19.480 year with some newer names in the mix with no Ignogny, 0:10:19.559 --> 0:10:22.559 key on Crossing, potentially Cater Cahoo as well. But I'm 0:10:22.600 --> 0:10:25.920 curious to see if that's the plan again because Henry 0:10:26.000 --> 0:10:29.439 snap count went from sixty seven or from seventy three 0:10:29.440 --> 0:10:31.480 in that game to sixty seven on the year, and 0:10:31.559 --> 0:10:37.880 Smith down to scent compared to being over in that opener. Defensively, 0:10:38.000 --> 0:10:41.679 Judon played high tower seventy eight percent. I think that's 0:10:41.720 --> 0:10:44.880 pretty typical of your top linebackers in this system. Then 0:10:44.920 --> 0:10:47.240 it's the same use of depth to rotate guys through. 0:10:47.280 --> 0:10:49.360 But this is why I was curious to look at this. 0:10:49.400 --> 0:10:51.240 I wanted to see how much those guys played in 0:10:51.280 --> 0:10:54.840 Week one versus their season percentages and factor in the 0:10:55.040 --> 0:10:58.320 heat factor down here as well. So game one last year, 0:10:58.520 --> 0:11:02.160 god Shaw sixty seven percent on the season, so he 0:11:02.240 --> 0:11:06.280 played more in game one, Lawrence Guy fifty four percent 0:11:06.320 --> 0:11:10.079 in game one percent for the season, Christian bar More 0:11:10.200 --> 0:11:13.600 forty eight percent, Game one fifty five percent on the season, 0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:16.480 and then Dietrich wise forty six to forty eight percent. 0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:19.120 So sometimes you test a hypothesis, you don't get a 0:11:19.120 --> 0:11:21.960 defined result. That's mostly what happened here. But again I 0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:24.679 love this because it's just as helpful to learn that 0:11:24.720 --> 0:11:28.640 your hypothesis was not right, and this one wasn't necessarily wrong. 0:11:28.679 --> 0:11:30.920 I mean, all but one of those guys saw an 0:11:30.960 --> 0:11:32.920 increase in their work with the rest of the season, 0:11:33.480 --> 0:11:35.160 And if that's how you go into Week one, really 0:11:35.200 --> 0:11:36.920 across the league, as you work to get your in 0:11:37.000 --> 0:11:39.360 season legs under you. It would seem to me that's 0:11:39.440 --> 0:11:42.520 quite a benefit to possessing the football longer and running 0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:45.199 more plays, especially in a game down here in the 0:11:45.320 --> 0:11:47.960 sweat box. And I do think that's instructive. When you 0:11:48.000 --> 0:11:50.079 look at the four games against the Patriots the last 0:11:50.120 --> 0:11:54.520 two years, plays ran in for the Patriots at home 0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:58.440 sixty four to Miami sixty two, seventy five to Miami 0:11:58.520 --> 0:12:01.480 sixty eight. One of those games a lost with the Dolphins, 0:12:01.480 --> 0:12:03.240 one of them a tight win that probably should have 0:12:03.280 --> 0:12:05.400 gone to the Patriots. Late the games down here, the 0:12:05.440 --> 0:12:09.360 Patriots ran seventy two plays to Miami's fifty five back 0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:13.360 and or rather that was flipped seventy for the Dolphins 0:12:13.840 --> 0:12:15.760 for the Patriots that was a runaway. And then the 0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:19.640 Dolphins fifty four down here in the game last year, 0:12:19.679 --> 0:12:22.120 another game that was a to score victory. So when 0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:24.479 the Dolphins get ten or more plays in the Patriots, 0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:26.640 they blow them out of the water. I think that's 0:12:26.679 --> 0:12:29.720 interesting here that one the opener went heavily in favor 0:12:29.760 --> 0:12:32.560 of the Patriots. The Dolphins stole that one. But again, 0:12:32.760 --> 0:12:35.959 you run more plays in this razor thin margin between 0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:38.280 these two kind of similarly built teams. At least they 0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:41.600 were previously. I don't think they are anymore. But if 0:12:41.640 --> 0:12:44.600 you can sustain drives to the Dolphins, I think that 0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:46.440 really puts you in position to win this game, not 0:12:46.520 --> 0:12:48.680 just by a close margin, but by a couple of 0:12:48.679 --> 0:12:51.080 touchdowns as well, because that's what happened, all right. I 0:12:51.080 --> 0:12:53.040 think that's a good spot for our first break here. 0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:55.600 We're gonna preview each position of this game and break 0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:58.840 down these matchups football season. That's next on the Drive 0:12:58.920 --> 0:13:01.920 Time Podcast. Your Travis Wingfield brought to you by Auto 0:13:02.000 --> 0:13:10.800 Nation back here on the Week one Dolphins Patriots Preview 0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:13.480 edition of the Drive Time Podcast. And if it sounds 0:13:13.480 --> 0:13:15.040 like there's a bit of a pep in my step, 0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:18.920 that's because there is. We've got football tonight, Bills and Rams. 0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:21.960 I made my pick for that on the Tuesday podcast, 0:13:22.200 --> 0:13:25.160 the Season Preview Podcast. We're taking the Rams Week one 0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:27.840 picks in full coming tomorrow, but we are focused on 0:13:27.920 --> 0:13:30.400 the game of the week. Well, the Dolphins are always 0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:32.280 the game in the week around these parts, but I 0:13:32.320 --> 0:13:34.040 do think it's one of the best matchups on the 0:13:34.080 --> 0:13:36.800 weekend slate. And we start where we always start. The 0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:40.520 Dolphins quarterbacks versus the Patriots safeties. And the first thing 0:13:40.559 --> 0:13:42.240 I want to look at here last year was the 0:13:42.240 --> 0:13:45.600 blitz numbers against Twah with the Patriots defense and that 0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:48.160 opener last year, he was only blitz six times, that 0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:50.880 produced one sack and a three for five with twenty 0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:53.319 eight yards and the lone pick. The two or three 0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:56.200 against the Patriots in that season finale it was pretty similar. 0:13:56.320 --> 0:14:00.000 Seven blitz is four or five eighty passing yards, no touchdowns, 0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:02.760 no picks. Will that be the plan again? The Dolphins 0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.480 added a pair of top of the line separators, so 0:14:05.520 --> 0:14:07.840 that can be an interesting element of this matchup as 0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:12.040 we zero in closer to the quarterback versus safety matchup here. 0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:15.240 And Kyle Dugger is my breakout pick for the Patriots, 0:14:15.280 --> 0:14:17.720 a guy that I think can really keep that defense 0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:20.080 humming at the level you've expected to get from them 0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:23.080 year after year. Devin mccordy spends most of his time 0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:26.040 in the post. Adrian Phillips typically a box guy who 0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:28.120 can kind of buzz some of those crossing routes and 0:14:28.120 --> 0:14:30.320 make a play if you don't identify him, and then 0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:32.240 Dugger is the jack of all trades, kind of your 0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:35.920 Javon Holland type. This group is smart, they're athletic, they're versatile. 0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:38.760 Makes for a tough matchup. I'm beyond curious to see 0:14:38.760 --> 0:14:40.880 what it looks like. We made a bunch this summer. 0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:44.680 About two is pregame ritual and pontificating the correlation between 0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:48.720 him making strides in his game from a processing standpoint 0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:51.000 and finding that third or fourth option in the progression 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:53.480 of a given pass play. So to me, finding out 0:14:53.480 --> 0:14:55.880 where Dougger is going to be is key. The Patriots 0:14:55.920 --> 0:14:57.800 defense is gonna mix it up as well as anybody. 0:14:57.960 --> 0:15:00.480 I'm sure their brackets will change, their blitzlow pre and 0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:03.240 post Napple change, but I think the number twenty three 0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:06.120 Kyle Dugger is a good place to start in terms 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:08.160 of I ding where it will all go down. He 0:15:08.200 --> 0:15:10.400 could potentially be kind of your fullback in terms of 0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:13.320 that guy will take my eyes to where the play goes. 0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:17.440 It's been one of the more man heavy based defenses 0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.720 in the league, and the Dolphins have plenty of weapons 0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:23.840 that can beat man coverage, but avoid getting bated or 0:15:23.960 --> 0:15:27.360 making that mistake by staying on schedule and taking what 0:15:27.400 --> 0:15:29.160 they give. You are all going to be keys for 0:15:29.240 --> 0:15:31.760 twa and I think he can play that discipline style 0:15:31.800 --> 0:15:34.280 of ball that this game could require of him. Remember, 0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:36.960 the Patriots defense has annually been one of the best 0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:40.640 scoring defenses, regardless of where they finish in total yards 0:15:40.680 --> 0:15:43.360 allowed on the season. They force a lot of field goals, 0:15:43.560 --> 0:15:45.840 so that's another key. Can they find the end zone 0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:48.000 when they penetrate the red zone? A lot of these 0:15:48.080 --> 0:15:51.200 questions I pose have multiple layers, I e. How can 0:15:51.200 --> 0:15:54.160 they run the football? How does design help in those areas? 0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:57.280 The games last year Miami punched in both of their 0:15:57.320 --> 0:15:59.560 red zone visits and the opener, and that was the difference. 0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:03.440 Can find success in that area again? If they can, 0:16:03.640 --> 0:16:05.800 I think you'd get a similar result for two in 0:16:05.840 --> 0:16:07.680 this game. I think he's gonna have a chance to 0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:10.360 really just take with the defense gives him and play 0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:12.720 a highly efficient football game. And that's what I expect 0:16:12.720 --> 0:16:14.520 out of your quarterback one in this game. A lot 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:17.040 of completions, a lot of opportunities to run after the catch, 0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:20.040 and maybe the occasional vertical shot built in the receivers 0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:22.400 and tight ends versus the cornerbacks. And it starts here 0:16:22.440 --> 0:16:25.000 for me with Tyreek Hill. The Patriots have seen plenty 0:16:25.000 --> 0:16:27.240 of Tyreek over the years. If you go back to 0:16:27.360 --> 0:16:31.680 the eighteen seasons, you have the same cast of characters 0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:34.960 here in this matchup. Hill posted seven for one, thirty 0:16:35.000 --> 0:16:37.840 three and a touchdown in seventeen and seven for one, 0:16:38.360 --> 0:16:42.920 two and three touchdowns in the a f C Championship game. 0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:45.760 There was almost no instance of him getting single coverage. 0:16:45.800 --> 0:16:48.480 Belichick said, forget that, I'm not doing that. And it 0:16:48.560 --> 0:16:51.680 was Jonathan Jones and Devin mccordy over the top doubling 0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:53.680 him in that game with that bracket, and he caught 0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:56.200 one for forty two. But there was a ripple effect 0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:58.760 in that Sammy Watkins, who was invisible all year for 0:16:58.800 --> 0:17:01.320 the Chiefs, goes off for four for one four team. 0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:04.560 So what does that tell us? Same thing Belichick has 0:17:04.600 --> 0:17:06.840 been doing to win on defense for two plus decades, 0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:10.320 using that secondary cornerback and doubling the most productive player 0:17:10.560 --> 0:17:12.879 and letting your number one cornerback match up with the 0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:16.360 offenses number two. But that's the beauty of this remade 0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:19.080 Dolphins wide receiver's room. On paper, it looks like a 0:17:19.160 --> 0:17:22.480 pick your poison situation, and that's where Jalen Waddle comes 0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:24.680 in as a big factor in this game. For me 0:17:24.920 --> 0:17:26.960 and your number two. If he gets a chance to 0:17:27.000 --> 0:17:28.960 get that single coverage all game, I am going to 0:17:29.080 --> 0:17:31.359 be thrilled about it, because I don't know where the 0:17:31.359 --> 0:17:34.080 matchup benefits the Patriots. If that's the instance, whether it's 0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:37.000 Jalen Mills, whether it's Jonathan Jones, whether it's a rookie 0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:40.040 and Jack Jones or Marcus Jones or Miles Bryant, who 0:17:40.080 --> 0:17:43.040 knows what happens. But that's why you invest so much 0:17:43.040 --> 0:17:45.640 in Waddle and Tyreek. It's a tough ask for defenses. 0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:48.000 If you double Tyreek for the first half and Jalen 0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:50.120 has five catches for a hundred yards and a touchdown, 0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:52.840 you're gonna change your game plan. You might have to again, 0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:54.960 you might just have to be multifaceted to crack a 0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:57.639 Belichick defense, and that's what the Dolphins have here. Reminds 0:17:57.640 --> 0:17:59.560 me of the Miami Heat in so many ways. That 0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:03.320 heat limit a top score, but teams that have multiple 0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:05.919 options and shooters can take advantage of that. On paper, 0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:08.240 it's a tough, tough ask, and those are the two 0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:10.399 receivers on the first team on Miami's death chart. By 0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:13.240 the way, for New England, it's Jonathan Jones and Jalen Mills, 0:18:13.359 --> 0:18:16.719 with rookie Marcus Jones the third and Miles Bryant the fourth, 0:18:16.880 --> 0:18:18.640 It'll be interesting to see how they match up. You've 0:18:18.680 --> 0:18:21.000 got that speed, but you've also got the size and 0:18:21.119 --> 0:18:23.359 range of Cedric Wilson and Mike get SICKI not to 0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:25.280 mention the rest of the receivers and tight ends who 0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:28.240 continue the versatility aspect of it all, But I look 0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:30.680 at Tyreek and Jalen their three cone times and they're 0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:33.439 forty times, and the way those guys move. Jonathan Jones 0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:35.600 is a four three three, but he's a seven to 0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:38.680 five guy. So if you condense one of those guys 0:18:38.680 --> 0:18:40.600 inside and give them two way goes, the change of 0:18:40.640 --> 0:18:43.879 direction disparity stands out. How about the rest of the room. 0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:46.560 Jalen Mills four six one, Jack Jones four five two, 0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:50.480 Miles Bryant four six two, Tyrek and Jalen are four 0:18:50.840 --> 0:18:53.360 three guys, you know, and all three of those guys 0:18:53.400 --> 0:18:55.439 are under seven second three cones. Not as fast as 0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:59.199 Jalen and Tyreke. But I like the Dolphins stylistic matchup 0:18:59.200 --> 0:19:03.080 here in terms of athletic suddenness, quick twitch to make 0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:06.040 that move those latter three guys have the slower straight 0:19:06.080 --> 0:19:08.120 line times with the change of direction is so important 0:19:08.320 --> 0:19:11.080 measured by that three cone time. It's it's really tough 0:19:11.119 --> 0:19:13.639 to gauge these without having, you know, any fresh tape. 0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:16.159 So we'll keep trucking along into backs versus backers. But 0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:19.360 I like Miami's receivers in this game at running back 0:19:19.400 --> 0:19:21.399 in linebacker. It's funny how we always get back to 0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:25.240 this idea of complimentary football because with these great game 0:19:25.280 --> 0:19:28.399 plans the Patriots have offered author year after year. The 0:19:28.440 --> 0:19:31.320 next element that maximizes what an offense can accomplish against 0:19:31.359 --> 0:19:33.560 them is the run game. Sort of what we mentioned 0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:36.040 earlier about New England keeping teams out of the end zone. 0:19:36.240 --> 0:19:37.560 One of the best ways to run a lot of 0:19:37.600 --> 0:19:40.520 plays sustained drives and keep that New England defense out 0:19:40.520 --> 0:19:43.159 there is to run the football effectively. And if you 0:19:43.200 --> 0:19:45.879 have Wattle going off in that single coverage and he 0:19:45.920 --> 0:19:48.240 gets vertical, you have to back a safety off. All 0:19:48.240 --> 0:19:50.440 of a sudden, Now the Dolphins running game can get cranking, 0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:52.680 so all this stuff works together. From Miami, it's a 0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:55.320 super interesting matchup as the Dolphins trot out this new 0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:58.560 system for the first time against a defense that hasn't 0:19:58.600 --> 0:20:00.840 changed its core principles all that much, and of course 0:20:00.880 --> 0:20:03.639 Bill Belichick will always tweak. But it's so interesting to 0:20:03.680 --> 0:20:06.879 me because you have similar defensive styles, and per reports 0:20:06.920 --> 0:20:09.840 out of Patriots camp, they've been installing a similar style 0:20:09.920 --> 0:20:13.200