WEBVTT - Stanley Cup Finals Game 5 Preview and Best Bets (Ep. 716) 0:00:01.040 --> 0:00:04.440 Good afternoon everyone, and welcome into the NHL Stanley Cup 0:00:04.440 --> 0:00:07.720 Playoffs live stream here on the Fantasy Pros Twitch channel. 0:00:08.000 --> 0:00:10.280 We are now through four games of the Stanley Cup 0:00:10.320 --> 0:00:13.200 Finals and the series is tied. It's now down to 0:00:13.240 --> 0:00:15.960 a best of three. I am Tyler Conniam, joined as 0:00:16.000 --> 0:00:20.119 always by Betting Pros, NHL expert and resident Edmonton Oilers 0:00:20.160 --> 0:00:22.760 fan Kelly Kirby. These intros during the finals are very 0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:25.079 easy because I just say, what do you think after 0:00:25.120 --> 0:00:26.400 the last game? Exactly? 0:00:26.480 --> 0:00:28.720 Well, I have much better feelings today than I did 0:00:28.760 --> 0:00:29.960 on Tuesday, let me tell. 0:00:29.800 --> 0:00:34.519 You I would think so yeah, yeah, that was a 0:00:34.520 --> 0:00:37.400 fun one. Excited to talk about that today. As a reminder, 0:00:37.440 --> 0:00:39.920 we are live each and every Tuesday and Friday at 0:00:39.920 --> 0:00:42.720 three pm here on Twitch until the Stanley Cup Finals 0:00:42.800 --> 0:00:45.199 is done. So there was potential that today would have 0:00:45.200 --> 0:00:47.720 been our last stream. Not the case. Thank you Oilers, 0:00:47.760 --> 0:00:50.640 so if you're watching say thank you to Edmonton as well. 0:00:50.800 --> 0:00:53.519 If you're watching this on YouTube, reminder to subscribe and 0:00:53.640 --> 0:00:56.720 follow us on twitch at twitch dot tv slash Fantasy 0:00:56.720 --> 0:00:59.440 Pros so you can join us live Tuesday and Friday 0:00:59.480 --> 0:01:01.680 at three Eastern. If you're in the chat, feel free 0:01:01.680 --> 0:01:04.440 to drop a comment, drop a question, and as we 0:01:04.480 --> 0:01:06.800 get into it, as always, I'll let you take the floor. 0:01:07.000 --> 0:01:09.080 That was a hell of a hockey game last night. 0:01:09.400 --> 0:01:12.920 Give me your initial reactions and excitement oilers, tie it up. 0:01:13.240 --> 0:01:15.600 Yeah, let me tell you. I've had a week, like 0:01:15.640 --> 0:01:19.680 some really sad things have happened, and I like hurried home, 0:01:19.800 --> 0:01:22.840 got in my seat, like at like six fifty nine, 0:01:22.880 --> 0:01:25.319 I'm in Central times on right, and they scored those 0:01:25.360 --> 0:01:27.600 three goals and I literally was just like sure, like 0:01:28.240 --> 0:01:31.759 this fits right in, and I was like I'm gonna 0:01:31.840 --> 0:01:35.320 just go like I just went and like changed clothes, 0:01:35.360 --> 0:01:36.800 and I was just, you know, do I even want 0:01:36.800 --> 0:01:38.200 to go back and keep watching this? Like is it 0:01:38.200 --> 0:01:41.160 too much sadness? And then I walked back, sat down 0:01:41.280 --> 0:01:43.440 like whatever, we may only have two of these games left. 0:01:43.480 --> 0:01:45.120 And then all of a sudden, it was just like 0:01:45.240 --> 0:01:49.040 here they come, and I thought, Okay, we're gonna do this, 0:01:49.520 --> 0:01:53.040 like I think we got it now maybe and maybe 0:01:53.040 --> 0:01:55.360 it was like that pentitiveness. And then when they took 0:01:55.360 --> 0:01:57.760 the lead in the third, I was like, this is great. 0:01:57.800 --> 0:01:59.800 And then when Florida scored with nineteen and a half 0:01:59.800 --> 0:02:03.080 secs left, my dad, who does not watch hockey message 0:02:03.160 --> 0:02:05.560 me and goes He's like, really, we're gonna go to overtime. 0:02:06.760 --> 0:02:09.000 I'm like, oh, we are we now, okay, I got it. 0:02:09.080 --> 0:02:11.600 So yeah, it was like three games in one. The 0:02:11.639 --> 0:02:14.520 first period was all Florida, the second period's all Edmonton, 0:02:14.639 --> 0:02:16.360 and then it kind of evened out for the third 0:02:16.360 --> 0:02:19.320 period in overtime as well. And we were talking before 0:02:19.320 --> 0:02:22.280 we started recording. I watched the first period three nothing Florida, 0:02:22.280 --> 0:02:23.720 and I mean, I'm not an Oilers fan. I got 0:02:23.760 --> 0:02:25.720 a bunch of bets on the Oilers and all that 0:02:25.840 --> 0:02:28.519 so and just being Canadian, I got the rooting interest there, 0:02:28.520 --> 0:02:30.399 but I was like, you know what, forget it. Turned 0:02:30.440 --> 0:02:32.240 it off after the first period, got into bed and 0:02:32.240 --> 0:02:34.040 my wife's like, I think they have Beinton just scores. 0:02:34.080 --> 0:02:35.720 I'm like, okay, I'll put it on the radio. Then 0:02:35.720 --> 0:02:37.680 it was three to two, Then it was three to three. 0:02:37.720 --> 0:02:39.480 I'm like, hey, I guess I'm just back up watching 0:02:39.520 --> 0:02:41.960 this now. And then as you mentioned, Florida, they take 0:02:42.000 --> 0:02:44.360 the lead. Then Florida scores at the end there, and 0:02:44.400 --> 0:02:45.960 it was one of those things where you just felt 0:02:46.000 --> 0:02:48.560 like Florida's probably going to win this game. They get 0:02:48.560 --> 0:02:51.280 it to the early lead, they lose it, they go down, 0:02:51.400 --> 0:02:53.280 they come back, like it's just one of those ebbs 0:02:53.280 --> 0:02:55.280 and flows where it feels like the Florida Panthers are 0:02:55.320 --> 0:02:57.520 going to win the hockey game and they don't. The 0:02:57.639 --> 0:03:01.000 Edmonton Oilers win it there to tie up to series 0:03:01.000 --> 0:03:03.480 two to two. So plus that, as I mentioned not 0:03:03.520 --> 0:03:05.880 our final stream, we also did well on the bets, 0:03:06.040 --> 0:03:09.200 so you know you had had dry Sidle two plus 0:03:09.200 --> 0:03:11.720 points for plus money. He's basically good for two plus 0:03:11.800 --> 0:03:16.520 points every single time both had Oiler's money line. I 0:03:16.560 --> 0:03:19.560 had plus one plus one thirty yesterday for the Oilers, 0:03:19.560 --> 0:03:23.240 which was crazy, which was nice, and then over City there. 0:03:23.320 --> 0:03:26.080 So that's been hitting, which is which is great. And 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:29.280 just watching these two teams like because it's been nice 0:03:29.280 --> 0:03:31.520 because we've watched all these games, been watching the playoffs 0:03:31.560 --> 0:03:34.040 the whole time. You watch these two teams play, and 0:03:34.080 --> 0:03:38.360 it's unequivocally the two best teams left in the NHL. 0:03:38.480 --> 0:03:40.600 Like just the high level play in the passing and 0:03:40.640 --> 0:03:43.760 the special teams and everything super incredible to watch. But 0:03:43.800 --> 0:03:46.160 I have to ask the big questions. Stuart Skinner gets 0:03:46.240 --> 0:03:48.720 pulled after the first period they go to is it 0:03:48.760 --> 0:03:49.800 Picard or Pickers. 0:03:49.920 --> 0:03:51.800 I think it's Picard, but I'm not sure. 0:03:52.840 --> 0:03:54.920 I like saying Picard because of like Star Trek. 0:03:54.920 --> 0:03:56.320 Right, and I don't like Star Treks. So if you 0:03:56.320 --> 0:03:57.640 want to go the other way, we can, but that's 0:03:57.680 --> 0:03:59.080 all You're gone. 0:03:58.920 --> 0:04:00.960 So we can do either one. So I have to 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:03.920 ask you, what is going to be their game plan 0:04:04.040 --> 0:04:04.720 in game five? 0:04:04.920 --> 0:04:05.080 Is it? 0:04:05.360 --> 0:04:07.440 Because we feel like every time we have this conversation, 0:04:07.480 --> 0:04:10.040 we're like, oh, it's definitely skinner, then it's not right. 0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:12.600 So what is your assumption that we'll be doing for 0:04:12.640 --> 0:04:13.600 game five? And net? 0:04:13.960 --> 0:04:15.720 First of all, I was so excited that they pulled him, 0:04:15.800 --> 0:04:18.360 and I think it was mostly not because I thought 0:04:18.400 --> 0:04:20.920 he was like down or out or whatever, but even 0:04:20.920 --> 0:04:22.799 what I was saying in game three where I'm like, okay, 0:04:22.880 --> 0:04:26.320 rest him, like he looked like he needed a game off, 0:04:26.400 --> 0:04:28.840 like and you know, in the flow of a regular season, 0:04:28.920 --> 0:04:32.560 like he would have had a rest by now. So yeah, 0:04:32.600 --> 0:04:34.760 I had no problem with that. And then and then 0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:38.680 Pickard or Picard came in and and really just shut 0:04:38.720 --> 0:04:40.760 it down, Like I he looked great, and I'm like, 0:04:41.040 --> 0:04:45.240 in my opinion, we have two average goalies. And so 0:04:45.279 --> 0:04:47.599 for me, I'm like, play the fresher one, Like I 0:04:47.600 --> 0:04:49.599 don't know, Like that's I'm kind of hung up on it. 0:04:49.640 --> 0:04:52.400 Where I think I think Pickers should start. Now, see 0:04:52.440 --> 0:04:54.599 now you have me thinking about the pronunciation every time 0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:56.719 I say it. But I think that he should start 0:04:56.880 --> 0:05:00.719 game five just because he looked good game four. We 0:05:00.880 --> 0:05:05.159 know he brought us back during round one. It doesn't 0:05:05.160 --> 0:05:07.440 make me nervous to start him, So I think that's 0:05:07.440 --> 0:05:07.919 where i'd go. 0:05:08.720 --> 0:05:10.240 It's a good point that you mentioned as you get 0:05:10.240 --> 0:05:13.040 this deep into the playoffs, like someone like Bobrovski who's 0:05:13.040 --> 0:05:15.680 played every single game, you know, I know they have 0:05:15.760 --> 0:05:17.760 some days off. It's going to be a bit of 0:05:17.760 --> 0:05:20.200 a quicker turnaround game four to game five. Just today 0:05:20.200 --> 0:05:21.960 off and then we're right back at it tomorrow. So 0:05:22.680 --> 0:05:25.520 for a player who, you know, Bobrowski's used to carrying 0:05:25.839 --> 0:05:28.200 that weight and playing all those games, Skinner and Picard, 0:05:28.240 --> 0:05:30.520 you know, they kind of split it fairly evenly down 0:05:30.520 --> 0:05:32.839 the middle. So I'm very interested to see what they 0:05:32.920 --> 0:05:35.080 decide to do there. As you mentioned, when Skinner came 0:05:35.080 --> 0:05:37.039 out in the first round, Guard came in and he 0:05:37.160 --> 0:05:39.480 was great, and it probably would have been his playoffs 0:05:39.520 --> 0:05:42.840 to start or not if he didn't get hurt. There 0:05:42.880 --> 0:05:45.000 is a funny little meme that you shared with us 0:05:45.040 --> 0:05:48.000 earlier that I'm hoping Seth can put up on the 0:05:48.040 --> 0:05:52.080 screen there. And this is the quintessential Edmonton Oiler's. Normal 0:05:52.120 --> 0:05:55.120 teams they get a lead, they hold the lead, and 0:05:55.160 --> 0:05:57.120 then they win the game. Yep, that's not how the 0:05:57.200 --> 0:05:59.760 Edmonton Oilers operate. They want to give up the first goal. 0:06:00.040 --> 0:06:05.480 They want absolute chaos ensue and then somehow win the game. 0:06:05.600 --> 0:06:09.200 It is unbelievable the amount of times that this team 0:06:09.240 --> 0:06:11.800 gets down, not only by one or two goals, like 0:06:11.960 --> 0:06:15.919 they were the first team in history after thirty seven 0:06:16.000 --> 0:06:18.400 tries to be down three goals in a Stanley Cup 0:06:18.400 --> 0:06:21.040 finals game and come back and win the game. I 0:06:21.080 --> 0:06:24.160 know this isn't a strategy, but what do you attribute 0:06:24.240 --> 0:06:25.680 their ability to do this to. 0:06:26.240 --> 0:06:28.080 First of all, I don't know who to credit On Twitter, 0:06:28.120 --> 0:06:30.480 I just like stole it, but I had seen it 0:06:30.480 --> 0:06:32.000 in a number of places, so I just want to 0:06:32.040 --> 0:06:34.400 give that out. But yeah, I don't know. I mean 0:06:34.480 --> 0:06:37.719 I feel like I want, you know, the lame answer 0:06:37.800 --> 0:06:40.120 would be like, oh, they just never quit, like and 0:06:40.800 --> 0:06:43.000 I feel like it's just more of a we got 0:06:43.040 --> 0:06:45.360 to make the challenge more. We have to like figure out, 0:06:45.640 --> 0:06:47.640 you know, how are we going to do it? What 0:06:47.680 --> 0:06:49.840 are we going to do? And then it's I really 0:06:49.920 --> 0:06:52.320 think they get into you know, we blacked out the word, 0:06:52.400 --> 0:06:55.080 but I kind of think they get into like, Okay, well, 0:06:55.200 --> 0:06:58.200 f this, let's go yeah and not a not in 0:06:58.200 --> 0:07:00.120 a f this we're going to totally win the game 0:07:00.120 --> 0:07:03.599 as much as okay, well, let's just start doing whatever 0:07:03.640 --> 0:07:05.400 we want to do. And that's the chaos in the middle. 0:07:06.440 --> 0:07:08.800 And yeah, my favorite part of the meme actually is 0:07:08.839 --> 0:07:12.000 the woman on top at win the game who's just 0:07:12.120 --> 0:07:14.680 like yay, And I'm like, if you're an Oilers fan, 0:07:14.880 --> 0:07:17.080 that is exactly how it feels like you are in 0:07:17.120 --> 0:07:20.560 a car that is on fire and like you're excited, 0:07:20.600 --> 0:07:22.000 but you're also a little nervous still. 0:07:22.080 --> 0:07:25.880 So yeah, yeah, And there's the famous again the clip 0:07:25.920 --> 0:07:28.200 from last year in the finals and there down three 0:07:28.320 --> 0:07:31.200 CODDR McDavid in the dressing room during an intermission, you know, 0:07:31.560 --> 0:07:34.040 completely cursing out the team, saying get it together. And 0:07:34.080 --> 0:07:36.600 I thought I would not be surprised if that's the 0:07:36.640 --> 0:07:39.480 exact same speech that he gave after that first period. 0:07:39.480 --> 0:07:41.560 There and then they just come out a different team. 0:07:41.600 --> 0:07:44.000 They don't take as many penalties, they just look a 0:07:44.000 --> 0:07:47.800 lot more confident. They start playing their game. So again 0:07:47.880 --> 0:07:50.840 another instance of it's the best of three now. So 0:07:50.920 --> 0:07:54.080 we've had so many different versions of this series already. 0:07:54.120 --> 0:07:56.440 It's really been one of the better series that we've seen. 0:07:56.480 --> 0:07:58.400 So which version of the Oilers come out, the one 0:07:58.400 --> 0:08:01.000 that are rattled or can't stay out of the penalty 0:08:01.000 --> 0:08:03.280 box and Stuart Skinner can't stop a buck or the 0:08:03.400 --> 0:08:05.960 version that was the second period where it's how does 0:08:06.040 --> 0:08:09.680 anybody ever beat this team? So I think that's that's 0:08:09.720 --> 0:08:13.239 what I'm excited to see. As I mentioned second period, 0:08:13.240 --> 0:08:16.120 three hundred answered three unanswered goals yet and they came 0:08:16.120 --> 0:08:20.679 from sort of maybe unlikely sources, Nugent Hopkins, nurse, Pod 0:08:20.720 --> 0:08:23.880 cales In, Pod coles in, you know, not your dry Sidle, 0:08:23.960 --> 0:08:26.120 not your McDavid to get them back into it. Then 0:08:26.160 --> 0:08:27.840 they get a goal from Walman at the end, they're 0:08:27.840 --> 0:08:30.840 and unbelievable. He was wide open forever on that one 0:08:30.880 --> 0:08:33.240 time slapshot that goes in, and then of course Ryan 0:08:33.280 --> 0:08:35.520 Hart ties it for Florida. We go to the end, 0:08:35.880 --> 0:08:37.600 dry Sidle gets the winner, and that was a bit 0:08:37.640 --> 0:08:40.040 of a softie there that Bubrovski led in what did 0:08:40.040 --> 0:08:41.360 you make of that overtime goal? 0:08:41.559 --> 0:08:44.080 I thought that was payback for Marshawn's overtime goal in 0:08:44.120 --> 0:08:46.959 Game two, when it just it's the most helpless feeling. 0:08:46.960 --> 0:08:49.839 I actually have empathy for Panthers fans on that regard, 0:08:49.920 --> 0:08:53.360 where it's like he stops, he's an acrobat, he stops everything, 0:08:53.720 --> 0:08:57.360 and then just this weird little squeaker goes through your legs. 0:08:57.440 --> 0:08:59.599 It's just horrible. So that's how we felt at the 0:08:59.679 --> 0:09:02.120 end of of Game two. So and sometimes that's just 0:09:02.120 --> 0:09:03.800 what it is, right, I mean, hockey is like, yeah, 0:09:03.840 --> 0:09:06.960 it's talent beyond belief, but that the amount that the 0:09:07.000 --> 0:09:11.200 puck bounces and just rolls around. I honestly, I am 0:09:11.200 --> 0:09:12.760 always like I don't know how anyone scores, and I 0:09:12.760 --> 0:09:13.960 don't know how anyone stops it. 0:09:14.280 --> 0:09:16.800 So it's one of those things we've talked about how 0:09:16.840 --> 0:09:18.960 the Oilers just feel like the team of destiny, and 0:09:19.040 --> 0:09:21.440 then to do it with a minute left in overtime, 0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:24.600 Panthers just need to survive another minute. Pebrovski's made some 0:09:24.720 --> 0:09:27.560 unbelievable saves in that game, made a couple on dry 0:09:27.640 --> 0:09:29.960 sidle and then for that to be the goal. Again, 0:09:30.040 --> 0:09:32.280 it's just one of those things of like, you know, 0:09:32.760 --> 0:09:35.160 destiny just seems to be on their side a little bit. 0:09:35.200 --> 0:09:37.160 You see it, whether it's a good bounce in basketball 0:09:37.280 --> 0:09:40.320 or ball's just foul and baseball the goal is like 0:09:40.360 --> 0:09:42.520 that at the end of the day, could end up 0:09:42.559 --> 0:09:45.200 being the difference between winning the Stanley Cup or not 0:09:45.240 --> 0:09:48.840 winning the Stanley Cup. Before we get into Game five 0:09:48.920 --> 0:09:50.400 and how we're betting that, I do just want to 0:09:50.400 --> 0:09:53.080 tell you about an offer at FanDuel. So if you 0:09:53.120 --> 0:09:56.160 want to boost your bets, new FanDuel customers can bet 0:09:56.200 --> 0:09:58.720 five dollars and win two hundred and fifty dollars in 0:09:58.840 --> 0:10:01.840 bonus bets. If that first bet hits, all you need 0:10:01.880 --> 0:10:04.560 to do is head over to bettingpros dot com slash 0:10:04.559 --> 0:10:08.600 fan Duel to get started. That's bettingpros dot Com slash FanDuel. 0:10:08.840 --> 0:10:11.840 Make your plays on FanDuel today, make a bet five 0:10:11.880 --> 0:10:16.480 dollars and try to win two hundred and fifty dollars. Okay, 0:10:16.600 --> 0:10:19.040 So the stage is now set. It's Game five. The 0:10:19.080 --> 0:10:22.800 series shifts back to Edmonton. As expected, the Oilers are 0:10:23.000 --> 0:10:27.880 Favorites minus one fifteen, minus one twenty, Panthers around plus 0:10:27.920 --> 0:10:30.199 one oh five. I can't read what that says on 0:10:30.240 --> 0:10:32.400 the screen. Pinnacle plus one oh seven maybe, but they're 0:10:32.400 --> 0:10:34.559 in the plus one one oh seven, so plus one 0:10:34.559 --> 0:10:37.120 oh five plus one ten range. Before we talk about 0:10:37.160 --> 0:10:39.080 the total, which is I feel like going to be 0:10:39.080 --> 0:10:41.200 a bit of a topic of conversation. What do you 0:10:41.200 --> 0:10:43.920 think about that opening line? I think it's pretty pretty 0:10:43.920 --> 0:10:45.120 in line with what I expected. 0:10:45.440 --> 0:10:47.839 Yeah, it's actually exactly in line with what I figured 0:10:47.880 --> 0:10:49.600 it would come out. And that's it's kind of the 0:10:49.880 --> 0:10:53.280 let's let's concede that these teams are incredibly close together 0:10:53.520 --> 0:10:56.760 and that Edmonton at home should have I mean, they 0:10:56.760 --> 0:10:59.959 should be favored and so, but I wouldn't I would 0:11:00.120 --> 0:11:02.440 want Florida to go much higher than that, because then 0:11:02.440 --> 0:11:03.959 I would then I would start to feel like I 0:11:04.000 --> 0:11:07.320 would almost want to bet them. So I am fine 0:11:07.360 --> 0:11:09.520 at minus one fifteen or plus one or seven. I 0:11:09.520 --> 0:11:11.199 think those are actually really good numbers. 0:11:11.720 --> 0:11:14.040 Yeah, I think of anything, I was thinking, Oilers maybe 0:11:14.080 --> 0:11:16.520 one fifteen, one twenty, and Panther is closer to even money. 0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:18.160 I'm actually surprised that it is as high as one 0:11:18.160 --> 0:11:20.160 oh seven not enough to make me want to bet it. 0:11:20.240 --> 0:11:22.320 I am going to put some money on the Oilers, 0:11:22.320 --> 0:11:25.640 but if anything, maybe Panthers. But again, the home ice 0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:27.959 advantage is a big deal. And then the over under 0:11:28.080 --> 0:11:30.520 it's I feel like it's gonna be six and a 0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:33.679 half probably the rest of this series unless something crazy happens. 0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:35.760 I did notice there aren't a lot of places to 0:11:35.800 --> 0:11:39.839 get a six. I've been taking over six the first well, 0:11:39.840 --> 0:11:41.880 I took the under for Game three. That was the 0:11:41.920 --> 0:11:43.560 only time I took the under. But every other time 0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:46.679 six over over over, it's gone to six and a 0:11:46.720 --> 0:11:48.720 half pretty much everywhere they are gonna make or they 0:11:48.720 --> 0:11:50.960 are gonna make it a little bit profitable at plus 0:11:51.000 --> 0:11:53.240 one oh five, it's juice to the under. This time 0:11:53.280 --> 0:11:55.880 at minus six at minus one twenty for six and 0:11:55.920 --> 0:11:58.680 a half. So what are your thoughts on the total there? Yeah? 0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:01.600 I think part of my thought is how many games 0:12:01.640 --> 0:12:05.520 do we have to see before before we're like, maybe 0:12:05.679 --> 0:12:09.320 maybe seven goals might get scored here. I you know, 0:12:09.400 --> 0:12:12.280 I really, really truly believe that the game three was 0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:13.959 the one that was going to go under, and it 0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:16.640 sat there at hung there, But then the other three 0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:19.000 I'm like, I don't know what we're I don't know 0:12:19.040 --> 0:12:21.320 what we're doing four to three and overtime seems to 0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:24.079 be like the play that I would think of prior 0:12:24.120 --> 0:12:26.840 to all of the games. So no, And I think 0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:29.200 when the first four games go over six and a half, like, 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:31.520 how do you offer an over six? Like? How do 0:12:31.559 --> 0:12:34.679 you give them that? And I kind of want to 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:38.600 see as people keep thinking about it, how like what 0:12:38.640 --> 0:12:40.679 good odds can we get on the over six and 0:12:40.720 --> 0:12:43.160 a half? Like just how high up can we get 0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:45.000 that to go? And I think people are going to 0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:46.880 overthink it and if it if it gets to I mean, 0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:48.160 I've already bet it. I think I got it at 0:12:48.160 --> 0:12:49.520 a plus one fifteen somewhere. 0:12:49.600 --> 0:12:52.520 So we're actually on opposite sides of that one and 0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:55.080 we'll talk talk about that and the reason behind that. 0:12:55.200 --> 0:12:57.480 But very exciting for game five. Could it be a 0:12:57.520 --> 0:12:59.640 repeat of last year we talked you know again last 0:12:59.679 --> 0:13:01.360 time there down three to zero in the series, they 0:13:01.360 --> 0:13:04.400 start coming back. Anytime they seem to face adversity, they 0:13:04.440 --> 0:13:06.120 are coming back. I don't want to say the Oilers 0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:08.960 are invincible, but they do seem like they just have 0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:11.880 maybe the ninth live there. It's another game, they come 0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:15.720 back from the deficit. As we mentioned thirty seven and one, now, 0:13:15.960 --> 0:13:17.920 teams that are up three to nothing in a Stanley 0:13:17.920 --> 0:13:20.480 Cup finals game to win the game. Oilers are the 0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:22.480 first team to do that. And then when you look 0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:25.520 at who scored and who's done what, you know, we 0:13:25.559 --> 0:13:27.679 get another three points from dry Sidle, we get one 0:13:27.720 --> 0:13:30.480 from McDavid. They're both tied with thirty two in the 0:13:30.520 --> 0:13:33.719 Stanley Cup playoffs. To Chuck is the closest Panther and 0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:36.120 he's only got twenty one, so he's eleven points back 0:13:36.160 --> 0:13:39.720 of both of those players. Dry Sidle and McDavid also 0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:43.000 both lead this series with seven and six points. And 0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:45.520 then on the flip side for the Panthers, Sam Bennett 0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:49.040 has six. He is Bennett, Marshawn and dry Sidle are 0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:51.199 leading the way all there with four goals. So as 0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:53.800 we go into Game five, we saw it with the 0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:55.840 way Edmonton came back. They're three goals in the second 0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:58.280 period were a lot more of their depth pieces. Do 0:13:58.320 --> 0:13:59.959 you think the depth is going to play another role 0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:01.920 in Game five? Are we going to keep rolling with 0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:05.600 dry Sidle, McDavid, Bennett, Ryan Hart, Yeah. 0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:07.560 I mean I'm going to roll with the latter. I 0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:11.360 think I feel like the depth is always going to 0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:13.720 play a role. And if if the Oilers can get 0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:17.400 something from lines three or four, and any goal from 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:21.960 lines three or four is would be fantastic. But no, 0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:24.160 I mean, I just keep coming back to I feel 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:26.440 like it's just going to come down to it's gonna 0:14:26.440 --> 0:14:30.240 come down to that top line for Edmonton doing what 0:14:30.280 --> 0:14:33.960 they can do. And and if again, like if Kine 0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:36.480 could come in and do something like the ones we 0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:42.040 saw Connor Brown, I'm not gonna even try today. It's 0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:44.200 like I'm seeing Walman's who are like, yeah, that's great, 0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:46.200 and I really like that. But I'm like, in terms 0:14:46.240 --> 0:14:47.840 of like what are we going to rely on from 0:14:47.880 --> 0:14:52.400 a betting perspective, I'm this to me going home. This 0:14:52.440 --> 0:14:55.440 is where we just start going at what Dry, Sidle 0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:56.600 and McDavid could get done. 0:14:57.400 --> 0:14:59.200 I agree, it's every time I try to say sathing, 0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.760 it's gonna be the deepest cut that nobody is ever 0:15:01.800 --> 0:15:03.760 going to get. But there used to be these old 0:15:03.800 --> 0:15:06.800 commercials in the nineties for a watch brand called Esquire, 0:15:06.840 --> 0:15:09.000 and they'd get these Canadian athletes to just say, like 0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:11.560 their name Esquire, and there used to be. I think 0:15:11.600 --> 0:15:14.280 he was a skier named Scott Pazinski, and he would 0:15:14.280 --> 0:15:18.080 say Scott Pazinski, esquire if anybody can remember that, that's 0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:20.880 who that reminds me of there as well, And I 0:15:20.880 --> 0:15:23.200 got to agree. This has been the series where the 0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:26.120 stars have shown up. The only player to record a 0:15:26.120 --> 0:15:28.560 point in each and every game of this series so 0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:31.920 far is Sam Bennett. He has two to one. Sorry, 0:15:31.920 --> 0:15:34.000 he's got two to one, one and one, so he's 0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:36.280 a good bet. They're starting to get juicy though, like 0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:39.600 even Connor McDavid two points in Game five is minus 0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:43.120 one twenty five. Issue is going to continue to be penalties. 0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:45.920 There were four power plays on each side. The Panther 0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:48.120 scored on two of them, the Oilers scored on one 0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:51.080 of them. We've talked about this before as well, that 0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:52.920 the refs it doesn't look like they're going to open 0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:54.400 it up and just let them go. It looks like 0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:56.360 they're going to keep calling a pretty tight game. So 0:15:56.400 --> 0:15:58.320 who do you think that favors. 0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:00.560 That's actually a really interesting question that I thought of 0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:02.840 when when I was prepping for the show, that you know, 0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:04.880 a let's give it up for Edmonton not giving them 0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:08.320 eleven power plays like that was that's fun hockey. I 0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:12.400 mean only four, which is terrible, but I'm okay with it. 0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:16.800 I think it benefits Edmonton a smidge more, just because 0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:18.880 if they're going to call it tighter and Florida is 0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:22.120 a more physical team, I think that that's that there 0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:24.000 might be one or two calls that get in there that, 0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:25.800 you know, if we were going to just let them ride, 0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:28.120 there's no way they would call it. Now. If that 0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:30.920 continues into Game five is the question, because I feel 0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:34.480 like they could actually go with, okay, well now we're 0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:36.840 gonna let them get more physical, which would benefit Florida. 0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:40.560 So yeah, I don't know, and I don't know why Edmonton. 0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:43.080 They usually do a pretty good job of staying out 0:16:43.120 --> 0:16:46.040 of power plays, but I think the ones last night 0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:48.680 at least, if we're gonna look at the positive, we're 0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:52.400 kind of genuine like power play opportunities, not like we 0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:56.560 got baited into something stupid penalties. So that's yeah. 0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:58.240 They they did seem to play a little bit of 0:16:58.280 --> 0:17:00.920 a smarter game. And then one issue might be Ryan 0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:04.919 nushen Hopkins, big participant of the penalty kill. He's nursing 0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:06.800 an injury. We don't really quite know what's going on there. 0:17:06.840 --> 0:17:10.040 He was questionable before Game three and he played, but 0:17:10.040 --> 0:17:11.639 he's still out there on the penalty kill, so you 0:17:11.640 --> 0:17:13.560 have to wonder if that can be a factor. They're 0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:16.359 relying on him to be a producer on offense as well, 0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:18.639 and he's on the penalty kill, so you have to 0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:21.359 think one of Edmonton's biggest priorities has to be staying 0:17:21.359 --> 0:17:23.640 out of the box, because I mean, obviously you don't 0:17:23.640 --> 0:17:25.520 want to give the other team the advantage, but Florida's 0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:27.080 done a really good job of making them pay and 0:17:27.119 --> 0:17:30.080 they're scoring on those power plays and they can continue 0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:32.919 to do so, which will be interesting. And again we 0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:35.720 touched on the goalie situation already as well, whether it's 0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:38.600 Picard or whether it's going to be Stuart Skinner and 0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:40.960 Bobroski let in the softie there in overtime, but he 0:17:40.960 --> 0:17:42.639