1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,440 Speaker 1: Good afternoon everyone, and welcome into the NHL Stanley Cup 2 00:00:04,440 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 1: Playoffs live stream here on the Fantasy Pros Twitch channel. 3 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:10,280 Speaker 1: We are now through four games of the Stanley Cup 4 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 1: Finals and the series is tied. It's now down to 5 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: a best of three. I am Tyler Conniam, joined as 6 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:20,119 Speaker 1: always by Betting Pros, NHL expert and resident Edmonton Oilers 7 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:22,760 Speaker 1: fan Kelly Kirby. These intros during the finals are very 8 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 1: easy because I just say, what do you think after 9 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: the last game? Exactly? 10 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 2: Well, I have much better feelings today than I did 11 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 2: on Tuesday, let me tell. 12 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 1: You I would think so yeah, yeah, that was a 13 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: fun one. Excited to talk about that today. As a reminder, 14 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: we are live each and every Tuesday and Friday at 15 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: three pm here on Twitch until the Stanley Cup Finals 16 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:45,199 Speaker 1: is done. So there was potential that today would have 17 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: been our last stream. Not the case. Thank you Oilers, 18 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: so if you're watching say thank you to Edmonton as well. 19 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 1: If you're watching this on YouTube, reminder to subscribe and 20 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: follow us on twitch at twitch dot tv slash Fantasy 21 00:00:56,720 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 1: Pros so you can join us live Tuesday and Friday 22 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: at three Eastern. If you're in the chat, feel free 23 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 1: to drop a comment, drop a question, and as we 24 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: get into it, as always, I'll let you take the floor. 25 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: That was a hell of a hockey game last night. 26 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 1: Give me your initial reactions and excitement oilers, tie it up. 27 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, let me tell you. I've had a week, like 28 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:19,680 Speaker 2: some really sad things have happened, and I like hurried home, 29 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 2: got in my seat, like at like six fifty nine, 30 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:25,319 Speaker 2: I'm in Central times on right, and they scored those 31 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 2: three goals and I literally was just like sure, like 32 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:31,759 Speaker 2: this fits right in, and I was like I'm gonna 33 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 2: just go like I just went and like changed clothes, 34 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 2: and I was just, you know, do I even want 35 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 2: to go back and keep watching this? Like is it 36 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 2: too much sadness? And then I walked back, sat down 37 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 2: like whatever, we may only have two of these games left. 38 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 2: And then all of a sudden, it was just like 39 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 2: here they come, and I thought, Okay, we're gonna do this, 40 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 2: like I think we got it now maybe and maybe 41 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 2: it was like that pentitiveness. And then when they took 42 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 2: the lead in the third, I was like, this is great. 43 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 2: And then when Florida scored with nineteen and a half 44 00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 2: secs left, my dad, who does not watch hockey message 45 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 2: me and goes He's like, really, we're gonna go to overtime. 46 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 2: I'm like, oh, we are we now, okay, I got it. 47 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, it was like three games in one. The 48 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 1: first period was all Florida, the second period's all Edmonton, 49 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 1: and then it kind of evened out for the third 50 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: period in overtime as well. And we were talking before 51 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: we started recording. I watched the first period three nothing Florida, 52 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: and I mean, I'm not an Oilers fan. I got 53 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: a bunch of bets on the Oilers and all that 54 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 1: so and just being Canadian, I got the rooting interest there, 55 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:30,399 Speaker 1: but I was like, you know what, forget it. Turned 56 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 1: it off after the first period, got into bed and 57 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 1: my wife's like, I think they have Beinton just scores. 58 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 1: I'm like, okay, I'll put it on the radio. Then 59 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 1: it was three to two, Then it was three to three. 60 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: I'm like, hey, I guess I'm just back up watching 61 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,960 Speaker 1: this now. And then as you mentioned, Florida, they take 62 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:44,360 Speaker 1: the lead. Then Florida scores at the end there, and 63 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 1: it was one of those things where you just felt 64 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 1: like Florida's probably going to win this game. They get 65 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: it to the early lead, they lose it, they go down, 66 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 1: they come back, like it's just one of those ebbs 67 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: and flows where it feels like the Florida Panthers are 68 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: going to win the hockey game and they don't. The 69 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: Edmonton Oilers win it there to tie up to series 70 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: two to two. So plus that, as I mentioned not 71 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 1: our final stream, we also did well on the bets, 72 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: so you know you had had dry Sidle two plus 73 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: points for plus money. He's basically good for two plus 74 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 1: points every single time both had Oiler's money line. I 75 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: had plus one plus one thirty yesterday for the Oilers, 76 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 1: which was crazy, which was nice, and then over City there. 77 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,080 Speaker 1: So that's been hitting, which is which is great. And 78 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: just watching these two teams like because it's been nice 79 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: because we've watched all these games, been watching the playoffs 80 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 1: the whole time. You watch these two teams play, and 81 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 1: it's unequivocally the two best teams left in the NHL. 82 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: Like just the high level play in the passing and 83 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 1: the special teams and everything super incredible to watch. But 84 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 1: I have to ask the big questions. Stuart Skinner gets 85 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: pulled after the first period they go to is it 86 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: Picard or Pickers. 87 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 2: I think it's Picard, but I'm not sure. 88 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: I like saying Picard because of like Star Trek. 89 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 2: Right, and I don't like Star Treks. So if you 90 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 2: want to go the other way, we can, but that's 91 00:03:57,680 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 2: all You're gone. 92 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 1: So we can do either one. So I have to 93 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 1: ask you, what is going to be their game plan 94 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 1: in game five? 95 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 2: Is it? 96 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 1: Because we feel like every time we have this conversation, 97 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: we're like, oh, it's definitely skinner, then it's not right. 98 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 1: So what is your assumption that we'll be doing for 99 00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: game five? And net? 100 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 2: First of all, I was so excited that they pulled him, 101 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 2: and I think it was mostly not because I thought 102 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 2: he was like down or out or whatever, but even 103 00:04:20,920 --> 00:04:22,799 Speaker 2: what I was saying in game three where I'm like, okay, 104 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 2: rest him, like he looked like he needed a game off, 105 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 2: like and you know, in the flow of a regular season, 106 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 2: like he would have had a rest by now. So yeah, 107 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 2: I had no problem with that. And then and then 108 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 2: Pickard or Picard came in and and really just shut 109 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 2: it down, Like I he looked great, and I'm like, 110 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 2: in my opinion, we have two average goalies. And so 111 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 2: for me, I'm like, play the fresher one, Like I 112 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:49,599 Speaker 2: don't know, Like that's I'm kind of hung up on it. 113 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 2: Where I think I think Pickers should start. Now, see 114 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:54,599 Speaker 2: now you have me thinking about the pronunciation every time 115 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:56,719 Speaker 2: I say it. But I think that he should start 116 00:04:56,880 --> 00:05:00,719 Speaker 2: game five just because he looked good game four. We 117 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 2: know he brought us back during round one. It doesn't 118 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 2: make me nervous to start him, So I think that's 119 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:07,919 Speaker 2: where i'd go. 120 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 1: It's a good point that you mentioned as you get 121 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: this deep into the playoffs, like someone like Bobrovski who's 122 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 1: played every single game, you know, I know they have 123 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 1: some days off. It's going to be a bit of 124 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 1: a quicker turnaround game four to game five. Just today 125 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: off and then we're right back at it tomorrow. So 126 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: for a player who, you know, Bobrowski's used to carrying 127 00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: that weight and playing all those games, Skinner and Picard, 128 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 1: you know, they kind of split it fairly evenly down 129 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:32,839 Speaker 1: the middle. So I'm very interested to see what they 130 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: decide to do there. As you mentioned, when Skinner came 131 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: out in the first round, Guard came in and he 132 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: was great, and it probably would have been his playoffs 133 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,840 Speaker 1: to start or not if he didn't get hurt. There 134 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 1: is a funny little meme that you shared with us 135 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 1: earlier that I'm hoping Seth can put up on the 136 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: screen there. And this is the quintessential Edmonton Oiler's. Normal 137 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 1: teams they get a lead, they hold the lead, and 138 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 1: then they win the game. Yep, that's not how the 139 00:05:57,200 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 1: Edmonton Oilers operate. They want to give up the first goal. 140 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:05,480 Speaker 1: They want absolute chaos ensue and then somehow win the game. 141 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 1: It is unbelievable the amount of times that this team 142 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 1: gets down, not only by one or two goals, like 143 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,919 Speaker 1: they were the first team in history after thirty seven 144 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: tries to be down three goals in a Stanley Cup 145 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 1: finals game and come back and win the game. I 146 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 1: know this isn't a strategy, but what do you attribute 147 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 1: their ability to do this to. 148 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 2: First of all, I don't know who to credit On Twitter, 149 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,480 Speaker 2: I just like stole it, but I had seen it 150 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 2: in a number of places, so I just want to 151 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 2: give that out. But yeah, I don't know. I mean 152 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:37,719 Speaker 2: I feel like I want, you know, the lame answer 153 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 2: would be like, oh, they just never quit, like and 154 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 2: I feel like it's just more of a we got 155 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 2: to make the challenge more. We have to like figure out, 156 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 2: you know, how are we going to do it? What 157 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:49,840 Speaker 2: are we going to do? And then it's I really 158 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 2: think they get into you know, we blacked out the word, 159 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 2: but I kind of think they get into like, Okay, well, 160 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 2: f this, let's go yeah and not a not in 161 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:00,120 Speaker 2: a f this we're going to totally win the game 162 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 2: as much as okay, well, let's just start doing whatever 163 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 2: we want to do. And that's the chaos in the middle. 164 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 2: And yeah, my favorite part of the meme actually is 165 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 2: the woman on top at win the game who's just 166 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 2: like yay, And I'm like, if you're an Oilers fan, 167 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 2: that is exactly how it feels like you are in 168 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 2: a car that is on fire and like you're excited, 169 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 2: but you're also a little nervous still. 170 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, And there's the famous again the clip 171 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: from last year in the finals and there down three 172 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: CODDR McDavid in the dressing room during an intermission, you know, 173 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 1: completely cursing out the team, saying get it together. And 174 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 1: I thought I would not be surprised if that's the 175 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 1: exact same speech that he gave after that first period. 176 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: There and then they just come out a different team. 177 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: They don't take as many penalties, they just look a 178 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 1: lot more confident. They start playing their game. So again 179 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: another instance of it's the best of three now. So 180 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 1: we've had so many different versions of this series already. 181 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:56,440 Speaker 1: It's really been one of the better series that we've seen. 182 00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: So which version of the Oilers come out, the one 183 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: that are rattled or can't stay out of the penalty 184 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: box and Stuart Skinner can't stop a buck or the 185 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: version that was the second period where it's how does 186 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 1: anybody ever beat this team? So I think that's that's 187 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:13,239 Speaker 1: what I'm excited to see. As I mentioned second period, 188 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 1: three hundred answered three unanswered goals yet and they came 189 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:20,679 Speaker 1: from sort of maybe unlikely sources, Nugent Hopkins, nurse, Pod 190 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 1: cales In, Pod coles in, you know, not your dry Sidle, 191 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 1: not your McDavid to get them back into it. Then 192 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: they get a goal from Walman at the end, they're 193 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 1: and unbelievable. He was wide open forever on that one 194 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: time slapshot that goes in, and then of course Ryan 195 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 1: Hart ties it for Florida. We go to the end, 196 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 1: dry Sidle gets the winner, and that was a bit 197 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: of a softie there that Bubrovski led in what did 198 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 1: you make of that overtime goal? 199 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 2: I thought that was payback for Marshawn's overtime goal in 200 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:46,959 Speaker 2: Game two, when it just it's the most helpless feeling. 201 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,839 Speaker 2: I actually have empathy for Panthers fans on that regard, 202 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 2: where it's like he stops, he's an acrobat, he stops everything, 203 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 2: and then just this weird little squeaker goes through your legs. 204 00:08:57,440 --> 00:08:59,599 Speaker 2: It's just horrible. So that's how we felt at the 205 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 2: end of of Game two. So and sometimes that's just 206 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 2: what it is, right, I mean, hockey is like, yeah, 207 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 2: it's talent beyond belief, but that the amount that the 208 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:11,200 Speaker 2: puck bounces and just rolls around. I honestly, I am 209 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 2: always like I don't know how anyone scores, and I 210 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:13,960 Speaker 2: don't know how anyone stops it. 211 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: So it's one of those things we've talked about how 212 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 1: the Oilers just feel like the team of destiny, and 213 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 1: then to do it with a minute left in overtime, 214 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 1: Panthers just need to survive another minute. Pebrovski's made some 215 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: unbelievable saves in that game, made a couple on dry 216 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 1: sidle and then for that to be the goal. Again, 217 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: it's just one of those things of like, you know, 218 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 1: destiny just seems to be on their side a little bit. 219 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: You see it, whether it's a good bounce in basketball 220 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 1: or ball's just foul and baseball the goal is like 221 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 1: that at the end of the day, could end up 222 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,200 Speaker 1: being the difference between winning the Stanley Cup or not 223 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 1: winning the Stanley Cup. Before we get into Game five 224 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: and how we're betting that, I do just want to 225 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,080 Speaker 1: tell you about an offer at FanDuel. So if you 226 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: want to boost your bets, new FanDuel customers can bet 227 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,720 Speaker 1: five dollars and win two hundred and fifty dollars in 228 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 1: bonus bets. If that first bet hits, all you need 229 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:04,560 Speaker 1: to do is head over to bettingpros dot com slash 230 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 1: fan Duel to get started. That's bettingpros dot Com slash FanDuel. 231 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: Make your plays on FanDuel today, make a bet five 232 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:16,480 Speaker 1: dollars and try to win two hundred and fifty dollars. Okay, 233 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,040 Speaker 1: So the stage is now set. It's Game five. The 234 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 1: series shifts back to Edmonton. As expected, the Oilers are 235 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 1: Favorites minus one fifteen, minus one twenty, Panthers around plus 236 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:30,199 Speaker 1: one oh five. I can't read what that says on 237 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:32,400 Speaker 1: the screen. Pinnacle plus one oh seven maybe, but they're 238 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: in the plus one one oh seven, so plus one 239 00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 1: oh five plus one ten range. Before we talk about 240 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:39,080 Speaker 1: the total, which is I feel like going to be 241 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 1: a bit of a topic of conversation. What do you 242 00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 1: think about that opening line? I think it's pretty pretty 243 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 1: in line with what I expected. 244 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:47,839 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's actually exactly in line with what I figured 245 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 2: it would come out. And that's it's kind of the 246 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 2: let's let's concede that these teams are incredibly close together 247 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 2: and that Edmonton at home should have I mean, they 248 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,959 Speaker 2: should be favored and so, but I wouldn't I would 249 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 2: want Florida to go much higher than that, because then 250 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:03,959 Speaker 2: I would then I would start to feel like I 251 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,320 Speaker 2: would almost want to bet them. So I am fine 252 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 2: at minus one fifteen or plus one or seven. I 253 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 2: think those are actually really good numbers. 254 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think of anything, I was thinking, Oilers maybe 255 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 1: one fifteen, one twenty, and Panther is closer to even money. 256 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 1: I'm actually surprised that it is as high as one 257 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 1: oh seven not enough to make me want to bet it. 258 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:22,320 Speaker 1: I am going to put some money on the Oilers, 259 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 1: but if anything, maybe Panthers. But again, the home ice 260 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:27,959 Speaker 1: advantage is a big deal. And then the over under 261 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: it's I feel like it's gonna be six and a 262 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:33,679 Speaker 1: half probably the rest of this series unless something crazy happens. 263 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 1: I did notice there aren't a lot of places to 264 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:39,839 Speaker 1: get a six. I've been taking over six the first well, 265 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 1: I took the under for Game three. That was the 266 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:43,560 Speaker 1: only time I took the under. But every other time 267 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:46,679 Speaker 1: six over over over, it's gone to six and a 268 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:48,720 Speaker 1: half pretty much everywhere they are gonna make or they 269 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 1: are gonna make it a little bit profitable at plus 270 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 1: one oh five, it's juice to the under. This time 271 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: at minus six at minus one twenty for six and 272 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,680 Speaker 1: a half. So what are your thoughts on the total there? Yeah? 273 00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:01,600 Speaker 2: I think part of my thought is how many games 274 00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 2: do we have to see before before we're like, maybe 275 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 2: maybe seven goals might get scored here. I you know, 276 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 2: I really, really truly believe that the game three was 277 00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:13,959 Speaker 2: the one that was going to go under, and it 278 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 2: sat there at hung there, But then the other three 279 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 2: I'm like, I don't know what we're I don't know 280 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:21,320 Speaker 2: what we're doing four to three and overtime seems to 281 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:24,079 Speaker 2: be like the play that I would think of prior 282 00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:26,840 Speaker 2: to all of the games. So no, And I think 283 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 2: when the first four games go over six and a half, like, 284 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,520 Speaker 2: how do you offer an over six? Like? How do 285 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:34,679 Speaker 2: you give them that? And I kind of want to 286 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 2: see as people keep thinking about it, how like what 287 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:40,679 Speaker 2: good odds can we get on the over six and 288 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 2: a half? Like just how high up can we get 289 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 2: that to go? And I think people are going to 290 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 2: overthink it and if it if it gets to I mean, 291 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 2: I've already bet it. I think I got it at 292 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 2: a plus one fifteen somewhere. 293 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 1: So we're actually on opposite sides of that one and 294 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:55,080 Speaker 1: we'll talk talk about that and the reason behind that. 295 00:12:55,200 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 1: But very exciting for game five. Could it be a 296 00:12:57,520 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 1: repeat of last year we talked you know again last 297 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:01,360 Speaker 1: time there down three to zero in the series, they 298 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 1: start coming back. Anytime they seem to face adversity, they 299 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 1: are coming back. I don't want to say the Oilers 300 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 1: are invincible, but they do seem like they just have 301 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 1: maybe the ninth live there. It's another game, they come 302 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:15,720 Speaker 1: back from the deficit. As we mentioned thirty seven and one, now, 303 00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 1: teams that are up three to nothing in a Stanley 304 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:20,480 Speaker 1: Cup finals game to win the game. Oilers are the 305 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 1: first team to do that. And then when you look 306 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 1: at who scored and who's done what, you know, we 307 00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:27,679 Speaker 1: get another three points from dry Sidle, we get one 308 00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:30,480 Speaker 1: from McDavid. They're both tied with thirty two in the 309 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:33,719 Speaker 1: Stanley Cup playoffs. To Chuck is the closest Panther and 310 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,120 Speaker 1: he's only got twenty one, so he's eleven points back 311 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:39,720 Speaker 1: of both of those players. Dry Sidle and McDavid also 312 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: both lead this series with seven and six points. And 313 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 1: then on the flip side for the Panthers, Sam Bennett 314 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: has six. He is Bennett, Marshawn and dry Sidle are 315 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:51,199 Speaker 1: leading the way all there with four goals. So as 316 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 1: we go into Game five, we saw it with the 317 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:55,840 Speaker 1: way Edmonton came back. They're three goals in the second 318 00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 1: period were a lot more of their depth pieces. Do 319 00:13:58,320 --> 00:13:59,959 Speaker 1: you think the depth is going to play another role 320 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 1: in Game five? Are we going to keep rolling with 321 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 1: dry Sidle, McDavid, Bennett, Ryan Hart, Yeah. 322 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,560 Speaker 2: I mean I'm going to roll with the latter. I 323 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 2: think I feel like the depth is always going to 324 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 2: play a role. And if if the Oilers can get 325 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 2: something from lines three or four, and any goal from 326 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 2: lines three or four is would be fantastic. But no, 327 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 2: I mean, I just keep coming back to I feel 328 00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:26,440 Speaker 2: like it's just going to come down to it's gonna 329 00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 2: come down to that top line for Edmonton doing what 330 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 2: they can do. And and if again, like if Kine 331 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 2: could come in and do something like the ones we 332 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 2: saw Connor Brown, I'm not gonna even try today. It's 333 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 2: like I'm seeing Walman's who are like, yeah, that's great, 334 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 2: and I really like that. But I'm like, in terms 335 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 2: of like what are we going to rely on from 336 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:52,400 Speaker 2: a betting perspective, I'm this to me going home. This 337 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 2: is where we just start going at what Dry, Sidle 338 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 2: and McDavid could get done. 339 00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 1: I agree, it's every time I try to say sathing, 340 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 1: it's gonna be the deepest cut that nobody is ever 341 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 1: going to get. But there used to be these old 342 00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: commercials in the nineties for a watch brand called Esquire, 343 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 1: and they'd get these Canadian athletes to just say, like 344 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: their name Esquire, and there used to be. I think 345 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: he was a skier named Scott Pazinski, and he would 346 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 1: say Scott Pazinski, esquire if anybody can remember that, that's 347 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 1: who that reminds me of there as well, And I 348 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,200 Speaker 1: got to agree. This has been the series where the 349 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 1: stars have shown up. The only player to record a 350 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: point in each and every game of this series so 351 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 1: far is Sam Bennett. He has two to one. Sorry, 352 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 1: he's got two to one, one and one, so he's 353 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 1: a good bet. They're starting to get juicy though, like 354 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:39,600 Speaker 1: even Connor McDavid two points in Game five is minus 355 00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:43,120 Speaker 1: one twenty five. Issue is going to continue to be penalties. 356 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 1: There were four power plays on each side. The Panther 357 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 1: scored on two of them, the Oilers scored on one 358 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 1: of them. We've talked about this before as well, that 359 00:15:51,160 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 1: the refs it doesn't look like they're going to open 360 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: it up and just let them go. It looks like 361 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 1: they're going to keep calling a pretty tight game. So 362 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,320 Speaker 1: who do you think that favors. 363 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:00,560 Speaker 2: That's actually a really interesting question that I thought of 364 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 2: when when I was prepping for the show, that you know, 365 00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 2: a let's give it up for Edmonton not giving them 366 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 2: eleven power plays like that was that's fun hockey. I 367 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 2: mean only four, which is terrible, but I'm okay with it. 368 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:16,800 Speaker 2: I think it benefits Edmonton a smidge more, just because 369 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 2: if they're going to call it tighter and Florida is 370 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 2: a more physical team, I think that that's that there 371 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 2: might be one or two calls that get in there that, 372 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 2: you know, if we were going to just let them ride, 373 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 2: there's no way they would call it. Now. If that 374 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 2: continues into Game five is the question, because I feel 375 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 2: like they could actually go with, okay, well now we're 376 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 2: gonna let them get more physical, which would benefit Florida. 377 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 2: So yeah, I don't know, and I don't know why Edmonton. 378 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 2: They usually do a pretty good job of staying out 379 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 2: of power plays, but I think the ones last night 380 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 2: at least, if we're gonna look at the positive, we're 381 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 2: kind of genuine like power play opportunities, not like we 382 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 2: got baited into something stupid penalties. So that's yeah. 383 00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 1: They they did seem to play a little bit of 384 00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:00,920 Speaker 1: a smarter game. And then one issue might be Ryan 385 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:04,919 Speaker 1: nushen Hopkins, big participant of the penalty kill. He's nursing 386 00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:06,800 Speaker 1: an injury. We don't really quite know what's going on there. 387 00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:10,040 Speaker 1: He was questionable before Game three and he played, but 388 00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:11,639 Speaker 1: he's still out there on the penalty kill, so you 389 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 1: have to wonder if that can be a factor. They're 390 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: relying on him to be a producer on offense as well, 391 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,639 Speaker 1: and he's on the penalty kill, so you have to 392 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 1: think one of Edmonton's biggest priorities has to be staying 393 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:23,640 Speaker 1: out of the box, because I mean, obviously you don't 394 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:25,520 Speaker 1: want to give the other team the advantage, but Florida's 395 00:17:25,520 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 1: done a really good job of making them pay and 396 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:30,080 Speaker 1: they're scoring on those power plays and they can continue 397 00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:32,919 Speaker 1: to do so, which will be interesting. And again we 398 00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:35,720 Speaker 1: touched on the goalie situation already as well, whether it's 399 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: Picard or whether it's going to be Stuart Skinner and 400 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 1: Bobroski let in the softie there in overtime, but he 401 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:42,639 Speaker 1: did make a bunch of big stops. He's still got 402 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 1: a safe percentage of nine to one to two. So 403 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:49,400 Speaker 1: two scenarios, it's Bobroski versus Skinner who has the advantage. 404 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 1: If it's Bobroski versus Picard who gets the advantage, is 405 00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:54,879 Speaker 1: it still going to be Florida regardless, or do you 406 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 1: think Edmonton can get an edge in net? 407 00:17:57,800 --> 00:17:59,919 Speaker 2: No, No, it's about it's Bobovski. We're not even going 408 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:04,160 Speaker 2: We don't I like to discuss some things. That one 409 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,960 Speaker 2: is not a discussion, Like he's just got the experience 410 00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:09,919 Speaker 2: and I don't. It doesn't matter what Skinner or Pacard 411 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 2: doing that, they're just not They're not gonna measure up. 412 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:14,399 Speaker 2: I mean I even had a dream last night like that. 413 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 2: I was just like, what would it be like if 414 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:18,880 Speaker 2: we put both Skinner and Picard in that? Like could 415 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:20,159 Speaker 2: we cover more ground? 416 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:21,920 Speaker 1: Like a long trench shot? 417 00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:26,440 Speaker 2: I'm like, just would we be able to stop them? So, yeah, 418 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:28,200 Speaker 2: I know it's always gonna be Bioroshki. 419 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 1: H and Babrowski's gone his saves prop has gone over 420 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:33,439 Speaker 1: in all four games so far this series. Is that 421 00:18:33,520 --> 00:18:35,760 Speaker 1: something you're looking at for game five or do you 422 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,960 Speaker 1: think that maybe this is like does anything correct or 423 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:40,200 Speaker 1: it's just over over over. 424 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's gonna go over, but I think 425 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:44,880 Speaker 2: they're gonna raise the number and like once you're there, 426 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,720 Speaker 2: then you know how high will it go? Before You're like, 427 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 2: it's just you know, even before overtimes. He has crossed 428 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:56,040 Speaker 2: the number they've put up in every game, and I'm like, 429 00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:58,240 Speaker 2: I just feel like, you know, we might see a 430 00:18:58,240 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 2: twenty seven and a half, we might see a twenty 431 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 2: eight and a half, but probably not. I would say 432 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:03,000 Speaker 2: it's gonna bump to twenty seven. 433 00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:06,439 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think they're gonna they're just gonna keep 434 00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 1: pumping it up there because I think everyone's just been 435 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,440 Speaker 1: on those numbers and they're gonna have to start correcting 436 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:13,440 Speaker 1: them before we get into our best bets. I did 437 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:15,440 Speaker 1: want to talk to you about the NHL prop bet 438 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:18,160 Speaker 1: cheat sheet, So if you are betting on Game five 439 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:20,960 Speaker 1: tomorrow night, you need to be using the NHL prop 440 00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:24,080 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. It shows you the very best play values, 441 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:27,440 Speaker 1: very best value plays each and every day. You can 442 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:31,040 Speaker 1: get daily prop bet value rankings based on projections, find 443 00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:34,720 Speaker 1: the best props for shots on goal, points, saves, and more. 444 00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 1: Use it now at bettingpros dot com, slash NHL props 445 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:41,920 Speaker 1: or on the Betting Pros app So I've been heavy 446 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 1: on there for not only the NHL, but the w 447 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:46,880 Speaker 1: NBA and the NBA Finals as well. So that's where 448 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:50,119 Speaker 1: you want to be if you want to be betting props. Okay, 449 00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:52,600 Speaker 1: so let's start talking about Game five. Let's start talking 450 00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:53,240 Speaker 1: about our bets. 451 00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 3: Bets. 452 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 1: I'm gonna kick it off here. I like the Edmonton 453 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:59,640 Speaker 1: Oilers at minus one twenty. I think they're the team 454 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,760 Speaker 1: of death. I still think they're the team that wins 455 00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:03,640 Speaker 1: the Stanley Cup. I've got them to win the Cup. 456 00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:05,240 Speaker 1: I've got them to win game one in the Cup. 457 00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:07,399 Speaker 1: Might as well take them to win Game five as well. 458 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 1: I think the home ice advantage is going to be 459 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,240 Speaker 1: just enough, and I do think they have enough momentum 460 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,399 Speaker 1: coming out of Florida. They get the split, it gets 461 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:19,160 Speaker 1: a game they should not have won. They're coming back 462 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:22,040 Speaker 1: home now. I like them on home ice minus one twenty. 463 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 1: If you want to get a little bit interesting, you 464 00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 1: want plus money. Look at them to win in sixty minutes. 465 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 1: I don't think this game goes to overtime. I am 466 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:32,920 Speaker 1: flipping the script and taking under six and a half 467 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:35,159 Speaker 1: or minus one twenty. And here's the interesting thing. If 468 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,840 Speaker 1: I can find a six, I might punt out of 469 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:41,120 Speaker 1: this and take over on the six. But that half 470 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 1: a goal does mean something to me because the push 471 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 1: potential is essentially, in my mind, a win. So you 472 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 1: almost have sort of insurance there. But at some point, 473 00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:53,160 Speaker 1: I do think in this series we will inevitably see 474 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,280 Speaker 1: an under six and a half. Does this game series 475 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:58,199 Speaker 1: go seven, It's very possible we could see that, but 476 00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:01,679 Speaker 1: I do think this is another instant where whoever wins 477 00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:04,480 Speaker 1: Game six is very likely to win the Stanley Cup. 478 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,959 Speaker 1: So having said that, I do think, and I always say, 479 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,199 Speaker 1: if the Oilers win, take the over, and again if 480 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,080 Speaker 1: you can get a six punt out of this and 481 00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 1: take the over six. But I do think at some 482 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:15,920 Speaker 1: point we're going to see a game where there aren't 483 00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 1: a million goals scored. I'm going to bet on not 484 00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 1: being Game five for under six and a half. And 485 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 1: actually when I put this graphic together, the only bet 486 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:23,960 Speaker 1: that's different from the last time we did it was 487 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 1: the under because I've got to go back to Brad Marshawn. 488 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:28,760 Speaker 1: Last time I bet it was minus one twenty. Now 489 00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:31,680 Speaker 1: it's even money for him just to record a point. 490 00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:34,360 Speaker 1: As I mentioned, he's got four points in this series. 491 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 1: He had one in Game two, two in Game two, 492 00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 1: one in Game three, and he didn't get a point 493 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:41,440 Speaker 1: in Game four. I think he's going to be ready. 494 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 1: I think he's going to play a lot of minutes. 495 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 1: I think they're going to four Panthers are going to 496 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:47,400 Speaker 1: rely on him. So it's also sort of a safety 497 00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:50,359 Speaker 1: net for myself as wealthy others don't win this game. 498 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,040 Speaker 1: I think that Marshaw might be a reason why. So 499 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:55,359 Speaker 1: I'm going to take Marshawan to record a point for 500 00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 1: plus one hundred. What do you got? 501 00:21:58,359 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 2: What do I got? Well, first, I was going to 502 00:21:59,920 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 2: my like, if you're a neutral party, if you're not me, 503 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 2: and you want to put some money on the pl 504 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 2: like closer to game time, when Florida is on the 505 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:09,879 Speaker 2: money line, that plus numbers is high, it's going to 506 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,320 Speaker 2: get I would throw it on there. And then assuming 507 00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 2: Florida's gonna score first, and then you should be able 508 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,800 Speaker 2: to get plus money on the oilers, like you know immediately. 509 00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:20,159 Speaker 2: So if you want to like hedge a little bit, 510 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 2: you can do it that way. I am. I'm taking 511 00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:26,679 Speaker 2: the over. It's not on the slide. I just the 512 00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 2: over six and a half at home. I've tweeted it 513 00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:32,000 Speaker 2: so many times at this point it feels dumb, but 514 00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 2: you know, death taxes and the over in Edmonton, Like 515 00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 2: I just feel like it's just gonna keep going the 516 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:39,520 Speaker 2: way it's going. And like I said, that four to 517 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,200 Speaker 2: three feel is just it's just there. It's constantly there. 518 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 2: So so those are the two non props when it 519 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 2: comes to props themselves. Like you said, the McDavid two points, 520 00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:53,359 Speaker 2: I'm not betting that at at minus money like that 521 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,320 Speaker 2: just doesn't. He probably will, but I don't think it's 522 00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 2: worth that. So I'm gonna go with the two plus assists. 523 00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,560 Speaker 2: He has a scored yet, I feel like or he 524 00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 2: hasn't towared lately. I feel like he's that he's due 525 00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,280 Speaker 2: for that as well, but I think that the amount 526 00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,679 Speaker 2: he's facilitating in the way that they kind of let 527 00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:12,239 Speaker 2: him cross the line again last night, I feel like 528 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,879 Speaker 2: the two assists are there and power plays, et cetera. 529 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,720 Speaker 2: And tied to that, I think Evan Bouchard for an 530 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 2: any time goal at plus four fifty is absurd. So 531 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,680 Speaker 2: he's on the power play, he's with McDonald or McDavid 532 00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 2: and dry Cidle and Newton Hopkins all of the time, 533 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 2: and he shoots constantly, like you know, yeah, he only 534 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,440 Speaker 2: shot three. He only got three shots on goal yesterday, 535 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 2: but prior to that it was seven goals eight or 536 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:40,200 Speaker 2: eight shots, nine shots, like, I mean, it's just he's 537 00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:41,760 Speaker 2: gonna I think at some point it's going to go 538 00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 2: in again like it did in Game two. And then 539 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:48,600 Speaker 2: I put Sam squared one point each. I like both 540 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 2: Bennett and Ryan Hurt to pick up a goal in 541 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,920 Speaker 2: this game, and their odds alone are not too bad. 542 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:57,200 Speaker 2: But if you put them together, then you're at plus 543 00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,359 Speaker 2: one sixty eight. So and mostly between you and me, 544 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,320 Speaker 2: I just wanted to the superscript and writes stand so 545 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:05,080 Speaker 2: there's also that. But yeah, so that's why I'm rolling it. 546 00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:08,080 Speaker 1: And I like to McDavid play too there to assist 547 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:09,960 Speaker 1: plus one fifty four. As you mentioned, he hasn't scored 548 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:12,720 Speaker 1: in the finals yet, and he I mean, it's not 549 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:14,879 Speaker 1: for lack of trying. He's been there. He's had some 550 00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 1: good opportunities. Last night, I had a great opportunity where 551 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,399 Speaker 1: he skied through a lot of the defense there. But 552 00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,360 Speaker 1: he's been playing facilitator very very well, and he sort 553 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:24,919 Speaker 1: of let dry Sidle take over that role of you 554 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,800 Speaker 1: go and score these goals, and he's been perfectly fine 555 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:30,840 Speaker 1: with that. So I didn't initially have McDavid as an 556 00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:34,200 Speaker 1: anytime goal scorer. I might still bet that that's something 557 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,200 Speaker 1: that the books might like to do a super boost 558 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 1: on or a bet boost on, and maybe you get 559 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:41,360 Speaker 1: him for plus two hundred or over in game five, 560 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:43,239 Speaker 1: at which point I do like that. Right now it's 561 00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:45,359 Speaker 1: around plus one forty. I just don't think the value 562 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,680 Speaker 1: is there because he hasn't scored yet, so you could 563 00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:49,560 Speaker 1: say he's due. I'm going to look at it more 564 00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:51,439 Speaker 1: like if I'm taking the under. I've already got a 565 00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: point prop there. I'm probably not going to get too 566 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,640 Speaker 1: heavy into the overs there, but that could all change. 567 00:24:56,680 --> 00:25:00,159 Speaker 1: I also really like the strategy to of wait for 568 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,840 Speaker 1: the Oilers to inevitably go down. Even I should have 569 00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:05,479 Speaker 1: checked what the odds were last night when they were 570 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 1: down three to nothing after the first period, because it 571 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,040 Speaker 1: could have been plus six seven hundred. That that would 572 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:13,680 Speaker 1: have been I think worth a sprinkle on, and I 573 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:15,880 Speaker 1: think something to keep in mind for game five too. 574 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:17,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it was plus six twenty. I looked 575 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 2: at it, and again, if I hadn't had the worst 576 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 2: week ever, I probably I might have tried it, or 577 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:28,160 Speaker 2: maybe I should have anyway, But yeah, it's uh. But again, 578 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,520 Speaker 2: like with if whichever team starts at plus money. I've 579 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:32,640 Speaker 2: been doing that a little bit where then I head 580 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:35,600 Speaker 2: when the other team scores first, and for sure in 581 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:36,800 Speaker 2: this one I would do it. 582 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 1: So there you go. And on that note, that's really 583 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 1: all we have to talk about for game five. So 584 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:44,600 Speaker 1: before we get out of here, let people know where 585 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,200 Speaker 1: they can find you on socials and on betting pros. 586 00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:50,360 Speaker 2: All right, so on socials, on Twitter slash x, I'm 587 00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 2: at the Wonky Penguin, and on Blue Sky I'm at 588 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,120 Speaker 2: the Wonky Penguin. And I should probably even this up early. 589 00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,920 Speaker 2: On betting pros because I'm betting pros. I am, it's 590 00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot com. You slash won Keep Penguin. There's no 591 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:05,919 Speaker 2: no so may I might talk to Blaine about that, 592 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 2: but great to get. 593 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:11,440 Speaker 1: That fixed up. I'm at Tyler Coddium across Socials, Bettingpros 594 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:14,399 Speaker 1: dot Com, slash slash Tyler Condium. As a render. We 595 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,120 Speaker 1: will be back next Tuesday because there will still be 596 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,159 Speaker 1: more hockey as we're getting close to the end of 597 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:21,960 Speaker 1: the Stanley Cup finals here. If you're watching this on YouTube, 598 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,960 Speaker 1: make sure you follow and subscribe on Twitch, Twitch dot 599 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 1: Tv slash Fantasy Pros so you can join us live 600 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 1: next Tuesday, where hopefully we're talking about someone being on 601 00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: the verge of winning the Stanley Cup. So thank you, 602 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:38,040 Speaker 1: enjoy your weekend, go oilers, and we'll see you next week. 603 00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 604 00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:43,240 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 605 00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,679 Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 606 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,560 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 607 00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:53,359 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 608 00:26:53,400 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros s