1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,640 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:08,560 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff give you, guys, the best independent 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 2: coverage that is possible. If you like what we're all about, 7 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 2: it just means the absolute world to have your support. 8 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 2: But enough with that, let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody, 9 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 2: Happy Thursday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 10 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 2: What do we have, Crystal? 11 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: Indeed we do because soccer is back. Congratulations, my friend. 12 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:34,239 Speaker 2: Appreciate you still getting used to this wedding ring? I'm 13 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 2: not so sure. 14 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, a little weird? Looks goody weird? 15 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:38,239 Speaker 2: What do we have? 16 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: Notice? Is there? Very all right? So a lot to 17 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: get to you in the show. Biden gave his long 18 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 1: awaited I Guess address last night, so we'll give you 19 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: some highlights if you want to call it that, from 20 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 1: that very brief interesting break that down for you. We 21 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 1: also have new polls helping us to understand where Kamala 22 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: Harris is in the presidential race visa v. Joe Biden. 23 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 1: A though I Still it's a little bit early to 24 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: see how all of this is going to settle out, 25 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:05,199 Speaker 1: but we're going to dig into how she's doing among 26 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: different demographic groups, vis of you, Biden. We're also going 27 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:09,479 Speaker 1: to take a look at I wanted to specifically get 28 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 1: saggered away in on this, the Republican attacks against Kamala 29 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 1: Harris and how those are going. You have the whole 30 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:18,399 Speaker 1: Dei thing. You had a comment about her being the 31 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 1: quote original hawk Tua girl. You now have the added 32 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 1: attack that she is insufficiently pro Israel, this one coming 33 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: from Trump himself and Lindsay Garceta. We'll go through them 34 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: and talk about all of that. We also have the 35 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: latest in terms of her deep steaks. Now that she 36 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: is effectively the presumptive nominee, who is she looking at? 37 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 1: What are their strengths and weaknesses? Who is most likely 38 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: to make the cut. Yesterday, Baby Net yahoo in town. 39 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: He's actually still in town today. He's meeting with Biden 40 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: and Harris. But yesterday he gave his big address to Congress. 41 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: It was, in my opinion, disgusting. But we'll show you 42 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: some of that as well and the reaction to it. 43 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: And we also are taking a look at the latest 44 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: revelations with regard to the attempted assassination attempt, attempt at 45 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 1: assassination attempt, the assassination attempt on Trump's life, and what 46 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 1: we are learning from now the FBI director about the 47 00:02:09,520 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 1: stunning security failures. Earlier this week, the Secret Service director 48 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,799 Speaker 1: finally stepped down. It was insane that it even took 49 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:18,959 Speaker 1: the length of time that it did. So we'll bring 50 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: you all of those details, which just continue, honestly to shock. 51 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 2: The entire thing is. While it's one of those stories 52 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,959 Speaker 2: that I actually was unable to unglue myself from it. 53 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 2: When I saw that clip of Rocanna and her and 54 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 2: she didn't know what happened with the reken director, I couldn't. 55 00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:35,640 Speaker 2: I was like, this is the most insane thing. And 56 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 2: then more and more of the details just absolutely stunning, 57 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:39,799 Speaker 2: top to bottom failure. 58 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: The agents needs to be good, wouldn't answer any just 59 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 1: basically how many agents were there? Won't say why wasn't 60 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 1: there someone there, won't say how many bullet cases were 61 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 1: I mean, it's just insane. 62 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 2: We're getting more detail only from the FBI director, luckily, 63 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 2: and I'm sure as the months go on, we're gonna 64 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 2: learn even more about it. Thank you to our our 65 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 2: premum subscribers. We appreciate you. We are gearing up. We 66 00:02:57,880 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 2: are so ready for the DNC. We're gonna be on 67 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 2: the around exclusive coverage the entire crew there. So sign 68 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 2: up Breakingpoints dot com. We're gonna have some exciting news 69 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:07,639 Speaker 2: soon for premium members. But let's go ahead and start. 70 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 2: As Crystal said, with Joe Biden, he finally broke his silence. 71 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 2: We hadn't heard from him in quite a long time. 72 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 2: He issued a letter, he called in. There was a 73 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 2: lot of speculations to his health condition, etc. He's actually alive. 74 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 2: What's happening. He's given us proof of life a couple 75 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 2: of times. We finally appeared on camera to make his 76 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:26,360 Speaker 2: announcement about why he is not running again. Very brief remarks, 77 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:28,799 Speaker 2: and you can see his age really shining through. We've 78 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 2: cut a little bit of that announcement and we're going 79 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 2: to talk a little bit about what he said. Let's 80 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 2: take a listen, my fellow Americans. 81 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 3: I'm speaking of tonight from behind the resolute tesk in 82 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 3: the Oval Office, in this sacred space, I'm surrounded by 83 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 3: portraits extraordinary American presidents Thomas Jefferson wrote the immortal words 84 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 3: that guide this nation. George Washington, who showed us presidents 85 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 3: are not kings. Abraham Lincoln, who implored us to reject malice, 86 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 3: Franklin Roosevelt, who inspired us to reject fear. I revere 87 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 3: this office, but I love my country more. It's been 88 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 3: the honor of my life to serve as your president. 89 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 3: But in the defense of democracy, which is at stake, 90 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 3: I think is more important than any title. I draw 91 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:24,159 Speaker 3: strength and I find joy in working for the American people. 92 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:30,040 Speaker 3: But this sacred task of perfecting our union, it's not 93 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 3: about me. It's about you, your families, your futures. It's 94 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 3: about we, the people. We can never forget that, and 95 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 3: I never have. So I've decided the best way forward 96 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:48,360 Speaker 3: is to pass the torch to a new generation. That's 97 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 3: the best way to denne our nation. You know, there 98 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 3: is a time and a place for long years of 99 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 3: experience in public life. There's also a time and a 100 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 3: place for new voices, fresh voices, yes, younger voices, and 101 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 3: that time and places. Now, I'd like to thank our 102 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 3: great Vice President Kamala Harris. She experienced, she's tough, she's capable. 103 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,719 Speaker 3: She's been an incredible partner to me and the leader 104 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 3: for our country. Now the choice is up to you, 105 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 3: the American people. Nowhere else on earth could a kid 106 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:28,880 Speaker 3: with a stutter from modest beginning to Scranton, Pennsylvania, Claimont, 107 00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:32,839 Speaker 3: Delaware one day sit behind the Resolute desk in the 108 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:36,039 Speaker 3: Oval Office as President of United States. But here, I 109 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:39,279 Speaker 3: am that's what's so special about America. 110 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 2: I mean, this is incredibly stunning, Crystal. I mean, just 111 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 2: to reflect a little bit back on the history of it, 112 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 2: I've been thinking a lot about that. The nineteen sixty 113 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:48,360 Speaker 2: eight parallels are out of control. 114 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 4: Here. 115 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 2: We literally have an RFK in the race, a one 116 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 2: term Democratic president deciding at the last minute not to 117 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 2: run for re election. He's endorsing his vice president. The 118 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:00,600 Speaker 2: vice president now has the noose around the next possibly 119 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 2: running better than the current president would have, but has 120 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 2: to contend with unpopular foreign wars and the domestic turmoil 121 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 2: that has been wrought under their presidency. I haven't gotten 122 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 2: yet a chance to even just consider how historic and 123 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 2: crazy it actually is. I know that things have been 124 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 2: moving so quickly for everybody here at the desk, But 125 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 2: let's take a moment and pause that this is a 126 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 2: shocking turn of events. Theodore Roosevelt, London B. Johnson, and 127 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 2: now Joe Biden. You know, the three presidents who meaningfully 128 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 2: could have run. I guess George Washington too, meaningfully could 129 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 2: have run for another term, and choosing not to do 130 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 2: so is a stunning admission, at least in the two 131 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:41,479 Speaker 2: cases of LBJ. In here, I could not win. I 132 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,280 Speaker 2: am not the best standard bearer. And I know you've 133 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 2: waited on this too, but I can't tell you how 134 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 2: annoyed I was reading all this hit. What a stunning 135 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 2: and heroic There's no heroism in dodging the primary, and 136 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 2: you know by your own incompetence and arrogance agreeing to 137 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:01,359 Speaker 2: an early debate, then being forced out by Democratic primary elites, 138 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 2: not actually Democratic voters, who then you have the anointing 139 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 2: of your vice president that nobody's actually cast any real 140 00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 2: votes here before you're even going into the convention, So 141 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 2: it might be as anti democratic as a process as 142 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 2: it is. I am glad that he's gone. I mean honestly, 143 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:18,240 Speaker 2: even watching that, I was cringing the entire time. I said, 144 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 2: this man needs to go today, Like this is an 145 00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 2: urgent national security crisis. Now, he continued throughout it, saying, Oh, 146 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 2: I still am up for the job. I'm gonna continue 147 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 2: the world. I'm like, dude, you got to go. Like 148 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:31,840 Speaker 2: his decline just in the last two months is out 149 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 2: of control, just truly stunning. 150 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 1: So, to be honest with you, I felt like a 151 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 1: sense of relief watching it that I didn't have to 152 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 1: like hold my breath as much from at least there's 153 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 1: a short time frame left for this guy to be 154 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 1: president of the United States. And I suspect that a 155 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 1: lot of Democrats felt the same way because this was 156 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,400 Speaker 1: a short this was twelve minutes off of teleponpt Like 157 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 1: this should be a gimme for any replacement level politician 158 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 1: out there. And still it's tortured. Still, there were times 159 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: where he's struggling to get the words out, struggling to 160 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 1: read the teleprompter, and so you know, at the same time, 161 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 1: he's not saying anything about the real reasons he left. 162 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 1: Number One, that he was absolutely pressured out, dragged, kicking 163 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: and screaming to this decision. It was only when he 164 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: realized that Pelosi, Obama and co. Were not going to relent. 165 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: In her words, we can do this the easy way, 166 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: or we can do this the hard way. That he 167 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: finally gives up the ghost. So he's not acknowledging that. 168 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: He's certainly not acknowledging the fact that his decline became 169 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:33,680 Speaker 1: so manifestly clear that you had an overwhelming majority of 170 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 1: Democratic voters who were like, dude, come on, hang it up. 171 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 1: So none of that is outwardly acknowledged, and yet it 172 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 1: clearly hangs over this speech, in the quality of his 173 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 1: voice at this point, in the energy level of the delivery, 174 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: in the inability, even in a short speech like this 175 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 1: that he clearly, you know, spent days preparing for, to 176 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:59,679 Speaker 1: deliver it smoothly with any sort of life and vitality, 177 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 1: even though it went unspoken, those things were all very clear. 178 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 1: I mean, obviously, this is his attempt to try to 179 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:10,559 Speaker 1: define his legacy, right, This is his attempt to lean 180 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: into the story of his great selflessness and heroism, which 181 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:19,960 Speaker 1: is preposterous because if you truly were this self sacrificing 182 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 1: person who cares first and foremost about defeating Donald Trump, 183 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: even if you, if you accept that frame, he has 184 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 1: put his party in a very very difficult position in 185 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:33,559 Speaker 1: order to do that because while we'll get to the polls, 186 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 1: Kamala Harris already performed better than he is, she is 187 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 1: still one of the weaker candidates that Democrats could put forward. 188 00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:43,359 Speaker 1: And so not only did you forestall did you completely 189 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 1: block any sort of a democratic primary process that would 190 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: have enabled Democrats to evaluate their choices to side for 191 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,679 Speaker 1: themselves who would be the strongest candidate to go up 192 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 1: against Donald Trump. But then you anoint perhaps the second 193 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 1: weakest candidate to go up against Trump. So, even by 194 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:02,440 Speaker 1: your own match of like it's all just about preserving 195 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 1: democracy defeating Donald Trump returned to normalcy, even by that metric, 196 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:12,200 Speaker 1: you have done so much damage to your own parties 197 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:15,120 Speaker 1: and your own stated cause. And then, of course, I 198 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 1: mean the atrocities in Gaza go without saying in terms 199 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 1: of this being a great moral, compassionate, selfless blah blah blah. 200 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 1: But you know, even by his own standards, he has 201 00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:27,439 Speaker 1: dealt his party such an incredible blow. 202 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 2: The party, the blow, the country a blow too. It's 203 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,680 Speaker 2: genuinely dishonest and insane that you were functioning at this 204 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 2: level that the people around you in betrayal. It is 205 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 2: a betrayal of everything. I mean and if you continue. 206 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 2: For people who watch the speech, he said very clearly, 207 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 2: I believe that I have a legacy that I could 208 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 2: run for another term. He's still to this day is 209 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:49,080 Speaker 2: not accepting his own limitations. I mean, the arrogance of 210 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 2: this man is just so unperilous. Part of the reason 211 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 2: I really didn't ever believe he would drop out. I 212 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 2: guess what I didn't factor in was the level of 213 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 2: effort that Nancy Pelosi is yea and the donors actually 214 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,880 Speaker 2: were willing to exercise. It's also interesting too, because there's 215 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 2: some differences I think between the Republicans and others where 216 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,200 Speaker 2: the party institutions in the Democratic Party, when they want 217 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 2: to be are very strong. When keeping Bernie Sanders out, 218 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,439 Speaker 2: they're like, hey, this is not happening period. We will 219 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 2: rig this thing til the end. Same here anointing Kamala, 220 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 2: I mean, Crystal, how nuts is it that they didn't 221 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:23,920 Speaker 2: even have a semblance of an open primary. You basically 222 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 2: had Kamala and then boom, it was like all these 223 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 2: members of Congress, Nancy Pelosi came out Obama, a few 224 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 2: others haven't done so, but so many others were pressured 225 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:35,079 Speaker 2: into where why is why? Wasn't a Gavin Newsomb or 226 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 2: a Josh Shapiro or an Andy Basheer or any of 227 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 2: these folks even allowed to throw their hat in the ring. 228 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 2: I mean, I personally, if I were the Democrats, I'm 229 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 2: picking Andy Basheer at Gaffin. I mean, I think both 230 00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 2: those guys could win by a couple of percentage points 231 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:50,000 Speaker 2: if they wanted to. Kamala. I mean, I'm still putting 232 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 2: her around forty percent right now. We'll talk about this 233 00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:54,880 Speaker 2: throughout the show. Definitely better than the ten percent I'd 234 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:56,960 Speaker 2: give Biden. But I mean, you know, do you. 235 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: Want to go all in with a forty percent hand? 236 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 2: I don't. I certainly don't. 237 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:03,080 Speaker 1: There is no doubt that, just judging based on the 238 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 1: data past performance, that Democrats have many stronger candidates that 239 00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: they could put in. And I mean, let's not pretend 240 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,760 Speaker 1: like an open convention is like a democratic process. But 241 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 1: at least there's some ability for people to evaluate and 242 00:12:15,280 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 1: put pressure on those delegates and some sort of transparent process. 243 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's a couple things like, Yes, 244 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 1: the party apparatus in the Democratic Party has shown itself 245 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:31,439 Speaker 1: to be more coordinated and more powerful than the Republican 246 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 1: Party apparatus. But the other thing is, like, if we 247 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 1: think about, you know, an attempt to displace Trump, Trump 248 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: has a genuine, gross rates grassroots movement behind him. Joe 249 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 1: Biden does it. He never has, like he's there because 250 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 1: of elites. And they decided to pull his card and 251 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 1: that was that because there wasn't going to be any 252 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:51,079 Speaker 1: sort of outcry from the people or whatever. None of 253 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 1: the powerful politicians behind the scenes, Pelosi and Obama primarily, 254 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: they had nothing to fear from going hard against him, 255 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 1: and he had nothing to fall back on. So, yeah, 256 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 1: there's numbers out there now ninety percent of the public, 257 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:08,720 Speaker 1: including roughly similar numbers of Democrats, Republicans, independents, are glad 258 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 1: he stepped down ninety percent. So you know, if it 259 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 1: was if you can imagine the situation unfolding with Trump 260 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:17,160 Speaker 1: and they attempted in twenty sixteen to do something kind 261 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:19,040 Speaker 1: of similar and obviously it didn't work and it would 262 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 1: provoke a massive, massive backlash. I think you also have 263 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:30,000 Speaker 1: a situation where your average Democratic base voter. And by 264 00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 1: the way, I think that this isn't just on the 265 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 1: Democratic side. I think there is an openness to anti 266 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 1: democracy and authoritarianism that has taken hold in the public 267 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,679 Speaker 1: because of their sense, whether you're on the right or 268 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: the left, of the existential nature of the stakes right now. 269 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 1: But I think your average democratic voter has become very 270 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:54,319 Speaker 1: comfortable with the idea of ditching democracy in service of 271 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:58,520 Speaker 1: saving democracy, which obviously is insane and blatantly hypocritical and 272 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:02,320 Speaker 1: goes against you know, the your suppose and believe in democracy. 273 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,480 Speaker 1: But I think they have been persuaded of that case, 274 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: which to me is deeply sad. But it's why you 275 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 1: know Republicans who are trying to pitch a fit over 276 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,439 Speaker 1: the process right now and oh, this is anti democratic 277 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:14,720 Speaker 1: or the aocs of the world. First of all, where 278 00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:18,600 Speaker 1: were you when any sort of actual democratic process was 279 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 1: blocked from unfolding. He didn't care. You obviously didn't care. 280 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 1: So you know, the notion that you're upset now that 281 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 1: Biden was removed by anti democratic means please, you don't 282 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 1: care about democracy either. The time for those concerns was 283 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: a while ago, and there wasn't a public outcry about 284 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 1: the lack of a democratic process. Even I had a 285 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: majority of democratic voters who said they would like to 286 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 1: have choices but at the end of the day they 287 00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 1: were like, I guess we're just going to take what 288 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 1: we're given. 289 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 2: I'll tell you what too, I'll eat it. I'll eat 290 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 2: a proverbial stock here in terms of being wrong, what 291 00:14:48,640 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 2: I usually say debates don't matter. 292 00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 1: Well, there's a tail, right, there are exceptions to the rule. 293 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 2: So if we have learned anything from this is have 294 00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 2: the debates even if nine eight percent of the time 295 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:03,680 Speaker 2: they don't matter. Could we not have a single debate? 296 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 2: I mean the conventions what we have a couple of weeks. 297 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 2: It only takes a couple of days to put this 298 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 2: thing together. Get Kamal on the stage, get Gavin, get job, 299 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 2: get everybody up there, the open thing, and let it fly. 300 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 1: Let's see, let's actually see what happens. 301 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 2: And if you can't do that in the same way 302 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 2: that Joe Biden's presencey was destroyed whenever he was okay 303 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,800 Speaker 2: on a teleprompter but fell apart under challenging questioning, what 304 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 2: lessons should we draw from that, folks, is that we 305 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 2: have to have the process that at least the very 306 00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 2: basics and the minimums to vet the person and allow 307 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 2: it to come and then look if she wins from 308 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:38,760 Speaker 2: there cool, I don't think anybody could be upset about that, 309 00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 2: but rigging from the very beginning, it's very, very troubling, 310 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 2: right because, as we said, there is a couple of 311 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 2: there are two people that will be on. It will 312 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 2: be on then Joe Biden for to getting everybody in 313 00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 2: this situation if Trump wins, but it's also going to 314 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 2: be on the powerbrokers and others that didn't call for 315 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 2: the quote unquote mini primary. Even Jim Clyburn called for 316 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 2: a mini primary recall only two weeks ago, but he 317 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 2: didn't immediately comes out and endorses Harris. And I think 318 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 2: that's a big mistake. It's a big mistake. 319 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 1: You know, it's interesting too because Democrats thought that they 320 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 1: were protecting themselves by blocking a primary process, an actual 321 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 1: democratic primary process back you know, after the midterms, when 322 00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:19,120 Speaker 1: such a thing would have really started up in earnest. 323 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 1: They thought they were protecting themselves. But the reality of 324 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 1: the situation is they incredibly they created an incredibly difficult situation, 325 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 1: incredibly difficult landscape where now you know, Kamala Harris comes 326 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 1: in hobbled behind the eight ball, She's got momentum right now, 327 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: like she's doing well, she's doing better on the polls 328 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 1: than Biden. But there's no doubt in my mind they 329 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 1: could have come out with a stronger candidate. And if 330 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 1: you had had Joe Biden having to debate primary contenders back, 331 00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 1: you know, much earlier, and the possibility of an actual 332 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 1: Democratic primary process playing out, they wouldn't be in this situation. 333 00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:55,760 Speaker 1: The other thing, you know, with Kamala Harris, now, I 334 00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 1: still think even if you had this mini primary or 335 00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: however you want to phrase it, going into the convention, 336 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 1: all this is obviously moot point because she's in. She's in, 337 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:07,679 Speaker 1: it's done and dusted. But I think she would be 338 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 1: very likely to come out the winner of that process. 339 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 1: If you look at the polls, you know, right after 340 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:16,639 Speaker 1: Biden dropped, you had a pretty strong consensus from Democrats 341 00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,560 Speaker 1: that Kamala was their top choice. She's the sitting vice president. 342 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 1: She has a lot of advanta advantages going in, but 343 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 1: she would also have additional legitimacy conferred on her, and 344 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,600 Speaker 1: she would be strengthened by having to go through that 345 00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:31,159 Speaker 1: process and you know, get sharp again and be a 346 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:32,960 Speaker 1: little better thinking on her feet, and those sorts of 347 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 1: things that she struggled with in the past, So I 348 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,080 Speaker 1: think it's I do think it's a mistake for Democrats. 349 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,399 Speaker 1: I don't know that it will you know, it doesn't 350 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 1: end their chances of winning in the fall, but there's 351 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: no doubt they could have gone forward with a stronger 352 00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 1: candidate that Kamala Harris, given her how we've seen her 353 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:51,479 Speaker 1: perform in the past, given the fact that she is 354 00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:55,639 Speaker 1: tied to an administration that has been unpopular, and she 355 00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 1: is implicated in a tremendous cover up of Joe Biden's 356 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 1: decline that is a betrayal legitimately is a betrayal of 357 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 1: the American people, and so all those things give her 358 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 1: a tough tougher hand to work from going into the question. 359 00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:13,639 Speaker 2: Now, you know, people forget this, but there was a 360 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 2: real primary back in two thousand, Bill Bradley, that former 361 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:20,399 Speaker 2: NBA player, and I forget New Jersey. That's right, he 362 00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 2: was from New Jersey. He challenged Al Gore. Al Gore won, 363 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:26,119 Speaker 2: by the way overwhelmingly, He won like eighty percent of 364 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:28,800 Speaker 2: the vote, but that mattered because Al could say, Hey, 365 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:31,879 Speaker 2: I actually challenged and won this nomination. I'm just getting 366 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 2: anointed because I'm the former Vice President Hubert Humphrey also 367 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:39,439 Speaker 2: ran a real primary process in nineteen sixty eight. Now 368 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 2: would he have beat RFK No, I don't think so 369 00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:43,880 Speaker 2: at all. But at the very least he was able 370 00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:46,920 Speaker 2: to coalesce the party to try and bring some consensus 371 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 2: going in with Vietnam and all the other tearing apart 372 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:52,760 Speaker 2: of the process, and there were civil rights and all 373 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 2: of that. 374 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 1: And I think he emerged strong enough for it. 375 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 2: Now, he ended up going on to lose, but there 376 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:58,879 Speaker 2: was a lot that was going into that, and if 377 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:00,640 Speaker 2: you look at the popular vote and others, he came 378 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:03,479 Speaker 2: relatively close. He could have won the election quite easily. 379 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:07,640 Speaker 2: Democracy and democratic action like debates, primaries and others. They 380 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:10,480 Speaker 2: there's a certain anti fragility to it in that it 381 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 2: creates and stress tests you up to the top. And 382 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 2: I've never actually believed more in that system than I 383 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:18,919 Speaker 2: have now, just to show where I didn't think it mattered. 384 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,160 Speaker 2: But we've never had an eighty one year old who's 385 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 2: on the verge of dementia running before, and that is 386 00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:26,879 Speaker 2: literally what the process is designed. Another thing I think 387 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:29,199 Speaker 2: Americans have been robbed of is that I think it 388 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 2: was George W. Bush and Obama, who both echoes something 389 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:34,480 Speaker 2: similar where they said, one of the benefits of the 390 00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 2: eighteen to twenty month campaign is that everything will come 391 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,400 Speaker 2: out everything in that you will be tested, you will 392 00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 2: have your debates, you will deal with the press, you 393 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:45,480 Speaker 2: will deal with the swings and the ups and the downs, 394 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:47,439 Speaker 2: and that the process of self prepares you. We're not 395 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:49,440 Speaker 2: getting that with kam Law And it's not fair. How 396 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:51,000 Speaker 2: many debates are we going to get with her and Trump? 397 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 2: Maybe one? Maybe one up two if we're lucky. No, 398 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 2: we should have five. Actually, because you're so late in 399 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,560 Speaker 2: the process. More so, we haven't had the ability to 400 00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:03,320 Speaker 2: stress this woman for real, in a real campaign process. 401 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:05,360 Speaker 2: If I'm her, I'm not debating very much and I'm 402 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:07,119 Speaker 2: just going to stick to the stump. She seems fine 403 00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 2: in a teleprompter and she does pretty well, you know, 404 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:11,679 Speaker 2: for donor calls and all that. But I don't think 405 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 2: that's fair to America to have a very little amount 406 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:15,239 Speaker 2: of time when Trump. I mean, if anything, he's been 407 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 2: out there for almost two years now and he's running, 408 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 2: and so there is an inherent unfairness I think to 409 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 2: Americans here. But the problem is is that voters, as 410 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 2: you said correctly. They are very willing to just sit 411 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,679 Speaker 2: and eat it right now because they hate Trump or 412 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:29,440 Speaker 2: they hate you know, KAMMLA or whatever. They'll just sit 413 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:31,159 Speaker 2: there and be like, it's cool, I'm fine with it, 414 00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,359 Speaker 2: and we should get away with that. If she loses, 415 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,680 Speaker 2: I would hope the Democrats learn that lesson, I really do. 416 00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,760 Speaker 1: What do you make they want? Spoiler lie? I know 417 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 1: they won't, which some people were there. Some people their 418 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:45,640 Speaker 1: fear of democracy and their desire to control everything from 419 00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:50,280 Speaker 1: the top down ends up really damaging their own political prospects. 420 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,359 Speaker 1: Will they learn the lists? Of course they won't, but 421 00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:55,520 Speaker 1: they should. They should have already learned that lesson, just 422 00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:57,840 Speaker 1: from the fact that they put themselves in this horrible 423 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 1: position from forestalling any kind of an earlier primary process 424 00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 1: when this really should have unfolded. I wonder what you 425 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 1: make of the fact there's a lot of like I 426 00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,480 Speaker 1: think New York Posts was reporting some rumors about Obama 427 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:12,080 Speaker 1: and why he hasn't endorsed Kamala now. Their claim is 428 00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 1: basically like, he doesn't think she can win. He's mad 429 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,160 Speaker 1: that Joe endorsed her on the way out, and so 430 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,120 Speaker 1: he you know, was sort of like holding off out 431 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,320 Speaker 1: of his anger and hope that there would be some 432 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:25,959 Speaker 1: ability to have a different process. I don't know if 433 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 1: I really buy all of that, because at this point 434 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,239 Speaker 1: the writing's on the wall, like he's clearly going to 435 00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,720 Speaker 1: endorse her. And also, if he really wanted things to 436 00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:38,840 Speaker 1: unfold that way, he could have said, he could have 437 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,919 Speaker 1: done a lot more to put forward like you have 438 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 1: to put forward an alternative. 439 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 2: I'm not sure I buy it either. That said, I 440 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,879 Speaker 2: trust out of all of them, I'm going to trust Obama. 441 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:48,080 Speaker 5: Right. 442 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 2: This is a man who actually got himself elected president. 443 00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:53,000 Speaker 1: On the other hand, he's the one who anointed Hillary 444 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,679 Speaker 1: and so when his political instincts outside of himself have 445 00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:57,320 Speaker 1: not been that. 446 00:21:57,280 --> 00:22:01,520 Speaker 2: Great, I could waffle it either way. I would just say, 447 00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:04,560 Speaker 2: there's a Napoleon alleged quote, if you're gonna take Vienna, 448 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 2: then take Fienna. So in my opinion, if you're gonna 449 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,640 Speaker 2: kick Biden out, then do it, then go. If you're 450 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,680 Speaker 2: gonna kick Biden out, let's go for broke and let's win. 451 00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:14,879 Speaker 2: That's what with the mindset would be. I don't know 452 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:17,679 Speaker 2: why they chose this crazy half measure. So if I 453 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 2: were Obama, I'd say all right, Well, if we're getting 454 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 2: rid of Obama, if we're getting rid of Biden, well 455 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 2: then let's let's put somebody in who can win. Let's 456 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 2: put in a Gavin, let's put it in the gretch, 457 00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:29,159 Speaker 2: and let's put in a Shapiro. And even here, all 458 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:31,760 Speaker 2: four of those people would run more than Kamala Harris. 459 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:33,880 Speaker 2: I mean even Gretchen Whitmer. And by the way, I'm 460 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:35,679 Speaker 2: not fans of any of these people. I don't like 461 00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,520 Speaker 2: any of these people, but I can read a poll 462 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:40,400 Speaker 2: and I can understand too where that breadth of fresh air, 463 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 2: that ability to I mean, look at the enthusiasm that 464 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 2: hasn't been engendered from Kamala. Now imagine it times fifty. 465 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,920 Speaker 2: I think for somebody who literally came out of left field, 466 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,800 Speaker 2: I think it would be even more. For Democrats, people 467 00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:56,000 Speaker 2: would be excited, especially if you were able to put 468 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:57,720 Speaker 2: a ticket out there. So I think it was a 469 00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:00,119 Speaker 2: huge missed opportunity. But you know, I don't know, do 470 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:01,640 Speaker 2: we go to the next element. 471 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:04,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Jean Pierre doing her hearing. 472 00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:08,639 Speaker 2: Here's Karen Jean Pierre being asked why if Biden is 473 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:10,680 Speaker 2: going to resign or if Biden is not going to run. 474 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:12,440 Speaker 2: Why doesn't he just resign? How can we have any 475 00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 2: confidence that he can even stay in the job. Here's 476 00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:16,040 Speaker 2: her word, solid of an answer. 477 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:18,399 Speaker 5: The President believes that it's best for the country that 478 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:20,840 Speaker 5: he not being in the oval office for another four years. 479 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:22,719 Speaker 5: How can you assure the American people that he's up 480 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 5: to be in the office for the next six months. 481 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,120 Speaker 6: Well, first I would say is that and I've heard 482 00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,800 Speaker 6: these suggestions out there. This is not an answer to you. 483 00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,200 Speaker 6: This is an answer to the suggestions that I've had 484 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:38,720 Speaker 6: have heard about him resigning from office. We believe and 485 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:42,199 Speaker 6: any suggestion of that note is ridiculous. It is not 486 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 6: what we believe the president. I just laid out what 487 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 6: the president has been able to do in almost four years, 488 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,760 Speaker 6: and it's been successful. He's been able to do more, 489 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 6: again than any president has been able to do in 490 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 6: two terms. 491 00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:56,560 Speaker 1: He's been able to do that more in one term. 492 00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:59,200 Speaker 6: And he wants to finish the job that he started 493 00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 6: and bring more historic results for the American people. And look, 494 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:11,520 Speaker 6: he didn't step down from campaigning or from running because 495 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:12,840 Speaker 6: he didn't believe he can serve in. 496 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:13,720 Speaker 1: A second term. 497 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,119 Speaker 6: That is not why, and what I would say is 498 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,800 Speaker 6: I just finished my opening. I would say, tune in, 499 00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:21,159 Speaker 6: tune into what he has to say tonight, and he 500 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 6: will lay that out for three you all and the 501 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,240 Speaker 6: American people as to why he made that decision. 502 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,040 Speaker 2: So yeah, that's their line. It's not that he couldn't run, 503 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 2: and it's not that he if he was elected, he 504 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 2: couldn't serve. It's just that he decided not to run 505 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,000 Speaker 2: because everyone said that you can't run and you can't serve, 506 00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:36,680 Speaker 2: and he can't win. 507 00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:37,159 Speaker 5: Oh. 508 00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,800 Speaker 2: I mean, the tortured logic of this is just absurd. 509 00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:43,600 Speaker 2: And I don't know. I mean, at a certain point, 510 00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:46,560 Speaker 2: what the next six to seven months are or is 511 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 2: it five months? I think until January, right, something like that. 512 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:50,239 Speaker 2: Let's go with that. 513 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,800 Speaker 1: Nobody checked my overuntil January. 514 00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 2: Or yes, until he was actually gonna present until January 515 00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:56,640 Speaker 2: twenty eight. Yeah, I mean, this is like an Edith 516 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 2: Wilson situation. Honestly, like just at the very end of 517 00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,959 Speaker 2: Drow Wilson's second term, where he's basically totally incapacitated, all 518 00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 2: the people around him are running the entire government. Every 519 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:08,359 Speaker 2: once in a while, the old man will show up, 520 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:11,040 Speaker 2: like today for his meeting with BB I mean, his 521 00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:14,679 Speaker 2: old instincts will show up, be like, oh we love you, Bbe, 522 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:18,960 Speaker 2: you know something like that. Yeah, no nobody stood, now 523 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 2: did you in the world will be safe if it 524 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:23,520 Speaker 2: wouldn't for you personally, BB, And everyone's gonna be like, 525 00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,200 Speaker 2: oh my god, And that's it. That's who are who's 526 00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 2: running our country. So let's all hope and pray that 527 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 2: everything works out for the next till January, because I'm worried. 528 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,800 Speaker 2: I'm frankly more worried today than ever before in terms 529 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,280 Speaker 2: of if he's truly unshackled. I mean, what are his 530 00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:41,159 Speaker 2: real instincts here on Ukraine on Gaza? I have no idea. 531 00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:44,679 Speaker 2: And that's actually, frankly a more terrifying concept. 532 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 1: I think we've seen his true instincts on Ukraine and Gaza. 533 00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:52,720 Speaker 1: And that's the point, is like, that's it's already been 534 00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:56,879 Speaker 1: disastrous because I am very much of the view that 535 00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 1: he doesn't have anything really to do with domestic policy. 536 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:02,159 Speaker 1: He really doesn't care about the host policy at all. 537 00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:04,879 Speaker 1: You can't like drag him to talk to about it. 538 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,440 Speaker 1: Kicking Instraight doesn't even know his own housing policy that 539 00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,680 Speaker 1: he was floating. If he was going to continue his reelection. 540 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:14,720 Speaker 1: He's checked out on domestic policy and whoever the agency 541 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,040 Speaker 1: heads or his top aids or whatever are running the 542 00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 1: show there. He has kept his grip on foreign policy 543 00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:24,080 Speaker 1: with regard to Ukraine and NATO and Israel in particular, 544 00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:28,240 Speaker 1: and it has been it's been disastrous. It's been utterly disastrous. 545 00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 1: And a part of that does come from this rigidity 546 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 1: of his old age and inability to process new information 547 00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 1: and a new landscape, et cetera, and weakness and feebleness 548 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:41,960 Speaker 1: when it comes to his dealings with Benjamin Netniahu. So 549 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 1: it's already had a very damaging effect. And the other 550 00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:47,440 Speaker 1: thing I would say, yeah, I'm curious your view on this. 551 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:51,720 Speaker 1: Sober again to the oh, he's such a hairines blah 552 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:55,879 Speaker 1: blah blah. I actually think that if he resigned, No, 553 00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:59,600 Speaker 1: that's heroic, that would be. That would be And if 554 00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,360 Speaker 1: you're goal is for Kamala Harris to win, I think 555 00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,480 Speaker 1: that would benefit her too, because one of the challenges 556 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 1: of any candidate, but especially a black female candidate, can 557 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:11,399 Speaker 1: we see her in the role and you know the 558 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,600 Speaker 1: fact she's vice perriendent. Okay, that helps, but let's be honest. 559 00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:15,600 Speaker 1: They've basically hit her for three years because they were 560 00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:17,879 Speaker 1: afraid after the less Hold interviewed, and it goes so 561 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,520 Speaker 1: well of what she would say, which I have to say, 562 00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 1: seeing her now and how effective she's been, especially since 563 00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:29,120 Speaker 1: the Biden debate happened, I think that was a mistake 564 00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 1: because she's better than they seemed to think that she was. 565 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:37,639 Speaker 1: But in any case, she hasn't been in front of 566 00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:41,080 Speaker 1: the public wearing that mantle of vice president in all 567 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 1: these very public meetings with fourid heads of states, etc. 568 00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:47,679 Speaker 1: Which is what gives the vice president typically such an 569 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: edge in electoral contest because even though they weren't the president, 570 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:54,160 Speaker 1: people kind of can easily see them in that role. 571 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:57,159 Speaker 1: She hasn't really had the benefit of that. So if 572 00:27:57,200 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 1: you really wanted to set her up for success, if 573 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,080 Speaker 1: you really wanted to be some listen like, you know, 574 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 1: past the torch, et cetera. He would resign now on 575 00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:06,399 Speaker 1: a reflection of his own decline and inability to do 576 00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 1: the job, and out of a desire to you know, 577 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 1: allow people to imagine her in the role and to 578 00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 1: test the metal of her in this capacity as well. 579 00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 1: But obviously he's not going to do that, So we 580 00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:22,359 Speaker 1: have a lot of polling to indicate early early days 581 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,800 Speaker 1: what this matchup is going to look like, and the 582 00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,399 Speaker 1: TLDR from all of the polls that have come out, 583 00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: which there have been a number that have come out 584 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:34,360 Speaker 1: since the Biden dropout, but only in select few where 585 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 1: they were in the field wholly after the dropout. Basically, 586 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 1: what it looks like is Kamala Harris is doing better 587 00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 1: than Biden, but she is still not winning the race. 588 00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 1: It's either a toss up or she's slightly behind Donald Trump. 589 00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 1: CNN had a really interesting poll. There's just go and 590 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 1: put this up on the screen while I talk about it. 591 00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 1: Part of why this pole in particular was so interesting 592 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:03,360 Speaker 1: is because they pulled a lot of the same people. 593 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,800 Speaker 1: They pulled like the same panel that they had pulled 594 00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 1: previously when it was Biden, So you could truly see 595 00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:14,200 Speaker 1: was their movement even among these same individuals, and there 596 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:18,360 Speaker 1: was Trump in The overall number is at forty nine 597 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:21,840 Speaker 1: percent support among these registered voters, Harris is at forty six, 598 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:25,200 Speaker 1: so again still losing, although I believe within the margin 599 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:29,080 Speaker 1: of error close there too, but that is closer than 600 00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:31,760 Speaker 1: an earlier contest which found Trump with a six point 601 00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 1: margin over Biden. Keep this up on the screen. Let 602 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 1: me just talk through this. So when you dig down 603 00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:41,880 Speaker 1: into the demographic groups, you could see the areas where 604 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:46,600 Speaker 1: Kamala improves on Biden's performance. She is doing better among 605 00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:50,040 Speaker 1: young voters, she picks up eleven points. She's doing better 606 00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:53,040 Speaker 1: among black voters, she picks up sixteen points. And she's 607 00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:56,320 Speaker 1: doing better among female voters, she picks up five points. 608 00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 1: Now I believe she also sees some erosion among those 609 00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:03,520 Speaker 1: like older white voters who have been riding with Biden. 610 00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:05,960 Speaker 1: And so we'll talk a little bit more about this 611 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:09,920 Speaker 1: in a moment. But this represents kind of a reversion 612 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:15,040 Speaker 1: to the expected Democratic coalition versus rumbarsacer We were looking 613 00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 1: at these polls where like Biden is doing terribly with 614 00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:21,240 Speaker 1: young people, but old people usually vote Republican or voting 615 00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:24,160 Speaker 1: for the Democrat. It sort of reverses some of those 616 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 1: stranger elements that had manifested themselves when the contest was 617 00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:29,760 Speaker 1: Trump versus Biden. 618 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,160 Speaker 2: I don't know, there's so I think I'm just going 619 00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 2: to put my flag down and just say it's too 620 00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 2: early because America has not seen enough yet. All they've 621 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,440 Speaker 2: seen is the name we haven't seen the speeches. We 622 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:43,400 Speaker 2: haven't really frankly even seen much of Trump, right, we 623 00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:45,160 Speaker 2: just had the R and C. I heard the speech 624 00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:47,120 Speaker 2: was long. That's what a lot of friends told me. 625 00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:48,480 Speaker 1: When it was very long. 626 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:50,720 Speaker 2: They're like, well, it was good for the first ten minutes. 627 00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:51,640 Speaker 1: I was like, well, how long was it. 628 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,000 Speaker 2: They're like, oh, an hour and twenty. I was like, oh, man, okay, 629 00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 2: I think it. 630 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:56,320 Speaker 1: Was more than that. Actually that's been felt. 631 00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 2: Like I saw statistic as the longest speech is nineteen 632 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,920 Speaker 2: fifty five, which is certainly something. So okay. So we've 633 00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 2: got Donald Trump, and Trump is basically back, I would say, 634 00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:07,760 Speaker 2: to the mean, just the last night, I believe he 635 00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:09,040 Speaker 2: was like I said, I was going to be nice, 636 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 2: but can I not be nice tonight? And I was like, 637 00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:13,760 Speaker 2: here he is, he's back. So Trump in advance, let's 638 00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:15,680 Speaker 2: see what how they're going to react, because we haven't 639 00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:19,280 Speaker 2: fully gotten the Kamala stuff. They were very very much 640 00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 2: hoping that Kamala or that Joe Biden would not drop 641 00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 2: out of the race. That was their hope and their prayer. Yeah, 642 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 2: and I mean they were correct in that assumption. I 643 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 2: would say, I'm just back to where I was pre 644 00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:31,280 Speaker 2: debate for the Democratic chances. So before the debate, I said, 645 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 2: I think Biden's got a forty percent shot, and I 646 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,760 Speaker 2: think Trump's got about sixty. I think I'm back to 647 00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:37,400 Speaker 2: that now after the debate, I would have said Trump 648 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:39,920 Speaker 2: has a ninety percent shot. Yeah, and you know, so, look, 649 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,960 Speaker 2: it's better. It's definitely better. I would rather be Harris 650 00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,120 Speaker 2: and I would be Biden. There's still a lot stronger 651 00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 2: Democratic candidates, and there are a lot comes down to choices, 652 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 2: as in, what are the coalitions, who are we trying 653 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:53,480 Speaker 2: to win? If I am them, I'm not going to 654 00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:56,120 Speaker 2: get pie in the sky and crazy. I'm going for 655 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,120 Speaker 2: two hundred and seventy one electrawlve votes and that's it, 656 00:31:58,200 --> 00:31:59,400 Speaker 2: and that's all I care about. I don't even care 657 00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 2: about the popular vote. I'm going for Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. 658 00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,240 Speaker 2: If we win Georgia, that's great, that's great. But I 659 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:08,000 Speaker 2: am going all in on those three. So that's going 660 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:10,240 Speaker 2: to talk a lot about how their VP selection is. Now, 661 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:12,680 Speaker 2: VP selection usually doesn't matter. I think it will matter 662 00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 2: much more in this case in terms of who you 663 00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,760 Speaker 2: pick and what you're trying to do. But I think 664 00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,000 Speaker 2: it also comes back to who she is and what 665 00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 2: she's trying to do. Her case against Trump, her strongest 666 00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 2: case goes back to a so called cop days and prosecutor. 667 00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:28,680 Speaker 2: I actually think there's something to it. We've always said here, 668 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,120 Speaker 2: you know, for a lot of normies being a quote 669 00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:33,680 Speaker 2: unquote convicted felon, it's a problem, like, let's be honest, 670 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:37,040 Speaker 2: it is a problem that's suburban moderate voter. I also 671 00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:39,800 Speaker 2: think the row row row your vote is going to 672 00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 2: be more salient than ever before. So there are two choices. 673 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 2: This will either be the immigration economy election in a 674 00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:49,320 Speaker 2: Trump win, or it will be the abortion and economy 675 00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 2: election and there will be a Kamala Harris win. Both 676 00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 2: are actually quite narrow and how they will look on 677 00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:58,200 Speaker 2: the electoral map. But if I am Kamala, it's all 678 00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:02,000 Speaker 2: abortion all the time to bat our economy. They will 679 00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,920 Speaker 2: battle it out. Trump generally has the edge on the economy. 680 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,320 Speaker 2: He's got a lot of people have very good feelings 681 00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:10,240 Speaker 2: about the economy from back in twenty nineteen. Kamala also 682 00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,680 Speaker 2: has the noose around her neck quite literally, of Biden 683 00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:15,600 Speaker 2: inflation and of a lot of the policy that most 684 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,720 Speaker 2: people objectively did not feel like. Things were going so well. 685 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:21,000 Speaker 2: That's part of the reason. If I were the Democrats, 686 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 2: I would have picked somebody else, because I don't want 687 00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:26,760 Speaker 2: somebody with that baggage who could present a real thing. 688 00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,960 Speaker 2: But I want to see how she goes up on 689 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 2: the air. She's got a ton of money. Now, she's 690 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,800 Speaker 2: got a ton of enthusiasm. Yeah, that's huge. I want 691 00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:36,520 Speaker 2: to capitalize the hell out of that, and I want 692 00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:38,680 Speaker 2: from them. I'm just going all in on abortion. Where 693 00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:40,560 Speaker 2: we're running the twenty twenty two playbook and we're going 694 00:33:40,600 --> 00:33:41,280 Speaker 2: all the way to the end. 695 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:44,400 Speaker 1: She is a much so her strengths as a candidate 696 00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 1: are She's a much more credible messenger on abortion. She's 697 00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:49,040 Speaker 1: comfortable talking about it. 698 00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:49,400 Speaker 2: Yeah she is. 699 00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:51,400 Speaker 1: Joe Biden, he didn't want to talk about this, but 700 00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,720 Speaker 1: he doesn't even agree really on the issue. He just 701 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,800 Speaker 1: you know, I mean, he's always been basically anti choice, 702 00:33:56,840 --> 00:33:59,280 Speaker 1: pro life Democrat up until there are recent times when 703 00:33:59,320 --> 00:34:02,720 Speaker 1: that was no longer sustainable, very uncomfortable talking about it, 704 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,520 Speaker 1: not credible on the issue. Kamon aras much much better 705 00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:07,800 Speaker 1: messenger there. And our gender is a real asset there. 706 00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,000 Speaker 2: I think that's actually where it is a real app Yeah. 707 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,319 Speaker 1: It's a genuine asset. And you know, we'll get into 708 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:14,640 Speaker 1: some of the attacks, but you know, the one of 709 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,279 Speaker 1: the better attacks. I think that their main owners like oh, 710 00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:20,560 Speaker 1: radical California, et cetera, et cetera. It lands a little 711 00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:23,800 Speaker 1: bit different when the culture war landscape now in the 712 00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,279 Speaker 1: most dominant issue is one where the majority of the 713 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:29,800 Speaker 1: voters agree with the war liberal take. So it's not 714 00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:32,480 Speaker 1: as effective a hit as it could be in a 715 00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:36,600 Speaker 1: different culture war landscape than we're seeing right now. I 716 00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:38,359 Speaker 1: agree with you. I think it's too early to say 717 00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 1: where we are. Vis of you, the polls the most 718 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:42,520 Speaker 1: hopeful case for Democrats, and I think there's a lot 719 00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,360 Speaker 1: to this. By the way, is the big thing that 720 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:49,359 Speaker 1: was holding Biden back was just he's two frigids old. 721 00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,200 Speaker 1: I brought it up a million times. Those were clouds. 722 00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:55,240 Speaker 1: So we did where the number one thing people said old. 723 00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:59,720 Speaker 1: And you look at every single Democrat running in the country, 724 00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:03,160 Speaker 1: and they are outperforming him. Whether they're a great candidate 725 00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:05,920 Speaker 1: or a bad candidate, or a middle of the road candidate, 726 00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:10,200 Speaker 1: whether they're progressive or moderator, wherever they are, they are 727 00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:14,920 Speaker 1: all outperforming Joe Biden. And so the hope is that 728 00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:18,680 Speaker 1: you know, yes, Kamala has her weaknesses, but maybe just 729 00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:22,480 Speaker 1: having a sort of like replacement level decent okay, can 730 00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:26,160 Speaker 1: formulate a sentence, can deliver a teleprompter speech candidate, that 731 00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:30,000 Speaker 1: may be enough. And I don't think that's crazy. I 732 00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:33,600 Speaker 1: think the data actually would indicate that probably is where 733 00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:37,480 Speaker 1: this election is the reason I would say to hold 734 00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:40,520 Speaker 1: on these polls and see where things shake down in 735 00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:44,279 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks. This has been an insane few 736 00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:48,440 Speaker 1: weeks of politics. Insane, like I think you would struggle 737 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,840 Speaker 1: to find another historic period where as much has unfolded 738 00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:55,120 Speaker 1: in so short a time period. So on the one hand, 739 00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:58,800 Speaker 1: you have Kamala Harris what the Trump people put on 740 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:01,040 Speaker 1: a Mama saying she's having her honeymoon period, right, And 741 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:03,520 Speaker 1: I think that's true. I think people are projecting on her, 742 00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:07,560 Speaker 1: including lefties, including the K I like everybody is projecting 743 00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:10,640 Speaker 1: on her, who's left of center, whatever they want her 744 00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 1: to be, right, that is going to come into contact 745 00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:16,520 Speaker 1: with reality at some point, and she's common here, She's 746 00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:18,719 Speaker 1: going to have some moment that's awkward and not good 747 00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:20,319 Speaker 1: and shows her not put in a riddle that those 748 00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:22,080 Speaker 1: things are going to happen. So I do think she's 749 00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:25,520 Speaker 1: in a honeymoon period. True, Trump is also in a 750 00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:31,359 Speaker 1: sort of honeymoon period post assassination attempt and post RNC. Right, yes, 751 00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,760 Speaker 1: the speech was long or or whatever, but parties candidates 752 00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:37,440 Speaker 1: almost always get a bump coming out of their own convention, 753 00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:41,759 Speaker 1: and Trump has his approval ratings right now are the 754 00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:46,040 Speaker 1: highest they've like almost ever been between the you know, 755 00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,960 Speaker 1: the way he looks strong coming out of the assassination 756 00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:51,239 Speaker 1: attempt and the rally round the flag sort of a 757 00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:53,560 Speaker 1: dynamic there, and coming out of his own parties convention, 758 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:56,239 Speaker 1: et cetera. So he also is in a sort of 759 00:36:56,280 --> 00:37:00,160 Speaker 1: honeymoon period. So you know, once you get in to 760 00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:04,640 Speaker 1: the slog of the campaign season, how do these things 761 00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:07,200 Speaker 1: shake out? And the truth of the matter is, we 762 00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:08,439 Speaker 1: really don't know at this point. 763 00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:10,960 Speaker 2: Period of uncertainty today is just as high. I was 764 00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:12,840 Speaker 2: talking with the crew and I said, this is probably 765 00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:15,799 Speaker 2: the craziest twenty five day period or whatever since nine eleven. Now, 766 00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:18,439 Speaker 2: nine eleven was definitely crazier. Don't worry. But my point 767 00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:21,440 Speaker 2: is that a paradigm shift, I mean, everything literally changed. 768 00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:25,600 Speaker 2: Historic events happened day after day with almost very little 769 00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:27,920 Speaker 2: time of reflection. Right. Part of the reason I'm actually 770 00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:29,400 Speaker 2: kind of happy I wasn't there is I actually got 771 00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:31,960 Speaker 2: to sit and think, and I was like, this is crazy. 772 00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:35,560 Speaker 2: I was like, this is this is actually what it 773 00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:38,239 Speaker 2: was like to get married or and take some time 774 00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:42,480 Speaker 2: off or whatever on nine seventeen or after nineteen sixty eight. 775 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,560 Speaker 2: You know, my sympathy to all those people at that 776 00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:46,680 Speaker 2: time because you're just sitting there and thinking, you know, 777 00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:48,880 Speaker 2: especially for somebody who's success with history like me, and 778 00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:50,680 Speaker 2: I'm going back to sixty eight in my head, and 779 00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,200 Speaker 2: I'm going back to nineteen twelve or whatever in my 780 00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:56,280 Speaker 2: head and thinking about third party candidates and the convention 781 00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:59,360 Speaker 2: and all of the But then, you know, overlaying social 782 00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,520 Speaker 2: media on top of that, the assassination attempt, and I mean, 783 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:04,920 Speaker 2: have we really grappled with the fact that Trump was 784 00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:08,320 Speaker 2: inches from death, Like not really and what what the 785 00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,360 Speaker 2: you know, the true decision tree from that looks like. 786 00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 2: And then on top of old news, it literally is 787 00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:16,200 Speaker 2: already old news. I mean, he's already a back out there, 788 00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:18,600 Speaker 2: he's already on campaign trails, like barely even mentioning it. 789 00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,280 Speaker 2: I mean, to a certain extent, there's a strength of democracy, 790 00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:22,800 Speaker 2: right is that everyone's kind of just like, yeah, that 791 00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:25,200 Speaker 2: was crazy. Hope we create some security, but you know, 792 00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:27,000 Speaker 2: the show must go on. I think that's good. But 793 00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:29,560 Speaker 2: let's also sit and must ruminate a little bit and say, wow, 794 00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:33,160 Speaker 2: we have a new candidate here for president. Literally everything 795 00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:34,920 Speaker 2: is on the table. That's part of the reason why 796 00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:37,239 Speaker 2: there is a honeymoon period, because we don't know a 797 00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:39,600 Speaker 2: lot about this lady. I mean, she ran in a 798 00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,279 Speaker 2: machine state in California. It takes some positions, but not 799 00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:44,560 Speaker 2: really you know, as a center let's be honest, like 800 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:46,600 Speaker 2: you don't really do much. Anyways, she wasn't there that 801 00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:48,480 Speaker 2: long and then she was the vice president. She's been 802 00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:50,000 Speaker 2: in a closet for three years. Last time a star 803 00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:52,040 Speaker 2: on the stage was during the Democratic debate. Didn't do 804 00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:54,440 Speaker 2: so well then, So it's like, now, what you know, 805 00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:56,399 Speaker 2: who are you? And I think that's a real question 806 00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:58,919 Speaker 2: too for Kamala And this is part of the reason 807 00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:01,319 Speaker 2: that I think one of her political strengths. I don't 808 00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:03,759 Speaker 2: think this lady believes it basically anything, And actually I 809 00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:05,440 Speaker 2: think that's to a benefit. You know, where you can 810 00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:07,719 Speaker 2: become the chameleon for the moment of what you need 811 00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:11,359 Speaker 2: to be well. And that is where I really want 812 00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:13,960 Speaker 2: to see. Does she have good instincts or not? What 813 00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:16,560 Speaker 2: are you going for? What are you going to try? 814 00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:19,319 Speaker 2: And do you have to navigate some very tricky problems here? 815 00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:22,200 Speaker 2: We've got Israel, Gaza, We've got abortion. How do we 816 00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:24,360 Speaker 2: talk about abortion? How are we going to quote unquote 817 00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:26,080 Speaker 2: prosecute the case against Trump? Are we gonna do it 818 00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:27,399 Speaker 2: with the cringeway. Are we gonna do it the way 819 00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:29,319 Speaker 2: that a lot of normies do right this little bit 820 00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:32,680 Speaker 2: of overlap, or we're going all in on MSNBC democracy stuff. 821 00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:35,040 Speaker 2: Are we looking at our polling? Are we gonna make 822 00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:39,000 Speaker 2: smart choices and our candidates now there's a countervailing evidence everywhere. 823 00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:40,640 Speaker 2: Are we gonna pick good people? It's one of the 824 00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:43,279 Speaker 2: most important things. She's had crazy staff turnover. One of 825 00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,640 Speaker 2: the things I think against Kamala is this lady as 826 00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:47,200 Speaker 2: bad judgment whenever it comes to staff. 827 00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:49,480 Speaker 1: Her campaign, you remember all those stories was a mess? 828 00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,280 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, total mess. Well, her staff is the highest 829 00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:54,480 Speaker 2: staff turnover in the West wing. So I mean these 830 00:39:54,520 --> 00:39:56,680 Speaker 2: are not good things, you know, for a chief executive. 831 00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,360 Speaker 2: And they also tell us about what it means whenever 832 00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:01,879 Speaker 2: we start to run, you know, in the actual election too, 833 00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:04,520 Speaker 2: and who were annoying to who are going to pick? 834 00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:06,880 Speaker 2: What's our process look like? These things really matter at 835 00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:07,560 Speaker 2: the highest level. 836 00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:10,200 Speaker 1: In some ways, this contradicts a little bit of what 837 00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:12,200 Speaker 1: we said earlier about how Democrats would be in a 838 00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:14,520 Speaker 1: better position if they had actually had a democratic I 839 00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: still believe that because I think they would have had 840 00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:18,080 Speaker 1: a chance of picking a better candidate than Kamala Harris. 841 00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:20,360 Speaker 1: But if you were going to end up with Kamala Harris, 842 00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:22,920 Speaker 1: this is kind of an ideal scenario for her, I 843 00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:26,839 Speaker 1: totally agree with because the short time frame benefits her. Right. 844 00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:31,640 Speaker 1: Obama's magic was that ability to maintain the illusion of 845 00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:33,879 Speaker 1: I will be whoever you want me to be. That's 846 00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:34,359 Speaker 1: who I am. 847 00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:34,919 Speaker 2: Yes. 848 00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:37,120 Speaker 1: Do I think Kamala is Obama level talent? 849 00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:37,320 Speaker 5: No? 850 00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:41,880 Speaker 1: I mean Obama was a you know, historic generational level 851 00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:44,640 Speaker 1: political talent. Whatever you think of him, And you guys know, 852 00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:47,160 Speaker 1: I'm not a big fan, but in terms of political talent, 853 00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:50,640 Speaker 1: this man is very talented. He was able to continue 854 00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:55,400 Speaker 1: and maintain that mystique even for even really into his 855 00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 1: presidency and into his real life. 856 00:40:57,560 --> 00:41:00,759 Speaker 2: Hey, the man won all that actually and that is. 857 00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:03,640 Speaker 1: A remarkable talent and skill. Does she have the skill? Now? 858 00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:06,960 Speaker 1: Can she maintain the sort of magic trick of illusion 859 00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:10,640 Speaker 1: for three months? Maybe in a very tightly you know, 860 00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:13,680 Speaker 1: going out and giving her speeches and very tightly controlled 861 00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:14,960 Speaker 1: you know, they're not going to put her out to 862 00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:16,839 Speaker 1: the wolves in terms of interviews. They're going to send 863 00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:19,120 Speaker 1: her out to friendly people, et cetera, et cetera. So 864 00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,319 Speaker 1: there's that. There's also the fact, as you said, where 865 00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:24,480 Speaker 1: did she fail in the primary part of it was 866 00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:26,920 Speaker 1: she was a terrible manager, and she could not put 867 00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:31,080 Speaker 1: a campaign team together that could stay together, and she 868 00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:34,520 Speaker 1: could not settle on a message. She doesn't have to 869 00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,000 Speaker 1: do that. She has a campaign and she's taking over 870 00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:40,040 Speaker 1: the Biden campaign team, right She's taking on the campaignage. 871 00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:43,880 Speaker 1: So the HQ, the money's coming out, everything is just 872 00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:47,120 Speaker 1: like campaign in a box. Here you go. They've already 873 00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:49,840 Speaker 1: decided what their messaging is and it's not hard to 874 00:41:49,840 --> 00:41:52,400 Speaker 1: figure out they're going to do basically like these people 875 00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:56,640 Speaker 1: are fringe, extreme, dangerous and abortion. And she's also trying 876 00:41:56,680 --> 00:41:59,080 Speaker 1: to lean into some like you know of the Biden 877 00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:01,560 Speaker 1: is like I'm going to be a candidate for the 878 00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:07,520 Speaker 1: middle class she's talking about that as well. She already 879 00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:09,479 Speaker 1: has a message set because that was the other knock 880 00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:12,200 Speaker 1: on her campaign. Legitimate is that like she changed her 881 00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:15,440 Speaker 1: campaign slogans every season. Remember when he first campaign it 882 00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:18,120 Speaker 1: said that is every season we had a new campaign slogan. 883 00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:20,920 Speaker 1: So she eliminates the risk of that, like this is 884 00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:24,120 Speaker 1: your message campaign in a box, Ready, set go. So 885 00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:27,120 Speaker 1: I think all of those things are are to her 886 00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:31,239 Speaker 1: benefit now. I just talked about how she's outperforming where 887 00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:35,000 Speaker 1: Joe Biden was with young voters Israel, Gaza. How she 888 00:42:35,080 --> 00:42:38,120 Speaker 1: handles that is one of the big big question marks. 889 00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:40,759 Speaker 1: Everyone's reading the tea leaves right now, they're reading the 890 00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,080 Speaker 1: BB visit. We'll talk about that. The VP pick could 891 00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:45,719 Speaker 1: have ramifications there. People are giving her a lot of 892 00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:51,919 Speaker 1: grace right now, but even so, she's still underperforming where 893 00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,759 Speaker 1: a Democrat should be with regard to young voters, and 894 00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:58,800 Speaker 1: there is a lot of risk that she could screw 895 00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:00,759 Speaker 1: up the You know, right now gen Z is like 896 00:43:00,800 --> 00:43:02,719 Speaker 1: in love with her and meeting her like crazy, et cetera, 897 00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:05,239 Speaker 1: et cetera. There's a lot of risk there that that 898 00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:08,560 Speaker 1: relationship could turn sour. So harry Onnsen broke down some 899 00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:10,560 Speaker 1: of the data herealistic elisia what he had to say. 900 00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:12,359 Speaker 7: So, I want to take a look at Trump versus 901 00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:15,200 Speaker 7: Democratic margin. Just remind folks where we were at the 902 00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:18,040 Speaker 7: end of the twenty twenty campaign. Joe Biden won voters 903 00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:19,959 Speaker 7: under the age of thirty five by twenty one points. 904 00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:23,160 Speaker 7: What do we see with Kamala Harris. Well, she's still ahead, 905 00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:26,520 Speaker 7: but the margin here is significantly less than what we 906 00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:29,160 Speaker 7: saw with Joe Biden back in twenty twenty. She's up 907 00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:31,160 Speaker 7: by just nine points. You may make the argument that 908 00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:33,399 Speaker 7: was better than Biden was doing before he got out, 909 00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:37,040 Speaker 7: but compared to that democratic baseline where Democrats have historically 910 00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:40,480 Speaker 7: and presidential elections at least this century, been carrying that 911 00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:43,480 Speaker 7: young vote by twenty or more percentage once, she is 912 00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:45,920 Speaker 7: way down from that. So if this is unique support 913 00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:48,960 Speaker 7: among young voters, I would like to know what non 914 00:43:49,040 --> 00:43:50,640 Speaker 7: unique support? Is it even worse than this? 915 00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:51,799 Speaker 2: Is she doing better than Biden? 916 00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:54,080 Speaker 7: Was this she was doing slightly better? Maybe Biden was 917 00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:57,080 Speaker 7: up by you know, like six on average or five. 918 00:43:57,480 --> 00:43:59,560 Speaker 7: This is maybe slightly better, But this is not game 919 00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:01,480 Speaker 7: changing stuff. Mister Burnma, all right, what have we seen 920 00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:02,320 Speaker 7: in terms of motivation? 921 00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:02,719 Speaker 5: Yeah. 922 00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:04,560 Speaker 7: So you know, the other thing is we talk about 923 00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:07,799 Speaker 7: vote choice, right, but let's also talk about motivation, right, 924 00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:10,000 Speaker 7: because it's not just who you would support, it's whether 925 00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:11,719 Speaker 7: or not you'd come out to the polls. And this 926 00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:14,120 Speaker 7: I think is rather interesting. Do Democrats say they're more 927 00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:16,920 Speaker 7: motivated to turn out after Biden left the race? Well, 928 00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:19,799 Speaker 7: we do see a significant portion of Democrats who say yes, 929 00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:22,279 Speaker 7: thirty nine percent. The thing I was interested in was 930 00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:25,520 Speaker 7: it disproportionately younger voters who said that they were more 931 00:44:25,680 --> 00:44:27,839 Speaker 7: likely to turn out or more motivated to turn out. 932 00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:29,720 Speaker 7: And what we see here is it's forty two percent. 933 00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:33,400 Speaker 7: Not a big difference between forty two and thirty nine percent. 934 00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:36,440 Speaker 7: So this idea again that the vice president has unique 935 00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:39,759 Speaker 7: potential to dig in and get young voters to turn out, John, 936 00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,160 Speaker 7: it's just not there in the numbers, despite all the 937 00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:44,680 Speaker 7: Internet memes that are going around. 938 00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:47,359 Speaker 1: So still a lot of room, you could say, still 939 00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:49,080 Speaker 1: a lot of room to grow. Maybe if she, you know, 940 00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:52,560 Speaker 1: continues to do improve her position with with young voters 941 00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:54,680 Speaker 1: and make some savvy moves, or people just you know, 942 00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:58,000 Speaker 1: really decide like I can vote for Trump. It seems 943 00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:01,080 Speaker 1: like right now some of what's happened. R Junior's numbers 944 00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:03,440 Speaker 1: have fallen off. The third party numbers have fallen off. 945 00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:05,920 Speaker 1: Like people who were disgusted with Joe Biden over Gaza 946 00:45:05,960 --> 00:45:08,120 Speaker 1: are giving Kamala Harris a chance. Some of that is 947 00:45:08,200 --> 00:45:09,920 Speaker 1: going on. Or they were discussed with Joe Biden just 948 00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:12,200 Speaker 1: because it was so frikin old, and now they're like, 949 00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:14,719 Speaker 1: all right, well, this lady's not really old, so this 950 00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:18,000 Speaker 1: is great, but there's still a lot of question marks 951 00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,800 Speaker 1: there about whether she can truly put back together like 952 00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:24,920 Speaker 1: the Obama style coalition that would be more her strength. 953 00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:26,640 Speaker 1: You know, you said something about if you were her, 954 00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:28,520 Speaker 1: you would go for Pennsylvania, you would just like go 955 00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:31,200 Speaker 1: all in on the industrial Midwest. I'm not one hundred 956 00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:34,319 Speaker 1: percent sure because the demographics in those states they were 957 00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:39,200 Speaker 1: good for Biden because he outperformed with like older white voters. 958 00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:44,719 Speaker 1: Kamala's got a different got a different coalition mix, and 959 00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:48,160 Speaker 1: you know she already we're seeing some numbers that show 960 00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,919 Speaker 1: she's more in contention in those sun Belt states where 961 00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:54,040 Speaker 1: Joe and Georgia in particular, where Joe Biden was not 962 00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:57,160 Speaker 1: really and they basically all but written it off. So again, 963 00:45:57,280 --> 00:45:59,480 Speaker 1: I think it we have to see Holving shake off 964 00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:02,279 Speaker 1: shake to see where her best tell you what potential path. 965 00:46:02,480 --> 00:46:03,960 Speaker 2: My real thing is that if you look at the 966 00:46:04,040 --> 00:46:07,640 Speaker 2: economic approval in Georgia and in Arizona, Biden Harris was 967 00:46:07,719 --> 00:46:10,160 Speaker 2: underwater by some twenty five points, and I just don't 968 00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,400 Speaker 2: think that's possible to come back from it. Sure, you know, 969 00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:14,239 Speaker 2: are there a lot more black voters in Georgia who 970 00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:16,480 Speaker 2: might be able to come out and save her? Yeah, certainly. 971 00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:18,480 Speaker 2: I mean, And look, you've got Warnock and as Off 972 00:46:18,560 --> 00:46:20,920 Speaker 2: that are barnstorming the state for you. I wouldn't counter out, 973 00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:24,000 Speaker 2: but I'm not going all in. And so when you 974 00:46:24,080 --> 00:46:26,719 Speaker 2: look at the math and you look at the margins too, 975 00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:28,960 Speaker 2: we have some state by state polling, maybe we can 976 00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:31,840 Speaker 2: actually put this in afterwards. I'm just going to reference 977 00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:34,120 Speaker 2: this is a new Hill Emerson Pole. It kind of 978 00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:36,360 Speaker 2: bears out what I'm saying. If you look at Wisconsin, 979 00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:38,200 Speaker 2: this has just came out this morning. They were in 980 00:46:38,280 --> 00:46:41,960 Speaker 2: the field after the Biden drop out. Trump and Harris 981 00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:44,960 Speaker 2: are tied in Wisconsin. Trump is up by five in Arizona, 982 00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:47,880 Speaker 2: He's up by two in Georgia, up by one in Michigan, 983 00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:50,600 Speaker 2: and up by two in Pennsylvania. The tightest margin is 984 00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:53,400 Speaker 2: in the industrial Midwest. You've got whit Merge. You can 985 00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:55,600 Speaker 2: try and hold down the fourth there. In Michigan, you 986 00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:58,120 Speaker 2: don't have the Gaza sink that you used to maybe, 987 00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:00,440 Speaker 2: you know, if I were rum all away from it, 988 00:47:00,520 --> 00:47:02,280 Speaker 2: you know, honestly, try not to even take a position 989 00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:04,759 Speaker 2: that's gonna be tough. But you know, if anybody could 990 00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:06,960 Speaker 2: do it, it could be her. If you picked Shapiro 991 00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:10,759 Speaker 2: or somebody like that for Pennsylvania. He's enormously popular governors. 992 00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:12,759 Speaker 1: The Gaza thing, that's sure problem for her there. 993 00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:16,040 Speaker 2: How many people Arabs and dearborn are you really going 994 00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:19,680 Speaker 2: to vote on the VP pick like, look like it's complicated. 995 00:47:19,719 --> 00:47:21,400 Speaker 2: We'll see. I think she's gonna get more grace no 996 00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:21,759 Speaker 2: matter what. 997 00:47:22,080 --> 00:47:24,800 Speaker 1: Right, we'll talk about that more of the vpoplet right, Yes. 998 00:47:24,680 --> 00:47:27,319 Speaker 2: We get Shapiro there, we can hold down Pennsylvania. You've 999 00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:28,880 Speaker 2: only got to win it by point one. That's the 1000 00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:32,120 Speaker 2: only thing that actually matters. And then say Wisconsin. Biden 1001 00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,600 Speaker 2: was tied with Trump in Wisconsin, so Wisconsin has always 1002 00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:36,360 Speaker 2: been I mean, remember this, what did he win it 1003 00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:39,880 Speaker 2: by a couple ten thousand votes or something? In twenty sixteen, 1004 00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:43,400 Speaker 2: it was close, so you know already you had Biden 1005 00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:46,760 Speaker 2: roughly there. So if I'm Harris, I'm feeling more confident 1006 00:47:46,800 --> 00:47:48,640 Speaker 2: we can get some people to turn out in Milwaukee. 1007 00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:51,120 Speaker 2: Uh and you could try, you know, things there and 1008 00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:55,359 Speaker 2: we'll just see how things go. Whereas Georgia the Sun Belt, 1009 00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:58,839 Speaker 2: I just think the Sun Belt economically, there has never 1010 00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:01,440 Speaker 2: been more pessimism the Sun Belt today. And if you 1011 00:48:01,440 --> 00:48:03,120 Speaker 2: think too about who these new voters are, all the 1012 00:48:03,160 --> 00:48:06,040 Speaker 2: people who moved to Arizona, Georgia, Texas, and all these 1013 00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:09,000 Speaker 2: people are all blue refugees from New York and California, 1014 00:48:09,280 --> 00:48:11,080 Speaker 2: They're all going to be voting red. I think at 1015 00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:13,560 Speaker 2: least they're going to be voting red. And so I 1016 00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:16,440 Speaker 2: wouldn't I wouldn't go all in there, but I need 1017 00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:18,920 Speaker 2: to see too some polling. I mean, I think Georgia. 1018 00:48:19,080 --> 00:48:21,080 Speaker 2: Georgia is the one state where I think it was 1019 00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:24,320 Speaker 2: totally lost nor Biden and is winnable now under Harris. 1020 00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:29,239 Speaker 1: But remember too, because she does better so far. Again, 1021 00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:31,160 Speaker 1: this is all so early, but she also appears to 1022 00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:33,359 Speaker 1: do better among Latina's. Let's put this next piece up 1023 00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:35,719 Speaker 1: on the screen, just because one of the questions is 1024 00:48:36,520 --> 00:48:39,400 Speaker 1: how much, Okay, how much of Biden's lag was his 1025 00:48:39,520 --> 00:48:42,960 Speaker 1: policies and how much was just his age very undefined question. 1026 00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:46,760 Speaker 1: And then the other question is how much are Republicans 1027 00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:51,200 Speaker 1: going to be successful in tying Kamala to Biden? 1028 00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:51,799 Speaker 2: Right? 1029 00:48:51,920 --> 00:48:53,640 Speaker 1: And they want to do that, They're already trying to 1030 00:48:53,719 --> 00:48:57,600 Speaker 1: do that so far. The early indicators, the early data 1031 00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,560 Speaker 1: is that while Harris is seen as a liberal, she 1032 00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:05,160 Speaker 1: does enjoy perception advantages over Biden. Even when you look 1033 00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:08,520 Speaker 1: at the issues, they view her as closer to their 1034 00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:13,200 Speaker 1: views than Biden on inflation by ten percentage points, government 1035 00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:16,920 Speaker 1: spending by ten percentage points, immigration, I'm actually surprised by 1036 00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:21,479 Speaker 1: this one by fifteen percentage points, abortion by eight percentage points, 1037 00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:25,320 Speaker 1: and even corruption plus thirteen. We can go to the 1038 00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:29,879 Speaker 1: next slide. This is from this same analysis of where 1039 00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:33,600 Speaker 1: Kamala Harris performs well on the issues and where she struggles. 1040 00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:36,400 Speaker 1: It's not going to surprise you. The best issue for 1041 00:49:36,520 --> 00:49:41,160 Speaker 1: her net of trust Harris over Trump is reproductive rights 1042 00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:44,880 Speaker 1: than climate and environment, improving the healthcare system, reducing racial 1043 00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:46,960 Speaker 1: tension in the country, making sure everyone can get a 1044 00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:50,480 Speaker 1: good education, protecting social security like sort of a typical 1045 00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:53,399 Speaker 1: list of liberal priorities, and then at the bottom those 1046 00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:57,480 Speaker 1: same issues that dogged Joe Biden, securing the border, immigration, police, 1047 00:49:57,520 --> 00:49:59,440 Speaker 1: and crime, although she's only minus two on that, which 1048 00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:01,640 Speaker 1: a little bit surprised about there as interesting. Maybe it 1049 00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:04,360 Speaker 1: goes back to her kut mala cut maladay. 1050 00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:07,680 Speaker 2: We talk about any credibility she still has on that one. 1051 00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:10,920 Speaker 1: But in any case, you know, I thought the comparison 1052 00:50:11,000 --> 00:50:13,640 Speaker 1: with Biden was really interesting to me that people had 1053 00:50:14,400 --> 00:50:17,400 Speaker 1: separate views from her, at least at this point than 1054 00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:21,160 Speaker 1: they had on you know, with Biden on inflation, et cetera. 1055 00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:24,439 Speaker 1: But I also am fairly persuaded that the biggest issue 1056 00:50:24,480 --> 00:50:27,279 Speaker 1: Joe Biden had wasn't really an issue problem. It was 1057 00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:28,240 Speaker 1: an age problem. 1058 00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:31,279 Speaker 2: I think age it's like bone marrow. It was at 1059 00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:34,120 Speaker 2: the center of everything with the conversation with Biden. Now 1060 00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:36,120 Speaker 2: that said, I mean, the economy is still bet like 1061 00:50:36,200 --> 00:50:38,279 Speaker 2: I think, it's bad for the average middle class person. 1062 00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:41,040 Speaker 2: So that's why I would never have picked the incumbent 1063 00:50:41,120 --> 00:50:43,719 Speaker 2: vice president. I want to pick somebody from a more 1064 00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:47,520 Speaker 2: dynamic and an interesting state that genuinely understands some of 1065 00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:50,120 Speaker 2: the middle class like economic concerns, and I want to 1066 00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:52,719 Speaker 2: pick somebody who's got a real track record of at 1067 00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:55,000 Speaker 2: least trying to work on that. I've seen Kyle talk 1068 00:50:55,040 --> 00:50:56,719 Speaker 2: about Tim Waltz. I mean, these are people that I 1069 00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:58,919 Speaker 2: would really want to work for, right and I would 1070 00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:00,800 Speaker 2: really want to I would want to put that forward 1071 00:51:00,800 --> 00:51:03,560 Speaker 2: because that is a contrast to the Trump, you know era, 1072 00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:07,279 Speaker 2: and to a real vision also post twenty twenty four, 1073 00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:08,959 Speaker 2: where with Kamala it's like, what are you gonna do? Biden, 1074 00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:11,759 Speaker 2: Plus it's like, okay, I mean, look great, but that's 1075 00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:15,719 Speaker 2: not anything all that interesting. And so for her, I 1076 00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:17,760 Speaker 2: think it's I think it's just like I said earlier, 1077 00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:20,840 Speaker 2: it's gonna be the immigration economy election or it's going 1078 00:51:20,920 --> 00:51:22,840 Speaker 2: to be the abortion economy election, and it's gonna be 1079 00:51:22,840 --> 00:51:24,279 Speaker 2: a slog and it's gonna be a battle to the 1080 00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:27,799 Speaker 2: death between those two. And the definition wars, I mean 1081 00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:29,520 Speaker 2: the amount of money that's going to be spent on 1082 00:51:29,800 --> 00:51:33,440 Speaker 2: Kamala crime, Kamala borders are Kamala open border on the 1083 00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:35,200 Speaker 2: Republican side, That's what I would do too if I 1084 00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:37,480 Speaker 2: was going up against her, because it is also probably 1085 00:51:37,480 --> 00:51:39,799 Speaker 2: the area where they genuinely disagree the most. And then 1086 00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:42,440 Speaker 2: you flip it on abortion. And you know, you've got 1087 00:51:42,560 --> 00:51:45,080 Speaker 2: JD who's got pass comments on abortion, and then you've 1088 00:51:45,120 --> 00:51:49,000 Speaker 2: got Trump who literally had Roe versus Wade overturned and 1089 00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:51,560 Speaker 2: appointed those people. That is as good of a contrast 1090 00:51:51,600 --> 00:51:54,400 Speaker 2: as I could ask for. And that's also where you 1091 00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:57,680 Speaker 2: can make it. There's a famous you know, Barry Goldwater quote, 1092 00:51:57,719 --> 00:51:59,920 Speaker 2: the time for choosing that moment. This is a time 1093 00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:02,680 Speaker 2: for choosing on those two issues. So whichever you can 1094 00:52:02,680 --> 00:52:05,000 Speaker 2: get people to care the most about and define the other. 1095 00:52:05,320 --> 00:52:07,400 Speaker 2: On economy, I think they're kind of washed, frankly for 1096 00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:10,600 Speaker 2: both because you've decent hits against both. You know, Trump 1097 00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:14,480 Speaker 2: on TCJA and extension, but he didn't have inflation. Kamala 1098 00:52:14,560 --> 00:52:16,840 Speaker 2: you've got you know, whatever she's promising middle class agenda. 1099 00:52:16,840 --> 00:52:18,399 Speaker 2: I don't know how much you believe that, but maybe 1100 00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:21,399 Speaker 2: and then you but you've also got inflation. On those two, 1101 00:52:21,440 --> 00:52:23,759 Speaker 2: I think they relatively cancel each other out. So those 1102 00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:25,640 Speaker 2: are the two issues that I think are define this elet. 1103 00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:27,160 Speaker 1: I would I would throw another one into the mix. 1104 00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:30,239 Speaker 1: I mean, the midterms turned on the reason there wasn't 1105 00:52:30,239 --> 00:52:33,279 Speaker 1: a red wave, even though all the numbers seem to indicate, like, oh, 1106 00:52:33,480 --> 00:52:36,400 Speaker 1: they've got a big problem on inflation and immigration. It 1107 00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:38,680 Speaker 1: was abortion and it was extremeistly a good point. It 1108 00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:42,240 Speaker 1: was the sense of like, these people are really fringed, 1109 00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:45,919 Speaker 1: they're weird. You know, they're saying stuff that's just out there, 1110 00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:50,120 Speaker 1: and you know, that was what ended up being the 1111 00:52:50,239 --> 00:52:54,040 Speaker 1: really determining factor in the midterms. And so I think 1112 00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:57,319 Speaker 1: that's what that's what the Democrats are hoping. Those are 1113 00:52:57,360 --> 00:53:00,960 Speaker 1: the still the issues that control and end up being 1114 00:53:01,040 --> 00:53:05,000 Speaker 1: the most persuasive to swing voters, you know, wherever they 1115 00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,440 Speaker 1: may live. So I want to move on. 1116 00:53:07,680 --> 00:53:08,080 Speaker 2: We do have. 1117 00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:10,319 Speaker 1: Let me just show you this Pennsylvania poll real quick. 1118 00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:13,200 Speaker 1: B seven. You already refer to some battleground polling, but 1119 00:53:13,320 --> 00:53:17,239 Speaker 1: this was another poll. This was actually commissioned by Republicans, 1120 00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:19,640 Speaker 1: which is interesting but and it's I think a B 1121 00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,160 Speaker 1: rated polster, so not an A rated polster, but still 1122 00:53:22,200 --> 00:53:24,520 Speaker 1: not bad. You got Trump winning, but only by two 1123 00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:27,600 Speaker 1: better than what we've been seeing from Biden recently. You 1124 00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:31,200 Speaker 1: have Bob Casey the Democrat, holding an eight point advantage 1125 00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:34,840 Speaker 1: over McCormick. Dave McCormick is that his name? The Republican, 1126 00:53:35,120 --> 00:53:38,839 Speaker 1: So again you still still see swing state democrats out 1127 00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:40,919 Speaker 1: performing the top of the ticket, but it's a little 1128 00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:43,239 Speaker 1: better than what they were doing with Biden. It gives 1129 00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:45,440 Speaker 1: them a shot put b eight up on the screen. 1130 00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:47,400 Speaker 1: This was an analysis from Nate Cone over the New 1131 00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:50,319 Speaker 1: York Times, their data guy, how Kamala Harris changes the race. 1132 00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:53,959 Speaker 1: One thing she's it is a good piece. Three things 1133 00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:58,239 Speaker 1: that he points to. Number one, the original dynamic was 1134 00:53:58,560 --> 00:54:02,279 Speaker 1: Trump being a change candidate Biden being very much not 1135 00:54:02,480 --> 00:54:06,000 Speaker 1: change candidate. Harris, he says, Democrats will have another chance 1136 00:54:06,080 --> 00:54:08,480 Speaker 1: to make the case they can improve the nation's fortunes. 1137 00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:10,800 Speaker 1: For one, she's neither Biden nor Trump. Two figures have 1138 00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:12,840 Speaker 1: been in public life for decades, So she feels like 1139 00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:15,160 Speaker 1: a breath of fashhair. That's my He didn't say that, 1140 00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:17,000 Speaker 1: I'm saying that. For another, she's not the president. She 1141 00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:19,319 Speaker 1: might be burdened by voters perceptions of mister Biden's record, 1142 00:54:19,360 --> 00:54:21,600 Speaker 1: but she'll have room to distinguish herself. She even has 1143 00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:24,359 Speaker 1: room to argue for a new direction. The other thing 1144 00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:27,000 Speaker 1: he refers to is the return of the usual demographic divide. 1145 00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:28,640 Speaker 1: That some of what we've been talking about is she's 1146 00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:32,960 Speaker 1: returning to more of the Obama coalitional mold, better with 1147 00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:36,200 Speaker 1: young people, better with black voters, better with Latino voters. 1148 00:54:36,560 --> 00:54:39,320 Speaker 1: And he said, they say the return of issues. You know, 1149 00:54:39,560 --> 00:54:42,040 Speaker 1: with Biden, the whole thing was just about like his 1150 00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:45,200 Speaker 1: age basically. And now there'll be a little bit more 1151 00:54:45,239 --> 00:54:48,480 Speaker 1: space than the conversation for an actual conversation about how 1152 00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:51,479 Speaker 1: these candidates would govern and what that governing agenda would 1153 00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:52,960 Speaker 1: look like. So we may see more talk of that 1154 00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:53,520 Speaker 1: with comm. 1155 00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:56,200 Speaker 2: That is the greatest gift that Biden's resignation is gift 1156 00:54:56,239 --> 00:54:59,560 Speaker 2: than Democrats. Was the worst issue, and it was it permeated, 1157 00:54:59,719 --> 00:55:01,640 Speaker 2: like I said, everything, it was the bone marrow. And 1158 00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:04,120 Speaker 2: now when that's gone, I mean, look, it opens up 1159 00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:06,839 Speaker 2: a little bit of space. Now to what extent how 1160 00:55:06,920 --> 00:55:08,640 Speaker 2: are they going to work with that, how are they 1161 00:55:08,680 --> 00:55:11,080 Speaker 2: going to define things. I'm actually quite curious, you know, 1162 00:55:11,200 --> 00:55:13,839 Speaker 2: to see what the moves are in the next couple 1163 00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:15,799 Speaker 2: of days. But overall, I would say she's played her 1164 00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:17,719 Speaker 2: hand like pretty well from what I've seen so far, 1165 00:55:18,000 --> 00:55:20,160 Speaker 2: there's been a lot of Row versus wide. I think 1166 00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:23,120 Speaker 2: the campaign ad course speech is not bad. I think 1167 00:55:23,160 --> 00:55:25,319 Speaker 2: that the you know, the rally speech from what I've read, 1168 00:55:25,440 --> 00:55:27,640 Speaker 2: or at least of the excerpts and look normal. Her 1169 00:55:27,760 --> 00:55:30,440 Speaker 2: very first ad is now out. It's called Freedom. It's 1170 00:55:30,480 --> 00:55:32,800 Speaker 2: got Beyonce's Freedom or whatever, and it's all about you 1171 00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:35,960 Speaker 2: guessed it, democracy and abortion, which and Trump being a 1172 00:55:36,000 --> 00:55:39,120 Speaker 2: convicted felon. So the playbook is here. Yeah, and you've 1173 00:55:39,120 --> 00:55:42,000 Speaker 2: got a ton of money. I also think I did 1174 00:55:42,040 --> 00:55:45,320 Speaker 2: we talk about the enthusiasm gap, because that was actually 1175 00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:47,680 Speaker 2: maybe it'd be the biggest change. The biggest change here, 1176 00:55:47,840 --> 00:55:50,360 Speaker 2: by far is the eight hundred and ninety six thousand 1177 00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:52,439 Speaker 2: people who donated to a Democrat for the very first 1178 00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:55,400 Speaker 2: time since Biden dropped out of the race. That's one 1179 00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:58,280 Speaker 2: in two hundred and ninety six Americans like, that's crazy, 1180 00:55:58,640 --> 00:56:03,440 Speaker 2: and famously has the most dedicated political coalition of all 1181 00:56:03,520 --> 00:56:07,160 Speaker 2: time in modern politics. Now Kamala has got the ladies, 1182 00:56:07,320 --> 00:56:10,520 Speaker 2: and I'm never betting against abortion ladies at all. These 1183 00:56:10,560 --> 00:56:13,399 Speaker 2: people will and did crawl over broken glass to vote 1184 00:56:13,400 --> 00:56:16,440 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty two, and now they're you know, Biden 1185 00:56:16,719 --> 00:56:21,200 Speaker 2: is gone. The biggest worst deficit to them actually having enthusiasm. 1186 00:56:21,520 --> 00:56:24,839 Speaker 2: So now generic d that has real power. And if 1187 00:56:24,880 --> 00:56:27,320 Speaker 2: I'm Republicans, I'm worried as hell about that because this 1188 00:56:27,760 --> 00:56:29,839 Speaker 2: get to the ballot box, row row, row your vote. 1189 00:56:30,200 --> 00:56:32,520 Speaker 2: I mean, if you're in you know, northern Virginia suburbs 1190 00:56:32,560 --> 00:56:34,520 Speaker 2: where I am. I mean, these people are fired up now, 1191 00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:37,040 Speaker 2: they are ready to vote. They hate Trump with a 1192 00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:39,880 Speaker 2: passion that many Republicans have discounted. 1193 00:56:39,920 --> 00:56:42,560 Speaker 1: Now, for several years, I have never seen Kamala Harris 1194 00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:44,360 Speaker 1: better than she's been in these past few weeks. And 1195 00:56:44,480 --> 00:56:47,480 Speaker 1: not just since she became the you know, presumptive nominee, 1196 00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:52,000 Speaker 1: but since the Biden debate debacle. She has had a swagger. 1197 00:56:52,360 --> 00:56:56,560 Speaker 1: She has been genuinely charismatic on this. She has been good, 1198 00:56:56,840 --> 00:57:00,560 Speaker 1: like from a just sheer raw political analysis. Now she 1199 00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:03,239 Speaker 1: hasn't had to do the things that are difficult for her, right, 1200 00:57:03,360 --> 00:57:06,439 Speaker 1: she hasn't had to do the interviews and be caught 1201 00:57:06,480 --> 00:57:10,640 Speaker 1: off balance. She has been very good. And the other 1202 00:57:10,719 --> 00:57:13,239 Speaker 1: thing she benefits from is she's not eighty years old, 1203 00:57:13,440 --> 00:57:16,320 Speaker 1: and the bar has been set. Think of the Biden 1204 00:57:16,360 --> 00:57:19,439 Speaker 1: speech last night, right, and then compare that to Colma, 1205 00:57:19,520 --> 00:57:22,480 Speaker 1: You're like, holy shit, this one's amazing, Right, But that 1206 00:57:22,600 --> 00:57:27,600 Speaker 1: gets he set the bar below the floor. So when 1207 00:57:27,640 --> 00:57:32,080 Speaker 1: she's able to deliver competently a democratic message and a 1208 00:57:32,200 --> 00:57:36,280 Speaker 1: democratic attack on Trump, with some energy and some vitality, 1209 00:57:36,320 --> 00:57:38,320 Speaker 1: and you have people who are actually excited to hear 1210 00:57:38,360 --> 00:57:43,240 Speaker 1: from her. It feels so incredibly different than how things 1211 00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:47,520 Speaker 1: were before. And so I yeah, underestimate her at your 1212 00:57:47,560 --> 00:57:50,440 Speaker 1: peril because we all know what the weaknesses are. But 1213 00:57:51,200 --> 00:57:53,800 Speaker 1: Trump is now, Trump's age becomes in it, like he 1214 00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:56,400 Speaker 1: is an old man. He's almost eighty years old, right, 1215 00:57:56,600 --> 00:57:59,240 Speaker 1: and he's been in the public eye for a long 1216 00:57:59,240 --> 00:58:01,640 Speaker 1: people who are sick of he's got negative approval writing 1217 00:58:01,840 --> 00:58:03,960 Speaker 1: like he's got all the baggage that Trump comes with. 1218 00:58:04,680 --> 00:58:09,360 Speaker 1: So you know, there is she's got a genuine enthusiasm 1219 00:58:09,440 --> 00:58:11,200 Speaker 1: behind her. And Ryan Mede at this point, I think 1220 00:58:11,240 --> 00:58:14,560 Speaker 1: he's right in a sense, the fact that she is 1221 00:58:14,720 --> 00:58:19,120 Speaker 1: a black woman. It's a benefit to her because Americans 1222 00:58:19,400 --> 00:58:23,720 Speaker 1: want to believe the mythology about you know, marching towards 1223 00:58:23,840 --> 00:58:27,560 Speaker 1: progress and equality, and they want to see themselves with 1224 00:58:27,640 --> 00:58:30,160 Speaker 1: the type of people who would vote for a black woman. 1225 00:58:30,200 --> 00:58:32,600 Speaker 1: And this was ended up being a benefit for Obama too, 1226 00:58:33,360 --> 00:58:35,760 Speaker 1: and so and I think we'll talk more about this 1227 00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:37,880 Speaker 1: than the next block. But I think Republicans are a 1228 00:58:37,960 --> 00:58:41,320 Speaker 1: bit imperiled by how much they want to fixate on 1229 00:58:41,520 --> 00:58:45,439 Speaker 1: her race and gender as a negative, and so part 1230 00:58:45,520 --> 00:58:48,160 Speaker 1: of the enthusiasm for her is the sense of like, 1231 00:58:48,280 --> 00:58:50,120 Speaker 1: oh my god, like a black woman, and I see 1232 00:58:50,160 --> 00:58:52,160 Speaker 1: myself in you know what this means for the country, 1233 00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:55,400 Speaker 1: and what this means for you know, how we conceive 1234 00:58:55,480 --> 00:58:58,640 Speaker 1: of ourselves. That's definitely a part of this, and it's 1235 00:58:58,680 --> 00:59:02,120 Speaker 1: a part of what makes her feel like this huge 1236 00:59:02,280 --> 00:59:05,480 Speaker 1: break from the Biden and Trump's blog that we were 1237 00:59:05,520 --> 00:59:07,080 Speaker 1: all looking towards space. 1238 00:59:07,520 --> 00:59:09,280 Speaker 2: I'm not so much sure I buy that. I think 1239 00:59:09,360 --> 00:59:12,920 Speaker 2: that's true for a certain subset of the liberal white 1240 00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:16,160 Speaker 2: population who fetishized like voting for black people and makes it. 1241 00:59:16,240 --> 00:59:18,240 Speaker 1: Now have you seen the like have you seen the 1242 00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:19,360 Speaker 1: black organizing culture? 1243 00:59:19,480 --> 00:59:21,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's great, But that's the true whenever 1244 00:59:21,120 --> 00:59:22,640 Speaker 2: they had Obama. I mean I remember I went to 1245 00:59:22,640 --> 00:59:24,760 Speaker 2: an Obama rally in twenty twelve. It was the same 1246 00:59:24,840 --> 00:59:26,360 Speaker 2: vibe there. So I don't think it's all that unique. 1247 00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:28,680 Speaker 2: I just think it's any time there's so but that was. 1248 00:59:28,680 --> 00:59:29,400 Speaker 1: Good for Obama. 1249 00:59:29,480 --> 00:59:31,120 Speaker 2: Okay, sure, good for him. 1250 00:59:31,280 --> 00:59:35,040 Speaker 1: I mean I'm saying that's the opposite. It's the opposite 1251 00:59:35,200 --> 00:59:37,960 Speaker 1: of the like, oh, the country's too racist and sexist 1252 00:59:38,000 --> 00:59:38,960 Speaker 1: to elect a black woman. 1253 00:59:39,000 --> 00:59:40,280 Speaker 2: We've already thought that's stupid. 1254 00:59:40,320 --> 00:59:42,400 Speaker 1: It's the opposite of it. But that's what I'm saying, 1255 00:59:42,560 --> 00:59:45,320 Speaker 1: is like, you know, that's the way oftentimes this is framed. 1256 00:59:45,680 --> 00:59:47,440 Speaker 1: And I do think there's an added challenge of like 1257 00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:50,120 Speaker 1: envisioning her and the role. But I actually think I've 1258 00:59:50,160 --> 00:59:54,480 Speaker 1: come to believe net the level of aspiration enthusiasm that 1259 00:59:54,600 --> 00:59:57,200 Speaker 1: is wrapped up in that identity and image, I think 1260 00:59:57,240 --> 00:59:59,080 Speaker 1: that actually is a benefit to her campaign. 1261 00:59:59,200 --> 01:00:01,480 Speaker 2: Like I said, forrest subset of liberal white people, I 1262 01:00:01,520 --> 01:00:03,600 Speaker 2: think that is true. I would hope for most people, 1263 01:00:03,680 --> 01:00:05,240 Speaker 2: you don't have to care about who whatever the race 1264 01:00:05,320 --> 01:00:06,920 Speaker 2: is of the president. I certainly don't care what the 1265 01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:07,320 Speaker 2: race what. 1266 01:00:07,400 --> 01:00:10,880 Speaker 1: Sorry listen, obviously for me, the policy controls. But you 1267 01:00:10,960 --> 01:00:14,000 Speaker 1: can't deny they did an organizing call with black women 1268 01:00:14,040 --> 01:00:17,440 Speaker 1: that had forty thousand people on it. They did one 1269 01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:20,560 Speaker 1: for black men that had fifty thousand people on Like 1270 01:00:21,280 --> 01:00:26,480 Speaker 1: the level of enthusiasm and willingness to organize, and they 1271 01:00:26,560 --> 01:00:28,760 Speaker 1: raise millions of dollars on these calls. Like, you can't 1272 01:00:28,840 --> 01:00:30,520 Speaker 1: just hand wave that away and say, well, it doesn't 1273 01:00:30,520 --> 01:00:32,000 Speaker 1: matter to me, so it doesn't matter to anyone else. 1274 01:00:32,000 --> 01:00:33,640 Speaker 1: It doesn't matter to some people, it doesn't matter, like 1275 01:00:34,240 --> 01:00:37,120 Speaker 1: they're excited about this person looks different than what I expected. 1276 01:00:37,160 --> 01:00:39,240 Speaker 1: I didn't know if this would be possible. And I 1277 01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:43,200 Speaker 1: think Americans, like you said, including white Americans, like the 1278 01:00:43,360 --> 01:00:46,240 Speaker 1: idea of themselves as someone who's not racist and not 1279 01:00:46,440 --> 01:00:48,880 Speaker 1: sexist and would be willing to vote for this candidate. 1280 01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:51,040 Speaker 1: And so I don't think you can say, like, oh, this, 1281 01:00:51,800 --> 01:00:54,080 Speaker 1: I think it's I think it's a benefit to her 1282 01:00:54,240 --> 01:00:57,240 Speaker 1: her identity characteristics, which is the polar opposite of the 1283 01:00:57,360 --> 01:00:59,360 Speaker 1: narrative you normally get about the country's two racism. 1284 01:00:59,440 --> 01:01:01,320 Speaker 2: Oh sure that's actually a Median Arab and I think 1285 01:01:01,360 --> 01:01:03,840 Speaker 2: that's false. Is two thousand and eight, and I think, sure, 1286 01:01:03,920 --> 01:01:06,040 Speaker 2: that's good now. I mean, yeah, it's great. I would 1287 01:01:06,080 --> 01:01:08,000 Speaker 2: want it. I'd rather have it than not. But you know, 1288 01:01:08,080 --> 01:01:09,440 Speaker 2: there's a lot of white people in the country too, 1289 01:01:09,480 --> 01:01:11,720 Speaker 2: so if I was, I wouldn't necessarily I don't know. 1290 01:01:11,760 --> 01:01:13,640 Speaker 2: I just don't think it really matters. Like if I'm 1291 01:01:13,680 --> 01:01:15,760 Speaker 2: looking at it from who, it all is going to 1292 01:01:15,800 --> 01:01:17,320 Speaker 2: come down to who you're going to raise the most 1293 01:01:17,360 --> 01:01:19,240 Speaker 2: money from, Like, I don't think it's going to be 1294 01:01:19,440 --> 01:01:22,680 Speaker 2: what black sororities or black women organizing calls. I'd rather 1295 01:01:22,720 --> 01:01:25,320 Speaker 2: have the money than not. But it's not necessarily like 1296 01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:27,520 Speaker 2: going to turn anything. Will it have a lot of 1297 01:01:27,600 --> 01:01:30,480 Speaker 2: media attention paid to it. I just think it's a wash. Yeah, absolutely, 1298 01:01:30,760 --> 01:01:32,200 Speaker 2: especially with Trump. I mean, look at the amount of 1299 01:01:32,280 --> 01:01:36,000 Speaker 2: enthusiasm he gets amongst white working class voters. I'd have that. 1300 01:01:36,280 --> 01:01:36,360 Speaker 8: Now. 1301 01:01:36,400 --> 01:01:39,360 Speaker 2: Would I rather be Harris than Biden? Yes, absolutely. You 1302 01:01:39,400 --> 01:01:42,440 Speaker 2: know he's not getting that level of enthusiasm. But if 1303 01:01:42,480 --> 01:01:44,120 Speaker 2: I were her, I mean, I don't think the election 1304 01:01:44,240 --> 01:01:46,080 Speaker 2: is going to turn on black voters. I think it's 1305 01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:48,600 Speaker 2: going to come down to, like I said, suburban women. 1306 01:01:48,760 --> 01:01:50,720 Speaker 2: So if I were her, I'd be getting my ass 1307 01:01:50,760 --> 01:01:54,280 Speaker 2: out there in Detroit suburbs and and Milwaukee and everywhere else. 1308 01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:55,800 Speaker 2: I use the two together. 1309 01:01:56,160 --> 01:01:58,880 Speaker 1: I have really been gaining some ground among black voters, 1310 01:01:59,040 --> 01:02:02,520 Speaker 1: and Trump was really banking on continuing to eat into 1311 01:02:02,640 --> 01:02:06,080 Speaker 1: those margins in a way that is significant in a 1312 01:02:06,120 --> 01:02:08,600 Speaker 1: lot of states. And so you know, I think she 1313 01:02:09,520 --> 01:02:12,360 Speaker 1: we already have the numbers, like she definitely reverses that trend. 1314 01:02:12,440 --> 01:02:16,280 Speaker 1: She reverts more back to that Obama coalition with regards 1315 01:02:16,280 --> 01:02:19,280 Speaker 1: to black voters. And so yeah, I mean I don't 1316 01:02:19,280 --> 01:02:21,920 Speaker 1: think you can just say, like her identity doesn't mean 1317 01:02:22,000 --> 01:02:24,600 Speaker 1: anything in this race. You can see from the Republican 1318 01:02:24,640 --> 01:02:28,440 Speaker 1: reaction like obviously it has. It has resonance good and 1319 01:02:28,600 --> 01:02:32,400 Speaker 1: bad among different segments of the population. But my only 1320 01:02:32,480 --> 01:02:35,960 Speaker 1: point is that the notion that we've been sold, we 1321 01:02:36,040 --> 01:02:38,320 Speaker 1: were sold after Hilly Clok the country's too sexist to 1322 01:02:38,400 --> 01:02:40,360 Speaker 1: vote for her, you know, we were sold during Obama 1323 01:02:40,480 --> 01:02:42,320 Speaker 1: like all the country maybe too racist to vote for him. 1324 01:02:42,320 --> 01:02:44,280 Speaker 1: That was obviously not true, and they did vote for 1325 01:02:44,360 --> 01:02:47,080 Speaker 1: him twice twice. Hillary Clinton was not sexism. That wasn't 1326 01:02:47,120 --> 01:02:49,160 Speaker 1: the rest I was on sexism. That was the reason 1327 01:02:49,200 --> 01:02:53,040 Speaker 1: Kamala didn't do well in her primary. I think it's 1328 01:02:53,080 --> 01:02:55,560 Speaker 1: exactly the opposite. I think it's I think it's a 1329 01:02:55,680 --> 01:02:59,440 Speaker 1: benefit to her that she appears to be visually and 1330 01:02:59,520 --> 01:03:02,560 Speaker 1: her identity is such a break with you know, just 1331 01:03:02,680 --> 01:03:06,080 Speaker 1: the surface level identity of the contest as it was 1332 01:03:06,160 --> 01:03:10,000 Speaker 1: originally formulated. That that's that is part of why you 1333 01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:15,360 Speaker 1: have this flood of enthusiasm, donations, organizing all of those 1334 01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:16,480 Speaker 1: things that you're seeing right now. 1335 01:03:16,800 --> 01:03:18,680 Speaker 2: Her identity is part of that, I'm sure sure, I 1336 01:03:18,720 --> 01:03:20,000 Speaker 2: think is part of it. I think it would be 1337 01:03:20,120 --> 01:03:22,880 Speaker 2: roughly equal for aggression with Merrick Avenues. I think that's 1338 01:03:23,000 --> 01:03:25,040 Speaker 2: really so much of it is just he's not He's 1339 01:03:25,120 --> 01:03:27,960 Speaker 2: not Biden like that is a massive part of it. 1340 01:03:30,480 --> 01:03:30,840 Speaker 7: All right. 1341 01:03:30,920 --> 01:03:33,120 Speaker 2: So Crystal was very kind and she wanted me to 1342 01:03:33,320 --> 01:03:37,200 Speaker 2: weigh in on some of the Republican attacks on Kamala Harris. 1343 01:03:37,280 --> 01:03:39,520 Speaker 2: Or We're going to start with one that has been 1344 01:03:39,600 --> 01:03:42,520 Speaker 2: making the rounds. Kamala is allegedly quote, what is it, 1345 01:03:42,600 --> 01:03:46,040 Speaker 2: the original hawk to a girl? This was on Fox Business. 1346 01:03:46,320 --> 01:03:47,120 Speaker 2: Let's take a lesson. 1347 01:03:47,320 --> 01:03:49,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, and then there's the DEI press secretary telling you 1348 01:03:49,840 --> 01:03:52,080 Speaker 5: that the DEI vice president is the future of the 1349 01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:54,120 Speaker 5: party here and so the future looks kind of dim 1350 01:03:54,240 --> 01:03:56,280 Speaker 5: for the Democrats here. But this is no shock or either. 1351 01:03:56,360 --> 01:03:58,919 Speaker 5: Kamala harris 's the original hawk to a girl. That's 1352 01:03:58,920 --> 01:04:01,640 Speaker 5: the way she got where she is, and the party's 1353 01:04:01,680 --> 01:04:03,000 Speaker 5: going downhill if it's in her hands. 1354 01:04:03,080 --> 01:04:05,720 Speaker 2: That was tough? Was that was That was harsh? That 1355 01:04:05,920 --> 01:04:08,600 Speaker 2: was harsh. Look, I would just say this, let's just 1356 01:04:08,680 --> 01:04:09,560 Speaker 2: not go into it, all right. 1357 01:04:09,800 --> 01:04:10,320 Speaker 1: In general. 1358 01:04:10,440 --> 01:04:13,960 Speaker 2: I talked with Emily about it. I have annoyance with 1359 01:04:14,080 --> 01:04:16,000 Speaker 2: some of this because some of this it's like, well, 1360 01:04:16,080 --> 01:04:18,080 Speaker 2: what is allowed to be talked about? It not So 1361 01:04:18,200 --> 01:04:20,400 Speaker 2: with Trump, it's like, okay, well, we have now spent 1362 01:04:20,880 --> 01:04:23,880 Speaker 2: years litigating did he have sex with Stormy Daniels up 1363 01:04:23,960 --> 01:04:26,560 Speaker 2: until the point of what I'm not not going to 1364 01:04:26,640 --> 01:04:29,240 Speaker 2: go into. Let's just say the very personal details of 1365 01:04:29,280 --> 01:04:33,600 Speaker 2: Donald Trump's anatomy, what the exact sexual encounter was between 1366 01:04:33,680 --> 01:04:36,880 Speaker 2: the two That was a key like thing against him. 1367 01:04:37,200 --> 01:04:40,240 Speaker 1: So well, it was in the context of a campaign 1368 01:04:40,280 --> 01:04:43,840 Speaker 1: payment her up, that was the context there, Okay, but then. 1369 01:04:43,720 --> 01:04:46,560 Speaker 2: The Karen McDougall thing. Also, you know, many of Trump's affairs, 1370 01:04:46,600 --> 01:04:49,320 Speaker 2: so Trump's sex life was like totally out in the open. 1371 01:04:49,400 --> 01:04:51,040 Speaker 2: So it's like, oh, well, we're not allowed to talk 1372 01:04:51,040 --> 01:04:55,160 Speaker 2: about Kamala like basically having an affair with a very powerful, 1373 01:04:55,360 --> 01:04:59,840 Speaker 2: you know, a relationship with a powerful San Francisco mayor, 1374 01:05:00,080 --> 01:05:03,320 Speaker 2: and clearly how that, you know, contributed to her rise 1375 01:05:03,360 --> 01:05:05,600 Speaker 2: to the top. I would say, it's fine to talk 1376 01:05:05,640 --> 01:05:08,280 Speaker 2: about I wouldn't talk about it that way. But in general, 1377 01:05:08,520 --> 01:05:10,400 Speaker 2: let's just take it back to where we were in 1378 01:05:10,480 --> 01:05:13,600 Speaker 2: the beginning of this Uh, in the beginning of this show, 1379 01:05:13,720 --> 01:05:16,520 Speaker 2: which is if we're talking about suburban women in abortion, 1380 01:05:16,600 --> 01:05:17,920 Speaker 2: I would probably just avoid was. 1381 01:05:18,000 --> 01:05:20,880 Speaker 1: Going to say, I say so, I would incur Republicans, 1382 01:05:21,200 --> 01:05:24,920 Speaker 1: Please continue this line of attack, Laura Lumber, please continue 1383 01:05:24,960 --> 01:05:30,919 Speaker 1: talking about Kamala Harris's uterus and theorizing about her entire 1384 01:05:31,240 --> 01:05:34,919 Speaker 1: Please the other thing about this Sager, and this fits 1385 01:05:35,000 --> 01:05:38,720 Speaker 1: with the the DEI hit as well. This shit is 1386 01:05:38,800 --> 01:05:43,760 Speaker 1: so online and so to people that understand it, it's repellent, 1387 01:05:44,200 --> 01:05:46,800 Speaker 1: right like even the Fox Business lady there is like 1388 01:05:47,080 --> 01:05:48,720 Speaker 1: repelled by it. And he's been pulled off there. He 1389 01:05:48,760 --> 01:05:50,080 Speaker 1: hasn't been seen since he is. 1390 01:05:50,200 --> 01:05:53,000 Speaker 2: Making it explicitly sexual. And that's part of the thing 1391 01:05:53,040 --> 01:05:54,720 Speaker 2: that I'll get into with the de I think, which 1392 01:05:54,800 --> 01:05:56,640 Speaker 2: is part by the way. I don't think anything should 1393 01:05:56,640 --> 01:05:57,840 Speaker 2: be off women's I think it's fine. I think it 1394 01:05:57,920 --> 01:05:59,560 Speaker 2: is weird that when she was twenty nine she's dating 1395 01:05:59,560 --> 01:06:03,000 Speaker 2: Willie Brown, I think very obviously for political purposes. I 1396 01:06:03,080 --> 01:06:05,520 Speaker 2: think that's weird. It tells me a little about her 1397 01:06:05,600 --> 01:06:09,240 Speaker 2: sociopathic personality that basically is required to become president. So 1398 01:06:09,280 --> 01:06:11,040 Speaker 2: I think she is just like anyone who wants to 1399 01:06:11,080 --> 01:06:13,320 Speaker 2: be president. Many of these people are willing to do 1400 01:06:13,400 --> 01:06:15,800 Speaker 2: anything in order to ascend a power, and that's basically 1401 01:06:15,880 --> 01:06:18,480 Speaker 2: a requirement for the arrogance to think that you should 1402 01:06:18,480 --> 01:06:20,720 Speaker 2: be president. Okay, so let's leave it at that. Now. 1403 01:06:20,760 --> 01:06:22,840 Speaker 2: I didn't say that in a sexist way. Note that 1404 01:06:22,920 --> 01:06:25,040 Speaker 2: I just put it in exactly the same terms of 1405 01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:27,600 Speaker 2: many people who want to climb to the very top 1406 01:06:27,640 --> 01:06:29,560 Speaker 2: are willing to do anything to do that. So I 1407 01:06:29,640 --> 01:06:32,160 Speaker 2: think in that context it's fine. Now, I would not 1408 01:06:32,280 --> 01:06:36,560 Speaker 2: put it in explicitly sexual terms the way that I 1409 01:06:36,600 --> 01:06:39,160 Speaker 2: don't know who that guy was the Fox Business his analyst. 1410 01:06:39,560 --> 01:06:41,880 Speaker 1: Let me tell you what his Twitter profile says, because 1411 01:06:41,920 --> 01:06:44,840 Speaker 1: you'll enjoy that, please. It says a father of four, 1412 01:06:45,440 --> 01:06:47,120 Speaker 1: host of first class fatherhood. 1413 01:06:47,720 --> 01:06:50,280 Speaker 2: All right, yeah, see, would you talk about your daughter 1414 01:06:50,360 --> 01:06:53,160 Speaker 2: that way? You know, would you want to talk about 1415 01:06:53,200 --> 01:06:55,480 Speaker 2: women that way? In general? Like I said, this whole 1416 01:06:55,560 --> 01:06:58,640 Speaker 2: like sluct shaming thing, I wouldn't do it personally. I 1417 01:06:58,680 --> 01:07:00,640 Speaker 2: think talking about it in in terms of what it 1418 01:07:00,720 --> 01:07:03,560 Speaker 2: reveals about character and background, I think that's totally on brand, 1419 01:07:03,600 --> 01:07:05,680 Speaker 2: And I think fine, you know, in the same way 1420 01:07:05,760 --> 01:07:07,440 Speaker 2: that I think the talking about Trump and his sexual 1421 01:07:07,480 --> 01:07:11,360 Speaker 2: promiscuity are, especially with sexual braggadocio in the past, reveals 1422 01:07:11,440 --> 01:07:14,400 Speaker 2: like obviously something insecure about him and about. 1423 01:07:14,360 --> 01:07:16,880 Speaker 1: His love of the tabloids and all of that. So 1424 01:07:17,400 --> 01:07:18,000 Speaker 1: in general. 1425 01:07:18,120 --> 01:07:20,400 Speaker 2: The reason why I don't trust Republicans to talk about 1426 01:07:20,400 --> 01:07:22,600 Speaker 2: this is probably the same reason and Mike Johnson's told 1427 01:07:22,600 --> 01:07:24,720 Speaker 2: them not to talk about DEI. It's not that it's 1428 01:07:25,000 --> 01:07:28,160 Speaker 2: not legitimate, it's that can we really trust the people 1429 01:07:28,200 --> 01:07:30,560 Speaker 2: who brought us Todd Aiken and who was the other 1430 01:07:30,600 --> 01:07:34,720 Speaker 2: one who made the comments about rape Indiana? I'm forgetting 1431 01:07:34,720 --> 01:07:37,800 Speaker 2: as say. Sure, it's something, it's totally on the top 1432 01:07:37,840 --> 01:07:39,680 Speaker 2: of my head. But my point is is that can 1433 01:07:39,760 --> 01:07:42,520 Speaker 2: we really trust like these boomers who are you know, 1434 01:07:43,400 --> 01:07:45,480 Speaker 2: or even people who are making hawk tool comments on 1435 01:07:45,760 --> 01:07:50,160 Speaker 2: national television talking about the vice presidential canon? Can we talk? 1436 01:07:50,520 --> 01:07:52,560 Speaker 2: Can we trust them to talk about it in a 1437 01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:55,000 Speaker 2: nuance and I think in a way that could possibly 1438 01:07:55,080 --> 01:07:56,800 Speaker 2: make it a hit for the American people. No, I 1439 01:07:56,840 --> 01:07:59,320 Speaker 2: can't trust them about it, especially on the sexual thing. 1440 01:07:59,320 --> 01:08:01,000 Speaker 2: I would just let it be. I mean, look, like 1441 01:08:01,080 --> 01:08:02,680 Speaker 2: I said, when we've got Trump on the ticket to 1442 01:08:03,400 --> 01:08:05,040 Speaker 2: let's all just let's all call it even. 1443 01:08:05,120 --> 01:08:07,960 Speaker 1: I mean this argument that he made on Fox Business, 1444 01:08:08,280 --> 01:08:10,000 Speaker 1: which I've seen made, He's not the only one. This 1445 01:08:10,160 --> 01:08:13,360 Speaker 1: is being made, you know, online incessantly. The DEI thing, 1446 01:08:13,400 --> 01:08:15,880 Speaker 1: obviously is being made by members of Congress and op 1447 01:08:16,000 --> 01:08:19,080 Speaker 1: ed writers and whatever, like his argument about her is 1448 01:08:19,160 --> 01:08:22,760 Speaker 1: that she's black and she's a whore. Like again, if 1449 01:08:22,840 --> 01:08:24,760 Speaker 1: that's if that's where you want to go with this, 1450 01:08:25,160 --> 01:08:27,760 Speaker 1: good luck, because the other thing is part of how 1451 01:08:27,840 --> 01:08:31,080 Speaker 1: you know this is not an effective attack is Trump 1452 01:08:31,200 --> 01:08:34,080 Speaker 1: is not engaged in any of this, you know. But 1453 01:08:34,240 --> 01:08:37,200 Speaker 1: here's the thing, No, here's the thing that's ogur Like, 1454 01:08:38,000 --> 01:08:40,200 Speaker 1: let me put my moralizing aside, because I do think 1455 01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:42,960 Speaker 1: this is a disgusting thing to say about anyone. And 1456 01:08:43,080 --> 01:08:45,200 Speaker 1: I said the DEI thing too, well, I'm sure talk 1457 01:08:45,280 --> 01:08:50,040 Speaker 1: more about this, but whatever original like good faith critique 1458 01:08:50,120 --> 01:08:54,320 Speaker 1: of DEI programs that existed, which I share some of, 1459 01:08:54,640 --> 01:08:57,360 Speaker 1: by the way, Like it's clearly just become a term 1460 01:08:57,640 --> 01:08:59,800 Speaker 1: for a slur for like a black person with the job, 1461 01:09:00,120 --> 01:09:02,640 Speaker 1: and that's the way it's been used typically. But the 1462 01:09:02,680 --> 01:09:05,679 Speaker 1: bigger problem with both the Hawktua thing and the DEI 1463 01:09:05,840 --> 01:09:11,240 Speaker 1: thing is it reveals this like super niche, overly online 1464 01:09:11,320 --> 01:09:15,160 Speaker 1: type of brain. That was why Vivek didn't do well 1465 01:09:15,200 --> 01:09:17,200 Speaker 1: in his campaign. It was why Ron de Santis didn't 1466 01:09:17,240 --> 01:09:19,360 Speaker 1: do well in his campaign because they had these like 1467 01:09:19,880 --> 01:09:25,639 Speaker 1: niche online fixations, including a bizarre terminology that wouldn't even 1468 01:09:25,680 --> 01:09:28,360 Speaker 1: be familiar to most Americans, Like to the extent that 1469 01:09:28,439 --> 01:09:31,080 Speaker 1: most Americans would know the term DEI, it would be 1470 01:09:31,200 --> 01:09:33,639 Speaker 1: like black people who find it to be basically a slur, 1471 01:09:33,760 --> 01:09:36,479 Speaker 1: Black people who were increasingly open to a Republican message, 1472 01:09:36,520 --> 01:09:39,000 Speaker 1: by the way, or people are just like what do 1473 01:09:39,080 --> 01:09:40,640 Speaker 1: you I don't even know what that means, Like what 1474 01:09:40,720 --> 01:09:43,960 Speaker 1: are you even talking about? So that's why Trump never 1475 01:09:44,200 --> 01:09:47,479 Speaker 1: uses He never talked about ESG, he never talked about DEI. 1476 01:09:47,800 --> 01:09:50,880 Speaker 1: He made fun of the fixation on wokeness because he 1477 01:09:51,040 --> 01:09:55,759 Speaker 1: saw it for being this like overly niche online concern 1478 01:09:55,920 --> 01:09:59,160 Speaker 1: that doesn't land for normi Americans. So outside of the 1479 01:09:59,200 --> 01:10:01,200 Speaker 1: fact that I think they're certain demographic groups that will 1480 01:10:01,200 --> 01:10:04,240 Speaker 1: find this type of language in tech repellent, I also 1481 01:10:04,320 --> 01:10:06,040 Speaker 1: think it's just like way too online. 1482 01:10:06,520 --> 01:10:08,479 Speaker 2: I'm not willing to go there on DEI yet, because 1483 01:10:08,560 --> 01:10:10,920 Speaker 2: dei is a term that actually means something. Now, personally, 1484 01:10:10,960 --> 01:10:12,400 Speaker 2: I would not use de I. Would just say a 1485 01:10:12,439 --> 01:10:14,599 Speaker 2: firmative action, which is far more accurate and I think 1486 01:10:14,680 --> 01:10:17,639 Speaker 2: correct about who she is and about that both why 1487 01:10:17,760 --> 01:10:20,160 Speaker 2: she was picked for the vice president, etc. But that 1488 01:10:20,439 --> 01:10:22,600 Speaker 2: is like I don't know, I'm let's think of a 1489 01:10:22,680 --> 01:10:27,360 Speaker 2: leftist equivalent, where just because somebody has used the term improperly, 1490 01:10:27,479 --> 01:10:29,120 Speaker 2: does that mean that you just stop and it's become 1491 01:10:29,200 --> 01:10:31,680 Speaker 2: publicly defined or used as something else? Does that mean 1492 01:10:31,720 --> 01:10:32,479 Speaker 2: you give up on the term? 1493 01:10:32,560 --> 01:10:32,600 Speaker 3: Like? 1494 01:10:32,680 --> 01:10:35,240 Speaker 2: I don't think so. I mean DEI is a real thing. 1495 01:10:35,439 --> 01:10:39,480 Speaker 2: It basically means affirmative action for minority groups. It embodies 1496 01:10:39,560 --> 01:10:43,160 Speaker 2: the whole equity versus equality. And that's a mindset and 1497 01:10:43,800 --> 01:10:47,479 Speaker 2: philosophy that Kamala believes in, including putting out equity cartoons. 1498 01:10:47,560 --> 01:10:50,960 Speaker 2: So calling her a DEI candidate is empirically true. She 1499 01:10:51,160 --> 01:10:53,240 Speaker 2: was picked for her race. She was picked because she 1500 01:10:53,520 --> 01:10:56,120 Speaker 2: was a black woman. If you look back at the time, 1501 01:10:56,520 --> 01:10:59,320 Speaker 2: Amy Kobachar, Gretchen Whitmer and her were on the final list, 1502 01:11:00,120 --> 01:11:03,200 Speaker 2: m madness was happening. Jim Clyburn says, you got to 1503 01:11:03,240 --> 01:11:05,200 Speaker 2: pick a black lady, and he picked a black lady 1504 01:11:05,240 --> 01:11:07,439 Speaker 2: even though he didn't like her and she wasn't all 1505 01:11:07,479 --> 01:11:10,080 Speaker 2: that politically effective and failed in the primary. That is 1506 01:11:10,280 --> 01:11:11,240 Speaker 2: literally the EI. 1507 01:11:11,400 --> 01:11:14,240 Speaker 1: Here's what I would say. Yeah, the vice presidential pick 1508 01:11:14,479 --> 01:11:18,760 Speaker 1: is almost by definition a DEI pick. Joe Biden was 1509 01:11:18,800 --> 01:11:20,920 Speaker 1: put on the ticket with Barack Obama because he's a 1510 01:11:20,960 --> 01:11:23,439 Speaker 1: white dude, like you're always picked. I mean, what are 1511 01:11:23,479 --> 01:11:26,320 Speaker 1: we talking about with regard to who Kamlo will pick, 1512 01:11:26,720 --> 01:11:28,280 Speaker 1: Like it's going to be a white guy? 1513 01:11:28,400 --> 01:11:28,559 Speaker 8: Yes? 1514 01:11:29,400 --> 01:11:30,120 Speaker 3: Is that a de I? 1515 01:11:30,400 --> 01:11:31,320 Speaker 2: Yes, that's my point. 1516 01:11:31,400 --> 01:11:36,000 Speaker 1: But here's the thing. Here's so, here's the thing that 1517 01:11:36,200 --> 01:11:37,960 Speaker 1: did None of these people and you, by the way, too, 1518 01:11:38,360 --> 01:11:40,439 Speaker 1: you would never talk about them that way. You would 1519 01:11:40,520 --> 01:11:43,479 Speaker 1: never use the term DEI to describe them, even though 1520 01:11:43,520 --> 01:11:47,080 Speaker 1: they're also being picked for their race or other demographic characters. 1521 01:11:47,160 --> 01:11:49,519 Speaker 1: Mike Pence picked because he's an evangelical with you know, 1522 01:11:49,640 --> 01:11:52,920 Speaker 1: ties into that community. No one called him a DEI pick. 1523 01:11:53,200 --> 01:11:56,160 Speaker 1: And that goes to my point of what this has 1524 01:11:56,280 --> 01:11:59,280 Speaker 1: come to mean. Whatever you might mean when you say 1525 01:11:59,360 --> 01:12:02,559 Speaker 1: it would, it has come to mean is a black 1526 01:12:02,600 --> 01:12:03,439 Speaker 1: person with the job? 1527 01:12:03,520 --> 01:12:03,760 Speaker 2: Okay? 1528 01:12:03,840 --> 01:12:07,240 Speaker 1: And remember how they used it with the Baltimore mayor, right, sure, 1529 01:12:07,560 --> 01:12:10,000 Speaker 1: the democratically electing mayor on Twitter? 1530 01:12:10,120 --> 01:12:10,840 Speaker 2: No, but it doesn't. 1531 01:12:11,600 --> 01:12:13,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, but you know that this is not just one 1532 01:12:13,400 --> 01:12:15,360 Speaker 1: idiot on Twitter. I mean that's how they're using it 1533 01:12:15,439 --> 01:12:17,760 Speaker 1: in this context too, and it's not used consistently. Joe 1534 01:12:17,800 --> 01:12:20,439 Speaker 1: Biden was a DEI vice presidential pick. Mike Pence was 1535 01:12:20,479 --> 01:12:23,840 Speaker 1: a DEI presidential pick, a vice presidential pick. Jd Vance 1536 01:12:23,960 --> 01:12:25,760 Speaker 1: was picked because of his you know, unique ties in 1537 01:12:25,800 --> 01:12:28,320 Speaker 1: the Russ Beelder or is he a DEI vice president pick? No, 1538 01:12:28,400 --> 01:12:30,400 Speaker 1: of course they would never talk about them that way 1539 01:12:30,880 --> 01:12:34,040 Speaker 1: because it's only used to talk about black people. But 1540 01:12:34,800 --> 01:12:38,400 Speaker 1: let me just say again, I encourage you to continue 1541 01:12:38,600 --> 01:12:41,920 Speaker 1: this line of attack. I encourage you to continue in 1542 01:12:42,000 --> 01:12:46,439 Speaker 1: this direction because not only is it off putting for 1543 01:12:47,040 --> 01:12:49,600 Speaker 1: a demographic group that you know was starting to be 1544 01:12:49,920 --> 01:12:52,240 Speaker 1: like somewhat open to Republicans, and I don't think just 1545 01:12:52,400 --> 01:12:54,680 Speaker 1: black people like Also, you have a lot, as you 1546 01:12:54,720 --> 01:12:56,679 Speaker 1: were saying before, you have a lot of like suburban 1547 01:12:56,760 --> 01:12:59,080 Speaker 1: white people who don't want to see themselves as racists. 1548 01:12:59,080 --> 01:13:00,960 Speaker 1: If they're going to vote against Kamala Harris, they want 1549 01:13:01,040 --> 01:13:03,680 Speaker 1: like a non racial based or gender based reason to 1550 01:13:03,760 --> 01:13:06,680 Speaker 1: vote against her. So, you know, not only is it 1551 01:13:06,760 --> 01:13:09,720 Speaker 1: off putting, but again, part of the problem for Republicans 1552 01:13:09,760 --> 01:13:12,360 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two was the sense of like, you 1553 01:13:12,479 --> 01:13:15,160 Speaker 1: guys are just out there, like you're weird. You fixate 1554 01:13:15,240 --> 01:13:19,439 Speaker 1: on this fringe stuff and all this DEI esg all 1555 01:13:19,520 --> 01:13:23,320 Speaker 1: this hyper online fixation. Talked to a girl like do 1556 01:13:23,360 --> 01:13:26,559 Speaker 1: you think my mom knows what that is. No, she doesn't, Okay, 1557 01:13:27,120 --> 01:13:30,519 Speaker 1: So I encourage Republicans to continue in this direction. I 1558 01:13:30,560 --> 01:13:31,840 Speaker 1: think this is going to work out very well. 1559 01:13:31,960 --> 01:13:33,800 Speaker 2: I'm not defending hawk too, but here is why. And 1560 01:13:33,960 --> 01:13:35,840 Speaker 2: this you brought up an important point. So let's think 1561 01:13:35,840 --> 01:13:38,960 Speaker 2: about the history. Affirmative action was literally created for black people. 1562 01:13:39,040 --> 01:13:41,760 Speaker 2: There's a reason why the term is extricably linked. 1563 01:13:41,840 --> 01:13:41,960 Speaker 1: Now. 1564 01:13:42,120 --> 01:13:43,759 Speaker 2: Part of the problem with affirmative actions. 1565 01:13:43,640 --> 01:13:46,240 Speaker 1: That's what So that what makes it an explicitly racial 1566 01:13:46,360 --> 01:13:48,800 Speaker 1: But this far I'm saying, the problem with affirmative action 1567 01:13:48,960 --> 01:13:51,959 Speaker 1: is that it became dei, which became an all encompassing 1568 01:13:52,080 --> 01:13:55,560 Speaker 1: term that got fused with bipoc esg all of this 1569 01:13:55,800 --> 01:13:57,120 Speaker 1: like minority obsession. 1570 01:13:57,200 --> 01:14:00,680 Speaker 2: So whites are by definition not I min which is 1571 01:14:00,720 --> 01:14:03,080 Speaker 2: why the term is not traditionally used with that Now 1572 01:14:03,560 --> 01:14:07,000 Speaker 2: as a mindset itself, by the way, I opposed racial preferences. 1573 01:14:07,080 --> 01:14:10,040 Speaker 2: I appose opposed voting for people because of race, And 1574 01:14:10,080 --> 01:14:13,160 Speaker 2: I don't believe in racial exceptionalism or any of this stuff, 1575 01:14:13,160 --> 01:14:14,759 Speaker 2: and I would have opposed it back in the nineteen 1576 01:14:14,800 --> 01:14:17,320 Speaker 2: sixty two. The policy has been a disaster for the 1577 01:14:17,439 --> 01:14:19,559 Speaker 2: United States, which is why I think striking down affirmative 1578 01:14:19,560 --> 01:14:22,200 Speaker 2: action was a good thing. Now calling her a DEI 1579 01:14:22,320 --> 01:14:26,760 Speaker 2: candidate again is empirically true when you utilize your race 1580 01:14:26,880 --> 01:14:29,160 Speaker 2: in the midst of the greatest racial hysteria in this 1581 01:14:29,280 --> 01:14:33,439 Speaker 2: country since the nineteen sixties and use that to cost 1582 01:14:33,520 --> 01:14:36,280 Speaker 2: your opponents, when your own record itself is one of 1583 01:14:36,400 --> 01:14:40,799 Speaker 2: political disaster in the campaign and you failed with black voters. 1584 01:14:40,920 --> 01:14:43,920 Speaker 1: Amy Cony Barrett Trump had said he wanted to put. 1585 01:14:43,840 --> 01:14:45,840 Speaker 2: On that's an affirmative action pick. That's correct. 1586 01:14:46,000 --> 01:14:48,000 Speaker 1: Yes, do any of these people ever talk about it? 1587 01:14:48,040 --> 01:14:48,720 Speaker 1: People all that right? 1588 01:14:48,760 --> 01:14:50,559 Speaker 2: Actually did call Amy a Cony Barrett? 1589 01:14:50,600 --> 01:14:54,120 Speaker 1: And I've never heard any of these people her being 1590 01:14:54,160 --> 01:14:57,880 Speaker 1: a DEI affirmative action candidate? It is, And you just 1591 01:14:57,920 --> 01:15:02,280 Speaker 1: said it's an explicitly does it was developed it would 1592 01:15:02,680 --> 01:15:06,599 Speaker 1: be okay, okay, but that's what's the argument. But I'm 1593 01:15:06,680 --> 01:15:10,880 Speaker 1: just saying you're making an explicitly racialized argument. Then that 1594 01:15:11,000 --> 01:15:14,280 Speaker 1: the problem with Kamala Harris is based on her race. 1595 01:15:14,479 --> 01:15:17,479 Speaker 2: And her tender that's that problem. That's a that's a 1596 01:15:17,560 --> 01:15:21,760 Speaker 2: fair attack. Okay, you didn't earn because of your race, 1597 01:15:21,800 --> 01:15:22,840 Speaker 2: which is true. 1598 01:15:22,640 --> 01:15:25,200 Speaker 1: But the same is true of Joe Biden. The same 1599 01:15:25,320 --> 01:15:28,839 Speaker 1: is true of the vice presidential pick. It's not admit, 1600 01:15:28,920 --> 01:15:31,960 Speaker 1: nobody earns it. They get plucked down of wherever for 1601 01:15:32,080 --> 01:15:35,559 Speaker 1: their demographic characteristics and who what group people think they're 1602 01:15:35,600 --> 01:15:38,920 Speaker 1: going to appeal to. So I'm not saying you can't 1603 01:15:38,960 --> 01:15:41,639 Speaker 1: say it, say it, please go ahead, make the case, 1604 01:15:41,840 --> 01:15:44,000 Speaker 1: go for it. I'm saying I do not think that 1605 01:15:44,120 --> 01:15:47,640 Speaker 1: this is a wise direction for Republicans to go in. 1606 01:15:47,760 --> 01:15:50,200 Speaker 1: Because let me let me just add to this, because 1607 01:15:50,520 --> 01:15:52,120 Speaker 1: I was thinking about, all right, if I was gonna 1608 01:15:52,200 --> 01:15:54,240 Speaker 1: go after Kamala Harris, like, how would I do it? 1609 01:15:54,400 --> 01:15:57,439 Speaker 1: What would be the most effective thing? Because I think 1610 01:15:57,520 --> 01:15:59,719 Speaker 1: that we, you know, we have sort of a model 1611 01:15:59,720 --> 01:16:01,800 Speaker 1: for that because of the failure of her twenty twenty 1612 01:16:01,840 --> 01:16:02,719 Speaker 1: presidential campaign. 1613 01:16:03,439 --> 01:16:04,080 Speaker 4: What was it? 1614 01:16:04,400 --> 01:16:05,519 Speaker 2: She believe that? 1615 01:16:05,640 --> 01:16:06,920 Speaker 1: What was that was a problem for he It was 1616 01:16:07,040 --> 01:16:08,360 Speaker 1: it was a couple of things. It was that she 1617 01:16:08,520 --> 01:16:12,680 Speaker 1: believes in nothing right, She's just decipher She's like, you know, 1618 01:16:13,080 --> 01:16:15,920 Speaker 1: just will say whatever's convenient in the moment. So she's 1619 01:16:15,960 --> 01:16:20,479 Speaker 1: a political chameleon. And the sense of incompetence that came from, 1620 01:16:20,560 --> 01:16:22,880 Speaker 1: like the inability to run a campaign, her stumbles on 1621 01:16:22,920 --> 01:16:26,960 Speaker 1: the trail, et cetera, et cetera, so make that case, 1622 01:16:27,200 --> 01:16:29,240 Speaker 1: those things don't have anything to do with her being 1623 01:16:29,479 --> 01:16:32,920 Speaker 1: a black woman or a slut, right, this has to 1624 01:16:33,000 --> 01:16:37,160 Speaker 1: do everything with her own capabilities and where she's been 1625 01:16:37,200 --> 01:16:39,560 Speaker 1: and how she's been all over the place, And that 1626 01:16:39,720 --> 01:16:41,760 Speaker 1: rings a lot more true. The other thing that, you know, 1627 01:16:42,360 --> 01:16:44,599 Speaker 1: this is very predictable, like the thing Trump is actually 1628 01:16:44,640 --> 01:16:47,200 Speaker 1: going with is ooh, she's radical left, she's radical liberal, etcetera. 1629 01:16:47,479 --> 01:16:50,400 Speaker 1: I think that's probably has more traction. Definitely does, and 1630 01:16:50,439 --> 01:16:53,599 Speaker 1: it's more over the target of of what would make sense, 1631 01:16:54,120 --> 01:16:59,400 Speaker 1: but it also effective. Attacks really have to ring true. 1632 01:17:00,040 --> 01:17:02,120 Speaker 1: And what rings a lot more true with Kamala Harris 1633 01:17:02,240 --> 01:17:05,559 Speaker 1: isn't that she is some hardcore, committed lefty ideologue. It's 1634 01:17:05,600 --> 01:17:08,720 Speaker 1: that she doesn't believe in anything at all. So if 1635 01:17:08,840 --> 01:17:11,240 Speaker 1: I was going against Kamala Harris, I would leave her 1636 01:17:11,360 --> 01:17:14,559 Speaker 1: race and gender beside, because, like I said, people who 1637 01:17:14,840 --> 01:17:18,519 Speaker 1: want to vote against her, most Americans don't want to 1638 01:17:18,600 --> 01:17:22,360 Speaker 1: see themselves as explicitly racist or sexist, right. They want 1639 01:17:22,439 --> 01:17:24,840 Speaker 1: to have some other reason that they can point to 1640 01:17:25,000 --> 01:17:27,519 Speaker 1: that they're voting against her, other than that she's you know, 1641 01:17:27,800 --> 01:17:30,920 Speaker 1: a whore or a DEI pick. They want to have 1642 01:17:31,160 --> 01:17:34,280 Speaker 1: something they can point to that absolves them of any 1643 01:17:34,360 --> 01:17:38,439 Speaker 1: potential implication of racism or sexism. So that's why I 1644 01:17:38,479 --> 01:17:42,080 Speaker 1: think these attacks, you know, I think they're just instantly repellent, 1645 01:17:42,120 --> 01:17:44,639 Speaker 1: off putting to certain groups, and I just don't think 1646 01:17:44,720 --> 01:17:47,560 Speaker 1: it's the most effective direction for Republicans to go to 1647 01:17:47,720 --> 01:17:49,479 Speaker 1: in terms of making a case against her. And there 1648 01:17:49,560 --> 01:17:51,360 Speaker 1: is a very clear case that can be made against I. 1649 01:17:51,360 --> 01:17:52,840 Speaker 2: Don't disagree with the case you're making, but let me 1650 01:17:52,920 --> 01:17:55,439 Speaker 2: case make the case the dei affirmative action thing. Nobody 1651 01:17:55,520 --> 01:17:57,880 Speaker 2: suffered more in this country of bi affirmative action than 1652 01:17:57,920 --> 01:17:59,720 Speaker 2: white working class voter. So this is the white working 1653 01:17:59,720 --> 01:18:02,920 Speaker 2: class selection voting for Trump. Well, no, not necessarily. Joe 1654 01:18:02,960 --> 01:18:06,479 Speaker 2: Biden was breaking what thirty percent forty percent white working class. 1655 01:18:06,520 --> 01:18:09,400 Speaker 2: I mean, it's like with blacks, margins matter black voters. 1656 01:18:09,760 --> 01:18:12,240 Speaker 2: Ninety ten and eighty twenty is literally the difference between 1657 01:18:12,280 --> 01:18:15,240 Speaker 2: four hundred electoral votes and what two hundred and sixty, Right, 1658 01:18:15,280 --> 01:18:17,760 Speaker 2: That's part of the reason why Trump's meaningful gains. I mean, 1659 01:18:17,800 --> 01:18:20,120 Speaker 2: he's winning like eight or he's winning like fifteen percent 1660 01:18:20,160 --> 01:18:22,080 Speaker 2: of the black vote, but that's still a lot more 1661 01:18:22,120 --> 01:18:26,200 Speaker 2: than ten. So if the affirmative action line can you know, 1662 01:18:26,400 --> 01:18:29,479 Speaker 2: mobilize white working class voters in the industrial Midwest. It's 1663 01:18:29,520 --> 01:18:32,040 Speaker 2: not a bad thing. And if you look at Hillbilly 1664 01:18:32,120 --> 01:18:34,960 Speaker 2: Elogy and what is it's the history of the Scotts 1665 01:18:34,960 --> 01:18:37,200 Speaker 2: Irish people. I'm forgetting Jim Webb's book. If you look 1666 01:18:37,200 --> 01:18:39,800 Speaker 2: at those two things, a core theme is about racial 1667 01:18:39,880 --> 01:18:43,519 Speaker 2: discontent and the obsession with Democratic elites of affirmative action. 1668 01:18:43,720 --> 01:18:45,799 Speaker 2: And so I think JD as a line in Hillbilly 1669 01:18:45,920 --> 01:18:48,200 Speaker 2: Lergy something about you know, people on the floor being 1670 01:18:48,280 --> 01:18:51,240 Speaker 2: upset because somebody got promoted because they were black or 1671 01:18:51,840 --> 01:18:53,920 Speaker 2: Jim Webb has talked a lot about this in the past, 1672 01:18:53,960 --> 01:18:55,760 Speaker 2: by how affirmative action is one of the reasons that 1673 01:18:55,840 --> 01:18:58,759 Speaker 2: he left the Democratic Party. Then, pointing to the person 1674 01:18:58,840 --> 01:19:01,400 Speaker 2: who is literally only in I mean, can we acknowledge 1675 01:19:01,400 --> 01:19:03,439 Speaker 2: Crystal that she would not win an open Democratic primary 1676 01:19:03,600 --> 01:19:05,280 Speaker 2: like from in twenty and twenty. 1677 01:19:05,720 --> 01:19:08,200 Speaker 1: I mean, obviously in twenty twenty, I think in twenty 1678 01:19:08,320 --> 01:19:10,639 Speaker 1: I think this time there's a decent chance she would 1679 01:19:10,680 --> 01:19:12,519 Speaker 1: have just because of her position as. 1680 01:19:12,479 --> 01:19:14,439 Speaker 2: VI after select that's great. 1681 01:19:14,960 --> 01:19:18,639 Speaker 1: Again, that's like almost definitionally the case of every vice 1682 01:19:18,680 --> 01:19:22,759 Speaker 1: presidential candidate. So I mean, listen, if you want to double. 1683 01:19:23,280 --> 01:19:27,560 Speaker 1: The case you're making is let's like double down on 1684 01:19:28,000 --> 01:19:32,360 Speaker 1: racial grievance. That's not It is true. It's obviously a 1685 01:19:32,479 --> 01:19:34,799 Speaker 1: racial grievance. Like even if you say it's a legitimate 1686 01:19:34,920 --> 01:19:38,280 Speaker 1: racial grievance, it is a racial grievance. It is white 1687 01:19:38,320 --> 01:19:41,320 Speaker 1: working class feeling like black people got things they weren't didn't. 1688 01:19:41,080 --> 01:19:46,599 Speaker 2: Deserve that that minority groups because they weren't necessarily taking any. 1689 01:19:47,040 --> 01:19:50,519 Speaker 1: Morality out of that. It is definitionally a racial grievance. 1690 01:19:51,160 --> 01:19:54,200 Speaker 1: I don't think that that is an effective strategy at 1691 01:19:54,200 --> 01:19:56,240 Speaker 1: this point in time, and it's not the coalition that 1692 01:19:56,280 --> 01:19:58,000 Speaker 1: Trump is trying to go after this time. I mean, 1693 01:19:58,040 --> 01:20:01,799 Speaker 1: they've really been trying to expand into a more diverse coalition. 1694 01:20:02,200 --> 01:20:04,360 Speaker 1: They have a lot of problems with suburban women that 1695 01:20:04,439 --> 01:20:06,720 Speaker 1: they know is going to be a major issue. So, 1696 01:20:07,040 --> 01:20:09,479 Speaker 1: you know, I think the jd Vance vice presidential pick 1697 01:20:09,920 --> 01:20:12,000 Speaker 1: was a foolish one for this exact reason, because it's 1698 01:20:12,040 --> 01:20:14,599 Speaker 1: also just doubling down on a base that is already 1699 01:20:14,760 --> 01:20:19,719 Speaker 1: with you, Like you already have the enthusiasm of this group. 1700 01:20:20,200 --> 01:20:23,479 Speaker 1: And again, to me, the fact that Trump, who is 1701 01:20:23,600 --> 01:20:26,080 Speaker 1: not you know, he is not above saying anything and 1702 01:20:26,600 --> 01:20:29,000 Speaker 1: you know, everything all the time when he thinks it 1703 01:20:29,080 --> 01:20:32,640 Speaker 1: serves him that he is not making these arguments, I 1704 01:20:32,720 --> 01:20:37,280 Speaker 1: think tells you a lot about the political foolishness of 1705 01:20:37,760 --> 01:20:38,519 Speaker 1: us going in the story. 1706 01:20:38,520 --> 01:20:40,280 Speaker 2: It's only been five days, right that Trump has been 1707 01:20:40,320 --> 01:20:43,120 Speaker 2: on the election one rally since, but we know that he. 1708 01:20:43,160 --> 01:20:46,559 Speaker 1: Has showed all this DEI esg woke like he has 1709 01:20:46,600 --> 01:20:50,280 Speaker 1: a shoed all of that language very clearly and even 1710 01:20:50,400 --> 01:20:52,320 Speaker 1: like made fun of Ronda Santis. 1711 01:20:52,840 --> 01:20:55,000 Speaker 2: And I think that's just and I don't disagree with anything, 1712 01:20:55,200 --> 01:20:55,639 Speaker 2: and that's. 1713 01:20:55,640 --> 01:20:58,320 Speaker 1: That's a big part of the what the rock that 1714 01:20:58,479 --> 01:21:01,840 Speaker 1: Ronda Santis crashed in to is his fixation with these 1715 01:21:01,920 --> 01:21:04,720 Speaker 1: things that are like hyper online and somewhat niche and 1716 01:21:05,000 --> 01:21:07,320 Speaker 1: just feel like weird in fringed to a lot of 1717 01:21:07,400 --> 01:21:10,120 Speaker 1: Norman Americans. Putting aside, like you know, the debate we're 1718 01:21:10,120 --> 01:21:11,439 Speaker 1: having about the moraleity and whatever. 1719 01:21:11,680 --> 01:21:13,840 Speaker 2: I think if I were Trump, I don't think it's 1720 01:21:13,840 --> 01:21:16,120 Speaker 2: a bad attack, like I said, with winning white working 1721 01:21:16,160 --> 01:21:18,240 Speaker 2: class and trying to now let's say I would use 1722 01:21:18,240 --> 01:21:20,000 Speaker 2: the term affirmative action, because I think it's also the 1723 01:21:20,040 --> 01:21:22,280 Speaker 2: most accurate. Now I'm also going to object though that 1724 01:21:22,320 --> 01:21:24,240 Speaker 2: you can't just make these throw these claims out, because 1725 01:21:24,280 --> 01:21:25,759 Speaker 2: notice who I'm not going to call a di i cannet, 1726 01:21:25,800 --> 01:21:29,000 Speaker 2: Barack Obama. Barack Obama rightfully won the presidency and his 1727 01:21:29,120 --> 01:21:31,519 Speaker 2: primary election on the strength of his own name. And 1728 01:21:31,600 --> 01:21:33,559 Speaker 2: I don't think if anything, you know, if he had 1729 01:21:33,680 --> 01:21:36,280 Speaker 2: racial headwinds or whatever, it was far stronger in two 1730 01:21:36,320 --> 01:21:37,960 Speaker 2: thousand and eight, and he blew it out of the water. 1731 01:21:38,040 --> 01:21:39,560 Speaker 2: I don't think he was a de i cannet. He 1732 01:21:39,680 --> 01:21:42,120 Speaker 2: was never selected, he was never anointed, he was never 1733 01:21:42,200 --> 01:21:45,479 Speaker 2: given a position. He fought the Clinton establishment and he won. 1734 01:21:45,600 --> 01:21:48,560 Speaker 2: That's actually an inspiring racial story, and that's part of 1735 01:21:48,600 --> 01:21:50,599 Speaker 2: the reason why you can connect to that. That's why 1736 01:21:50,680 --> 01:21:53,519 Speaker 2: white working class people can connect to that. Obama grew 1737 01:21:53,600 --> 01:21:55,920 Speaker 2: up his background, that was everything. Kama is a different story. 1738 01:21:56,000 --> 01:21:58,640 Speaker 2: I mean, she was selected because of her race, right, 1739 01:21:58,920 --> 01:22:00,840 Speaker 2: And I'm not gonna give I'm not going to just 1740 01:22:00,920 --> 01:22:03,600 Speaker 2: put away and say we're not allowed to say that 1741 01:22:03,840 --> 01:22:05,120 Speaker 2: that in my opinion. 1742 01:22:05,320 --> 01:22:05,920 Speaker 1: You're allowed. 1743 01:22:05,920 --> 01:22:08,519 Speaker 2: Okay, fine, but listen, but that won't be potent. 1744 01:22:08,840 --> 01:22:11,200 Speaker 1: Joe Biden was also selected for his right. 1745 01:22:11,240 --> 01:22:13,679 Speaker 2: But it's not the same because at least at that time, 1746 01:22:13,880 --> 01:22:15,320 Speaker 2: at least at the time, they would lie about it 1747 01:22:15,520 --> 01:22:16,320 Speaker 2: and they said it's first four. 1748 01:22:16,840 --> 01:22:19,880 Speaker 1: But hold on, it is like, it's almost exactly the same, 1749 01:22:20,439 --> 01:22:24,120 Speaker 1: fear matters, it's as exactly the same because he ran 1750 01:22:24,320 --> 01:22:27,880 Speaker 1: in that primary and he failed miserably, and it was 1751 01:22:28,600 --> 01:22:33,320 Speaker 1: he multiple times failed miserably. So because this is the 1752 01:22:33,400 --> 01:22:35,920 Speaker 1: thing on you know, the knock, the legitimate knock on 1753 01:22:36,000 --> 01:22:37,840 Speaker 1: Kamala is like, well, you ran and you failed and 1754 01:22:37,880 --> 01:22:39,799 Speaker 1: then you just got plucked out. Well, it was literally 1755 01:22:39,880 --> 01:22:42,599 Speaker 1: the same thing with Joe Biden. But that was never 1756 01:22:43,160 --> 01:22:45,439 Speaker 1: that was never used against him. He was never called 1757 01:22:45,479 --> 01:22:50,360 Speaker 1: you know, his credibility, his you know, legitimacy in the 1758 01:22:50,400 --> 01:22:54,080 Speaker 1: position was never called into question. And Kamala Harris, I mean, 1759 01:22:54,560 --> 01:22:59,559 Speaker 1: you know, she won statewide in a large, very diverse, 1760 01:23:00,320 --> 01:23:05,680 Speaker 1: very economically powerful state multiple times. Okay, so yeah, I'm 1761 01:23:05,720 --> 01:23:08,280 Speaker 1: not going to believe that what's his name, Willy brown 1762 01:23:08,400 --> 01:23:12,680 Speaker 1: Willy Browning, This one man cannot possibly be responsible for 1763 01:23:12,800 --> 01:23:15,160 Speaker 1: every single thing that happens every election that occurs in 1764 01:23:15,240 --> 01:23:18,000 Speaker 1: the state of California, like at some level, to the 1765 01:23:18,040 --> 01:23:21,519 Speaker 1: extent that there's any democratic process at play. She earned 1766 01:23:21,560 --> 01:23:24,280 Speaker 1: her stripes in the state of California. She won primary, 1767 01:23:24,400 --> 01:23:28,120 Speaker 1: she won statewide multiple times she served in office. People 1768 01:23:28,160 --> 01:23:31,240 Speaker 1: got to evaluate her credentials, et cetera, et cetera, and 1769 01:23:31,600 --> 01:23:33,840 Speaker 1: she got put in as vice president in the same 1770 01:23:33,920 --> 01:23:37,479 Speaker 1: way that every vice president gets picked by nature of 1771 01:23:37,880 --> 01:23:42,240 Speaker 1: her demographic characteristics and who they thought she could appeal to. Now, 1772 01:23:42,439 --> 01:23:45,759 Speaker 1: I don't support I think it is racist to assume 1773 01:23:45,960 --> 01:23:47,719 Speaker 1: black people are going to vote for a black person 1774 01:23:47,920 --> 01:23:50,960 Speaker 1: just because of their identity. I think it is way 1775 01:23:51,040 --> 01:23:54,960 Speaker 1: more complex than that. But you can't deny that. The 1776 01:23:55,120 --> 01:23:57,559 Speaker 1: whole discussion we're having around Commlin Harrison how she'll pick 1777 01:23:57,600 --> 01:24:01,519 Speaker 1: her VP is about their demographic care who they'll appeal to, 1778 01:24:01,760 --> 01:24:04,400 Speaker 1: and what their background is and all of those things. 1779 01:24:04,479 --> 01:24:07,679 Speaker 1: That's like just how vps get picked. So I don't 1780 01:24:07,720 --> 01:24:10,560 Speaker 1: think that's fair. I don't think it's fair for that 1781 01:24:10,680 --> 01:24:13,120 Speaker 1: to be held specifically against her when it's not held 1782 01:24:13,160 --> 01:24:15,760 Speaker 1: against anyone else who doesn't happen to be black. And 1783 01:24:15,880 --> 01:24:19,120 Speaker 1: I also, like I said, I hope Republicans continue in 1784 01:24:19,120 --> 01:24:23,080 Speaker 1: this direction because I think it's a very ineffective, off putting, 1785 01:24:23,560 --> 01:24:26,519 Speaker 1: overly online attack. I think if you polled most of 1786 01:24:26,560 --> 01:24:28,320 Speaker 1: the public, they don't even couldn't even tell you what 1787 01:24:28,479 --> 01:24:29,639 Speaker 1: DEI even means. 1788 01:24:29,520 --> 01:24:31,479 Speaker 2: I agree, but they might know what affirmative action means, 1789 01:24:31,520 --> 01:24:33,240 Speaker 2: and they are two sides of the same coin. So 1790 01:24:33,320 --> 01:24:35,920 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna look, we'll see, we'll find out in November. 1791 01:24:36,040 --> 01:24:38,280 Speaker 2: I think, as a person who is a minority, can 1792 01:24:38,320 --> 01:24:40,760 Speaker 2: I play my minority card? Now? If I ever got 1793 01:24:40,880 --> 01:24:43,960 Speaker 2: promoted or ascended or whatever because of my rate, I'd 1794 01:24:43,960 --> 01:24:45,240 Speaker 2: be mortified because of it. 1795 01:24:45,400 --> 01:24:47,559 Speaker 1: So anybody who's out there who supports this type of. 1796 01:24:47,560 --> 01:24:50,160 Speaker 2: Crap, you're just shooting yourself in the foot, in my opinion, 1797 01:24:50,200 --> 01:24:53,479 Speaker 2: and I think it's the stupidest thing. Now. Again, part 1798 01:24:53,520 --> 01:24:55,880 Speaker 2: of the reason why I connect with the affirmative action 1799 01:24:55,960 --> 01:25:00,920 Speaker 2: message is explicitly because I despise people who's only characteristic 1800 01:25:01,000 --> 01:25:03,680 Speaker 2: about them is making it all about their race. That's 1801 01:25:03,720 --> 01:25:06,040 Speaker 2: not interesting, Like what color you're born is not interesting 1802 01:25:06,080 --> 01:25:07,800 Speaker 2: at all. What you believe in, what you're gonna do 1803 01:25:07,880 --> 01:25:11,439 Speaker 2: for others. That's again why I at least revere Barack 1804 01:25:11,439 --> 01:25:15,760 Speaker 2: Obama as a political animal, using his background as both 1805 01:25:15,880 --> 01:25:18,479 Speaker 2: a black man as a black man and also his 1806 01:25:18,560 --> 01:25:21,560 Speaker 2: white mother and his grandparents growing up in Kansas to 1807 01:25:21,720 --> 01:25:24,519 Speaker 2: create a story that everyone could connect to that was 1808 01:25:24,640 --> 01:25:27,840 Speaker 2: genuinely inspiring. I I remember thinking about it at the 1809 01:25:27,880 --> 01:25:29,920 Speaker 2: time and to this day is one of those where 1810 01:25:30,160 --> 01:25:33,080 Speaker 2: everyone can But that's not necessarily unique about his race. 1811 01:25:33,160 --> 01:25:35,639 Speaker 2: Clinton was very effective in the same thing. He literally said, 1812 01:25:35,720 --> 01:25:37,240 Speaker 2: like I grew up in a trailer park. I was 1813 01:25:37,320 --> 01:25:39,200 Speaker 2: trailer trash. And that's one of the reasons why they 1814 01:25:39,240 --> 01:25:41,240 Speaker 2: even called him at the time the first black president, 1815 01:25:41,280 --> 01:25:43,639 Speaker 2: which is stupid, but because he connected for a lot 1816 01:25:43,720 --> 01:25:46,080 Speaker 2: with black voters. So that's my point is that it's 1817 01:25:46,120 --> 01:25:49,320 Speaker 2: not about race per se, it's about connecting with what 1818 01:25:49,520 --> 01:25:52,519 Speaker 2: people feel icky about the other person. Now, one of 1819 01:25:52,600 --> 01:25:55,600 Speaker 2: the attacks against her is she was selected because of 1820 01:25:55,640 --> 01:25:58,200 Speaker 2: a race. He's never been truly tested in the fire 1821 01:25:58,280 --> 01:26:04,000 Speaker 2: of democracy. Now, I think you're one state, okay, okay, okay, politician, 1822 01:26:04,720 --> 01:26:06,559 Speaker 2: you have to get elected. 1823 01:26:06,720 --> 01:26:07,880 Speaker 1: People still have to vote for you. 1824 01:26:08,240 --> 01:26:10,880 Speaker 2: There's a fake primary to the post. 1825 01:26:10,960 --> 01:26:13,040 Speaker 1: People still get to vote in the state of California. 1826 01:26:13,120 --> 01:26:16,560 Speaker 1: It's not like a dictatorship. The entire time is in 1827 01:26:16,600 --> 01:26:19,680 Speaker 1: Alabama's and they even even though I'm not sure how 1828 01:26:19,720 --> 01:26:21,360 Speaker 1: long they've had it, but now they have the jungle 1829 01:26:21,400 --> 01:26:24,200 Speaker 1: primary where you are up against very likely a Democrat 1830 01:26:24,280 --> 01:26:25,880 Speaker 1: in the fall as well. I mean, listen, yeah, it's 1831 01:26:25,880 --> 01:26:28,479 Speaker 1: a machine state, but you still have to win vote sure. 1832 01:26:29,000 --> 01:26:31,400 Speaker 1: So I just think, like, I just don't think that's fair. 1833 01:26:31,720 --> 01:26:34,280 Speaker 1: Delaware is also a state where if you just have 1834 01:26:34,400 --> 01:26:36,000 Speaker 1: a d buy your name and get elected. I don't 1835 01:26:36,000 --> 01:26:40,200 Speaker 1: remember anyone calling into question Joe Biden's credibility because of that. 1836 01:26:40,640 --> 01:26:43,000 Speaker 1: So that's why I just think it's I mean, I 1837 01:26:43,160 --> 01:26:46,720 Speaker 1: just think it's really very unfair, and I think it 1838 01:26:46,920 --> 01:26:49,600 Speaker 1: is a foolish. I think it's a foolish direction go 1839 01:26:49,800 --> 01:26:55,840 Speaker 1: in and it makes it explicitly, it explicitly racializes the 1840 01:26:56,120 --> 01:26:58,280 Speaker 1: argument against her, and I don't. 1841 01:26:58,080 --> 01:27:00,320 Speaker 2: But then why is she allowed to explicitly racial and 1842 01:27:00,400 --> 01:27:02,800 Speaker 2: the meaning, Oh, it's so important to have a black woman. 1843 01:27:02,880 --> 01:27:04,439 Speaker 2: I'm like, I don't care if you're a black Woman's like, 1844 01:27:04,479 --> 01:27:05,280 Speaker 2: what are you going to do for her? 1845 01:27:05,479 --> 01:27:07,680 Speaker 1: I haven't even I mean, I haven't heard her say that. 1846 01:27:07,760 --> 01:27:13,080 Speaker 1: But to your point about Barack Obama, all political candidates 1847 01:27:13,160 --> 01:27:16,640 Speaker 1: except for Bernie Sanders, they use their identity, like they 1848 01:27:16,760 --> 01:27:20,360 Speaker 1: talk about their biography. That Trump as the business guy, right, 1849 01:27:20,479 --> 01:27:23,880 Speaker 1: like he uses his biography and his identity as well. 1850 01:27:24,560 --> 01:27:28,360 Speaker 1: Like that's part and parcel of what you do. So 1851 01:27:28,680 --> 01:27:31,519 Speaker 1: I don't find it, like, you know, her I don't 1852 01:27:31,520 --> 01:27:34,560 Speaker 1: find her talking about her identity to be some like 1853 01:27:34,960 --> 01:27:39,200 Speaker 1: crime against the country. I think it's far more important 1854 01:27:39,720 --> 01:27:41,880 Speaker 1: what she's going to do. I think the fact that 1855 01:27:41,960 --> 01:27:44,400 Speaker 1: she hasn't stood for anything, and even after all these 1856 01:27:44,479 --> 01:27:47,360 Speaker 1: years in politics, I have no clue what this woman 1857 01:27:47,439 --> 01:27:51,640 Speaker 1: actually believes. I think that's a problem. But for her 1858 01:27:51,720 --> 01:27:56,000 Speaker 1: to talk about her identity and for people to aspirationally 1859 01:27:56,800 --> 01:27:58,880 Speaker 1: want to yeah, I mean that was part of the 1860 01:27:58,920 --> 01:28:01,200 Speaker 1: appeal Baraco. Remember how excited people weren't and you was 1861 01:28:01,240 --> 01:28:02,760 Speaker 1: elegd in two thousand and or you were a baby, 1862 01:28:02,800 --> 01:28:06,640 Speaker 1: but they were excited. Even people who weren't really Democrats 1863 01:28:06,720 --> 01:28:08,479 Speaker 1: or didn't even vote for they were excited because of 1864 01:28:08,560 --> 01:28:09,960 Speaker 1: what it said about the country. 1865 01:28:10,439 --> 01:28:10,559 Speaker 2: Right. 1866 01:28:10,800 --> 01:28:15,280 Speaker 1: She benefits from that as well, And I think for 1867 01:28:15,439 --> 01:28:20,519 Speaker 1: Republicans to try to make an explicitly racial or gender 1868 01:28:20,640 --> 01:28:23,280 Speaker 1: based case against her, I just think that will backfire, 1869 01:28:23,439 --> 01:28:25,599 Speaker 1: especially given the coalition they're trying to put together. 1870 01:28:25,760 --> 01:28:27,679 Speaker 2: I'm not sure I agree, just because we have lived 1871 01:28:27,720 --> 01:28:31,360 Speaker 2: through BLM madness, we lived through anti racism baby and 1872 01:28:31,400 --> 01:28:33,160 Speaker 2: all this. Other people are fed up with a lot 1873 01:28:33,200 --> 01:28:34,800 Speaker 2: of this stuff. I mean, look, I'm not saying the 1874 01:28:34,880 --> 01:28:37,040 Speaker 2: CRT thing was like a big winner. But I think 1875 01:28:37,040 --> 01:28:39,320 Speaker 2: if you look at the general trend, people are mostly 1876 01:28:39,800 --> 01:28:42,519 Speaker 2: gone passed, People are mostly passed. A lot of the 1877 01:28:42,560 --> 01:28:45,719 Speaker 2: BLM nonsense that was, you know, shoved down our throats 1878 01:28:45,800 --> 01:28:48,519 Speaker 2: for an entire what two or three years in this country. 1879 01:28:48,800 --> 01:28:50,920 Speaker 2: I can't, I'm not. I can't be the only one 1880 01:28:51,120 --> 01:28:54,120 Speaker 2: who was further radicalized on race as a question of 1881 01:28:54,200 --> 01:28:58,360 Speaker 2: that in terms of being explicitly against racialism in American politics. 1882 01:28:58,560 --> 01:29:02,160 Speaker 1: But that's the thing, Sager is, that's actually the biggest 1883 01:29:02,240 --> 01:29:05,000 Speaker 1: danger is that right now Republicans are the ones that 1884 01:29:05,160 --> 01:29:08,400 Speaker 1: are appear to be engaged in that racialism, because I 1885 01:29:08,479 --> 01:29:11,519 Speaker 1: do think you're right that Americans have an instinct towards 1886 01:29:11,640 --> 01:29:16,360 Speaker 1: like the color blind ideal, and so when you're making 1887 01:29:16,520 --> 01:29:22,080 Speaker 1: an explicitly racialized case, it flips from you know, Democrats. 1888 01:29:22,400 --> 01:29:24,200 Speaker 1: There was a time when Democrats were the ones who 1889 01:29:24,240 --> 01:29:27,320 Speaker 1: were like word policing and nanny's in PC and cancel 1890 01:29:27,400 --> 01:29:30,280 Speaker 1: culture and all this stuff. And then Republicans flip the 1891 01:29:30,280 --> 01:29:33,000 Speaker 1: script because they got so obsessed with wokeness that it 1892 01:29:33,040 --> 01:29:34,799 Speaker 1: seems like you guys are the ones who are obsessed 1893 01:29:34,840 --> 01:29:38,439 Speaker 1: with this stuff. And it's the same dynamic now, Kama 1894 01:29:38,479 --> 01:29:41,840 Speaker 1: Harris is out there talking about like, you know, the 1895 01:29:41,920 --> 01:29:45,000 Speaker 1: normal democratics, abortion and middle class, about all this stuff, 1896 01:29:45,320 --> 01:29:50,200 Speaker 1: and Republicans are out here making explicitly racialized case. I think, 1897 01:29:50,280 --> 01:29:54,320 Speaker 1: to a country that really prefers a color blind self perception, 1898 01:29:54,560 --> 01:29:58,920 Speaker 1: at the very least, they find the explicitly racialized arguments 1899 01:29:58,960 --> 01:30:01,160 Speaker 1: when they were made by democrat but now when they're 1900 01:30:01,200 --> 01:30:04,560 Speaker 1: being made by Republicans to be off putting, repellent and 1901 01:30:04,720 --> 01:30:08,000 Speaker 1: non and not appealing. That's what I think, because I 1902 01:30:08,120 --> 01:30:10,960 Speaker 1: do think that like the colorblind view, where you're not 1903 01:30:11,520 --> 01:30:16,720 Speaker 1: obsessing over these demographic characteristics, is far more salient, far 1904 01:30:16,840 --> 01:30:19,680 Speaker 1: more reflective of like the aspirational place Americans want to be. 1905 01:30:19,800 --> 01:30:22,120 Speaker 1: And so when it's Republicans who are the ones who 1906 01:30:22,160 --> 01:30:26,720 Speaker 1: are talking about, you know, racial characteristics, they're the ones 1907 01:30:26,800 --> 01:30:30,200 Speaker 1: in danger of sort of violating that precept of oh, we're, 1908 01:30:30,280 --> 01:30:31,280 Speaker 1: you know, supposed. 1909 01:30:30,880 --> 01:30:33,000 Speaker 2: To be a real I personally, though, I feel a 1910 01:30:33,040 --> 01:30:35,439 Speaker 2: bit gaslight on this conversation because it's like, you can't 1911 01:30:35,479 --> 01:30:37,040 Speaker 2: and I'm not talking about you, but I'm saying media 1912 01:30:37,080 --> 01:30:39,240 Speaker 2: democrats know this. You can't spend the last twenty five 1913 01:30:39,320 --> 01:30:42,080 Speaker 2: years of American politics making everything about race and then 1914 01:30:42,080 --> 01:30:44,120 Speaker 2: when people say, hey, you were select because you're race, 1915 01:30:44,240 --> 01:30:46,639 Speaker 2: like you're bringing up race, It's like, hold on a second, 1916 01:30:46,760 --> 01:30:49,840 Speaker 2: what like what just happened here? So I will I 1917 01:30:50,000 --> 01:30:53,040 Speaker 2: am skeptical that this will have the negative effect because, 1918 01:30:53,120 --> 01:30:54,600 Speaker 2: like I said, I think there are a lot of 1919 01:30:54,640 --> 01:30:56,840 Speaker 2: people out there. I mean, the affirmative action thing that 1920 01:30:57,000 --> 01:30:59,679 Speaker 2: was very popular for most people whenever it was struck down. 1921 01:31:00,160 --> 01:31:01,200 Speaker 1: It's actually a decent attack. 1922 01:31:01,280 --> 01:31:04,599 Speaker 2: I don't trust anybody who is selected by affirmative action now, 1923 01:31:04,840 --> 01:31:07,639 Speaker 2: especially whenever it's the most important job in the entire world. 1924 01:31:07,960 --> 01:31:09,920 Speaker 2: So I think that's a decent enough attack. 1925 01:31:10,160 --> 01:31:10,320 Speaker 4: Now. 1926 01:31:10,479 --> 01:31:14,160 Speaker 2: Also for now she's talking about abortion. How soon until 1927 01:31:14,200 --> 01:31:18,040 Speaker 2: we see explicit racialism that comes from her, about diversity 1928 01:31:18,120 --> 01:31:21,360 Speaker 2: quotas about the people who she's surrounded with. What percent 1929 01:31:21,439 --> 01:31:23,599 Speaker 2: of her staff is going to be black women or whatever, 1930 01:31:23,760 --> 01:31:27,200 Speaker 2: or Asian men or any of that. I mean, are 1931 01:31:27,240 --> 01:31:29,560 Speaker 2: we really saying that that instinct is dead in the 1932 01:31:29,640 --> 01:31:32,560 Speaker 2: modern Democratic Party? Like, of course not. The Biden administration 1933 01:31:32,640 --> 01:31:35,280 Speaker 2: has racial quotas literally for people who work for them. 1934 01:31:35,400 --> 01:31:38,719 Speaker 2: So this is somebody who also she always talked about 1935 01:31:39,200 --> 01:31:43,200 Speaker 2: her diversity in her office, Like you can't both believe 1936 01:31:43,280 --> 01:31:46,000 Speaker 2: in that and then get upset whenever it's used against you. Now, 1937 01:31:46,200 --> 01:31:47,880 Speaker 2: if I were her, I agree, I would only talk 1938 01:31:47,880 --> 01:31:50,680 Speaker 2: about abortion in middle class issues. But I have no 1939 01:31:50,880 --> 01:31:53,519 Speaker 2: doubt that she, especially if not her, the media and 1940 01:31:53,560 --> 01:31:56,000 Speaker 2: her surrogates will also make it into a thing. And 1941 01:31:56,320 --> 01:31:59,960 Speaker 2: I'm just not convinced yet that the backlash now would 1942 01:32:00,080 --> 01:32:02,479 Speaker 2: say used DEI I would say affirmative action and against 1943 01:32:02,560 --> 01:32:05,320 Speaker 2: racialism specifically, which I think Democrats are the people who 1944 01:32:05,680 --> 01:32:08,640 Speaker 2: mostly use that rhetoric and have dominated the conversation now 1945 01:32:08,920 --> 01:32:11,160 Speaker 2: for a long time. I think pushing back against that 1946 01:32:11,320 --> 01:32:13,799 Speaker 2: is potent, has been for I can only speak for myself. 1947 01:32:13,840 --> 01:32:16,200 Speaker 2: I don't I don't know. We've only been here now 1948 01:32:16,439 --> 01:32:18,760 Speaker 2: for a week. I find it repellent that she was 1949 01:32:18,800 --> 01:32:19,840 Speaker 2: selected for that reason. 1950 01:32:20,040 --> 01:32:22,719 Speaker 1: I think you're definitely repellent that Joe Biden was selected. 1951 01:32:22,800 --> 01:32:25,960 Speaker 1: But that's kind of repellent, wasn't He was selected because. 1952 01:32:25,800 --> 01:32:28,880 Speaker 2: Of his character? Hected was white? 1953 01:32:28,960 --> 01:32:29,360 Speaker 1: Do you yes? 1954 01:32:30,920 --> 01:32:32,280 Speaker 2: The lies we tell ourselves? Also? 1955 01:32:32,640 --> 01:32:35,880 Speaker 1: Do you find it she's black? Do you find it 1956 01:32:35,960 --> 01:32:39,320 Speaker 1: repellent that? Right now? The just bed rock assumption is 1957 01:32:39,439 --> 01:32:40,719 Speaker 1: Kalma Harris got to pick a white. 1958 01:32:40,600 --> 01:32:43,000 Speaker 2: Man's not repellent because you shouldn't. 1959 01:32:43,040 --> 01:32:44,880 Speaker 1: I haven't heard you say or anyone else say anything 1960 01:32:44,920 --> 01:32:45,200 Speaker 1: about that. 1961 01:32:45,320 --> 01:32:46,960 Speaker 2: I don't know. Notice when I said Josh Shapiro, I 1962 01:32:47,000 --> 01:32:50,240 Speaker 2: say it because he's a actually popular governor. That's why 1963 01:32:50,280 --> 01:32:51,720 Speaker 2: I would. I mean, we're about to talk about VP. 1964 01:32:52,040 --> 01:32:54,599 Speaker 2: But I'm based on your statistics. I mean I would 1965 01:32:54,600 --> 01:32:56,719 Speaker 2: pick Gratchen Whitmer if I were to. I wouldn't necessarily 1966 01:32:56,720 --> 01:32:58,320 Speaker 2: pick a white man because she's popular in the state 1967 01:32:58,360 --> 01:32:59,880 Speaker 2: of Michigan. You got to win Michigan. I mean if 1968 01:32:59,880 --> 01:33:02,160 Speaker 2: she was black, I wouldn't care either. Who's the governor 1969 01:33:02,200 --> 01:33:03,559 Speaker 2: of Maryland? Was that guy's name Wes Moore? 1970 01:33:03,640 --> 01:33:03,880 Speaker 1: Esmore? 1971 01:33:03,960 --> 01:33:06,080 Speaker 2: He's a decent candidate. Are you pick him too? I 1972 01:33:06,200 --> 01:33:08,320 Speaker 2: think you could win. I'm serious. I mean, this is 1973 01:33:08,360 --> 01:33:10,920 Speaker 2: somebody who's from around here. He speaks well, right, He's 1974 01:33:10,960 --> 01:33:12,720 Speaker 2: one of those where he does a good job on 1975 01:33:12,840 --> 01:33:15,560 Speaker 2: the stump. I think he's quite popular, and he do 1976 01:33:15,680 --> 01:33:18,200 Speaker 2: a decent job with some of these swing voters like there. 1977 01:33:18,280 --> 01:33:19,200 Speaker 2: I just made the case was. 1978 01:33:19,240 --> 01:33:21,160 Speaker 1: A repellent that Mike Pen's got pick because he was 1979 01:33:21,160 --> 01:33:24,120 Speaker 1: an evangelical Well, it was a smart play, it was 1980 01:33:24,240 --> 01:33:28,240 Speaker 1: tactically smart. This is this is my point. Sarah Panllin 1981 01:33:28,280 --> 01:33:31,280 Speaker 1: picked because she was a woman, and she was young, 1982 01:33:31,640 --> 01:33:33,840 Speaker 1: and you know, she was picked for her I don't 1983 01:33:33,840 --> 01:33:37,040 Speaker 1: remember anyone saying it's repellent that she was picked for 1984 01:33:37,120 --> 01:33:40,280 Speaker 1: her demographic characteristics. So why is it repellent when it's 1985 01:33:40,280 --> 01:33:43,240 Speaker 1: a black woman pick for her characteristics, and it's not 1986 01:33:43,360 --> 01:33:46,280 Speaker 1: repellent when it's a white man picked for his characteristics because. 1987 01:33:46,080 --> 01:33:50,040 Speaker 2: They conversation about race, Like I said, the media and 1988 01:33:50,160 --> 01:33:53,599 Speaker 2: democrats again, we were literally donning themselves in kentake cloth, 1989 01:33:53,880 --> 01:33:56,799 Speaker 2: putting George Floyd and BLM signs up in every restaurant 1990 01:33:56,840 --> 01:33:59,160 Speaker 2: in the country, and then expecting everyone to just sit 1991 01:33:59,240 --> 01:34:01,599 Speaker 2: there and be like, oh, this is actually totally fine, 1992 01:34:01,600 --> 01:34:04,839 Speaker 2: that we've completely lost our minds on all of this discussion. 1993 01:34:05,080 --> 01:34:07,880 Speaker 2: And then it's like getting mad whenever you say, hey, 1994 01:34:08,280 --> 01:34:11,200 Speaker 2: that was actually crazy. You were picked because of these reasons. 1995 01:34:11,760 --> 01:34:15,719 Speaker 1: Why why should we say But because it's not applied uniformly, 1996 01:34:15,920 --> 01:34:18,240 Speaker 1: that's my point. It's only applied when it's a black person, 1997 01:34:18,560 --> 01:34:20,760 Speaker 1: that's the point. But they are if you're going to 1998 01:34:20,800 --> 01:34:23,120 Speaker 1: make the case, if you're going to make the case 1999 01:34:23,600 --> 01:34:26,439 Speaker 1: that people shouldn't be picked for the demographic characteristics, I 2000 01:34:26,520 --> 01:34:29,400 Speaker 1: am on board for that conversation. But that is not 2001 01:34:29,520 --> 01:34:32,760 Speaker 1: the case that's made. The case is only made. That's 2002 01:34:32,840 --> 01:34:34,920 Speaker 1: why DEI has just come to me and a black 2003 01:34:34,960 --> 01:34:38,400 Speaker 1: person with the job. It's only made when it is 2004 01:34:38,720 --> 01:34:42,200 Speaker 1: black people. It's no problem when a white dude gets 2005 01:34:42,240 --> 01:34:44,760 Speaker 1: picked because he's a white dude, or an evangelical dude 2006 01:34:44,760 --> 01:34:46,960 Speaker 1: gets picked because he's an evangelical dude, or he's picked 2007 01:34:46,960 --> 01:34:50,519 Speaker 1: fro because he's from Pennsylvania or whatever, that's no problem. 2008 01:34:50,600 --> 01:34:53,439 Speaker 1: That's fine, and isn't a mark against them. And so 2009 01:34:53,560 --> 01:34:55,680 Speaker 1: it's just it's just a blatant double standard. And like 2010 01:34:55,800 --> 01:34:57,760 Speaker 1: I said, listen, you can make the case all you want. 2011 01:34:57,840 --> 01:35:00,800 Speaker 1: It's fine. I have no issue with it. Make the case, 2012 01:35:01,360 --> 01:35:05,639 Speaker 1: but I think Republicans run a real risk of being 2013 01:35:05,760 --> 01:35:09,200 Speaker 1: seen as the party that is racial obsessed with race 2014 01:35:09,760 --> 01:35:12,920 Speaker 1: in the election. And you're right, the party that seems 2015 01:35:13,000 --> 01:35:15,000 Speaker 1: like they're obsessed with race like Democrats did with the 2016 01:35:15,040 --> 01:35:17,360 Speaker 1: Can Take All and all that stuff, right the party 2017 01:35:17,439 --> 01:35:21,320 Speaker 1: that seems like they are obsessed with identity characteristics is 2018 01:35:21,479 --> 01:35:24,920 Speaker 1: in a poor position. And right now it's the Republicans 2019 01:35:24,920 --> 01:35:28,000 Speaker 1: who seem much more obsessed with her being a woman 2020 01:35:28,280 --> 01:35:31,960 Speaker 1: and being a black woman. And I don't think it's 2021 01:35:31,960 --> 01:35:32,559 Speaker 1: wise for them. 2022 01:35:32,720 --> 01:35:35,120 Speaker 2: And we'll see. I'm not going to put it past 2023 01:35:35,400 --> 01:35:38,320 Speaker 2: the BLM people to bring it all right back circle, 2024 01:35:38,400 --> 01:35:38,840 Speaker 2: especially the. 2025 01:35:38,920 --> 01:35:43,120 Speaker 1: BLM people actually post Kamala Harris's coronation. By the way, 2026 01:35:43,400 --> 01:35:47,519 Speaker 1: for what it's worth, they wanted an open convention. They 2027 01:35:47,600 --> 01:35:48,400 Speaker 1: put on a whole thing. 2028 01:35:49,640 --> 01:35:51,360 Speaker 2: We're going to object to miss bail fund, like what 2029 01:35:51,479 --> 01:35:54,639 Speaker 2: are we doing here? Like that's ridiculous. But look anyway, 2030 01:35:55,120 --> 01:35:58,439 Speaker 2: I will, I will. I'll tell you what. If Republicans lose, 2031 01:35:58,840 --> 01:36:01,840 Speaker 2: and they lose what even more of the black vote 2032 01:36:02,160 --> 01:36:06,360 Speaker 2: and suburban white vote than they did in twenty twenty, 2033 01:36:06,439 --> 01:36:08,040 Speaker 2: then I'll think you're right. But if they don't, and 2034 01:36:08,080 --> 01:36:09,439 Speaker 2: I'm gonna say, I think it was actually a smart 2035 01:36:09,439 --> 01:36:11,080 Speaker 2: play and I'm curious to see. 2036 01:36:11,280 --> 01:36:13,280 Speaker 1: How Ever, why don't you think that Donald Trump is 2037 01:36:13,360 --> 01:36:13,680 Speaker 1: making this. 2038 01:36:13,800 --> 01:36:15,720 Speaker 2: Argument because he's only it's only been out for five 2039 01:36:15,800 --> 01:36:17,400 Speaker 2: days because he got shot in the ear, and he's 2040 01:36:17,400 --> 01:36:19,599 Speaker 2: only said had enough time to stay laughing and Kamala 2041 01:36:19,600 --> 01:36:22,599 Speaker 2: are what is it? Lion? Kamala? It's oh yeah, okay, whatever, 2042 01:36:22,920 --> 01:36:23,880 Speaker 2: I think laughing is better. 2043 01:36:24,200 --> 01:36:26,800 Speaker 1: I mean, the rerect these these terms are. He has 2044 01:36:27,360 --> 01:36:31,280 Speaker 1: studiously avoided all of these terms because they sound like 2045 01:36:31,400 --> 01:36:33,519 Speaker 1: a secret language to like normal voters. 2046 01:36:33,560 --> 01:36:35,400 Speaker 2: I agree, don't use the term DEI like use the 2047 01:36:35,479 --> 01:36:37,960 Speaker 2: term affirmative action. That's accurate. Everybody knows what that one means, 2048 01:36:38,000 --> 01:36:40,000 Speaker 2: and everybody also is going to know that that's correct 2049 01:36:40,040 --> 01:36:42,080 Speaker 2: whenever it's used against her. But okay, I think we 2050 01:36:42,120 --> 01:36:43,280 Speaker 2: probably beat this convers Yeah. 2051 01:36:43,439 --> 01:36:46,240 Speaker 1: So the other the other argument that they've been making 2052 01:36:46,560 --> 01:36:49,479 Speaker 1: is that she is insufficiently pro Israel, which I think 2053 01:36:49,600 --> 01:36:53,360 Speaker 1: is another you know, electoral loser in terms of arguments 2054 01:36:53,439 --> 01:36:56,000 Speaker 1: against her. I think we have a c five of 2055 01:36:56,200 --> 01:36:58,439 Speaker 1: evidence of this case that's being made against her this week. 2056 01:36:58,520 --> 01:36:59,200 Speaker 1: Let's take a listen. 2057 01:36:59,439 --> 01:37:03,000 Speaker 8: This is the astounding bad decision not to appear behind 2058 01:37:03,120 --> 01:37:07,080 Speaker 8: BB as Vice President of the United States. This is 2059 01:37:07,120 --> 01:37:10,240 Speaker 8: a signal to Thomas has Blah and Iran that we 2060 01:37:10,600 --> 01:37:13,960 Speaker 8: literally do not have BB's back. This is really her 2061 01:37:14,080 --> 01:37:19,200 Speaker 8: first major foreign policy decision, and she's gotten anf already. 2062 01:37:19,240 --> 01:37:19,920 Speaker 5: You got a question. 2063 01:37:20,240 --> 01:37:23,120 Speaker 9: She will not show up for the Prime Minister's Joint 2064 01:37:23,160 --> 01:37:26,320 Speaker 9: Session of Congress today. She rather addressed in the summer 2065 01:37:26,680 --> 01:37:29,840 Speaker 9: a sorority, a cod sorority, like she can't get out 2066 01:37:29,840 --> 01:37:32,360 Speaker 9: of that. What she's doing is she's running away from Israel. 2067 01:37:32,640 --> 01:37:37,080 Speaker 9: She refuses to go to Bibnet YadA Yahu's in Washington. 2068 01:37:37,160 --> 01:37:38,160 Speaker 5: She refuses to be. 2069 01:37:39,840 --> 01:37:43,679 Speaker 9: Even if you're against Israel or you're against the Jewish people, 2070 01:37:43,880 --> 01:37:46,960 Speaker 9: show up and listen to the concept. But she's totally 2071 01:37:47,000 --> 01:37:50,839 Speaker 9: against the Jewish people. And it amazes me how Jewish 2072 01:37:51,000 --> 01:37:54,479 Speaker 9: people will vote for the Democrats when they're being treated 2073 01:37:54,600 --> 01:37:56,759 Speaker 9: so disrespectfully and badly. 2074 01:37:57,120 --> 01:37:58,120 Speaker 5: It amazes me. 2075 01:38:00,400 --> 01:38:01,160 Speaker 9: It's shocking. 2076 01:38:01,320 --> 01:38:02,320 Speaker 1: I don't I don't. 2077 01:38:03,040 --> 01:38:05,799 Speaker 9: So now we have a new victim to defeat Lion 2078 01:38:06,600 --> 01:38:08,280 Speaker 9: Kamala Harris, Lion. 2079 01:38:08,360 --> 01:38:08,720 Speaker 8: L y. 2080 01:38:12,960 --> 01:38:15,160 Speaker 1: So I'm not going with Lion. Lion is not his 2081 01:38:15,280 --> 01:38:17,760 Speaker 1: best work, not not laughing. Kamala also not his best work. 2082 01:38:17,840 --> 01:38:20,559 Speaker 2: Why and Ted worked because it really had this one? Yeah, laughing, 2083 01:38:21,320 --> 01:38:23,880 Speaker 2: I could see it. I don't know. He needs something better. 2084 01:38:24,160 --> 01:38:25,120 Speaker 2: He needs to bring the magic back. 2085 01:38:25,160 --> 01:38:29,439 Speaker 1: Also, the honestly crazy kamalas used crazy for a bunch 2086 01:38:29,479 --> 01:38:31,320 Speaker 1: of time. I would be probably, I think it would 2087 01:38:31,320 --> 01:38:34,920 Speaker 1: be better than those. But Nancy insufficiently pro Israel. I 2088 01:38:35,000 --> 01:38:36,679 Speaker 1: also don't think is the political winner. 2089 01:38:36,520 --> 01:38:38,679 Speaker 2: That Look, I don't think people care that much about Israel, 2090 01:38:38,800 --> 01:38:41,400 Speaker 2: especially now today. Maybe some young voters. Even then it's 2091 01:38:41,479 --> 01:38:43,840 Speaker 2: not the majority, So like, I don't think it's going 2092 01:38:43,920 --> 01:38:46,360 Speaker 2: to be the deciding election in terms of the money though, 2093 01:38:46,600 --> 01:38:48,800 Speaker 2: that's where a lot of money is for donors. Yeah, 2094 01:38:48,880 --> 01:38:50,639 Speaker 2: that's that's probably why he's doing. 2095 01:38:50,760 --> 01:38:53,880 Speaker 1: That's it. But it's also, like, you know, to the extent, 2096 01:38:54,160 --> 01:38:55,840 Speaker 1: so I think for young voters it doesn't. I think 2097 01:38:55,840 --> 01:38:58,280 Speaker 1: they're watching very closely what Kamala Harris does and says 2098 01:38:58,320 --> 01:39:00,160 Speaker 1: in these next few days, and I think that is 2099 01:39:00,360 --> 01:39:02,479 Speaker 1: consequential for her in terms of being able to put 2100 01:39:02,520 --> 01:39:07,440 Speaker 1: together that sort of recapture some of the Obama coalition, 2101 01:39:08,000 --> 01:39:10,680 Speaker 1: but for a broader general electorate to the extent that 2102 01:39:10,760 --> 01:39:12,479 Speaker 1: it matters at all, it's the sense of like, why 2103 01:39:12,520 --> 01:39:14,760 Speaker 1: are you fixated on these why are you obsessed over 2104 01:39:14,800 --> 01:39:17,320 Speaker 1: these foreign countries when you know we got a lot 2105 01:39:17,360 --> 01:39:17,840 Speaker 1: of problems here. 2106 01:39:19,000 --> 01:39:20,800 Speaker 2: I count myself part of that. I don't really care 2107 01:39:20,840 --> 01:39:23,920 Speaker 2: what you know about whether she's sufficiently pro is reeled 2108 01:39:24,080 --> 01:39:26,240 Speaker 2: or not. But whatever, Okay, we got a good conversation 2109 01:39:26,320 --> 01:39:27,320 Speaker 2: by VP. Let's get to it. 2110 01:39:29,880 --> 01:39:30,200 Speaker 7: All right. 2111 01:39:30,320 --> 01:39:33,120 Speaker 2: Moving on now to discussion of vice president. Who is 2112 01:39:33,200 --> 01:39:35,720 Speaker 2: Kamala Harris going to pick to be her candidate? Let's 2113 01:39:35,720 --> 01:39:37,840 Speaker 2: put this up there on the screen. There's between seven 2114 01:39:37,880 --> 01:39:40,800 Speaker 2: to twelve names that have been floated out there. Going 2115 01:39:40,880 --> 01:39:43,040 Speaker 2: to start off with the most obvious and probably the 2116 01:39:43,080 --> 01:39:45,000 Speaker 2: front runner, I think it's fair to say it's Pennsylvania 2117 01:39:45,040 --> 01:39:49,560 Speaker 2: Governor Josh Shapiro, enormously popular in the state of Pennsylvania. 2118 01:39:49,720 --> 01:39:53,600 Speaker 2: His high approval rating obviously did very well against Doug Mastriano. 2119 01:39:53,720 --> 01:39:56,600 Speaker 2: Pennsylvania is a must win state. Number two on the 2120 01:39:56,680 --> 01:40:00,040 Speaker 2: list is Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona. I personally, I 2121 01:40:00,080 --> 01:40:02,800 Speaker 2: don't think she's going to pick Mark Kelly because if 2122 01:40:02,880 --> 01:40:05,600 Speaker 2: he was gone, then that would open up a competitive 2123 01:40:05,640 --> 01:40:08,960 Speaker 2: Senate seat in a battleground state where it's been a 2124 01:40:09,040 --> 01:40:12,280 Speaker 2: bit of hit or miss for Democrats so far. Number 2125 01:40:12,320 --> 01:40:15,800 Speaker 2: three is apparently a North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper. Now, 2126 01:40:15,880 --> 01:40:19,240 Speaker 2: apparently her and Cooper go way back, both serving as 2127 01:40:19,360 --> 01:40:23,280 Speaker 2: AG's and have some experience together. That would put him 2128 01:40:23,360 --> 01:40:25,880 Speaker 2: possibly higher on the list, since this is such a 2129 01:40:25,960 --> 01:40:28,880 Speaker 2: crazy time that you definitely want somebody that you might 2130 01:40:28,920 --> 01:40:33,519 Speaker 2: be comfortable with comfortable with. Next is Kentucky Governor Andy Basheer. 2131 01:40:33,760 --> 01:40:35,760 Speaker 2: He's been all over television in the last couple of 2132 01:40:35,880 --> 01:40:40,040 Speaker 2: days attacking JD. Vance really auditioning himself for the job. 2133 01:40:40,120 --> 01:40:42,200 Speaker 2: He was also what is he the most blue governor 2134 01:40:42,240 --> 01:40:43,880 Speaker 2: of a red state in the whole country. 2135 01:40:44,000 --> 01:40:47,200 Speaker 1: He is the most popular governor Democratic governor in the 2136 01:40:47,320 --> 01:40:48,080 Speaker 1: entire most. 2137 01:40:47,920 --> 01:40:50,200 Speaker 2: Popular governor of the democratic right. But at the same time, 2138 01:40:50,400 --> 01:40:52,639 Speaker 2: no one's wenting Kentucky in the twenty twenty four election. 2139 01:40:52,800 --> 01:40:55,519 Speaker 2: But you know, maybe he could have some crossover rural appeal. 2140 01:40:55,800 --> 01:40:57,920 Speaker 2: Tim Waltz is apparently on the list. That's the governor 2141 01:40:58,120 --> 01:41:02,479 Speaker 2: of Minnesota, Illinois Governor JB. Pritzker. Pritzker is a billionaire, 2142 01:41:02,840 --> 01:41:05,120 Speaker 2: probably helps in terms of bringing in the money. It's 2143 01:41:05,120 --> 01:41:08,120 Speaker 2: also the governor of a Midwestern state. And then Gretchen Whitmer. 2144 01:41:08,200 --> 01:41:09,880 Speaker 2: So what are we getting. We're getting a sense of 2145 01:41:10,280 --> 01:41:14,720 Speaker 2: governors boring from the Midwest, people who are popular in 2146 01:41:14,800 --> 01:41:17,559 Speaker 2: their home states and can bring it home at least 2147 01:41:17,600 --> 01:41:21,160 Speaker 2: in the battlegrounds with some of these white working class voters. 2148 01:41:21,400 --> 01:41:24,080 Speaker 2: And we'll see. There's another list that is out there 2149 01:41:24,479 --> 01:41:27,680 Speaker 2: of some twelve people that are allegedly on the list. 2150 01:41:27,760 --> 01:41:30,280 Speaker 2: Let's see who am I missing from the list that 2151 01:41:30,320 --> 01:41:32,680 Speaker 2: I spoke out. Okay, so the outside team is being 2152 01:41:32,800 --> 01:41:35,960 Speaker 2: vetted by Eric Holder some of the other people that 2153 01:41:36,040 --> 01:41:38,599 Speaker 2: are on the list that I missed here, I think 2154 01:41:38,760 --> 01:41:40,880 Speaker 2: what was it. Tim McRaven was on the list, or 2155 01:41:41,320 --> 01:41:46,320 Speaker 2: Admiral he removed himself. Okay, here we go. Gina Raymondo, 2156 01:41:46,600 --> 01:41:50,800 Speaker 2: the current Commerce Secretary Transportation Budajig. I would not do 2157 01:41:50,920 --> 01:41:55,800 Speaker 2: that one, and Arizona Kelly Yes. At the same time, 2158 01:41:56,000 --> 01:41:58,240 Speaker 2: given his electoral track record last time in a South 2159 01:41:58,320 --> 01:42:00,800 Speaker 2: Carolina results, that's not some what I was gonna pick. 2160 01:42:01,200 --> 01:42:03,439 Speaker 2: I don't think he did well enough in Iowa to 2161 01:42:03,560 --> 01:42:05,600 Speaker 2: prove that he has a real constituency outside of like 2162 01:42:05,720 --> 01:42:09,719 Speaker 2: hardcore Democrats, he doesn't have electoral sense really in the past, 2163 01:42:10,280 --> 01:42:13,120 Speaker 2: and I don't think he's got enough crossover appeal or 2164 01:42:13,479 --> 01:42:16,519 Speaker 2: coalition support to actually bring them in the same when 2165 01:42:16,560 --> 01:42:19,479 Speaker 2: you compare him to a governor like our governor, battle 2166 01:42:19,560 --> 01:42:24,200 Speaker 2: tested in the election, high approval rating, actually an executive, 2167 01:42:24,400 --> 01:42:26,759 Speaker 2: someone you can picture in the job, someone who Democratic 2168 01:42:26,880 --> 01:42:30,639 Speaker 2: voters know I would pick a governor if I were Pete. 2169 01:42:30,640 --> 01:42:32,280 Speaker 1: I think you could do worse than I agree with you. 2170 01:42:32,640 --> 01:42:33,400 Speaker 2: You can do worse in people. 2171 01:42:33,439 --> 01:42:35,280 Speaker 1: I think you do worse than Pete. I think Pete 2172 01:42:35,320 --> 01:42:37,400 Speaker 1: has actually grown into his role as a regular he's 2173 01:42:37,400 --> 01:42:39,360 Speaker 1: gotten much better about, you know, the things he's doing 2174 01:42:39,400 --> 01:42:41,320 Speaker 1: in regard to the airlines whatever. He's very good on 2175 01:42:41,400 --> 01:42:44,120 Speaker 1: gable news is that's what he's always like excelled at. 2176 01:42:44,200 --> 01:42:45,000 Speaker 2: That's his only job. 2177 01:42:45,880 --> 01:42:48,240 Speaker 1: Anyway, I do think you could do worse than Pete. 2178 01:42:48,560 --> 01:42:52,320 Speaker 1: That being said, I personally I'm hoping that he picks 2179 01:42:52,760 --> 01:42:58,080 Speaker 1: that she picks Tim Walls because Minnesota governor, he's got 2180 01:42:58,200 --> 01:43:02,519 Speaker 1: this like kind of fun grandpa that he was a 2181 01:43:02,600 --> 01:43:06,639 Speaker 1: high school teacher. He's a veteran, and he pushed through 2182 01:43:06,960 --> 01:43:10,559 Speaker 1: a you know, truly like all the Democratic agenda items 2183 01:43:10,640 --> 01:43:14,000 Speaker 1: on wages and schools and the whole lot, with like 2184 01:43:14,080 --> 01:43:17,040 Speaker 1: a one vote majority in the state of Minnesota. Minnesota 2185 01:43:17,080 --> 01:43:20,000 Speaker 1: is still sort of a swing state, So I like him. 2186 01:43:20,160 --> 01:43:22,880 Speaker 1: That means he probably won't get picked. My assumption is 2187 01:43:22,960 --> 01:43:25,400 Speaker 1: that the person that you know, I want to be 2188 01:43:25,520 --> 01:43:28,760 Speaker 1: at the least, which is probably Joshuapiro, is likely to 2189 01:43:29,240 --> 01:43:31,800 Speaker 1: get the nod. And I mean the electoral calculatory. I 2190 01:43:31,880 --> 01:43:34,280 Speaker 1: understand from their perspective like, oh, it's Pennsylvania and he 2191 01:43:34,400 --> 01:43:36,720 Speaker 1: won by a lot. However, I think there are also 2192 01:43:36,960 --> 01:43:41,080 Speaker 1: risk factors with him that they are probably likely to overlook. 2193 01:43:41,160 --> 01:43:43,519 Speaker 1: Which is, as I've mentioned a few times, I think 2194 01:43:43,560 --> 01:43:46,439 Speaker 1: people are watching very closely right now what Kamala says 2195 01:43:46,520 --> 01:43:48,840 Speaker 1: and does with regard to Israel. Big part of the 2196 01:43:48,880 --> 01:43:51,479 Speaker 1: reason why Joe Biden was performing so poorly with young 2197 01:43:51,560 --> 01:43:56,360 Speaker 1: people was about Israel and the genocide in Gaza. She's 2198 01:43:56,439 --> 01:44:00,360 Speaker 1: getting a little bit of grace on that. And Piro 2199 01:44:00,880 --> 01:44:05,519 Speaker 1: was very outspoken with regard to the college protests, and 2200 01:44:05,680 --> 01:44:07,839 Speaker 1: he took a lot of action to quash the college protests, 2201 01:44:08,120 --> 01:44:11,600 Speaker 1: and he compared palistating protesters to pro Palestine protesters to 2202 01:44:11,640 --> 01:44:14,800 Speaker 1: the KKK. That's a hard thing to get past. He's 2203 01:44:14,920 --> 01:44:20,120 Speaker 1: also has a lot of skepticism from unions because he 2204 01:44:20,240 --> 01:44:23,600 Speaker 1: was aggressively pro charter school in the state of Pennsylvania 2205 01:44:23,680 --> 01:44:27,320 Speaker 1: as well. So while I understand the electoral calculus with 2206 01:44:27,439 --> 01:44:30,400 Speaker 1: it being you know, Pennsylvania and him being popular, and 2207 01:44:30,520 --> 01:44:33,519 Speaker 1: he's you know, he's good on camera, and he does 2208 01:44:33,560 --> 01:44:36,599 Speaker 1: all the politician ethings well, et cetera. And he has 2209 01:44:36,680 --> 01:44:40,560 Speaker 1: some policy track record that I would be amenable to. 2210 01:44:41,160 --> 01:44:43,759 Speaker 1: David Sarato points as you know, track record of holding 2211 01:44:44,000 --> 01:44:46,600 Speaker 1: power to account at certain times, that's going to be 2212 01:44:46,640 --> 01:44:50,320 Speaker 1: a tough pill for people who really care about Israel 2213 01:44:50,360 --> 01:44:53,360 Speaker 1: Gaza to swallow. So I think there's a risk that 2214 01:44:53,520 --> 01:44:57,840 Speaker 1: she undercuts the high level of like excitement and enthusiasm 2215 01:44:57,920 --> 01:44:59,920 Speaker 1: and democratic unity that she's benefiting from her. 2216 01:45:00,160 --> 01:45:02,720 Speaker 2: It's possible. I just I don't want to over overestimate 2217 01:45:02,800 --> 01:45:04,600 Speaker 2: how much it actually is, because I think that the 2218 01:45:04,680 --> 01:45:07,320 Speaker 2: craziness of the election is going to just you know, 2219 01:45:07,560 --> 01:45:11,439 Speaker 2: in terms of the enthusiasm and in terms of the 2220 01:45:11,520 --> 01:45:15,240 Speaker 2: defining issues. Already, the media attention on Gaza is probably 2221 01:45:15,360 --> 01:45:18,080 Speaker 2: like one fiftieth of what it was previously, and a 2222 01:45:18,120 --> 01:45:19,280 Speaker 2: lot of people are just gonna suck it up and 2223 01:45:19,280 --> 01:45:20,960 Speaker 2: they're going to vote for Kamala. I think a lot 2224 01:45:20,960 --> 01:45:22,360 Speaker 2: of people would have suck it up and voted for 2225 01:45:22,400 --> 01:45:25,479 Speaker 2: Joe Biden anyways, a lot less. But now, because she's 2226 01:45:25,520 --> 01:45:28,240 Speaker 2: so undefined, all she has to do is like kind 2227 01:45:28,320 --> 01:45:30,760 Speaker 2: of not taken a real stance on the issue, and 2228 01:45:30,880 --> 01:45:33,600 Speaker 2: she's kind of the beneficiary of both. That's what I 2229 01:45:33,600 --> 01:45:35,320 Speaker 2: would do if I were her. I'll tell you this 2230 01:45:35,360 --> 01:45:37,479 Speaker 2: about Josh Shapiro, the man. All he knows how to 2231 01:45:37,520 --> 01:45:39,519 Speaker 2: talk about is abortion, and he's good at it. So 2232 01:45:39,760 --> 01:45:42,560 Speaker 2: my sister in law showed me his TikTok account this 2233 01:45:42,680 --> 01:45:46,240 Speaker 2: guy has got hundreds of thousands of TikTok followers. Every 2234 01:45:46,439 --> 01:45:49,240 Speaker 2: single thing he posts is about abortion, and I hate 2235 01:45:49,240 --> 01:45:51,280 Speaker 2: to say it, it's good. He actually does well. You know, 2236 01:45:51,360 --> 01:45:53,360 Speaker 2: he does the blinking meme where he's like me whenever 2237 01:45:53,439 --> 01:45:56,439 Speaker 2: Republicans are trying to pan abortion, he's like, blink, blink, blink, 2238 01:45:56,760 --> 01:45:59,120 Speaker 2: and it's got hundreds of thousands of views, and it's 2239 01:45:59,160 --> 01:46:01,600 Speaker 2: like me when republic are radically trying to throw a 2240 01:46:01,680 --> 01:46:04,519 Speaker 2: national abortion man, he's like fifty versions of that. Of that, 2241 01:46:04,920 --> 01:46:06,760 Speaker 2: he's quite talented at it. I mean, he's one of 2242 01:46:06,800 --> 01:46:09,559 Speaker 2: those where I think he messages correctly on the issue. 2243 01:46:09,800 --> 01:46:11,599 Speaker 2: And so if I were her and I'm just I'm 2244 01:46:11,680 --> 01:46:14,400 Speaker 2: focusing in on two hundred and seventy one electoral votes, 2245 01:46:14,560 --> 01:46:17,639 Speaker 2: I think he's probably the best pick. Especially she's less 2246 01:46:17,680 --> 01:46:20,680 Speaker 2: connected to Israel Gaza. You can have whitmerk and bring 2247 01:46:20,800 --> 01:46:23,840 Speaker 2: it home for you in a similar way, especially to Stump, 2248 01:46:24,080 --> 01:46:26,599 Speaker 2: you're more undefined on the issue, and you know, at 2249 01:46:26,600 --> 01:46:28,000 Speaker 2: the end of the day, what we're really talking about 2250 01:46:28,040 --> 01:46:29,599 Speaker 2: here a million people are so we're going to vote 2251 01:46:29,600 --> 01:46:31,400 Speaker 2: on Israel Gaza. There's probably going to be one hundred 2252 01:46:31,400 --> 01:46:33,240 Speaker 2: million people who cast their votes. Now, if you do 2253 01:46:33,280 --> 01:46:34,880 Speaker 2: it in the right way strategically, it was going to 2254 01:46:34,920 --> 01:46:37,479 Speaker 2: make an impact. But it's not Biden. It's just different. 2255 01:46:37,720 --> 01:46:39,960 Speaker 2: Whenever it's not the guy who literally, you know, Bear 2256 01:46:40,040 --> 01:46:42,439 Speaker 2: hugged Nanta. It's just fundamentally it's very different. 2257 01:46:42,640 --> 01:46:44,840 Speaker 1: I think I think it's I think it's more of 2258 01:46:44,880 --> 01:46:48,800 Speaker 1: an issue than than you do. But I accept that, 2259 01:46:49,240 --> 01:46:51,800 Speaker 1: and I regret to admit that they're probably looking at 2260 01:46:51,800 --> 01:46:53,760 Speaker 1: it similarly to how you are. Now, what could be 2261 01:46:53,840 --> 01:46:56,479 Speaker 1: more of a problem for them is that Shapiro had 2262 01:46:56,640 --> 01:46:58,680 Speaker 1: settled some like sexual harassment. 2263 01:46:58,320 --> 01:47:00,479 Speaker 2: Obligation, but it was about his staff, wasn't him. 2264 01:47:00,920 --> 01:47:03,840 Speaker 1: But you know, if like you're trying to make that 2265 01:47:03,960 --> 01:47:06,560 Speaker 1: contrast with Donald Trump and that's hanging over him, I 2266 01:47:06,600 --> 01:47:08,519 Speaker 1: could see that being a hang up for them in 2267 01:47:08,680 --> 01:47:11,600 Speaker 1: terms of the vetting process. And then I also the 2268 01:47:11,720 --> 01:47:14,280 Speaker 1: other thing that's that's been floated. I don't know if 2269 01:47:14,320 --> 01:47:17,320 Speaker 1: I really I don't really buy this, uh that he's 2270 01:47:17,680 --> 01:47:20,240 Speaker 1: Jewish and so you know, if you're looking for that 2271 01:47:20,520 --> 01:47:23,160 Speaker 1: just straight up white dude, which seems to be like 2272 01:47:23,320 --> 01:47:26,160 Speaker 1: the tenor of the conversation that he may not fit 2273 01:47:26,240 --> 01:47:29,920 Speaker 1: the bill. But I don't know that I don't think 2274 01:47:29,960 --> 01:47:32,800 Speaker 1: so either, But I don't know that. I don't know how. Yeah, 2275 01:47:32,880 --> 01:47:34,800 Speaker 1: people have been saying that, I don't I don't know 2276 01:47:34,800 --> 01:47:36,439 Speaker 1: if that. I don't know how they're looking at it. 2277 01:47:36,880 --> 01:47:37,960 Speaker 1: I don't think it matters either. 2278 01:47:38,240 --> 01:47:40,439 Speaker 2: But I remember the Jewish faith, I know. 2279 01:47:40,840 --> 01:47:45,680 Speaker 1: But what anyway that's out there the other one. So 2280 01:47:46,080 --> 01:47:49,920 Speaker 1: I already I like Tim Walls. Andy Sheer is interesting. 2281 01:47:49,960 --> 01:47:52,160 Speaker 1: I think he's an interesting contrast with Jadie Vance being 2282 01:47:52,200 --> 01:47:55,160 Speaker 1: from Kentucky, may you speak about Appalachia. That's the contrast 2283 01:47:55,200 --> 01:47:57,840 Speaker 1: he's trying to make. He's got, he's pro labor. He 2284 01:47:57,920 --> 01:48:01,200 Speaker 1: has had a track record, obviously of extreme success in 2285 01:48:01,280 --> 01:48:04,519 Speaker 1: a very difficult state. So that's that's appealing for him, 2286 01:48:04,560 --> 01:48:08,360 Speaker 1: even though Kentucky obviously not a swing state. I feel 2287 01:48:08,400 --> 01:48:11,120 Speaker 1: like Roy Cooper has a good shot at it because 2288 01:48:11,240 --> 01:48:13,800 Speaker 1: they have that long personal relationship. I don't know how 2289 01:48:13,960 --> 01:48:16,280 Speaker 1: she's looking at the choice. If I was making the choice, 2290 01:48:16,280 --> 01:48:19,040 Speaker 1: I would want someone that I knew and like outside 2291 01:48:19,080 --> 01:48:21,920 Speaker 1: of just this two week time frame. I'm not sure 2292 01:48:21,960 --> 01:48:24,120 Speaker 1: who else she may have that personal relationship with. But 2293 01:48:24,200 --> 01:48:26,679 Speaker 1: I know Roy Cooper. She's done a number of events 2294 01:48:26,720 --> 01:48:28,360 Speaker 1: with him here. They know each other from the time 2295 01:48:28,360 --> 01:48:32,680 Speaker 1: when they were ages is much more in terms of 2296 01:48:33,360 --> 01:48:35,720 Speaker 1: he's a very safe and cautious politician in terms of 2297 01:48:35,760 --> 01:48:37,960 Speaker 1: North Carolina, and he also has been very successful in 2298 01:48:38,000 --> 01:48:40,599 Speaker 1: a state that is pretty much read. Could they potentially 2299 01:48:40,640 --> 01:48:43,080 Speaker 1: put in North Carolina in play? I think possibly. Biden 2300 01:48:43,160 --> 01:48:45,400 Speaker 1: only lost it by like less than two percentage points 2301 01:48:45,439 --> 01:48:48,520 Speaker 1: least time around, So maybe with some of the demographic 2302 01:48:48,600 --> 01:48:50,719 Speaker 1: shifts that having Comma at the top of the ticket 2303 01:48:51,320 --> 01:48:54,439 Speaker 1: potentially pretends that's a possibility. The downside with him is 2304 01:48:54,560 --> 01:48:56,600 Speaker 1: Democrats are looking at hey, this guy could run for 2305 01:48:56,680 --> 01:48:59,080 Speaker 1: Senate in North Carolina, have a shot down the road, 2306 01:48:59,240 --> 01:49:01,760 Speaker 1: and you are taking him off the board for that. 2307 01:49:01,960 --> 01:49:03,680 Speaker 1: So I don't know if that's a factor. I'm not 2308 01:49:03,720 --> 01:49:06,120 Speaker 1: sure Mark Kelly could put D two up on the screen. 2309 01:49:07,240 --> 01:49:10,160 Speaker 1: One of the issues that the left and a lot 2310 01:49:10,200 --> 01:49:12,200 Speaker 1: of labor unions have had with Mark Kelly is he 2311 01:49:12,360 --> 01:49:16,000 Speaker 1: was one of the only Democrats who had not signed 2312 01:49:16,040 --> 01:49:18,920 Speaker 1: on to the pro Act, which is, you know, the 2313 01:49:19,080 --> 01:49:23,240 Speaker 1: sort of like comprehensive pro labor legislation that Democrats under 2314 01:49:23,240 --> 01:49:27,040 Speaker 1: the Biden administration were pushing. Now, under pressure, he's like, oh, no, no, no, 2315 01:49:27,240 --> 01:49:29,280 Speaker 1: I of course I support it. Of course I would 2316 01:49:29,360 --> 01:49:32,679 Speaker 1: vote for it. Okay, there are other reasons that unions 2317 01:49:32,680 --> 01:49:36,599 Speaker 1: are concerned about him as well, some nominees pro labor 2318 01:49:36,680 --> 01:49:39,519 Speaker 1: nominees that he voted against and had issues with, So 2319 01:49:39,640 --> 01:49:41,600 Speaker 1: it's outside of just the pro Act, but that was 2320 01:49:41,680 --> 01:49:44,320 Speaker 1: kind of the most glaring issue for him. But in 2321 01:49:44,439 --> 01:49:46,519 Speaker 1: terms of his pick, I think your right SoC are. 2322 01:49:46,560 --> 01:49:48,120 Speaker 1: The biggest problem for him is are they really going 2323 01:49:48,200 --> 01:49:51,320 Speaker 1: to want to take his put his seat into play 2324 01:49:52,280 --> 01:49:55,760 Speaker 1: in Arizona and you know risk that. I think that's 2325 01:49:55,920 --> 01:49:56,600 Speaker 1: that's a problem for me. 2326 01:49:56,680 --> 01:49:58,640 Speaker 2: Well, you know, here's a conversation we all just had 2327 01:49:58,760 --> 01:50:01,719 Speaker 2: which we left out the most important constituency, the donors. 2328 01:50:01,840 --> 01:50:05,439 Speaker 2: The donor class loves Josh Shapiro, right, this is one 2329 01:50:05,479 --> 01:50:08,599 Speaker 2: where he has made it a point with Israel thing, 2330 01:50:08,680 --> 01:50:11,240 Speaker 2: but many other issues as well. The charge school thing 2331 01:50:11,280 --> 01:50:14,400 Speaker 2: is a real tell right about what exactly is happening here? 2332 01:50:14,760 --> 01:50:18,559 Speaker 2: And if I were the donor class, we know Crystal, 2333 01:50:18,760 --> 01:50:21,479 Speaker 2: we know their politics. There's news out this morning that 2334 01:50:21,560 --> 01:50:24,560 Speaker 2: read Hoffman apparently gave seven million dollars to Kamala and 2335 01:50:24,720 --> 01:50:26,600 Speaker 2: was like, well, you got to fire Lena Kahan, you 2336 01:50:26,640 --> 01:50:29,120 Speaker 2: know if something like that happens. So they're making their 2337 01:50:29,160 --> 01:50:32,679 Speaker 2: plays too, and Kamala may actually be more donor dependent, 2338 01:50:33,439 --> 01:50:36,080 Speaker 2: maybe as much donor dependent as Trump now at this point, 2339 01:50:36,320 --> 01:50:38,040 Speaker 2: because she's late to the game and she's got to 2340 01:50:38,080 --> 01:50:40,200 Speaker 2: make up some of this cash. She's got the hundred million, 2341 01:50:40,240 --> 01:50:42,240 Speaker 2: but she's gonna need a billion point probably a one 2342 01:50:42,280 --> 01:50:45,519 Speaker 2: point five billion to contend with the Republican superPAC machine. 2343 01:50:45,600 --> 01:50:48,519 Speaker 2: So the money, while it is there, there are certain 2344 01:50:48,560 --> 01:50:51,519 Speaker 2: things that come with that price. And because she was 2345 01:50:51,600 --> 01:50:54,240 Speaker 2: anointed and will be a product of super Delegac and 2346 01:50:54,280 --> 01:50:56,439 Speaker 2: more at the DNC, those donors are probably going to 2347 01:50:56,479 --> 01:50:59,160 Speaker 2: have even more of an outside impact on the VP selection. 2348 01:50:59,280 --> 01:51:00,920 Speaker 2: So that's why, you know, if you look at their 2349 01:51:01,000 --> 01:51:03,240 Speaker 2: ideology too, in the way they look, that's not a 2350 01:51:03,280 --> 01:51:04,120 Speaker 2: bad case to make. 2351 01:51:04,320 --> 01:51:06,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I think if you're going with the donor pick, 2352 01:51:06,120 --> 01:51:07,920 Speaker 1: you're probably picking Pete True. 2353 01:51:08,080 --> 01:51:09,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, they love him, They do love if. 2354 01:51:09,760 --> 01:51:12,720 Speaker 1: Shapiro does have some track record, and I have to 2355 01:51:12,800 --> 01:51:14,840 Speaker 1: look back at the things David Sero has written, but 2356 01:51:14,880 --> 01:51:17,799 Speaker 1: he does have some genuine track record of like challenging 2357 01:51:17,880 --> 01:51:20,840 Speaker 1: I think tech and being a little more skeptical of 2358 01:51:20,880 --> 01:51:24,519 Speaker 1: corporate power. So I'm not sure that he would be 2359 01:51:24,680 --> 01:51:28,439 Speaker 1: as beloved I'm just not sure. I know the donors 2360 01:51:28,479 --> 01:51:31,080 Speaker 1: love Pete, so maybe he's got maybe he's got more 2361 01:51:31,120 --> 01:51:33,120 Speaker 1: of an inside track than we really think here. But 2362 01:51:33,800 --> 01:51:36,360 Speaker 1: it'll be interesting. Like I said, my working assumption is 2363 01:51:36,400 --> 01:51:38,120 Speaker 1: whoever I want the least is going to end up 2364 01:51:38,120 --> 01:51:43,760 Speaker 1: in it. So that would probably be Joshuah Baby Net 2365 01:51:43,880 --> 01:51:46,880 Speaker 1: Now who in town right now? Today's meeting with Biden 2366 01:51:47,040 --> 01:51:50,360 Speaker 1: and Kamala Harris. Tomorrow he's flying or tonight or whatever. 2367 01:51:50,439 --> 01:51:52,400 Speaker 1: He's going to meet with Trump. In mar A Lago 2368 01:51:53,240 --> 01:51:57,519 Speaker 1: yesterday giving a speech to Congress. There were a number 2369 01:51:57,680 --> 01:52:02,439 Speaker 1: of Democrats, about half the Democratic Caucus boycotted the speech. 2370 01:52:02,800 --> 01:52:07,040 Speaker 1: And you had a whole lot of protest activity in advance. 2371 01:52:07,080 --> 01:52:08,759 Speaker 1: We can put some of this up on the screen 2372 01:52:08,840 --> 01:52:11,360 Speaker 1: so you can get a sense. You had huge march. 2373 01:52:11,520 --> 01:52:14,960 Speaker 1: You see lots of Palestinian flags everywhere. You had some 2374 01:52:15,360 --> 01:52:20,360 Speaker 1: very you know, tense uh scenes with cups and tear gas. 2375 01:52:20,600 --> 01:52:24,120 Speaker 1: Here they are burning I think that maybe maybe net 2376 01:52:24,240 --> 01:52:27,280 Speaker 1: yahoo in effigy, and then they also burned an American 2377 01:52:27,400 --> 01:52:30,200 Speaker 1: flag there was, so they were they were out in 2378 01:52:30,240 --> 01:52:33,400 Speaker 1: full force. They've been out the day before, h inside 2379 01:52:33,680 --> 01:52:36,560 Speaker 1: the Capitol building as well, so they were you know, 2380 01:52:36,800 --> 01:52:39,719 Speaker 1: making their mark and making their statement about their upset 2381 01:52:39,800 --> 01:52:42,720 Speaker 1: that this war criminal was in town. We also can 2382 01:52:42,800 --> 01:52:44,559 Speaker 1: put this up on the screen. Some of the activists 2383 01:52:44,560 --> 01:52:48,120 Speaker 1: actually got into the Watergate hotel where the net Yahoo 2384 01:52:48,200 --> 01:52:52,120 Speaker 1: coalition was staying and put these bugs and maggots. 2385 01:52:52,160 --> 01:52:54,439 Speaker 2: Literally like crickets. So I was like on this table 2386 01:52:54,520 --> 01:52:56,240 Speaker 2: biblic That's what I'm thinking. 2387 01:52:56,520 --> 01:53:00,400 Speaker 1: I think they just wanted to there, what they said 2388 01:53:00,400 --> 01:53:02,439 Speaker 1: as they just wanted to create chaos. They were also 2389 01:53:02,520 --> 01:53:04,280 Speaker 1: like pulling fire alarms in the role and I that 2390 01:53:04,400 --> 01:53:05,800 Speaker 1: kind of stuff. So it was like a sense of 2391 01:53:05,960 --> 01:53:09,679 Speaker 1: like creating chaos in the in the building. So making 2392 01:53:09,720 --> 01:53:12,320 Speaker 1: their presence felt, to say the least. Also making his 2393 01:53:12,439 --> 01:53:16,600 Speaker 1: presence felt was Bibi Netanyahu himself, who received a rapturous 2394 01:53:16,720 --> 01:53:19,800 Speaker 1: reception from those who were in attendance. I mean, it 2395 01:53:19,840 --> 01:53:23,960 Speaker 1: really was wild to see the level of adoration coming 2396 01:53:24,000 --> 01:53:27,479 Speaker 1: to this man who's you know, israelied. CJ just ruled 2397 01:53:27,520 --> 01:53:29,880 Speaker 1: they have in apartheid state, the West Bank settlements are illegal. 2398 01:53:29,960 --> 01:53:32,680 Speaker 1: He's got ICC arrest warrants hanging over his head for 2399 01:53:32,800 --> 01:53:35,760 Speaker 1: the crime of extermination, but that did not slow the 2400 01:53:36,040 --> 01:53:40,799 Speaker 1: enthusiasm for his address to this joint session of Congress. 2401 01:53:41,080 --> 01:53:42,720 Speaker 1: Let's take a listen to a little bit of what 2402 01:53:42,800 --> 01:53:43,320 Speaker 1: he had to say. 2403 01:53:43,520 --> 01:53:47,080 Speaker 4: I asked the commander there, how many terrorists did you 2404 01:53:47,200 --> 01:53:50,599 Speaker 4: take out in Buffa. He gave me an exact number, 2405 01:53:50,680 --> 01:53:55,439 Speaker 4: twelve hundred and three. I asked him, how many civilians 2406 01:53:55,479 --> 01:54:02,680 Speaker 4: were killed? You said, Prime Minister, practically none, with the 2407 01:54:02,800 --> 01:54:06,160 Speaker 4: exception of a single incident where shrapnel from a bomb 2408 01:54:06,600 --> 01:54:10,840 Speaker 4: hit a Hamas weapons depot and unintentionally killed two dozen people, 2409 01:54:11,479 --> 01:54:16,760 Speaker 4: the answer is practically none. Iran is funding the anti 2410 01:54:16,840 --> 01:54:21,080 Speaker 4: Israel protests that are going on right now outside this building. 2411 01:54:21,560 --> 01:54:25,760 Speaker 4: Not that many, but they're there and throughout the city. Well, 2412 01:54:25,800 --> 01:54:29,360 Speaker 4: I have a message for these protesters. When the tyrants 2413 01:54:29,400 --> 01:54:33,800 Speaker 4: of Tehran who hang gaze from cranes and murder women 2414 01:54:33,920 --> 01:54:37,480 Speaker 4: for not covering their hair are praising, promoting, and funding you, 2415 01:54:38,000 --> 01:54:42,760 Speaker 4: you have officially become Iran's useful idiots. And as we 2416 01:54:42,880 --> 01:54:47,120 Speaker 4: recently learned, they even brazenly threatened to assassinate President Trump. 2417 01:54:47,200 --> 01:54:51,760 Speaker 4: And some of these protesters hold up signs proclaiming gaze 2418 01:54:51,880 --> 01:54:54,760 Speaker 4: for Gaza, they might as well hold up signs saying 2419 01:54:54,880 --> 01:54:56,320 Speaker 4: tickets for KFC. 2420 01:55:09,920 --> 01:55:13,280 Speaker 1: Chance in USA. They're a little bit weird. So I 2421 01:55:13,360 --> 01:55:16,400 Speaker 1: mean he lied about October seventh atrocity is a year 2422 01:55:16,400 --> 01:55:22,720 Speaker 1: I'm downplaying. They're the civilian deathhole smearing Palestinian pro Palestine 2423 01:55:22,760 --> 01:55:24,880 Speaker 1: protesters as paid viral. I mean, you come to our 2424 01:55:24,920 --> 01:55:28,280 Speaker 1: country and you smear our young people who are exercising 2425 01:55:28,320 --> 01:55:30,600 Speaker 1: their freedom of speech to give you a sense of, 2426 01:55:30,880 --> 01:55:35,120 Speaker 1: you know, how excited, how honored the members of Congress 2427 01:55:35,200 --> 01:55:38,560 Speaker 1: who attended were even John Fetterman sober put this up 2428 01:55:38,560 --> 01:55:43,120 Speaker 1: on the Screenman wore a suit. I can't do it for, 2429 01:55:43,480 --> 01:55:46,960 Speaker 1: you know, his own constituents, can't do it for apparently 2430 01:55:47,040 --> 01:55:49,000 Speaker 1: his wife was like embarrassed by him and wearing his 2431 01:55:49,160 --> 01:55:51,240 Speaker 1: like tuxedo shirt. He can't do it for his family, 2432 01:55:51,320 --> 01:55:53,920 Speaker 1: or's wife, or his own president or party or what. 2433 01:55:54,000 --> 01:55:57,360 Speaker 1: I don't know. But when Bibi Natya, who comes to town, 2434 01:55:57,920 --> 01:55:59,920 Speaker 1: suddenly Fetterman breaks out the suit. 2435 01:56:00,040 --> 01:56:02,760 Speaker 2: I have tried to tell everyone dressing life as a 2436 01:56:02,800 --> 01:56:06,280 Speaker 2: member of Congress is about narcissism. It is about saying 2437 01:56:06,360 --> 01:56:09,600 Speaker 2: that I care more about my comfort than about representing you. 2438 01:56:09,960 --> 01:56:11,480 Speaker 2: And when you were willing to put a suit on 2439 01:56:11,760 --> 01:56:14,760 Speaker 2: for the Israeli Prime minister over your own constituents, it 2440 01:56:14,880 --> 01:56:18,480 Speaker 2: is about serving your true master, and about signaling to 2441 01:56:18,560 --> 01:56:21,360 Speaker 2: the world about what you find important to the world, 2442 01:56:21,440 --> 01:56:24,160 Speaker 2: which was both your comfort when it's about Americans, and 2443 01:56:24,320 --> 01:56:28,080 Speaker 2: it's about respect only for foreign leaders, which I think 2444 01:56:28,360 --> 01:56:30,920 Speaker 2: is absolutely not so obviously, Look, I agree with you. 2445 01:56:31,000 --> 01:56:33,200 Speaker 2: I think it's disgraceful to have a foreign leader of 2446 01:56:33,440 --> 01:56:37,280 Speaker 2: any nation invited to the United States to openly trash 2447 01:56:37,360 --> 01:56:40,640 Speaker 2: American citizens. I think there is only one country in 2448 01:56:40,720 --> 01:56:42,680 Speaker 2: the world that is somehow allowed to do that, and 2449 01:56:42,800 --> 01:56:46,240 Speaker 2: that is Israel. Obviously, Natta Yahu and others. I will say, 2450 01:56:46,360 --> 01:56:48,360 Speaker 2: Chris Lenelis, can you make them out about this one. 2451 01:56:48,480 --> 01:56:51,480 Speaker 2: I wouldn't be burning American flags here in the Washington Capitol. 2452 01:56:51,600 --> 01:56:54,720 Speaker 2: Didn't say it should be illegal. But people will really 2453 01:56:54,760 --> 01:56:58,160 Speaker 2: recall that that what was the unc frat incident of 2454 01:56:58,240 --> 01:57:00,320 Speaker 2: defending the flag. That's going to ignite a lot of people, 2455 01:57:00,600 --> 01:57:02,040 Speaker 2: you know, who are going to get very upset. 2456 01:57:02,120 --> 01:57:02,280 Speaker 3: Now. 2457 01:57:02,640 --> 01:57:02,840 Speaker 8: You know. 2458 01:57:03,040 --> 01:57:04,880 Speaker 2: The obvious retort is, well, why aren't you as upset 2459 01:57:04,880 --> 01:57:07,000 Speaker 2: about Gosla or whatever. Well, you know, listen, at the 2460 01:57:07,080 --> 01:57:08,760 Speaker 2: end of the day, it is our country. It's about 2461 01:57:09,000 --> 01:57:11,760 Speaker 2: our symbols, and you can't blen Some people just don't 2462 01:57:11,760 --> 01:57:13,680 Speaker 2: care or they're not don't feel all that connected to it, 2463 01:57:13,760 --> 01:57:15,880 Speaker 2: and you can't shame them, you know, and try and 2464 01:57:16,360 --> 01:57:19,880 Speaker 2: change their minds by openly trying. Here, here's what I'm 2465 01:57:19,880 --> 01:57:22,840 Speaker 2: trying to say, those chants of USA. The biggest mistake 2466 01:57:22,920 --> 01:57:25,160 Speaker 2: that you could possibly make is to say that being 2467 01:57:25,280 --> 01:57:29,680 Speaker 2: pro Palestine is anti America itself. The positive thing you 2468 01:57:29,760 --> 01:57:31,840 Speaker 2: want to say is that it is to the best 2469 01:57:31,960 --> 01:57:35,360 Speaker 2: of America, or it is against American interests to phrase 2470 01:57:35,440 --> 01:57:38,960 Speaker 2: it about this country and not make it oppositional to 2471 01:57:39,240 --> 01:57:42,720 Speaker 2: actual American patriotism, to be opposed, because I do think 2472 01:57:42,760 --> 01:57:44,800 Speaker 2: that there are a lot of people out there. For example, 2473 01:57:44,880 --> 01:57:46,640 Speaker 2: if you don't want Joshapiro to be picked on Israel, 2474 01:57:46,800 --> 01:57:48,640 Speaker 2: don't be burning American flags in the middle of the 2475 01:57:48,720 --> 01:57:51,120 Speaker 2: US capital. It's just a foolish mistake. It's kind of 2476 01:57:51,200 --> 01:57:53,880 Speaker 2: like the River to the Sea thing. Can you say it? Sure, 2477 01:57:54,120 --> 01:57:56,360 Speaker 2: you know, absolutely, But I think Dave Smith always makes 2478 01:57:56,400 --> 01:57:58,880 Speaker 2: that point. He's like, guys, that's not what we're trying 2479 01:57:58,920 --> 01:58:01,040 Speaker 2: to do, Like, we're not trying to change minds here. 2480 01:58:01,120 --> 01:58:03,200 Speaker 2: So if I were them, I always think that I 2481 01:58:03,240 --> 01:58:04,960 Speaker 2: always think that they just go too far. A lot 2482 01:58:05,000 --> 01:58:06,440 Speaker 2: of the vandalism and a lot of the burning of 2483 01:58:06,480 --> 01:58:08,440 Speaker 2: the flag thing, it just doesn't make the point that 2484 01:58:08,480 --> 01:58:10,080 Speaker 2: you guys want to make, and it just makes it 2485 01:58:10,160 --> 01:58:12,480 Speaker 2: even more of a minority. Now the White House is 2486 01:58:12,560 --> 01:58:14,400 Speaker 2: out trashing you. It's just like I don't know, I 2487 01:58:14,440 --> 01:58:16,760 Speaker 2: don't I don't really see how that's possibly working to 2488 01:58:16,840 --> 01:58:19,080 Speaker 2: your benefit when I mean, all you have to do 2489 01:58:19,200 --> 01:58:21,480 Speaker 2: is point out the fact this guy, like the correct 2490 01:58:21,480 --> 01:58:24,160 Speaker 2: thing is he comes to this country undermines our freedom 2491 01:58:24,200 --> 01:58:26,800 Speaker 2: of speech. That's a much more potent attack. Now, I 2492 01:58:26,920 --> 01:58:27,680 Speaker 2: just think it's stupid. 2493 01:58:28,320 --> 01:58:33,560 Speaker 1: Listen on the tactics, I hate to criticize them because 2494 01:58:33,680 --> 01:58:37,760 Speaker 1: obviously much more discussed for bebing anyhow, I'm much more 2495 01:58:38,120 --> 01:58:41,080 Speaker 1: like horror at the genocide that's being part of the baby. 2496 01:58:41,200 --> 01:58:44,000 Speaker 1: I mean, it's just horrific. So it'll be like, oh, 2497 01:58:44,080 --> 01:58:45,880 Speaker 1: you shouldn't do this or that, Like I hate to 2498 01:58:45,960 --> 01:58:48,520 Speaker 1: do it. I think there's a you know, on the tactics, 2499 01:58:48,520 --> 01:58:50,240 Speaker 1: like I can't really disagree. I think what has been 2500 01:58:50,320 --> 01:58:53,520 Speaker 1: very effective is when you have these groups of Jewish 2501 01:58:53,560 --> 01:58:57,160 Speaker 1: Americans who are there, who are you know, very visible 2502 01:58:57,520 --> 01:59:00,680 Speaker 1: and you know, are very organized and hostage. 2503 01:59:00,720 --> 01:59:03,320 Speaker 2: Family walked out right, and that's that says everything. 2504 01:59:03,080 --> 01:59:05,480 Speaker 1: That's powerful, and that's powerful, and that's important to know 2505 01:59:05,560 --> 01:59:07,520 Speaker 1: that the hostage families didn't walk out, and there were 2506 01:59:07,560 --> 01:59:10,400 Speaker 1: some actually that were arrested for the political symbols that 2507 01:59:10,480 --> 01:59:12,880 Speaker 1: they were wearing. But you know, I don't want to 2508 01:59:12,920 --> 01:59:14,560 Speaker 1: get into this debate because I think it's such a 2509 01:59:14,640 --> 01:59:17,360 Speaker 1: side issue from the key point here of how disgusting 2510 01:59:17,400 --> 01:59:19,960 Speaker 1: it is that this invited and feted. 2511 01:59:20,320 --> 01:59:22,440 Speaker 2: It's at the top of every news hour, every Boomer, 2512 01:59:22,600 --> 01:59:25,000 Speaker 2: Fox Country, in the viewer they burnt an American flag. 2513 01:59:25,040 --> 01:59:27,440 Speaker 2: You gotta understand, like, it's not working here, folks like 2514 01:59:27,720 --> 01:59:30,800 Speaker 2: for them, They're getting mainline propaganda all day long, and 2515 01:59:31,040 --> 01:59:32,800 Speaker 2: you see people burning. If you look. 2516 01:59:32,720 --> 01:59:35,040 Speaker 1: At that, if you look at the polling, you know 2517 01:59:35,520 --> 01:59:38,800 Speaker 1: people have only moved more towards the pro Palestine side, 2518 01:59:38,840 --> 01:59:39,120 Speaker 1: but not. 2519 01:59:39,240 --> 01:59:42,280 Speaker 2: Certainly flight waving Hamas flags, saying Hamas is coming. I 2520 01:59:42,360 --> 01:59:44,840 Speaker 2: just don't understand the tactics of a lot of these folks, 2521 01:59:44,920 --> 01:59:47,200 Speaker 2: and I think, if anything, they might even be agitators, 2522 01:59:47,200 --> 01:59:48,680 Speaker 2: because I'm like, are you so dumb that. 2523 01:59:48,720 --> 01:59:50,480 Speaker 1: You think this is such a side over from the 2524 01:59:50,600 --> 01:59:52,920 Speaker 1: reality of what's happening, in the reality of what this 2525 01:59:53,080 --> 01:59:56,640 Speaker 1: man said. But let's just so let's talk about what 2526 01:59:56,800 --> 02:00:00,240 Speaker 1: else happened here with regard to this speech. We can 2527 02:00:00,320 --> 02:00:03,240 Speaker 1: put this next piece up on the screen. We've got 2528 02:00:03,800 --> 02:00:07,960 Speaker 1: Rashida Talib who mounted silent protest. She actually did attend 2529 02:00:08,000 --> 02:00:10,120 Speaker 1: the speech, which people were surprised about. She's wearing her 2530 02:00:10,840 --> 02:00:13,640 Speaker 1: scarf and she has a small sign that says, on 2531 02:00:13,720 --> 02:00:15,960 Speaker 1: one side, war criminal. On the other side, I believe 2532 02:00:16,040 --> 02:00:20,640 Speaker 1: guilty of genocide. So she did her own protests there, 2533 02:00:20,680 --> 02:00:23,240 Speaker 1: which I fully support. We had a large number of 2534 02:00:23,280 --> 02:00:25,240 Speaker 1: Democrats who did not attend. We can put this next 2535 02:00:25,280 --> 02:00:27,680 Speaker 1: piece up on the screen. One hundred House Democrats twenty 2536 02:00:27,720 --> 02:00:30,240 Speaker 1: eight Senate Democrats were present in the chamber for the 2537 02:00:30,520 --> 02:00:35,120 Speaker 1: Prime Minister's speech, meaning around half of both caucuses were absent. 2538 02:00:35,720 --> 02:00:37,640 Speaker 1: This was really no worthy Sagura. I wonder what you 2539 02:00:37,720 --> 02:00:40,320 Speaker 1: make of this for Nancy Pelosi, she says, Benjamin Etnia, 2540 02:00:40,360 --> 02:00:42,720 Speaker 1: whose presentation in the House Chamber today was by far 2541 02:00:42,800 --> 02:00:46,040 Speaker 1: the worst presentation of any foreign dignitary invited and honored 2542 02:00:46,080 --> 02:00:49,120 Speaker 1: with the privilege addressing the US Congress. Many of us 2543 02:00:49,240 --> 02:00:52,000 Speaker 1: who love Israel spent time today listening to Israeli citizens 2544 02:00:52,040 --> 02:00:54,280 Speaker 1: whose families have suffered in the wake of the October 2545 02:00:54,360 --> 02:00:57,720 Speaker 1: seventh hamas terror attack and kidnappings. These families are asking 2546 02:00:57,800 --> 02:00:59,920 Speaker 1: for a ceasefire deal that will bring the hostages home, 2547 02:01:00,160 --> 02:01:02,240 Speaker 1: and we hope the Prime Minister would spend his time 2548 02:01:02,600 --> 02:01:08,440 Speaker 1: achieving that goal. Obviously it's Nancy Felosi, so she's clearly, 2549 02:01:08,680 --> 02:01:12,400 Speaker 1: we have recently learned very powerful. So the fact that 2550 02:01:12,520 --> 02:01:16,520 Speaker 1: she says this number one, it's noteworthy because I think 2551 02:01:16,680 --> 02:01:18,280 Speaker 1: in the same way when she went on Morning Joe 2552 02:01:18,360 --> 02:01:20,240 Speaker 1: and was like, oh, we're waiting for Joe Biden to 2553 02:01:20,320 --> 02:01:23,440 Speaker 1: make his decision, she opened the floodgates. She gave permission 2554 02:01:23,600 --> 02:01:26,600 Speaker 1: to the rest of the caucus to mount criticism of 2555 02:01:26,680 --> 02:01:28,960 Speaker 1: him and come out against him, and you know, really 2556 02:01:29,040 --> 02:01:31,120 Speaker 1: kept the flame alive in terms of pushing him out. 2557 02:01:31,400 --> 02:01:33,960 Speaker 1: I think this is a similar signal of like, Joe 2558 02:01:34,000 --> 02:01:36,960 Speaker 1: Biden's a lame duck. Now, yes, you know, so all 2559 02:01:37,040 --> 02:01:39,280 Speaker 1: of the impetus of we got to keep quiet because 2560 02:01:39,320 --> 02:01:40,800 Speaker 1: we don't want to we don't want to show up 2561 02:01:40,800 --> 02:01:42,920 Speaker 1: the Democratic president, we don't make him look bad, we 2562 02:01:42,960 --> 02:01:45,040 Speaker 1: don't want there to be any distance between us and them, 2563 02:01:45,560 --> 02:01:47,520 Speaker 1: I think that's kind of out the window now. And 2564 02:01:48,120 --> 02:01:51,080 Speaker 1: for her, who has been a staunch ally of Israel 2565 02:01:51,200 --> 02:01:55,240 Speaker 1: for so long to say something this stark, and she 2566 02:01:55,440 --> 02:01:58,600 Speaker 1: also didn't attend the speech. I do think it's granting 2567 02:01:58,600 --> 02:02:00,920 Speaker 1: a permission structure and is a noble shift. And I 2568 02:02:01,320 --> 02:02:03,880 Speaker 1: you know, also think it could be reflected in some 2569 02:02:04,000 --> 02:02:06,520 Speaker 1: of the ways that Kamala Harris herself tries to at 2570 02:02:06,640 --> 02:02:09,600 Speaker 1: least give the appearance of distance from a Biden policy 2571 02:02:09,680 --> 02:02:11,400 Speaker 1: that has been wildly on the top store. 2572 02:02:11,440 --> 02:02:13,400 Speaker 2: I think this is very effective. And this is where 2573 02:02:13,560 --> 02:02:18,320 Speaker 2: most normy Democrats are. They're like, I'm very uncomfortable with this, 2574 02:02:18,440 --> 02:02:19,680 Speaker 2: but that's kind of why I was bringing up the 2575 02:02:19,680 --> 02:02:21,360 Speaker 2: flag thing. I think that's very upon to a lot 2576 02:02:21,400 --> 02:02:24,200 Speaker 2: of people. This is the permission structure of yeah, we 2577 02:02:24,280 --> 02:02:26,200 Speaker 2: hate Bibe. They're like, we're not with BB. And this 2578 02:02:26,240 --> 02:02:28,120 Speaker 2: is where a lot of Jewish Democrats are too, from 2579 02:02:28,120 --> 02:02:29,960 Speaker 2: at least from what I've been able to observe, the 2580 02:02:30,680 --> 02:02:34,000 Speaker 2: right Nadler, Schumer, you know, a Pelosi, all these folks 2581 02:02:34,000 --> 02:02:36,440 Speaker 2: who are like, I am not pro BB. I am 2582 02:02:36,560 --> 02:02:39,400 Speaker 2: meeting with these Israeli hostages. I'm allying myself with the 2583 02:02:39,480 --> 02:02:42,240 Speaker 2: families and the center left parties or whatever of Israel. 2584 02:02:42,440 --> 02:02:44,320 Speaker 2: But I'm not like, you know, chanting from the rezard 2585 02:02:44,360 --> 02:02:47,360 Speaker 2: of the sea, and you know, vandalizing and burning the flag. 2586 02:02:47,480 --> 02:02:49,800 Speaker 2: So this is where I think if I'm Harris, this 2587 02:02:49,880 --> 02:02:51,680 Speaker 2: is where I'm going. I'm going straight down them to 2588 02:02:51,720 --> 02:02:53,880 Speaker 2: the center. And I think this is I mean, frankly, 2589 02:02:54,040 --> 02:02:56,360 Speaker 2: this is the political center. If you look at the 2590 02:02:56,400 --> 02:03:00,280 Speaker 2: polling on the issue. People are pro Israel in a like, yeah, 2591 02:03:00,320 --> 02:03:02,880 Speaker 2: they should have a right to exist way, but antibbe 2592 02:03:02,960 --> 02:03:05,360 Speaker 2: and anti prosecution of the war. This is exactly where 2593 02:03:05,400 --> 02:03:08,080 Speaker 2: you are. Yeah, they're pro seas fire. They're like, I 2594 02:03:08,120 --> 02:03:09,560 Speaker 2: think the war is bad. I think what you've done 2595 02:03:09,680 --> 02:03:12,280 Speaker 2: is terrible. I don't think America should necessarily be funding it. 2596 02:03:12,600 --> 02:03:14,960 Speaker 2: And yeah, I think that's mostly you know where we're at. 2597 02:03:15,000 --> 02:03:17,160 Speaker 2: And so the Pelosi thing, what can we always say 2598 02:03:17,160 --> 02:03:19,440 Speaker 2: about this woman. She's smart, she knows how to triangulate. 2599 02:03:19,640 --> 02:03:22,320 Speaker 2: So if I'm Harris, this is exactly the tactic that 2600 02:03:22,400 --> 02:03:25,040 Speaker 2: I'm on. And then you have Trump and Vance, who 2601 02:03:25,080 --> 02:03:27,480 Speaker 2: would be to the right here, And that's fine, you 2602 02:03:27,520 --> 02:03:30,080 Speaker 2: know for right wing boomers, okay, but you know, for 2603 02:03:30,200 --> 02:03:32,360 Speaker 2: anybody to be swayed on the issue, then obviously you're 2604 02:03:32,360 --> 02:03:34,200 Speaker 2: going to go Kamma. And if you try and capture 2605 02:03:34,400 --> 02:03:36,520 Speaker 2: both the left and the center, and you just leave 2606 02:03:36,560 --> 02:03:38,920 Speaker 2: the right to Trump, then any political benefit to Trump 2607 02:03:39,080 --> 02:03:41,080 Speaker 2: is just going to be money and then whatever Boomer 2608 02:03:41,160 --> 02:03:42,680 Speaker 2: voters who are going to vote on the issue anyway. 2609 02:03:42,960 --> 02:03:44,640 Speaker 2: So anyone who can be captured, I think you can 2610 02:03:44,680 --> 02:03:45,200 Speaker 2: get there with this. 2611 02:03:45,600 --> 02:03:50,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting to me too, because bbe has now 2612 02:03:50,080 --> 02:03:54,000 Speaker 1: a very different political landscape in front of them, because 2613 02:03:54,240 --> 02:03:57,280 Speaker 1: and there's all kinds of you know, if you read 2614 02:03:57,320 --> 02:04:00,280 Speaker 1: the Israeli press, there's all kinds of trial. Okay, what 2615 02:04:00,320 --> 02:04:02,360 Speaker 1: does Kamla Harris really think? And I mean this is 2616 02:04:02,400 --> 02:04:04,520 Speaker 1: a question with her on everything, we don't really know 2617 02:04:04,560 --> 02:04:06,680 Speaker 1: what she really thinks. She doesn't really think much of anything. 2618 02:04:08,320 --> 02:04:12,840 Speaker 1: The reason why I have been cautiously optimistic she would 2619 02:04:12,840 --> 02:04:16,400 Speaker 1: be I'm not listen, I'm very realistic about what's possible 2620 02:04:16,400 --> 02:04:18,480 Speaker 1: in the context of American politics. But why I think 2621 02:04:18,560 --> 02:04:21,800 Speaker 1: she could be better than Biden is because I don't 2622 02:04:21,800 --> 02:04:24,440 Speaker 1: think she's ideological, and I think at this point just 2623 02:04:24,560 --> 02:04:30,480 Speaker 1: a cost benefit a sheerly cynical cost benefit analysis of 2624 02:04:30,600 --> 02:04:33,960 Speaker 1: the politics, as reflected by Pelosian. What you said soccer 2625 02:04:34,040 --> 02:04:37,000 Speaker 1: would land you in a different place than where Biden 2626 02:04:37,240 --> 02:04:41,240 Speaker 1: has been and her you know, top foreign policy advisor 2627 02:04:41,360 --> 02:04:44,640 Speaker 1: is more of like of the Obama more progressive foreign 2628 02:04:44,640 --> 02:04:49,080 Speaker 1: affairs when she's already said she's gonna Sordi reporter, she's 2629 02:04:49,080 --> 02:04:51,880 Speaker 1: going to clean house in terms of the Biden you know, 2630 02:04:52,040 --> 02:04:56,600 Speaker 1: Jake Sullivan, Tony Blinken's of the world. That's all positive indicator. 2631 02:04:57,000 --> 02:04:59,240 Speaker 1: But like I said, it's not like I'm expecting any 2632 02:04:59,320 --> 02:05:01,840 Speaker 1: sort of her from Kamala. Ayris that you'll be waiting 2633 02:05:01,920 --> 02:05:04,320 Speaker 1: your whole life if you're waiting on that. But I 2634 02:05:05,360 --> 02:05:10,200 Speaker 1: think the clear eyed, reasonable political calculation at this point 2635 02:05:10,480 --> 02:05:13,760 Speaker 1: is that the Biden bear hug policy is doing more 2636 02:05:13,840 --> 02:05:18,040 Speaker 1: harm than good for them politically. And I think Nancy 2637 02:05:18,120 --> 02:05:20,960 Speaker 1: Pelosi that's why her comments are so noteworthy, because I 2638 02:05:21,000 --> 02:05:24,160 Speaker 1: think this is a sign that she also has that 2639 02:05:24,480 --> 02:05:27,440 Speaker 1: assessment of where the politics of this are at this time. 2640 02:05:27,480 --> 02:05:29,760 Speaker 2: Kamala has no foreign policy experience, right, we can only 2641 02:05:29,840 --> 02:05:32,880 Speaker 2: read the tea leaves. I know Philip Gordon, I've read 2642 02:05:32,880 --> 02:05:34,480 Speaker 2: some of his stuff. I looked a little bit in 2643 02:05:34,560 --> 02:05:36,040 Speaker 2: what he said in the past. I'd say it's a 2644 02:05:36,040 --> 02:05:39,080 Speaker 2: relatively mixed bag. I think everything here is pick and choose. 2645 02:05:39,120 --> 02:05:41,400 Speaker 2: So if you were an Israel Gaza person, yeah, Kamala 2646 02:05:41,440 --> 02:05:43,440 Speaker 2: is probably gonna better, to be honest, though, on Ukraine 2647 02:05:43,480 --> 02:05:46,160 Speaker 2: I think she'll be ten times worse based on her comments, 2648 02:05:46,200 --> 02:05:49,480 Speaker 2: maybe worse nate it well, because she would be like, oh, yeah, 2649 02:05:49,520 --> 02:05:52,600 Speaker 2: go ahead and strike Russia. Something that zed Jalani said, 2650 02:05:52,640 --> 02:05:56,400 Speaker 2: which I think is a deeper in Moscow, right, And 2651 02:05:56,760 --> 02:05:59,160 Speaker 2: something that zed Jelani said which is so deeply true, 2652 02:05:59,400 --> 02:06:01,840 Speaker 2: is that if you look at Clinton and all of 2653 02:06:01,920 --> 02:06:06,200 Speaker 2: the other no foreign policy experienced people, almost always they 2654 02:06:06,400 --> 02:06:09,040 Speaker 2: end up being more hawkish to prove to Washington. So 2655 02:06:09,440 --> 02:06:11,880 Speaker 2: on Israel, you're right, the consensus has moved away, right, yeah, 2656 02:06:11,920 --> 02:06:15,520 Speaker 2: But on Ukraine that is terrifying. On anything related to 2657 02:06:15,680 --> 02:06:18,120 Speaker 2: I mean, on Iran even I would not I would 2658 02:06:18,160 --> 02:06:20,600 Speaker 2: be worried. I actually would be worried because you know, 2659 02:06:20,720 --> 02:06:23,000 Speaker 2: let's look, the Iran dealer is now ed. No matter 2660 02:06:23,080 --> 02:06:24,760 Speaker 2: who gets elected, now they're going to have to deal 2661 02:06:24,800 --> 02:06:28,040 Speaker 2: with new enrichment and sanctions and all that. On Russia, 2662 02:06:28,240 --> 02:06:30,000 Speaker 2: I'd be worried a little bit on China as well, 2663 02:06:30,120 --> 02:06:32,480 Speaker 2: in terms of how it looks, especially where our domestic 2664 02:06:32,560 --> 02:06:36,320 Speaker 2: manufacturing is. So on foreign policy, I am still in 2665 02:06:36,440 --> 02:06:38,880 Speaker 2: wait and ce mode, just because it's like you said, 2666 02:06:39,360 --> 02:06:41,440 Speaker 2: when you're a blank slate, I'm just going to color 2667 02:06:41,480 --> 02:06:44,080 Speaker 2: in the lines of conventional wisdom. Conventional wisdom right now 2668 02:06:44,200 --> 02:06:46,000 Speaker 2: is basically where we are. I think on Israel I 2669 02:06:46,000 --> 02:06:49,440 Speaker 2: would see yah. But on Ukraine it's frankly worse than 2670 02:06:49,480 --> 02:06:51,320 Speaker 2: I think it's ever been. Now they're like, oh, they're 2671 02:06:51,360 --> 02:06:54,560 Speaker 2: winning and everything. So I'm still very, very skeptical my 2672 02:06:54,640 --> 02:06:56,640 Speaker 2: view about where it's at right. My view is on 2673 02:06:57,080 --> 02:07:00,000 Speaker 2: Israel she may be a little better. Yeah, On Ukraine 2674 02:07:00,320 --> 02:07:01,160 Speaker 2: she's probably the same. 2675 02:07:01,640 --> 02:07:04,720 Speaker 1: On Afghanistan, I don't think she would have don't think 2676 02:07:04,720 --> 02:07:08,440 Speaker 1: it's possible now, So net I will take that deal. 2677 02:07:08,680 --> 02:07:11,600 Speaker 1: I think, you know, on net and especially given what 2678 02:07:11,720 --> 02:07:13,840 Speaker 1: we know about the people that she wants to go 2679 02:07:14,160 --> 02:07:17,120 Speaker 1: and the people that she's surrounded herself with. Now, if 2680 02:07:17,160 --> 02:07:19,880 Speaker 1: we have a return to the I would one hundred 2681 02:07:19,920 --> 02:07:22,640 Speaker 1: percent take a return to the Obama era foreign policy 2682 02:07:22,760 --> 02:07:26,280 Speaker 1: over what we've gotten under Joe Biden. But you're right 2683 02:07:26,360 --> 02:07:29,760 Speaker 1: to say this is all guesswork because we don't know 2684 02:07:30,120 --> 02:07:33,120 Speaker 1: and she doesn't make it clear, and I think it's 2685 02:07:33,320 --> 02:07:35,960 Speaker 1: the one consistent with Kamala Harris is just that she 2686 02:07:36,400 --> 02:07:38,400 Speaker 1: is a political shape shifter. You know, she is what 2687 02:07:38,560 --> 02:07:41,000 Speaker 1: she needs to be in the moment based on how 2688 02:07:41,080 --> 02:07:43,120 Speaker 1: she's reading the tea leaves at the time. You know, 2689 02:07:43,400 --> 02:07:47,240 Speaker 1: originally she's the tough on crime lady in California. This 2690 02:07:47,320 --> 02:07:50,400 Speaker 1: is just emblematic of the sort of political shift she's undergone. 2691 02:07:50,680 --> 02:07:53,320 Speaker 1: Then she's you know, the criminal justice reformer when she's 2692 02:07:53,360 --> 02:07:55,240 Speaker 1: in the Senate, when she's running for present and thinks 2693 02:07:55,280 --> 02:07:58,400 Speaker 1: that's to her political benefit. She's for Medicare for all 2694 02:07:58,440 --> 02:08:00,120 Speaker 1: when she thinks she's going to try to get to 2695 02:08:00,200 --> 02:08:02,480 Speaker 1: the left and that's the best lane in the Democratic primary, 2696 02:08:02,520 --> 02:08:04,280 Speaker 1: than when donors are like, we don't like that, She's like, 2697 02:08:04,320 --> 02:08:07,320 Speaker 1: I don't like it either. So she's a shape shifter, 2698 02:08:07,640 --> 02:08:11,920 Speaker 1: and you know, it's it's all. She doesn't even know 2699 02:08:12,240 --> 02:08:13,600 Speaker 1: really what she thinks about it. 2700 02:08:13,600 --> 02:08:15,600 Speaker 2: And that's why I worry the most, because on Ukraine, 2701 02:08:15,800 --> 02:08:18,840 Speaker 2: the people in this in this town have lost their 2702 02:08:19,040 --> 02:08:21,480 Speaker 2: freaking minds. They would let Ukraine in Tonato, that let 2703 02:08:21,560 --> 02:08:24,480 Speaker 2: Georgia in Tonato. I mean, we're gonna go all out 2704 02:08:24,720 --> 02:08:28,160 Speaker 2: like Neo Khan fever dream. And so I mean, honestly, 2705 02:08:28,400 --> 02:08:31,200 Speaker 2: I'm I am truly terrified of what she would do 2706 02:08:31,280 --> 02:08:33,160 Speaker 2: on Ukraine and Russia. And I think it would be 2707 02:08:33,240 --> 02:08:35,080 Speaker 2: ten x more consequential than anything else. 2708 02:08:35,080 --> 02:08:37,120 Speaker 1: Don't know that it could be my person. What Biden's done. 2709 02:08:37,160 --> 02:08:39,280 Speaker 1: It seems like Christal I mean, letting Ukraine and NATO. 2710 02:08:39,640 --> 02:08:41,480 Speaker 1: Nobody's more obsessed with NATO than Joe Biden. 2711 02:08:41,480 --> 02:08:43,320 Speaker 2: But at least he didn't let Ukraine. In Letting Ukraine 2712 02:08:43,320 --> 02:08:45,200 Speaker 2: and to NATO will be the big policy question of 2713 02:08:45,240 --> 02:08:49,200 Speaker 2: twenty twenty six or whatever, whenever the stupid war finally ends, 2714 02:08:49,280 --> 02:08:50,920 Speaker 2: And at least with Trump. I don't think you would 2715 02:08:50,920 --> 02:08:52,480 Speaker 2: do it. But Kamala I think she would do it, 2716 02:08:52,600 --> 02:08:55,880 Speaker 2: and that is actually a nuclear war level event. But look, 2717 02:08:55,920 --> 02:08:58,240 Speaker 2: we'll see, you know, we'll get to I want to this, 2718 02:08:58,400 --> 02:08:59,640 Speaker 2: by the way, Why I want to see her do it? 2719 02:08:59,680 --> 02:08:59,840 Speaker 10: Damn? 2720 02:09:00,360 --> 02:09:02,839 Speaker 2: These are real questions, right, Yeah, in the old structure, 2721 02:09:02,880 --> 02:09:04,560 Speaker 2: we would have at least had a foreign policy debate. 2722 02:09:05,120 --> 02:09:07,320 Speaker 2: But you know, this time around, is she even going 2723 02:09:07,400 --> 02:09:09,040 Speaker 2: to answer a real question like we need to know 2724 02:09:09,560 --> 02:09:11,560 Speaker 2: the answers of these things? No doubt about it. 2725 02:09:11,640 --> 02:09:13,720 Speaker 1: All Right, Let's move on to the latest with regard 2726 02:09:13,880 --> 02:09:20,200 Speaker 1: to the attempted assassination of Donald Trump. Still stunning revelations 2727 02:09:20,440 --> 02:09:23,200 Speaker 1: coming out about the failures on that day. The latest, 2728 02:09:23,240 --> 02:09:28,240 Speaker 1: we had testimony from FBI Director Christopher Ray confirming reporting 2729 02:09:28,760 --> 02:09:32,960 Speaker 1: that the shooter was able to fly a drone over 2730 02:09:33,040 --> 02:09:37,200 Speaker 1: the area shortly before this rally. Let's take a listen 2731 02:09:37,200 --> 02:09:37,960 Speaker 1: to what he had to say. 2732 02:09:38,200 --> 02:09:42,440 Speaker 11: We have recovered a drone that the shooter appears to 2733 02:09:42,520 --> 02:09:46,160 Speaker 11: have used. It's being exploited and analyzed by the FBI lab. 2734 02:09:46,920 --> 02:09:50,360 Speaker 11: The drone was recovered in his vehicle, so at the 2735 02:09:50,400 --> 02:09:53,560 Speaker 11: time of the shooting, the drone was in his vehicle 2736 02:09:54,240 --> 02:09:59,560 Speaker 11: with the controller. In addition, our investigation has uncovered do 2737 02:09:59,560 --> 02:10:00,880 Speaker 11: you know what time a day he flew it and 2738 02:10:00,960 --> 02:10:04,160 Speaker 11: if he flew it on the days too. So in addition, 2739 02:10:04,440 --> 02:10:10,120 Speaker 11: it appears that around three point fifty pm, four o'clock 2740 02:10:10,200 --> 02:10:15,360 Speaker 11: in that window on the day of the shooting, that 2741 02:10:15,560 --> 02:10:21,480 Speaker 11: the shooter was flying the drone around the area eleven. 2742 02:10:21,520 --> 02:10:22,240 Speaker 5: That's want to be clear. 2743 02:10:22,280 --> 02:10:25,839 Speaker 11: But when I say the area not over the stage 2744 02:10:26,400 --> 02:10:28,560 Speaker 11: and that part of the area itself, I would say 2745 02:10:28,560 --> 02:10:32,880 Speaker 11: about two hundred yards give or take away. That we think, 2746 02:10:33,040 --> 02:10:34,720 Speaker 11: but we do not know. So again, this is one 2747 02:10:34,760 --> 02:10:37,440 Speaker 11: of these things that's qualified because of our ongoing review. 2748 02:10:38,000 --> 02:10:41,400 Speaker 11: That he was live streaming, you know, viewing the footage 2749 02:10:41,560 --> 02:10:44,240 Speaker 11: from that again about eleven minutes and around the three 2750 02:10:44,400 --> 02:10:47,520 Speaker 11: fifty four o'clock PM rang, two hours before. He's flying 2751 02:10:47,520 --> 02:10:50,640 Speaker 11: a drone in the vicinity of about two hundred yards away. 2752 02:10:50,640 --> 02:10:53,760 Speaker 1: Two hours before the rally, two hours before the route lange. 2753 02:10:53,800 --> 02:10:55,520 Speaker 2: How does nobody notice it? I was just telling you 2754 02:10:55,640 --> 02:10:57,720 Speaker 2: at my wedding, the photographer used a drone. You can 2755 02:10:57,800 --> 02:11:00,320 Speaker 2: notice the damn thing hundreds of feet away. So nobody 2756 02:11:00,680 --> 02:11:03,720 Speaker 2: is security perimeter is looking up and saying, hey, what's 2757 02:11:03,760 --> 02:11:05,800 Speaker 2: going on with this? I mean, anyone who's ever been 2758 02:11:05,920 --> 02:11:08,360 Speaker 2: by the White House recently, there's drones everywhere and they're 2759 02:11:08,400 --> 02:11:11,400 Speaker 2: all Secret Service drones, so they know what drones are, Like, yeah, 2760 02:11:11,560 --> 02:11:13,680 Speaker 2: they know. We know what is supposed to be there 2761 02:11:13,960 --> 02:11:17,000 Speaker 2: and what's not. I mean, I've even read crystal about 2762 02:11:17,120 --> 02:11:20,960 Speaker 2: anti drone jamming technology in war zones or being used 2763 02:11:21,000 --> 02:11:25,120 Speaker 2: by Mexican drug cartels, so they have better jamming tech 2764 02:11:25,240 --> 02:11:27,160 Speaker 2: or a prison or something like that. How do they 2765 02:11:27,280 --> 02:11:30,480 Speaker 2: know and have better tech than for the president's rally? 2766 02:11:30,600 --> 02:11:33,600 Speaker 2: That's crazy, I mean the whole thing. And then I've 2767 02:11:33,640 --> 02:11:35,440 Speaker 2: been reading a little bit about how the Secret Service 2768 02:11:35,480 --> 02:11:39,000 Speaker 2: admits that they denied resources to Trump. That's I mean, 2769 02:11:39,200 --> 02:11:41,920 Speaker 2: just I mean, frankly outrageous, just because when we look 2770 02:11:41,960 --> 02:11:44,600 Speaker 2: at now what the threat environment was like and how 2771 02:11:44,760 --> 02:11:47,720 Speaker 2: their level of incompetence here has been manifested with their 2772 02:11:47,800 --> 02:11:50,280 Speaker 2: lack of questions. The lady didn't even want to resign 2773 02:11:50,720 --> 02:11:53,760 Speaker 2: until now. I mean, I just think this agency truly 2774 02:11:54,120 --> 02:11:56,640 Speaker 2: needs to be rooted top to bottom. It is clear 2775 02:11:56,840 --> 02:11:59,520 Speaker 2: over the last two decades they have failed dramatically. Yeah, 2776 02:11:59,520 --> 02:12:02,320 Speaker 2: and every sign has been there, the Columbia Hooker thing, 2777 02:12:03,080 --> 02:12:06,080 Speaker 2: the multiple Obama failures where somebody shot at the White 2778 02:12:06,120 --> 02:12:08,120 Speaker 2: House and they didn't notice until broken glass was found 2779 02:12:08,200 --> 02:12:10,800 Speaker 2: later somebody jumped the fence was able to get in. 2780 02:12:12,200 --> 02:12:14,920 Speaker 2: I'm trying to think more. There's been a few other episodes, 2781 02:12:14,960 --> 02:12:17,520 Speaker 2: Carol Leining. I think over the Washington Post has detailed 2782 02:12:17,560 --> 02:12:19,320 Speaker 2: all of this. I think in every instance it's clear 2783 02:12:19,440 --> 02:12:21,520 Speaker 2: Congress has got to take over and they completely need 2784 02:12:21,560 --> 02:12:22,080 Speaker 2: to gout this thing. 2785 02:12:22,200 --> 02:12:22,400 Speaker 5: Yeah. 2786 02:12:22,400 --> 02:12:26,240 Speaker 2: I mean, a bullet touched the former president not negotiable, 2787 02:12:26,360 --> 02:12:27,840 Speaker 2: like impossible. 2788 02:12:27,480 --> 02:12:29,120 Speaker 1: And the stone walling is insane. 2789 02:12:29,200 --> 02:12:29,400 Speaker 2: Yeah. 2790 02:12:30,760 --> 02:12:36,280 Speaker 1: The fact that they identified this shooter like half an hour, Yeah. 2791 02:12:36,120 --> 02:12:40,320 Speaker 2: I know, before he's able to photo the rooftop. 2792 02:12:40,240 --> 02:12:42,080 Speaker 1: They saw, mississis so he tried to bring in a 2793 02:12:42,160 --> 02:12:44,760 Speaker 1: range fighter, they identified him, they lost sight of him. 2794 02:12:44,800 --> 02:12:46,840 Speaker 1: You've got ordinary people are like, there is a dude 2795 02:12:46,880 --> 02:12:49,840 Speaker 1: with a gun on that roof and President Trump is 2796 02:12:49,880 --> 02:12:53,560 Speaker 1: still allowed to go out on the stage and continue 2797 02:12:53,600 --> 02:12:58,680 Speaker 1: his speech. It just absolutely insane. We're also learning a 2798 02:12:58,760 --> 02:13:02,320 Speaker 1: little bit more about of the interesting searches that this 2799 02:13:02,560 --> 02:13:08,760 Speaker 1: shooter was apparently engaged in googling prior to this attempt 2800 02:13:08,760 --> 02:13:11,400 Speaker 1: at assassination. Let's take a listen to director right here. 2801 02:13:11,720 --> 02:13:13,800 Speaker 10: One of the things that I can share here today 2802 02:13:13,920 --> 02:13:16,000 Speaker 10: that has not been shared yet is that we've just 2803 02:13:16,120 --> 02:13:20,000 Speaker 10: in the last couple of days found that from our 2804 02:13:20,120 --> 02:13:24,800 Speaker 10: review to your point about devices, analysis of a laptop 2805 02:13:25,160 --> 02:13:30,240 Speaker 10: that the investigation ties to the shooter reveals that on 2806 02:13:30,400 --> 02:13:36,640 Speaker 10: July sixth, he did a Google search for quote how 2807 02:13:36,760 --> 02:13:44,160 Speaker 10: far away was Oswald from Kennedy? And so that's a 2808 02:13:44,280 --> 02:13:47,120 Speaker 10: search that obviously is significant in terms of his state 2809 02:13:47,200 --> 02:13:53,640 Speaker 10: of mind. That is the same day that it appears 2810 02:13:53,840 --> 02:13:58,200 Speaker 10: that he registered for the Butler rally. 2811 02:13:58,480 --> 02:14:01,160 Speaker 1: So how far away was Oswald from Kennedy? And then 2812 02:14:01,200 --> 02:14:02,920 Speaker 1: that same day he registers. 2813 02:14:02,480 --> 02:14:04,640 Speaker 2: For the rest. That is one IQ thing in that 2814 02:14:04,760 --> 02:14:08,000 Speaker 2: he thinks Oswald shot Kennedy. So Now, how smart that 2815 02:14:08,080 --> 02:14:12,640 Speaker 2: this guy actual so turns out he was an idiot 2816 02:14:12,680 --> 02:14:14,800 Speaker 2: if you didn't know that already, if you actually believed 2817 02:14:15,080 --> 02:14:17,880 Speaker 2: that the magic bullet theory or whatever is correct. But 2818 02:14:18,080 --> 02:14:20,560 Speaker 2: in his case, that's the irony of it is that 2819 02:14:21,080 --> 02:14:24,440 Speaker 2: in his case is that it is so obviously believable 2820 02:14:24,520 --> 02:14:27,000 Speaker 2: that it was a massive security failure. Now that we 2821 02:14:27,200 --> 02:14:30,760 Speaker 2: learn about every single instance, and the only true miracle 2822 02:14:30,840 --> 02:14:33,160 Speaker 2: in this shot or in this is not the shot itself, 2823 02:14:33,280 --> 02:14:35,000 Speaker 2: is that Trump turns his head at the last minute 2824 02:14:35,040 --> 02:14:37,280 Speaker 2: and survives and doesn't get his head bullet. You know, 2825 02:14:37,360 --> 02:14:39,920 Speaker 2: we don't get a pink misshot on national television and 2826 02:14:40,040 --> 02:14:42,280 Speaker 2: high definition. I can't imagine what the country would look 2827 02:14:42,320 --> 02:14:45,200 Speaker 2: like in something like that. I know, Oh god, God, 2828 02:14:45,240 --> 02:14:48,120 Speaker 2: be horrible. We also can talk about the Secret Service director. 2829 02:14:48,160 --> 02:14:50,520 Speaker 2: Let's put this up there on the screen, finally resigning 2830 02:14:51,200 --> 02:14:54,160 Speaker 2: after being pressured by the both members of the House 2831 02:14:54,240 --> 02:14:56,440 Speaker 2: Oversight Committee. I do want to say, I want to 2832 02:14:56,440 --> 02:15:00,200 Speaker 2: give commendation. You know, rarely will cheer for bipartisanship. This 2833 02:15:00,480 --> 02:15:05,040 Speaker 2: actually is the one moment where Jamie raskin Rocanna, you know, 2834 02:15:05,680 --> 02:15:11,040 Speaker 2: comer Republicans Democrats. Everybody was like, oh no, absolutely not. 2835 02:15:11,120 --> 02:15:13,320 Speaker 2: They're like, you got to go. Probably some of it 2836 02:15:13,400 --> 02:15:15,160 Speaker 2: is self interest in that all of them have also 2837 02:15:15,200 --> 02:15:17,080 Speaker 2: had threats to their lives, but part of it is 2838 02:15:17,120 --> 02:15:21,200 Speaker 2: also I mean again, like let's live in the context 2839 02:15:21,280 --> 02:15:24,160 Speaker 2: of the Pink misshot on TV. That's great, we can't 2840 02:15:24,320 --> 02:15:27,440 Speaker 2: unsee that as a nation like period. The Zuppruto film 2841 02:15:27,560 --> 02:15:29,640 Speaker 2: was way after. I mean to live with that, the 2842 02:15:29,720 --> 02:15:33,040 Speaker 2: consequence the trauma like the Greathing and the RNC and 2843 02:15:33,120 --> 02:15:35,240 Speaker 2: everything that would have possibly happened. I mean, I know 2844 02:15:35,320 --> 02:15:37,040 Speaker 2: somebody who said civil war. I don't know if that's 2845 02:15:37,080 --> 02:15:40,320 Speaker 2: necessarily true, but something, I mean, you know, something horrible 2846 02:15:40,680 --> 02:15:43,120 Speaker 2: would have happened. So I want to at least commend 2847 02:15:43,200 --> 02:15:47,120 Speaker 2: them for in Washington. It is so rare to see accountability. 2848 02:15:47,280 --> 02:15:50,080 Speaker 2: Now we don't start here. It's a good starting point. 2849 02:15:50,200 --> 02:15:52,840 Speaker 2: This isn't just the finishing thing or whatever. But at 2850 02:15:52,960 --> 02:15:54,640 Speaker 2: least they actually came together and they're like, no, we're 2851 02:15:54,680 --> 02:15:55,160 Speaker 2: not stand for this. 2852 02:15:55,400 --> 02:15:55,800 Speaker 7: We got to go. 2853 02:15:56,000 --> 02:15:57,560 Speaker 1: Honestly, it wasn't saying she lasts as long. 2854 02:15:57,680 --> 02:16:00,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's should gone the next day, right. 2855 02:16:00,240 --> 02:16:02,760 Speaker 1: Though, no one should delude themselves into thinking then it's 2856 02:16:02,840 --> 02:16:05,280 Speaker 1: like problem solved. It was just this one, lady, she 2857 02:16:05,440 --> 02:16:08,000 Speaker 1: was the issue. No, there is a top to bottom 2858 02:16:08,200 --> 02:16:11,000 Speaker 1: issue with this age. I don't think there's any doubt 2859 02:16:11,080 --> 02:16:14,040 Speaker 1: about that. And so this is where the conversation should begin, 2860 02:16:14,200 --> 02:16:16,480 Speaker 1: not end. But the fact that she remained for even 2861 02:16:16,560 --> 02:16:21,280 Speaker 1: a day after this all unfolded, especially when we immediately 2862 02:16:21,640 --> 02:16:25,920 Speaker 1: were learning about the stunning nature of the security failure, 2863 02:16:26,200 --> 02:16:28,600 Speaker 1: and she had the temerity to go on TV and say, well, 2864 02:16:28,640 --> 02:16:31,520 Speaker 1: we didn't position eight speakret service stations on that roof 2865 02:16:31,600 --> 02:16:34,000 Speaker 1: because it was sloped right where there's a safety isshue. 2866 02:16:34,200 --> 02:16:36,279 Speaker 1: Oh my god, yeah, believable. 2867 02:16:36,360 --> 02:16:39,000 Speaker 2: Wait what what did you say, lady? They're like that 2868 02:16:39,040 --> 02:16:42,200 Speaker 2: because that's exactly where any normal person would be, which 2869 02:16:42,240 --> 02:16:44,720 Speaker 2: is why fluidrone, which is why as a range finder 2870 02:16:45,000 --> 02:16:47,360 Speaker 2: outside the premiere there are cops inside of the building. 2871 02:16:47,640 --> 02:16:50,440 Speaker 2: Somebody's got a picture of him, somebody's confronting him. I mean, 2872 02:16:50,480 --> 02:16:52,760 Speaker 2: it's just a cluster all the way, you know, to 2873 02:16:53,080 --> 02:16:54,520 Speaker 2: I don't know, I mean, it's certain. And this is 2874 02:16:54,560 --> 02:16:57,240 Speaker 2: also the problem too, with stoking conspiracy. Everyone's like, oh, 2875 02:16:57,240 --> 02:16:59,280 Speaker 2: we need to stop stoking conspiracy. It's like, yeah, but 2876 02:16:59,520 --> 02:17:02,960 Speaker 2: people believe I think rightfully that usually security is pretty 2877 02:17:02,959 --> 02:17:03,480 Speaker 2: good at these things. 2878 02:17:03,520 --> 02:17:05,600 Speaker 1: I've been to a million presidential events. It's a pain 2879 02:17:05,720 --> 02:17:06,520 Speaker 1: the ass sometimes. 2880 02:17:07,000 --> 02:17:09,320 Speaker 2: I would never, in my wildest dreams think that a 2881 02:17:09,400 --> 02:17:12,119 Speaker 2: gunman could get this close, having been through the security 2882 02:17:12,160 --> 02:17:14,480 Speaker 2: perimeter so many times, and I have experienced it, not 2883 02:17:14,640 --> 02:17:16,800 Speaker 2: just watching it on TV. So for a lot of 2884 02:17:16,840 --> 02:17:19,320 Speaker 2: people out there, I mean, it's just too shocking to behold. 2885 02:17:19,400 --> 02:17:21,600 Speaker 2: I don't we still need a lot of answers. I 2886 02:17:21,640 --> 02:17:24,280 Speaker 2: see that there's a new story out with some more 2887 02:17:24,320 --> 02:17:26,480 Speaker 2: details and we can take a look and everything. But 2888 02:17:26,600 --> 02:17:28,200 Speaker 2: I think we're still at the very beginning of this. 2889 02:17:28,440 --> 02:17:28,920 Speaker 11: I really do. 2890 02:17:29,120 --> 02:17:30,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's right, all right. 2891 02:17:31,320 --> 02:17:37,720 Speaker 2: I enjoy being back. Geez the two hours catch up 2892 02:17:37,760 --> 02:17:39,640 Speaker 2: on it. I miss everybody so much. Thank you all 2893 02:17:39,680 --> 02:17:42,480 Speaker 2: for the congratulations. That was very very nice of everyone. 2894 02:17:42,640 --> 02:17:44,680 Speaker 2: And we'll see you all next week and if there's 2895 02:17:44,680 --> 02:17:46,320 Speaker 2: any breaking news, I'm sure you'll see us again.