WEBVTT - NBA Finals Preview (Ep. 93) 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:09.120 It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:18.759 Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's me Joey, p Joe, Pisa, Pia. 0:00:18.840 --> 0:00:21.320 We got a great show for you today. The NBA 0:00:21.480 --> 0:00:24.360 Finals is beginning and we're gonna walk you through it 0:00:24.400 --> 0:00:27.000 with one of my favorite people. He is the host 0:00:27.080 --> 0:00:30.720 of in This League podcast network. You can also find 0:00:30.760 --> 0:00:33.080 his work at Line Star as well, hosting all their 0:00:33.120 --> 0:00:36.120 podcasts and so much more. He's the one, the only 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:39.639 Scott Bogman. Bogman, Welcome to the show, my friend. I'm 0:00:39.640 --> 0:00:41.400 ready to talk a little NBA with you. 0:00:41.960 --> 0:00:43.080 Thanks for having me. Yeah. 0:00:43.120 --> 0:00:45.839 Man, this has been an exciting playoffs and I know 0:00:46.159 --> 0:00:48.760 people are talking about whatever team wins is gonna need 0:00:48.760 --> 0:00:49.520 an asterisk. 0:00:49.560 --> 0:00:51.800 I don't like that narrative at all. 0:00:51.920 --> 0:00:54.760 I think that's dumb because of all the injuries, because 0:00:54.800 --> 0:00:58.120 of you know, all the injuries, so but you know, 0:00:58.840 --> 0:01:01.600 staying healthy is part of it. So I'm excited for 0:01:01.640 --> 0:01:03.320 the Suns Bucks Finals. I think it's going to be 0:01:03.360 --> 0:01:03.920 a great one. 0:01:04.000 --> 0:01:05.880 And that's what we do have. We have the Phoenix 0:01:05.880 --> 0:01:08.480 Suns and the Milwaukee Bucks. Here. We got Yannis hopefully 0:01:08.560 --> 0:01:10.920 healthy enough to make a difference. We're going to get 0:01:10.920 --> 0:01:12.720 into that and a whole lot of the other narratives. 0:01:12.720 --> 0:01:15.080 But you know, I forget the asterisk because I think 0:01:15.120 --> 0:01:17.080 that's always a cop out nonsense. You get there, you 0:01:17.120 --> 0:01:19.280 get there, That's what it is. But I mean, these 0:01:19.319 --> 0:01:21.360 are two teams right now. Yeah, I would say both 0:01:21.360 --> 0:01:25.640 efficient offenses, good defenses, and at the end of the day, 0:01:25.720 --> 0:01:27.440 I mean, like, the teams that get to the finals 0:01:27.440 --> 0:01:29.319 are the ones that play both ends of the court. 0:01:29.400 --> 0:01:32.559 Did not every team does that? With Gwen gun nuj nudge, 0:01:32.640 --> 0:01:35.000 we know that. So are you surprised at all that 0:01:35.040 --> 0:01:36.039 this is how it ended up? 0:01:36.760 --> 0:01:39.920 Not really? I mean specifically after the injuries. I mean, 0:01:40.000 --> 0:01:42.480 you know, when Kuhi got hurt, I thought that the 0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:44.400 Clipper series for the Suns was going to be a 0:01:44.400 --> 0:01:46.800 tough one. But Kuhi got hurt, he wasn't able to 0:01:46.800 --> 0:01:49.080 play that series. So I was not surprised that the 0:01:49.120 --> 0:01:52.440 Suns buzzed past them the Bucks. I think a lot 0:01:52.480 --> 0:01:54.600 of people were surprised that they got past the Nets. 0:01:54.920 --> 0:01:58.840 I just think, really, you know, Harden getting banged up 0:01:59.200 --> 0:02:02.880 and Irving going down in that series obviously hurt them 0:02:03.040 --> 0:02:06.160 a ton, But I think that was just really a 0:02:06.240 --> 0:02:10.320 lack of experience together with those guys before that. So 0:02:11.000 --> 0:02:13.400 it's not surprising to me that the Bucks are playing 0:02:13.400 --> 0:02:15.480 the Suns in the playoffs at this point. 0:02:15.800 --> 0:02:18.399 I think I would have expected the Bucks a little. 0:02:18.160 --> 0:02:22.440 Bit more than the Suns, you know, starting the playoffs, 0:02:22.480 --> 0:02:25.040 but they've burned through the Lakers, and after they burned 0:02:25.040 --> 0:02:26.600 through the Lakers, I knew they had a chance. 0:02:26.680 --> 0:02:29.040 So it should be a really really exciting one. 0:02:29.160 --> 0:02:31.480 I know everyone wanted to anoint the nets, you know, 0:02:31.560 --> 0:02:33.079 and all of that, but I think you've been going 0:02:33.120 --> 0:02:35.480 up a great point, which is basically, you know, it 0:02:35.480 --> 0:02:37.760 does take kind of time for these things to gel together. 0:02:37.919 --> 0:02:40.960 And we say that Chris Paul walks right into Phoenix 0:02:41.000 --> 0:02:41.920 and takes him to the final. 0:02:42.000 --> 0:02:45.520 Well, Tom Brady, I mean, that's kind of crazy, but. 0:02:45.440 --> 0:02:47.799 More often than not it is the former. More often 0:02:47.840 --> 0:02:49.680 that there's a little transition to help me back again 0:02:49.720 --> 0:02:51.920 together trying to you know, do it all again. If 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:54.519 Kyrie Irving will be back, necessarily we'll figure that all out. 0:02:54.560 --> 0:02:57.160 But now that we're looking at these two teams, what's 0:02:57.160 --> 0:02:59.959 your assessment in terms of momentum Before we go breaking down, 0:03:00.120 --> 0:03:02.040 we are we're going to talk about Game one. We're 0:03:02.080 --> 0:03:05.200 going to go through Bogman's picks to win it all. 0:03:05.200 --> 0:03:07.959 We're going to talk about the wagering prop best the MVP, 0:03:08.120 --> 0:03:10.520 and a few other things too, including how many games 0:03:10.560 --> 0:03:12.440 this series is going to go and how he thinks 0:03:12.480 --> 0:03:15.200 about that. But when you're looking at the assessment heading 0:03:15.240 --> 0:03:19.560 into the finals, momentum, health, obviously both things kind of 0:03:19.600 --> 0:03:21.960 loom large right now. Who do you think kind of, 0:03:22.160 --> 0:03:23.720 you know, has all that stuff working for them a 0:03:23.720 --> 0:03:24.360 little bit more? 0:03:24.760 --> 0:03:27.160 I think the edge has to go to the Suns 0:03:27.320 --> 0:03:30.880 because you know, Ga is doubtful to play Game one. 0:03:32.080 --> 0:03:34.120 You know, they think he's going to come back in 0:03:34.200 --> 0:03:36.160 the series because it is more of a day to 0:03:36.280 --> 0:03:38.800 day thing. I know, our guy doctor Chow has talked 0:03:38.840 --> 0:03:41.480 about how it's you know, it looks like he might 0:03:41.520 --> 0:03:43.280 be out for the playoffs and maybe that's the case. 0:03:43.320 --> 0:03:45.560 Maybe they're just talking it up and all that because 0:03:45.560 --> 0:03:48.680 it's kind of that hybridxtension seem pretty bad when it happened. 0:03:48.960 --> 0:03:50.960 But I think you have to give the momentum to 0:03:51.000 --> 0:03:54.640 the Suns because they're complete, They got more rest that 0:03:54.760 --> 0:03:57.520 they're coming in without having to change their dynamic. And 0:03:57.560 --> 0:04:00.720 I know Chuck you know, Charles Barkley said on that 0:04:01.200 --> 0:04:03.920 he thinks the best thing for the Bucks was Shea 0:04:04.280 --> 0:04:07.320 going down because they move the ball more efficiently, more 0:04:07.360 --> 0:04:08.760 goes through Middleton than GA. 0:04:09.120 --> 0:04:09.360 You know. 0:04:09.480 --> 0:04:12.720 So I get that, but that is a big time 0:04:12.760 --> 0:04:15.280 adjustment that you don't want to be making in your 0:04:15.320 --> 0:04:19.360 final seven games of the season. So I think that 0:04:19.440 --> 0:04:21.440 the momentum side has to go to the Suns. 0:04:21.640 --> 0:04:23.840 All right, some key numbers here from betting pros before 0:04:23.839 --> 0:04:26.760 we jump into things here. Look, the Milwaukee Bucks have 0:04:26.800 --> 0:04:29.200 lost only one home game this postseason, there's seven to one, 0:04:29.240 --> 0:04:31.039 but they lost four games on the road. They're five 0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:33.320 and four. On the flip side, the Phoenix Suns are 0:04:33.320 --> 0:04:35.160 six and two on the road and six and two 0:04:35.279 --> 0:04:38.400 at home, so they've been good everywhere. And Phoenix has 0:04:38.400 --> 0:04:40.880 posted one hundred and sixteen and a half points per 0:04:40.960 --> 0:04:43.440 game at home and one hundred and fourteen on the 0:04:43.560 --> 0:04:46.719 road this year. So look, is Boggin's kind of saying, 0:04:46.760 --> 0:04:48.719 it seems like right now Phoenix is the favorite. But 0:04:49.200 --> 0:04:51.360 let's go through this and kind of figure out where 0:04:51.400 --> 0:04:53.440 we want to place our chips here when it comes 0:04:53.480 --> 0:04:55.920 to the NBA Finals. And let's start here with Game one. 0:04:56.520 --> 0:04:59.440 It is in Phoenix right now, the Phoenix Suns are 0:04:59.480 --> 0:05:01.440 six and a half point favorites. In terms of the 0:05:01.440 --> 0:05:03.800 spread the money line, you got plus two zero five 0:05:03.839 --> 0:05:07.520 on the Milwaukee Bucks Bucks minus two fifty for the 0:05:07.560 --> 0:05:10.400 Phoenix Suns, and the over under on this game is 0:05:10.440 --> 0:05:12.680 two nineteen and a half. So when it comes to 0:05:12.720 --> 0:05:16.000 game one here right out of the gate, what about 0:05:16.040 --> 0:05:18.400 these numbers kind of makes you want to go to 0:05:18.400 --> 0:05:19.880 a certain spot. Obviously you have to lay a ton 0:05:19.920 --> 0:05:22.000 of money here. Phoenix is a heavy favorite in game 0:05:22.000 --> 0:05:25.440 one at home. No Jiannis all of those factors, But 0:05:25.880 --> 0:05:27.440 what do you think about the over under and the 0:05:27.480 --> 0:05:30.120 spread because it seems like there might be some possibility 0:05:30.120 --> 0:05:30.960 to make some money there. 0:05:31.279 --> 0:05:33.720 Yeah, I feel like I'm gonna take the under on this. 0:05:33.839 --> 0:05:36.720 And you know, I know you said these teams are 0:05:36.720 --> 0:05:39.440 both good on both sides, but they're both one and 0:05:39.520 --> 0:05:44.440 two in defensive efficiency during the regular season, So I 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:45.880 think taking the under. 0:05:46.320 --> 0:05:47.760 What is it two nineteen and. 0:05:47.720 --> 0:05:48.719 A halfeen and a half. 0:05:48.800 --> 0:05:51.440 Yeah, yeah, I think I take the under on game one. 0:05:51.600 --> 0:05:54.200 This is also going to be a weird uh, you know, 0:05:55.760 --> 0:05:59.920 I guess tone setting game as well. I don't know, 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:03.000 I definitely wouldn't you know. I think the Suns are 0:06:03.000 --> 0:06:05.760 gonna win, and that's you're giving away too much to 0:06:05.800 --> 0:06:08.120 make money there, So I'm not gonna bet the straight 0:06:08.160 --> 0:06:10.640 money line. I think I would take the Suns minus 0:06:10.640 --> 0:06:12.960 to six and a half. I think the atmosphere is 0:06:13.000 --> 0:06:16.040 gonna be insane here in Phoenix for Game one. The 0:06:16.480 --> 0:06:19.400 town this is a basketball town. I've lived here for 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:22.800 over twenty five years, and this is a basketball town 0:06:22.800 --> 0:06:25.719 because the Suns were first and this is the second 0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:28.000 finals they've ever made, first one since nineteen ninety three. 0:06:28.320 --> 0:06:30.640 That people are excited. There's a buzz in the air. 0:06:30.839 --> 0:06:33.919 It's gonna be great. So I think that I'm gonna 0:06:33.920 --> 0:06:36.280 take the Suns minus is six and a half if 0:06:36.320 --> 0:06:39.000 I'm betting on the game. But I think my favorite 0:06:39.000 --> 0:06:41.839 bet is probably the under for tonight because they're gonna 0:06:41.960 --> 0:06:44.280 kind of be playing it out, you know, feeling each 0:06:44.279 --> 0:06:46.840 other out. This is a it's gonna be I think 0:06:46.880 --> 0:06:48.760 there's gonna be a long series and I think this 0:06:48.800 --> 0:06:50.240 is gonna be a fun game one. 0:06:50.640 --> 0:06:53.440 The last time the Suns fans were this excited probably 0:06:53.600 --> 0:06:56.960 was going back to those Charles Barkley, Dan Marley, kJ 0:06:57.120 --> 0:06:59.200 Kind of days. Those were some fun teams for sure. 0:07:00.160 --> 0:07:02.240 The Bozeman was hitting big shots and not just a 0:07:02.279 --> 0:07:03.840 guy on Twitter, you know. 0:07:03.839 --> 0:07:06.159 Right, take a shots. Yeah, it's true. Now when we're 0:07:06.160 --> 0:07:09.320 looking at the series total games, when you're looking over 0:07:09.400 --> 0:07:12.400 on FanDuel for a sweep, you've got a plus six 0:07:12.560 --> 0:07:17.160 hundred number there, which again seems a little unlikely. You know, 0:07:17.200 --> 0:07:19.240 sweeps are really just one team just blowing the other 0:07:19.240 --> 0:07:21.240 team out of the water, and I think that's going 0:07:21.320 --> 0:07:23.760 to be a tough sell here from the Milwaukee standpoint. 0:07:23.920 --> 0:07:26.160 Then you go to five games plus two forty six 0:07:26.200 --> 0:07:29.480 games plus two hundred seven games plus one nineties, so 0:07:29.520 --> 0:07:32.000 all of a sudden, it drops precipitously from the six 0:07:32.560 --> 0:07:35.440 to between one ninety and two forty. Where's the sweet 0:07:35.480 --> 0:07:37.520 spot for you? If you're gonna choose one of these 0:07:37.680 --> 0:07:40.040 in terms of the length of the series, how you 0:07:40.040 --> 0:07:42.760 see this probably going out? And look, maybe maybe there 0:07:42.800 --> 0:07:45.280 is something to this idea that maybe Honest isn't going 0:07:45.280 --> 0:07:47.440 to play. And if he doesn't, does this push you 0:07:47.480 --> 0:07:49.800 towards the five to six instead of the six to seven. 0:07:50.440 --> 0:07:52.200 No, I don't think it does. I think this is 0:07:52.240 --> 0:07:55.280 a six or seven for me. I think I would 0:07:55.320 --> 0:07:58.000 take six because it pays a little bit more, so 0:07:58.280 --> 0:08:00.200 I think that's where I would go with it. But 0:08:00.600 --> 0:08:02.600 I think this is a long series even if GA 0:08:02.760 --> 0:08:08.080 doesn't play, because they look Milwaukee after losing Ga in 0:08:08.120 --> 0:08:11.000 the last two games against Atlanta never lost the lead 0:08:11.160 --> 0:08:12.040 in those games. 0:08:12.080 --> 0:08:13.280 They are very efficient. 0:08:13.360 --> 0:08:15.680 So Chuck, you know, Chuck is saying this a little 0:08:15.680 --> 0:08:18.400 tongue in chic because you know, Ga is one of 0:08:18.400 --> 0:08:20.280 the best players in the NBA, and of course your 0:08:20.280 --> 0:08:23.600 team is better if you have him. But you know, 0:08:23.920 --> 0:08:27.720 they they move the ball efficiently. They look crisp without 0:08:27.800 --> 0:08:29.880 him right now, So I think it's going to be, 0:08:30.680 --> 0:08:34.040 you know, contested series even if GA doesn't play at all. 0:08:34.280 --> 0:08:37.320 So I would my pick would be six games. 0:08:37.080 --> 0:08:39.720 All right, when you're looking ahead to the series spread 0:08:40.240 --> 0:08:43.000 in terms of winning and losing, here the Bucks winning 0:08:43.120 --> 0:08:46.840 by one and a half there on the money line 0:08:46.880 --> 0:08:49.480 and the Suns minus one and a half plus one 0:08:49.559 --> 0:08:53.360 fourteen for the Sons minus one forty. Any thoughts here 0:08:53.480 --> 0:08:55.199 on that number, I. 0:08:55.160 --> 0:08:57.520 Think I take the Sun this minus you know, the 0:08:57.520 --> 0:09:00.400 one and a half. So okay, yeah, I I think 0:09:00.440 --> 0:09:02.079 that's a pretty good bet, especially if I think it's 0:09:02.080 --> 0:09:02.840 gonna end in six. 0:09:02.880 --> 0:09:04.800 That makes sense, all right, Well, if you think it's 0:09:04.800 --> 0:09:07.480 gonna end in six, then I guess the question becomes 0:09:08.000 --> 0:09:10.400 who's the champion at the end of that series? Because 0:09:10.520 --> 0:09:13.000 right now a consensus we're looking as Phoenix Suns minus 0:09:13.040 --> 0:09:16.360 two hundred and Milwaukee Bucks plus one seventy five to 0:09:16.400 --> 0:09:19.560 get in before the season series excuse me begins. So, 0:09:19.960 --> 0:09:22.000 I mean, look, you know, when you come down to this, 0:09:22.120 --> 0:09:24.280 it's clear that Phoenix is the favorite in this. We 0:09:24.280 --> 0:09:27.559 we've kind of established that going in. But you know what, 0:09:27.600 --> 0:09:30.200 the plus one seventy five is that enough to even 0:09:30.280 --> 0:09:33.360 get involved in the potential? I guess upset because it's 0:09:33.400 --> 0:09:36.360 not a huge potential one either. So are you better 0:09:36.400 --> 0:09:38.959 off just kind of laying the favor here, putting heavy 0:09:39.000 --> 0:09:41.200 money down on the favorite for the minus two hundred, 0:09:41.480 --> 0:09:44.240 Playing it that way and in a way safe but 0:09:44.360 --> 0:09:48.720 also probably the better investment considering all the possible negatives 0:09:48.720 --> 0:09:50.160 Milwaukee's dealing with in the series. 0:09:50.520 --> 0:09:53.320 Yeah, I'm gonna go with the Suns minus two hundred. 0:09:53.320 --> 0:09:56.200 Like you said, I'm going to lay the bigger money, 0:09:57.200 --> 0:09:59.840 and I know sometimes that's hard to do, but you 0:09:59.920 --> 0:10:03.360 know it's just the Bucks have such a big problem 0:10:03.400 --> 0:10:06.559 with Ga. Even if he does come back, how effective 0:10:06.640 --> 0:10:08.000 is he going to be? Is it going to be 0:10:08.040 --> 0:10:10.160 like when the Lakers try to bring a d back 0:10:10.160 --> 0:10:11.600 and he's going to go right back out? 0:10:11.960 --> 0:10:12.200 You know? 0:10:12.440 --> 0:10:16.960 So I think that I would be I'd be putting 0:10:17.000 --> 0:10:19.880 more money on the longer, you know, the minus two 0:10:19.960 --> 0:10:22.960 hundred than I would be just a plu. That number 0:10:23.000 --> 0:10:24.959 is not big enough for me to take the bucks 0:10:24.960 --> 0:10:26.199 in this series without Ga. 0:10:26.600 --> 0:10:28.880 Let me set up a scenario that is possible to 0:10:28.880 --> 0:10:30.560 play out, and I want to get your take on 0:10:30.600 --> 0:10:33.880 this in terms of the line potentially moving. So let's 0:10:33.880 --> 0:10:36.240 say the Suns are up two games to one, and 0:10:36.280 --> 0:10:38.679 then we get that fourth game. Giannis is back by 0:10:38.679 --> 0:10:40.960 the fourth game, Let's say he has a huge game 0:10:41.000 --> 0:10:44.200 and the series is tied two. Is that something where 0:10:44.240 --> 0:10:47.440 you believe then a little bit more or do you 0:10:47.480 --> 0:10:50.079 think you just go right back and double down on 0:10:50.120 --> 0:10:51.760 the Phoenix Suns because all of a sudden, maybe the 0:10:51.760 --> 0:10:55.360 Phoenix Sun's favorite number in the negative column comes back 0:10:55.400 --> 0:10:58.600 a little bit from that minus two to maybe somewhere 0:10:58.640 --> 0:11:00.480 more like a one to fifty or a one to 0:11:00.520 --> 0:11:01.600 ten or something like that. 0:11:02.080 --> 0:11:05.720 No, they if Ga plays and they take momentum on 0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:07.640 that game. He has an enormous game. He plays a 0:11:07.679 --> 0:11:10.080 bunch of minutes and he looks good. I think I would, 0:11:10.240 --> 0:11:13.920 you know, I would. They're taking momentum at that point too. 0:11:13.960 --> 0:11:16.200 I would go back and bet on the bucks. I 0:11:16.280 --> 0:11:19.800 just don't. My gut feeling is that Ga is not 0:11:19.880 --> 0:11:22.760 going to play at all. You know, I know that they. 0:11:22.640 --> 0:11:25.600 Say he is. I hope he does. I would love 0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:26.520 to see him in the finals. 0:11:26.520 --> 0:11:28.080 You know, it always sucks when you see a guy 0:11:28.120 --> 0:11:30.319 finally get there but he's banged up and he can't play. 0:11:30.679 --> 0:11:33.000 But I just have a feeling that he's not going 0:11:33.080 --> 0:11:33.960 to play in this series. 0:11:34.320 --> 0:11:36.840 All right, let's move forward here with the NBA Finals 0:11:36.960 --> 0:11:39.440 MVP and take a look at the numbers here. Chris 0:11:39.480 --> 0:11:42.360 Paul the favorite at plus one fifty five, Devin Booker 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:45.440 plus two fifty. Then you've got Middleton at plus five fifty, 0:11:45.760 --> 0:11:48.360 Yannis at plus six fifty, which I mean, if the 0:11:48.360 --> 0:11:51.040 guy plays and he plays well enough and pulls a 0:11:51.120 --> 0:11:53.880 willis reed. I mean, he used to say that that 0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:56.400 number doesn't pay off. Now that's kind of the fun bet. 0:11:56.600 --> 0:11:59.160 Then he got Drew Holliday at seven fifty on the 0:11:59.160 --> 0:12:01.400 plus side, and you know a few other guys like 0:12:01.440 --> 0:12:03.559 Brook Lopez sixty five to one. You're all going to 0:12:03.600 --> 0:12:06.040 talk about these guys. Let's talk about the guys that 0:12:06.160 --> 0:12:08.280 really have a chance here, because this is typically that 0:12:08.400 --> 0:12:11.880 Star Award, so you're getting a pretty decent number here. 0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:14.080 I think with Chris Paul at plus one fifty five, 0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:15.600 what are your thoughts on the favorite and what are 0:12:15.600 --> 0:12:16.840 your thoughts on the rest of this field? 0:12:17.160 --> 0:12:20.320 Yeah, I think you know, my favorite is definitely Chris 0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:23.440 Paul and at that number, Like you said, I like him. 0:12:23.559 --> 0:12:25.800 I don't see a way that the Suns win and 0:12:25.840 --> 0:12:28.320 he doesn't get the MVP. You know, there's so much 0:12:28.640 --> 0:12:31.200 This is the narrative, this is the storyline built into 0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:34.599 this finals. Is Chris Paul finally getting there, being the 0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:38.520 difference for the Suns, you know, super emotional making the 0:12:38.520 --> 0:12:41.120 finals for the first time. I don't see a way 0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:44.600 if the Suns win, he's not MVP, if the Bucks win. 0:12:45.480 --> 0:12:48.000 I think there's a multitude of guys that could get 0:12:48.000 --> 0:12:48.280 in here. 0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:50.760 Let's walk through those. What are some of those scenarios 0:12:50.800 --> 0:12:52.959 you can paint here for people who maybe want to 0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:55.600 get in, maybe on smaller wagers, on some of these 0:12:55.640 --> 0:12:57.760 bigger odds a little bit just to hedge the Chris Paul. 0:12:57.800 --> 0:12:59.280 You know, he could drop a big number on Chris 0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:01.199 Paul at the plus one fifty five, right, you know, 0:13:01.320 --> 0:13:03.200 let's let's you know, let's call him a hundred on that. 0:13:03.280 --> 0:13:05.839 If you had ten or twenty more to throw somewhere, 0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:06.880 where would you want to throw it? 0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:07.400 Right? 0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:10.080 Well, Middleton I think is going to be the leading 0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:13.120 scorer for the Bucks. You've seen the ball run through him. 0:13:14.000 --> 0:13:16.959 Good defensive player too, so you know he's going to 0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:21.160 be stopping Booker or Paul or somebody and and scoring 0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:23.199 on the other end. So I think he's the best buck, 0:13:23.520 --> 0:13:25.200 best bet for the Bucks to win. 0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:27.280 I love Gabe for your buck. 0:13:27.320 --> 0:13:28.280 That's actually that's right. 0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:31.840 I like that GA plus six fifty is great, especially 0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:33.880 if he comes back in game two or three, you know, 0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:38.280 kind of unexpectedly. But you know, like like I said before, 0:13:38.320 --> 0:13:40.520 I think that's kind of yeah, it might be lighting 0:13:40.520 --> 0:13:42.320 your money on fire if the guy doesn't play, So 0:13:42.559 --> 0:13:45.320 I don't know that I would bet him my other one, 0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:49.800 brook Lopez. Look, this number is enormous at plus sixty 0:13:49.800 --> 0:13:53.439 five hundred for brook Lopez, and he has he has 0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:55.520 to shut down eight and for the Bucks to have 0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:58.320 a shot here, and I think he can. He leads 0:13:58.360 --> 0:14:02.760 the playoffs in a block shots and steals. He's playing 0:14:02.880 --> 0:14:06.320 like you know he has he's doing all the HGH 0:14:06.440 --> 0:14:08.480 or something like he's Tom Brady. 0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:09.360 I mean he is. 0:14:09.880 --> 0:14:12.440 He is turning back the clock right now and he 0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:17.120 looks fantastic. So if he is big and just frustrating 0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:22.240 Ayighton and you know the he's going to be one 0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:25.680 of the main factors in the Bucks if they win 0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:28.840 this series. He'll grab those rebounds which both of these 0:14:28.880 --> 0:14:31.640 teams have been doing very well. He'll be stopping a 0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:35.200 big factor in eighton and he'll be big on the 0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:40.040 offensive side too. So I think throwing a couple shekels 0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:42.920 on Brook Lopez isn't a bad bet at this gigantic 0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:43.680 number right here. 0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:45.840 All right, let's step into the pouch of shekels and 0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:49.480 talk about the top scorer. We have Devin Booker at 0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:52.280 minus one fifty five. Again this numbers from the Fanduels Sportsbook, 0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:56.080 specifically Chris Middleton at plus one eighty five. Then, of 0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:59.120 course you go to Giannis, who were slightly concerned about 0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:02.440 you got eighten us Paul Drew Holliday all at ten 0:15:02.520 --> 0:15:04.640 to one. But what are your thoughts here on about 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.920 Booker Middleton here? Because these are the two favorites. Obviously 0:15:07.920 --> 0:15:09.520 you're getting a much better number with the plus one 0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:12.520 a five on Middleton minus one fifty five on Booker. 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:14.240 Is it a stay away because you think it's Booker? 0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:15.960 Or you think Middleton really has a shot at this? 0:15:16.480 --> 0:15:19.880 Anything anything not Booker in this series is a sucker spat. 0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:23.200 So it's uh, it's definitely Booker. I love Middleton and 0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:25.360 he'll probably lead the Bucks in scoring, but they'll still 0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:29.600 spread it out. I mean, Booker can go absolutely off. 0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:32.760 So uh, I think it's Booker. I don't think it's close, 0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:34.000 and there's no one else id bet on. 0:15:34.600 --> 0:15:37.480 All right, Well, let's take a look then at Booker's number, 0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:40.160 shall we? Because that number? Look at that segue, so good. 0:15:40.600 --> 0:15:42.800 Twenty eight and a half right now, that is the 0:15:42.880 --> 0:15:46.240 number they've set for his series point average minus one 0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:48.920 thirteen on both sides on the over on the under, 0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.640 So twenty and a half. Obviously it's a good number. 0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:53.720 This is what they do. They set these really good numbers. 0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:55.800 So do you want to go over under? Or is 0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:57.640 it a stay away and instead you just kind of 0:15:57.960 --> 0:16:00.640 maybe double down and put more money over on Booker 0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:03.080 being the top point score at the minus one fifty five. 0:16:03.360 --> 0:16:05.680 That's what I would do. I don't think this is 0:16:05.720 --> 0:16:08.040 such a good number. Like you said, you know that 0:16:08.080 --> 0:16:11.680 they're paid to make good numbers, so this is such 0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:14.480 a good number. But I think with both these teams 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:21.280 being defensively efficient, I mean, Drew Holiday probably drawing Booker 0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:24.040 if he is absolutely going off, I think it's going 0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:25.760 to be under that if I had to bet one. 0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:27.760 But I think i'd stay away from that number. 0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:30.040 All right, There you have it. You know there's one 0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:32.600 more on here too, just since you mentioned brook Lopez, 0:16:32.920 --> 0:16:34.920 let's throw it out there too, because maybe you see 0:16:34.920 --> 0:16:38.640 a little possibility here. The number for brook Lopez in 0:16:38.720 --> 0:16:41.160 terms of his series point average, fourteen and a half 0:16:41.240 --> 0:16:43.680 is the over under your thoughts on that. 0:16:45.120 --> 0:16:48.280 I don't have a good feel for that number. I 0:16:48.400 --> 0:16:50.640 think I think that's a good number. I would say 0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:53.840 I'd probably say under if I had to pick something, 0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:59.360 But I'm more on brook Lopez frustrating eight and you know, 0:16:59.600 --> 0:17:01.960 maybe get into the foul line. So maybe you would 0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:06.199 go over on that, But I like Lopez winning the 0:17:06.320 --> 0:17:10.960 MVP as a long shot, of course, just throwing you know, 0:17:11.119 --> 0:17:14.000 ten to fifteen bucks on whatever it is because of 0:17:14.040 --> 0:17:16.439 his defensive side, not because of his scoring, although he 0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:18.040 can't score very good. 0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:20.480 All right. So, now that the NBA season is kind 0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:23.720 of you know, almost at the end here, your big 0:17:23.720 --> 0:17:25.920 takeaway is going into next season, because I know you're 0:17:25.920 --> 0:17:28.080 an NBA guy, so I'm just kind of curious what 0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:29.720 you think kind of carries over. Are we going to 0:17:29.760 --> 0:17:32.960 get a better, more complete version of the nets next year? 0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:36.080 Are going to get the Lakers kind of reconfigured? Like 0:17:36.119 --> 0:17:38.439 where do you think things are going here in this offseason? 0:17:38.920 --> 0:17:41.400 Yeah, I mean, of course we're going to have the Olympics, 0:17:41.400 --> 0:17:43.280 and a lot of these guys are playing through that too. 0:17:43.359 --> 0:17:47.840 But I am looking forward to these players getting rest 0:17:47.960 --> 0:17:50.560 because they really didn't you know, they didn't get any 0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:54.040 rest last year, and it was rough, and the injuries 0:17:54.080 --> 0:17:56.040 are piling up, and this is why part of the 0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:58.840 reason why they want to have the asterisk right on 0:17:58.960 --> 0:18:02.600 this finals, because this year has been so littered with injuries. 0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:06.800 So I'm looking forward to the you know, a real 0:18:06.920 --> 0:18:11.360