WEBVTT - Bloomberg Daybreak: December 12, 2022 - Hour 1 (Radio)

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<v Speaker 1>Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Brooker Studios is his Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Daybreak for a Monday, December twelve coming up this hour.

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<v Speaker 1>A huge week for central banks, with the Fed, ECB

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<v Speaker 1>and Bank of England all making policy decisions. Treasury Secretary

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<v Speaker 1>Janet Yellen says inflation will be much lower by the

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<v Speaker 1>end of next year. Am JEN makes its biggest acquisition ever,

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<v Speaker 1>and the January six Committee gets a step closer to

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<v Speaker 1>its final report. I'm Amy Morris. New York subway officials

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<v Speaker 1>are looking at hiking fairs, and the area is bracing

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<v Speaker 1>for its first major snow event this season. John stash

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<v Speaker 1>Allard swards the Giants got blown out by Philadelphia, the

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<v Speaker 1>Jets lost in Buffalo, the Nicks sacrament them. That's all

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<v Speaker 1>trading ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak on Bloomberg eleven three on

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<v Speaker 1>New York, Bloomberg one, Washington, d C, Bloomberg one oh

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<v Speaker 1>six one, Boston, Bloomberg nine sixties and Francisco Syrius XM

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<v Speaker 1>one nine team and around the world Old on Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Radio dot Com and via the Bloomberg Business app. Good Morning,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Nathan Hagar, and I'm Karen Moscow and US DOT

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<v Speaker 1>index futures are on the rise this morning. It is

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<v Speaker 1>five oh one on Wall Street, and we check the

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<v Speaker 1>markets all day long year at bloomberg S and P

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<v Speaker 1>futures up seven points or two tenths of a percent,

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<v Speaker 1>Dow futures up forty one points or a tenth of

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<v Speaker 1>a percent, and NASDAIC futures are up twenty eight points

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<v Speaker 1>or a quarter percent. The decks in Germany is down

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<v Speaker 1>at tenth of a percent, and the tenure Treasury is

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<v Speaker 1>up ten thirty seconds here three point five four percent,

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<v Speaker 1>yield on the two year four point three two percent.

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<v Speaker 1>Nathan Karen, we begin this morning with a big week

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<v Speaker 1>for central bank decisions, both here and abroad. Let's get

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<v Speaker 1>a preview from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. Are you ready for risk?

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<v Speaker 1>We have a host of major market moving events this week. Tuesday,

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<v Speaker 1>us c P I will weigh on investors views of

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<v Speaker 1>what the Fed will and has to do. Wednesday, the

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<v Speaker 1>Fed will tell us not just a rate move, but

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<v Speaker 1>new economic forecasts and a new dot plot. How high

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<v Speaker 1>do they think US interest rates have to go? How

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<v Speaker 1>high will they have to go in Europe? Well, Thursday,

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<v Speaker 1>all eyes turned to the ECB, which will also be

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<v Speaker 1>moving rates up and offering new forecasts. What kind of

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<v Speaker 1>recession will they see? The Bank of England has already

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<v Speaker 1>forecast contraction, but with inflation high, they are expected to

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<v Speaker 1>raise rates again on Thursday. The question on thread Needle Street,

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<v Speaker 1>when do they stop? Michael McKie blue Berg Daybreak A

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<v Speaker 1>ry Michael, thank you well so far the juries out

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<v Speaker 1>and whether central banks are winning the war on inflation?

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<v Speaker 1>But Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is optimistic. She says prices

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<v Speaker 1>should be much lower by the end of next year.

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<v Speaker 1>As long as there aren't any unexpected shocks to the economy,

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<v Speaker 1>I believe inflation will be lower. Um. I am very

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<v Speaker 1>hopeful that the labor market will remain quite healthy so

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<v Speaker 1>that people can feel good about their finances. In an

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<v Speaker 1>interview with CBS IS sixty minutes, Secretary Yellen said ending

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<v Speaker 1>Russia's war in Ukraine would be the single best thing

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<v Speaker 1>for the global economy. She says US support for Ukraine

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<v Speaker 1>will continue, quote as long as it takes. We're doing

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<v Speaker 1>everything we can to bring this war to a conclusion.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, we're providing considerable help um to Ukraine, both

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<v Speaker 1>military and economic, and listeners in Washington can hear sixty

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<v Speaker 1>minutes from CBS Sunday nights at ten on Bloomberg. Support

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<v Speaker 1>for Ukraine will be high on the agenda, Karen, when

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<v Speaker 1>Group of seven leaders meet virtually today. The White House

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<v Speaker 1>says President Biden spoke with Ukrainian President vladimir's Lensky last

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<v Speaker 1>night to underscore his support. The US has promised thirty

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<v Speaker 1>eight billion dollars in military aid and delivered thirteen billion

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<v Speaker 1>in direct aid to Ukraine so far. Meantime, Nathan, the

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<v Speaker 1>US will send a delegation to China on the coming days.

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<v Speaker 1>The move follows up on President Biden's meeting with Chinese

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<v Speaker 1>President Sheijin, paying last month that at the G twenty,

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<v Speaker 1>the two countries have plenty of disagreements, including over Taiwan

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<v Speaker 1>and US moves to limit China's economic and technological influence.

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<v Speaker 1>We have moves on a Capitol Hills response to last

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<v Speaker 1>year's insurrection, Karen. The January six Committee has taken another

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<v Speaker 1>step on its way to producing its final report, with

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<v Speaker 1>a new subcommittee meeting. Bloomberg's Backster reports. The stated purpose

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<v Speaker 1>of the meeting possible prosecution on criminal charges coming out

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<v Speaker 1>of the insurrection. Congressman Adam Schiff on CBS has heard

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<v Speaker 1>here on Bloomberg. I think we're all certainly an agreement

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<v Speaker 1>that there is evidence of criminality here shifts as a

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<v Speaker 1>committee has been able to provide very important information to

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<v Speaker 1>the d o J. But just as important, I think

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<v Speaker 1>it makes an important statement, not a political one, but

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<v Speaker 1>a statement about the evidence of an attack on the

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<v Speaker 1>institutions for democracy and the peaceful transfer of power. Less

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<v Speaker 1>than two weeks until the curtain comes down in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Gay Break, all right, and thank

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<v Speaker 1>you all. Turning to the markets now, we have a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of deals to kick off the week in at

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<v Speaker 1>one in the biotech industry. Let me get the latest

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<v Speaker 1>live with the Bloomberg Steve Rappaport, Good morning, Steve, the

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Karen and Nathan Mgen plans to buy Horizon

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<v Speaker 1>Therapeutics at a valuation of twenty six billion dollars in

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<v Speaker 1>what would be its largest acquisition to date, sources telling

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News, the biotech giant offered about one sixteen dollars

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<v Speaker 1>for each Horizon share. Horizon stock closing Friday at ninety

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<v Speaker 1>seven dollars and twenty seven cents shares jumping more than

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<v Speaker 1>eleven percent this morning in pre market trading. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>a done deal yet, though people familiar with the matters

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<v Speaker 1>say negotiations could still fall apart. Live to New York.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Steve, thank you,

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<v Speaker 1>And we also have an acquisition involving Microsoft. The company

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<v Speaker 1>has agreed to buy a steak in the London Stock

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<v Speaker 1>Exchange Group. The deal gives Microsoft a four percent equity

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<v Speaker 1>holding as part of a new long term strategic partnership

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<v Speaker 1>stakes part of a broader tenure agreement to help the

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<v Speaker 1>London Stock Exchange owner developed data, analytics and cloud infrastructure

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<v Speaker 1>using Microsoft's products. We'll staying in London now, Nathan. We

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<v Speaker 1>have a couple of major storage that this morning centered

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<v Speaker 1>on the UK economy. There's fresh growth data from the

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<v Speaker 1>UK as the country grapples with widespread strikes. Let's go

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<v Speaker 1>to London and get the latest, Live with Bloomberg's James

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<v Speaker 1>wild Clock. Good morning, James, Good morning from a frosty UK. Karen.

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<v Speaker 1>The economy here expanded north point five percent in October

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<v Speaker 1>as business recovered output loft in public holidays after the

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<v Speaker 1>death of the Queen. But with strikes across the country

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<v Speaker 1>affecting health, transport and education, the outlook is much grimmer.

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<v Speaker 1>You can already see that in hospitality, with pubs and

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<v Speaker 1>restaurants saying Christmas party bookings are as bad as they

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<v Speaker 1>were during COVID as people canceled due to rail strikes.

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<v Speaker 1>The UK government is meeting this morning to discuss sending

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<v Speaker 1>in the army to fill in for workers walking out

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<v Speaker 1>in London. James Wilcock, Bloomberg, day break, All right, James,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you. And in banking news this morning, Reuter's is

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<v Speaker 1>reporting the Morgan Stanley plans to cut investment bankers annual

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<v Speaker 1>bonuses in Asia by as much as fifty percent this year.

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<v Speaker 1>Scale the cuts and its Asia business could possibly reuplicated

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<v Speaker 1>in the US and Europe, according to this report. Local

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<v Speaker 1>headlines in the check of Sports. Next, this is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>So five oh seven on Wall Street, we had thirty

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<v Speaker 1>two degrees in central parks. It's gonna stay Shuly today

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<v Speaker 1>in the sunshine, highs only near forty degrees, and we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna get down to the upper twenties tonight. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>winter's bringing. Amy Morris for look what else is going

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<v Speaker 1>on in New York and around the world. Good morning Amy,

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning Nathan. More than thirty years after the bombing

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<v Speaker 1>of pan amp Like one oh three over lockerby Scotland

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<v Speaker 1>that killed two hundred seventy people, including thirty eight New

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<v Speaker 1>Jersey residents, a suspect is in US custody. Bert Ammerman's

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<v Speaker 1>brother Tom from New Jersey, says there's just no closure.

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<v Speaker 1>The two daughters at the Times six and four wife.

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<v Speaker 1>He was thirty six young. He didn't get to live

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<v Speaker 1>his life. The suspect is expected to make a court

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<v Speaker 1>appearance in Washington, d c. On criminal federal charges. New

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<v Speaker 1>York subway officials are looking to avoid a budget disaster.

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<v Speaker 1>The Metropolitan Transportation Authority says it could face a budget

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<v Speaker 1>gap of nearly three billion dollars by The New York

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<v Speaker 1>Times reports they're considering raising the transit systems base fair

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of times by just over three dollars. It

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<v Speaker 1>would be the first time they've talked about raising fairs

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<v Speaker 1>since the pandemic began. Forecasters say up to five inches

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<v Speaker 1>of snow could fall on parts of northwestern New Jersey today.

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<v Speaker 1>It is the first major snow event of the season.

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<v Speaker 1>Governor Phil Murphy cautioned motorists to be careful when driving

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<v Speaker 1>north of It's, where a wintry mix of snow and

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<v Speaker 1>ice is expected. It is the largest oil spill in

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<v Speaker 1>Keystone Pipeline history, more than five eighty eight thousand gallons

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<v Speaker 1>of crude. Officials say they've got the spill contained for now.

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<v Speaker 1>Warren Martin is the executive director of Kansas Strong, a

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<v Speaker 1>nonprofit organization that educates people about the oil and gas industry.

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<v Speaker 1>Spill is a little bit different than some of the

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<v Speaker 1>past pipeline spills because it involves a body of water,

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<v Speaker 1>and so it's not real certain how the e p

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<v Speaker 1>A Is going to respond to that. They have to

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<v Speaker 1>approve starting back up the pipeline, and so there's a

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<v Speaker 1>remediing Asian process that takes place to clean up all

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<v Speaker 1>the oil to analyze the pipeline. Industry insiders believe the

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<v Speaker 1>pipe will be up and running around December twentie. NASA's

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<v Speaker 1>Orion spacecraft splashed down in the Pacific Ocean off the

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<v Speaker 1>coast of Mexico yesterday, bringing a successful and to a

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five day test flight that sent the uncrewed vehicle

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<v Speaker 1>around the Moon and back to Earth. Artimist one helps

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<v Speaker 1>pave the way for NASA's program to return humans to

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<v Speaker 1>the surface of the Moon. Global News twenty four hours

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<v Speaker 1>a day on airand on Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by

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<v Speaker 1>more than twenty d journalists and analysts in more than

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred twenty countries. I'm Amy Morris. This is Bloomberg,

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<v Speaker 1>Nathan Okay, Amy, thank you. Grown up to five ten

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<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street time for the Bloomberg Sports Update, brought

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<v Speaker 1>to you by Trice State OUTI. Good morning, John Stowns,

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning Nathan. Everyone knew it was going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a tough Sunday for the Jets and Giants, and sure

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<v Speaker 1>enough both teams lost. Jets were in it in Buffalo.

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<v Speaker 1>Defense again played well, but for the second straight week,

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<v Speaker 1>the offense pouced only one touchdown the Bills one twenty

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<v Speaker 1>to twelve. Mike White in defeat seven of forty four.

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<v Speaker 1>He took a beating twice said to leave after the game.

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<v Speaker 1>White went to the hospital for for crostionary measures with

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<v Speaker 1>injured ribs. Jet bright Spot was rookie running Backsnovan ninety

0:10:13.840 --> 0:10:16.800
<v Speaker 1>games seventy one yard scored the Jets only touchdown as

0:10:16.880 --> 0:10:20.280
<v Speaker 1>for the Giants never ended at MetLife Philadelphia, with touchdowns

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<v Speaker 1>on the first three possessions and a Giant's illegal punt

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<v Speaker 1>didn't help things. Final was forty eight to twenty two,

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<v Speaker 1>most points the Eagles have scored in a road game

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<v Speaker 1>against the Giants since nineteen seventy one. Philly now in

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<v Speaker 1>NFL best twelve and one, six and oh on the road,

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<v Speaker 1>while Brian Dabele's Giants winless in their last four games.

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<v Speaker 1>You're winning, it's five. When you're losing this humbling. Um

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<v Speaker 1>lose like this, you own it it. Don't make any excuses.

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<v Speaker 1>They played well. Um, when we get to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>have an opportunity to get ready and and play a

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<v Speaker 1>big game on Sunday night. Yeah, that's a game in Washington.

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<v Speaker 1>Those two teams are tied, vying with Seattle for two

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<v Speaker 1>wild card spots, getting some help yesterday when Seattle lost

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<v Speaker 1>at home to Carolina. Next day, Hot their fourth win

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<v Speaker 1>in a row. They've played great defense and all four

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<v Speaker 1>at the Garden they beat. Sacramento is a good team

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<v Speaker 1>this year. One nine nine R J Barrett, Julius Randall

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<v Speaker 1>both with twenty seven points, all of those for Randall

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<v Speaker 1>coming the first half. He got ejected in the second half,

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<v Speaker 1>picking up a couple of technicals. Low scoring Battle of

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<v Speaker 1>New Jersey seating All forty five Rutgers forty three. No

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<v Speaker 1>one either team scored more than ten points. Both teams

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<v Speaker 1>are six and four. Paul Silas has passed away at

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<v Speaker 1>the age of seventy nine. Played sixteen NBA seasons, won

0:11:30.920 --> 0:11:33.520
<v Speaker 1>two championships in Boston. Was later a long time NBA

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<v Speaker 1>coach John stash Were Bloomberg Sports Nathan all Right, John,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you. Bloomberg Sports is brought to you. Buy OUTI

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<v Speaker 1>right now up seven points down, futures up forty eight

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0:11:59.120 --> 0:12:03.439
<v Speaker 1>three percent. It's five twelve on Wall Street. This is

0:12:03.600 --> 0:12:07.160
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak. At the start of a very busy week

0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:11.200
<v Speaker 1>for investors and for central banks. We are joined live

0:12:11.320 --> 0:12:14.440
<v Speaker 1>this morning by Lori Calvacina, the head of US equity

0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:18.520
<v Speaker 1>strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Lori, it's great to speak

0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:21.880
<v Speaker 1>with you this morning ahead of a very busy week

0:12:22.040 --> 0:12:24.599
<v Speaker 1>for central banks. You've got the FED on Wednesday and

0:12:24.600 --> 0:12:28.160
<v Speaker 1>then a bunch of other decisions on Thursday. What kind

0:12:28.240 --> 0:12:31.920
<v Speaker 1>of market reaction are you expecting from what we could

0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:35.000
<v Speaker 1>see from the central bankers this week? All right, well,

0:12:35.040 --> 0:12:37.199
<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me as always naked. Um. Look, I

0:12:37.280 --> 0:12:38.760
<v Speaker 1>think you know, the sort of the decision by the

0:12:38.800 --> 0:12:41.000
<v Speaker 1>FED is pretty well understood at this point, but I

0:12:41.120 --> 0:12:44.240
<v Speaker 1>think there's always equity investors are a tune to what

0:12:44.400 --> 0:12:47.640
<v Speaker 1>the commentary is and sort of the color on where

0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:50.599
<v Speaker 1>things are going forward. And as I talked to investors,

0:12:51.080 --> 0:12:53.439
<v Speaker 1>you know, I really do sense that they would like

0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:55.319
<v Speaker 1>to be talking about something other than the FED in

0:12:56.120 --> 0:12:58.600
<v Speaker 1>three so they would like to know I really kind

0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:00.720
<v Speaker 1>of you know that we're we're still silt set on set,

0:13:01.040 --> 0:13:04.480
<v Speaker 1>closer to the end than the beginning of this hiking cycle. Um.

0:13:04.559 --> 0:13:07.200
<v Speaker 1>I think if you get anything less, any advocation otherwise,

0:13:07.280 --> 0:13:08.960
<v Speaker 1>I think that we are going to see rocky markets,

0:13:09.000 --> 0:13:11.040
<v Speaker 1>and I do worry that, you know, we we do

0:13:11.160 --> 0:13:13.959
<v Speaker 1>see a federal reserve that doesn't like having seen equity

0:13:14.000 --> 0:13:16.040
<v Speaker 1>markets recovered as much as they have, and so there's

0:13:16.080 --> 0:13:17.880
<v Speaker 1>always the risk in my mind that the FED could

0:13:17.880 --> 0:13:19.800
<v Speaker 1>try to talk things down a bit. Well, a lot

0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:21.400
<v Speaker 1>of the talk we've been hearing from the FED up

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:23.040
<v Speaker 1>two now is that rates are going to have to

0:13:23.120 --> 0:13:26.040
<v Speaker 1>stay higher for longer. Do you think the market has

0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:30.040
<v Speaker 1>gotten that message. I think the market has gotten that message,

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:32.320
<v Speaker 1>but it is still a debate of exactly how high

0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:35.240
<v Speaker 1>and exactly how long. Um So I think, you know,

0:13:35.320 --> 0:13:38.240
<v Speaker 1>there is still some uncertainty in investors mind at exactly

0:13:38.320 --> 0:13:39.800
<v Speaker 1>what the right level is. And I'll just give you

0:13:39.840 --> 0:13:41.840
<v Speaker 1>a good, you know, good example, and this is more

0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:43.559
<v Speaker 1>on inflation than rates. But I was not talking to

0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:46.439
<v Speaker 1>investors in Europe last week, and I found generally that

0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:48.719
<v Speaker 1>most people are thinking of an inflation rate that's stay

0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:51.760
<v Speaker 1>sticky in the US and around four percent, which seems

0:13:51.800 --> 0:13:53.640
<v Speaker 1>a bit higher than what I've heard from talking to

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:55.960
<v Speaker 1>US based investors. So I do think there is still

0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:58.199
<v Speaker 1>some room for debate and room for the market to

0:13:58.280 --> 0:14:00.439
<v Speaker 1>really try to figure out some of those issues in

0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:03.360
<v Speaker 1>terms of specific levels going forward. So that is interesting

0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 1>because we did get the commentary just last night broadcast

0:14:06.720 --> 0:14:10.000
<v Speaker 1>on sixty minutes from Treasury Secretary Janet Yelling with her

0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:14.400
<v Speaker 1>expectation that inflation could drop pretty significantly by the end

0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:17.319
<v Speaker 1>of next year. What's it gonna take for that to

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:21.520
<v Speaker 1>filter into this market? You know, I think that that

0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 1>is something that equity markets would very much like to see.

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 1>And I think that, you know, I I sort of

0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:28.400
<v Speaker 1>told the investors I spoke with last week. I've talked

0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:30.320
<v Speaker 1>to plenty of investors in the US have been doing

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:32.720
<v Speaker 1>the work on different inputs of inflation, different things that

0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:36.320
<v Speaker 1>are associated with inflation, different leading indicators of inflation, trying

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:38.360
<v Speaker 1>to make the taste that things have been peaking and

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:41.120
<v Speaker 1>that things are set to moderate. Um. So again, I

0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:43.040
<v Speaker 1>think it's it's starting to get there. But I think

0:14:43.080 --> 0:14:45.160
<v Speaker 1>it really is just a question of getting into the

0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:48.280
<v Speaker 1>new year and really seeing that said rhetorics start to

0:14:48.360 --> 0:14:50.440
<v Speaker 1>shift in a more significant way. Of course, we're going

0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:53.040
<v Speaker 1>to get one last read on inflation tomorrow and the

0:14:53.120 --> 0:14:56.400
<v Speaker 1>consumer price index before the FED decision. You're expecting any

0:14:56.680 --> 0:15:00.280
<v Speaker 1>market volatility off the back of the CPI print. I

0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:04.320
<v Speaker 1>think unfortunately. UM, there's always some market volatility, either heading

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:06.840
<v Speaker 1>in or coming after. And I will tell you, Nathan,

0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:08.200
<v Speaker 1>I think that we're just at a time in the

0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:11.320
<v Speaker 1>year when nerves are really thin, people are a little

0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:14.200
<v Speaker 1>bit on edge, and there's tremendous amount concerned about the

0:15:14.240 --> 0:15:17.200
<v Speaker 1>outlook for three. So in general, when I'm looking at

0:15:17.280 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of these bigger, you know, sort of news events,

0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking at them, you know, it's more of potential

0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:24.880
<v Speaker 1>sources of reasons for investors to take profits and things

0:15:24.920 --> 0:15:28.640
<v Speaker 1>to sell off. In terms of twenty three, you mentioned

0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:31.640
<v Speaker 1>earlier that markets would like to be speaking about anything

0:15:31.800 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 1>other than the FED in three. What are you looking

0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 1>at in terms of other catalysts that they could move

0:15:38.720 --> 0:15:43.200
<v Speaker 1>markets and affect your outlook into the next year. Well,

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:45.120
<v Speaker 1>you know what was really interesting May than last week

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:47.400
<v Speaker 1>I heard a lot about recent dollar weakness, and again

0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:50.360
<v Speaker 1>I was talking about for the European based investors UM,

0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 1>and then I was also hearing you know, a fair

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:56.000
<v Speaker 1>amount about China reopening that story UM, and also just

0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:58.640
<v Speaker 1>the idea that Europe has been out performing the US.

0:15:59.200 --> 0:16:01.360
<v Speaker 1>So I think those are potentially you know, sort of

0:16:01.440 --> 0:16:04.600
<v Speaker 1>new themes that investors could continue to gravitate towards next year.

0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:05.880
<v Speaker 1>But I have to tell you, if you think about

0:16:05.920 --> 0:16:09.760
<v Speaker 1>the US versus Europe, the US still looks extremely expensive. UM.

0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:12.320
<v Speaker 1>So we're basically looking for a flat market next year.

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:16.200
<v Speaker 1>And I view that issue of expensive US valuations versus

0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 1>Europe is just another overhang at headwinds that you excualies

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:22.120
<v Speaker 1>have to contend with. What are you looking for in

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:25.080
<v Speaker 1>terms of earnings for next year? We got a couple

0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:29.800
<v Speaker 1>of notes just overnight, UH with the idea that earnings

0:16:29.880 --> 0:16:32.880
<v Speaker 1>revisions may need to come down even further next year.

0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:37.080
<v Speaker 1>Could that be a potential headwind for stocks? I think so.

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>I think it is a complicated matter. We are at

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:42.400
<v Speaker 1>one which is well below the bottom up insensus, which

0:16:42.400 --> 0:16:44.520
<v Speaker 1>has still been tracking up round two thirty to thirty

0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:47.400
<v Speaker 1>one UM, and we have seen some strategists are down

0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:50.880
<v Speaker 1>in our neighborhood. Others are looking for more flattish type earnings. UM.

0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:53.640
<v Speaker 1>I do think that that is a headwind simply because

0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 1>it creates volatility and individual stocks investors need certainty on

0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:01.360
<v Speaker 1>multiples before they're comfortable coming into By that being said,

0:17:01.400 --> 0:17:04.400
<v Speaker 1>we do typically see that most cuts and percentage terms

0:17:04.440 --> 0:17:07.600
<v Speaker 1>are completed by April in most years of earning downgrades.

0:17:07.600 --> 0:17:09.520
<v Speaker 1>And additionally, if you look at the rate of revisions

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:11.920
<v Speaker 1>to the upside, we typically see that the SMP five

0:17:12.000 --> 0:17:16.160
<v Speaker 1>hundred bottoms three to six months before estimates on individual

0:17:16.240 --> 0:17:19.520
<v Speaker 1>companies stopped going down. So I think it's something that

0:17:19.600 --> 0:17:22.040
<v Speaker 1>adds to volatility that need to reduce forecast. But I

0:17:22.160 --> 0:17:24.399
<v Speaker 1>don't think it necessarily tells us we have to make

0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:25.960
<v Speaker 1>a new low in the first half of the year.

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:29.400
<v Speaker 1>I want to get more on what's affecting your outlook

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:31.680
<v Speaker 1>for the next year. Of course, it's something that a

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:34.960
<v Speaker 1>lot of analysts are talking about the expectation for what

0:17:35.160 --> 0:17:38.720
<v Speaker 1>investments could do in three So we're going to continue

0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 1>this conversation with Lori Calvacina, the Ahead of US Equity

0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:46.119
<v Speaker 1>strategy at RBC Capital Markets, in just the next few minutes.

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:48.600
<v Speaker 1>So stay with us here on Bloomberg day Break. Right now,

0:17:48.800 --> 0:17:51.879
<v Speaker 1>SMP futures are higher by seven points, down futures of

0:17:52.000 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 1>forty Nasdaq futures on the rise by twenty six points

0:17:55.680 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 1>this morning, and you're listening to Bloomberg day Break, markets

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.480
<v Speaker 1>headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at

0:18:05.560 --> 0:18:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Com. The Bloomberg business outland at Bloomberg quick tape.

0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:18.719
<v Speaker 1>This is a Bloomberg business lash and I'm Karen Moscow

0:18:18.800 --> 0:18:21.440
<v Speaker 1>and US DOT index futures are higher this morning. The

0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 1>dollar are racing in advance at the start of a

0:18:23.720 --> 0:18:27.320
<v Speaker 1>pivotal week for monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve,

0:18:27.400 --> 0:18:30.320
<v Speaker 1>European Central Bank and a host of their peers. We

0:18:30.440 --> 0:18:33.080
<v Speaker 1>checked the markets all day long on Bloomberg radios and

0:18:33.119 --> 0:18:35.920
<v Speaker 1>P futures up about seven points of almost two tens

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:38.760
<v Speaker 1>of upper Cental futures up forty two points or a

0:18:38.800 --> 0:18:41.320
<v Speaker 1>tenth of upper cent, and nasday futures of twenty three

0:18:41.359 --> 0:18:43.920
<v Speaker 1>points or two tenths of upper cent. The decks in

0:18:44.000 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 1>Germany's down the most, two tenths of uppercent. Ten year

0:18:46.560 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 1>treasury up twelve thirty seconds. You have three point five

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:51.080
<v Speaker 1>three percent, and they yield on the two year four

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:54.040
<v Speaker 1>point three two percent. Nine next, Screwed oil is down

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:56.320
<v Speaker 1>six tenths per cent or forty cents, and seventy dollars

0:18:56.359 --> 0:18:58.560
<v Speaker 1>sixty two cents of arrol coll Max School there is

0:18:58.600 --> 0:19:00.639
<v Speaker 1>down four tenths per cent or seven oll There's fifty

0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:03.760
<v Speaker 1>cents and eighteen o three thirty announced the euro one

0:19:03.840 --> 0:19:06.359
<v Speaker 1>point oh five five nine against the dollar. British found

0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:08.840
<v Speaker 1>one point two two seven too. He had one thirty

0:19:08.920 --> 0:19:11.960
<v Speaker 1>six point seven zero and bitcoins down a tensive a

0:19:12.080 --> 0:19:15.359
<v Speaker 1>percent at about sixteen thousand, nine hundred dollars. And that's

0:19:15.400 --> 0:19:18.240
<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg business flash. Now here's Amy Morris with Moore

0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:20.560
<v Speaker 1>on what's going on around the world. Any good morning,

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:22.840
<v Speaker 1>all right, thank you, Karen. Good morning to you. Some

0:19:22.960 --> 0:19:25.160
<v Speaker 1>other news you'll need from around the world. O Libyan

0:19:25.200 --> 0:19:28.840
<v Speaker 1>man suspected in the ninety eight bombing a fan amp

0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:31.800
<v Speaker 1>like one oh three over Scotland is now in US custody.

0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:35.919
<v Speaker 1>A Department of Justice spokesperson says the alleged operative expected

0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:38.200
<v Speaker 1>to make an initial appearance in the U. S District

0:19:38.240 --> 0:19:41.080
<v Speaker 1>Court for the District of Columbia. The operator of the

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:45.160
<v Speaker 1>Keystone Pipeline system says they've finally gotten that breach under

0:19:45.240 --> 0:19:48.480
<v Speaker 1>control for now after spilling more than five d eighty

0:19:48.520 --> 0:19:52.480
<v Speaker 1>eight thousand gallons of crude into Mill Creek in Kansas.

0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:55.639
<v Speaker 1>And sports, the NFL Bills beat the Jets, Ravens and

0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:58.280
<v Speaker 1>forty Niners win, and in hockey the Caps and Bruins

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:00.719
<v Speaker 1>both win. Global news to win four hours a Day

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:03.320
<v Speaker 1>on errand on Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by more than

0:20:03.359 --> 0:20:05.879
<v Speaker 1>twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts in more than one

0:20:05.960 --> 0:20:10.200
<v Speaker 1>hundred twenty countries. I'm anymore is this is Bloomberg Nathan okay, Amy,

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:11.960
<v Speaker 1>thank you for coming up to five twenty four on

0:20:12.040 --> 0:20:15.399
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. I'm Nathan Hagar. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, and

0:20:15.440 --> 0:20:18.480
<v Speaker 1>Lorie Calvacina is back with us as promised head of

0:20:18.560 --> 0:20:22.560
<v Speaker 1>US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Laurie, I want

0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:26.399
<v Speaker 1>to get more on your view into three. We did

0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:29.520
<v Speaker 1>a survey here Bloomberg News just a few days ago

0:20:29.840 --> 0:20:34.159
<v Speaker 1>on the outlook, and seventy one percent of respondents you

0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:38.360
<v Speaker 1>got back to us said they see stocks rising in three,

0:20:38.520 --> 0:20:41.879
<v Speaker 1>the average around ten percent. They're thinking most of that

0:20:42.000 --> 0:20:45.080
<v Speaker 1>gain is going to happen in the second half. Is

0:20:45.200 --> 0:20:48.960
<v Speaker 1>that of you? You share? Hi? So, so listen. I

0:20:49.000 --> 0:20:52.000
<v Speaker 1>think it's a fantastic question. I think your survey respondents

0:20:52.000 --> 0:20:54.040
<v Speaker 1>are probably a little bit more optimistic from the south

0:20:54.080 --> 0:20:56.879
<v Speaker 1>side strategy community. I've been one of the more constructive

0:20:56.960 --> 0:21:00.359
<v Speaker 1>ones on the next one. Outlooks with her aready one

0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:02.399
<v Speaker 1>hundred target, which at the time we priced it was

0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 1>about a three percent game, so that was against late

0:21:04.640 --> 0:21:07.960
<v Speaker 1>November levels. But I will say the sort of view

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:09.920
<v Speaker 1>that markets are going to have a rocky start to

0:21:10.000 --> 0:21:11.680
<v Speaker 1>the year and do better in the second half of

0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 1>the year, that is a view I share, um But

0:21:13.840 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 1>one risk to that view is, frankly, that that is

0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:19.120
<v Speaker 1>also a pretty consensus view, not just among your survey respondents,

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:22.200
<v Speaker 1>but among the south side strategy community right now. Um. So,

0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:23.840
<v Speaker 1>I think we have to see how much of this

0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:26.639
<v Speaker 1>gets priced in in December. That's always something that happens

0:21:26.920 --> 0:21:28.600
<v Speaker 1>when we roll over into in the year, and of

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:30.320
<v Speaker 1>course we have to see what the new stories are

0:21:30.440 --> 0:21:31.959
<v Speaker 1>for the next year. But I do think we've got,

0:21:32.359 --> 0:21:34.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, some issues to work through. Ultimately, I do

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 1>think markets will be on stronger footing at the end

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:38.119
<v Speaker 1>of the year, but we've got a little bit of

0:21:38.119 --> 0:21:39.920
<v Speaker 1>work to do to get there. I guess some of

0:21:40.000 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the issues I can think of to work through would

0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 1>include the war in Ukraine and how the reopening in

0:21:45.040 --> 0:21:47.120
<v Speaker 1>China is going to work out. What are some other

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:51.160
<v Speaker 1>potential head wins. Do you see those as major headwinds

0:21:51.240 --> 0:21:54.280
<v Speaker 1>for this market? You know, I do see a Russia

0:21:54.359 --> 0:21:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine is a major overhanging you know, I think I'm

0:21:56.800 --> 0:21:59.480
<v Speaker 1>still digesting what's going on in China in terms of

0:21:59.520 --> 0:22:03.440
<v Speaker 1>how that that impacts US equity markets. But the reality

0:22:03.560 --> 0:22:05.760
<v Speaker 1>is that if you put those political issues aside, we've

0:22:05.800 --> 0:22:07.680
<v Speaker 1>got plenty of other issues. Um. I think you know,

0:22:07.720 --> 0:22:10.159
<v Speaker 1>as I mentioned in the last segment, the US doesn't

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:13.880
<v Speaker 1>look cheap right now, um, not just versus European equities,

0:22:13.920 --> 0:22:15.879
<v Speaker 1>but also we don't really look that appealing in the

0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:18.560
<v Speaker 1>US equity market relative to bonds. And I will say

0:22:18.600 --> 0:22:20.840
<v Speaker 1>that is something you know that just about any sort

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:23.800
<v Speaker 1>of crocess that indicator that I can run, I simply

0:22:23.840 --> 0:22:25.920
<v Speaker 1>don't see a compelling case through US equities at this

0:22:26.040 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 1>moment in time. And we've seen that in the past

0:22:28.160 --> 0:22:32.119
<v Speaker 1>that has impacted money clothed into the respect about st classes. Um.

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:33.879
<v Speaker 1>So I think that's one big issue we've got. I

0:22:33.960 --> 0:22:37.080
<v Speaker 1>think another issue, you know, sort of related to earnings.

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:39.160
<v Speaker 1>But I think just the onsete of a more challenging

0:22:39.200 --> 0:22:42.639
<v Speaker 1>economy is something that equity investors are going to have

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:45.639
<v Speaker 1>difficulty dealing with. Because we have been talking about the

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:49.119
<v Speaker 1>idea of consumer and corporate resilience for so long. I

0:22:49.200 --> 0:22:51.720
<v Speaker 1>think that's going to engender discussions about whether or not.

0:22:51.840 --> 0:22:54.399
<v Speaker 1>We're on the precess of a deeper, longer, more lasting,

0:22:55.240 --> 0:22:59.159
<v Speaker 1>durable type recession. And I'll just give you one sat Nathan. Historically,

0:22:59.280 --> 0:23:01.920
<v Speaker 1>when you're in at you know, sort of GDP environments

0:23:02.000 --> 0:23:05.200
<v Speaker 1>or zero to two percent in real terms on average

0:23:05.359 --> 0:23:08.040
<v Speaker 1>and on a medium basis, the pop market is flat.

0:23:08.160 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 1>So markets don't like that sort of very sluggish type

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:14.439
<v Speaker 1>growth environment that's anticipated right now if you look at

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:17.360
<v Speaker 1>consensus forecasts. No, it is going to be very interesting

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:20.280
<v Speaker 1>to see how the federal reserve outlook for next year

0:23:20.920 --> 0:23:25.080
<v Speaker 1>plays into what sell side and buy side strategists are thinking.

0:23:25.119 --> 0:23:29.159
<v Speaker 1>When it comes to Lori Calvacina as always great to

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:32.119
<v Speaker 1>get your thoughts, Thanks again for being with us. Lori Calvacina,

0:23:32.240 --> 0:23:37.320
<v Speaker 1>head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Right now,

0:23:37.800 --> 0:23:41.040
<v Speaker 1>SMP futures are up six points, down futures up forty five,

0:23:41.200 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 1>and NASTAC futures are higher by twenty one points. The

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:48.760
<v Speaker 1>tenure Treasury is up thirteen thirty seconds the three point

0:23:48.840 --> 0:23:51.520
<v Speaker 1>five three percent Ahead of this week's FED decision and

0:23:51.920 --> 0:23:55.040
<v Speaker 1>the inflation data. We'll get this morning's top stories and

0:23:55.119 --> 0:23:58.960
<v Speaker 1>local headlines straight ahead. First, a look at today's Bloomberg

0:23:59.040 --> 0:24:01.880
<v Speaker 1>Weather Forecast. Watch out for some slippery spots this morning,

0:24:01.920 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 1>well north and west of the city. It looks like

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:06.320
<v Speaker 1>drier weather's headed our way and cloudiness will be giving

0:24:06.359 --> 0:24:08.760
<v Speaker 1>way to sunshine. We'll climb up to about forty today,

0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:12.320
<v Speaker 1>clear skies Tonight the thirty downtown will be in the teens.

0:24:12.320 --> 0:24:15.400
<v Speaker 1>In the suburbs, sunshine Tomorrow, We're close to forty, clear

0:24:15.440 --> 0:24:18.320
<v Speaker 1>skies the thirty tomorrow night. High pressure will keep it

0:24:18.359 --> 0:24:21.760
<v Speaker 1>sunny through Wednesday, with heights around forty. I'm Rob Caroline

0:24:21.800 --> 0:24:24.320
<v Speaker 1>with your three day forecast on Bloomberg eleven three oh

0:24:27.440 --> 0:24:31.960
<v Speaker 1>broadcasting live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio in New York,

0:24:32.119 --> 0:24:36.719
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Elving Free to Washington, d C. Bloomberg nine to Boston,

0:24:36.880 --> 0:24:40.240
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg one O six one to San Francisco, Bloomberg nine

0:24:40.359 --> 0:24:43.160
<v Speaker 1>six to the country, Sirius XM to A one nine

0:24:43.200 --> 0:24:46.080
<v Speaker 1>te and around the globe, the Bloomberg Business apt and

0:24:46.200 --> 0:24:56.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. It's live

0:24:56.080 --> 0:24:58.320
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight on Wall Street. Good morning on Nathan Hagar

0:24:58.600 --> 0:25:00.840
<v Speaker 1>and I'm Karen Moscow and We're are just about four

0:25:00.920 --> 0:25:03.520
<v Speaker 1>hours away from the open of US trading. Let's get

0:25:03.560 --> 0:25:04.760
<v Speaker 1>you up to date on the news you need to

0:25:04.800 --> 0:25:07.600
<v Speaker 1>know at this hour. US futures are higher this morning

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:10.800
<v Speaker 1>as we enter a big week for central banks. The Fed,

0:25:10.960 --> 0:25:13.159
<v Speaker 1>ECB and Bank of England are is set to make

0:25:13.240 --> 0:25:16.240
<v Speaker 1>policy decisions Wednesday and Thursday, and when it comes to

0:25:16.280 --> 0:25:18.639
<v Speaker 1>the Fed, the Central Bank could be poised to shift

0:25:18.760 --> 0:25:21.359
<v Speaker 1>gears at least a little. And Bloomberg's Minny Deal Judais

0:25:21.400 --> 0:25:23.840
<v Speaker 1>has more. The Fed has been tightening in a big way,

0:25:23.920 --> 0:25:27.159
<v Speaker 1>winding up the last four meetings with jumbo seventy basis

0:25:27.240 --> 0:25:31.200
<v Speaker 1>point rate hikes to fight inflation. Higher rates risk of recession, though,

0:25:31.480 --> 0:25:34.560
<v Speaker 1>and economists see the Fed opting for smaller half point hikes,

0:25:34.840 --> 0:25:37.560
<v Speaker 1>mindful that efforts to steer the US economy could drive

0:25:37.600 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 1>it off the road. There's room for the Fed to

0:25:39.880 --> 0:25:43.440
<v Speaker 1>keep tightening. Data Friday showed November's producer price and BIXS

0:25:43.480 --> 0:25:47.359
<v Speaker 1>top forecast. Moreover, Wall Street anticipates this week's date on

0:25:47.560 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 1>US consumer prices will show no significant let up. An

0:25:50.560 --> 0:25:53.040
<v Speaker 1>eat del Judais, Bloomberg day break, all right, Vinny, thank you,

0:25:53.119 --> 0:25:55.200
<v Speaker 1>And the Treasury is weighing in on the inflation fight.

0:25:55.320 --> 0:25:58.439
<v Speaker 1>Secretary Janet Yellen is cautiously optimistic that the Fed can

0:25:58.520 --> 0:26:01.199
<v Speaker 1>win its battle against HIE. Prior says, I believed by

0:26:01.280 --> 0:26:03.480
<v Speaker 1>the end of next year, you will see which lower

0:26:03.560 --> 0:26:09.679
<v Speaker 1>inflation if there's not an anticipated shock. Treasury Secretary Janet

0:26:09.720 --> 0:26:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Yell until sixty minutes on CBS that she's seen positive signs,

0:26:13.400 --> 0:26:16.960
<v Speaker 1>including lower shipping costs and reduced lag times for deliveries.

0:26:17.280 --> 0:26:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Our listeners in Washington can hear sixty minutes Sunday nights

0:26:20.359 --> 0:26:24.000
<v Speaker 1>at ten on Bloomberg Well and Deal News. This morning,

0:26:24.119 --> 0:26:26.439
<v Speaker 1>Nathan am Jen is on the verge of making its

0:26:26.560 --> 0:26:29.200
<v Speaker 1>biggest deal ever. Let's get the latest live at the

0:26:29.200 --> 0:26:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Steve rapp Aboard, Good morning, Steve, Good morning, Karen,

0:26:32.640 --> 0:26:35.640
<v Speaker 1>and Nathan m Jen has reportedly agreed to buy Horizon

0:26:35.720 --> 0:26:39.200
<v Speaker 1>Therapeutics at evaluation of twenty six billion dollars. Assuming the

0:26:39.280 --> 0:26:42.640
<v Speaker 1>deal goes through, sources tell Bloomberg Nurse negotiations could still

0:26:42.720 --> 0:26:46.000
<v Speaker 1>fall apart. The biotech giant offered about one hundred sixteen

0:26:46.040 --> 0:26:48.960
<v Speaker 1>dollars for each year of Horizon, roughly twenty bucks higher

0:26:48.960 --> 0:26:52.040
<v Speaker 1>than the stocks closing price on Friday. Horizon chairs continue

0:26:52.080 --> 0:26:54.399
<v Speaker 1>to climb this morning in pre market trading now up

0:26:54.480 --> 0:26:58.320
<v Speaker 1>thirteen percent. Live in New York. I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak.

0:26:58.400 --> 0:27:00.159
<v Speaker 1>All right, Steve, thanks for that. And we also have

0:27:00.240 --> 0:27:03.840
<v Speaker 1>an acquisition this morning involving Microsoft, that companies agreed to

0:27:03.920 --> 0:27:07.240
<v Speaker 1>purchase a stake in the London Stock Exchange Group. The

0:27:07.320 --> 0:27:10.480
<v Speaker 1>deal gives Microsoft a four percent equity holding as part

0:27:10.520 --> 0:27:13.760
<v Speaker 1>of a new long term strategic partnership between the firms

0:27:14.240 --> 0:27:16.960
<v Speaker 1>and G and GEO Political news here Nathan, the US

0:27:17.040 --> 0:27:19.600
<v Speaker 1>will send a delegation to Shine on the coming days.

0:27:19.720 --> 0:27:22.399
<v Speaker 1>The move follows up on President Biden's meeting with Chinese

0:27:22.480 --> 0:27:25.760
<v Speaker 1>President Chi Jin Ping last month. At the G twenty

0:27:26.000 --> 0:27:27.960
<v Speaker 1>futures this morning are in the rise s and P

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:30.960
<v Speaker 1>futures up seven points, up about two tenths of upper

0:27:31.000 --> 0:27:33.720
<v Speaker 1>sent DAL future is a forty seven or a tenth

0:27:33.800 --> 0:27:36.200
<v Speaker 1>of upper cent, and nasday future is of twenty five

0:27:36.320 --> 0:27:39.000
<v Speaker 1>or two tenths of upper cent. Ten. Your treasury up

0:27:39.000 --> 0:27:41.439
<v Speaker 1>twelve thirty seconds. You know, three point five three percent

0:27:41.760 --> 0:27:44.440
<v Speaker 1>they yield on the two year four point three two percent.

0:27:44.880 --> 0:27:47.200
<v Speaker 1>Nine x Screwed oil is falling down six tents of

0:27:47.280 --> 0:27:49.960
<v Speaker 1>upper cent or forty one cents at seventy sixty one

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:52.480
<v Speaker 1>cents a barrel and comax s goold is down about

0:27:52.520 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 1>half percent. Straight to hand your latest local headlines plus

0:27:56.240 --> 0:28:04.200
<v Speaker 1>a check of sports, and this is Bloomberg. All right, Karen,

0:28:04.280 --> 0:28:06.560
<v Speaker 1>thank you. It is five thirty one on Wall Street,

0:28:06.640 --> 0:28:08.520
<v Speaker 1>and Amy Morris is here with a look at what's

0:28:08.520 --> 0:28:10.800
<v Speaker 1>going on in New York and around the world. Amy,

0:28:11.640 --> 0:28:15.000
<v Speaker 1>thank you. Nathan, President Biden and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.

0:28:15.040 --> 0:28:19.040
<v Speaker 1>Affirming US support for Ukraine, Yellin tells CBS is sixty minutes.

0:28:19.080 --> 0:28:22.240
<v Speaker 1>American support will continue, quote as long as it takes

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:26.000
<v Speaker 1>thing we can to bring this war to a conclusion.

0:28:26.680 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 1>Of course, we're providing considerable help um to Ukraine, both

0:28:32.960 --> 0:28:37.159
<v Speaker 1>military and economic. USS promised thirty eight billion dollars in

0:28:37.200 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 1>military aid and delivered thirteen billion dollars in direct aid

0:28:40.320 --> 0:28:43.280
<v Speaker 1>to Ukraine. Already, New York officials a broken ground on

0:28:43.360 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 1>a new Metro North line. Some are making way for

0:28:46.160 --> 0:28:49.880
<v Speaker 1>other projects. After announcing Penn Station Access will provide direct

0:28:49.920 --> 0:28:53.120
<v Speaker 1>train service from the Bronx to Manhattan's West Side, Senator

0:28:53.200 --> 0:28:56.000
<v Speaker 1>Chuck Schumer says he's still fighting to fund other major

0:28:56.120 --> 0:28:59.880
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure initiatives. New York is building the next generation of

0:29:00.040 --> 0:29:02.960
<v Speaker 1>our public transit system that is going to help keep

0:29:03.000 --> 0:29:05.400
<v Speaker 1>our city growing and includes the second phase of the

0:29:05.480 --> 0:29:08.280
<v Speaker 1>Second Avenue subway line to extend into Harlem and the

0:29:08.320 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 1>Gateway Project, which connects underground rail tunnels between New York

0:29:12.240 --> 0:29:16.800
<v Speaker 1>and New Jersey. New Haven's first adult used recreational marijuana

0:29:16.880 --> 0:29:21.120
<v Speaker 1>store is scheduled to open January. Affinity Health and Wellness

0:29:21.200 --> 0:29:24.920
<v Speaker 1>already operates a medicinal marijuana shop in Amity. The vast

0:29:25.160 --> 0:29:28.880
<v Speaker 1>majority of customers are expected to pre order marijuana products

0:29:29.120 --> 0:29:31.520
<v Speaker 1>then pick up the orders as they would at a pharmacy.

0:29:32.080 --> 0:29:35.640
<v Speaker 1>Members of the Marine Mammal Stranding Center yesterday buried the

0:29:35.760 --> 0:29:39.240
<v Speaker 1>carcass of a thirty foot humpback whale that washed ashore

0:29:39.320 --> 0:29:41.640
<v Speaker 1>on a New Jersey beach over the weekend. Because of

0:29:41.720 --> 0:29:44.160
<v Speaker 1>the state of decomposition, they were not able to determine

0:29:44.200 --> 0:29:46.120
<v Speaker 1>the cause of death. It was believed to have been

0:29:46.680 --> 0:29:50.000
<v Speaker 1>younger than ten years old. Global News twenty four hours

0:29:50.040 --> 0:29:52.520
<v Speaker 1>a day on air and on Bloomberg quick Take, powered

0:29:52.560 --> 0:29:55.520
<v Speaker 1>by more than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts in

0:29:55.600 --> 0:29:58.640
<v Speaker 1>more than one hundred twenty countries. I'm Amy Morris, This

0:29:58.920 --> 0:30:06.800
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg. Nathan thanks Amy five thirty three on Wall

0:30:06.840 --> 0:30:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Street time for the Bloomberg Sports up they brought to

0:30:08.880 --> 0:30:11.840
<v Speaker 1>you by Trice State outa John Steen show. All right, Nathan,

0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:15.720
<v Speaker 1>Jets and Giants pretty much same boat. Exceeded expectations much

0:30:15.760 --> 0:30:19.000
<v Speaker 1>of this season, but both now stuck on seven wins

0:30:19.080 --> 0:30:20.720
<v Speaker 1>and now very much in the battle for a wild

0:30:20.800 --> 0:30:22.880
<v Speaker 1>card playoff spot. The Jets and Buffalo trying to beat

0:30:22.920 --> 0:30:25.480
<v Speaker 1>the Bills for the second time. They won the stats,

0:30:25.560 --> 0:30:28.440
<v Speaker 1>more first downs, more possession time, They gained eighty seven

0:30:28.480 --> 0:30:31.400
<v Speaker 1>more yard but the Bills won twenty to twelve to

0:30:31.640 --> 0:30:35.440
<v Speaker 1>costly second half fumbles. For Robert Sala's team, defensive are

0:30:35.440 --> 0:30:38.440
<v Speaker 1>really nice job in both situations minimizing the damage, but

0:30:40.080 --> 0:30:44.320
<v Speaker 1>two turnovers are always gonna bey. When you lose turnover battle,

0:30:44.320 --> 0:30:46.160
<v Speaker 1>you're you're you're not giving yourself a chance to win

0:30:46.200 --> 0:30:48.320
<v Speaker 1>of for Polon, Jets have now lost three to last four,

0:30:48.360 --> 0:30:50.360
<v Speaker 1>all on the road. The next two games all right

0:30:50.360 --> 0:30:53.600
<v Speaker 1>against Detroit and Jacksonville, and those teams are much improved.

0:30:53.640 --> 0:30:56.280
<v Speaker 1>The Lions just beat the Vikings. Detroit's won five the

0:30:56.400 --> 0:30:59.280
<v Speaker 1>last six. The Jaguars just beat Tennessee by two touchdowns.

0:30:59.560 --> 0:31:02.080
<v Speaker 1>That John It's next Day next Sunday night in Washington.

0:31:02.160 --> 0:31:04.720
<v Speaker 1>That game, although a long way in determining whether they

0:31:04.760 --> 0:31:07.000
<v Speaker 1>make the flowoffs. The Giants winless in their last four

0:31:07.200 --> 0:31:10.880
<v Speaker 1>crushed at MetLife by Legally in Philadelphia forty eight to

0:31:11.040 --> 0:31:14.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty two. The Eagles scored six touchdowns kicked two field goals.

0:31:14.920 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 1>Big days for Jalen Hurds and Miles Sanders. The Eagles

0:31:17.920 --> 0:31:20.320
<v Speaker 1>are now twelve and one. The Cowboys are ten and three.

0:31:20.400 --> 0:31:23.479
<v Speaker 1>They nearly lost in what would have been a massive upset,

0:31:23.520 --> 0:31:26.560
<v Speaker 1>but Dallas scored late to beat Houston. Forty Niners stay

0:31:26.600 --> 0:31:29.440
<v Speaker 1>Hot blowout went over Tampa Bay. Tom Brady beaten by

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:32.880
<v Speaker 1>Brock Purdy was making his first NFL start at the Garden.

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:35.680
<v Speaker 1>Next Day Hot one or fourth Row one twelve ninety

0:31:35.760 --> 0:31:39.040
<v Speaker 1>nine over Sacramento. Rangers host The Devil's Tonight. John Stash

0:31:39.280 --> 0:31:41.960
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg Sports Nathan, Thank you, John and Bloomberg Sports

0:31:42.000 --> 0:31:43.880
<v Speaker 1>has brought to you by Autia. Don't let someone else

0:31:44.000 --> 0:31:46.600
<v Speaker 1>drive off in the outy model you've always wanted. Visit

0:31:46.640 --> 0:31:48.960
<v Speaker 1>your local Tri state autie dealer to get behind the

0:31:49.000 --> 0:31:51.760
<v Speaker 1>wheel of yours today, or visit outi Offers dot com

0:31:52.160 --> 0:31:55.480
<v Speaker 1>for more information. SMP futures right now up seven points down,

0:31:55.560 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 1>futures hired by fifty two and NASDAC futures on the

0:31:58.200 --> 0:32:03.080
<v Speaker 1>rise by twenty six points five on Wall Street time

0:32:03.120 --> 0:32:06.000
<v Speaker 1>for the Tri State Business report with Bloomberg's ed Corey

0:32:06.520 --> 0:32:09.480
<v Speaker 1>Barnberg is laid off about ten employees in New York,

0:32:09.800 --> 0:32:13.640
<v Speaker 1>the German investment banks grappling with the quiet deals market

0:32:13.720 --> 0:32:16.920
<v Speaker 1>these days. The staff work for Barrenberg's US unit, which

0:32:16.920 --> 0:32:20.200
<v Speaker 1>employs about eighty five people. In an emailed statement, as

0:32:20.240 --> 0:32:23.560
<v Speaker 1>spokesperson said most of them worked in support functions for

0:32:23.680 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 1>the four hundred thirty year old firm. G City, in

0:32:27.120 --> 0:32:30.640
<v Speaker 1>Israel based commercial real estate company has agreed to sell

0:32:30.720 --> 0:32:33.720
<v Speaker 1>Bridge Tower of building on Manhattan's Upper east Side for

0:32:33.760 --> 0:32:36.280
<v Speaker 1>about one hundred fifty three million dollars. It's part of

0:32:36.280 --> 0:32:39.520
<v Speaker 1>the group's strategic plan to sell non core assets. The

0:32:39.560 --> 0:32:42.160
<v Speaker 1>transaction price is similar to the value of the building

0:32:42.200 --> 0:32:45.480
<v Speaker 1>in the company's books. Cannabis licensees will no longer be

0:32:45.640 --> 0:32:49.000
<v Speaker 1>required to accept storefronts leased by the state, a move

0:32:49.080 --> 0:32:52.160
<v Speaker 1>applicants who want more control over their retail locations will like.

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:55.600
<v Speaker 1>According to The Times, cannabis regulators have scrapped a rule

0:32:55.720 --> 0:32:59.280
<v Speaker 1>requiring the state's first retail operators to accept storefronts as

0:32:59.320 --> 0:33:02.520
<v Speaker 1>signed by the government. That your Bloomberg Dry State Business Report.

0:33:02.600 --> 0:33:05.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm Ed Corey, alright, ed, thank you. It is five

0:33:05.120 --> 0:33:08.959
<v Speaker 1>thirty six on Wall Street. The following commentary is from

0:33:09.040 --> 0:33:14.080
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Opinion. How Republicans lost their House edge in mid terms.

0:33:14.440 --> 0:33:18.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm Justin Fox, the columnist for Bloomberg Opinion. Republican candidates

0:33:18.840 --> 0:33:21.200
<v Speaker 1>got about fifty one percent of the votes cast for

0:33:21.240 --> 0:33:23.920
<v Speaker 1>the House of Representatives in November and ended up with

0:33:24.000 --> 0:33:27.200
<v Speaker 1>about fifty one percent of House seats. Seems fair. No,

0:33:27.760 --> 0:33:30.120
<v Speaker 1>this is not how things worked from two thousand ten

0:33:30.240 --> 0:33:34.160
<v Speaker 1>through two thousand sixteen, when Republicans won much larger shares

0:33:34.240 --> 0:33:37.680
<v Speaker 1>of House seats than votes. The disconnect was most pronounced

0:33:37.720 --> 0:33:41.440
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand twelve, when democrats one point one percentage

0:33:41.480 --> 0:33:45.120
<v Speaker 1>point winning vote margin resulted in a seven point six

0:33:45.240 --> 0:33:49.600
<v Speaker 1>point loss in terms of seats. Jerrymandering after the two

0:33:49.680 --> 0:33:52.600
<v Speaker 1>thousand ten censes played a role in this, but political

0:33:52.720 --> 0:33:56.880
<v Speaker 1>scientists pointed out that Democrats were also just inefficiently distributed,

0:33:57.440 --> 0:34:01.040
<v Speaker 1>dominant in big cities but present in large if ultimately

0:34:01.160 --> 0:34:03.480
<v Speaker 1>losing minorities and much of the rest of the country.

0:34:04.280 --> 0:34:07.600
<v Speaker 1>Since Donald Trump was elected president in two thousand and sixteen,

0:34:07.960 --> 0:34:11.800
<v Speaker 1>this distribution is shifted and the Republican edge has dwindled.

0:34:12.400 --> 0:34:15.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm justin Fox. For more opinion, please go to Bloomberg

0:34:15.719 --> 0:34:18.480
<v Speaker 1>dot com, Slash Opinion or O P I n go

0:34:18.800 --> 0:34:22.600
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg Terminal. This has been Bloomberg Opinion. Listen

0:34:22.640 --> 0:34:26.400
<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg opinion editorials every weekday. At this time, terminal

0:34:26.480 --> 0:34:29.640
<v Speaker 1>customers can read more at O P I n go.

0:34:30.239 --> 0:34:32.719
<v Speaker 1>It's now five thirty eight on Wall Street. Stay with

0:34:32.880 --> 0:34:36.799
<v Speaker 1>us here on Bloomberg Daybreak for a conversation with Bloomberg's

0:34:36.880 --> 0:34:40.040
<v Speaker 1>read Stevenson. He's got the big Take story on the

0:34:40.080 --> 0:34:45.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Terminal this morning on Carlos Gone and the extraction

0:34:45.400 --> 0:34:48.279
<v Speaker 1>crew that just made its way out of custody in

0:34:48.400 --> 0:34:51.719
<v Speaker 1>Japan and is now looking for their due. Stay with

0:34:51.880 --> 0:34:54.640
<v Speaker 1>us for that ahead of it. SMP futures are up

0:34:54.680 --> 0:34:57.520
<v Speaker 1>seven points, staff futures up fifty five, Nasty futures up

0:34:57.520 --> 0:35:04.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight. This is Bloomberg Markets, headlines and breaking news

0:35:04.320 --> 0:35:06.920
<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com, the

0:35:06.960 --> 0:35:11.080
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg quicktake. This is a Bloomberg

0:35:11.200 --> 0:35:20.160
<v Speaker 1>business lash and I'm Karen Moscow. US not Index futures

0:35:20.200 --> 0:35:23.200
<v Speaker 1>moving higher this morning. The dollar are racing in advance

0:35:23.280 --> 0:35:25.800
<v Speaker 1>at the start of a pivotal week for monetary policy

0:35:25.880 --> 0:35:28.840
<v Speaker 1>decisions from the FED, the European Central Bank and a

0:35:28.920 --> 0:35:31.279
<v Speaker 1>host of their peers. We checked the markets all day long.

0:35:31.360 --> 0:35:34.520
<v Speaker 1>Here at Bloomberg SNP futures of eight points or two

0:35:34.600 --> 0:35:37.439
<v Speaker 1>tents of uppercent. Down futures are up about the same

0:35:37.480 --> 0:35:39.759
<v Speaker 1>of fifty eight points, and nastack futures have a quarter

0:35:39.840 --> 0:35:42.600
<v Speaker 1>percent or twenty nine points. The decks in Germany is

0:35:42.640 --> 0:35:45.280
<v Speaker 1>down about two tents of upper cent. Can your treasury

0:35:45.360 --> 0:35:47.680
<v Speaker 1>up twelve thirty seconds held three point five three percent.

0:35:47.760 --> 0:35:50.080
<v Speaker 1>They yield on the two year four point three two percent.

0:35:50.520 --> 0:35:52.759
<v Speaker 1>Nine x Scrude oil is down six tents percent or

0:35:52.800 --> 0:35:55.000
<v Speaker 1>forty three cents at seventy dollars fifty nine cents of

0:35:55.080 --> 0:35:57.760
<v Speaker 1>barrel comics gold is down half percent or nine dollars

0:35:57.800 --> 0:36:00.680
<v Speaker 1>thirty cents at eighteen o one fifty announced. The euro

0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:03.200
<v Speaker 1>one point oh five five nine against the dollar. British

0:36:03.239 --> 0:36:05.400
<v Speaker 1>found one point to two eight six the yen one

0:36:05.480 --> 0:36:08.880
<v Speaker 1>thirty six point seven three and that's a Bloomberg Business Flash.

0:36:08.920 --> 0:36:11.000
<v Speaker 1>Now here's Amy Morris with Moore on what's going on

0:36:11.120 --> 0:36:15.200
<v Speaker 1>around the world. Amy, thank you, Karen. Florida Governor rond

0:36:15.200 --> 0:36:17.840
<v Speaker 1>De Santis thanked some of his South Florida donors at

0:36:17.880 --> 0:36:20.680
<v Speaker 1>a closed door meeting. This was in Miami yesterday, where

0:36:20.719 --> 0:36:24.200
<v Speaker 1>sources tell Bloomberg News to Santis noted how his victory

0:36:24.520 --> 0:36:27.960
<v Speaker 1>could be a blueprint for Republicans in the future. Scientists

0:36:28.000 --> 0:36:31.200
<v Speaker 1>in California now say they've made a breakthrough in nuclear

0:36:31.360 --> 0:36:35.440
<v Speaker 1>fusion technology, producing more energy than consumed in a reaction

0:36:35.560 --> 0:36:37.960
<v Speaker 1>for the very first time. The achievement was made at

0:36:37.960 --> 0:36:41.480
<v Speaker 1>the U S Department of Energies Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

0:36:41.600 --> 0:36:45.000
<v Speaker 1>near San Francisco. In sports, in the NFL, the Bills

0:36:45.040 --> 0:36:47.719
<v Speaker 1>beat the Jets, Giants lost to the Eagles, Ravens and

0:36:47.800 --> 0:36:50.399
<v Speaker 1>forty Niners win. And hockey the Caps and Bruins win,

0:36:50.480 --> 0:36:53.399
<v Speaker 1>and the NBA the Knicks beat The King's Global News

0:36:53.480 --> 0:36:55.960
<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours a day on errand on Bloomberg Quicktake,

0:36:56.200 --> 0:36:59.120
<v Speaker 1>powered by more than twenty seven journalists and analysts in

0:36:59.160 --> 0:37:01.960
<v Speaker 1>more than one hundred money countries. I'm Amy Morris, and

0:37:02.160 --> 0:37:04.759
<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg. Nathan alright, Amy, thank you. It is

0:37:04.800 --> 0:37:08.040
<v Speaker 1>five forty two on Wall Street. This is Bloomberg Daybreak.

0:37:08.080 --> 0:37:11.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm Nathan Hagar alongside Karen Moscow. Take a look at

0:37:11.120 --> 0:37:13.919
<v Speaker 1>some of the other stories making news this morning. Wall

0:37:14.000 --> 0:37:16.600
<v Speaker 1>Streets focus this week will be on inflation data and

0:37:16.719 --> 0:37:19.840
<v Speaker 1>the Fed, but there are still a smattering of earnings

0:37:19.920 --> 0:37:23.440
<v Speaker 1>reports ahead. Let's get the details now from Bloomberg's Charlie p. Fellott.

0:37:23.640 --> 0:37:27.120
<v Speaker 1>Worries about how far central bankers will go to rain

0:37:27.239 --> 0:37:30.440
<v Speaker 1>in inflation have kept investors on edge, and there is

0:37:30.520 --> 0:37:34.480
<v Speaker 1>a great deal of uncertainty surrounding the earnings outlook. Kate

0:37:34.560 --> 0:37:37.640
<v Speaker 1>Moore's head of thematic strategy at black Rock. Really, no

0:37:37.800 --> 0:37:41.360
<v Speaker 1>one knows what earnings are gonna look like in I

0:37:41.440 --> 0:37:43.200
<v Speaker 1>feel bad for the analysts that have to put out

0:37:43.239 --> 0:37:46.800
<v Speaker 1>forecast when the uncertainty factor is so incredibly high and

0:37:47.239 --> 0:37:50.760
<v Speaker 1>you can't make either evaluation or at earnings argument. Among

0:37:50.840 --> 0:37:55.400
<v Speaker 1>this week's earnings reports are Accenture, Adobe, and Oracle in

0:37:55.600 --> 0:37:59.759
<v Speaker 1>New York. Charlie Pellot Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Charlie, thank you.

0:37:59.800 --> 0:38:03.759
<v Speaker 1>A two prominent strategists are warning about future profit downgrades.

0:38:03.840 --> 0:38:06.719
<v Speaker 1>Morgan Samley's Mike Wilson and David Coston at Goleman SAX

0:38:06.800 --> 0:38:10.400
<v Speaker 1>say earnings could contract more than expected next year. They

0:38:10.440 --> 0:38:13.200
<v Speaker 1>say emergens could come under increased pressure and provide a

0:38:13.200 --> 0:38:16.680
<v Speaker 1>difficult backdrop for equities. Both Wilson and cost and see

0:38:16.680 --> 0:38:20.200
<v Speaker 1>a tough start for stocks I meantime, across the pond,

0:38:20.280 --> 0:38:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Care and Fresh data show the UK economy expanded in October.

0:38:23.600 --> 0:38:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Businesses managed to recover output lost following the death of

0:38:26.640 --> 0:38:29.880
<v Speaker 1>Queen Elizabeth. The second Gross domestic product rows five tenths

0:38:29.920 --> 0:38:33.120
<v Speaker 1>percent from September, which included an extra public holiday for

0:38:33.160 --> 0:38:35.560
<v Speaker 1>the Queen's funeral and a period of national morning. But

0:38:35.640 --> 0:38:39.000
<v Speaker 1>when you look on a quarterly basis, GDP shrank three

0:38:39.120 --> 0:38:42.400
<v Speaker 1>tenths per cent. UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt weighed in on

0:38:42.480 --> 0:38:45.640
<v Speaker 1>the downbeat data, well, these figures confirm that this is

0:38:45.719 --> 0:38:49.720
<v Speaker 1>a very challenging economic situation here and across the world,

0:38:50.560 --> 0:38:53.320
<v Speaker 1>and it will get worse before it gets better. But

0:38:53.480 --> 0:38:56.360
<v Speaker 1>we have a plan that will more than half inflation

0:38:56.520 --> 0:38:58.760
<v Speaker 1>over the next year and if we stay the course,

0:38:59.239 --> 0:39:02.160
<v Speaker 1>we can get back to the strong economic growth that

0:39:02.320 --> 0:39:05.560
<v Speaker 1>we need. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt spoke earlier this morning. The

0:39:05.640 --> 0:39:08.400
<v Speaker 1>outlook could leave the Bank of England deeply divided this

0:39:08.560 --> 0:39:12.080
<v Speaker 1>week over how much to raise interest rates to fight inflation. Well.

0:39:12.120 --> 0:39:14.400
<v Speaker 1>Staying in the UK, Nathan, the government is planning for

0:39:14.560 --> 0:39:18.360
<v Speaker 1>military staff and civil servants to cover for striking rail, health,

0:39:18.480 --> 0:39:21.400
<v Speaker 1>postal and other workers in the coming weeks. Strikes your

0:39:21.440 --> 0:39:23.879
<v Speaker 1>plan for almost every day through the rest of the month.

0:39:24.160 --> 0:39:26.960
<v Speaker 1>Workers are demanding pay hikes that keep up with inflation,

0:39:27.120 --> 0:39:29.880
<v Speaker 1>resulting in the biggest weave of industrial strife in the

0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:34.360
<v Speaker 1>UK since the eighties. This is the Big Take, the

0:39:34.520 --> 0:39:38.600
<v Speaker 1>best of Bloomberg's in depth original reporting from around the globe.

0:39:38.640 --> 0:39:41.520
<v Speaker 1>This is a really fast moving story that caused a

0:39:41.560 --> 0:39:45.360
<v Speaker 1>lot of outrage among investors. This is so fascinating market

0:39:45.480 --> 0:39:47.959
<v Speaker 1>shutdown in a way it's never done before. That's gonna

0:39:47.960 --> 0:39:51.239
<v Speaker 1>have consequences for years to come. The Big Take on

0:39:51.520 --> 0:39:56.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio coming up to five on Wall Street and

0:39:56.800 --> 0:40:00.279
<v Speaker 1>this morning's Bloomberg Big Take is on Carlo Scone, former

0:40:00.360 --> 0:40:04.320
<v Speaker 1>Nissan chairman, and the price paid by the American father

0:40:04.480 --> 0:40:09.400
<v Speaker 1>and son extraction team that facilitated his daring escape from Japan.

0:40:10.040 --> 0:40:12.640
<v Speaker 1>Joining us now with is the author of the Big

0:40:12.719 --> 0:40:15.919
<v Speaker 1>Take story this morning Bloomberg's read Stevenson read, it's good

0:40:15.960 --> 0:40:17.520
<v Speaker 1>to have you with us. Thanks so much for this.

0:40:18.000 --> 0:40:20.360
<v Speaker 1>Of course, a lot of us are familiar with the

0:40:20.440 --> 0:40:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Carlos Gones story, but maybe not so familiar about Michael

0:40:24.560 --> 0:40:27.600
<v Speaker 1>and Peter Taylor, the father and son who helped in

0:40:27.800 --> 0:40:32.360
<v Speaker 1>his extraction. Tell us more about them, well, Nathan, it

0:40:32.520 --> 0:40:36.279
<v Speaker 1>was about three years ago, almost to the same month

0:40:36.480 --> 0:40:41.040
<v Speaker 1>that Carlos gone. Stage is dramatic to escape out of Japan.

0:40:41.880 --> 0:40:43.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's one of those stories that you almost

0:40:44.000 --> 0:40:47.240
<v Speaker 1>never hear about in business news, and so it captured

0:40:47.280 --> 0:40:50.879
<v Speaker 1>the world's attention, and uh to a certain extent, it's

0:40:50.880 --> 0:40:53.480
<v Speaker 1>been forgotten since then. You know, Going is now in

0:40:53.600 --> 0:40:58.520
<v Speaker 1>Lebanon fighting to restore his reputation, although it's unlikely he'llever

0:40:58.640 --> 0:41:02.320
<v Speaker 1>be facing a judge in a court anytime soon. But

0:41:02.480 --> 0:41:06.800
<v Speaker 1>the other forgotten part of the story is the cost

0:41:07.040 --> 0:41:10.760
<v Speaker 1>that you know, others have paid four Carlo Stone's freedom,

0:41:10.840 --> 0:41:16.560
<v Speaker 1>namely Michael Taylor and Peter Taylor, who were unexpectedly extradited

0:41:16.680 --> 0:41:22.160
<v Speaker 1>from the US to Japan last year and then spent

0:41:22.320 --> 0:41:27.840
<v Speaker 1>sixteen months in um the Japanese prison system, which you know,

0:41:28.000 --> 0:41:33.080
<v Speaker 1>some say is much harsher than you might imagine compared

0:41:33.160 --> 0:41:36.360
<v Speaker 1>to the US. And now they're out, they're back in

0:41:36.440 --> 0:41:39.680
<v Speaker 1>the US and also back in by route, and they're

0:41:39.719 --> 0:41:45.319
<v Speaker 1>telling their story both in terms of the sacrifices they made,

0:41:46.560 --> 0:41:50.239
<v Speaker 1>what they think they are owed for their ordeal, and

0:41:50.360 --> 0:41:52.759
<v Speaker 1>as well as some you know, new details about the

0:41:52.920 --> 0:41:55.400
<v Speaker 1>escape that have never been made public. Yeah, it's a

0:41:55.480 --> 0:41:59.000
<v Speaker 1>really interesting story, particularly coming after the news last week

0:41:59.040 --> 0:42:01.920
<v Speaker 1>about Brittney grind Or in the negotiation for her release

0:42:02.000 --> 0:42:05.719
<v Speaker 1>from Russia. Michael and Peter Taylor from your reporting, don't

0:42:05.800 --> 0:42:08.720
<v Speaker 1>mince words when it comes to how they feel about

0:42:08.920 --> 0:42:13.759
<v Speaker 1>the Trump and Biden administrations. Essentially, they feel like they

0:42:13.840 --> 0:42:18.480
<v Speaker 1>were forgotten, weren't they by those administrations in terms of

0:42:18.960 --> 0:42:23.839
<v Speaker 1>their captivity. Indeed, Um, I think, you know, it's easy

0:42:23.920 --> 0:42:26.560
<v Speaker 1>to sort of maybe speculate as to why, but the

0:42:26.680 --> 0:42:30.680
<v Speaker 1>fact remains that, uh, you know, nobody really stepped in

0:42:31.880 --> 0:42:35.120
<v Speaker 1>when the extradition process was happening under the Trump administration.

0:42:35.200 --> 0:42:39.440
<v Speaker 1>In fact, it happened unusually quickly, and then of course,

0:42:39.719 --> 0:42:43.600
<v Speaker 1>once a new administration and was in place, Um, the

0:42:43.680 --> 0:42:47.520
<v Speaker 1>Biden administration also had a chance possibly to put a

0:42:48.280 --> 0:42:52.240
<v Speaker 1>stop to proceedings, but that didn't happen either, and so therefore,

0:42:53.120 --> 0:42:57.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, father and son were promptly shifted Japan where

0:42:57.120 --> 0:43:01.040
<v Speaker 1>they pleaded guilty in a bid for leniency. Who knows

0:43:01.120 --> 0:43:03.520
<v Speaker 1>whether they actually got the leniency or not, but some

0:43:03.680 --> 0:43:06.400
<v Speaker 1>of the conditions they had to go through were pretty harsh.

0:43:07.320 --> 0:43:12.040
<v Speaker 1>Nineties straight days and solitary. And uh. I also heard

0:43:12.080 --> 0:43:14.040
<v Speaker 1>from Michael Taylor that you know, he tried to call

0:43:14.160 --> 0:43:17.479
<v Speaker 1>his dying father and never got a chance to do so. Wow.

0:43:17.640 --> 0:43:21.520
<v Speaker 1>And now they are finally out of the Japanese legal

0:43:21.680 --> 0:43:25.759
<v Speaker 1>system and as you say, looking to get what they

0:43:25.840 --> 0:43:29.080
<v Speaker 1>see as their due from Carlo Stone, as the former

0:43:29.160 --> 0:43:33.360
<v Speaker 1>Nissan chairman tries to rebolster his reputation. What are they

0:43:33.480 --> 0:43:36.680
<v Speaker 1>looking for from Carlos Stone? You've got about a minute

0:43:36.719 --> 0:43:42.000
<v Speaker 1>left here. Indeed, Um, Michael Taylor never did this for profit.

0:43:42.600 --> 0:43:45.760
<v Speaker 1>He has a history of going and helping objective children

0:43:46.239 --> 0:43:49.439
<v Speaker 1>other people in trouble. So at the moment, what they're

0:43:49.480 --> 0:43:52.120
<v Speaker 1>really just looking for is to be made whole. Um.

0:43:53.080 --> 0:43:56.040
<v Speaker 1>The escape itself costs about one point three million dollars,

0:43:56.239 --> 0:43:59.319
<v Speaker 1>I'd say about a two thirds of that had been paid,

0:43:59.440 --> 0:44:01.680
<v Speaker 1>so they're looking for the remainder. But then of course

0:44:02.200 --> 0:44:05.160
<v Speaker 1>there are some astronomical legal costs involved in fighting the

0:44:05.239 --> 0:44:09.640
<v Speaker 1>extradition and navigating the Japanese legal system. Those amount to

0:44:09.880 --> 0:44:12.520
<v Speaker 1>roughly three million dollars. So at the moment, what they're

0:44:12.520 --> 0:44:16.400
<v Speaker 1>really looking for is to be made whole. And perhaps,

0:44:16.880 --> 0:44:20.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, there may be a discussion about something on

0:44:20.160 --> 0:44:23.120
<v Speaker 1>top of that, but that's another chapter to be written

0:44:23.160 --> 0:44:26.400
<v Speaker 1>in this crazy story. Yeah, and it's a story that

0:44:26.600 --> 0:44:31.360
<v Speaker 1>is really fascinating to get more details on, as you mentioned,

0:44:31.400 --> 0:44:36.520
<v Speaker 1>one of those forgotten sidebars from the Carlos Going saga.

0:44:36.719 --> 0:44:39.839
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for this read great having gone with us once again.

0:44:39.880 --> 0:44:42.840
<v Speaker 1>Read Stevenson and Bloomberg News, the author of this morning's

0:44:42.920 --> 0:44:47.080
<v Speaker 1>Big Take on Carlos Gone and his extraction crew. You

0:44:47.120 --> 0:44:49.920
<v Speaker 1>can read much more about it at Ani Big Take

0:44:50.000 --> 0:44:54.080
<v Speaker 1>Go on the Bloomberg Terminal or Bloomberg dot com slash

0:44:54.320 --> 0:44:58.000
<v Speaker 1>Big Take. Future is moving higher this morning. You're listening

0:44:58.080 --> 0:45:04.920
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Daybreak, Markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four

0:45:04.960 --> 0:45:07.960
<v Speaker 1>hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Business

0:45:08.040 --> 0:45:11.680
<v Speaker 1>at and at Bloomberg Quicktake. This is a Bloomberg Business

0:45:11.719 --> 0:45:20.400
<v Speaker 1>Flash and I'm Karen Moscow. You must knock index futures

0:45:20.480 --> 0:45:23.600
<v Speaker 1>higher this morning the dollar are racing on advance. We

0:45:23.719 --> 0:45:26.200
<v Speaker 1>check the markets everything. We check the markets all day

0:45:26.239 --> 0:45:28.480
<v Speaker 1>long here at Bloomberg Radio with S and P futures

0:45:28.520 --> 0:45:31.360
<v Speaker 1>of eleven points or about three tens of Uppercental futures

0:45:31.440 --> 0:45:33.440
<v Speaker 1>up seventy eight points or two tents of upper cent,

0:45:33.840 --> 0:45:36.239
<v Speaker 1>and as deck futures have forty three points are about

0:45:36.280 --> 0:45:38.920
<v Speaker 1>a third of up percent to your treasury of fifteen

0:45:38.960 --> 0:45:41.000
<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds, you have three point five two percent, and

0:45:41.040 --> 0:45:43.760
<v Speaker 1>they yield on the two year four point three two percent.

0:45:44.239 --> 0:45:46.640
<v Speaker 1>Nine max Screwed oil is lower down nine tenths of

0:45:46.719 --> 0:45:49.240
<v Speaker 1>upper cent or sixty one cents at seventy dollars, forty

0:45:49.280 --> 0:45:52.279
<v Speaker 1>one cents of barrel comes. Gold is down four tenths

0:45:52.360 --> 0:45:55.280
<v Speaker 1>of uppercent, down seven dollars ten cents, and one thousand,

0:45:55.360 --> 0:45:58.200
<v Speaker 1>eight hundred three dollars sixty cents. Announced the euro this

0:45:58.400 --> 0:46:01.000
<v Speaker 1>morning one point oh five six were against the dollar,

0:46:01.080 --> 0:46:04.160
<v Speaker 1>British pound one point to to eight five, the yannas

0:46:04.160 --> 0:46:06.919
<v Speaker 1>at one thirties six point six eight, and bitcoins lower

0:46:07.000 --> 0:46:11.160
<v Speaker 1>down seven tenths of upper cent at almost seventeen thousand dollars.

0:46:11.400 --> 0:46:14.960
<v Speaker 1>And that's a Bloomberg business flash. Nathan Karen Thank you.

0:46:15.160 --> 0:46:17.520
<v Speaker 1>It's fifty six on Wall Street Time for our daily

0:46:17.560 --> 0:46:20.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Lab Brief, exploring legal issues in the news. Today,

0:46:20.640 --> 0:46:23.319
<v Speaker 1>we look at a case involving Harvard's former fencing coach

0:46:23.440 --> 0:46:27.440
<v Speaker 1>and a telecom ceo. They're facing a jury over charges

0:46:27.480 --> 0:46:30.360
<v Speaker 1>that they corrupted the admissions process at Harvard. In a

0:46:30.440 --> 0:46:34.839
<v Speaker 1>case with echoes of the Varsity Blues admission scandal, Jack Joo,

0:46:35.080 --> 0:46:38.600
<v Speaker 1>ceo of I Talk Global Communications, is accused of bribing

0:46:38.719 --> 0:46:40.920
<v Speaker 1>coach Peter Brand to the tune of more than one

0:46:40.960 --> 0:46:43.480
<v Speaker 1>and a half million dollars to help get his two

0:46:43.560 --> 0:46:47.719
<v Speaker 1>sons into Harvard by having them designated fencing recruits. Key

0:46:47.800 --> 0:46:50.280
<v Speaker 1>point at trial is going to be whether the defendant's

0:46:50.320 --> 0:46:53.839
<v Speaker 1>actions harmed Harvard. For more on the case, Bloomberg's June

0:46:53.880 --> 0:46:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Grosso speaks with our legal reporter Laurel Culkins and what's

0:46:58.400 --> 0:47:02.919
<v Speaker 1>the defense the explin nation for all that money? Generosity?

0:47:03.520 --> 0:47:06.640
<v Speaker 1>Defense says, you know, it's the cultural thing. The Zals

0:47:06.680 --> 0:47:09.480
<v Speaker 1>are wealthy and from the Chinese tradition of being generous

0:47:09.520 --> 0:47:12.200
<v Speaker 1>with their friends. And by the way, they say now,

0:47:12.400 --> 0:47:13.920
<v Speaker 1>and they did not say this in any of the

0:47:14.000 --> 0:47:17.000
<v Speaker 1>pre trial filings, but they told the jury on opening day.

0:47:17.480 --> 0:47:20.799
<v Speaker 1>This was all alone that Peter Brand got an inheritance

0:47:20.880 --> 0:47:24.520
<v Speaker 1>from his mom recently and paid everything off with interest.

0:47:24.760 --> 0:47:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Of course, that also happened after he was indicted, and

0:47:27.440 --> 0:47:29.400
<v Speaker 1>of course the prosecutors are going nuts, what do you

0:47:29.440 --> 0:47:31.920
<v Speaker 1>mean there's no evidence that it was ever repaid. So

0:47:32.520 --> 0:47:34.840
<v Speaker 1>the prosecution is actually trying to get the judge to

0:47:34.880 --> 0:47:37.000
<v Speaker 1>say they have to take all that back. And they

0:47:37.040 --> 0:47:38.520
<v Speaker 1>can't tell any of that to the jury because it

0:47:38.600 --> 0:47:41.399
<v Speaker 1>doesn't matter what happened after the indictments. So what's gonna

0:47:41.400 --> 0:47:44.240
<v Speaker 1>be interesting to see what happened now. The defense says

0:47:44.520 --> 0:47:49.319
<v Speaker 1>Joos sons were nationally ranked fencers, outstanding athletes, and good

0:47:49.480 --> 0:47:52.800
<v Speaker 1>students who were admitted on their own merit, but you

0:47:52.960 --> 0:47:56.680
<v Speaker 1>never know with college admissions, and the prosecution says that

0:47:57.080 --> 0:47:59.800
<v Speaker 1>Jaw didn't want to take any chances that is, some

0:48:00.000 --> 0:48:03.759
<v Speaker 1>would be rejected, exactly. And you also have to recognize

0:48:03.800 --> 0:48:06.600
<v Speaker 1>that the two sons are not exactly equal. They both

0:48:06.640 --> 0:48:10.359
<v Speaker 1>had outstanding academics which qualified under Harvard's admissions, and then

0:48:10.400 --> 0:48:14.480
<v Speaker 1>they both were competitive fencers. Shall we say the elder

0:48:14.600 --> 0:48:18.080
<v Speaker 1>son actually went on to become co captain of Harvard's

0:48:18.120 --> 0:48:20.800
<v Speaker 1>fencing team and was second strain all Ivy, so he

0:48:20.880 --> 0:48:24.440
<v Speaker 1>clearly was talented. The younger son also competed for Harvard.

0:48:24.560 --> 0:48:26.840
<v Speaker 1>He racked up, you know, some honors, but not as

0:48:26.920 --> 0:48:29.720
<v Speaker 1>much as his brother. But the other thing is with Harvard,

0:48:29.880 --> 0:48:32.560
<v Speaker 1>unlike some of the other colleges, the coach can't just

0:48:32.640 --> 0:48:34.880
<v Speaker 1>say this is my recruit and they automatically get in.

0:48:35.080 --> 0:48:38.680
<v Speaker 1>Harvard has a kind of a whole student evaluation process,

0:48:38.760 --> 0:48:42.120
<v Speaker 1>and there's an interview and a committee process, so it

0:48:42.160 --> 0:48:44.680
<v Speaker 1>will very much tips the scale in your favor, but

0:48:44.800 --> 0:48:47.719
<v Speaker 1>it's not a deadlock. So I think Zoo was trying

0:48:47.800 --> 0:48:49.959
<v Speaker 1>to tilt that scale as much in his son's favor

0:48:50.040 --> 0:48:52.840
<v Speaker 1>as possible. But a big point in the trial is

0:48:52.880 --> 0:48:57.160
<v Speaker 1>going to be was Harvard harmed? Because the zo's technically

0:48:57.239 --> 0:49:00.960
<v Speaker 1>qualified for admissions on their own merit. They competitively for

0:49:01.080 --> 0:49:03.840
<v Speaker 1>Harvard all four years that each boy was there, and

0:49:04.000 --> 0:49:06.759
<v Speaker 1>they both paid full tuition. They didn't get any scholarships,

0:49:06.880 --> 0:49:10.040
<v Speaker 1>so it's a question did Harvard get harm who's the victim? Here?

0:49:10.800 --> 0:49:14.040
<v Speaker 1>That's Bloomberg Legal reporter Laura Culkins speaking with June Grosso,

0:49:14.120 --> 0:49:16.320
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