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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Pearlt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all socials at Sports Talk

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Speaker 2: some accounting to do here at the top. Because it

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Speaker 2: was a busy week for us, we wound up profitable.

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Speaker 2: For the PGA Championship. We won one point three to

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Speaker 2: five units thanks to Scotti Scheffler and Justin Thomas. We

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Speaker 2: hit both those one unit plays for their fourth and

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Speaker 2: final round under sixty eight and a half. For Justin Thomas,

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Speaker 2: he got the birdie on the eighteenth to get us there.

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Speaker 2: And Scottie Scheffler as predicted ripped apart the course. On Sunday,

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Speaker 2: Scotti Schefler goes easily under six seven and a half

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Speaker 2: for his final rounds. We got two units there, justin.

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Speaker 2: Thomas also came in the top ten. Now again, you guys,

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Speaker 2: some of you learned a harsh lesson do not bet

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Speaker 2: golf at books that do not or that have dead

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Speaker 2: heat rules. Because that went from a plus four thirty

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Speaker 2: to a minus one point thirty five?

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Speaker 1: Is that right? How awful is that? No?

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Speaker 2: Clean Clear, you know, Crystal Clear, do not bet when

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Speaker 2: books have dead heat rules. They change the odds, meaning

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Speaker 2: like I bet a half of unit. So let's just

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Speaker 2: hypothetically say that, you know, you bet fifty bucks, right,

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Speaker 2: half a unit, fifty bucks one hundred buck units, right,

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Speaker 2: So you bet fifty bucks on that right at plus

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Speaker 2: four point thirty you should have come back with over

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Speaker 2: two hundred dollars. Instead, they're going to hand you back

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Speaker 2: what forty bucks? Like, are you kidding me? Like you

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Speaker 2: didn't lose money. But that's not what's supposed to happen there. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that is dead heat rules. It's a European thing. It's

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Speaker 2: the worst thing that sports betting in America has ever

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Speaker 2: gone into it should be banned, should be outlawed. You

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Speaker 2: never should be able to change the odd was this

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Speaker 2: horse racing? You know't change the odds that you bet unbelievable.

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Speaker 2: Just sorry if you bet it, I apologize. But we

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Speaker 2: got it there. Thanks Justin Thomas plus four p thirty

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Speaker 2: on JT. So that's just a nice two point one

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Speaker 2: to five unit win there on that half unit play

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Speaker 2: on Justin Thomas Brooks Kepka. We missed on that. We

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Speaker 2: missed on a couple other things. Uh Rory JT missed

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Speaker 2: a unit there. So to calculate the math there on that,

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Speaker 2: but by my math, and we'll see if you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to the math, but by my math,

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Speaker 2: winning day, winning week, hopefully that's true. Okay, I think

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Speaker 2: that's right. But it's tight. It's a small small margin.

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Speaker 2: We may be like right there, maybe flat for the week.

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure. There may be a half a unit

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Speaker 2: and I'm missing somewhere with the math that I did,

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Speaker 2: but it's close.

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Speaker 1: Regardless, it's very close.

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Speaker 2: We either were uplight, you know, zero point sixty seven

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Speaker 2: point seven units someone and that range, and maybe we

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Speaker 2: were flat completely flat for the week. So winning day

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Speaker 2: for sure on Sunday, meaning we did not really have

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Speaker 2: a losing week, probably had a winning week of a

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Speaker 2: small margin, but regardless, it was a really good Sunday.

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Speaker 2: So three and one, we should have gone four. Now,

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Speaker 2: Denver Nuggets, I mean, what's that. Luckily the Pacers came

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Speaker 2: in at plus one forty, did not even need to

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Speaker 2: hedge off the Pacers. But I was doing something and

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Speaker 2: I didn't watch. I went back and watched it after

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Speaker 2: the fact, but I didn't see it live. I didn't

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Speaker 2: see the collapse in the second half for Denver, so

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Speaker 2: I didn't hedge. If I saw it, I would have

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Speaker 2: hedged biggest blown lead in the history of game sevens.

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Speaker 2: Up twenty points in a Game seven and you lose

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Speaker 2: at home. Thank you, Minnesota, Oh, thank you for taking

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Speaker 2: out the Denver Nuggets. It's the one team that the

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Speaker 2: Boston Celtics were absolutely a matchup mismatch against. Yes, incredibly

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Speaker 2: athletic in very good Timberwolves. And it's not going to

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Speaker 2: be easy at all. Some are crowning Boston already. Hold

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Speaker 2: on Boston is a I can't take favorite in the

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Speaker 2: Eastern Conference Finals up against the Indiana Pacers as they

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Speaker 2: should be.

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Speaker 1: They should beat Indiana in six.

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Speaker 2: Okay, should be a four to two series for Boston,

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Speaker 2: and then we go to the finals, where we'll probably

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Speaker 2: Boston will probably see Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: I think Minnesota's gonna beat Dallas. I do.

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Speaker 2: I think Dallas wins the Cup in hockey. I think

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Speaker 2: Dallas loses in basketball. But if Dallas has two teams

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Speaker 2: alive in the Western Conference finals, it's pretty good basketball

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Speaker 2: and hockey. Boston's got one, that's it, Minnesota got one,

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Speaker 2: that's it, Indiana's got one. You have four teams left

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Speaker 2: here in basketball and four teams left in hockey after tonight.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of which, Game seven Edmonton on the road at Vancouver.

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Speaker 2: It's the first game seven since Vancouver lost to Boston

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Speaker 2: in the Cup finals. They rioted after that loss. Please

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Speaker 2: don't riot Vancouver, Okay, please don't do that. Total is

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Speaker 2: six minus one fifteen. I have no idea who wins.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be an undergame. I know we could

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Speaker 2: push with a four to two open net touch situation.

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Speaker 1: That's possible.

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Speaker 2: Don't bet five and a half, bet six, Okay, six

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Speaker 2: and a half even better, But we got to push

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Speaker 2: potential right on four to two final. It's a push

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Speaker 2: and I'm okay with that. I think we're gonna see

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Speaker 2: a tight game, not a lot of power plays. Hard

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Speaker 2: to score. It's game seven, Okay, it's a game seven

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Speaker 2: and Game sevens are huge, awesome fun, but really hard

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Speaker 2: to score. Nobody wants to make a mistake. We're taking

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Speaker 2: Edmonton Vancouver under six for one point one five units

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Speaker 2: minus one to fifteen. Don't care what the goalies, doesn't matter,

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Speaker 2: game will go the same. I don't care who's in net. Yes,

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Speaker 2: one team might get killed, like last game five to

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Speaker 2: one Edmonton, but that game still stayed on A push

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Speaker 2: for six key number in this series. Under six Edmonton

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Speaker 2: taking on Vancouver tonight in Game seven. All right, to

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Speaker 2: baseball we go. I got a three and oh Friday

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Speaker 2: in an zero and three Saturday. We skip baseball on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: Here we are on Monday. Two bets for us going

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Speaker 2: up on a Monday. Let's start with Miami at home

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Speaker 2: up against Milwaukee. Some really interesting stats. Now, Ryan Weathers

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Speaker 2: for Miami is starting this game. He is horrific at

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Speaker 2: home seven point zero seven ERA, fourteen innings, seventeen hits,

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Speaker 2: eleven earned runs given up at home so far for

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Speaker 2: Ryan Weathers two and two and four three point eight

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Speaker 2: one ERA overall. Joe Ross will go onto the bump

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Speaker 2: for the Milwaukee Brewers. Ross better on the road than

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Speaker 2: he is at home. Two point seven to eight ERA

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Speaker 2: on the road, six point eight seven ERA at home.

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Speaker 1: But this game's on the road. So good for Joe

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Speaker 1: Ross so far on the road.

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Speaker 2: Joe Ross last time out on the road against Kansas

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Speaker 2: City three earned runs in five innings worth of work,

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Speaker 2: six to four lost. Game went over on the un

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Speaker 2: against the Cubs six innings, six hits.

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Speaker 1: One earned run in a three to one win.

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Speaker 2: Before that, gave up six earned runs to the Yankees

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Speaker 2: at home, got worked, but on the road against Pittsburgh

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Speaker 2: pitched pretty well four to two loss, five and a third,

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Speaker 2: one earned run, two runs overall given up so far

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Speaker 2: for Joe Ross and the Milwaukee Brewers. But looking at

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Speaker 2: the teams themselves, this is interesting. So Miami is twenty

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Speaker 2: and six at home this year to the over overall,

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Speaker 2: they are nine to three at home as a dog

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Speaker 2: in Milwaukee's favored here in this game against Miami. On

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Speaker 2: the other side, Milwaukee, they're fourteen and eleven when they're

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Speaker 2: favored on the road this year to the over, and

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Speaker 2: they're seventeen to eight and one to the over this

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Speaker 2: year in non divisional games like not the Cubs Miami,

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Speaker 2: not a divisional game.

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Speaker 1: Okay, seventeen eight and one.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet over over eight Miami and Milwaukee over

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Speaker 2: eight minus one fifteen in Major League Baseball. Let these

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Speaker 2: bullpens get into it. Let's get some offense here for

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Speaker 2: Milwaukee going. Let's get some more like a five to

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Speaker 2: four tep of win here for Milwaukee up against the

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Speaker 2: Miami Marlins. We're going over eight minus one fifteen. And

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Speaker 2: finally it's time. It's it's time to start paying attention

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Speaker 2: to the Braves and the braves unders. Have you guys

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Speaker 2: been doing this? I haven't been doing this. I should

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Speaker 2: have been doing this a long time ago. Since the

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Speaker 2: twenty second of April of April, the Atlanta Braves have

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Speaker 2: gone under every single game except a push against Seattle

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Speaker 2: on the first of May and over against the Dodgers

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Speaker 2: on the fourth of May, and the last game out

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Speaker 2: against the Padres on the nineteenth of May. But every

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Speaker 2: other game since then has been under. They are twenty

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Speaker 2: six fourteen and two to the under on the year.

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Speaker 2: That is number one in Major League Baseball. They have

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Speaker 2: gone nine to one over the last ten to the under.

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Speaker 2: Against the National League, it's fourteen and twelve to the under.

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Speaker 2: At home it's fourteen and eight to the under, and

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Speaker 2: San Diego on the road is twelve and eleven to

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Speaker 2: the under. They are equally looking at unders, although recently

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Speaker 2: they have been going over. Against Colorado at home, all

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Speaker 2: three games went over. First game against Atlanta went under,

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Speaker 2: second game last time out went over nine to one win.

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Speaker 2: The total was nine so just squeaked over. This total

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Speaker 2: was eight and a half. Minus one point fifteen is

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Speaker 2: the juice on this and I think, look, this number

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Speaker 2: probably comes down. I mean, someone surprised if this number

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Speaker 2: stays at eight and a half. My guess as it

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Speaker 2: comes down, just given what we're gonna see here from

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Speaker 2: both starting pitchers still in cease up against Lopez.

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Speaker 1: Lopez is a guy we bet.

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Speaker 2: Last time a Lopez lest time he pitched, He's two

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Speaker 2: and one with a one point.

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Speaker 1: Three to four ERA.

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Speaker 2: At home he's a point seven to seven ERA, one

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Speaker 2: to zero, twenty three innings worth of work, fourteen hits,

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Speaker 2: two earned runs opposing batting average of one to seventy seven.

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Speaker 2: You don't touch that guy Lopez at home. You don't

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Speaker 2: touch him. But Dylan Seese has been great for the Padres.

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Speaker 2: You know he's stunk for the White Sox for a while.

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Speaker 2: He was their ace. But on the road a one

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Speaker 2: point three to eight ERA with a four and oh

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Speaker 2: mark opposing batting average of one oh six thirty two

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Speaker 2: and two thirds worth of work on the road so

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Speaker 2: far this year, eleven hits, just five earned runs given up,

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Speaker 2: no home runs giving up on the road so far

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Speaker 2: for Dylan Sees. He's been tremendous. Five games started so

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Speaker 2: far for him. Awesome, awesome start to the year for

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Speaker 2: Dylan Cees five and three with a two point four

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Speaker 2: five ERA starts on the road for him against the

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Speaker 2: Cubs seven innings, no earn runs given up Arizona on

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Speaker 2: the road six and two thirds, one earn run given

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Speaker 2: up against the Rockies seven innings, one earn run given

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Speaker 2: up against these Brewers six innings, one earn run given

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Speaker 2: up on the road. He's tremendous. Total is eight and

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Speaker 2: a half. We're going under braves, White Sox, Sorry, Braves,

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Speaker 2: Padres now the White Sox Braves Padres under eight and

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Speaker 2: a half would cease in Lopez on the bump for

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Speaker 2: these two teams. First game was three to one, second

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Speaker 2: game was rained out. Yesterday was nine to one. Here

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Speaker 2: we go again here, double header, the double header going

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Speaker 2: in this one. So this is important, Okay, whenever we

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Speaker 2: have these games, starting pitchers matter. Okay, this really does

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Speaker 2: matter to me. We're talking about, you know, for Milwaukee

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Speaker 2: and Miami, it's a three forty Pacific times six forty start.

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Speaker 2: We're talking about the first game of the day for

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Speaker 2: San Diego Atlanta, not the doubleheader, not the second game.

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Speaker 2: The first game, okay, the first game goes off nine

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Speaker 2: to twenty Eastern time, sorry, Pacific time, twelve twenty eastern.

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Speaker 2: Second game will happen at three twenty. That's Randy Vasquez

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Speaker 2: against Chris Sale. We're not betting that game. We're betting

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Speaker 2: the first game under eight and a half. Cease and

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Speaker 2: Lopez Padres at the Braves under eight and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 2: three bets for us here on a Monday, let's start

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Speaker 2: the week off in a good way. Vancouver Edmonton game

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Speaker 2: seven under six minus one fifteen Miami Milwaukee under eight

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Speaker 2: minus one fifteen, Atlanta San Diego under eight, and a

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Speaker 2: half game one of the doubleheader minus one fifteen, all

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Speaker 2: on a Monday. Those are the bets in place minus

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Speaker 2: Matt Perel to follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt every single morning the El Juice Podcast I

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Speaker 2: was being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot com