1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Well, we had a big slump in big cap tech today. 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:06,440 Speaker 1: Two stories here, one Apple, the second is Tesla. Let's 3 00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:09,320 Speaker 1: take a closer look now with Dan Ives, Managing director 4 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: also senior equity analysts at wed Bush Securities. Joining from 5 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: here in New York City. Dan always a pleasure. So 6 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: we got two topics, and I want to begin with 7 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 1: the Apple story because we were told that the company 8 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: has essentially told suppliers in asition to make fewer components 9 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:28,480 Speaker 1: on some products because of weaker demand. How do you 10 00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: read this? What is it really saying about what Apple 11 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:33,879 Speaker 1: is up to these days? Yeah, I mean, look, I 12 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: think Apple is seeing storm clouds form and I think 13 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: it's what we're seeing across big tech, and ultimately they're 14 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,200 Speaker 1: now starting to sort of pull back some of those 15 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,600 Speaker 1: orders to as of suppliers. I think it is more 16 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 1: around an iPad, Mac and some of the other hardware. 17 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: But I think queerly Cupertino and Cooker a little nervous 18 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 1: come into the next year and they don't want inventory issues. Ironically, 19 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: this supply chain issues have really hurt them on iPhone, 20 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: especially in this past holiday quarter. So let's dig a 21 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: little deeper into that. I mean, is the risk they 22 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:14,760 Speaker 1: see as simple as, oh, there's going to be a recession. 23 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 1: We're going to see it in the US and Europe, 24 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: and uh, you know, China looks like it may be 25 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 1: bouncing back, but it's struggling here at the beginning. Or 26 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 1: is it more long run like, uh, you know, maybe 27 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: demand is shifting. Is we're finally going to see an 28 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 1: era where people do not have to buy new Apple 29 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 1: gadgets every time they come out. Yeah, I do think 30 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 1: it's more near term. I think Apple is preparing for 31 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 1: a recession. I mean at the end of the day, 32 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 1: and that's we're seeing that across big tech, whether it's 33 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: a Microsoft, you look at Google, you look at Amazon 34 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: and others. I do think for Apple they're in a 35 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: what I'll call more position of strength because demand is 36 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,279 Speaker 1: much more resilient than really any other big tech player 37 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: out there. So demand continues to outstrip supply, at least 38 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,080 Speaker 1: right now on iPhones. But they don't want to be 39 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:09,920 Speaker 1: lead to the game. The last thing they could do 40 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,639 Speaker 1: is cut too late, and that's what they're doing. They're 41 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: trying to get ahead of it going into what clearly 42 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 1: is a very uncertain two thousand twenty three an Apple 43 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: is ready to from navigate this category five storm. So 44 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 1: the stock down three point seven percent here in New 45 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: York market value breaking below two trillion. Let's talk Tesla next, Danny, 46 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 1: because the company, we were talking about this in the 47 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: program last night, delivering fewer vehicles than expected in a 48 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 1: Q four despite offering some big incentives not only here 49 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: in the States, but I think that incentive program is 50 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: not is now rolling out in China as well. What's 51 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 1: the story on Tesla here? Well, I think the story 52 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:55,080 Speaker 1: for Tesla is after a Cinderella ride where they really 53 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 1: were the only game in town in terms of electric vehicle, 54 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: you're seeing demands off and the specifically in China. China 55 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 1: is the hearts and lungs of the Tesla growth story, 56 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: and I think that's really what hurt them this quarter. 57 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: And now competitions coming from all angles. You have a 58 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 1: macro slowing and that I think really for the first time. 59 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,800 Speaker 1: You know, you are starting to see Musk needing to 60 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 1: navigate Tessa through a storm with their back against the wall. 61 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: Ironically to Twitter fiasco, you know that continues to really 62 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: be you know, what I'll call it is a black 63 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:33,519 Speaker 1: eye from Musk and Tessa, and that's been overhim in 64 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 1: the stock You just have to ask us elon Musk, 65 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 1: is he doing the right thing by first of all 66 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: saying hey, should I step down the CEO? Uh? And 67 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 1: and now saying he's actively seeking one and what who 68 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: should he get? What kind of person? Well, I think 69 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 1: first of all, this has to happen sooner rather than later, 70 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: and they can just be a figurehead. Yes, person. You know, 71 00:03:56,440 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 1: there's clearly a top tier list from Sandberg as well 72 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: as others that with the would i'll call Facebook, Google lineage, 73 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 1: But who knows if he gets that individual? And I 74 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: think from Musk he needs to separate himself because ever 75 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: since he bought Twitter, it's been a fiasco, a train 76 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:19,839 Speaker 1: wreck at the same time that Tesla is going through 77 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 1: demand challenges, and right now Tesla needs a leader, not 78 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 1: one that has three children. Were ultimately in the eyes 79 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: of the street, is spending a lot more time with 80 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 1: Twitter than Tesla. Dan very quickly about thirty seconds. Is 81 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: there a lot more risk of further downside and Tesla stock. 82 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: Let's put the Musk selling aside just on the basis 83 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 1: of what's happening fundamentally with the company. Look I think 84 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 1: it's gotten oversold, and ultimately, if they ripped the band, 85 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: they'd off give conservative two thousand, twenty three numbers and 86 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 1: must stops using Tesla's personal ATM machine. Then I believe 87 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 1: Tesla's bottomed out here. I think that that and ultimately 88 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: must start the fire. He the only one that can 89 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 1: extinguish talk about a fire. Today shares we're down twelve percent, Dan, 90 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:07,400 Speaker 1: thanks for being with us, said Dan. I'ves managing director 91 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 1: equity analyst ed wed Bush Securities, joining us here on 92 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 1: daybreak Asia