1 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:18,080 Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to the Daily Juice podcast all the Betting 2 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: Pros Network. I'm your host, Sean Stacking the Money Green. 3 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: Give me a follow on Twitter at Shawn T. Green 4 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 1: And as always, Daily Juice is being brought to by 5 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 1: bet MGM. If you're a new customer, sign up over there. 6 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: Use a problem call Juice one fifty. You got yourself 7 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 1: a thousand dollars risk free bet. Perfect for the NFL season. 8 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: The NFL is here. Oh man, so many long months 9 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 1: of waiting, but finally the National Football League. All my 10 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 1: picks come from tonight's opening night game between the Rams 11 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:48,599 Speaker 1: and the Bills, because why not. 12 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 2: It's Opening Day, It's the NFL. We're finally here. 13 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 1: Let's go baby and uh hop into the discord Bettingpros 14 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 1: dot Com slash chat. I'm sure it's gonna be fun 15 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: reacting live too. Opening Night. All right, let's get to 16 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 1: the recap one and one. Uh, you know, Orioles let 17 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:10,680 Speaker 1: us down lost about minus point three with the juice there. 18 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 2: Should have put it on the Dodgers run line. Ken. 19 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 1: You know, I've lost a little bit of the mojo 20 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:18,640 Speaker 1: dialing in these Dodgers and Orioles run line plays. 21 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 2: Hit our k prop though. That was pretty sweet. Over 22 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 2: three and a half. 23 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: He got it early, he got four right away, and 24 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 1: then just nothing after that. Finished with four, so you know, 25 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: minus one fifty. But fortunate to get that there and 26 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 1: get it early again. Orioles just kept waiting for that comeback, 27 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 1: waiting for the Orioles magic never never came. But you know, 28 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,479 Speaker 1: again them as a home dog. It's still been great 29 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,639 Speaker 1: to us. So not gonna cry too much, just gonna, 30 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: you know, take it one game at a time, head 31 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: over to the national I'm just I'm jack for football. 32 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 1: Let's get real, guys, all right, first bet of the night, 33 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 1: give me Josh Allen over thirty five and a half 34 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: rushing yards. You can get that minus one thirty over 35 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: on DraftKings. I mean, Josh Allen loves running in big games, 36 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 1: if you remember the playoff games or just any sort 37 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: of like big primetime game. Josh Allen is willing to 38 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 1: put his body in harm. 39 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:13,800 Speaker 2: Now. I know. 40 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: Sean mcdernamt is saying like, hey, we're gonna try and 41 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: run Josh little less, so maybe a little less design runs. 42 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:20,520 Speaker 2: I don't believe it. 43 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 1: This is opening night, this is the NFL kickoff Josh 44 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:26,919 Speaker 1: Allen's adrenaline is going to force him to run, and 45 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: you know, the Rams play decent coverage at times, so 46 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: I think he may have to run. Over Thirty five 47 00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:37,119 Speaker 1: and a half feels really really good six and one 48 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 1: last seven games over to this thirty five and a 49 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 1: half with the rush yards two to zero in playoff 50 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: games aka big game Josh and he averages last year 51 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: even in the regular season and the playoffs it went up. 52 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 1: It was like seven point three. But even in the 53 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 1: regular season six point two five yards per carry, So 54 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: again we get seven carries should be good. Six carries 55 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 1: breaks one off. I again, I just see him being 56 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: a willing runner. And the Bills, as much as they 57 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 1: you know, brought in Cook, they still have Singletary. I 58 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 1: still think he's kind of their goal line guy. I 59 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 1: just think Josh Allen he's gonna get there alone on 60 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 1: the attempts big games. He's not gonna you know, Keith 61 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,640 Speaker 1: down you tell me Josh Allen's not gonna run. 62 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 2: Let's go, baby. 63 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:23,639 Speaker 1: Hey, I have you guys signed up a sleeper yet 64 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: sleeper dot Com slash daily Juice Again, if you're a 65 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: big fantasy player, it's you're probably already on Sleeper, but 66 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: it's awesome like they've integrated the the over unders to 67 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 1: the fantasy platform, which is really really cool because you 68 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: could just like pull up your fantasy league and then 69 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 1: you can take over unders. You can combine them together 70 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: two x all the way up to twenty x. And 71 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 1: also if you use Sleeper dot Com slash Daily Juice, 72 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 1: hundred percent deposit bonus up to one hundred dollars. 73 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 2: Again, this is a great way to get involved. 74 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 1: Maybe you're in a state that doesn't offer these, or 75 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 1: you can't find him sleeper is Sleeper is great for that, 76 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: So you promo code daily Juice and go to sleeper 77 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: dot com slash Daily Juice. 78 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 2: Get in. 79 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: We have a little group chat there. You can copy 80 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 1: each other's plays. Feel free to tag. 81 00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 2: Me at Sean T. 82 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 1: Green in the Sleeper group chat as well if you 83 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: got something. I'm always all ears when people are giving 84 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,600 Speaker 1: out plays, so highly highly recommend that and the Josh 85 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: Allen rush Yards I gave out over on DK. They 86 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:23,960 Speaker 1: have it, you know, and there's not juice because you're 87 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 1: parleying them together, so I think the number is pretty similar, 88 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 1: So obviously I like that for Sleeper as well. Next 89 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 1: pick you can also get on sleeper. You can also 90 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: get it over on DraftKings. Matt Stafford over a half 91 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 1: interceptions minus one forty. 92 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 2: Played twenty one games last season. 93 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 1: He threw a pick in thirteen to them, and the 94 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:46,160 Speaker 1: picks really started a bunch up at the end of 95 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 1: the season. He's dealing with an elbow issue, he's dealing 96 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: with a back issue. He didn't probably get the preseason 97 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: work he would have liked to. 98 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:55,479 Speaker 2: You got a new receiver. 99 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:57,600 Speaker 1: There's there's a lot of stuff to figure out. The 100 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: running backs for the Rams, I think are still a 101 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: big question mark. I mean Acres, what level has he recovered. 102 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of question marks here. And 103 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 1: the Bills third in the league last season with nineteen interceptions, 104 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 1: and again, Matt Stafford was kind of an interception machine. 105 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:16,480 Speaker 2: I think a lot of people wouldn't. 106 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:19,479 Speaker 1: Realize that Matt Stafford led the league last year. Tied 107 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:25,039 Speaker 1: him and Trevor Lawrence with the league lead at seventeen interceptions, 108 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: and a lot of those interceptions came in the second 109 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: half of the season. Like man, I'm just not super 110 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: high on Stafford. I think he's gonna throw some picks, 111 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 1: and I think this Bill's defense is going to be 112 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: flying around and last, but not least as a La resident, 113 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: I think crowd isshue, crowd noise could be an issue 114 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: for Stafford, maybe getting the plays off, maybe some miscommunication 115 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 1: because there's gonna be a ton of Bills fans there. 116 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 2: They're gonna be loud, and you know, the Rams. 117 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 1: Again, even though they won the Super Bowl in Los Angeles, 118 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: you would have no idea based on walking around in 119 00:05:58,120 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 1: Los Angeles. 120 00:05:58,920 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 2: Hey, we're talking NFL. 121 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 1: So make sure you head over to Bettingpros dot com 122 00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: slash NFL props. Oh, they got tons of great recommendations, charts, 123 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: game logs, instant analysis, matchups, even star ratings cover probability 124 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 1: and expected value. So head over to betting Pros dot 125 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 1: com slash NFL props. They got you covered there, and 126 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 1: obviously we got to pick the game. I was going 127 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:23,320 Speaker 1: back and forth on this one. Honestly, it's one of 128 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: the tougher games to handicap. I'm aware of the trend 129 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:29,839 Speaker 1: of you know, super Bowl champs coming off winning. 130 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 2: The Super Bowl. That's pretty good. 131 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 1: I was going back and forth of laying the points 132 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:36,480 Speaker 1: with the Bills here as a road favorite. 133 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:38,480 Speaker 2: That's a little scary. I'm gonna I'm. 134 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: Just gonna go Bill's money line minus one thirty five. 135 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:45,919 Speaker 1: You can get that over on win bet. You know, 136 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 1: I really think there's a world where this Rams offense struggles. 137 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: You know a lot of the stuff I brought up 138 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:55,160 Speaker 1: with Matt Safford throwing interceptions, cam Akers again being a 139 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: big question mark, Allen Robinson being. 140 00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 2: The new receiver. 141 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 1: I think the Bills are gonna be able to scheme 142 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:03,600 Speaker 1: around Cooper Cup and you know, force him to beat 143 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 1: him and maybe Cooper Cup can I don't think the 144 00:07:06,800 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: Rams pass rush is going to be as good as 145 00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 1: last year. Obviously, losing Von Miller that is certainly going 146 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 1: to hurt them. And I think a huge issue for 147 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: the Rams is their offensive line. 148 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 2: No Andrew Whitworth. 149 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 1: You can't underestimate losing Andrew Whitworth. I mean, he's a 150 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 1: you know, Hall of Fame offensive lineman, a big part 151 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:29,160 Speaker 1: of that that Rams super Bowl team and he lost him. 152 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: So I think he's gonna be tough to replace. And 153 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 1: this Bill's defense, everyone loves to talk about Josh Allen, 154 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: you know, Stefan Diggs, Gabe Davis, This high powered offense 155 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 1: that's thrown all over the place. 156 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 2: And I like their offense as well, but Bills. They 157 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 2: ranked second. 158 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 1: In defensive DVOA in twenty twenty one including the playoffs, 159 00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:51,239 Speaker 1: and second in EPA success rate allowed. 160 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 2: So this Bill's defense is really really good. 161 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: And I think they're gonna be able to clamp down 162 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: on this Rams offense. I know Sean McVay extra time 163 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: to prepare, he's a sharp coach, but I think this 164 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: is the Bills game. 165 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 2: Bills are gonna get up for this game again. 166 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 1: I think they may have the crowd noise in this 167 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 1: game as well. 168 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 2: Last, but not least, Jalen Ramsey coming off. 169 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,680 Speaker 1: Of he got a shoulder surgery, which I think that 170 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 1: could be a big issue. Like maybe he's still okay 171 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 1: in coverage, but I mean, if you're Jalen Ramsey and 172 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 1: you got to tackle Gabe Davis Dawson Knox, I think 173 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:28,760 Speaker 1: that's really going to be a problem. And Dawson Knox, 174 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: I don't know if you saw, but his brother unfortunately 175 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:33,760 Speaker 1: passed away as a real tragic story. 176 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 2: You know, he's certainly gonna be motivated. 177 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:37,719 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, all these guys are going to 178 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,680 Speaker 1: be motivated, But I really think this is the Bills 179 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 1: time to shine in prime time. I think Josh Allen 180 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 1: is the better quarterback. I think their defense is better. 181 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win the turnover battle and they're 182 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 1: gonna put up some points and get a victory. I 183 00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: don't have a play on the total. I would lean under. 184 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: Rams are pretty bad at SOFI on the over. I 185 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: think it's like fourteen to four and one on the under. 186 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 1: But yeah, give me the Bills on the money line, 187 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 1: and I'll also toss in a first touchdown bet. I'll 188 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:09,520 Speaker 1: toss that out in the bettingpros dot Com slash chat 189 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:12,920 Speaker 1: discord tomorrow, So hop in there if you're not already, 190 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: and I'll toss out a first touchdown play because those 191 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 1: are always super fun, all right, So Bill's money line 192 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: minus one thirty five. Matt Safford over a half interceptions 193 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 1: minus one forty on DraftKings. People forget all those road games, 194 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 1: you know, even at home in the Super Bowl, he 195 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 1: threw two and he almost threw one to blow that 196 00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 1: NFC Championship game. Matt Safford has thrown a lot of 197 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 1: interceptions as of late last but not least Josh Allen 198 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 1: over thirty five and a half rushing yards minus won 199 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 1: thirty over on DraftKings. All right, guys, Football's back. Oh man, 200 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 1: I'm so excited. 201 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,200 Speaker 2: Bet MGM promo code Juice one fifty get that risk free. 202 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 1: Thousand dollars bet. Follow us on TikTok at Betting Pros. 203 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at Shawn T. 204 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:57,200 Speaker 2: Green. 205 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,319 Speaker 1: Check out our other show, Sports Gaming podcast, Pick every NFL 206 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 1: game against the spread. 207 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 2: Hey guys, you know what to do. 208 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: Subscribe, rate and review, and as always, don't forget to 209 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 1: let it ride.