WEBVTT - Top 12 Players the Experts Are Drafting: Who Are Our MUST-HAVE Athletes?

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<v Speaker 1>Hello friends, and welcome back to Fantasy Pros. I'm Chris Welsh,

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<v Speaker 1>and today we're talking about the twelve players that experts

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<v Speaker 1>are drafting. Now before we get all experty, how would

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<v Speaker 1>Who are the experts drafting? Well, I might have a

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<v Speaker 1>little insight on that, so let's take a look. Coming

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<v Speaker 1>in at number twelve, Diamondbacks outfielder Corbin Carrol, no surprise,

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<v Speaker 1>the masses would flock to the fastest man in base

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<v Speaker 1>a three point six six to ninety feet Corman. Carroll's

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<v Speaker 1>ADP is rising, but it's because the industry wants the

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<v Speaker 1>next big thing. Carrol's ECR on Fantasy Pros currently is

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<v Speaker 1>seventy six with a high of forty six, but since

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<v Speaker 1>March first over in the NFBC, Carrol has a fifty

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<v Speaker 1>six ADP and a high of thirty six. Carrol's projected

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<v Speaker 1>for thirteen homers and twenty one stolen bases on Batex projections,

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<v Speaker 1>but as a leadoff hitter for the Diamondbacks and a

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<v Speaker 1>new contract which lessens the risk of him being sent down,

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<v Speaker 1>experts are jumping on the opportunity to get a first

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<v Speaker 1>round talent in the fourth or fifth so even though

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<v Speaker 1>the price is rising, it hasn't stopped any experts. In fact,

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<v Speaker 1>it's because of them. Number eleven Padres starting pitcher Joe Muskrove. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>prior to Musgrove's injury, he was going around the seventies.

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<v Speaker 1>Muscrove fractured his toe and then his ADP fell down

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<v Speaker 1>into the late nineties or even in some spots the

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred range. His recovery, though, has been quick, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's possible he misses only one to two starts in season.

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<v Speaker 1>Musgrove is projected for a mid three ERA and a

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<v Speaker 1>huge rise in wins on the bat to twelve wins

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<v Speaker 1>even though his innings are just sitting at under one seventy.

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<v Speaker 1>This isn't an arm injury scare, which would usually make

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<v Speaker 1>experts run for the hills. In this case, they're taking

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<v Speaker 1>advantage of the value. Musgrove has an ECR high of sixty,

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<v Speaker 1>and if healthy, he'd be going two rounds higher than

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<v Speaker 1>he currently is. Number ten Royals first baseman Vinnie pass Quantino.

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<v Speaker 1>The top end of first base is weighted to the

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<v Speaker 1>big guys, then there's a big drop off that starts

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<v Speaker 1>to happen, and that's why Vinnie pas Quentino has become

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<v Speaker 1>a huge industry target. Past Quentino's projected the six best

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<v Speaker 1>batting average on Steamer at first base and one of

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<v Speaker 1>only three first basemen projected for twenty plus homers and

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<v Speaker 1>a two seventy five batting average or higher. The other

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<v Speaker 1>two first basemen you ask, Freddy Freeman and Vlad Guerrero Junior.

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<v Speaker 1>Vinnie hit two ninety five with ten homers in seventy

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<v Speaker 1>two games in twenty twenty two, and with the low

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<v Speaker 1>strikeout risk and high contact skills have made him an

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<v Speaker 1>expert target for almost every team. Number nine Twins starting

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<v Speaker 1>pitcher Joe Ryan. Adding velocity is like the core ingredient

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<v Speaker 1>for spring training hype for pitchers. Joe Ryan has done

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<v Speaker 1>just that while also throwing a new slider that's ingredient.

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<v Speaker 1>Number two. Ryan has a one thirty four ECR and

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<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Pros, which is a plus nine differential between his ADP,

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<v Speaker 1>so the ranks are going higher than where he's actually

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<v Speaker 1>being drafted. He also has a rank high of ninety one,

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<v Speaker 1>which that's actually higher than Nick Lodolo. Projections are incredibly favorable.

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<v Speaker 1>That actually looks similar to Joe Muscrow's numbers just in

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<v Speaker 1>a few less innings post one hundred. Starting pitchers are

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<v Speaker 1>an expert secret recipe, and Joe Ryan seems to be

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<v Speaker 1>one of those core pieces. Number eight Tampa Bay Ray's

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<v Speaker 1>outfielder Randy A. Rosarana. No one was more electric in

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<v Speaker 1>the later rounds of the day WBC than Randia rose Arena.

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<v Speaker 1>I will always remember that catch and then the mean mug.

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<v Speaker 1>He's coming off of a twenty thirty home under stolen

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<v Speaker 1>based season in projections, believe he's going to grow off

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<v Speaker 1>of those numbers. The bad x has him hitting the

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<v Speaker 1>exact same amount of homers twenty again, but he's up

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<v Speaker 1>to thirty five stolen bases, which is six in all

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<v Speaker 1>of baseball and third among outfielders. A thirty five ADP

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<v Speaker 1>seems to be a home as that's his Fantasy Pros

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<v Speaker 1>ECR and his NFBC ADP since March first. The difference

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<v Speaker 1>is people are reaching to get their guy. The highest

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<v Speaker 1>pick in NFBC in that same period was twenty three overall,

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<v Speaker 1>and one ranker on Fantasy Pros has put a rose

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<v Speaker 1>Arena at eighteen overall. His combination of solid batting average

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<v Speaker 1>and big counting stat numbers have made him a target

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<v Speaker 1>for everyone. He becomes even more priority when experts start

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<v Speaker 1>taking big power hitters early on with stolen bases, like Vlad,

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<v Speaker 1>Freddy Freeman, or Austin Riley. That's why you and every

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<v Speaker 1>somebody else wants Randy or Rosarina. Number seven Astros starting

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<v Speaker 1>pitcher Christian Javier. Everybody is looking for the next Spencer Strider,

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<v Speaker 1>and the answer for many experts is Christian Xavier. Like Strider,

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<v Speaker 1>Javier is a mainly fastball slider pitcher. Javier had an

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<v Speaker 1>eleven point seven to four K per nine in twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two, which he sported with a two point five

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<v Speaker 1>to four ERA in one hundred and forty eight innings.

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<v Speaker 1>If his innings can push to one point eighty, Javier's

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<v Speaker 1>skill set could make him a top five sp in

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<v Speaker 1>Fantasy baseball in twenty twenty three. He has a Fantasy

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<v Speaker 1>pros ECR Rank Expert Consensus ranking of fifty four. That

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<v Speaker 1>is a six plus differential from his ADP, so it's higher.

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<v Speaker 1>He's also going fifty two on NFBC with a high

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<v Speaker 1>of twenty five. If you want control thera on a

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<v Speaker 1>great team with big strikeouts, like many experts, you want

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<v Speaker 1>to look at Christian Javier. Who else are experts targeting?

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<v Speaker 1>to more players that experts are targeting that you need

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<v Speaker 1>to know. Number six Blue Jays closer Jordan Romano. The

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<v Speaker 1>loss of Edwin Diaz to the closer pool is going

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<v Speaker 1>to be felt across all closers. Where Emmanuel Clausse jumps

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<v Speaker 1>to the top spot and then Josh Hater is right

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<v Speaker 1>behind him, Jordan Romano meets up middle ground still for

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<v Speaker 1>so many wanting to jump into the upper tier closure pool.

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<v Speaker 1>Romano saved thirty six games with a two pine one

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<v Speaker 1>ERA in twenty twenty two. This coming year, he steps

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<v Speaker 1>back into an uncontested closer role on a team that

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<v Speaker 1>should provide plenty of opportunities in the Blue Jays, but

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<v Speaker 1>not at the same cost as those top guys. Even

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<v Speaker 1>with the loss of Edwin Diaz current fifty seven ECR

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<v Speaker 1>versus his ADP, the rank is actually an eight plus deferential,

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<v Speaker 1>so eight spots higher than his ADP is where the

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<v Speaker 1>consensus rank is going. He's also got a high draft

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<v Speaker 1>point of thirty five. That's the one that really wants closers,

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<v Speaker 1>where you take those first couple closers though you're passing

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<v Speaker 1>on incredible hitters, and that's why Romano allows you a

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<v Speaker 1>better roster build while getting a lockdown closer. And that

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<v Speaker 1>is why experts are targeting Romano instead of jumping in

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<v Speaker 1>at the very very tippy top number five Cardinals outfielder,

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<v Speaker 1>Yes Lars Newbar. I have been beating the drum about

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<v Speaker 1>Lars Nubar this entire offseason a lot due to his

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<v Speaker 1>continued work at Drive Line with hopes to optimize more

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<v Speaker 1>barreling into those big evs. That is what he's done

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<v Speaker 1>over the last two years, going to Drive Line, learning

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<v Speaker 1>to hit the ball harder. This year it's been all

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<v Speaker 1>about taking those hard evs and barreling them. This has

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<v Speaker 1>all led to him becoming an expert favorite to fill

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<v Speaker 1>out one of those outfield spots. The position itself kind

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<v Speaker 1>of falls off in later rounds, and that's why it's

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<v Speaker 1>exciting when you could find twenty homers and ten stolen

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<v Speaker 1>bases post one p fifty. His overall ECR still sits

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<v Speaker 1>at one eighty four, which is crazy to me, but

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<v Speaker 1>with a high of twenty nine. Though if I'm being fair,

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<v Speaker 1>that twenty nine on ECR might be me. He's a

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<v Speaker 1>secret weapon. Most experts and analysts, though, are trying to

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<v Speaker 1>get shares of in every draft, even if they're not named.

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<v Speaker 1>Chris Welsh coming in at number four is Dodgers' first

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<v Speaker 1>baseman Freddy Freeman. Most first round picks aren't relative to

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<v Speaker 1>the draft position we as drafters own, but near the

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<v Speaker 1>back end of the first round, or in a perfect world,

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<v Speaker 1>the start of the second is where everybody wants Freddy Freeman.

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<v Speaker 1>His power dipped a little bit last year, but he

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<v Speaker 1>made up for it with a career high thirteen stolen

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<v Speaker 1>bases and the second best batting average of his career

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<v Speaker 1>at three twenty five. The term safe gets thrown around

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<v Speaker 1>a ton, but there might not be a safer overall

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<v Speaker 1>pick than Freddy Freeman. As Batex projections have him hitting

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<v Speaker 1>three h five with twenty five homers, eleven stolen bases,

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<v Speaker 1>and ninety nine runs with ninety five RBI. He's the

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<v Speaker 1>highest player on this list, but once you get outside

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<v Speaker 1>the top ten overall players, he's the guy that every

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<v Speaker 1>expert is staring at. Number three. Angels outfielder Taylor Ward.

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<v Speaker 1>Remember all the things I said about Lars Neubar a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit ago, Well, take all of that and now

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<v Speaker 1>put it in overdrive. That's Taylor Ward. I can safely

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<v Speaker 1>say that he is the expert's expert pick of any

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<v Speaker 1>player outside the top one hundred. Ward has an eleven

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<v Speaker 1>plus positive differential between his ECR and his ADP, so

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<v Speaker 1>that ECR rank is way higher than where he's actually going.

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<v Speaker 1>If you take out catchers on Fantasy Pro's ECR, which

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<v Speaker 1>those can be ranked a little bit higher for NFBC

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<v Speaker 1>pushes them up or two catcher leagues. Only one other

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<v Speaker 1>player outside the top one hundred has a higher individual

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<v Speaker 1>rank than Taylor Ward. That person, by the way, is

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<v Speaker 1>Glavor Torrez. Ward is projected for close to twenty five

0:10:58.080 --> 0:11:01.200
<v Speaker 1>homers and ten stolen bases with a great batting average.

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<v Speaker 1>I expect to see quite a few shares myself of

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<v Speaker 1>Ward in the coming weeks. Number two is brave starting

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<v Speaker 1>pitcher Spencer Streider. So how about the next Spencer Strider

0:11:10.280 --> 0:11:14.120
<v Speaker 1>being Spencer Stryder. The conversation for Strider this year isn't

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<v Speaker 1>really about will he repeat, but will he have the

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<v Speaker 1>innings to become the number one pitcher in all of baseball?

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<v Speaker 1>Strider had an over thirteen k per nine and no

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<v Speaker 1>pitcher had less innings with two hundred plus strikeouts than Stryder,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think that's by about forty innings. Hear a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people talk about how if Jacob de Gram

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<v Speaker 1>pitches one hundred and forty innings he is the best

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<v Speaker 1>pitcher in baseball. Well, many experts are taking the injury

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<v Speaker 1>risk out that de Gram has and saying I'll take

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<v Speaker 1>my chance with de Gram. Light in Spencer Strider. He

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<v Speaker 1>currently has a twenty six ECR with an ADP on

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<v Speaker 1>NFBC since March first of twenty five, which all has

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<v Speaker 1>been an increase as the drafting season has gone on.

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<v Speaker 1>If you can get Strider in the late second or

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<v Speaker 1>early third round, you'll be walking hand in hand with

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<v Speaker 1>what many experts are doing, and that leads us to

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<v Speaker 1>the number one guy that all experts want a draft

0:12:05.120 --> 0:12:09.760
<v Speaker 1>Number one Rangers shortstop Corey Seeger. Seeger was one of

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<v Speaker 1>the ten most shifted players in all of twenty twenty two.

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<v Speaker 1>He also just happened to have a career low babbit

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<v Speaker 1>of two forty two, which, by the way, it had

0:12:20.600 --> 0:12:23.600
<v Speaker 1>never been under three hundred in his career. Secer saw

0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:27.480
<v Speaker 1>a seventy point increase also in his wOBA when he

0:12:27.840 --> 0:12:31.079
<v Speaker 1>was not shifted on, which is why so many experts

0:12:31.120 --> 0:12:34.760
<v Speaker 1>and drafters alike are storming to draft Corey Seeger this year.

0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:37.480
<v Speaker 1>Now that the shift is banned. His current forty two

0:12:37.559 --> 0:12:41.360
<v Speaker 1>ECR has a plus six differential versus his ADP, So again,

0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:44.320
<v Speaker 1>this is a guy ranked higher than where he is going,

0:12:44.400 --> 0:12:47.160
<v Speaker 1>and that forty two is also shown how rankers have

0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:50.559
<v Speaker 1>become more aggressive versus even what's happening over in the NFBC,

0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:53.080
<v Speaker 1>which is just about a full round higher than the

0:12:53.200 --> 0:12:58.080
<v Speaker 1>average NFBC ADP. Shortstop feels deep, but there's a lot

0:12:58.160 --> 0:13:00.439
<v Speaker 1>more risk near the end, and that's why many are

0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:03.120
<v Speaker 1>trying to acquire this thirty plus home run hitter at

0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:06.040
<v Speaker 1>shortstop who is a great batting average, And that's why

0:13:06.080 --> 0:13:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Corey Seeger is the number one player experts are drafting.

0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:13.280
<v Speaker 1>And those, my friends, are the twelve players that experts

0:13:13.440 --> 0:13:17.360
<v Speaker 1>want in their leagues. Corby and Carrol, Joe Muskrove, Vinnie Pasquentino,

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:21.080
<v Speaker 1>Joe Ryan, Randy Roseraina, Christian Xavier, Jordan Romano, and then

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:25.400
<v Speaker 1>that top five large new bar Freddie Freeman, Taylor Ward, Spencer, Strider,

0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:28.080
<v Speaker 1>and Corey Seeger. Who do you think the experts are

0:13:28.080 --> 0:13:30.440
<v Speaker 1>wrong on? Or who do you love the most? You

0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:32.280
<v Speaker 1>can go to the YouTube channel and you can comment.

0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:34.760
<v Speaker 1>When you do so, you might also get yourself eligible

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:36.960
<v Speaker 1>to win that premium upgrade to Fantasy Pros when you

0:13:37.000 --> 0:13:39.600
<v Speaker 1>do so, as long as you're also subscribed. Friends, I'm

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Chris Welsh and you can find me on Twitter at

0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:43.680
<v Speaker 1>is it the Welsh to say, like all the nice

0:13:43.720 --> 0:13:46.360
<v Speaker 1>things and shower me with praise. If you have something

0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 1>mean to say, find me on my other Twitter, Joe

0:13:49.520 --> 0:13:52.120
<v Speaker 1>Piece of PS seventeen. All right, that'll do it for me,

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:54.600
<v Speaker 1>but I'll talk to you guys next time right here

0:13:55.000 --> 0:13:58.160
<v Speaker 1>on Fantasy Pros. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:02.280
<v Speaker 1>Baseball podcast. Follow up us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB,

0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.840
<v Speaker 1>and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com

0:14:05.880 --> 0:14:07.520
<v Speaker 1>slash Fantasy Pros MLB