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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Dili Juice Podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk Matt to follow

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Speaker 2: me across all socials. Welcome to Week one of the NFL.

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Speaker 2: It's been a long time coming for us to get

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Speaker 2: to an NFL football Sunday. And you get this podcast

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Speaker 2: and remember the live stream. It happens at nine am

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Speaker 2: Pacific time at noon Eastern. For one hour, myself and

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Speaker 2: Pat fitz Morris will take you through every game. We

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Speaker 2: will give you a pick play in thought on every

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Speaker 2: single game. Maybe some we are firing on, some of

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Speaker 2: that we are not. During that live stream, I will

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Speaker 2: give you four player props that will be official plays

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Speaker 2: for the Daly Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: I will also give you the long teaser.

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Speaker 2: No of you do not know what a long teaser is,

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Speaker 2: go to Google and type in wal teaser.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to explain it here.

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Speaker 2: I might do a quick explanation on the pot on

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Speaker 2: the live stream tomorrow, but it's a one hour live stream.

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Speaker 2: I will get into Wong teasers later in the Discord channel,

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Speaker 2: bettingpros dot Com slash Chat, but just go to Google

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Speaker 2: if you don't know what it is, Wong Doctor Wong teaser.

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Speaker 2: It's a way of teasing it. It's become more expensive

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Speaker 2: over the years because it is a profitable strategy to

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Speaker 2: move the number when you get very close to kickoff.

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Speaker 2: But I will give you that during the live stream

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Speaker 2: coming up later on today. I have three one unit

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Speaker 2: plays or one point one unit plays and one teaser

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Speaker 2: to give you guys here, we'll have three one unit plays,

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Speaker 2: one teaser, one Wong teaser, and four player props. That

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Speaker 2: is pretty much the standard card every Sunday here for

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice. Now, what happened last night? We're not

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Speaker 2: done yet. Oregon is still playing, so I don't know yet.

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Speaker 2: But the Iowa game killed me. The Iowa game was

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Speaker 2: extremely costly. The under we would have pushed nineteen seventeen

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Speaker 2: Iowa would have won. That would have kept the money

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Speaker 2: line parlay alive. So we lost that color on Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: That game should have just bet Nebraska minus seven. That

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Speaker 2: was a bad bet out of me. Nebraska destroyed Colorado

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Speaker 2: and then the second half they really took the foot

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Speaker 2: of the gas and they just wanted to win the

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Speaker 2: game and get the heck out of there. They had

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Speaker 2: no interest in running the score up. So there we

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Speaker 2: got Michigan State, right, we got tu Lane right. If

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Speaker 2: you were with us on the Discord channel chat, you

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Speaker 2: heard all sorts of plays that cashed, like the Tulsa

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Speaker 2: under that came in, the Tennessee first half that came in.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to think of other bets that we hit.

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Speaker 1: I wound up.

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Speaker 2: If this Oregon bet misses, I will have wound up

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Speaker 2: up one unit on the day. But it's been kind

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Speaker 2: of a crazy after all the bets I made, and

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Speaker 2: I had a gigantic card and I wound up up

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Speaker 2: a unit because Iowa killed everything. If Iowa had won,

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Speaker 2: it would have been great. If Iowa had come in

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Speaker 2: one for us, we would have been kicking. We would

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Speaker 2: be kicking back going. This is tremendous, but a great

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Speaker 2: Saturday instead kind of a wishy washy. Probably down a

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Speaker 2: unit or two, depending on what happens here with Oregon

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Speaker 2: and their team total. They're down at the half right now,

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Speaker 2: it's Boise State leading twenty to fourteen, so you know

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Speaker 2: a big second half of the Oregon Ducks to get

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Speaker 2: over forty and a half. So most likely that's going

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Speaker 2: to be a loss for us there so at two

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Speaker 2: and four Saturday most likely, but we'll see how it goes.

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Speaker 2: We have a chance to have a winning day coming

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Speaker 2: up on Sunday and winning week rather if we have

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Speaker 2: a winning day coming up on Sunday, Week one of

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Speaker 2: the NFL. This podcast is being presented by DraftKings. We

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Speaker 2: com slash terms. Okay, let's talk about Sunday. Let's start

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Speaker 2: with the Vikings and the Giants. The move came here

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Speaker 2: by sharp money on the Vikings, and I think it's

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Speaker 2: the right side. Okay, Look, I know the Vikings are

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Speaker 2: not going to be the sexiest team.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I know here, Kirk Cousins is gone. Okay, you have

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Speaker 2: Sam Donald and you're like, okay. They thought that JJ

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Speaker 2: McCarthy might be the guy. He's out for pretty much

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Speaker 2: three months. It's Sam Darnald, but it still is JJ

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Speaker 2: is still JJ and justin Jefferson. It's still a pretty

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Speaker 2: good defense. Not a great defense, but a pretty good defense,

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Speaker 2: and a running game that you think should be able

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Speaker 2: to move the ball on the Giants. The Giants might

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Speaker 2: be the worst team in football, all right. I know

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Speaker 2: Giant fans don't want to hear that, but you might

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Speaker 2: be the worst team in football. Daniel Jones is your quarterback.

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Speaker 2: And I'm not in love with Daniel Jones. I know

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Speaker 2: he's Dayton Ky Adams allegedly, but good for him off

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Speaker 2: the field. Great on the field, eh, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Not a big fan of Daniel Jones. I'm going to

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Speaker 2: fade him here out of the gate. I know the

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Speaker 2: Vikings aren't going to be great, but I think against

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Speaker 2: the Giants, I think they get it done. Move came.

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Speaker 2: It was minus one, now minus one New York. Now

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Speaker 2: it's minus one Minnesota. I'm coming in. I'm taking the

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Speaker 2: Vikings here for number one. Vikings minus one on the

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Speaker 2: road at the Giants at minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: Bet number two.

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Speaker 2: The Pittsburgh Steelers are going to start Justin Fields. Amazingly enough,

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Speaker 2: they're starting the right quarterback like this is the right quarterback.

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Speaker 2: Why because Arthur Smith is the new offensive coordinator for

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Speaker 2: this offense, and while Russell Wilson was the first get

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Speaker 2: for them, and they think, okay, let's ride Russ. With

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Speaker 2: Justin Fields, you you got the opportunity to do a

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Speaker 2: lot of the stuff that Arthur Smith likes to do.

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Speaker 2: The play auction pass, the quarterback RPO, the rollouts. You're

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Speaker 2: going to see all of this here with Justin Fields.

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Speaker 2: I don't think he gives it back. I think Justin

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Speaker 2: Fields plays well. I think this Pittsburgh Steelers defense gets

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Speaker 2: out of the gate really fast. I know everyone's in

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Speaker 2: love with the Falcons. I don't know about him, Okay,

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Speaker 2: just being frank, I don't know. Okay, they get Matthew

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Speaker 2: Judahon late, they got Justin Simmons late. Okay, their defense

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Speaker 2: might be improved. But I think this Steelers defense is

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Speaker 2: going to be the difference with TJ. Watt on the field.

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Speaker 2: This Steelers defense is just different. This is as much

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Speaker 2: a number play as it is a bet on the

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Speaker 2: Steelers three and a half. I love the hook here.

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Speaker 2: I absolutely love the hook here with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 2: Do not play this at three. You got to play

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Speaker 2: this at three and a half. Steelers plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half for one point one units bet number three Cowboys, Browns.

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Speaker 2: Are you just trusting Deshaun Watson because I'm not.

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Speaker 1: Does he even care?

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Speaker 2: Does Deshaun Watson want to play football? That's a serious question.

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Speaker 2: Does he want to play football?

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I know that Dak is playing for a contract. I

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Speaker 2: know Dak Prescott. I'm not in love with Dak Prescott,

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Speaker 2: but I know he's playing for a contract. I know

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Speaker 2: he's got Cde Lamb to throw to. I know that

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Speaker 2: Brown's defense is really good.

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Speaker 1: I get that.

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Speaker 2: But the Cowboys defense is not bad. And I think

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys have a chip on their shoulder here. I'm

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Speaker 2: not in love with the Browns offense. I cannot back

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Speaker 2: the Browns at home laying points against the Cowboys when

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys are at full strength. It's a big year

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Speaker 2: for Mike McCarthy it's a big year for Dak Prescott.

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Speaker 2: I think out of the gate, I just think the

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Speaker 2: quarterback play is going to really favor the Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what Deshaun Watson is. He's an overpaid

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Speaker 2: what is the AQB one? It's the AQB two? Is

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Speaker 2: his mind in the game. I'm fading Daniel Jones. I'm

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Speaker 2: fading Deshaun Watson out of the gate here, and I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take the points if you get three.

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Speaker 1: I couldn't bite.

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Speaker 2: It was the most expensive move in the sportsbook, is

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Speaker 2: going from two and a half to three or getting

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Speaker 2: off of three, going from three to two and a

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Speaker 2: half minus one thirty five minus one forty. I just

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Speaker 2: couldn't justify taking that big of a jump here juice wise.

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Speaker 2: So I decided just to say, all right, fine, let's

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Speaker 2: just hope that it winds up being a win for

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys and they win the game outright, or they

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Speaker 2: lose by one. Losing by two is kind of hard

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Speaker 2: to do, but you know, two point conversion misses at

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Speaker 2: the end. I think it's a tight football game. This

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Speaker 2: game very well might factor into a Wong teaser. This

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Speaker 2: could be, you know, taking the Cowboys up to eight

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Speaker 2: and a half. That's very much a potential for a

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Speaker 2: long teaser. But we got to see how that line goes.

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Speaker 2: That line goes to three, maybe not going to qualify

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Speaker 2: for a long teaser, but two and a half it

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Speaker 2: is right there for under forty four, under forty five.

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Speaker 2: So totals right where it needs to be, numbers right

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Speaker 2: where it needs to be. I'm gonna come in. I'm

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Speaker 2: taking the Cowboys at plus two and a half, all right,

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Speaker 2: So our our one unit plays on sides Vikings minus one,

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Speaker 2: Steelers plus three and a half, Cowboys plus two and

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Speaker 2: a half. You notice I'm not betting totals here. I

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Speaker 2: don't want to bet totals in week one, okay. I

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Speaker 2: need to see how it plays out. I need to

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Speaker 2: see how the kickoffs are going to be used. We've

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Speaker 2: seen two games so far. I didn't learn nearly as

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Speaker 2: much as I want to about the new kickoff rule.

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Speaker 2: So I'm not playing any totals next week in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: I will get, you know, thinking about playing overs and unders,

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Speaker 2: but nothing in week number one. From a total perspective,

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Speaker 2: I just don't just don't trust it yet. I do

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Speaker 2: like playing totals. I like teasing totals, but we're not

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Speaker 2: going to touch the totals at the moment here for

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Speaker 2: week number one. The teaser not the wrong teaser, just

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Speaker 2: a straight teaser. I'm taking Seattle at six, and I'm

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Speaker 2: going to pull them down to a pick.

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Speaker 1: And I think there's a lot of people, if you

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Speaker 1: look at the.

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Speaker 2: Survivor picks and what we've seen from a Survivor standpoint,

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Speaker 2: a lot of people believe that this is going to

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Speaker 2: be a good back pick to take Seattle. And I

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Speaker 2: think there's people out there that are also wondering a

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Speaker 2: little bit what this Sealks team might look like, because

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Speaker 2: there are some people that believe that Seattle is a

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Speaker 2: team that can make a lot of noise, that they

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Speaker 2: could be a difficult opponent. So when I get the

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Speaker 2: up to date number, I played six, so I to

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Speaker 2: make sure we're playing the right number here.

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Speaker 1: It's still six.

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Speaker 2: So post six down, six point teaser, Seattle down to

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Speaker 2: a pick to win the game outright, just moneyline play

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Speaker 2: up against the Denver Broncos, and then we're going to

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Speaker 2: come in on the other side and we're going to

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Speaker 2: get the Sun Night football game and take the Rams

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Speaker 2: from four and a half up to ten and a half.

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Speaker 2: Look if the Lions win, and the Rams might win

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Speaker 2: the game outright, But everyone loves the Lions. Lions are

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Speaker 2: the most popular pick in the circum million contest. Everyone's

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Speaker 2: in on all the Lions. I think the Rams are

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Speaker 2: going to be right there. Matthew Stafford and company gets

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Speaker 2: as much of a revenge game for him as it

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Speaker 2: is for Jared Goff. You've got an offense that people

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Speaker 2: are wondering about with the Rams, and people think, Okay,

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Speaker 2: this might be a really big year for the Rams

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Speaker 2: and no Aaron Donald. So how would that defense look.

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Speaker 2: We'll see. But I like the offense. I like the

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Speaker 2: Sean McVay offense, and I think they have a chance

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Speaker 2: to keep this game close. I don't think they lose

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Speaker 2: by more than ten points. If they lose, it's a

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Speaker 2: one score, single digit type of loss. On Sunday night football,

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Speaker 2: we've seen primetime unders be a thing again. I'm not

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Speaker 2: betting it, but dog in under correlated could happen here

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Speaker 2: with a ten and a half point number. We could

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Speaker 2: see a three point win for Detroit and it covers

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Speaker 2: the four and a half. Let's just be safe here

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Speaker 2: and go ahead and jump in with a teaser to

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Speaker 2: ten and a half for the Rams. Okay, so four

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Speaker 2: bets here long teaser to come. Four player props on

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Speaker 2: the live stream at nine Pacific noon Eastern time for

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Speaker 2: Week one of the NFL with myself and Pat fitz

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Speaker 2: Morris vikings minus one Steelers plus three and a half

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Speaker 2: Cowboys plus two and a half Seattle tease to a

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Speaker 2: pick Rams teased up to plus ten and a half

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Speaker 2: for one point two units around. Find the best book

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Speaker 2: price for teasers, okay, I'm pretty particular. Find books that

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Speaker 2: don't bet more than Mas one thirty on that. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that should be your ceiling when it comes to teasers

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Speaker 2: to what you're gonna pay. Some books are one forty

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Speaker 2: one fifty. It's ridiculous, okay. Do not pay more than

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Speaker 2: Mis one thirty for a six point teaser. That would

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Speaker 2: be awful if they make you do that. My name

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Speaker 2: is Matt Parolt. I'll talk to you later this morning

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Speaker 2: for our NFL Week one live stream with myself and

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Speaker 2: Pat Fitzmorris on the Betting Pros YouTube channel, Discord channel chat.

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Speaker 2: Easy stuff to get into. It's Bettingpros dot Com slash Chat.

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Speaker 2: I'll be in there during the games tomorrow with you

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Speaker 2: guys chatting, having some fun watching games, talking about live

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Speaker 2: betting opportunities that we'll have throughout the entire day for

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Speaker 2: week number one, This the Daily Juice Podcast. My name

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Speaker 2: is Matt Parolt, following us all socials at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Every morning the Daily Juice presented by Draftings