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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome to the Betting Pros Tour Championship

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Speaker 1: Betting Preview. I'm Pat fitz Morris and joining me tonight

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Speaker 1: is my esteemed colleague Bo mcbrair. In addition to providing

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Speaker 1: sage PGA wagering wisdom for betting pros, Bo also hosts

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Speaker 1: The Nineteenth Hole, a DFS podcast presented by IBT Media.

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Speaker 1: So the PGA Tour season all comes down to one

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Speaker 1: final tournament this week in Atlanta, A thirty man field

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Speaker 1: will battle it out for the title of FedEx Cup

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Speaker 1: Champion in honor that comes with the check for eighteen

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Speaker 1: million dollars and a five year PGA Tour exemption. The

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Speaker 1: runner up is going to have to settle for a

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Speaker 1: mere six and a half million. So there is a

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Speaker 1: lot at stake for these guys. Now here's the quirk

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Speaker 1: to how the Tour Championship is conducted. The FedEx Cup

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Speaker 1: points leader will begin the tournament at ten under par.

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Speaker 1: The number two player starts at eight under, The three

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Speaker 1: player starts at seven under, the number four player starts

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Speaker 1: at six under, the number five player at five under.

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Speaker 1: Players six to ten are at four under. Players eleven

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Speaker 1: to fifteen to three under, sixteen to twenty at two under,

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Speaker 1: twenty one to twenty five at one under, and twenty

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Speaker 1: six to thirty at even par. And here's the thing.

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Speaker 1: These starting scores are factored into the betting odds, so

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Speaker 1: you will see some extraordinarily short odds for the favorites,

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Speaker 1: the guys with the big head starts, and some crazy

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Speaker 1: long odds for the guys who are starting eight, nine,

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Speaker 1: ten shots back. So the player with the best score

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Speaker 1: after seventy two holes, combined with his FedEx Cup starting scores,

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Speaker 1: will be crowned the champion. And last week, Victor Hovelin

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Speaker 1: shot a course record sixty one on Sunday at Olympia

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Speaker 1: Fields in suburban Chicago to win the BMW Championship by

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Speaker 1: two strokes and set the stage for this week's drama.

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Speaker 1: Hobland shot at twenty eight on the back nine. Bo

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Speaker 1: that's twenty shots less than I shot on the back

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Speaker 1: nine of my round on Sunday. I don't want to

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Speaker 1: talk about it, but we will talk about it. We

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Speaker 1: will talk about Hoblin and the other top contenders soon.

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Speaker 1: But first come join our Betting Pros Tour Championship contest

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Speaker 1: for a chance to win cash prizes. Join the contest

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Speaker 1: at splash sports dot com slash Fantasy Pros again splash

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Speaker 1: sports dot com Slash Fantasy Pros. You'll need to set

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Speaker 1: up a new account, make a deposit, and then you

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Speaker 1: can join the contest again. Visit splash sports dot com

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Speaker 1: Slash Fantasy Pros and come plain Our Betting Pros Tour

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Speaker 1: Championship Contest All right, Bo. The Tour Championship will once

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Speaker 1: again be conducted at the east Lake Golf Club, just

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Speaker 1: east of downtown Atlanta. This will be the twenty third

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Speaker 1: time Eastlake has hosted the Tour Championship, and it has

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Speaker 1: hosted every Tour Championship since two thousand and four. It's

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Speaker 1: a par seventy course that's going to play to seven

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Speaker 1: three hundred and forty six yards. BO, give me your

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Speaker 1: take on east Lake. What stands out to you about

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Speaker 1: the course? What sort of player might it favor?

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Speaker 2: So it's actually really similar to the course they just

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Speaker 2: played over in your neck of the woods at Olympia Fields,

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Speaker 2: almost identical in distance and par The layout is similar,

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Speaker 2: the arrangement of the holes is different, but it's an

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Speaker 2: easier version of Olympia Fields. I think that this field

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Speaker 2: of thirty is going to score a lot easier than

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Speaker 2: they did last week, even though Victor Hoblin finished at

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Speaker 2: seventeen hunder part which is twice as good as I

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Speaker 2: thought the winning score was going to be. With how

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Speaker 2: tough Olympia fields played in twenty twenty, the Tour Championship

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Speaker 2: at east Lake isn't about being difficult. It's about crowning

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Speaker 2: that season's best golfer. And that's why that tiered scoring

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Speaker 2: system comes into play, because you're going to have some

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Speaker 2: low scores. I think twenty under par even without the

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Speaker 2: starting is going to be kind of your expected score

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Speaker 2: to par. Even if you take it all the way

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Speaker 2: out'n you're gonna need Scotty Scheffler, even at starting at

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Speaker 2: ten under, He's gonna have to shoot at least ten

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Speaker 2: under to win the same. That's that's what I'm talking

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Speaker 2: about with this compared to last week, very similar, but

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Speaker 2: an easier version of it. The rough is less rough,

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Speaker 2: the fairways are a little wider, the greens are a

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Speaker 2: little bigger and not as fast. They encourage scoring here

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Speaker 2: at e Slake.

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Speaker 1: Now let's talk about some of the favorites bow and

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Speaker 1: we have to start with Scotty, of course, and with

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Speaker 1: his big head start, Scheffler is only plus one point

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Speaker 1: thirty to win on DraftKings. He begins with the two

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Speaker 1: shot lead over his next closest pursuer, Hoveland, and only

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Speaker 1: four players are within five shots of him with this

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Speaker 1: starting scoring system. So it's not much fun bo betting

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Speaker 1: someone to win at plus one point thirty. But would

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Speaker 1: it be a smart move to take Scotty at those odds?

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Speaker 2: It would. This guy's playing out of his mind right now,

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Speaker 2: and the difference is compared to leading up to last week,

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Speaker 2: we were all concerned about his putting. His putting was bad,

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Speaker 2: he switched putters, it was still bad. He comes into

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Speaker 2: last week and nearly wins the tournament because out of

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Speaker 2: four rounds he gained strokes on the field in two

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Speaker 2: of them on the greens. So I think the best

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Speaker 2: golf from the world saw some putts go in, and

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Speaker 2: that should scare everybody in this field, especially when he's

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Speaker 2: got a head start Scotty Schffler plus one thirty. That

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Speaker 2: means you're gonna have to invest a little bit more

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Speaker 2: into that to make it worth your while. I think

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Speaker 2: it's still a fine bet because it's a very high

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Speaker 2: likelihood that he goes coast to coast here with the

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Speaker 2: way he's playing now and the way he's been striking

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Speaker 2: the ball from t to green all season. We're talking

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Speaker 2: about top five seasons ever in ball striking for Scotty Scheffler,

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Speaker 2: Tiger Woods, Jack Nicholas. You could go back as far

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Speaker 2: as just those two guys have three of the four

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Speaker 2: I think seasons of top ball striking tee to green

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Speaker 2: and then Scottish Scheffler sitting in the right there in

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Speaker 2: that same company. So I wouldn't be shocked at all

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Speaker 2: if Scotty wasn't even threatened this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, one thirty seems like the right price for him.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's some good players behind him, but it's

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Speaker 1: not like he's going to lose confidence by not being

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Speaker 1: able to finish off the BMW Championship. I mean, Hoveland

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Speaker 1: won that, It's not like Scotty lost that.

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Speaker 2: That was what I was saying is he had a

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Speaker 2: lot of the guys that were in contention. When Hoveland

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Speaker 2: shot sixty one, it was great for all of us

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Speaker 2: that had him at sixteen to one or eighteen to one,

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Speaker 2: but even the other golfers were like, well, what are

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Speaker 2: we supposed to do about a sixty one on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: It's a course record. It's nine under par at a

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Speaker 2: course that the winning four round score just three years

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Speaker 2: ago was four under for the entire tournament. And he

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Speaker 2: shot nine under in one round and shot twenty eight

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Speaker 2: on the back which is a daunting back nine if

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Speaker 2: I've ever seen one. Everybody else is scraping to make

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Speaker 2: pars and he's no farther away than ten feet on

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Speaker 2: any of his approach shots in the back nine. That

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Speaker 2: there's nothing you can do about that. Scotti Scheffler would

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Speaker 2: have won if Victor Hoblin was anything less than that

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Speaker 2: that crazy finish. So yeah, give me all the Scotty

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Speaker 2: Scheffler at cost, and really the next tier is right

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Speaker 2: there with him. But obviously these casinos know what they're doing.

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Speaker 2: These odds are sharp as eck.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about our Norwegian friend, Victor Hoblin. He

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Speaker 1: starts the tournament at minus eight, so he's gonna be

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Speaker 1: two shots back in second place. He has established himself

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Speaker 1: as one of the top players in the world and

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Speaker 1: obviously caught fire in Chicago last weekend with that display

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Speaker 1: of pyrotechnics On Sunday the sixty one, he goes off

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Speaker 1: at plus five hundred on DraftKings Bow. Do you like

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Speaker 1: him at all at that price?

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Speaker 2: I love him at that price because of his head

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Speaker 2: start over even Rory McElroy, who's only at plus three thirty.

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Speaker 2: I thought it was interesting because Rory played great last week.

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Speaker 2: He has immense success. He has three victories here at

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Speaker 2: east Lake, and we're talking about what is he one

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Speaker 2: shot back from Hoveland here and worse odds. I like

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Speaker 2: both of those guys, but I would wish that Rory

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Speaker 2: had a little bit less of a cushion that we

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Speaker 2: could play with on the line because Hoveland I think

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Speaker 2: should be the second favorite here based on the starting

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Speaker 2: score and his absolute rapturous like how hot is this

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Speaker 2: guy right now? Where you don't worry about anything with

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Speaker 2: his scoring, and of course like this, it's so similar

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Speaker 2: to last week. You want the guys that are great

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Speaker 2: off the tee, great on approach and then can make

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Speaker 2: some putts. I think Holand at five at plus five

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Speaker 2: hundred is an insanely good price. And then I wish

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Speaker 2: Rory was a little cheaper because I would love him

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Speaker 2: too here I just don't know that. I love him

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Speaker 2: at his odds.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's exactly it. Plus plus three thirty does not

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Speaker 1: seem like a good price for Rory who as you mentioned,

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Speaker 1: you mentioned the past success and he went nuclear last

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Speaker 1: year over the weekend at East Lake. So like the

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Speaker 1: track record is there, but Man starting three behind Scotty

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Speaker 1: in one behind Hoveland plus three thirty just doesn't seem

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Speaker 1: like you're you're getting enough of a carrot to uh.

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Speaker 2: To go in watch him go and shoot sixty three

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Speaker 2: on Thursday and eliminate that completely.

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Speaker 1: It could definitely happen. What about John Rahm at plus

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Speaker 1: eight hundred bo so's, he's four behind Scheffler. But Rom

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Speaker 1: hasn't been in great form since tying for second at

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Speaker 1: the Open Championship, finished tied for thirty seven that the

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Speaker 1: FedEx Saint Jude Championship, and tied for thirty first last

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Speaker 1: week at the BMW in a fifty man field.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's okay with him. I don't I don't

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Speaker 2: like the line at all. I think he should be

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Speaker 2: double digits with the deficity starting with with the for

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Speaker 2: meings role in with it's not going to be quite

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Speaker 2: as penal to miss the fairway here as it was

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Speaker 2: last week that really hurt him because he won here

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Speaker 2: or he won at Olympia Fields in twenty twenty because

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Speaker 2: he could scramble. He made par from all over despite

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Speaker 2: missing fairways. And this season, for whatever reason, he hasn't

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Speaker 2: been able to find that t shot find the fairway

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Speaker 2: with his length. And I don't know that it penalizes

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Speaker 2: him as much at east Lake as it did last week.

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Speaker 2: So I mean, he's live to win just fine. He's

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Speaker 2: got all the ability in the world to do so.

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Speaker 2: I just think that I'd rather have him at double digits.

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Speaker 2: So I'm hoping we get some extra payments towards somebody

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Speaker 2: else in that area so that he can slip to

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Speaker 2: ten or eleven to one, and I'll definitely bet him there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And it seems like when Rom is going to

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Speaker 1: win a big tournament, there's almost like a build up.

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Speaker 1: It's like, you know, a great soccer goal, which is

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Speaker 1: fitting for Rom that the span, yes, but you know,

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Speaker 1: there's just like he doesn't just turn it on with

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Speaker 1: the flick of a switch. It seems like any we

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Speaker 1: just haven't seen much to think that he's going to

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Speaker 1: do that at east Lake after kind of stumbling here

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Speaker 1: the last few weeks following the good finish at Hoylake. Anyway,

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Speaker 1: so before we move on, I want to invite all

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Speaker 1: of you to download the free Betting Pros app for

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Speaker 1: iOS and Android. Follow experts, top rated betters, and betters

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Speaker 1: are placed. Customize your notifications by sports so you only

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Speaker 1: receive alerts for bets that interest you. You can even

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Speaker 1: limit the alerts you get to only historically ROI positive

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Speaker 1: markets of the betters you follow. To take advantage of

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Speaker 1: these features and more, download the Betting Pros app by

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Speaker 1: visiting Bettingpros dot com, slash apps, or search Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: in the app store. All right, let's talk about some

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Speaker 1: of the second tier guys. BO and I feel like

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Speaker 1: we have two categories of second tier players. They're the

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Speaker 1: world class second tier guys Patrick Cantley, Xanderschoff and I

219
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Speaker 1: think you could make the case that Max Homa, Matthew Fitzpatrick,

220
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Speaker 1: and Tommy Fleetwood belong in that group. Two. Then you've

221
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Speaker 1: got the second tier guys who are just playing hot.

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Speaker 1: Lucas Glover, who won the Wyndham Championship, in the FedEx

223
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Speaker 1: Saint Jude Championship back to back, Brian Harmon, who won

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Speaker 1: the Open Championship and has played brilliantly all summer. And

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Speaker 1: I'm even gonna include Russell Henley just because he's finished

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Speaker 1: top eight in all three of the playoff events so far.

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Speaker 1: Is there anyone from this large second tier and the

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Speaker 1: two sub tiers I guess that you are backing whether

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Speaker 1: it's one of the world class guys or one of

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Speaker 1: the streaky guys.

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Speaker 2: So I'm going to throw out one established hot, one

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Speaker 2: established guy, and two hot guys. The one established guy

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Speaker 2: that I can definitely see making some noise again here

234
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Speaker 2: is Xander Schoffley, who, outside of Rory McElroy, has the

235
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Speaker 2: most own age at East Like in this whole field.

236
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Speaker 2: Xanderschoffley can definitely make a run here. He's hanging around.

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Speaker 2: In contention, we haven't seen him push through for any

238
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Speaker 2: wins this year. I think he's still live to do that,

239
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Speaker 2: especially at a place that fits his game style his

240
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Speaker 2: accuracy so well. The Eastsike is going to demand a

241
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Speaker 2: lot of good web shots. Xanderschoffley's up there with the

242
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Speaker 2: best in the world with a wedge in his hand.

243
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Speaker 2: That would be the one guy who hasn't been playing

244
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Speaker 2: out of his mind lately that could definitely do it here.

245
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Speaker 2: The two that I'm really focused on that are hot,

246
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Speaker 2: and I like that they're coming with such great form

247
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Speaker 2: as Brian Harmon, You're champion Golfer of the year, fits

248
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Speaker 2: this course like a glove. I doubted his ability to

249
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Speaker 2: overcome the nasty rough last week. He proved me wrong

250
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Speaker 2: with a top five finish. But him and Henley, who

251
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Speaker 2: is the most accurate driver of the golf ball on tour.

252
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Speaker 2: He's a great approach player. His shortcomings have been with

253
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Speaker 2: the short game and putter historically, but this guy's playing

254
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Speaker 2: so hot right now that that seems to be a

255
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Speaker 2: non issue as far as his current form. Those two

256
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Speaker 2: guys scare me. Their odds are extremely favorable, which means

257
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Speaker 2: that I don't have to invest a lot to get

258
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Speaker 2: a big bang for my buck and investing in them.

259
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Speaker 2: Harmon at fifty to one and then I think Henley

260
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Speaker 2: is sixty five to one, which is very appetizing for

261
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Speaker 2: both of those guys.

262
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Speaker 1: And it seems like Henley has had at least early

263
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Speaker 1: in his career some of his better tournaments, some of

264
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Speaker 1: his success was in Florida in the southeast, like the

265
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Speaker 1: Florida Swings, Yeah, Bermuda where that seemed to be where

266
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Speaker 1: he thrived. So now in Atlanta that might set up

267
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Speaker 1: well for him. What about Harmon and the distance factor?

268
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Speaker 1: Bo I mean, like for a guy who's not very tall,

269
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Speaker 1: Harmon does hit it well enough, but he's not one

270
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Speaker 1: of the longer guys in this field. We're talking about

271
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Speaker 1: a parse seventy course that's like seventy three hundred yards.

272
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Speaker 1: Are you concerned at all about that that his lack

273
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Speaker 1: of length might hurt him a little bit?

274
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Speaker 2: Not at all. I mean last week would have been

275
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Speaker 2: the week to doubt him over distance because of how

276
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Speaker 2: long the rough is. It's not where you are in

277
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Speaker 2: the fairway. It's if you missed the fairway where distance

278
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Speaker 2: really comes into play. How strong are you? He hit

279
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Speaker 2: so many fairways last week that it didn't matter, And

280
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Speaker 2: if you miss the fairways here, it's not going to

281
00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:23,000
Speaker 2: hurt you as much. So seventy three hundred yards is

282
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Speaker 2: actually around two or average par seventy. Notwithstanding, it just

283
00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:31,760
Speaker 2: means you have two fewer par fives and two two

284
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Speaker 2: more par fours, So I don't think the distance is

285
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Speaker 2: going to be a factor at all, especially with how

286
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Speaker 2: accurate he is' that's the name of this game and

287
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Speaker 2: this course. It just hit the fairway, hit it close.

288
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Speaker 2: Harmon's been hitting it close. That's been kind of his

289
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Speaker 2: his up until the season where he broke through. Was

290
00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:53,840
Speaker 2: his kind of his catch up was being able to

291
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Speaker 2: be close enough to the hole to make birdies. And

292
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Speaker 2: he's he's proven that he can do that.

293
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Speaker 1: About any of these guys with longer odds, the guys

294
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Speaker 1: who are looking at deep shots set back. Yes, the

295
00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:10,280
Speaker 1: you know it's going to be tortoise in the hair

296
00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:15,520
Speaker 1: with Scheffler getting out to this big starting starting lead

297
00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:19,200
Speaker 1: and then all these guys ranging from what six shots

298
00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:21,720
Speaker 1: back to ten shots back. I mean, that is a

299
00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,640
Speaker 1: lot of ground to make up for guys who aren't

300
00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:28,720
Speaker 1: as good players as Scottie Scheffler is. So can any

301
00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:32,880
Speaker 1: of these guys if not win ball, any guys maybe

302
00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:36,320
Speaker 1: you like top five to come out of that large

303
00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:39,840
Speaker 1: pack of guys who are six or more shots back

304
00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:40,880
Speaker 1: of the leader.

305
00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,720
Speaker 2: I think this is the real edge of betting the

306
00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:47,080
Speaker 2: Tour Championship. It's not the outright bet. The long shots

307
00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:50,120
Speaker 2: are almost non existent. Chance to win like this is.

308
00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:52,080
Speaker 2: It's kind of a sucker bet to take a one

309
00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:53,920
Speaker 2: thirty to one shot or a one to fifty to

310
00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,920
Speaker 2: one shot on somebody who frankly has no chance to win.

311
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:01,920
Speaker 2: But the top five bet movie twentieth or twenty sixth

312
00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:05,359
Speaker 2: or thirtieth even into a top five spot over four days,

313
00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:10,440
Speaker 2: it's definitely not inconceivable. This is where you take your

314
00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:13,240
Speaker 2: You actually can make some good money betting on the

315
00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:16,320
Speaker 2: Tour Championship. I'm looking at guys who can score in

316
00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:20,840
Speaker 2: bunches like Jordan Speith fourteen to one to get top five.

317
00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:24,119
Speaker 2: I love that bet because Jordan Speed can miss the

318
00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:27,359
Speaker 2: fairway all the fairways this week and still be fine,

319
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:30,600
Speaker 2: scramble his way into enough birdies to put himself in contention,

320
00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:33,360
Speaker 2: not to win, but to be up there, top ten,

321
00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,639
Speaker 2: top five. Even a top ten bet on Jordan Speeth

322
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:40,959
Speaker 2: is plus three sixty. That seems like easy money. And

323
00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:44,320
Speaker 2: then a guy right in that same area, Jason Day.

324
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:47,919
Speaker 2: Jason Day can make birdies and bunches. He's an accurate player.

325
00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:51,040
Speaker 2: This is These are all things that I'm looking for

326
00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:54,320
Speaker 2: in a player that might not be able to make

327
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:58,240
Speaker 2: up ten strokes, but he can at least put himself

328
00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:00,679
Speaker 2: in position to make make some noise.

329
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,320
Speaker 1: I love to bet day. I mean, he was so

330
00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:08,240
Speaker 1: hot in uh, you know, January to March. But I

331
00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:12,080
Speaker 1: guess my concern is that, other than his strong finish

332
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:15,440
Speaker 1: at the Open Championship, I think on his last six

333
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:19,000
Speaker 1: tournaments on American soil, he's like missed three cuts and

334
00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,679
Speaker 1: I think his best finish is tied for forty fifth.

335
00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,200
Speaker 1: It's been kind of a rough stretch, but then again,

336
00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:26,680
Speaker 1: he is a streaky dude and he could go on

337
00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:28,679
Speaker 1: a heater pretty quick. So I'm not gonna I'm not

338
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:29,640
Speaker 1: gonna contest that.

339
00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:33,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you're down here, you're kind of looking for

340
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:36,960
Speaker 2: volatility and look no further than the Aussie.

341
00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:40,840
Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, he is definitely that for sure. All right,

342
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:44,280
Speaker 1: But let's let's compare our betting cards. Uh, you know

343
00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:46,359
Speaker 1: you've you've alluded to some of what you're going to

344
00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:50,120
Speaker 1: be doing, So when you give me the full card, all.

345
00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:53,359
Speaker 2: Right, So I'm betting two units on Scotti Scheffler to

346
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:56,120
Speaker 2: win out right, because I feel like it's it's as

347
00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:59,280
Speaker 2: sure a bet as any. We're still getting plus numbers there,

348
00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:02,359
Speaker 2: which my not last. Honestly, it's like if you're if

349
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:05,639
Speaker 2: you're betting live, don't expect plus one thirty to hang on.

350
00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:08,320
Speaker 2: Especially if he has a strong day one, You're gonna

351
00:19:08,320 --> 00:19:10,920
Speaker 2: be looking at negative odds to bet him outright as

352
00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,159
Speaker 2: soon as as soon as he t's off on Thursday,

353
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:15,600
Speaker 2: even it could happen. If he birdies the first two holes,

354
00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:19,960
Speaker 2: you're probably looking at minus one twenty. Then I'm gonna

355
00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:24,240
Speaker 2: go Victor Hovlin to win outright with a top five parlay.

356
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 2: I like to, I like to. I like to bunch

357
00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:30,159
Speaker 2: those up single player bet outright, bet top five or

358
00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,600
Speaker 2: top ten if for farther down. But Hovelin's my strongest

359
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,520
Speaker 2: pick because he can make up two strokes in an instant,

360
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:41,480
Speaker 2: especially with the way he's playing. And then my third guy,

361
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:45,879
Speaker 2: I have Brian Harmon fifty to one, and then I'm

362
00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:49,960
Speaker 2: taking a shot at Russell Henley at sixty five, and

363
00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:53,199
Speaker 2: I'm throwing a top five bet on Jordan's speeth at

364
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:54,040
Speaker 2: fourteen to one.

365
00:19:55,359 --> 00:20:00,880
Speaker 1: Nice. Yeah, So bo if neither Scheffler nor Hoveland win,

366
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,920
Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna lose money in this tournament because I am,

367
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,640
Speaker 1: like you betting both of those guys to win, and

368
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:10,920
Speaker 1: those are my two biggest bets, my two biggest plays

369
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:14,439
Speaker 1: for the week. The only other bet to win that

370
00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:18,280
Speaker 1: I have considered, and I'm not placed this yet. I'm

371
00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:21,280
Speaker 1: thinking about a Hail Mary on Matthew Fitzpatrick to win.

372
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:25,080
Speaker 1: He's plus four thousand on DraftKings, and I believe the

373
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 1: price on fits is slightly better at FanDuel. He'll start

374
00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 1: six shots behind Scheffler Bow. But Fitzpatrick was excellent last

375
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,320
Speaker 1: week at the BMW, three rounds of sixty six and

376
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:39,879
Speaker 1: a sixty seven. So then again, that is in his backyard,

377
00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 1: his home away from home, I should say, because he

378
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 1: played college golf at Northwestern and he was back in

379
00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:49,320
Speaker 1: the Chicago suburbs last weekend. But you know, like Fitzpatrick

380
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:54,199
Speaker 1: has had some pretty nice charges in big events, some

381
00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:58,520
Speaker 1: nice weekend charges, so I don't expect that one to

382
00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:02,680
Speaker 1: come in. But that's just a little something I might

383
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:06,360
Speaker 1: throw down. Un Fitzpatrick to win. The other ones, your

384
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:11,359
Speaker 1: guy bo Tyrrel Hatton to finish top ten at plus

385
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 1: three sixty on DraftKings. He's only four shots out of

386
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,680
Speaker 1: the top ten to start, and he's been very steady

387
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:21,199
Speaker 1: all summer, from the RBC Heritage in May to the

388
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 1: Open Championship in late July. Hadn't finished top twenty in

389
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:28,760
Speaker 1: eight of nine events, with a top twenty seven at

390
00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:32,280
Speaker 1: the US Open his only miss. So to speak, it

391
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:34,760
Speaker 1: hasn't been great in the two playoff events he's played

392
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:38,159
Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, but he's pretty steady. I

393
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:40,719
Speaker 1: think he could squeak into the top ten. Like the

394
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:42,719
Speaker 1: odds for him to do it at plus three sixty

395
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:47,160
Speaker 1: and one last one for you, bo Emiliano Griol has

396
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 1: been in really good form over the last month, starting

397
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 1: with a tie for six at the Open Championship, then

398
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,200
Speaker 1: a tie for tenth at the three tom Open, tie

399
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 1: for twentieth at FedEx Saint Jude before finishing tied for

400
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 1: thirty five last week at the BMW Championship, and since

401
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 1: the Travelers in late June, bow Rio has shot seventy

402
00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,720
Speaker 1: one or better in twenty of his last twenty two rounds.

403
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,560
Speaker 1: I am betting Grio to finish on top of the

404
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:18,919
Speaker 1: rest of the world group in the Nationality Props category

405
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:24,359
Speaker 1: Bowl at plus eight hundred on draft kings. He's gonna

406
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:28,360
Speaker 1: take down. He's gonna take down all the Canadians, all

407
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,240
Speaker 1: the Koreans, like Grio is.

408
00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:33,480
Speaker 2: Let's say, if you're betting him anything else, you're you're

409
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 2: basically you're you have to acknowledge that he could be

410
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 2: he could be actually playing in Argentina instead of in Atlanta,

411
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,760
Speaker 2: and that would you would have the same odds of

412
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:48,840
Speaker 2: winning the tournament either way, because he's he's so far

413
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:52,480
Speaker 2: back and it's just, yeah, I love that he is

414
00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,720
Speaker 2: a that's a really interesting pick. But you can definitely

415
00:22:55,720 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 2: find it. Find that line for nationality props there.

416
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:01,400
Speaker 1: Well, that's that's the thing.

417
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:01,640
Speaker 2: Bow.

418
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:05,320
Speaker 1: I mean, Grio is starting at even par so he

419
00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 1: is in the bottom five for starting scores. But I

420
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 1: think all the guys in that rest of the world group,

421
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 1: I don't think anyone is starting better than minus two

422
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 1: or maybe minus three. I think it's minus two, like

423
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:18,639
Speaker 1: it's a it's.

424
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:22,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, alert that, but day's plus five hundred for the

425
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:23,400
Speaker 2: same thing.

426
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 1: Very level playing field for the rest of the world group.

427
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:32,480
Speaker 1: Give me the Argentinian Bow and Viva and that is

428
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 1: going to do it. For the Betting pros Tour Championship

429
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 1: Betting preview, you can find me Pat Fitzmorris on what

430
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:42,720
Speaker 1: we used to call Twitter at fits underscore FF and

431
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 1: you can find bau mcbrear at Bow Underscore Mcbig Time.

432
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:50,119
Speaker 1: Good luck to you this weekend with the final event

433
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: of the PGA Tour season. We'll talk to you again

434
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:53,360
Speaker 1: soon